6-4-14

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::handshake::

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Today's NHL Picks

NY Rangers at Los Angeles

The Kings advanced to the Stanley Cup final with a 6-5 win over the Blackhawks in overtime and face a New York team that is 5-0 in its last 5 games when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in the previous game. New York is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: New York (+130). Here are all of today's playoff picks.


WEDNESDAY, JUNE 4
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST (6/3)


Game 51-52: NY Rangers at Los Angeles (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 13.397; Los Angeles 12.489
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+130); Under

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NHL

Wednesday, June 4

Trend Report

8:00 PM
NY RANGERS vs. LOS ANGELES
NY Rangers are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games
NY Rangers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games

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NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, June 4

NY RANGERS (57-38-0-7, 121 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (58-35-0-10, 126 pts.) - 6/4/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 24-15 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
NY RANGERS are 19-11 ATS (+7.2 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
NY RANGERS are 12-4 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
NY RANGERS are 10-3 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 2-1 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 2-1-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Rangers at Kings

New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings (-150, 5)

After upending the defending champion, the Los Angeles Kings vie for their second Stanley Cup title in three years when they host the New York Rangers in Game 1 on Wednesday. The Kings went the distance in each of their previous series, becoming the first team to win three consecutive Game 7s - all on the road - to advance to the Stanley Cup final. Los Angeles ousted Pacific Division rivals San Jose and Anaheim before defenseman Alec Martinez scored 5:47 into overtime to eliminate Chicago in the Western Conference final.

For the Kings to resume their place on the throne, they'll need to solve, well, "The King" Henrik Lundqvist. The Swedish Olympian guided New York to seven-game series victories over Keystone State representatives Philadelphia in Pittsburgh in the first two rounds before bouncing Montreal in six in the Eastern Conference final. Lundqvist has recorded a postseason-best .928 save percentage to go along with a stingy. 2.03 goals-against average - better than Los Angeles counterpart and 2012 Conn Smythe Trophy winner Jonathan Quick (9.06, 2.86).

TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC, CBC, RDS

LINE MOVES: The Kings opened as -150 faves at Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com/) Sports. The total opened at 5 (-115) and has moved to (-114).

INJURY REPORT: Rangers - G Cam Talbot (Questionable, undisclosed), D John Moore (Out, suspension). Kings - D Robyn Regehr (Out, knee).

WHAT THE SHARPS SAY: "The Kings bandwagon continues to load up in advance of Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final on Wednesday night. They're currently priced as high as -195 for the series, although we're being asked to pay a smaller tariff to support them in the opener. While I do expect the Kings to ultimately prevail in this series, I won't be surprised if the Rangers are able to steal one of the first two games in Los Angeles. With that in mind, the value is with the Blueshirts in Game 1. If King Henrik can stand tall between the pipes - and that's by no means a stretch - they'll have a better shot than the oddsmakers are suggesting." Covers Expert Sean Murphy.

WHAT THE BOOKS SAY: "We opened the Kings -155 favorites in Game 1 of the series, and we took a few decent size bets on the dog and we moved 5 cents down to -150. We’ve seen nothing but great, two-way action at Kings -150 / Rangers +130. While the action has been even, we’re definitely taking more bet’s on the dog which usually means that we’re eventually going to see more and more action come in on the Rangers and that will eventually push our ML down further to -145." Peter Childs, Sportsbook.com (http://www.sportsbook.ag/).

ABOUT THE RANGERS: Depth has been the driving force for New York as its looks to win its first Stanley Cup title since ousting Vancouver in seven games in 1994. Martin St. Louis leads the club with 13 points (six goals, seven assists) and hasn't missed a game in the playoffs despite the sudden death of his mother, France. In total, eight different players have recorded double-digit points for the Rangers.

ABOUT THE KINGS: Trade-deadline acquisition Marian Gaborik surpassed his regular-season goal total (11) by scoring a league-best 12 in the playoffs - and he'll look to add to that number when he faces a familiar foe in New York. The 32-year-old Slovak guided the Rangers to the Eastern Conference final in 2012 before being dealt the Columbus the following season. Anze Kopitar has also enjoyed a stellar postseason, collecting a league-best 19 assists and 24 points to garner consideration for the Conn Smythe Trophy as well.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0-2 in the last six meetings in Los Angeles.
* Kings are 6-0 in their last six vs. Metropolitan.
* Under is 9-4-2 in Rangers last 15 vs. Western Conference.
* Rangers are 4-1 in their last five road games.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Sixty-six percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are on the Kings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steves Golf Picks

St Judes Classic
1* F. Jacobsen
2* D Johnson
1* B Horchel
1* L Westwood
1* D Toms

Head to head
4* Dustin Johnson -155 over Phil

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Guaranteed picks

Pirates/ Padres under 6.5
Arizona +125
Athletics- 141
White sox+1.5
Angels- 131
Orioles- 115
Braves- 145

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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Kennedy is 2-0, 1.50 in his last couple starts.
-- Strasburg is 2-2, 3.15 in his last five starts.
-- Vogelsong is 2-0, 2.55 in his last three starts.
-- Matsuzaka won his first '14 start, allowing two runs in six IP.
-- Collmenter is 3-0, 2.21 in his last three starts.

-- Kluber is 4-0, 2.31 in his last five starts.
-- Porcello is 7-1, 3.73 in his last eight starts.
-- Martinez is 1-0, 3.24 in his last three starts.
-- Cosart is 3-1, 4.03 in his last four starts.

-- Minor is 2-1, 2.02 in his last four starts.
-- Wainwright is 3-1, 2.55 in his last five starts. Vargas is 1-0, 1.46 in his last two starts.
-- Beckett is 3-1, 2.49 in his last four starts. Danks has a 1.20 RA in his last couple starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Liriano is 1-2, 5.75 in his last three starts.
-- Burnett is 1-3, 7.20 in his last five starts.
-- Cingrani is 0-3, 6.00 in his last four starts.
-- Jackson is 1-3, 5.24 in his last four starts.
-- Lyles is 0-1, 6.28 in his last three starts.

-- Workman is 0-0, 4.36 in two starts this season.
-- Nuno is 0-2, 6.65 in his last four starts. Chavez is 0-2, 5.56 in his last two.
-- Dickey is 1-1, 5.12 in his last three starts.
-- Norris is 1-3, 4.33 in his last four starts.
-- Richards is 0-2, 7.98 in his last three starts.

-- Iwakuma is 0-2, 6.23 in his last two starts.
-- Koehler is 1-3, 5.56 in his last four starts. Price is 0-1, 5.40 in his last three.
-- Estrada has a 6.11 RA in his last three starts. Nolasco is 1-2, 5.53 in his last five starts.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Liriano 4-12; Kennedy 3-12
-- Burnett 4-12; Strasburg 4-12
-- Vogelsong 2-11; Cingrani 7-9 (6 of last 6)
-- Matsuzaka 0-1; Jackson 4-11
-- Collmenter 4-9; Lyles 3-11

-- Chavez 4-11; Nuno 3-8
-- Dickey 1-12; Porcello 4-10
-- Workman 1-2; Kluber 3-12
-- Norris 3-10; Martinez 1-5
-- Richards 3-11 (3 of last 5); Cosart 5-11 (1 of last 5)

-- Iwakuma 0-6; Minor 1-6
-- Koehler 1-11; Price 5-12 (3 of last 4)
-- Wainwright 3-12; Vargas 1-12
-- Estrada 3-11; Nolasco 2-11
-- Danks 3-11; Beckett 1-10

Totals
-- Six of last nine Philly games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Giant games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Cub games stayed under total.
-- Last nine Arizona road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Pittsburgh road games.

