5-5-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::handshake::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler MLB Thoughts

Washington-Dodgers: Two teams off tough losses and probably not super-confident, and Washington come home from Philly after a wasted effort by Gio. Because the Dodgers have had their way with Grienke, I lean to the Dodgers, and if that total comes down and the weather cooperates, I do think both teams get some.

Pirates-Giants: Two teams going in opposite directions right now, and Jeff Locke may have had his moment in the sun early last season. His AAA stats this year suck, the Pirates pen is bad and without Grilli, and Cain has handled the Pirates well. That means the Giants should win but if only they were all that easy. Need Giants lineup after big Atlanta series. Now it looks like a pitching change. Either Cain's thumb isn't cool or the Pirates decided to go with Wandy if his knee in fine, so refresh on this one. I only edited it so some a-hole wouldn't "remind" me tomorrow

Cardinals-Braves: St. Louis probably gets to Atlanta sometime well after midnight after playing the Sunday night game, and the Braves just can't hit the long ball right now. Obviously need to wait for STL lineup, but both Harang AND Miller have regressed. I still have to lean Braves at that price at home, and maybe the over.

Mets-Fish: There are lots of angles here. Mets flying from no-air and winning to South Florida and a team that's winning. Niese has been a freak, BUT, the Marlins have hammered him. It's not as warm in Ft. Lauderdale as it usually is, so there's a slight chance the roof might be open, because I do lean to the over a little. Because everyone will be on the Fish, and they aren't always that easy, I may take the Mets RL.

Arizona-Brewers: Nice win for us Sunday fading the D-Backs and their bullpen, and of course w/Garza you'd think that the Brewers would be an auto play, which is why I might look at the D-Backs RL. They've hit Garza some, and coming home after a tough loss to the Reds isn't a happy place for them to be. Over would be far to easy as well, I think.

Cleveland-Twins: The Indians have fallen on hard times and the Twins may not be the answer to their problems. McAllsiter just isn't a -160 pitcher and Gibson's stock has obviously dropped, but he does have some talent. No chance of the Indians here. Twins or Twins RL, probably.

Houston-Detroit: If the total is only 7.5 here, do the really expect this to be a 6-1 or so win by the Tigers? Interesting. Let's see who rests for the Tigers and who doesn't. ONE game at +245 or probably + for the RL I wouldn't consider taking the Tigers RL unless that total goes up. Need to check the weather there.

Oakland-Seattle: This one may not be as easy as it looks. Maybe it is, but the wind is supposed to be blowing out hard, so if you like over, it won't close at 7 IMO. Young does have SOME potential and the Mariners started hitting, so maybe after the A's fly cross country I could consider the M's RL.

Yankees-Angels: A little surprised Weaver is only -175 or so, really. Yankees play like sh*t and fly cross country to a team that's hitting with their best pitcher on the mound. Something just doesn't look right. This is almost one that I'd just play the ML on because Phelps isn't going to pitch deep. Maybe the over, too. Let's see lineups.

Toronto-Phillies: JA Happ is going against one of his old teams here, which is always a good spot. And of course Kendrick has been terrible. Since everyone now assumes the Phillies can't hit, they may well do that. Toronto of course has not DH so that could mean Jays bullpen sooner rather than later. Phillies isn't a ton better, so if it (the total) went to 8.5 I might consider the over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Greinke is 5-0, 2.31 in six starts this season. Zimmerman is 2-1, 3.08 in his last four starts.
-- Petit threw six shutout innings in his first '14 start.
-- Miller is 3-0, 1.57 in his last four starts. Harang is 1-1, 1.50 in three home starts.
-- Eovaldi is 1-0, 2.37 in his last three starts. Niese is 2-1, 1.37 in his last three starts.

-- Scherzer is 3-0, 1.42 in his last three starts. Cosart is 0-0, 2.84 in his last two starts.
-- Oakland is 6-0 when Kazmir starts (4-0, 2.33).
-- Weaver is 2-0, 2.08 in his last three starts.

-- Lyles is 1-0, 1.80 in his last three starts. Perez is 2-0, 2.35 in two road tilts.
-- Ventura is 1-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (13 IP).

Cold pitchers
-- This is Locke's first '14 start; he was 1-3, 8.00 in his last four '13 starts.
-- Garza is 1-2, 6.75 in five starts this season. Bolsinger is 1-1, 6.89 in three starts this season.

-- Gibson is 0-2, 11.17 in his last two starts. McAllister is 0-2, 8.68 in his last couple starts.
-- Young has a 5.17 RA in his last three starts.
-- Phelps is making first '14 start; he was 6-5, 4.98 in 22 games LY (12 starts); he allowed seven runs in 11.2 IP in nine relief appearances this year.

-- Kendrick is 0-2, 5.32 in his last four starts. Happ is making first '14 start; he was 1-1, 2.33 in his last three starts LY.
-- Quintana is Samardzija is 0-2, 3.60 in his last three starts.
-- Stults is 1-3, 5.97 in six starts this season.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Greinke 0-6; Zimmerman 1-6
-- Petit 0-1; Locke 0-0
-- Miller 0-6; Harang 0-6
-- Niese 2-5; Eovaldi 1-6
-- Bolsinger 1-3; Garza 2-6

-- Gibson 2-5; McAllister 2-6
-- Cosart 4-6; Scherzer 2-6
-- Young 1-4; Kazmir 1-6
-- Phelps 0-0; Weaver 1-6

-- Happ 0-0; Kendrick 1-5
-- Quintana 1-6; Samardzija 2-6
-- Perez 1-4; Lyles 2-6
-- Ventura 2-5; Stults 2-6

Totals
-- Five of last six Dodger games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in Giants' last nine road games. Last four Pittsburgh games went over the total.
-- Eight of last nine Atlanta road games stayed under.
-- Ten of last twelve Miami home games went over.
-- Under is 14-1 this season in games at Miller Park.

-- Three of last four Cleveland home games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Detroit games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Oakland games stayed under.
-- Over is 10-3-1 in Angels' home games.

-- Six of last seven Toronto road games went over.
-- Over is 9-4 in last thirteen games at Wrigley Field.
-- Over is 8-3 in last eleven Colorado games.
-- Six of Royals' last seven games went over total.

Hot teams
-- Dodgers won five of their last seven road games.
-- Giants won nine of their last ten games.
-- Marlins won eight of their last nine home games.
-- Arizona won four of its last five road games.

-- Minnesota won three of its last four road games.
-- Detroit won seven of its last eight games.
-- Mariners won seven of their last nine games.
-- Angels won five of their last seven home games.

-- Phillies won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Cubs won three of their last four games.
-- Rockies won eight of last 11 games, are 5-0 in home series openers.

Cold teams
-- Nationals are 5-6 in their last eleven home games.
-- Braves lost their last six games. St Louis lost six of last eight on road.
-- Pirates lost 13 of their last 18 games.
-- Mets lost three of their last four games.
-- Shorthanded Brewers lost four of their last five games.

-- Indians lost seven of last nine games, but won six of last eight at home.
-- Astros lost four of their last five games.
-- Oakland lost its last three home games.
-- Bronx lost four of its last five games.

-- Blue Jays lost five of their last seven road games.
-- White Sox lost four of their last five games.
-- Rangers lost five of their last seven games.
-- Kansas City lost its last four games. Padres lost four of last five games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Thunder -5.5
Cubs -125
Royals -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

LA Dodgers at Washington

The Dodgers look to bounce back from yesterday's 5-4 loss in Miami and come into tonight's contest with a 7-0 record in Zack Greinke's last 7 starts after giving up 5 or more runs in the previous game. LA is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-120). Here are all of today's picks.


