6-2-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::handshake::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rochester Titans

5 unit play - Chicago White Sox + 1 1/2 Runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Colon is 2-0, 1.86 in his last three starts. RHernandez is 1-1, 1.85 in his last four outings.

-- FHernandez is 4-0, 2.30 in his last four starts.
-- Lackey is 2-1, 2.81 in his last four starts.

-- Gibson is 1-1, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Cobb is 1-1, 2.05 in his last four starts.
-- Kershaw is 1-1, 2.07 in his last two starts. Quintana is 2-2, 3.16 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Morton is 1-3, 4.50 in his last four starts. Stauffer is 1-1, 11.81 in his two starts this season.

-- Phelps is 0-2, 4.85 in his last two starts.
-- Masterson is 0-3, 5.89 in his last four starts.

-- Garza is 0-1, 5.76 in his last four starts.
-- Wolf allowed six runs in five IP in his first '14 start.
-- Miller/Duffy are both 0-2, 9.90 in their last two starts.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Lackey 3-11; Masterson 2-11
-- Hernandez 1-12; Phelps 0-5

-- Colon 3-11; Hernandez 4-9
-- Morton 2-11; Stauffer 1-2

-- Gibson 3-10; Garza 5-11
-- Cobb 1-5; Wolf 1-1
-- Quintana 1-11; Kershaw 2-6
-- Duffy 1-5; Miller 0-11

Totals
-- Seven of last ten Met games stayed under total.
-- Under is 8-4 in Pittsburgh's last twelve road games.

-- Eight of last nine Cleveland home games went over; last five Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Bronx home games.

-- Last six games at Miller Park went over the total.
-- Eight of last eleven Tampa Bay road games stayed under.
-- Four of last five St Louis games went over the total.
-- Ten of last twelve Dodger home games went over total.


Hot teams
-- Mets won five of their last six games.
-- Pittsburgh won three of its last four games.

-- Cleveland won its last six home games. Red Sox won last seven games, after losing their previous ten.
-- Mariners are 8-3 in their last eleven series openers.

-- Brewers won four of their last five games.
-- White Sox are 8-5 in their last thirteen games.


Cold teams
-- Phillies lost three of their last four games.
-- Padres are 5-8 in their last thirteen games.

-- Bronx lost nine of its last thirteen home games.

-- Marlins lost their last four home games. Tampa Bay lost its last eight games on foreign soil.
-- Minnesota lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Cardinals lost four of their last five games. Kansas City lost five of its last seven games.
-- Dodgers are 8-13 in their last 21 home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Mariners at Yankees

Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees (+123, 7.5)

Felix Hernandez attempts to continue his stellar pitching as the Seattle Mariners return to New York for one contest against the Yankees on Monday to make up a rained-out game from April 30. Hernandez has won four consecutive starts and fared well in six previous outings at the new Yankee Stadium with a 4-1 mark and 1.18 ERA. Former New York star Robinson Cano (hand) has missed Seattle’s past four games and is questionable for Monday.

The Yankees suffered a devastating loss on Sunday as closer David Robertson blew his second save of the season and Minnesota scored six times in the ninth for a 7-2 victory. New York lost both home games against the Mariners earlier this season when the fans booed Cano every time he batted. Seattle took two of three from the Detroit Tigers over the weekend at home and is making the cameo in New York prior to playing two games in Atlanta and four more at the Tampa Bay Rays.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, ROOT (Seattle), YES (New York)

LINE MOVES: The Yankees opened as +111 home dogs and are currently +123. The total is 7.5.

INJURY REPORT: Mariners - 2B Robinson Cano (Questionable, illness). Yankees - 1B Mark Teixeira (Questionable, wrist), RF Carlos Beltran (Indefinitely, elbow).

WHAT THE SHARPS SAY: "The Mariners have their ace on the mound with Felix Hernandez (1.46 ERA in his past 3 starts), but it is a very difficult scheduling situation for Seattle in this one-game makeup tonight. The Mariners must travel coast-to-coast without rest after back-to-back underdog wins versus Detroit, and then travel to Atlanta tomorrow. Meanwhile, the Yankees remain home during this extended home stand." Covers Expert Steve Merril.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (7-1, 2.57 ERA) vs. Yankees RH David Phelps (1-2, 3.38)

Hernandez has worked eight or more innings in each of his last three starts, allowing only four runs and 16 hits during the stretch. He struck out nine and gave up one run and four hits in 8 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Angels in his last turn. Hernandez is 8-5 with a 2.89 ERA and two shutouts in 16 career starts against the Yankees.

Phelps has lost consecutive starts to the Chicago White Sox and St. Louis. He gave up five runs (three earned) and eight hits in six innings against the Cardinals on Tuesday in his last turn. Phelps is 1-0 with a 1.23 ERA in two career appearances (one start) against Seattle.

TWEET BEAT:



TRENDS:

* Mariners are 4-0 in the last four meetings in New York.
* Under is 15-4-2 in the last 21 meetings.
* Mariners are 5-0 in Hernandezs last five starts as a favorite.
* Yankees are 0-7 in their last seven games as a home underdog.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Fifty-five percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are on the Mariners.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Boston at Cleveland

The Red Sox head to Cleveland tonight to open a series against a Cleveland team that is 1-7 in Justin Masterson's last 8 starts versus AL East opponents. Boston is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-120). Here are all of today's picks.


MONDAY, JUNE 2
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Pittsburgh at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 17.129; San Diego (Stauffer) 14.697
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-110); Over


Game 953-954: Boston at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 15.916; Cleveland (Masterson) 13.731
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-120); Under


Game 955-956: Tampa Bay at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Cobb) 18.143; Miami (Wolf) 15.125
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-150); Under


Game 957-958: Minnesota at Milwaukee (7:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Gibson) 16.881; Milwaukee (Garza) 15.996
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+130); Over


Game 959-960: Kansas City at St. Louis (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Duffy) 17.616; St. Louis (Miller) 16.769
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+130); Over


Game 961-962: Chicago White Sox at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Quintana) 15.680; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.738
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-210); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-210); Under


Game 963-964: NY Mets at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Colon) 16.289; Philadelphia (Hernandez) 15.353
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-110); Over


Game 965-966: Seattle at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 15.860; NY Yankees (Phelps) 14.196
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-130); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

June Good Month/Bad Month Pitchers

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of June. On the flip side, we’ve also listed pitchers that struggle in June team starts, winning 33% percent or less of their efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each June over the last three years. Note: * designates pitcher was on this list last year.

