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Can'tPickAWinner
06-26-2014, 10:41 PM
::clap::

Can'tPickAWinner
06-26-2014, 10:42 PM
Seventh-worst money pitcher in action Friday
Stephen Campbell

The Tampa Bay Rays have been an awful bet with Jake Odorizzi on the mound this season. Through Thursday, Odorizzi is ranked as the seventh-worst money pitcher in the league with an atrocious $-709. The 24-year-old will try to turn things around Friday night when his team takes on the Baltimore Orioles in the second game of a double header between the two clubs.

BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).com currently has the O's as -120 faves with a total of 8.5.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-26-2014, 10:42 PM
Lohse, Brewers traditionally a good bet as home faves
Stephen Campbell

In Kyle Lohse's previous 10 starts with the Milwaukee Brewers listed as home faves, the Brew Crew are 8-2. The Brewers will have another chance to continue that trend when they host the Colorado Rockies at Miller Park Friday.

Milwaukee is currently heavy -185 faves with an Over/Under of nine.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-26-2014, 10:45 PM
MLB roundup: Twins summon 20-year-old Polanco
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

The Minnesota Twins promoted 20-year-old shortstop Jorge Polanco from Class A to the majors, the team announced Thursday.

In 72 games with Class A Fort Myers, Polanco hit .289 (83-for-287) with 12 doubles, five home runs and 35 RBIs. Polanco, who was just named Florida State League Player of the Week, made 68 starts at shortstop and one at second base for Fort Myers.

The Twins needed an infielder as shortstop Danny Santana is sidelined with left knee soreness.

To make room for Polanco on the 25-man roster, the Twins optioned right-handed pitcher Yohan Pino to Triple-A Rochester. Pino made two starts for the Twins, posting a 6.30 ERA.

--- Boston Red Sox outfielder Shane Victorino, who was hoping he would return from his hamstring injury within the next week, had his rehab shut down with back soreness, according to reports.

Victorino, 33, has been out since late May with the hamstring strain. He missed most of April with another hamstring strain. Victorino has battled numerous hamstring issues over the years but this is the first time his back is giving him a problem.

In only 21 games between injuries, Victorino has hit .242 with one home run, 10 RBIs and two steals this season. He hit .294 with 15 homers, 61 RBIs and 21 steals in 122 games last season en route to the team's World Series title.

---The Chicago White Sox designated left-handed pitcher Scott Downs for assignment and recalled left-hander Eric Surkamp from Triple-A Charlotte, the team announced Thursday.

Surkamp, 26, has gone 3-4 with a 4.54 ERA in 73 1/3 innings, including 84 strikeouts in 14 games (11 starts) with Charlotte this season. This is his first year in the White Sox organization after being claimed off waivers from the San Francisco Giants on Dec. 23, 2013.

Surkamp was 2-3 with a 7.36 ERA in seven starts with the Giants (2011, 2013).

Downs, 38, went 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA in 23 2/3 innings, with 15 walks and 22 strikeouts in 38 games this season, his first with the Sox.

---The Houston Astros called up right-hander Jose Veras from Triple-A Oklahoma City and designated for assignment veteran right-hander Kyle Farnsworth on Thursday.

Veras, who was signed on June 15, hurled two scoreless innings on one hit while striking out four for Oklahoma City. He had been released by the Chicago Cubs five days earlier. Veras was 21 for 25 in save chances last year.

The 38-year-old Farnsworth, who signed with Houston six weeks ago after being let go by the New York Mets, has surrendered six earned runs on nine hits in his last 5 1/3 innings. He is 0-3 with a 4.40 ERA in 28 2/3 innings this year.

---Pittsburgh Pirates left fielder Starling Marte was not in the starting lineup for a second straight game after suffering concussion-like symptoms Tuesday night while sliding into second base in a game at Tampa Bay.

The head and neck are no longer a problem, but Marte is still feeling the effects of a jammed right middle finger.

---The New York Mets activated center fielder Juan Lagares from the 15-day disabled list before the game and optioned infielder Wilmer Flores to Triple-A Las Vegas. Lagares had been out since June 2 with a right intercostal strain.

---Pirates left-hander Francisco Liriano had a 30-pitch bullpen session, the first time he had thrown off a mound since going on the disabled list on June 11 with a left oblique strain.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-26-2014, 10:47 PM
Trends point to Under in this matchup
Stephen Campbell

The Under has been a solid play when the Tampa Bay Rays have played away from Tropicana Field as of late, going 8-1 in Tampa's last nine on the road. For the Baltimore Orioles, the Under is 8-1-1 in their last 10 at home. Sharp bettors need to take note of those stats when the Rays visit the O's at Oriole Park at Camden Yards Friday.

BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).com currently has the Birds as -155 faves with a total of 8.5.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 08:17 AM
MLB

National League
Nationals-Cubs
Roark is 4-0, 1.48 in his last four starts.
Hammel is 1-2, 2.81 in his last five starts.

Washington lost six of last eight on road.
Cubs lost four of their last six games.

Five of last seven Roark starts stayed under total.

Braves-Phillies
Teheran is 0-2, 4.64 in his last three starts.
Kendrick is 2-2, 4.78 in his last five starts.

Braves are 6-9 in their last fifteen games overall.
Phillies are 6-4 in their last ten home games.

Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Teheran starts.

Mets-Pirates
deGrom is 1-4, 3.75 in his first eight MLB starts.
Cumpton is 3-0, 3.09 in his last four starts.

Mets won five of their last eight games.
Pirates won five of their last six games.

Four of last five New York games went over the total.

Rockies-Brewers
Matzek is 1-2, 5.19 in three starts this season.
Lohse is 2-0, 3.79 in his last three starts.

Colorado lost nine of its last ten games.
Brewers won eight of their last eleven games.

Five of last six Lohse starts went over the total.

Arizona-San Diego
McCarthy is 0-5, 6.59 in his last five starts.
Ross is 0-3, 5.04 in his last four starts.

Diamondbacks lost ten of their last fourteen games.
Padres won five of their last eight games.

Seven of last eight Ross starts stayed under the total.

Cardinals-Dodgers
Martinez is 1-0, 4.00 in two starts this season.
Ryu is 6-1, 3.12 in his last seven starts.

Cardinals won four of their last six games.
Dodgers won ten of their last thirteen games.

Under is 14-4-2 in last twenty St Louis games.

Reds-Giants
Cueto is 2-0, 2.25 in his last three starts.
Bumgarner is 4-1, 1.84 in his last six starts.

Cincinnati won ten of its last thirteen road games.
Giants lost nine of their last eleven home games.

Four of last five Bumgarner home starts went over.

American League
Rays-Orioles
Colome was 1-1, 2.25 in three starts LY; he's allowed two innings in four IP in relief this year, was 3-2, 3.00 in eight minor league starts this year. Odorizzi is 1-1, 1.35 in his last three starts.
Gausman is 3-0, 0.95 in his last three starts. Tillman is 1-2, 1.80 in his last three outings.

Tampa Bay lost 11 of its last 13 road games.
Orioles won six of their last eight games.

Ten of fifteen Odorizzi starts went over the total.

Boston-Bronx
Workman is 1-0, 2.55 in his last three starts.
Nuno is 0-4, 6.96 in his last eight starts.

Red Sox lost 12 of their last 15 road games.
Bronx lost four of its last five games.

Five of last seven Nuno starts stayed under total.

White Sox-Blue Jays
Danks is 3-1, 3.81 in his last four starts.
Dickey is 0-2, 4.12 in his last three starts.

White Sox lost ten of their last eleven road games.
Blue Jays won four of their last five home games.

Seven of last ten Danks starts went over the total.

Twins-Rangers
Correia is 2-1, 1.50 in his last three starts.
Tepesch is 1-2, 6.27 in his last four starts.

Minnesota lost its last eight road games.
Rangers lost their last eight games overall.

Under is 5-1-1 in Minnesota's last seven road games.

Tigers-Astros
Verlander is 0-3, 7.71 in his last four starts.
Peacock is 2-0, 2.93 in his last five starts.

Detroit won six of its last seven games.
Houston lost eight of its last ten games.

Last eight Verlander starts went over the total.

Angels-Royals
Shoemaker is 5-0, 3.42 in seven starts this season.
Vargas is 3-1, 2.27 in his last six starts.

Angels won their last six games, but lost nine of last 12 on road.
Kansas City lost six of its last seven games.

Four of last five Shoemaker starts went over the total.

Indians-Mariners
Bauer is 1-1, 5.11 in his last four starts.
Young is 1-0, 0.69 in his last couple starts.

Cleveland lost five of its last seven games.
Seattle won five of its last six games.

Nine of last ten Young starts stayed under total.

