7-19-14

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::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 4
By David Schwab


The run from worst to first for both Winnipeg and Edmonton continued into Week 3 of the new CFL regular season. The Blue Bombers outlasted Montreal last Friday 34-33 as three-point road underdogs to remain perfect on the year at 3-0 both straight-up and against the spread. The total in that game went OVER the closing 48½-point line. The Eskimos improved to 3-0 SU with a 27-11 victory over Ottawa in Friday’s other game as five-point home favorites. That total stayed UNDER the 53-point line.

This past Saturday’s double-header started with Calgary running all over Toronto 34-15 as a two-point favorite on the road. The total stayed UNDER a closing betting line of 55 points in that contest. Week 3 closed things out with British Columbia snapping a two-game skid with a 26-13 victory over defending Grey Cup Champion Saskatchewan as a five-point underdog on the road. The total in this game also stayed UNDER with the closing line set at 51½ points.

Saturday, July 19

Montreal Alouettes (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)

Point-Spread: BC -5½
Total: 47½

Game Overview

Montreal is still looking for some better consistency on both sides of the ball after a 1-2 start that includes a lopsided loss to Calgary on opening day followed by a solid 15-point victory over BC in Week 2 as a three-point home underdog. The Alouettes racked-up 203 yards on the ground in that win against the Lions.

The Lions are another team searching for an early identity, but they have to be encouraged with last week’s victory. Kevin Glenn played his best game of the season with 170 yards passing and one touchdown throw while Andrew Harris had a big day on the ground with 138 yards rushing and a touchdown on 18 carries.

Betting Trends

Montreal has failed to cover the spread in 22 of the last 29 meetings and it is a costly 3-13 ATS in the last 16 games played in BC. The total in this matchup has stayed UNDER in four of the last five games at BC Place.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Watson

CFL

Over B.C.Lions/Montreal

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

National League
Rockies-Pirates
Anderson is 0-3, 6.75 in four starts this season.
Morton is 1-0, 2.84 in his last three starts.

Rockies lost ten of their last eleven road games.
Pittsburgh is 10-2 in last twelve home games.

Over is 13-6-1 in Colorado's last twenty road games.

Brewers-Nationals
Garza is 2-1, 2.31 in his last three starts.
Gonzalez is 3-1, 1.30 in his last four starts.

Milwaukee lost 11 of its last 14 games.
Washington won ten of its last fifteen games.

Five of last seven Brewer games went over the total.


Giants-Marlins
Hudson is 0-4, 6.67 in his last five starts.
Alvarez is 4-1, 2.07 in his last ten starts.

Giants won three of their last four games.
Miami lost six of its last seven games.

14 of last 21 Marlin games went over the total.


Phillies-Braves
Hamels is 2-2, 2.19 in his last nine starts.
Wood is 0-1, 4.92 in his last three starts.

Phillies lost their last three games.
Atlanta won six of its last seven home games.

Nine of last twelve Philly games went over the total.


Dodgers-Cardinals
Greinke is 2-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.
Kelly is 1-1, 4.42 in four starts this season.

Dodgers lost four of their last five road games.
St Louis won six of its last eight games.

Five of last six Dodger games stayed under the total.


Cubs-Diamondbacks
Wood is 1-3, 6.84 in his last five starts.
Miley is 2-0, 1.25 in his last three starts.

Cubs lost nine of their last eleven games.
Arizona lost 18 of its last 30 games.

Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Cub games.


Mets-Padres
Gee is 3-0, 1.33 in his last four starts.
Ross is 1-3, 1.55 in his last four starts.

Mets won eight of their last nine games.
San Diego lost eight of its last ten games.

16 of last 22 San Diego games stayed under.


American League
Rangers-Blue Jays
Lewis allowed 13 runs in 2.1 IP in his last start.
Stroman is 1-0, 3.20 in his last four starts.

Rangers lost 23 of their last 28 games.
Toronto lost eight of its last ten games.

Five of last seven Texas road games went over the total.


Indians-Tigers
Kluber is 3-1, 1.93 in his last four starts. McCallister is 0-5, 6.60 in his last seven starts.
Tigers won last four Scherzer starts (3-0, 1.60); Rice alum Ver Haken is making MLB debut; he is 6-7, 3.67 in 19 AAA starts this year.

Indians won seven of their last ten games.
Detroit won five of its last seven games.

Seven of last eight Detroit home games went over total.


Royals-Red Sox
Duffy is 1-4, 2.93 in his last five starts.
de la Rosa is 1-0, 1.89 in his last three starts.

Royals lost seven of their last ten games.
Boston won five of its last six games.

Six of last nine Kansas City games stayed under.


Astros-White Sox
Keuchel is 1-2, 6.57 in his last four starts.
Noesi is 1-3, 5.82 in his last six starts.

Astros won three of last four road games, after losing 10 of previous 11.
White Sox lost four of their last six games.

Seven of last ten Houston games went over the total.


Rays-Twins
Price is 4-0, 1.41 in his last four starts.
Correia is 1-2, 2.37 in his last three starts.


Tampa Bay won nine of its last ten road games.
Twins won five of their last seven games.

Eight of last eleven Tampa Bay games went over total.


Mariners-Angels
Hernandez is 3-0, 1.69 in his last four starts (2-0, 2.45 vs Angels in '14).
Richards is 7-0, 1.27 in his last eight starts.

Seattle won seven of its last nine road games.
Angels won 12 of their last 14 games.

Under is 9-2-1 in last twelve Mariner games.


Orioles-A's
Chen is 2-1, 5.72 in his last five starts.
Hammel is 2-1, 3.55 in his last four starts.

Baltimore won five of its last seven road games.
A's won 12 of their last 13 home games.

Under is 7-2-3 in last twelve Oakland games.


Interleague games
Reds-Bronx
Reds are 15-3 in Simon starts (6-0, 2.62 in last eight).
McCarthy is 2-1, 3.26 in his last three starts.

Cincinnati won seven of its last ten games.
Bronx lost seven of its last nine home games.

Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Bronx home games.


Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Greinke 11-8; Kelly 2-2
-- Anderson 1-3; Morton 9-10
-- Garza 10-9; Gonzalez 9-5
-- Hudson 11-6; Alvarez 13-6
-- Hamels 6-10; Wood 4-7
-- Wood 10-9; Miley 10-10
-- Gee 5-4; Ross 8-12 (1-7 last 8)


-- Lewis 8-8; Stroman 3-5
-- McCallister 5-6 (1-6 last seven), Kluber 12-8; Scherzer 14-5, Ver Hagen 0-0
-- Duffy 5-8; de la Rosa 3-3
-- Price 12-8; Correia 6-13
-- Keuchel 10-7; Noesi 6-8
-- Hernandez 14-6 (won last four); Richards 15-4 (won last eight)
-- Chen 11-7; Hammel 10-7/0-1

-- Simon 15-3; McCarthy 4-14/1-0

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Greinke 4-19; Kelly 1-4
-- Anderson 1-4; Morton 3-19
-- Garza 7-19; Gonzalez 6-14
-- Hudson 1-18; Alvarez 5-19
-- Hamels 3-16; Wood 5-11
-- Wood 4-19; Miley 3-20
-- Gee 2-9; Ross 5-20


-- Lewis 6-16; Stroman 2-8
-- McCallister 5-6, Kluber 4-20; Scherzer 6-19, Ver Hagen 0-0
-- Duffy 3-13; de la Rosa 1-6
-- Price 8-20; Correia 4-19
-- Keuchel 5-17; Noesi 3-14
-- Hernandez 3-20; Richards 4-19
-- Chen 6-18; Hammel 5-18

-- Simon 5-18 (1 of last 9); McCarthy 5-19

Umpires
-- LA-StL-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Kulpa games.
-- Col-Pitt-- Seven of last nine TWelke games stayed under.
-- Mil-Wsh-- Five of last six Carapazza games stayed under.
-- SF-Mia-- Favorites won ten of last twelve Segal games.
-- Phil-Atl-- Five of last seven Little games stayed under.
-- Chi-Az-- Over is 5-3 in Joyce games this season.
-- NY-SD-- Five of last seven HGibson games stayed under.

