7-2-14

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::clap::

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Capping the calendar: July's best and worst MLB pitchers
By MARC LAWRENCE

Fireworks and the MLB All-Star game signal the month of July. It also signifies the start of the 2nd half of the MLB campaign. The key to each and every team’s fortune lies on the pitching staff. Can they sustain or will they fold like a cheap lawn chair from K-Mart? Stay tuned.


What we do know is certain pitchers love hurling this time of the season while others tend to get lit up like a roman candle on the 4th of July.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of July. On the flip side, we’ve also listed pitchers that struggle in July team starts, winning 33% percent or less of their efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each July over the last three years. Note: * designates pitcher was on this list last year.

I’ll be back next month with August’s Good Month Pitchers. Until then, it’s time to take me out to the ballgame…

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS:

*Hudson, Tim • 12-5

When San Francisco signed Hudson, our guess is they were hoping for a serviceable No. 5 starter with veteran experience which could give them a better than 50-50 chance to win. It has turned much better for the Giants, winning 10 of Hudson’s 15 starts and he has held right-handed batters to just a .245 average. Especially watch for Hudson at home, where he’s only lost twice since last season.

Jackson, Edwin • 10-4

Have to admit, a stunner to see this much traveled ball-chucker having a good month any time. Wish I could say I had an answer for his July success for a guy who is 83-97 in the big leagues, but I don’t. In looking for a positive, Jackson pitches better at Wrigley Field than on the road (3.86 ERA vs. 6.70) and he’s won four of six decisions at the friendly confines this season.

*Kershaw, Clayton • 12-5

The best pitcher in baseball is coming off a fantastic June, in which he was 6-0 and surrendered four total runs in his starts and picked up a no-hitter. The early nit-picky talk about his curveball has quieted and he’s back to his old-dominate self. He has 107 strikeouts in 79.1 innings and a WHIP of 0.92. Opposing teams are hitting .209 against Kershaw and left-handed batters, why bother, with a .180 average.

*Porcello, Rick • 12-1

With a star-studded pitching staff, Porcello only ranks fourth in the rotation as far as ability, but this season he’s been then their moneyman in winning 11 of 15 outings. He’s also been one of the top bets among pitchers at +7.15 units. The big difference with the right-hander this season is his sinker has more dip and he’s making fewer bad pitches, leading to more wins and is on pace for a career-low WHIP of 1.19. If the Detroit offense continues hitting, keep backing Porcello in July.

Tillman, Chris • 7-3

The Orioles ace has picked up +5.6 units in spite of 4.00 ERA, with Baltimore 11-6. How has Tillman done this? While probably unaware of the betting odds, he knows when he matched against a very good starting pitcher from the opposing team and pitches better, which is why the O’s are 9-2 this season with Tillman as an underdog. He’s a fly-ball pitcher, who’s had some trouble on the road (5.53 ERA), if he can improve command, he should be a winner this month.

*Weaver, Jered • 13-5

Just love the analytics crowd who love to use a six-inch paintbrush to encompass a wide swath to their thought processes. “Weaver will continue in serious decline” was among the scathing preseason reviews of the angular right-hander. His fastball peaks out at 91 on good days and is more consistently 88-89 MPH and is does not compute to them he would concede 18 percent fewer hits to innings pitched with that kind of velocity. All Weaver does is win and dominate righty hitters (.163 BA).


BAD MONTH PITCHERS:

Bedard, Eric • 1-10

Bedard was not good enough to pitch a second season with Houston and is primarily in the majors only because Tampa Bay needed a warm body in the spring after their starting staff was decimated by injuries. The 35-year old has not been horrible this season, but he’s not a fit on a team that expects to be a playoff contender, which Tampa Bay is not this season. More bad news ahead.

*Norris, Bud • 4-10

For his entire career, Norris has been a solid pitcher at home and unbelievably bad on the road. He must have been thrown in a lot of away games in July to earn this record and will start the month on the DL with a right groan strain. When he returns, definite Play Against potential in away games.

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Twins pitcher spells doom versus Royals
By JUSTIN HARTLING


When the Minnesota Twins send Kevin Correia to the mound Wednesday, they send him with some nerves. In Correia's starts against the Kansas City Royals the past two seasons, the Twins are 1-6.

Correia has allowed at least six hits in all seven of those games, averaging 7.6 hits per game.


Padres pitcher winless all June, takes mound

Tyson Ross will take to the mound for the San Diego Padres and hope that July is different than June. The Padres went 0-5 with Ross on the mound last month.

Ross gave up 27 hits and 16 runs while carrying a 32/2 K/BB ratio in June.


Phillies pitcher dominating Marlins

Cole Hamels has been a force against the Miami Marlins and bettors have been cashing in. In Hamels last 10 starts against the Marlins, the under has gone 8-1-1 for bettors.

In those 10 starts Hamels has not once allowed more than three runs and has held the Fins to one or less four times.


Teheran has the NL East on notice

Julio Teheran has been the top Atlanta Braves pitcher within the National League East. The Braves are carrying a 13-3 record in Teheran's last 16 starts within the division.

Teheran has held opponents to one run or less in nine of those 16 contests (56 percent), while only once allowing more than three.

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Who's Hot - NL Edition
By Mike Rose

We're in the midst of the dog days of summer, and this is the time of year when we are really going to be separating the pretenders from the contenders. Join us today as we look at the teams in the National League who are really tearing it up as we head into the month of July.

Milwaukee Brewers (51-33, +$1,571) – We're really not all that sure why and how the Brewers have been competing in the rough and tumble NL Central, but they are still hanging in there and clearly will have staying power for the rest of the year. Francisco Rodriguez has completely revived his career this year and is one of the best closers in the game, while Jonathan Lucroy, Scooter Gennett, and Carlos Gomez are all having career types of years. Ryan Braun is slugging over .500 as well, while Khris Davis isn't all that far away. Better yet? There has only been a total of one missed start this year due to injury out of the rotation. Wily Peralta and Kyle Lohse are pitching beyond their abilities right now as we see it though, so the Brew Crew could be ready to take a step in the wrong direction if these starters don't keep it up.

San Francisco Giants (46-36, +$669) – And this is why the Giants can't be trusted on a regular basis. The team was just swept for four games at home against Cincinnati, and the offense scored a grand total of just six runs in those four games, including getting virtually no hit by Homer Bailey and the Reds. The only game that the team has won since June 22nd was the no-no by Tim Lincecum. It was only a matter of time until these bats cooled down, but this has been borderline ridiculous. The schedule ahead isn't friendly for the bats either, as there are three games at home against the Cards before a trip to Petco Park. Things really need to improve in a hurry, because these pitchers can't be tasked with throwing no-hitters in order to get wins all the time.

Cincinnati Reds (43-39, +$380) – It's a long dip down to the Reds, and it's proof of just how wide open the National League is this year. Cincinnati is only on this list because of its four-game sweep against the Giants at AT&T Park, and that took it from a losing team to a winning one both SU and for betting purposes. The Reds have had six straight quality starts out of their starters, but will that really continue? Here's the caution: Only five teams have winning money records in the NL, and the only one we feel good about staying that way for the whole season is Milwaukee. Anything can, and frequently will change in the NL for the rest of the season. Cincinnati is just the team du jour right now.

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Rays on Tuesday and likes the Brewers on Wednesday.

The deficit is 132 sirignanos.

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Hondo

The Pirates patched together a win for Hondo Tuesday night, rallying for three in the ninth to stun the D’backs and trim the accounts payable to 1,380 gulletts.

Wednesday: Mr. Aitch expects the Reds to show Ross who’s boss in San Diego — 10 units on Cueto. Also, 10 on Vogelsong to do a number on the Cards.

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Wednesday

Orioles -149

cards -145

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ANTHONY MICHAEL (Play of the Day)

#980 Boston Red Sox with Workman moneyline -150 (7:10 edt) ESPN

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Carlos Salazars Wednesday Night MLB Bookie Crusher

OVER 9 Baltimore/Texas -115

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MLB

National League
Reds-Padres
Cueto is 3-0, 2.22 in his last four starts.
Ross is 0-4, 4.36 in his last five starts.

Cincinnati won 13 of its last 19 road games, but lost last two.
Padres won their last three games.

12 of last 15 games at Petco Park stayed under.

Rockies-Nationals
Matzek is 0-2, 4.96 in his last three starts.
Fister is 5-2, 2.38 in his last seven starts.

Colorado lost 13 of its last 15 games.
Nationals won 11 of their last 14 home games.

Over is 14-3-1 in last eighteen Colorado road games.

Arizona-Pirates
Anderson is 0-3, 5.06 in his last three starts.
Morton is 0-2, 6.23 in his last two starts.

Arizona lost six of its last nine road games.
Pirates won eight of their last ten games.

Last five Diamondback games stayed under total.

Mets-Braves
deGrom is 1-0, 1.32 in his last couple starts.
Teheran is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.

Mets lost six of their last seven games.
Atlanta won eight of its last nine games.

Seven of last ten Atlanta games stayed under total.

Phillies-Marlins
Burnett is 2-2, 2.59 in his last four starts.
Miami lost last three Koehler starts (0-1, 3.79).

Philly lost six of its last seven games.
Miami lost nine of its last thirteen games.

Four of last five Miami home games went over total.

Cardinals-Giants
Wainwright is 2-1, 1.16 in his last four starts.
Vogelsong is 1-2, 5.73 in his last four starts.

St Louis lost four of its last five games.
Giants lost 12 of their last 15 home games.

Under is 11-4-1 in last sixteen St Louis road games.

American League
A's-Tigers
Oakland won last three Chavez starts (1-0, 2.50).
Verlander is 0-3, 7.11 in his last five starts.

