7-11-14 [Archive] - Investwithsports.com Sportstalk and Gambling forum

Can'tPickAWinner

07-10-2014, 10:41 PM

Game of the Day: CFL double header

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Montreal Alouettes (-2.5, 49.5)

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers take their red-hot offence to Montreal on Friday to face the Alouettes. Winnipeg won its first two games at home, scoring a league-leading 81 points. The Alouettes' defence looked strong in their Week 2 home opener, but will have its hands full against Drew Willy and the Blue Bombers’ passing game.

Alouettes quarterback Troy Smith will need his team’s defence to be strong again unless he can begin throwing touchdowns. Willy is off to a flying start under centre for Winnipeg, completing 40-of-60 passes and throwing four touchdowns, but Montreal’s defensive line promises to be the toughest he has faced. Alouettes defensive end John Bowman recorded four sacks in Week 2, while defensive tackle Scott Paxson caught an interception and forced a fumble.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Als as 2.5-point home faves. The total opened 50.5 at most shops, but has dropped one point to 49.5.

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (2-0): Running back Nic Grigsby is quickly becoming a star in Winnipeg, recording 251 combined yards (184 rushing) and three touchdowns. Willy is also working well with slotbacks Aaron Kelly and Nick Moore, who have received 283 of Willy’s 615 passing yards. Kick returner Aaron Woods leads the league in return yards with 287.

ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (1-1): Smith completed nine touchdown passes as a rookie in 2013, but has zero touchdowns, one interception and a 50 percent pass-completion rate through two starts in 2014. Linebacker Marc-Olivier Brouillette caught the second interception of his career in Week 2 - something he will expected to do more of in his expanded role within the defence. Running back Brandon Whitaker has 135 rushing yards and is on pace to have his best season since 2011.

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-0 in Alouettes last six games overall.
* Blue Bombers are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings in Montreal.
* Under is 9-4-1 in the last 14 meetings in Montreal.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Sixty-three percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are coming in on the Alouettes.

Ottawa Redblacks at Edmonton Eskimos (-6.5, 54.5)

The Ottawa Redblacks visit the Edmonton Eskimos on Friday looking for their first victory after letting their CFL debut slip away. Edmonton looks strong on offence and defence through two games but has yet to establish a running game. Ottawa stormed out of the gate in its first game before being outscored 19-7 in the second half and will need to play a full game against the Eskimos.

Veteran quarterback Henry Burris looks like he hasn’t lost a step with his new team, throwing for 241 yards and two touchdowns in his Redblacks debut. Burris will face an Edmonton defence that has recorded a league-high seven interceptions. Eskimos quarterback Mike Reilly has better protection in front of him to start 2014 and it shows in his 68 percent completion rate and four touchdowns.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The Eskimos opened -6.5 and the total has also held at the opening number of 54.5.

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (0-1): Running back Chevon Walker made the move to Ottawa from the Hamilton Tiger-Cats along with Burris and recorded 99 combined yards and two touchdowns in his debut. Defensive back Jerrell Gavins caught an interception in his CFL debut but was fined for a late and low hit on Winnipeg Blue Bombers quarterback Drew Willy. Defensive lineman Jonathan Williams matched a career-high with two sacks in his first Redblacks game.

ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (2-0): Defensive lineman Odell Willis was fined for a hit on Hamilton Tiger-Cats quarterback Zach Collaros after replays revealed contact with Collaros’ neck. Edmonton signed former Alouettes running back Noel Devine in an effort to bolster its running game. Kicker Grant Shaw leads the league in kicking points with 25.

TRENDS:

* Eskimos are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.
* Eskimos are 0-4 ATS in their last four games in July.
* Over is 18-8-1 in Eskimos last 27 games overall.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Fifty-nine percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are backing Edmonton.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-10-2014, 10:43 PM

White Sox struggling against Tribe in Cleveland
Stephen Campbell

The Chicago White Sox have not been getting it done in Cleveland recently. The Sox have just one win in their last nine meetings with the Cleveland Indians in Ohio, but they'll have an opportunity to right the ship when the two clubs face off at Progressive Field Friday.

The Tribe is currently -185 faves on the moneyline with a total of eight, per BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).com.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-10-2014, 10:44 PM

These two teams love low totals
Stephen Campbell

Scorekeepers have had a light workload in recent meetings between the New York Mets and the Miami Marlins. In the last 17 games between the two clubs, the Under is 13-2-2. The Mets and Marlins renew acquaintances at Citi Field Friday.

BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).com currently has New York as -111 faves with an O/U of seven.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-10-2014, 10:45 PM

Kuroda lights out on the Under vs. Orioles
Stephen Campbell

If you've been backing the Under when in New York Yankees pitcher Hiroki Kuroda's starts against the Baltimore Orioles as of late, you've been collecting some fantastic profits. In the veteran's last nine outings against the O's, the Under is 8-0-1. Kuroda takes the mound when the Yanks visit Baltimore at Oriole Park at Camden Yards Friday.

BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).com presently lists the Birds as slight -116 faves with a total of nine.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-10-2014, 10:46 PM

Under trending with Blue Jays as underdogs
Stephen Campbell

In the Toronto Blue Jays' last nine games as underdogs, the Under is a sizzling 8-1. The Jays are presently listed as +121 road dogs against the Tampa Bay Rays for matchup Friday.

The Rays are currently -131 faves with a total of seven, per BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).com.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-10-2014, 10:48 PM

Under the hot bet with Wood on the road
Stephen Campbell

When Atlanta Braves pitcher Alex Wood pitches away from home, low-scoring games are the norm. In Wood's last six road starts, the Under is 5-1. He'll take the mound for the Braves when they visit the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field Friday.

BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).com currently has the game as a pick 'em.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 08:08 AM

MLB

National League
Braves-Cubs
Wood is 1-1, 2.25 in his last three starts.
Arrieta is 4-0, 0.89 in his last six starts.

Braves lost four of their last five games.
Cubs lost six of their last seven games.

Seven of ten Wood starts stayed under the total.

Nationals-Phillies
Zimmerman is 3-2, 1.26 in his last seven starts.
Philly lost last three Burnett starts (0-2, 4.50).

Washington won eight of its last eleven games.
Phillies won their last four games, but lost last four at home.

Six of last seven Zimmerman starts stayed under total.

Pirates-Reds
Pittsburgh won last five Locke starts (2-0, 2.63).
Latos is 2-1, 1.64 in his last three starts.

Pirates lost four of their last five road games.
Cincinnati won five of its last six games.

Four of five Latos starts stayed under total.

Marlins-Mets
Miami won last ten Alvarez starts (3-0, 1.85 in last five).
Wheeler is 1-0, 1.42 in his last couple starts.

Marlins are 5-8 in their last thirteen games.
Mets won four of their last five games.

Five of last six Alvarez road starts went over.

Cardinals-Brewers
Kelly was 1-1, 1.76 in three starts in April, before going on DL.
Gallardo is 2-1, 3.00 in his last six starts.

Cardinals won three of their last four games.
Milwaukee lost nine of its last ten games.

Five of last six Gallardo starts stayed under the total.

Padres-Dodgers
Hahn is 4-1, 1.74 in his last five starts.
Haren is 1-1, 6.48 in his last three starts.

Padres lost five of their last six games.
Dodgers lost three of their last four games.

11 of last 12 San Diego road games stayed under.

Diamondbacks-Giants
Bolsinger is 0-5, 5.34 in his last five starts.
Lincecum is 3-0, 0.39 in his last three starts.

Arizona won three of its last four games.
Giants lost 15 of their last 19 home games.

Ten of last thirteen Arizona games stayed under.

American League
White Sox--Indians
Noesi is 2-2, 5.14 in his last six starts.
Kluber is 2-2, 1.24 in his last four starts.

