PDA

View Full Version : 5-11-14



Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 12:21 AM
::clap::

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 12:23 AM
Pacers/Wizards: The Game Inside the Game
By DAVID MALINSKY

How much fun is it to be able to talk about a team named Wizards with a reference back to Oz? But that really may be the starting point as Game #4 approaches – a young team is dealing head-on with the notion that they “are not in Kansas anymore”. And dealing with that notion is tantamount as you build your handicap.

Earlier in this series there was a take on how under-rated the Washington defense has been by the betting markets (http://www.covers.com/articles/articles.aspx?theArt=371887), and so far in this matchup they are holding the Pacers to 89 ppg on 42.3 percent shooting. But that has only been good enough to win one of the three games. The defense has held up well as the playoff pressure increases because that part of the game is largely about intensity and effort. But offense requires poise, precision and proper decision-making, which for the Wizards has been an entirely different matter.

The Washington offense was a disaster in Game #3 on Friday, failing to top 18 points in any quarter, on 32.9 percent shooting, with an alarming count of 17 turnovers vs. only 10 assists. Even when unguarded it was dismal, with an 11-21 from the FT line. But instead of isolating that as a single game, was it a continuation of a “Kansas” moment from Wednesday at Indianapolis?

The Wizards led the Pacers 77-74 with 5:00 remaining in that game. It was a chance to go up 2-0 by sweeping the road set, and to psychologically take control of the series. That created a heady moment for a young team that did not even harbor significant playoff aspirations when the season began. And they did not handle it well.

Washington made two baskets over the final 5:00, one of them an easy alley-up finish by Marcin Gortat. Outside of that it was 1-8 from the field, with six of the shots coming from 3-point range. A couple of them were hideous, with John Wall twice forcing triples early in the shot clock after offensive rebounds had extended a possession. If someone called that a meltdown, you should not argue the point.

That carried over into Friday, and now creates a crisis of confidence on offense for a team that has produced counts of 18-17-16-12-18 over the last five quarters. It is a crisis that becomes magnified by the fact that the Pacers were #1 in the league in defensive efficiency this season, by more than a full point per 100 possessions better than anyone else, and are a full 3.1 points lower than anyone else in the post-season. Of course we negate the latter somewhat because of the weak competition, but Washington now represents 144 minutes of that competition.

Your starting point to properly attack Game #4 is not about Zig Zag trends involving beaten home favorites, or any lingering anti-Indiana notions that are still in the air. It is whether or not the Wizards can be trusted to play with poise on the offensive end, and show the mental toughness to work deep into a shot clock to make something good happen. You need not fear their ability to guard; that will be there. But even with five playoff wins under their belts already, the offense remains an open issue. In this game, it may be “the” open issue.

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 12:25 AM
Game of the Day: Pacers at Wizards

Indiana Pacers at Washington Wizards (-4.5, 180.5)

Pacers lead series 2-1.

Whatever it was the Indiana Pacers lost in the second half of the regular season and through the first eight games of the playoffs, they appear to have found it again. The Washington Wizards are now back on their heels and will try to avoid falling into a 3-1 hole in the Eastern Conference semifinals when they host the Pacers in Game 4 on Sunday. Roy Hibbert came out of his funk in Game 2 and is leading a suffocating defense for Indiana.

The Wizards controlled the pace in Game 1 and looked like they would cruise to a series win before Hibbert, who had been scoreless in three of the previous four playoff games, went for a season-high 28 points to guide the Pacers to a win in Game 2. The All-Star center kept that form in Game 3 and put his stamp on the game on the defensive end as Washington was held to 32.9 percent shooting in an 85-63 loss. The Wizards scored a regular season-low 66 points in a loss to Indiana on Jan. 10 and set the franchise low for points in the Game 3 loss.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: The Wizards opened as 4.5-point faves, were bet to -5 and are back to -4.5. The total opened at 180 and is up a half-point to 180.5.

INJURY REPORT: N/A.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "It (Game 3) was a huge game for the Wizards who were hosting their first 2nd round NBA playoff game in quite some time, there was a huge buzz in the arena and around town, so for them to come out that flat and lay that kind of egg when the spotlight was on them is a big time concern. The Pacers have been dealing with questions for the past 3 months, you never know what team will show up on what night. They are truly an enigma and as badly as they’ve played in these playoffs, they’re actually starting to turn it on. They’ve won and covered 4 of their last 5 games and the resurgences of Roy Hibbert, while baffling, has really turned this team’s fortunes." - Peter Childs of Sportsbook.ag.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "I think like a lot of us, the oddsmakers are having a difficult time getting a firm read on Indiana. The Pacers are a different team when center Roy Hibbert is dominating as opposing defences are forced to double team the big man, and that of course creates space on the outside for the talented sharp-shooters of Indiana's to operate. I am not playing this contest personally, but believe the Wizards are in trouble if Hibbert continues to re-invent himself." - Covers Expert Art Aronson.

ABOUT THE PACERS: Indiana made its mark in the first half of the regular season as a defensive juggernaut, running up the best record in the league on the strength of that defense before slumping badly over the final two months. The Pacers wanted to get back to that rugged style in the postseason and finally accomplished that over the last two games. “This was probably the ugliest game of the postseason thus far,” Paul George told reporters of Game 3. “This is our style of basketball. Every now and then this team is fortunate to get hot offensively, but what we do is play defense.” George carried the team offensively with 23 points in Game 3 while Hibbert added 14 - his second-highest mark of the playoffs.

ABOUT THE WIZARDS: Washington’s front line of Nene and Marcin Gortat was a big advantage in Game 1 with Hibbert going scoreless but the two combined for only 12 points on 5-of-21 shooting in Game 3. “(Game 3) was the worst offensive night we’ve had,” Nene told reporters. “Looked like we tried to miss shots.” The backcourt struggled to make up the difference as Bradley Beal posted his lowest scoring total of the series and John Wall committed seven of the team’s 18 turnovers. “This really was a clunker for us,” Wizards coach Randy Wittman said. “It was our first one (of the playoffs). We’ve got to let it go. We can play better.”

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
* Wizards are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Sixty-nine percent of wagers are on the Pacers -4.5.

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 07:58 AM
Today's MLB Picks

St. Louis at Pittsburgh

The Cardinals look to salvage a game in the series as they face a Pirates team that is 0-8 in Charlie Morton's last 8 starts against St. Louis. The Cardinals are the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has St. Louis favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-110). Here are all of today's picks.