Oakland won 11 of its last 16 games, but lost last two.
Tigers won seven of their last nine games.

Six of last eight Oakland games went over the total.

Rays-Bronx
Odorizzi is 1-2, 1.44 in his last four starts.
Nuno is 1-2, 7.80 in his last three starts.

Tampa Bay won six of its last seven games.
Bronx lost eight of its last ten games.

Six of last eight Nuno starts stayed under total.

Royals-Twins
Vargas is 3-0, 1.37 in his last four road starts.
Correia is 2-2, 2.63 in his last four starts.

Royals won nine of their last eleven road games.
Minnesota lost six of their last eight games.

Over is 3-1-1 in last five Vargas starts; last four Correia starts stayed under.

Mariners-Astros
Young is 2-0, 1.00 in his last three starts.
Peacock is 2-0, 2.88 in his last six starts.

Seattle won nine of its last eleven games.
Houston lost 11 of its last 15 games.

Six of last eight Peacock starts stayed under.

Rangers-Orioles
Mikolas is making his first MLB start; he has a 3.97 RA in 34 IP in relief, in 27 big league games-- he is 3-1, 4.68 in six AAA starts this season.
Tillman is 2-2, 1.61 in his last four starts.

Rangers lost 11 of their last 13 games.
Baltimore is 9-5 in its last 14 games.

Under is 4-1-1 in last six Tillman starts.

Angels-White Sox
Skaggs was 0-3, 7.00 in his last three starts before going on DL.
Danks is 4-1, 3.66 in his last five starts.

Angels won nine of their last eleven games.
White Sox lost six of their last eight home games.

Nine of last ten White Sox home games went over.

Interleague games
Brewers-Blue Jays
Peralta is 5-0, 4.50 in his last five starts; Brewers scored 36 runs.
Happ is 3-3, 5.55 in his last six starts.

Milwaukee won four of its last six games.
Toronto lost nine of its last fourteen games.

Five of last six Toronto games stayed under.

Indians-Dodgers
Bauer is 1-2, 4.81 in his last four starts.
Ryu is 6-2, 3.22 in his last eight starts.

Cleveland lost seven of its last ten games.
Dodgers won 13 of their last 18 games.

Under is 4-0-1 in last five Ryu starts.

Cubs-Red Sox
Wood is 3-1, 3.20 in his last four starts.
Workman is 1-1, 2.75 in his last three starts.

Cubs won six of their last eight road games.
Red Sox lost eight of their last twelve games.

13 of last 14 games at Fenway Park stayed under.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Cueto 1-17; Ross 5-17
-- Matzek 0-4; Fister 3-10
-- Anderson 1-9; Morton 3-16
-- deGrom 1-9; Teheran 5-17
-- Hamels 2-13; Koehler 2-16
-- Wainwright 3-16; Vogelsong 3-16

-- Chavez 4-16; Verlander 5-17
-- Odorizzi 0-16; Nuno 6-13
-- Vargas 2-17; Correia 4-16
-- Young 2-15; Peacock 4-11
-- Mikolas 0-0; Tillman 7-17
-- Skaggs 6-11; Danks 5-16


-- Peralta 2-16; Happ 1-11
-- Bauer 3-9; Ryu 1-15
-- Wood 3-16; Workman 4-6

Umpires
-- Cin-SD-- Six of seven Everitt games went over the total.
-- Col-Wsh-- Home side won five of last six Drake games.
-- Az-Pitt-- Underdogs won 12 of last 14 Hudson games.
-- NY-Atl-- Seven of last ten Iassogna games stayed under.
-- Phil-Mia-- Over is 8-3-1 in last dozen Cooper games.
-- StL-SF-- Over is 10-3-1 in LBarrett games this season.

-- A's-Det-- 10 of 14 Layne games went over the total.
-- Tex-Blt-- Eight of ten Basner games went over the total.
-- TB-NY-- Underdogs won 12 of 15 Schrieber games this year.
-- KC-Min-- Favorites won six of last seven Kellogg games.
-- Sea-Hst-- Six of last eight Kellogg games stayed under.
-- LA-Chi-- 10 of last 12 BWelke games stayed under.

-- Mil-Tor-- Five of last seven Gibson games went over.
-- Chi-Bos-- Seven of last eleven Meals games went over.
-- Cle-LA-- Seven of last nine Vanover games went over.

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | LA ANGELS at CHI WHITE SOX
Play Against - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHI WHITE SOX) with an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 on the season, playing on Wednesday
115-54 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.0% | 46.4 units )
6-5 this year. ( 54.5% | -0.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | MILWAUKEE at TORONTO
MILWAUKEE is 16-7 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in Road games as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season.
The average score was: MILWAUKEE (4.7) , OPPONENT (4.3)

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MLB

'Rubber Match'

The closing matchup of a three game series between Minnesota and Kansas City is today’s baseball betting focus. Minnesota got the best of their division rival last night spanking Royals 10-2 setting up Wednesday's rubber match. Twins will look to righty Kevin Correia carrying a 4-9 record, 5.08 ERA to the mound. The Royals counter with southpaw Jason Vargas bringing a 7-3 record, 3.53 ERA to the hill along with a perfect 3-0 mark with a 1.75 ERA in road games. A tough spot for Minnesota and their right-hander. Twinkies are 2-5 with Correia following a win the previous night. Correia takes the ball 2-5 with a 6.55 ERA over 8 starts (3-5 TSR) at Target Field, 2-4 with a 4.25 ERA (3-6 TSR) in day games. Correia is also 0-4 life-time vs Royals with his teams 1-7 over eight attempts. The one team start victory for Correia came in April when Twins got the better of Royals and Vargas. There's no doubt Royals and Vargas will be highly-motivated here. Consider Royals knowing they've won 8 of 10 on the road and take to the field 5-2 in rubber matches, 10-2 vs the division, 4-0 as a favorite of -$1.10 to -$1.50 w/Vargas.

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Arthur Ralph Sports

on a 11-1 Free Play run

WED Red Sox -150

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Today's MLB Picks Arizona at Pittsburgh The Diamondbacks (35-50) try to bounce back from last night's 3-2 loss as they continue their series against a Pirates team that is 2-5 in Charlie Morton's last 7 starts against teams with a losing record. Arizona is the pick (+135) according to Dunkel, which has the Diamondbacks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+135). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


WEDNESDAY, JULY 2
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Cincinnati at San Diego (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 13.989; San Diego (Ross) 16.334
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 6
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+125); Over


Game 953-954: Colorado at Washington (6:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Matzek) 14.487; Washington (Fister) 17.751
Dunkel Line: Washington by 3 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-225); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-225); Under


Game 955-956: Arizona at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Anderson) 15.848; Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.648
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+135); Over


Game 957-958: NY Mets at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (deGrom) 14.830; Atlanta (Teheran) 16.174
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-205); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-205); Under


Game 959-960: Philadelphia at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.082; Miami (Koehler) 13.174
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 6
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-130); Under


Game 961-962: St. Louis at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.299; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 16.796
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-145); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+125); Over


Game 963-964: Oakland at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Chavez) 16.182; Detroit (Verlander) 17.689
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-135); Under


Game 965-966: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Odorizzi) 14.876; NY Yankees (Nuno) 16.334
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+100); Over


Game 967-968: Kansas City at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Vargas) 14.017; Minnesota (Correia) 15.390
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+110); Over


Game 969-970: Seattle at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Young) 14.848; Houston (Peacock) 13.547
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-115); Under


Game 971-972: Texas at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Mikolas) 14.026; Baltimore (Tillman) 15.548
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-150); Under


Game 973-974: LA Angels at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Skaggs) 14.946; White Sox (Danks) 16.448
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+120); Over


Game 975-976: Milwaukee at Toronto (12:37 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Peralta) 14.893; Toronto (Happ) 16.396
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-115); Under


Game 977-978: Cleveland at LA Dodgers (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Bauer) 18.136; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 16.891
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+140); Over


Game 979-980: Chicago Cubs at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 14.616; Boston (Workman) 15.464
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-155); Under

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WNBA Basketball Picks Chicago at Phoenix The Mercury play host to a Chicago team that is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games against Western Conference opponents. Phoenix is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-8 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.


WEDNESDAY, JULY 2
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 651-652: Indiana at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 109.967; Washington 111.747
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2; 148
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+4); Over


Game 653-654: Chicago at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 107.095; Phoenix 122.027
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 15; 157
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 8 1/2; 162
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-8 1/2); Under

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Paul Leiner

100* Blue Jays -115
50* Reds -135

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CAPPERS ACCESS

Royals -130
Nationals (RL)-1.5(-105)

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GAMBLING GOD

League: MLB
Team A: Yankees
Team B: Rays
Pick: Under 9
Risk:$110 to win $100
Time: 10:00 AM PT

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StatFox Super Situations

INDIANA at WASHINGTON
Play On - Favorites (WASHINGTON) revenging a loss versus opponent, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games 127-70 since 1997. ( 64.5% | 50.0 units )

INDIANA at WASHINGTON
Play On - Any team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) revenging a same season loss versus opponent, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) after 15 or more games 37-13 since 1997. ( 74.0% | 0.0 units )

CHICAGO at PHOENIX
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (PHOENIX) hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days 46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

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FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Washington -210 over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)

Colorado has lost 56 of the last 94 games vs. NL East Division Opponents and they have lost 36 of the last 63 games when playing on a Wednesday.Colorado has lost 63 of the last 91 games when playing as an underdog of +150 or higher and they have lost 88 of the last 138 games after having lost five or six of the last seven games.

