5-24-14

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::clap::

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Today's NBA Picks

Indiana at Miami

The Pacers head to Miami for Game 3 and come into the contest with a 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 road games. Indiana is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by only 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+7). Here are all of today's playoff picks.


SATURDAY, MAY 24
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (5/23)


Game 509-510: Indiana at Miami (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 121.673; Miami 126.394
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7; 182
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+7); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 5/24/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Saturday, 5/24/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Eastern Conference Finals

#509 INDIANA @ #510 MIAMI
(TV: 8:30 PM EST, ESPN - Line: Heat -7, Total: 182.5) - The Indiana Pacers have enough to worry about against the Miami Heat without trying to figure out how to replace an All-Star. The Pacers hope to have forward Paul George available when they visit the Heat for Game #3 of the Eastern Conference finals on Saturday evening. George was diagnosed with a concussion after taking a knee to the head on Tuesday and will need to pass NBA-mandated tests before he is eligible to return to action.

George is off to a rough start offensively in the series after being held to 14 points on 4-of-16 shooting in Game #2 but is a key part of the defensive effort against LeBron James. George remained in the game after catching Dwyane Wade’s knee on the back of his head but later said he “blacked out” following the hit and was diagnosed with the concussion on Wednesday morning due to the brief loss of consciousness. Any deterioration in the skills of George is a bad sign for the Pacers, who allowed James and Wade to combine for 22 points in the fourth quarter as the Heat came from behind to take Game 2 and even the series.

•ABOUT THE PACERS (65-32 SU, 46-50-1 ATS): Indiana put together its best offensive performance of the postseason in dominating Game #1, leading wire-to-wire en route to a 107-96 victory. The Pacers led for most of the contest in Game #2 but had a much more difficult time scoring and ended up dropping an 87-83 decision. “It’s a split,” coach Frank Vogel told reporters. “We’ll respond. We’ll look at the tape, make our adjustments and come back for Game #3.” George has three full days off to go through the concussion protocol, which includes physical exertion on a stationary bike, jogging, agility work and non-contact team drills, each of which must be completed symptom-free before moving onto the next.

•ABOUT THE HEAT (63-30 SU, 44-47-2 ATS): James and Wade put their stamp on the series in the fourth quarter of Game #2, scoring or assisting on every point scored and never panicking when Miami got down. After allowing the Pacers to go off at 51.5 percent from the field in Game #1, the Heat pushed that number down to 40 percent in Game #2. That defense gave James and Wade enough time to find their groove when the fourth quarter rolled around. “However the game presents itself, I just try to take advantage,” James told reporters. “I needed to do something in the fourth. I was able to get some good looks for guys in the third quarter but I needed to make a few buckets in the fourth quarter and I was able to come through for us."

•PREGAME NOTES: The Heat have won the last four meetings in their building, going back to the 2013 East finals.... Pacers G Lance Stephenson is averaging 21 points on 62.1 percent shooting, 7.5 assists and five rebounds in the series.... Indiana is 5-0 in the postseason following a loss.... Miami is 51-35 against the spread (59.3%) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.... The Pacers are 18-33 versus the spread (35.2%) versus teams who make 6 or more three-point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections.(Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, MIAMI covered the spread 528 times, while INDIANA covered the spread 436 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, MIAMI won the game straight up 697 times, while INDIANA won 281 times. In 1000 simulated games, 512 games went under the total, while 488 games went over the total. *No EDGE.

-- In 1000 simulated games, MIAMI covered the first half line 507 times, while INDIANA covered the first half line 493 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 498 games went under first half total, while 468 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--INDIANA is 46-39 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1996.
--INDIANA is 46-41 straight up against MIAMI since 1996.
--47 of 87 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--INDIANA is 47-39 versus the first half line when playing against MIAMI since 1996.
--47 of 86 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Miami.
--Home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
--Pacers are 0-5 ATS L5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
--Under is 5-0 in Pacers last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

--Heat are 5-1 ATS L6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
--Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games following a ATS win.
--Over is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games following a S.U. win.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play On - Favorites versus the money line (MIAMI) - hot shooting team - 2 straight games making >=50% of their shots against opponent after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 50% or higher, after allowing 85 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 175 points or less.
(125-28 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.7%, +59.4 units. Rating = 3*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -234.1
The average score in these games was: Team 97.1, Opponent 90 (Average point differential = +7.1)

The situation's record this season is: (13-4, +3.9 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (84-20, +34.4 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (702-297, -8.8 units).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Pacers at Heat

Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat (-6.5, 183)

Series tied 1-1.

The Indiana Pacers have enough to worry about against the Miami Heat without trying to figure out how to replace an All-Star. The Pacers hope to have forward Paul George available when they visit the Heat for Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals on Saturday. George was diagnosed with a concussion after taking a knee to the head on Tuesday and will need to pass NBA-mandated tests before he is eligible to return to action.

George is off to a rough start offensively in the series after being held to 14 points on 4-of-16 shooting in Game 2 but is a key part of the defensive effort against LeBron James. George remained in the game after catching Dwyane Wade’s knee on the back of his head but later said he “blacked out” following the hit and was diagnosed with the concussion on Wednesday morning due to the brief loss of consciousness. Any deterioration in the skills of George is a bad sign for the Pacers, who allowed James and Wade to combine for 22 points in the fourth quarter as the Heat came from behind to take Game 2 and even the series.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: Miami opened -6.5 and jumped as high as -7.5 with news that Pacers forward George Paul could sit out with a concussion. The line is being dealt -7 at most books. The total opened 182.5 and has climbed to 183.

INJURY REPORT: Pacers - P. George (Ques/Concussion), D. West (Prob/Eye)

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We are guessing that Paul George will start when we opened Miami -7. If George doesn’t get clearance to play, expect the line to go up to Heat -9 or -9.5." - Mike Perry, Sportsbook.ag (http://www.sportsbook.ag/).

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "In Game 2, Miami broke a trend that had seen the home team win 13 of the previous 15 matchups between the two teams. Oddsmakers expect the Heat to hold serve on home court in Game 3, but are they not giving the Pacers enough respect?" - Covers Experts' Brian Powers

ABOUT THE PACERS: Indiana put together its best offensive performance of the postseason in dominating Game 1, leading wire-to-wire en route to a 107-96 victory. The Pacers led for most of the contest in Game 2 but had a much more difficult time scoring and ended up dropping an 87-83 decision. “It’s a split,” coach Frank Vogel told reporters. “We’ll respond. We’ll look at the tape, make our adjustments and come back for Game 3.” George has three full days off to go through the concussion protocol, which includes physical exertion on a stationary bike, jogging, agility work and non-contact team drills, each of which must be completed symptom-free before moving onto the next.

ABOUT THE HEAT: James and Wade put their stamp on the series in the fourth quarter of Game 2, scoring or assisting on every point scored and never panicking when Miami got down. After allowing the Pacers to go off at 51.5 percent from the field in Game 1, the Heat pushed that number down to 40 percent in Game 2. That defense gave James and Wade enough time to find their groove when the fourth quarter rolled around. “However the game presents itself, I just try to take advantage,” James told reporters. “I needed to do something in the fourth. I was able to get some good looks for guys in the third quarter but I needed to make a few buckets in the fourth quarter and I was able to come through for us."

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Miami.
* Home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
* Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.
* Over is 4-1 in Heat's last five home games

COVERS CONSENSUS: 55 percent of bets are on Pacers +6.5 while 70 percent of total wagers are on Over 183 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul worth as many as four points to Pacers-Heat Game 3 spread
By JASON LOGAN - WRITER

The Indiana Pacers are hoping one more day will give them a definitive answer when it comes to the status of All-Star forward George Paul for Game 3 of the NBA Eastern Conference finals Saturday.

Paul suffered a concussion after being kneed in the head versus the Miami Heat in Game 2 Tuesday and, according to the Indy Star, is a gameday decision for Saturday.

Oddsmakers set Indiana as a 7-point underdog for Game 3, expecting Paul to play. However, those odds could dramatically swing if he is not cleared for action.

“We are guessing that Paul George will start when we opened Miami -7,” Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag (http://www.sportsbook.ag/) tells Covers. “If George doesn’t get clearance to play, expect the line to go up to Heat -9 or -9.5.”

In Las Vegas, the line may jump to Miami -8.5 if Paul is ruled out, according to Ed Salmons, assistant manager of the LVH Superbook. And some online books are setting Paul's worth at as many as four points to the Pacers' spread.