SUNDAY, MAY 11
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Philadelphia at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.201; NY Mets (Niese) 14.363
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+100); Over


Game 953-954: Colorado at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Nicasio) 14.941; Cincinnati (Bailey) 16.907
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-115); Under


Game 955-956: Chicago Cubs at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Jackson) 14.006; Atlanta (Harang) 15.003
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-190); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-190); Over


Game 957-958: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Hudson) 16.442; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.314
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 5
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-175); 6
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+155); Under


Game 959-960: Miami at San Diego (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Alvarez) 14.047; San Diego (Erlin) 16.154
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-110); Over


Game 961-962: St. Louis at Pittsburgh (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Miller) 16.097; Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.115
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-110); Under


Game 963-964: LA Angels at Toronto (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 15.929; Toronto (Hutchison) 14.809
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+100); Over


Game 965-966: Minnesota at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Deduno) 16.087; Detroit (Ray) 14.918
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-190); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+165); Under


Game 967-968: Houston at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Cosart) 15.427; Baltimore (Tillman) 14.899
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+150); Under


Game 969-970: Cleveland at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Tomlin) 14.232; Tampa Bay (Archer) 15.178
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-150); Over


Game 971-972: Boston at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 14.773; Texas (Ross) 15.631
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-105); Under


Game 973-974: Kansas City at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Guthrie) 14.834; Seattle (Elias) 15.603
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-120); Over


Game 975-976: NY Yankees at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Phelps) 14.237; Milwaukee (Garza) 15.795
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-130); Under


Game 977-978: Arizona at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Anderson) 14.597; White Sox (Noesi) 15.667
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Arizona (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-105); Over


Game 929-930: Washington at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 15.603; Oakland (Kazmir) 14.690
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+110); Under

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 08:00 AM
Today's NBA Picks

Indiana at Washington

The Wizards look to bounce back from their 85-63 loss in Game 3 as they host a Pacers team that is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Washington is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wizards favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.


SUNDAY, MAY 11
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 725-726: Oklahoma City at LA Clippers (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 124.155; LA Clippers 126.813
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5; 215 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+5); Under


Game 727-728: Indiana at Washington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 118.004; Washington 125.324
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 7 1/2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4 1/2; 180
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-4 1/2); Over

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 08:01 AM
Today's NHL Picks

Pittsburgh at NY Rangers

The Penguins look to bounce back from their 5-1 loss in Game 5 and come into tonight's contest with a 7-1 record in their last 8 games after allowing 5 or more goals in the previous game. Pittsburgh is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-105). Here are all of today's playoff picks.


SUNDAY, MAY 11
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 63-64: Minnesota at Chicago (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 12.207; Chicago 13.209
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-200); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-200); Under


Game 65-66: Pittsburgh at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.030; NY Rangers 11.214
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-105); Over

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 08:03 AM
Thunder at Clippers: What bettors need to know

Oklahoma City Thunder at Los Angeles Clippers (-5, 214.5)

The Los Angeles Clippers are in must-win mode while the visiting Oklahoma City Thunder are in position to take a commanding 3-1 lead in the series in Sunday’s Game 4. After the Clippers cruised to a 17-point road win in the opener, Oklahoma City has bounced back with two solid victories as Los Angeles struggles to slow the Thunder attack. Oklahoma City has averaged 115 points in its two victories and shot 55.7 percent from the field in Friday’s 118-112 triumph.

Clippers coach Doc Rivers says the defensive play needs to improve and point guard Chris Paul is gearing up for a battle to knot the series. “We definitely have got to play with a sense of urgency,” Paul told reporters. “We understand that it’s not over. It’s not time to hang our heads.” Oklahoma City stars Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook have played solid back-to-back games while power forward Serge Ibaka stepped up with 20 points on 9-of-10 shooting in Game 3. “He plays with every ounce of fiber he has for his team,” Thunder coach Scott Brooks said of Ibaka. “He’s really developed a nice midrange shot.”

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT THE THUNDER: Remember all that silliness about Durant being “Mr. Unreliable” at the beginning of the month? His play is certainly again superior to the headline writers in Oklahoma City after a superb 36-point, eight-rebounds, six-assist outing in Game 3. Durant is averaging 31 points, eight rebounds and 6.3 assists in the series while Westbrook is averaging 27.7 points, nine assists and 7.3 rebounds. Just as important in Game 3 was the play of Ibaka and backups like Caron Butler, Reggie Jackson and Steven Adams. Butler and Jackson scored 14 points apiece and Adams collected nine rebounds.

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS: Los Angeles typically excels in transition but that has been an ingredient missing in this series due to substandard defense and poor rebounding. The Clippers have just 37 fast-break points and it is hard to get out and run the floor when you have been outrebounded by an average of 14.3 boards. “In this series so far, we really haven’t gotten in transition at all,” coach Doc Rivers told reporters on Saturday. “They have taken that away from us because they’re scoring on us. We’ve got to do a better job of getting stops in a row so we can get some kind of offensive rhythm in transition.”

TRENDS:

* Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.
* Over is 7-0 in Clippers last seven home games.
* Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Westbrook is shooting 58 percent from the field in the series after an accuracy rate of just 38.2 percent in the first round against Memphis.

2. Los Angeles PF Blake Griffin had his best outing of the series with 34 points and eight rebounds in Game 3.

3. Butler is 6-of-22 shooting in the series – 5-of-12 from 3-point range but only 1-of-10 from inside the arc.

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 08:04 AM
Cappers Access

Thunder +5
Wizards -4.5
Blackhawks -1.5(+162)

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 08:05 AM
Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play Sun Red Sox -125 w/ Lackey

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 08:23 AM
MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Niese is 2-1, 1.01 in his last four starts.
-- Nicasio is 2-0, 0.75 in his last couple starts.
-- Kershaw is 2-0, 0.66 in two starts this season. Hudson is 2-1, 1.85 in his last three starts.
-- Alvarez is 2-0, 1.80 in his last four starts.
-- Miller is 4-0, 1.93 in his last five starts.

-- Weaver is 3-0, 1.78 in his last four starts.
-- Ray allowed one run in 5.1 IP in winning his first '14 start.
-- Cosart has a 2.29 RA in his last three starts.
-- Tomlin allowed one run in 6.2 IP in winning his first '14 start.
-- Lackey is 2-0, 2.05 in his last three starts.
-- Seattle won last three Elias starts (2-0, 3.79). Guthrie has a 3.00 RA in his last three starts.

-- Phelps allowed one run in 5.1 IP in his first '14 start.
-- Kazmir is 1-1, 2.95 in three home starts. Former Athletic Gonzalez is 1-1, 2.49 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Hamels is 0-2, 7.02 in his three starts this season.
-- Bailey is 1-1, 4.95 in his last three starts.
-- Harang is 0-2, 10.97 in his last couple starts. Jackson is 1-1, 5.29 in his three away starts.
-- Erlin is 0-4, 5.76 in his last five starts.
-- Morton is 0-4, 5.01 in his last five starts.

-- Hutchison is 0-1, 4.44 in his last four starts.
-- Deduno allowed four runs in five IP in losing his first '14 start.
-- Tillman has a 7.16 RA in his last three starts, but Orioles won his last four outings, scoring 29 runs.
-- Archer is 0-0, 6.89 in his last three starts.
-- Ross is 0-3, 11.25 in his last four starts.