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS:

Buchholz, Clay • 9-0

The Boston right-hander is in the midst of a horrific season at 2-4 with a Godzilla-sized ERA of 7.02. On May 28 he was placed on the DL for a hyperextended left knee and his return is not known.

Burnett, A. J. • 9-4

After escaping the pressure of the Yankees, Burnett has evolved into a more complete pitcher and really mixes his pitches well. No reason he cannot continue his success of the past this month if he does a better job either working further inside or staying away from left-hand hitters, who are batting .297 against Burnett.

Colon, Bartolo • 9-2

The rotund righty from the Dominican just turned 41 years old and has not had the same kind of success in New York as the past couple of seasons in Oakland. He can have another strong June if he spots his fastball better to hit the catcher’s target.

Dickey, R. A. • 12-4

While the knuckleballer has not been terrific, he’s lowered his ERA a run and been part of the reason Toronto leapfrogged into first place in the AL East. With the Rogers Centre having the roof open more frequently with summer here, that should add a little more “dance” to Dickey’s main pitch to help his club keep posting wins.

Sabathia, C. C. • 12-4

The big left-hander was placed on the DL on May 14 with degenerative changes in his right knee and according to manager Joe Girardi, the soonest Sabathia will be back with New York is July.

Scherzer, Max • 11-4

While Scherzer has not been as devastating as he was in 2013, he’s still allowing fewer hits to innings pitched and on pace to have well over 200 strikeouts. Right-hand hitters are right on the Mendoza Line with a .204 batting average against him. Expect the positive results to continue.

Verlander, Justin • 13-5

It has been unusual season to say the least for Verlander. For the first time since 2008, he’s well below a punch-out per inning (27.2 percent lower) and if he continues to dole out free passes at this rate, he could set a career high for walks. The velocity and command have not been there, will the warmer weather help Verlander heat up, or is something simply not right?

Wilson, C. J. • 13-3

Though he’s behind the pace that made him a 17-game winner a season ago, Wilson’s other numbers are all better to this point of the season which suggests he could be a big winner the rest of the way. In his past 10 outings he has a sharp 2.54 ERA and he’s devouring those to the left side of the plate in the batter’s box, holding them to a .194 average.

Zimmermann, Jordan • 13-3

The Wisconsin native season has gone like his team, not so hot, surrendering 38 base hits in 26.2 innings in May, not once getting beyond the sixth inning. This is uncharacteristic for Zimmermann who is usually very consistent. Let’s see if he turns it around this month and throws like he has in the past compared to opposing hitter’s raking him for .307 BA this season.

BAD MONTH PITCHERS:

Bailey, Homer • 2-9

The Reds righty might be 5-3 as the month starts, but his winning record will not last long if his ERA is still remains around 5 and opposing batters continue to club him at a .295 BA rate. Bailey’s been like a batting practice pitcher versus lefties, who are hitting an astonishing .380 against him.

Fister, Doug • 3-10

Fister did not join the Washington rotation until May 9 because of injury and has thrown fairly well to this point. A good chunk of the losses in June were thanks to sorry Seattle clubs he toiled for. But given the Nationals scoring woes and disturbing defense, Fister might have to be great to alter his previous fortunes.

Guthrie, Jeremy • 4-9

A middle of the rotation starter, Guthrie had a couple poor outings in May to help ‘raise’ his ERA to 4.14; however, he’s also been a victim of lack of run support and should have a better record than 2-4. While it is not a vast number of starts, be aware Guthrie has an ERA of over 6 in day games this season.

Nolasco, Ricky • 4-12

Minnesota must have no pitching prospects ready to join the big club because how else could you explain starting Nolasco with a 6.12 ERA, with opponents hitting a robust .322 against his very hittable tosses.

Norris, Bud • 4-10

No hiding from this fact, any baseball bettor would at least consider Norris when he’s pitching at home, but put a road uniform on him and he is 15-32 for his career and definite play against material.

Sanchez, Anibal • 4-8

Throughout his career, Sanchez has never been a pitcher who has received proper run support. Though the Tigers offense has been solid most of the season, Sanchez has a .500 record with a stellar 2.49 ERA and opposing batters have a feeble .183 BA against him. If Detroit scores, he could reverse past indiscretions. If not, another losing month could occur.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marlins a great bet in interleague play
By STEPHEN CAMPBELL

The Miami Marlins host the Tampa Bay Rays at Marlins Park Monday and are entering the game on fire against the American League.

The Fish are 8-0 in their last eight interleague ball games. Miami has been dynamite at home all season long, owning the top home record in the MLB. The Rays have struggled mightily this season and are in the basement of the A.L. East.

Chris Archer takes the mound for the Rays while Henderson Alvarez gets the start for the Marlins.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Over a hot bet when Indians face Red Sox
By ANDREW AVERY

The Cleveland Indians host the Boston Red Sox in the opener of a three-game series Monday and Over bettors will be looking for their recent trends to continue as the two clubs meet for the first time in 2014.

The clubs went 6-0-1 Over/Under in their seven meetings last seasons and have a record of 7-0-1 O/U dating back to their last meeting of 2012.

Monday's scheduled starters are John Lackey for the BoSox and Justin Masterson for the Indians.

The met last season in an 8-1 Red Sox triumph with a closing total of 9, finishing as a push

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Yankees' Phelps lights out at home
By STEPHEN CAMPBELL

A pitcher's duel could be on its way to The Bronx when the New York Yankees face off against the Seattle Mariners Monday.

David Phelps (1-2, 3.38 ERA) takes the mound for the Yanks while Felix Hernandez (7-1, 2.57 ERA) gets the call for the Mariners.