================================================== ===



50* Play Houston -100 over Seattle (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play New York Yankees -110 over Tampa Bay (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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XpertPicks

WEDNESDAY BASEBALL




Play Houston +100 over Seattle----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)

2:00 PM EST

Chris Young has lost 5 consecutive games when pitching in the month of July and he has lost 10 of the last 16 games vs. division opponents. Chris Young has lost 7 of the last 9 games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and he has lost 5 of the last 6 games when pitching on a Wednesday.





Play Miami +115 over Philadelphia----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
7:00 PM EST


Cole Hamels has lost 20 of the last 32 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has lost 23 of the last 38 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Cole Hamels has lost 19 of the last 31 night games and he has lost 13 of the last 17 games when pitching with five or six days of rest.

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BeatYourBookie

WEDNESDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Milwaukee +100 over Toronto (MLB TOP PLAY)

Milwaukee is 9-3 vs. AL East Division Opponents the last three seasons
Milwaukee is 27-15 in road games this season
Milwaukee is 18-8 when playing as an underdog of +100 or higher this season


10* Play Miami +115 over Philadelphia (MLB TOP PLAY)

Philadelphia is 11-27 when playing on a Wednesday
Philadelphia is 85-108 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs
Philadelphia is 79-104 vs. right-handed starting pitchers

=============================================

5* Play Houston +100 over Seattle (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Chicago Cubs +140 over Boston (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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The bounces just are not going our way at all. We had Brendon Todd in the lead stepping onto the 10th hole on Sunday and he dunked a ball in the water on the Par 3. We did once again pick up a big head to head win with the 4 Units on Jordan Spieth over Tiger coming through. This stretch without an outright winner has been extremely frustrating but I do appreciate the positive emails. 8 straight years we dominated the golf world and for some reason in 2014 the ball just ins't rolling in the hole for us.
I would like to welcome everyone to the 2014 Greenbrier Classic this week.
The Greenbrier Classic is played in White Sulphur Springs, West Virginia at The Old White TPC. Last year was the 5th year the tournament has been named The Greenbrier Classic, as it replaced the Buick Open on the PGA Tour circuit. Unfortunately for tournament organizers, players have fed off the easy layout of the Par 70, 7020 yard course. We actually had Jeff Overton four years years ago, and Stuart Appleby went out and shot a 59 on Sunday to win by 1 stroke over Jeff.
When organizers saw how easy the course was playing for the Tour pro's, they took a year to lengthen and toughen up the track. Many greens have been altered or replaced and the rough figures to be much more of a challenge this week than in previous years. The course will be playing at 7229 yards this year and will continue to be played as a Par 70.
With a premium once again being put on Total Driving and accuracy from the fairways, lets take a look at one of the most interesting finishing holes in golf (and one that will have an impact on the golf tournament this week.)
The Par 3 162 Yard 18th Hole -
Rarely do you ever see a course finish with a Par 3, but that is exactly the case this week at The Old White TPC. This short Par 3 is where Stuart Appleby made history four years ago by rolling in his putt for a final round 59.Though the 18th is guarded by bunkers, it utilizes its severe two tiered green to guard against the players taking advantage of the short hole. If you are on the wrong tier you can completely count out birdie, and would be more than happy not ending your round with a three putt. Look for the 18th to once again be a climatic setting come Sunday, with the stadium-like gallery loving every minute of it.
The Players
This week we have a below average list of headline names competing as many are preparing elsewhere for the upcoming Open Championship. Bubba Watson and Webb Simpson headline this years stars who will be competing in the Greenbrier Classic. Jimmy Walker, Brendon Todd, Keegan Bradley, Bill Haas, and Steve Stricker are just a few of the other notable names that will be competing this week.
This week we are keying on players who can take advantage of an easier course, yet also play it properly. Though The Old White TPC will be tougher this year, it still presents players with the ability to score well. If you drive the ball in the fairways and are accurate with you irons, you will have the ability to go low this week. Player's who played well last week at an extremely difficult Congressional, are most likely going to find this week very forgiving.
One other thing to watch for is the player's who need to improve their Fed Ex Cup standing in order to qualify for the first event of the playoff season, The Barclays. With only the Top 125 players making the field at The Barclays, look for positioning to be in the back of many players minds.
This season players also have the opportunity to qualify for the Open Championship from the Greenbrier Classic, with spots being awarded to the Top 4 players at the end of the week.
Without further ado, lets get down to my outright winner picks.
Steve's Six Pack

Jeff Overton 100/1 - Overton is still without a win on Tour but wow has this guy ever had some quality opportunities. I mentioned earlier that if it wasn't for Stuart Appleby shooting a 59 in the 2010 Greenbrier Classic he would have won the tournament (and we would have had an enormous payday). Jeff is not a consistent player but instead he shows up in a few tournaments each year that he loves. We took him earlier this season at the Zurich Classic and he finished solo 4th (and probably should have won as he had the lead on Sunday).
Jeff is now 31 years old and the talented guy out of Indiana has to be wondering if he will ever win on Tour. I feel this week is a terrific chance for him to as he loves tournaments that you can make a ton of birdies at. A key for Jeff this week will be to keep the ball in the fairway as he ranks 171st on Tour for Driving Accuracy. Jeff loves putting on the greens at Old White TPC, and this should give him a great chance come Sunday afternoon.
Brendon De Jonge 33/1 - De Jonge is another player who has yet to win on Tour but has had many close calls. He showed his ability to play with some of the worlds best last season at the Presidents Cup, and I thought that would propel him to a huge 2014. De Jonge has just 4 Top 25's in 23 events this year though, but he did finish T8 last week.
Last season at this event Brendon finished T17, and would have been in a great position to win if it wasn't for a 3rd round 73. De Jonge has a history of good finishes at this course though as he also has finished 3rd in 2010 and T4 in 2011. Confidence should be at an all time high this week for De Jonge and I feel we are getting great odds on him. A key for Brendon this week will be hitting Greens in Regulation, as he only ranks 119th on Tour in this category. He is a terrific driver of the ball (25th in Total Driving), and loves putting on these greens. I am looking forward to watching the big man from Zimbabwe make plenty of birdies.
Brendon Todd 24/1 - Todd has been on fire as of late. He has finished inside the Top 20 in five straight Tournaments, including a win at the Byron Nelson and a pair of T5's at the Crowne Plaza and the QuickenLoans. It has been everything about his game that has been on recently and I really think he will be on the Ryder Cup team this year. Todd proved he can compete with the best in the game at the US Open (T17), and looks driven to win again.
He will get a great opportunity to this week as Brendon has a putter that is on fire right now. He sunk plenty of 7-10 foot putts last week to save par or make birdies. The course this week will seem like a breeze to Todd who has played played great golf at some tough courses recently. I know he let us down last week, but Todd will make up for it this week.
Morgan Hoffman 110/1 - Hoffman is an interesting selection this week. Hoffman played in this tournament for the first time last year and he finished T23. He hit 75% of his Greens in Regulation that week and played the Par 3's and 4's in a combined 4 under. Hoffman will look to take advantage of the Par 5's more this season, as just 2 under on them will not cut it.
Hoffman has yet to finish in the Top 10 in his second full season on the PGA Tour but this week it will happen. He has success at tournaments when you have to make a lot of birdies and should build off a few positives I noticed last week. Hoffman played great the first two days shooting 70 and 68, but something happened on the weekend and he shot a pair of 78's. Following the tournament he expressed that his game feels right on the edge of breaking through and he was looking forward to this week. I also liked how he showed great composure even when this were not going his way. I have a gut feeling that Hoffman will use last week's tough weekend and be that much more focused on playing great this week.
2 Units on Jimmy Walker 11/1 - I do not even need to explain this pick. Jimmy Walker is going to play on the Ryder Cup team this year, has a chance at being named player of the year, and is by far the favourite this week is West Virginia. He was runner up here last year and has a pair of T4's in 2010 and 2011. Walker finished T9 in his last start (the US Open) and is going to be in contention on Sunday this week. Lay 2 Units on him and enjoy watching one of the best players in the world right now play a course he loves.
HEAD TO HEAD

We will go with two Head to Heads this week each for 3 Units
3 Units on - Jimmy Walker (-120) over Bubba Watson
3 Units on - Brendon Todd (-125) over Keegan Bradley
Let's get that elusive winner and get on a great run here.

Steve

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HOT CHICKS PICKS / Britney DeLuca

In the early game…
Take MILWAUKEE +105 to chase the blue birds away!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

5* White Sox RL+1.5 (-$135)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHASE DIAMOND

15* MLB HIDDEN GEM
Oakland vs. Detroit
Money Line: +110 Oakland A’s

Two very good teams square off with Oakland being very desperate today after dropping 3 straight to the Tigers. Presumed public advantage of the Tigers with Justin Verlander couldn’t be more off. Verlander has struggled this season at 6-7 with a 4.80 ERA and Jesse Chavez at 6-4 with a 2.94 ERA is the better pitcher. So we will take the small plus money with the better team and pitcher. Take Oakland straight for a 15* play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Picks Portfolio

Cincinnati Reds -126
Cincinnati vs SD Padres - UNDER 6 -118
Boston Red Sox -158
NY Mets vs Atlanta - UNDER 7.5 -115

[golden contender]

Wednesday card has the MLB Game of the Week forma Perfect league wide system, a Parlay with 2 game from systems that combine to a 32-0 record since 2004 and an Early 5* Undefeated system side. Free MLB Play below


On Wednesday the free MLB Play is on the Miami Marlins. Game 960 at 7:10 eastern. Miami fits a nice dog system here that pertains to home dogs off a home favored loss by 1 runs while scoring 4 or less runs with a total that is 8 or less. The Marlins have T. Koehler taking on Cole Hamels for a rematch from last week in Philly where the Marlins lost 5-3. Miami is averaging over 5 runs vs leftys and has won 11 of 16 at home when the total is 7 or less. The Phillies have dropped 9 of 12 on hump day. The Phillies have been slumping and have lost 4 of 6 Hamels road starts. Look for Miami to get a hard fought win here Tonight. On Hump day we have 3 Powerful Plays up, one is the Game of the Week. All are from systems that have not lost since 2004. Inbox Jump on now and get on the Giving end of Hump day. For the free play make it Miami. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler

KC OVer 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer Daytime Mismatch


LA Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas Pipeline

15* Reds

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The White Sox vs Angels double header proved the sheer uncertainty that surrounds when it comes to double headers! I hope you took my advice Jack and only treated these games just for tracking purposes rather than making any actual wagers on them.
The Angels and White Sox will play their final game of the series now, and what I suggest is to put just a side bet on this game, as I do believe that there is good value on this bet.
We'll have the next system bet coming up just a day after on July 3rd, and including an official system bet that looks quite solid. See you then!

