6-15-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
6*: Switzerland PK -140 over equador (sunday)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Miami at San Antonio

The Heat look to avoid elimination on Sunday night and come into Game 5 with an 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 games when trailing in a playoff series. Miami is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+6). Here are all of today's playoff picks.


SUNDAY, JUNE 15
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (6/14)


Game 709-710: Miami at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 131.797; San Antonio 127.150
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+6); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 6/15/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Sunday, 6/15/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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NBA Finals Betting News & Notes
•Role Players Have The Spurs Rolling: If the polling for National Basketball Association Finals MVP was being done before Game #5, no one from the star San Antonio trio of Tony Parker, Tim Duncan or Manu Ginobili would have led the balloting. That would sound like a good sign for the Miami Heat. It's not - not with the way Kawhi Leonard and Boris Diaw are playing for the Spurs.

They are role players in name only. Leonard has led the scoring charge in the last two games and Diaw has more assists than any other player in the series. They're a big reason why the Spurs can wrap up a championship on Sunday night, when they take a 3-1 series lead into Game #5 of the finals. Leonard averaged 24.5 points on 68 percent shooting in Games #3 and #4. And in the Spurs' three wins, they've outscored Miami by 65 points with Diaw on the floor.

The Spurs won by 19 and 21 in the two games in Miami and are shooting 54.2 percent in the series. The NBA Finals record for a series of any length is 52.7 percent.

•Game #4 Of NBA Finals Draws 9.3 Rating: San Antonio's victory over Miami in Game #4 of the NBA Finals on Thursday night drew an average television audience of 14,964,000 viewers and a 9.3 national rating on ABC. Nielsen said Friday that the broadcast peaked with 16,742,000 viewers from 11-11:15 p.m. EDT. The series is averaging 14,931,000 viewers and a 9.1 rating.
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National Basketball Association Finals

#709 MIAMI @ #710 SAN ANTONIO
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, ABC - Line: Spurs -6, Total: 195) - The San Antonio Spurs are one victory away from their fifth National Basketball Association title and can claim their first championship since 2007 when they host the Miami Heat in Sunday evening’s Game #5. San Antonio rolled to back-to-back dominating wins in Miami to take a 3-1 series lead and is in good shape when you consider no NBA team has ever recovered from that deficit in NBA Finals play. The Spurs’ three victories are by an average of 18.3 points.

Heat standout LeBron James was among the stunned players over how easily San Antonio dismantled Miami the past two games. “I mean, they smashed us,” James told reporters. “Two straight home games, got off to awful starts. They came in and were much better than us in these two games. It’s just that simple.” Spurs veteran Tim Duncan expects a fierce effort from the Heat as San Antonio attempts to avenge last season’s finals loss to the Heat. “We’re going to use our home court and we’re going to come with the same focus that we did in these last two games, and hopefully close it out at home,” Duncan told reporters.

•ABOUT THE HEAT (67-34 SU, 48-51-2 ATS): James is averaging 27.5 points in the series and is very much aware that no team has ever recovered from a 3-1 deficit to win the NBA Finals. He asserts that the players only have themselves to blame for the hole Miami finds itself in but doesn’t want to look past Sunday and ponder the historical aspect. “It’s never been done before but we’re still a confident bunch, even though our heads are lowered down right now,” James told reporters. “Of course, being down 3-1 and losing two straight games at home, that’s just human nature. But we’ve still got to go out and play on Sunday.”

•ABOUT THE SPURS (77-27 SU, 57-47-0 ATS): Small forward Kawhi Leonard produced back-to-back stellar efforts in Miami – averaging 24.5 points and nine rebounds in the two games – but versatile Boris Diaw has also been a valuable performer since San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich inserted him into the starting lineup for Game #3. Diaw had a solid all-around game with eight points, nine rebounds and nine assists in Game #4 and is averaging 6.5 points, 8.5 rebounds and 5.8 assists in the series. “He knows what’s going on most all the time,” Popovich told reporters. “At the offensive end he’s a passer. He understands mismatches. He knows time and score. At the defensive end, he knows when to help. He’s active. So he just helps the whole team have a better IQ, I think.”

•PREGAME NOTES: Duncan is averaging 15.8 points and 10.5 rebounds in the series and has three double-doubles with Thursday’s being the 158th of his postseason career to break Magic Johnson’s record.... The Heat have committed 62 turnovers in the series with James (18) and G Dwyane Wade (15) being the biggest culprits.... San Antonio G Danny Green was 10-of-13 from the field in the two games in Miami and is 9-of-17 from 3-point range in the series.... Miami is 45-30 against the spread (60.0%) in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more three-point shots/game on the season over the last two seasons.... The Spurs are 40-23 versus the spread (63.4%) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting less than 24 free throws/game, including 26-13 ATS (66.6%) 2nd half of the season this season.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections.(Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, MIAMI covered the spread 513 times, while SAN ANTONIO covered the spread 463 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO won the game straight up 628 times, while MIAMI won 351 times. In 1000 simulated games, 627 games went over the total, while 352 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, MIAMI covered the first half line 484 times, while SAN ANTONIO covered the first half line 471 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 607 games went over first half total, while 393 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--SAN ANTONIO is 24-19 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1996.
--SAN ANTONIO is 26-18 straight up against MIAMI since 1996.
--30 of 43 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--SAN ANTONIO is 23-16 versus the first half line when playing against MIAMI since 1996.
--25 of 42 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Under is 26-12 in the last 38 meetings.
--Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
--Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 Sunday games.
--Under is 7-1 in Heat last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.

--Spurs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
--Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.
--Spurs are 8-1 ATS L9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Over - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MIAMI) - an average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) after 42+ games, in non-conference games, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite.
(131-77 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.0%, +46.3 units. Rating = 2*)

The average total posted in these games was: 196.4
The average score in these games was: Team 101, Opponent 98.7 (Total points scored = 199.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 106 (51% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (26-21).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (79-46).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (373-320).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatSystemsSports
Inside the Paint- Sunday

San Antonio’s road to redemption is nearly complete as the Spurs are one victory from claiming the fifth title in franchise history. Following a pair of wins in South Florida where the Spurs shot lights out, the defending Western Conference champions return to the AT&T Center (8:00 PM EST) on Sunday night to host a Heat squad that may be nearing the end of their dynasty.

With the NBA Finals tied at 1-1, the Spurs connected on 75% of its shots from the floor in the first half of Game #3 and built a 25-point lead en route to a 111-92 triumph over the Heat as four-point underdogs. The Spurs didn’t skip a beat in Thursday’s Game #4, jumping out to a 55-36 halftime advantage as San Antonio rolled to a 107-86 victory to cash as five-point ‘dogs. Gregg Popovich’s team improved to 12-4 ATS (75.0%) the last 16 games in the postseason, including three straight wins and covers on the highway.

Betting Notes - Sunday
It seemed impossible for the Spurs to repeat their shooting effort from Game #3, but San Antonio wasn’t too far off in Game #4 by knocking down 57% of its attempts from the floor. Every game in this series San Antonio has relied on someone different to carry load, but Kawhi Leonard put up two of the best efforts in his career in Miami by scoring 29 points in Game #3 and a team-high 20 points and 14 rebounds in Game #4. Boris Diaw was inserted into the starting lineup for the first time in the series on Thursday and nearly put up a triple-double with eight points, nine rebounds, and nine assists.

The Heat’s run at a three-peat looks to be over barring a miracle comeback, as Miami isn’t receiving the balanced scoring and contributions that San Antonio is getting right now. Dwyane Wade captured Finals MVP when the Heat won their first title in 2006, but the Miami guard is coming off one of the worst playoff performances in his career by shooting just 3-of-13 from the floor for 10 points. LeBron James can carry the load only so much, putting up 19 points in the third quarter of Game #4 and scored a game-high 28 points. James is averaging 27 points per game and is probably the Most Valuable Player in this series, as the best thing for Miami is to hit the road after two poor performances at American Airlines Arena.

Hoop Trends - Sunday
•MIAMI is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games after a game with 35 or less rebounds over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 100.7, OPPONENT 87.8.

•SAN ANTONIO is 26-9 UNDER (+16.0 Units) in home games versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 90.5, OPPONENT 80.9.

•MIAMI is 28-54 (-31.4 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 50.4, OPPONENT 48.7.

•SAN ANTONIO is 19-6 UNDER (+12.4 Units) the 1rst half total after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half this season.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 53.8, OPPONENT 45.3.

