4-30-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::handshake::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

Brooklyn Nets +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Nets at Raptors

Brooklyn Nets at Toronto Raptors (-3.5, 191)

Series tied 2-2.

Coming off one of the best wins in franchise history, the Toronto Raptors look to grab control of their Eastern Conference first-round series when they host the Brooklyn Nets in Game 5 on Wednesday. Toronto had not won a road playoff game since 2001 and was banged up, but it rallied to steal Game 4 in Brooklyn on Sunday by an 87-79 score, tying the series at two games apiece. The Raptors lost a 17-point lead but held the Nets scoreless over the final 4:58 to take back home-court advantage.

Perhaps the biggest key for Toronto was its ability to bottle up Brooklyn shooting guard Joe Johnson, who had seven points in 42 minutes after averaging 23.7 points in the first three games of the series. "Their defense was a big difference," Johnson told reporters after Game 4. "I mean, I looked out and there were three guys coming at me at once." DeMar DeRozan scored 24 points to lead the Raptors and is averaging 28 points over the last three contests.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBATV, WWOR (Brooklyn), TSN (Toronto)

LINE HISTORY: Toronto opened as high as a 4-point favorite but has been bet down as low as -3. The total opened 191.

INJURY REPORT: Nets - A. Anderson (Ques - Groin). Raptors - L. Fields (Ques. - Back)

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Toronto showed some grit in their comeback win in Game 4 after blowing an early 17-point lead. The Raptors where held to 20 points or less in three of four quarters, so they are also fortunate that they won that game. Brooklyn scored just 12 points in the fourth quarter, so the Nets should be ready in Game 5 from the opening tip."

ABOUT THE NETS: Brooklyn has a notable advantage in terms of experience, a factor many thought would eventually decide the series, but Toronto has outscored the Nets 88-66 in the fourth quarter over the last three games. "They're a younger team that doesn't have as much proper experience, but they ain't playing like it," guard Deron Williams said Sunday. Williams missed all five of his 3-point attempts in Game 4 as the Nets went 4-of-20 from outside the arc, falling to 25 percent for the series.

ABOUT THE RAPTORS: DeRozan has played through a hand injury for weeks, Kyle Lowry is limping through the series with knee issues and other Toronto players are banged up, but the club keeps coming. "We're really nicked up right now, so it was huge courage, really courageous by those guys," Toronto coach Dwane Casey said following Game 4. Among the others on the injured front is forward Amir Johnson, who left Game 4 with a knee injury before returning to polish off a 17-point effort.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Toronto.
* Underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 51 percent of bets are on Toronto -3.5 while 53 percent is on Over 191.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Boston Red Sox -110 over Tampa Bay Rays
(System Record: 18-0, won last 5 games)
Overall Record: 18-12

Hockey Crusher
Los Angeles Kings +124 over San JoseSharks
(Playoff Record: 8-3, wonlast game)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 99-78-2

Basketball Crusher
Dallas Mavericks +6 over San Antonio Spurs
(Playoff Record: 5-4-1, lost last 2 games and a push)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 83-90-6

Soccer Crusher
Union Espanola + Arsenal de Sarandi UNDER 2.5 (Conmebol) pending
Cerro Porteno + Cruzeiro OVER 2
This match is happening in Conmebol
(System Record: 562-20, won last game and a push)
Overall Record: 562-477-82

Here are the rest of his baseball, hockey and basketball plays for today...


Baseball
Miami Marlins +102 over Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies -113 over NY Mets
Colorado Rockies +109 over Arizona


Hockey
Minnesota Wild +121 over Colorado Avalanche
Minnesota Wild + Colorado Avalanche UNDER 5
Los Angeles Kings + San Jose Sharks UNDER 5


Basketball
Brooklyn Nets +3 over Toronto
Houston Rockets + Portland Trail Blazers OVER 214
Toronto Raptors + Brooklyn Nets OVER 190.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations


PORTLAND at HOUSTON
Play Against - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON) off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, playing with 2 days rest 71-34 since 1997. ( 67.6% | 33.6 units ) 3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )


DALLAS at SAN ANTONIO
Play Against - Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (DALLAS) after beating the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games 106-24 since 1997. ( 81.5% | 50.7 units )


DALLAS at SAN ANTONIO
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, in April games 175-102 since 1997. ( 63.2% | 62.8 units ) 14-3 this year. ( 82.4% | 10.7 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Miller is 2-0, 0.53 in his last three starts.
-- Colon is 1-1, 2.57 in his last couple starts.
-- Harang is 3-1, 0.85 in five starts this season.
-- Cingrani is 2-1, 3.12 in his last three starts.
-- Lyles is 2-0, 2.49 in his last four starts. Collmenter is 1-1, 3.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Hudson is 3-1, 2.43 in five starts this season.

-- Scherzer is 2-1, 2.45 in five starts this month.
-- Wilson is 3-1, 2.77 in his last four starts. McAllister is 3-1, 2.92 in his last four starts.
-- Chavez is 1-0, 3.24 in his last four starts.
-- Ventura is 2-1, 2.16 in four starts this season. Hutchison is 0-0, 2.08 in his last three starts.

-- Tillman is 3-1, 3.94 in four starts this season.
-- Greinke is 4-0, 2.45 in five starts this season. Gibson is 2-0, 0.63 in his two home starts this month.

Cold pitchers
-- Garza is 1-1, 5.76 in his last four starts.
-- Kendrick is 0-2, 5.70 in his last four starts.
-- Eovaldi is 1-1, 3.79 in three home starts.
-- Jackson is 1-2, 5.79 in his last four starts.
-- Erlin is 0-3, 8.44 in his last three starts.

-- Noesi is already on third AL team this month; he was 2-12, 5.82 in 18 starts for Seattle in 2012- this is his 22nd MLB start.
-- Elias is 0-1, 7.15 in his last two starts. Phelps is making first '14 start; he is 10-9, 4.73 in 23 career starts.
-- Archer is 0-1, 5.50 in three road starts this season. Doubront is 1-3, 8.20 in his last four starts.
-- Ross is 0-1, 7.15 in his last couple starts.

-- Morton is 0-3, 6.16 in his last three starts.
-- Oberholzer is 0-2, 8.68 in two home starts this season. Zimmerman is 0-1, 4.85 in his last two starts.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Garza 1-5; Miller 0-5
-- Colon 1-5; Kendrick 1-5
-- Harang 0-5; Eovaldi 1-5
-- Jackson 2-5; Cingrani 3-5
-- Lyles 2-5; Collmenter 0-3
-- Erlin 2-4; Hudson 0-5

-- Scherzer 2-5; Noesi 0-0
-- Elias 0-5; Phelps 0-0
-- McAllister 2-5; Wilson 1-5
-- Archer 3-5; Doubrant 2-5
-- Chavez 2-5; Ross 1-5
-- Hutchison 1-5; Ventura 2-4

-- Morton 0-5; Tillman 0-5
-- Zimmerman 1-5; Oberholzer 2-5
-- Greinke 0-5; Gibson 2-4

Totals
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Mets' last eight road games.
-- Six of last eight Atlanta games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Cub road games stayed under.
-- Eight of last nine Milwaukee road games went over.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Arizona home games.
-- Nine of last eleven San Diego road games stayed under.