Interleague game
A's-Marlins
Chavez is 2-1, 2.88 in his last four starts.
DeSclafani is 0-2, 9.39 in his last three starts.

A's won eight of their last eleven games.
Miami lost four of its last five home games.

Six of last nine Miami games stayed under.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Roark 3-15; Hammel 3-15
-- Teheran 5-16 (3 of last 5); Kendrick 8-15 (7 of last 10)
-- deGrom 1-8; Cumpton 2-8
-- Matzek 0-3; Lohse 7-16
-- McCarthy 4-16; Ross 5-16
-- Martinez 0-2; Ryu 1-14
-- Cueto 1-16; Bumgarner 3-16

-- Colome 0-0, Odorizzi 0-15; Gausman 0-4, Tillman 7-16
-- Workman 3-5; Nuno 6-12 (3 of last 3)
-- Danks 5-15; Dickey 4-16 (3 of last 4)
-- Correia 3-15; Tepesch 2-7
-- Verlander 4-16; Peacock 4-10
-- Shoemaker 0-7; Vargas 1-16
-- Bauer 2-8; Young 2-14

-- Chavez 4-15; DeSclafani 1-4

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 08:26 AM
Today's MLB Picks

Boston at NY Yankees

The Yankees open up their series tonight against a Red Sox team that is 4-12 in its last 16 road games. New York is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-105). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


FRIDAY, JUNE 27
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: Washington at Chicago Cubs (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Roark) 16.023; Cubs (Hammel) 15.147
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-120); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-120); N/A


Game 903-904: Atlanta at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 14.363; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.691
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+125); Over


Game 905-906: NY Mets at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (deGrom) 15.143; Pittsburgh (Cumpton) 14.290
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+120); Over


Game 907-908: Colorado at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Matzek) 14.192; Milwaukee (Lohse) 16.098
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-200); Under


Game 909-910: Arizona at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (McCarthy) 15.002; San Diego (Ross) 14.144
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); Over


Game 911-912: St. Louis at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Martinez) 15.947; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 17.395
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-150); Under


Game 913-914: Cincinnati at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 16.614; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.713
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-105); Over


Game 915-916: Chicago White Sox at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 13.865; Toronto (Dickey) 15.814
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-165); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-165); Under


Game 917-918: Boston at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Workman) 12.233; NY Yankees (Nuno) 14.551
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-105); Under


Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Odorizzi) 15.875; Baltimore (Tillman) 14.206
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+105); Over


Game 921-922: Minnesota at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Correia) 16.325; Texas (Tepesch) 15.524
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115); Under


Game 923-924: Detroit at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 14.333; Houston (Peacock) 15.281
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+140); Over


Game 925-926: LA Angels at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Shoemaker) 15.955; Kansas City (Vargas) 14.610
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-105); Over


Game 927-928: Cleveland at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Bauer) 14.134; Seattle (Young) 15.616
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-115); Under


Game 929-930: Oakland at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Chavez) 16.069; Miami (DeScalfani) 17.052
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Oakland (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+140); Under


Game 931-932: Tampa Bay at Baltimore (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Colome) 16.797; Baltimore (Gausman) 14.881
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+145); Over

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 08:27 AM
WNBA Basketball Picks

Connecticut at Washington

The Sun head to Washington tonight and come into the contest with a 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games. Connecticut is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mystics favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.


FRIDAY, JUNE 27
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 651-652: Connecticut at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 111.686; Washington 113.281
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 144
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4 1/2; 148
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+4 1/2); Under


Game 653-654: Phoenix at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 116.773; Indiana 115.027
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 162
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 157 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+4); Over


Game 655-656: Chicago at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 116.975; New York 111.266
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 5 1/2; 158
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 153
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-1 1/2); Over


Game 657-658: Minnesota at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 113.321; Seattle 111.579
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 2; 143
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 148
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+4 1/2); Under

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 08:28 AM
Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play FRI A's w/ Chavez -150

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 08:29 AM
Hondo

Hondo, coming off a no-hitter with Lincecum — Mr. Aitch’s second no-no in two weeks, in case you haven’t heard — went to extra time before suffering a loss with the Fish Thursday night that raised his debt to 1,405 lindblads.

Friday night: Mr. Aitch expects the A’s to mind their Ps and Qs and snag a “W” in SoBe — 10 units.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 08:47 AM
Gamblers Data

Free Plays Friday

Mariners -115

Mets/Pirates under 8

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 08:53 AM
Paul Leiner

100* Orioles -120 Game 2
50* Pirates -140

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 08:54 AM
StatFox Super Situations

WNBA

PHOENIX at INDIANA
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 75 points or more 46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )


MINNESOTA at SEATTLE
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 2 straight games making 8 or more 3 point shots 35-12 over the last 5 seasons. ( 74.5% | 0.0 units ) 1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )


MINNESOTA at SEATTLE
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points with a winning record on the season playing a losing team after 15 or more games, in May, June, or July games 46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 unit

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 09:20 AM
Game of the Day: Cardinals at Dodgers


St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers (-138, 7)

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the St. Louis Cardinals own two of the best pitching staffs in the league and are already putting them on display early in the series. The offenses will attempt to combine for more than one run when the Dodgers host the Cardinals in the second of a four-game series on Friday. Josh Beckett and Adam Wainwright matched zeros through seven innings in the opener before Wainwright blinked in the 1-0 final.

Los Angeles is allowing an average of 2.1 in the last 10 games and owns eight wins in that span as it chases down the San Francisco Giants in the National League West. The Cardinals are losers of five of their last nine and have the offense to blame. St. Louis has scored a total of nine runs in those five losses and wasted two chances to score in Thursday’s opener when Allen Craig was thrown out at the plate and Peter Bourjos slid past second base and was tagged out after an easy steal in the ninth.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Dodgers as -144 faves, but that has since moved to -138.The total opened at 7.

POWER RANKINGS: Cardinals (-192), Dodgers (-183)

INJURY REPORT: Cardinals: 2B Koston Wong (15-day DL, shoulder). Dodgers - LF Carl Crawford (15-day DL, ankle), 3B Chone Figgins (15-day DL, quad), SS H Ramirez (questionable, shoulder)

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Both the Cardinals and Dodgers have underperformed this season as evident by their (-) results overall versus the moneyline, however these are still two of the most talented teams in the league and this is matchup is a potential postseason preview. Carlos Martinez has only started two games this season and he lasted just 4 and 5 innings each time, so the St. Louis bullpen will likely play a large role tonight.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Carlos Martinez (1-3, 4.33 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Hyun-jin Ryu (9-3, 3.06)

Martinez is getting his third straight start as he stretches out after beginning the season in the bullpen. The 22-year-old picked up a win on Sunday against Philadelphia, when he allowed three runs - all in one inning – on three hits over five frames. Martinez made four appearances out of the bullpen in the playoffs against Los Angeles last fall and yielded one hit in a total of 4 2/3 scoreless frames.

Ryu has won back-to-back starts, allowing one run over six innings in each turn. The South Korea native owns six quality starts in his last seven outings and has issued just 18 walks in 82 1/3 innings. Ryu is making his second career regular-season start against St. Louis after allowing an unearned run over seven innings to earn a win his first time facing the Cardinals.


TRENDS:

* Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.
* Cardinals are 5-1 in their last six versus a team with a wining record.
* Dodgers are 6-1 in their last seven games as a favorite.
* Under is 7-0 in Cardinal's last seven games versus a team with a winning record.

CONSENSUS: Sixty-two percent of Covers Consensus wagers are on the home team Dodgers.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 09:20 AM
Diamond Trends - Friday
By Vince Akins


SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Phillies are 0-9 since September 20, 2013 at home it is the first game of the series if they did not lose by more than two last game for a net profit of $1070 when playing against.


PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- When Chris Tillman starts the Orioles are 9-0 since 2012 after walking at least 4 for a net profit of $1058.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Marlins are 0-11 ($+1,250) since 2010 if their opponent has allowed at least 11 hits in each of the last three games.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Orioles are 0-8 since July 08, 2013 at home after a one run win where they allowed 7-13 hits for a net profit of $1096 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- When Justin Verlander starts the Tigers are 0-8 since April 07, 2013 after more strike outs than hits allowed and on the road and they won in his previous start for a net profit of $1346 when playing against.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 10:40 AM
MLB

Friday, June 27


What trend was money on the diamond Thursday night?

Home teams went 8-2 against the runline in Major League Baseball action Thursday night, good for a success rate of 80 percent.

Home favorites went 5-1, while home dogs went 3-1.

This is a nice change as home teams have struggled against the runline, hitting just under 43 percent of the time this season.