-- Tex-Tor-- Favorites won five of last six Tumpane games.
-- Cle-Det-- Five of last six Barry games stayed under. Seven of last nine Everitt games went over.
-- KC-Bos-- Home side won last six Barksdale games; last three stayed under.
-- TB-Min-- Last five Dimuro games went over total.
-- Hst-Chi-- Nine of last eleven O'Nora games stayed under.
-- Sea-LA-- Five of last six Morales games went over.
-- Balt-A's-- Over is 6-1-2 in last nine Emmel games.

-- Cin-NY-- Eight of last eleven Nauert games stayed under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VIP Picks Soccer

Neftan - Belshina
Tip: Neftan -0.5, 1
Odds: 1,83

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeffrey James (YouWinNow)

Play of the Day #918 Detroit Tigers with Scherzer moneyline

Scherzer has been having an awesome season and he is back to his old self after a little bit of a rough stretch. He has owned the Indians with a 9-4 record against them and the Tigers have been very good on Saturday games with an 11-4 record. Cleveland is 0-3 as a road underdog in this price range and they have not been good on the road most of the season. Take the Tigers here behind Scherzer as the play of the day.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play 18-6 run Sat: Padres w/ Ross -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo started the second half with a setback Friday night, losing with the Royals against the Sawx to boost the debt to 1,325 lemongellos.

Saturday: Mr. Aitch will attempt to soar with the ’Stros — 10 units on Keuchel to collar those darn Chisox.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Nationals on Friday and likes the Nationals on Saturday.

The deficit is 354 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Saturday

Red Sox -130

Dbacks -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB PicksSeattle at LA AngelsThe Mariners look to bounce back from last night's 3-2 loss to the Angels (58-37) in 16 innings and come into tonight's contest with a 5-0 record in Felix Hernandez' last 5 starts against a team with a winning record. Seattle is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Mariners favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+100). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


SATURDAY, JULY 19
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: LA Dodgers at St. Louis (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 15.861; St. Louis (Kelly) 12.412
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 3 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-135); Under


Game 903-904: Colorado at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Anderson) 16.345; Pittsburgh (Morton) 18.175
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-155); Over


Game 905-906: Milwaukee at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Garza) 16.708; Washington (Roark) 15.858
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Washington (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+125); Over


Game 907-908: San Francisco at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Hudson) 13.746; Miami (Alvarez) 15.339
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+100); Under


Game 909-910: Philadelphia at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.612; Atlanta (Harang) 14.339
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 911-912: Chicago Cubs at Arizona (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 15.594; Arizona (Miley) 14.503
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+130); Under


Game 913-914: NY Mets at San Diego (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 14.494; San Diego (Ross) 13.413
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-130); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+110); Under


Game 915-916: Texas at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 15.069; Toronto (Stroman) 14.119
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-190); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+165); Over


Game 917-918: Cleveland at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (McAllister) 15.786; Detroit (Scherzer) 17.313
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-175); Over


Game 919-920: Kansas City at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Duffy) 14.761; Boston (De La Rosa) 16.336
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-130); Under


Game 921-922: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 15.923; Minnesota (Hughes) 13.583
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-175); Under


Game 923-924: Houston at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 13.887; White Sox (Noesi) 15.857
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-115); Over


Game 925-926: Seattle at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 16.746; LA Angels (Richards) 14.613
Dunkel Line: Seattle 2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+100); Over


Game 927-928: Baltimore at Oakland (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 16.612; Oakland (Hammel) 15.503
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+145); Under


Game 929-930: Cincinnati at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Simon) 16.703; NY Yankees (McCarthy) 15.607
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+110); Over


Game 931-932: Cleveland at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kluber) 16.586; Detroit (VerHagen) 17.507
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+110); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POWER PLAY WINS

Power Plays Of The Day

* L.A. Dodgers -125
* Pittsburgh Pirates -145
* Arizona Diamondbacks -145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Four MLB teams sportsbooks don't want to win the World Series
By JASON LOGAN

The MLB season has hit the turn and is heading toward home with the All-Star break in the rearview. This is the time when the contenders separate themselves from the pretenders, and sportsbooks online and in Nevada start picking their favorites.

We asked books to reveal which teams their cheering against – according to the liability of the futures market – and why these clubs could do some damage if they win the World Series.

San Francisco Giants (52-43, second in NL West)

The Giants started strong and drew a lot of action, especially with some sportsbooks pricing San Francisco as high as 30/1 to win the World Series back in April. San Francisco went 16-11 in April and followed that with a sterling 16-9 record in May. It came crashing to earth with a 10-16 June and is on a 6-7 skid heading into the second half of the schedule.

“In March, we took a lot of action on the Giants at 20/1,” Mike Perry. “I think that many bettors remember that in recent years, San Fran has been one of the better teams after the All-Star break, and are banking on another strong second half of the season from them.”

Milwaukee Brewers (53-43, first in NL Central)

The Brewers are one of the biggest surprises so far this baseball season. Milwaukee, slotted as a 10/1 long shot to win the National League Central and projected to win around 79.5 games, exploded out of the gate with a 19-8 record in the first month of the season. Things have definitely cooled off for the Brew Crew, posting a 2-10 mark in July so far. That’s makes books happy.

“We had one player come in and bet them when we first put them up at 80/1 (to win World Series),” Jeff Stoneback, sportsbook manager at the MGM Mirage in Las Vegas. “A guy came in and wanted to bet them to win like half a million. Was like $6,200 or something. We didn’t let him bet that, we had to cut him back a bit.”

Baltimore Orioles (52-42, first in AL East)

Baltimore has capitalized on a down year in the American League East. Boston is suffering a World Series hangover, New York and Toronto can’t stay healthy, and Tampa Bay is swinging a limp noodle at the plate. The Orioles have been on the up for the past few seasons but books still opened the O’s at long odds to win the World Series, which has them sweating a bit as the summer heats goes up.

“The first week of June we had the Orioles at 50/1 to win the World Series, and that is the main reason we are exposed on them,” says Perry.

Seattle Mariners (51-44, third in AL West)

The Mariners have the pitching to get the job done in October, but it will be up to their bats if the team gets there or not. Seattle, hitting .245 BA at the break, is eight games behind Oakland in the American League West but in the hunt for a wild card spot. They were as high as 75/1 in Las Vegas, where books have trimmed that price to 20/1.