-- Eight of last eleven Cleveland home games went over; last seven Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Bronx home games.
-- Five of last six Detroit games stayed under total.
-- 11 of last 15 Baltimore games went over the total; last six of last Texas home games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Angel games went over the total.

-- Last three Atlanta home games went over total.
-- Over is 7-0-1 in last eight games at Miller Park.
-- Last six Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven St Louis games went over the total.
-- 11 of last 15 Dodger home games went over total. Eight of last nine White Sox games stayed under.


Hot teams
-- Washington won three of its last four games.
-- Giants won nine of their last 12 games. Cincinnati won their last four games for first time this year.
-- Miami won the last two nights, allowing one run.
-- Mets won six of their last eight games.
-- Pittsburgh won four of its last five games.

-- Cleveland won its last eight home games. Red Sox won seven of their last nine games, but lost last two.
-- Toronto won 15 of its last 18 games.
-- Oakland won its last four games, scoring 30 runs.
-- Baltimore won its last three road games.
-- Astros won eight of their last ten games.

-- Braves won three of last four games; Seattle won its last four games.
-- Kansas City won last two nights, scoring 14 runs.
-- Brewers won five of their last seven games.
-- White Sox are 9-6 in their last fifteen games.


Cold teams
-- Phillies lost five of their last six games.
-- Cubs lost four of their last six games, but won four of last five at home.
-- Colorado lost six of its last seven games. Diamondbacks are 6-8 in their last fourteen games.
-- Padres are 5-10 in their last fifteen games.

-- Bronx lost 11 of its last 15 home games.
-- Detroit lost ten of its last fourteen games.
-- Texas is 4-10 in its last fourteen home games.
-- Angels lost six of their last eight games.

-- Tampa Bay lost its last ten road games.
-- Minnesota lost eight of its last twelve games.
-- Cardinals lost six of their last seven games.
-- Dodgers are 9-14 in their last 23 home games.

Umpires
-- Pitt-SD-- Over is 7-2-1 in West games this season.
-- Phil-Wsh-- Under is 6-3-1 in Hickox games this year.
-- SF-Cin-- Eight of eleven Johnson games went over.
-- NY-Chi-- Six of last eight Tichenor games went over.
-- Az-Col-- Visiting team won nine of ten Dimuro games.

-- Bos-Cle-- Three of last four Wolcott games went over.
-- A's-NY-- Seven of ten Nauert games went over total.
-- Tor-Det-- Underdogs won six of seven Wolf games.
-- Balt-Tex-- Three of last four Reynolds games stayed under.
-- LA-Hst-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Baker games.

-- Sea-Atl-- Underdogs won five of last seven Foster games.
-- TB-Mia-- Four of last five Hamari games stayed under.
-- StL-KC-- Road team won four of last five HGibson games.
-- Mil-Min-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Fletcher games.
-- Chi-LA-- Last five Danley games stayed under the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks

Pittsburgh at San Diego

The Pirates go for the series sweep today in San Diego and come into the contest with a 7-2 record in Francisco Liriano's last 4 starts as a road underdog. Pittsburgh is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+105). Here are all of today's picks.


WEDNESDAY, JUNE 4
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Pittsburgh at San Diego (6:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Liriano) 16.558; San Diego (Kennedy) 13.917
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-125); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+105); Under


Game 953-954: Philadelphia at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Burnett) 16.575; Washington (Strasburg) 15.676
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-185); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+165); Over


Game 955-956: San Francisco at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 14.656; Cincinnati (Cingrani) 14.141
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-105); Over


Game 957-958: NY Mets at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Matsuzaka) 15.491; Cubs (Jackson) 16.380
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-115); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-115); N/A


Game 959-960: Arizona at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Collmenter) 16.215; Colorado (Lyles) 13.090
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 3; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-145); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+125); Under


Game 961-962: Oakland at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Chavez) 15.491; NY Yankees (Nuno) 17.168
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Oakland (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+120); Over


Game 963-964: Toronto at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 15.308; Detroit (Porcello) 16.516
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-125); Over


Game 965-966: Boston at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Workman) 15.359; Cleveland (Kluber) 13.342
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+140); Under


Game 967-968: Baltimore at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Norris) 16.327; Texas (Martinez) 15.268
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110); Over


Game 969-970: LA Angels at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 15.966; Houston (Cosart) 14.958
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-130); Under


Game 971-972: Seattle at Atlanta (12:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Iwakuma) 16.491; Atlanta (Minor) 14.696
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+120); Under


Game 973-974: Miami at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 16.150; Tampa Bay (Price) 14.696
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-175); 7;
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+155); Over


Game 975-976: St. Louis at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.730; Kansas City (Vargas) 17.017
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+125); Over


Game 977-978: Milwaukee at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Estrada) 13.868; Minnesota (Nolasco) 16.319
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+105); Over


Game 979-980: Chicago White Sox at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 15.805; LA Dodgers (Beckett) 14.278
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-190); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+165); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stanley Cup Final Tips

Rangers vs. Kings

How they got here: New York was taken to the limit in the each of the first two rounds against Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, while finishing off Montreal in six games of the Eastern Conference Finals. The Rangers rallied from a 3-1 deficit in the second round to stun the Penguins with three straight wins, as New York is headed to its first Stanley Cup Final since 1994.

The Kings were one loss away from elimination in the opening round after falling behind the Sharks, 3-0. Los Angeles stormed back with four straight wins to stun San Jose, 4-3, then needed seven games in the second round to knock out another California rival, beating the Ducks, 4-3. Again in the conference finals, the Kings held off the Blackhawks, 4-3, capped off by a victory in Game 7 on the road. Los Angeles is seeking its second championship in three seasons after beating New Jersey in 2012.

Season series recap: Back in October on New York’s lengthy opening road swing, the Rangers downed the Kings, 3-1 at Staples Center as +130 underdogs. On November 17, the Kings picked up revenge with a 1-0 victory as +105 ‘dogs at Madison Square Garden. Kings’ star goalie Jonathan Quick did not start that shutout, as since departed Ben Scrivens made 37 stops in the Los Angeles net.

Record vs. opposite conference:
Rangers: 14-13-1
Kings: 21-8-3

Recent Stanley Cup Final history: The Western Conference champion has hoisted the Cup in five of the past seven championship rounds, including each of the last two seasons (Chicago 2013 and Los Angeles 2012). The last four-game sweep came in 1998 when the Red Wings finished off the Capitals. Each of the last five Stanley Cup Finals have gone at least six games, with the Final in 2009 and 2011 going the distance.

Series price:
Los Angeles: -165
New York: +140

Exact Game Odds:

Rangers in 4: 12/1
Rangers in 5: 6/1
Rangers in 6: 9/2
Rangers in 7: 5/1

Kings in 4: 10/1
Kings in 5: 7/2
Kings in 6: 4/1
Kings in 7: 3/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rangers know 'hands are full' vs. powerful Kings

Despite a relatively even workload to this point in the playoff season, the Los Angeles Kings faced a much rockier road than the New York Rangers to reach the Stanley Cup finals.

By getting through the Western Conference gauntlet, the Kings are the favorite heading into the title series that begins Wednesday in Los Angeles.

"I think that perception is out there," Rangers coach Alain Vigneault said. "The experts probably favor the L.A. Kings quite a bit. That's not going to change our approach, what we think we need to do."

The Kings played the maximum number of games to get to the finals, beating the San Jose Sharks, Anaheim Ducks and Chicago Blackhawks in decisive Game 7s on the road.

While the Rangers don't have quite as much tread on their tires, they aren't far behind, beating the Philadelphia Flyers and Pittsburgh Penguins in seven games in the first two rounds before topping the Montreal Canadiens in six games in the Eastern Conference finals.

