4-7-14 [Archive] - Investwithsports.com Sportstalk and Gambling forum

Can'tPickAWinner

04-06-2014, 10:28 PM

NCAA Championship opening line report: Kentucky opens as 3-point fave
By COLIN KELLY

With a No. 8 seed facing a No. 7 seed for college basketball’s national championship Monday night, everybody’s office pool brackets are in tatters.

But therein lies the beauty of the NCAA Tournament: at least you can still bet on it.

No. 7 seed Connecticut knocked off overall No. 1 seed Florida 63-53 as a 7-point underdog Saturday to open the Final Four, and No. 8 seed Kentucky followed with a thrilling 74-73 win over No. 2 seed Wisconsin as a 1-point favorite.

Just as Kentucky pretty much had to be the favorite against Wisconsin – based on its huge run through the tournament on the backs of a bunch of freshman – the Wildcats will be favored against the Huskies. The opening line was set at -3, with the total between 132.5 and 133.5 for Monday’s finale at AT&T Stadium, home of the Dallas Cowboys.

“The reason we are favoring the Wildcats is that, while UConn has the better backcourt, Kentucky has the much better frontcourt, even if Willey Cauley-Stein isn’t playing,” said Sportsbook.com (http://www.sportsbook.ag/) oddsmaker Mike Perry, who posted a 132.5 total.

Cauley-Stein was hurt in the Wildcats’ Sweet 16 win over instate rival Louisville, but it hasn’t mattered – particularly with the insane late-game antics of guard Aaron Harrison, whose 3-pointer knocked out Michigan in the Elite Eight, and whose 3-pointer from nearly the same spot eliminated the Badgers on Saturday night.

Golden Nugget sports book director Tony Miller joined Perry in making Kentucky a 3-point chalk, though he pegged the total a point higher at 133.5. But Miller doesn’t think the public will follow the favorite.

“The way UConn has been playing, I think the public takes the dog,” Miller said. “How long can Kentucky rely on a 3-pointer at the buzzer?”

UConn guards Shabazz Napier and Ryan Boatright have impressed Perry, and against Florida, the duo combined for 25 points, nine assists, nine rebounds and five steals, with just three turnovers. But Perry is sold on Harrison, saying the clutch shooter makes the backcourt matchup much less of a mismatch.

“Napier and Boatright have been exceptional all tournament, but Harrison keeps hitting clutch shots for the ‘Cats, so the disparity in talent with the guards is much closer than it is for the big men, with UK having a decided advantage,” Perry said.

Can'tPickAWinner

04-06-2014, 10:30 PM

National championship game props
By ANDREW CALEY

We are down to the final game of the college basketball season and if you're looking to get your final fix for betting college hoops we have the game props you'll want (courtesy LVH Superboook) for the national championship game featuring Kentucky and Connecticut.

TOTAL 3 POINT FIELD GOALS MADE BY: BOTH TEAMS
OVER 11.5 -110
UNDER 11.5 -110

LARGEST LEAD OF THE GAME BY: EITHER TEAM
OVER 12.5 -110
UNDER 12.5 -110

TEAM TO MAKE FIRST 3 POINT FIELD GOAL
KENTUCKY +120
U CONN -140

TEAM TO SCORE 5 POINTS FIRST
KENTUCKY -110
U CONN -110

TEAM TO SCORE 10 POINTS FIRST
KENTUCKY -115
U CONN -105

TEAM TO SCORE 15 POINTS FIRST
KENTUCKY -120
U CONN EVEN

TEAM TO SCORE 20 POINTS FIRST
KENTUCKY -125
U CONN +105

TOTAL POINTS BY: JULIUS RANDLE (KENTUCKY)
OVER 15.5 -110
UNDER 15.5 -110

TOTAL REBOUNDS BY: JULIUS RANDLE (KENTUCKY)
OVER 10.5 -110
UNDER 10.5 -110

TOTAL FREE THROWS MADE BY: JULIUS RANDLE (KENTUCKY)
OVER 4.5 -110
UNDER 4.5 -110

TOTAL POINTS BY: JAMES YOUNG (KENTUCKY)
OVER 13.5 -110
UNDER 13.5 -110

TOTAL FREE THROWS MADE BY: JAMES YOUNG (KENTUCKY)
OVER 3.0 +120
UNDER 3.0 -14

TOTAL POINTS BY: AARON HARRISON (KENTUCKY)
OVER 14.5 -110
UNDER 14.5 -110

TOTAL FREE THROWS MADE BY: AARON HARRISON (KENTUCKY)
OVER 3.5 -110
UNDER 3.5 -110

Can'tPickAWinner

04-06-2014, 10:31 PM

UConn or Kentucky? Who will cover the national championship?

The Connecticut Huskies and the Kentucky Wildcats will do battle for the national championship Monday and for sports bettors it's the last opportunity to cash in on college hoops.

Our writers have been following these two teams throughout March Madness and now debate who will cut down the nets as champions, giving three reasons why the Huskies or Wildcats not only wins but covers in Monday’s NCAA Tournament final.

Connecticut Huskies vs. Kentucky Wildcats (-3, 135)

WHY CONNECTICUT WILL COVER

Free Throws

The Huskies are shooting a blistering 86.7 percent from the stripe in their five victories - and that should put a major scare into the Wildcats, who haven't won any tournament game by more than seven points despite opponents shooting a woeful 70.1 percent from the line. Take out Wisconsin's 19-for-20 showing in their Final Four encounter, and that number dips to 62.7.

3-Point Defense

UConn's perimeter defense has been outstanding so far in the tournament, limiting the opposition 33.6 percent from 3-point range. The Huskies frustrated the Gators into a 1-for-10 showing from beyond the arc in their Final Four showdown, and could enjoy similar success against a Kentucky team that ranks ninth in the SEC in 3-point shooting and had just five long-range attempts against Wisconsin.

DeAndre Daniels

Much of the big-man focus in this one will be on Wildcats star Julius Randle - and with good reason. But Daniels has had an outstanding tournament in his own right, averaging 17.6 points and 7.4 rebounds. He erupted for 20 points and 10 boards in the win over Florida - the first player to do so in a national semifinal since Carmelo Anthony in 2003 - and should make life difficult for Parker on both ends of the floor.