“I think they’re like second or third in run differential in the AL,” says Stoneback, a Mariners fan pulled between the futures liability on Seattle. “But they hit like .250 with runners in scoring position and only like .240 overall on the season.”

Bonus note: The Chicago Cubs are among the biggest liabilities to the futures book, both at online and Nevada markets. Chicago was 100/1 to win the World Series to start the season and is now 1,000/1, but still draws action from Cubs fans blindly betting their favorite team.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

What trend hit big in major league's return to action?
Andrew Caley

Major League Baseball returned to action Friday and it was a good night for teams in the visiting dugout.

Road teams went 13-2 against the runline in the first day back since the All-Star break, hitting at a mark of an incredible 87 percent.

Away teams are coming in at almost 38 percent for the season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Angels acquire Huston Street from Padres
By Chris Cotillo

The sides have agreed on a six-player deal that will send three top prospects to San Diego.

The Los Angeles Angels have acquired Huston Street from the San Diego Padres, both teams announced on Friday night. The Padres will receive prospects Taylor Lindsey, Jose Rondon, R.J. Alvarez and an Elliot Morris in exchange for Street and minor league pitcher Trevor Gott. The deal is likely to be announced after the Padres' game this evening.

The Angels have reportedly been pursuing Street and Padres starter Ian Kennedy in recent days, but the sides were said not to be matching up on a deal for Kennedy. Instead of a bigger deal involving Kennedy, the Angels will part with a good chunk of their farm system to solidify their bullpen with the addition of an All-Star closer in Street.

Street, who recently said that he expected either himself or teammate Joaquin Benoit to be dealt before the trade deadline, has posted a 1.09 ERA and 24 saves in 33 innings with the Padres this season. He has reportedly drawn interest from teams looking for bullpen help such as the Pirates, Orioles and Giants, but now will join an Angels bullpen that has received a boost from new additions Jason Grilli and Joe Thatcher in the last couple of weeks. He will immediately become the team's closer, replacing Joe Smith, who has been strong in the role since taking over for Ernesto Frieri. Street is under team control for next season due to the $7M team option on his contract for 2015.

Gott, 21, is a right-handed reliever who has a combined 2-4 record, 3.56 ERA and 16 saves in 43 innings with High-A Lake Elsinore and Double-A San Antonio on the season. The 2013 sixth-round pick was not ranked by Baseball America as one of San Diego's top 30 prospects before the season, and projects as a late-inning reliever or closer at the major league level.

Lindsey, who was ranked by Baseball America before the season as the Angels' top prospect, is a second baseman who has hit .247/.323/.400 in 75 games with Triple-A Salt Lake so far this season. The 22-year old was a first-round pick (37th overall) in the 2010 draft and was ranked by Baseball America as the 93rd best prospect in baseball before the season, with his main strength being hitting for contact.

Rondon, 20, entered the season as the Angels' 12th best prospect, according to Baseball America. The shortstop has spent his season with High-A Inland Empire, hitting .327/.362/.418 in 72 games. He has a reputation as a four-tool player who is strong in every category minus power, and is an above-average fielder and runner.

Morris, 22, was 3-3 with a 4.17 ERA in nine starts with Class-A Inland Empire with 40 strikeouts and 28 walks in 45 innings. The Halos selected Morris in the fourth round of the 2013 draft.

Alvarez, who was ranked as the Angels' fourth best prospect after last season, has pitched to a 0.33 ERA in 27 innings out of the bullpen for Double-A Arkansas so far this season. The 23-year old was the Angels' third-round pick in 2012, and has been a consistently good reliever in the minor leagues for his entire career.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

M's Taijuan Walker is once again at center of David Price trade talks
Jon Heyman

The Seattle Mariners are interested in bringing in Rays ace David Price.

The Rays are said to have talked to the Mariners about pitching prospect Taijuan Walker plus two or three other top young players in talks involving pitcher David Price, league sources said.

Talks are ongoing and fluid, and deals being discussed could include just Price from Tampa Bay, Price plus Ben Zobrist or Zobrist alone.

It's all thought to be in the early stages, and Tampa's requests are not necessarily unreasonable for an ace such as Price, who is on a major hot streak and leads the AL in strikeouts and innings. Tampa hasn't yet definitively signaled that it would even trade Price yet, as it isn't that far off the pace in a surprisingly unimposing AL East.

The Mariners are loaded with top prospects, including D.J. Peterson, one of the best hitters in the minors, and left-handed pitcher James Paxton, who pitched a rehab start last night. Tampa is believed interested in those players as well.

The inclusion of Walker in talks is no surprise, as he was the key name this winter when those very same teams talked about Price. Eventually, the Mariners said no, as they were hesitant to part with Walker at the time, and Price's agent Bo McKinnis told Ken Rosenthal that Price preferred not to go so far as Seattle and wouldn't sign an extension with the Mariners.

Things may have changed for Seattle, which is now ensconced in the AL wild-card race. Scouts are expected at Walker's start Friday night for Triple-A Tacoma at Reno. He's pitched pretty well since returning from a spring shoulder concern and is considered a potential top-of-the-rotation starter.

The Rays are said to have had two scouts at their Double-A game Thursday against the Mariners' Double-A Jackson team, at Montgomery, Ala., though Tampa may have been scouting its own players, as well as Seattle's.

Seattle's other coveted prospects include shortstop Chris Taylor, pitchers Edwin Diaz, Luis Gohara and Victor Sanchez, outfielder/third baseman Pat Kivleham and catcher Tyler Marlette. The Mariners might be willing to include shoirtstop Brad Miller in a deal since Jackson has emerged as a huge prospect. Tampa has had a long-term interest in catching, but Seattle has said it will not trade its catcher Mike Zunino.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Exclusive sports

Kansas city royals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

Milwaukee Brewers +110

here is a pitching change today as Roark takes over for Gonzalez. As of 9am there is no line, but I am figuring the Brewers will become a small favorite. This is a Milwaukee team that is excited for the second half of this season after that losing streak they were on. This might be a team you ride for a week if they can win 4 or 5 in a row. Take the Brewers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

MLB

Red Sox
Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

30 Dimes Mets ml

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Burns' CFL O/U ANNIHILATOR! (First Total Of Season!)
Over Montreal / BC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R & R Totals

Top Pick

MLB Jul 19 ,2014 1:05p
[931] G1 Cleveland Indians [932] G1 Detroit Tigers Total 8½ ov+101
at Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com)
TOP MLB Over-Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R & R Totals

MLB Jul 19 ,2014 7:05p
[917] G2 Cleveland Indians[918] G2 Detroit Tigers Total 8 ov-110
at pinnacle
TOP MLB Over-Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Los Angeles Dodgers -120 over St. Louis Cardinals
(System Record: 63-0, won last 5 games)
Overall Record: 63-43

Soccer Crusher
Estudiantes LP + Douglas Haig UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 610-21, lost last game)
Overall Record: 610-502-87

Here are the rest of his baseball plays for today...