MONDAY, MAY 5
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: LA Dodgers at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 15.627; Washington (Zimmermann) 14.287
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-120); Over


Game 953-954: San Francisco at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Petit) 15.347; Pittsburgh (Locke) 14.428
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-110); Under


Game 955-956: St. Louis at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Miller) 15.333; Atlanta (Harang) 14.815
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+100); Under


Game 957-958: NY Mets at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 16.168; Miami (Eovaldi) 17.666
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Miami (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-145); Under


Game 959-960: Arizona at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Bolsinger) 13.708; Milwaukee (Garza) 15.387
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-165); Under


Game 961-962: Minnesota at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Gibson) 14.844; Cleveland (McAllister) 14.304
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+140); Over


Game 963-964: Houston at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Cosart) 15.910; Detroit (Scherzer) 15.361
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-300); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+250); Under


Game 965-966: Seattle at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Young) 14.897; Oakland (Kazmir) 16.438
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-200); Over


Game 967-968: NY Yankees at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Phelps) 14.813; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.387
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-170); Under


Game 969-970: Toronto at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Happ) 16.448; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.550
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-105); Over


Game 971-972: Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Quintana) 15.195; Cubs (Samardzija) 14.235
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-125); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+105); N/A


Game 973-974: Texas at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Perez) 15.629; Colorado (Lyles) 16.720
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 12
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-130); Over


Game 975-976: Kansas City at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Ventura) 13.895; San Diego (Stults) 14.552
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-125); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+105); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Washington at Indiana

The Wizards open up their series in Indiana tonight and come into the contest with a 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 road games. Washington is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Pacers favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+4). Here are all of today's playoff picks.


MONDAY, MAY 5
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 701-702: Washington at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 119.109; Indiana 121.206
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 2; 177
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 4; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+4); Under


Game 703-704: LA Clippers at Oklahoma City (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 122.257; Oklahoma City 129.052
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 7; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5 1/2; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-5 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Monday

Tigers -1.5 -122

Mets/Marlins under 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play MON: Brewers -170

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JEFFREY JAMES (Play of the Day)

#964 Detroit Tigers with Scherzer moneyline -260 (7:05 edt)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee won in the NHL Playoffs on Sunday with the Penguins -$160/Rangers.

"Mr Chalk" won in MLB on Sunday with the Marlins -$185/Dodgers.

For Monday in the NBA Playoffs E&B like the Wizards+4.5/Pacers.

"Mr Chalk" has Np in MLB.

Ben lee is 9-5 +$140 for Week Twenty Seven 114-127-5 -$2162

"Mr Chalk" is 17-12 -$78 for the 2014 MLB season

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Monday, May 5

Washington hasn't played since dispatching Bulls in five games Tuesday; Pacers won Game 7 at home Saturday. Home team won last five Wizard-Pacer games; Wiz lost its last ten visits to Indy (3-6 vs spread in the last nine). Indiana won six of last nine games overall; under is 27-18 in their home games this season. Six of last seven Wizard games went over total- all three series games this season stayed under.

Clippers/Thunder both won Game 7's Saturday; LA has to travel east to Oklahoma, while OC stays home. Teams split four meetings this season, going 1-1 in each building. Over is 8-3 in last 11 series games. Clippers are 25-18 vs spread on road, failing to cover last four, but they covered four of last five games as a dog, Thunder survived Memphis series that had four straight OT games; five of their last six games went over- they got huge break when Zach Randolph was suspended for Game 7.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Clippers at Thunder

Los Angeles Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder (-5, 211.5)

The Los Angeles Clippers prevailed through an emotional series and don’t get any time to recuperate as they open the Western Conference semifinals against the host Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday. Los Angeles dealt with anger over racist comments spewed by now-banished owner Donald Sterling while fighting off the Golden State Warriors in a hard-fought series that ended Saturday. The Thunder also went seven games in the opening round, claiming the final two to oust the Memphis Grizzlies.

Second-seeded Oklahoma City was tested mightily by Memphis through five games before the Thunder easily won the final two contests as forward Kevin Durant rediscovered his shooting stroke and Russell Westbrook excelled as an all-around force. “We always try to figure out ways to get better,” Oklahoma City coach Scott Brooks told reporters after Saturday’s clinching win. “We’re not mistake-free, but our effort is right on.” The Clippers were somehow able to keep much of their focus on basketball despite the chaos caused by the Sterling situation. “It’s been a crazy ride for us,” center DeAndre Jordan told reporters. “I commend our guys for sticking with it. It’s been a roller coaster, but we came out and had a job to do and we did it.”

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: The Thunder opened as 4.5-point home faves, but have been bet to -5. The total opened 211 and has been bet up to 211.5.

INJURY REPORT: Clippers - Hedo Turkoglu (Day-to-day, back).

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS: Jordan was a difference-maker in the middle against Golden State by averaging 12.1 points, 15.1 rebounds and four blocks and his 106 rebounds surpassed Bob McAdoo’s franchise mark (94 for the Buffalo Braves in 1975) for a playoff series. Power forward Blake Griffin was strong on the scoring front (23.3) but grabbed just 6.3 boards and will be expected to increase that effort while being matched against Oklahoma City’s Serge Ibaka. Point guard Chris Paul (17.4 points, nine assists in the postseason) is bothered by a hamstring injury so it is likely that valuable reserve Darren Collison will find himself defending Westbrook at times to keep Paul from being taxed. Shooting guard Jamal Crawford and J.J. Redick provide the outside artillery and small forward Matt Barnes has his moments.

ABOUT THE THUNDER: Westbrook put together a contest for the ages with 27 points, 16 assists and 10 rebounds on Saturday to join Boston’s Rajon Rondo as the only players with a triple-double in two different Game 7s. He struggled with his shot for much of the series despite averaging 25.6 points while Durant also found himself under scrutiny while averaging 29.9 points with five 30-point outings. Durant is expected to be named MVP early this week but that didn’t stop the Oklahoma City newspaper from dubbing him “Mr. Unreliable” after a couple subpar shooting performances. Ibaka (13 points, 8.9 rebounds, 2.6 blocked shots) is a consistent performer but Oklahoma City will need some better efforts from a supporting cast that includes guard Reggie Jackson and forward Caron Butler.

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Clippers are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Thunder are 0-5 ATS in their last five Conference Semifinals games.
* Over is 8-2 in Clippers last 10 overall.

CONSENSUS: 51 percent of wagers are coming in on the Thunder.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA Playoffs Round Two Betting Edges

With the top seeds having flexed their muscle in the opening round of the NBA playoffs, it’s on to Round Two where a series upset or two is always in the realm of possibility.

Here are four solid moneymaking angles from my powerful database that have withstood the test of time throughout 2nd round playoff action, along with a few tempting team trends. All results are ATS and since 1991, unless noted otherwise. Enjoy.

Thou Shall Not Lay Points Into A No. 1 Seed

One golden rule in this round applies to top seeds, namely: do not lay points against No.1 seeds.

That’s because inferior teams are just 18-27-1 ATS when playing points into No. 1 seeds since 1996.

Worse, if the inferior teams are laying 4.5 or fewer points they are just 9-21 ATS, including 3-19 ATS when they own a win percentage of .575 or more.

Portland – you’ve been warned.


Tripped Out Favorites

Teams that take it on the chin three times in a row do not fare well when laying points in Round Two.

That’s confirmed by the fact that teams laying points off three consecutive losses that are 3-14 ATS in these games. Last year saw Oklahoma City laying 4.5 points to Memphis in this non-desirous role. The Grizzlies won the game, 88-84.

Worse, if the tripped-out chalk dropped their last game straight up as a favorite these teams generally fall off the map - and out of the playoffs - going 3-7 SU and 0-10 ATS.


Role Reversals

You may not be comfortable changing roles in a relationship, but NBA teams in this round of the playoffs certainly are.

Round Two dogs (or picks) off a straight-up loss as a favorite are a 58.6% ATS proposition, going 34-24 ATS.

Best of all, send them home in this role and they respond with aplomb, going 5-1 SU and ATS.


Running On Empty

Home favorites that scored well below their average (77 or less points) in their previous game tend to fuel up with a frenzy the next game in this round.

That’s evident by a sparkling 22-9-1 ATS mark by Round Two favorites that tallied 77 or fewer points in their last game.

