7-6-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeffrey James (YouWinNow)


Play of the Day - #967 - #968 Kansas City - Cleveland UNDER 7.5 -110


Both of these starters have been red hot lately with ERA's under 2.00 in their last 3 starts. Kluber has been especially good at home this season for Cleveland and Duffy has been better on the road than at home for the Royals. The Indians bats have been very quiet at home as well. Many reasons to play the under here in this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

National League
Brewers-Reds
Gallardo is 2-1, 3.09 in his last five starts.
Latos is 1-1, 1.29 in his last two starts.

Milwaukee lost four of its last five games.
Reds won five of last seven home games.

Four of last five Gallardo starts stayed under total.

Cubs-Nationals
Arrieta is 4-0, 0.78 in his last five starts.
Zimmerman is 3-2, 1.43 in his last six starts.

Cubs won seven of their last nine road games.
Washington won six of its last seven games.

Eight of last ten Washington games went over total.

Diamondbacks-Braves
Miley is 0-3, 4.71 in his last nine starts.
Wood is 1-1, 2.25 in his last three starts.

Arizona lost five of its last six games.
Atlanta won its last nine games.

Eight of last ten Miley starts stayed under total.

Phillies-Pirates
Ex-Pirate Burnett is 1-2, 3.30 in his last four starts.
Locke is 1-1, 2.45 in his last five starts.

Philly lost nine of its last eleven games.
Pirates won eleven of their last fourteen games.

Four of last five Burnett starts stayed under.

Marlins-Cardinals
Marlins won last nine Alvarez starts (3-0, 1.35).
Gonzales is 0-1, 9.65 in two starts; he has a 27.03 RA after third inning.

Miami lost six of its last nine games.
St Louis won eight of its last twelve home games.

Three of last four Alvarez starts stayed under total.

Giants-Padres
Lincecum is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (17 IP), one of which was no-hitter against San Diego June 25.
Hahn is 4-0, 1.13 in his last four starts.

Giants lost nine of their last twelve games.
San Diego won five of its last six games.

Four of five Hahn starts stayed under the total.

Dodgers-Rockies
Beckett is 2-1, 2.53 in his last five starts.
Flande is 0-1, 6.10 in his first two MLB starts.

Dodgers won 15 of their last 22 games.
Colorado lost 16 of its last 19 games.

Six of last eight Beckett starts stayed under total.

American League
Rays-Tigers
Price is 3-1, 2.01 in his last four starts.
Porcello is 3-0, 0.00 in his last three starts (24 IP).

Tampa Bay won nine of its last eleven games.
Tigers won nine of their last thirteen games, but lost last two.

11 of last 15 Detroit games went over the total; Price's last five starts stayed under. .

Royals-Indians
Duffy is 3-2, 1.69 in his last six starts.
Kluber is 1-2, 1.73 in his last four starts.

Royals won 12 of their last 14 road games.
Cleveland lost five of its last seven home games.

Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Duffy starts.

Orioles-Red Sox
Gausman is 3-1, 2.63 in his last four starts.
Red Sox lost last six Peavy starts (0-5, 5.65).

Baltimore is 12-6 in its last eighteen games.
Red Sox lost ten of their last fifteen games.

14 of last 17 games at Fenway Park stayed under.

Bronx-Twins
Kuroda is 1-3, 3.66 in his last five starts.
Nolasco is 1-1, 5.08 in his last five starts.

Bronx Bombers lost six of their last eight games.
Minnesota lost nine of their last twelve games.

Last six Kuroda starts stayed under the total.

Mariners-White Sox
Walker won his first '14 start, allowing three runs in six IP.
Chicago lost last four Noesi starts (0-2, 6.35).

Seattle won 11 of its last 14 games.
White Sox lost eight of their last eleven home games.

Seven of last ten Seattle games stayed under the total.

Astros-Angels
McHugh is 0-4, 5.25 in his last four starts.
Angels won last six Richards starts (5-0, 1.49).

Houston lost 14 of its last 18 games.
Angels won eleven of their last fourteen games.

Over is 3-0-1 in last four Richards starts.

Blue-Jays-A's
Hutchison is 1-2, 4.67 in his last three starts.
Samardzija was 0-2, 5.48 in his last four starts for Chicago; Cubs scored 3 or less runs in 12 of his 17 starts.

Blue Jays lost eight of their last nine road games.
Oakland won ten of its last twelve home games.

Nine of last ten Toronto games stayed under.

Interleague game
Rangers-Mets
Tepesch is 1-1, 1.93 in his last three starts.
Wheeler is 0-3, 8.56 in his last three home starts.

Texas lost ten of its last eleven road games.
Mets lost eight of their last ten games.

Four of last five Wheeler home starts stayed under.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Gallardo 5-17 (3 of last 4); Latos 0-4
-- Arrieta 3-11; Zimmerman 1-17
-- Miley 3-18; Wood 5-9
-- Burnett 5-18; Locke 2-6
-- Alvarez 5-17 (1 of last 8); Gonzales 0-2
-- Lincecum 6-17; Hahn 0-5
-- Beckett 3-16; Flande 0-2

-- Price 7-18; Porcello 6-16
-- Duffy 2-11; Kluber 4-18
-- Gausman 0-5; Peavy 4-17 (3 of last 6)
-- Kuroda 6-17 (1 of last 7); Nolasco 6-17 (4 of last 5)
-- Walker 1-1; Noesi 3-12
-- McHugh 1-13; Richards 4-17
-- Hutchison 3-17; Samardzija 8-17

-- Tepesch 2-8; Wheeler 6-17

Umpires
-- Mil-Cin-- Four of last six Baker games stayed under.
-- Chi-Wsh-- Six of eight Everitt games went over total.
-- Az-Atl-- Nine of eleven Basner games went over.
-- Phil-Pitt-- Seven of last ten Scott games stayed under.
-- Mia-StL-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Timmons games.
-- SF-SD-- Favorites won 11 of last 12 Hoye games.
-- LA-Col-- Favorites won seven of last eight Kellogg games.

-- TB-Det-- Six of last eight Gibson games went over.
-- KC-Clev-- Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Cooper games.
-- Balt-Bos-- Underdogs are 9-5 in last fourteen Estabrook games.
-- NY-Min-- Five of last seven Drake games stayed under.
-- Sea-Chi-- Over is 10-4-1 in last fifteen LBarrett games.
-- Tor-A's-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Morales games.
-- Hst-LAA-- Eight of last ten Vanover games went over.

-- Tex-NYM-- Underdogs won 12 of last 15 Hudson games; under is 10-6 in his games behind the plate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TUF 19 Finale

Event: TUF 19 Finale
Date: July 6, 2014
Venue: Mandalay Bay Events Center
City: Las Vegas, Nevada

5-Round Featherweight Bout: Frankie Edgar (15-4-1) vs. BJ Penn (16-9-2)
Line: Edgar -475, Penn +350

Two of the best in the sport look to get a huge victory on Sunday night as Frankie Edgar and BJ Penn square off for a third time at TUF 19 Finale in Las Vegas.

Edgar was able to get back on track in his last fight on July 6, 2013, defeating Charles Oliveira by way of unanimous decision at UFC 162, where he held a substantial 81-38 edge in significant strikes. Before that match, he had lost his previous three fights, which were all title bouts. However, those losses were to Benson Henderson (twice) and Jose Aldo, and all those defeats went the five-round distance. Sunday marks the third matchup between these two fighters, with Edgar winning the first two fights back in 2010 by way of unanimous decision. Edgar is an incredible athlete, using his speed and quickness to wear his opponents out. Even with the two wins against Penn, this may be the toughest of the three.

Penn, who is making his featherweight debut on Sunday, is regarded as one of the best to ever fight in the octagon. His resume includes wins against Diego Sanchez, Kenny Florian, Takanori Gomi and Matt Hughes (twice), and Penn is the one of two fighters (along with Randy Couture) to win UFC titles in two weight classes, lightweight and featherweight. Penn has big-time knockout power, and will really look to use that strength to his advantage in this fight. Of his nine career losses, seven have been by way of decision, showing Penn can wear down the later the fight goes. When these men fought for five rounds on Aug. 28, 2010, Edgar held a dominant 94-36 edge in significant strikes. It is very difficult to beat someone three consecutive times, but that is exactly what EDGAR will do on Sunday night.

Of his 15 victories, "The Answer" Edgar has won nine of those fights by way of decision. His conditioning and stamina will be a huge advantage in this sport, as Penn will struggle to keep up with Edgar. He also has three wins by way of knockout, and three by submission. Edgar does come into the fight with an advantage on significant strikes landed (3.35 per minute, compared to 2.77 for Penn). However, the 32-year-old New Jersey can get a little sporadic with his striking, landing only 39% of those strikes. Penn, on the other hand, lands 51% of his attempts. If Edgar is able to use his speed and quickness, then he will be in great position to get the win. However, if this turns into a striking contest, Penn has a great chance of finally getting a win in this rivalry.

"The Prodigy" Penn has 16 victories in his career, with seven of those wins coming by way of knockout. He also has six wins by submission and three by decision. Of his six submission victories, five have come by his preferred method of the rear naked choke. While the 35-year-old from Hawaii does not have as high of takedown average (1.36) as Edgar (2.54), he is much more accurate when going for the big takedown (55%, compared to 35% for Edgar). This is a fight of contrasting styles, and for Penn, he can ill-afford to have this match turn into a grueling and long match. He's only 3-7-2 in fights that go the distance, but an impressive 13-2 in fights that don't last the maximum rounds. If the 5-foot-9, 145-pound Penn, who holds a three-inch height advantage over his opponent and has actually fought as high as 205 pounds, is able to set the pace and hit Edgar early in the fight, then the opportunity will be there to get the win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hurley extends lead to 2 at Greenbrier

WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS, W.Va. (AP) - Billy Hurley III doesn't plan to lose much rest sitting on a third-round lead for the first time on the PGA Tour.

The former U.S. Navy officer shot a 3-under 67 on Saturday to extend his advantage to two strokes over Angel Cabrera entering the final round of the Greenbrier Classic.

''I've been working for a long time to win on the PGA Tour,'' Hurley said. ''I figure if I shoot the lowest score tomorrow, I can't lose.''

Hurley never relinquished the lead he has held since midway through the second round at Old White TPC. He birdied the par-5 12th and par-4 13th before dropping a stroke on the par-3 15th.

He had a 12-under 198 total. No third-round leader has won the Greenbrier Classic, now in its fifth year. Playoffs have decided the tournament twice.

Cabrera shot 64. He's looking for his first non-major win on the PGA Tour.