Cleveland Indians - Game #1 -117 over Detroit Tigers - Game #1
Miami Marlins +107 over SF Giants
Seattle Mariners +106 over LA Angels

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Delaney

20 Dime Winner #13 of 22

American League Value Pup

Astros

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gabriel DuPont

50 Dime Winner #15 of 25
A.L. Total of the Month

OVER Texas/Toronto

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Craig Davis

40 DIME
Winner # 4 in a Row
A.L. Total of the Month

Under Mariners/Angels

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams

Winning Day # 11 of 16
2nd Biggest MLB Release
Raise the Bar
1500♦
Winner # 6 of 8
N.L. Showdown Lock

Washington Nationals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Benton

2nd Biggest MLB Selection
100 DIME
Dog Game of the Year

KC Royals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Wilton

50 Dime
Winner # 19 of 28
N.L. Total of the Month

Under N.Y. Mets/San Diego

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Michaels

Winning Day # 102 of 165
50 DIMER # 8 OF 12

SF Giants

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Anthony Redd

40 Dime Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

'Pitching Duel'

The eyes of most baseball fans, as well as those focused on baseball betting, will be on what figures to be a pitching duel when Los Angeles Angels host Seattle Mariners Saturday night in the second of a three-game series. Angels send their top win hurler, Garrett Richards to the mound carrying a 11-2 record, 2.55 ERA over 19 starts with a profitable 15-4 team start record. One of the hottest pitchers heading into the break, Richards is undefeated in eight trips to the mound with a sparkling 1.27 ERA and Angels have won all eight starts. On the other mound, Seattle counters with ace Felix Hernandez (11-2, 2.12 ERA) sporting an 8-1 stretch his last 12 games (10-2 TSR) allowing just 1.77 runs/game. Oddsmakers have noted the possibility of a low-scoring affair and have set the opening total at 6 1/2. While some may be scared off at the low total number, that usually is a sign to jump in, so make the right call and take 'Under' knowing Richards has shown that he can keep the score low facing Mariners as each of his four career starts has gone 'Under' and that Hernandez has seen the 'Under' prevail in 7 of his last 10 starts, 14 of his last 20 July road starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | SAN FRANCISCO at MIAMI
Play On - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games
34-14 since 1997. ( 70.8% | 22.4 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.2 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | BALTIMORE at OAKLAND
BALTIMORE is 14-6 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in Road games on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5 this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (5.2) , OPPONENT (3.4)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

CFL

Montreal @ B.C. LIONS

Montreal +6½ -102 over B.C. LIONS

(Risking 2.04 units - To Win: 2.00)

These two met in Montreal just two weeks ago and as a three-point choice, the Lions got hammered 24-9. Now the “revenge angle” comes into play but we’re suggesting that’s an angle that has been overplayed for years, especially in this league. Fact is, we get 3½ more points than we got in that Alouettes victory and we’re more than happy to accept them. B.C. did respond with an unexpected win in Regina last week but that was its first win of the season against what is proving to be a weak Riders team. B.C. has scored just 55 points in three games. 7 of those points came on the games’ final play in Montreal. QB Kevin Glenn is not a difference maker. He’s slow, he’s making a lot of bad decisions and he’s not getting enough protection to trust as a 6½-point favorite. Furthermore, Glenn has tossed six picks, which is the most in the league through three games. His passer rating of 62.5 is also the worst in the league among starters and even in the win against Saskatchewan last week, Glenn passed for just 170 yards on 16-27 completions.

Montreal lost their season opener in Calgary 29-8 and it was as ugly as could be. But the Als responded with that aforementioned win against the Lions, followed by a game effort against the Bombers in a one-point loss. In that game, Winnipeg scored a TD with 30 seconds left to win it. So, what we have here is back-to-back game efforts by the Als. Troy Smith is looking more comfortable with each passing game and aside from that, his legs are another weapon that the Lions have to prepare for. Despite losing last week, the Als are gaining momentum. They are showing gradual improving in every department while the same can’t be said for B.C. and its inefficient offense. The Lions have scored 20, 9 and 26 points respectively in each of their three games and those are not numbers conducive to spotting 6½-points. Montreal not only has a great chance to cover, they have a chance to win this one outright.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

San Francisco @ MIAMI

San Francisco -109 over MIAMI

(Risking 2.18 units - To Win: 2.00)

The Giants took the opener last night 9-1 and they just might have another easy time of it here against one of the most overvalued starters in the game. Henderson Alvarez’s first half was profitable (6-4 – 2.63 ERA) but don't confuse it with skill, as his ridiculously high 82% strand rate is unsustainable and once it normalizes his ERA will suffer badly. Alvarez has also relied on pinpoint control to survive with just 22 walks in 120 innings. However, his 60% first-pitch strike is no better than MLB-average so his control is likely to erode. When that happens, he'll struggle to hold onto a sub-4.00 ERA. Alvarez cannot seem to turn his 93 mph fastball into strikeouts and without more K’s (or luck), don't expect his second half to match his first half. Henderson Alvarez is nothing more than an average pitcher and one should take this analysis very seriously because his surface stats are a complete mirage.

All Tim Hudson does is induces groundballs at a high rate (57%) and he rarely walks a batter. In 119 frames, Hudson has walked just 19 batters. His 78 K’s is of no concern either, as this savvy vet has traded in K’s for groundouts. Hudson comes in with a skills supported 2.67 ERA after 18 starts. He gives the Giants a chance every time he takes the mound. Hudson is stable, smart and studies hitters like nobody else in an attempt to find their weakest points. That figures to bode well here against a Marlins team that is pressing at the plate, as Miami has lost five in a row and has scored just nine times over that span.

Kansas City @ BOSTON

BOSTON -108 over Kansas City

(Risking 2.16 units - To Win: 2.00)

Danny Duffy has posted a nifty 2.45 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over 88 IP during the last 12 months. Given his mid-90s fastball and pre-TJS upside, those marks would seem to be confirmation that he has a decent shot every time he takes the mound. We say uh-uh. Few starters have been more fortunate than Duffy over that period. A 24% hit rate, 81% strand rate and 3% hr/f all have driven those results. His base skills have been poor with a K/BB split per nine of 6/4 and an alarmingly low 32% groundball rate. Over the next 12 months, Duffy will not maintain his low ERA. Dude is getting way too much credit and will be exposed soon enough.

The Red Sox had a horrible first half because of an offense that failed to produce but they are on the brink of a strong second half. Boston has won five of six and opened the second half with a nice come from behind win yesterday. The Red Sox have scored 35 times over their last six games and they’re suddenly feeling a lot better. Rubby de la Rosa has experienced a long road back after TJ surgery in 2011. With a fastball that sits in the mid-90s, a strong changeup, and an ability to induce groundballs at a solid rate, he has the tools to make a splash. The good news about De La Rosa was his incredible first start on May 31 - 7 IP, 4 H, 8 K, 0 BB, 0 R. He was also dominating at Triple-A and he dominated the A’s back on June 21 with four hits and one run over seven complete. De La Rosa is 2-0 at Fenway with an ERA of 1.42. Over 37 innings, he has a solid BB/K split of 8/37 and those punch outs are supported by a strong 11% swing and miss rate. De La Rosa has an xERA of 3.11 and he’s a pitcher on the rise worth backing at a cheap price at home.