WHY KENTUCKY WILL COVER

Clutch play

In their road to the National Championship the Wildcats have been absolute money in close games as all of their wins have game within five points and their last two wins came at the hands of buzzer beating threes by Aaron Harrison to keep Kentucky alive. If you want to put your faith in a game that is likely going to come down to some sort of run down the stretch the Wildcats have shown nerves of steel despite being led by freshman.

Battle Tested

Kentucky perhaps took the toughest road to the Final Four in history by defeating undefeated Wichita State before knocking off the 2013 National Championship Finalists in Louisville and Michigan before beating Wisconsin in the semifinal. UCONN's wins over Michigan State and Florida are nothing to scoff at, but Kentucky is arguably the more battle tested of the two teams based on the teams they have came across in their bracket.

Size

It gets repetitive and annoying to talk about the Wildcats interior edge, but that is because it is such a huge talking point in any breakdown involving Kentucky. The Wildcats are 7th in the nation in rebounding and for the third straight game will be facing a school well outside of the Top 150 in the 165th ranked Huskies. With a +42 rebounding margin it is no wonder that the Wildcats rebounding is a well talked about factor. That edge gives Kentucky extra possessions and easy baskets at the rim which helps their chances of covering as three point favorites.

Can'tPickAWinner

04-06-2014, 10:32 PM

Kentucky's Cauley-Stein out for national title game
By ANDREW CALEY

Kentucky center Willie Cauley-Stein will miss Mondays national championship versus Connecticut game due to an ankle injury.

The 7-foot Cauley-Stein injured his ankle in the tournament opener against Kansas State and then re-injured it the Wildcats' game against Louisville.

The sophomore center averaged seven points and 6.2 rebounds and 2.9 blocks per game this season.

Can'tPickAWinner

04-06-2014, 10:33 PM

National championship betting preview: Connecticut vs. Kentucky

Connecticut Huskies vs. Kentucky Wildcats (-3, 135)

Connecticut has a strong chance at its second National Championship in four years, it just has to find a way to chase Aaron Harrison off the 3-point line late in the game. Harrison and No. 8 seed Kentucky aim for the school’s second championship in three years when they face off against the Huskies in the final on Monday in North Texas. Harrison’s clutch shooting lifted the Wildcats to victory in the Regional Final and the Final Four triumph over Wisconsin.

Connecticut has a guard with just as much experience in the clutch in Shabazz Napier, who dominated the second half of the Regional Final win over Michigan State and continues to come through at the line late in games. The seventh-seeded Huskies controlled the top overall seed in their 63-53 Final Four victory over Florida on Saturday and had no trouble neutralizing Michigan State and Florida’s advantage on the interior in either of the last two games. Connecticut moved the Spartans’ Adreian Payne away from the basket in the Regional Final with its smaller lineup and will attempt to do the same when Kentucky throws another challenge at the frontcourt in star freshman Julius Randle.

TV: 9:10 p.m. ET, CBS

LINE HISTORY: Kentucky opened as 3-point faves, were bet down to -2.5, but are back to -3.

INJURY REPORT: Connecticut: G Pat Lenehan - questionable (undisclosed). Kentucky: F Willie Cauley-Stein - questionable (ankle).

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Kentucky received a scare on Saturday night when forward Alex Poythress injured his leg during the post-game celebration. Poythress was seen with ice on his knee and limping off the court, however he said he was "fine and ready to play" in the post-game press conference. His status is important because Kentucky is currently without center Willie Cauley-Stein," says Covers Expert Steve Merril.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Got sharp bet on UConn +3 less than 15 minutes after we opened so we moved Kentucky to -2.5, where line still remains. We also got sharp bet on over 133 and the total now stands at 135.5," says Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag.

WHY BET CONNECTICUT (31-8, 22-15 ATS): The Huskies were not even eligible for the postseason in coach Kevin Ollie’s first chance last year but seem to remember exactly how to win in the NCAA Tournament with a defense that continues to confound on the perimeter with Ryan Boatright’s on-ball pressure at the top of the key. Napier and Boatright form a much smaller backcourt than the Harrison twins on the other side but attack the paint relentlessly and aren’t afraid to pull the trigger from beyond the arc. The big difference for the team in the Tournament has been the play of DeAndre Daniels, who went for 20 points and 10 rebounds against Florida and has averaged 17.6 points in five games. “He played well for us,” Napier told reporters of Daniels. “It is good to have him there because his shots help all of us out, and we know that he is going to come in and take care of it.”

WHY BET KENTUCKY (29-10, 19-15-3 ATS): The last time a team that started five freshmen made the National Championship game, Michigan’s Fab Five took a halftime lead against Duke before falling by 20 points. The Wildcats are maturing with each passing game and did not panic when falling behind against Wisconsin on Saturday. Harrison made only one 3-point attempt in the Final Four contest but knocked it down with 5.7 seconds left, just like the go-ahead 3-pointer he sank with 2.3 seconds remaining against Michigan and the go-ahead 3-pointer he hit versus Louisville with 39 seconds to play in the Sweet 16. “You can’t be scared to miss and you want to be that guy that wants to take the big shot,” Harrison told reporters. “It’s just the feeling that I want to be the one to take the shot, and I’m not afraid to miss the shot.”

TRENDS:

* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Kentucky is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six NCAA Tournament games.
* Connecticut is 5-0 ATS in its last five games overall.
* Under is 9-2 Connecticut's last 11 games following a straight up win.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Fifty-eight percent of the wagers are on Connecticut +3.

Can'tPickAWinner

04-06-2014, 10:35 PM

Monday's MLB betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes for Monday's Major League Baseball games:

American League

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees (-142. 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Yankees right-hander Hiroki Kuroda went 1-4 with a 4.88 ERA in six starts against the Orioles.

Cold batting stat: Baltimore shortstop J.J. Hardy is 3-for-20 lifetime versus Kuroda.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing out to left field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: Orioles are 2-8 in their last 10 games as an underdog.

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros (137, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Angels left-hander C.J. Wilson was tagged for six runs on eight hits over 5 2/3 innings in his season debut.

Hot batting stat: Los Angeles outfielder Mike Trout is hitting .352 against members of the Houston pitching staff.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s under partly cloudy skies with wind blowing in from left field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: Angels are 14-4 in Wilson's last 18 starts as a road favorite.

Oakland Athletics at Minnesota Twins (122, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Athletics southpaw Scott Kazmir threw 7 1/3 innings of three-hit shutout ball to win his first start of the year.