White Sox won five of last seven on road, but lost last two.
Indians won six of their last nine games.

Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Cleveland home games.

Bronx-Orioles
Kuroda is 2-3, 4.06 in his last six starts.
Gonzalez is 1-2, 4.40 in his last five starts.

Bronx Bombers won six of their last nine road games.
Baltimore won four of its last five games.

Nine of last twelve Bronx road games went over total.

Blue Jays-Rays
Buehrle is 0-5, 3.83 in his last six starts; Toronto scored 13 runs.
Archer is 1-0, 2.35 in his last couple starts.

Blue Jays lost eight of their last nine road games.
Tampa Bay won 11 of its last 15 games.

Four of last five Toronto games stayed under.

Angels-Rangers
Angels won last seven Richards starts (6-0, 1.45).
Tepesch is 1-4, 5.34 in his last six starts.

Angels won nine of their last eleven games.
Rangers lost 11 of their last 12 games.

14 of last 19 Texas road games went over total.

Red Sox-Astros
Lackey is 1-2, 10.93 in his last three starts.
Feldman is 1-0, 3.00 in his last two starts.

Red Sox lost six of last nine games, but won last two.
Astros won last three games, are out of last place in AL West.

Five of last seven Boston road games went over.

Tigers-Royals
Sanchez is 1-1, 7.00 in his last three starts.
Duffy is 3-3, 2.28 in his last seven starts.

Detroit won six of its last eight road games.
Royals lost seven of their last ten home games.

Five of last six Sanchez starts went over the total.

A's-Mariners
Samardzija is 1-1, 4.00 in his last three starts.
Hernandez is 7-1, 1.72 in his last eleven starts.

Oakland won seven of its last eight games.
Mariners lost their last three games.

Five of last six Hernandez starts stayed under.

Interleague games
Twins-Rockies
Johnson threw 4.1 shutout innings (106 PT) in his only start May 1.
de la Rosa is 3-0, 5.21 in his last three starts; Rockies scored 28 runs.

Twins won four of their last five road games.
Colorado is 4-9 in last 13 home games, but won last two.

Under is 5-1-1 in last seven games at Coors Field.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Wood 5-10; Arrieta 3-12
-- Zimmerman 1-18; Burnett 6-19
-- Locke 3-7; Latos 0-5
-- Alvarez 5-18 (1 of last 9); Wheeler 6-18
-- Kelly 0-3; Gallardo 6-18 (4 of last 5)
-- Hahn 1-6; Haren 9-18 (6 of last 9)
-- Bolsinger 3-8; Lincecum 6-18

-- Noesi 3-13; Kluber 4-19
-- Kuroda 6-18 (1 of last 8); Gonzalez 4-14
-- Buehrle 4-18; Archer 4-18
-- Lackey 4-18; Feldman 4-15
-- Sanchez 4-15; Duffy 2-12
-- Samardzija 8-18; Hernandez 2-19
-- Richards 4-18; Tepesch 3-9

-- Johnson 0-1; de la Rosa 6-18

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Wood 4-6; Arrieta 8-4
-- Zimmerman 11-7; Burnett 9-10 (0-3 last 3)
-- Locke 5-2 (5-0 last 5); Latos 2-3
-- Alvarez 13-5 (won last 10); Wheeler 7-11
-- Kelly 1-2; Gallardo 9-9 (0-3 last 3)
-- Hahn 4-2; Haren 10-8
-- Bolsinger 1-7; Lincecum 11-7

-- Noesi 6-7 (1-4 last 5); Kluber 11-8
-- Kuroda 8-10 (3-1 last 4); Gonzalez 6-8
-- Buehrle 12-6 (1-5 last 6); Archer 9-9
-- Lackey 10-8; Feldman 6-9
-- Sanchez 8-7 (4-1 last 5); Duffy 5-7
-- Samardzija (Chi 3-14/A's 1-0); Hernandez 13-6
-- Richards 14-4 (won last 7); Tepesch 4-5

-- Johnson 0-1; de la Rosa 11-6

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 08:08 AM

Baseball Crusher

Play of the Day
Chicago Cubs +103 over Atlanta Braves

Rest of the Plays
Toronto Blue Jays +134 over Tampa Bay Rays
Seattle Mariners -125 over Oakland A's
Milwaukee Brewers -129 over St. Louis Cardinals

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 08:08 AM

Soccer Crusher

Athlone + Limerick UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Ireland

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 08:13 AM

CFL

Winnipeg (2-0) @ Montreal (1-1) -- First road game for Bombers after scoring 81 points in two home wins, when they averaged 10.2 yards/pass attempt. Montreal split its first two games, completing only 34-69 passes- they've lost four of last five games with Winnipeg, with visitor winning five of last six series games- Bombers won last three visits here, by 5-8-7. Alouettes ran ball for 203 yards in upset win over BC last week, with three takeaways (+2).

Ottawa (0-1) @ Edmonton (2-0) -- Eskimos have 10 taekaways (+6) in winning first two tilts, by 7-4 points, despite not leading either game at halftime. Edmonton covered only twice in last six games as a favorite. RedBlacks raced out to 21-7 lead in their first-ever game in Winnipeg last week, led 21-17 at half, lost 36-28, despite a +2 turnover ratio. Four of last six Edmonton games stayed under total. Home favorites are 4-1 vs spread in first two weeks this season.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 08:15 AM

Brewers replace Estrada with Nelson in rotation
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

MILWAUKEE -- Before his team took the field to face Philadelphia on Thursday afternoon, Milwaukee Brewers manager Ron Roenicke was asked whether or not right-hander Marco Estrada would still make his scheduled start Saturday against the Cardinals.

Considering Estrada struggled lately, posting a 2-4 record and a 6.53 ERA in his last seven starts while giving up 10 of his MLB-leading 27 home runs, it was a logical question but one Roenicke wasn't going to answer.

"I won't comment on that," he said.

Hours after the Brewers melted down late for a 9-1 loss, their fifth in a row and ninth in their last 10 games, the question was answered as Milwaukee summoned right-hander Jimmy Nelson from Triple-A Nashville.

Nelson has been lights-out while waiting for his moment. In 17 games (16 starts), he is 10-2 with a 1.46 ERA and has struck out 114 in 111 innings of work.

In one spot start for the Brewers this season, Nelson threw five scoreless innings against the Miami Marlins, allowing five hits and three walks with six strikeouts.

With Nelson in the fold and slated to start Saturday against St. Louis' Adam Wainwright, the MLB ERA leader, Estrada, will move to the bullpen.

The Brewers' front office and coaching staff had been debating the move for a while, Roenicke said.

"We're in discussions all the time about this and what to do, and how do we improve," Roenicke said. "Not just with other people, but how do we improve internally with what we have?

"Sometimes you wait until the all-star break to do things. But when the timing calls for something to be done, you try to do it. If it makes sense right then, why wait on something? That's what we talk about all the time. We talk about what goes on in here, how guys are feeling right now, and do we need a change?"

To make room for Nelson on the roster, Milwaukee placed left-hander Wei-Chung Wang to the 15-day disabled list with tightness in his shoulder.

Wang, a 22-year-old Rule 5 pick out of the Pirates' organization last winter, has been used sparingly this season -- with little to show for it.

In 13 appearances, Wang allowed 21 earned runs in 17 innings of work, including six home runs.

As a Rule 5 pick, the Brewers are required to keep him on the 25-man roster all season or return him to Pittsburgh for $25K.

However, once players have been on the active roster for at least 90 days -- a threshold Wang crossed on June 27 -- the player can be placed on the disabled list without the team losing contractual control.