Kevin Chappell was third at 9 under after a 69. Steve Stricker had a 68 to top the group at 8 under.

There will be more than a trophy to raise and a $1.2 million winner's check available Sunday. The four best finishers not previously eligible for the British Open among the top 12 on the final leaderboard will earn spots in the July 17-20 tournament at Royal Liverpool.

Hurley finished his five-year Navy service in 2009 and would still be a naval officer if golf wasn't keeping him busy. He returned to the PGA Tour this year after playing on the Web.com Tour in 2013.

He said nerves won't play a part in how he gets ready for what could be a memorable Sunday.

''I'm going to keep doing what I'm doing,'' he said. ''I just want to put my mind in position so that I can play well. I slept fine last night. The benefit of the Navy if you learn how to sleep anywhere. I think I'll sleep fine tonight, too.''

Cabrera wore an Argentine blue shirt in the third round and is riding his country's momentum in the World Cup, including Saturday's 1-0 win over Belgium to advance to the semifinal round.

''I was very happy when I found out they won,'' Cabrera said, adding that he was equally as giddy when he started his round with four birdies on the first six holes.

Old White sets up nicely for Cabrera's long drives and he made four birdie putts of 19 feet or longer.

''I was able to get the speed of the greens, and that was the big difference,'' Cabrera said.

At the Wells Fargo Championship in May, Cabrera was the second-round leader but closed with a pair of 75s.

Another under-par round Sunday would mark the first time that he has had four rounds in the 60s since the 2010 Deutsche Bank Championship.

Chappell barely got anything going until making a 12-foot putt for birdie on the par-5 17th.

''I don't think I've had my best ball-striking day yet,'' he said. ''Hopefully, my putter gets hot and (it) should be fun.''

Joining Stricker in the group at 8 under were Michael Thompson (64), Cameron Tringale (64), Will Wilcox (65), Joe Durant (66), Camilo Villegas (67) and Chris Stroud (70).

Stricker, in his eighth tour event this year, will compete next week at John Deere and is leaning against going to the British Open unless he has one or more high finishes before then.

The highlight of Stricker's third round was a bending 42-foot putt for birdie on the first hole. He was 1 over on his round at the turn before making three birdies the rest of the day.

''Anything can happen and that's the truth,'' Stricker said. ''There are not a lot of guys in between me and the lead ... but there are a ton of guys right behind us. So anybody can come out of the pack here.''

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wright returns to Mets' lineup
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

New York Mets third baseman David Wright is back in the lineup for Saturday's game against the Texas Rangers.

Wright has been out with a bruised rotator cuff in his left shoulder. He is batting third and playing third base.

The club was hopeful that Wright would return Friday for the start of a 10-game homestand but he was unable to go. Wright missed the final six games of a 1-7 road trip and left the Mets a season-worst 10 games out of first place in the National League East after being swept in a three-game series against the Atlanta Braves.

Wright was not with the team in Atlanta, instead receiving treatment in New York on his non-throwing shoulder that forced him out of the June 26 game at the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Mets avoided placing Wright on the 15-day disabled list while playing a man short for the past seven games. Eric Campbell filled in for Wright at third base.

Wright had a 10-game hitting streak in which he was batting .385 with two home runs and seven RBIs despite dealing with discomfort in the shoulder for more than two weeks.

For the season, Wright is batting .277 with six homers and 41 RBIs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

After sacrificing two top prospects, the A’s are now all in for 2014
Matthew Pouliot

A’s general manager Billy Beane was famously quoted in Moneyball saying “my #@!% doesn’t work in the playoffs. My job is to get us to the playoffs.”

He couldn’t possibly have made it any more clear Friday that he no longer feels that way.

In trading his preseason No. 1 and No. 2 prospects to the Cubs for Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel, Beane was trying to give a team that’s been baseball’s best for three months a better chance of being its best in October.

It was easily the boldest move Beane had pulled off since he traded Carlos Gonzalez, Huston Street and Greg Smith to the Rockies for Matt Holliday following the 2008 season. That deal proved to be one of Beane’s worst, as Holliday was traded again for a disappointing haul at midseason and the 2009 A’s floundered to a 75-87 record.

This time, the A’s cashed in one of the game’s 10 best prospects in 2012 first-round pick Addison Russell, plus 2013 first-round pick Billy McKinney. It’s a huge blow to a minor league system that hasn’t been churning out a lot of talent. In fact, the only A’s draft picks to suit up for the team this year are Sonny Gray, Sean Doolittle (a first baseman-turned-closer) and Dan Straily. Straily was also sent to the Cubs as part of the deal.

In return, the A’s acquired half of their upcoming postseason rotation, bumping Jesse Chavez and Tommy Milone to also-ran roles, if everything goes according to plan. Chavez will most likely stay in the rotation for now, but given that his career high for innings is 130 (and he’s at 103 right now), the A’s might have been surmising that he’d wear down. Milone, who has a fine 3.55 ERA this year, is likely to get bumped to the pen or to Triple-A.

It’s curious that the A’s didn’t instead target an ace like David Price or Cole Hamels if they were willing to part with Russell. But there’s no denying how effective Samardzija and Hammel have been this year. They both had ERAs a bit under 3.00 for the Cubs, with practically identical strikeout rates (103 strikeouts in 108 innings for Samardzija, 104 in 108 2/3 innings for Hammel). But neither have the October track record another GM might have preferred. Samardzija, a career Cub, has never pitched in the postseason. Hammel has made three postseason starts with a 4.80 ERA. One concern with him is that he’s never topped 180 innings. Right now, he’s on pace to pitch 200 in the regular season alone.

So, the A’s are certainly a better team now. But they were almost certainly October-bound whether or not they made the trade. Perhaps they were worried that the Angels, who look like the AL’s second best team, could overtake them in the AL West, putting them in a wild card game. Clearly, their chances in October are much better if they avoid that fate. Still, Samardzija and Hammel only move the needle so much in the postseasson, and the long-term future doesn’t look so healthy.

As terrific of a job that Beane has done finding bargains like Josh Donaldson, Brandon Moss, Chavez, John Jaso and others, the price to keep all of those players in arbitration is about to go through the roof in the coming years, and Beane is going to have to pull off more miracles to supplement his core talent if the farm system isn’t up to the task. Now not only are they going to pay Samardzija about $10 million next year (Hammel is a free agent at season’s end, Samardzija has one year of arbitration left), but they lost the chance to save about $5 million at shortstop by replacing Jed Lowrie with Russell.

If it were anyone except Beane in charge, I’d say the A’s window is now this year and next, with a bleak period to follow. But maybe he’ll keep it going. And if he can bring a world championship to Oakland before then, then that long-term price hardly matters.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Blue Jays' starter scorching hot on the road
Justin Hartling

Drew Hutchison has been dominant for the Blue Jays on the road this season. In Hutchison's last six road starts the Jays are 5-1 and bettors have cashed in on the under five times.

Hutchison has only surrendered 10 runs over those six games and has kept the other team scoreless three times.



Royals shakey at best against Indians pitcher

The Kansas City Royals will be staring down Corey Kluber Sunday, which does not bode well for them. The Royals are 1-5 in their last six games against the Cleveland Indians when Kluber starts.

The Royals have whiffed an average of six times per game, including a dominant 11 K performance by Kluber earlier this season.



Little-known pitcher strong against Astros

The Los Angeles Angels will be sending Garrett Richards to the mound against the Houston Astros Sunday. The 'Halos' are 4-1 in Richards last against the Astros.

Richards has supplied a bend don't break method giving up double-digit hits twice in that span, but has allowed less than three runs per game.



Young lefty pitching well for Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates can often go unnoticed after years of terrible baseball, but pitcher Jeff Locke should not be ignored. The Pirates have won Locke's last four starts with the young lefty never allowing more than three runs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Price, Porcello square off Sunday night
By: Freddy Wander - StatFox


TAMPA BAY RAYS (40-50) at DETROIT TIGERS (48-36)

First pitch: Sunday, 8:10 p.m. ET

Line and Total: Rays -110, Tigers +110, Total 7.5


The Rays and Tigers do battle Sunday night in the finale of their four-game series.

Tampa Bay has been having a dreadful season, but has turned it on lately by going 7-2 over its past nine games through Thursday. Six of those victories came against division rivals, and in the Rays' most recent series, they swept the Yankees in three games; allowing just seven runs in the set. But their offense was able to muster only two hits in their 8-1 defeat at the hands of the Tigers on Thursday, with OF Desmond Jennings (.241 BA) having one of those hits and is 5-for-13 with two doubles and two runs in his past three contests. Detroit has once again taken a strong five-game lead in the AL Central, coming away with victories in 12 of the past 14 contests entering Friday. Max Scherzer gave his club eight innings of two-hit, one-run baseball in the series-opening rout, and was backed by home runs from 2B Ian Kinsler, DH Victor Martinez and OF Torii Hunter. Kinsler has been on fire over his past 10 games coming into Friday, going 16-for-40 (.400) with two doubles, three homers, 10 RBI and nine runs. Sunday's pitching matchup is a great one, as Rays LHP David Price (7-7, 3.50 ERA) goes toe-to-toe with RHP Rick Porcello (11-4, 3.12 ERA) for the Tigers. The road has not been easy for Tampa Bay, as it has gone just 19-25 in away games through Thursday, but Detroit is a pedestrian 23-19 in front of its hometown fans this season. Over the past three years, the Tigers hold a 9-5 edge in this series, which includes a 5-2 record at home.

Amidst all of the frequent trade rumors surrounding David Price, he has managed to put together another solid season while dropping his ERA from 4.42 to his current 3.50 over his past seven starts. In that time he has posted five double-digit strikeout performances and 69 punch-outs in 53.2 innings (11.6 K/9). Overall on the year he has mowed down 10.5 batters per nine innings while having a miniscule 1.2 BB/9, but his 17 home runs allowed are tied for second-worst in the league. In Price’s last outing, he went seven strong innings while allowing only one run on four hits and three walks with nine strikeouts in a win over the Yankees. In his career against Detroit, Price has gone 4-1 in seven games (5 starts) with a 2.23 ERA and 1.10 WHIP, and has allowed just one home run in 36.1 frames. DH Victor Martinez is one player that has owned the lefty over his career, going 8-for-17 with two doubles, three homers and 5 RBI. On the other hand, 1B Miguel Cabrera (1-for-14, 6 K’s) and OF Austin Jackson (2-for-14, 8 K’s) have had no luck in the matchup. Prior to Friday’s contest, the Rays bullpen has gone 14-14 with a 3.80 ERA and 1.22 WHIP while saving 17-of-25 (68%) games. Grant Balfour has lost his job as closer and Joel Peralta (4.00 ERA, 1 save), Jake McGee (1.21 ERA, 3 saves) and Juan Oviedo (2.48 ERA, 1 save) are all getting chances to earn ninth-inning appearances.