"We'd go straight to (Miami) -10.5 if he was scratched," Stewart tells Covers. "He's their best offensive player and their best perimeter defender. While his numbers are a bit down so far in the first two games versus the Heat, that's because he's guarding LeBron (James)."

Paul, who missed only two games this season (both for rest at the end of the schedule), walked through a light practice Thursday but avoided contact drills and just shot around. According to Forbes Magazine, if he were to suit up Saturday in South Beach, it would be the fastest time any player has recovered from a concussion this season – with just four days between time of injury and return.

Paul is not only a major asset on offense, leading Indiana with 21.7 points per game in the regular season and putting up 21.5 points per playoff game, but is also the team’s top defender and has been assigned to stopping – or at least slowing down - LeBron James.

James averaged 28.7 points in four games versus Indiana this regular season but just 23.5 in the first two games of the Eastern Conference finals, shooting 56 percent from the field (20 for 36) with seven turnovers. He’s averaging 28.8 points per game in the postseason heading into Game 3.

"Check out LeBron's numbers offensively, they're way down," says Stewart. "LeBron is like 1 of 12 from 3-point ranger, again that's all Paul. You take him out of the lineup, and the Pacers are lost on both sides of the court."

The total for Saturday’s Game 3 in Miami opened 182.5 and has jumped to 183 points. The Pacers and Heat have split the Over/Under in the first two games of this series and have compiled a 3-3 O/U record in their six meetings this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pacers – Heat #3 – The Game Inside the Game
By DAVID MALINSKY

There was an unusual flow for Game #2 in Indianapolis even before the ball was tossed into the air for tipoff; a setting that seemingly called for Miami money did not turn out that way. And on the court the series dynamic changed when something old became new again, and some “wild cards” were introduced.

First the money. Most key precincts opened Miami -2.5, anticipating Zig Zag play to the Heat, with a significant share of the market likely to land on LeBron James & Co., after they had won their previous 10 playoff games when off of a loss, going 9-1 ATS in the process. There were indeed a few square shops that went to -3 early in the day. But by game-time there had been more Indiana backing in the total marketplace, with -2 as the closer. That was intriguing to see, given how erratic the Pacers had been throughout the first two rounds of the playoffs, and does raise some adjustment questions going forward, in terms of public perception of Miami. You will see at the end of this take how that may be influencing the pricing for Game #3.

Then it was time to play, and for a long stretch it appeared that the Indiana money might have been correct – the Pacers were again relaxed and confident, and while they were not shooting anywhere near as well as in Game #1, with 6:50 remaining they came out of a time-out up 73-69 and in possession of the ball. But leading up to that stoppage was something that did not seem all that major at the time – Dwayne Wade’s knee hitting Paul George in the head – yet may have been the biggest play of the series.

The game turned quickly. From that moment until the 2:00 mark Indiana scored once, a Roy Hibbert jump hook, while the James/Wade duo took control for the Heat, scoring all of the points in a 13-2 run. Those two did not just dominate that stretch, but controlled the flow of the 4th quarter – they combined for 22 points, and the only other Miami points came on a triple from Norris Cole, which was assisted by James.

So now the takeaways:

--Wade looked as good as he has in quite some time. It was not just what the stat line will show – 23 points on 10-16 shooting, five rebounds and five assists – but the fact that he was so aggressive and confident with the ball. He attacked without any hesitation, and was 5-5 in the 4th quarter, making it 11-12 the final stanza for the series. Wade’s minutes were managed well by Erik Spoelstra during the regular season, never topping 40, and could it be that missing nine straight games late in the schedule served to get him fresh again? Over his last three games it has been 78 points in 99:57 of court time, and when there is that kind of quickness in his step, the Heat ceiling is raised.

--The Miami wild card was the play of Cole and Chris Anderson. They were only used for 31:18 in the opener, with Anderson being effective but Cole going 0-3. In Game #2 it was 55:02 and both played well, Anderson contributing 12 rebounds and Cole 11 points, the former leading to a +25 when he was on the court, while for Cole it was +14. Mario Chalmers left with 4:06 remaining in the 3rd quarter and was not seen again; Shane Battier played sparingly, the last at 9:17; and except for offense/defense substitutions of Ray Allen for Anderson in the final minute, Spoelstra stayed with the group that was working down the stretch. The question now becomes how early he goes to that rotation on Saturday.

--The Indiana wild card was the biggest of all, the concussion suffered by George. Over the final 6:50 he was 1-2 from the FT line with a turnover, and struggled defensively. How much of that flow, both his personal inactivity and the Pacer team demise, was a result of him being out of focus? That answer matters in breaking down Game #2 properly, and then becomes a crucial factor heading to Saturday. In the playoffs Indiana is +64 with him on the court and -27 when he has been on the sidelines, and the Pacers have scored at a 93.8 “per 48” rate with him, as opposed to 80.0 without.

Now on to Saturday. So far the markets are of a “George plays” mentality, with Miami at -6.5 in the key stores late Friday afternoon (you’ll see 8.5’s quickly if he is scratched). Consider that adjustment for the change in venues. The call is only for a 4.5-point valuation of the swing, one that is far from the historical parameters. Over the last 10 years the court change for Game #3 of a Conference Finals has been an average of 8.8 points, with no game adjusted less than 5.5.

Let this sink in for a moment. On May 9 Indiana was +5 at Washington, and on May 15 the Pacers were +4.5 on that same court. It shows how fickle the current market is for these playoffs, and provides some real food for thought.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2Halves2Win (Down 2.35u's in the NBA playoffs thus far.....)


1* GAME: Pacers-Heat o183 (-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TDB (TBDu)
2* GAME: Pacers +6.5 (-110: Risking 2.20 units to win 2.00 units) - TDB (TBDu)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Investors USA
Pacers/Heat Over 182 2x
pacers +7. 2x

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Philly Ross

UFC
(1*) Parlay 3 matches

Lawler,Henderson,Barao (Get henderson at this great price now before it lowers)

Also straight bets (1*) on Lawler and Barao

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Play Wins

Our money management plan is very simple:
We play each Power Play at equal unit value.

Sport: MLB
Detroit Tigers (-175)
Pitcher: Porcello
Game time: 1:00:00 PM (PST)

Sport: MLB
Atlanta Braves (-140)
Pitcher: Minor
Game time: 1:00:00 PM (PST)

Sport: NBA
Indiana Pacers (+7)
Game time: 5:30:00 PM (PST)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play Sat Braves -135

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Saturday

Brewers/Marlins over 8

Nationals/Pirates over 6.5

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Today's MLB Picks

St. Louis at Cincinnati

The Reds (22-24) look to follow up their 5-3 win over St. Louis last night as they face a Cardinals team that is 2-8 in Jaime Garcia's last 10 road starts against a team with a losing record. Cincinnati is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Reds favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-115). Here are all of today's picks.


SATURDAY, MAY 24
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: LA Dodgers at Philadelphia (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Haren) 16.181; Philadelphia (Buchanan) 14.551
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-140); Under


Game 903-904: Colorado at Atlanta (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Nicasio) 15.783; Atlanta (Minor) 14.991
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+125); Over


Game 905-906: Milwaukee at Miami (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Peralta) 15.041; Miami (Turner) 16.185
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Miami (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-110); Under


Game 907-908: Arizona at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Collmenter) 15.177; NY Mets (Wheeler) 14.098
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+105); Over


Game 909-910: St. Louis at Cincinnati (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Garcia) 14.274; Cincinnati (Cingrani) 15.879
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-115); Under


Game 911-912: Washington at Pittsburgh (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 14.571; Pittsburgh (Cole) 15.055
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+100); Under


Game 913-914: Chicago Cubs at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 14.883; San Diego (Buckner) 15.884
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-115); Over


Game 915-916: Oakland at Toronto (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Chavez) 15.067; Toronto (Dickey) 16.123
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-105); Under


Game 917-918: NY Yankees at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Nuno) 15.737; White Sox (Danks) 14.037
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-115); Under


Game 919-920: Texas at Detroit (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Martinez) 15.819; Detroit (Porcello) 14.946
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+155); Over


Game 921-922: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Peavy) 15.819; Tampa Bay (Price) 14.733
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+120); Over


Game 923-924: Cleveland at Baltimore (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kluber) 14.883; Baltimore (Jimenez) 15.736
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-115); Under


Game 925-926: Kansas City at LA Angels (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Shields) 16.759; LA Angels (Shoemaker) 15.501
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-115); Under


Game 927-928: Houston at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 14.961; Seattle (Maurer) 13.962
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-110); Over


Game 929-930: Minnesota at San Francisco (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Deduno) 15.847; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 14.928
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+150); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

Chicago at Los Angeles

The Blackhawks look to bounce back from their 6-2 loss in Game 2 as they head to LA tonight where they are 7-2 in their last 9 games versus the Kings. Chicago is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Blackhawks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+110). Here are all of today's playoff picks.