-- Garza is 2-2, 6.35 in his last six starts.
-- Anderson is making MLB debut; he was 4-2, 0.69 in six starts in AA. Noesi is 0-1, 5.19 in his two starts for the Pale Hose.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Hamels 0-3; Niese 2-6
-- Nicasio 3-7; Bailey 3-7
-- Jackson 3-7; Harang 0-7
-- Hudson 0-7; Kershaw 0-2
-- Alvarez 2-7; Erlin 3-6
-- Miller 0-7; Morton 0-7

-- Weaver 1-7; Hutchison 2-7
-- Deduno 1-1; Ray 0-1
-- Cosart 4-7; Tillman 2-7
--Tomlin 0-1; Archer 2-7
-- Lackey 3-7; Ross 2-7
-- Guthrie 3-7; Elias 1-7

-- Phelps 0-1; Garza 3-7
-- Anderson 0-0; Noesi 0-2
-- Gonzalez 3-7; Kazmir 2-7

Totals
-- Seven of last eleven Pittsburgh games went over total.
-- Eight of last ten games at Citi Field stayed under; seven of Philly's last nine road games went over.
-- Five of last seven Cincinnati games stayed under.
-- 12 of last 14 Atlanta home games stayed under.
-- Under is 11-3-1 in last fifteen San Francisco road games.
-- Eight of last ten Miami road games stayed under.

-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Baltimore games.
-- Nine of last twelve Toronto home games went over.
-- Seven of last nine Minnesota games stayed under.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Cleveland games.
-- Seven of last nine Boston games stayed under total.
-- Six of last nine Kansas City games went over.

-- Nine of last twelve Milwaukee games went over total.
-- Over is 13-7 in White Sox home games this season.
-- Over is 10-3-1 in Washington road games this season.

Hot teams
-- Phillies won last two games, allowing six runs.
-- Pittsburgh won six of its last eight games.
-- Rockies won ten of their last fourteen games.
-- Atlanta won three of its last four games.
-- San Francisco won 12 of its last 16 games.
-- Marlins won eight of last eleven games; they're 3-12 on road.

-- Orioles won eight of their last ten games.
-- Blue Jays won five of their last seven games. Angels are 5-3 in their last eight away games.
-- Detroit won nine of its last eleven games.
-- Indians won six of their last nine games.
-- Boston won five of its last seven games.
-- Mariners won five of their last seven home games.

-- Bronx won six of its last nine road games.
-- Arizona won seven of its last ten road games. White Sox won five of their last seven games overall.
-- Oakland won its last three games, allowing four runs.

Cold teams
-- Cardinals are 4-9 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Mets lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Cincinnati lost three of its last four games.
-- Cubs lost six of their last seven games.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last seven games.
-- San Diego lost seven of its last eleven games.

-- Astros lost nine of their last eleven games.
-- Minnesota lost four of its last five games.
-- Rays lost six of their last seven home games.
-- Rangers lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Kansas City lost seven of its last ten games.

-- Milwaukee lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Washington lost its last four away games.

Umpires
-- Phil-NY-- Five of last seven TWelke games stayed under.
-- Chi-Atl-- There are no trends for rookie umpire Buckminster.
-- Col-Cin-- Six of seven Eddings games stayed under total.
-- Mia-SD-- Favorites won last five Demuth games.
-- SF-LA-- Four of last five TBarrett games went over total.
-- StL-Pitt-- Favorites won four of last five BWelke games.

-- LA-Tor-- Five of six Basner games went over the total.
-- Min-Det-- Five of six Fagan games stayed under; underdog won last five.
-- Hst-Balt-- Six of eight HGibson games went over total.
-- Cle-TB-- All five Nauert games went over the total.
-- Bos-Tex-- Favorites won six of seven Carapazza games.
-- KC-Sea-- Five of six Pattillo games stayed under total.

-- NY-Mil-- Both of rookie ump Woodring's games went over.
-- Az-Chi-- Three of last four Wolcott games stayed under.
-- Wsh-A's-- Underdogs won five of six Barksdale games.

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 08:52 AM
NBA

Sunday, May 11

Washington shot 33% in awful Game 3 loss; Beal/Nene were combined nine for 33 from floor. Home team won six of last eight Wizard-Pacer games- Indiana is 6-4 in playoffs so far; they've lost two of last three visits here. Under is 23-19-3 in Pacers' away games this season. Seven of last ten Wizard games went over the total- five of six series games this season stayed under the total. Hibbert had 42 points in last two games, after going scoreless in three of previous four.

Clippers were 17-53 from arc last two games, after going 15-29 in Game 1 win; Thunder won four of last five visits to Staples. OC's starters were -76 in Game 1, +69 in Game 2; subs were +28 last game, with LA's bench -31, making 9-28 from floor. Clippers are 2-5 vs OC this season. Over is 10-4 in last 13 series games, 26-19 in Clipper home tilts. Seven of last nine Thunder games went over total. Ibaka was 9-10 in last game; Jackson/Butler gave good bench support, going 9-18.

Over is 39-23 in playoffs this season, 8-4 in this round.
Favorites are 22-40 in playoffs this season, 6-6 in this round.

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 08:54 AM
NHL

Sunday, May 11

New York scored pair of first period goals in both series wins; they didn't score in first period in any of three losses, were blanked twice. Rangers went 2-3 on power play Friday, ending 9-game drought while man up; they're still -33 in faceoffs last three games. Rangers are 4-5 vs Penguins this year, lost 13 of last 18 vs Penguins overall, going 2-7 in last nine played here. Over is 6-2-1 in series games this season. Pittsburgh is 4-1 on road in playoffs, but 1 of 15 on power play in series. Rangers are 25-22 at home this season, not great, 3-3 in playoffs- they need win to force Game 7. Penguins get some extra rest if they win this game.

Minnesota was down 2-0 in last round, rallied to upset Colorado; Friday was first time they scored in periods 1-2 in this series- they held Chicago to total of 83 shots in series- five of nine Chicago series goals came in third period. Wild is 1-5 on road in playoffs, only win being Game 7 in Denver last series. Chicago is 2-9 on power play in series. Over is 6-2-2 in last ten series games. Blackhawks are 34-12 at home this season, 5-0 in playoffs; in their last eleven games, over is 7-2-2. Minnesota is 2-13 on power play in series.

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 09:28 AM
StatFox Super Situations


INDIANA at WASHINGTON
Play Against - Road underdogs (INDIANA) an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games 69-34 since 1997. ( 67.0% | 31.6 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )


OKLAHOMA CITY at LA CLIPPERS
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (LA CLIPPERS) off a home loss, on Sunday games 103-59 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.6% | 42.8 units ) 24-11 this year. ( 68.6% | 10.2 units )


OKLAHOMA CITY at LA CLIPPERS
Play On - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line (LA CLIPPERS) in a game involving two poor defensive teams (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 110 points or more 108-59 since 1997. ( 64.7% | 43.1 units ) 17-11 this year. ( 60.7% | 4.9 units )

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 09:29 AM
ANTHONY MICHAEL

#725 Oklahoma City Thunder +5 (3:30 edt)

The Thunder looked very strong in game 3 and that momentum will have them ready to play here. They are comfortable playing the Clippers since they have covered 7 of the last 10 against them and the Clippers defense does not seem to have an answer for the OKC offense. Take this generous amount of points with the Thunder here.

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 09:29 AM
Wild at Blackhawks: What bettors need to know

Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks (-199, 5)

The Minnesota Wild attempt to buck the trend in their Western Conference second-round series when they visit the Chicago Blackhawks for Game 5 on Sunday. The home team has won each of the first four games in the matchup, with Chicago capturing the first two by a combined margin of six goals and Minnesota taking the next two by the same differential. The pattern was similar in the first round for the Wild, as the home club claimed each of the first six contests before Minnesota posted an overtime victory in Game 7 over the Avalanche in Colorado.

The reigning Stanley Cup-champion Blackhawks struggled at Xcel Energy Center, scoring a total of two goals in the two defeats. Chicago has lost two in a row for the second time this postseason, which it opened with a pair of overtime losses in St. Louis before reeling off six consecutive victories. Defenseman Jared Spurgeon helped the Wild even the series on Friday, registering a power-play goal and an assist as Minnesota improved to 5-0 at home in the playoffs while Chicago dropped to 1-4 on the road.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, CNBC, TSN, RDS2

ABOUT THE WILD: Left wing Matt Moulson will miss his second straight game and defenseman Keith Ballard also will be sidelined as neither made the trip to the Windy City due to undisclosed injuries. Nate Prosser likely will replace Ballard, as he appeared in Minnesota's first nine games this postseason before being a healthy scratch for the last two. Matt Cooke made an impact in his return from a seven-game suspension on Friday, registering an assist as well as a game-high five hits.

ABOUT THE BLACKHAWKS: Chicago will be without center Andrew Shaw for the fourth consecutive contest due to a lower-body injury, which he suffered in the series opener. Left wing Brandon Bollig also is unavailable as he received a two-game suspension for boarding Ballard late in the second period of Game 4. Marian Hossa hopes to continue his torrid pace in the series as he has collected a goal and seven assists over the first four contests.

TRENDS:

* Wild are 1-7 in the last eight meetings in Chicago.
* Home team is 7-0 in the last seven meetings.
* Over is 15-6-5 in Wild last 26 overall.
* Blackhawks are 6-2 in their last eight vs. Central.

OVERTIME:

1. Chicago is a perfect 5-0 at home this postseason, while Minnesota is 1-5 on the road.

2. Three of the nine players with more than one game-winning goal in the playoffs are participating in this series. Chicago captain Jonathan Toews shared the league lead with three, while teammate Patrick Kane and Wild RW Nino Niederreiter have two apiece.

3. The Blackhawks have been held to fewer than 23 shots in each game of the series.

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 09:44 AM
BeatYourBookie

SUNDAY

NBA Basketball


10* Play Indiana +4.5 over Washington (NBA TOP PLAY)
10* Play Oklahoma City +5 over Los Angeles (NBA TOP PLAY)


NHL Hockey


10* Play Minnesota +200 over Chicago (NHL TOP PLAY)
10* Play NY Rangers -115 over Pittsburgh (NHL TOP PLAY

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 09:45 AM
BeatYourBookie

SUNDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Kansas City +105 over Seattle (MLB TOP PLAY)

Seattle is 43-52 in home games the last two seasons
Seattle is 52-64 in day games the last three seasons
Seattle is 25-31 when playing on a Sunday the last three seasons


10* Play Miami +105 over San Diego (MLB TOP PLAY)

San Diego is 51-67 after having won two of the last three games
San Diego is 33-42 vs. NL East Division Opponents
San Diego is 61-85 after batting .240 or worse over the last ten games


=============================================


5* Play LA Angels +100 over Toronto (MLB EXTRA PLAY)
5* Play Arizona +105 over Chicago White Sox (MLB EXTRA PLAY)

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 09:49 AM
Baseball Crusher
Tampa Bay Rays -140 over Cleveland Indians
(System Record: 25-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 25-15

Hockey Crusher
NY Rangers -112 over Pittsburgh Penguins
(Playoff Record: system 14-1: overall 14-8, lost last game)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 105-82-2

Basketball Crusher
Oklahoma City Thunder +5 over LA Clippers
(Playoff Record: 9-9-3, lost last game)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 87-94-8

Soccer Crusher
Quilmes + Gimnasia LP UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 567-21, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 567-481-84


Rest of Crusher's Plays Today:

Boston Red Sox -115 over Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Dodgers -160 over SF
Miami Marlins -110 over San Diego

Chicago Blackhawks -190 over Minnesota Wild
Chicago Blackhawks + Minnesota OVER 5
Pittsburgh + New York Rangers UNDER 5

Indiana Pacers +4.5 over Washington Wizards
Oklahoma City Thunder + Los Angeles Clippers OVER 215
Indiana Pacers + Washington Wizards UNDER 180

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 09:54 AM
Brandon Lang

10 Dimes: NY Mets -125 at home over the Philadelphia Phillies, 1:10 PM EST

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 09:55 AM
BEN BURNS

NHL Personal Favorite!
Chicago Blackhawks ML -190

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 09:55 AM
CHASE DIAMOND

10* NHL BEST BET
NY Rangers-110

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 09:57 AM
FantasySportsGametime

SUNDAY
NBA BASKETBALL

1000* Play Oklahoma City +5 over Los Angeles (NBA TOP PLAY)
3:30 PM EST

Oklahoma City has won 21 of the last 27 games coming off a road win and they have won 47 of the last 65 games after allowing 105 points or more in their last game.Oklahoma City has won 32 of the last 45 games when playing on a Sunday and they are averaging 106 points a game this season.

50* Play Indiana +4.5 over Washington (NBA BONUS PLAY)

=========================================


NHL HOCKEY


50* Play Minnesota +200 over Chicago (NHL BONUS PLAY)
50* Play New York Rangers -115 over Pittsburgh (NHL BONUS PL

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 09:58 AM
FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Baltimore -165 over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Houston has lost 76 of the last 101 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and they have lost 55 of the last 71 games when playing as a road underdog of +150 to +200.Houston has lost 74 of the last 103 day games and they have lost 128 of the last 180 road games.

================================================== ===



50* Play Detroit -175 over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Atlanta -170 over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 10:06 AM
2Halves2Win NBA

Thunder vs Clippers - Over 215 (1*)

OKC Thunder+5 (1*)

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 10:25 AM
XpertPicks

SUNDAY BASEBALL




Play Los Angeles Angels +100 over Toronto----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
1:00 PM EST


Jered Weaver has won 40 of the last 56 games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs and he has won 40 of the last 61 day games. Jered Weaver has won 76 of the last 115 games coming off a team win and he is 2-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 1.86.




Play Washington +130 over Oakland----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
4:00 PM EST


Gio Gonzalez has won 27 of the last 39 road games and he has won 27 of the last 39 games when pitching in the 1st half of the season. Gio Gonzalez has won 36 of the last 56 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has won 48 of the last 81 games coming off a team loss.




Play Pittsburgh +100 over St. Louis----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
8:00 PM EST


Pittsburgh has won 66 of the last 116 games when playing in the 1st half of the season and they have won 75 of the last 128 night games. Pittsburgh has won 93 of the last 170 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers and they have won 67 of the last 111 games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game.

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 10:26 AM
XpertPicks

SUNDAY



Play Oklahoma City +5 over Los Angeles (NBA)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
3:30 PM EST


Oklahoma City has won 15 of the last 18 games after covering the spread in three of the last four games and they have won 43 of the last 63 games when the total posted is greater than 200 points.Oklahoma City has covered the spread in 27 of the last 44 games when playing on a Sunday and they are averaging 111 points over the last five games.




Play Indiana +4.5 over Washington (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL

================================================== =======


NHL HOCKEY



Play Minnesota +200 over Chicago (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
Play New York -115 over Pittsburgh (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 10:26 AM
Hot Chicks Picks / Britney DeLuca

In MLB take PHILADELPHIA +115
In MLB take WASHINGTON +120
In NBA take WASHINGTON -4.5

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 10:27 AM
StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

MLB | PHILADELPHIA at NY METS
Play Against – Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY METS) with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season, after a game where their bullpen blew a save
84-46 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.6% | 36.8 units )
4-4 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets

MLB | WASHINGTON at OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 78-35 (+39.8 Units) against the money line in Home games vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (4.5) , OPPONENT (3.5)

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 10:28 AM
River City Sharps

3 UNITS - OAKLAND ATHLETICS (-130)

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 10:29 AM
SPORTS WAGERS

N.Y. Yankees @ MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE/N.Y. Yankees over 8 -105

Seven or under loses here but with these two starters going in a hitter’s park we’ll make that bet every time. Davis Phelps has 19 K’s in 17 innings but don’t believe it because most of those K’s came in relief and Phelps’ ridiculously low 5% swinging strike rate does not come close to supporting his strikeout totals. So, is Phelps a starter or reliever? You decide: Last two years as a starter: 4.42 ERA, 1.36 WHIP. As a reliever 3.57 ERA, 1.25 WHIP. Even out of the bullpen his upside is really limited by lack of a dominant pitch. Phelps’ fastball barely hits 90 mph. Low swinging strike with eroding control is a recipe for failure and it would be completely shocking to see Phelps get past the fifth inning here. Phelps was promoted to the starting role only because of Michael Pineda’s injury and because Vidal Nuno has been a disaster. Phelps is the next disaster waiting to happen.

Then there’s Matt Garza. Garza just keeps getting worse by the month. After facing a whole slew of weak hitting teams this season (St. Louis twice, Atlanta, the Cubbies, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia and Arizona), Garza has an ERA of 4.93. In three of his last four starts the final scores read: 8-3, 9-3 and 8-7. Garza has a 1.61 WHIP over his last five starts. His groundball rate is on the decline and that won't help with HRs at Miller Park (+23% LHB HR). He’s also walking more batters than usual with 11 issued over his last 27 innings. Frankly, there is nothing in Garza’s profile that suggests he’s ready to step it up and throw some gems. Instead, it’s more likely that his ERA and WHIP remain well below average because that is who Matt Garza is right now.


L.A. Angels @ TORONTO
TORONTO -1 +123 over L.A. Angels

Perception is everything. In this case, Jered Weaver is considered to be a better pitcher than Drew Hutchison but nothing could be further from the truth. Weaver’s history, W/L record, career ERA and familiarity with the betting public make him one of the game’s most overvalued pitchers. Weaver’s four-seam fastball velocity is on a steady decline and the result will be a large dip in K’s. Check out his four-seam fastball velocity trend now over four years including this season: 89.9, 89.1, 87.8, 86.5. If Weaver had a groundball pitch in his profile, he could re-invent himself now that he's in his 30s but that isn't the case. He has posted a near-50% fly-ball rate in four of the past five seasons, (this year it’s 48%) and his line drive rate trend suggests that he is being hit harder and harder: 16%, 19%, 21%, 22%. Weaver’s ERA has bested his xERA by a wide margin for years but we’re starting to see signs of it falling apart on him this year, as he’s had only three pure quality starts in seven attempts. Pitching in a hitter’s park against a very good offense like Toronto has will likely expose Weaver as the below average pitcher that he really is. Expect the Jays to take Weaver deep at least twice today.

Hutchison is truly the real deal. His surface stats (4.17 ERA) say he’s not an ace yet but stay tuned because a correction in his ERA is forthcoming. In hs last start against the Phillies at the Rogers Center, Hutchison made it through eight innings for the first time all season and seven of those innings were scoreless. Unfortunately, the Phillies jumped on him for five runs in the sixth inning, including a game-tying grand slam that cost Hutchison the shot at the win. Other than one pitch, he was outstanding again. Over seven starts, Hutchison has a 3.44 xERA. He's also managed to carry one of the best strikeout rates in the game, whiffing 44 hitters in 41 innings while walking just 11. That’s a strong 4-1 ratio. His swinging strike rate of 13% supports his K rate of 29.2% and now hitters have to consider his change-up as well. Hutchison only utilized his changeup 9.94% during the season's first four starts but he’s increased that to 17.23% over his last three appearances. Jays salvage the final game of this series and make Weaver look bad.


Chicago @ ATLANTA
Chicago +156 over ATLANTA

Aaron Harang is an instant fade when priced in this range. Harang owns a tidy 2.98 ERA and 1.16 WHIP after 42 innings but it’s all smoke and mirrors. While his base skills have looked good on occasion, his collective skills are below-average. A 30% hit rate, 89% strand rate and 0.4% hr/f have driven his surface stats. He's nothing more than an end-rotation stash and should be priced as such but he’s not. Harang has an awful 34% groundball rate, the same rate he had last season when he posted an ERA of 5.40. In June and July of last year, Harang’s hr/f rate was 21% so his 0.4% rate this year with virtually the same under the hood stats strongly suggests that he’s going to be taken yard several times over his next few starts. Warmer weather brings a better flight on the baseball and so far no pitcher has benefitted more by the cold weather than Harang. That’s all about to change over the next few weeks. Atlanta has won the first two games of this series but it’s not like its offense has woken up. The Braves scored five runs in the two games and remain one of the weakest hitting teams in the early going. Combine a weak hitting lineup with Harang starting and the result should not equal a team favored in this range.

Yeah the Cubbies are bad but like we always say, almost every team in this league will win 60 games and lose 60 games and this is one of those winnable one’s. Edwin Jackson has been on eight MLB teams in eleven years. Why he's often in demand: High innings pitched totals; a good health grade; solid hr/9. Why he's often deemed expendable: ERA swings; .467 lifetime win%; game-to-game volatility. Jackson has 35 K’s in 41 frames this season and his swinging strike rate of 11% supports that. The Cubs are 2-2 over Jackson’s last four starts. He dominated the White Sox in his last start by allowing just one run in seven frames while striking out nine and walking none. The Cubs lost that game so in reality, Jackson has given the Cubs a chance to win in five straight starts. He’s also been taken yard just one time all season. Sure, it's difficult to trust the ball with someone whose dominant start/disaster start split has been on a three-year collision course but Edwin Jackson is very capable of dominating any lineup when his focus is on. As a big pooch against Harang and this Braves lineup, the risk is worth the reward.