-- Seven of last ten Bronx home games stayed under.
-- Eight of last eleven Boston games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight White Sox games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Oakland road games went over total.
-- Seven of last eight Toronto games went over the total.
-- Nine of ten Angel home games went over the total.

-- Five of last six Pittsburgh games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Washington road games went over.
-- Six of last seven Minnesota games went over.

Hot teams
-- Mets won seven of their last nine games; Phillies won six of last nine. .
-- Braves won 12 of their last 16 games.
-- Cincinnati won four of its last five home games.
-- Brewers won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Rockies won ten of their last fourteen games.
-- Giants won five of their last six games. San Diego is 7-2 in game following its last nine losses.

-- Bronx won six of its last eight home games.
-- Red Sox won three of their last four games.
-- Texas won seven of its last ten home games, but lost last two.
-- Detroit won three of its last four games. White Sox are 4-0 in game following their last four losses.
-- Kansas City won seven of its ten home games.
-- Angels won four of their last five home games.

-- Orioles are 7-1 in game following their last eight losses.
-- Washington won three of its last four games.
-- Minnesota won six of its last eight home games.

Cold teams
-- Marlins lost five of last seven games, but are 9-4 at home.
-- Cubs lost seven of their last eight road games.
-- Cardinals lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Arizona lost 12 of its last 13 home games.

-- Mariners lost six of their last seven away games.
-- Tampa Bay lost seven of its last eight away games.
-- Blue Jays lost five of their last six games.
-- Cleveland lost its last six road games.

-- Pirates lost five of their last six games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last nine home games.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last seven games.

Umpires
-- Mil-StL-- Three of four Bellino games went over total.
-- NY-Phil-- All three O'Nora games stayed under total.
-- Atl-Mia-- Last three Barber games went over the total.
-- Chi-Cin-- Three of last four Drake games went over.
-- Col-Az-- Home side won four of last five Kulpa games.
-- SD-SF-- Favorites won all four Ripperger games.

-- Det-Chi-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Wendelstedt games.
-- Sea-NY-- Favorites won all five Miller games.
-- Cle-LAA-- Underdogs won three of four Morales games.
-- TB-Bos-- Underdogs won four of five Bucknor games.
-- A's-Tex-- Underdogs won four of five Diaz games.
-- Tor-KC-- All four Wegner games stayed under total.

-- Wsh-Hst-- Underdogs won four of five Schrieber games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play WED: Dodgers -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Oakland at Texas

The A's go for the road sweep today against their division rival and come into the contest with a 5-0 record in Jesse Chavez' last 5 starts as a favorite. Oakland is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-115). Here are all of today's picks.


WEDNESDAY, APRIL 30
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: Milwaukee at St. Louis (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Garza) 14.368; St. Louis (Miller) 16.209
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-140); Under


Game 903-904: NY Mets at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Colon) 14.836; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 16.483
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-105); Over


Game 905-906: Atlanta at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Harang) 15.946; Miami (Eovaldi) 14.533
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-120); Under


Game 907-908: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Jackson) 15.246; Cincinnati (Cingrani) 14.215
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-190); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+170); Over


Game 909-910 Colorado at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Lyles) 14.382; Arizona (Collmenter) 15.274
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-120); Under


Game 911-912: San Diego at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Erlin) 15.119; San Francisco (Cain) 14.298
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-175); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+155); Over


Game 913-914: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 14.324; White Sox (Noesi) 15.201
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 915-916: Seattle at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Elias) 13.205; NY Yankees (Phelps) 14.696
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-140); Under


Game 917-918: Cleveland at LA Angels (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (McAllister) 14.937; LA Angels (Wilson) 16.646
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-145); Over


Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 15.119; Boston (Doubront) 13.995
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105); Under


Game 921-922: Oakland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Chavez) 16.459; Texas (Ross) 15.159
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-115); Over


Game 923-924: Toronto at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Hutchison) 15.832; Kansas City (Ventura) 14.629
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-105); Under


Game 925-926: Pittsburgh at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.132; Baltimore (Tillman) 15.713
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-135); Under


Game 927-928: LA Dodgers at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 16.390; Minnesota (Gibson) 14.819
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-165); Over


Game 929-930: Washington at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 13.920; Houston (Oberholtzer) 15.066
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+133); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Dallas at San Antonio

The venue shifts back to the Spurs home court tonight for the pivotal Game 5 in the series and has the Mavericks coming in with a 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games at San Antonio. Dallas is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+6 1/2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.


WEDNESDAY, APRIL 30
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 513-514: Brooklyn at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 118.910; Toronto 124.991
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 6; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 3; 191
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-3); Under


Game 517-518: Dallas at San Antonio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 124.735; San Antonio 127.919
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 3; 205
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6 1/2; 198
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+6 1/2); Over


Game 519-520: Portland at Houston (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 120.715; Houston 124.401
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 3 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 5 1/2; 214
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+5 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

Los Angeles at San Jose

The Kings forced a Game 7 with a 4-1 win over the Sharks on Monday and head back to San Jose tonight carrying a 14-4 record in their last 18 games following a victory. Los Angeles is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+120). Here are all of today's playoff picks.


WEDNESDAY, APRIL 30
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST


Game 83-84: Los Angeles at San Jose (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.483; San Jose 11.591
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+120); Over


Game 87-88: Philadelphia at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.587; NY Rangers 11.944
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-140); Under


Game 89-90: Minnesota at Colorado (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.494; Colorado 12.068
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-140); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Wednesday, April 30

All four Toronto-Brooklyn games were decided by 8 or less points, as teams went 1-1 in each arena. DeRozan scored 30-30-24 points in last three games, but is just 27-76 from floor in series. Toronto was +6 last game in turnovers; they're -19 (64-45) in series. Nets are 22-88 from arc in series. Nets lost six of last nine games, are 19-24 vs spread on road this season. Over is 26-17 in Toronto home games this season.

Dallas lost 11 of last 13 games vs Spurs, but they've covered all four in this series and last five games overall; Nowitzki/Ellis were combined 13-39 from floor in Game 4 loss, when Spurs outscored Dallas 32-13 in second quarter. Spurs' bench outscored Maverick subs 50-30 last game, now Dallas' big man sub Blair is suspended after kicking Splitter in last game. Over is 28-15 in Maverick road games this season.