Dodgers' SS Hanley Ramirez, questionable Friday

Ramirez is dealing with shoulder irritation and has missed the last three games. He had an MRI done that reviled no serious damage and he is questionable for Friday against the Cardinals


Blue Jays' RF Jose Bautista, questionable Friday

Bautista has a Grade 1 hamstring strain and has missed the last four games. He is questionable for Friday against the White Sox.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 10:46 AM
StatFox Super Situations

MLB | ST LOUIS at LA DODGERS
Play On - Any team (LA DODGERS) good baserunning team - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game on the season, after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base
155-99 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.0% | 55.6 units )
13-8 this year. ( 61.9% | 4.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | OAKLAND at MIAMI
OAKLAND is 86-43 (+47.2 Units) against the money line with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.000 the last 5 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (5.2) , OPPONENT (3.7)

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 10:47 AM
STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY

***** Friday, 6/27/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_________________________________________________

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #13
Earlier this week, StatSystems Sports looked at the Over/Under records in Major League Baseball games with totals of 10 or more runs, finding that there was a sharp decline in double-digit totals in recent seasons and that the Under has been a profitable play when the Over/Under reaches those heights. Then, the Colorado Rockies when 4-1-1 Over/Under in six straight games with double-digit totals.

Now, we flip the inquiry and look at the slimmest MLB totals over the past four seasons (2011-2014) to see if the Over or the Under hold any extra value when the baseball oddsmakers get stingy with the scores. The short answer to that question is “No”. During that four-year span, games which were tagged with totals of 6.5 runs or fewer are 290-302-12 O/U, including a 47-44 O/U mark so far this season. However, breaking it down by exact total, there is a slight edge to the Over in MLB games with totals of six runs, producing a 50-40-12 O/U mark since 2011 (55 percent Over), and a 5-2 O/U this season.

It’s interesting to note that there is currently an uptick in games with sub-7 run totals during the 2014 season. So far, the current MLB schedule has featured 99 games with totals of 6.5 or shorter and we’re just wrapping up June. There were only 117 of those totals in 2013 (51-63-3 O/U) – including zero totals below six runs. Books posted 175 numbers of 6.5 or smaller in 2012 (85-86-4 O/U) and 213 of them in 2011 (101-107-5 O/U). Compare 2014’s current sub-7 total pace to the number of double-digit totals – 31 – in the first three months of the season and it’s easy to see that the pitching is the precedent in the modern major leagues.

The one team producing the lowest totals in 2014 are the San Diego Padres (25-50-4 O/U), who have been featured in 25 of the 99 games with totals of 6.5 or fewer. San Diego has posted a 13-15 Over/Under record in those games, with a 9-13 O/U mark inside Petco Park – which ranks 26th in ballpark factor (0.915). Thursday’s MLB schedule features one game with a total under seven runs – a 6.5-run total between St. Louis and Los Angeles with the Cardinals going with Adam Wainwright on the mound and the Dodgers handing the ball to Josh Beckett.

Note: There have been only 15 totals of 5.5 runs over the past four seasons (2011-2014). Those games have finished with a 8-7 Over/Under record.

Thursday's MLB Roundup
-- The Minnesota Twins promoted 20-year-old shortstop Jorge Polanco from Class A to the majors, the team announced Thursday. In 72 games with Class A Fort Myers, Polanco hit .289 (83-for-287) with 12 doubles, five home runs and 35 RBIs. Polanco, who was just named Florida State League Player of the Week, made 68 starts at shortstop and one at second base for Fort Myers. The Twins needed an infielder as shortstop Danny Santana is sidelined with left knee soreness. To make room for Polanco on the 25-man roster, the Twins optioned right-handed pitcher Yohan Pino to Triple-A Rochester. Pino made two starts for the Twins, posting a 6.30 ERA.

-- Boston Red Sox outfielder Shane Victorino, who was hoping he would return from his hamstring injury within the next week, had his rehab shut down with back soreness, according to reports. Victorino, 33, has been out since late May with the hamstring strain. He missed most of April with another hamstring strain. Victorino has battled numerous hamstring issues over the years but this is the first time his back is giving him a problem. In only 21 games between injuries, Victorino has hit .242 with one home run, 10 RBIs and two steals this season. He hit .294 with 15 homers, 61 RBIs and 21 steals in 122 games last season en route to the team's World Series title.

-- The Chicago White Sox designated left-handed pitcher Scott Downs for assignment and recalled left-hander Eric Surkamp from Triple-A Charlotte, the team announced Thursday. Surkamp, 26, has gone 3-4 with a 4.54 ERA in 73 1/3 innings, including 84 strikeouts in 14 games (11 starts) with Charlotte this season. This is his first year in the White Sox organization after being claimed off waivers from the San Francisco Giants on Dec. 23, 2013. Surkamp was 2-3 with a 7.36 ERA in seven starts with the Giants (2011, 2013). Downs, 38, went 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA in 23 2/3 innings, with 15 walks and 22 strikeouts in 38 games this season, his first with the Sox.

-- The Houston Astros called up right-hander Jose Veras from Triple-A Oklahoma City and designated for assignment veteran right-hander Kyle Farnsworth on Thursday. Veras, who was signed on June 15, hurled two scoreless innings on one hit while striking out four for Oklahoma City. He had been released by the Chicago Cubs five days earlier. Veras was 21 for 25 in save chances last year. The 38-year-old Farnsworth, who signed with Houston six weeks ago after being let go by the New York Mets, has surrendered six earned runs on nine hits in his last 5 1/3 innings. He is 0-3 with a 4.40 ERA in 28 2/3 innings this year.

-- Pittsburgh Pirates left fielder Starling Marte was not in the starting lineup for a second straight game after suffering concussion-like symptoms Tuesday night while sliding into second base in a game at Tampa Bay. The head and neck are no longer a problem, but Marte is still feeling the effects of a jammed right middle finger.

-- The New York Mets activated center fielder Juan Lagares from the 15-day disabled list before the game and optioned infielder Wilmer Flores to Triple-A Las Vegas. Lagares had been out since June 2 with a right intercostal strain.

-- Pirates left-hander Francisco Liriano had a 30-pitch bullpen session, the first time he had thrown off a mound since going on the disabled list on June 11 with a left oblique strain.
____________________________________________

Betting Notes - Friday

National League
•Nationals-Cubs - 4:05 PM
--Roark is 4-0, 1.48 in his last four starts.
--Hammel is 1-2, 2.81 in his last five starts.

--Washington lost six of last eight on road.
--Cubs lost four of their last six games.

--Five of last seven Roark starts stayed under total.

•Braves-Phillies - 7:05 PM
--Teheran is 0-2, 4.64 in his last three starts.
--Kendrick is 2-2, 4.78 in his last five starts.

--Braves are 6-9 in their last fifteen games overall.
--Phillies are 6-4 in their last ten home games.

--Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Teheran starts.

•Mets-Pirates - 7:05 PM
--DeGrom is 1-4, 3.75 in his first eight MLB starts.
--Cumpton is 3-0, 3.09 in his last four starts.

--Mets won five of their last eight games.
--Pirates won five of their last six games.

--Four of last five New York games went over the total.

•Rockies-Brewers - 8:10 PM
--Matzek is 1-2, 5.19 in three starts this season.
--Lohse is 2-0, 3.79 in his last three starts.

--Colorado lost nine of its last ten games.
--Brewers won eight of their last eleven games.

--Five of last six Lohse starts went over the total.

•Arizona-San Diego - 10:10 PM
--McCarthy is 0-5, 6.59 in his last five starts.
--Ross is 0-3, 5.04 in his last four starts.

--Diamondbacks lost ten of their last fourteen games.
--Padres won five of their last eight games.

--Seven of last eight Ross starts stayed under the total.

•Cardinals-Dodgers - 10:10 PM
--Martinez is 1-0, 4.00 in two starts this season.
--Ryu is 6-1, 3.12 in his last seven starts.

--Cardinals won four of their last six games.
--Dodgers won ten of their last thirteen games.

--Under is 14-4-2 in last twenty St Louis games.

•Reds-Giants - 10:15 PM
--Cueto is 2-0, 2.25 in his last three starts.
--Bumgarner is 4-1, 1.84 in his last six starts.

--Cincinnati won ten of its last thirteen road games.
--Giants lost nine of their last eleven home games.

--Four of last five Bumgarner home starts went over.

American League
•Rays-Orioles - 1:05 PM
--Colome was 1-1, 2.25 in three starts LY; he's allowed two innings in four IP in relief this year, was 3-2, 3.00 in eight minor league starts this year. Odorizzi is 1-1, 1.35 in his last three starts.
--Gausman is 3-0, 0.95 in his last three starts. Tillman is 1-2, 1.80 in his last three outings.