Cold batting stat: Twins outfielder Josh Willingham is 3-for-17 with seven strikeouts in his career against Kazmir.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with cloud skies and wind blowing from left to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Twins are 1-8 in their last nine home games versus a left-handed starter.

Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox (-153, 9)

Hot pitching stat: Red Sox right-hander John Lackey went 6-3 with a 2.47 ERA in 13 home starts a season ago.

Cold batting stat: Texas third baseman Adrian Beltre is hitting .213 with 14 strikeouts in 61 at-bats versus Lackey.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing out to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Rangers are 2-10 in their last 12 series-opening games.

Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals (111, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Rays lefty Matt Moore was sensational on the road last season, going 10-1 with a 2.74 ERA in 16 starts.

Cold batting stat: Tampa Bay third baseman Evan Longoria is batting .235 in 17 at-bats against Royals starter Jason Vargas.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with a 41 percent chance of rain and wind blowing out to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Rays are 10-1 in Moore's last 11 starts as a road favorite.

National League

Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies (OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Brewers right-hander Kyle Lohse threw eight innings of one-run ball in his only start against the Phillies in 2013.

Hot batting stat: Milwaukee outfielder Ryan Braun hit 9-for-24 against Philadelphia last season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with a 75 percent chance of rain and wind blowing out of left field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Philadelphia.

Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals (-143, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Reds lefty Tony Cingrani allowed just two hits while striking out nine over seven shutout innings in his 2014 debut.

Cold batting stat: Members of the St. Louis roster are a combined 8-for-45 with 16 strikeouts versus Cingrani.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with rain in the forecast and wind blowing from left to right field at 15 mph.

Key betting note: Reds are 16-6 in their last 22 Monday games.

Interleague

San Diego Padres at Cleveland Indians (-141, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Indians right-hander Corey Kluber was tagged for five runs on eight hits over 3 1/3 frames in his previous start.

Cold batting stat: Padres outfielder Seth Smith - the only San Diego player to face Kluber - is 0-for-3 with three strikeouts against him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with rain expected throughout the day and wind blowing from right to left field at 16 mph.

Key betting note: Indians are 8-1 in Kluber's last nine home starts.

Chicago White Sox at Colorado Rockies (-127, 10)

Cold pitching stat: Rockies right-hander Jordan Lyles was charged with four runs on five innings in his first start of the year.

Hot batting stat: Members of the Chicago roster are hitting 9-for-20 against Lyles.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing in from left field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: Rockies are 5-22 in their last 27 interleague games against a right-handed starter.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and pitching matchup as of 3 p.m. Sunday.

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 08:13 AM

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Milwaukee-Philly game has been postponed until Tuesday.
-- Wacha is 5-1, 1.76 in his last seven starts. Cingrani is 2-3, 2.48 in his last six.

-- Jimenez is 4-1, 1.90 in his last seven starts.
-- Cosart is 1-1, 2.37 in his last ten starts.
-- Kazmir is 3-0, 0.44 in his last three starts.
-- Lackey is 3-1, 2.10 in his last four starts.
-- Vargas is 1-1, 2.01 in his last three starts.

-- Erlin is 2-1, 1.97 in his last five starts.
-- Paulino is 2-0, 1.72 in his last six starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Kuroda is 0-4, 5.70 in his last four starts.
-- Wilson is 0-3, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- Correia is 0-3, 4.20 in his last five starts.
-- Scheppers allowed seven runs in four IP in his first MLB start.
-- Moore is 1-2, 11.74 in his last three starts.

-- Kluber is 1-1, 11.42 in his last couple starts.
-- Lyles is 1-2, 15.88 in his last three starts.

Totals
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Wacha's last seven starts.

-- Seven of last nine Jimenez starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Wilson's last six starts.
-- Last three Kazmir starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Lackey starts.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Royal games; three of last four Tampa Bay games went over.

-- Last five Erlin starts stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Paulino starts stayed under; eight of last nine Lyles starts went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Bronx won three of its last four games.
-- Twins won three of their last four games.
-- Tampa Bay won three of its last four games.

Cold teams
-- Reds lost three of their last four games.

-- Orioles lost four of their last five games.
-- Astros lost three of their last four games.
-- Red Sox lost their last three games.

-- San Diego lost four of its last five games.
-- White Sox lost three of their last four games.

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 08:14 AM

NHL

Hot teams
-- Flames won five of their last eight games. Devils won three of last four.
-- Minnesota won three of its last four games.

Cold teams
-- Winnipeg lost five of its last eight games.
-- Vancouver lost three of its last four games. Ducks lost their last two games, 4-2/5-2.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Calgary games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Winnipeg games went over total.
-- Five of last six Anaheim games went over total.

Series records
-- Flames won three of last four games with New Jersey.
-- Minnesota beat the Jets three out of four games this season.
-- Ducks won their last five games with Vancouver.

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 08:16 AM

Baseball Crusher
Houston Astros +137 over LA Angels
(System Record: 6-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 6-2

Hockey Crusher
Anaheim Ducks + Vancouver Canucks UNDER 5.5
(System Record: 86-4, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 86-71-1

Basketball Crusher
Kentucky -150 over Connecticut
(System Record: 72-8, won last 5 games)
Overall Record: 72-82-5

Soccer Crusher
Estudiantes LP + Argentinos Juniors UNDER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 546-20, won last game)
Overall Record: 546-473-80

Here are the rest of his baseball, hockey and basketball plays for today...

Baseball
Tampa Bay Rays -118 over KC
Boston Red Sox -155 over Texas
Colorado Rockies -125 over Chicago WhiteSox

Hockey
New Jersey Devils -155 over Calgary Flames
Winnipeg Jets + Minnesota Wild OVER 5
Winnipeg Jets -105 over Minnesota Wild

Basketball
Connecticut + Kentucky OVER 134.5

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 08:27 AM

Hondo

YANKEES
RAYS

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 08:28 AM

Cappers Access

UConn +2.5

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 08:28 AM

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play MON SL Cards -150

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 08:31 AM

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Monday

NYY -150

Red Sox -155

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 08:33 AM

Today's MLB Picks

Oakland at Minnesota

The A's head to Minnesota today after a 5-3 win over Seattle yesterday and come in with an 0-4 record in their last 4 games following a victory. Minnesota is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Twins favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, APRIL 7
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 953-954: Cincinnati at St. Louis (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cingrani) 14.324; St. Louis (Wacha) 15.931
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-150); Under

Game 955-956: Baltimore at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Jimenez) 14.862; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 16.332
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-150); Under

Game 957-958: LA Angels at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 13.242; Houston (Cosart) 14.256
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+130); Over

Game 959-960: Oakland at Minnesota (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Kazmir) 14.283; Minnesota (Correia) 15.371
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115); Over

Game 961-962: Texas at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Scheppers) 15.810; Boston (Lackey) 17.442
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-155); Under

Game 963-964: Tampa Bay at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Moore) 14.483; Kansas City (Vargas) 15.440
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+110); Under

Game 965-966: San Diego at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Erlin) 13.726; Cleveland (Kluber) 15.229
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-145); Over

Game 967-968: Chicago White Sox at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Paulino) 14.605; Colorado (Lyles) 15.992
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-135); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-135); Over

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 08:33 AM

Today's NHL Picks

Minnesota at Winnipeg

The Wild head to Winnipeg tonight after a 4-0 win over Pittsburgh on Saturday and carrying a 1-5 record in their last 6 games following a victory. Winnipeg is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Jets favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-110). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, APRIL 7
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Calgary at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.574; New Jersey 10.606
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-160); 5
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+140); Over

Game 3-4: Minnesota at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.504; Winnipeg 11.662
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-110); 5
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-110); Under

Game 5-6: Anaheim at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.185; Vancouver 10.587
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-115); Under

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 10:35 AM

SPARTAN
2* UConn +3 over Kentucky

Okay, I believe. I took the Huskies on Saturday to come in within the number against Florida but will be the first to admit I was taken aback that they walked off that court with the outright. Honestly, my gut instinct Saturday night when this was the march up was established was to take Kentucky to the bank, hard. But the more I dug into this thing and frankly talked with a couple of trusted sources about it my opinion did a 180 degree turn. Huskies head coach Kevin Ollie is proving himself an absolute master at in game adjustments and scheming a game plan tailored to attack his opponent. I was told he was a sharp guy that was well under the radar, well I'm convinced. I don't think anyone can honestly debate which one of these two teams is the most talented up and down the line up. History has proven in these title games on numerous occasions that is not enough. This feels like the Huskies moment. I felt the same way years ago when Villanova took down mighty Georgetown and NC State showed powerful Houston the door. I feel the Huskies match up well enough here and have the horses the pull this thing off. Getting the points is a bonus. Look at all the last minute battles we've seen in this years tourney guys. I say getting the points here is huge. I'm telling you guys, if this U-Conn team can take down Florida they can do likewise here against the Wildcats. No, it's not a triple. I could have tagged this thing a triple and made a pile, being it's the title game. But that is not how I do things. I call it the way I see it. I see the Huskies as a double star here. I like it but I don't toss around triples loosely. Anyway, Napier is clearly on a mission and I say he seals the deal. Could be an instant classic. Best of luck to us and enjoy the game fellas.

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 10:36 AM

INT PICKS

1* Connecticut +2.5 over Kentucky

1* LA Angels @ Houston OVER 8.5
1* Cleveland -142over San Diego

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 10:36 AM

XpertPicks

MONDAY BASEBALL

Play St. Louis -135 over Cincinnati----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
4:10 PM EST

St. Louis has won 25 of the last 41 games when playing on a Monday and they have also won 97 of the last 164 games vs. division opponents. St. Louis has won 53 of the last 83 games coming off a loss by two runs or less and they have won 75 of the last 124 day games.

Play Boston -150 over Texas----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
7:10 PM EST

John Lackey has won 37 of the last 59 games coming off two or more losses and he has won 55 of the last 91 games when pitching as a home favorite of -150 or higher. John Lackey has won 15 of the last 25 games vs. AL West Division Opponents and he has won 75 of the last 141 games when pitching in the 1st half of the season.

================================================== =====================

Play NY Yankees -140 over Baltimore----RISK 3% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Los Angeles Angels -135 over Houston----RISK 3% OF YOUR BANKROLL

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 10:37 AM

FantasySportsGametime

MONDAY
NCAA BASKETBALL

5000* Play Kentucky -2.5 over Connecticut (NCAA TOP PLAY)
9:00 PM EST

Kentucky has won 37 of the last 40 games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game and they have also won 21 of the last 27 games when playing on a neutral court. Kentucky has won 11 consecutive NCAA Tournament games and they have won 17 of the last 18 games coming off a game with eight or less turnovers.

================================================== ======

NBA BASKETBALL

NBA HOOPS RETURNS ON TUESDAY

==========================================

NHL HOCKEY

50* Play Minnesota +110 over Winnipeg (NHL BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Vancouver +110 over Anaheim (NHL BONUS PLAY)

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 10:37 AM

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play LA Angels -135 over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Houston has lost 105 of the last 167 home games and they have also lost 102 of the last 151 games when playing as an underdog of +125 to +175. Houston has lost 102 of the last 157 games vs. division opponents and they have lost 27 of the last 41 games when playing on a Monday.

1000* Play Oakland -135 over Minnesota (MLB TOP PLAY)

Oakland has won 62 of the last 92 games when playing as a favorite of -125 to -175 and they have also won 70 of the last 112 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs. Oakland has won 50 of the last 88 games vs. AL Central Division Opponents and they have won 118 of the last 196 coming off a win in their last game.

================================================== ===

50* Play NY Yankees -135 over Baltimore (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Cleveland -140 over San Diego (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 10:37 AM

BeatYourBookie

MONDAY

NBA Basketball

NBA Basketball Plays continue tomorrow

NCAA Basketball

10* Play Kentucky -2.5 over Connecticut (NCAA TOP PLAY)

NHL Hockey

10* Play New Jersey -160 over Calgary (NHL TOP PLAY)

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 10:38 AM

MONDAY

TOP HOOPS PLAYS OF THE DAY

Play UNDER 134.5 Connecticut/Kentucky (NCAA)---RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
9:00 PM EST

Connecticut has gone UNDER the total in 21 of the last 33 games and they have also gone UNDER the total in 14 of the last 18 games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game. Connecticut has gone UNDER the total in 23 of the last 33 games coming off a win as an underdog and they are only allowing an average of 63 points a game this season.