Milwaukee, though, will have to keep Wang on its active roster next season for as many days as he spends on the DL.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 08:15 AM

MLB

'NL West rivals clash'

When Giants Tim Lincecum takes the mound against Michael Bolsinger and the Diamondbacks Friday evening the hurlers are coming at this game from opposite ends of the spectrum. Sports bettors will be quick to note that Lincecum, has been on fire riding a three game winning streak that began with his June 25 no-hitter followed by two outings of 1 run ball over 14 1/3 innings giving the hurler a sparkling 0.39 ERA over the span. On the other mound, his opponent heads to the hill winless in six attempts and has just one victory in eight starts (1-7 TSR). Playing San Francisco has been a risky proposition of late (8-21), though in this case the amount of supporting data in favor of Giants with Lincecum makes it much less risky. The Giants have won 12 of Lincecum's last 16 home starts, Giants have won 6-of-9 as a favorite opening a home series with the right-hander and have a 20-8 stretch vs divisional opponents with the hurler. The numbers add up well enough to conclude Giants are the right play.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 08:15 AM

Today's MLB Picks St. Louis at Milwaukee The Cardinals head to Milwaukee tonight to face a Brewers team that is 3-13 in Yovani Gallardo's last 16 starts versus St. Louis. St. Louis is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+120). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 11
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Atlanta at Chicago Cubs (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Wood) 14.852; Cubs (Arrieta) 16.522
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-105); N/A

Game 903-904: Washington at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 15.969; Philadelphia (Burnett) 14.677
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-140); Over

Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Locke) 14.727; Cincinnati (Latos) 16.519
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-130); Over

Game 907-908: Miami at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Alvarez) 13.601; NY Mets (Wheeler) 13.941
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+100); Under

Game 909-910: St. Louis at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Kelly) 17.027; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.410
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140; 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+120); Under

Game 911-912: San Diego at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Hahn) 15.358; LA Dodgers (Haren) 16.956
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-135); Over

Game 913-914: Arizona at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Bolsinger) 15.079; San Francisco (Lincecum) 14.054
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+140); Under

Game 915-916: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Noesi) 13.211; Cleveland (Kluber) 17.537
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 4 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-200); Over

Game 917-918: NY Yankees at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 16.600; Baltimore (Gonzalez) 13.840
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 3; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+105); Under

Game 919-920: Toronto at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 15.190; Tampa Bay (Archer) 16.870
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-140); Over

Game 921-922: LA Angels at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 16.389; Texas (Tepesch) 14.757
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-160); Over

Game 923-924: Boston at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 15.837; Houston (Feldman) 16.869
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+110); Under

Game 925-926: Detroit at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 17.795; Kansas City (Duffy) 15.453
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-125); Over

Game 927-928: Oakland at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Samardzija) 16.631; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.700
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 5
Vegas Line: Seattle (-130); 6
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+110); Under

Game 929-930: Minnesota at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Johnson) 15.311; Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.123
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-160); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+140); Under

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 08:16 AM

WNBA Basketball Picks Seattle at San Antonio The Storm head to San Antonio tonight and come into the contest with a 14-6-1 ATS record in their last 20 games versus the Stars. Seattle is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+5). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 11
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 601-602: Los Angeles at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 112.861; New York 114.494
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 1 1/2; 158
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 4; 153 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+4); Over

Game 603-604: Seattle at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 111.655; San Antonio 112.048
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 141
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 5; 146
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+5); Under

Game 605-606: Phoenix at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 113.554; Chicago 112.144
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 168
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 6; 162 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+6); Over

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 08:50 AM

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the A’s on Thursday and likes the Braves on Friday.

The deficit is 254 sirignanos.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 08:50 AM

Hondo

Hondo, who scored big with the ‘Stros Wednesday night, came right back Thursday and hit with the A’s to lower the NRN (nasty red number) to a mere 1,350 faces.

Friday night: Mr. Aitch will Locke and load in Cincinnati — 10 units on the Pirates to patch together a victory over the Reds.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 08:50 AM

StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | LOS ANGELES at NEW YORK
Play On - Road favorites (LOS ANGELES) up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 90% of their free throws or better
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

WNBA | PHOENIX at CHICAGO
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (PHOENIX) good 3PT shooting team (>=35%) against an average 3PT shooting team (30-35%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 90% of their free throws or better
50-10 since 1997. ( 83.3% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | LOS ANGELES at NEW YORK
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 70.5 good 3PT shooting team (>=35%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=35%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO's)
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 08:51 AM

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play 17-3 run FRI Angels w/ Richards -160

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 08:52 AM

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Friday

Cardinals +115

White Sox/Indians under 8

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 08:54 AM

Cappers Access

Braves -110

Astros +112

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 10:03 AM

Chase Diamond

Chase's 10* MLB RUN LINE DESTROYER

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

10* Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 Runs -135

This game has the 49-41 Nationals and the 41-51 Phillies. I've said it from the start the Phillies are a .500 team and they are finally caught a hot streak winning 4 in a row. They are facing a Nationals team which is also playing well winning 7 of their last 10. I think we are getting great value with a team that is headed home and playing well and determined with a quality pitcher on the mound should keep this game close. Public is all over the road Nationals here I want my guys on the Phillies +1.5 for a nice win.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 10:03 AM

Jeff Clement

A.L. West 7 Unit Play!

Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers

7 Unit Los Angeles Angels -158

Los Angeles Angels(54-37) vs. Texas(38-54). G.Richards(10-2) ERA 2.71 vs. N.Tepesch(3-4) ERA 4.29. The Angels are 10-1 last 11 games against AL West teams and 7-0 last 7 Richards starts. Texas is 1-4 last 5 Tepesch starts as an underdog and have lost 4 straight to the Angels. The downward spiral contiues for the Rangers again tonight as the Angels bats are HOT. Los Angeles Angels are a 7 Unit Play!

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 10:03 AM

R & R Totals

MLB Premium Picks

Top Pick

[915] Chicago White Sox/[916] Cleveland Indians

Total 8 Over +105

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 10:04 AM

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | TORONTO at TAMPA BAY
Play On - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TORONTO) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team
98-71 since 1997. ( 58.0% | 46.6 units )
4-4 this year. ( 50.0% | 1.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | OAKLAND at SEATTLE
OAKLAND is 78-34 (+40.3 Units) against the money line after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (4.5) , OPPONENT (3.3)

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 10:04 AM

MLB

Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays July 11-13 2014

For some reason the Rays bring their best to this series having won 74-of-116 encounters since '2008 including a solid 43-16 at Tropicana Field. With Rays finally finding some traction the past fifteen on the field going 11-4 behind 4.60 runs/game the Jays on a 4-10 skid platting 3.21 runs/game and now with Adam Lind joining Encarnacion, Lawrie on the DL it's hard to envision Toronto leaving Tampa with a series win. Probable pitching matchups points to Rays' taking 2-of-3 if not a sweep. GM1 Jay's Mark Buehrle ridding a 0-6 winless streak (1-5 TSR) trades pitches with Chris Archer who is 2-0 at home vs Toronto. GM2 features Drew Hutchison on a 1-4 skid up against Ray's David Price hitting the mound on a 3-0 stretch with a miniscule 1.88 ERA. If that were not enough, Rays have won 16-of-18 vs Toronto with Price touching toe to rubber. The finale has inconsistent J.A. Happ looking to improve his 2-1 record vs Tampa wearing a Jay uniform (3-1 TSR) dueling Jake Odorizzi taking a loss last season in his only career start vs Toronto.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 10:13 AM

2Halves2Win MLB 7/11

COMP PICK:

GAME - CWS @ CLE: Indians ML

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 10:14 AM

HALL OF FAME PICKS / William Holloway

LA Angels(-161)

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 10:14 AM

MLBPredictions / Kevin
2 UNIT = Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays – RAYS TO WIN (-140)
Listed Pitchers: Buehrle vs Archer
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.43 units)