--Tampa Bay lost 11 of its last 13 road games.
--Orioles won six of their last eight games.

--Ten of fifteen Odorizzi starts went over the total.

•White Sox-Blue Jays - 7:05 PM
--Danks is 3-1, 3.81 in his last four starts.
--Dickey is 0-2, 4.12 in his last three starts.

--White Sox lost ten of their last eleven road games.
--Blue Jays won four of their last five home games.

--Seven of last ten Danks starts went over the total.

•Boston-Yankees - 7:05 PM
--Workman is 1-0, 2.55 in his last three starts.
--Nuno is 0-4, 6.96 in his last eight starts.

--Red Sox lost 12 of their last 15 road games.
--Yankees lost four of its last five games.

--Five of last seven Nuno starts stayed under total.

•Twins-Rangers - 8:05 PM
--Correia is 2-1, 1.50 in his last three starts.
--Tepesch is 1-2, 6.27 in his last four starts.

--Minnesota lost its last eight road games.
--Rangers lost their last eight games overall.

--Under is 5-1-1 in Minnesota's last seven road games.

•Tigers-Astros - 8:10 PM
--Verlander is 0-3, 7.71 in his last four starts.
--Peacock is 2-0, 2.93 in his last five starts.

--Detroit won six of its last seven games.
--Houston lost eight of its last ten games.

--Last eight Verlander starts went over the total.

•Angels-Royals - 8:10 PM
--Shoemaker is 5-0, 3.42 in seven starts this season.
--Vargas is 3-1, 2.27 in his last six starts.

--Angels won their last six games, but lost nine of last 12 on road.
--Kansas City lost six of its last seven games.

--Four of last five Shoemaker starts went over the total.

•Indians-Mariners - 10:10 PM
--Bauer is 1-1, 5.11 in his last four starts.
--Young is 1-0, 0.69 in his last couple starts.

--Cleveland lost five of its last seven games.
--Seattle won five of its last six games.

--Nine of last ten Young starts stayed under total.

Interleague
•Athletics-Marlins - 7:10 PM
--Chavez is 2-1, 2.88 in his last four starts.
--DeSclafani is 0-2, 9.39 in his last three starts.

--A's won eight of their last eleven games.
--Miami lost four of its last five home games.

--Six of last nine Miami games stayed under.

Diamond Trends - Friday
•ST LOUIS is 30-5 (+24.4 Units) against the money line revenging a loss versus opponent as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ST LOUIS 5.7, OPPONENT 2.8.

•BALTIMORE is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) in home games against division opponents this season.
The average score was BALTIMORE 2.7, OPPONENT 2.7.

•TAMPA BAY is 8-28 (-22.7 Units) against the run line versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 2.8, OPPONENT 4.5.

•JUSTIN VERLANDER is 6-17 (-23.5 Units) against the money line versus American League teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VERLANDER 4.0, OPPONENT 5.3.

•CHRIS TILLMAN is 12-2 UNDER (+9.7 Units) in home games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TILLMAN 3.5, OPPONENT 3.5.

•JOHN DANKS is 1-12 (-13.8 Units) against the run line versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DANKS 2.8, OPPONENT 4.8.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (NY YANKEES) - poor power team (<=0.9 HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL.
(72-22 since 1997.) (76.6%, +42.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -134.5
The average score in these games was: Team 5.6, Opponent 3.7 (Average run differential = +1.9)

The situation's record this season is: (2-1, +0.6 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-6, +2.6 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (30-13, +11.5 units).

•Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (BALTIMORE) - bad offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) - American League, with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game.
(63-22 since 1997.) (74.1%, +44.8 units. Rating = 5*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (57-28)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.7, money line price: +106
The average score in these games was: Team 5, Opponent 4.2 (Average run differential = +0.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 53 (62.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (5-1, +5.3 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-8, +15.9 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (34-13, +23.5 units).

•Play Over - All teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (TORONTO) - an average American League offensive team (4.7 to 5.2 runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) -AL, after allowing 2 runs or less.
(42-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.8%, +29.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 9, Money Line=-105
The average score in these games was: Team 6.7, Opponent 5.4 (Total runs scored = 12.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 34 (61.8% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (3-1, +2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-7, +17 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (150-125, +14.6 units).

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 10:49 AM
Cappers Access

Nationals -113

Tigers RL -1.5 +110

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 10:49 AM
EZWINNERS


3 STAR SELECTION

Game: Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies

(903) Atlanta Braves -$146

(Risking $438 to win $300) (Action)


3 STAR SELECTION

Game: Colorado Rockies @ Milwaukee Brewers

(907) Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-$125)

(Risking $420 to win $300) (Action)

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 10:52 AM
Tampasports

free play yanks/boston-over total 9

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 10:53 AM
PowerPlayWins

Power Play of The Day

San Francisco Giants(-115)
Pitcher: Bumgarner

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 11:38 AM
Antony Dinero

MLB

Premium Plays

Play: Washington Nationals ML -105


Member Plays

Listed pitchers must go: Colome, Alex (R) vs. Gausman, Kevin (R)

Baltimore Orioles ML -144

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 11:39 AM
Vegas SI
FRIDAY'S PICKS(HIGH ROLLERS CLUB)

20* MLB Pirates -140 and 10* MLB UNDER 8
20* MLB Orioles GM2 -110 and 10* MLB OVER 8.5
20* MLB Royals -110 and 10* MLB UNDER 8.5
20* MLB Mariners -105 and 10* MLB OVER 8
20* MLB Tigers -155 and 10* MLB UNDER 8.5

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 11:47 AM
GOODFELLA

Friday Night MLB Team Total

KANSAS CITY ROYALS - OVER 4 RUNS (@BOL)

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 11:47 AM
HOT CHICKS PICKS / Britney DeLuca

In Early Baseball...1pm...
Take TAMPA BAY +135 to sting the birds!

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 11:54 AM
MLB weekend betting cheat sheet: Cardinals are Kershaw's Kryptonite

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for this weekend's major league action:

Brewers Best at the Midway Point

The Milwaukee Brewers reached the midway point of their season in style, defeating the Colorado Rockies 7-4 Thursday to improve to a National League-best 49-32. The Brewers lead the majors in money won at +$1,534 and have a 42-35-4 O/U record.

Toronto Averse to Big Totals

The Toronto Blue Jays (-165, 9.5) face another big total Friday as they face the visiting Chicago White Sox in the second of a four-game series. The Blue Jays have seen plenty of lofty numbers of late but have largely underwhelmed, going 3-11-1 O/U in their last 15 games with the total set at nine or higher.

Phenomenal Phil

The Minnesota Twins send Phil Hughes to the hill Saturday to face Yu Darvish and the Texas Rangers. Hughes enters Friday as the top money-winner in the majors at +$1,050, with the Twins going an impressive 11-4 in his 15 starts so far.

Kershaw's Kryptonite?

Los Angeles Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw will look to end a curious career trend Sunday as he faces the visiting St. Louis Cardinals. Kershaw is just 4-5 in 12 career starts, with a 3.75 ERA - his highest against any National League opponent.

Pitching Notes

* Arizona right-hander Brandon McCarthy has been bad news for the Diamondbacks, who are 2-14 in his 16 starts entering Friday's game against host San Diego (-133, 6.5). But both of those victories came against the Padres, who are coming off a no-hitter loss to San Francisco.

* San Francisco fans will undoubtedly be pleased that their Saturday tilt with visiting Cincinnati takes place under the lights. Reds starter Alfredo Simon is just 4-2 with a 4.01 ERA and 3-4 O/U in night starts this season, compared to a 6-1 mark with a 2.11 ERA and 1-7 O/U in afternoon action.

* Milwaukee hurler Yovani Gallardo appears to have turned things around entering Sunday's start against visiting Colorado. Gallardo has allowed just three runs - and zero homers - over his past four starts after surrendering 24 runs - and eight home runs - in his previous six outings.

Hitting Notes

* Brewers second baseman Scooter Gennett is having a month to remember, batting an even .400 so far in June entering Friday's encounter with the Rockies (+179, 9). Gennett has 11 RBIs over his previous nine games, during which Milwaukee is 7-2 SU and 6-2-1 O/U.

* It could be tough sledding for Houston hitters in their Saturday encounter with the host Detroit Tigers. Members of the Astros roster are hitting just .159 with 24 strikeouts in 69 at-bats against Tigers starter Max Scherzer.

* Chicago White Sox rookie Jose Abreu may find things difficult in Sunday's series finale with the Toronto Blue Jays. Abreu enters Friday hitting just .242 versus left-handed pitching, and will face one of the league's hottest southpaws in Toronto's Mark Buehrle.