The Pacers were put to the test last season and they ignited as 5.5-point favorites in a 98-79 annihilation of Atlanta.

FYI: Put these same favorites up against .625 or greater opposition and they top off at 16-3 ATS, including 13-1 when laying four or more points.


Perfect 2nd Round Playoff Teams Trends

Brooklyn: Nets 5-0 ATS away vs. opponent off win of 7 or more points

Indiana: Pacers 0-4 ATS vs. opponent off SS SU underdog wins

Los Angeles: Clippers 0-5 SUATS off a win

Miami: Heat 7-0 ATS off a DD loss

Oklahoma City: Thunder 0-6 SUATS away off win of 9 more points

Portland: Trailblazers 4-0 SUATS off a loss of 6 or more points

San Antonio: Spurs 0-4 SUATS as a favorite off a SU underdog win

Washington: Wizards 0-4 ATS as dogs of less than 12 points

There you have it. Rock-solid betting theories you can hang your hat on throughout the 2nd round of this year’s NBA playoffs. Use your head and play accordingly.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Monday, May 5

Rangers are playing fifth game in seven nights; they're been outshot 63-36 in last 5+ periods, since they led 2-0 after first period of Game 1. NY is 3-3 vs Penguins this year, after Pitt won eight of previous nine games in series. Over is 4-1-1 in series games this season. Penguins won five of last seven visits here. Rangers haven't scored on power play since Game 2 of Philly series, 0 for last 29. Pittsburgh is 28-16 on road this year; their last three road games all went over the total-- this is their first back/back since April 13.

Anaheim won four of last five games with LA, but lost 3-2 in OT in Game 1, with LA tying game with 0:07 left in regulation; under is 4-1-2 in last seven series games, but 0-3-1 in Ducks' last four games overall. Anaheim is 33-12 at home this season. Kings won last five games; over is 5-1-2 in their last eight games, with Kings allowing only seven goals in last five games. LA lost three of last five visits here; four of last eight series games went to OT. While games are on road, Kings obviously aren't flying, travel is easier, home ice edge a little less.

League-wide, over is 32-12-11 in the playoffs, 3-1-3 in this round.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

What to take and leave from the first month of MLB betting

The first month – often the most challenging month for betting - of the MLB season is in the books. But what happened in April doesn’t necessarily carry over to May or to the rest of the baseball schedule.

We asked some of Covers Experts’ sharpest MLB handicappers to play a game of “Take It or Leave It”, telling you which early-season trends and outcomes you should take into May and which ones you should leave behind.

Steve Merril

Take it: “Pitchers will continue to dominate the hitters. Scoring has decreased significantly the past few seasons, especially since managers are quick to pull starting pitchers early and use spot middle relievers.”

Leave it: “Yankees' C.C. Sabathia has a history of starting slowly and did so this year, allowing six runs in his debut on April. He has settled down since and should pitch better in May than his overall 5.11 ERA would seem to indicate.”


Will Rogers

Take it: “Chicago White Sox 27-year-old rookie Jose Abreu leads the majors in home runs and RBIs, and watching him play I see no reason why he won't continue to be successful this season.”

Leave it: “The Brewers have the best record in baseball so far, and this is a trend I don't see continuing. They have been getting great pitching from their starters, but Wily Peralta and Marco Estrada are overachieving.”


Bryan Power

Take it: “Billy Beane continues to be smarter than the rest of his contemporaries and the Oakland GM has put together a team capable of continuing to stay atop the American League all season. Their run differential is the best in baseball, their starting rotation is good and their patience at the plate has once again led to them drawing more walks than any other team.”

Leave it: “The Atlanta Braves starting rotation was close to posting a sub 2.00 ERA in April. The list of teams in MLB history that have posted a sub 2.00 ERA in a calendar month is very small. While Atlanta's rotation is going to get healthier, the likelihood that they continue to post these kinds of incredible numbers is small.”


Sean Murphy

Take it: “I expect the Milwaukee Brewers to remain a profitable bet moving forward. We've seen it time and time again in the NL Central, with teams like the Reds and Pirates stepping to the forefront in recent years. And now it looks like it's the Brewers turn. With the Cardinals proving inconsistent and the Reds and Pirates struggling, Milwaukee should continue to thrive.”

Leave it: “I don't see the AL East staying down for long. The Yankees are currently the front runners but let's face it, all five teams have had their issues in the early going. I do expect one or two teams to separate themselves from the pack moving forward, and I think we can count on the defending world champion Red Sox to pick up their game as the season progresses.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Milwaukee -150 over Arizona (MLB TOP PLAY)

Arizona has lost 29 of the last 45 games when playing on a Monday and they have also lost 65 of the last 115 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs.Arizona has lost 82 of the last 140 games when playing as an underdog of +175 to 250 and they have lost 19 of the last 30 games when playing in the 1st half of the season.

================================================== ===



50* Play Oakland -170 over Seattle (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Cleveland -160 over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

MONDAY
NBA BASKETBALL

1000* Play Oklahoma City -5 over LA Clippers (NBA TOP PLAY)
9:30 PM EST

Oklahoma City has won 32 of the last 44 games when the total posted is greater than 210 points and they have also won 30 of the last 46 games coming off an OVER the total in their last game.Oklahoma City has won 33 of the last 49 games after scoring 105 points or more and they have won 45 of the last 62 games coming off a win in their last game.

50* Play Washington +4.5 over Indiana (NBA BONUS PLAY)

=========================================


NHL HOCKEY


50* Play Los Angeles +120 over Anaheim (NHL BONUS PLAY)
50* Play NY Rangers -120 over Pittsburgh (NHL BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

MONDAY



Play Washington +4.5 over Indiana (NBA)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
7:00 PM EST


Washington has covered the spread in 17 of the last 24 games when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and they have also covered the spread in 29 of the last 46 games when playing six or less games in fourteen days.Washington has won 8 of the last 9 overall games and they have covered the spread in 64 of the last 118 games after covering the spread in their last game.




Play Oklahoma City -5 over Los Angeles Clippers (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL

================================================== =======


NHL HOCKEY



Play Los Angeles +130 over Anaheim (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
Play New York Rangers -110 over Pittsburgh (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

MONDAY BASEBALL




Play Pittsburgh +110 over San Francisco----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
7:10 PM EST


Matt Cain has lost 4 consecutive games after giving up 7 runs or more in his last outing and he has lost 13 of the last 23 games when pitching on a Monday. Matt Cain has lost 20 of the last 36 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he is 0-2 in road games this season with an ERA of 5.25.




Play Texas +120 over Colorado----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
8:40 PM EST


Jordan Lyles has lost 12 of the last 14 inter-league games and he has lost 21 of the last 33 games when pitching in the 1st half of the season. Jordan Lyles has lost 22 of the last 35 home games and he is 0-5 vs. Texas over his career with an ERA of 9.82.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

MONDAY

NBA Basketball


10* Play Washington +4.5 over Indiana (NBA TOP PLAY)
10* Play Oklahoma City -5 over LA Clippers (NBA TOP PLAY)


NHL Hockey


10* Play Los Angeles +130 over Anaheim (NHL TOP PLAY)
10* Play NY Rangers -110 over Pittsburgh (NHL TOP PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

MONDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play New York Yankees +175 over LA Angels (MLB TOP PLAY)
Los Angeles is 7-16 when playing on a Monday the last two seasons
Los Angeles is 65-74 in night games the last two seasons
Los Angeles is 19-23 when playing as a home favorite of -125 to -175


10* Play Texas +120 over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)

Colorado is 39-73 vs. left-handed starting pitchers the last three seasons
Colorado is 9-29 in inter-league games the last three seasons
Colorado is 25-34 when playing in the month of May


=============================================


5* Play Chicago White Sox +125 over Chicago Cubs (MLB EXTRA PLAY)
5* Play Toronto +110 over Philadelphia (MLB EXTRA PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cleveland Insider (26-18-3 +5.80 L13D)

NBA
5* Indiana Pacers -4 over the Washington Wizards
5* Indiana Pacers ML -175 over the Washington Wizards
5* OKC Thunder -220 over the LA Clippers

NHL
5* Anaheim Ducks -135 over the LA Kings

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben burns

nhl

main event

ducks


tuesday

bost/mont under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

Los Angeles at Anaheim

The Ducks look to bounce back from their Game 1 loss and come into tonight's contest with a 4-1 record in their last 5 games versus the Kings. Anaheim is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-135). Here are all of today's playoff picks.