Rick Porcello became the first Tigers’ pitcher since 1944 to throw two consecutive complete-game shutouts when he dominated Oakland in his last start, allowing just four hits while failing to record either a strikeout or walk. Overall in his past three starts (24 IP), Porcello has given up just 13 hits while holding his opponents scoreless and going 3-0. At just 25 years old, Porcello already has nearly 1,000 innings (975.1 IP) and has put together six straight seasons of double-digit wins despite striking out just 5.4 batters per nine innings over his career. He has been somewhat lucky in 2014 though, with batters hitting .266 BABIP, while he has held a career-high 75.7% of runners on base. Against the Rays, Porcello has gone 2-2 with a 2.73 ERA and 1.06 WHIP, and has given up just one home run in that time (33 IP). OF Desmond Jennings is a solid 3-for-10 with 1 RBI in the matchup against Porcello, while 2B Ben Zobrist, 3B Evan Longoria, OF Matt Joyce and INF Sean Rodriguez have combined to go just 4-for-30 (.133) with six strikeouts against him. Through Thursday’s game, the Tigers’ bullpen has gone 11-10 with a subpar 4.61 ERA and 1.39 WHIP while converting 22-of-30 (73%) saves. Joe Nathan (6.16 ERA, 17 saves) is only 17-for-22 in his save chances and has already allowed five home runs in 30.2 innings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB PicksMilwaukee at CincinnatiThe Brewers look to follow up yesterday's 1-0 win over the Reds and come into today's contest with a 5-1 record in Yovani Gallardo's last 6 starts against Cincinnati. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+120). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


SUNDAY, JULY 6
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Milwaukee at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.832; Cincinnati (Latos) 14.676
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+120); Under


Game 953-954: Chicago Cubs at Washington (1:35 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Arrieta) 13.799; Washington (Zimmermann) 15.382
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-165); Over


Game 955-956: Arizona at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 15.733; Atlanta (Wood) 14.646
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+150); Under


Game 957-958: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Burnett) 13.318; Pittsburgh (Locke) 15.724
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-160); Over


Game 959-960: Miami at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Alvarez) 14.155; St. Louis (Gonzalez) 15.662
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-110); Over


Game 961-962: San Francisco at San Diego (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.770; San Diego (Hahn) 14.669
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 5
Vegas Line: San Diego (-125); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+105); Under


Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at Colorado (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Beckett) 17.128; Colorado (Flande) 15.566
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers 1 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-160); 11
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-160); Over


Game 965-966: Tampa Bay at Detroit (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 17.715; Detroit (Porcello) 16.933
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Detroit (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-110); Under


Game 967-968: Kansas City at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Duffy) 16.785; Cleveland (Kluber) 15.658
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); Under


Game 969-970: Baltimore at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gausman) 15.200; Boston (Peavy) 16.894
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-125); Over


Game 971-972: NY Yankees at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 14.200; Minnesota (Nolasco) 15.194
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 7
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+100); Under


Game 973-974: Seattle at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Walker) 16.152; White Sox (Noesi) 14.636
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Seattle (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-130); Over


Game 975-976: Houston at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (McHugh) 16.359; LA Angels (Richards) 17.805
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-185); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-185); Over


Game 977-978: Toronto at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Hutchison) 15.725; Oakland (Samardzija) 14.616
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+140); Under


Game 979-980: Texas at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Tepesch) 14.685; NY Mets (Wheeler) 13.766
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+100); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball PicksPhoenix at Los AngelesThe Mercury head to Los Angeles today where they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus the Sparks. Phoenix is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-1). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.


SUNDAY, JULY 6
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST


Game 601-602: Minnesota at New York (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 117.569; New York 110.527
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 7; 149
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 154 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-4 1/2); Under


Game 603-604: Phoenix at Los Angeles (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 117.257; Los Angeles 113.335
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 163
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 158 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-1); Over

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Cappers Access

Marlins -114
Rays -113

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Sunday

Cubs +150

Giants +105

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play 13-2 run Sun: Oak A's -160

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Nationals on Saturday and likes the Nats on Sunday.

The deficit is 271 sirignanos.

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Rain pushes Coke Zero 400 to Sunday start

DAYTONA BEACH, Fla. -- The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series lost to Mother Nature on Saturday night when rain forced postponement of the Coke Zero 400 at Daytona International Speedway until 11 a.m. ET Sunday.

Prerace activities are scheduled for 10:45 a.m. The green flag originally was scheduled to drop at 7:57 p.m. Saturday.

NASCAR made repeated attempts to dry the track surface to get the race in later Saturday night, but rain continued to fall, negating progress made by track drying equipment. The call was finally made by NASCAR officials to end track drying attempts when local weather radar at 9 p.m. showed rain continuing throughout the night.

The Coke Zero 400 is the second race of the season at Daytona for the Sprint Cup Series, with the first being the season-opening Daytona 500 on Feb. 23. The Daytona 500 was also delayed by rain but completed on the scheduled day in the evening rather than the afternoon. That race was won by Dale Earnhardt Jr.

Jimmie Johnson is the defending winner of the Coke Zero 400. He swept both races a year ago at the track.

When the Coke Zero takes the green flag on Sunday, David Gilliland will start the race from the pole, with Reed Sorenson alongside on the front row. Gilliland claimed the pole during a qualifying session on Friday that was shortened by rain.

Because of rain washing the rubber laid down on the track during the weekend, a competition caution will be expected around lap 20 of the race.

Landon Cassill and Bobby Labonte will start the race in the second row. It'll be the first race for Labonte since the Daytona 500.

Johnson, the defending champion, will start fifth and Earnhardt seventh.

Rain also affected the NASCAR Nationwide Series schedule at Daytona on Friday, shortening the qualifying session and delaying the start of the race by about 1 1/2 hours.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian France gives midseason state of the sport at Daytona

DAYTONA BEACH, Fla. -- If NASCAR CEO Brian France could change one thing about 2014 it might be the lousy weather that has haunted the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series schedule.

With it raining again at Daytona hours before the scheduled start of the Coke Zero 400, France addressed the national media for the first time since the implementation of the 2014 Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup qualifying format and rules package. He said the sport is pleased with the results despite its share of challenges.

"I think we can all see the benefits of changing the importance of winning (races)," France said. "It has changed the racing on the track. The drivers are telling us that. They're taking different kinds of chances. They're going for wins when they would have played it safe, otherwise.

"I think that (competition) is just going to get more intense as we close in on Richmond and set the (Chase) field there."

France predicted that the new format for crowning a champion, in which four drivers will vie for the title in the final race of the season, will also be a major positive.

"We didn't want to have a bad race or two take somebody out early on in the Chase," he said.

France conceded that there are still tweaks to be made, notably with the revised rules package for 2014.

"We're not where we want to be on that," he said, "and we're embarking on a lot of work -- a lot of science, technology and innovation -- to get the very best racing product that we can on all of the tracks. That's obviously a fundamental goal and responsibility at NASCAR."

Nasty weather and going head-to-head with Olympic and World Cup coverage have been among the challenges in 2014 as NASCAR has dealt with up-and-down TV ratings and less-than-capacity crowds at some venues.

"Some markets are doing better than they did last year, so it's a mixed bag," France said. "There are some markets that have had a lot of pressure and Dover is one of those.

"But when you go around and really look at it and all the digital interests that we have today on devices -- and that's obviously not scored currently -- we're real pleased. When you combine it all up, even with our challenges, we're still not off that much. We're never pleased when our ratings aren't growing at the rate we would like, but we understand that circumstances will always have us going one way or the other from time to time."

Overall, France said he is pleased with the economic state of the sport.

"We're on a nice, steady ground and sponsorship is coming back for us, thankfully," he said. "The business is sound and we're going forward."

France said the sport is already looking ahead to 2015, when NBC and FOX will share a new television contract and a new sponsor for the NASCAR Nationwide Series is expected to come on board.

"I think in the coming weeks we'll be getting to the end of that (sponsorship) process and we will be in very good shape when the dust settles," France said.

Speaking at Daytona International Speedway, where the $400 million-plus Daytona Rising renovation project is in full swing, France said he wouldn't be surprised if other venues follow suit to attract fans.

Noting that Daytona is where NASCAR kicks off its season, France said that facility "needs to be a spectacular place to come for our fans."

Adding new seating options, escalators and social media zones in the manner of Daytona might not make sense at every NASCAR track. But France speculated that every facility will take note of the updates.

"I think every track has to have its own identity and has to do what it thinks is important in the marketplace they compete in," he said. "Will (Daytona Rising) be something other tracks want to emulate? I think it will."

With the Daytona project being privately financed, France suggested that state and local municipalities would be well-served to help finance similar improvements that attract fans in other markets.

"Unfortunately for our industry, the speedways don't enjoy the public financing component that almost all major sports enjoy," France said. "We're hoping that gets better-balanced over time -- in other words, that communities, local governments, states will help grow these facilities like they do other stadiums and arenas."

France hinted of more changes ahead for the sport, noting that future rules, such as new engine specifications, must be "relevant," not only to current manufacturers but to manufacturers who might consider entering the NASCAR arena.

He also said NASCAR remains cognizant of lowering the cost of racing so it does not present a barrier for new teams to enter the sport or prevent smaller teams from competing effectively.

"Lowering the cost of racing, getting parity where teams can come in and have success, and making ourselves more relevant to manufacturers and partners is all part of the NASCAR business model," he said.

France predicted "robust discussion" about possible schedule changes for the 2015 season and beyond. Though not specifically addressing a FOX Sports report that Darlington Raceway could host the second race of the season, France said that weather concerns, a new television partner and the new Chase format are reasons to consider shifting some races to new dates.

"We'll be releasing that (2015 schedule) in September," France said.

One thing France does not envision changing is the site of NASCAR's title-determining venue, Homestead-Miami Speedway.

"Historically, we've liked to do it in South Florida," he said. "The weather is great that time of year. It's a good market for us and the track -- and this is an important thing -- is by any definition the best mile-and-a-half track that the drivers believe they have. They can really race hard and compete hard and that matters. When you factor all of those things in, we're going to be in Homestead for the foreseeable future."