Three of four Rocket-Blazer games went OT; Aldridge scored 29+ in all three Portland wins, was held to 23 in the loss. Portland won 11 of last 14 games; they're 27-16 vs spread on road this season- over is 26-17, as last 11 series games also went over, helped by OTs in series. Harden is 36-103 from floor this series, not good for Rockets, who covered once in their last five games as a favorite. Over is 24-18-1 in Rocket home tilts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Wednesday, April 30

First back/back of playoffs, as Flyers staved off elimination last night, scoring three times in second period. Rangers outshot Philly 71-53 in first period in this series; they're 24-21 at home this season; over is 2-0-1 in last three home games. Flyers lost seven of ten games vs Rangers this season; over is 3-1-2 in this series. Rangers are 3-28 on power play in series, 0-16 in last four games, 3-15 at home; Philly is 6-19 on power play, 4-10 in last three games, 3-10 on road. Over is 10-1-2 in last thirteen Philly games. New York scored two of less goals in three series losses, 4+ in its wins.

Avalanche scored 13 goals in three series home games, only three in losing three road games. Home side won all six Minnesota-Colorado games; home teams are 20-4 in western half of the NHL, with two losses in OT. Colorado is 2-22 when it has man advantage, Minnesota 3-18. Wild is 20-24 on road this season; seven of their last nine games went over total, inclduing all three series games in this building. Colorado lost its last five games; their last road win was on April 10 in Vancouver. League-wide, over is 27-10-8 in playoffs so far.

After scoring 17 goals in winning first three games of series, San Jose scored four in losing last three. Kings won last three games 6-3/3-0/4-1, now huge amount of pressure on Sharks to win Game 7 in Shark Tank, avoiding momumental gag job- theyr'e 32-12 at home this season. LA scored 19 goals in previous eight games before scoring 13 in winning Games 4-6. Kings are 24-20 on road this season- over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Over is 4-1-1 in this series. Sharks are 4-26 on power play in series, 2-14 at home. Kings are 5-17, 1-4 on road.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

100* Nets +3.5
100* Royals -140
50* Over 7 - Cardinals/Brewers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

BOSTON REDSOX/TAMPA RAYS - OVER 8.5
(Doubront/Archer)

Doubront has been awful for the Red Sox this year and it is about that time the Rays start hitting again. The Rays have not hit left handed pitching well this year, but Doubront doesn’t seem to have his best stuff going right now. The Rays also have a suspect bullpen and Archer has not looked hot himself. Both teams could use some offensive help right now. I don’t think this game sails over, but none of these pitchers are in position to throw a gem right now. Take the Over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GUARANTEED SPORTS PICKS

Nets
Spurs
Trailblazers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STEVE's GOLF PICKS

Wells Fargo Championship

Lee Westwood 16/1: 2 units
Phil Mickelson 14/1: 2 units
Nicolas Colsaerts: 160/1: 1 unit
Jason Kokrak 60/1: 1 unit

Head 2 Head: Lee Westwood over Justin Rose(-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

MLB | CLEVELAND at LA ANGELS
Play On – Any team (CLEVELAND) with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games, starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings
281-206 over the last 5 seasons. ( 57.7% | 90.0 units )
7-7 this year. ( 50.0% | -2.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets

MLB | NY METS at PHILADELPHIA
NY METS are 43-28 (+28.8 Units) against the money line in Road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no runs over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: NY METS (4.8) , OPPONENT (3.9)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

WEDNESDAY
NBA BASKETBALL

1000* Play Portland +5.5 over Houston (NBA TOP PLAY)
10:30 PM EST

Portland has won 37 of the last 54 games after scoring 105 points or more in their last game and they have also won 7 of the last 9 games coming off a win by three points or less.Portland has won 20 of the last 32 games coming off two or more OVER the totals and they have won 12 of their last 14 games.

50* Play Brooklyn +3.5 over Toronto (NBA BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Dallas +6.5 over San Antonio (NBA BONUS PLAY)

=========================================


NHL HOCKEY


50* Play Los Angeles +140 over San Jose (NHL BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Minnesota +140 over Colorado (NHL BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime


MLB Baseball

1000* Play San Francisco -170 over San Diego (MLB TOP PLAY)

San Diego has lost 47 of the last 76 games when playing in the month of April and they have also lost 81 of the last 133 games when playing as an underdog of +125 to +175.San Diego has lost 78 of the last 135 games when batting .240 or worse over the last ten games and they have lost 84 of the last 159 games vs. division opponents.

================================================== ===



50* Play NY Yankees -130 over Seattle (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Cincinnati -160 over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

WEDNESDAY



Play Dallas +6.5 over San Antonio (NBA)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
8:30 PM EST


Dallas has covered the spread in 22 of the last 34 games when playing as an underdog and they have also covered the spread in 14 of the last 20 games vs. division opponents.Dallas has covered the spread in 15 of the last 22 games when playing six or less games in 14 days and they have covered the spread in 15 of the last 21 road games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game.




Play Brooklyn +3.5 over Toronto (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
Play Portland +5.5 over Houston (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL



================================================== =======


NHL HOCKEY



Play Los Angeles +140 over San Jose (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
Play Minnesota +140 over Colorado (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

WEDNESDAY BASEBALL




Play Cincinnati -160 over Chicago Cubs----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
7:10 PM EST


Chicago has lost 33 of the last 53 games when playing on a Wednesday and they have also lost 95 of the last 145 games when playing as an underdog of +125 to +175. Chicago has lost 47 of the last 73 games when playing in the month of April and they have lost 112 of the last 173 road games.




Play New York Yankees -130 over Seattle----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
7:10 PM EST


New York has won 44 of the last 73 games when playing in the month of April and they have also won 34 of the last 57 games when playing on a Wednesday. New York has won 77 of the last 130 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have won 85 of the last 136 games when playing as a favorite of -125 to -175.