•ERIK SPOELSTRA is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where they were called for 25 or more fouls as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was SPOELSTRA 104.8, OPPONENT 101.4.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points versus the first half line (SAN ANTONIO) - an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days.
(23-2 since 1996.) (92.0%, +20.8 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 55.3, Opponent 45.4 (Average first half point differential = +9.9)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-0).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Heat/Spurs #5: The Game Inside the Game
By DAVID MALINSKY

A series that many hoped would resemble the seven-game thriller of last June has been filled with Mastery, not Mystery. So as the teams head to San Antonio for Sunday night, the question becomes whether there is anything that the Heat can do to prevent a Championship trophy, on Fathers Day, going to someone called “Pops”.

The Miami issues in this series have been documented on these pages. The Game #2 win was not good basketball from the Heat, but rather a great individual performance from LeBron James that overcame a mediocre floor game. Outside of that, considering that the Spurs are flowing offensively as well as any team since the Magic-Worthy-Kareem Lakers, it has not been a surprise that they were able to take advantage of the Miami holes. It is how easily it has happened that would have been difficult to anticipate – no team in NBA Finals history ever won back-to-back road games by 40 points.

To recap the cracks in the Heat armor, it is a bit of a Good News/Bad News situation. The good is that Erik Spoelstra had a cast of veterans on the bench that he could mesh into just about any flow that was needed, and through these playoffs there has been a lot of lineup juggling, largely successful through the earlier rounds. The bad is that the San Antonio chemistry and execution is at such a high level that it takes a tremendous amount of teamwork to be able to match up. Spoelstra’s current configuration lacks that teamwork. Rashard Lewis, Ray Allen and Norris Cole are getting many more minutes than they had been accustomed to, and there just is not any way to get them into a defensive rotation that can cope with the way that the Spurs are moving the ball, especially when there is not a shot blocker to protect the rim. Imagine Spoelstra’s desperation when he went to Toney Douglas down 46-28 in the second quarter, the first time Douglas had left the bench in the first half of these playoffs.

San Antonio shot a sparkling 58.2 percent in the two wins at Miami, with 46 assists paving the way. It was a beautiful ballet of basketball to watch. Until the Heat got the ball, when those same chemistry issues came into play. By halftime of Game #4 Miami was down to a 50-50 ratio of assists to turnovers for the entire series, and imagine how ugly the Game #4 bottom line would have looked if not for that late barrage from James Jones (4-4 for 11 points, nailing all three triples) – the Heat were sitting on 75 with a little over 2:00 remaining.

There is also an issue that goes beyond the tactical X’s and O’s. A couple of weeks ago there was a take here on Dwayne Wade, and how the injury time off may have actually kept him a little fresher for the playoffs, with his spark vs. Indiana reminiscent of his former abilities. On Thursday Wade simply looked gassed. There was no lift in his legs, and he only managed 3-13 from the field, with two rebounds, over 32:54. He does get an extra day off before Game #5 tips off, but that may not be enough.

For as good as Miami has been in winning back-to-back titles, there simply may not be any options to correct the flaws this matchup brings. Spoelstra can not build a defensive chemistry over two practice sessions, and with Kawhil Leonard gaining in confidence as he guards James, the answers on offense are problematic as well. James has continued to shoot well from the perimeter, but as was discussed on this page earlier in the series, Gregg Popovich will give him those shots all evening.

Consider this – James was a terrific 19-31 from the field in the two games in Miami, including 6-12 from beyond the arc, and the Heat lost by 40. How does that happen? It happens because the offense works best when he is getting to the basket to break down the defense and create for the others. Leonard and the Spurs are closing that off, with part of the result reflected in James only getting to the line for nine FT attempts in the two defeats. As for the other part of the equation, on Thursday he only had two assists, and for the series it has been 18 turnovers vs. 15 successful dishes.

Now on to Sunday. The early markets have settled in at San Antonio -6, which marks the biggest underdog price Miami has been offered in the 380 games of the James era. But even the most ardent of Zig-Zag followers are going to find it difficult to reach into their pockets. If there is a chance for the Heat to be in the hunt it will not come from X’s and O’s adjustments, but from James reaching back for a special effort, or Wade finding his legs again. As such, if you harbor Miami notions you may want to look at individual James props instead, rather than a team wager – it would be no surprise if he played well into the 40’s if the game is competitive.

That last line perhaps says it all. In the Game #4 prelude the closing line was that for the Heat to win - “they will have to execute a level they might not have reached yet in the 2014 playoffs”. The gap really is that wide, and if Sunday brings us the last chance to see the Spurs in this configuration (Tim Duncan could make this his NBA Swan Song), the level of basketball they have played is something that will be appreciated far into the years ahead.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game 5 - Heat at Spurs
By Kevin Rogers

San Antonio’s road to redemption is nearly complete as the Spurs are one victory from claiming the fifth title in franchise history. Following a pair of wins in South Florida where the Spurs shot lights out, the defending Western Conference champions return to the AT&T Center on Sunday night to host a Heat squad that may be nearing the end of their dynasty.

With the NBA Finals tied at 1-1, the Spurs connected on 75% of its shots from the floor in the first half of Game 3 and built a 25-point lead en route to a 111-92 triumph over the Heat as four-point underdogs. The Spurs didn’t skip a beat in Thursday’s Game 4, jumping out to a 55-36 halftime advantage as San Antonio rolled to a 107-86 victory to cash as five-point ‘dogs. Gregg Popovich’s team improved to 12-4 ATS the last 16 games in the postseason, including three straight wins and covers on the highway.

It seemed impossible for the Spurs to repeat their shooting effort from Game 3, but San Antonio wasn’t too far off in Game 4 by knocking down 57% of its attempts from the floor. Every game in this series San Antonio has relied on someone different to carry load, but Kawhi Leonard put up two of the best efforts in his career in Miami by scoring 29 points in Game 3 and a team-high 20 points and 14 rebounds in Game 4. Boris Diaw was inserted into the starting lineup for the first time in the series on Thursday and nearly put up a triple-double with eight points, nine rebounds, and nine assists.

The Heat’s run at a three-peat looks to be over barring a miracle comeback, as Miami isn’t receiving the balanced scoring and contributions that San Antonio is getting right now. Dwyane Wade captured Finals MVP when the Heat won their first title in 2006, but the Miami guard is coming off one of the worst playoff performances in his career by shooting just 3-of-13 from the floor for 10 points. LeBron James can carry the load only so much, putting up 19 points in the third quarter of Game 4 and scored a game-high 28 points. James is averaging 27 points per game and is probably the Most Valuable Player in this series, as the best thing for Miami is to hit the road after two poor performances at American Airlines Arena.

Miami’s 13-game winning streak in the playoffs off a loss came to a close on Thursday, but the Heat is back in the underdog role in Game 5. Erik Spoelstra’s club has won and covered just once in three tries as a ‘dog this postseason, while going 2-0 SU/ATS since 2012 when receiving points off a defeat in the playoffs (which includes a win Game 2 of this series against San Antonio).

Chris David says on Sunday night that Miami does have a tall mountain to climb, “Based on the first four games, especially the last two, it’s hard to make an argument for Miami in Game 5 even though the point-spread does appear to be a tad inflated. However, when San Antonio wins on the hardwood it wins at the betting counter, rather easily too. In their 15 postseason wins, the first three came by 5, 4 and 6 points to the Mavericks. In the last 12 victories, every game was decided by double digits.”

Rallying from a 3-1 deficit will be tough for the Heat, as David believes there is another approach to possibly making money with Miami, “There have been 31 teams who have trailed 3-1 in the NBA Finals and amongst them, only 15 have managed to force a Game 6 but there is a caveat for bettors. Nine of those teams were playing at home in Game 5 and now that the series is back to a 2-2-1-1-1 format, San Antonio is hosting the fifth encounter. I don’t believe the Heat are dead just yet and I feel the adjusted series price on the Heat at 9/1 odds is very generous, especially when you’re backing the best player in the world. Small risk, big reward in my opinion!”

The biggest issue with Miami so far in this series is not being able to keep up with San Antonio’s offense. David breaks down things from the totals perspective, “The ‘under’ cashed in Game 4 but one more 3-pointer by Miami at the end almost cost you. San Antonio’s hot-shooting has balanced out the slow pace by both clubs and the Heat’s offense has been, by their standards, poor. I believe the best look on Sunday will be the ‘under’ in Miami’s team total, which is hovering around 95 points. The most they scored in this series is 96 and if you believe the Heat can win, it will have to be with their defense.”