Texas @ TORONTO

Texas +160 over TORONTO

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.20)

1:05 PM EST. Indeed the Blue Jays have an edge on the hill today with rookie Marcus Stroman going up against Colby Lewis but right now Toronto can’t be favored by this much over anyone. The Blue Jays scored one run last night. They have scored four runs over their past three games, all losses. The Jays have just four wins over their past 16 games and have scored three runs or less in 11 of those losses. Marcus Stroman has been tough since he’s been inserted into the rotation but he’s also coming off a rough outing against the Angels and his BAA of .260 is not exactly setting the baseball world on fire. Stroman is good and he has lots of upside but he's not ready to be in this price range yet.

The Rangers aren’t winning many games lately either but they’re not the heavily favored team here. A win to start the second half is a good start. It may also surprise you to learn that Texas is fifth in the majors with a BA on the road of .266. Texas is receiving a big tag today because Colby Lewis has been awful and is coming off the worst outing of his career—11 earned runs and 13 hits allowed in 2.2 IP against the Angels. Overall, Lewis is 6-6 with a 6.54 ERA, which makes him a big-time, buy-low candidate. Masked by some awful surface stats, Lewis is not close to being as bad as his numbers suggest. Over his last four starts, he has struck out 22 batters over 21 innings without issuing a single walk. Overall, Lewis has 73 K’s in 84 innings and also has a good history against Toronto current batters with a BAA of .239. Lewis has been one of the unluckiest profiles in the majors (65% strand rate and 39% hit rate) but he’s 5-1 on the road and he doesn’t have to be great to tame this struggling lineup. Overlay.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Alouettes at Lions

Montreal Alouettes at BC Lions (-6.5, 49)

The BC Lions return home to host the Montreal Alouettes on Saturday. The Lions are hoping to turn things around after dropping their home-opening contest, while Montreal is looking for its first road victory. BC defeated the Saskatchewan Roughriders to avoid starting the season 0-3 and will need to string more victories together to make up ground in the West Division.

Troy Smith is getting more comfortable as the Alouettes’ starting quarterback with each game, throwing for over 300 yards and completing three touchdowns against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers last week. Veteran pivot Kevin Glenn has yet to impress for the Lions, but completed his last start without throwing an interception after tossing six in the opening two contests. No team with three games played has fewer points than BC (55), which is facing a Montreal defence with 10 sacks.

LINE HISTORY: The opening line saw the Lions -5.5 before quickly being bet up to -6. It stayed a -6 for 24 hours before again jumping another half-point to -6.5.

INJURY REPORT: Alouettes: N/A Lions: QB Travis Lulay (Shoulder/Questionable)

WHAT THE CAPPERS SAY: "The first rematch of the young season sees the Lions and Als clash. In the first meeting Montreal dominated the game en route to a 24-9 with BC’s first score coming in the final 90 seconds. Despite that, the home team has covered in the last five meetings and the Alouettes got thumped 29-8 in their lone road game this season." Covers Experts' Nick Parsons

WHAT THE BOOKS SAY: "Both these teams are struggling to start the year. Both are 1-2 and are looking to get on the winning track. So far the Alouettes are seeing most of the action with 74 percent on the money line, 64 percent on the +6.0 spread and the under 48.5 total is seeing 72 percent of the action." Michael Stewart of Carbonsports.ag

ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (1-2): Montreal added backup quarterback Jonathan Crompton, who was released by the Edmonton Eskimos earlier in the season. The Alouettes also secured the services of fullback Dahrran Diedrick and linebacker Kyler Elsworth. John Bowman leads the defence with four sacks. Running back Brandon Whitaker has 203 rushing yards, helping relieve pressure on Smith.

ABOUT THE LIONS (1-2): Running back Andrew Harris took home Offensive and Canadian Player of the Week honours after recording 232 total combined yards in Week 3. Linebacker Solomon Elimimian leads the league with 19 tackles. Stefan Logan has a league-leading 398 return yards.

TRENDS:

*Under is 6-1 in Alouettes last 7 games overall.
*Under is 4-1 in Lions last 5 home games.
*Alouettes are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 meetings in BC.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 55 percent of wagers are on the Lions -6.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT

#901 LA DODGERS @ #902 ST LOUIS - 4:05 PM
•Dodgers RH Zack Greinke (11-5, 2.73 ERA, WHIP: 1.163) - Greinke last pitched July 9 at Detroit, allowing three runs in seven innings but did strike out two in a scoreless frame during Tuesday's All-Star Game in Minnesota. Since a rocky outing at Kansas City on June 23, he has gone 2-1 with a 2.05 ERA in three starts while recording 26 strikeouts against two walks in 22 innings. Included in that run was a gem versus St. Louis at home on June 28, when he yielded a run on four hits in seven innings with 10 strikeouts to improve to 9-3 all-time against the Cardinals.

--KEY STAT: GREINKE is 11-1 (+10.5 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.3, OPPONENT 1.8.

--GREINKE is 6-19 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 3.4, OPPONENT 4.3.

--GREINKE is 21-8 UNDER (+12.0 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 3.7, OPPONENT 2.7.

•Cardinals RH Joe Kelly (1-1, 3.44 ERA, WHIP: 1.528) - Kelly will be making his second start since coming off the disabled list due to a hamstring strain. His first outing since the injury did not go well, as Milwaukee got to him for six runs and seven hits in three innings in a game St. Louis would rally to win 7-6. Kelly did not allow an earned run in six innings in his only home start this year and owns a 2.98 ERA in 34 games (19 starts) in his career at Busch Stadium.

--KEY STAT: KELLY is 14-5 (+8.7 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KELLY 5.7, OPPONENT 3.4.

--KELLY is 14-5 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KELLY 5.7, OPPONENT 3.4.

#903 COLORADO @ #904 PITTSBURGH - 7:05 PM
•Rockies LH Brett Anderson (0-3, 4.95 ERA, WHIP: 1.700) - Anderson yielded six runs - five in the first inning - and 10 hits while walking three in five innings of a 13-5 loss to Minnesota on Sunday. "Not many positives about the outing.... My stuff was terrible, pretty much," the 26-year-old Texas native told the Denver Post. "After the first inning, I battled and tried to give us a chance to win. I can only feel good about staying healthy, and just have to put this one behind me and go on to the next one." Anderson faces Pittsburgh for the first time.

•Pirates RH Charlie Morton (5-9, 3.32 ERA, WHIP: 1.190) - Morton received his second consecutive no-decision after allowing five runs and six hits (two home runs) while striking out six in as many innings of the Pirates' 6-5 victory at Cincinnati on Saturday. The 30-year-old New Jersey native was far more effective in his previous outing when he permitted one hit in seven shutout innings of a 1-0 loss at St. Louis on July 7. Morton is 2-0 with a 3.33 ERA in four starts against the Rockies while having little trouble with Troy Tulowitzki (1-for-10).

#905 MILWAUKEE @ #906 WASHINGTON - 7:05 PM
•Brewers RH Matt Garza (6-6, 3.69 ERA, WHIP: 1.182) - Garza held Philadelphia to two runs over 7 2/3 innings on July 10 and owns a 4-2 mark with a 2.35 ERA over his last eight starts. Opponents are batting .233 against the 30-year-old, who took a no-hitter into the seventh inning in his last outing before running into the trouble in the eighth. Garza is 0-2 with a 5.74 ERA in five career starts against Washington, including a 3-0 loss on June 23 at home when he allowed three runs over seven frames.