SATURDAY, MAY 24
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 11-12: Chicago at Los Angeles (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.875; Los Angeles 11.776
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+110); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Atlanta at Chicago

The Sky play host to an Atlanta team that is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 road games. Chicago is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sky favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.


SATURDAY, MAY 24
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 651-652: Seattle at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 104.107; Washington 113.333
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 9; 148
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 3 1/2; 143
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3 1/2); Over


Game 653-654: New York at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 114.131; Minnesota 121.715
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 7 1/2; 148
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 10 1/2; 152 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+7 1/2); Under


Game 655-656: Atlanta at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 110.914; Chicago 110.945
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 147
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 153
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-1 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Pacers +6.5
Blackhawks +102
W. Sox +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
SATURDAY, MAY 24TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________

#901 LA DODGERS @ #902 PHILADELPHIA - 3:05 PM
•Dodgers RH Dan Haren (5-2, 3.18 ERA, WHIP: 1.235) - Haren has given up three home runs in his last two starts after going four straight outings without issuing a long ball. He issued two homers Sunday against Arizona, which reached Haren for a season high-tying five runs and 10 hits. Haren's career numbers against the Phillies include a 1-4 record with a 4.67 ERA in nine starts.

--KEY STAT: HAREN is 4-13 (-13.6 Units) against the money line versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAREN 3.3, OPPONENT 5.2.

•Phillies RH David Buchanan (NR) - Buchanan was terrific over his first seven starts for Triple-A Lehigh Valley before struggling in his last two outings. In his last start, Buchanan needed 45 pitches to get through the first inning and issued four runs before getting pulled. "He hasn't been dominant," Phillies general manager Ruben Amaro said. "But he's been consistent and he's winning."

#903 COLORADO @ #904 ATLANTA - 4:10 PM
•Rockies RH Juan Nicasio (4-2, 4.03 ERA, WHIP: 1.305) - Nicasio has pitched well in four May starts, going 2-1 with a 2.63 ERA and leaving his last outing Sunday against San Diego with a lead before getting a no-decision. He allowed four earned runs on nine hits against the Padres, but has surrendered just three earned runs in his other starts this month (18 innings). Nicasio has struggled against Atlanta in his career, allowing 20 earned runs in 18 1/3 innings while going 0-3 with a 9.82 ERA.

--KEY STAT: NICASIO is 20-9 OVER (+10.8 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NICASIO 5.4, OPPONENT 5.4.

--NICASIO is 18-6 OVER (+12.3 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NICASIO 5.9, OPPONENT 5.0.

•Braves LH Mike Minor (2-2, 3.80 ERA, WHIP: 1.352) - Minor has won his past two starts, allowing two earned runs in 13 1/3 innings in victories over San Francisco and Milwaukee. He threw 112 pitches in his last start against the Brewers on Monday, giving up two runs on five hits in 6 2/3 innings. Minor won both his starts against Colorado last year and is 3-0 lifetime against the Rockies, posting a 3.96 ERA.

--KEY STAT: MINOR is 17-4 (+12.5 Units) against the money line after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MINOR 4.8, OPPONENT 2.1.

#905 MILWAUKEE @ #906 MIAMI - 4:10 PM
•Brewers RH Wily Peralta (4-3, 2.18 ERA, WHIP: 1.231) - Peralta managed only one victory in his last five starts, but has not allowed more than three runs in any of them and went at least seven innings in three. The Dominican Republic native began the season 3-0 in his first four turns, giving up only six earned runs in 24 2/3 innings. Derek Dietrich has a homer in four at-bats against Peralta, who is 1-0 in three outings versus Miami with a 2.70 ERA.

--KEY STAT: PERALTA is 20-7 UNDER (+11.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PERALTA 2.6, OPPONENT 3.8.

•Marlins RH Jacob Turner (0-2, 6.59 ERA, WHIP: 1.573) - Turner has made four starts since returning from a shoulder injury that caused him to miss about a month and yielded 16 runs (15 earned) in 21 1/3 innings. The 23-year-old is 5-5 with a 5.00 ERA at home and 0-11 with a 4.09 ERA in 18 starts on the road in his career. Jean Segura is 3-for-6 and Carlos Gomez has homered against Turner, who is 0-1 in two starts versus Milwaukee.

#907 ARIZONA @ #908 NY METS - 4:10 PM
•Diamondbacks RH Josh Collmenter (2-2, 4.02 ERA, WHIP: 1.213) - Collmenter is 2-0 with a 3.72 ERA in his last five starts after allowing three runs in 5 1/3 innings of a win over the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday. However, he has failed to get through six innings in three outings this month after doing so in his final three starts in April. Collmenter gave up three runs in four innings in a loss to the Mets in his first start of the season April 14 and is 1-2 with a 4.91 ERA in seven career games (two starts) against New York.

•Mets RH Zack Wheeler (1-4, 4.53 ERA, WHIP: 1.571) - After posting four quality starts in five outings overall in April, Wheeler has endured an up-and-down May, going 0-2 with a 5.31 ERA while producing 15 walks and 15 strikeouts. He has not made a start at home since April 25, when he struck out 10 and allowed a run in six innings. Wheeler allowed two runs in 6 1/3 innings opposite Collmenter on April 14 to pick up his first win of the year.

--KEY STAT: WHEELER is 12-6 (+10.6 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WHEELER 5.0, OPPONENT 3.8.

--WHEELER is 9-1 OVER (+8.0 Units) after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WHEELER 5.1, OPPONENT 5.3.

#909 ST LOUIS @ #910 CINCINNATI - 7:15 PM
•Cardinals LH Jaime Garcia (0-0, 5.14 ERA, WHIP: 0.714) - Garcia left his first start since May 17, 2013 with a 5-4 lead before Atlanta rallied for a 6-5 victory Sunday. "He threw the ball well, very well," St. Louis manager Mike Matheny told reporters after the 27-year-old Mexican allowed four runs and five hits while striking out five in seven innings. "...When he was down, staying out of the middle, staying ahead in the count, he was making very very good pitches and getting some quick outs." Garcia is 9-2 with a 3.18 ERA in 15 appearances (13 starts) versus Cincinnati.

--KEY STAT: GARCIA is 21-30 (-22.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GARCIA 4.4, OPPONENT 4.8.

•Reds LH Tony Cingrani (2-3, 3.76 ERA, WHIP: 1.383) - Cingrani allowed four runs, seven hits and three home runs - all career highs - in six innings of an 8-3 loss at Philadelphia on Sunday. The 24-year-old Evergreen Park, Ill., native faced the Cardinals in his first two starts of 2014, receiving a no-decision after yielding two hits and striking out nine in seven shutout innings and suffering the loss when he allowed three runs in four innings. Cingrani, who recorded 39 strikeouts in 38 1/3 innings this season, is 1-0 with a 2.60 ERA in three home starts.

#911 WASHINGTON @ #912 PITTSBURGH - 7:15 PM
•Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (3-3, 3.38 ERA, WHIP: 1.288) - Strasburg has quieted some of the concerns about his slow start by posting six straight quality starts, but he has only two wins over that stretch. He held Cincinnati to two runs over seven innings last time out but didn't factor in the decision in a 4-3 loss. Strasburg is 2-1 with a 2.57 ERA in four starts against Pittsburgh, and the loss came in a 4-2 defeat last season in which he struck out 12 and allowed one run and two hits in eight innings.

--KEY STAT: STRASBURG is 7-18 against the run line (-12.8 Units) versus an National League team with a batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 4.2, OPPONENT 3.8.

--STRASBURG is 9-22 against the run line (-14.4 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 4.0, OPPONENT 3.7.

--STRASBURG is 0-9 against the run line (-10.5 Units) against National League Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 2.8, OPPONENT 4.4.

•Pirates RH Gerrit Cole (4-3, 3.84 ERA, WHIP: 1.329) - Cole is coming off a solid outing in a road win over the New York Yankees in which he struck out eight and allowed three runs over six innings. The 23-year-old has racked up six or more strikeouts in six of his nine starts, including four straight outings. Cole is 2-0 at home this season and 10-5 at PNC Park in his young career.

#913 CHICAGO CUBS @ #914 SAN DIEGO - 10:10 PM
•Cubs LH Travis Wood (4-4, 4.61 ERA, WHIP: 1.335) - Wood has been horrible on the road this season, going 1-3 with an 8.02 ERA in four such outings. He has excelled at home and held Milwaukee to two runs and two hits in seven innings in a 4-2 victory last Sunday. Wood is 0-2 with a 4.05 ERA in six career appearances (five starts) against San Diego.

•Padres RH Billy Buckner (NR) - Buckner will be recalled from Triple-A El Paso to start Saturday’s game. The Padres are shy on starters with Andrew Cashner and Robbie Erlin on the disabled list with elbow injuries, which led to the recall of Buckner (3-2, 2.89 at El Paso). The 30-year-old has a 7-11 career record and 6.07 ERA while spending time with the Kansas City Royals, Arizona Diamondbacks and Los Angeles Angels.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER

Soccer plays for the weekend

Tottenham
Liverpool

Seattle Sounders
New England - Under 2.5
Real Salt Lake

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE REAL DEAL
Sports Picks

NBA* MIAMI - OVER 182

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Saturday, May 24

Over is 44-32 in playoffs this season.
Favorites are 27-49 in playoffs this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo’s incredible run of ineptitude dragged on Friday night when the Cards failed to carry out their mission in Cincinnati, causing the deficit to expand to 1,190 belles.

Saturday: Mr. Aitch will join forces with the Native Americans in Baltimore — 10 units on Ubaldo and the Birds to come up a hair short. Also, 10 on Shoemaker to help the Angels clog up the Royal offense.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond

9* Houston Astros -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FEZZIK FOCUS

WNBA - 655 Atlanta vs Chicago - OVER 152

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Royals -110

100* Indians -110

50* Rays -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UFC 173 Preview
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider

The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to Las Vegas and the MGM Grand Garden Arena for a 12-fight card Saturday night. In the UFC 173 main event, Renan Barao (32-1-0-1 MMA, 7-0 UFC) will defend his bantamweight belt against T.J. Dillashaw.

Most betting shops have the champ installed as an expensive -800 favorite (risk $800 to win $100), while Dillashaw is a +550 underdog (risk $100 to win $550). The total for 'over/under' wagers is 4.5 rounds (-180 to back the 'under', +150 for the 'over').

Barao has been laying waste to the 135-pound division since entering the promotion. The Brazilian hasn't tasted defeat in nearly a decade and is off his second win over Urijah Faber by first-round knockout at UFC 169.

Dillashaw (9-2 MMA, 5-2 UFC) is a 28-year-old wrestler who fights out of the Team Alpha Male camp in Sacramento. He has won five of his last six fights with the lone defeat coming by split decision against Raphael Assuncao last October.

Prediction: Barao is clearly too expensive to bet at the enormous straight price. I think he wins a unanimous decision, but he could get the finish. If you win most of your bets going into the main event, maybe take a shot at the 'over' for the decent payout? I'll probably be on the sidelines for this one.

In the co-main event, Daniel Cormier (14-0 MMA, 3-0 UFC) will put his unbeaten record on the line against Dan Henderson. The winner will most likely get the next crack at the light heavyweight belt against the winner of Jon Jones vs. Alexander Gustafsson.

Most books are listing 'DC' as a -900 'chalk,' with 'Hendo' available for a +575 return (risk $100 to win $575). The total is 2.5 rounds ('over' -140, 'under' +110).

This will be Cormier's second fight in the 205-pound loop. He was scheduled to make his light-heavyweight debut against Rashad Evans, but 'Suga' had to pull out due to a knee injury less than two weeks before the fight. Therefore, the UFC pulled former Penn St. wrestler Patrick Cummins off the street and into the Octagon.

Cormier needed only 79 seconds to earn a first-round KO over Cummins at UFC 170. Prior to the win over Cummins, Cormier beat Frank Mir and Roy Nelson in a pair of heavyweight scraps. Before joining the UFC, Cormier won the Strikeforce heavyweight strap thanks to wins over Antonio 'Bigfoot' Silva and Josh Barnett.

Henderson (30-11 MMA, 7-5 UFC) ended a three-fight losing streak by knocking out Shogun Rua in the third round of their rematch in Brazil on March 23. Rua was dominating in the first two rounds and nearly finished Henderson, but the 43-year-old former Olympic wrestler landed a vintage right-hand 'H-Bomb' that floored Rua. Henderson pounced and finished the fight with additional strikes.

Prediction: I think Cormier most likely wins, but I'd probably bet Henderson as a +500 underdog or better against a lion. Hendo's one-punch KO power is worthy of a small wager on the underdog here.

In the welterweight division, 'Ruthless' Robbie Lawler and Jake 'The Juggernaut' Ellenberger will collide in the third fight on the pay-per-view card. Most spots have Lawler as a -230 'chalk,' leaving Ellenberger as an underdog in the +180 range. The total is 2.5 rounds (-110 either way).

Lawler (22-10-0-1 MMA, 7-4 UFC) is coming off a 25-minute slugfest against Johny Hendricks, who won the vacated 170-pound belt by unanimous decision in an epic thriller. Both fighters stood in the pocket and banged away for the first 4.5 rounds. Hendricks narrowly won Rounds 1 and 2, but Lawler clearly took Rounds 3 and 4 and nearly finished 'Bigg Rigg' on multiple occasions.

In the fifth and deciding stanza, Hendricks scored a takedown midway through the round and kept top position for the remainder of the bout. Lawler earned the title shot by winning his first three fights in his second tour of duty in the UFC. He beat Josh Koscheck, Bobby Voelker and Rory MacDonald.

Ellenberger (29-7 MMA, 8-3 UFC) is coming off the most disappointing performance of his career last summer against MacDonald, who won a unanimous decision in a snoozer. Both fighters talked trash galore going into the bout, but they were both reluctant to engage for the entire 15 minutes.

The winner of this bout will be in the mix for a title shot at 170.

Prediction: I like Lawler to prevail. The price is a little expensive, though, so I prefer a play on 'under' 2.5 rounds at the -110 price. I think Lawler wins by second-round KO.

The first two fights on the pay-per-view card feature 'Jamie Varner (-190) vs. James Krause (+155) and 'Takeya Mizugaki (-165) vs. Francisco Rivera (+140).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Blackhawks at Kings: What bettors need to know

Chicago Blackhawks at Los Angeles Kings (-121, 5)

By earning a split in the Windy City, the Los Angeles Kings wrested away home-ice advantage from the reigning Stanley Cup-champion Chicago Blackhawks. The resilient Kings look to ride the momentum of their five-goal outburst in the third period when the teams reconvene at Staples Center for Game 3 of the Western Conference final on Saturday. Jeff Carter highlighted the offensive display by recording his second career playoff hat trick and adding an assist in Los Angeles' 6-2 triumph over Chicago on Wednesday.

The loss at United Center was the first this postseason for the Blackhawks, who have won three of their last four visits to Staples Center - including a split in last season's conference final. "We have to go out there and win a game in L.A., for sure," Ben Smith told the Chicago Sun-Times. "It's something we've done before (and being able to) draw from that experience is nice." Defenseman Nick Leddy, who scored on Wednesday, collected a goal and an assist as the Blackhawks posted a 5-3 triumph over the Kings in the teams' lone regular-season meeting in Los Angeles on Feb. 3.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC, TSN, RDS

ABOUT THE BLACKHAWKS: Despite Wednesday's lopsided final result, coach Joel Quenneville refused to hang his head at the team's predicament. "We've been in some tough sports," Quenneville said. "Look at last year - down 2-1 to Boston (in the Stanley Cup final), down 3-1 to Detroit (in the second round), down 2-0 to St. Louis (in this year's first round) and 2-2 in the Minnesota series - there's a lot of hockey left in this series." Chicago has scored a power-play goal in three of its last four contests, although it yielded a pair after killing off 44-of-48 short-handed situations entering Game 3.