In Phelps' last nine starts at Yankees stadium, the Yankees are 8-1. They'll need all the pitching help they can get against Hernandez, one of the top pitchers in the game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play MON:

Brewers -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Monday

Pittsburgh Pirates -105

Boston Red Sox -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Pirates +100
Dodgers (RL) -1.5(+109)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Monday, June 2

Trend Report

7:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of NY Yankees's last 17 games

7:05 PM
NY METS vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 18 of NY Mets's last 25 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
NY Mets are 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Philadelphia's last 25 games when playing at home against NY Mets

7:05 PM
BOSTON vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing Boston
Cleveland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston

7:10 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Miami
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Miami is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home

7:20 PM
MINNESOTA vs. MILWAUKEE
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:15 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. ST. LOUIS
Kansas City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Kansas City is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. LA DODGERS
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox
LA Dodgers are 5-12 SU in their last 17 games when playing Chi White Sox

10:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. SAN DIEGO
Pittsburgh is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games
San Diego is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Monday, June 2


Thunderstorms, high winds could affect Indians/BoSox matchup

High winds and scattered thunderstorms are heading to Progressive Field for Monday's meeting between the Cleveland Indians and the Boston Red Sox.

Forecasts are calling for a 60 percent of precipitation at gametime with gusts of up to 14 mph. The wind will be blowing out to right field, giving hitters a boost and pitchers a headache.

Veteran John Lackey (6-3, 3.27 ERA) gets the start for Boston facing off against Cleveland's Justin Masterson (2-4, 5.21 ERA).

The Red Sox are currently -115 faves with a total of eight.


Abreu set to return to White Sox

ose Abreu's impending return could not be better timed for the Chicago White Sox.

Abreu is expected to be activated from the 15-day disabled list on Monday, the first day he is eligible to return after missing time due to posterior tibia tendonitis in his left ankle. It would be silly to assume Abreu will pick up where he left off before his ankle became more than a nuisance.

Abreu, who named the American League player and rookie of the month for April, was hitting .260 with 15 home runs and 42 RBIs when he landed on the DL. The Cuban slugger gets a nice welcome back to the lineup gift too. He will get to face Los Angeles Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw on Monday.


Mike Trout, LA Angels - Ques Tues

Trout is dealing with a stiff back and did not play Sunday. He is questionable for Tuesday against the Astros.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, June 2

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (26 - 30) at SAN DIEGO (26 - 31) - 10:10 PM
CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. TIM STAUFFER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 123-101 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 18-9 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 123-101 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 82-58 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 102-85 (+15.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHARLIE MORTON vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
MORTON is 2-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.33 and a WHIP of 0.935.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.0 units)

TIM STAUFFER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
STAUFFER is 0-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (27 - 29) at CLEVELAND (27 - 30) - 7:05 PM
JOHN LACKEY (R) vs. JUSTIN MASTERSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 14-23 (-13.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 119-101 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 69-42 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 113-95 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 47-22 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 67-36 (+25.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 111-112 (-41.4 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JOHN LACKEY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
LACKEY is 7-7 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.98 and a WHIP of 1.399.
His team's record is 9-8 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-8. (-2.5 units)

JUSTIN MASTERSON vs. BOSTON since 1997
MASTERSON is 3-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.142.
His team's record is 4-3 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-1. (+3.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (23 - 34) at MIAMI (28 - 28) - 7:10 PM
ALEX COBB (R) vs. RANDY WOLF (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 23-34 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 15-23 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 2-11 (-11.0 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 13-21 (-11.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MIAMI is 20-11 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MIAMI is 20-11 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
MIAMI is 103-159 (-41.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ALEX COBB vs. MIAMI since 1997
COBB is 2-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 0.600.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

RANDY WOLF vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
WOLF is 0-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 6.58 and a WHIP of 1.756.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (26 - 28) at MILWAUKEE (34 - 23) - 7:20 PM
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. MATT GARZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 34-23 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 34-23 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-13 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 82-79 (+9.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 35-32 (+15.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 44-54 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KYLE GIBSON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

MATT GARZA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
GARZA is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (26 - 30) at ST LOUIS (30 - 27) - 8:10 PM
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. SHELBY MILLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 68-31 (+29.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 73-28 (+27.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 33-23 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 55-46 (+14.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 27-35 (-18.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DANNY DUFFY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
DUFFY is 0-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.90 and a WHIP of 1.907.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

SHELBY MILLER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (29 - 29) at LA DODGERS (30 - 28) - 10:10 PM
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 92-128 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 9-19 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 20-16 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 353-348 (+35.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 12-17 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 12-17 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
KERSHAW is 6-9 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JOSE QUINTANA vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
QUINTANA is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.625.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
KERSHAW is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (27 - 29) at PHILADELPHIA (24 - 30) - 7:05 PM
BARTOLO COLON (R) vs. ROBERTO HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 55-52 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 55-52 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 63-64 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 30-22 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
COLON is 40-25 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLON is 32-15 (+15.0 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLON is 19-11 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLON is 9-1 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLON is 39-25 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLON is 14-3 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 97-119 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 95-97 (-25.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-35 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 97-117 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 70-89 (-24.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 45-55 (-19.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HERNANDEZ is 6-14 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 5-3 (+1.9 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

BARTOLO COLON vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
COLON is 1-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.65 and a WHIP of 1.452.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.5 units)

ROBERTO HERNANDEZ vs. NY METS since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 0-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (28 - 28) at NY YANKEES (29 - 26) - 7:05 PM
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. DAVID PHELPS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HERNANDEZ is 24-30 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-0 (+3.0 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 8-5 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.257.
His team's record is 9-7 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-10. (-5.7 units)

DAVID PHELPS vs. SEATTLE since 1997
PHELPS is 0-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

500* Pirates -110
100* Redsox -110
50* Over 8 - Twins/Brewers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RIVER CITY SHARPS

3 UNITS - PITT vs SD OVER 7

The Pirates appear to be playing some of their best baseball of the season, highlighted by a Sunday win over Zach Greinke and the Dodgers to take three out of four games in that series. The Bucs look to continue the momentum tonight as they send Charlie Morton (1-7, 3.29 ERA) to the mound to face the Padres Tim Stauffer (2-1, 4.50 ERA) Stauffer was shelled in his last start against the Diamondbacks, giving up seven runs in the first inning. Both of these teams, most notably the Padres, started the year off struggling from the plate, but both offenses appear to be headed in the right direction. We may see some bullpen fatigue tonight for the Pirates as Clint Hurdle was very liberal with his use of the pen during the Dodgers series, so that may be a story if the Padres can get past Morton. For us, the story of this game is that based on our systems, this total is too low and we're going to make a play on the OVER 7.0 in this spot.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

BOSTON REDSOX -120
(Lackey/Masterson)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

3 STAR SELECTION: (954) Cleveland Indians +$100
(Risking $300 to win $300)
(Action)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHASE DIAMOND

10* MLB HOME COOKING
NY Mets vs. Philadelphia
Money Line: -103 Philadelphia Phillies

This play features the 27-29 Mets at the 24-30 Phillies. This has been a very long series with the last 3 games going into extra innings. I will be in person at this game right behind home plate row 5. I’ve talked to several guys with Philly connections and they tell me this game is a high priority tonight for the Phillies. Bartolo Colon has been down right average this season he is 4-5 with a 4.73 ERA I love the over tonight since both bullpens are messed up but the stronger play is the Phillies with the very low juice. Roberto Hernandez has been ok with a 2-2 3.76 ERA there are worse pitchers out there. Take the Phillies straight for a 10* winner!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Rangers (series) while on vacation and likes the Mets on Monday.

The deficit is 350 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monday’s MLB betting cheat sheet: Marlins struggling at home

Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for Monday’s major league games:

Mets Rally to Push (Again)

The New York Mets once again left totals bettors frustrated, rallying for two runs in the ninth while allowing one of their own to settle for a push in a 4-3 win over Philadelphia. The Mets already have 10 pushes in 2014; only two teams reached double digits (Miami, New York Yankees) all of last season.

Marlins Swimming in Reverse

Miami began the season as one of the hottest moneyline and Over plays at home, but those numbers have cooled of late. The Marlins are 1-4 SU and 1-3-1 O/U in their last five games at Marlins Park entering Monday’s home tilt with the in-state rival Tampa Bay Rays (-142, 7.5).

Kershaw Comes Through

Clayton Kershaw is the favorite of the night on Monday’s eight-game sked, coming in at -207 as his Dodgers face Jose Quintana and the Chicago White Sox. Kershaw has been dominant in the role, allowing just three earned runs in his last four starts as a fave of -185 or better.

Pitching Notes

* Cleveland right-hander Justin Masterson has struggled as an underdog of late, going 0-4 in his last five starts in the role. Masterson and the Indians (+103, 8) open a three-game set Monday afternoon against his former team, the Boston Red Sox.

* Seattle hurler Felix Hernandez has quelled one of the league’s stronger Over trends, allowing just two runs over his last two starts to go 0-1-1 O/U following six straight Overs. Hernandez and the Mariners (-129, 7.5) visit the New York Yankees on Monday.

Hitting Notes

* Minnesota star Joe Mauer looked like a shell of his former self in May, batting just .258 with a .290 OBP for the month. That contributed to the Twins’ 11-17-1 O/U record for May, a trend they hope to see halted as they visit the Milwaukee Brewers (-155, 8).

* Philadelphia first baseman Ryan Howard is heating up, with four homers and 14 RBIs over his last seven games. The Phillies are 6-5 S/U and 7-2-2 O/U in games where Howard goes deep entering Monday’s showdown with the visiting Mets (-105, 7.5).

Totals Streak

Boston Red Sox (0-5 O/U): Boston has followed a nine-game losing skid with a seven-game winning streak on the strength of some sensational pitching. The Red Sox have allowed just six runs over their last five games, including a sweep of Tampa Bay in which the Rays scored just three times.

Prop of the Day

The St. Louis Cardinals could be a strong play at +800 to beat the Kansas City Royals by exactly three runs. The Cardinals are 11-5 against their geographical rivals over the past three seasons, with four of the last seven victories coming by three runs.

Injury Notes

* Baltimore Orioles outfielder Nelson Cruz is considered day-to-day after he was hit in the hand by a pitch Sunday. Cruz leads the majors with 20 home runs; the Orioles are 9-9 S/U and 11-7 O/U in games in which Cruz has gone deep at least once.

* Los Angeles Angels outfielder Mike Trout is expected to return Tuesday from a back injury after sitting out the entire weekend. The Angels were 1-1 S/U, 1-1 O/U and +100 units without Trout, who has three homers and 10 RBIs over his last nine games.

Weather Watch

* The wind at Yankee Stadium will be blowing out to left field at 10 mph for Monday’s game between the Yankees and Mariners. Teams averaged 8.6 runs and a whopping 3.6 homers in five games under similar wind conditions last season.

Umpire Note of the Day

Under is 12-3-1 in umpire Doug Edding’s last 16 games behind home plate. Eddings will call the balls and strikes for Monday’s series finale between the Mets and Phillies.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 10:10 a.m. ET Monday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAMBLING GOD

League: MLB
Royals vs Cardinals
Pick: Over 7.5 runs
Risk:$100 to win $100
Time: 5:00 PM PT

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GOODFELLA

Monday Night MLB Team Total

MINNESOTA TWINS – OVER 3.5 RUNS

[golden contender]

Monday card has the 100% MLB Dog of the Year from an Undefeated League wide system that has won all 14 times. There are also a Pair of totals systems from 13-1 and 11- 1 systems. Free MLB Preview Play below



On Monday the MLB Preview Play is in the Chicago White Sox and LA. Dodgers game at 10:10 eastern. The Dodgers apply to the 15-1 League Wide power system below that has won 15 of 16 times. However its hard to unit rate favorites in this range. It is worth noting that these home favorites are winning by over 3 runs in this system. We want to do is play on home favorites in this range that were at home and favored in their last game, vs an opponent, which is the White Sox in this game, that are off a home favored win at -140 or higher. This very simple set of parameters have produced solid results since 2004. The Dodgers have done well in the Inter League as they average 5.6 runs. LA has their ace on the mound in Clayton Kershaw tonight. In his last 9 home starts Kershaw has allowed just 11 earned runs, spanning 62 innings. Tonight he will oppose J. Quintana for Chicago who has been decent despite pitching for a mediocre team. The White Sox are off the win at home vs the Padres on Sunday. However, they are a terrible 1-15 on the road off a home game. They have also lost 4 of 5 as a road dog in this range. While its hard to lay such a high number with the Dodgers, they do have a plethora of Solid indicators on their side tonight. See the Power system Below. On Monday we have 3 Powerful Play up, one is the MLB Dog of the Year from an Incredible 100% System where dogs have won all 14 times. There are also a pair Of totals systems that are 13-1 and 11-1. Jump on now and Start the week big with this Triple pack. For the free play take the LA. Dodgers. GC