All the best,
-Tony the Sports Betting "Champ"

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Overton has withdrawn from the tournament, so he will be replaced by Chris Stroud @ 55/1 I would like to welcome everyone to the 2014 Greenbrier Classic this week.
The Greenbrier Classic is played in White Sulphur Springs, West Virginia at The Old White TPC. Last year was the 5th year the tournament has been named The Greenbrier Classic, as it replaced the Buick Open on the PGA Tour circuit. Unfortunately for tournament organizers, players have fed off the easy layout of the Par 70, 7020 yard course. We actually had Jeff Overton four years years ago, and Stuart Appleby went out and shot a 59 on Sunday to win by 1 stroke over Jeff.
When organizers saw how easy the course was playing for the Tour pro's, they took a year to lengthen and toughen up the track. Many greens have been altered or replaced and the rough figures to be much more of a challenge this week than in previous years. The course will be playing at 7229 yards this year and will continue to be played as a Par 70.
With a premium once again being put on Total Driving and accuracy from the fairways, lets take a look at one of the most interesting finishing holes in golf (and one that will have an impact on the golf tournament this week.)
The Par 3 162 Yard 18th Hole -
Rarely do you ever see a course finish with a Par 3, but that is exactly the case this week at The Old White TPC. This short Par 3 is where Stuart Appleby made history four years ago by rolling in his putt for a final round 59.Though the 18th is guarded by bunkers, it utilizes its severe two tiered green to guard against the players taking advantage of the short hole. If you are on the wrong tier you can completely count out birdie, and would be more than happy not ending your round with a three putt. Look for the 18th to once again be a climatic setting come Sunday, with the stadium-like gallery loving every minute of it.
The Players
This week we have a below average list of headline names competing as many are preparing elsewhere for the upcoming Open Championship. Bubba Watson and Webb Simpson headline this years stars who will be competing in the Greenbrier Classic. Jimmy Walker, Brendon Todd, Keegan Bradley, Bill Haas, and Steve Stricker are just a few of the other notable names that will be competing this week.
This week we are keying on players who can take advantage of an easier course, yet also play it properly. Though The Old White TPC will be tougher this year, it still presents players with the ability to score well. If you drive the ball in the fairways and are accurate with you irons, you will have the ability to go low this week. Player's who played well last week at an extremely difficult Congressional, are most likely going to find this week very forgiving.
One other thing to watch for is the player's who need to improve their Fed Ex Cup standing in order to qualify for the first event of the playoff season, The Barclays. With only the Top 125 players making the field at The Barclays, look for positioning to be in the back of many players minds.
This season players also have the opportunity to qualify for the Open Championship from the Greenbrier Classic, with spots being awarded to the Top 4 players at the end of the week.
Without further ado, lets get down to my outright winner picks.
Steve's Six Pack

Chris Stroud 55/1 - This pick replaces Jeff Overton's withdraw
Brendon De Jonge 33/1 - De Jonge is another player who has yet to win on Tour but has had many close calls. He showed his ability to play with some of the worlds best last season at the Presidents Cup, and I thought that would propel him to a huge 2014. De Jonge has just 4 Top 25's in 23 events this year though, but he did finish T8 last week.
Last season at this event Brendon finished T17, and would have been in a great position to win if it wasn't for a 3rd round 73. De Jonge has a history of good finishes at this course though as he also has finished 3rd in 2010 and T4 in 2011. Confidence should be at an all time high this week for De Jonge and I feel we are getting great odds on him. A key for Brendon this week will be hitting Greens in Regulation, as he only ranks 119th on Tour in this category. He is a terrific driver of the ball (25th in Total Driving), and loves putting on these greens. I am looking forward to watching the big man from Zimbabwe make plenty of birdies.
Brendon Todd 24/1 - Todd has been on fire as of late. He has finished inside the Top 20 in five straight Tournaments, including a win at the Byron Nelson and a pair of T5's at the Crowne Plaza and the QuickenLoans. It has been everything about his game that has been on recently and I really think he will be on the Ryder Cup team this year. Todd proved he can compete with the best in the game at the US Open (T17), and looks driven to win again.
He will get a great opportunity to this week as Brendon has a putter that is on fire right now. He sunk plenty of 7-10 foot putts last week to save par or make birdies. The course this week will seem like a breeze to Todd who has played played great golf at some tough courses recently. I know he let us down last week, but Todd will make up for it this week.
Morgan Hoffman 110/1 - Hoffman is an interesting selection this week. Hoffman played in this tournament for the first time last year and he finished T23. He hit 75% of his Greens in Regulation that week and played the Par 3's and 4's in a combined 4 under. Hoffman will look to take advantage of the Par 5's more this season, as just 2 under on them will not cut it.
Hoffman has yet to finish in the Top 10 in his second full season on the PGA Tour but this week it will happen. He has success at tournaments when you have to make a lot of birdies and should build off a few positives I noticed last week. Hoffman played great the first two days shooting 70 and 68, but something happened on the weekend and he shot a pair of 78's. Following the tournament he expressed that his game feels right on the edge of breaking through and he was looking forward to this week. I also liked how he showed great composure even when this were not going his way. I have a gut feeling that Hoffman will use last week's tough weekend and be that much more focused on playing great this week.
2 Units on Jimmy Walker 11/1 - I do not even need to explain this pick. Jimmy Walker is going to play on the Ryder Cup team this year, has a chance at being named player of the year, and is by far the favourite this week is West Virginia. He was runner up here last year and has a pair of T4's in 2010 and 2011. Walker finished T9 in his last start (the US Open) and is going to be in contention on Sunday this week. Lay 2 Units on him and enjoy watching one of the best players in the world right now play a course he loves.
HEAD TO HEAD

We will go with two Head to Heads this week each for 3 Units
3 Units on - Jimmy Walker (-120) over Bubba Watson
3 Units on - Brendon Todd (-125) over Keegan Bradley
Let's get that elusive winner and get on a great run here.

Steve

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LT LOCK

Tampa Bay -110 (1:00 game)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportswagers

Milwaukee @ TORONTO
Milwaukee +104 over TORONTO
BEST LINE: Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com) +104

The Blue Jays defeated the Brewers by a score of 4-1 in yesterday’s opener but so what. Toronto scored just two runs of Marco Estrada in six innings and Estrada is an extreme fly-ball pitcher that owns the worst skills profile in the game the second and third time through the order. The rumors prior to his start yesterday was that Estrada’s days in the Milwaukee rotation are numbered with strong prospect Jimmy Nelson lurking in Triple-A and Mike Fiers in their bullpen. Prior to yesterday, the Jays scored seven runs combined in three straight home losses to the White Sox. Yesterday was just the Jays fifth win in their past 14 games after losing a lot of winnable games to the South Side, Yanks, Cincinnati, Minnesota and Baltimore. Now J.A. Happ is favored over Milwaukee and Wily Peralta? That should not be. Happ is a fly-ball pitcher in a park that is unkind to those types. He has a 3.65 ERA at home but don’t buy it, as he’s been taken deep seven times in 37 home innings and his xERA at home matches his road ERA at 5.35. Happ comes into this start with a WHIP of 1.46 and an oppBA of .276. That’s not the profile of a winning pitcher.
Wily Peralta has an elite groundball rate of 54%. The Brewers have won each of his last five starts and that includes a 7.2-inning gem he threw at Coors Field. Peralta has been lights out against lefties, his 95 MPH four-seamer is wickedly good and the Brewers are 11-5 overall when he starts. We get a tag here on the much better offense, the much better starter and the team with the best road record in the NL and second best in all of MLB.

Tampa Bay @ N.Y. YANKEES
N.Y. YANKEES +105 over Tampa Bay
BEST LINE: Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com) +105

1:05 PM EST. Vidal Nuno does not have pretty numbers. He’s 1-3 at Yankee Stadium with an ERA of 6.20 and overall, Nuno is just 2-4 with a 5.42 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. However, his xERA over his last five starts is a very respectable 3.95. Nuno has been hurt by a low 67% strand rate and he’s also allowed two earned runs or fewer in five of his last 10 starts. What makes Nuno so interesting is his fabulous minor league numbers, which boast a better than 5 K/BB ratio, a 1.10 WHIP and an 8.6 K/9 over 428 innings. Last year, he was positively sparkling over five Triple-A starts and pitched well in three big league starts. Inflated but misleading numbers has Nuno’s stock low and that makes us buyers.
Jake Odorizzi 1.53 ERA over his last three starts has this former top prospect way overvalued. Odorizzi has 97 K's in 83 innings and that makes him very appealing against the Yankees but his strikeouts make no sense because he does not throw hard and his secondary pitches are average. Odorizzi’s fastball, at least by velocity, is unimpressive, as it averages just 90.5 mph. He complements that with both a slider and curve ball, as well as a splitter/changeup, depending on which source you check. A quick look at his swinging strike rate reveals some surprising information — all of his secondary pitches induce swings and misses at a worse than league average rate for that pitch type. So with just average ability to generate swings and misses, where the heck are all those strikeouts coming from? The final strike rate type percentage is that of fouls. Finally, a somewhat clearer picture emerges. His 33.6% mark is significantly above the league average that sits around 27% and ranks second among all starters in baseball. Foul strikes have the lowest impact on a pitcher’s strikeout rate for obvious reasons. Although a foul could add a strike to the count to eventually lead to a strikeout, foul balls themselves rarely result in a strikeout. So Odorizzi’s high strikeout rate is driven primarily by a massive rate of foul strikes. That’s simply not the type of skill one wants to rely on continuing. Odorizzi is also a fly ball pitcher and his control is just mediocre, so his value is entirely dependent on those strikeouts continuing to pile up and everything suggests that they won’t. Jake Odorizzi has been nothing but pure luck and should be put on your radar as pure fade material. This isn't Chris Archer or David Price that the Yanks will face here.