Toronto has lost 6 of their last 7 games, and the news gets worse for them as another regular, Adam Lind, is out with a foot fracture. The team that had one of the deepest hitting lineups in the league are now missing three of their key peices – Encarnacion, Lawrie and Lind, and are putting out a below average lineup. The Rays on the other hand have been playing well winning 4 of their last 6 games and 9 of their last 12. The Blue Jays will send lefty Mark Buehrle to the mound who is 10-6 with a 2.60 ERA, .260 OBA and 1.24 WHIP. He’s been pretty consistent all season long, but his ERA has been rising slightly each month. Tampa Bay will counter with Chris Archer who is 5-5 witha 3.16 ERA, .243 OBA and 1.29 WHIP. At home Archer is 3-2 with a low 2.59 ERA, .232 OBA and 1.17 WHIP. After a slow start to the season Archer has been great lately, posting a 1.95 ERA in 6 June starts (and allowing just 2 earned runs over 8.1 innings in his lone July start). Over 5 career starts vs Toronto he has a 2.22 ERA, .226 OBA and 1.16 WHIP. Take note that the Blue Jays are just 1-8 in their last 9 road games, and 1-5 in Buehrle’s last 6 starts. The Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 divisional games, 8-3 in their last 11 vs a team with a winning record, 9-4 in Archer’s last 13 home starts, and 6-2 in his last 8 starts at home vs a team with a winning record. Also take note that the Rays have owned Toronto in Tampa Bay winning 45 of thier last 61 meetings at home vs the Blue Jays. Lay a bit of chalk here on the Rays, as I would of expected this line up closer to -165.

Kyle’s Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Oakland Athletics @ Seattle Mariners – UNDER 6 RUNS (+104)
Listed Pitchers: Samardzija vs. Hernandez
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 2.08 units)

We’ll take the Royals win the other night, as the Rays blew a save to open the door for them to come in and steal one. Those ones sure feel good when you’re on the winning side.
Jeff Samardzija finally got his wish by getting traded to a legitimate team. It took him awhile to get his first win with the Cubs even though he had a top notch ERA, but the wins should come a little easier on the Athletics. This may not be that game, as King Felix will present a formidable challenge for the A’s. Both pitchers are absolutely locked in, and are two of the hottest you’ll find at the moment outside of Kershaw. I like this game to be similar to the game Kershaw pitched last night actually, a 2-1 final for the Dodgers. Samardzija was great in his debut with the Athletics, finishing the contest allowing only 1 run and 4 hits. He has a 2.74 ERA, but I feel like it could have been even better in Chicago. His motivation was waning and he certainly didn’t want to be a Cub, so I think his numbers will be even better as a member of the Athletics. Not to mention he’ll be pitching in a rather friendly park for pitchers. This game isn`t in Oakland, but Safeco is kind to pitchers as well. Samardzija has a 3.18 ERA in his last three starts, but note in two of them he gave up just 1, 5 was given up against the Nationals. Hernandez has been red hot, with no bad starts since May 12th where he gave up 4 runs. That was eleven starts ago. Since that time he hasn’t given up more than 2 runs a game. He’s been magnificent, carrying a 1.57 ERA, 0.61 WHIP, and .169 OBP his last three. Classic pitching duel is what I foresee in this matchup.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 11:13 AM

EZWINNERS

3* (902) Cubs -$110

3* (904) Phillies RL+1.5 (-$145)

3* (916) Indians -$220

3* (920) Rays -$140

3* (922) Rangers RL+1.5 (-$110)

golden contender

07-11-2014, 11:42 AM

T.G.I.F and the Top Play is the Double Perfect system N.L. Central Game Of The Year, their is also the MLB Totals Of the Week and a Friday night Dominator Hot Side system. MLB Top play on the LA. Angels cashed easily. Free Plays on a 10-0 Run. Free MLB Late play below.

On Friday the Free MLB System Play in late action is on the LA. Dodgers. Game 912 at 10:10 eastern. We go for 11 straight free wins here tonight and the Dodgers are in a 90% system that plays on any home team with a total that is 8 or less if they are off a home favored win at -200 or higher and scored 4 or less runs with no errors, vs an opponent, like the Padres that are off a road loss and had 4 or less hits. The Dodgers were heavy favorites last night in their win as C. Kershaw was going and they were able to get the win 2-1. The Padres have lost 6 of the last 7 here and are 4-13 on the road when the total is 7 or less. Dan Haren goes for LA and he has a solid 2,96 home era. His counter part J. Hahn has been good as well. This will be Hahns toughest task yet against a solid LA lineup. Look for the Dodgers to get the win. The Friday car is led by the N.L. Central Game of the Year with 2 Perfect never lost systems and indicators, there is also a huge Friday night Dominator hot side system and the Undefeated MLB Totals system of the week. Congrats to all that cashed big last night on MLB Top play Easy winner on the LA. Angels. Jump on now and cash out. For the free MLB Play take the LA. Dodgers. GC

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:26 PM

POWER PLAY WINS

PPOD

Washington Nationals -135 (Zimmermann)

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:27 PM

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play San Francisco -140 over Arizona (MLB TOP PLAY)

San Francisco has won 54 of the last 82 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher and they have won 38 of the last 64 games when playing on a Friday.San Francisco has won 40 of the last 67 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have won 27 of the last 39 games when batting .250 or worse over the last twenty games.

================================================== ===

50* Play Cleveland -175 over Chicago White Sox (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Houston +110 over Boston (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:27 PM

XpertPicks

FRIDAY BASEBALL

Play Toronto +130 over Tampa Bay----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)

7:00 PM EST

Mark Buehrle has won 8 of the last 10 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has won 19 of the last 28 games when pitching on artificial turf. Mark Buehrle has won 6 of the last 9 road games and he has won 8 of the last 12 games when the line posted is between +125 to -125.

Play San Diego +120 over Los Angeles Dodgers----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
10:00 PM EST

Dan Haren has lost 31 of the last 54 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has lost 76 of the last 134 games vs. division opponents. Dan Haren has lost 33 of the last 57 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has lost 30 of the last 53 night games.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:27 PM

BeatYourBookie

FRIDAY

MLB BASEBALL

10* Play Toronto +130 over Tampa Bay (MLB TOP PLAY)

Tampa Bay is 21-30 coming off a loss in their last game
Tampa Bay is 11-16 vs. left-handed starting pitchers
Tampa Bay is 37-45 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs

10* Play St. Louis +120 over Milwaukee (MLB TOP PLAY)

Milwaukee is 27-35 when playing in the month of July
Milwaukee is 37-45 when batting .240 or worse over the last 15 games
Milwaukee is 27-34 at home when the line posted is between -100 to -150

=============================================

5* Play San Diego +120 over Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Houston +105 over Boston (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:28 PM

PAUL LEINER

1000* NY Mets

100* LA Dodgers

50* Seattle Mariners

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:32 PM

BOB BALFE

SELECTION
WASHINGTON NATIOANLS -140
(Zimmermann/Burnett)

Don’t look now but these Phillies have won 4 in a row after their sweep with the Brewers. Philadelphia is not a good baseball team and the Nationals have owned them as of last. Zimmermann is a much better pitcher and this team has a solid bullpen. Washington is one step away from being a major threat in the postseason. Take the Nationals.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:33 PM

ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

SOCCER
PERRY’S SELECTIONS (July -8.75)
IRELAND – EIRCOM LEAGUE
2:45pm CORK CITY FC @ DROGHEDA UTD – OVER 3 -105

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:36 PM

Livewebpicks

Padres

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:37 PM

Vegassi
FRIDAY'S PICKS(HIGH ROLLERS CLUB)