Play Kentucky -2.5 over Connecticut (NCAA)---RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL

================================================== ======

NBA HOOPS

NBA Hoops Plays will resume tomorrow

================================================== =======

NHL HOCKEY

Play New Jersey -160 over Calgary (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
Play Vancouver +110 over Anaheim (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 10:38 AM

Totals 4 You NCAA Service Selections for Monday, April 7th2014 NCAA Tournament Championship Total of the Year!!!!!
Kentucky/Florida over 134 1/2

April's AL East Daytime Dominator of the Month!!!!!
Baltimore/New York under 8 1/2

MLB Best Bets
Cincinnati/St Louis under 7
Texas/Boston over 9
San Diego/Cleveland over 8
Chicago/Colorado over 10

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 10:40 AM

NCAAB

Monday, April 7

Kentucky-UConn are big name programs in an unlikely national title tilt, a 7-seed against an 8-seed. Favorites covered 11 of last 14 national title games; since '90, favorites are 5-1 vs spread in finals without a #1 seed. UConn was 2-0 vs Florida this season; Kentucky was 0-3; Wildcats also beat AAC's Louisville twice, by 7-5 points. UConn lost to Louisville in both meetings, by 12-33 points.

Seven of UConn's last ten wins are by 6 or less points; Kentucky's wins in this tournament are all by 7 or less points, with all four by total of 11 points. Huskies held Michigan State/Florida to 54-53 points in last two games; their guards are playing great defense. Kentucky will be without Cauley-Stein again; they've grabbed 43% of their own missed shots this season, #2 in country. Since 1987, three #3 seeds have been favored in a national title game-- no lower seed has been- those 3's went 2-1.

Calipari is in his third national title game in the last seven years. Ollie is in his second year as a head coach. 10 of last 13 Kentucky games were decided by 7 or less points. Huskies won national title three years ago, Wildcats two years ago. UConn looked dead when they were down 12 to Florida early on; like lot of others, wouldn't be giving UConn points.

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 10:40 AM

ELITE-WINNERS

# 601 Kentucky vs UConn – OVER 134

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 10:41 AM

StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

CBB | KENTUCKY at CONNECTICUT
Play Under – Neutral court teams against the total after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games
72-37 since 1997. ( 66.1% | 31.3 units )
12-10 this year. ( 54.5% | 1.0 units )

CBB | KENTUCKY at CONNECTICUT
Play On – Neutral Court underdogs vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) after a combined score of 125 points or less, with all five starters returning from last season
80-100 since 1997. ( 44.4% | 44.6 units )
5-3 this year. ( 62.5% | 6.2 units )

CBB | KENTUCKY at CONNECTICUT
Play Under – Neutral court teams against the total after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less, with four starters returning from last season
56-25 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.1% | 28.5 units )
10-10 this year. ( 50.0% | -1.0 units )

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 10:41 AM

StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

MLB | TEXAS at BOSTON
Play Against – Home teams (BOSTON) very bad AL offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA>=4.50), after a loss by 4 runs or more
45-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.2% | 26.3 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.1 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets

MLB | BALTIMORE at NY YANKEES
BALTIMORE is 14-4 (+13.3 Units) against the money line vs. good baserunning teams – averaging 0.85 or more SB’s/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.2) , OPPONENT (2.2)

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 10:41 AM

EZWINNERS

3* UConn +2.5

1* Angels -150

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 11:50 AM

ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

NCAA BASKETBALL

MARC (1-1 -1.20)
1X- UCONN/KENTUCKY – OVER 135 (9pm)

NHL RELEASES
JIMMY (1-3 -2.93)
1X- NEW JERSEY -160 CALGARY (7pm)

BASEBALL

JEFF (2-5-3 -4.30)
1X- OAKLAND -146 MINNESOTA (4pm)

JIMMY (9-3 +5.74)
1X- CLEVELAND -152 SD (7pm)

MARC (8-8 -2.14)
1X- BALTIMORE/NYY – UNDER 8 -110 (7pm)
1X- COLORADO/CHICAGO – UNDER 10 -115 (840pm)

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 11:52 AM

THE FACTSMAN

MLB[956] BAL ORIOLES v NY YANKEESH KURODA -R / U JIMENEZ -R u8½-110

MLB[960] MIN TWINSK CORREIA -R / S KAZMIR -L / K CORREIA -R +122

MLB[963] TB RAYSJ VARGAS -L / M MOORE / J VARGAS -L -130

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 11:53 AM

Ducks at Canucks: What bettors need to know

Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks (+106, 5.5)

One night after wasting an opportunity to increase their division lead, the Anaheim Ducks get another chance when they visit the Vancouver Canucks on Monday. Anaheim entered Sunday with a one-point lead over San Jose in the Pacific and two games in hand, but it failed to take advantage of a lesser opponent and dropped a 4-2 decision at Edmonton. Jakob Silfverberg scored 80 seconds into the contest before the Ducks allowed three second-period goals en route to their second straight loss.

Vancouver is hanging by a thread regarding the postseason as it trails Dallas for the second wild-card spot in the Western Conference by six points with four games remaining. The Canucks stayed alive by posting a 2-1 victory over Los Angeles on Saturday as former King Brad Richardson snapped a tie with 1:23 left in the third period. Anaheim is looking to complete a sweep of the five-game season series after outscoring Vancouver 21-6 over the first four contests.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, Prime Ticket (Anaheim), RSN Pacific (Vancouver)

ABOUT THE DUCKS (50-20-8): Corey Perry scored his 42nd goal Sunday, putting him within seven of Washington’s Alex Ovechkin for the league lead. Captain Ryan Getzlaf notched an assist to raise his point total to 85 – three more than Dallas’ Tyler Seguin for second place behind Pittsburgh’s Sidney Crosby (102). John Gibson was recalled from Norfolk of the American Hockey League and served as Jonas Hiller’s backup as Frederik Andersen remained in Anaheim with an upper-body injury.

ABOUT THE CANUCKS (35-32-11): Defenseman Yannick Weber did not play against Los Angeles due to an undisclosed injury and was replaced in the lineup by Frank Corrado. The 21-year-old, who was recalled from Utica of the AHL, was called for two interference penalties in the middle period – the second leading to the Kings’ lone goal. Eddie Lack has made 18 consecutive starts, one shy of the franchise rookie record held by Corey Hirsch.