MONDAY, MAY 5
Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST


Game 15-16: Pittsburgh at NY Rangers (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.102; NY Rangers 11.211
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-105); Over


Game 17-18: Los Angeles at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.301; Anaheim 12.722
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-135); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wizards at Pacers: What bettors need to know

Washington Wizards at Indiana Pacers (-4, 183.5)

The Indiana Pacers looked like something much less than the juggernaut that ripped through the first four months of the regular season in the first round of the playoffs, needing seven games to dispatch of eighth-seeded Atlanta. The fifth-seeded Washington Wizards, who visit the top-seeded Pacers for Game 1 of the Eastern Conference semifinals on Monday, have been sitting home getting plenty of rest. The Wizards had little trouble scraping by the Chicago Bulls.

The series with Chicago fully prepared Washington to deal with a rugged defensive team, as the Bulls and Pacers were the top two clubs in most defensive categories during the regular season. The Wizards relied on different players each night and attacked Chicago from different sides to cruise to a five-game win in the first round. The Pacers trailed 3-2 in their first-round series and had a little trouble finding their identity along the way, switching the rotation in the last two games to provide more flexibility while trying to figure out what they would get from Roy Hibbert on a game-to-game basis.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE WIZARDS: Washington will have a full six days off between series after dispatching of Chicago on Tuesday with an ugly 75-69 win that proved the Wizards could play at that pace and still pull out the victory. “We just trust each other as a family,” point guard John Wall told reporters, “and that is why we’re playing so well right now.” Wall led the way with 24 points in the series-clinching win and averaged 18.8 points in the series despite shooting just 36.4 percent. Bradley Beal and Trevor Ariza took turns picking Wall up from the outside while Nene, who was eased into the rotation off the bench over the last few games of the regular season after missing six weeks with a sprained MCL, emerged as a force down low and will provide a tough match for Indiana forward David West.

ABOUT THE PACERS: Indiana trailed by 30 points in Game 5 before finally inserting Chris Copeland into the rotation and adding some versatility to the offense. The Pacers ended up losing that game by 10 but took the next two, putting together a nice comeback at the end of Game 6 before controlling the pace in Game 7. Hibbert’s play was a big issue in the first six games, with the All-Star center carrying over his poor play from the regular season and logging 12 ineffective minutes in each Games 5 and 6. Hibbert finally found something in Game 7 and ended up with 13 points, seven rebounds and five blocks in the 92-80 win. “You always feel for guys on your team that are struggling,” coach Frank Vogel said of Hibbert. “…(It was) gratifying to stay with him and then see him step up the way he did (in Game 7).”

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Indiana.
* Wizards are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Indiana.
* Wizards are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.
* Under is 5-1 in Pacers last six overall.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Pacers held the Wizards to an average of 69.5 points in winning the first two regular-season meetings but Washington earned a 91-78 home win on March 28.

2. Indiana F Paul George averaged 23.9 points and recorded six double-doubles in the first round.

3. Beal shot 45.5 percent from beyond the arc in the first round.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kings at Ducks: What bettors need to know

Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks (-130, 5)

After Marian Gaborik provided quite the detour in the opener, the Freeway Faceoff continues on Monday as the host Anaheim Ducks look to even their Western Conference second-round series with the Los Angeles Kings at one game apiece. Anaheim was poised to take Game 1 before Gaborik scored the tying goal with seven seconds remaining in the third period and netted the winning tally 12:07 into overtime in Los Angeles' 3-2 triumph on Saturday. The Slovak is tied with Colorado's Paul Stastny and Chicago's Patrick Kane and Bryan Bickell with an NHL-leading five tallies this postseason.

While the Kings matched the Blackhawks with current five-game winning streaks, Pacific Division-champion Anaheim was left to sort through the emotions of a crushing defeat. "Well, you know, you get scored on with seven seconds to go, it's a tough one to swallow," Ducks coach Bruce Boudreau said. Jonas Hiller was victimized on the late tally but was strong in net with 33 saves while making his first start in nearly a month.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, NBCSN, TSN, RDS

ABOUT THE KINGS: Anze Kopitar has been the model of consistency in the playoffs, recording at least one point in all eight of the team's games and 10 straight dating back to the regular season. The Slovenian leads the NHL with 13 points (four goals, nine assists) and has 42 over the last three playoffs. Drew Doughty has eight points (one goal, seven assists) in as many games and logged a game-high 33:06 of ice time after fellow defenseman Robyn Regehr exited the series opener in the first period following a hit against the end boards by Anaheim veteran Teemu Selanne.

ABOUT THE DUCKS: The 43-year-old Selanne became the third-oldest player in league history to score a postseason goal, "trailing" Hall-of-Famers Gordie Howe (52, 1980) and Chris Chelios (45, 2007). The tally was the first of the playoffs for the Finnish Flash, who is expected to retire at the end of the postseason. Captain Ryan Getzlaf, who set up both of Anaheim's goals in Game 1, has registered a team-leading six assists and nine points.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Road team is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Kings are 5-0 in their last five overall.
* Ducks are 1-4 in their last five Conference Semifinals games.

OVERTIME:

1. Los Angeles has scored a power-play goal in each of its last six games (7-for-24) and killed all 19 short-handed situations in the last four contests.

2. Anaheim RW Corey Perry registered two shots on goal in Game 1, with his best chance at a wide-open net being thwarted by Kings D Alec Martinez early in overtime.

3. Los Angeles' next playoff win will be the 100th in franchise history.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monday's MLB betting cheat sheet

Bedard Baffles the Bronx Bombers

Those who bet the trends were flummoxed by Tampa Bay lefty Erik Bedard, who threw six sensational innings in a 5-1 triumph over the New York Yankees. The journeyman entered the game 3-18 against the moneyline in his last 21 appearances, while going 7-3 O/U in his previous 10 outings.

Dog Day Afternoon

The underdogs enjoyed a strong Sunday, going 7-7 in afternoon action. It could have been an even more profitable day for the 'dogs, but favorites Oakland, Miami, Cincinnati and San Diego all scored single runs in the ninth inning to pull out victories.

Houston May Have a Problem

The Detroit Tigers welcome the Houston Astros to Comerica Park on Monday as a whopping -270 favorite - their biggest line of the young season. Detroit is 7-1 in its last eight games as a favorite of -200 or better.

Pitching Notes

* Rejuvenated Oakland Athletics left-hander Scott Kazmir has been automatic on the moneyline, going 6-0 this season and 8-0 since last September - all as a favorite. Kazmir's Athletics are a -190 fave for Monday's encounter with the visiting Seattle Mariners.

* Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Matt Garza has been as predictable as they come so far in 2014, going 3-0 O/U in three road starts and 0-3 O/U in three home outings. Garza and the Brewers (-160, 8) entertain the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Hitting Notes

* Detroit Tigers outfielder Rajai Davis has four multi-hit efforts in his past seven games; the Tigers have won all four while going 4-0 O/U in that stretch.

* The Cleveland Indians are 1-5 O/U in the last six games in which slugger Carlos Santana doesn't record a hit. Santana went 0-for-8 in back-to-back games against the Chicago White Sox over the weekend and is hitting .152 for the season.

Total Streaks

Toronto Blue Jays (5-1 O/U): Injuries in the pitching staff and the gradual return to form of the potent lineup has the Blue Jays one of the hottest "over" tickets in the American League to date (19-11-1). Toronto (+104, 9) visits Philadelphia on Monday night.

Prop of the Day

The Under for combined hits for the Seattle Mariners and Oakland A's is being offered at -120 at Bet365. The two American League West clubs have played six games thus far and have finished Under 15 combined hits four times.

Injury Watch

* The San Francisco Giants have placed pitcher Matt Cain on the 15-day disabled list with a lacerated finger. Cain has been the Giants' least valuable starter since the middle of last season, going 4-16 against the moneyline in his previous 20 starts.

* Cincinnati Reds outfielder Jay Bruce will undergo surgery to repair a torn meniscus in his left knee and could miss up to four weeks. Bruce has just three home runs on the season, and his early-season struggles are a factor in the Reds sitting at -250 units through their first 31 games.

Weather Watch

* Offense at Wrigley Field could be curtailed for Monday's game between the Chicago Cubs and the cross-town White Sox. Wind will blow in from center field at 10 mph; teams combined to bat just .246 in 10 games under those situations last season.

[golden contender]

Monday card has four big 5* plays. In the NBA We have an Undefeated game 1 second round power system. In MLB There are 3 big 5* totals systems, 2 are averaging ...over 12 runs the past 10 seasons. NBA Top play on Spurs cash. Free NHL Play below.


On Monday the free NHL Play is on the Anaheim Ducks in game 2. Game number 18 at 10:05 eastern. The Ducks will look to rebound tonight in game 2 tonight and history shows they have a solid chance. The Ducks are 8-1 with home loss revenge and have won 6 of the last 8 off 1 exact previous home loss. Prior to their game 1 loss to the Kings the had defeated L.A. 4 of the last 5 times. The Ducks have won 22 of 28 vs Divisional teams. The Kings are riding a 5 game win streak after coming back from a 3-0 deficit against San Jose. Tonight will be the toughest game to win as home teams in game 2 go all out, knowing losing the first 2 at home has historically ended any chance of winning a series. Look for the Ducks to rebound and get game 2 tonight. On Monday we have a Powerful night with 4 top 5* plays. In the NBA we have a Huge round 2 opening game 100% system. In MLB We have 3 Perfect totals systems that date to 2004 and 2 are averaging over 12 runs per game. Jump on and Start the week big with the most powerful data in the industry. For the free play take the Anaheim Ducks. GC


HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 1-game-nil @ V:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 1-game-nil with site order V (LA. Kings) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2014 NHL Preliminary round:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 224-177 (.559)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Quarterfinals round: 56-45 (.554)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 119-96 (.553)
series record, NHL only, Quarterfinals round: 33-24 (.579)
Game 2 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 134-267 (.334)
Game 2 record, all best-of-7 sports, Quarterfinals round: 33-68 (.327)
Game 2 record, NHL only, all rounds: 82-133 (.381)
Game 2 record, NHL only, Quarterfinals round: 23-35 (.404)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Guaranteed Sports Picks

Wizards

Clippers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond

10* Los Angeles Kings +121

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

2* Pacers -4
2* Thunder -5.5

2* Twins +135
2* Mets +$117
2* D-Backs +135
2* Rangers +105
2* Mariners +165
2* Yankees +140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

500* Royals -130

100* Thunder -5.5

100* Cubs -120

50* DBacks/Brewers Over 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

20 DIME
PLAYOFF MONEY MOVE
#3 IN A ROW

Wizards Pacers Under 183.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports

4.5* Athletics -1.5 +110

1.5* Angels -1.5 +125

1* Cardinals / Braves Over 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KELSO NBA


25 washington

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root
Billionaire Pacers
Millionaire Oklahoma City

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HURLEY NBA


small wash
small ok city

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's NHL


3-unit Play Take #18 Anaheim Ducks (-130) over Los Angeles Kings (10:05pm EST)

The Los Angeles Kings are the better team in this matchup, but they didn't play like it in Game 1. The Kings were lucky to escape with a dramatic 3-2 win in overtime after tying the game with just seven seconds remaining in regulation. Anaheim dictated the tempo and played very well after a lengthy layoff, but they couldn't seal the deal. Tonight's game becomes virtually a must-win situation for the Ducks, as they can't go to Los Angeles down 0-2 against a Kings team that is very tough at home. Anaheim had actually won four straight versus the Kings coming into this series, so they definitely know how to attack them. It won't be easy but I expect Anaheim to fight their way back into the series with a close win tonight. Take the Ducks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports


3-unit Play Take St. Louis Cardinals/Atlanta Braves OVER 7.5 (7:10pm EST)


3-unit Play Take #966 Oakland A's (-190) over Seattle Mariners (10:05pm EST)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3-Unit Play. #701. Take Over 183.5 Washington vs. Indiana (Monday @ 7:05pm est).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ferringo




3-Unit Play. Take #953 San Francisco (-110) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Monday, May 5)
2-Unit Play. Take #951 L.A. Dodgers (-110) over Washington (7 p.m., Monday, May 5)
1-Unit Play. Take #969 Toronto (+100) over Philadelphia (7 p.m., Monday, May 5)
1-Unit Play. Take #971 Chicago White Sox (+110) over Chicago Cubs (8 p.m., Monday, May 5)
1-Unit Play. Take #975 Kansas City (-120) over San Diego (10 p.m., Monday, May 5)


Totals

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.0 L.A. Dodgers at Washington (7 p.m., Monday, May 5)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 7.0 San Francisco at Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Monday, May 5)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 8.0 N.Y. Yankees at L.A. Angels (10 p.m., Monday, May 5)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 6.5 Kansas City at San Diego (10 p.m., Monday, May 5)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi MLB


Monday, May 5, 2014


After a dismal weekend of MLB results, we will turn things around with 6 Monday night winners, now that teams have changed opponents. It’s a new set of opponents for the NBA as well, with the opening of Round 2 set for Monday night. Game 1 of a new series offers some of the best possibilities in the NBA Playoffs. Be there for the winners!




MLB


Los Angeles Dodgers (Greinke) (-105) at Washington Nationals (Zimmerman) 7:05 ET


4% LA Dodgers (-105)


The Nats went scoreless for us yesterday, in a tough 1-0 loss. Well aware that they are still on a current run of 7-2/L and that Zimmerman was one of the best home pitchers in MLB last season. Such has not been the case this year. In 4 appearances, Zimmerman has posted a 4.58 ERA from this mound. Zimmerman has also had little success in his appearances vs. the Dodgers. In 4 outings, he has worked 21 2/3 IP, allowing 16 runs for a 6.65 ERA and .327 BAA. The Dodgers have won 5 straight from Washington, holding them to a total of 6 runs with a .219 BA. Expect a continuation tonight, as Greinke takes the mound. Greinke has become the most consistent pitcher in MLB. He has allowed 2 or less earned runs in 21 consecutive starts. For the season, Greinke is 5-0 with a 2.04 ERA and 46/6 KBB. In 3 starts vs. Washington, Greinke is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA. We won’t get off Greinke until he loses! It is worthwhile to note that after their 5-4 loss at Miami, LAD remains 12-5 on the road. All greater than .500 YTD MLB teams, playing on the road following a defeat, are 57-31 (though just 6-8 in May).






San Francisco Giants (Petit) (-105) at Pittsburgh Pirates (Locke) 7:05 ET


4% San Francisco (-105)


The Giants come in hot (at 9-1 and 5-0). The Pirates are clearly not! After winning two against the lifeless pitching staff of the Jays, the Bucs reverted to form in a 7-2 Sunday loss. The current streak is now 4-11. They have scored 2 or less runs in 16 of their 31 games. Locke will not be the answer. After being selected to the All Star Game last season, Locke finished the year on a down turn. In his last 11 starts, he was 1-5 with a 6.66 ERA. His time at triple A Indianapolis this season has not been much better. In 4 starts, Locke has worked 19 IP. Although his control has improved with a 17/5 KBB, he is getting battered about by triple A hitters. The result is a 5.68 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP. Far prefer Petit, who is 2-1 for the season with a 2.61 ERA. In his lone start of the year, Petit worked 6 innings, allowing 3 hits with a 4/0 KBB in a 6-0 shutout of San Diego.






NY Mets (Niese) at Miami Marlins (Eovaldi) (-130) 7:10 ET


3% ACTION Miami (-130)


Each of these starters has done well for the season and is in great current form. Niese has a 2.20 ERA for the year. In 3 recent starts, he has worked 6+ innings, allowing one run in each. In a similar way, Eovaldi has a 2.58 ERA with a strong 35/5 KBB. His most recent 3 starts have resulted in a 0.95 ERA. In a trio of starts against the Mets, Eovaldi has a 2.50 ERA. The meaningful difference is the strong home field of the Marlins. The Mets must travel east, a pair of time zones from Colorado. Here, they will face a Miami team, who is 8-1 at home of late, scoring 59 runs. At the beginning of the season, I wrote that I expected huge improvement from Miami, and that young teams often emerge at home. Just such has been the case. We continue with that philosophy.






Arizona Diamondbacks (Bolsinger) at Milwaukee Brewers (Garza) (-145) 8:10 ET


3% ACTION Arizona (+135)


Neither of these pitchers is performing to potential. Though Bolsinger has a sharp 19/5 KBB, he has a bloated 5.79 ERA. Garza has been the weak link of the Brewer rotation with a record of 1-3 and 5.00 ERA. He has allowed 4 or more runs in 4 out of 6 recent starts. In his most recent outing, he lasted just 3+ IP, allowing 5 runs in a 9-3 loss to St. Louis. But, the real reason for this play is the correction these teams are undergoing. The D’Backs’ horrific start has been characterized by their 3-15 home record. On the road, they are actually 8-8. Only 4 teams are playing sub .400 ball. Arizona soon will not be one of them. They are a solid 8-8 on the road. Milwaukee has returned to earth since Braun has gone on the DL. Last week, the Brewers went 3-4 with a .204 BA. Though 11 games separates these teams in the standings at this point, their records could be very comparable by the end of the season.






NY Yankees (Phelps) at LA Angels (Weaver) (-150) 10:00 ET


3% NYY (+140)


Each of these teams has some current negative form. The Yankees were a Top Play loser for us yesterday, when they had trouble with the slants of Bedard (of all people) and the pitching staff has been the major reason for their recent 1-4 slide. The staff has recorded a 6.49 ERA, with a .342 BAA. Those are the same problems that the Angels are having. In their 1-2 weekend vs. Texas on this field, Angels’ starters allowed 14 earned runs in 14 2/3 IP. Though Weaver has improved since his shaky start, the sight of Pinstripes may make him shutter. In 13 starts against NYY, he has worked 74 1/3 IP for a 5.93 ERA. The Yankees remain a winning team, despite their recent down slide. All greater than .500 YTD MLB teams, who are playing on the road following a loss, are 57-31 this year (though just 6-8 in May).






Kansas City Royals (Ventura) (-115) at San Diego Padres (Stults) 10:10 ET


3% Kansas City (-115)


Each of these teams enters in a funk. The Royals have lost 4 straight. The Padres are 1-4 of late scoring a total of just 9 runs, with a .178 BA. That is a continuation of their scoring problems which has seen the Padres plate 3 or less runs in 13/17 recent games. As a result, we’ll take the hotter arm at this competitive price. Know that this year in MLB, home teams are just 235-225 (51%) with road favorites being 80-58 (58%). For the season, Stults is 1-3 with a 5.34 ERA. He lasted just 2 2/3 IP of his previous start, allowing 5 runs in a 6-0 loss to San Fran. Ventura enters with a string of 13 scoreless innings, a YTD 1.50 ERA, with a 31/11 KBB. In a pair of starts on the road this year, Ventura has worked 15 IP with a 0.60 ERA.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi Monday NBA


NBA PLAYOFFS


Washington Wizards at Indiana Pacers (-4) 7:00 ET TNT


3% Indiana Pacers (-4)


It took the top seeded Pacers 7 games to dispose of No. 8 seed Atlanta. As a result, they have just 2 days rest as they enter 2nd Round play. The surprising Wizards dumped the experienced Bulls in 5 games, going 4-1 ATS, covering by 34 points. Washington was able to use their greater athleticism to great success against the plodding Bulls, who never found an offensive rhythm in the series. The Wiz are not unlike the Pacers’ 1st Round opponent, Atlanta. The Saturday game was the epitome of that series, when Atlanta launched 44 triples in an effort to stay competitive against the bigger, stronger Pacers. It was not until the last 2 games (wins of 92-80 and 95-88 by Indiana) that they figured out how to close the gaps of the driving lanes that were being exploited by PG Teague. In those last two wins, the Indiana defense held Atlanta to just 33% shooting and 84 PPG. If they can use that same philosophy of success against the upstart Wizards, their Round 2 series will be far shorter than Round 1. But, the bigger picture creates enough doubt to prevent a Top Rating. Indiana is still just 16-15 SU and on a 9-28 ATS slide. Washington played their best on the road this year, with a record of 28-12 ATS when not taking more than 9 points. Yet, in a pair of visits to Bankers Life, Washington was crushed 93-66 and 93-77. That means Indiana has now won 12 straight on this court vs. Washington. Combined with what they learned in their Series with the Hawks, it could spell early demise for the young, emerging Wizards.






LA Clippers at OKC Thunder (-5) 9:35 ET TNT


3% OKC (-5)


These two split the season series with each winning on the home court of the other. That was not really a surprise, as they are both winning road teams. In fact, the Clippers are 22-12 ATS on the road, +6 to -6. They share other similarities in that each loves to go up-tempo, the reason for this bloated total, and that each was forced to 7 games by quality foes. When each won Game 7 of their series on Saturday, it pushed the record for NBA Game 7 home teams to 119-24 SU (83%). Only Toronto failed in Game 7 this year, making the 1st Round mark jive with the lifetime average. Now, they each begin Round 2 with short rest. In the 126-121 Clipper closeout on Saturday, they shot 55% from the field with 6 players knocking in 15 or more points. Paul had 22 points and an amazing 14 assists. Jordan continued his interior dominance of the under-manned front court of Golden with another big night of 15/18. Do not expect such numbers against OKC big man, Perkins. Earlier in the evening, Durant and Westbrook combined for 60 points. Westbrook added 10 boards and 16 dimes as the Thunder shot 61% in their 2nd half domination of a Memphis team playing without a suspended, Zack Randolph. In the fastest pace matchup of the Round 2 series, I look for the Thunder to defend home court and take the early series lead.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps


The Marlins have absolutely been money at home this season, going 14-5 so far this season. The Mets are going to try and slow the Fish down at home now tonight as they send Jonathon Niese to the hill, who is sporting a 2-2 record with a 2.20 ERA. The Marlins are going to send Nathan Eovaldi to the mound, who has also been great this year with a 2-1 record and a 2.58 ERA. He has been really good over his past three outings, giving up just 2 ER over the last 19 innings, and Niese has struggled over his career against the Mets, sporting a 3-5 record with a 4.17 ERA against the Marlins. We like the home team here tonight. The Sharps say...


3 UNITS - MIAMI MARLINS (-129)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Philly Ross


5* Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Philly Prince W/ Tom Somach NHL


2* Wizards +4.5
3* Ducks/Kings Under 5
2* Ducks
2* Penguins
2* Twins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer Road Warrior GOW

LA Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy boyd

LA Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartan

Detroit -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

NBA
Washington +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports
3* Unit Play. Take Over 7.5 St. Louis at Atlanta (7:10 p.m., Monday, May 5)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe
3* Unit Play Take #951 Los Angeles Dodgers -110 over Washington (7:05pm est):

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
MLB
6* #954. Take Pittsburgh -105 over San Francisco (Monday @ 7:05pm est)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KING OF THE SPREAD


Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Rangers
5.5 Units – Bet Penguins Straight Up +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Capper University


MLB
San Francisco Giants ML v Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Mets v Miami Marlins – Over 7
Miami Marlins TTO3.5 v New York Mets
Detroit Tigers TTO4.5 v Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox TTO3 v Chicago Cubs


NBA
LA Clippers v OKC Thunder – Under 213

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bankroll Sports


2* St. Louis Cardinals ML-105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diysportsbettingsystems / Sam Oconnel


NHL – Anaheim Ducks PL-1.5 +230

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE REAL DEAL
Sports Picks


​MLB 500* Cleveland -146 MONEYLINE


MLB 500* Philadelphia -111 MONEYLINE​

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLBPredictions / Kevin

2 UNIT = Los Angeles Dodgers @ Washington Nationals – DODGERS TO WIN (-106)
Listed Pitchers: Grienke vs Zimmermann
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.89 units)

The Dodgers enter this game 18-14 on the season and 12-5 on the road. They lost 2 of 3 in Miami, but have won 4 of their last 6 during their current road trip. The Nationals are 17-14 and 9-8 at home and are coming off of a 5 game road trip where they went 3-2 but lost the final two in Philadelphia scoring just 2 runs. Zack Grienke will take the mound for Los Angeles and he is 5-0 on the season with a 2.04 ERA, .228 OBA and 1.05 WHIP. In his last start he pitched 6 shutout innings allowing 7 hits with 6 strikeouts and one walk. He has struckout 46 this year and walked just 6. The Dodgers are 5-1 in his 6 starts this season. Jordan Zimmermann will pitch for Washington and he is 2-1 on the year with a 3.27 ERA, .277 OBA and 1.33 WHIP. He too is coming off a scorless outing as he pitched 6.1 innings allowing 7 hits, no earned runs with 7 strikeouts and a walk vs the Astros. Although he’s had a pretty solid start to the season, the Nats are just 3-3 when he takes the mound. He has also really struggled vs the Dodgers over 4 career starts going 2-1 but with a 6.65 ERA, .322 OBA and 1.66 WHIP. 5 of the Dodgers top hitters (Kemp, Ramirez, Gonzalez, Ethier, Crawford) are all hitting at least .300 against Zimmermann with a minimum of 8 at-bats against him. Take note that the Dodgers are 3rd in the MLB with a .775 OPS vs righties, while the Nationals are just 21st at .676. Los Angeles is 22-6 in Grienke’s last 28 starts and 12-3 in his last 15 road starts. They are also 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs a team with a winning record, and 17-4 in his last 21 starts following a quality start in his previous appearance. The Nationals are just 2-5 in Zimmermann’s last 7 starts vs a team with a winning record, and 2-5 in his last 7 starts as a home underdog. The Dodgers have won 5 straight vs Washington and 4 of their last 5 in Washington. I’ll back Grienke and the Dodgers vs a good pitcher that they’ve had a lot of success against.

Kyle’s Pick(s)

2 UNIT = Kansas City Royals @ San Diego Padres – UNDER 6.5 RUNS (-110)
Listed Pitchers: Ventura vs. Stults
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)

Bumgarner and Wood held down the bats yesterday, as we hit a relatively easy winner on the UNDER 7. Another UNDER bet looks enticing to me for Monday night.

I was hoping to get a 7 here, but I still like it at 6.5. Yordana Ventura has been everything that was advertised in the preseason. There wasn’t much talk of him in the media simply because he plays for the Royals. If Ventura was playing for the Yankees or another high profile team you would have heard his name mentioned plenty by now. Regardless of where he plays, people should start to take note. In five starts this season he has already put forth three starts in which he didn’t allow a run. There was one start against the Twins where he got hit for 4 runs but that is about it. He also had 1 run charged to him against the Houston Astros. His last two starts yielded no runs against. The most impressive notion is the fact that he shut the Blue Jays and Orioles down. The Padres should pose no real threat to Ventura in this friendly ballpark. His season ERA stands at 1.50 with a 1.07 WHIP. The ERA goes all the way down to 0.60 on the road. In addition, Ventura has given up only 1 home run throughout the year. Note that the Padres hit just .207 against right-handed pitchers. He’ll be matched against a lefty on the other side, Eric Stults. I have been expecting more out of Stults this season, but there is still plenty of time to turn it around. His ERA of 5.34 should go down and more so reflect 3.93 from last season. In his last start at home he gave up only a run to the San Francisco Giants. I look for more of that tonight against an abysmal Royals’ offense. The Royals have produced just 3, 2, 2, and 4 in their last four games. Justin Verlander had a no-hitter going against them yesterday before that was broken up in the 6th. Stults’ WHIP falls down to 1.27 at home as well, he should be able to look good in this matchup. Lastly, the Royals prefer right-handed pitching, where they are hitting .256 compared to .222 against lefties. Therefore, the average batting average of both teams is .214 heading into Monday night. Look for a pitching duel at a ballpark that produces a ton of them.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

SELECTION:
LOS ANGELES DODGERS ML-110

(Grienke/Zimmermann)
Name me a better pitcher than Grienke right now. Exactly my point. As long as he is at even money you take him. Who cares if you lose at a value this good. The Nationals have a few key bats out that will keep them from scoring a ton of runs for a while. Take the Dodgers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas gunners

nba) 9:30 pm est – los angeles clippers vs. Oklahoma city thunder
los angeles clippers +5.5 (-110) – risk 10 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

extra pick:

Atlanta Braves -117 over the St. Louis Cardinals (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 7:10 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo -

Hondo endured a painful split Sunday, winning with the A’s over the Sawx but stumbling with favored Rockies, whose loss to the Metamucils expanded the deficit to 755 aarons.
Monday night: Mr. Aitch is hailing Nathan and the Marlins — and regrets to say he has but 10 units for an investment. Also, he expects to coast with Ventura — 10 units on the Royals over San Diego

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Nets (+3) on Sunday and likes the Indians on Monday. The deficit is 265 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LT LOCK

Pacers -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Falcon Sports

Ducks -125

Tigers -1- -125 listing Scherzer/Cosart

[Can'tPickAWinner]

triple-dime bet 702 IND -4.0 (-110) Hilton vs 701 WAS
Analysis:


PLAY: INDIANA
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY






Game 1 of the series tonight between Washington & Indiana and I absolutely love this this play. First off be·cause Indiana struggled down the stretch and with Atlanta we are getting great line value with Indiana. In my opinion this line should be 2 points higher. Also I have to point out the fact that even when Indiana was playing good they had trouble with Atlanta over the last 2 seasons. So I think the public has totally over reacted to the Indiana situation. Bottom line is that Indiana won and moved on yes they were a #1 seed that needed 7 games but hey so did the Spurs. Here's what's got me liking Indiana their defense is playing good again as they held Atlanta to 39% shooting or less in 5 of the last 6 games. If Indiana does that against Washington they win by a very comfortable margin. Also let's look at Washington as they have been sitting for almost a week which yes means they are a rested team but they are also a rusty team. Indiana now has momentum from that Game 7 win and the crowd is back on the Pacer bandwagon as the game that they were losing by 30 may just be the game that turned their back around. My numbers have Indiana winning by 7 or more.


TAKE INDIANA as MARCO'S 3* NBA BLOCKBUSTER MAX BET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports
#703/704: Under Thunder: 211.5 -105 (2*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux


NBA
Wash +4
MLB
Miami

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dominic Brando's Inner Circle Monday All-Sports Report
*** NBA 1.5 Unit Eastern Conference Semifinals Game of the Year
INDIANA PACERS ML -175 over Washington




MLB (All Regular 1 Unit Selections)
Philadelphia Phillies (Happ/Action) -110 over Toronto Blue Jays
Pittsburgh Pirates (Action/Locke) Even Money/+100 over San Francisco Giants
Texas Rangers (Perez/Action) +105 over Colorado Rockies
Kansas City Royals (Ventura/Action) -115 over San Diego Padres
Cleveland Indians (Action/McAllister) -155 over Minnesota Twins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Godfather Locks NBA 2nd Round Series Predictions


1 Pacers over 5 Wizards
2 Heat over 6 Nets


1 Spurs over 5 Blazers
3 Clippers over 2 Thunder

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SweetJones55
(1*) Thunder 1st Qtr
(1.5) Wizards TT OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Gomes -
3 units (Single Dime Play) on Pacers/Wizards Under 184 @ -110 / 1.91

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Shaker’s Shorts

#955 St Louis Cardinals/Atlanta Braves – OVER 4 -110 1st 5 Innings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TMC Sports Advisors

Milwaukee -140

Dodgers -110

Detroit -1.5 -120

NBA

Oklahoma -5.5

Washigton +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

70% computer play
cubs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Derek Hayes

1* Wizards +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Gomes
OKC -5.5


OKC under 213

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SEAN MICHAELS

50 DIMER

Cheap Chalk MLB Game of the Month

Phillies

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Godfatherlocks picks...