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 10:29 AM
SPORTS WAGERS

NHL Playoffs - Game 5
Minnesota @ CHICAGO
Minnesota+182

We recommending betting the Wild to win this series at odds of 8-1 after they were down 0-2, suggesting they had been the better team in two games in Chicago and that they had a very good chance to tie it up at home. We also suggested that we could buy back or hedge if Minnesota were able to pull out two wins at home and that’s exactly where we stand right now. However, our position on buying back the Blackhawks has changed. Chicago is -220 to win this series and while we can free roll for over 5½ units on Minnesota if we sell some, we’re choosing to hold onto it because the value is too great. Even if the Blackhawks win today, there is a great chance of a Game 7 and we can then sell some back at an even lower price if we choose to do so. Furthermore, if the Wild win today, they will be a 2-1 favorite to win the series and then we could solidify our position even more. No matter the outcome of today’s game, our 8-1 position has too much value to sell.

If you were on board with us for that series bet, we would recommend holding onto it. If you were not, we would recommend wagering on the Wild today because their chances of winning are very real. Minnesota has momentum and the knowledge that they can defeat this team. Aside from one period in Game 2 and perhaps one period in six in Minnesota, the Wild have been the better team in every area. They’ve created more chances than Chicago by a wide margin, they’ve held the Blackhawks to 22 shots on net or fewer in every game and they’ve done so by staying out of the box. In fact, Minnesota has taken just two minor penalties in each of the past three games while Chicago has taken 10. Furthermore, Brandon Bollig and Andrew Shaw, two key playoff performers that bring toughness, grit and talent, are out and that’s a bigger loss in the playoffs than it would be during the regular season. Minnesota runs out a more balanced offense, an outstanding defense and now Ilya Bryzgalov has caught fire. The Wild have that Stanley Cup swagger about them right now. They are winning the battles for loose pucks, they’re peaking at the right time and they have a ton of confidence coming into this one. The +180 price tag on Minnesota today is completely out of whack. Based on value alone, we strongly recommend a play on them if you have nothing invested in the series.

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 10:49 AM
Valley Sports

[718] Washington (-4.5 or better)Over Indiana --3 Stars
[718] Washington/Indiana (Over 180 or better) --3 Stars
[720] LA Clippers (-5 or better)Over Oklahoma City --3 Stars

[960] San Diego(Erlin)Over Miami(Alvarez) --3 Stars
[961] St Louis(Miller)Over Pittsburgh(Morton) --2 Stars
[974] Seattle(Elias)Over Kansas City(Guthrie) --2 Stars
[974] Seattle(Elias)/Kansas City(Guthrie)Under The Total --3 Stars
[720] La Clippers/Oklahoma City(Over 215 or better)--3 Stars

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 10:49 AM
EAGLE EYE---RANDY ROSE
Your Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder +5 (-110)
Your Pick:: Phillies / Mets Over 6.5 (-115)

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 10:49 AM
EAGLE EYE----DAVE MARSHALL
Your Pick: St Louis Cardinals (-102)

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 10:58 AM
Sunday's MLB betting cheat sheet: Gonzalez struggling in underdog role

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for Sunday's major-league action:

Braves a Trendy Pick

Atlanta (-162) shaded the Cubs 2-0 Saturday to extend a pair of trends, improving to 7-1 in its last eight games versus Chicago while going 2-6 O/U over that span. The Braves (-170, 7) and Cubs wrap up the weekend series Sunday afternoon.

Gio Not Cashing as Underdog

Washington lefty Gio Gonzalez is an underdog for the first time this season as his Nationals (+119, 7) visit Oakland. Gonzalez is 2-6 in his last eight games as a dog, with Washington scoring a total of 12 runs in that span - five of them coming in one game.

Padres Bid Farewell to Petco

The San Diego Padres wrap up a 10-game homestand Sunday against the visiting Miami Marlins (+102, 7). San Diego remains the strongest Under play in the league but has reversed the trend during the homestand, going 5-3-1 O/U while scoring 19 runs in its previous two games.

Pitching Notes

* Baltimore right-hander Chris Tillman has allowed 16 runs over his previous 21 1/3 innings; the Orioles are 4-0 against the moneyline - three of those wins coming as the underdog - and 4-0 O/U in that stretch. Tillman and the Orioles (-163, 8.5) entertain the Houston Astros on Sunday afternoon.

* Cubs starter Edwin Jackson has been a steady bet away from Wrigley Field, going 2-8 against the moneyline and 7-2-1 O/U in his previous 10 road starts. He is also 3-7 against the moneyline in his last 10 outings as an underdog of +150 or greater.

Hitting Notes

* Detroit third baseman Miguel Cabrera went deep in Saturday's 9-3 win over Minnesota, improving the Tigers to 5-0 against the moneyline and 4-1 O/U this season in games in which Cabrera hits a home run. Detroit (-167, 8.5) resumes its series with the Twins on Sunday.

* Mets third baseman David Wright is batting .429 during an eight-game hitting streak; despite this, New York is just 1-7 against the moneyline and 3-4-1 O/U over that span. Wright will try to extend the streak Sunday when the Mets (-119, 7) entertain Philadelphia.

Total Streak

Atlanta Braves (1-7 O/U): The offensive well has run completely dry in Georgia, with the Braves scoring just 14 runs over their previous eight games. Solid pitching has limited the damage, helping Atlanta go 3-5 in that span.

Prop of the Day

A big win by Colorado could mean a big payday, with the Rockies listed at +700 to beat Cincinnati by five or more runs. Five of Colorado's previous six victories have come by at least six runs, including Saturday's 11-2 drubbing of the Reds.

Key Injuries

* The Washington Nationals have lost first baseman Adam LaRoche to the disabled list with a strained right quad. LaRoche leads the team with a .319 batting average, helping guide the Nationals to a 19-14-3 O/U mark through their first 36 games.

* Atlanta Braves outfielder Justin Upton left Saturday's game with a lower back contusion after being hit by a pitch. Upton's absence will hurt a Braves lineup that is already struggling to score runs, and comes into Sunday with a 12-22-1 O/U record for the season.

Weather Watch

* Fans at Comerica Park should expect wind blowing in from right field at 10 mph. The Tigers were a sizzling 8-1 against the moneyline and 6-2-1 O/U in nine games under similar wind conditions in 2013.

* The breeze will be slight for Sunday night's showdown between St. Louis and Pittsburgh (-104, 7.5) at PNC Park. The Pirates were 34-18 straight up and 16-32-4 O/U in 52 home games last season with the wind blowing at less than 10 mph.

Umpire Note of the Day

Under is 15-6 in umpire Doug Eddings' last 21 games behind home plate featuring Colorado, and 19-6-2 in his last 27 games involving Cincinnati. The Reds (-115, 8) conclude their weekend series with the Rockies on Sunday afternoon.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 9:55 a.m. ET Sunday.

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:02 AM
Sports Cash System

extra pick:

Cincinnati Reds -120 over the Colorado Rockies (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 1:10 PM EST

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:05 AM
EZWINNERS

2* Angels +100
2* Cubs +165
2* Astros +145
2* Rangers +100
2* Nationals +115

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:11 AM
Diamond Dog Sports

Sides 39-34-0
+788

#959: Marlins: +100 (2*)
Listed Pitchers: Alvarez / Erlin

#961: Cardinals: +100 (1.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Miller / Morton


Totals 28-39-2
-2,418


#953/954: Over Reds: 8.5 +105 (3*)
Listed Pitchers: Nicasio / Bailey

#963/964: Over Blue Jays: 9.0 +105. (1.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Weaver / Hutchinson

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:13 AM
Bill Marzano

Pacers / Wizards Under 180.5

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:14 AM
Diamond Dog Sports

Pacers / Wizards Over 180.5

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:15 AM
Bob Balfe

Boston Red Sox -120

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:18 AM
Rich Allen

Sunday we have two picks as we are looking short in picks this coming week.

1. Russia Premier Soccer.

CSKA Moscow
Minus 1.5 goals.
1* bet.

2. Czech Republic Gambrinus League

Sparta Prague
Minus 1.0 goal
1* bet

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:21 AM
NSA

20* MLB Dodgers -165
20* MLB Baltimore -155
20* MLB Boston -115
10* NBA OKC +5
10* NBA Indiana +4.5
10* MLB St Louis +105

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:29 AM
Sports Action 365 (FRANK "BIG MONEY" SANTILLI'S)

200* NBA OKC +5
200* NBA Indiana +4½
200* MLB Boston -115
100* MLB Detroit -145
100* MLB St Louis +105
75* NBA Indiana UNDER 180½

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:37 AM
Charlies Sports

Sunday's 500* NBA Playoff & MAJOR WAGER triple lock.
500* Clippers-5
500* Indiana @ Washington Over 180
500* Washington @ Oakland Over 7
30* Philadelphia+120
20* Arizona-105
10* Twins+145 Free Play

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:37 AM
SPorts investors USA :

Spurs ML/ Clippers ML Parlay +130 1x


Pacers +4.5 2x


Pacers/ Wizards Over 180 1x

golden contender
05-11-2014, 11:39 AM
Sunday we have the 6* 100% 2nd Round NBA Game of the Year and a powerful Double system total. In MLB we have a 100% Power Angle and system in the ESPN Sunday night MLB Game. Saturday card sweeps in Both NBA and MLB. Free MLB Power system play below.



On Sunday the Free MLB System Play is on the Tampa Bay Rays. Game 970 at 1:40 eastern. Tampa Bay fits a solid system here today that is 62-17 since 2004 and plays on certain home favorites off a home favored win by 5 or more runs if they had 10 or more hits and are taking on an opponent, like Cleveland that is off a road dog loss by 5 or more runs and scored 2 or less runs and the total today is 8 or less and both teams had 1 or no errors. Tampa averages 5 runs per game at home and they have C. Archer on the mound and they have won 7 of his last 8 home starts. Cleveland is 1-4 on Sunday and 2-8 on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. They have Tomlin on the mound and he has lost 4 of his last 5 road starts and has allowed 8 runs in 11 innings in 2 starts here. With Cleveland hitting just .221 on the road we will Take Tampa today. Coming off the Saturday MLB + NBA Sweep we have the 6* 2nd Round NBA Play of the Year and a Big Double system total in the late game. In Bases we have the 100% Sunday night Side on ESPN. to End the week big on Sunday with the Most Powerful Data in the Industry. For the free play take Tampa Bay today. GC

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:42 AM
Goodfella

2* bluejays/angels - over 9

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:46 AM
Insider Sports Report

4* N.Y. Yankees (Phelps) +120 over Milwaukee (Garza) Range: +140 to -105
3* N.Y. Mets (Niese) -130 over Philadelphia (Hamels) Range: -115 to -150
3* Washington -4.5 over Indiana (NBA) Range: -2½ to -6½

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:46 AM
firefox
over
rangers

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:47 AM
Allen Eastman

Mlb

3* Mets -125
3* Oakland -135
2* Giants +160

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:50 AM
Ben Burns

Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds May 11 2014 1:10PM

*VERY EARLY* Burns' MLB Breakfast Club! (Amazing!)

Cincinnati Reds

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:52 AM
SpOrTs-JuNkiE

05-11-14: MLB: Miami vs Padres (4:10 pm est.)

$500 MLB Play: Padres ML -110 <—— (Pending)

Key TRENDS for this game:

Marlins are 3-7 in their last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Marlins are 15-36 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

Marlins are 29-72 in their last 101 games as a road underdog.

Marlins are 29-76 in their last 105 road games.

Marlins are 10-27 in their last 37 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Marlins are 23-70 in their last 93 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.

Marlins are 6-13 in Alvarezs last 19 starts as an underdog.

Marlins are 2-5 in Alvarezs last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Marlins are 1-4 in Alvarezs last 5 Sunday starts.

Marlins are 0-4 in Alvarezs last 4 road starts.

Marlins are 0-4 in Alvarezs last 4 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Marlins are 0-4 in Alvarezs last 4 starts as a road underdog.

Marlins are 0-5 in Alvarezs last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 Sunday games.

Padres are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Padres are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 4 of a series.

Marlins are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in San Diego.

Home team is 5-0 in DeMuths last 5 Sunday games behind home plate vs. Miami.

Home team is 9-2 in DeMuths last 11 games behind home plate.

Home team is 8-3 in DeMuths last 11 games behind home plate vs. San Diego.

Home team is 35-16 in DeMuths last 51 Sunday games behind home plate.

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:59 AM
Elite Sports Picks

2% Oklahoma City/L.A. Clippers UNDER 215½

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 11:59 AM
Ben Burns

Cleveland Indians at Tampa Bay Rays May 11 2014 1:40PM

*EARLY* Burns' 10* MLB Personal Favorite! AMAZING!

Tampa Bay Rays

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 12:04 PM
National Sports Service

5* L.A. Angels (Weaver) -105 over Toronto (Hutchison)
3* Oklahoma City +4½ over L.A. Clippers (NBA)
3* Indiana/Washington OVER 180 (NBA)

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 12:09 PM
Doc Sports

mlb

4* arizona-105
3* cinn-115

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 12:11 PM
Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

Minnesota @ Detroit
UNDER 9

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 12:13 PM
KELSO

NBA

25 oklahoma city

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 12:13 PM
HURLEY

NBA

small clippers

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 12:15 PM
ROOT

NBA

Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com) washington
millionaire clippers

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 12:15 PM
KB Hoops

10* LA Clippers -5
Last time the Clippers lost at home before this recent loss to OKC was April 19th again Golden State by 4. They rebounded, and won the next home game by 40. Their previous home loss before that was on April 9th when they lost by 6, they bounced back the next home game and won by 17. They lost on April 3rd by 6, bounced back and won by 23 the very next home game. Clippers lost February 18th to the Spurs by 10, then their next home game was an 8 point win over the Rockets. February 5th, lost to the Heat by 4, next home game beat the Raptors by 13. LA lost to the Suns at home December 30th, and then to start the new year, beat the Bobcats by 27. So the Clippers are 6-0 straightup, and 6-0 against the spread this year at home after a home loss. They won those 6 games by a combined 128 points which is equal to 21.3 points! Clippers have been a great home team all year at 34-7, and they have been even better after revenging a loss. OK City has had its struggles on the road and are just 5-12 ATS last 17 road games, and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning Home record. OKC is 2-6 ATS their last 8 conference semi final games, and 1-4 ATS last 5 Sunday games. Clippers are the opposite, 4-1 ATS last 5 Sunday games, and 16-7 ATS last 23 after a straight up loss. That number gets even better when you filter in their record at home after a home loss. Public is all over OKC, but the Clippers are the team that is in a good spot. Must win situation for them, max effort, and we will see the Clippers cruise to a 12 point victory