ABOUT THE KINGS: Carter's young linemates also are enjoying strong series as Tyler Toffoli has scored in each contest while rookie Tanner Pearson has notched three assists. The trio combined on a backbreaking goal that gave Los Angeles a 4-2 lead as the Chicago players appeared uncertain if the puck had sailed into the netting. "I don't think they knew where it was," Pearson said. "So I saw it, I knew (Toffoli) would be in the slot somewhere, so I just passed it out there and fortunately he was there and put it in."

TRENDS:

* Blackhawks are 7-2 in the last nine meetings in Los Angeles.
* Blackhawks are 20-7 in the last 27 meetings.
* Home team is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
* Under is 16-7-3 in the last 26 meetings.

OVERTIME:

1. Los Angeles' Dean Lombardi joined Montreal's Marc Bergevin and Anaheim's Bob Murray as finalists for the NHL General Manager of the Year Award, the league announced on Friday.

2. Chicago expects to see the return of C Andrew Shaw, who has been sidelined for the last seven games. He suffered a leg injury when he was on the receiving end of a check from Minnesota D Clayton Stoner during the second-round series.

3. The Kings dominated in the faceoff circle (43-of-70) in Game 2 as Cs Anze Kopitar and Jarret Stoll combined to win 29-of-43 draws.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | INDIANA at MIAMI
Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) after 1 or more consecutive unders, an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games
126-75 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.7% | 43.5 units )
11-6 this year. ( 64.7% | 4.4 units )

NBA | INDIANA at MIAMI
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (MIAMI) after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 175 points or less
82-27 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.2% | 37.4 units )
8-4 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.7 units )

NBA | INDIANA at MIAMI
Play Under - Any team vs. the 1rst half line in a playoff series which is tied, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season
198-119 since 1997. ( 62.5% | 67.1 units )
7-14 this year. ( 33.3% | -8.4 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Indiana at Miami

After being taken behind the woodshed spanked 107-96 as a 1 1/2-point road favorite in the opener the 'Three Amigos' nipped Pacers 87-83 Tuesday as two-point favorites to even the series. Now the series shifts to Miami for Game 3 on Saturday. Home-court advantage in the playoffs has served Miami well since Wade, James, Bosh joined forces posting a smart 35-7 (26-16 ATS) record including 5-0 (3-2 ATS) this year. Miami's record at home is impressive, but basketball handicapping demands digging a little deeper to get a better take on the situation. To that end, those number pale compared to the what Indiana brings to the table. The Pacers, a resilient group have reeled off an 11-1 (10-2 ATS) streak following a post season loss including 3-0 SU/ATS running the hardwood vs Heat.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | CLEVELAND at BALTIMORE
Play On - Home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (BALTIMORE) where team's hitters draw 3 walks or less/game on the season, after 3 straight games where they had 12 or more hits
36-10 since 1997. ( 78.3% | 23.6 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | MINNESOTA at SAN FRANCISCO
MINNESOTA is 17-11 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in Road games after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: MINNESOTA (4.4) , OPPONENT (4.0)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

2* Rockies +135

2* A's -119

2* Twins +145

1* D-Backs +1.5 -210

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SATURDAY, MAY 24th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY

(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
__________________________________________________ ___

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #8
•Brewers Ice-Cold On The Road After Hot Start: The Milwaukee Brewers have been the talk of the Major League Baseball scene this season, especially in the early going. However, after starting a ridiculous 11-1 on the road, the Brewers are a terrible 3-9.... During the past 12 road games, the Brewers have been outscored 57-32 and have allowed their opponents to scored 5 or more runs 50 percent of the time.... The Brewers will travel to Miami, who holds an MLB-best 19-6 home record, Saturday.

•Royals Rack-Up Wins With Shields' On The Mound: James Shields has become the quiet ace for the Kansas City Royals. Shields is 6-3 through his 10 starts this season and is carrying a 2.67 ERA for the Royals. Shields has been as close to automatic wins that the Royals could hope for. Over Shields' last 33 starts, the Royals have a 24-9 record (72.7%) including winning the past three in a row.

•Orioles Can Not Find Win Column When Jimenez Starts: The Baltimore Orioles thought they were finding a calming presence in their rotation when they picked up Ubaldo Jimenez, but that has not come to fruition. In Jimenez's past four starts at Camden Yards, the O's have not picked up a single win. It does not get much better past that as the Orioles are 2-7 in Jimenez's past nine starts. Jimenez has an abysmal 4.50 ERA this season and has only two wins to his name.

•Wood Providing No Consistency For The Cubs: The Chicago Cubs have been looking for any sort of consistency outside of Jeff Samardzija, but that certainly has not been Travis Wood. In Wood's last 27 starts following a quality start, the Cubs are 5-22. That includes a 1-3 record so far this year coming off quality starts for Wood. Wood is 4-4 this season with a 4.61 ERA and a 51/18 SO/BB ratio.

•Drew Heads For Minor League Assignment: Shortstop Stephen Drew cleared waivers on Friday and was sent to Class A Greenville after he re-signed with the Boston Red Sox this week. Drew, who rejected a contract offer during the offseason before accepting a prorated share of a $14.1 million qualifying offer on Tuesday, is expected to be in the minor leagues about 10 days before he returns to the majors. Boston manager John Farrell told reporters that Drew would be with Greenville for four days before going to Double-A Portland or Triple-A Pawtucket. The Red Sox want Drew to get back into the swing of things with about 25 at-bats. During the Red Sox's World Series season in 2013, Drew batted .253 with 13 home runs and 67 RBIs in 124 games.

•Ryan Braun Out Against Marlins: Ryan Braun was out of the Brewers starting lineup Friday after a flare-up of the oblique strain that sent him to the disabled list earlier this season. The Milwaukee slugger was available off the bench against Miami, and manager Ron Roenicke said he hoped Braun would be back in the lineup by Sunday. Braun left Thursday's game at Atlanta in the fifth inning because of tightness in his right side. He began the weekend hitting .289 with seven homers and 19 RBIs, but was 4 for 23 on the Brewers' current trip. Roenicke said the injury was probably a factor. "He's taking weirder swings than I've seen him take," Roenicke said. "If he's taking bad swings, something is going on.... Hopefully Saturday or the next day he's good."

•Pirates Activate Jason Grilli From The Disabled List: Pirates closer Jason Grilli is off the disabled list after missing the past month with a strained oblique muscle. Grilli saved 33 games last season and another four games this year before going on the disabled list, but it’s possible the Pirates will ease him back into the bullpen mix in a low-leverage role because of how well Mark Melancon has fared filling in at closer. Melancon has eight saves with a 2.05 ERA and 15/5 K/BB ratio in 22 innings this season after making the All-Star team last year on the way to posting a 1.39 ERA in 71 innings.

Betting Notes - Saturday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Nicasio is 2-1, 3.38 in his last four starts.
-- Minor is 2-0, 1.35 in his last couple starts.
-- Peralta has a 2.08 RA in his last four starts.
-- Strasburg is 2-1, 2.62 in his last five starts.

-- Chavez is 3-1, 2.81 in his last four starts. Dickey is 3-1, 4.35 in his last five.
-- Porcello is 5-0, 2.76 in his last five starts.
-- Kluber is 2-0, 2.51 in his last four starts. Jimenez is 2-1, 2.19 in his last four.
-- Shields is 3-0, 1.71 in his last three starts. Shoemaker is 2-0, 2.45 in his two starts this season.
-- Keuchel is 3-0, 1.42 in his last three starts.

-- Vogelsong is 2-1, 1.62 in his last five starts.

•Cold Pitchers
-- Haren is 2-2, 5.12 in his last five starts.
-- Turner is 0-2, 6.92 in his five starts this season.
-- Collmenter has a 6.26 RA in his last four starts, but Arizona won three of the four games. Wheeler is 0-2, 7.53 in his last four starts.
-- Cingrani is 1-2, 4.71 in his last four starts. Garcia allowed four runs in seven IP in his first '14 start, coming back from injury.
-- Cole has a 4.74 RA in his last four starts.
-- Wood has a 6.97 RA in his last five starts, but is 3-2 in those games. Roach allowed four runs in three IP in his first '14 start.

-- Danks is 1-4, 8.56 in his last five starts. Nuno is 1-1, 6.64 in his last four.
-- Martinez is 0-0, 4.50 in three starts this season.
-- Price is 1-3, 5.35 in his last five starts. Peavy is 0-2, 6.35 in his last four.
-- Maurer is 1-2, 6.75 in five starts this season.