"Great thing about the playoffs is you watch the other games, and all our players had an opportunity to watch the Kings throughout these playoffs -- their comeback against San Jose, their tough series against Anaheim, and obviously the last one against the Stanley Cup champions," Vigneault said. "Our players got a real good idea of what's coming up here as far as the challenge.

"We know they have balance on their four lines. (Kings defenseman Drew) Doughty is probably one, if not the best defenseman in the NHL, and they've got one of the best goaltenders (in Jonathan Quick). We got our hands full, and we're ready for it."

One advantage the Rangers have is they have been sitting since Thursday while the Kings and Blackhawks battled it out in an epic series that finished with an overtime victory by Los Angeles on Sunday. For the first time in a while, the Rangers should be the fresher team.

"Even though it's the Stanley Cup final, Game 1 (Wednesday), we've been able to (get up for games) pretty consistently, not just this season, but the past couple seasons," Kings coach Darryl Sutter said. "I mean, you're doing it a lot on the road, a lot with travel.

"If you look at this year, the time between series was not very much. You had to get going again. We went into Chicago and played really well in Game 1. Sort of the same thing. There wasn't much break to it. Just reset and away you go again."

NOTES: Rangers LW Daniel Carcillo is eligible to play in Game 4 of the Stanley Cup finals after his 10-game suspension for striking an official was reduced to six games upon appeal. The NHL Players' Association asked the league to review his suspension, which he received for abusing linesman Scott Driscoll, a violation of Rule 40.3, during the first period in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals. The case was heard by NHL commissioner Gary Bettman. ... The Kings are the first team in NHL history to win three Game 7s on the road in one playoff year to advance to the Stanley Cup finals. ... Kings G Jonathan Quick was banged up in practice Tuesday when he was struck in the collarbone with a shot. According to coach Darryl Sutter, Quick will be in the net Wednesday for Game 1. Sutter indicated that he is not concerned about Quick's status, adding, "Jonathan is a tough guy. He's probably the first guy out of the room."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

This is only second time in LA's last 22 playoff series they've had home ice edge. Kings won Stanley Cup two years ago; Rangers haven't won in 20 years. Teams split two low scoring games early this season, with road team winning both. Rangers split last four meetings here; under is 4-0-1 in their last five visits here. New York hasn't played since Thursday- LA won Game 7 in Chicago Sunday. Rangers are 6-4 on road in playoffs, winning four of last five away games. Kings are 5-4 at home in playoffs- their last six games overall went over total.

Overall in playoffs, over is 47-27-13 this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Braves -142

(NHL) Rangers +150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's AL Action
By Kevin Rogers

Athletics at Yankees – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
OAK: Chavez (4-3, 2.78 ERA)
NYY: Nuno (1-2, 5.48 ERA)

Series recap: The A’s took care of the Yankees in 10 innings, 5-2 to cash as -120 road favorites on Tuesday. Oakland scored a run in the eighth inning to tie the game at 2-2 before plating three runs in the top of the 10th. The Yankees accomplished a rare feat by losing the last three games at home to three different opponents (Twins, Mariners, and A’s).

What to watch for: Since winning eight of his first nine starts, the A’s have lost each of Chavez’s last two outings to the Blue Jays and Tigers. New York has dropped five of its past six home contests, while scoring two runs or less four times in this span. However, the Yankees have won five of their past seven Game 2’s of a series played in the Bronx.

Red Sox at Indians – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
BOS: Workman (0-0, 3.24 ERA)
CLE: Kluber (6-3, 3.04 ERA)

Series recap: The Indians remain hot by picking up their fifth straight win in last night’s 5-3 triumph over the Red Sox. Cleveland is riding an eight-game winning streak at Progressive Field, while scoring at least five runs in seven of those victories. Boston has dropped two straight since winning seven consecutive games.

What to watch for: Cleveland has won five of its past seven home series finales, while the Tribe is a perfect 5-0 in Kluber’s previous five trips to the mound. The Red Sox are currently on a seven-game ‘under’ streak, while posting a 3-7 record in the last 10 games away from Fenway Park.

Blue Jays at Tigers – 7:08 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
TOR: Dickey (5-4, 4.30 ERA)
DET: Porcello (8-2, 3.68 ERA)

Series recap: Following eight scoreless innings, the Blue Jays and Tigers combined to score eight runs in the ninth inning as Toronto held off Detroit, 5-3 to cash as +130 road underdogs. Toronto picked up just its second win in the last six tries at Comerica Park, while remaining in first place atop the AL East.

What to watch for: Since allowing 15 runs to the Indians on May 14, the Jays have won 15 of their past 18 games, while posting an incredible 9-1 road record the last 10 tries. The Tigers are 7-1 in Porcello’s last eight starts, but Detroit has scored three runs or less in each of his past three home outings.

Orioles at Rangers – 8:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
BAL: Norris (3-5, 4.04 ERA)
TEX: Martinez (1-1, 2.75 ERA)

Series recap: Baltimore’s offense exploded late in an 8-3 blowout of Texas last night by plating six runs in the eighth inning to go ‘over’ the total of 9 ½. Following a four-game skid, the Orioles have won three straight contests, their longest winning streak since May 10.

What to watch for: Norris has allowed four earned runs in three of his last four trips to the mound, while Baltimore owns a 2-4 record in his six road starts. Texas has compiled a 5-1 record in the last six games off a loss, but the Rangers have scored three runs or less in four consecutive contests. The late outburst by the Orioles last night snapped a six-game ‘under’ streak at home for the Rangers.

Angels at Astros – 8:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
LAA: Richards (4-2, 3.64 ERA)
HOU: Cosart (4-4, 4.18 ERA)

Series recap: The Astros snapped a mini two-game skid by exploding for seven runs in a 7-2 blowout of the Angels on Tuesday as +120 home underdogs. Los Angeles dropped its fourth straight game, while the Halos have given up at least five runs each of the last five contests (all ‘overs’).

What to watch for: The Angels have put together a 5-2 record in Richards’ seven road starts, in spite of the right-hander lasting just 0.2 innings in a 9-5 defeat at Oakland in his previous outing. The Astros have won four of their last six Game 2’s of a series, including three straight victories in this situation at Minute Maid Park.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Toronto Blue Jays at Detroit Tigers

Taking the opener of this three game set in MoTown the high-flying Jays ridding a 15-3 stretch behind 5.2 runs/game look to keep the good times rolling handing the ball to Dickey. The knuckler tagged with a ND allowing 10 hits, 5 runs while striking out 7 over five innings of Toronto's home loss to Royals last time out heads to the hill 0-3 with a whopping 6.23 ERA in four road starts. Detroit trot's out Rick Porcello who has an 8-2 record, 3.68 ERA on the season including a smart 3-1 tossing at Comerica Park. Lack of road success of the Blue Jay starter oddsmakers have given a nod to the home team pegging Tigers -$1.15 to -$1.30 favorite depending on local. However, were not in the camp knowing Dickey's teams have strived vs Detroit posting a 7-1 mark in his eight career starts. Finally, hidden in the sea of baseball betting numbers, Dickey hits the mound with a sparkling 11-2 TSR in the month of June, Porcello losing his last two home starts vs Toronto enters 3-6 his last nine June starts in front of the home crowd. Those numbers in hand we're backing Toronto the second-highest scoring team in the majors.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | ST LOUIS at KANSAS CITY
Play On - All teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (ST LOUIS) ice cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up <=1 earned runs in his last 2 outings
57-23 since 1997. ( 71.3% | 30.1 units )
5-4 this year. ( 55.6% | 0.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | BOSTON at CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 26-7 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in Home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: CLEVELAND (4.9) , OPPONENT (3.2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play WED:

Braves early gm -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Wed.