Totals Streak

Colorado Rockies (6-1-1 O/U): How big is too big a total? That has been a difficult question to answer for oddsmakers who continue to struggle with the high-scoring Rockies; Colorado faced three totals of 11 or higher in a six-game stretch, and promptly went 2-0-1 O/U.

Prop of the Day

The Brewers are a strong bet at -4.5, paying +400 against a Rockies team that ranks last in the majors in team ERA (4.93).

Injury Notes

* An MRI on Los Angeles Dodgers shortstop Hanley Ramirez's right shoulder revealed no structural damage, meaning he'll likely avoid a DL stint. The Dodgers are 6-2 SU, 2-6 O/U and +422 units in eight games without Ramirez so far in 2014.

* Colorado third baseman Nolan Arenado will take batting practice Friday as he continues to rehab a fractured left middle finger. The Rockies have scuffled in his absence, going 9-22 SU, 18-10-3 O/U and losing a whopping -1,185 units over that stretch.

* Washington outfielder Bryce Harper may return from a torn thumb ligament as soon as Monday. Harper has been on the disabled list since late-April with the injury; the Nationals are 28-26 SU, 22-27-5 O/U and -270 units in his absence.

WAG of the Day

Laura Posada is the wife of former New York Yankees catcher Jorge Posada.



Weather Watch

* Fans at The Ballpark in Arlington are in for some unusual weather Friday, with wind blowing in from center field at 17 mph for the game between the host Rangers (-133, 9.5) and Minnesota. Texas played just two games under similar conditions last season, with teams combining to hit a paltry .168.

* Wind at Wrigley Field will be blowing out to left field Saturday when the Cubs entertain the Nationals. Teams averaged a whopping 11.33 runs and three home runs under similar conditions a season ago, well above stadium averages.

Umpire Note of the Day

The home team is 8-0 in umpire Dale Scott's last eight Friday games behind home plate involving Colorado. That's bad news for the Rockies, who visit red-hot Milwaukee.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 10:20 a.m. ET Friday.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 11:55 AM
Doc's Sports

MLB

5* Tampa Bay Rays -110 Game 2

4* Los Angeles Angels -105

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 11:55 AM
Strike Point Sports

MLB

4* Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 -105

3* Seattle Mariners -105

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 11:55 AM
Indian Cowboy

MLB

7* #903. Take Atlanta Braves ML over Philadelphia Phillies (Friday @ 7:05pm est)

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 11:55 AM
Friday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers


Red Sox at Yankees

Probable Pitchers:
BOS: Workman (1-0, 2.88 ERA)
NYY: Nuno (1-4, 5.88 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Red Sox continue their road trip but switch coasts after posting a 2-5 record at Oakland and Seattle. Boston did win the series finale at Safeco Field on Wednesday, but the Sox are 0-3 in their last three games off a road victory. The Yankees avoided a sweep at Toronto by beating the Blue Jays on Wednesday, 5-3 as short underdogs, as New York snapped a four-game skid.

What to watch for: New York has lost each of Nuno’s last six starts at home, while winning just two of his previous nine outings overall. Since May, the Sox are 1-8 in their past nine road series openers, with the only victory coming at Atlanta in which Boston rallied from a five-run deficit. This season, the Yankees own a 5-2 record against the Red Sox, including a 3-1 mark in the Bronx.

Athletics at Marlins

Probable Pitchers:
OAK: Chavez (6-4, 2.71 ERA)
MIA: DeSclafani (1-2, 7.59 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Athletics split a pair of interleague games with the Mets, capped off by an 8-5 victory at Citi Field on Wednesday as short favorites. The Marlins lost on a walk-off homer in extra-innings last night at Philadelphia to split a four-game set with the Phillies, as Miami is 0-6 in its last six games off a win.

What to watch for: Miami has been dynamic in interleague play this season with an 8-1 record, including a 4-1 mark against AL West foes. After winning eight of his first nine starts, the A’s have split the last six outings made by Chavez, but are 2-0 in his last two trips to the hill. Oakland is making its first trip to South Florida since 2003, as the two teams split six matchups in 2008 and 2011 at O.Co Coliseum.

Angels at Royals

Probable Pitchers:
LAA: Shoemaker (5-1, 3.42 ERA)
KC: Vargas (7-3, 3.16 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Royals haven’t been able to find the magic since a 10-game winning streak earlier this month, dropping six of their past six games. Kansas City was swept by Seattle at home, then lost two of three to the Dodgers, with the lone victory coming over former teammate and Cy Young winner Zack Greinke. The Angels, meanwhile, are on a roll after winning all six games on their recent homestand by sweeping the Rangers and Twins.

What to watch for: The Halos grabbed two of three matchups from the Royals in Anaheim last month, capped off by a late rally to stun Kansas City in the series finale, 4-3. Los Angeles has won each of Shoemaker’s last four starts, while allowing three runs in five innings the last time he faced the Royals in a 7-4 defeat. The Royals have dropped four of Vargas’ previous six home starts, while Kansas City is 2-6 in its last eight home series openers.

Indians at Mariners

Probable Pitchers:
CLE: Bauer (2-3, 4.40 ERA)
SEA: Young (6-4, 3.23 ERA)

Previous series recap: Seattle failed to pull off the sweep of Boston with a one-run loss on Wednesday, snapping a five-game winning streak for the M’s. The Indians ended a four-game losing streak in Wednesday’s 6-1 blowout of the Diamondbacks, splitting the two-game set in Arizona. Cleveland improved to 5-2 in the last seven games in the role as a road favorite, as the Tribe cashed as -130 ‘chalk.’

What to watch for: The Mariners lost five of seven matchups with the Indians last season, but won two of three meetings at Safeco Field. Since a five-game home losing streak earlier this month, the M’s have won five of their past six games at Safeco, while hitting the ‘over’ in the last three contests. In Bauer’s three road starts this season, the Indians have lost all three times, while Cleveland is 0-5 in its past five away series openers.

Reds at Giants

Probable Pitchers:
CIN: Cueto (7-5, 1.86 ERA)
SF: Bumgarner (9-4, 2.63 ERA)

Series recap: The Reds held off the Giants last night, 3-1 to cash as short favorites to pick up their fifth win in the previous six contests. San Francisco’s offense has plated just seven runs in the last four games, while scoring two runs or less three times on this current homestand.

What to watch for: Cueto continues to put up Cy Young numbers for the Reds, but Cincinnati has compiled a 9-7 record in his 16 starts. The Reds have won each of Cueto’s previous three outings, while Cincinnati is 10-3 in its past 13 road contests. The Giants have stumbled to a 4-12 record the last 16 games overall, while Bumgarner has failed to win each of his past two home starts against the Rockies and Nationals.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 11:55 AM
MLB

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees

In a series never-lacking-for-hype the New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox get it on in the Bronx this weekend. With Boston 1-3 last four in New York's back-yard, 2-5 on this current road swing, 4-12 away during the month of June platting a lowly 2.9 runs/game and 2-11 in road-series openers it's a challenge making a case for the Red Sox in the opener. However, this evening, Red Sox deal with Yankees pitcher Vidal Nuno. The left-hander hasn't won since May 7 and enters Friday on a two-game losing skid tagged for 5 long-ball, 13 runs over 9 1/3 innings of work. Nuno being 0-3 at home with a whopping 7.09 ERA along with a 1-6 TSR over 7 starts we'll roll the dice with Boston in this one.

golden contender
06-27-2014, 12:24 PM
T.G.I.F MLB Card has 3 Plays from Perfect system that add up to an amazing 43-0 since 2004. The lead play is the 6* 18-0 Total Of The Month. The other selections include a 12-0 Totals system and the 13-0 Late night power system Play. All plays are 18 games over .500 for the month of June. Free MLB Matinee system play below.