TRENDS:

* Ducks are 5-0 in the last five meetings.
* Over is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings.
* Ducks are 4-0 in their last four games playing on 0 days rest.
* Canucks are 0-6 in their last six Monday games.

OVERTIME:

1. Perry has recorded five goals and four assists in four contests against the Canucks while Nick Bonino has netted four tallies and set up another.

2. Anaheim also recalled RW Devante Smith-Pelly, who registered one shot and a minus-1 rating Sunday in just under 10 1/2 minutes of ice time.

3. Vancouver captain Henrik Sedin returned to the lineup Saturday after missing four games with a leg injury and recorded an assist.

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 11:53 AM

double play sports
reds

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04-07-2014, 12:08 PM

ELITE-WINNERS
1PM # 955 Baltimore/NYY UNDER 8.5

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 12:08 PM

Greg Shaker
Twitter Play
Rays/Royals UNDER 4 -115 1st 5 Innings

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 12:08 PM

BEN BURNS
10* NHL BEST BET!
Anaheim vs Vancouver - Under 5.5-130

golden contender

04-07-2014, 12:25 PM

Monday card has the 6* Double Perfect championship System side. This game has 7 Big Angles and statistical Indicators. In MLB Action we have an Afternoon play with 18-1 and 11-0 Angles, in the evening a 90% totals system that averages over 12 runs per game. Free NHL play below.

The free NHL Play is on the Anaheim Mighty Ducks. Game number 5 at 10:05 eastern. The Ducks have won the first 4 meetings with Vancouver this season and have out scored them 21-6 in the process. They have the leagues 2nd best offensive unit and take on a Vancouver team with the 27th tanked home defense. The Ducks are 27-9 vs losing teams and Vancouver is 11-25 vs winning teams and have lost 25 of 37 in the second half. Look for Anaheim to take another from Vancouver here tonight. On Monday we start the week big with an Early MLB Dominator play with 18-1 and 11-0 Angles. In College Hoops we have the Double Perfect system Championship Game winner that also has 7 Big angles. Back to bases where there is an evening 90% Totals system up that averages over 12 runs per game. Jump on now and Put the power of this cutting edge data on your side. For the free play take Anaheim in the NHL. GC

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 12:51 PM

Steve Janus
5* Kentucky/Uconn Under 135

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 12:51 PM

Doc's Sports Picks For Major League Baseball 4/7

4-unit Play #959 Oakland A's (-145) over Minnesota Twins (4:10pm EST)

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 12:51 PM

Mr. Parlay king

Yankees ML

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 12:51 PM

Norm Hitzges

Single Play: KENTUCKY -2.5

Lean: OVER 134.5

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 12:52 PM

Bookieshunter
NHL
2* Under 5.5 Anaheim/Vancouver

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 12:52 PM

Monday Brandon Lang

75 Dimes - Connecticut Huskies +2 1/2 over the Kentucky Wildcats

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 12:52 PM

BigBetTiger
Yankees Under

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 12:52 PM

Gold Sheet:
UConn 72-69

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 12:52 PM

Bob Balfe
UCONN/KENTUCKY UNDER 135 points.

This is a very tough game to breakdown tonight. You can make valid arguments for each team. Kentucky is the 8 seed, but this team was picked to win it all before the season started and now here they are. This is a young team, but these athletes are decades ahead of their time. This team is built to go one and done right to the NBA. UConn should have lost to St. Joes. This team is still not getting respect which is amazing because they disrupted the Florida Gators who were by far the best team in the nation. UConn can block shots and play solid defense. Kentucky is in for a surprise if they think they are going to drive into the paint and just make layups all night like they did against Florida and Michigan. What concerns me for Kentucky is they have not needed to shoot the mid-range shot for a week weeks now. UConn likes to slow the game down and I don’t see them getting too many second point chances like they did against the Gators. This Kentucky team is going to get the rebounds. This game is being played on the elevated court and for some reason scoring tends to be down on these surfaces. I think both teams are going to really value their possessions. If in the first couple minutes both teams show jitters and feel each other out the pace can really favor a low scoring game. Remember UConn/Butler a few years ago in the title game? Let’s hope we get a game like that. I do want to be entertained, but I would rather win money. Take the Under.

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 01:43 PM

Guaranteed picks

Connecticut
Connecticut/Kentucky under

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 01:43 PM

Art Aronson

10* Uconn

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 01:43 PM

Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball

2-Unit Play. #602. Take Under 135.5 Connecticut vs. Kentucky (Monday @ 9:10pm est)

Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball

There are no NBA Selections today as there are no Games.

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 01:43 PM

Dave Essler

Tampa Bay/KC Under 8

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 01:43 PM

Steven Nover

Houston Astros

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 01:44 PM

Marc lawrence lts:
3* uconn+3

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 01:44 PM

Scotty Shiller

Monday, April 7th, 2014

MLB Regular Season

Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros ( 2:10 PM Eastern )
Play - Astros/Angels under 8.5 (-110)
Rating - (2*)

Oakland Athletics @ Minnesota Twins ( 4:10 PM Eastern )
Play - Oakland ML (-145)
Rating - (5*)

Chicago White Sox @ Colorado Rockies ( 8:40 PM Eastern )
Play - Rockies/White Sox over 10 (+100)
Rating - (3*)

College Basketball

Kentucky @ Connecticut ( 9:10 PM Eastern )
Play - Connecticut/Kentucky over 135 (9:10 PM Eastern )
Rating - (1*)

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 01:44 PM

Baseball33

Boston Red Sox -1

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 01:50 PM

DIAMOND DOG SPORTS

.5* #967 White Sox +115
Listed Pitchers: Paulino / Lyles

.5* #957/958 Under – Astros 8.5 -120

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 01:50 PM

DOC SPORTS

4-Unit Play. #959 Oakland A’s (-145) over Minnesota Twins (4:10pm EST

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 01:50 PM

Vegas gunners

ncaab) 9:10 pm est – kentucky vs. Uconn
kentucky -3 (-105) – risk 10 units

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 01:51 PM

PREDICTION MACHINE

Kentucky vs. UConn Preview

Monday, April 7 at 9:23 PM ET

Kentucky -2.5 vs. UConn (Covers 54%)
ATS Play Type: Light
O/U Play Type: Light

The Vitals:

SU Pick and Win%: Kentucky wins 62%
ATS Pick and Win%: Kentucky -2.5 covers 54%
ATS Wager for $50 player: $15
OU Pick and Win%: UNDER 134.5 covers 52.4%
OU Wager for $50 player: $1

The Breakdown: It’s not a very likely national championship matchup – each of these teams was just 2.1% likely to make it this far before the tournament started, making this title game 1-in-2,268 likely – but this game between two now battle-tested teams looks fairly straight-forward. It is oft-discussed in the sports culture that “styles make fights” and there is no better way to analyze such a phenomenon than through a simulation that takes into account the strengths and weaknesses of every player that could be on the court in competition. In Monday night’s game, one team has one very clear matchup advantage that should lead to victory.