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Primetime Sports Picks

5 Unit --> Chicago Cubs (Arrieta)/Washington (Zimmermann) UNDER 7
3 Unit --> N.Y. Yankees (Kuroda) -120 over Minnesota (Nolasco)
3 Unit --> Miami (Alvarez) -115 over St. Louis (Gonzales)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Rays at Tigers

Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers (+105, 7.5)

Logan Forsythe was struggling much like his Tampa Bay Rays in mid-June, batting .178 and spending plenty of time watching from the bench. Forsythe has batted .431 since then to help ignite the Rays, who look to finish their 11-game road trip with nine victories when they visit the Detroit Tigers on Sunday night. Runs will be hard to come by as Detroit’s Rick Porcello, coming off the first two shutouts of his career, takes the mound against David Price -- the major-league strikeout leader.

The Rays have taken two of three in the series and lost only once in their last eight as Forsythe boasts three homers and eight RBIs on the road trip. The Tigers have dropped the last two after winning 12 of their previous 14 and lead the American League Central while hot-hitting Victor Martinez is day-to-day with a sore back. J.D Martinez is 8-for-19 with two homers and five RBIs in July though for the Tigers.

TV: 8 p.m. ET; ESPN

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Tigers -104 home faves, but that line has moved to +105. The total opened 7.5.

POWER RANKINGS: Rays (+103), Tigers (-188)

INJURY REPORT: Rays: SS Yunel Escobar (Shoulder/Out), LF David DeJesus (Hand/Out) Tigers: DH Victor Martinez (Back/Doubtful)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rays LH David Price (7-7, 3.50 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Rick Porcello (11-4, 3.12)

After a five-game winless streak, Price has won three of his last four starts while yielding only seven runs over 31 1/3 innings. The Vanderbilt product leads the majors in strikeout-walk ratio (153-17, 9.00), but has surrendered 17 homers – among the most in the majors. Miguel Cabrera is only 1-for-14 with six strikeouts against Price, who is 4-1 with a 2.23 ERA in seven appearances (five starts) versus Detroit.

Before Porcello’s two shutouts, he blanked Cleveland over six innings on six hits in his previous start to begin a three-game winning streak. The 25-year-old New Jersey native has permitted two or fewer runs in 10 of his 16 starts in 2014 and 96 hits in 106 2/3 innings overall. Desmond Jennings is 3-for-10 in his career against Porcello, who is 2-2 in five career starts versus Tamps Bay with a 2.73 ERA.

TRENDS:

*Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
*Tigers are 23-7 in Porcellos last 30 starts.
*Under is 5-0 in Porcellos last 5 starts vs. Rays
*Rays are 7-16 in the last 23 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 61.9 percent of backers are taking the Tigers at +102

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EZWINNERS

3* (971) Yankees -$120
2* (972) Padres -$125

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | SAN FRANCISCO at SAN DIEGO
Play On – All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team
38-20 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.5% | 24.6 units )
4-5 this year. ( 44.4% | 0.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | KANSAS CITY at CLEVELAND
KANSAS CITY is 39-17 (+24.0 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: KANSAS CITY (4.8) , OPPONENT (3.4)

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

WNBA | PHOENIX at LOS ANGELES
Play Under – Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 very good team – outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game
212-128 since 1997. ( 62.4% | 71.2 units )
6-6 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.6 units )

WNBA | PHOENIX at LOS ANGELES
Play Against – Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (LOS ANGELES) after scoring 70 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 77 points or more in 4 straight games
29-11 since 1997. ( 72.5% | 0.0 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | MINNESOTA at NEW YORK
Play Under – Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 revenging a road loss versus opponent, playing with 3 or more days rest
152-87 since 1997. ( 63.6% | 56.3 units )
1-4 this year. ( 20.0% | -3.4 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

SAN DIEGO PADRES -120
(Hahn/Lincecum)

Tim Lincecum has not one, but two no hitters against this Padres team yet today is still the dog. This Giants team just can’t hit the ball at all and the Padres pitcher actually has better numbers in his short work this year. Look for a low scoring snoozefest. Take the Padres.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHASE DIAMOND
10* MLB DIAMOND DOG
Toronto vs. Oakland
Toronto Blue Jays +147

This game features the 47-42 Jays at the 54-33 Oakland. Oakland is making a run at the World Series getting ace Jeff Samardzija but facts are pitchers normally take a little to adjust to a new team and surroundings and this team is really laying big juice against a very capable Jays team. Drew Hutchison is no push over he is a young gun with a 6-6 3.81 ERA we will take the plus money as the public jumps all over Jeff’s first start. 62% are backing the A’s here and this line has already dropped 10 cents as Vegas looks to push more on the A’s. Take the Jays for a 10* premium winner.

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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

SOCCER
PERRY'S SELECTIONS (July -9.20)
NORWAY - TIPPELIGAEN
9:30am SANDNES ULF @ STROMSGODSET IF -297
SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
11:30am MALMO FF -150 @ IF BROMMAPOJKARNA

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GAMBLING GOD

League: MLB
Team A: Nationals
Team B: Cubs
Pick: Under 7
Risk:$120 to win $100
Time: 10:00 AM PT

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HARRY BONDI

MLB FREE PLAY

TAMPA BAY (-120) over Detroit
8:00 p.m. ET

Tough loss for us in 14 innings with the free game yesterday going against “King” Felix Hernandez. Two weeks ago Tampa manager Joe Madden said he thought his team, then 12 games behind Toronto, would still win the division. Most thought he was crazy but since then the Rays have gone 7-1! tonight under the lights of Sunday Night Baseball they send their ace David Price to the hill and we expect another Rays win. Price has yielded only seven runs over his last 31 innings pitched and leads the majors in strikeout-walk ratio (153-17, 9.00). Let’s back Price and the red hot Rays over the Tigers in Motown tonight.

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BEHIND THE BETS

Cleveland Indians
St. Louis Cardinals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon


Ben lee lost on Saturday with E Bouchard +$120/P Kvitova for $25 in the Women's Final at Wimbledon.

Ben lee won on Saturday with Netherlands -$190/Costa Rica in World Cup Soccer.

"Mr Chalk" won on Saturday in MLB in the National League with the Nationals -$142/Cubs.

For Sunday in the Men's Final at Wimbledon E&B like R Federer +$140/N Djokovic for $25.

For Sunday in MLB in the American League "Mr Chalk" likes the Angels -$190/Astros.

Ben lee is 6-5 +$215 for week Thirty Six 168-194-5 -$2914

"Mr Chalk" is 46-34 -$296 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Oakland Athletics -133 over Toronto Blue Jays - pending
Chicago Cubs +158 over Washington Nationals
(System Record: 55-0, won last 4 games)
Overall Record: 55-40

Soccer Crusher
VPS + FF Jaro UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Finland
(System Record: 604-21, won last 10 games and a push)
Overall Record: 604-496-86

Here are the rest of his baseball plays for today...


Baseball
Boston Red Sox -124 over Baltimore O's
San Diego Padres -119 over SF Giants
Detroit Tigers +100 over Tampa Bay Rays

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS WAGERS

Seattle -1 -103 over CHICAGO

Hector Noesi has appeared in 82 games since 2011 with 33 of those coming as a starter. His ERA year by year including this year: 4.47, 5.82, 6.59, 5.07 and 5.33 That translates into a career ERA of 5.47 and 36 of Noesi’s appearances occurred when he was a Mariner pitching half his games in an extreme pitcher’s park. Noesi’s groundball/line-drive/fly-ball is 38%/22%/40% and that is exactly the same as he’s posted over his career. In his 33 career starts, he has seven quality one’s. Noesi also took abuse at Tacoma (5.83 ERA) last year, which indicates that his promotions were not merit-based. We've seen worse base skills but he needs some extra fastball juice or a more of a groundball lean to take the next step. That’s never happened and we're not optimistic that it will happen. At U.S. Cellular, Noesi has walked 20 batters in 44 innings, he’s 1-4 with a 5.94 ERA, an xERA of 5.60, a 1.46 WHIP, and an oppBA of .295.

The Mariners are nine games over .500. They have one of the best road records in the majors at 27-17 and their only loss over their last six games occurred against Cy Young front-runner, Chris Sale. Taijuan Walker is back with the big club after making three late-season starts for Seattle in ’13. The 21-year-old was expected to start ’14 in the Mariners rotation, but spent some time on the DL and in the minors rehabbing a shoulder injury. The prospect resume is impressive for Walker—he came into the ’14 season with the following ratings: top Seattle prospect in the M's Organization Report, #4 on the minor-league prospect list and the top overall starting pitcher in the 2014 Minor League Baseball Analyst. Walker is extremely athletic and has become even more dangerous as he’s improved his command each season. He works off a plus-plus fastball that he dials up to 98 mph with excellent life. His second plus pitch is an upper 80s mph slider. He uses both the fastball and slider to register lots of strikeouts. Rounding out the arsenal is a solid-average change-up that has the potential to become even better, and an average curve. Walker has demonstrated all the traits an ace starter should possess—plus pitches, good pitch mix, attacking hitters, durability, and good mound presence. Over 411 minor league innings, Walker has a 3.48 ERA, 9.8 K’s/9 and has held opposing batters to a .222 BA. Still awfully young and the usual perils apply (inconsistency, monitored workloads) but this is a potential gem that's close to being ready, which makes us instant investors against a free-swinging White Sox team that has struck out the third most times in the majors.


Milwaukee/CINCINNATI Over 7½+100

In the first two games of this series the Reds and Brewers have combined to score seven runs. That sets this one up for a beatable total and we’re all over it. Matt Latos has a 2.45 ERA this season but it’s a small sample size since he’s only started four games. Latos spent the first 2½ months of the season on the DL and only has 26 innings to show for this year. Latos’ 2.45 ERA is not supported by his skills. His groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rates of 39%/23%/38% are a disaster waiting to happen at this park and today could very well be the day we see that disaster. Latos has a lucky HR/f rate of 3% so it’s only a matter of time before those fly-balls start leaving the yard. Latos’ strikeouts are down too, as he only has 15 in 26 innings and even if he’s sharper than we expect, he’s still very likely to give up two or more. These Brewers are very capable of going deep.

Then there’s Yovani Gallardo. Gallardo was hot for a while but he’s showing signs of tailing off, just like he did last year when the innings started to pile up. In July of last year, Gallardo posted a 7.28 ERA with an oppBA of .311 over four starts. He has hammered at home in his last start against Colorado and a similar fate could be waiting for him here. Reds batters have pounded Gallardo in the past with a batting line of .296/.363/.474. This is an extreme hitter’s park and it’s not often we get a number like this when two very average pitchers hook up. We’ll look to take advantage.