-- Deduno is 1-1, 4.76 in three starts this season.

•Totals
-- Seven of last nine Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in last twelve Dodger games.
-- Ten of last thirteen Miami games went over the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Arizona games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Cincinnati home games stayed under.
-- Under is 14-4-2 in last twenty Atlanta home games.
-- Six of last seven Cub games stayed under the total.

-- Eight of last eleven Texas games stayed under.
-- Over is 12-5-1 in last eighteen Toronto home games.
-- Over is 12-1-2 in last fifteen Cleveland games.
-- Three of last four Boston games went over the total.
-- Eight of last 11 White Sox games went over. Eight of last nine Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1-2 in last seven Angel games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Houston road games.

-- Six of last nine Minnesota games went over the total.

•Hot Teams
-- Pirates won seven of their last nine home games.
-- Marlins won 13 of its last 16 home games.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last nine games. Cincinnati won three of last four.
-- Braves won seven of their last nine home games.
-- Cubs won four of their last six games.

-- Athletics won 11 of its last 14 games. Toronto won seven of last eight.
-- Indians won four of their last five games.
-- Rangers won their last three games.
-- White Sox won four of their last five games.
-- Angels won five of their last six games. Kansas City is 6-5 in their last eleven road games.
-- Mariners won four of its last five games.

-- Twins won five of its last seven games. San Francisco won ten of their last fourteen home games.

•Cold Teams
-- Nationals are 7-12 in its last 19 games.
-- Dodgers are 6-7 in their last thirteen road games. Philadelphia lost seven of their last ten games overall.
-- Mets lost six of their last eight games. Arizona lost five of its last seven.
-- Brewers lost eight of their last twelve road games
-- Rockies lost six of its last seven road games.
-- Padres lost five of their last seven games.

-- Tigers lost four of its last five games.
-- Rays lost nine of last twelve home games. Boston lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Orioles lost eight of its last twelve games.
-- Yankees lost four of their last five games.
-- Astros lost ten of their last thirteen road games.

•Umpires Trends
-- LA-Phil-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Buckminster games.
-- Col-Atl-- Five of last seven Barksdale games went over.
-- Mil-Mia-- Nine of ten Eddings games stayed under total.
-- Az-NY-- Five of last six Gorman games stayed under (he umped rained out four innings last night; We’re assuming he works again here).
-- StL-Cin-- Favorites won eight of ten Carapazza games.
-- Wsh-Pitt-- Underdogs won five of nine Morales games.
-- Chi-SD-- Five of last seven Cuzzi games went over total.

-- A's-Tor-- Six of last eight Little games went over total.
-- NY-Chi-- Four of last five Nelson games stayed under.
-- Tex-Det-- Over is 6-1-1 in LBarrett games this year.
-- Bos-TB-- Six of nine Vanover games went over total.
-- Cle-Balt-- Six of eight Drake games went over total.
-- KC-LA-- Five of six Segal games went over the total.
-- Hst-Sea-- Underdogs won seven of last eight Barber games; over is 6-1-1 in those eight games.

-- Min-SF-- Five of last six Meals games went over the total.

Diamond Trends - Saturday
•DETROIT is 11-1 (+10.1 Units) against the money line versus American League teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was DETROIT 6.7, OPPONENT 3.2.

•PHILADELPHIA is 12-1 OVER (+11.6 Units) versus good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4.4, OPPONENT 4.9.

•ST LOUIS is 11-28 (-24.8 Units) against the run line in road games versus a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ST LOUIS 3.1, OPPONENT 4.3.

•COREY KLUBER is 14-2 (+13.4 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KLUBER 6.6, OPPONENT 3.7.

•WILY PERALTA is 21-6 UNDER (+13.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PERALTA 2.6, OPPONENT 3.7.

•STEPHEN STRASBURG is 0-9 (-10.5 Units) against the run line against National League Central opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was STRASBURG 2.8, OPPONENT 4.4.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (ST LOUIS) - poor National League offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA>=5.00), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest.
(47-18 since 1997.) (72.3%, +33.7 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +110
The average score in these games was: Team 5.6, Opponent 3.7 (Average run differential = +1.8)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1.2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-1, +1 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-7, +2.1 units).

•Play On - Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+165 to -135) (MINNESOTA) - below average American League hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), in May games.
(47-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.3%, +31.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-27 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -120
The average score in these games was: Team 4.5, Opponent 3.7 (Average run differential = +0.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 33 (55% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (6-2, +3.4 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-10, +16 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (81-44, +29.1 units).

•Play Under - All teams where the total is 7 or less (TAMPA BAY) - very bad American League offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA<=3.33), starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings.
(38-11 since 1997.) (77.6%, +25.6 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 6.8, Money Line=-112.7
The average score in these games was: Team 2.6, Opponent 3.3 (Total runs scored = 5.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 31 (63.3% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-1, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-5, +19.4 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (37-11, +24.6 units).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

150 DIME

-MAX WAGER-

NBA PLAYOFF

GAME OF THE YEAR

Miami Heat

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gordon24

$300 /MLB PLAY - CARDINALS -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betsthatprofit

2* Oakland/Blue Jays UNDER 9.5 -125

[golden contender]

Big Saturday card has a 6* NBA Play from A playoff system that has cashed an amazing 72 of 73 times. In MLB We have a 38-4 Masterpiece system in Day action a 20-0 Late MLB System and the NHL Game 3 Historical system play from the NHL Database. Free MLB Play below.


On Saturday the free MLB Road warrior system play is on the Washington Nationals. Game 911 at 7:05 eastern. Washington has their ace in Stephen Strasburg on the mound and he has won both career starts here in Pittsburgh. Washington has won 6 of his last 8 road starts in May allowing 6 runs in 30 innings. He will face Pirates right G. Cole who has decent numbers but not as tight as Strasburg. The Nationals are 20-7 as a road favorite off a road loss. For the Power system we note that road favorites with a total of 8 or less that are off a 1 run road dog loss that scored 4 or less runs have won 20 of 20 the last 10+ seasons vs an opponent off a 1 run home favored win and scored 4 or less runs on 5+ hits with no errors. Look for Washington to bounce back and win this one. Don't miss the Saturday card with a 6* NBA Playoff system that has cashed 72 of 73 times and a 5* early 38-4 MLB Masterpiece system and a late 20-0 MLB System. In the NHL We have the Game 3 Historical system side from the NHL Playoff Database. Jump on now as Flatten your book all Memorial day weekend long. For the free MLB Play take Washington tonight. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler

Baltimore Orioles +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc mlb 5/24

4* Yankees
3* Tampa Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Philly Ross
1* Bluejuays/oak under 9

1* Oakland -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

No Limit Sports

Rangers

Red Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

4* Under Blue Jays/A's

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

4* Yankees
3* Brewers
2* Under Royals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Sports Informer

3* Mariners

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

Added

3* Yankees -1.5 +140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

top dog
under giants

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon


"Mr Chalk" lost in MLB on Friday with the Marlins -$107/Brewers but did win his lean on the Pirates-$108/Nationals.

E&B are wagering across the pond and on the pitch for Saturday.

$25 on Real Madrid/Atletico Madrid 1st half and a draw after 90 minn.

Then $25 on Atletico Madrid/Real Madrid 1st half and draw after 90 minn.

Also wager $25 on draw in 1st half and Real Madrid/Atletico Madrid.

And $25 on the draw in the 1st half and Atletico Madrid/Real Madrid.

Finally $25 on a draw at the end of ths 1st half and 2nd half.

For Saturday in the NBA Playoffs E&B like the Heat -6.5/Pacers.

For Saturday in MLB in Interleague play "Mr Chalk" likes the Giants -$160/Twins.