Leonard is currently the favorite to claim the MVP, as oddsmakers have made the former San Diego State standout an overwhelming 5/12 (Bet $100 to win $41) favorite to win the NBA Finals Most Valuable Player. David says this award though is up for grabs, depending on what happens on Sunday, “Leonard has been great the last two games but unless he blows up again in Game 5, I believe this award will go to Tim Duncan, who is a media favorite. Bettors can get down on a solid 8/5 (Bet $100 to win $160) price for Duncan. And if you believe the Heat can rally and win a couple more games, James at 10/1 odds looks very appealing.”

MVP Odds
Kawhi Leonard, Spurs (5/12)
Tim Duncan, Spurs (8/5)
Tony Parker, Spurs (5/1)
LeBron James, Heat (10/1)
Boris Diaw, Spurs (20/1)
Manu Ginobili, Spurs (50/1)
Danny Green, Spurs (75/1)
Dwyane Wade, Heat (100/1)
Chris Bosh, Heat (150/1)

The Spurs are currently listed as six-point favorites on Sunday night, while the total is set at 195 ½. Game 5 tips off at 8:00 PM EST and can be seen on ABC.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Heat try to stay alive

Miami (67-34) at San Antonio (77-27)

NBA Finals
Game 5 – San Antonio leads series 3-1
Tip-off: Sunday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Line and Total: San Antonio -6, Total: 195

The NBA Finals head back to Texas on Sunday as the Spurs look to close out the series in five games and get a revenge victory over the Heat after last year’s upsetting loss.

This series has been absolutely dominated by San Antonio, which is coming off yet another big win in Game 4. The club breezed to victory by a score of 107-86 as five-point underdogs in Miami while shooting an incredible 57% from the field; marking the third time in this series that the team has shot that well. As usual, the Spurs were getting great shots with tremendous ball movement, finishing with 25 assists in the game while absolutely dominating the boards as they outrebounded the Heat 44-27. Miami has actually had a few great shooting performances of their own in this series, hitting better than 51% of its field goals in both Games 2 & 3, but has just seemed outmatched, as LeBron James is the only player on the team with consistent numbers throughout the NBA Finals.

Going back on the road does not bode well for the Heat either as they are just 27-23 SU (24-24 ATS) in away games over the entire season. Meanwhile, San Antonio probably feels like it has a lock on this series since the club is an incredible 42-11 SU (28-25 ATS) when playing at home while going 10-2 SU (8-4 ATS) there in the playoffs.

These two clubs have obviously had a storied matchup over the past few seasons against each other and Miami holds a slight 9-7 SU (7-9 ATS) edge when facing the Spurs over the past three seasons. In that time, San Antonio is 4-3 (SU and ATS) in its home games.

Some trends that bettors may want to take notice of is that the Heat are 9-0 ATS in road games after a game with 35 or fewer rebounds over the past two seasons while the Spurs are 22-10 ATS (69%) in the past two seasons after a game where they made at least 55% FG.

Fatigue will likely be the only type of concern that needs to be watched in this contest, as neither side is nursing any significant injuries for this important game.

The Heat have seen their scoring output drop in the playoffs (97.8 PPG) while they have put up just 92.8 PPG in the NBA Finals through four games. Their defense has also been much worse in this series as they are allowing the Spurs to drop 106.0 PPG on them, which is much greater than the 95.1 PPG (48% FG) allowed over the entire postseason.

SF LeBron James (27.5 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 3.8 APG, 2.5 SPG in series) scored a team-high 28 points in Thursday’s loss while failing to record a steal for the first time in six games. He has made 60% of his shots in the NBA Finals while also hitting an incredible 11-of-18 threes.

SG Dwyane Wade (16.3 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 3.0 APG, 2.0 SPG in series) played very poorly in Game 4, shooting just 3-for-13 from the field with 10 points while adding four assists and four steals. The game was his worst shooting performance of the postseason, and he has also really struggled with ball security in this series as he has turned it over 3.8 times per game.

C Chris Bosh (14.3 PPG, 4.8 RPG in finals) averaged 18.0 PPG in the two games on the road in this series but netted just 10.5 PPG in the two home contests while grabbing just seven total rebounds. He has also been non-existent on the defense side of the ball with just one block in the series after averaging 1.3 BPG in the playoff games before the finals.

SG Ray Allen (11.0 PPG in series) has made 8-of-19 (42%) threes in this series but has scored double-digit points just twice.

The Spurs have been on an absolute tear through these playoffs, hitting 49% of their shots while averaging 106.5 PPG. Their defense has been great as well, giving up just 97.5 PPG (45% FG) to their opponents.

PF Tim Duncan (15.8 PPG, 10.5 RPG in series) had 10 points and 11 boards in Thursday’s victory and now has three double-doubles in the first four games of the NBA Finals. He was tremendous in the first two contests of this series when playing at home, averaging 19.5 PPG and 12.5 RPG.

PG Tony Parker (18.5 PPG, 5.3 APG, 1.0 SPG in finals) had 19 points on 8-of-15 shooting in Game 4 while recording a series-low two assists. He’s been amazingly consistent over these four games and has actually shot 8-for-15 from the field in three games against the Heat so far while making just 13-of-18 from the charity stripe in the series.

SF Kawhi Leonard (16.8 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 1.8 SPG, 1.3 SPG in finals) was the difference maker in the two games at Miami, leading the team in scoring in both wins while averaging 24.5 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 2.5 BPG and 2.5 SPG. He has done well shooting from all areas of the floor, making 23-of-39 (59%) shots overall and 8-of-15 from behind the arc.

SG Manu Ginobili (13.3 PPG, 4.5 APG, 1.3 SPG in finals) had only seven points in Thursday’s victory, but was great in the two games at home (17.5 PPG, 7.5 APG) to start this series.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Miami at San Antonio

Off two impressive 19 and 21 point victories in Heats' back yard shooting an incredible 58.2% from the field, 43.9% from three-point land and hitting 77.2% from the free throw line the Spurs look primed to win Game 5 Sunday in Alamo City along with their fifth NBA championship. The Spurs executing at such a high level, Miami unable find answers, Bovada looks for San Antonio to finish off Miami Sunday night as they have installed Spurs as whopping 6-point favorites. Handing LeBron James and the Champs a boat load of points is a risky proposition, though in this case the amount of supporting data in favor of San Antonio makes it much less risky. Duncan and company shredding Heat for 100 or more points in three of four meetings along with holding Heat under the century mark in all four games sets the table. Spurs have cashed 6-of-8 as home chalk of 6.5 or less off a double digit post season victory. Spurs take to the floor 44-24 ATS this season netting 100 or more points, 23-16 ATS as home chalk after netting 100 or more the previous game, 25-8 ATS as a home favorite holding opponents to 100 or less points. On the other side, Heat enter 3-17-1 ATS on foreign hardwood when giving up 100 PPG, 8-19 ATS on the road scoring 100 or more.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | MIAMI at SAN ANTONIO
Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) after 1 or more consecutive unders, an good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games
95-50 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.5% | 40.0 units )
9-7 this year. ( 56.3% | 1.3 units )

NBA | MIAMI at SAN ANTONIO
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) an explosive offensive team (>=102 PPG) against a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after a blowout win by 15 points or more
73-20 since 1997. ( 78.5% | 38.2 units )
8-2 this year. ( 80.0% | 3.0 units )

NBA | MIAMI at SAN ANTONIO
Play Over - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive home losses
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Against the Number

Switzerland +148
Honduras +1.5 -119
Bosnia and Herz/Argentina Over 2.5 (-123)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB PicksLA Angels at AtlantaThe Angels wrap up their series tonight in Atlanta against a Braves team that is 2-9 in Mike Minor's last 11 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. LA is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Angels favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+120). Here are all of today's picks.