Baltimore +105 over BOSTON

The Red Sox have dropped four of five, they’re nine games under .500 and they’re just a half game out of last place in the AL East. These two split a DH yesterday, which makes for a long and grueling day at this time of the year. We expect the Red Sox to be quite a bit more lethargic than the Orioles and that’s because Baltimore is a winning ball club that is in first place. You see, losing takes a far bigger toll, which is what Boston is dealing with and Jake Peavy is dealing with also. Peavy has one win in 17 starts this year. Boston has just one win in Peavy’s last 12 starts. One problem is that he's walking a lot more batters than usual, leading to the worst command in his 13-year career. In 105 innings, Peavy has walked 40 batters and he’s also throwing too many pitches out of the strike zone that hitters are not swinging at. Peavy’s velocity is down and if we look at his strike zone percentage, we can see that it is also way down. His PITCHf/x zone percentage has him nearly 4% below average this season, and he is in the bottom 15 among qualified starters in zone percentage overall. That’s not necessarily a death sentence — Masahiro Tanaka is even lower than Peavy on the list, and he is doing just fine. The difference, of course, is that Tanaka is getting hitters to swing at 49.9 percent of the pitches he throws, whereas Peavy is at just 44.1%. Another difference is that when hitters swing at Tanaka’s pitches, they make contact just 68.5% of the time, while Peavy’s contact rate is 81.3%. Neither Peavy’s swing percentage nor contact percentage put him among the league stragglers but taken in context with his zone percentage, it’s not exactly encouraging. Jake Peavy is a frustrated pitcher, who knows he can’t challenge hitters like he used to.

Kevin Gausman has made just five starts this season and just 25 appearances (10 starts) over his career. With a career ERA of 5.00 and an ERA of 5.66 last season, Gausman’s stock hasn’t soared yet so now is the time to buy low. Gausman entered 2014 as the #18 prospect in the minors and he certainly has the stuff and makeup to front a rotation. He’s an athletic pitcher (6’3, 190 lbs.) with a plus fastball, change-up, and command. He mixes his pitches nicely and can command all four, pounding strikes to all quadrants of the plate. His fastball, which can reach 99 MPH, shows excellent movement and he gets nice fading action on his change-up. The Orioles decided Gausman's slider would become his primary breaking pitch and it shows good depth and bite. Gausman was sent to the low minors recently and spent a week there to just get some work in while the team was deciding what to do with its surplus of starters. Prior to giving up five runs in five innings and getting beat by Tampa Bay in his last start on June 27, Gausman had allowed just two earned runs over his previous three starts covering 19 innings. Gausman has a huge ceiling and with the potential to be a strong strikeout/groundball pitcher, this is very likely going to be one of the last months to get him cheap. The fact that he and the Orioles are a pup against the reeling Red Sox just adds to the appeal of this wager.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS HANDICAPPER KING

MLB
NY Yankees
Tampa Bay

Freeloader
Washington Nationals RL -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker

Houston/LAA OVER 7.5
LAA -1.5
Toronto/Oakland UNDER 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Sunday, July 6


Red Sox cold for bettors with Peavy starting

It certainly hasn't been a banner first half of the season for the Boston Red Sox, but the AL East club has been ice cold for bettors when Jake Peavy gets the start.

The righty is an abysmal 1-7 on the season and the Red Sox have dropped six-straight ball games that he's started.

He'll get the start versus the Baltimore Orioles Sunday afternoon. The Sox are currently -110 home faves with a total of 9.


Edwin Encarnacion, Toronto - Ques Sun

Encarnacion left Saturday's game with an apparent leg injury and is questionable to play Sunday against the Athletics.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SHAKER'S SHORTS (NASCAR early)

Austin Dillon -120 verses Ricky Stenhouse Jr
Danica Patrick -120 verses Micheal Waltrip
Brian Vickers +115 verses Ryan Newman
Jeff Gordon Top 10 Finish -120
Your Book might display as Over/Under 10.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River city sharps

Arrieta at +150 against anyone and we are taking him. And with the Nationals scoring 13 runs last night, tough to back that up with another good offensive performance. Great value with the road dog here this afternoon. The Sharps say…

3 units - chicago cubs (+150)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

100* Yankees -120
100* Over 7 - Mets vs Rangers
50* Dodgers -145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System


extra bonus system for today:


Baltimore Orioles +106 over the Boston Red Sox (Bet Level 1) (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 1:35 PM EST - EARLY PLAY ALERT

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Sunday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Mariners are 0-13 since May 24, 2011 after an extra inning win and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1327 when playing against.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY

When Tim Lincecum starts the Giants are 0-12 since June 29, 2011 on the road after he had a WHIP of less than one and allowed less than five hits in his last start for a net profit of $1231 when playing against.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The Cubs are 4-15 since June 20, 2013 as a road 140+ dog it is the last game of the series.

CHOICE TREND:

The Reds are 11-0 since May 30, 2011 as a favorite after a loss in which their starter pitched at least 8 innings for a net profit of $1100.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

When Mat Latos starts the Reds are 14-2 since April 29, 2012 as a home 140+ favorite after a quality start for a net profit of $1005.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Marzano

Oakland -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

'Rubber Match'

The closing matchup of a three game series is today’s baseball betting focus as the Washington Nationals host the Chicago Cubs this afternoon at Nationals Park. Right-hander Jordan Zimmermann will toe the rubber for Matt Williams’s squad, bringing a 6-4 record to the hill with a 2.95 ERA. Zimmermann ended the month of June 3-2 but the record does not give justice to current form. The hurler had six quality starts over the month allowing 2 or less runs in each contest. Zimmermann will be matching pitches with Cubbies' right-hander Jake Arrieta, who had a perfect 4-0 month of June moving the mark to 5-1 on the year with a miniscule 1.81 ERA. A few telling baseball betting stats that leap out in this one. Washington has won 5 of it's last 7 rubber matches at Nationals Park including a perfect 2-0 handing the ball to Zimmermann. Washington is 7-3 in Zimmermann's last 10 July starts, 13-6 at home with the hurler following a winning team effort the previous day. Nats have also flourished when Zimmermann has been a home favorite of -$1.50 or more, with a 15-3 record. Those numbers are compelling reasons to back Nats w/Zimmermann but what`s eye-opening, Cubbies' Arrieta takes to the hill with a dreadful 1-9 team start record in July.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY

#951 MILWAUKEE @ #952 CINCINNATI - 1:10 PM
•Brewers RH Yovani Gallardo (5-5, 3.51 ERA, WHIP: 1.237) - After posting a 1.00 ERA over his previous four starts, Gallardo was pounded for a season-high eight runs (five earned) on 10 hits in Sunday’s 10-4 setback against the Colorado Rockies. "I just know coming out watching him throw – I know when he's off – and you look at the great curveball he's had for quite a while now, he didn't have it today," Milwaukee manager Ron Roenicke told the team’s official site following the game. Gallardo is 0-1 with a 3.46 ERA in two turns versus the Reds this season and 7-7 with a 4.26 ERA in 22 all-time starts against them.

--KEY STAT:GALLARDO is 20-5 (+14.6 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GALLARDO 5.6, OPPONENT 3.4.

--GALLARDO is 28-7 (+18.9 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GALLARDO 5.8, OPPONENT 3.1.

--GALLARDO is 23-8 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GALLARDO 5.1, OPPONENT 3.6.

--GALLARDO is 19-6 against the run line (+15.3 Units) versus an National League team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GALLARDO 5.6, OPPONENT 3.4.

--GALLARDO is 20-8 against the run line (+13.8 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GALLARDO 5.4, OPPONENT 3.5.

•Reds RH Mat Latos (1-1, 2.45 ERA, WHIP: 0.818) - Latos and reliever Sam LeCure combined on a one-hitter against the San Diego Padres on Monday, but it wasn’t enough for Latos as the Reds failed to produce any offense for him against his former team in a 1-0 loss. The outing marked the third time in his four turns this season in which the 26-year-old Virginia native allowed fewer than two runs. Latos settled for a no-decision in his season debut against the Brewers on June 14 despite giving up only two hits over six scoreless frames and is 2-4 with a 3.28 ERA in nine career starts against them.

--KEY STAT:LATOS is 21-6 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LATOS 5.7, OPPONENT 3.8.

--LATOS is 11-3 against the run line (+9.9 Units) when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LATOS 6.4, OPPONENT 4.5.

#953 CHICAGO CUBS @ #954 WASHINGTON - 1:35 PM
•Cubs RH Jake Arrieta (5-1, 1.81 ERA, WHIP: 1.005) - Arrieta struck out 10 in the dominating performance against Boston and has 46 against just three walks over his last 34 2/3 innings. He has won four consecutive strong outings and hasn't allowed more than five hits in any of his last five trips to the mound. Arrieta is 0-1 with a 6.84 ERA in five career starts against Washington.

--KEY STAT:ARRIETA is 11-3 (+10.2 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ARRIETA 3.9, OPPONENT 2.5.

--ARRIETA is 13-6 (+9.7 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ARRIETA 4.5, OPPONENT 2.9.

--ARRIETA is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ARRIETA 3.0, OPPONENT 1.3.

•Nationals RH Jordan Zimmermann (6-4, 2.95 ERA, WHIP: 1.186) - Zimmermann has won just one of his last four turns despite allowing just seven runs in 27 innings during the stretch. He beat Colorado on his last outing when he gave up two runs and seven hits over six innings. Zimmermann is 1-4 with a 5.59 ERA in six career starts against the Cubs.

--KEY STAT: ZIMMERMANN is 33-11 (+17.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ZIMMERMANN 5.3, OPPONENT 3.1.

--ZIMMERMANN is 8-0 OVER (+8.1 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ZIMMERMANN 7.5, OPPONENT 3.4.

--ZIMMERMANN is 12-2 OVER (+9.9 Units) in home games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was ZIMMERMANN 5.8, OPPONENT 4.9.

--ZIMMERMANN is 11-2 OVER (+8.9 Units) in home games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ZIMMERMANN 5.8, OPPONENT 4.3.

#955 ARIZONA @ #956 ATLANTA - 1:35 PM
•Diamondbacks LH Wade Miley (3-6, 4.61 ERA, WHIP: 1.271) - Miley’s past seven starts have ended as one-run games, and 15 of his 18 starts have been decided by a margin that is two or fewer. He struck out 10 in eight innings Tuesday at Pittsburgh, allowing two runs on four hits with no walks in a no-decision. Miley permitted one earned run in seven innings against the Braves on June 7, receiving a no-decision in a game that Arizona won 4-3.

--KEY STAT:MILEY is 16-4 against the run line (+13.0 Units) versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILEY 3.9, OPPONENT 3.1.