Cards -145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS

NHL

Playoff Prop Bet

LOS ANGELES -1½ games +146 over N.Y. Rangers

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.92)

The more we look at this series the more we like the Kings. The more we hear the “experts” on TV trying to convince us the Rangers have a legit shot, the more we want to re-up our wager. Their job is to “sell” the games in an attempt to create interest and get as many people viewing as possible. They are trying to sell us on the fatigue factor regarding the Kings and they are trying to sell us on Henrik Lundqvist’s ability to steal a series but we’re not buying any of it and frankly, neither are they.

The fatigue factor is a joke and a complete non-issue, as L.A. will have two full days of rest before Wednesday’s opener and two more full days of rest before Game 2 on Saturday. The Kings will also be at home for the first two days so they will be fresher for this series than any of the previous three and then some. Trying to sell us on the fatigue factor is ridiculous beyond words but again, they have to sell something.

Lundqvist is not capable of stealing a series any more than Jonathan Quick is. In fact, if we had a choice between goaltenders, we would take Quick without hesitation because it was Quick who defeated some of the most lethal goal scorers and point producers in the first three rounds that this league has ever seen. Yeah, Lundqvist shut down the Penguins but everyone knows that Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin were both hurt and way off their games in that series, yet Pitt still held a 3-1 games advantage and if that pair was playing up to par, the Rangers may have been eliminated in five games in round 2. We’re not suggesting Lundqvist isn’t good but he’s prone to allowing soft goals because of the style (deep in his crease) that he plays. Los Angeles has a room full of players that have found every weakness of every goaltender that they have faced in the playoffs and they did the exact same thing two years ago when they blew by every team in every round when they won the Cup. Lundqvist is not going to steal the series. For this wager to lose, the Rangers either have to win three games and take it to a seventh game or they are going to have to win it outright. Frankly, we don’t see them coming close to accomplishing either one. Aside from goaltending, which is safe to call equal, the Rangers are vastly inferior in every department no matter what metric you’re using and that also includes the strength of the opposition to get here.


Series wager

LOS ANGELES -160 over N.Y. Rangers

(Risking 6.4 units - To Win: 4.00)

You may read about or be influenced by the media (and experts) suggesting that the Kings may suffer a letdown or be burnt out after their difficult road to the final. We say hogwash and we say that the Rangers may not win a game. The Rangers had difficulty getting here against three very average teams in Philadelphia, Pittsburgh and Montreal without the services of Carey Price. Some will argue that Dustin Tokarski played well and while that is true, it doesn’t reflect the mindset of the rest of the team, whose confidence had to be shaken knowing they would be without their best player. The Rangers road to the Cup might just be this league’s easiest road in a very long time and New York was in no way dominating over any of the teams they faced. There’s a reason the West beat up on the East all year during the regular season and it’s about to be on full display again.

The Kings won’t be burned out or fatigued. This series starts on Wednesday and for the Kings, that’ll feel like a two-week vacation. Los Angeles not only rallied from an 0-3 deficit against the Sharks in round one, but they defeated three true powerhouses in San Jose, Anaheim and Chicago, all of whom had more points than the Rangers in a far more difficult conference. In Game 7 against the Blackhawks, in Chicago no less, the Kings had to overcome an early 2-0 deficit, they had to overcome at least three HORRIBLE calls by the refs in the second period that left them shorthanded three times, not to mention a rare 5 on 3 for 46 seconds. Trailing 4-3 entering the third, Los Angeles rallied and eventually won it on OT, 5-4. That win was truly impressive but what was even more impressive was the way they went about their business. After scoring in OT there was no mass celebration. Instead the Kings celebrated modestly like any other series, acting like it was just one more series win in their quest for the grand prize.

The Rangers are out of their league here. In a seven-game series, they can’t keep up with the talent or physical game that the Kings bring with them. After facing three offensive juggernauts with some of the best offensive talent in the game (Toews, Sharp, Kane, Saad, Getzlaf, Perry, Pavelski, Couture, Marleau et all), the Kings should have little trouble shutting down a Rangers offense that brings a fraction of the talent that the previous three teams they just knocked out bring. The Rangers are not going to get in the way of the vastly inferior Kings quest for the Cup. This is one of the biggest final mismatches in decades and even though the price is -160, we think it should be closer to -300. The Kings are not burned out and even as a -160 favorite they offer up huge value. Get in early because this number will rise.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

3 Units Detroit Tigers -125

The Tigers are scuffling a bit lately, losers of 11 of their last 15 games, including last night's 5-3 loss to these Toronto Blue Jays. Tonight, the Tigers are going to try and right this ship as they send our Rick Porcello (8-2, 3.68 ERA) to oppose Blue Jays knuckleballer R.A. Dickey (5-4, 4.30) who was knocked around pretty good in his last start against the Royals. Porcello is actually tied for second in MLB with his eight wins and trying to bounce back from a shaky start against the A's, which resulted in a 5-4 Tigers win. We need Porcello to go deep tonight because new Tigers closer Joe Nathan has been uncharacteristically bad this season, including another blown save on Tuesday night. A couple of trends here that we really are going to key on for this matchup...The Tigers are 6-1 in Porcello's last seven starts as a home favorite and while Dickey has been really tough in Toronto, he hasn't enjoyed the same results on the road. Dickey is 0-3 with a 6.23 ERA in four road starts this season. We are going to swallow the juice here and lay it with the home favorite needing a win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Over 8.5 Angels/Astros

50* Cleveland Indians -145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tiger

Seattle vs Atl Under 7 -118

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Accuscore

MLB - 70+% Trends

OU-Betting Line of 9 TO 9.5 STREAK 8-2, 80%
OAK 961 vs NYY 962 -- Under 9
TOR 963 vs DET 964 -- Under 9
BAL 967 vs TEX 968 -- Under 9

AL WEST DIV GAME ML STREAK 5-1, 83.3%
LAA 969 vs HOU 970 -- Over 50% on Los Angeles Angels -129

SV-Home Line is +130 or More STREAK 2-0, 100%
STL 975 vs KC 976 -- Value on Kansas City Royals +134

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Play
vip-picks

Lahti - TPS
Tip: Lahti -1

Odds: 1,85

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS

MLB

Baltimore @ TEXAS

Baltimore -108 over TEXAS

(Risking 2.16 units - To Win: 2.00)

The Orioles have scored 17 runs over their past two games and last night’s 8-3 win was actually a flattering score to the Rangers. Baltimore out-hit Texas 17-7 and left 11 runners stranded otherwise the score would’ve been closer to 15-3. Now the O’s will face one of the worst pitchers in the game with the most misleading ERA in the game. Nick Martinez has a 2.75 ERA after 10 appearances with five of those coming as a starter. Pay no attention to that. Martinez has a pathetic BB/K split of 17/20 in 39 innings. He has an awful groundball/fly-ball split of 33%/45%. Martinez was forced into action because of all the injuries to the Rangers rotation but take note that he made the jump from Double AA to the majors and his actual ERA is in for a big correction. Martinez comes into this start with the worst xERA (6.88) of any pitcher in MLB that has made five starts or more. His swing and miss rate is a brutal 5%. He’s often behind in the count and it’s only a matter of time before he gets battered. Nick Martinez may not make it out of the third inning here.

We could tell you all about Bud Norris but it’s not relevant because this choice has absolutely nothing to do with him. We get outstanding value fading a struggling Rangers team with Nick Martinez on the hill and we’ll keep fading Martinez when the price allows us to, as it does here.