•Nationals RH Tanner Roark (8-6, 3.01 ERA, WHIP: 1.135) - Roark bounced back from two shaky outings with a seven strong innings against Philadelphia last Sunday in a win, allowing one run on four hits with six strikeouts. “I'm pitching with confidence, and I really didn't try to nibble,” Roark told reporters. “The changeup was the biggest thing as far as getting ahead.” The 27-year-old, who is making his first career appearance against Milwaukee, stands at 4-4 with a 2.02 ERA in nine starts at home this season.
_________________________________________

#907 SAN FRANCISCO @ #908 MIAMI - 7:10 PM
•Giants RH Tim Hudson (7-6, 2.87 ERA, WHIP: 1.101) - Hudson looks to find his early-season form after finishing 0-4 with a 6.07 ERA in his last five outings before being named to the NL All-Star team. The 39-year-old, who is 26 strikeouts shy of 2,000 in his career, is 14-4 with a 2.95 ERA against the Miami franchise in 25 career starts. Garrett Jones is 6-for-14 with a pair of doubles against Hudson, who boasts the best ERA among Giants starters.

--KEY STAT: HUDSON is 51-20 (+22.6 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 5.2, OPPONENT 3.1.

--HUDSON is 49-19 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 5.6, OPPONENT 3.7.

•Marlins RH Henderson Alvarez (6-4, 2.63 ERA, WHIP: 1.258) - Alvarez lost for the first time in 11 starts in his last outing, giving up six runs over five innings en route to a 7-1 loss to the New York Mets on July 11. The fire-balling Venezuelan allowed five runs (four earned) in six innings of a no-decision versus the Giants on May 16 and followed that up with nine straight starts of two runs or fewer. Gregor Blanco is 3-for-4 with three RBIs versus Alvarez.

--KEY STAT: ALVAREZ is 11-3 (+8.9 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was ALVAREZ 4.4, OPPONENT 3.6.

--ALVAREZ is 11-4 (+7.9 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was ALVAREZ 4.1, OPPONENT 3.7.

--ALVAREZ is 13-5 (+9.0 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was ALVAREZ 4.0, OPPONENT 3.3.

#909 PHILADELPHIA @ #910 ATLANTA - 7:10 PM
•Phillies LH Cole Hamels (3-5, 2.93 ERA, WHIP: 1.202) - Hamels has won just once in his past seven starts, despite posting a 2.25 ERA during that stretch while allowing three or fewer runs in each contest. The Braves would not complain about a trade that sends Hamels out of the division as he is 14-8 with a 3.41 ERA in 32 career appearances against Atlanta. Hamels pitched seven shutout innings at Atlanta on June 16, walking two and striking out six without getting a decision.

--KEY STAT: COLE HAMELS is 4-14 (-15.1 Units) against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HAMELS 3.2, OPPONENT 4.3.

•Braves RH Aaron Harang (9-6, 3.53 ERA, WHIP: 1.381) - Harang was charged with eight earned runs against the Phillies on June 18, but held Philadelphia to two runs over seven innings on June 29 in the middle of a four-game winning streak since then. The 36-year-old has posted a 2.57 ERA during his win streak, allowing eight earned runs in 28 innings while pitching seven or more frames three times. Harang has surrendered more than three earned runs just once in his past nine starts.

--KEY STAT: AARON HARANG is 5-14 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season since 1997.
The average score was HARANG 3.7, OPPONENT 4.9.

#911 CHICAGO CUBS @ #912 ARIZONA - 8:10 PM
•Cubs RH Travis Wood (7-8, 4.96 ERA, WHIP: 1.491) - Wood continued to struggle in Sunday’s 10-7 setback against the Atlanta Braves, dropping his third straight decision after matching a season high by surrendering seven runs over six innings. The 2013 All-Star handed out three more free passes – the fifth time in six outings he has walked at least that many – to increase his season total to 48 (the fifth-highest mark in the NL). Wood posted his first victory of the season after holding the Diamondbacks to one run in seven frames on April 21, but is only 2-4 with a 5.29 ERA in six all-time outings against Arizona.

--KEY STAT: WOOD is 8-2 (+8.2 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was WOOD 7.1, OPPONENT 4.3.

--WOOD is 16-6 UNDER (+9.5 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WOOD 3.1, OPPONENT 4.1.

•Diamondbacks LH Wade Miley (5-6, 4.18 ERA, WHIP: 1.236) - After going 3-6 with a 4.78 ERA in 17 starts through the end of June, Miley improved to 2-0 with a 1.25 ERA in three July outings after tossing seven scoreless frames in a 2-0 victory over the San Francisco Giants last Saturday. The 27-year-old, who hasn’t pitched at home since June 24, has struck out 22 batters over his last three outings and is unbeaten over his last seven turns. Despite permitting five runs (three earned) in a no-decision versus the Cubs on April 23, Miley is 2-1 with a 3.90 ERA in four all-time starts against Chicago.

--KEY STAT: MILEY is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILEY 3.0, OPPONENT 2.8.

#913 NY METS @ #914 SAN DIEGO - 8:40 PM
•Mets RH Dillon Gee (4-1, 2.56 ERA, WHIP: 1.056) - Gee made a triumphant return from a two-month absence due to a strained lat, allowing one run and six hits over seven innings in a victory over Atlanta on July 9. The 28-year-old was just as impressive prior to the injury, going 3-1 while yielding three runs or fewer in each outing during a five-start span — including three scoreless efforts of six or more frames. Gee is 2-1 with a 1.35 ERA in three career starts against San Diego, giving up a total of three runs over 20 innings.

--KEY STAT: GEE is 12-2 OVER (+10.5 Units) in road games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GEE 5.4, OPPONENT 5.3.

•Padres RH Tyson Ross (7-10, 2.85 ERA, WHIP: 1.180) - Ross once again was the victim of little-to-no run support Sunday as he suffered the loss in a 1-0 defeat at the Los Angeles Dodgers despite allowing just one run in seven innings. The 27-year-old All-Star has yielded fewer than three earned runs 14 times this season but is just 6-6 in those outings and has received two or fewer runs of support in 11 turns, going 1-9 in those contests. Ross made his only career start against New York on Aug. 15, 2013, but did not factor in the decision despite giving up one run in seven innings.

--KEY STAT: ROSS is 14-3 UNDER (+10.6 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was ROSS 2.9, OPPONENT 2.8.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Arizona -140 over Chicago Cubs (MLB TOP PLAY)

Chicago has lost 45 of the last 69 games when playing on a Saturday and they have lost 48 of the last 79 games vs. NL West Division Opponents.Chicago has lost 70 of the last 112 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and they have lost 88 of the last 153 games after having lost five or six of the last seven games.