SUNDAY, JUNE 15
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: Pittsburgh at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Worley) 17.745; Miami (Alvarez) 16.622
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Miami (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+130); Over


Game 903-904: San Diego at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Kennedy) 16.913; NY Mets (Matsuzaka) 15.605
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-135); Under


Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 14.619; Philadelphia (Burnett) 11.532
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 3; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+120); Over


Game 907-908: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 16.056; Milwaukee (Estrada) 17.705
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-125); Under


Game 909-910: Washington at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Fister) 15.837; St. Louis (Garcia) 14.139
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+100); Over


Game 911-912: Colorado at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Nicasio) 12.042; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 18.206
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 6; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-210); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-210); Under


Game 913-914: Arizona at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Arroyo) 14.468; LA Dodgers (Beckett) 15.918
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-160); Under


Game 915-916: Minnesota at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Nolasco) 16.589; Detroit (Porcello) 15.592
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+140); Over


Game 917-918: Toronto at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Happ) 16.597; Baltimore (Tillman) 17.409
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-125); Under


Game 919-920: Cleveland at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kluber) 18.132; Boston (Workman) 15.240
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 3; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-105); Over


Game 921-922: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Shields) 16.362; White Sox (Rienzo) 14.945
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-155); Under


Game 923-924: Tampa Bay at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 15.614; Houston (Peacock) 16.554
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-180); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+160); Over


Game 925-926: NY Yankees at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Nuno) 13.914; Oakland (Chavez) 15.545
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Oakland (-180); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-180); Under


Game 927-928: Texas at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Martinez) 15.207; Seattle (Iwakuma) 14.412
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-190); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+165); Over


Game 929-930: LA Angels at Atlanta (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santiago) 15.907; Atlanta (Minor) 14.827
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+120); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Miami won last five Alvarez starts (1-0, 0.68 last four).
-- Kennedy is 3-1, 3.24 in his last four starts. Matsuzaka is 2-0, 3.86 in three starts for the Mets.
-- Cubs won five of last six Wood starts, scoring 43 runs.
-- Fister is 5-0, 1.95 in his last five starts.
-- Bumgarner is 3-1, 1.24 in his last four starts.
-- Beckett is 4-2, 2.17 in his last six starts. Arroyo is 5-2, 2.91 in his last eight.

-- Nolasco is 2-0, 4.34 in his last three starts.
-- Workman is 1-0, 2.65 in his last three starts.
-- Peacock is 2-0, 2.66 in his last four starts.
-- Iwakuma is 1-1, 1.85 in his last couple starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Worley is making his first '14 start; he is 19-18, 4.05 in 56 career big league starts- he was 3-2, 4.30 in seven AAA starts this year.
-- Leake is 1-3, 6.45 in his last four starts. Estrada is 2-2, 6.68 in his last five.
-- Burnett is 1-2, 6.92 in his last four starts.
-- Cardinals are 0-3 in Garcia home starts (0-0, 6.16).
-- Nicasio is 0-3, 14.49 in his last three starts.

-- Tillman is 1-1, 9.30 in his last five starts. Happ is 1-2, 6.50 in his last three.
-- Kluber is 0-1, 7.94 in his last two starts.
-- Porcello is 1-3, 7.43 in his last four starts.
-- Sheilds has a 6.66 RA in his last four starts, but Royals won his last seven starts, scoring 48 runs. Rienzo is 0-3, 11.25 in his last three starts.
-- Price is 0-3, 5.20 in his last five starts.
-- Nuno is 0-2, 5.40 in his last six starts. Chavez is 1-3, 5.40 in his last four.
-- Martinez is 0-2, 12.46 in his last three starts.

-- Santiago is 0-4, 5.55 in his last five starts. Minor is 0-2, 4.81 in his last four.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Worley 0-0; Alvarez 4-13 (0 of last 4)
-- Kennedy 3-14 (0 of last 8); Matsuzaka 1-3
-- Wood 3-13; Burnett 4-14
-- Leake 2-13; Estrada 5-13 (0 of last 4)
-- Fister 3-7; Garcia 1-5
-- Nicasio 6-13 (5 of last 7); Bumgarner 3-14
-- Arroyo 6-13; Beckett 1-12

-- Nolasco 3-13; Porcello 6-12
-- Happ 0-8; Tillman 6-14 (6 of last 9)
-- Kluber 3-14; Workman 2-4
-- Shields 2-14; Rienzo 3-9
-- Price 6-14; Peacock 4-9
-- Nuno 4-10; Chavez 4-13
-- Martinez 3-7; Iwakuma 1-8

-- Santiago 2-8; Minor 2-8

Totals
-- Six of last nine Cub games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Pittsburgh games went over total. .
-- Eight of last eleven games at Citi Field stayed under.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Cincinnati games. Over is 8-1-1 in last ten games at Miller Park.
-- Seven of last eight Cardinal games stayed under.
-- 10 of last 15 Arizona road games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Colorado road games went over.

-- Last six Baltimore games stayed under total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Detroit games.
-- Seven of last eight games at Fenway Park stayed under total.
-- Seven of last eleven White Sox home games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Tampa Bay road games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last nine Bronx games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Seattle home games stayed total.

-- Over is 4-1-2 in last seven Atlanta games.

Hot teams
-- Phillies won four of their last five games.
-- Pirates won five of their last six games.
-- Milwaukee won five of its last seven games. Reds won five of their last seven road games.
-- Cardinals won five of their last six games.
-- Dodgers won five of their last seven games.
-- Colorado won its last four games, last two in ninth inning.

-- Red Sox won seven of their last eight home games.
-- Kansas City won its last six games.
-- Minnesota won three of its last four games.
-- Astros won five of their last seven home games.
-- A's won four of their last five home games. Bronx won nine of its last thirteen road games.
-- Rangers won their last three games.

Cold teams
-- Cubs lost five of their last six games.
-- Marlins lost six of their last eight home games.
-- Mets lost eight of their last ten games. San Diego lost nine of last 12.
-- Nationals lost their last three games.
-- Arizona lost five of its last six games.
-- San Francisco lost five of its last six games.

-- Toronto lost six of its last eight games. Orioles are 8-9 in last 17 at home.
-- Detroit is 6-10 in its last sixteen home games.
-- White Sox lost six of their last eight games.
-- Indians lost four of their last five games.
-- Tampa Bay lost 15 of its last 18 games.
-- Mariners lost seven of their last nine home games.

-- Atlanta lost five of its last six home games. Angels lost eight of their last e12 road games.

Umpires
-- Chi-Phil-- Road team won last eight Cederstrom games; last three went under the total.
-- Col-SF-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Muchlinski games.
-- Pitt-Mia-- Home side won eight of last ten TWelke games.
-- SD-NY-- Six of seven Woodring games went over total.
-- Wsh-StL-- Last ten Porter games stayed under the total.
-- Cin-Mil-- Under is 10-2-1 in Eddings games this season.
-- Az-LA-- Ten of last thirteen Davidson games stayed under.

-- KC-Chi-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Emmel games.
-- Cle-Bos-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Guccione games.
-- Tor-Balt-- Four of last five Wendelstedt games stayed under.
-- Min-Det-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Buckminster games.
-- TB-Hst-- Six of nine Pattillo games stayed under the total.
-- NY-A's-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Scott games.
-- Tex-Sea-- Underdogs won last five Cuzzi games.

-- LAA-Atl-- All four Campos games went over the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball PicksAtlanta at WashingtonThe Mystics play host to an Atlanta team that is 5-17 ATS in its last 22 road games. Washington is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mystics favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.


SUNDAY, JUNE 15
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 601-602: Phoenix at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 113.037; Minnesota 120.562
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 7 1/2; 172
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 5 1/2; 164
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-5 1/2); Over


Game 603-604: New York at Connecticut (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 108.305; Connecticut 108.802
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 148
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 4; 152
Dunkel Pick: New York (+4); Under


Game 605-606: Atlanta at Washington (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 112.555; Washington 116.007
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 3 1/2; 157
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 152
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+2 1/2); Over


Game 607-608: Seattle at Tulsa (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 107.229; Tulsa 108.040
Dunkel Line & Total: Tulsa by 1; 141
Vegas Line & Total: Tulsa by 5 1/2; 144
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+5 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik

1* Spurs/Heat over 195.5

2* WNBA Atlanta/Washington over 153

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Slumping Hondo, who dropped three games Thursday and two Friday, added another one to the loss column Saturday night when the Yankees failed to carry out their mission, causing the deficit to grow to 1,395 herzogs.

Sunday: Mr. Aitch will go with a 10-unit play on Mister Fister to punch out the Cards. Also, 10 on that Bumgarner and the Giants to climb past the Rockies, and 10 on the one and only Jimmy Shields to hit all the right notes against the White Sox.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Heat at Spurs

Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs (-6, 196)

The San Antonio Spurs are one victory away from their fifth NBA title and can claim their first championship since 2007 when they host the Miami Heat in Sunday’s Game 5. San Antonio rolled to back-to-back dominating wins in Miami to take a 3-1 series lead and is in good shape when you consider no NBA team has ever recovered from that deficit in NBA Finals play. The Spurs’ three victories are by an average of 18.3 points.

Heat standout LeBron James was among the stunned players over how easily San Antonio dismantled Miami the past two games. “I mean, they smashed us,” James told reporters. “Two straight home games, got off to awful starts. They came in and were much better than us in these two games. It’s just that simple.” Spurs veteran Tim Duncan expects a fierce effort from the Heat as San Antonio attempts to avenge last season’s finals loss to the Heat. “We’re going to use our home court and we’re going to come with the same focus that we did in these last two games, and hopefully close it out at home,” Duncan told reporters.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ABC

LINE HISTORY: The Spurs opened at -5 before moving to -5.5 and now currently sit at -6. The total opened at 197 before being bet down to 195.5.