Ben lee is 2-5 -$214 for week Thirty and 127-147-5 -$2775

"Mr Chalk" is 22-21 -$466 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegasSnitch Champions League 200x winner: Real Madrid +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The game with Arizona was delayed yesterday, so we'll treat the game today as the {A} bet!
Please keep in mind that this betting series is unofficial because it does NOT pass the RPI filter.
The system bet today on May 24 is an {A} bet on Arizona. Remember to bet on the +1.5 run line if your team is an underdog, and the money line if your team is the favorite.
Good luck,
Tony the Sports Betting Champ

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports

Sides
.5* Tigers #920 on RL +115

Totals

2* White Sox #'s 917/918 UNDER 9.5
2* Angels #'s 925/926 OVER 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DENVER MONEY

MLB Totals
Cleveland @ Baltimore – Over 8.5
Texas @ Detroit – Over 9
Milwaukee @ Miami – Under 8
Oakland @ Toronto – Over 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharp MLB 5/24

7* Tampa Bay
3* Cardinals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

psychicsportspicks


PSYCHIC
(1-5)

5 unit Indiana +6.5 (WISEGUY)

WIIZARD
(1-10)

8 unit Indiana +6.5
8 unit under 183
8 unit Indiana +4 1st half

JT WALKER
(all units same one unit)

1 unit Milwaukee -111

Iceman
(1-3)

2 unit Chicago +115

Genius
(1-10)

9 unit Atlanta -135 (MLB Game of the Year)

Michael Cash Money
(1-10)

8 unit NY Yankees -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Insider Sports Report


5* N.Y. Yankees (Nuno) -110 over Chicago White Sox (Danks)
Range: +110 to -140

3* Boston (Peavy)/Tampa Bay (Price) OVER 7
Range: 6.5 to 7.5

3* Miami -6.5 over Indiana (NBA)
Range: -5 to -9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports

Each pick is rated from 0.5 to 2.5 units (read about units). Risk 1% of your total bankroll per unit and never risk more than a few percent of your bankroll on any pick.
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies
Time: Saturday 05/24 3:05 PM Eastern
Pick: 1 unit on Philadelphia +120 (moneyline) at TopBet (risk 1.0 to win 1.20)
Pick: 1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 8.5 (+100) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) (risk 1.5 to win 1.50)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have a boatload of talent from their line-up, through their rotation, and in the pen. But, they have not had the sum of the pieces equal their results. The Dodgers are just 3 games over .500, but stand 2 games under .500 in their last 18 games. The Phillies have been shutout in three of their last eight games. LA will go with Dan Haren for this one and he is off to a strong start, but he has surrendered 3 HRs in his last two starts after four consecutive outings without yielding any. He has had trouble vs. the Phillies where he owns a career record of just 1-4 with a 4.67 ERA in nine starts against them. David Buchanan will be summoned from AAA Lehigh Valley for this one, where he made seven brilliant starts out of nine, and has earned a shot here. Veteran lineups often struggle vs. a pitcher they see for the first time. The Dodgers have also been poor off a win where they are 2-7 in their last nine, and have also lost six straight after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. That situation sees the Phillies at 5-1 in their last six. The Phillies are also 5-1-1 to the UNDER when following a loss, and a perfect 5-0 to the UNDER in their last five as a home dog. The last four in this series in Philly have all stayed UNDER the total. Play Philadelphia and take the UNDER in this one.

Game: Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels
Time: Saturday 05/24 7:15 PM Eastern
Pick: 1.5 units on Kansas City +105 (moneyline) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) (risk 1.5 to win 1.58)
Kansas City is a young team that is getting closer and closer. And at one game under .500, they certainly have incentive to play hard here as they take on the LA Angels. The Angels have been an under-achieving team the last 2+ years. While they have played better this season, they are not taking advantage of their home turf where they are just 14-12 on the season. James Shields is finally getting some run support and he is 6-3 with an ERA of 2.67 on the season, and has allowed a total of 4 runs over his last three starts. Kansas City is 24-9 in his last 33 starts, including 6-1 in his last seven vs. a winning team. They're also getting it done on the road where the Royals are 16-5 in his last 21 starts. Back Kansas City in this one.

Game: Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres
Time: Saturday 05/24 10:10 PM Eastern
Pick: 1 unit on San Diego -105 (moneyline) at Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu) (risk 1.0 to win 0.95)
The San Diego Padres' offense took a long time to have a breakout game. The Padres were the last team in MLB to score 7 or more runs in a game, as it took them until game 37 to do so. That has changed since, as they have begun to swing the bats much better, scoring 7 or more runs four times in their last 13, including 11 in the opener vs. the lowly Cubs. Chicago has a miserable 7-16 road record on the season, and they have a long history of struggling on the road vs. a right-handed starter where they are a woeful 29-71 in their last 100 games. This is also not a team built to withstand an anticipated pitching duel, as they are 4-17 in their last 21 to a total of 6.5 or less. The Cubs are just 2-7 in their last nine here, are in a bad spot. Go with San Diego.

Game: Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners
Time: Saturday 05/24 10:10 PM Eastern
Pick: 1 unit on Seattle -110 (moneyline) at bovada (http://www.bovada.lv/) (risk 1.0 to win 0.91)
The Houston Astros continue to have the look of a AAA team. This is a team that lost 105 or more games in each of the last three seasons. At 17-32 this season, they are projecting to 106 losses this year. Houston's 17 wins include just 7 on the road. Houston is just 11-41 in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning record. Put them on the road vs. a right-handed starter, and it gets even uglier as Houston is just 48-118 in their last 166 in this situation. The Mariners have stepped it up as a small to mid-sized favorite as they are 8-1 in their last nine from -110 to -150, and are on a four game winning streak as a favorite. The Astros have dropped four straight vs. the M's, and are just too shaky on the road vs. a right-hander to think about. One way to go here - play on Seattle.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Game: Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat May 24 2014 8:30PM
Prediction: under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steam On-Line (YouWinNow)

INSIDE LATE INFO BASEBALL STEAMER
930 San Francisco w/Vogelsong -143 10:05 EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy - 3 Units #655. Take Atlanta -1 over Chicago (Saturday @ 8:05pm est)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

David Banks

Top Play Pirates

Regular Plays
Indians
Marlins
Royals
Pacers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dominic Brando's Inner Circle

All Regular 1 Unit Plays:
MLB NY Yankees (Action) -120 over Chicago White Sox
MLB NY Yankees (Nuno/Danks) Over 9/-105
MLB Tampa Bay Rays (Action/Price) -140
MLB Seattle Mariners (Action/Maurer) -125
NBA Indiana Pacers +8/-130 over Miami Heat

MLB Team Totals
NY Yankees Over 4.5 Runs
Chicago White Sox Over 4.5 Runs
Tampa Bay Over 3.5 Runs
Seattle Mariners Over 3.5 Runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Seattle Storm @ Washington Mystics
Time: Saturday 05/24 7:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Seattle +5 (-105) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)

The Seattle Storm were once a dominant force in the WNBA, but have tapered off the last couple of years in large part due to injuries. They are coming into this game having played yesterday, and it has bumped the line. This is a team that has nine players at 16 minutes or more, and no one is playing more than 28 a night, so the lack of rest should not be a factor at all - especially at this early stage of the season. Washington has played just two games, and has not been able to get into any rhythm yet. They are also just 2-5 ATS in their last seven on no rest. The Storm has had the edge, as they are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings, and this one sets up right for them. Play on Seattle.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Runner - Steam Play - Over 4.5 (-115) LAD/PHI (1st 5 Innings)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tapin Sports

2* UNDER 8.5 LOS ANGELES AT PHILADELPHIA (-105)

These two teams had quite the showdown last night, with Kershaw tossing a complete gem and escaping out of two runners on, no out situations in holding the Phillies to the 2-0 shutout. The Dodgers may have found their mojo recently and it has all started with the starting rotation, which has showed up huge over their current 3-1 run. Today should be a battle as Haren takes the mound looking to rebuild off his recent outings and his career history against the Phillies. Philadelphia has been struggling at home recently, losing 6 of their last 8 games played there and the team has been shutout in 3 of their last 5 games played at Citizens Bank Field. In fact, five of their last 9 games played in Philly have seen one side get shutout. The Phillies are averaging only 3.4 RPG at home in 2014, a full run less than when playing on the road. They have played to Under 8 R in 5 of their last 7 on the road, with a 9-3 mark for the Under in their last 12 away from home. UNDER is the play.

2* UNDER 7 BOSTON AT TAMPA BAY (-115)

Expect another low-scoring affair between these two teams as their bats were held completely silent yesterday and things shouldn't get any easier with Peavy squaring off against Price. The Rays picked up their second straight walk-off win once again yesterday and that should have them motivated to knock the Red Sox to their 9th straight loss overall. UNDER is the play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Gomes

SOCCER – UEFA Champions League Final: Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid

For this contest, I’ve made the decision to make a play w/ Real Madrid this Wednesday, but because there were some news regarding the availability of Atletico’s striker Diego Costa (supposedly he is fit to play today), I knew that we would get a better line near game time. At the time, Real Madrid was priced @ +100 / 2.00 @ Pinnacle Sports, and right now, we could get them @ +117 / 2.17. No doubt that the wait was worth for us…

Regarding the matchups and the game…

Atletico Madrid has won the Spanish League and this achievement was simply epic in my opinion. They are the ultimate example of a “TEAM” as they have won the domestic league despite having inferior overall talent on their roster when compared to Real Madrid & Barcelona.