--MILEY is 11-2 against the run line (+10.0 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILEY 4.8, OPPONENT 2.5.

--MILEY is 19-3 against the run line (+13.4 Units) as a road underdog when the run line price is -190 to +165 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILEY 3.8, OPPONENT 3.3.

•Braves LH Alex Wood (6-6, 3.19 ERA, WHIP: 1.214) - Wood has made two strong starts since returning to the starting rotation, giving up three runs on nine hits with two walks and 11 strikeouts in 13 innings. After beating the Astros on June 25 with seven innings of shutout pitching, he received a no-decision against the Mets on Monday after allowing three runs on six hits. Wood pitched twice in relief against Arizona last month, giving up a hit in 1 1/3 scoreless innings.

#957 PHILADELPHIA @ #958 PITTSBURGH - 1:35 PM
•Phillies RH A.J. Burnett (5-7, 3.92 ERA, WHIP: 1.359) - Burnett received a no-decision in his last outing against Miami on Tuesday despite registering double-digit strikeouts (10) for the second time this season. The 37-year-old was blitzed in his last meeting with his former team, allowing seven runs on six hits in two innings. Burnett, who posted a 26-21 mark in two seasons (2012-13) with the Pirates, hasn't permitted a homer in his last three outings and has yielded just nine on the season.

--KEY STAT: BURNETT is 19-43 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was BURNETT 3.5, OPPONENT 4.5.

--BURNETT is 12-36 (-24.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7.5 or less since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was BURNETT 3.1, OPPONENT 5.1.

•Pirates LH Jeff Locke (1-1, 3.46 ERA, WHIP: 1.008) - Locke settled for his third no-decision in four contests despite allowing two runs on eight hits - all singles - in as many innings versus Arizona on Tuesday. The 26-year-old has lowered his ERA with each start and has only permitted two homers in six outings (41 2/3 innings). Locke won both of his career meetings with Philadelphia, posting a 1.54 ERA while limiting the opposition to a .214 batting average.

--KEY STAT: LOCKE is 4-14 (-13.6 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOCKE 3.0, OPPONENT 5.3.

--LOCKE is 2-13 against the run line (-12.1 Units) versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOCKE 3.6, OPPONENT 5.5.
____________________________________________

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"You'll be real Glad you did” -Stan!
_______________________________

#959 MIAMI @ #960 ST LOUIS - 2:15 PM
•Marlins RH Henderson Alvarez (5-3, 2.33 ERA, WHIP: 1.269) - Henderson was in line for his third consecutive victory before the bullpen yielded back-to-back homers in the eighth against Philadelphia on Tuesday. The 24-year-old has kept the ball in the park in each of his last nine outings and hasn't lost since May 11. Henderson has struggled while pitching on the road, posting a 1-2 mark while registering a 1.61 WHIP and allowing the opposition to bat .328 against him.

--KEY STAT: ALVAREZ is 10-2 (+8.9 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was ALVAREZ 4.3, OPPONENT 3.3.

--ALVAREZ is 10-3 (+7.9 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was ALVAREZ 4.0, OPPONENT 3.4.

--ALVAREZ is 12-4 (+8.9 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was ALVAREZ 3.9, OPPONENT 3.0.

--ALVAREZ is 7-0 (+7.3 Units) against the money line after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was ALVAREZ 3.4, OPPONENT 2.4.

--ALVAREZ is 12-1 against the run line (+11.0 Units) in road games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ALVAREZ 3.7, OPPONENT 3.2.

•Cardinals LH Marco Gonzales (0-1, 9.64 ERA, WHIP: 2.144) - After allowing five runs - including a homer - on seven hits in his major-league debut, Gonzalez permitted the same numbers en route to dropping a 5-0 decision against San Francisco on Tuesday. The 22-year-old was tentatively scheduled to be shipped back to the minors as Joe Kelly nears a return from a hamstring injury, but that was before left-hander Jaime Garcia announced that he is leaning toward season-ending surgery. Gonzales, who is the 19th overall pick of the 2013 draft, boasts an impressive changeup but needs more seasoning in order to remain in the Cardinals' rotation.

#961 SAN FRANCISCO @ #962 SAN DIEGO - 4:10 PM
•Giants RH Tim Lincecum (7-5, 4.06 ERA, WHIP: 1.284) - Lincecum enters Sunday’s contest riding a 17-inning scoreless streak after he tossed eight frames against St. Louis last Tuesday. The two-time National League Cy Young Award winner is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in two starts against San Diego this season, including his second career no-hitter on June 25 in San Francisco. Chase Headley is 13-for-49 with four homers against Lincecum, who is 8-3 with a 2.68 ERA in 15 career starts at Petco Park.

--KEY STAT: LINCECUM is 12-1 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LINCECUM 7.0, OPPONENT 2.2.

--LINCECUM is 11-0 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LINCECUM 7.0, OPPONENT 2.8.

--LINCECUM is 10-2 against the run line (+10.0 Units) versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was LINCECUM 4.7, OPPONENT 3.2.

--LINCECUM is 7-0 against the run line (+8.7 Units) in day games this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was LINCECUM 5.0, OPPONENT 2.7.

--LINCECUM is 21-5 OVER (+16.1 Units) on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LINCECUM 4.9, OPPONENT 5.5.

•Padres RH Jesse Hahn (4-1, 1.95 ERA, WHIP: 1.048) - Hahn struck out a career-high nine batters in five scoreless innings against Cincinnati on Monday, and he hasn’t allowed more than two runs in four of his first five starts. “We’re watching this kid develop and liking what we’re seeing,” manager Bud Black told reporters. “We’ve been impressed by his work so far.” The 24-year-old, who was acquired from Tampa Bay during the offseason, faced the Giants on June 24 and earned the win after yielding two runs over six frames.

#963 LA DODGERS @ #964 COLORADO - 4:10 PM
•Dodgers RH Josh Beckett (5-5, 2.37 ERA, WHIP: ) - Beckett tossed seven scoreless innings in back-to-back outings before giving up five runs and six hits over five frames in a loss to Cleveland on Tuesday. He had allowed just six earned runs in seven starts before struggling against the Indians. Beckett is 5-3 with a 3.86 ERA in 10 career starts against Colorado and received a no-decision on April 25, when he held the Rockies to two runs and four hits in eight innings.

--KEY STAT: BECKETT is 7-16 (-13.7 Units) against the money line versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BECKETT 3.0, OPPONENT 4.3.

--BECKETT is 14-23 (-14.7 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BECKETT 3.4, OPPONENT 3.8.

--BECKETT is 10-22 (-17.5 Units) against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BECKETT 3.6, OPPONENT 4.8.

•Rockies LH Yohan Flande (0-1, 6.10 ERA, WHIP: ) - Flande is making his third major-league start and has yet to pitch six innings. He gave up four runs in five frames in his debut against St. Louis on June 25 and allowed three runs and six hits in 5 1/3 innings while losing to Washington in his last turn. The 28-year-old Flande was 2-9 with a 4.42 ERA at Triple-A Colorado Springs prior to being recalled.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY

***** Sunday, 7/6/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_________________________________________________

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #14
•The Quiet Stability Of The Brewers' Rotation: When you think of what drives the success of the 2014 Brewers, who have now spent 85 days in first place in the eminently respectable National League Central, you probably think of offense. After all, this is a team that ranks third in the NL in runs scored and OPS and second in homers. There's no doubt that Milwaukee can put runs on the board, but not to be overlooked is the performance of the rotation -- a rotation that in 2014 can be described as one of the most reliable in the game.

What does it mean to say that a rotation in reliable? Well, to be sure, calling Matt Garza's Saturday performance against the Reds "reliable" (1-0 shutout victory, nine Ks against just two walks) is to give him short shrift. He was brilliant. In the main, though, Brewers starters this season have answered the bell and kept the team in games. That's the essence of reliability -- stability and consistency -- at least in the positive sense of the term.

In some ways, the Milwaukee rotation hasn't been a team strength this season. After all, they presently rank ninth in the National League in starters' ERA and 11th in starters' WAR. In another regard, however, they're doing their job, especially on a team that's scoring 4.48 runs per game.

This season, just two teams have used as few as six starters -- the Brewers and the Tigers. It's of course no coincidence that each of those teams is in first place. The Tigers, though, are a team we associate with having a bedrock rotation throughout recent history. The Brewers, though, are coming off a 2013 season in which 12 different pitchers made at least one start. There are no absolutes, of course, but generally speaking cycling through a lot of different starters does not yield positive results. This season, though, Kyle Lohse, Garza, Wily Peralta, Yovani Gallardo and Marco Estrada have combined to start all but one of Milwaukee's games. The only exception is the start made by Jimmy Nelson on May 25. (To be sure, there's a strong case to be made that Nelson should replace Estrada in the Milwaukee rotation, but that's a separate discussion.)

Consider all of that the "stability" component. As for consistency, consider the following NL ranks of the Brewers' rotation in 2014: second in innings per start and third in quality start percentage. That's important. While the Brewers would of course like to see its starters improve upon those 4.11 runs/game they're allowing, those same starters are generally avoiding the disaster outing and they're also easing the bullpen workload by pitching deeply into games (the Brewers' bullpen has thrown the fourth-fewest innings in the NL). There's your consistency.

None of this is to say the Brewers have one of the best rotations in the league -- they don't. However, given how many runs the offense tends to score, that rotation is doing its job in a very important sense. It's a stable and reliable unit, and right now that's more than enough for the best team in the National League.

•Rockies' Troy Tulowitzki Sounds Open To Being Traded: As recently as May 7, the Rockies were tied for first place in the National League West. Now, not even two months hence, they're 13 games out of first place and on pace for 95 losses. Such drain-circling once again raises the possibility that the Rockies will engage in the sell-off as the July 31 non-waiver trade deadline approaches. Needless to say, the Rockies have no more valuable commodity than All-Star shortstop Troy Tulowitzki, who's healthy and in vintage form thus far in 2014. Regarding that tantalizing possibility, Tulo himself sounds open to the idea of changing addresses at the deadline. Here's what he recently told Mark Kiszla of the Denver Post:

"In Todd Helton, there's someone who's easy to look at his career here and how it played out. I have the utmost respect for Todd, but at the same time, I don't want to be the next in line as somebody who was here for a long time and didn't have a chance to win every single year. He played in a couple postseason games and went to one World Series. But that's not me. I want to be somewhere where there's a chance to be in the playoffs every single year."