================================================== =====================





Play Oakland +110 over Texas---RISK 3% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play San Francisco -170 over San Diego----RISK 3% OF YOUR BANKROLL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

WEDNESDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Pittsburgh +130 over Baltimore (MLB TOP PLAY)
Pittsburgh is 20-9 when playing on a Tuesday the last two seasons
Pittsburgh is 15-5 in inter-league games the last two seasons
Pittsburgh is 24-14 when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs


10* Play Milwaukee +135 over St. Louis (MLB TOP PLAY)

Milwaukee is 9-1 when playing as an underdog of +100 or higher this season
Milwaukee is 11-1 in road games this season
Milwaukee is 19-7 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs this season

=============================================


5* Play Oakland +110 over Texas (MLB EXTRA PLAY)
5* Play New York Mets +115 over Philadelphia (MLB EXTRA PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

WEDNESDAY

NBA Basketball


10* Play Brooklyn +3.5 over Toronto (NBA TOP PLAY)
10* Play Dallas +6.5 over San Antonio (NBA TOP PLAY)
10* Play Portland +3.5 over Houston (NBA TOP PLAY)


NHL Hockey


10* Play Los Angeles +140 over San Jose (NHL TOP PLAY)
10* Play Minnesota +140 over Colorado (NHL TOP PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):

Took a tough loss Tuesday night with the under, as Wood had an off night and a bad inning that lead to the over with Miami winning 9-0. Fernandez was stellar again going 8 shutout innings. I'm right back on the UNDER between these two teams on Wednesday night - this time for 5 UNITS as we get an extra run to work with and two solid pitchers on the mound.
5 STAR = Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins - UNDER 7 RUNS (-116)
Listed Pitchers: Harang vs Eovaldi
(Note: I'm risking 5.00 units to win 4.31 units)
Aaron Harang had posted solid ERAs of 3.64 and 3.61 in 2011 and 2012, but last year he had a tough year going 5-12 with a 5.40 ERA. The big righty is back to form and has been very impressive so far this year. Over 5 starts he is 3-1 with a 0.85 ERA, .143 OBA and 0.88 WHIP. He has allowed no more than 1 earned run in a start this season. The two pitchers in this game met last Wednesday, and in that game Harang went 6 innings giving up 6 hits and just 1 earned run with 11 strikeouts and a walk. In two road starts this year Harang has yet to give up a run and has only given up 2 hits. Nathan Eovaldi will be on the rubber for Miami and he too is having a great start to the season. He is 1-1 with a 2.87 ERA, .256 OBA and 1.12 WHIP over his 5 starts. In his past two starts he has allowed just 1 earned run over a combined 12 innings of work. The latest start was vs Atlanta where he went 6 innings giving up 5 hits and 0 earned runs (1 unearned) with 7 strikeouts and a walk. In 7 starts vs Atlanta lifetime Eovaldi has a 1.88 ERA, .209 OBA and 1.12 WHIP. Take note that when these two met last week the final score was 3-1. The UNDER is 6-2 in the Braves last 8 games overall and 4-2 in their last 6 road games. The UNDER is also 4-1 in Harangs 5 starts this season. The UNDER is 6-2-1 in the Marlins last 8 overall, 12-4-2 in Eovaldi's last 18 starts overall, and 3-1-1 in his last 5 home starts. The UNDER is 3-1 between these two teams this season, and the UNDER is also 4-0-2 in Eovaldi's last 6 starts vs the Braves. I'm on the UNDER for 5 units expecting another low scoring game with these two starters on the mound.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
WEDNESDAY, APRIL 30th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


***** Wednesday, 4/30/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
__________________________________________________ ____

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #5
It is time once again to break down the weekend Major League Baseball results from Point Blank range, examining key emerging issues that can have you a step ahead of the game in the days ahead. StatSystems Sports Vegas Insider Ryan Taylor takes a look at Week #5’s action.

•St. Louis – Is This The Offense That Is
It is showdown time in the National League Central when the Cardinals host the Brewers this week, and the fact that it is a #1 vs. #2 speaks volumes about the St. Louis pitching – it is not easy to open up 14-12 when the offense has scored one run or less 10 times. But while it has been an underwhelming performance by the bats, the key is to understand that it has not been that big of a crash.

The Cardinals got to the World Series last year by leading the NL in runs, quite an achievement in the first post-Pujols season. Now they are #14. But while the slash line dropping from .269/.332/.401 to .240/.308/.352 is significant, it does not explain how dramatic drop in runs has been. They led the NL in 2013 despite being #13 in HR’s, and they are #14 now, so it also has not been about power. Instead it is about just how much an outlier 2013 was in one key category that simply will not repeat.

St. Louis hit an astonishing .330 with runners in scoring position last year, far and away the best of the modern era – since 1950 no other team has been within 15 points of that. Is RISP a skill? The historical abstracts for both players and teams say no; that category tends to fall in line with overall abilities more than as a particular skill set. A team that only batted .269 overall has to hit a roulette spin for that to become .330 with RISP. And in 2013 the Cardinals were also #2 in the NL with a .314 BABIP, which has regressed to a .287 this time around. This is not an offense in a slump, but rather one that far exceeded their true abilities last year, and the current level may simply be what they are.

•Royals – Yordano Ventura Is A “Pitcher”
Value may be elusive quickly with Ventura – when a guy can hit 100 mph on the radar guns and begins to win games, folks take notice. But there is also some classifying work to be done, so that you can have him filed properly. While that high heat and strikeout count may create the image of a “thrower”, his dominant outing at Baltimore on Friday night was a textbook example of being a “pitcher”.

Ventura dispatched the Orioles without a run over eight frames, dueling at 14.1 PPI. That was the fifth time in seven Major League starts he has checked in at 15.8 or lower, and three of those were 14.4 or less. That is unheard of for guys with his velocity. Which tells us that it is not just about velocity. Of his 113 pitches at Baltimore, only 66 were fastballs, and for once he did not reach 100 on any of them. He does not have to - with a change-up and a curveball that check in at around 15 mph off of his top end, there is a gap that can buckle the knees of Major League batters.

Ventura has only had one bad outing so far, a game in which a patient Minnesota lineup tested his command. Which then leads to one of the more intriguing stories of this young season…

•Twins – Peering Beyond The Patience
What the Twins did to Ventura is what they are trying to do to just about every pitcher they face – make them throw strikes to get outs. It has worked – on the heels of a horrific 66-96 campaign they begin the week at 12-11, and just one game behind in the American League Central. The catalyst for the turnaround is easy to see - after finishing a dismal #25 in runs last year, they are now #2 in the Majors in runs-per-game!

But be aware of the smoke and mirrors aspect. In 2013 the slash line read .242/.312/.380. This season it is .253/.353/.389. The average is up slightly, the slugging even less, but there is that big gap in the middle. They are leading the way in walk rate by a substantial margin, drawing a remarkable 37 percent more than the best team from the 2013 charts. Hell, only 10 players had a higher individual walk percentage in 2013 than the Twins have as a team this season. Naturally it has had a huge impact on their scoring - rating #2 in RPG is quite a feat when you are only #21 in hits.