Seattle @ ATLANTA

Seattle +130 over ATLANTA

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.60)

12:10 PM EST. The Mariners have won four in a row while scoring 24 runs over that span. The M’s just took two of three from the Tigers and they took the opener of this series last night, 7-5. Hisashi Iwakuma started the year a month after everyone else so he was a step behind. However, he’s pitched 6+ innings in each of his six starts and he also threw back-to-back, eight-inning, four hit shutout gems in his second and third starts of the year. Iwakuma’s groundball arm built on last year's 2H gains to finish in AL's Top Three in ERA/WHIP. His first half featured airtight control and superb command that he couldn't quite sustain. Even so, take that 2H and throw in equal success vL/vR and home/road. At 33, tough to dub him an ace and expect him to match last year’s numbers but we’re not paying an ace price to back him here. This is a pitcher with a 55% groundball rate and a BB/K split of 4/29 in 44 innings. His great command and groundball tilt makes him instantly playable as a pooch against the weak hitting Braves.

Mike Minor also started a month late but the difference is that Minor is a fly-ball pitcher with a career groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile of 36%/22%/42%. This year in 37 innings, his profile is almost identical to his career profile. Furthermore, at home, Minor is 1-3 with an ERA of 5.01 Minor is a very decent pitcher that 29 other teams would love to have but in this spot, as a significant price over Iwakuma and the M’s, we’re going to play the value, as Seattle sports the better offense and Atlanta is 0-5 this season against the AL. Note the early start here.


Pittsburgh @ SAN DIEGO

Pittsburgh +100 over SAN DIEGO

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.00)

6:40 PM EST. Ian Kennedy is having a really good year with 11 pure quality starts in 12 tries. He also has an outstanding BB/K split of 19/81 in 74 innings. Dude is pitching better than he ever has with the skills to support it. However, at home, Kennedy is 1-5 with a 4.01 ERA and current Pirates are hitting a combined .311 off him. It would come as no surprise if Kennedy threw a strong game here but the value in this game is on the Pirates and Francisco Liriano.

The Pirates are 2-0 in this series while outscoring the Padres 14-4. The Pirates are quietly heating up with five wins in six games and that includes taking three of four against the Dodgers in Los Angeles prior to this series. In their last six games in two pitcher’s parks (L.A. and S.D.), Pittsburgh has scored 29 times. Francisco Liriano is 1-5 with an ERA of 4.62 and he’s precisely the reason you don’t buy or sell surface stats. This is a guy that went 16-8 with a 3.02 ERA in 161 innings last year. Liriano’s skills this year are actually better than last years’. He’s rendered LH batters helpless and his swing and miss rate is tops in the majors at 17%. Liriano’s groundball rate is also on the rise and now sits at 53% on the year. However, over his last five starts, Liriano’s groundball rate is even higher at 58%. Francisco Liriano has been extremely unlucky with a high hit rate and low strand rate but he possesses some of the best, if not the best skills in the game. Regression is absolutely coming in his actual ERA and the fact that he’s a pooch against San Diego, a team with the lowest home on base percentage in the majors is bordering on ludicrous. Invest.



Toronto @ DETROIT

Toronto +114 over DETROIT

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.28)

Anibal Sanchez was virtually unhittable last night but as soon as the Jays saw somebody else they went to work. Toronto scored five in in the ninth for its third straight win and its 13th win in the past 15 games. The Jays are once again playing too well to ignore as a pooch, especially when the pitcher isn’t named Verlander, Scherzer or Sanchez. Rick Porcello has a low strikeout rate with 42 K’s in 64 innings. His xERA over his past five starts covering 32 innings is 4.45. Current Jays are hitting a robust .447 off Porcello with 42 hits in 97 combined AB’s. Of those 94 AB’s in his career against current Jays, Porcello has struck out five. In four starts at Comerica this year, Porcello is 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA but he has a BAA of .286 and an xERA of 4.97.

Knuckleballers are unpredictable and that makes R.A. Dickey unpredictable. Dickey is just as prone to giving up five runs in five innings as he is of pitching a seven-inning gem. In terms of pitching matchups, if Dickey’s knuckler is dancing and he’s throwing strikes, give a big edge to him over Porcello. If he gets into trouble and gets knocked out early, so be it. Nobody can predict what Dickey will bring tonight but what we do know is that the Tigers have just four wins in their past 15 games and with the Jays history against Porcello, their potent offense, and their current form, it makes them the much better option taking back a tag than the Tigers spotting one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

2* Braves -144
2* Mets -105
2* Rangers -105
2* D-Backs +115
2* White Sox +162

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Marlins
Rockies
Pirates

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The factsman

whip it out wednesday baseball winner!

[977] milwaukee brewers -125
( m estrada -r / r nolasco -r )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

2 STAR SELECTION

Game: Seattle Mariners @ Atlanta Braves

(972) Atlanta Braves -$144

(Risking $288 to win $200) (Action)


2 STAR SELECTION

Game: New York Mets @ Chicago Cubs

(957) New York Mets -$105

(Risking $210 to win $200) (Action)


2 STAR SELECTION

Game: Baltimore Orioles @ Texas Rangers

(968) Texas Rangers -$105

(Risking $210 to win $200) (Action)


2 STAR SELECTION

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies

(959) Arizona Diamondbacks +$115

(Risking $200 to win $230) (Action)


2 STAR SELECTION

Game: Chicago White Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers

(979) Chicago White Sox +$162

(Risking $200 to win $324) (Action)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAMBLING GOD

NHL

Rangers vs Kings

Pick: Rangers ML

Risk:$100 to win $135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Clement

7 Units Dodgers -179

Chicago White Sox(30-30) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers(31-29). J.Danks(3-5) ERA 4.66 vs. J.Beckett(3-2) ERA 2.52. The White Sox are 1-5 last 6 Inter League games vs teams with winning records and the Dodgers are 8-3 last 11 games following a loss. Chicago is 3-13 last 16 road starts by Danks. Los Angeles Dodgers are a 7 Unit Play!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HOT CHICKS PICKS / Britney DeLuca

Take SEATTLE +125 to navigate successfully through Atlanta…this is an EARLY GAME!
Take TORONTO +115 to tame the cats again!
Take PITTSBURGH +100 to take over the shores of San Diego!!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

WEDNESDAY

NHL HOCKEY

• Play New York +140 over Los Angeles (NHL)---RISK 10% OF YOUR
BANKROLL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

WEDNESDAY BASEBALL




Play Seattle +130 over Atlanta---Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
12:10 PM EST



Hisashi Iwakuma has won 27 of the last 45 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has won 14 of the last 23 games when pitching in the 1st half of the season. Hisashi Iwakuma has won 17 of the last 25 games when the line posted is between +125 to -125 and he is 2-0 in road games this season with an ERA of 3.68.