Kentucky has succeeded this season, particularly during the impressive tournament run, by getting easy second-chance points on offensive rebounds. The Wildcats rank first in the nation in offensive rebounding, securing 42.3% of all of their missed shots. UConn has succeeded this season, particularly during its impressive tournament run, by dominating at the free throw line. Connecticut ranks fourth in the country in free throw percentage at 77.4% and has made just under 85% of its free throws in NCAA Tournament games. Kentucky has a much clearer path to continuing its area of dominance, which should ultimately lead to the difference in the game. UConn is a terrible defensive rebounding team (the Huskies are also a terrible offensive rebounding team), ranking 247th in the country by rebounding just 67.1% of opponents’ misses. Meanwhile, Kentucky is actually significantly better than UConn at getting to the line, ranking 12th nationally in free throw rate. Whereas Kentucky’s dominance on the boards may actually be amplified in this matchup, UConn does not figure to be able to the same at the free throw line.

By the numbers, Kentucky and UConn also “run” at a slow tempo with neither team topping 65 possessions a game on the season. UConn, led by strong Most Outstanding Player candidate Shabazz Napier, is more perimeter-oriented, making 39% of its threes on the season and getting almost 35% of its points from three. Despite Aaron Harrison’s late-game heroics as of late, Kentucky, is best in the paint. The Wildcats only hit 33% from three and get just 27% of their points from outside. Though Kentucky ranks above average in every relevant facet of the game, the Wildcats are only well above average/elite in offensive rebounding and free throw rate offensively. UConn is elite at the line and with on-ball, effective field goal defense. The Huskies have more glaring weaknesses on the glass and much higher turnover rate than one would expect given how often Napier and Ryan Boatright are handling the ball.

Neither pick is strong in this game, especially with just a $1 play (for a normal $50 player) recommended on the UNDER 134.5, but there is some value in this contest, namely from a team in Kentucky that should dominate on the inside.

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 01:51 PM

ROOT

millionaire conn

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 01:52 PM

EXECUTIVE

250 conn/ky over

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 02:17 PM

Dave Essler | MLB Total

double-dime bet – 964 KAN / 963 TAM – UNDER 8
Analysis: First, the weather. Shouldn’t be too cold, but showers in the area most of the morning mean wet, and reasonable cross-wind tonight. Vargas shut down the Tigers in Detroit with only five hits and one run in seven innings, which is obviously very good. He gave up more flyball outs than I’d like, but that was the Tigers. He has pitched well against most of the Rays (especially Longoria) so if he’s careful with the likes of Loney and Zobrist we’ll be fine. It’s the Rays first road game, and after traveling yesterday. The Royals haven’t been tearing the cover off he ball like they did in the Spring, and Moore is not the answer for that. Kansas City just doesn’t usually hit LHP well (see our play on Sale yesterday) and believe it or not Moore was far better on the road last season. Both bullpens have been very good, and I trust them (more than others, at least). Only one of the Royals first five games has eclipsed eight runs, so why should they start now? And three of the four games in the Trop against the Rangers went over, so it’s clearly time for the Rays to regress, IMO. Especially on the road

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 03:01 PM

Diamond Dog Sports
CBB
UConn +2.5 (.5*)

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 03:02 PM

NonStopSportsPicks

2* Under Royals/Rays

This one will go to 7.5 I am virtually positive...so GET DOWN ASAP. At 7.5, it's a 1* play...but MOST books (5 Dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229), Greek, Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com), Sportbooks, BOL) still dealing 8s.

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 03:02 PM

KING OF THE SPREAD

3* Bet Under 5 Goals - Calgary Flames vs. New Jersey Devils

3* Bet Under 5 Goals - Minnesota Wild vs. Winnepeg Jets

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 03:15 PM

Welcome to Ecks & Bacon for April 7, 2014

Been riding both of these teams, so which way do we turn? So TOUGH. Obviously have to make a pick on the game since it is the CHAMPIONSHIP, but not stoked about it. Just being honest. Have had a super run in the tournament, and would normally take a pass, but if I did, you guys would RIP me to pieces. So, I'll grab Kentucky at -2.5 points over Connecticut, and look to buy a hook, bringing the line down to -2. Both teams are on fabulous runs, both have coaches that are rocking the party, so where is the edge? Just looks like the Wildcats have NOT even played their best game yet. If they do, we are at BLOWOUT CITY. However, one caveat. If you find out during the day that Kentucky forward Alex Poythress is not gonna play, or is just like 50%, scratch this pick, and look for UConn. Of course, we would advise you to buy the hook with the Huskies and push the line to +3. Long story short, it's half a Benjamin on the Caliparis.

He likes Kentucky, buy the hook to -2.

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 03:45 PM

Fezzik | CBB Total - Monday, Apr 7 2014 9:10PM
1* 601 Kentucky / 602 UConn U 135.5
1* 1st half under 63
Props
1* Kentucky U 69 points

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 03:45 PM

Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 4/7

NCAA College Basketball

Kentucky -2½ (buy half point to -2) over Connecticut
(Spread Bet)
Overall Record: 237-214

(System Record: 237-12, Lost last 2 games)

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 03:55 PM

Sports Cash System

extra pick:

Tampa Bay Rays +100 over the Kansas City Royals (Moneyline Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 8:10 PM EST

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 04:58 PM

POINTWISE TOURNAMENT COVERAGE
Monday, April 7, 2014
NCAA:
Rated 4: Connecticut

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 04:58 PM

Steve Stevens
Uconn +3

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 04:58 PM

BRAD WILTON
60 DIME
KY/CONN
OVER 134 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 04:58 PM

spartan | MLB Total - Dime Under Rays/Royals

964 KAN / 963 TAM Under 8 SportsInterAction

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 05:00 PM

Greg Shaker | CBB Total Mon, 04/07/14 - 9:10 PM
double-dime bet 601 Kentucky / 602 UConn Over 133.0 5dimes

Analysis: The Line: This line opened at 133 and pretty quickly went upward to 135 before settling at 134.5 as of this morning's writing. I know that many did not get the posted number but this play is good to 136 and it would not surprise me to see it close 134 or less..