The Twins already have five wins in games in which they had more runs than hits. Quick a feat, but can that be maintained? Can a team with such limited lumber continue to draw free passes when opposing moundsmen learn that there is little to fear? To date the draw of the pitching schedule has been most favorable (like missing Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander this weekend). And there has to be a genuine concern about Joe Mauer’s April. With only one HR in 111 plate appearances his slugging is down to .319, off of a career .465, and his strikeout rate is more than double his career average (23.4 percent, vs. 11.4). Since hitting 28 HR’s in 2009 he has only managed 34 since, and while the rest of his offensive skills were a net plus when slotted behind the plate, those power numbers put you in a hole at 1B, when compared to the production level of other teams at the position.

Last week David Price had 12 K’s versus only one walk in a complete game win over the Twins, needing only 12.3 PPI. This offense might continue to wear down weak pitching with their patience, but could also be overmatched when stepping up in class, which can cause some problems for the oddsmakers in finding the balance point.

•White Sox – John Danks And The Warning Signs
There might be a tendency to consider Danks an early “feel good” story. A lefty that had been having an above average career saw things fall of the rails when he was injured in 2012, working to a 5.70 ERA. Those numbers were a result of hanging on too long before having shoulder surgery, which then kept him from a Major League mound for over a full calendar year. In his return the allowance dropped to 4.75, but he was penalized with among the worst support numbers in The Show, which led to a 4-14 personal W/L tag. The White Sox only managed 63 runs across his 22 starts, remarkably never topping five in any game. And 2014 brings signs of momentum, with a 2-1/3.48 as April winds down.

If you only take a cursory look at the April numbers, you may think you see a pattern. Back-to-back seasons of major improvement, right? The old Danks is back! But when you take a deeper look, there are warning signs galore.

Danks has 18 strikeouts vs. only 17 walks, an awful ratio. To put that in perspective, his 5.2 K’s-per-9 are significantly down from a career 6.7, while his walks-per-9 are up alarmingly, from 2.9 to 4.9. Instead of that 3.48 being the barometer, attach much more weight should be attached to a 5.33 xFIP, and note where it places him – there are 111 pitchers that have thrown enough innings to classify on the seasonal tables, and Danks rates dead last. It is a classic case of ERA being an improper label, with the drop from 4.75 to 3.48 in that category over 2013 running contrary to the xFIP rise from 4.08 to 5.33 in the same time frame.

The saving grace for Danks has been the HR rate, but be careful with that. So far it has been .3 HR’s-per-9 at a 2.6 percent rate on all fly balls, but his career averages in those categories run at 1.1 and 10.6. As things warm up in the South side of Chicago, those fly balls will carry again, especially with his uninspiring velocity. You have been forewarned.

•Cleveland – Searching For The Pulse
The notion of “buy signals” is essential to winning at the betting windows, finding those timing sequences in which you can get ahead of the game as a team changes its direction. It makes the Indians a prime study right now, with a search for any signs of a beat from the “heart” of the order. As bad as April has been, there may have been a unique rock bottom at San Francisco over the weekend.

Carlos Santana has had an awful time at the plate, and some of that can be genuinely attributed to having to switch to 3B. But there was no way to anticipate .268/.377/.455 turning into .122/.301/.195. Jason Kipnis can be one of the best offensive 2B in the Majors, but his .284/.366/.452 of 2013 has opened at .247/.364/.416. Nick Swisher has fallen from .246/.341/.423 to .218/.292/.337. For Asdrubal Cabrera the decline is from .242/.299/.402 to .211/.290/.333.

So how bad was the weekend by the Bay? The #3 through #6 spots in the batting order chimed in with a woeful 3-40. Not surprisingly, it was an 0-3 collar versus the Giants. But here is the gist going forward – despite those horrendous offensive performances, Cleveland is 11-14, and only three games back in the American League Central. And there really is a silver lining behind the hitters – while the team average has fallen from .255 to .237, and slugging from .410 to .362, the on-base has only dropped from .327 to .319.

The Tribe rated #4 in the Majors in walk rate in 2013. 2014? How about #4 again. The patience is there, and their contact rate is actually improved (from #23 in K rate to #8). They are putting the ball in play, but the geometry of baseball has not been kind (#26 in BABIP at .278). This is an offense that will perform much better than this dismal April as the season progresses, and is worth close scrutiny for signs of a turnaround. It will be difficult for the key heart of the batting order to have a series worse than the one that they just had.
__________________________________________________ ___

Betting Notes - Wednesday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Miller is 2-0, 0.53 in his last three starts.
-- Colon is 1-1, 2.57 in his last couple starts.
-- Harang is 3-1, 0.85 in five starts this season.
-- Cingrani is 2-1, 3.12 in his last three starts.
-- Lyles is 2-0, 2.49 in his last four starts. Collmenter is 1-1, 3.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Hudson is 3-1, 2.43 in five starts this season.

-- Scherzer is 2-1, 2.45 in five starts this month.
-- Wilson is 3-1, 2.77 in his last four starts. McAllister is 3-1, 2.92 in his last four starts.
-- Chavez is 1-0, 3.24 in his last four starts.
-- Ventura is 2-1, 2.16 in four starts this season. Hutchison is 0-0, 2.08 in his last three starts.

-- Tillman is 3-1, 3.94 in four starts this season.
-- Greinke is 4-0, 2.45 in five starts this season. Gibson is 2-0, 0.63 in his two home starts this month.

•Cold Pitchers
-- Garza is 1-1, 5.76 in his last four starts.
-- Kendrick is 0-2, 5.70 in his last four starts.
-- Eovaldi is 1-1, 3.79 in three home starts.
-- Jackson is 1-2, 5.79 in his last four starts.
-- Erlin is 0-3, 8.44 in his last three starts.

-- Noesi is already on third AL team this month; he was 2-12, 5.82 in 18 starts for Seattle in 2012- this is his 22nd MLB start.
-- Elias is 0-1, 7.15 in his last two starts. Phelps is making first '14 start; he is 10-9, 4.73 in 23 career starts.
-- Archer is 0-1, 5.50 in three road starts this season. Doubront is 1-3, 8.20 in his last four starts.
-- Ross is 0-1, 7.15 in his last couple starts.

-- Morton is 0-3, 6.16 in his last three starts.
-- Oberholzer is 0-2, 8.68 in two home starts this season. Zimmerman is 0-1, 4.85 in his last two starts.

•Totals
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Mets' last eight road games.
-- Six of last eight Atlanta games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Cub road games stayed under.
-- Eight of last nine Milwaukee road games went over.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Arizona home games.
-- Nine of last eleven San Diego road games stayed under.

-- Seven of last ten New York home games stayed under.
-- Eight of last eleven Boston games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight White Sox games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Oakland road games went over total.
-- Seven of last eight Toronto games went over the total.
-- Nine of ten Angel home games went over the total.

-- Five of last six Pittsburgh games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Washington road games went over.
-- Six of last seven Minnesota games went over.