Play Pittsburgh +105 over San Diego----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
6:40 PM EST


Ian Kennedy has lost 12 of the last 18 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has lost 7 of the last 8 games when the total posted is 7 runs or less. Ian Kennedy has lost 6 of the last 7 home games and he has lost 25 of the last 43 games when pitching in the 1st half of the season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

WEDNESDAY

MLB BASEBALL



10* Play Seattle +130 over Atlanta (MLB TOP PLAY)

Seattle is 15-8 vs. left-handed starting pitchers this season
Seattle is 9-4 in road games when the total posted is between 7 and 7.5 runs
Seattle is 22-15 when batting .250 or worse over the last twenty games


10* Play Pittsburgh +105 over San Diego (MLB TOP PLAY)

Pittsburgh is 36-19 when playing in the month of June the last two seasons
Pittsburgh is 77-69 after having won four or five of the last six games
Pittsburgh is 55-48 when playing as an underdog of +100 or higher

=============================================

5* Play New York Yankees +115 over Oakland (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Houston +110 over Los Angeles Angels (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

WEDNESDAY


NHL HOCKEY


10* Play New York +140 over Los Angeles (Top NHL Play)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):

A winner last night as the Orioles used some late runs to win 8-3. One play for me tonight listed below. Tonight I'm going to be making the 2 hour drive to Detroit to catch the Tigers/Blue Jays at Comerica Park, so I'm hoping the weather clears up this evening in Detroit!
2 UNIT = San Francisco Giants @ Cincinnati Reds - GIANTS TO WIN (+104)
Listed Pitchers: Vogelsong vs Cingrani
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.08 units)
-- write up to come this afternoon


Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers - OVER 9 RUNS (+103)
Listed Pitchers: Dickey vs. Porcello
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.06 units)
It took 9 innings, but the bats finally came around last night. It wasn't until the top of the 9th that any runs were scored, but the final total hit 8 runs. The Blue Jays scored 5 in the top of the 9th and the Tigers tried to comeback but only managed to put 3 on the scoreboard. Both of these offenses are capable of putting runs up in a hurry, and I think we'll be getting them more often in this matchup tonight. R.A. Dickey has really benefited from playing in the dome in Toronto. Whatever it is, Dickey has looked much better playing with the dome closed. Likewise, he hasn't been as sharp on the road. Dickey's road ERA climbs all the way to 6.23 compared to 3.48 at home. If his knuckleball isn't dancing around too much, it is game and he should get hit hard against the Tigers. His WHIP is also high with a 1.75 ERA on the road and .369 OBP. Rick Porcello has done a good job for the Tigers this season, no doubt about that. However, just like Dickey, when he is off he is off. Porcello had several starts last season where he allowed 7 or more runs. Two starts ago Porcello gave up 7. He also gave up 5 to the Padres early in the season. He currently has a decent 3.68 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Both teams have been hammering the ball this season against right-handers, the Jays hitting .262 and the Tigers at .267. I'll take the OVER at plus money on two of the better hitting teams in the league against a couple of average pitchers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

WEDNESDAY
NBA BASKETBALL

NO BASKETBALL PLAYS TODAY


=========================================


NHL HOCKEY


50* Play New York +150 over Los Angeles (NHL TOP PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Washington -170 over Philadelphia (MLB TOP PLAY)

AJ Burnett has lost 83 of the last 137 night games when pitching on the road and he has lost 34 of the last 45 road games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less.AJ Burnett has lost 34 of the last 46 road games when pitching as an underdog of +125 to +175 and he has an ERA of 5.68 in his last three starts.

================================================== ===



50* Play LA Dodgers -170 over Chicago White Sox (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Tampa Bay -160 over Miami (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Milwaukee @ Minnesota

Free Pick: Minnesota +100

The Minnesota Twins aren't exactly an elite team, nor have they been over the last decade or so, but they have had a decided edge at home in interleague play where they own a 58-36 record in their last 94 games against the senior circuit. The Brewers are getting a lot more respect than they deserve here as they have a great record, but all of it was built early in the season. Over their last 32 games, Milwaukee is 15-17. They have a poor track record on the road in interleague play when facing a right handed pitcher that has left them at 15-36 in their last 51. Milwaukee has been hammered in this series of late at just 4-11 in their last 15 in Minnesota, and an even worse 1-6 in the last seven meetings overall. Minnesota gets the call in this one.

[golden contender]

Hump day Double 5* MLB Power system pack with 15-1 + 16-2 League Wide systems and the Stanley Cup Game 1 analysis. Free MLB Power angle MLB Totals Below


On Wednesday the free MLB play is on the under in the Pirates at Padres game. Rotation numbers 951/952 at 6:40 eastern. This game has several statistical indicators and angles that pertain to the under and a low scoring game. The Pirates have played under in 16 of their last 19 day games, while averaging 2.3 runs on .210 hitting under the sun. The Padres have gone under 10 straight times at home vs leftys since last season and have played under in 9 of 10 overall this season vs lefthanders. The Padres also struggle to score in day games, having played under in 11 of 15 while scoring 2.6 runs averaging .209. The Pitching also suggests an under here. F. Liriano for the Pirates has a 2.70 road era and has gone under in all 6 road stats this season. In the month of June the past few years Liriano teams have played under in 9 of 10 of his way starts. Today he will be matched up against San Diego righty Ian Kennedy. In his home starts he has pitched under in 2 of 3 and has allowed just 4 earned runs in 21 innings and he has been particularly effective over his last 3 outings. Look for a low scoring game that stays under the total. On Wednesday we have 3 Big Plays up. In MLB We have 2 big 5* MLB System winners up from 15-1 and 16-2 systems + the Complete Game 1 Analysis of the Stanley Cup matchup. Jump on and bring the bang to your book on Hump day. For the free play take the under in the Pittsburgh at San Diego game. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

3* Baltimore/ Texas Over 9

Wednesday Night MLB Team Total

CINCINNATI REDS – OVER 3.5 RUNS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's MLB Betting Cheat Sheet

Rays Road Woes

The Tampa Bay Rays have lost 10 straight road contests, going 3-7 over under in that span thanks to the fact they just can't score runs. During their skid the Rays have only scored 1.9 runs per game, plating 2 or less runs in eight of the 10 games, including being shut out three times.

Cleveland Rocks

At the opposite end of the spectrum, the Cleveland Indians have won eight straight home games, five of those as the favorite. The Indians try to sweep away the Boston Red Sox Wednesday as -138 favorites. Cleveland is 6-2 when Corey Kluber takes the mound as a favorite.

Reeling Red Birds

The St. Louis Cardinals have lost seven of their last nine games, losing all those games as the favorite. Wednesday night they are listed at -138 with ace Adam Wainwright set to take the mound against the Kansas City Royals. The Cardinals are 3-6 over/under in that stretch.

Pitching Notes

Daisuke Matsuzaka will make his second start of the season for the New York Mets Wednesday when they visit the Chicago Cubs. Dice-K has spent most of the season in the bullpen going 1-0, giving up four runs in 16 relief appearances. Matsuzaka won his only start 4-2 against Arizona on May 25.

The under has been a strong play when Ryan Vogelsong has been on the mound for the San Francisco Giants as an underdog, going 2-11 over/under in his last 13 starts when that is the case. The total for Wednesday's matchup with the Cincinnati Reds (-109) is currently set at 8.

Hitting Notes

Baltimore Orioles outfielder Nelson Cruz blasted his league leading 21st home run of the season in the Orioles 8-3 win over his former team the Texas Rangers. The Orioles are 10-9 SU and 12-7 over/under when Cruz goes deep. The O's are listed at -109, 9 for Wednesday's matchup with the Rangers.

Jon Sinleton, the latest of the Houston Astros elite prospects to get called up to the big leagues, homered in his major league debut, helping the Astos to a 7-2 win over the Los Angeles Angels. The Astors (+144, 8.5) expect big thing from Singleton, giving him a $10 million contract before getting called up.

Totals Streak

Boston Red Sox (0-7 over/under): The roller coaster season for the Red Sox continues. After following up their 10 game losing streak they won seven in a row before dropping two to former manger Terry Francona and the Cleveland Indians. Boston is giving up just 2 runs per game during this under streak.

Injury Notes

Josh Hamilton returned to the lineup for the Los Angeles Angels for the first time since tearing a ligament in his thumb April 8, but lost Mike Trout due to an ailing back. Hamilton hit a solo homer in the Angels 7-2 loss to the Houston Astros, while Trout will be re-evaluated Wednesday.