SU: 15-1

Runs
Team 7.2
Opp 3.9

Date Link Day Site Team Starter Opp Starter Final SUm W/L OUm O/U Hits Errors BL Line Total Innings
Aug 31, 2004 box Tue home Red Sox Curt Schilling - ? Angels John Lackey - R 10-7 3 W 7.5 O 16-15 0-2 9-0 -200 9.5 9
Sep 13, 2004 box Mon home Athletics Tim Hudson - R Rangers Juan Dominguez - R 7-6 1 W 4.0 O 8-12 1-1 1-2 -250 9.0 10
Apr 22, 2005 box Fri home Cardinals Jason Marquis - R Astros Brandon Duckworth - R 8-7 1 W 5.5 O 9-11 0-1 7-0 -210 9.5 9
Sep 20, 2005 box Tue home Angels Bartolo Colon - R Rangers Juan Dominguez - R 2-1 1 W -5.5 U 7-5 3-0 2-0 -210 8.5 9
Sep 23, 2005 box Fri home Yankees Shawn Chacon - R Blue Jays Ted Lilly - L 5-0 5 W -5.0 U 8-4 0-1 5-0 -220 10.0 9
Aug 15, 2006 box Tue home Twins Johan Santana - L Indians Jake Westbrook - R 4-1 3 W -3.5 U 8-4 0-0 4-0 -200 8.5 9
May 11, 2007 box Fri home Twins Johan Santana - L Tigers Mike Maroth - L 3-7 -4 L 2.0 O 11-13 0-1 0-4 -200 8.0 9
Jun 05, 2007 box Tue home Blue Jays Roy Halladay - R Rays Andy Sonnanstine - R 12-11 1 W 14.5 O 12-17 3-1 1-7 -240 8.5 9
Oct 24, 2007 box Wed home Red Sox Josh Beckett - R Rockies Jeff Francis - L 13-1 12 W 5.5 O 17-6 0-0 12-0 -210 8.5 9
Oct 01, 2008 box Wed home Phillies Cole Hamels - L Brewers Yovani Gallardo - R 3-1 2 W -4.5 U 4-4 1-1 3-0 -200 8.5 9
May 06, 2009 box Wed home Dodgers Clayton Kershaw - L Nationals Daniel Cabrera - R 10-3 7 W 3.5 O 11-6 0-2 8-0 -205 9.5 9
Jun 09, 2009 box Tue home Dodgers Chad Billingsley - R Padres Chris Young - R 6-4 2 W 2.5 O 11-10 0-1 3-2 -200 7.5 9
Apr 16, 2010 box Fri home Phillies Roy Halladay - R Marlins Anibal Sanchez - R 8-6 2 W 6.0 O 12-14 1-0 7-0 -260 8.0 9
Jul 22, 2010 box Thu home Yankees CC Sabathia - L Royals Bruce Chen - L 10-4 6 W 5.0 O 14-14 1-1 6-2 -325 9.0 9
Jul 27, 2010 box Tue home Rangers Cliff Lee - L Athletics Gio Gonzalez - L 3-1 2 W -4.0 U 8-6 1-0 2-0 -235 8.0 10
Jul 02, 2013 box Tue home Braves Kris Medlen - R Marlins Tom Koehler - R 11-3 8 W 6.5 O 16-11 1-2 8-2 -255 7.5 9

Jun 02, 2014 Mon home Dodgers Clayton Kershaw - L White Sox Jose Quintana - L -210 6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

MONDAY BASEBALL




Play New York Yankees +120 over Seattle---Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
7:00 PM EST


David Phelps has won 9 of the last 13 home games and he has won 7 of the last 10 games when pitching with five or six days of rest. David Phelps has an ERA of 2.50 over his last three starts and he has an ERA of 1.50 vs. Seattle over his career.





Play Pittsburgh +100 over San Diego----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
10:00 PM EST


Tim Stauffer has lost 11 of the last 18 games vs. NL Central Division Opponents and he has lost 7 of the last 11 games when pitching in the month of June. Tim Stauffer has lost 7 of the last 11 games when pitching on a Monday and he has an ERA of 11.82 over the last three starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie


MONDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Miami +120 over Tampa Bay (MLB TOP PLAY)

Tampa Bay is 11-20 in road games this season

Tampa Bay is 6-15 when batting .250 or worse over the last twenty games
Tampa Bay is 8-16 coming off an UNDER the total in their last game


10* Play Pittsburgh +100 over San Diego (MLB TOP PLAY)

Pittsburgh is 34-19 when playing in the month of June the last two seasons
Pittsburgh is 75-60 when playing in the 1st half of the season the last two years
Pittsburgh is 107-81 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs

=============================================

5* Play NY Yankees +120 over Seattle (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play NY Mets +100 over Philadelphia (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
Chris Sale pitched a great game and I picked up a White Sox run line winner yesterday afternoon. Today we've got a smaller board on a Monday, but I'm taking a small road favorite.
2 UNIT = Boston Red Sox @ Cleveland Indians - RED SOX TO WIN (-112)
Listed Pitchers: Lackey vs Masterson
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.79 units)

The Red Sox enter this game winners of 7 straight as they swept the Rays at home over the weekend. The Indians had lost 4 straight before sweeping Colorado at home over the weekend. This will be the first meeting between these two teams this season. Last year the Red Sox went 6-1 vs the Indians in their seven meetings. John Lackey will be on the mound for Boston and he is 6-3 on the year with a 3.27 ERA, .266 OBA and 1.24 WHIP. He is coming off two straight starts where he allowed 0 earned runs, and he posted a 2.56 ERA over 5 May starts. Justin Masterson will counter for Cleveland and he is just 2-4 with a 5.21 ERA, .272 OBA and 1.54 WHIP on the season. He posted a 5.63 ERA over 6 May starts. Take note that the Indians are 1-4 in Masterson's last 5 starts as an underdog and 1-7 in his last 8 starts vs AL East opponents. The Indians are also 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog overall. Boston is 30-13 in their last 43 games as a road favorite between -110 to -150, and 4-1 in Lackey's last 5 starts as a favorite. Boston has won 4 straight in Cleveland and I look for them to keep their winning streak going given the pitching match up we will see tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play St. Louis -150 over Kansas City (MLB TOP PLAY)

Danny Duffy has lost 5 consecutive games after giving up two or more home runs in his last outing and he has lost 10 of the last 13 games when pitching as an underdog of +125 to +175.Danny Duffy has lost 16 of the last 26 games coming off a team loss and he has lost two of the last three starts with an ERA of 5.29.