•Hot Teams
-- Mets won seven of their last nine games; Philadelphia won six of last nine.
-- Braves won 12 of their last 16 games.
-- Reds won four of its last five home games.
-- Brewers won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Rockies won ten of their last fourteen games.
-- Giants won five of their last six games. San Diego is 7-2 in game following its last nine losses.

-- Yankees won six of its last eight home games.
-- Red Sox won three of their last four games.
-- Rangers won seven of its last ten home games, but lost last two.
-- Tigers won three of its last four games. Chicago is 4-0 in game following their last four losses.
-- Royals won seven of its ten home games.
-- Angels won four of their last five home games.

-- Orioles are 7-1 in game following their last eight losses.
-- Nationals won three of its last four games.
-- Twins won six of its last eight home games.

•Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost five of last seven games, but are 9-4 at home.
-- Cubs lost seven of their last eight road games.
-- Cardinals lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Diamondbacks lost 12 of its last 13 home games.

-- Mariners lost six of their last seven away games.
-- Rays lost seven of its last eight away games.
-- Blue Jays lost five of their last six games.
-- Indians lost its last six road games.

-- Pirates lost five of their last six games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last nine home games.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last seven games.

•Umpires Trends
-- Mil-StL-- Three of four Bellino games went over total.
-- NY-Phil-- All three O'Nora games stayed under total.
-- Atl-Mia-- Last three Barber games went over the total.
-- Chi-Cin-- Three of last four Drake games went over.
-- Col-Az-- Home side won four of last five Kulpa games.
-- SD-SF-- Favorites won all four Ripperger games.

-- Det-Chi-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Wendelstedt games.
-- Sea-NY-- Favorites won all five Miller games.
-- Cle-LAA-- Underdogs won three of four Morales games.
-- TB-Bos-- Underdogs won four of five Bucknor games.
-- A's-Tex-- Underdogs won four of five Diaz games.
-- Tor-KC-- All four Wegner games stayed under total.

-- Wsh-Hst-- Underdogs won four of five Schrieber games.

Diamond Trends - Wednesday
•PITTSBURGH is 8-0 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 5.9, OPPONENT 3.4.

•BOSTON is 11-0 OVER (+11.3 Units) with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 8.3, OPPONENT 4.7.

•CLEVELAND is 6-22 (-23.4 Units) against the run line versus a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 3.8, OPPONENT 5.4.

•ZACK GREINKE is 15-2 (+12.8 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GREINKE 4.0, OPPONENT 2.2.

•JORDAN LYLES is 9-0 OVER (+9.1 Units) in road games versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LYLES 3.8, OPPONENT 8.0.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+165 to -135) (SAN DIEGO) – a very bad National League offensive team (<=3.8 runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA<=3.75), after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base.
(33-6 since 1997.) (84.6%, +26.6 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (24-15)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -107
The average score in these games was: Team 3.9, Opponent 3.2 (Average run differential = +0.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 24 (61.5% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3, +10.9 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-5, +15.4 units).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOC SPORTS

3-unit Play Take #901 Milwaukee Brewers (+135) over St. Louis Cardinals (1:45pm EST) The Milwaukee Brewers are off to the best start in baseball at 20-7 through 27 games. The St. Louis Cardinals have been a little slow out of the gate at just 14-14. But the betting markets haven't blinked an eye and still see the Cardinals as a much better team overall. Today's game is a perfect example with St. Louis favored in the -140's with an inferior pitcher on the mound. It's important not to overreact to a small first month sample, but this market isn't reacting at all to the starts of the Brewers and Cardinals. Clearly Milwaukee is a little bit better than everyone thought, and the Cards are still a little hung over from the World Series last season. Shelby Miller is also getting a little bit too much credit for his 2.86 ERA in 2014. He's walked 5.7 batters per nine innings but is surviving due to an unsustainable 94% strand rate. He's the worst pitcher in their rotation and there's definitely a reason he didn't see postseason action last year. Matt Garza toes the rubber for the Brewers and he's been solid as usual. When Garza is fully healthy he's an All-Star quality pitcher, but he doesn't get enough respect because he isn't flashy. But he's definitely the better pitcher today and the Brewers are excelling in every area over the Cardinals so far this season. I have this game much closer to a pick, so the value is with the Brewers.
3-unit Play Take #919 Tampa Bay Rays (-105) over Boston Red Sox (7:10pm EST)
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

1* Indians +132

1* Rangers -106

1* D-Backs -116

1* Padres +150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Barton

2* Dallas +6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond

10* Seattle +129

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps


Charlie Morton has not been very good this year for the Bucs, who now travel to Baltimore to take on a rejuvenated Baltimore Oriole offense. Couple that with the fact we love Chris Tillman pitching tonight for the home team and he has been stellar at home, sporting a 0.69 ERA at Camden Yards. The Sharps say…


3 UNITS – BALTIMORE ORIOLES (-130)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J.R STEVENS SMOOTH44


MLB TOP Pick


(901) Milwaukee +135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DIAMOND DOG SPORTS


Sides 29-25-0
+595


1* #902 Reds RL (-1.5): +115
Listed Pitcher: Jackson / Cingrani


1* #912: Giants RL (-1.5): +125
Listed Pitcher: Erlin / Hudson


Totals 23-26-2
-725


2* #901/902: Under Cardinals: 7.0 +105
Listed Pitcher: Garza / Miller


.5* #903/904: Over Phillies: 7.5 -110
Listed Pitcher: Colon / Kendrick

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ScLiveDogs

Why we like the Red Sox on Wednesday at -115…going to more or less fade the Rays in this one as they come in as losers of their last 7 of 9 games while averaging 4.3 RPG and allowing 6.7 RPG during that stretch. The Red Sox on the other hand, have won their last 8 of 13 games while averaging 6 RPG. More importantly for this game is what the Rays do (or don’t do) against left handed pitching. On the season, the Rays are 2-6 against LHP while averaging just 2.7 RPG. That pattern should follow on Wednesday as the Rays have little success against Doubront. The Rays will be pitching Chris Archer who comes into Wednesdays game with a 4.11 era on the season through 30 innings of work. Archer sees that era rise to a 5.50 era in road starts through 18 innings of work where he has allowed 27 hits. Archers last road start was also his last start AT Chicago White Sox where he allowed 4 runs through 6 innings on 9 hits & 1 HR. In Archers career against the Red Sox, he carries a 1-2 record with a 5.27 era. The Red Sox will be pitching Felix Doubront who is getting better as of late. Doubront has had to deal with above average left handed hitting teams which has hurt him but should not be a factor for Wednesday as he gets a below average left handed hitting team in the Rays. This Rays team has a combined 118 ABs off of Doubront with a .271 average and 0 HRs. In his career, Doubront is 2-3 with a 3.25 era against the Rays. Play on the Red Sox at -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

BALTIMORE
ROYALS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

vip-picks soccer

Cheslea - Atl. Madrid
Tip: Chelsea -0.25
Odds: 1,93

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Wednesday, April 30

Wednesday's MLB betting cheat sheet

Road faves come through

It was a perfect Tuesday for the four major-league road favorites, though not without some nervous moments. Colorado (-105), Detroit (-137) and Washington (-138) all needed go-ahead runs in the ninth inning to win their respective games, while Oakland (-110) walloped Texas in the other.