On Friday the free Matinee MLB System play is on the Baltimore Orioles in game 1 of the Double header. Game 932 at 1:05 eastern. Baltimore has won all 3 at home vs Tampa Bay and 7 of the 8 games against Tampa this season. The Rays are hitting under .230 on the road this year and have lost 13 of 17 on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. Baltimore has won 6 of 9 with a day off and home favorites off a 1 run home favored win that scored 5 or more runs have won 11 of 12 times, vs an opponent like Tampa that is off a home favored win by 2 or more runs and also scored 5 or more runs. A. Colome makes his first start of the season today against a Tough Baltimore lineup. K. Gausman for the Orioles has a 2.74 era and they have won 3 of his 4 starts. One was a solid 6 inning scoreless start vs this same Tampa team. Look for the Baltimore to take the opener today. On Friday we have a Huge MLB Card. All selections for June are 18 games over .500. There are 3 MLB Plays up with Undefeated league wide system that combine to go 43-0 since 2004. The lead is the 18-0 MLB 6* Total of the Month. There is another total that has won all 12 times the last 11 years and a 13-0 Late night power system side. All have a solid analysis and several Powerful angles. You wont see data like this any where else. Jump on now and start the weekend big. For the free play take Baltimore in game 1. GC

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 01:03 PM
SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

Minnesota @ TEXAS

Minnesota/TEXAS over 9½ -106

(Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)

The Twins just got swept by the Angels but prior to that they had won four in a row. Overall, the Twinkies have scored four runs or more in seven straight games and that figures to continue here against Nick Tepesch. Tepsech posted decent skills in nearly 100 IP of work for Texas in 2013 but found himself in Triple-A after a rough spring. He returned to the rotation in May after Martin Perez went down and the follow-up has been less than inspiring. Tepsech's 4.30 ERA is not only a mirage, so was his 2013's strikeout rate growth, apparently. He doesn't have an over-powering arsenal, and it's reflected in a mediocre 7% swing and miss rate. He's been more wild this season as well, further compounding the damage of his strikeouts drop. He doesn't have a true "out" pitch either. Tepesch was able to utilize his height (6'4") to induce grounders in the past but that hasn't been the case this year, especially over his last six starts in ehich his groundball rate was a mere 35%. More fly-balls is something we love to see when playing overs at Globe Life Park. Although he's just 25, Tepesch's upside seems limited. A 50%/33% quality start/disaster start isn't great and those disasters are becoming more frequent. Tepesch has a 5.40 ERA at home this year, he has an xERA of 5.55 over his last five starts, his BB/K ratio is poor and his time at this level is running out.

Then there’s Kevin (Line Drive) Correia. That’s not his official nickname but let’s call him that because almost every ball hit off him is hit hard. Correia has 42 K’s in 84 innings and his low strikeout rate comes with a fully supported 5% swing and miss rate. Correia has surrendered one run or less in five of his last six starts but it was all lucks, as his 5.06 xERA over that span will attest to. Furthermore, all of those starts with the exception of one against Milwaukee came against the struggling offenses of Chicago (AL), Boston, the Yanks and Blue Jays. Incidentally, in that start against the Crew, Correia was ripped apart for 10 hits and five runs in five frames and in his other starts, his strand rate was 88%. Even with a run of good fortune that will not last, Correia’s ERA is still over 5, his WHIP is 1.46 and his oppBAA is .302. Imagine what will happen when his luck runs out and this park usually exposes the good fortune of bad pitchers. This is a beatable total because these are two of the worst starters in baseball hooking up at an extreme hitter’s park.


Boston @ N.Y. YANKEES

Boston -101 over N.Y. YANKEES

(Risking 2.02 units - To Win: 2.00)

Ask 30 GM's in the majors which starter they would rather invest in, Brandon Workman or Vidal Nuno, and all 30 would choose Workman without hesitation. We'll do the same. Nuno is pitching for the worst Yankees team in the last 15 years and the only reason the Yanks are above .500 is because the AL East is so weak this year. Nuno has started 12 games and has three pure quality starts and one victory. His 50 K's in 67 frames is not supported by his swing and miss rate of 7%. Nuno's swing and miss rate over his last three starts is 4½%. Nuno comes in with a 5.88 overall ERA and a 0-3 record at Yankee Stadium with an ERA of 7.09 and xERA of 6.49. Spotting even a small on the Yanks with Nuno going cannot be recommended.

Brandon Workman is so much better than Nuno right now. Workman is coming off a solid performance against the Indians at Fenway in which he went six full and gave up five hits and two earned runs. The start previously against the Orioles, he threw a one-hit gem in 6.2 innings. Over his past two starts, Workman has allowed just six hits and two earned runs in 12.2 innings while striking out 11 and walking three. In his five starts since being promoted, Workman has not allowed more than three earned runs in any start while posting a BB/K split of 12/28 in 34 innings. It's not his first rodeo either. Workman quietly was fantastic in the second half with Boston in 2013 with 10.2 K's/9 and a 45% groundball rate. Workman's stock is on the rise and now is the time to invest before that occurs. Workman and the Red Sox may be the best value on today's board.


L.A. Angels @ KANSAS CITY

L.A. Angels +100 over KANSAS CITY

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.00)

If this is the sucker play of the day shame on us. The Angels are red-hot with six straight wins and seven wins in their past eight games. Over that eight-game span the Halos have scored five runs or more in six games, which includes a 5-2 win over Yu Darvish and the Rangers. Additionally, the Angels have defeated the Royals six of the past seven meetings. Matt Shoemaker had four starts in May and made the most of his opportunities with 9K's per nine and a 50% groundball rate, Shoemaker's 3.16 xERA that month gave full support to his actual 3.38 ERA. Shoemaker was even better in June with a BB/K split of 4/31 over four starts covering 27 innings. With an elite 12% swing and miss rate to go along with his strong groundball profile and 2.80 xERA in June, Shoemaker is getting better with each passing month. Pitching for the hottest team in baseball doesn't hurt either.

Meanwhile, after an eye-opening 10-game winning streak the Royals have regressed badly with six losses in their past seven games. Over that span they have scored one run or less four times. Jason Vargas comes in with a solid 3.16 ERA over 16 starts but unlike Shoemaker, Vargas' ERA does not come with full skills support. In fact, Vargas has an xERA of 4.07 and an even worse xERA of 4.24 over his last five starts. Vargas has been greatly aided by an unsustainable 81% strand rate and a puny 2% HR/FB rate. Once that normalizes, his ERA will suffer. Vargas has good control but he only has 73 K's in 108 innings. He's good for 200 fair-to-middling, blandly consumed innings but he's not an ace and he's definitely not as good as his surface stats suggest. Hot versus cold gets the call.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 01:03 PM
HM Sports

Game 1 TB over 8.5 (early fireworks!) (afternoon game)

Colorado/Milw U9 -115

SF/Cincy O6 -105
Four of last five Bumgarner home starts went over.


Game 2 Balt RL -1.5 +168

NYY -107

NYY/Boston U9 -117
Five of last seven Nuno starts stayed under total.

ATL/Philly O7.5 +107
Teheran is 0-2, 4.64 in his last three starts.
Kendrick is 2-2, 4.78 in his last five starts.
Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Teheran starts BUT line is too low today .. add to that in the 1st inning these starters have allowed runs -- Teheran 5 runs-16 starts (3 of last 5); Kendrick 8 runs-15 starts (7 of last 10) .. 2-3 runs in 1st inning wouldnt be a shock

Houston/Detroit O8.5 -108
not the same verlander
Verlander is 0-3, 7.71 in his last four starts.
Peacock is 2-0, 2.93 in his last five starts.
Last eight Verlander starts went over the total.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 01:04 PM
Dave Aquino

Advantage MLB - Baltimore (gm#1), Boston, Oakland, LA Dodgers


Today's Selections

MLB

Athletics/Marlins Over 8
Tigers/Astros Over 8.5


WNBA

Connecticut +4
Sun/Mystics Under 149
Mercury/Fever Under 156
Lynx/Storm Under 148.5

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 01:04 PM
Ray Dunavant

Tampa Bay Rays +132 Game 1

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 01:04 PM
Joe Williams

Arizona Diamondbacks/San Diego Padres

San Diego Padres -120

The Diamondbacks just haven't been good when Brandon McCarthy is on the hill, going 5-23 in his past 28 outings. They're also just 3-8 in their past 11 trips to San Diego. While the Padres haven't exactly been lighting the world afire lately either, they are 5-2 in their past seven against a right-handed starter and the D-Backs are 4-10 in their past 14 road games and 2-6 in their past eight as a dog.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 01:05 PM
Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee won one and lost two on Thursday in World Cup Soccer winning with $100 Germany-$150 /USA and losing with $100 on the Draw +$200 USA/Germany and $25 USA +$860/Germany.

"Mr Chalk" won (4 in a row) on Thursday in MLB in the National League with the Fightin Phillies -$155/Marlins.

For Friday in MLB in the National League "Mr Chalk" likes the Pirates -$140/Mets.