INJURY REPORT: N/A

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Heat hadn't lost back-to-back games in the postseason since 2012, but that string of excellence came to an abrupt halt in Game 4. Miami's role players are "M.I.A.", the Spurs' incredible depth has played a big part in their lop-sided 3-1 lead. I said after Game 2 that this series would be decided by the head coaches. Eric Spolestra is getting out-maneuvered by Gregg Popovich, who with one more coaching masterpiece will cement his legacy as one of the greatest in the history of the league." Covers Expert Nick Parsons.

ABOUT THE HEAT: James is averaging 27.5 points in the series and is very much aware that no team has ever recovered from a 3-1 deficit to win the NBA Finals. He asserts that the players only have themselves to blame for the hole Miami finds itself in but doesn’t want to look past Sunday and ponder the historical aspect. “It’s never been done before but we’re still a confident bunch, even though our heads are lowered down right now,” James told reporters. “Of course, being down 3-1 and losing two straight games at home, that’s just human nature. But we’ve still got to go out and play on Sunday.”

ABOUT THE SPURS: Small forward Kawhi Leonard produced back-to-back stellar efforts in Miami – averaging 24.5 points and nine rebounds in the two games – but versatile Boris Diaw has also been a valuable performer since San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich inserted him into the starting lineup for Game 3. Diaw had a solid all-around game with eight points, nine rebounds and nine assists in Game 4 and is averaging 6.5 points, 8.5 rebounds and 5.8 assists in the series. “He knows what’s going on most all the time,” Popovich told reporters. “At the offensive end he’s a passer. He understands mismatches. He knows time and score. At the defensive end, he knows when to help. He’s active. So he just helps the whole team have a better IQ, I think.”

TRENDS:

*Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 NBA Championship games.
*Spurs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
*Under is 8-3 in Heat last 11 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
*Under is 26-12 in the last 38 meetings.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Fifty-four percent of Covers users are backing the Heat +6.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Sunday

Kansas City -145

Pirates/Marlins under 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play Sun SF Giants -175

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Spurs -6
Reds -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS

Switzerland +159 over Ecuador

For unfathomable reasons the Swiss are only a slim favorite against an Ecuador team that they are clearly superior to. The price being offered is a silver lining. Without question, this is a fortuitous happenstance for gamblers and Swiss supporters alike. The speculation is admirable but mistaken. The Swiss enter the FIFA World Cup as the sixth ranked team in the world and rightfully so. Switzerland was sparkling in winning group E of UEFA qualification en route to their third consecutive World Cup. The Swiss went undefeated, as they won seven of 10 contests while drawing three. The Swiss have not lost a fixture in years. Its last noteworthy result was a draw against 11th ranked Croatia in an international friendly.

Still, Ecuador hauntingly is viewed as a potential upset artist with the Swiss. Perhaps, oddsmakers fear that Switzerland will make any early exit from the World Cup as they did in 2010. However, that type of prophesizing is unwarranted and unnecessary. Switzerland will dominate this group and exit as the Group Winner ascending to the knockout round. Ecuador cannot be taken lightly and we can’t imagine for a second that the Swiss will take anyone lightly after being eliminated early in this event in 2010. Invest.


Honduras +1032 over France

France and Honduras have never met before on any pitch. This is the inaugural collision between the European dynasty and their up and coming South American counterparts. Astonishingly, betting on Honduras can net any taker a handsome bounty if they dare offer at the massive take-back.

Comparing the FIFA Rankings, France is slotted at number 17 overall. Honduras is ranked 33rd. This by no means implies that France is twice as good as Honduras or does this cast a shadow of impunity in Honduras’ qualification. The presumption is that France will win the match because they are a perennial European power, however not so long ago, the expectation of French superiority greatly diminished. Teams like Belgium and Greece usurped the French in the rankings and were suddenly held in higher distinction. With these notions considered, Greece and Belgium on average are lesser of a favorite against less quality opponents overall. Honduras should by no means be a heavy underdog, as their body of work en route to the World Cup was exquisite.

The Hondurans pummeled fellow qualifier Costa Rica, they defeated America in the aggregate and they were a problem for Mexico. None of the three teams could come up with a win against Honduras. In fact, Honduras outscored these opponents 5-3. America is a 13th ranked football club, Mexico is ranked 19th respectively. Without question, Honduras can compete against top twenty opponents and France is no different. On a neutral pitch, Honduras is very capable of pulling off an upset. With a better than 10-1 incentive to the bold souls willing to place the bet, a victory by Honduras could be a sweet return on an enticing investment. Choosing Honduras with these odds may very well turn out to be the steal of the first week of the FIFA World Cup. Huge overlay.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | ATLANTA at WASHINGTON
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 after scoring 75 points or more against opponent after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game 67-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units ) 2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

WNBA | ATLANTA at WASHINGTON
Play On - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (ATLANTA) off an home win scoring 85 or more points, with a winning record on the season 45-22 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 0.0 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | SEATTLE at TULSA
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off an upset win as an underdog 46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Miami Marlins -138 over Pittsburgh Pirates
(System Record: 42-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 42-33

Basketball Crusher
Miami Heat +6 over San Antonio Spurs
(Playoff Record: system 20-1: overall 20-19-3, lost last game)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 98-104-8

Soccer Crusher
France + Honduras UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in FIFA
(System Record: 589-21, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 589-493-85

Here are the rest of his baseball and basketball plays for today...


Baseball
Milwaukee Brewers -120 over Cincy Reds
Washington Nationals +101 over St. Louis Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays +110 over Baltimore O's


Basketball
Miami Heat + San Antonio Spurs OVER 195.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | KANSAS CITY at CHI WHITE SOX
Play On – Road teams (KANSAS CITY) with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games
31-14 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.9% | 22.0 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 1.8 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | NY YANKEES at OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 85-38 (+42.3 Units) against the money line in Home games vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (4.6) , OPPONENT (3.5)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Advanced sports investments

perry's soccer
fifa - world cup
1x- switzerland/ecuador - under 2 +110 (12pm)
1x- france -320 honduras (3pm)
2x- argentina/bosnia & herzegovina - over 2 -270 (alternate total)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

World Cup

2* bet SWI (+150) 3-way
2* bet SWI (-140) 2-way

1* bet FRA -1.5 (+105)


3* bet BOS/ARG o2.5
1* bet ARG -1.5 (+120)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

wc2014tips
League :World Cup
Switzerland - Ecuador
Tips : Switzerland 0

bernardtips
League WORLD: World Cup
Argentina - Bosnia & Herzegovina
TIPS : Over 2.5

getmybet
League: WORLD: World Cup
Argentina - Bosnia & Herzegovina
Tips : Over 2.5

mysecretbets
League: NORWAY: Division 1
Ranheim - Alta
Tips: Over 2.5

goforwinners
League : NORWAY: Division 1
Bryne - Nest-Sotra
Tips : Over 3.0

myperfectbets
League : NORWAY: Division 1
Tromsdalen - Baerum
Tips : Over 3.0

totalwintips
League : NORWAY: Division 1
Bryne - NestSotra
Tips : Over 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANDRE GOMES

1* Heat/Spurs Under 196

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

150 DIME
-MAX WAGER-
PLAYOFF WINNER
#3 IN A ROW
Spurs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHASE DIAMOND

15* MLB HOME COOKING
NY Yankees vs. Oakland
Money Line: -175 Oakland A’s

This game features the 35-32 Yankees at the 41-27 Oakland. We backed Yankees yesterday and that was the wrong side today even at this high juice price we are getting good value. Let’s face it Vidal Nuno is no Major League pitcher and his numbers prove that. Jesse Chavez has been solid going 5-4 with a 3.04 ERA. Oakland won yesterday expect them to carry that over to a easy winner today public is backing Oakland and so will we for a 15* winner take Oakland.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

1* Blue Jays +105
1* White Sox +130
1* Rangers +161

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Braves -130
100* Indians -110
50* Cardinals -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS SHARP

30 Units
NBA Finals Game of the Year!
709 Miami Heat +6 over San Antonio Spurs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PHILLYGODFATHER


STRAIGHT BET [1709] TOTAL - OVER 97 EV 1st HALF (MIA HEAT vrs SA SPURS)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportshandicappers


Over 196 - Heat vs Spurs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE


ATLANTA BRAVES -135
(Minor/Santiago)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GOODFELLA

Father's Day NBA Team Total
SAN ANTONIO SPURS - OVER 101 POINTS (@BOL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Clement

San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets (MLB) - 1:10 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: 105 New York Mets Play Title: N.L. 8 Unit Play

Washington Nationals vs. St Louis Cardinals (MLB) - 2:15 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: 106 Washington Nationals Play Title: N.L. 8 Unit Play!