================================================== ===



50* Play Milwaukee -150 over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play LA Dodgers -230 over Chicago White Sox (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Plays

19.20 CET - Sweden Superettan:
Sirius - Hammarby, both team to score (GG) @ 1.57 (Bet365)

20.45 CET - Ireland Premier League:
Dundalk - UC Dublin, 1 (-1.5)AH @ 1.75 (Bet365)

19.30 CET - Austria Ersteliga:
Parndorf - LASK Linz, over 2.5 @ 1.80 (Bet365)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports Picks For Major League Baseball 6/2

2-unit Play Take #963 New York Mets (-105) over Philadelphia Phillies (7:05pm EST)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

"Mr Chalk" won in MLB in Interleague play on Sunday with the White Sox -$180/Padres.

E&B lost their lean on Sunday in the NHL Playoffs with Blackhawks -$150/Kings.

E&B and "Mr Chalk" have Np for Monday.

Ben lee is 138-156-5 -$2630 through Thirty One weeks.

"Mr Chalk" is 26-24 -$517 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Philly Ross

5* Over 7.5 mia/tampa +108
3* Phillies +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
7* Play #952 Take San Diego Padres -113 vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (Monday @ 10:10 PM EDT)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WUNDERDOG SPORTS FREE PICK

MLB Game: New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies
Time: Monday 06/02 7:05 PM Eastern
Pick: New York -108 (moneyline)

The Mets took a flyer on Bartolo Colon, and he is starting to prove he still has something left in the tank. Colon has pitched great in his last two turns where he has allowed two runs total, covering 15.1 innings of work. Colon doesn’t beat himself, as he has walked just seven hitters in over 64 innings. The Mets pen has been sharp of late as well, allowing nine runs in their last 43 innings of work. Philadelphia has skidded into last place in the NL East, by virtue of eight losses in their last 12 games, and they have been victimized at home in 18 of their 30 games here on the season. The Mets have taken advantage of poor home teams where they are now 7-1 in their last eight vs. a team with a losing home record. The Phillies are even worse at home vs. a team with a winning road record at just a woeful 6-15 in their last 21. The Mets have been lethal in this park where they are 18-6 in their last 24 here. Make the play on New York.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J.R Stevens/SMOOTH44

TOP PICKS
(MLB) KANSAS CITY +135
(MLB) PHILADELPHIA +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo mlb

2* Tampa Bay -135
2* Cardinals -145
2* Dodgers -1.5 -110
2* Under 7.5 Mets/Phils
1* Cleveland +105
1* Under 7.5 Yankees/Mariners
1* Under 7.5 Royals/Cardinals
1* Under 6.5 W sox/Dodgers
1* Under 7 Pirates/Padres

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike point sports mlb

7* Seattle -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE ESSLER Thoughts

Monday Free MLB

free play - 958 MIL / 957 MIN – OVER 8.5

Analysis: First, the parlay. I hesitated to lay the -150 or whatever mainly because we just don’t typically do that, but also because the Twins just did well in the Bronx, and I can’t tell if it’s Minnesota playing well or the Yankees playing poorly, or both. But, in few limited at-bats the Twins haven’t hit Garza, so I’m not sure they can win the game. However, they are playing well enough to “help” here and get a few. Gibson has just bee horrible lately, and I attribute much of his early success to the fact that few had seen him. I watched him a few times and though perhaps he was “real” but I just don’t think he is. On the road this season he has been miserable, with a 7.77 ERA and a BAA approaching .300. If the Brewers RHH’s can lay off that decent slider he has, they should score plenty, and I am half-expecting the roof to be open, hence the over. There is a 30% chance of T-Storms in Milwaukee, but that diminishes as the evening wears on, and the temperature is right in the mid 70′s or so, so the roof should be open, AND the wind should be out. What I found really interesting is that the Twins as an underdog are 29-16 to the OVER, hence the play here. There’s also more tickets (or there were when I bet it) on the under, so that move is not a false one. It just better not be 7-1 Brewers. However, unless the Twins win a low scoring game, which I don’t see, then unless the White Sox beat Kershaw, then we come out ahead no matter what. Aside from the 8-0 loss to the Cubs, the Brewers have scored 6 or more runs in 6 of the last eight games, so I see this as about 7-3 Milwaukee, but I’ve been wrong before.

I really lean Pirates over the Padres. Perhaps there’s no move to Morton because he’s “Morton” and they played late last night, but they didn’t travel far, and San Diego did. I don’t like Stauffer, or the Padres against a RHP, and I do like the Pirates against RHP much better, so Pirates or nothing. No real opinion on that total.

I really wanted to take Masterson against his old team, and I keep thinking sooner or later Lackey will get drubbed. This could be the day because the Indians are hitting the ball right now. Boston off an emotional series against the Rays, so Cleveland or nothing here for sure.

I can’t back Randy Wolf, HOWEVER, he is in the big park in Miami and again, the Rays are off a tough series with Boston. The only thing I could do here is take the under, but really want 8, not 7.5. Then again, both bullpens struggle, especially the middle of the Fish’s, so perhaps not under, which brings it back to ALL being on Wolf, IMO, and that’s just not something I want my money on either way.

A little surprised the total is going up in the Cardinals game, yet the Cardinals side is not really any more pricey than it was, which is almost a red flag to me. I haven’t looked at ticket counts, but almost don’t have to to know where they are. That red flag tells me I might have to choke on the Royals RL here. They are certainly better against RHP and did show some signs of life til they ran into Buehrle.

I wouldn’t touch Fausto against Bartolo with your money, although in theory I do. They’ve played so many innings and who’s to say what happens there. Quite probably the under, just because people would assume they’d keep scoring and the pens are shot (they are) but that’s exactly when you run into trouble and both of these guys CAN keep the ball down. Or of course suck.