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50* Play Tampa Bay -145 over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Toronto -160 over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime
SATURDAY CANADIAN FOOTBALL

5000* Play British Columbia -6.5 over Montreal (TOP CFL PLAY)

Montreal has lost 11 of the last 17 games against the spread coming off an OVER the total in their last game and they have lost 8 of the last 11 games against the spread when playing in the 1st month of the season.Montreal has lost 28 of the last 41 games when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and they are only averaging 21 points a game on offense this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie
SATURDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Kansas City +110 over Boston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Boston is 23-33 when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs
Boston is 19-24 when playing as a home favorite of -110 or higher
Boston is 11-15 vs. AL Central Division Opponents


10* Play New York Mets +120 over San Diego (MLB TOP PLAY)

San Diego is 31-43 vs. right-handed starting pitchers
San Diego is 28-39 when the total posted is 7 runs or less
San Diego is 16-24 when playing as a favorite of -110 or higher

=============================================

5* Play Houston +115 over Chicago White Sox (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Seattle +120 over Los Angeles Angels (MLB BONUS PL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks
SATURDAY

TOP CANADIAN FOOTBALL PLAYS---BIG PLAY



Play British Columbia -6 over Montreal---RISK 20% OF YOUR BANKROLL


================================================== =========

TOP ARENA FOOTBALL PLAYS



Play Jacksonville +10 over Cleveland---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Iowa +14 over Pittsburgh---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play New Orleans +11 over Orlando---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play San Antonio +6 over Los Angeles Kiss---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

SATURDAY BASEBALL




Play Kansas City +110 over Boston----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)

7:00 PM EST

Danny Duffy has won 4 of the last 5 games when pitching on a Saturday and he has won 4 of the last 5 games vs. AL East Division Opponents. Danny Duffy has won 5 consecutive games when pitching with 7 or more days of rest and he has won 5 of the last 6 road games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs.





Play New York Mets +125 over San Diego----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
8:40 PM EST


Tyson Ross has lost 27 of the last 38 night games and he has lost 24 of the last 33 games when the line posted is between +125 to -125. Tyson Ross has lost 11 of the last 17 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season and he has lost 16 of the last 25 home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
A winner for me last night with the Cardinals beating the Dodgers. Today I've got no play going, and I'm taking the day off. Kyle's pick is below..

Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = San Francisco Giants @ Miami Marlins - UNDER 7.5 RUNS (-115)
Listed Pitchers: Hudson vs. Alvarez
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)
Come back from the break and have my streak snapped, as the Tigers completely fall apart in the 7th inning going from a 3-0 nothing game to 7-3 in just a few minutes. That means it is time to start a new streak up today.
Like a bottle of wine Tim Hudson has aged exceptionally well. After entering the league in 1999, Hudson is having one of his best campaigns here in 2014. He's been one of the most consistent, reliable pitchers that has been around in the majors. He brings a 2.87 ERA into tonight against the Marlins in Miami. His numbers dip slightly on the road where it currently stands at 2.52. Hudson also has a 1.08 WHIP and .282 OBP on the road. He tailed off towards the end of the first half, getting hit for an ERA of 4.19. However, for a guy his age I think a brief rest will do wonders for him, and I expect him to have a big bounce back outing tonight. Hudson hasn't played the Marlins since 2011, where he allowed only 2 runs. Note that the current Marlins haven't seen any of him. Conversely, Henderson Alvarez has made the sting of losing Jose Fernandez a little more easier to bare. He has one bad spot recently, which was his last against the Mets on the road in a 6 runs against effort. That is all that sticks out negatively for Alvarez of late, though. He's been solid as a rock at home in Miami, pitching a 1.56 ERA with a 1.03 WHIP and .273 OBP. Three of his last five starts at home he did not allow a run. I think this matchup warrants a total of 7 so I'll gladly hop on the UNDER 7.5 for Saturday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

extra bonus system for today:

Cincinnati Reds +122 over the New York Yankees (Bet Level 1) (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 1:05PM EST - EARLY Play Alert

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

The Red Sox got a come from behind win in the first game of this series and will try for two in a row tonight when they face off with Danny Duffy (5-9, 2.76) and the Kansas City Royals. The Red Sox will counter with Rubby De La Rosa (2-2, 2.89), who has been pretty effective for the Red Sox since entering the rotation from the bullpen. Duffy has been a real victim of lack of run support and has actually given up three or fewer runs in seven of his last eight outings. There are several things pushing us towards the road team here tonight. For starters, the Red Sox have really struggled recently vs. left-handed pitching and Duffy is a guy that when he is on, is pretty tough to hit. Boston is 3-10 in their last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter and 2-9 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Conversely, the Royals are 10-2 in Duffy's last 12 road starts vs. a team with a losing record and 6-0 in Duffy's last six starts when he gets over five days of rest. The Royals have proven to be a resilient and a really tough out on the road, so we're going to back them and Duffy here tonight. The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - KANSAS CITY ROYALS -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Handicapper King

MLB

San Francisco Giants


CFL

British Columbia Lions -6.5


Free Washington Nationals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Majorleaguebaseball Tips

San Diego Padres(Ross) vs New York Mets(Gee)

New York Mets

Odds: 2.17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Boyd's 4* Royals/Red Sox MLB Heavy Hitter ***70% SYSTEM***

4* Boston Red Sox -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UNDER Umpire Streakers

#931 UN8.5 CLE/DET -105 1u Barry 3ov/7un L10gms 70% (L19gms 68.4%)

#905 UN7.5 MIL/WAS -115 1u Carapazza 3ov/7un L10gms 70% (L19gms 63.2%)

#923 UN8.5 HOU/CWS -115 1u Onora 2ov/8un L10gms 80% (L16gms 75%)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

Saturday Early Game MLB Team Total

TORONTO BLUE JAYS OVER 4.5 RUNS ( @BOL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TopShelfPicks

Josh Daniels

1* Reds

1* White Sox

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Fezzik

WNBA All Star Game

West All Stars

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Sports Informer

5* Over Cubs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

3 Units Dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

MLB

5* UNDER 7 1/2 Los Angeles Dodgers/St. Louis Cardinals

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EZWINNERS

3* Phillies -102

2* Blue Jays -175

2* Twins +132

2* Mets +124

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Paul Leiner

100* New York Yankees -135

50* Cleveland Indians -130

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Bookieshunter

3* Over 48.5 Montreal/BC
2* Padres
2* Yankees
1* Rockies

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Livewebpicks

Orioles

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DAVE AQUINO

Today's Selections


MLB

Detroit Tigers (Gm2)

Oakland Athletics

Over 7.5 Colorado Rockies/Pittsburgh Pirates

Over 9.5 Texas Rangers/Toronto Blue Jays


WNBA none

CFL none

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Sportshandicappers

Free pick

Cleveland Indians Over 4 Runs Game 1

[golden contender]

Big Saturday card has 100% MLB Total of the Week and a Blowout system that wins by 3 runs per game. MLB free plays on a 12-2 run. MLB Road warrior Play below.