20* MLB Rockies -165 and 10* MLB OVER 10.5
20* MLB Red Sox -135 and 10* MLB UNDER 8
20* MLB Indians -1.5 and 10* MLB UNDER 7.5
20* MLB Cubs -110 and 10* MLB OVER 7
20* MLB Blue Jays +125 and 10* MLB UNDER 7

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:44 PM

Anthony Redd

30 Dime Dodgers

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:46 PM

Craig Davis

20 DIME
Winner # 7 of 9
Dog Shocker

White Sox

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:46 PM

Brad Wilton

100 Dime
Winner # 16 of 25
N.L. East Game of the Year

Mets

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:47 PM

Trace Adams

Top-Rated
1000♦
Winner # 9 of 13
- # 20 of 31 Overall -
Road Warrior Lock

Boston

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:47 PM

Scott Delaney

20 Dime Bounce Back
Interleague Cinch Winner

Rockies

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:48 PM

Gabriel DuPont

150 DIME DOG
SHOCKER OF THE YEAR

Mets

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:48 PM

Jeff Benton

50 DIME
Winner # 3 in a Row
A.L. Total of the Year - Part 2

Angels / Rangers Over

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:52 PM

Topshelfpicks

Carson K

WOW!!! The Freak is on fire. Lincecum as gone 23.1in, 7h, 1r, 7bb & 18Ks in his last 3 starts (2 of those starts vs.SD). That is very impressive. My question is, Can he keep it up another game? I don't know, it's not like he's playing the Padres again. Before you say anything about the team he's playing tonight not being good, let me say this.

Arizona is not very good, you're right. But they are good this year when they face the Freak. In 3 starts vs. the D'backs this year, 16in, 22h, & 15r (8.43era).

On the mound for the D'backs is Mike Bolsinger. He's really nothing special. But he did face the Giants this year and went 7.2in, 5h & gave up 1run.

The Giants will more then likely make the Post Season, but right now they are not playing very well. They just want this weekend to fly by so they can have a break and regroup. At this price i think it's worth a bet.

D'Backs* +141

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:53 PM

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Seattle Storm @ San Antonio Silver Stars
Time: Friday 07/11 8:05 PM Eastern
Pick: San Antonio -5 (-105) at 5Dimes

The WNBA has become a league of parity. There are three elite teams in Atlanta, Minnesota, and Phoenix, and one rising towards that status in San Antonio. The Silver Stars are the fourth and last team currently over .500 in the league, and they are 7-3 in their last 10 games, despite the majority of them having been played on the road. The fact is that six of their nine losses have come against the league's three elite teams. Seattle is no longer the team that was always sitting at or near the top of the WNBA West standings, and while they remain competitive at home, they have been awful on the road at 3-10. The Silver Stars have been winning vs. the poor teams in the league at 6-0 ATS in their last six overall, as this team still flies under the radar. Play on San Antonio.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:53 PM

WNBA Picks - - Roxxyfish

Today I have a special double header freebie for you guys, YES thats right

Seattle Storm@SA Silver Stars SEATTLE STORM 8:05 PM EST

SEATTLE STORM +5.5 and Team Total OVER 70

I know my friend Steve Fezzik will chime in and disagree with this pick as he seems to be a huge fan of Becky Hammon and the Silver Stars, but careful guys , this game is a trap, sure the Silver Stars are in excellent form coming from a big win against the New York Liberty on wednesday, but the Liberty seemed to had a very bad day,

yes, the Silver Stars defense has improved and they play the leagues worst offense today, but Seattle is not that bad, these two teams met already twice this season 1-1 and the Storm scored well in both these games, even last year they did well here,the Silver Stars system is something Seattles Coach Brian Agler loves to play with his physical strong defense, the totals are always set low when these to met, but the results were not as low

The Seattle Storm struggled scoring when they were without Tanisha Wright and Camille Little, but they have them both back and Crystal Langhorne is doing a fantastic job offensively, The Silver Stars have the smallest line up in the league so they are forced to shoot a lot from the outside, Kayla Mc Bride the rookie from Connecticut comes from a 30 point game against the Liberty, but careful, the Storm can shoot the ball as well from behind the arc with Shekina Stricklen, Sue Bird ,Camille Little and Jenna O Hea they have 4 excellent shooters

I am totally sure this game will be much closer than expected , I go with the Seattle Storm plus the points today and the Team Total is set so low, I cant resist playing both for 1unit

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:53 PM

WNBA Picks - Roxxyfish

As most know here i am specialized in Womens Basketball, and handicapping it year round is hard work

12.30PM - Poland +19.5 - write up - Basketball dog - European U20 Championship Women

Poland +19.5 -110 (5dimes) 12.30PM EST

Fri 7/11 1555 Poland (U-20 - Women) +19½ -110 o113½ -110
12:30PM 1556 Spain (U-20 - Women) -19½ -110 u113½ -110

The spanish under 20 Womens Teams have not lost a game since 2012 but 3 days agao they were beaten by the Russians 77-69, they were already qualified for the Play offs and rested some players BUT,they are not that dominant as expected so far, sure they won their other games easy but they rarely covered the point spread

The Spanish team have a future Super Star, Astou Ndour, the Senegal born girly is a Brittney Griner type 6.6 tall Center who is dominating the boards in this Youth Competitions, and I am sure we will see the 20 year old sooner or later in the WNBA

I will go with the underdog from Poland with the points here, 19.5 points is just too much to cover in a play off game,the polish team have some good talents,they come from a tight 3 point loss against the strong tourney hosts Italy, Spain is the clear favorite but I am sure they wont cover this much

Spain v Poland
Record: Spain 5-1 (WWWWLW). Poland 3-3 (WLWLLW)

Key Match-Up: Leticia Romero v Dominika Owczarzak

Romero is the heartbeat of the Spanish side and is influential all over the floor averaging 12.3 points, 5.2 rebounds and 4 assists. She may not come up directly against Poland's Owczarzak at all times but the Polish point's fast hands, which are pinching 2.5 steals-per-game, have the potential to disrupt Romero's rhythm.

Key Stat: Not one player from either of these teams ranks in the top 15 for minutes played, demonstrating how neither team relies solely on one player and can always look for another option from their bench.

Spain's defeat against Russia on Tuesday, their first at this level since 2012, appears to have refocused them, at least if their devastating defeat of Turkey is anything to go by. Poland have struggled for consistency but in routing Serbia by 16 points showed that they are good enough to go against the best this competition has to offer.

EARLY PLAY

At the moment we have the European Under 20 Championships, most books offer these games, my odds are from 5dimes, I will post some of my plays in this thread as the Play offs starting today and we start with France they really went easy through this tourney so far

FRANCE -7.5

Under 20 Women European Championship - Division A, Playoffs
Fri 7/11 1551 Slovakia (U-20 - Women) +7½ -110 +300 o107½ -110
8:00AM 1552 France (U-20 - Women) -7½ -110 -360 u107½ -110

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 12:54 PM

Goodfella

Friday Night MLB Team Total

LA ANGELS OVER 5 RUNS (@BOL)

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 01:43 PM

Ecks and Bacon

E&B and "Mr Chalk" had Np on Thursday.

E&B have Np for Friday.

For Friday in MLB "Mr Chalk" is going with the Friday Matinee in the National League the Cubs Pk/Braves.

Ben lee is 2-4 -$26 for week thirty seven 171-199-5 -$2915

"Mr Chalk" is 48-36 -$342 for the 2014 MLB season.