Ben lee is 5-2 +$175 for week thirty five 158-186-5 -$3281

"Mr Chalk" is 39-33 -$581 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 01:05 PM
Robert Ferringo

MLB

3* Under 7.5 Washington Nationals/Chicago Cubs

2* Detroit Tigers -145

1* Washington Nationals -115
1* Pittsburgh Pirates -140
1* Milwaukee Brewers -1.5+105
1* Los Angeles Angels +100
1* Seattle Mariners -105

1* Over 7.5 Atlanta Braves/Philadelphia Phillies

1* Under 8.5 Los Angeles Angels/Kansas City Royals

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 01:05 PM
Indian Cowboy

WNBA

3* #652. Take Washington Mystics -4 over Connecticut Sun(Friday @ 7pm est)

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 01:07 PM
Sports Cash System

extra bonus system for today:

Arizona Diamondbacks / San Diego Padres UNDER 6½ (Bet Level 2) (Total Runs Scored) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 10:10 PM EST

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 01:08 PM
Wunderdog Sports

Complimentary MLB Pick for June 27th, 2014

Game: St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Time: Friday 06/27 10:10 PM Eastern
Pick: St. Louis +132 (moneyline) at 5Dimes

The St. Louis Cardinals have gotten better pitching than any other team over the past 21 games. The Cardinals' staff has allowed 3 runs or less in 17 of their last 21 games, and those numbers are conducive to finding the win column rather frequently. They have also turned in five shutouts in the 21 games. The Dodgers have gotten great pitching of their own as they have allowed just 2.1 runs per game over their last 10. Carlos Martinez has had success as a starter, and last year out of the pen in the playoffs he limited LA to 1 hit in 4.1 innings of work. The Cards have been a top team off a loss where they are 35-16 in their last 51. Ryu has been strong on the hill for LA, but when he pitches on regular four days rest the Dodgers are just 3-7 in his last 10 starts. Go with the hot arms of the Cardinals.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 01:27 PM
GamingToday's Consensus Picks

MLB

912 Los Angeles Dodgers -150: The boys in blue closing in on the slumping Giants. They beat the Cards 1-0 last night and the dodger pitching will shut them down again tonight as the Dodgers look to win their fourth straight game.


932 Baltimore Orioles -160 (GAME 1 OF A DOUBLE HEADER): The O’s have won all three home games against the Rays and have gone 7-1 against them this year.


920 Baltimore Orioles -120: Game two of the double header as we go for the sweep.


925 Los Angeles Angels EVEN: The “tribe” continue to try and close the gap on the division leading A’s as they look for their 7th straight win.


930 Miami Marlins +135: Nice dog play here as Miami has gone 13-1 in their last 14 interleague games.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 01:28 PM
Daily wager with Weekend Warrior
by Mark Mayer

MLB

916 Toronto Blue Jays -165

The Blue Jays beat Chicago easily last night 7-0 in Toronto and hit the White Sox with knuckleballer RA Dickey.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 01:28 PM
Baseball Play of the Day


New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates at 4:05 p.m. PT

The Pirates have really been playing well, they have got to the .500 mark and now just want to keep it rolling against the Mets, we like the direction the Pirates are going.


906 Pittsburgh Pirates -140

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 01:51 PM
Umpire Streakers

1 Unit #907 CO/MIL UN 9 -125

Scott 3 Over/7 Under L10gms 70%

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 01:52 PM
Sports Cash System

Play of The Day

MLB

Oakland Athletics -160 over the Miami Marlins

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 01:52 PM
Eric Henderson

Today's Selections

MLB: athletics/marlins over 8, tigers/astros over 8.5

WNBA: Connecticut +4, sun/mystics under 149, mercury/fever under 156, lynx/storm under 148.5

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 02:08 PM
Baseball Crusher
Detroit Tigers -148 over Houston Astros
(System Record: 49-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 49-38

Soccer Crusher
TPS + Seinajoen JK UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Finland
(System Record: 597-21, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 597-496-85

Here are the rest of his baseball plays for today...


Baseball
San Diego Padres -127 over Arizona Dbacks
Cleveland Indians -105 over Seattle Mariners
San Francisco Giants -128 overCincy Reds

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 02:22 PM
the source
under dodgers

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 03:08 PM
Brad Wilton

50 dimer

Friday winner is a 50 Dime release on the Minnesota Twins and the Texas Rangers to go Over the total with Correia and Tepesch. At 7:30 am Vegas time, the total on this game is 9 1/2 over, -115. Both listed pitchers must start, or this is a NO play

Minnesota's pitching has been getting lit up over their last 4 games, as the Twins have allowed 25 runs in their past 4 outings, for a 3-0-1 Over mark. I see another Over tonight as they get the weekend started in Arlington against Texas.


The Rangers were just blanked at home yesterday by the Tigers, but their pitching has also been getting shelled lately, as Texas has allowed 64 runs to score in their last 10 games played. The Over stands at 5-3-1 their last 9 games contested by Texas.


Kevin Correia and Nick Tepesch are on the mound tonight, and while Correia has had a recent run of solid starts, I can easily see things getting away from him tonight. Remember, Correia's season ERA is over 5, and the Over is 8-6-1 when he starts this year.


Tepesch is the owner of a 4.38 season ERA, and it should be pointed out that the Over stands at 9-3 Texas' last dozen home games no matter who is on the hill.


This game will see perhaps a dozen runs scored, as the Over starts us off this weekend in Texas.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 03:08 PM
Sports Picks Portfolio

philadelphia under 7.5 -120
oakland -160
cleveland -113
sf giants -119

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 04:11 PM
Totals 4 You MLB Service Selections for Friday, June 27th June's Friday Night MLB Totals 3-Teamer of the Month!!!!!
Arizona/San Diego over 6 1/2
Cincinnati/San Francisco under 6 1/2
Detroit/Houston over 8 1/2

2-1 or Better or we'll email you Saturday's Report Free of Charge!!!

MLB Best Bets
Atlanta/Philadelphia under 7 1/2
Boston/New York under 9
Cleveland/Seattle under 8

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 04:11 PM
Diamond Dog Sports

MLB

Sides

#905: Mets: +130 .5*
Listed Pitchers: deGrom / Cumpton

#927: Indians +100 2.5*
Listed Pitchers: Bauer / Young


Totals

#907/908: Under Brewers: 9.0 (-120) 3*
Listed Pitchers: Matzek / Lohse

#911/912: Under Dodgers: 7.0 (-115) 4*
Listed Pitchers: Martinez / Ryu

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 04:12 PM
Bob Balfe

San Francisco -120

Bumgarner/Cueto
Both pitchers are having fine seasons. Cueto is pitching lights out for the Reds but in a game that should be low scoring I give the edge to the Giants bullpen which is much better than the Reds. In a tight low scoring game I favor the home team to tack on that late run against a weak bullpen. Take the Giants.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 04:12 PM
Falcon Sports

Detriot -1 -115 listing Verlander/Peacock

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 04:12 PM
BookieMonster Money Generator Plays

Cubs +107
Daimondbacks +115
Reds +110

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 04:13 PM
LT Lock

Chicago Cubs +105

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 04:16 PM
Bookie Zapper

cubs
Red Sox Over
Indians

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 04:57 PM
Dave Essler

KC Over 8.5

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 04:57 PM
Scott Spreitzer Friday Mismatch

Oakland

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 04:57 PM
Hollywood Sports 25* League Underdog of the Month


Cleveland

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 05:41 PM
XpertPicks

FRIDAY BASEBALL




Play Houston +140 over Detroit----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
8:00 PM EST


Justin Verlander has lost 19 of the last 34 games when pitching with five or six days of rest and he has lost 34 of the last 58 road games after having won five or six of the last seven games. Justin Verlander has lost 28 of the last 49 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he is 0-2 over the last three starts with an ERA of 7.23.





Play Arizona +130 over San Diego----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
10:15 PM EST


Tyson Ross has lost 25 of the last 36 night games and he has lost 6 of the last 7 games when pitching in the month of June. Tyson Ross has lost 5 of the last 7 games when pitching on a Friday and he has lost 13 of the last 19 games when pitching with five or six days of rest.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 05:41 PM
BeatYourBookie

FRIDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Cleveland +110 over Seattle (MLB TOP PLAY)

Seattle is 37-58 when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs
Seattle is 25-38 when playing on a Friday the last three seasons
Seattle is 56-80 after having won two of the last three games


10* Play Cincinnati +110 over San Francisco (MLB TOP PLAY)

Cincinnati is 54-39 vs. NL West Division Opponents the last three seasons
Cincinnati is 55-45 when the total posted is 7 runs or less
Cincinnati is 67-56 vs. left-handed starting pitchers the last three seasons


=============================================

5* Play Houston +140 over Detroit (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Arizona +130 over San Diego (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 05:42 PM
FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Oakland -145 over Miami (MLB TOP PLAY)

Oakland has won 86 of the last 127 games when playing as a favorite of -125 to -175 and they have won 45 of the last 65 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.Oakland has won 69 of the last 122 road games and they have won 48 of the last 77 games when playing in the 1st half of the season.