Their biggest strength relies on the incredible work rate of all their players. Their defensive pressing is just tremendous as they don’t concede many chances for their opponents to create quality shots. However, this will be their biggest problem for this contest!!!

I don’t think that Atletico will have the proper “aggressiveness” and physical condition to hang around against a “rested” Real Madrid team. Note that w/ them completely focused in winning La Liga, Atletico simply couldn’t win the L3 games of the competition. I understand that the draw @ Barcelona in the last round felt like a win for them, but prior to that game, Atletico lost @ Levante and draw at home against Malaga – two games in which Atletico would have won easily early / mid on the season. They gave everything to win the domestic league and I believe that this will have a price for them in here…

On the exactly opposite side we have Real Madrid… After crushing Bayern Munchen @ Germany, Real Madrid was so focused in winning “La Decima” that they completely “shut down the chip” and didn’t care to be competitive @ La Liga. This is was weird to understand because as we know, both Atletico and Barcelona struggled in the last rounds, and a focused Real Madrid could really have won La Liga! While Atletico is expected to be a little drained emotionally IMO, we have a Real Madrid team that will be ready for the challenge.

It looks like Diego Costa will play today after a “miraculous” trip to Serbia during the week. However, I just don’t think that he’ll ready to be a major factor in the game... Note that he “forced” to play @ Barcelona in their last game and got subbed w/ just 16 minutes of action. He represents almost 35% of the team’s total goals for the season, so the fact that he is way far from being @100% is a huge blow for the team. Atletico’s offensive threats in the last games have been almost exclusively via set pieces and this says it all about their lack of offensive production lately.

Obviously, I expect Atletico to bring a defensive minded game plan for this contest. Trying to play an “open game” w/ Real Madrid is just a kamikaze idea, because Real would crush them in transition w/ CR7 & Bale – that’s the biggest reason why Real humiliated Bayern @ semis w/ 4-0 win @ Germany.

For Real Madrid, the absence of Xabi Alonso can’t be ignored in here especially because I don’t like his natural replacement Illarramendi, who lacks the proper competitiveness and experience for this kind of games. I would have enjoyed more if Sami Khedira took the spot but either way, the absolutely key players for Real in the midfield are Angel Di Maria and Luka Modric and both are expected to play.

I expect this contest to be a tight one w/ few chances for both teams to score. However, w/ Diego Costa banged up and w/ also Arda Turan projected to not start the game, Atletico is really shorthanded on the front. The same thing cannot be said about Real Madrid w/ Cristiano Ronaldo, Gareth Bale and K. Benzema. This trio automatically will generate some scoring chances and sooner or later, one of them will make the difference and therefore, that’s why I’m taking the Real Madrid to win this contest!

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Real Madrid ML @ +119 / 2.19 on 5 Dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The OddSportsWizard


WNBA
Washington-5
Minnesota-9
Chicago (ML)

AFL
Tampa Bay/Jacksonville Under 105.5
New Orleans+6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al DeMarco

15 Dime (Highest-Rated MLB Play of my Career) - Braves

[Can'tPickAWinner]

James Jones

4 Units: (510) Miami Heat -6.5
2 Units: (925) Kansas City Royals & Los Angeles Angels Under 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep

901 Dodgers o8.5
1901 Dodgers o4.5 1st 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tampasports early mlb

yankees/chicago -under total -best bet
la dodgers/phil-over total
possilble 4pm play in mlb

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Good Fella
3* Triple Play Toronto

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brady Kannon | MLB Money Line

dime bet – 905 MIL (+100) vs 906 Mia
Analysis: The Brewers are back! Yeah, they took about a week to ten days off on offense and now that appears to be over as the bats have returned.. just in time for a date with Jacob Turner who hasn’t converted a start into a win in his last 17-tries. Miami is just 3-and-14 in his starts despite their excellent record at home. Peralta has been good enough for Milwaukee and again, if the bats are still going as they have for The Brewers, I like our chances here. I would probably act sooner rather than later as I would expect Milwaukee to become the favorite in this game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob balfe

selection:
Cleveland indians +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WORLD CLASS CAPPER

MLB- 3* Yankees moneyline @ -112
Starts at 2:00 PM est

MLB- 3* Brewers vs Marlins – Over 8 runs @ +105
Starts at 4:00 PM est

NBA- 3* Heat vs Pacers – Over 183.5
Starts at 8:30 PM est

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scotty Shiller

2* Phillies/Dodgers over 8.5 -115
2* Mariners ML -123
5* Braves ML -154

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE SHEEP

1903 Colorado +1/2 -115 – (1st 5innings) – 1,000

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Luca Fury MMA bets

Reg - Njokuani parlayed with Iaquinta @ -122
Reg - Varner parlayed with Cormier and Barao @-108
Reg - Lawler parlayed with Ferguson @ -108 (This is also a free play)
Small - Trinaldo @ +120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Runner - Steam Moves

902 COLORADO +140

1903 OVER 3.5 (-125) COL/ATL (1st 5 Innings)

1922 TAMPA BAY -175 (1st 5 Innings)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Derek Hayes

1* Miami Heat -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STEVE FEZZIK

NHL 2* BEST BET – Chicago Blackhawks +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RealSharps

Vegas Cash Flow (VCF)

Kings ML -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep

dodgers 1st 5 over
dodgers game over
Rockies 1st 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

charlie sports

500
heat -6
under 184
detriot over 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Raymond Dunavant

Rangers
Rockies

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy NHL

3* La Kings -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy's Picks For NBA Basketball 5/24

8-Unit Play. #510. Take Miami -6.5 over Indiana (Saturday @ 8:30pm est)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Budin
25 Dime Winner # 11 of 15 Overall - AL Dog of the Month - Tigers (RL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 5/24
MLB Baseball

Boston Red Sox / Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7
(Total Runs Scored)
Overall Record: 260-233

(System Record: 260-13, Lost last 2 games)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Runner

True Steam

Under 7 STL/CIN and Under 7.5 HOU/SEA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

extra pick:

San Francisco Giants -143 over the Minnesota Twins (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 10:05 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Philly Ross
UFC:

5* Main Event Fight under 4.5 rounds
1* Sam Scillia -155
1* Chiesa -160
1* Varner -185
5* Lawler -194
1*Hendo + 610
1* Hendo/cormier under 2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DHayes2

1* Heat -6.5
3* Cardinals-112
3* Kings -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep
ufc Ellenberger +180 5*
ufc Trinaldo +125 5*
1925 Over 3.5 first 5 -115 KC LAA 1000*
925 Over 7 -120 KC LAA 1000*
909 St Louis -120 1000*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS RUNNER

True Steam

Under 7 – STL/CIN

Under 7.5 – HOU/SEA

1925 Over 3.5 (-115) KC/LAA (1st 5 Innings)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns
Giants ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES
25* Eastern Conference Finals GAME OF THE YEAR on Indiana Pacers +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Sports Informer
5* WNBA Mystics -4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KELSO

NBA


25 pacers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root
Millionaire Pacers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HURLEY NBA


small pacers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prediction Machine
Against the Spread Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick% $ Calc Analyze Live
510 8:30 PM @MIA IND -6.5 7.4 52.3 $0 Analyze Live


Straight-Up Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win% Analyze Live
510 8:30 PM @Mia Ind 96.7 89.3 73.5 Analyze Live


Over/Under Picks (Based on Games Played 50,000 times - Print Table):
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% $ Calc Analyze Live
510 8:30 PM IND @ MIA 182.5 186.0 Over 54.8 $25 Analyze Live

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS SHARP
6 Units

509 Indiana Pacers/Miami Heat OVER 182.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Over Astros
Royals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Raymond Dunavant

Cardinals Ml and Pirates Ml

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tampasports night plays
san diego -m.line - best bet
st louis -m.line
miami/indy -over total -nba

[Can'tPickAWinner]

spartan | NBA Sides Sat, 05/24/14 - 8:30 PM
triple-dime bet 510 MIA -6.5 (-110) BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) vs 509 IND