A correction has been made to E&B wins and losses as well as the monetary totals.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 02:06 PM

Doc's Sports Picks For Major League Baseball 7/11

Please note that the following selection is for the first 5 innings only and is our Game of the Week

5-unit Play First 5 innings only Take #902 Chicago Cubs (-120) over Atlanta Braves (4:05pm EST)

3-unit Play Take #908 New York Mets (-115) over Miami Marlins (7:10pm EST)

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 02:07 PM

Sports Cash System Play of The Day for Today: 7/11

MLB Baseball
Washington Nationals -140 over the Philadelphia Phillies
(Money Line Bet)
Overall Record: 286-254
(System Record: 286-13, Lost last game)

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 02:07 PM

Indian Cowboy's Picks For WNBA 7/11

3-Unit Play. Take Over 146 Seattle vs. San Antonio (8 p.m., Friday, July 11)

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 04:23 PM

Sports Handicapper King

Freeloader:
Atlanta Braves

MLB:
WASHINGTON

CFL:
EDMONTON -4.5

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 04:24 PM

Prop Machine

4 Unit Play - (ATL @ CHC) - Total Strikeouts - Jake Arrieta Over 6 -130
4 Unit Play - (ATL @ CHC) - Who will record more strikeouts? Jake Arrieta Over Alex Wood -120
4 Unit Play - Total Hits, Runs and RBI's - Justin Upton (ATL) Under 2.5 -170

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 04:24 PM

The Linesheet Group

Grand Slam
Angels -170
Rockies -160
Tigers -120

Daily Dog Parlay
Pirates +110
Padres +125
Astros +125

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 04:24 PM

Tiger

TOTAL under 4 (-120) (1st Half ATL BRAVES vs CHI CUBS)

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 04:24 PM

Jeff Clement

St Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers (MLB) - 8:10 PM EDT

Title: MLB Total 7 Unit Play!

Pick: Total: 7.5/-118 Over

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 04:25 PM

Jeff Clement

Minnesota Twins vs. Colorado Rockies (MLB) - 8:40 PM EDT

Title: MLB Inter League 8 Unit Play!

Pick: Money Line: -156 Colorado Rockies

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 04:26 PM

Jeff Clement

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (MLB) - 10:15 PM EDT

Title: N.L. 8 Unit Play!

Pick: Money Line: -155 San Francisco Giants

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 04:27 PM

UNDER Umpire Streakers

#911 UN7 -115 SD/LAD 1u (Southpt) Randazzo 0ov/7un L7gm 100%

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 04:27 PM

Kyle Hunter

Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies
Take:
Washington Nationals (-130)

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets
Take: Total 7 under (-115)

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers
Take: St. Louis Cardinals (+128 )

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 04:28 PM

ANTHONY REDD (website shows 3 pack but this was the only game posted)

30 Dime LA Dodgers

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 05:13 PM

SHAKER’S SHORTS

#926 Kansas City Royals – Team Total OVER 3.5 -115

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 05:14 PM

SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS

Free Play: Colorado RL -1.5 +120 vs Minnesota

Friday 7/11 Service Plays

MLB

Washington RL -1.5 +125

LA Angels RL -1.5 -105

Detroit -120

San Francisco RL -1.5 +140

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 05:15 PM

MLB weekend betting cheat sheet

Amazing Arrieta

Jake Arrieta has had an amazing 2014 for the Chicago Cubs and will be looking to build on his 5-1 record when he takes the ball Friday against the Atlanta Braves (-107, 7). The Under is 6-2-2 in Arrieta’s last ten starts this season as the Cubs ace has kept a low ERA that is currently at 1.78 for 2014.

Bryce’s Blues

Nationals slugger Bryce Harper has had more than his share of struggles as of late, going 1-for-20 in his last six appearances for Washington. The Nationals are 3-3 over that span while the total has been split evenly as well over that six game span.

Strasburg Struggles

Washington’s other young star, Stephen Strasburg has also been struggling this summer for the Nationals. Strasburg is 1-2 with two No Decisions in his last five starts with the Over going 3-1-1 over that span as high scoring affairs seem to have followed Strasburg this season.

Pitching Notes

* Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Drew Hutchinson has been compiling a high number of Unders in his recent starts. Five of his last six starts have went under the number, including his last three mound appearances. Hutchinson takes the mound Saturday in a pitchers due with David Price, another pitcher who has been trending towards the Under of late. Six of Price’s last eight appearances have been Unders.

* The Mets Saturday starter Daisuke Matsuzaka has been brewing a bit of a comeback season on the mound that has been overshadowed by a lack of run support. Unders are 5-1 in his last six starts while the Mets are 1-5 during those games.

* Detroit Tigers Sunday starting pitcher Justin Verlander has turned around a 1-5 streak on the mound with two wins following two No Decisions, but his extremely high ERA has continued to produces a nice trend of Overs. 9-1 in Verlander’s last ten starts to be exact as the former best pitcher in the game continues his struggles.

Hitting Notes

* Colorado still leads the MLB in batting at home, hitting .313 at Coors Field. They will see a boost to that talented lineup when Carlos Gonzalez returns to the lineup after being out since early June when they host the Twins in interleague play.

* San Francisco’s Hunter Pence is 11-for-24 over his last six games and has raised his batting average to above .300 in the process, batting .303 for the season.

* Cardinals second baseman Kolten Wong is red hot as of late for St. Louis. Wong has went 6-for-14 with three homers, five runs scored and as many RBIs in his last five games.

Totals Streak

Justin Verlander (14-4 O/U): As mentioned before, Justin Verlander’s streak of Overs is as good as it gets when it comes to consistent trends during the 2014 MLB season heading into the All-Star break. Verlander’s 14-4 Overs record is even more impressive of late as just one of his last ten starts has went Under.

Prop of the Day

Jake Arrieta of the Chicago Cubs has yet to allow more than two earned runs in his last seven starts, allowing no earned runs in three of those appearances. The Atlanta Braves team total is 3.5 on Friday with the Under set at -120.

Injury Notes

* New York Yankees pitcher Mashiro Tanaka will be on the 15 day DL with a partially torn UCL and is set to rehab even longer as there is now a six week timetable on his return. Even more concerning is the potential of Tommy John surgery for the promising Japanese pitcher who was 12-4 in his first season in the majors.

* Yankees outfielder Carlos Beltran is also out of the lineup at the moment with a broken nose and a concussion following an injury during batting practice. While on the seven day DL the Yankees have went 3-1, so perhaps his absence is a non factor for now.

* Oakland A’s outfielder Coco Crisp is questionable on Friday after sitting out on Thursday’s game with an ankle injury. Oakland is currently 8-6-2 on the season when Crisp is out of the Athletics lineup.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 05:16 PM

J.R Stevens/SMOOTH44

(901) Atlanta Braves ML+100

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 05:16 PM

The factsman

[908] ny mets
z wheeler -r/h alvarez -r -110

[925] detroit tigers
d duffy -l/a sanchez -r -120

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 05:17 PM

Dr. Ed Meyer | MLB Money Line

dime bet – 922 TEX (+159) vs 921 ANA

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 05:17 PM

HARRY BONDI

MLB FREE PLAY

CINCINNATI (-115) over Pittsburgh
7:00 p.m. ET

Mat Latos has really been pitching well for the Reds. He had his third consecutive strong outing last Sunday allowing just two runs on four hits in eight innings of work in a 4-2 win over Milwaukee. Latos has also enjoyed considerable success versus Pittsburgh, posting a 5-1 mark while limiting the Bucs to a .215 batting average. Cincy has won 5 of 6 while Pittsburgh has dropped 5 of 6 heading into this contest so lets play the percentages and back the Reds tonight.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 05:18 PM

Sports Cash System (Play of The Day)

Washington Nationals -140 over the Philadelphia Phillies
(Money Line Bet)

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 05:18 PM

VEGAS RUNNER

RLcrew MLB Premium Moves

901) OVER 7 (-130) – ATL/CHC (rlcrew – $200)

1901) OVER 3.5 (-125) – ATL/CHC (1st 5innings) (rlcrew – $200)

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 05:19 PM

Primetime Insiders

3* Plays

Boston -133 **Both teams are surging on multiple game winning streaks. Even though Lackey owns an ERA south of 4 our system still grades him as underrated going up against the Astros who have hit the ball well lately. Feldmann on the other hand is overrated per our system so we will take Lackey tonight who should show is ERA should be closer to 3 than 4.