Los Angeles Angels vs. Atlanta Braves (MLB) - 8:05 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -140 Atlanta Braves Play Title: MLB Inter League 8 Unit Play!

Miami Heat vs. San Antonio Spurs (NBA) - 8:10 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -5.5/-110 San Antonio Spurs Play Title: NBA Finals 10 unit play!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

*VERY EARLY* BREAKFAST CLUB MLB Blowout!
Tigers ML -153 1:00pm

*EARLY BLOWOUT* Sunday MLB Personal Favorite!
Giants ML -180 4:00pm

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AllSportsC​apper Plays of the day 06/15

908 MLB 20* Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers under 8 -120
914 MLB 20* Arizona Diamondbacks @ LA Dodgers under 7.5 -115
903 MLB 20* San Diego Padres @ New York Mets over 7 100
910 MLB 20* Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardina under 7 +110
930 MLB 30* Atlanta Braves -135
907 MLB 20* Cincinnati Reds +105

604 Other 20* Connecticut Sun -145
601 Other 20* Phoenix Mercury @ Minnesota Lynx over 163 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Ed Meyer | MLB Total
double-dime bet – 926 OAK / 925 NYY – UNDER 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HARRY BONDI FREE PLAY

MLB
SAN DIEGO (+110) over NY Mets
1:10 p.m. ET

We won our second-straight free pick yesterday on the home dog Cardinals and today we look for the Mets to break through with a much-needed win at the Mets. Padres starter Ian Kennedy, formerly of the Yankees, has won five of his six career starts against the Mets and is 2-0 in this ballpark. He has also been much more effective on the road this year (3.32 ERA) than at home. The Mets average just 3.2 runs per game at home vs. righties this year and will struggle here today against Kennedy and while Daisuke Matsuzaka has pitched well for the Mets, he is due for a classic early-exit. Padres avoid the sweep!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sunday's MLB betting cheat sheet: Colorado a strong underdog play

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for Sunday's major league games:

Black and Blue Jays

Things have gone south in a hurry for Toronto, which dropped a 3-2 decision in Baltimore (-101) and has now scored two runs or fewer in six of its last eight games. The Blue Jays have lost all six of those contests while putting together an 0-8-1 O/U streak over their last nine games overall.

Rockies on 'Dog Streak

The Colorado Rockies have turned around their fortunes as an underdog, defeating San Francisco 5-4 at +146 for their fourth consecutive win as a 'dog. The Rockies entered Saturday having gone 1-8 in their previous nine outings as an underdog, and are a whopping +190 for Sunday's rematch.

Fister of Fury

The Washington Nationals can only hope Sunday starter Doug Fister can continue his sensational start streak as they take on host St. Louis (-115, 7). Fister has allowed two runs or fewer in six consecutive starts; the Nationals have prevailed in all six of those games while going 2-3-1 O/U in that stretch.

Pitching Notes

* Chicago White Sox hurler Andre Rienzo will look to recoup some of his early-season value Sunday against the visiting Kansas City Royals (-148, 8). Rienzo was the majors' top value play through his first seven starts but has since dropped three straight, allowing 14 runs over 12 innings in that span.

* Dodgers righty Josh Beckett has been a strong Under play, going 0-4 O/U in his last four starts entering Sunday's tilt with visiting Arizona (-150, 7.5). It's Beckett's longest such streak since late in the 2012 season, when he put together a four-start Under streak that included a win over the Diamondbacks.

Hitting Notes

* Tigers designated hitter Victor Martinez continued his hot hitting Saturday, belting his fourth home run in eight games to lead Detroit (-193) past Minnesota 12-9. Detroit is 12-5 SU and 7-7-3 O/U when Martinez goes deep entering Sunday's tilt with the Twins (-153, 9).

* Los Angeles Angels outfielder Mike Trout is on a nine-game hitting streak, batting .333 with two homers and 11 RBIs over that stretch. The Angels are 6-3 against the moneyline and 4-4-1 O/U in that span as they face host Atlanta (-135, 7.5) in a prime-time interleague matchup.

Totals Streak

Chicago White Sox (6-2-0 O/U): Chicago pitching has been battered to the tune of 16 runs in consecutive losses to the Kansas City Royals and has allowed four or more runs in seven of its last eight games. The White Sox (+135, 8) are 38-30-1 O/U on the season entering Sunday's game with the Royals.

Prop of the Day

The San Diego Padres -1.5 over the first three innings (+320) could be a strong longshot play. Padres starter Ian Kennedy has a 1.93 ERA in the first three innings of starts so far this season, while New York counterpart Daisuke Matsuzaka sports a 4.00 ERA from innings 1-3.

Injury Notes

* New York Yankees first baseman Mark Teixeira was scratched from Saturday's game with tightness in his rib cage and is considered day-to-day. The Yankees are 10-10 SU, 11-9 O/U and +34 units with Teixeira out of the lineup entering Sunday's contests with host Oakland (-172, 8).

* Boston Red Sox shortstop Stephen Drew returns to action Sunday against visiting Cleveland (-106, 8.5) after missing six games with a strained oblique. The Red Sox were 3-3 S/U, 1-5 O/U and -33 units with Drew on the sidelines.

Weather Watch

Expect slightly lower totals at Comerica Park, where wind will blow in from center field at 11 mph for the game between the Tigers and the Twins. Teams averaged nine runs, a .259 average and 1.4 homers in 10 games under similar conditions in 2013, all below the stadium averages.

Umpire Note of the Day

The road team is 8-0 in umpire Gary Cederstrom's last eight games behind home plate. Cederstrom calls the balls and strikes for Sunday's game between Philadelphia and the visiting Chicago Cubs (+124, 7.5).

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 10:25 a.m. ET Sunday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Sunday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Braves are 11-0 since September 05, 2012 at home after a 5+ run loss for a net profit of $1112.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Travis Wood starts the Cubs are 0-11 since August 17, 2012 as a road dog after a quality start for a net profit of $1100 when playing against.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The White Sox are 1-21 OU since August 25, 2008 with a total of at least eight, after a game where they allowed at least three unearned runs and both teams had at least five hits.

CHOICE TREND:

The Brewers are 0-10 since June 20, 2004 after a win in which they were shut out in the first 6 innings and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $1065 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

When David Price starts the Rays are 3-11 since May 15, 2013 after facing 30 or more hitters for a net profit of $1320 when playing against.

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Bruce Marshall

Heat / Spurs Under

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River City Sharps

3 Units Padres

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Doc Sports
MLB
8-unit National League Game of the Year Padres -120
4* Pirates +105
4* Toronto +105
4* Indians -105
4* Seattle -170

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Jason sharpe

3* Reds +110

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Allen eastman

MLB
4* Miami -120
3* Washington +105

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Bob Balfe

NBA

Spurs -6

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Las Vegas Pipeline

10* Spurs

10* Cinn.

10* Wash.

10* LAA

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Dr. Bob
Sunday NBA
Miami at SAN ANTONIO (-6)
San Antonio is showing that they're a better team than the Heat but after a second straight dominating performance in Miami the Spurs are in a very negative situation. Not only does Miami apply to a 54-13 ATS playoff bounce-back situation but the Spurs apply to a 5-40-2 ATS game 5 situation. The only game the Heat have covered was game 2 in San Antonio when that same 54-13 ATS situation applied and the Spurs are 1-4 ATS when they apply to that 5-40-2 ATS game 5 angle. I've passed on the two games when the situation favored Miami and even leaned with the Spurs in game 4 despite the negative situation. My ratings favor San Antonio by 8 1/2 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole:
907 CIN / 908 MIL UNDER 8
Analysis:
#908 / 2:10pm ET - 11:10am PT
Cincinnati Reds w/ Leak @ Milwaukee Brewers w/ Estrada
Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
*This is an ACTION play.... meaning it is a play regardless of the scheduled starting pitchers.