Seattle @ HOUSTON
Seattle/HOUSTON over 8½ -105
BEST LINE: Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com) over 8½ -105

2:10 PM EST. These two have combined for 29 runs in the first two games of this series with the Mariners scoring 23 of them. That was against Jared Cosart and Collin McHugh and those two rank higher than today’s starter, Brad Peacock. Peacock has walked 10 batters and struck out 11 over his past four starts covering just 22 frames. He has posted an ERA of 2.91 over that span but it was due to a ridiculous 81% strand rate and a 100% strand rate in his last start. Peacock has an ugly groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile of 34%/22%/43% over his last seven starts and that does not bode well at all at this park against the hot-hitting Mariners.
Chris Young is worse. Those of you new to the game may be wondering about that tall starting pitcher who’s gone 7-4 for the Mariners with an ERA of 3.15 and an ERA over his last three starts of 1.00. That’s not some rookie hot-shot; that’s 35-year old Chris Young. Young totaled only 44 IP in 2010/11 due to shoulder issues and missed most of 2013 due to thoracic outlet syndrome. That lovely ERA is unsustainable, as he’s living off of hit% and strand % luck. Young’s 5.32 xERA shows what to expect and it is the biggest discrepancy between actual ERA and xERA of any pitcher in the league with at least 10 starts. Despite his 6’10” height, Young isn’t a power pitcher. His fastball is generally in the 84 mph range and he’s never piled up big strikeout numbers. With a swinging strike rate so low this year (5%) he’s hardly registering any Ks and now has 47 in 91 innings. His BB/K split of 35/47 is a ratio no pitcher wants to own. Young’s groundball/fly-ball rate is also one of the ugliest in the league at 25%/57%. While that doesn’t kill him when he’s pitching in Safeco, any upward turn of hr/f will be disastrous. Young is one of the worst pitchers in baseball and that includes relievers. If there is a sure bet the rest of the way for an ERA correction, it is Young. Two misleading ERA’s have a very beatable total posted here and we’re on it.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PowerPlayWins

Play Of The Day

Seattle Mariners -105 (Young)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday afternoon’s must read weather update
Andrew Caley

There are plenty of afternoon games on tap Wednesday and plenty of weather that could affect your bets to go along with them.

In New York, the Yankees host the Tampa Bay Rays, where it will be partly cloudy with a 42 percent chance of rain. There will also be a 10 mph wind blowing from first to third base.

The Oakland A’s and the Detroit Tigers meet at Comerica Park, where there will be a strong 13 mph wind blowing in from left field. There is also a 28 percent chance of rain.

At Target Field the Minnesota Twins host the Kansas City Royals, where a strong 10 mph wind will be blowing out to right field

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider

Diamondbacks at Pirates

Probable Pitchers:
ARZ: Anderson (5-3, 3.63 ERA)
PIT: Morton (4-9, 3.41 ERA)

Series recap: The D-backs held a 2-0 lead heading into the ninth inning, but the Pirates rallied for three runs to shock Arizona, 3-2 to cash as -140 favorites. The Pirates are rolling by winning their eighth game in 10 tries, while the D-backs have dropped five of their past seven contests.

What to watch for: Morton is making just his second home start since late May, as he is coming off road defeats to the Rays and Cubs in his past two outings. Anderson tries to get on track after losing each of his last three starts following a 5-0 start to the season. Both these teams are riding major ‘under’ runs of late, as Pittsburgh is 5-1 and Arizona is 5-0 to the ‘under’ during the past week of action.

Cubs at Red Sox

Probable Pitchers:
CHC: Wood (7-6, 4.52 ERA)
BOS: Workman (1-1, 3.27 ERA)

Series recap: The Cubs have come out on top in consecutive low-scoring victories, winning 2-1 last night as a +155 underdog. Following Jake Arrieta’s near no-hitter on Monday, Edwin Jackson limited the Sox to one run in six innings of work on Tuesday to give the Cubs back-to-back road wins for just the second time this season.

What to watch for: Chicago owns a 3-11 record off a road victory this season, but the Cubs have won each of their last two away series finales at Miami and Philadelphia. The Red Sox have been swept three times at home in 2014, while Boston has hit the ‘under’ in seven straight games at Fenway Park.

Phillies at Marlins

Probable Pitchers:
PHI: Hamels (2-4, 2.84 ERA)
MIA: Koehler (5-6, 3.70 ERA)

Series recap: The Marlins and Phillies went back-and-forth last night as Miami won in extra innings, 5-4 to cash as -140 favorites. The victory snapped a four-game skid for the Marlins, as Miami improved to 5-6 this season against the Phillies.

What to watch for: Philadelphia is riding a five-game losing streak, but the Phillies are 4-1 in Hamels’ previous five starts. Koehler has failed to win in his last three trips to the mound, including a 5-3 defeat at Philadelphia in extra innings last Thursday. Miami is winless in Koehler’s past four starts at Marlins Park, while going 0-3 in his past three outings against NL East foes.

Mets at Braves

Probable Pitchers:
NYM: deGrom (1-4, 3.62 ERA)
ATL: Teheran (7-5, 2.34 ERA)

Series recap: The Braves go for the sweep tonight after winning each of the first two games as heavy favorites. Last night, Atlanta held on for a 5-4 triumph as -180 favorites, as each contest in this series has gone ‘over’ the total.

What to watch for: The Mets have dropped six of their past seven games, while compiling a 5-14 mark in the past 19 road contests. The Braves are back on the winning track after getting swept at home by the Phillies earlier this month, posting a 10-3 record the last 13 games, including this current six-game winning streak. Atlanta has won five of eight meetings this season from New York, while the Braves are 6-2 in Teheran’s eight starts at Turner Field.

Angels at White Sox

Probable Pitchers:
LAA: Skaggs (4-4, 4.34 ERA)
CHW: Danks (7-6, 4.26 ERA)

Series recap: The Angels pulled off a double-header sweep on Tuesday, beating the White Sox 8-4 and 7-5, both as a heavy favorite. In the series opener, the Angels overcame an early 3-0 deficit to pound the Sox, while the Halos led the whole way in the nightcap to improve to 5-0 this season against Chicago.

What to watch for: The Halos are on fire right now, winning nine of their past 11 contests to pull within 3½ games of the A’s for first place in the AL West. Los Angeles hasn’t pulled off a road sweep in a three-game series this season, while going 0-5 in its past five away series finales. The Sox have dropped six of their past eight home games, while cashing the ‘over’ in seven straight contests at U.S. Cellular Field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Clement

7 Units Cardinals / Giants Under 6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JIMMY BOYD

4* SF Giants +128

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee had the splits on Tuesday in World Cup Soccer winning with $50 play on the Draw +$240 and losing with $25 on USA +$300/Belgium.

"Mr Chalk" won on Tuesday in MLB in the American League with the Tigers -$132/A's.

For Wednesday in MLB in the American League "Mr Chalk" likes the Orioles -$160/Rangers.

Ben lee is 2-1 +$145 for week Thirty Six 164-190-5 -$2984 thru Thirty Five weeks.

"Mr Chalk" is 44-34 -$396 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports Picks For Major League Baseball 7/2


3-unit Play Take #956 Pittsburgh Pirates (-150) over Arizona Diamondbacks (7:05pm EST)


3-unit Play Take #970 Houston Astros (+105) over Seattle Mariners (2:10pm EST)


4-unit Play Take #971 Texas Rangers (+150) over Baltimore Orioles (7:05pm EST)


3-unit Play Take #978 Los Angeles Dodgers (-150) over Cleveland Indians (3:10pm EST)


3-unit Play Take #980 Boston Red Sox (-155) over Chicago Cubs (7:10pm EST)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetime Sports Picks

4 Unit --> Cincinnati (Cueto) -130 over San Diego (Ross)
3 Unit --> Philadelphia (Hamels) -130 over Miami (Koehler)
3 Unit --> Chicago White Sox (Danks) +115 over L.A. Angels (Skaggs)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Stevens

Tigers -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Bet Tiger

Total UNDER 9 VERLANDER/CHAVEZ Tigers/Athletics

[Can'tPickAWinner]

charlie sports

500
reds under 6
cubs over 9
marlin under 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas SI
WEDNESDAY'S PICKS(HIGH ROLLERS CLUB)

20* MLB Marlins -135 and 10* MLB OVER 7.5
20* MLB Rays -125 and 10* MLB OVER 7.5
20* MLB Pirates -135 and 10* MLB UNDER 7.5
20* MLB Blue Jays -125 and 10* MLB OVER 9.5
20* MLB Dodgers -140 and 10* MLB UNDER 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, July 2