8* Indiana Pacers +4.5

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 12:15 PM
PAUL LEINER

100* Thunder +5
100* Mets -125
50* Over 8.5 – Tiger/Twins

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 12:16 PM
Hondo = COL

Mighty = OKC

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 12:22 PM
Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 5/11

MLB Baseball

St. Louis Cardinals / Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 7½
(Total Runs Scored)
Overall Record: 255-229


(System Record: 255-13, Lost last game)

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 12:25 PM
Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds
Time: Sunday 05/11 1:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Colorado +110 (moneyline) at 5Dimes

Colorado is a dog again, but on a red hot run sparked by the top offense in baseball. They are No. 1 in runs, on base percentage, and slugging. Colorado is on a 10-4 run overall and 5-2 on the road against a right-handed starter. They face righty Homer Bailey, who is throwing more like Homer Simpson, with a 5.36 ERA, and the team is 2-5 in his seven starts. Bailey allowed three runs on five hits and a whopping five walks over six innings Tuesday against the Red Sox. The Reds are 2-7 in Bailey's last nine starts and 1-5 in his last six starts vs. the Rockies. Corey Dickerson hit two home runs and two doubles, driving in a career-high four runs Saturday night as the Colorado Rockies routed the Cincinnati Reds 11-2. The Rockies are now 5-2 in the last seven meetings against Cincinnati and have Juan Nicasio (4-1, 3.89 ERA) going, with the team 5-2 in his seven starts. Play Colorado.

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 12:25 PM
Danny B

Phillies ML
soxs/reds under 8
rangers ml
twins +1.5

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 12:29 PM
NBA Playoffs Service Tally
Thunder 14
Clippers 10

Pacers 12
Wizards 8

Premium / Dunkel Only.
Record 26-27

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 12:37 PM
JEFFREY JAMES

Pittsburgh Penguins ML-110

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 12:51 PM
Robert Ferringo
2* Under 8 Col / Cin
1*
Colorado
St Louis
Under Cle / TB
Under Min / DET
Under ARI / CHW
Over SF / LA

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 01:06 PM
Ecks and Bacon

E&B lost on Saturday in the NBA Playoffs with the Heat -$-1.5/Nets.

"Mr Chalk" lost on Saturday in Mlb in the National League with the Mets -$140/Phillies.

E&B lost in the NHL with his lean on Saturday on the Kings -$150/Ducks.

For Sunday in the NBA Playoffs E&B have a two team five point teaser.

(1) Wizards from -5 to Pk/Pacers

(2) Clippers from 5 to Pk/Thunder

For Sunday in MLB in the National League "Mr Chalk" likes the Dodgers -$147/Giants.

E&B have Np in the NHL Playoffs.

Ben lee is 14-11 +$20 for Week Twenty Seven 119-133-5 -$2342

"Mr Chalk" is 19-15 -$188 for the 2014 MLB season

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 01:06 PM
James Jones premium picks 5/11


Premium picks 7-10-2 NBA playoffs.




There is 1 premium pick for 5/11/2014.




Pacers+4 over Wizards

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 01:13 PM
Steve Stevens

Los Angeles Clippers -5
St Louis Cardinals ML

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 01:13 PM
Falcon Sports


LA Angels +105 listing Weaver/Hutchison

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 01:13 PM
Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball 5/11

5-Unit Play. #728. Take Washington -4 over Indiana (Sunday @ 8pm est).

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 01:14 PM
VEGAS SHARP
5 Units
728 Washington Wizards -4.5 over Indiana Pacers
3 Units
726 Los Angeles Clippers -5 over Oklahoma City Thunder

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 01:28 PM
David Banks


Best bet


#961 8:05 st. Louis cardinals-105 miller





mlb


#964 1:05 toronto blue jays-119 hutchison


#970 1:40 tampa bay rays-146 archer


#972 3:05 texas rangers+105 ross





nba


#726 3:30 la clippers-5


#727 8:00 indiana pacers+4.5

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 01:28 PM
Philly Ross

2* Baltimore -1/2 1st 5 -115

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 01:29 PM
NonStopSportsPicks

3* Over Pacers
1.5* Under Dodgers

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 02:28 PM
Las Vegas Pipeline

15* Clippers Over

10* Royals Under

10* Blackhawks -1.5

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 02:28 PM
Prediction Machine

winner yesterday. over 70% for nba playoffs

Indy +4.5 61.8 %
Indy over 180.5 58%

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 02:28 PM
Sheeps Moves
976 Under 8 (-125) Nyy-Mil $1000
1975 Nyy +1/2 (-130) 1st 5 $1000
1955 Cubs +1/2 (-105) $1000(late text)

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 02:28 PM
JOE GAVAZZI


5* Washington Wizards (-4)


5* Baltimore (-160) (Cosart/Tillman)

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 02:28 PM
MATT FARGO


Oklahoma City vs. L.A. Clippers


10* Pick: @ -5 -105 L.A. Clippers


After blowing away Oklahoma City on the road in Game One of this series, the Clippers have lost the last two games, including the most recent one at home, and have thus given the home court advantage back to the Thunder. Now the goal is to even up this series and avoid a 3-1 hole and having to go back to Oklahoma City to try and stay alive. Los Angeles is 37-9 at home so the loss here on Friday was a rare one and it has not lost two straight games at home all season. The Clippers are a perfect 8-0 straight up and 7-1 ATS in their eight home games following a loss in their most recent home game. Arguably even more impressive is that the Clippers longest winning streak this season is just two games as they are 5-0 straight up and 4-1 ATS following two consecutive losses. Oklahoma City will be no pushover as it wants to take control of this series and while it has won three straight road games, it is just 5-6 in its last 11 games on the highway. Going back further, the Thunder are just 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 road games. Look for a great effort from the Clippers today as they even up the series on Sunday. 10* (726) Los Angeles Clippers

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 02:29 PM
POWER PLAY WINS


Today’s Power Plays of The Day


Sport: MLB
Chicago White Sox(-105)
Pitcher: Noesi
Game time: 11:00:00 AM (PST)


Sport: NBA
Los Angeles Clippers(-5)
Game time: 12:30:00 PM (PST)


Sport: NBA
Indiana Pacers(+4.5)
Game time: 5:00:00 PM (PST)

Can'tPickAWinner
05-11-2014, 02:29 PM
NBA Playoffs Service Tally
Thunder 14
Clippers 15

Pacers 16
Wizards 11

Premium / Dunkel Only.
Record 26-27