I kinda want to take the Yankees. Clearly under valued after losing to the Twins and now facing Felix, but the Mariners had to fly coast to coast, which is always tough, and with them having been winning over the Tigers (thank you) then THEY are clearly over priced. I don’t like laying -130 on the road with anyone, really. I suppose I’d have to wait and see if Cano is playing and what the Yankees lineup looks like. MAYBE the under, but only w/o Cano (back in New York) because the Mariners have too many good LHH’s and of course the short porch in right. The total is headed to to the over, so it may be now at 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HARRY BONDI FREE PLAY

MLB

BOSTON (-115) over Cleveland
7:00 p.m. ET

Red Sox are red hot having won 7 straight including sweeping Tampa over the weekend. The Indians played well this weekend as well sweeping Colorado. Boston owned Cleveland last year winning 6 of 7 meetings. We expect that to continue again this year as Boston is just a bad match up for the Indians pitching staff. Red Sox starting pitcher John Lackey has been Boston’s most consistent starter this year. He comes into tonight’s game with a 6-3 record and a 3.27 ERA and has not allowed a run in his last two starts. Justin Masterson starts for Cleveland and he is 1-7 in his last 8 starts vs Boston. Take the Sox.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LINECATCHERS

Playersbet —- LA Dodgers -1 -137

No free Plays Today: 11-2-1

Jonathan Young

Pittsburgh Pirates + 106

Seattle Mariners – 127

Philadelphia Phillies / New York Mets – Over 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MADDUX

Boston Redsox
Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Play Wins

Today's Power Plays of The Day are

Tampa Bay Devil Rays(-135)

Philadelphia Phillies(-105)

Boston Red Sox(-113)

Seattle Mariners(-125)

Pittsburgh Pirates(+105)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Umpire Streakers.
Phillies UNDER 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

chase diamond
8* tampa bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 6/2

MLB Baseball
Pittsburgh Pirates / San Diego Padres UNDER 7
(Total Runs Scored)

Overall Record: 266-236

(System Record: 266-13, Won last 3 games)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HOT CHICKS PICKS / Britney DeLuca

Take San Diego and Pittsburgh to stay - UNDER 7!
Take KANSAS CITY +135 to feel like royalty tonight!
Take CLEVELAND +110 to have a tea party of their own tonight!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Philly Ross

added:

2* Seattle -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

By Vince Akins
VegasInsider

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Dodgers are 10-0 since May 11, 2013 as a favorite after a loss in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits and it is not the last game of a series for a net profit of $1000.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Clayton Kershaw starts the Dodgers are 0-6 since June 10, 2009 as a home 200+ favorite after throwing more than 100 pitches and allowing no more than three runs in a loss in his previous start for a net profit of $1155 when playing against.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

Justin Masterson has produced a team record of 0-11 (+$1,100) since September 11, 2009 as a dog vs a team that has won at least their last three games.

CHOICE TREND:

The Rays are 0-9 since August 31, 2013 after being shutout and it is not the last game of a series for a net profit of $1036 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

When John Lackey starts the Red Sox are 3-14 since April 30, 2010 on the road after winning as a home favorite in his last start for a net profit of $1245 when playing against.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TMC Sports Advisors

Boston -120

Pittsburgh +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS

Series Wager - LOS ANGELES -160 over N.Y. Rangers

You may read about or be influenced by the media (and experts) suggesting that the Kings may suffer a letdown or be burnt out after their difficult road to the final. We say hogwash and we say that the Rangers may not win a game. The Rangers had difficulty getting here against three very average teams in Philadelphia, Pittsburgh and Montreal without the services of Carey Price. Some will argue that Dustin Tokarski played well and while that is true, it doesn’t reflect the mindset of the rest of the team, whose confidence had to be shaken knowing they would be without their best player. The Rangers road to the Cup might just be this league’s easiest road in a very long time and New York was in no way dominating over any of the teams they faced. There’s a reason the West beat up on the East all year during the regular season and it’s about to be on full display again.

The Kings won’t be burned out or fatigued. This series starts on Wednesday and for the Kings, that’ll feel like a two-week vacation. Los Angeles not only rallied from an 0-3 deficit against the Sharks in round one, but they defeated three true powerhouses in San Jose, Anaheim and Chicago, all of whom had more points than the Rangers in a far more difficult conference. In Game 7 against the Blackhawks, in Chicago no less, the Kings had to overcome an early 2-0 deficit, they had to overcome at least three HORRIBLE calls by the refs in the second period that left them shorthanded three times, not to mention a rare 5 on 3 for 46 seconds. Trailing 4-3 entering the third, Los Angeles rallied and eventually won it on OT, 5-4. That win was truly impressive but what was even more impressive was the way they went about their business. After scoring in OT there was no mass celebration. Instead the Kings celebrated modestly like any other series, acting like it was just one more series win in their quest for the grand prize.

The Rangers are out of their league here. In a seven-game series, they can’t keep up with the talent or physical game that the Kings bring with them. After facing three offensive juggernauts with some of the best offensive talent in the game (Toews, Sharp, Kane, Saad, Getzlaf, Perry, Pavelski, Couture, Marleau et all), the Kings should have little trouble shutting down a Rangers offense that brings a fraction of the talent that the previous three teams they just knocked out bring. The Rangers are not going to get in the way of the vastly inferior Kings quest for the Cup. This is one of the biggest final mismatches in decades and even though the price is -160, we think it should be closer to -300. The Kings are not burned out and even as a -160 favorite they offer up huge value. Get in early because this number will rise

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS

MLB

Boston Red Sox -113 over Cleveland Indians

We’re not in the habit of playing favorites but the price on this one is cheap enough for us to make an exception, as value does not always come in underdogs. The value here is in the pitching match-up, which hugely favors the Red Sox. Last year, John Lackey shed extra pounds and distractions in driven return from TJS and went on to post his strongest skills in years. Ks and groundballs were plentiful in the first half and a 69%-0% dominant start/disaster start split brought him home in the 2H. Constants were a career-best control and a reliable ERA. With a clean arm and a clear head, Lackey has been even better this year. In 72 frames, Lackey has an outstanding BB/K split of 14/68. He has an elite 18% swing and miss rate over his last four starts. In 25.2 innings on the road, Lackey has a BB/K split of 2/24 with an xERA of 2.97. Lackey has not allowed a run in 13.1 straight innings.