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (43 - 40) at SAN DIEGO (37 - 47) - 3:40 PM
JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. TYSON ROSS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 40-27 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 38-29 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 681-748 (+61.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 27-11 (+14.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 20-10 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CINCINNATI is 618-692 (+45.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 493-537 (+51.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 107-70 (+26.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 380-328 (+67.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 213-173 (+44.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 37-47 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 25-35 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAN DIEGO is 37-47 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 28-40 (-14.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
CUETO is 3-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.62 and a WHIP of 1.256.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.0 units)

TYSON ROSS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
ROSS is 2-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

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COLORADO (36 - 48) at WASHINGTON (45 - 38) - 6:05 PM
TYLER MATZEK (L) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 45-81 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 194-256 (-69.0 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 45-20 (+23.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against COLORADO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

TYLER MATZEK vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

DOUG FISTER vs. COLORADO since 1997
FISTER is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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ARIZONA (35 - 50) at PITTSBURGH (43 - 40) - 7:05 PM
CHASE ANDERSON (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 35-50 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 35-50 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 140-111 (+24.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 138-110 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 31-20 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 116-92 (+22.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 76-50 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 45-49 (-32.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CHASE ANDERSON vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

CHARLIE MORTON vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MORTON is 2-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.464.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

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NY METS (37 - 47) at ATLANTA (46 - 38) - 7:10 PM
JACOB DEGROM (R) vs. JULIO TEHERAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 25-58 (-23.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 116-69 (+31.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 36-15 (+16.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
TEHERAN is 9-1 (+8.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 61-66 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 61-66 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-3 (+1.5 Units) against NY METS this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

JACOB DEGROM vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

JULIO TEHERAN vs. NY METS since 1997
TEHERAN is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.1 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (36 - 47) at MIAMI (40 - 43) - 7:10 PM
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. TOM KOEHLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 109-136 (-29.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-27 (-18.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 109-134 (-27.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 79-105 (-29.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 50-64 (-23.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HAMELS is 18-28 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 61-58 (-25.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 18-28 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 12-19 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 7-15 (-14.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 33-21 (+17.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 30-25 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 386-380 (+35.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-5 (+1.1 Units) against MIAMI this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.3 Units)

COLE HAMELS vs. MIAMI since 1997
HAMELS is 9-12 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.078.
His team's record is 12-19 (-19.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 18-12. (+3.9 units)

TOM KOEHLER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
KOEHLER is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.455.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

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ST LOUIS (44 - 40) at SAN FRANCISCO (47 - 36) - 10:15 PM
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. RYAN VOGELSONG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 3-12 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 8-21 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 47-36 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 47-36 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 73-37 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in home games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-15 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VOGELSONG is 42-28 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 42-27 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 29-17 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 24-14 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 117-74 (+22.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 74-38 (+27.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
WAINWRIGHT is 68-30 (+26.5 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 39-44 (-19.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-12 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 72-83 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-1 (+3.8 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 4-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.169.
His team's record is 5-5 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-6. (-3.2 units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
VOGELSONG is 3-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.43 and a WHIP of 1.409.
His team's record is 4-6 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-3. (+3.1 units)

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OAKLAND (51 - 32) at DETROIT (46 - 34) - 1:05 PM
JESSE CHAVEZ (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 3-10 (-9.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 51-32 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 72-55 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 34-16 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 49-28 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 161-113 (+43.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 96-74 (+22.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 67-48 (+17.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 7-12 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 51-45 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 11-15 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 40-35 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 24-30 (-26.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 10-16 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 8-12 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 23-29 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 15-19 (-18.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 5-9 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-2 (+2.5 Units) against OAKLAND this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

JESSE CHAVEZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
CHAVEZ is 0-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
VERLANDER is 12-6 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.14 and a WHIP of 1.035.
His team's record is 12-8 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-13. (-6.8 units)

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TAMPA BAY (37 - 49) at NY YANKEES (41 - 41) - 1:05 PM
JAKE ODORIZZI (R) vs. VIDAL NUNO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 37-49 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 3-9 (-9.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
TAMPA BAY is 8-16 (-11.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
ODORIZZI is 5-11 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 22-5 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 537-618 (+19.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
NY YANKEES are 18-22 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY YANKEES are 18-22 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 19-26 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-3 (+2.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
ODORIZZI is 0-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.750.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

VIDAL NUNO vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
NUNO is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.45 and a WHIP of 1.213.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

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KANSAS CITY (43 - 40) at MINNESOTA (38 - 44) - 1:10 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. KEVIN CORREIA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 17-13 (+9.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CORREIA is 103-102 (+23.0 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 48-39 (+16.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 100-100 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 64-57 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 47-41 (+15.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 58-52 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 34-23 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-44 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-37 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 (+3.6 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
VARGAS is 3-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.45 and a WHIP of 1.602.
His team's record is 5-5 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.9 units)

KEVIN CORREIA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
CORREIA is 0-4 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.655.
His team's record is 1-7 (-5.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.1 units)

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SEATTLE (46 - 38) at HOUSTON (36 - 49) - 2:10 PM
CHRIS YOUNG (R) vs. BRAD PEACOCK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 51-61 (-21.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 319-296 (-73.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
SEATTLE is 46-38 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 25-16 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SEATTLE is 32-27 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 18-9 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SEATTLE is 22-15 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 26-20 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 38-88 (-35.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 44-82 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-42 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-41 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 44-82 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 31-90 (-36.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-41 (-21.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-7 (+0.7 Units) against SEATTLE this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.8 Units)

CHRIS YOUNG vs. HOUSTON since 1997
YOUNG is 3-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.135.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

BRAD PEACOCK vs. SEATTLE since 1997
PEACOCK is 2-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 6.92 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 3-2 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

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TEXAS (37 - 46) at BALTIMORE (44 - 39) - 7:05 PM
MILES MIKOLAS (R) vs. CHRIS TILLMAN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

MILES MIKOLAS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. TEXAS since 1997
TILLMAN is 3-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.66 and a WHIP of 1.310.
His team's record is 3-2 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.3 units)

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LA ANGELS (47 - 35) at CHI WHITE SOX (39 - 46) - 8:10 PM
TYLER SKAGGS (L) vs. JOHN DANKS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 117-117 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 6-14 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
LA ANGELS are 725-713 (+60.9 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 102-145 (-30.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 97-139 (-30.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 52-89 (-29.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
DANKS is 28-40 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 5-0 (+5.1 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

TYLER SKAGGS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

JOHN DANKS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
DANKS is 3-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.237.
His team's record is 4-6 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-3. (+2.5 units)

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MILWAUKEE (51 - 34) at TORONTO (46 - 39) - 12:35 PM
WILY PERALTA (R) vs. J.A. HAPP (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 9-20 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 62-83 (-30.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 51-34 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 23-10 (+16.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 27-16 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 21-12 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 43-37 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

WILY PERALTA vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

J.A. HAPP vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
HAPP is 3-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.53 and a WHIP of 1.654.
His team's record is 4-4 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.3 units)

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CLEVELAND (40 - 43) at LA DODGERS (48 - 38) - 3:10 PM
TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. HYUN-JIN RYU (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 3-13 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.
LA DODGERS are 19-7 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
RYU is 18-4 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 132-114 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 126-108 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 7-12 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-1 (-0.2 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

TREVOR BAUER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
BAUER is 1-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

HYUN-JIN RYU vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHICAGO CUBS (36 - 46) at BOSTON (38 - 46) - 7:10 PM
TRAVIS WOOD (L) vs. BRANDON WORKMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 163-244 (-46.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 375-416 (-89.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 163-244 (-46.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 72-115 (-33.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 35-67 (-28.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 669-670 (-156.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
BOSTON is 28-12 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 69-45 (+18.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 30-23 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 38-47 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 46-50 (-21.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 36-43 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 12-20 (-12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-0 (+3.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

TRAVIS WOOD vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

BRANDON WORKMAN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, July 2

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INDIANA (7 - 9) at WASHINGTON (7 - 10) - 7/2/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 100-135 ATS (-48.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
INDIANA is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
INDIANA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after a division game this season.
WASHINGTON is 253-307 ATS (-84.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) on Wednesday since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 159-199 ATS (-59.9 Units) vs. division opponents since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 19-39 ATS (-23.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (8 - 8) at PHOENIX (11 - 3) - 7/2/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.
PHOENIX is 34-52 ATS (-23.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Wednesday, July 2


Twins pitcher spells doom versus Royals

When the Minnesota Twins send Kevin Correia to the mound Wednesday, they send him with some nerves. In Correia's starts against the Kansas City Royals the past two seasons, the Twins are 1-6.

Correia has allowed at least six hits in all seven of those games, averaging 7.6 hits per game.


Padres pitcher winless all June, takes mound

Tyson Ross will take to the mound for the San Diego Padres and hope that July is different than June. The Padres went 0-5 with Ross on the mound last month.

Ross gave up 27 hits and 16 runs while carrying a 32/2 K/BB ratio in June.


Phillies pitcher dominating Marlins

Cole Hamels has been a force against the Miami Marlins and bettors have been cashing in. In Hamels last 10 starts against the Marlins, the under has gone 8-1-1 for bettors.

In those 10 starts Hamels has not once allowed more than three runs and has held the Fins to one or less four times.


Teheran has the NL East on notice

Julio Teheran has been the top Atlanta Braves pitcher within the National League East. The Braves are carrying a 13-3 record in Teheran's last 16 starts within the division.