================================================== ===



50* Play Atlanta -130 over Philadelphia (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Houston +140 over Detroit (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 05:42 PM
Kevin's Pick(s):
Another winner Thursday afternoon cashing on the Angels run line, although Minnesota gave us a scare in the 9th. An early play for me Friday in an afternoon game - the first of a day night double header.
2 UNIT = Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles - ORIOLES TO WIN (-151) *Game 1*
Listed Pitchers: Colome vs Gausman
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.32 units)
No write ups for me while I'm in Vegas


Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants - UNDER 6.5 RUNS (-120)
Listed Pitchers: Cueto vs Bumgarner
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.67 units)
If I have to see another double play ball I'm going to vomit.
Actually, tonight I will be pleased to see plenty of double plays, unlike last night. Two of the better pitchers you're going to find in baseball will face off tonight in San Francisco. One stat that really jumped out at me when handicapping this game is how both teams have faired against right-handed and left-handed pitching recently. In their last five games the Reds are hitting only .125 against lefties. Bumgarner is one of the best in the business outside of Clayton Kershaw. Conversely, the Giants have hit only .204 against righties their last five games. That is a combined batting average of only .164. Cueto has been in the mix for a Cy Young, and with an ERA of only 1.86 I think he is a worthy candidate for that. He's been red-hot lately, and been hot all season long for that matter. His last three starts has yielded an ERA of 1.35 with a 1.10 WHIP and .284 OBP. The 1.10 WHIP and .284 OBP are actually a slow period for him, as his overall is 0.84 and .232. Cueto hasn't played the Giants since 2011. In that start he didn't give up a single run and allowed only 3 hits. Bumgarner faced the Reds recently on the 5th, there he was fantastic giving up just 1 run on 3 hits. He's been hot as well lately, entering Friday night with an ERA of only 2.45 and 1.05 WHIP. Look for it to be a pitching duel, so the UNDER 6.5 looks enticing to me here.

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 05:42 PM
Maddux

MLB

Boston Red Sox

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 06:19 PM
Jeff Clement

8* Pittsburgh Pirates -137

7* Baltimore Orioles Game 2 -107

8* Los Angeles Angels -110

8* Seattle Mariners -102

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 06:19 PM
Exclusive Sports

San Diego Padres

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 06:37 PM
BookieMonster

POD

New York Yankees -105

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 06:38 PM
MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts
Sportingnews

LAS VEGAS -- The historic Yankees-Red Sox rivalry is so heated that it will always have fans of each team feuding like the Hatfields and McCoys regardless of the standings. Tonight's matchup at Yankee Stadium will really test that theory as fourth-place Boston sits eight games out in AL East, while the third-place Yankees are three games out.

Things have changed in the AL East with Toronto and Baltimore in first and second, respectively, ahead of the perennial division bullies. The Yankees and Red Sox have combined to win eight World Series in the past 19 seasons, with New York making the playoffs 17 times and Boston 10 times in that span.

Both have been two of baseball’s elite teams the past two decades, and each time they hook up it’s a battle. But in the first of this three-game set, we get Boston's Brandon Workman against New York's Vidal Nuno. Neither starting pitcher inspires much confidence.

Nuno (1-4, 5.88 ERA) has been awful at Yankee Stadium this season and that may be putting it mildly. No starting pitcher has a worse home ERA than Nuno’s 7.09 mark. He’s gone 0-3 in seven starts and in his last two starts -- one at home and one on the road -- he’s achieved new levels of awful. In 9.1 innings against Baltimore and Oakland, he gave up 13 runs (12 earned) and served up five homers. The silver lining, if there is one, is that he only gave up 14 hits and three walks.

On the other side we have Workman (1-0, 2.88), who is making his first appearance since June 15 after serving a six-game suspension for throwing at Tampa Bay’s Evan Longoria. He’s actually been serviceable in his five starts since joining the rotation on May 25. The Red Sox have only won two of those starts, but he hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any of them. His best performance came on June 10 when he went 6.2 innings, allowing no runs and one hit at Baltimore in a 1-0 win, his only victory of the season.

Boston won, 5-4, on Wednesday at Seattle to improve to 2-5 on its current 10-game road trip. Meanwhile, the Yankees ended a four-game slide -- after winning four straight -- with a 5-3 win on Wednesday at Toronto. Neither of tonight’s starters have been a part of this long rivalry, and the Yankees have taken five of the first seven games against Boston this season.

Despite the Yankees losing four of Nuno’s past five starts and seven of his last 10, he still comes in as a -108 favorite because of Boston’s recent struggles. The total is set at 9, which may be the best angle to look at tonight. Even though only three of their hook-ups this season have gone OVER, Nuno wasn't involved in any of them. Take the OVER tonight.

Friday’s picks:

Red Sox (Workman) -102 at Yankees (Nuno)

Red Sox/Yankees OVER 9 (EV)

Angels (Matt Shoemaker) -103 at Royals

Mariners (Chris Young) -102 vs. Indians

Twins (Kevin Correia) +125 at Rangers

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 06:38 PM
Primetime Sports

4 Unit Minnesota (Correia) +115 over Texas (Tepesch)
3 Unit Boston (Workman) -115 over N.Y. Yankees (Nuno)
3 Unit Cincinnati (Cueto)/San Francisco (Bumgarner) UNDER 6.5

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 06:39 PM
NonStopSportsPicks

2* Orioles (game 2)

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 06:39 PM
Steam On-Line (YouWinNow)

**CODE RED MLB BASEBALL LATE STEAM WINNER
903 Atlanta w/Teheran -137 7:05 EST

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 06:43 PM
Tiger

MLB (927) CLEVELAND INDIANS -105

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 07:12 PM
MySystemPicks

2.5* Detroit Tigers -138

1.5* Over 9 -105 Boston Red Sox/New York Yankees

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 07:12 PM
Sheep

Under Min WNBA

NY Y

NY Y first 5

Under Tor

TBay first 5

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 07:12 PM
VEGAS RUNNER


NFAC MLB Premium” Late Steam Moves


926) KANSAS CITY -115


1926) KANSAS CITY -120…1st 5 Innings

NFAC MLB “Premium” Move


925) OVER 8.5 (-105) LAA/KC


NFAC MLB 1st 5 Innings Move


1929) OVER 4 (-125) OAK/MIA


NFAC MLB “Premium” (1st 5 Innings) Move


1919) TAMPA BAY -105

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 07:12 PM
CSI Sports (YouWinNow)


78% COMPREHENSIVE SYSTEM BASEBALL WINNER

923 Detroit w/Verlander -138 8:10 EST

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 07:13 PM
HM Sports


(Game 1) TB vs Baltimore – Over 8.5 (early fireworks!) (afternoon game)


Colorado/Milw – Under 9 -115


SF/Cincy – Over 6 -105
Four of last five Bumgarner home starts went over.


(Game 2) Baltimore RL-1.5 +168


NYY -107


NYY/Boston – Under 9 -117
Five of last seven Nuno starts stayed under total.


ATL/Philly – Over 7.5 +107
Teheran is 0-2, 4.64 in his last three starts.
Kendrick is 2-2, 4.78 in his last five starts.
Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Teheran starts BUT line is too low today .. add to that in the 1st inning these starters have allowed runs — Teheran 5 runs-16 starts (3 of last 5); Kendrick 8 runs-15 starts (7 of last 10) .. 2-3 runs in 1st inning wouldnt be a shock


Houston/Detroit – Over 8.5 -108
not the same verlander
Verlander is 0-3, 7.71 in his last four starts.
Peacock is 2-0, 2.93 in his last five starts.
Last eight Verlander starts went over the total

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 07:13 PM
Top Shelf Picks

Carson K

Twins* +132
Astros* +132
Clev* -114
Yanks -105

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 07:13 PM
Michael Tang aka - Totals for you

2* Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles (4:05pm PST)
Pick: OVER 8 @-115
Risk: $2,300 to win $2,000

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 07:13 PM
MrParlayKing


10* Reds/Giants OVER 6 @+105

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 07:13 PM
Rooster

NYY -115

Oakland Over 4 -120 first 5

Tampa -120 first 5

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 07:14 PM
SHAKER’S SHORTS

#924 Houston Astros +1/2 -115 (1st 5 Innings)

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 07:14 PM
VEGAS RUNNER

NFAC STRAIGHT BET

[1927] (1st 5innings) CLE INDIANS -120
( T. BAUER -R / C. YOUNG -R )

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 07:15 PM
Tampasports

baltimore-best bet -m.line
ny yankees-best bet -m.line
detroit/houston-best bet-over total 8.5

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 07:15 PM
Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

Houston Astros ML

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 07:22 PM
Ray Dunavant

Yanks ML

Tampa bay ML

Kansas City ML

White sox ML

Can'tPickAWinner
06-27-2014, 07:22 PM
Hitting Paydirt

AJ's

Houston Astros +130