Umpire: Getting the call behind the dish is my personal favorite 'UNDER' Umpire. DOUG EDDINGS comes into today's game tied for the BEST 'Under' Ump this sea‚son... with an overall record of 2-10 O/U. Average runs-per-game when Eddings is the Man in Blue is just 6.0. He has a GREAT strikeout-to-walk ratio (#1 in the league) of 15.7 K's to only 4.2 walks. That's 3.78 'punchouts' for every 'free pass'. And in National League games, his number are even better... at a PERFECT 0-7-1 O/U and only 4.5 runs-per-game. In addition, Eddings had gone 14-32-2 O/U in his career SUNDAY games.... 0-3-1 O/U in his last 4 Milwaukee Brewer games... and 5-19-2 O/U in his last 26 Cincinnati Reds games.


Analysis:
#910 / 2:15pm ET - 11:15am PT
Washington Nationals w/ Fister @ St Louis Cardinals w/ Garcia
Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
*This is an ACTION play.... meaning it is a play regardless of the scheduled starting pitchers.

Umpire: The Man in Blue for the Cards / Nationals game is the guy who‚ is tied with Eddings for the best 'UNDER' Umpire in all of Baseball. That would be ALAN PORTER... who also comes in with a YTD record of 2-10 O/U. Average runs-per-game when Porter has been behind the dish is just 6. After starting out the 2014 season by going OVER in his first two games, Porter has actually gone UNDER in EACH of his last TEN games in a row (0-10 O/U). Dating back to last season, Porter has gone 8-20-2 O/U. In this Washington / St Louis series... the UNDER has gone 9-1-2 in the last 11 meetings... and 0-4-1 O/U playing IN St Louis.

Analysis:
#914 / 4:10pm ET - 1:10pm PT
Arizona Diamondbacks w/ Arroyo @ Los Angeles Dodgers w/ Beckett
Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
*This is an ACTION play.... meaning it is a play regardless of the scheduled starti‚ng pitchers.

Umpire: Finishing up our trio of low-scoring Umpires is BOB DAVIDSON. This Man in Blue will be behind the dish in La-La Land for the game between the Dodgers and Diamondbacks. Davidson comes in with a YTD record of 3-9 O/U... and an average of only 6.1 combined RPG. He's in a tie as the fifth BEST 'Under' Umpire this season. Just like Eddings, he's one of only three Umps who has a K/BB ratio of more than 3 to 1 on the season (17.8 K's per game / only 5.6 walks per game). He's gone a perfect 0-4-1 O/U in his National League games, with an average of only 3.8 RPG. He's gone 0-4 O/U on Sundays... and 0-5 O/U in his last 5 Arz D'Back games.

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ROB VINCILETTI
The MLB Dog with Bite is on the Washington Nationals. Game 909 at 2:15 eastern. The Nationals are in asolid live dog system here today that plays on road dogs off a road favored loss that scored 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits, vs an opponent off ahome dog win if both played error free ball. These road dogs are winning at an 80% clip. The Nationals have won 6 of 9 on the road vs leftys and are hitting .290 against them. Today they will see lefty J. Garcia for St. Louis and he has lost his last 3 home starts allowing 13 earned runs in 19 innings and he has a 6.16 home era. The Cardinals are scoring just 2.6 runs on .216 hitting the past week. D. Fister goes for Washington and he has won his last 3 road starts allowing just 2 runs in 17 innings. Look for Washington to take the finale.

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DOC SPORTS
NASCAR Matchups
4* Logano over Keselowski +125
4* Logano over Busch -122
4* Edwards over Busch +130
4* Logano over J Johnson +200

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Chris James Sports

4-0 Yesterday

Marlins -117
Blue Jays +105
Nationals +104

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UNDER Umpire Streakers

#905 CUBs/PHI UN 7.5 -110 (local casino) Danley L12gms 3ov/9un 75% 1u
#907 CIN/MIL UN 8 -120 (local)Eddings L12gms 2ov/10un 83.3% 1u
#909 WAS/STL UN 7 +105 (local) Porter L12gms 2ov/10un 83.3% 1u
#913 AZ/LAD UN 7.5 -120 (local) Davidson L12gm 3ov/9un 75% 1u

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Sports Cash System


extra pick:


Miami Heat +5½ over the San Antonio Spurs (Spread Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 8:10 PM EST

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Sports Picks Portfolio

MLB

MIA Under 7.5 -109
SD -119
CLE +101
CIN +111
OAK Under 8 -120

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Diamond Dog Sports

Sides
#907: Reds: +115 (1.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Leake / Estrada

#924: Astros: +160 (1*)
Listed Pitchers: Price / Peacock


Totals
#911/912: Under Giants: 7.0 (+105) (2*)
Listed Pitchers: Nicasio / Bumgarner

#915/916: Over Tigers: 9.0 (-115) (1.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Nolasco / Porcello

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Bookieshunter

2* Detroit Tigers

2* San Diego Padres

2* San Francisco Giants -1.5 Runs

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: San Diego Padres @ New York Mets
Time: Sunday 06/15 1:10 PM Eastern
Pick: New York +110 (moneyline) at Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/)

A good spot for the New York Mets to break out of their funk, playing their sixth straight home game. San Diego is 3,000 miles from home playing its sixth straight road game, part of an eight-game trip. The Padres are on a 1-5 run. The last two times they were favored they lost 7-3 and 6-2. That's what happens when you're stuck with the worst offense in baseball, 30th in runs and on base percentage, 29th in slugging. The team is 3-5 in San Diego starter Ian Kennedy's last eight starts, and he got pounded the last game giving up five runs in seven innings of a 5-2 loss at the punchless Philllies. San Diego is 21-34 against right-handed starters this season, so grab the home dog. Play the New York Mets.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS RUNNER

World Cup2014 Confirmed TRUE Steam

OVER 2.5 – HONDURAS/FRANCE

ARGENTINA (3-way line)

[golden contender]

Fathers Day Sunday has the 36-2 NBA 7* Highest Rated Playoff Game of the Year. There is also a 90% totals system in the game. We also have the Sunday night ESPN MLB System play and an 80% dog system in early action. NBA Top plays on a 6-2 run. Free MLB System play below.


On Sunday the free play is on the Detroit Tigers. Game 916 at 1:05 eastern. The Tigers will look to take the rubber game of the series today and we note that they are 16-3 at home off a home win where they scored 10 or more runs. Minnesota has lost 4 of 5 on the road off a road loss where they scored 5 or more runs. That brings us to the system in this game. We are playing on certain home favorites that are off a home Favored win from -140 to -199 that won by 2 or more runs and score 10 or more runs, vs an opponent off a +140 or higher road dog loss by 2 or more runs but scored 5 or more runs on 10 or more hits with no error. Some what complicated system but it has won 15 of 16 times, The Tigers have R. Porcello going and he has won 9 of his last 12 home starts. He will oppose Twins righty Ricky Nolasco who has a dreadful 7.31 road era. We will go with Detroit today. On Sunday its the highest rated 7* NBA 36-2 PLAYOFF Game of the Year. NBA Top plays on a 6-2 run. We also have a powerful 90% totals system in this game. In MLB We have the ESPN Sunday night game and an 80% Dog system in early action. Mesage to Jump on and cash out as we end the week big on Fathers Day. For the free play take Detroit. GC

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VEGAS RUNNER


3* Cleveland Indians -130 (1st 5innings)

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Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 6/15

MLB Baseball

Kansas City Royals -149 over the Chicago White Sox
(Money Line Bet)
Overall Record: 271-244
(System Record: 271-13, Won last game)

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Tapinsports

Pirates -105
Colorado + 1.5 runs - 120
Houston + 158
Toronto + 102
Nationals/ Cards Under 7.5 runs

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SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

Pittsburgh @ MIAMI

Pittsburgh/MIAMI over 7½ -101

(Risking 2.02 units - To Win: 2.00)

The Marlins and Pirates have combined for 54 hits and 28 runs in the first two games of this series. Pittsburgh alone had 17 hits on Friday and 18 hits on Saturday and now we get a very beatable number because of Henderson Alvarez’s 2.56 ERA. Alvarez is 3-1 at home with a 1.47 ERA but it cannot last. Alvarez has not been able to turn his 93 MPH fastball into strikeouts. He has just 50 K’s in 81 innings and his 1.28 WHIP is above league average. His average swing and miss rate doesn't offer much hope for more Ks in the near future either. Alvarez has been greatly aided by an unsustainable 86% strand rate, which is the second highest mark among starters with eight or more starts. His surface stats are tempting to buy but his skills say a serious ERA correction is forthcoming. Alvarez is grossly overvalued and provides us with a solid over bet (not fade) because the opposing pitcher may be worse.