Justin Masterson is a different story. His groundball-inducing ways continue to be a given and sit at 59% this season. However, the warning signs regarding Masterson could cover several pages but we’ll point out the most glaring. After an inconsistent 2012 campaign, Masterson seemed to put it all together last season, posting a 3.45 ERA in 193 innings. He made a huge gain in his strikeout rate (17.6 percent to 24.3 percent) while allowing just four home runs all season. Consequently, that 3.45 ERA was accompanied by an xERA of 3.35, which ranked 25th among starters. Masterson’s control became a second half issue and then an oblique strain effectively shelved him in September and he hasn’t been the same since. In his first outing of the year on March 31 at Oakland, Masterson’s average four-seam fastball velocity was 90.1 mph and his average sinker was 88.7, which was a big drop from his final start of 2013, when he was at 94.7 and 90.8, respectively. That loss of velocity trend has continued all year. Last season, Masterson hit 94 MPH or higher an average of just under 18 times per start. Masterson's average four-seam velocity has broken 92 in a start once this season, and his sinker -- Masterson's go-to pitch-- has not averaged higher than 89.3 mph in a start this season, after sitting above 90 in 32 of 33 games in 2013. It's not just a velocity issue either. Masterson has long dealt with a platoon split, to the point of many thinking he'd ultimately be a reliever. From 2009-12, Masterson limited right-handed batters to a .611 OPS, but left-handers were at .800. In 2013 he seemed to fix this issue, limiting lefties to a .248 batting average and .698 OPS, while getting even better against righties, as well (.182/.507). But those issues with left-handed batters have cropped up again, and through his 12th start, they are hitting .319 with a .919 OPS. Masterson isn’t fooling anyone out there. Over his last four starts he’s walked 13 and struck out 10. He’s not only missing the plate, he’s afraid to come at hitters because they are raking him over the coals. Clearly, Masterson's year leading into free agency is off to a rough start and it's because of three distinct issues - an alarming drop in velocity, an inability to neutralize left-handed batters and playing in front of a poor defense as a groundball-heavy pitcher. Justin Masterson is a pitcher in peril and we’re all over it.


Over 8½ Minnesota Twins/Milwaukee Brewers

Totals can be a bit tricky at times when we’re talking about venues with retractable roofs because wind conditions, temperatures, humidity and barometric readings play a huge role in the outcome of games. That all becomes a non-factor when the roof is closed and the status for the roof today at Miller Park is unknown at the time of this writing. That said, our bet will stand for now but if the conditions become extremely favorable for the pitchers, we may buy it back. If conditions become favorable for hitter’s, we’ll be on at a great price.

Kyle Gibson has made 10 starts on the season and only three of those have been of the pure quality variety. Gibson is coming off two quality starts in his past three games but don’t be fooled by them, as they were both in extremely favorable pitching conditions at home with the winds blowing in at 15 MPH and 13 MPH respectively. In 10 career road starts, Gibson is 2-5 with a 6.34 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. In five road starts this season, Gibson is 1-3 with an ERA of 7.77 after allowing 27 hits in 22 innings (oppBA of .297) and walking 10 batters. Three of those 27 hits went yard. Gibson has just 20 starts in his brief career. He went 2-4 with a 6.53 ERA in 51 innings last year. Nov 2011 TJS cost him all of 2012 and returned in 2013 to decent 1H results in the minors that earned him a call-up to the majors, which had disastrous results. His second half shows the downside of a pitcher who doesn't miss bats and lacks pinpoint control. Gibson will now face a Brewers team that leads the majors in several offensive categories and is the hottest offense in baseball over the past 10 games with a BA of .312 and 62 runs scored.

From The Trop to Wrigley to Texas, Matt Garza has been good for double-digit wins and an ERA below 4.00 no matter where he calls home but all those trips to the DL seem to have taken a toll. Garza has just two wins and six quality starts in 11 starts. He’s allowed three runs or more in six straight and should be allow that many or more here, this game should sail over the total. Garza isn’t getting stronger either. He’s allowed three jacks over his last 13 innings, his groundball rate is in decline while his WHIP is on the rise and now sits at an unacceptable 1.32. Garza comes into this start with an ERA of 4.84 and there is nothing in his profile suggesting a turnaround anytime soon.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LT LOCK

Cleveland Indians +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo, who nailed the cold triple in last year’s Belmont, started this year’s Belmont week in winning fashion Sunday when he hit the double with the Bay Area Boomers — the Giants and A’s — to slash the deficit to 860 cicottes.

Monday night: Mr. Aitch will go coastal for a ride on the long shot in L.A. — 10 units on Sale and the White Sox to hose Kershaw & Co.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

extra pick:

Boston Red Sox -116 over the Cleveland Indians (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 7:05 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prediction Machine

ML:

Cle +105
SD -115

O/U:

TB @ Mia over 7.5

RL:

Cle -160
Sea -175

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS RUNNER

Steam Moves

954 UNDER 8.5 (-120) – BOS/CLE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J.R Stevens/SMOOTH44

TOP PICKS
(MLB) KANSAS CITY +135
(MLB) CLEVELAND +115
(MLB) MIAMI +130
(MLB) NY-YANKEES +120
(MLB) CHI WHITE SOX +190
(MLB) PHILADELPHIA +105 (PLAY OF THE DAY)
Tonight the Mets find themselves in a very challenging spot, off B2B extra inning wins by exactly 1 run and teams in this spot typically fail miserably. Adding to their challenges is a starting pitcher, an aging one, coming off his best performance of the season and his highest pitch count–never a good combination! Qualifying pitchers are a PERFECT 0-23 if coming off a shutout win and pitch count of 120 or more.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep Moves
1963 Over 4 (-125) Nym-Phi (1st 5)
1959 Over 4 (-125) Kc-Stl (1st 5)
956 Under 7 1/2 (-120) Tb-Mia
954 Under 8 1/2 (-120) Bos-Cle
954 Indians +110
964 Phillies +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANTHONY MICHAEL

Monday Night Baseball

#959 – #960 Kansas City – St. Louis – OVER 7.5 (8:05 ESPN)
St. Louis has been a good over team at home going 16-10 to the OVER and they are especially strong on the over as a favorite of -150 to -175. The Royals are a good over team against right handers. Both of these teams have been on a good over run going over in 4 of their last 6 games. Play the over here as the play of the day.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

Philadelphia Phillies ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

50* Boston Red Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters

Pirates +100 POD

Boston under 8.5
Twins +145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

10* Rays ML -132

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS RUNNER

Steam Moves

1965 SEATTLE -140 (1st 5 Innings)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ness

Perfect Storm - Red Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Umpire Streakers

• [1953] CLE/BOS '1st 5' O4.5 (+100)
• [1957] MIL/MIN '1st 5' O4.5 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Five Hole Freddy

sharp syndicates Play Mets ML-1*