The season gets worse for the Tampa Bay Rays, who found out they have lost right fielder Wil Myers for up to two months due to a stress fracture in his right wrist. Myers is batting .227 with five homers and 25 RBIs for the last place Rays.

Weather Watch

There is a 76 percent chance of rain, with a chance of thunderstorms at Progressive Field for Wednesday's matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Cleveland Indians. There will also be an eight mph wind blowing in from right field.

Umpire Stat of the Day

Joe West will be calling balls and strikes when the San Diego Padres host the Pittsburgh Pirates Wednesday night. West is the majors best over umpire, compiling a 8-1 over/under record when he is behind home plate this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports

MLB

4-unit Play Take #966 Cleveland Indians (-140) over Boston Red Sox (7:05pm EST)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Wednesday
By Vince Akins

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Cardinals are 13-0 since August 07, 2009 as a road 140+ favorite after a loss in which they used 5+ pitchers for a net profit of $1300.


PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- When Rick Porcello starts the Tigers are 10-0 since May 12, 2010 after more walks than strike outs on the road for a net profit of $1073.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Cardinals are 12-3 since September 16, 2012 as a road favorite when they are off a loss in which they held the lead.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Giants are 10-0 since August 24, 2013 after a loss in which they drew 1 or fewer walks for a net profit of $1135.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- When David Price starts the Rays are 18-3 since May 30, 2009 when he is off a start in which their team scored first and lost for a net profit of $1399.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

MLB

3-Unit Play. #978. Take Minnesota -105 over Milwaukee (Wednesday @ 8:10pm est)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Linecatchers

Playersbet

Tampa Bay Rays -1 -138

Los Angeles Dodgers -1 -133

Washington Nationals -1 -135


Jonathan Young

Detroit Tigers - 109

Los Angeles Angels - 125

St Louis Cardinals - 115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Wednesday, June 4


Rockies' OF Carlos Gonzalez, doubtful Wednesday

Gonzalez was forced to leave Tuesday's game with left index finger injury and is not expected to return for Wednesday against the Diamondbacks.


Hamilton returns to Angels but Trout leaves with ailing back

Angels left fielder Josh Hamilton was in the midst of a scorching hot

start to the 2014 season before an unfortunate decision to slide head first into first

base against the Seattle Mariners on April 8 resulted in his tearing a ligament in his

left thumb, an injury that cost him 48 games.

Hamilton was batting .444/.545/.741 with two home runs and six RBIs over eight games

before landing on the 15-day disabled list on April 9 and subsequently undergoing thumb

surgery. On Tuesday night, he returned to action in the Angels' 7-2 loss and picked up

right where he left off, finishing 1-for-3 with a walk and a solo home run. In his first at-bat, Hamilton hit a blast to straightaway center field that would have cleared the fence in most parks but was flagged down by Dexter Fowler.

"It felt good, I felt calm, I was seeing the ball, and overall, the at-bats felt good," Hamilton said.

With Hamilton back in the fold, the Angels were hopeful of finally putting their primary lineup on the field and getting the chance to watch that group work in concert. However, after one trip through the batting order, that dream was deferred when center fielder Mike Trout departed with mid-back discomfort after striking out in his first at-bat. Trout had missed the previous two games with lower-back stiffness and leaves the Angels wondering when he will be healthy enough to return unencumbered.

"We'll definitely take a half-step back here and try to figure out what's going on," Angels manager Mike Scioscia said.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Wednesday, June 4


Line for Game 1 moving towards Kings

The line for Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final is on the move when the Los Angeles Kings host the New York Rangers Wednesday at the Staples Center.

The Kings opened as -150 favorites to take Game 1 of the series and have since moved to -153 and then to -156 as of early Wednesday morning.

Los Angeles is favored to win the series at -180, while New York is listed at +157 according to Sportsbook.ag.


Rangers know 'hands are full' vs. powerful Kings

Despite a relatively even workload to this point in the playoff season, the Los Angeles Kings faced a much rockier road than the New York Rangers to reach the Stanley Cup finals.

By getting through the Western Conference gauntlet, the Kings are the favorite heading into the title series that begins Wednesday in Los Angeles.

"I think that perception is out there," Rangers coach Alain Vigneault said. "The experts probably favor the L.A. Kings quite a bit. That's not going to change our approach, what we think we need to do."

The Kings played the maximum number of games to get to the finals, beating the San Jose Sharks, Anaheim Ducks and Chicago Blackhawks in decisive Game 7s on the road.

While the Rangers don't have quite as much tread on their tires, they aren't far behind, beating the Philadelphia Flyers and Pittsburgh Penguins in seven games in the first two rounds before topping the Montreal Canadiens in six games in the Eastern Conference finals.

NOTES: Rangers LW Daniel Carcillo is eligible to play in Game 4 of the Stanley Cup finals after his 10-game suspension for striking an official was reduced to six games upon appeal. The NHL Players' Association asked the league to review his suspension, which he received for abusing linesman Scott Driscoll, a violation of Rule 40.3, during the first period in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals. The case was heard by NHL commissioner Gary Bettman. ... The Kings are the first team in NHL history to win three Game 7s on the road in one playoff year to advance to the Stanley Cup finals. ... Kings G Jonathan Quick was banged up in practice Tuesday when he was struck in the collarbone with a shot. According to coach Darryl Sutter, Quick will be in the net Wednesday for Game 1. Sutter indicated that he is not concerned about Quick's status, adding, "Jonathan is a tough guy. He's probably the first guy out of the room."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

SELECTION:
BALTIMORE ORIOLES -115

(Norris/Martinez)
Texas which is always known for having heavy hitters has seen this lineup going silent. I think the Orioles are a better baseball team right now and Norris is a better pitcher than Martinez who doesn’t have a great strikeout/walk ratio. Martinez is not as good as his numbers who indicate as he has been bailed out of some really tough jams with runners in scoring position. Take the Orioles.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TAPIN SPORTS

2* Milwaukee Brewers

The twins got the better of them last night, as the brewers had an off night to say the least. Struggling 2-12 with runners in scoring position and had the lead most of the game. However they still reign with the top 6 pitching staff in MLB and with the Twins at the bottom of that in 29th of 30th in pitching the brewers won’t get caught a 2nd time. Not to mention Brewers own the best road record in the N.L. Central at 16-11. Not to mention to get Juice on our side with this, we take all day long

Brewers + 103


NHL PICK

The Lord Stanley begins tonight and two teams that have traveled different paths over the last 20 years. Kings are at home and playing some of the best hockey of the season not to mention over the last 3 seasons has been one of the finest organizations’ in the NHL. As the Rangers roll in looking to hold up that cup in over 20 years and people in New York are Ready. This series in my opinion has Lundqvist written all over it. This is His time to make it happen and prove why he is the best in net. It’s not going to be easy as LA is the highest scoring team in the playoffs averaging over 3.5 goals a game and over 30 shots a game. They are big strong and fast and can strike quickly.

However the Rangers are no beginners and have cleaned up Philly Pittsburgh and the Canadians whom was this year’s surprise team for sure. Lundqvist has shut everyone down and the rangers have the best defense scoring unit and power play unit on the ice. The rangers cannot afford to let this 1st game get out of control and Lundqvist has to be ready to roll which leads us to Quick on the other side of the net for the Kings. His numbers are as equal as Lundqvist which leads us to the 1st true Goalie Stanley cup in a number of years. 926% vs 906 % Save %.

Tonight we take the under 5. This 1st game is all about the Man behind the Mask. Not to mention the Kings vs Eastern conference is 35-11-8 in unders.