On the one hand, Tulowitzki is signed through 2020 and owed, after this season, a minimum of $118 million. As well, if Tulowitzki is traded while under his current contract, then he gets a $2-million assignment payout and a full no-trade clause. All that said, we're talking about a plus-fielding shortstop who at the plate owns a career OPS+ of 125 and appears to be in his prime. The injury history can't be ignored, but Tulo is a frontline performer in every sense of the word. And frontline performers cost money, as they should. While it's hard to imagine his playing in another uniform, Tulowitzki easily become the star of the deadline -- even a deadline that includes David Price -- if the Rockies decide it's time to tear it down.

•Jaime Garcia To Undergo Surgery, Miss Rest Of Season: Cardinals lefty Jaime Garcia hasn't pitched since June 20 because of shoulder inflammation, and now it appears the often-injured soon to be 28 year old will miss the remainder of the 2014 season. That's straight from the mouth of GM John Mozeliak, so presumably the decision is made.

The procedure to treat thoracic outlet syndrome typically involves removing a rib, so the time-table for recovery is indeed a fairly lengthy one. Garcia has been on the DL six times in his career and has managed a total of just 220 2/3 innings since the start of the 2012 season. For his career, Garcia owns an ERA+ of 108 across parts of six big-league seasons. He's owed the remainder of a $7.75-million salary for 2014. Next year, Garcia is under contract for $9.25 million, and he has $500,000 buyouts in his contract for 2016 and 2017.
_________________________________________________

Jackpot In July Huge Discounted Offer
We're just over a month away from the start of the 2014 National Football League & NCAA College Football Season and things are coming together very nicely here at StatSystemsSports.net. Along with the NBA Playoffs and MLB, an abundance of hours were spent in May and June diligently working on the upcoming football run. A number of exciting parameters were added to our state of the art database and we’ve uncovered some exciting and highly profitable Situational Analysis. We'll use them all this year and win with them I guarantee you that.

If you haven't registered for our Full-Season Package for the 2014 (NFL & NCAACF) Football Season, you can do so right now at 570-828-4091, "Where The Winning Just Never Stops!" The current rate for football is $2199.00 a 50% saving for signing up today. For those of you that invest on basketball and baseball, you may want to consider our 2014-15 All Season Profit Pass. For an additional $1400, you'll get everything we release in all three sports from July 5th, 2014 to June 30th, 2015 for only $3599. That fee breaks down to less than $300.00 dollars per month and is a number I know you call can handle.

We've got four months left in the Major League Baseball season and we're looking at our 2014 MLB Game of the Year. Normally priced at $350, you can get everything we release on the diamond in July thru the 2014 World Series as an added bonus. While also having access to all our Top-Rated Selections daily by E-mail. July isn't wasting any time so get on board today once again @ 570-828-4091.

"You'll be real Glad you did” -Stan!
_____________________________

Betting Notes - Sunday

National League
•Brewers-Reds - 1:10 PM
--Gallardo is 2-1, 3.09 in his last five starts.
--Latos is 1-1, 1.29 in his last two starts.

--Milwaukee lost four of its last five games.
--Reds won five of last seven home games.

--Four of last five Gallardo starts stayed under total.

•Cubs-Nationals - 1:35 PM
--Arrieta is 4-0, 0.78 in his last five starts.
--Zimmerman is 3-2, 1.43 in his last six starts.

--Cubs won seven of their last nine road games.
--Washington won six of its last seven games.

--Eight of last ten Washington games went over total.

•Diamondbacks-Braves - 1:35 PM
--Miley is 0-3, 4.71 in his last nine starts.
--Wood is 1-1, 2.25 in his last three starts.

--Arizona lost five of its last six games.
--Atlanta won its last nine games.

--Eight of last ten Miley starts stayed under total.

•Phillies-Pirates - 1:35 PM
--Ex-Pirate Burnett is 1-2, 3.30 in his last four starts.
--Locke is 1-1, 2.45 in his last five starts.

--Philly lost nine of its last eleven games.
--Pirates won eleven of their last fourteen games.

--Four of last five Burnett starts stayed under.

•Marlins-Cardinals - 2:15 PM
--Marlins won last nine Alvarez starts (3-0, 1.35).
--Gonzales is 0-1, 9.65 in two starts; he has a 27.03 RA after third inning.

--Miami lost six of its last nine games.
--St Louis won eight of its last twelve home games.

--Three of last four Alvarez starts stayed under total.

•Giants-Padres - 4:10 PM
--Lincecum is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (17 IP), one of which was no-hitter against San Diego June 25.
--Hahn is 4-0, 1.13 in his last four starts.

--Giants lost nine of their last twelve games.
--San Diego won five of its last six games.

--Four of five Hahn starts stayed under the total.

•Dodgers-Rockies - 4:10 PM
--Beckett is 2-1, 2.53 in his last five starts.
--Flande is 0-1, 6.10 in his first two MLB starts.

--Dodgers won 15 of their last 22 games.
--Colorado lost 16 of its last 19 games.

--Six of last eight Beckett starts stayed under total.

American League
•Rays-Tigers - 8:05 PM
--Price is 3-1, 2.01 in his last four starts.
--Porcello is 3-0, 0.00 in his last three starts (24 IP).

--Tampa Bay won nine of its last eleven games.
--Tigers won nine of their last thirteen games, but lost last two.

--11 of last 15 Detroit games went over the total; Price's last five starts stayed under. .

•Royals-Indians - 1:05 PM
--Duffy is 3-2, 1.69 in his last six starts.
--Kluber is 1-2, 1.73 in his last four starts.

--Royals won 12 of their last 14 road games.
--Cleveland lost five of its last seven home games.

--Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Duffy starts.

•Orioles-Red Sox - 1:35 PM
--Gausman is 3-1, 2.63 in his last four starts.
--Red Sox lost last six Peavy starts (0-5, 5.65).

--Baltimore is 12-6 in its last eighteen games.
--Red Sox lost ten of their last fifteen games.

--14 of last 17 games at Fenway Park stayed under.

•Yankees-Twins - 2:10 PM
--Kuroda is 1-3, 3.66 in his last five starts.
--Nolasco is 1-1, 5.08 in his last five starts.

--New York lost six of their last eight games.
--Minnesota lost nine of their last twelve games.

--Last six Kuroda starts stayed under the total.

•Mariners-White Sox - 2:10 PM
--Walker won his first '14 start, allowing three runs in six IP.
--Chicago lost last four Noesi starts (0-2, 6.35).

--Seattle won 11 of its last 14 games.
--White Sox lost eight of their last eleven home games.

--Seven of last ten Seattle games stayed under the total.

•Astros-Angels - 3:35 PM
--McHugh is 0-4, 5.25 in his last four starts.
--Angels won last six Richards starts (5-0, 1.49).

--Houston lost 14 of its last 18 games.
--Angels won eleven of their last fourteen games.

--Over is 3-0-1 in last four Richards starts.

•Blue-Jays-Athletics - 4:05 PM
--Hutchison is 1-2, 4.67 in his last three starts.
--Samardzija was 0-2, 5.48 in his last four starts for Chicago; Cubs scored 3 or less runs in 12 of his 17 starts.

--Blue Jays lost eight of their last nine road games.
--Oakland won ten of its last twelve home games.

--Nine of last ten Toronto games stayed under.

Interleague
•Rangers-Mets - 1:10 PM
--Tepesch is 1-1, 1.93 in his last three starts.
--Wheeler is 0-3, 8.56 in his last three home starts.

--Texas lost ten of its last eleven road games.
--Mets lost eight of their last ten games.

--Four of last five Wheeler home starts stayed under.

•Umpires Trends
-- Mil-Cin-- Four of last six Baker games stayed under.
-- Chi-Wsh-- Six of eight Everitt games went over total.
-- Az-Atl-- Nine of eleven Basner games went over.
-- Phil-Pitt-- Seven of last ten Scott games stayed under.
-- Mia-StL-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Timmons games.
-- SF-SD-- Favorites won 11 of last 12 Hoye games.
-- LA-Col-- Favorites won seven of last eight Kellogg games.

-- TB-Det-- Six of last eight Gibson games went over.
-- KC-Clev-- Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Cooper games.
-- Balt-Bos-- Underdogs are 9-5 in last fourteen Estabrook games.
-- NY-Min-- Five of last seven Drake games stayed under.
-- Sea-Chi-- Over is 10-4-1 in last fifteen LBarrett games.
-- Tor-A's-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Morales games.
-- Hst-LAA-- Eight of last ten Vanover games went over.

-- Tex-NYM-- Underdogs won 12 of last 15 Hudson games; under is 10-6 in his games behind the plate.

•Incredible Stat of the Day
The New York Yankees are 18-3 their last twenty-one games in Minnesota. The Twins have never won consecutive home games over the Yankees since Target Field opened four years ago. They'll try to change that while spoiling Derek Jeter's final matchup against them Sunday afternoon. Minnesota is 4-15 against New York at Target Field, including a pair of losses in the 2010 division series. The Twins, though, now have a chance at their first home win streak versus the Yankees since a three-gamer in 2008.

Diamond Trends - Sunday
•TEXAS is 4-15 (-17.7 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997.
The average score was TEXAS 3.8, OPPONENT 5.4.

•PITTSBURGH is 28-8 UNDER (+18.7 Units) versus poor fielding teams - (turning 0.8 or less DP's/game) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 3.2, OPPONENT 3.0.

•KANSAS CITY is 32-11 (+22.3 Units) against the run line with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 4.8, OPPONENT 2.8.

•JEFF SAMARDZIJA is 2-13 (-12.3 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 2.4, OPPONENT 4.6.

•COREY KLUBER is 16-5 OVER (+11.2 Units) versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KLUBER 6.4, OPPONENT 4.3.

•YOVANI GALLARDO is 19-6 (+15.3 Units) against the run line versus an National League team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GALLARDO 5.6, OPPONENT 3.4.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - All favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (LA ANGELS) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) - American League, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games.
(43-4 since 1997.) (91.5%, +35.6 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -185
The average score in these games was: Team 6.3, Opponent 2.6 (Average run differential = +3.7)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0, +2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1, +4.2 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-2, +14.4 units).

•Play On - All favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 to +160) (ATLANTA) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) - National League, starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings.
(37-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +29.6 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (43-9 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.5, money line price: +120
The average score in these games was: Team 5.5, Opponent 2.7 (Average run differential = +2.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 29 (55.8% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (4-5, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-12, +12.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (60-69, +3.3 units).