Teheran has held opponents to one run or less in nine of those 16 contests (56 percent), while only once allowing more than three.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Short Sheet

Wednesday, July 2

Cincinnati at San Diego, 3:40 ET
Cueto: CINCINNATI 15-26 in road games after scoring 2 runs or less
Ross: SAN DIEGO 40-27 in home games in day games

Colorado at Washington, 6:05 ET
Matzek: COLORADO 6-28 as a road underdog of +150 to +200
Fister: WASHINGTON 15-6 OVER as a favorite of -150 or more

Arizona at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
Anderson: ARIZONA 19-30 after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less
Morton: PITTSBURGH 38-23 after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less

NY Mets at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
Degrom: NY METS 47-33 OVER as an underdog of +125 to +175
Teheran: ATLANTA 14-4 OVER off a one run win over a division rival

Philadelphia at Miami, 7:10 ET
Hamels: 12-20 as a favorite
Koehler: MIAMI 21-11 after 3 or more consecutive home games

St Louis at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Wainwright: ST LOUIS 2-9 in road games after 6 or more consecutive road games
Vogelsong: 9-3 TSR as an underdog of +125 to +175

Oakland at Detroit, 1:05 ET
Chavez: OAKLAND 7-0 in road games after 2 straight games with no home runs
Verlander: 10-16 TSR as a home favorite

Tampa Bay at NY Yankees, 1:05 ET
Odorizzi: TAMPA BAY 7-13 after allowing 1 run or less
Nuno: NY YANKEES 26-13 after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less

Kansas City at Minnesota, 1:10 ET
Vargas: KANSAS CITY 28-14 when the money line is -100 to -150
Correia: MINNESOTA 149-107 after a win by 6 runs or more

Seattle at Houston, 2:10 ET
Young: SEATTLE is 7-0 in road games after scoring 9 runs or more
Peacock: HOUSTON 16-41 in home games against division opponents

Texas at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Mikolas: TEXAS 6-20 as an underdog of +100 to +150
Tillman: 33-18 TSR in all games

LA Angels at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Skaggs: LA ANGELS 6-14 in road games after a win
Danks: CHI WHITE SOX 17-12 after having lost 2 of their last 3 games

Milwaukee at Toronto, 12:35 ET
Peralta: MILWAUKEE 21-12 after a loss
Happ: TORONTO 61-80 when the money line is +125 to -125

Cleveland at LA Dodgers, 3:10 ET
Bauer: CLEVELAND 3-13 in road games against left-handed starters
Ryu: LA DODGERS 43-18 after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games

Chicago at Boston, 7:10 ET
Wood: CHICAGO CUBS 10-3 after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games
Workman: BOSTON 3-11 revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB betting cheat sheet: Fenway Park an Under haven

Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for mid-week major-league action:

NL East a Push Party

The Washington Nationals continued the NL East’s trend of being baseball’s most frustrating division from a totals perspective, earning their eighth push of the year in a 7-1 win over Colorado. The NL East has a combined 35 pushes this year; no other division has more than 25.

Fenway Frustrations

The Boston Red Sox can’t figure out how to score at home, entering Wednesday’s game with the Cubs (+141, 9) having scored two runs or fewer in seven straight games at Fenway Park. The under has been a sensational play there of late, with Boston 1-12 O/U in its last 13 home games.

Marlins Back on Track

The Miami Marlins finally regained their home mojo Tuesday with a 5-4 win over Philadelphia, halting a five-game slide at Marlins Park. They’ll look to repeat the feat Wednesday (+109, 7) behind righty Tom Koehler, who is 4-4 against the moneyline and 5-3 O/U in eight home starts.

Pitching Notes

* JA Happ looks to continue his strong Under trend at home Wednesday as he leads the Toronto Blue Jays (-153, 9) into action against Milwaukee. The left-hander is 1-6 O/U in seven starts at the Rogers Centre, and threw 7 2/3 shutout innings to beat the White Sox last time out.

* Brandon McCarthy will try to master a team other than the San Diego Padres as he take the hill for Arizona in a Thursday night showdown with host Pittsburgh. McCarthy is 3-0 against the moneyline versus the Padres this season – and 0-14 against everyone else.

Hitting Notes

* Los Angeles Angels slugger Mike Trout remains hot, belting his 19th home run in Tuesday’s 8-4 win over the White Sox. Trout began July on a solid note after hitting .361 with seven homers and 21 RBIs in June; the Angels (-129, 9) hope that trend continues in Wednesday’s series finale.

* Colorado shortstop Troy Tulowitzki remains one of the lone bright spots for a struggling Rockies team, racking up a pair of homers and six RBIs over his last seven games. The Rockies are just 2-5 against the moneyline but are 6-1 O/U over that stretch; they host the Dodgers on Thursday.

Totals Streak

Arizona Diamondbacks (0-5 O/U): The Padres’ dramatic Under trend is rubbing off on other teams. Arizona and San Diego combined for just 10 runs in their recent three-game series, and the Diamondbacks extended their Under run with a 3-2 loss to Pittsburgh on Tuesday.

Prop of the Day

Bettors expecting a fast start for Washington on Wednesday may be inclined to bet the Nationals -1.5 on a three-inning prop at +185. Starter Doug Fister has a 1.80 ERA in the first three innings this season, though the Rockies are batting over .300 in both the first and third innings in 2014.

Injury Notes

* The Minnesota Twins have placed first baseman Joe Mauer on the 15-day disabled list with a strained oblique. The Twins are 2-3 against the moneyline, 1-4 O/U and +43 units for the season with Mauer on the sidelines.

* New York Yankees first baseman Mark Teixeira will wit out Wednesday against Tampa Bay (-117, 9) after having his troublesome knee drained. New York is 10-10 SU, 11-9 O/U and a modest +34 units with Teixeira out of the lineup this season.

Weather Watch

* Wind at Nationals Park for Wednesday’s game between Washington and Colorado will blow out to center field at 7 mph. Teams combined for nine runs and 2.22 home runs in nine games under similar conditions in 2013, well above stadium averages.

* Pittsburgh’s PNC Park will see wind blowing out to center field at 6 mph for Thursday’s tilt between Pittsburgh and visiting Arizona. Teams went just 4-8 O/U with the wind blowing in that direction last season; average runs per game (6.67) was actually below the stadium average (7.08).

Umpire of the Day

Over is 20-5-1 in umpire Jerry Layne’s last 26 games behind home plate involving Oakland. Layne will call the balls and strikes for Wednesday’s tilt between the Athletics (-104, 8.5) and host Detroit Tigers.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 11:30 a.m. ET Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports handicapper king

baltimore orioles

freeloader
washington nationals rl-1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BILL O’BRIEN

Cincinnati ML

Houston ML

Colorado ML

Arizona ML

ST Louis ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Aquino

Scratch Pad (6-3)..... MLB: (cubs/red sox under 9), rays/yankees under 9, Cincinnati....


Today's Selections


MLB (2-2): cubs/red sox under 9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Junkies
Pick: Oakland ML (Bovada (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Frecord.bettingpartners.com% 2F_pO1vV3scjG8UbyPgnoR23mNd7ZgqdRLk%2F1%2F)) (-110)
Recommended


Unit Play (Risk)


5.5 Units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Wednesday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Nationals are 11-0 since August 11, 2013 as a favorite after a win in which they drew 5+ walks and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1100.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Justin Verlander starts the Tigers are 0-14 since April 07, 2013 as a favorite after more strike outs than hits allowed on the road for a net profit of $2284 when playing against.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND

The Mets are 7-0 (+$1,330) since May 16, 2013 as a 170+ dog it is the last game of the series.

CHOICE TREND:

When John Danks starts the White Sox are 0-10 since June 03, 2007 as a dog after giving up 2 or more home runs on the road for a net profit of $1000 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

When Ryan Vogelsong starts the Giants are 10-1 since September 15, 2011 as a dog after his team lost the last time he started for a net profit of $1099.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts
Sportingnews

LAS VEGAS -- There's not a lot to be excited about as a baseball fan in Philadelphia this season. The Phillies (26-47) are in last place in the NL East with even the lowly Cubs having a better record. Meanwhile the Phils are mired in a five-game losing streak. Things are going so wrong for Philadelphia this season that they aren't even playing this weekend at home on the Fourth of July, the birthplace of America's Independence.

However, Phillies fans have reason for optimism tonight because Cole Hamels (2-4, 2.84 ERA) takes the mound at Miami and he's been on an incredible run over the past two months that has seen him pitch at least seven innings in 10 consecutive starts. He's allowed three runs or fewer in nine of those starts.

In six June starts, Hamels allowed only a total of six earned runs and had an ERA of 1.23, but only ended up with a 1-1 personal record. The good news for bettors is that the Phillies started finding ways to win behind Hamels even though he didn't get much support while in the game (only 11 runs). They won four of his past five starts and netted a profit of +340 units, including his last start on Thursday at home against these same Marlins, and tonight's same opposing starter, Tom Koehler.

When Hamels and Koehler (5-6, 3.70) met last week, Hamels was a -160 home favorite. Tonight at Miami, Hamels is only -120. Is Miami's home field really worth a .40 cent swing? You can tack on an extra five cents because the Phillies haven't won since Thursday's 5-3 win in 14 innings, and maybe an extra two cents because the Marlins racked up three solo homers off Hamels in that game, but that big of swing in a matter of a week is a bit excessive.

The Marlins have won more home games (26-21) than anyone in the NL, but their edge was considerably diminished in June where they lost their last four home series, posting a 3-10 record. And while Koehler has been better than expected for most of the season, the Marlins have lost his past three starts and last four at home.

There's not a lot to be excited about when a team is riding a five-game losing streak -- a team that is having an awful time manufacturing runs -- but in this instance, Hamels should be closer to -135, so just from pure value standpoint, the Phillies are the top play tonight.

Ross/Padres Pattern

The Padres have lost Tyson Ross' last five starts and seven of his last eight, even though he's pitched extremely well in most of those outings. In his last six outings, the combined score by both teams has been six runs or fewer. The Padres have a three-game winning streak going and have cooled off the Reds in the first two games of the series, but today's getaway afternoon game presents a nice opportunity to back the Reds and Johnny Cueto as well as UNDER 6 runs.