2* Under 5 -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Ed Meyer

MLB Money Line

dime bet – 963 TOR (+114) vs 964 DET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROSS BENJAMIN

10* Arizona D’Backs +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bookieshunter

NHL

2* Los Angeles Kings

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

Play of The Day

MLB

Oakland Athletics -142 over the New York Yankees

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Umpire Streakers

• [1957] CHC/NYM '1st 5' O3.5 (-105)
• [1967] TEX/BAL '1st 5' O5 (-110)

• [951] SD/PIT O6.5 (-120)
• [978] MIN/MIL U8 (+100)
• [976] KC/STL U7 (+105)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BookieMonsters

Money generator plays MLB

Rangers +135
Pirates +105
Diamondbacks +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Eric Henderson

Today's Selections

MLB: pirates/padres under 6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Philly Ross

MLB

2* Over 8 San Francisco Giants/Cincinnati Reds

2* Oakland Athletics

2* Over 7.5 Boston Red Sox/Cleveland Indians

2* Toronto Blue Jays

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS

Free Play: Milwaukee vs Minnesota Over 8

Wednesday 6/4 Service Plays

NHL

LA Kings -155 (Will be playing small on the -1.5 pucks as well at the nice price of +180)

MLB

Tampa Bay RL -1.5 +115

St. Louis -120

LA Angels RL -1.5 +130

Milwaukee -105

Colorado RL -1.5 +145

BONUS EARLY ACTION PLAY: Atlanta vs Seattle Under 6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

"Mr Chalk" lost both plays in MLB on Tuesday

(1) Tigers-$140/Blue Jays (L)

(2) Rockies -$165Diamondbacks (L)

E&B split with his soccer wagers winning with Bosnia/Mexico and losing a play on the draw.

E&B have a few futures wagers for the Stanley Cup MVP

$25 on Henrik Lundqvist at 3-1

$10 on Drew Doughty at 5-1

$10 on Anze Kopitar at 7-2

$10 on Marian Goborik at 5-1

$10 on Marty St Louis at 8-1

For Wednesday in MLB in the American League "Mr Chalk" likes the Indians -$150/Red Sox.

Ben lee is 1-3 -$153 for week thirty two and 139-159-5 -$2783 through Thirty One weeks.

"Mr Chalk" is 26-26 -$670 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FiveHoleFreddy

2* Pittsburgh Pirates

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Umpire Streakers

Additional plays

959 COL/ARI O10.5 (-110) = (2*)
963 Blue Jays ML (+115)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BookieMonster Money Generator Plays

NY Rangers +135

Diamondbacks +120
Pirates +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc mlb

4* Indians-140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Colorado Rockies -134 over Arizona Dbacks
(System Record: 35-0, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 35-29

Hockey Crusher
Los Angeles Kings -152 over New York Rangers
(Playoff Record: system 23-2: overall 23-16-1, lost last game)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 114-90-3

Basketball Crusher
no play
(Playoff Record: system 17-1: overall 17-18-3, won last game)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 95-103-8

Soccer Crusher
FC Lahti + TPS OVER 2
This match is happening in Finland
(System Record: 584-21, lost last game)
Overall Record: 584-488-84

Here are the rest of his baseball, hockey and basketball plays for today...


Baseball
Baltimore Orioles -107 over Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners +122 over Atlanta Braves
Cleveland Indians -150 over Boston Red Sox


Hockey
Los Angeles Kings + NY Rangers UNDER 5


Basketball
no play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

David Banks

#957 8:05 ny mets+105 matsuzaka

mlb
#972 12:10 atlanta braves-144 minor
#954 7:05 washington nationals-180 strasburg
#961 7:05 oakland athletics-148 chavez

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rochestertitans

Phillies rl -135
Padres -104
Angels-123

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prediction Machine

MLB

ML:

None

O/U:

Ari @ Col Under 10.5 -105
NYM @CHC Over 7 -105

RL:

SF +1.5 -210
Min +1.5 -165

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports

For 6/4

#970: Astros: +115 0.5*
Listed Pitchers: Richards / Cozart

#980: Dodgers RL (-1.5): +110 1*
Listed Pitchers: Danks / Beckett


#961/962: Under Yankees: 9.0 (-120) 1.5* Listed Pitchers: Chavez / Nuno

#973/974: Under Rays: 7.0 (-130) 1.5*
Listed Pitchers: Koehler / Price

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS RUNNER

NFAC Moves

952 UNDER 6.5 (-105) – PIT/SD

[Can'tPickAWinner]

National Sports Service:

Az/col under 10 1/2 5*

Det 3*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns NHL

Nyr/La under 5 10*

Rays ML -165

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray dunavant



SD Padres - 107
Cubs -115
Redsox +133
Tor +102
Bal -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GoodFella

Added Play

Reds/ Giants Over 8 2*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharpesyndicate

1* Pirates TT Over 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Philly Ross

added

2* Boston Red Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D

3* Oakland A's / New York Yankees Over 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gabriel DuPont MLB winner...

My 25 Dime MLB winner for tonight is the WASHINGTON NATIONALS RUN LINE in N.L. East action against the Philadelphia Phillies. As I release this play at 5 a.m. pacific, I see the line on this game is Washington -1.5 runs, +120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan NHL winner...

My 1,000♦ Winner is on the LOS ANGELES KINGS. As of 4 a.m. pacific, the line on this game, both offshore and in Las Vegas is L.A. Kings -150.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michael Tang -

Giants - 2Stars

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nemo

ship it

Under 9 Oakland Athletics/New York Yankees

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bets That Profit

BetThisPick













6/4/2014

Game: Angels vs Astros

Pick: Angels/Astros UNDER 9 (-115)




Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)

3.45 Units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bets That Profit


6/4/2014

Game: Pirates vs Padres

Pick: Pirates/Padres UNDER 6.5 (-110)




Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)

2.20 Units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Delawarian


6/4/2014

Game: Pirates vs Padres

Pick: Pirates/Padres UNDER 6.5 (-110)




Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)

2.20 Units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Delawarian


6/4/2014

Game: Toronto vs Detroit

Pick: Toronto ML (+100)




Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)

3 Units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Delawarian


6/4/2014

Game: Royals vs Cardinals

Pick: Royals ML (+113)




Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)

2 Units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Delawarian

6/4/2014

Game: Royals vs Cardinals

Pick: Royals ML (+113)




Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)

2 Units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rooster



KC Over 7 -110
arz +120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

Sd padres

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PhillyGodFather
straight bet [965] bos +139 ( b workman -r / c kluber -r ):
straight bet [961] oak -126 ( j chavez -r / v nuno -l:
mlb [976] kc royals +1½-150:

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tampasports

toronto-m.line -best bet
arizona-m.line
texas/balt-over total

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Shaker’s Shorts

#976 Cardinals/Royals – UNDER 3.5 -105 (1st 5 Innings)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HARRY BONDI FREE PLAY

MLB

MINNESOTA (-105) over Milwaukee
8:10 p.m. ET

Minnesota is one of those teams that plays well in inter-league play, particularly at home. Twins are 58-36 in their last 94 inter-league games and have owned Milwaukee at home going 11-4 against the Brewers in their last 15 homes games vs the Brew Crew. Milwaukee was on fire in April but are just 15-17 their last 32 games. Brewers have also struggled vs right handed pitching in inter-league affairs going just 15-36 in their last 51

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mr. Parlay King Tripple Dime:

Angles/Astros under 9.

Line is now 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INDIAN COWBOY


3* NHL under 5 LA/NYR

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System


extra pick:


Minnesota Twins -107 over the Milwaukee Brewers (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 8:10 PM EST