Pittsburgh +103 **We have backed Locke in the past and will do the same tonight in Cincy. Latos takes the mound for Cincy which might be a tough spot but the Pirates but the Reds are so banged up our system thinks that Vegas has the wrong favorite in this matchup. Both pitchers grade out the same but we will back the team with better hitting that is healthy.

Atlanta and Chicago Under 7 **This play almost graded higher but we settled on the 3* play. This matchup is between two pitchers who are having excellent years. Wood owns an ERA just north of 3 while Arrieta has been excellent posting an ERA just south of 2! Our system still believes there is value on both pitchers in this match up especially against teams who routinely hit the ball poorly.

2* Plays

Detroit -117

LAA -1.5 -115

Oakland +118

San Diego and LAD Under 7

1* Plays

Washington -145

Miami +103

Saint Louis and Milwaukee Under 8

Oakland and Seattle Under 6.5

LAA and Texas Under 9.5

Toronto and Tampa Bay Over 7

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 05:22 PM

PhillyGodFather

Toronto Blue Jays/Tampa Bay Rays o7 (-110):
STRAIGHT BET [905] PIT PIRATES +105 ( J LOCKE -L / M LATOS -R ):
ODDS TO WIN 2014 WORLD SERIES [14020] OAKLAND ATHLETICS +480:

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 05:22 PM

Maddux

Pirates

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 05:23 PM

MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts
Sportingnews

LAS VEGAS -- Things have gotten very interesting in the NL Central, as the team at the top for most of the season – the Milwaukee Brewers – has lost a season-high five straight and nine of its last 10, allowing the three teams below them – all of which made the playoffs last season – to close the gap considerably. Should the St. Louis Cardinals sweep the Brewers at Miller Park this weekend, the Cardinals would be in first place heading into the All-Star break.

When July began, the Brewers had a comfortable 6.5-game lead over the Cardinals, a seven-game lead over the Reds and eight on the Pirates. Heading into this weekend, the three teams chasing them are all within 3.5 games, with St. Louis only two games out.

The Brewers are -130 favorites tonight behind Yovani Gallardo (5-5, 3.45 ERA) against Joe Kelly (1-1, 0.59). Kelly last pitched on April 16 at Milwaukee, when he strained a hamstring trying to beat out a bunt and ended up on the disabled list.

For the series, the Brewers are -115 favorites to win at least two of three games, one of which involves Adam Wainwright on Saturday against the Brewers’ top prospect Jimmy Nelson. Nelson was just called up from Triple-A to take over in the rotation for the struggling Marco Estrada, who has been moved to the bullpen.

STL/MIL Weekend Rotation (Series Price: Brewers -115)
Friday: Gallardo (5-5,) vs. Joe Kelly
Saturday: Jimmy Nelson (1-0) vs. Adam Wainwright (11-4)
Sunday: Wily Peralta (9-6) vs. Carlos Martinez (2-3)

With the way the Brewers have been reeling – and with Wainwright starting one of the games – the Cardinals (-105) are the play in the series.

As for tonight’s game, it’s tough to side with a pitcher coming off an injury. Kelly made three rehab starts in the minors, including throwing 72 pitches Sunday for Triple-A Nashville. But the good news is his injury wasn’t an arm issue, and Gallardo has been awful against St. Louis over his career, a solid reason to side with the Cards.

Gallardo is 1-12 with a 6.38 ERA in 19 career starts against the Cardinals, and 0-6 with a 6.75 ERA at home. That is about as bad as it gets, and that’s not just a figure of speech. Gallardo’s terrible record against St. Louis is the worst by any one pitcher against one opponent, worse than Mark Buehrle’s 1-11 mark against the Yankees.

As if the Cardinals needed any extra incentive to beat the first-place team in their division, they got some bulletin board stuff – video in this age – when the Brewers made a mock political ad campaign to boost votes for catcher Jonathan Lucroy over Yadier Molina. “Do you want another St. Louis Cardinal in the All-Star Game? Isn’t there a better way?,” the narrator asked rhetorically.

Cardinals manager Mike Matheny didn’t take too kindly to the continued jabs at the organization. It was playful for the Brewers fan base, but perceived in St. Louis as a little disrespectful.

Sometimes a little thing like that is all a team needs to fire them up, and for a struggling team like the Brewers, the timing couldn’t have been worse. They just got swept four games by the last-place Phillies, and doubt about whether they are good enough to hang on is entering their minds. A sweep by the Cardinals in the series wouldn’t be a surprise.

Friday’s selections:

Cardinals (Kelly) +128 at Brewers, 8:10 p.m. ET

Nationals/Phillies UNDER 7.5 (-115), 7:05 p.m. ET

Dodgers (Haren) -130 vs. Padres, 10:10 p.m. ET

Twins (Johnson) +151 at Rockies, 8:40 p.m. ET

Mariners (Hernandez) -125 vs. A’s, 10:10 p.m. ET

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 06:01 PM

Andy Iskoe

Under Reds

Andy is a bit surprised that the total was bet up after opening at 7, considering the fact that Votto is out and Phillips is out and Marte will be missing for Pittsburgh. Both offenses are both weaker and will be going up against a couple of pitchers that are in good from current form.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 06:02 PM

Rooster

Yankees
Over 7.5 Tigers/Royals

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 06:33 PM

SPORTSWAGERS

CFL

Ottawa @ EDMONTON

EDMONTON -4½ -103 over Ottawa

(Risking 2.06 units - To Win: 2.00)

Give Ottawa credit for an outstanding effort in Winnipeg in their inaugural CFL game. This was an extremely determined football team that played with purpose and intensity throughout and that was in a position to win. In the end, Ottawa couldn’t make that one big stop when they needed it most but the overall product was good and they looked like anything but an expansion team. Ottawa will win some games, no question about that, but it’s not likely to come this week. For one, there is the emotional letdown after being so charged up in Week 1. Secondly, the Redblacks had an edge over Winnipeg in that they had not played a game yet and the Bombers had no film to watch to prepare for them. Nobody knew what the Redblacks were going to do and nobody had the ability to prepare for them. When Winnipeg took to the half and had something to work with, the coaching staff made the adjustments and Winnipeg came out in the second half and buried the Redblacks, holding them to just two FG’s and a single point. Ottawa does not figure to be as emotionally charged for this game, especially with their home opener against Toronto on deck next week. There is so much excitement in Ottawa that the Redblacks had over 10,000 fans at their “get-together” this past Wednesday to allow season ticket holders to see the new team and new stadium. Now it’s back-to-back road games to the West Coast for Ottawa but this one does not have that same feel for them. The excitement of being a new team with a chip on its shoulders is gone.

Edmonton is 2-0 but it’s an ugly 2-0 after the team defeated a lethargic B.C. team in their opener and needed a fourth quarter miracle to defeat the Tiger-cats in Week 2. The Eskies have not looked impressive in their two games and they are very aware of their issues. The offense has averaged just over 300 yards per game, which is well below the league average of 357 yards per game. Edmonton’s running game has been weak and they are also the most banged up team in the CFL with as many 11 players out, doubtful or questionable for this game. That said, Edmonton is still 2-0 and have found ways to win when they weren’t at their best. Injury replacements often play better than the players they are replacing because it’s a window of opportunity. Additionally, Mike Reilly is an outstanding QB for Edmonton that is as tough as shoe leather and he figures to be able to pick apart an Ottawa defense that he has been viewing on film for the past week. Anyone that follows this league closely could make an easy case for taking the points because on paper it certainly looks like the Redblacks can win outright. However, this choice is based solely on the situation. Edmonton has not looked sharp, so there is no complacency or letdown factor. They know they have to be better. Meanwhile, for the Redblacks, this game is sandwiched between their home opener against Toronto next week and last week’s emotionally charged first CFL game for the new franchise. We’re suggesting that Ottawa won’t be nearly as sharp as they were a week ago and Edmonton will seize the opportunity.