Vance Worley makes his first start of the year. In 10 games started last year for the Twins, Worley went 1-5 with an ERA of 7.31 and an oppBA of .368. Only two of his 10 starts were of the pure quality variety. Worley’s 2011 success seems long ago. Bone spurs hurt his 2012 results but they don't explain the 2013 debacle. In 2011 and 2012 Worley recorded a decent amount of K’s but his swing and miss rate said it wasn't going to last, and it didn't. His luck may turn at some point and but when the Twins don’t want you and your skills start this low, chances of success are slim. Expect plenty more hits and runs in this one.


Kansas City @ CHICAGO

Kansas City -1½ +115 over CHICAGO

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.30)

The Royals hung a five in the fourth inning of yesterday’s game en route to a 9-1 win and they hung a four in the first inning of Friday’s 7-2 win. The Royals have another great chance of putting up another crooked number against Andre Rienzo. Rienzo is 4-3 in nine games started with an ERA of 5.25. He also has a 1.50 WHIP and the White Sox have lost his last three games by scores of 8-4, 4-2, and 7-1. Rienzo’s poor surface stats this year are supported by his poor beneath the hood stats and there are no signs of improvement. This Brazilian import has not been able to miss MLB bats like he did in minors. His curveball is a legit strikeout pitch but lack of other dominant pitches and weak velocity don't bode for him at this park. Chronic wildness usually seals his fate and he’ll now face a team that’s seeing beach balls.

K.C. has now won 10 of its last 11 games at U.S. Cellular Field and they’ve won six in a row overall while outscoring their opposition 39-14 over that span. They’ve also won the last seven games that James Shields’ has started. With nine pure quality starts in 14 games, a skills supported 3.44 ERA, outstanding control (21 BB in 92 IP) and a groundball ball bias profile (51%/30% GB/FB) Shields’ is as reliable as almost any pitcher in the game. For whatever reason the Royals thrive at this park. They came into this series swinging some warm bats and subsequently buried the South Side in both games so far. The beat figures to continue in this one.


N.Y. Yankees @ OAKLAND

N.Y. Yankees +158 over OAKLAND

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.16)

Vidal Nuno has an ugly 4.97 ERA after appearing in 13 games, 10 as a starter. Nuno got off to a very rocky start and in fact, after his April 20th start, he had an ERA of 6.75. Since then he’s been able to shave off nearly two runs per game on his ERA and over his last five starts covering 30 innings, he’s posted an ERA of 3.60. Nuno has a BB/K split of 4/23 over that same span of 30 innings and if not for an unlucky 69% strand rate his numbers would be even better. Pitching much better and with more confidence than he had when he first came up, Nuno offers up some nice value here against Jesse Chavez.

Jesse Chavez started the season in fine form. He had a 1.89 ERA and 0.95 WHIP inn April. Since then, he has been more mediocre than dominant. His skills over the last month were poor and they are showing no signs of improving. Chavez continues to pitch well against RH bats but he can’t get lefties out consistently and that’s a problem here. Lefties are hitting .292 against Chavez with a SLG% of .400 and an OPS of .755. Risk averse bettors should definitely avoid him today because the Yanks will send out a lefty-heavy lineup that includes Brett Gardiner, Brian McCann, Kelly Johnson, Yangervis Solarte, Jacoby Ellsbury and Ichiro Suzuki. Mark Teixeira is a switch hitter also and is questionable for today’s game. Still, the Yanks are loaded on the left side, they’ve won four of five and at this price against Chavez they are very worthy of backing.

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Tampasports

ny mets m.line best bet
chicago w. Sox-r.line
detroit/minny under total
atlanta m.line

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Indian Cowboy

WNBA

6-Unit Play. #608. Take Tulsa -6 over Seattle (Sunday @ 4:30pm est)

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James Jones

1 Unit Under Spurs

2 Unit St. Louis Cards

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Vegas runner
#NFAC #MLB Late Steam =
903) OVER 7 (-120) SD/NYM

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Fezzik:

1* WNBA Phoenix/Minny 1h over 81
1* NBA Heat/SPurs over 195.5
1* WNBA NYC/Connecticut under 151
2* WNBA Atlanta/Washington over 153
1* WNBA Tulsa -5

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POWER PLAY WINS

Power Play of The Day

San Antonio Spurs (-5.5)

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SpOrTs-JuNkiE's 06-15-14 ($500 Play of the Day!!)

BetThisPick


$500 MLB Play: Pirates ML +110

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Rooster

arizona+1.5-155
Cleveland 1st 5-120
Cubs+120

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Sheep

909 Over 7 (-125) Wash/Stl $1000
901 Pittsburgh -105 $1000
919 Cleveland -125 (1st 5) $1000 open order*

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Magic Mike

Top play Over Colorado Rockies/San Francisco Giants

Over Spurs

Toronto Blue Jays

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Goodfella

3* KC Royals

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Philly Godfather

Clevland 1st 5

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DHayes2


2* Indians -105

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SHAKER'S SHORTS

NASCAR at Michigan Play #1: Joey Logano Logano Top 5 Finish +125.

NASCAR at Michigan Play #2: Carl Edwards Top 10 Finish +150. Your Book might display as Under 10.5 Finish..

NASCAR at Michigan Play #3: Joey Logano +125 verses Brad Keselowski..

High Price here but I have to play it. Menard should do well. NASCAR at Michigan Play #4: Paul Menard -145 verses Austin Dillon.

NASCAR at Michigan Play #5: Greg Biffle -120 verses Denny Hamlin.

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Indian Cowboy


3* MLB STL -110 2:15 eastern

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Vegas Si High Rollers Club
SUNDAY'S PICKS(HIGH ROLLERS CLUB)
20* MLB Rays -165 and 10* MLB UNDER 7.5
20* NBA Spurs -5.5 and 10* MLB OVER 197
20* MLB Orioles -115 and 10* MLB OVER 9
20* MLB Pirates +115 and 10* MLB OVER 7.5
20* MLB Reds +110 and 10* MLB UNDER 8

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Tiger

MLB

(908) TOTAL u8-105 (CIN REDS vrs MIL BREWERS)

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Betting As A Business

MLB (4:10 et)
Arizona (Arroyo) +137 / LA Dodgers (Beckett) 4:10 ET 1.00 Unit
(Play ON Arizona)

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Al DeMarco - GM

Sunday

10 DIME play on the Royals and James Shields at Chicago against Andre Rienzo. Go ahead and specify both pitchers as usual. The Royals are -150 as of 6:50 a.m. Pacific.


Much like last season, the Royals struggled offensively most of April and May, but they've finally unpacked their bats during a six-[COLOR=#1B8EDE !important]game winning streak, scoring 39 total runs. Today they look to complete a road sweep of the White Sox after taking the first two games in the series 7-2 on Friday and 9-1 on Saturday.


Kansas City has won 10 of James Shields' last 11 starts, including seven in a row. He's coming off six innings of one-run, eight-strikeout ball against the Yankees last Sunday.


Shields, who is 4-1 in nine road starts this season with a 3.55 ERA, has compiled a 2.03 ERA in his last eight outings versus the White Sox.


Chicago has scored just three runs during a three-game slide. The White Sox are going with Andre Rienzo, who has a 9.00 ERA in his last three starts with 27 baserunners allowed in 12 innings. No surprise considering his season numbers: 51 hits allowed and 21 walks issued in 48 innings.

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Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

Kansas City Royals ML

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Raymond Dunavant

Pirates ML
Padres ML
Chi Cubs Ml
Reds Ml
Washington Nats ML

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DAVE AQUINO
Today's Selections


MLB: rays/astros under 7.5, nationals/cardinals under 7.5, rockies/giants over 7


NBA: spurs/heat over 196


WNBA: liberty/sun under 149.5

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Jack Jones

= TOP PLAY =-

NBA Jun 15 '14 8:00p Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs

Take: Miami Heat +5½-105 in 9h

20* Heat/Spurs Game 5 No-Brainer on Miami +5.5

While the Miami Heat have been atrocious the past two games, I believe this line is inflated because of it. With their season at stake, I look for the Heat to fight until the end tonight and to stay within 5.5 points of the Spurs, possibly pulling off the upset.

This is a veteran Heat team that is prepared better than any other team in the league for this win-or-go-home situation. Look for Lebron James and company to put together a game plan that will give them an excellent chance to win this Game 5 and send the series back to Miami.

Miami is 9-0 ATS in road games after a game with 35 or less rebounds over the last two seasons. The Heat are 24-9 ATS in road games after a blowout loss by 20 points or more since 1996. The Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss. The Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last four games playing on two days' rest. Bet the Heat in Game 5 Sunday.

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West Capper

(College World Series)
1* TCU
2** Virginia

Also had Blue Jays -105 in MLB

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RICH SPORTS

NBA

4* Spurs TT Over 100 -125
3* Spurs Over 194 -140