Over and above

As stingy as Jose Fernandez has been at home, his games still find a way to go Over. Fernandez threw eight sensational innings in Miami's 9-0 rout of Atlanta, improving him to 12-0 with a 1.00 ERA in 19 starts at Marlins Park. Miami is 7-3 O/U in his last 10 starts there.


Gibson a run magnet

Over bettors should keep an eye on Wednesday's showdown between the Minnesota Twins and the visiting Los Angeles Angels (+130, 7.5). Twins starter Kyle Gibson has been one of the stronger Over plays, sporting an 8-2 O/U record over his previous 10 starts.


Pitching Notes

* Cincinnati Reds lefty Tony Cingrani is nothing if not consistent, having alternated moneyline wins and losses over his past 13 starts. Coming off a victory last time out, Cingrani and the Reds (-181) host the Chicago Cubs.

* Expect a low total when Shelby Miller and the St. Louis Cardinals (-142, 7) entertain Milwaukee. Miller is on a streak of four straight Under while the Brewers are 10-17-0 O/U for the season.


Hitting Notes

* Tigers third baseman Miguel Cabrera is heating up, going 11-for-26 with eight RBIs during a six-game hitting streak. Not coincidentally, Detroit is 4-1-1 O/U over that span.

* Home runs by Miami outfielder Giancarlo Stanton have become good omens for Over bettors. The Marlins are 7-0 O/U when Stanton goes deep, and just 7-10-2 O/U when he doesn't.


Total Streaks

Washington Nationals (1-3-1 O/U): The absence of talented outfielder Bryce Harper (thumb) is already being felt in the U.S. capital, with the Nationals reeling off three straight Unders while scoring a modest 10 runs over that span.


Prop of the Day

Think the Cubs are capable of putting up a big inning Wednesday? It'll pay handsomely if they do; Chicago is a +200 for putting up the highest-scoring inning against the Reds (+105). A tie is worth +275.


Injury Watch

The status of Cleveland Indians second baseman Jason Kipnis is unknown after he left Tuesday's game against the Angels with a right abdominal strain. It would be an enormous loss for the Indians, who have provided the second-worst value in the AL to date (-683 units).


Weather Watch

* Offense could be a challenge at Kauffman Stadium when the Kansas City Royals (-130, 7.5) host Toronto. Teams are batting a collective .240 in 17 games with the wind blowing from left to right field at more than 10 miles per hour.

* Cincinnati won't complain about Wednesday's wind conditions. The Reds average more than five runs per game with the wind blowing out to right field at better than 10 miles per hour.


Umpire Stat of the Day

Under is 7-0-2 in umpire Mark Wegner's last nine games behind home plate. Wegner will call the balls and strikes for the game between the Royals and the Blue Jays.


** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 9:55 a.m. ET Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball33
USA: MLB
Miami Marlins - Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves


USA: MLB
San Francisco Giants - San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the NHL Rangers on Tuesday and likes the Nets on Wednesday.

The deficit is 310 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Raptors -3.5
Reds(RL) -1.5(+110)
Sharks -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Wednesday

Tampa Bay/Boston over 8.5

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DIAMOND DOG SPORTS


4* Nets – Under 190.5
.5* Nets +3.5

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Goodfella


2* st. Louis cardinals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

power play wins

SPURS-6.5
PORTLAND+5.5
ATLANTA BRAVES-110

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Jimmy Boyd

3* Rockets -5

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Bkg sports



Wed April 30

Milw +141
NYM +100
Oak -109

TOTALS
Ovr Phil/NYM 7.5 -115
Und Pitts/Balt 8.5 +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

50 DIME
PLAYOFF MONEY MOVE
#4 IN A ROW

Nets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KING OF THE SPREAD

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs
Bet Mavericks +7 Points
5.5 Units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHASE DIAMOND

NBA | Apr 30, 2014
Brooklyn Nets vs. Toronto Raptors

9* Toronto Raptors ML-150
This game features the 2-2 Nets at the 2-2 Raptors. Another must win game for Toronto as they must have this game if they want to advance in the Playoffs the Nets will not be as motivated tonight. As im not sure of going with the spread I am sure on a money line play with the RAPTORS FOR 9*

[golden contender]

Hump day card has 2 NBA Playoff power systems one is Undefeated the other has a 43-5 Power angle. In MLB Its 23-2 Double system MLB Blowout Games of the Week with a solid pitching edge and a 13-0 Dominator. There is also a Perfect NHL Game 7 System winner with a Perfect angle. Free MLB Road warrior system below.



On Wednesday the Free MLB Road warrior system side is on the LA. Dodgers. Game 927 at 8:10 eastern. These two were rained out last night but the pitching match between Greinke and Gibson remains. Z. Greinke will look to get his first win here in Minnesota and will likely do so as Road favorites in this range have won 12 of 13 off a home favored loss, vs an opponent off a home dog win. The Dodgers are 3-0 as a road favorite off a home loss. Greinke has better overall numbers than Minnesota right Gibson and Greinke has won his last 4 April road starts so we will back the LA. Dodgers. On Wednesday we have a Powerful slate of games. In MLB its the 23-2 MLB System game of the week and a 13-0 Dominator system. In the NBA We have 2 Big NBA Playoff system winners, one has a 43-5 angle. In the NHL We have a 100% Never lost Historical angle. Jump on and Get on the Giving end of Hump day. For the free play take the LA. Dodgers. GC

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KELSO

NBA

20 mavs
20 nets
10 parlay the two

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROOT

NBA

no limit houston
millionaire spurs

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WORLD CLASS CAPPER

European cup soccer- 3* Chelsea vs Atletico Madrid over 2 goals @ -103
Starts at 2:45 PM est

NBA- 3* Mavericks vs Spurs over 198.5 @ -110
Starts at 7:00 PM est

MLB- 3* Braves money line @ -110
Starts at 7:00 PM est

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Cleveland Insider

NBA
5* Dallas Mavericks +6.5 over the San Antonio Spurs

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SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS:

FREE PLAY: Yankees -125 vs Seattle

NBA
Spurs -6

NHL
NY Rangers -150

MLB
Reds RL -1.5 +115

Atlanta -105

Atlanta RL -1.5 +150

Dodgers RL -1.5 +110

Washington -145

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Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee won outright on Tuesday in the Nba Playoffs with the Wizards +4.5/Bulls.