Winnipeg @ MONTREAL

Winnipeg +137 over MONTREAL

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.74)

As a 3-point pooch at home, the Alouettes buried the B.C. Lions 24-9 while Winnipeg fell behind the expansion Redblacks, 14-0 before rallying and taking the lead late in the fourth quarter. In fact, Montreal led 24-3 with less than 90 seconds left in the game when the Lions scored their only TD and it was a meaningless one. Montreal is now home again while the Blue Bombers will play their first road game in three weeks. This number is a gross overreaction/under-reaction to last week’s results and it works in our favor. The Als are the CFL’s worst offense and it’s not close. Despite having the ball for almost 10 minutes more than the Lions last week, Montreal only had one more first down. Three turnovers by the Lions combined with an ugly game again by Kevin Glenn, his second in two weeks, was the reason the Als won. In week 1, Montreal lost 29-8 in Calgary and they were outgained by more than 200 yards. In two games, Als QB Troy Smith has completed just 35 passes and has looked very uncomfortable in just about all of them. The Als defense has looked fairly decent but this is not a defensive league and without an offense and without the ability to come back when falling behind, it’s an uphill battle from the get go.

The Blue Bombers were undervalued in Week 1 when they buried the Argos 45-21 as a 6-point dog. The oddsmakers and or public wasn’t buying their dominance over Toronto because the next week Winnipeg opened as a 5½-point favorite over the expansion Redblacks and by game time that number was down to -4. Winnipeg won and covered and although it was a fortunate cover, the thing to note is that Winnipeg rallied when they were down and they kept on coming. Last year’s Bombers, after falling behind 14-0 would have panicked, made mistake after mistake and probably go on to get hammered. This year’s team kept their poise, dug down deep against an emotionally charged opponent and got the job done in impressive fashion under the guidance of their very capable and exciting new QB, Drew Willy. In two games, Willy has competed 66% of his passes and has thrown for 615 yards and four TD’s. We love the fact that the Bombers are on the road for the first time as well. Winnipeg has responded extremely well twice in two very different situations. First, as a home dog in their season opener in a game they weren’t supposed to win and secondly, rallying in Week 2 after falling behind by two TD’s early. This is another test and one the Bombers are determined to prove that they are not just a difficult team to beat in their own barn. Winnipeg plays an aggressive brand of defense, which is a huge problem for Troy Smith, they are vastly superior offensively and when you are winning, you can’t wait for the next game. A focused Blue Bombers squad now gets its easiest test to date and once again they figure to pass with flying colors. Bombers outright.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 06:34 PM

SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

Pittsburgh @ CINCINNATI

Pittsburgh +104 over CINCINNATI

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.08)

The Pirates went into St. Louis as the hottest team in the NL but lost the first three games of that series to get cooled out. However, the Pirates really got unlucky in the opener of that series and they buried the Cards in the series finale last night, 9-1. The Bucs now take the momentum from last night’s win into Cincinnati to face the most overvalued team in the NL right now. Jeff Locke was a command artist in June with 5.7 K’s/9 and just 1.3 BB/9. His 12% swing and miss rate gives hope for more strikeouts and it’s also worth noting Locke’s elite 52% groundball rate and 0.92 WHIP. Locke has six pure quality starts in seven games and now faces a Reds’ lineup that can easily be dominated.

Cinci took four of five from the Cubbies over the past four days but pretty it was not. The Reds have been the beneficiary of running into every team they have played recently at precisely the right time. They caught the Brewers and Giants when both suddenly went ice cold and they caught the Cubbies after Chicago traded their two best pitchers. The same fate does not await them here. Pittsburgh is still swinging some hot bats and the Pirates should have little trouble getting to Mat Latos. Latos is also a control artist, as he has walked just five batters all season in 34 innings. However, Latos’ strikeout rate is way down, which is supported by a weak swing and miss rate of 4% over his last two starts. With a groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile of 38%/23%/40% and few strikeouts, Latos is walking a tightrope that figures to come crashing down at any minute. His 2.41 ERA is a complete mirage that is 1½-runs lower than his xERA of 3.91. Offensively and in the bullpen the Pirates are so much better than the Reds and will likely prove so over the next three days and beyond.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 06:34 PM

Highrollerplays

Wise Guy Insider Play
Miami Marlins VS New York Mets
MLB New York Mets -120 (7:10 Eastern start time)

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 06:34 PM

mysystempicks

MLB 07/11 Nats -141 2.5 X
MLB 07/11 Pirates +108 2.0 P
MLB 07/11 Orioles -112 1.5 P
MLB 07/11 Rockies -1.5 +115 1.0 P

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 06:35 PM

DHayes2

1* Brewers

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 06:35 PM

NonStopSportsPicks

2* Rockies/Twins Under 10.5

Weather in Denver is rainy, humid, and wind blowing in a bit (at the moment). Not that it won't change by gametime. But we have De La Rosa on the mound for the Rockies and he's a stud at home. The Rockies will face a kid in Johnson who they haven't faced before and he has pretty decent stuff. Similar to the write-up yesterday, I DO like pitchers who the hitters haven't seen before to have an advantage the first time through the line-up. We're needing De la Rosa to do his thing tonight for the Rockies, and we're needing Johnson to go through the line-up once without huge issues. This line probably drops before first pitch, so we'll take a 2* shot now.

Can'tPickAWinner

07-11-2014, 06:35 PM

Dave Essler - Friday Night MLB Thoughts

I like the Phillies RL a fair bit. The total coming down, Washington off a tough series and worse against RHP, Burnett hasn't looked bad, and the Phillies clearly know Zimmerman.

Looks like Locke and the Pirates might go off the listed favorite in Cincinnati against Latos. I can't say I disagree, but with that in mind I would look hard at the under.

Miami is back to playing poorly and the Mets have been. Tough to put actual money on either side, IMO.

Another enigma is that Brewers game. I do hate laying -140 on them against the Cardinals, with or without Molina. Tough to take STL either, with Kelly not in a routine yet, but if that total is coming down or at least staying stable I COULD see taking the STL RL.

I would do nothing but take the Padres over the Dodgers. Haren over rated and Hahn under rated. Worth a marble.

I do think people are over rating Timmy this time. Arizona knows him well and it's not like the Giants have been tearing the cover off the ball. D-Backs RL or nothing.

Because the White Sox are hot and hitting, they don't need to be +190 or whatever here by any means. Indians playing pretty sloppy, actually. White Sox or RL could be the public disaster of the night.

I want no part of Buerhle or Archer, really. That total of only 7 looks fairly doable, even in the Trop. Both teams know the opposing pitchers well enough, and it's not like either bullpen is that stout.

Not laying -170 on the road in a division game, but I could see taking the Angels RL simply because they're gonna get 27 outs no matter what happens.

Because Feldman keeps the ball in the park (usually) I like the Astros, again, or at least the RL. I watched Lackey pitch against them earlier when they were "younger and less confident" so Boston could well be another disaster, IMO.

It's hard to bet against Fernandez, especially at home, but the one thing the A's gave going for them is they've seen him and Seattle has not seen Samardzija. Simply under or nothing here.

I'm not sure the Rockies really need to be -165 here even though the Twins don't get the DH. In fact, the Twins RL is the only play I can make, and the square over if I can get 10.