Why We Bet It: I am not going to have much to say here because as is with most CBB Plays it is all about the number only and in many more cases than not this one is likely to go over what has been posted. A number of things could influence this game tonight that will help our cause and one which most likely will is the style of Kentucky which is all out offensive basketball. This team is loaded with NBA Talent and they all drive to the hoop to create shot opps and in doing so they get fouled a lot. UConn has the ability to do the same and perhaps is the best passing team in the whole Big Dance. They are monsters at the Free Throw Stripe as well and they most often get there a lot. We always have to keep in mind that playing CBB Totals is about the likelihood of things happening the way they most often do and sometimes those things don't pan out, or teams can't hit shots. That's a chance we always take. In this case there is a high probability than this one goes OVER and I am playing 2%..

Biggest Concerns: As always the 2nd half of this game could get iffy with scoring late with a 1 to 2 possession game..

Added Notes: You can play up to 136 for the Full 2%..

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 05:03 PM

Antony Dinero

UConn / Kentucky – Under 135.5

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04-07-2014, 05:04 PM

Seabass

400 Kentucky

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 05:05 PM

Maddux

MLB Kansas city

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 05:20 PM

Tom Law

7u KC Royals

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 05:23 PM

Bio Sports MLB

Whitesox +133

They also say there is value on BlueJays +110.

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 05:25 PM

James Jones

UCONN +3

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 05:30 PM

Dave Essler

CBB GOW Under
MLB Double Dime KC
MLB Single Dime KC/TB Under 8

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 06:03 PM

SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS:

FREE PLAY: NY YANKEES -150

Monday 4/7 Service Plays

Sunday was not a Fun Day for us. Things just didn't work out the way we wanted them to. It was though one of only a few losing days we have had in the past couple of weeks. Oklahoma City just didn't play defense and stopped a good run in the NBA for us. Tonight we go for 13-1-2 to end the NCAA season!! We feel very confident that we will do just that!!! Let's make this a Happy Monday!!!

NCAA

Kentucky -2 (Buy down to this line). We just feel Kentucky has the Mojo going right now. They remind us watching the Harlem Globetrotters as they just throw the ball at the rim and someone goes up and gets it. Almost unstoppable right now. UConn is hot as well but we just feel like Kentucky will come away with the win at the end. The game should be a good game until the final 2 minutes when Kentucky runs away with it. Final score Kentucky 73-65.

MLB

Chicago Whitesox +125

Cleveland Indians RL -1.5 +145

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 06:03 PM

River City Sharps

Even though it's a bit pricey, we are going to take a shot tonight with the Tribe at home with Corey Kluber on the hill. Kluber will try and improve on his first outing in Oakland, where he failed to make it out of the fourth inning and gave up five runs, eight hits and three walks. Robbie Erlin goes for the Padres as their fifth starter and this looks to be a good spot to back the home team as the favorite. The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - CLEVELAND INDIANS ML (-150)

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 06:04 PM

bookiemonsters

POD Flames over 5

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 06:04 PM

Subcription Notes:

WEEKDAY PACKAGE : FINAL by 6:30pm est

WEEKEND PACKAGE : FINAL by 2:30pm est on SATURDAYS...and 12:30pm est on SUNDAYS

vegas-runner | CBB Money Line Mon, 04/07/14 - 9:10 PM
triple-dime bet ml 601 Kentucky (-140) bodog (http://sports.bovada.lv/) vs 602 UConn
Analysis: **** CBB CHAMPIONSHIP 3* MAX TRUE STEAM BET ****

KENTUCKY ML (-140)....(3*)...Bovada using -135 !!

With only a couple of books showing -2 at the moment, I went ahead and bet the Money-Line since it reflects even more value when you consider the fact the point-spread was as high as KEN -3 before all that public money started reaching the betting window this afternoon..Bottom line, the True Line should be closer to -170 and as more money gets bet on UConn leading up to game-time, we may be able to get an even lower Money-Line on KENTUCKY..just like the phenomenon that takes place every Super Bowl, when the Money-Line on the FAVORITE drops to where it's not a reflection of the point-spread since so many recreational bettors are taking the DOG ML instead of grabbing the points..in an attempt to put up a little money to make a lot.

EVERY move we have access to is holding a BuyÃ-Order on KENTUCKY ML..just waiting for it to continue dropping so I went ahead and locked it in now at -135, since my True Line is so much higher. VR

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 06:05 PM

charlie sports
500
kansas over 7.5
ucon +3
under 136

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 06:05 PM

MILLIONAIRES CLUB
small
kentucky

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 06:06 PM

Sports bank
400 over

Can'tPickAWinner

04-07-2014, 06:20 PM

vegas-runner | CBB Money Line Mon, 04/07/14 - 9:10 PM
triple-dime bet ml 601 Kentucky (-140) (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=5?AflId=198447)bodog (http://sports.bovada.lv/) vs 602 UConn Analysis: **** CBB CHAMPIONSHIP 3* MAX TRUE STEAM BET ****

KENTUCKY ML (-140)....(3*)...Bovada using -135 !!

With only a couple of books showing -2 at the moment, I went ahead and bet the Money-Line since it reflects even more value when you consider the fact the point-spread was as high as KEN -3 before all that public money started reaching the betting window this afternoon..Bottom line, the True Line should be closer to -170 and as more money gets bet on UConn leading up to game-time, we may be able to get an even lower Money-Line on KENTUCKY..just like the phenomenon thaÃt takes place every Super Bowl, when the Money-Line on the FAVORITE drops to where it's not a reflection of the point-spread since so many recreational bettors are taking the DOG ML instead of grabbing the points..in an attempt to put up a little money to make a lot.

EVERY move we have access to is holding a Buy-Order on KENTUCKY ML..just waiting for it to continue dropping so I went ahead and locked it in now at -135, since my True Line is so much higher. VR

Pick Made: Apr 7 2014 2:53PM PST