"Mr Chalk" lost on Tuesday in MLB with a "DOG" the Astros +$130/Nationals.

For Wednesday in game seven in the NHL Playoffs E&B like the Avalanche -$140/Wild.

For Wednesday in MLB in the American League "Mr Chalk" likes the Angels -$145/Indians.

Ben lee is 2-2 -$10 for Week Twenty Seven 107-124-5 -$2312 through Twenty Six weeks.

"Mr Chalk" is 14-11 -$253 for the 2014 MLB season

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

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Scott Spreitzer

Dallas +6.5

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Tony George

LA Angels

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TEDDY COVERS

20* Big Ticket Brooklyn +3.5

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Ben Burns

MLB
D'Backs ML

NHL
Sharks ML.

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FYI

Games postponed

Mets/Phillies
Mariners/Yankees
Pirates/Orioles

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JOE GAVAZZI

5* Brooklyn

5* Portland

5* San Fran

5* Washington RL-1.5

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PhillyGodFather

MLB [902] TOTAL u7-120 (MIL BREWERS vrs STL CARDINALS)
NBA [1520] 1H HOU ROCKETS -2½--110

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Rich Allen

Thursday

Norway Tippeligaen

Molde

Minus 0.5 goals 1*

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Milwaukee Brewers @ St. Louis Cardinals
Time: Wednesday 04/30 1:45 PM Eastern
Pick: St. Louis -140 (moneyline) at Bookmaker

The Milwaukee Brewers are not only off to a good start, they have come to St. Louis and taken the first two games of this series, and have moved their record to 11-1 on the road this season. I think that comes to a screeching halt today. Matt Garza has not been part of that success with just one win in five starts on the season, and he has a career 4.14 ERA against the Cardinals. Shelby Miller has lowered his ERA to 2.86 on the season, and has made consecutive starts without allowing a run, and is in the groove right now. The Cards have owned right-handed pitching as they are a robust 49-17 in their last 66 when facing one. The Cardinals are also strong off a loss where they are 67-30 in their last 97. Take St. Louis.

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LT LOCK

Toronto -3
San Antonio -6.5
Houston -5

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Maddux

MLB
Washington

NBA
Nets +3.5

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BOB BALFE

BONUS NBA PLAY
Rockets/Blazers – Under 214

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TMC Sports Advisors

MLB
Atlanta -120
Yankees -140
Dodgers -160

NBA
Dallas +7
Portland +6
Nets +3

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Fezzik’s Focus

518 SAN / 517 DAL – UNDER 198.5

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THE REAL DEAL
Sports Picks

​We have calculated GREAT PROBABILITY % for both these teams to WIN outright. As we do not post ML plays…We do suggest you give them a shot as well.

GOOD LUCK LETS MAKE MONEY !!!

NBA 1000* THE REAL DEAL PLAY
DALLAS MAVERICKS +6.5​

​NBA 750* PORTLAND +5.5​

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VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER

2-Unit play. Take #507 Over 213 ½ – Portland at Houston (9:35 p.m., Wednesday, April 30 TNT)

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Steve Stevens

San Antonio Spurs -6 (Buy the hook)

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Greg Shaker

2* 911 SDP / 912 SFG UNDER 7

2* 923 TOR / 924 KAN UNDER 7.5

2* ML 906 Mia (+102)

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charlie sports

500
nets under 191.5
dallas over 199
portland under 214

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SPORTS BETTING PROF

928. Minnesota Twins +133
930. Houston Astros +134

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Totals4You

3* Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs (4:11pm PST)

Pick: OVER 197.5 @-120
Risk: $3,600 to win $3,000

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Las Vegas Pipeline

20* Avalanche

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2Halves2Win NBA (3-2 yesterday for +.35u; 21-20 for +3.2u - +8% ROI thru P/O's):

1* GAME: Mavericks +6 (-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)
1* GAME: Nets +3 (-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)
1* GAME: TrailBlazers +4 (-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)

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Linecatchers

Playersbet: Brooklyn +3 and Houston -2.5 1st half
Jonathan Young: Baltimore Orioles – 130

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MY SYSTEM PICKS

Blazers +5 (3u)
Nets +3 (2.5u)
Marlins -105 (2u)

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https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcQ-iezRC6aR5Wnhx7TM3De8D3qKM-9oUKBtZ0wdWVYKzBM3Y-0V
Service Play Tally
Record 18-12

Nets 16
Raptors 3

Mavs 13
Spurs 6

Trailblazers 11
Rockets 5
*Dunkel and Premium Picks Only*

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Big Bet Tiger


Rocket 1h -3
Under 5 rangers/flyers

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Strike point sports
mlb 4/30

7*LA Angels-145 over clev

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Robert Ferringo MLB 4/30


5* New York Yankees-125
3*-Batimore-135
2*Tampa Bay-105
1*Washington-145
1*Reds1.5+115
1*Giants-1.5+130
Totals


Wahington/Houston 3*over 8
2*under 8.5-Yankees/Sea
Cubs/Reds 1*over 7.5
Toronto/Kc 1* Over 7.5

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Ben Burns

MLB
D'Backs ML

NHL
Sharks ML.
phil/nyr under

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SHEEP




90 Col Avs -130 $900
84 SJ Sharks -135 $1000
1922 Rangers -105 (1st 5) $1000
927 Dodgers -155 $1000
1520 Houston ml -170 (1st Half) $1000 Open Order*
520 Under 215 Por $1000 Open Order*

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BEN BURNS

NHL

sharks
phil/nyr under

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Shaker’s Shorts

#912 Padres vs Giants – UNDER 3.5 -110 – 1st 5 Innings

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Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 4/30

MLB Baseball

Washington Nationals -144 over the Houston Astros
(Money Line Bet)

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MORE SHEEP



518 Under 198 1/2 Dal-Sas $900
906 Over 7 (-115) Atl-Mia $900
910 DBacks -115 $900
87 Flyers +150 $900

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David Banks


banks best bet


#927 8:10 la dodgers-150 greinke





mlb


#902 1:45 st.louis cardinals-147


#905 7:10 atlanta braves-116 harang


#920 7:10 tampa bay rays+105 archer





nba


#519 9:35 portland trailblazers+5.5

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Capper University

Los Angeles Angels -1.5 v Cleveland Indians
Cincinnati Reds TTO4 v Chicago Cubs
Washington Nationals ML v Houston Astros
San Francisco Giants -1.5 v San Diego Padres


Portland Trailblazers v Houston Rockets O214
Houston Rockets -2 1Q v Portland Trailblazers