Wednesday selections:

Phillies (Hamels) -120 at Marlins

Reds (Cueto) -127 at Padres

Reds/Padres UNDER 6 (-115)

A's (Chavez) -105 at Tigers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins
Time: Wednesday 07/02 1:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Minnesota +130 (moneyline) at bovada (http://www.bovada.lv/)

The Kansas City Royals can be thankful for a 10 game winning streak they had this season as they have otherwise been a pedestrian team. Since rattling off 10 in a row, the Royals have not been nearly the same team as they are just 4-8 in their last 12 since the big run. Minnesota broke loose for 10 runs in their win here last night - the first time they have cracked the 10-run mark since early April. Jason Vargas has pitched well for Kansas City, but is off a humiliating start where he allowed 5 straight hits to open the fifth inning, and finished allowing 6 runs in just four innings of work for his shortest outing of the season. Kevin Correia has pitched to a 5.08 ERA, but over his last four starts he has gone at least six innings in all of them with a 2.25 ERA. The Royals have just one win in their last five in Minnesota, and are facing some momentum against them. Go with the Twins.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ray dunavant

Bluejays ML
Oakland A's ML
Hou Astros ML
TB Rays ML

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Diamond Dog Sports

#957: Mets: +180 1.5*
Listed Pitchers: deGrom / Teheran

#962: Giants: +125 2*
Listed Pitchers: Wainwright / Volgelsong

#955/956: Over Pirates: 7.5 (+100) 3* Listed Pitchers: Anderson / Morton

#963/964: Over Tigers: 9.0 (+100) 2.5*
Listed Pitchers: Chavez / Verlander

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Under Umpire Streakers

#965 TB/NYY UN9 -115 (Southpoint) 1u Schrieber 4ov/6un L10gms 60%
#973 LAA/CWS UN9 -110 (Southpoint) 1u BWelke 3ov/7un L10gms 70%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FYI

Dodgers Game :
Adrian Gonzalez out
Yasel Puig out
Hanley Ramirez out

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SHAKER’S SHORTS

Atlanta Braves – Team Total OVER 4 -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS RUNNER

RLcrew Late Steam

OVER 4.5 (-120) (1st 5innings) – SEA/HOU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BLACKSHEEP ‏

Medium Margin Move — Cleveland Indians RL+1 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ALLEN EASTMAN (MLB)

7-Unit Play. Take #969 Seattle (-105) over Houston (2 p.m.)

4-Unit Play. Take #951 Cincinnati (-130) over San Diego (3:40 p.m.)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MAGIC MIKE PICKS

3* Oakland A’s

3* Chicago White Sox

5* Cincinnati Reds

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEHIND THE BETS

Miami Marlins +108

LA Angels -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

BALTIMORE ORIOLES -145
BALTIMORE ORIOLES/TEXAS RANGERS – OVER 9.5
(Tillman/Mikolas)

The Rangers have an overnight pitching change and will be pitching a guy that is more of a closer and not a starter. He probably wont go more than 4 innings if that and the Rangers bullpen is weak. This is a game that the Orioles should win much like last nights contest where they won 8-3. Take the Orioles and take the Over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Formula

S Fran +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BigBaseballBets


SD Padres +103 5*

Cle/lad – Under 7.5 1*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's MLB betting cheat sheet: Fenway Park an Under haven

NL East a Push Party

The Washington Nationals continued the NL East's trend of being baseball's most frustrating division from a totals perspective, earning their eighth push of the year in a 7-1 win over Colorado. The NL East has a combined 35 pushes this year; no other division has more than 25.

Fenway Frustrations

The Boston Red Sox can't figure out how to score at home, entering Wednesday's game with the Cubs (+141, 9) having scored two runs or fewer in seven straight games at Fenway Park. The under has been a sensational play there of late, with Boston 1-12 O/U in its last 13 home games.

Marlins Back on Track

The Miami Marlins finally regained their home mojo Tuesday with a 5-4 win over Philadelphia, halting a five-game slide at Marlins Park. They'll look to repeat the feat Wednesday (+109, 7) behind righty Tom Koehler, who is 4-4 against the moneyline and 5-3 O/U in eight home starts.

Pitching Notes

* JA Happ looks to continue his strong Under trend at home Wednesday as he leads the Toronto Blue Jays (-153, 9) into action against Milwaukee. The left-hander is 1-6 O/U in seven starts at the Rogers Centre, and threw 7 2/3 shutout innings to beat the White Sox last time out.

* Brandon McCarthy will try to master a team other than the San Diego Padres as he take the hill for Arizona in a Thursday night showdown with host Pittsburgh. McCarthy is 3-0 against the moneyline versus the Padres this season - and 0-14 against everyone else.

Hitting Notes

* Los Angeles Angels slugger Mike Trout remains hot, belting his 19th home run in Tuesday's 8-4 win over the White Sox. Trout began July on a solid note after hitting .361 with seven homers and 21 RBIs in June; the Angels (-129, 9) hope that trend continues in Wednesday's series finale.

* Colorado shortstop Troy Tulowitzki remains one of the lone bright spots for a struggling Rockies team, racking up a pair of homers and six RBIs over his last seven games. The Rockies are just 2-5 against the moneyline but are 6-1 O/U over that stretch; they host the Dodgers on Thursday.

Totals Streak

Arizona Diamondbacks (0-5 O/U): The Padres' dramatic Under trend is rubbing off on other teams. Arizona and San Diego combined for just 10 runs in their recent three-game series, and the Diamondbacks extended their Under run with a 3-2 loss to Pittsburgh on Tuesday.

Prop of the Day

Bettors expecting a fast start for Washington on Wednesday may be inclined to bet the Nationals -1.5 on a three-inning prop at +185. Starter Doug Fister has a 1.80 ERA in the first three innings this season, though the Rockies are batting over .300 in both the first and third innings in 2014.

Injury Notes

* The Minnesota Twins have placed first baseman Joe Mauer on the 15-day disabled list with a strained oblique. The Twins are 2-3 against the moneyline, 1-4 O/U and +43 units for the season with Mauer on the sidelines.

* New York Yankees first baseman Mark Teixeira will wit out Wednesday against Tampa Bay (-117, 9) after having his troublesome knee drained. New York is 10-10 SU, 11-9 O/U and a modest +34 units with Teixeira out of the lineup this season.

Weather Watch

* Wind at Nationals Park for Wednesday's game between Washington and Colorado will blow out to center field at 7 mph. Teams combined for nine runs and 2.22 home runs in nine games under similar conditions in 2013, well above stadium averages.

* Pittsburgh's PNC Park will see wind blowing out to center field at 6 mph for Thursday's tilt between Pittsburgh and visiting Arizona. Teams went just 4-8 O/U with the wind blowing in that direction last season; average runs per game (6.67) was actually below the stadium average (7.08).

Umpire of the Day

Over is 20-5-1 in umpire Jerry Layne's last 26 games behind home plate involving Oakland. Layne will call the balls and strikes for Wednesday's tilt between the Athletics (-104, 8.5) and host Detroit Tigers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Wednesday, July 2


Must read weather update for Wednesday evening

There is plenty of weather in the forecast for tonight's Major League action. So take a look before you place your final bets.

In Washington, the Nationals host the Colorado Rockies, where there are thunderstorms expected in the forecast with a 61 percent chance of rain. There will also be a seven mph wind blowing out to right field.

The Texas Rangers visit the Orioles in Baltimore, where there are expected thunderstorms and a 64 percent chance of rain.

The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Arizona Diamondback with a chance of thunderstorms and a 26 percent chance of rain. There will also be a seven mph wind blowing out to left field.

In Boston, the Red Sox host the Chicago Cubs, where there will be a strong 12 mph wind blowing out to center field. There is also a chance of thunderstorms and a 21 percent chance of rain.

The White Sox host the Los Angeles Angels in Chicago, where there is a 38 percent chance of rain and a seven mph wind vblwoing out to right field.


Hanley Ramirez, LA Dodgers - Out Wed

Ramirez is not expected to play Wednesday against the Indians as he is dealing with a calf injury.


Dodgers' LF Yasiel Puig, doubtful Wednesday

Puig is not expected to be in the starting lineup Wednesday against the Indians as he will likely be given the day to rest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

Philadelphia (-113)
LA Angels (-143)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diysportsbettingsystems / Sam Oconnel

Arizona Diamondbacks +145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 7/2

MLB Baseball

Pittsburgh Pirates -155 over the Arizona Diamondbacks
(Money Line Bet)

Overall Record: 281-250
(System Record: 281-13, Lost last 3 games)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

extra bonus system for today:

New York Mets / Atlanta Braves UNDER 7½ (Bet Level 2) (Total Runs Scored) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 8:10 PM EST

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HARRY BONDI

MLB FREE PLAY

LA ANGELS (-140) over Chicago White Sox
8:00 p.m. ET

The Angels are on fire. They pulled off a double-header sweep of the White Sox Tuesday and have won 9 of their last 11 games. They also are a perfect 5-0 this season against Chicago. So let’s look for the Angels to stay hot and get us another FREE WINNER tonight in Chicago.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MARCO D’ANGELO

Best Bet – Red Sox over the Cubs.

Marco doesn’t expect the Red Sox to get swept. Workman has been solid with a 2.75 ERA and a WHIP of 0.95 in his last 3 starts. Another stat is that Boston is 14-2 to the Under when revenging 2 home losses, plus they are 69-45 following a loss the last 2 years.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PhillyGodFather

Texas Rangers ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Italian King

Rangers +136