NBA
5* #1- Washington Wizards +4
5* #2- LA Clippers +5.5


MLB
5* Washington Nationals +102
3* Cleveland Indians -158
2* San Diego Padres +106
1* Arizona Diamondbacks +128

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NonStopSportsPicks


Nets (+415) vs Heat (-550) – The Nets took care of business against the Heat this season. They won EVERY game the teams played, both at home and on the road. So they know how to match up against the Heat. However, I am just NOT seeing how that matters. The Nets advanced from the first round, although they struggled at times. What I saw against the Raptors was that they struggle immensely to finish games at times and go through long scoring draughts. That was against the RAPTORS. Miami’s defense is about 10x as good, and really the key for the Nets seems to be Deron Williams. When he’s aggressive, ball movement and scoring happens more freely. But I’m not sure he’s healthy enough to do it night in and night out. And honestly, even if he does, I don’t think it matters. I see the Heat taking both in Miami, splitting in Brooklyn, and then winning in 5/6.


Pacers (-180) vs Wizards (+150) – The Pacers nearly lost to the Hawks and myself and clients are glad they didn’t. We placed a 1.5* bet on the Pacers to win the series at -185, which was DOWN from the opening line at -600. Overreaction by the market, and we took the VALUE. This is a series the Pacers should handle. The Wizards had a good matchup against the Bulls (we took the Wizards +170 to win the series last round) and the Bulls couldn’t score. While I think the Pacers are exhausted from playing TOO hard all season to get the #1 seed, I just don’t see them losing 4 games to the Wizards. That being said, we’re going to place a 1.5* wager on the Pacers to win the series. I’m hoping that the Pacers win game 1, and then we will look to come back and take the Wizards +300 + or so to GUARANTEE we profit. We will bet 1* on the Wizards if they lose game 1 to win 3* or maybe a bit more. Prediction: Pacers in 6/7.


Thunder (-200) vs Clippers (+175) – This should be a great series. Two teams that can flat out score. And it won’t be scoring that determines the outcome of this series, it will be defense. And I frankly haven’t seen ANY or little to ANY from the Clippers to have MUCH confidence in them winning this series. Still…I don’t think OKC is a 2 to 1 favorite to win this series. So no pre-series bet in this one. We’re going to hope that OKC wins game 1, and then we can hopefully get the Clippers at around +300, which we will bet. Think of it from the perspective that home teams should at least split in the first 2 at home and want to win both, so if the Thunder do what they should do…then we have VALUE on the Clippers at that point. We’ll look to play it after game 1. Prediction – OKC in 7.


Spurs (-340) vs Trailblazers (+270) – Spurs. Spurs. Spurs. I won’t ask anyone to lay 3.4* to win 1*, but the Spurs will dominate this series. The Blazers get one game in Portland, just because RIP city is a tough place to play, but this is Spurs in 5. Spurs are incredible on the road, and even in the regular season when they sit their starters, they STILL win often! The Blazers were able to hang around in games against the Rockets, and then came back late to win. The Spurs will go for the kill and won’t let them just “hang around”. And I think that Popovich is such an outstanding coach, he will completely shut down Lilliard. From there, the Blazers DO have Aldridge, who is incredible. But Duncan is better than advertised on defense. The Spurs are just TOO much for this over-achieving Blazers team. Prediction: Spurs in 5.


Series Parlay: Heat & Spurs Series Parlay: 2.5* to win 2* (this will vary from book to book).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gordon24

Clippers +5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Youngstown Connection

Date: Monday May 5, 2014
$20.00 MLB Play #1

#951 Los Angeles -107 705PM Eastern

Line from CRIS
Line as of 225PM Eastern 5/5/14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris James Sports

4-1 Yesterday, 73-46-1 YTD

Royals -117
Mets +125
Over Twins 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover
-= TOP PLAY =-
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NBA May 05 '14
9:35p Los Angeles Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Take: Oklahoma City Thunder -5-110 in 13h
Not only is this a better matchup for Oklahoma City than it had against physical, grind-it-out Memphis, but it's a top-notch situational spot.

The Thunder are back to peak form after blowing out the Grizzlies during the last two games of their first-round series. They are in a much better spot than the Clippers, who are still trying to deal and sort out the Donald Sterling mess along with trying to reach an emotional balance after a huge but draining Game 7 victory just two nights ago at home against feisty rival Golden State.

The Clippers are very talented, but they lack the maturity and polish of the Spurs and Heat to deal with such a short turnaround.

The Thunder are back clicking. That should continue against the Clippers, who are not nearly the defense team Memphis is. Kevin Durant is back on fire averaging 34.5 points on 56 percent shooting from the floor during the last two games. The Clippers lack a Tony Allen-type defender to contain him.

Oklahoma City is 10-4-2 ATS during its last 16 games at Chesapeake Energy Arena. The Thunder also are 19-9-2 ATS when playing on one day's rest.

Chris Paul isn't 100 percent because of a sore hamstring and the Clippers have failed to cover eight of the past 10 times versus above .500 opponents

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Picks

Game: Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Indians
Time: Sunday 05/04 1:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Cleveland -148 (moneyline) at BetPhoenix

The Chicago White Sox aren't getting it done away from home with a 5-10 road record. The offense has gone to sleep during a four-game skid, scoring nine runs the last four contests. The White Sox are 30-61 following a loss, plus 16-35 as an underdog. Starter Andre Rienzo may be 2-0, but he's walked six in 13 innings and allowed 17 base runners, with a poor 8-6 strikeout to walk ratio. The White Sox are 6-21 in the last 27 meetings with the Indians, plus 1-10 in the last 11 meetings in Cleveland. Meanwhile, Cleveland is good at home with a winning record, and has Corey Kluber going with a 35-10 strikeout to walk ratio in 37 innings. He is 2-1 at home with a 2.91 ERA, and the Indians are 15-7 in Kluber's last 22 starts, as well as 10-2 in Kluber's last 12 home starts. Play the Cleveland Indians.


Game: Los Angeles Dodgers @ Washington Nationals
Time: Monday 05/05 7:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Washington +103 (moneyline) at Sportsbook.com

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a ton of talent in their rotation and have a deep line up, but they have not translated that into a record that equals what you see on paper. Washington is even with them in the loss column on the season. Jordan Zimmermann gives the Nats a good look tonight as he is rounding into form at 2-1 with a 3.27 ERA on the season. Zack Greinke is capable of shutting down the Nats as he has been 5-0 on the season for the Dodgers. The problem for Los Angeles has been a shaky bullpen that blew a 7-2 lead vs. the light hitting Marlins, and supplied a walk off loss yesterday as well. The Dodgers have been no-shows in series openers where they are just 1-5 in their last six, and the Nats are an impressive 37-17 in Zimmermann's last 54 starts. Make the play on Washington.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Stevens

Brewers
Clippers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

OC Dooley

2 Units Royals / Padres Over 6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Anthony Michael

Washington Wizards +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

James Jones

Rangers +108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2Halves2Win:

1* GAME: Wizards +4 (-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep

961 Under 8 -110 Min Cle $1000
954 Pitt -105 $1000
974 Colorado -110 $1000
969 Toronto -105 $1000

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Don Best
Marlins-130
Rangers +105