•Play Under - Road teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (MIAMI) - below average National League hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities.
(51-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.5%, +35.7 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 8.3, Money Line=-109.3
The average score in these games was: Team 2.9, Opponent 3.9 (Total runs scored = 6.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 40 (67.8% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (8-1, +7 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (29-13, +14.8 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (104-83, +13.2 units).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

All Sports Capper

955 MLB 20* Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves over 7 -110
953 MLB 20* Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals over 7 +100
952 MLB 20* Cincinnati Reds -125
962 MLB 30* San Diego Padres -120
963 MLB 10* LA Dodgers -140

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SportsAtari

Dodgers ML
Pirates ML

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Jeff Clement

8* Cincinnati
8* NY Yankees

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Dave Essler

MLB Money Line

dime bet – 977 TOR (+145) vs 978 OAK

I’m splitting this with the RL. The total dropping. Samardzija with a new catcher. June was not good for him. A’s haven’t seen Hutchinson. Over reaction to the Jays not hitting. A’s not exactly tearing it up.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Simon Green

MLB Freebie

Texas Rangers vs. New York Mets

New York Mets -116

The Mets let us down on Saturday but we are going to back them again today. Even though Texas won the other night they still have only won 3 of their last 13. They won't win two in a row. Take Zack Wheeler and the Mets in this one.

[golden contender]

Sunday card has a 6* Top play in early action from an amazing system that has won 40 of 43 times the past 10+ seasons. There is also an Undefeated Mid afternoon 5* Road warrior system and the ESPN Sunday night MLB Play that has a Big system and 2 Perfect Angles. Free 3* MLB Play below.


The Free MLB 3* MLB System Play for Sunday is on the Cincinnati Reds. Game 952 at 1:10 eastern. The Reds were shut down by Milwaukee on Saturday and only had 2 hits. That sets them up in a solid Bounce back system today that plays on home teams with a total that is 8 or less if they are off a 1 run home loss and score 2 or less runs on 2 or less hits and lost by just 1 run. Thee home team are 20-3 straight up. The Brewers are 0-6 in Cincinnati if they are off a win. The Reds have won 9 of 11 as a home favorite in this range and 10 of 13 on Sunday. M. Latos is on the mound for the Reds who have won 10 of his last 13 home starts and his last 3 here vs the Brewers. Y. Gallardo counters for Milwaukee who have lost 9 of his last 13 road starts in July. Gallardo has lost 9 of 12 here in Cincinnati and was roughed up last out, allowing 8 runs in 5 innings at home vs Colorado. Look for the Reds to take the Finale. On Sunday there are 3 Powerful plays up. In Early action its a 6* side from 40-3 System, an Afternoon Undefeated 5* Road warrior system and the ESPN Double Perfect Dominator Play from a system that has lost just once over the last seasons. Inbox to Jump on now and end 4th Of July weekend with the cash. For the free 3* MLB System play take the Cincinnati Reds. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SHAKER’S SHORTS
#951 Milwaukee Brewers – Team Total OVER 3.5 -110

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NonStopSportsPicks

2* Giants

Giants + 110, 2* - With Lincecum returning looking like he's returning to his dominant self, or at least having some nasty stuff, we'll take a shot here. Plus, the Padres just suck at hitting in general. I think Lincecum can mow through the Pads line-up with ease and my only hesitation with him is his recent workload, where he's been throwing a fair amount of pitches and working a lot of innings. Yes, Hahn is worth the short fave here and he's been solid so far this season. But regression will set in eventually and this Giants team JUST saw him recently. Adjustments made, and we're taking the better team, with equal pitchers and maybe a slight nod to Lincecum overall.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Topshelfpicks

Raider

Toronto/Oakland Under 7.5 Two of the four top scoring teams in baseball, so I'm playing the Under here? Yep. Jeff Sam makes his debut for Oakland today, and you know he will be looking to impress his new teammates. Plus, the excitement for him of playing for a winner, possibly the best team in baseball? To me, all these are positives. Plus, the Blue Jays' roster is a collective 3-33 against him. Now, what about Drew Hutchinson (6-6, 3.81 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, .244 BAA), the Blue Jays starter? His numbers look very average at best, but his road numbers are very good (4-2, 2.23 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, .226 BAA). Plus, a little added motivation pitching against the big name the A's just traded for. This to me looks like a low scoring game, where I see both pitchers throwing very effectively. Play the Under here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BigBetTiger

(968) Indians -125
(980) Mets -113
(954) Total UNDER 7 (CUB vs. WASH)
(958) Total UNDER 7.5 (PHI vs. PITT)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
3* Baseball: Miami vs. St. Louis (2:15pm)
3*WNBA: Minnesota vs. New York (2pm)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power play wins

detroit +110

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Vegas SI
SUNDAY'S PICKS(HIGH ROLLERS CLUB)
20* MLB Red Sox -120 and 10* MLB OVER 9
20* MLB Brewers +115 and 10* MLB OVER 7.5
20* MLB Royals +120 and 10* MLB UNDER 7.5
20* MLB White Sox +110 and 10* MLB UNDER 9
20* MLB Braves -170 and 10* MLB OVER 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BANKROLL SPORTS

2* Baltimore Orioles +115 (MLB)

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Goodfella

Sunday MLB Team Total

LA ANGELS OVER 4.5 RUNS (-105 @BOL)

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Texas Rangers @ New York Mets
Time: Sunday 07/06 1:10 PM Eastern
Pick: New York -119 (moneyline)

Banged up Texas can’t get it together, on a 7-19 run. The Rangers are 16-35 in their last 51 games as an underdog, plus 3-13 against a righty starter. The team is 2-3 in the last five starts made by Nick Tepesch. They face a New York Mets team that is home and has hard throwing righty Zack Wheeler going. Wheeler limited the damage in a no-decision Monday, holding the Braves to one run in 6.1 innings of work. The Mets are 8-1 as an interleague home favorite, and the Rangers are just 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in New York. Play the New York Mets.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

SUNDAY BASEBALL




Play Colorado +150 over Los Angeles Dodgers----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)

4:00 PM EST

Josh Beckett has lost 21 of the last 32 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has lost 17 of the last 24 games vs. division opponents. Josh Beckett has lost 11 of the last 16 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season and he has lost 15 of the last 23 road games.





Play Philadelphia +150 over Pittsburgh----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
1:30 PM EST


Jeff Locke has lost 10 of the last 15 day games and he has lost 7 of the last 10 games when pitching on a Sunday. Jeff Locke has lost 16 of the last 25 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season and he has lost 7 of the last 9 games when the line posted is between -100 to -150.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

SUNDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Kansas City +120 over Cleveland (MLB TOP PLAY)

Kansas City is 51-38 in day games the last two seasons
Kansas City is 26-15 when the line posted is between +125 to -125
Kansas City is 66-57 in road games the last two seasons


10* Play San Francisco +120 over San Diego (MLB TOP PLAY)

San Francisco is 24-10 when batting .240 or worse over the last twenty games
San Francisco is 22-16 in road games this season
San Francisco is 10-3 when playing on a Sunday this season

=============================================

5* Play Colorado +150 over LA Dodgers (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Philadelphia +150 over Pittsburgh (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steven Nover


KC

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Scott Spreitzer

Tampa Bay

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Totals 4 You MLB Service Selections for Sunday, July 6th
July's AL Sunday Night Baseball Total of the Month!!!!!
Tampa Bay/Detroit under 7 1/2


MLB Best Bets
San Francisco/San Diego over 6 1/2
Kansas City/Cleveland under 7 1/2
New York/Minnesota over 8 1/2
Houston/Los Angeles under 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
I split my four picks yesterday cashing in on the As and the under, but the Reds lost 1-0 and the Padres in extra innings. Just one play here Sunday and lets make it a winner...
2 UNIT = Toronto Blue Jays @ Oakland Athletics - UNDER 7.5 RUNS (-105)
Listed Pitchers: Hutchison vs Samardzija
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
-- No write up on a Sunday

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Los Angeles Angels -180 over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Collin McHugh has lost 7 of the last 8 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season and he has lost 12 of the last 16 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.Collin McHugh has lost 7 of the last 9 games when pitching with five or six days of rest and he has lost 7 of the last 10 games vs. division opponents.

================================================== ===



50* Play New York Yankees -105 over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Oakland -160 over Toronto (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UNDER Umpire Streakers
#957 PHI/PIT UN7.5 -110 1u (Southpoint) Scott 3ov/7un L10gms 70%
#961 SF/SD UN6.5 -120 1u (Southpoint) Hoye 3ov/7un L10gms 70%

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Diamond Dog Sports

#957: Phillies: +150 (1.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Burnett / Locke


#974: White Sox: +110 (0.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Walker / Noesi


#953/954: Over Nationals: 7.0 (+110) (4*) Listed Pitchers: Arrieta / Zimmermann


#965/966: Over Tigers: 7.5 (+100) (4*)
Listed Pitchers: Price / Porcello

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

Philadelphia Phillies ML

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Maddux Sports

NY METS -120

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Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 7/6

MLB Baseball

New York Yankees -118 over the Minnesota Twins
(Money Line Bet)

Overall Record: 284-251
(System Record: 284-13, Won last 2 games)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Exclusive Sports

Tigers
Dodgers
Under Padres

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jordan Haimowitz
40-29 MLB


4* Tampa Bay -117

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lyle Sports
19-8 RUN

Pittsburgh Under 7.5

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Doc's Sports Picks For Major League Baseball 7/6




The following selection is our 5-unit Game of the Week




5-unit Play Take #965 Tampa Bay Rays (-120) over Detroit Tigers (8:10pm EST)




4-unit Play Take #962 San Diego Padres (-125) over San Francisco Giants (4:10pm EST)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BILL O’BRIEN


Arizona D’Backs ML+155

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ness

Perfect Storm - Mariners

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Rooster

Boston -120 game

Milwaukee Over 7.5

Milwaukee +115 game

Seattle over 9

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Eric Henderson

Today's Selections

MLB (0-2): NY Yankees, Miami, LA Dodgers, Oakland, phillies/pirates under 7.5, royals/Indians under 7.5, rays/tigers under 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Runner

Cleveland -155
Milwaukee +110
over 7.5 Milwaukee -Cincy Game
Boston -120
Under 9.5 Balti/Boston game

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LCM Sports

Marlins +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep

Boston -120 1000

Overs 9 -Seattle Cws 1000

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant

San Diego Padres

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep

Colorado Rockies +1.5

Over 7.5 Tampa Bay Rays/Detroit Tigers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS RUNNER

RLcrew Late Steam Move

NY YANKEES

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GABRIEL DuPOINT

100 DIMER

ANGELS RUN LINE

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HIGH ROLLER SPORTS PICKS

DIAMOND CLUB *****

LA Dodgers-124