On Saturday the MLB road warrior is on the Seattle Mariners. Game 925 at 9:05 eastern. Seattle will look to cool down the Angels here tonight and have their ace F. Hernandez on the mound. King Felix has 21 strikeouts in his last 10 innings here in LA, and has a 2.07 road era here which is better than G. Richards of Los Angeles who is at 3.46. Felix has won his last 4 road July starts allowing just 5 earned runs in 29 innings and overall has won 5 of his last 6 away from home. Seattle has taken the first 3 in the series here this year prior to the Friday night game. Seattle is a surprising 21-11 vs winning teams and 9-4 on the road when the total is 7 or less. The Mariners are 8-1 vs an opponent that has won 3+ games in a row. Look for Seattle to get the win here tonight. Jump on for Saturday card which is led by the MLB Total of the week and a Blowout system that wins by an average 3 runs per game. For the free Play take Seattle. GC

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Maddux Sports

MLB

10* New York Yankees

10* Minnesota Twins

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Free Silver Key Pick for Saturday ML Baseball


ANGELS RICHARDS -R -110 over Seattle (9:05 et)

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pa connection
over white sox

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RTG Sports

2* Cincinnati Reds +135 **

2* Atlanta Braves -105 **

2* Los Angeles Angels -102 **

2* Baltimore Orioles +135 **

1* Houston Astros -108 *

1* New York Mets +122 *

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Wunderdog Sports

Complimentary MLB Pick for July 19th, 2014

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers @ St. Louis Cardinals
Time: Saturday 07/19 4:05 PM Eastern
Pick: St. Louis +137 (moneyline) at Bovada

There is no pitcher in MLB with the home vs. road dichotomy of Zack Greinke. Greinke is almost automatic when pitching at home as a favorite where his team is a resounding 71-25. That changes dramatically when we reverse the role from home chalk to away dog. Greinke is just 23-53 in 76 turns as a road dog. Greinke also has a losing record in his career as a road favorite. The Cardinals are glad to get Joe Kelly back in the rotation, and in 34 starts at home in his career he pitches to an ERA of under 3. The Dodgers are struggling behind Greinke on the road where they are 1-5 in his last six road starts on the season. The Cards are cashing in with a 68-28 record in their last 96 vs. a right-handed starter. St. Louis has also been 6-0 in their last six vs. a winning team behind Kelly. Play on St. Louis.

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Primetime Insiders

3*

Boston Red Sox

Houston Astros


2*

Under Kansas City Royals/Boston Red Sox

Milwaukee Brewers

Los Angeles Angels

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The Millionaires Club (YouWinNow)

TRILLION DOLLAR MLB BASEBALL WINNER

904 Pittsburgh Pirates w/Morton -165 7:05 EST

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Anthony Redd

40 Dime
Baseball Trifecta

Dodgers
White Sox
Yankees (1pm start)

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H&H Sports

MLB

3* Arizona Diamondbacks

2* Chicago White Sox

2* Oakland Athletics

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Must read weather update for Saturday's action
Andrew Caley

With Major League Baseball back in full swing we have the forecast you should take a look at before placing your wagers.

In Detroit, where the Tigers host the Cleveland Indians, there is a chance of thunderstorms and a 66 percent chance of rain. There will also be a 10 mile per hour wind blowing in from left field.

The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Colorado Rockies with an 88 percent chance of rain and a chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.

The Braves host the Philadelphia Phillies in Atlanta, where there is a 76 percent chance of rain and a chance of thunderstorms. There will also be a 10 mile per hour wind blowing out to left field.

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​Kelso 50 D'backs

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Tom Barton

Pittsburgh vs Colorado

3* Pittsburgh Pirates -150

When you see the Rockies going against this "great" offense tends to scare people but the fact is the Rockies are a completely different team on the road. Colorado is just 16-31 on the road where they also have the NL's 4th worst offense. Now they face Charlie Morton and he may not be a household name but at PNC Park he should be. Morton is 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA in two career starts at PNC against Colorado but has been great against everyone as well. Morton has almost a 2 run decrease at home on his ERA than on the road and is backed by a streaking Pirates team here. The Rockies send rookie Chase Anderson to the hill and Anderson has fallen apart after a great start. Anderson is 0-3 on the year with almost a 5 ERA but it's his lack of pitching deep into games that gives us a huge edge here. Anderson has yet to see the 7th and in his last two exited in the 5th and 3rd while the Rockies have the absolute worst bullpen in baseball. It may be late but the Pirates win here.

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King Creole

Under 7.5 Milwaukee Brewers/Washington Nationals

The Brewers and Nats went UNDER in last night's Game One of this series. So far thus season, the UNDER has gone 3-1 when these two teams have faced each other. Both starting pitchers come in with sub 4.00 ERAS on the year. Matt Garza of the Brew Crew is on a current 9-start stretch since late May in which he allowed 3 or less earned runs EIGHT times... and 2 or less earned runs in FIVE of 'em. He's only one start removed from a 9-inning SHUTOUT in which he allowed only two hits. Last three starts ERA is only 2.31. And last eight starts ERA is only 2.32. He faced the Nationals once this season, and pitched well... losing 3 to 0. And finally, he's given up only ONE home run in his last 8 starts (59 innings). On the flip side, Tanner Roarke comes in with a 3.01 ERA on the year. He's been even MORE effective at home... with an ERA of only 2.01. He's gone UNDER in 75% of those home starts. Like Garza, Roarke is off his 2nd best start of the season. And in his last 10 starts, he's given up 3 or less earned runs EIGHT times. He has a low HR ratio as well. Roarke has given up only ONE home run in his last 7 starts covering 45 innings. With both pitchers locked into a good groove, a good old DUEL would not surprise.

Behind the dish is VIC CARAPAZZA. He's allowed an average of just 6.6 combined runs per game (5th lowest of all Umpires)... and has gone 7-12 O/U on the season. In terms of current form, Carapazza comes in with a 1-5 O/U record over the last three weeks. he has an extremely large strike zone, as evidenced by his K/BB ratio of 3.43 to 1 (15.5 K's per game / only 4.5 BB's per game). To top things off, we can't help but feel confident of Carapazza's record in National Legue games this season. He's gone 1-7 O/U in these games... with a lowly average of only 4.6 runs per game.

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Joe Gavazzi

5% Pittsburgh Pirates

4% Nationals -1.5 Runs/+170

4% Game Two Tigers -1.5 Runs/+25

4% Reds +25 (Simon)

4% Toronto -1.5 Runs/+25

3% Dodgers -1.5 Runs/+25 (Greinke

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Goodfella

3* Triple Dime AL Game of the Month

Seattle Mariners

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Sheep

Open Order

$1000 - Over 7.5 Los Angeles Dodgers/St. Louis Cardinals

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Jack Jones

MLB

20* Baltimore Orioles

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Jeff Clement

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees (MLB) - 1:05 PM EDT Premium Play

Pick: Money Line: 100 Cincinnati Reds Play Title: MLB 10 Unit Play of the Day!


Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT Premium Play

Pick: Total: 7.5/-110 Over Play Title: MLB Total 7 Unit Play!


Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT Premium Play

Pick: Money Line: 145 Minnesota Twins Play Title: MLB Underdog of the Day!

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Behind The Bets

MLB

Atlanta Braves -108

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bookiemonsters

CHW -105
MILW +115
ATL -107 POD
MIA +105

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Strike Point Sports

3-Unit Play. Take #908 Miami (+105) over San Francisco (7:10 p.m. Saturday, July 19)

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Ecks and Bacon

"Mr Chalk" won on Friday in MLB in the American League with the White Sox -$130/Astros.

For Saturday in MLB in the National League "Mr Chalk" likes the Diamondbacks -$145/Cubs.

Ben lee is 1-0 +$50 for Week Thirty Eight 175-200-5 -$2680

"Mr Chalk" is 51-36 -$192 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted