7-20-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cubs pitcher making competition look bad
Justin Hartling

Though many have just checked out on the Chicago Cubs, you can’t ignore Jake Arrieta. The Cubs are 5-1 in Arrieta’s last six starts.

In those six starts Arrieta has allowed a mere seven runs while striking out 50 hitters. Before this six game span, Arrieta had a 3.00 ERA, but is entering Sunday’s action with a fine 1.95.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brewers pitcher spells high totals for bettors
Justin Hartling

Yovani Gallardo certainly has not shown his top notch pitches to the Washington Nationals. The total has gone 1-4-1 in Gallardo’s past six starts against the Nats.

Gallardo has himself given up more than four runs per game and the two teams have combined for an average of 11 runs per game during that span.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pitcher paying out for total bettors this season
Justin Hartling

The Atlanta Braves are a team toiling in mediocrity recently, but bettors have been banking on Alex Wood. In Wood’s 22 starts this season, he is carrying a 6-15-1 over/under for bettors.

Wood has given up a mere 32 runs this season, averaging less than two per outing, and has held the opposing team to two runs or less 18 times this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Red Sox pitcher dominant against Royals
Justin Hartling

If there is one team that Jon Lester has dominated in his career it’s the Kansas City Royals. In Lester’s 10 career starts he has given up only 12 runs, while the Royals and Boston Red Sox have averaged six runs a game.

Bettors have loved this matchup with these 10 games carrying an over.under record of 0-8-2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Watson - San Fransisco Giants -126

MLB Around the league on Sunday

Texas / Toronto — Buerhle has been hanging with the fountain of youth this year. He's won 10 games but has kind of stalled out right there for the time being. I still can't believe that Texas has the worst record in baseball. They're looking at a 100-loss season as well. They are almost unbackable without YU on the mound. Won't pay .70 cents for Mark.

Cleveland / Detroit — Tigers just can't get hits with guys on base. They've lost three straight to Cleveland and can't hit the baseball. Of all teams struggling after the All-Star break offensively, Detroit has the most problems. They ended the first half with the biggest lead of any team in baseball, so they have some room. A simple bad streak won't keep this team from October (again). But won't pay the premium here as oddsmakers adjust to Detroit losing three straight.

Reds / Yanks — This is going to be an awesome pitching matchup. Both Cueto and Kuroda can get guys out effectively and if the Reds weren't completely banged up, we might back JC here. But the Yankees have looked solid recently. The total is just 7.5 so I'm looking for a decent game.

Giants / Marlins — The Freak is pitching like he used to, so that's good for the Giants. Miami has been pretty solid at home this season but the Giants are AWESOME on the road. I look for them to pick up a win here against a guy like Hand.

Milwaukee / Washington — Gio got pushed back from yesterday and it obviously didn't make a difference as they beat up on Milwaukee, who we backed. There's been a lot of discussion on here about the Brewers in the second half and I'm one of the few (I think) that will continue backing them. I won't here, especially with Gallardo on the bump — despite him being solid on the road.

Rockies / Pirates — I really like Jeff Locke. I don't like Matzek. I also don't like this total sitting at only eight runs. But then again, what is eight runs among friends? Do think the Pirates are the right side here, obviously, but I think this is an overreaction because of Tulo pulling up early on Saturday night. CarGo is coming back but I don't think he's back at 100 percent either. Rocks can't win if they are still banged up.

Phillies / Braves — Good win by Phillies last night. I honestly think they are going to put together a solid run and find a way to get back into this race. I don't think they are going to win the division, but if Hamels and a guy like Cliff Lee can get back to pitching well for them, I think they can make this interesting. Kyle Kendrick? Don't like him here. Alex Wood? Not going to pay .94 cents for him, either.

KC / Boston — Couple good games put together by these two teams. Ventura is a guy that can dial it up. Lester is going to get paid at the end of the season, but he's the kind of guy that isn't going to let that bother him on the hill. His numbers are impressive, with 79 punchouts in less than 68 innings at home. He's affordable in this position, I think.

Rays/ Twins — Tampa can win this game. I don't like Correia at all. But we aren't going to pull that trigger just yet.

Houston / Chicago — Took the Sox last night and won. They have proven this season that they can win at home, so we might be backing them again here. Astros actually hit better on the road AND against lefties. Interesting here.

Mariners / Angels— Skaggs and Young. The Angels have been AWESOME at home this season, sitting at 17 games over the .500 mark if they lose against Seattle Saturday while I'm typing this. Young has been pretty solid for the Ms this season, a very nice acquisition. He's lost his last two starts but gave up a combined five earned runs total in that time. On the road, though, we probably won't back him.

Baltimore / Oakland — SHOULD have played Baltimore on Saturday. Won't take them here with Gascan Gausman on the hill. He's actually not terrible, but I think the nickname is pretty sweet. Oakland, of course, is awesome at home and Gray is a guy that can eat up innings and mow down opposing offenses, but I won't pay that premium price against a team like Baltimore.

Mets / Padres — Could back the Mets and Wheeler here. Maybe. But Despaigne has thrown well this year. Could back the Pads and the young pup here, too.

Cubs / Dbacks — Arizona is a terrible home team. It's why they are in last place and won't be sniffing October this year, despite having a halfway decent team. The Cubs are awful too. Both of these cellar dwellers might play spoiler the remainder of the season, though. The RL here for Chicago is -205. Seriously? I know Arrieta has been good for them this year, but that's a serious price even with them +109 on the line. Not sure here.

Dodgers / Cardinals — Sunday Night Baseball. Clayton on the bump. Dodgers RL possible. Will dive into them tomorrow, more than likely.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SleepyJ (New Capper Pregame)

Play LA Dodgers -1.5 (-105) RL

The St. Louis Cardinals are looking for a series sweep of NL West contender Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday night. They are looking to avenge an earlier season series meeting that left them losers of 3 of 4 against the Dodgers. The one issue the Cardinals may have is they have to face P Clayton Kershaw. Kershaw is just on a tear right now. He supports a record of 11-2 and also has a no-hitter to his credit. His 1.77 ERA and WHIP of 0.83 is just remarkable.

St. Louis has played very well in the most recent 2 games limiting the Dodgers to just 5 runs. Cardinals have only scored 7 runs themselves. So neither team is actually lighting up the scoreboard. How will the Cardinals handle Kershaw? Will the Dodgers be able to avoid this sweep? I guess we will have these two questions answered by tomorrow night.

This is a play more on Kershaw tomorrow night. I feel he will not lose his mid season dominating play against this line-up. Last time Kershaw faced this St. Louis line he gave up 6 hits and 0 runs in his game on June 29th. I'd say that will only give him more confidence on the mound tomorrow night.

More than anything the Dodgers do not want to start out the 2nd half with a series losing sweep. Kershaw does not want to lose the form that he has show the league over the first half.

The total in this game is rather low at 6.5, but i dont know if the Cardinals can muster up more than a run or two. I think LA gets some runs under the belt on Martinez and puts this series sweep to bed.

**Yasel Puig did suffer a hand injury in the game on Saturday night in the 8th inning and is listed as day to day as of now.

Even though Kershaw is a beast i can't back him with a price tag nearing -185. Instead I will back the Dodgers on the RL.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

National League
Rockies-Pirates
Colorado lost last six Matzek starts (0-4, 5.45).
Locke is 2-0, 2.86 in his last six starts.

Rockies lost 11 of their last 12 road games.
Pittsburgh is 11-2 in last thirteen home games.

Under is 8-4 in Pittsburgh's last 12 home games.

Brewers-Nationals
Garza is 2-1, 2.31 in his last three starts.
Roark is 5-2, 2.64 in his last seven starts.

Milwaukee lost 12 of its last 15 games.
Washington won 11 of its last 16 games.

Six of last eight Brewer games went over the total.


Giants-Marlins
Lincecum is 4-0, 0.30 in his last four starts.
Hand is 0-2, 6.23 in five starts this season.

Giants won four of their last five games.
Miami lost seven of its last eight games.

15 of last 22 Marlin games went over the total.


Phillies-Braves
Kendrick is 1-3, 6.40 in his last five starts.
Wood is 0-1, 4.92 in his last three starts.

Phillies lost three of their last four games.
Atlanta won six of its last eight home games.

Nine of last thirteen Philly games went over the total.


Dodgers-Cardinals
Kershaw is 8-0, 0.74 in his last eight starts.
Martinez is 2-1, 4.81 in his last five starts.

Dodgers lost five of their last six road games.
St Louis won seven of its last nine games.

Six of last seven Dodger games stayed under the total.


Cubs-Diamondbacks
Arrieta is 4-0, 1.30 in his last seven starts.
Collmenter is 2-1, 3.09 in his last four starts.

Cubs lost ten of their last twelve games.
Arizona won four of its last five home games.

Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Cub games.


Mets-Padres
Wheeler is 1-0, 1.40 in his last three starts.
Despaigne is 2-1, 1.35 in four starts this season.

Mets won eight of their last ten games.
San Diego lost eight of its last eleven games.

17 of last 23 San Diego games stayed under.


American League
Rangers-Blue Jays
Tepesch is 1-3, 4.81 in his last four starts.
Buehrle is 0-5, 3.74 in his last seven starts.

Rangers lost 24 of their last 29 games.
Toronto lost eight of its last eleven games.

Four of last five Tepesch starts stayed under.


Indians-Tigers
Tomlin is 1-4, 6.63 in his last six starts.
Smyly is 1-2, 8.16 in his last three starts.

Indians won nine of their last twelve games.
Detroit lost its last four games.

Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Detroit home games.


Royals-Red Sox
Vemtura is 4-2, 3.05 in his last seven starts.
Red Sox won last six Lester starts (3-0, 2.00).

Royals lost eight of their last eleven games.
Boston won six of its last seven games.

Seven of last ten Kansas City games stayed under.


Astros-White Sox
Cosart is 5-1, 3.72 in his last six starts.
Danks is 2-0, 2.23 in his last four starts.

Astros lost 12 of their last 16 road games.
White Sox wn five of their last six home games.

Seven of last eleven Houston games went over the total.


Rays-Twins
Archer is 1-1, 4.61 in his last four starts.
Correia is 1--2, 2.37 in his last three starts.


Tampa Bay won ten of its last eleven road games.
Twins lost six of their last seven home games.

Eight of last twelve Tampa Bay games went over total.


Mariners-Angels
Young is 3-2, 2.13 in his last six starts.
Skaggs is 1-4, 5.36 in his last six starts.

Seattle won eight of its last eleven road games.
Angels won 13 of their last 16 games.

Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Mariner games.


Orioles-A's
Gausman is 4-1, 2.76 in his last six starts.
Gray is 4-0, 2.67 in his last five starts.

Baltimore won six of its last eight road games.
A's won 12 of their last 14 home games.

Under is 7-3-3 in last thirteen Oakland games.


Interleague games
Reds-Bronx
Cueto is 4-1, 3.28 in his last five starts.
Kuroda is 2-1, 3.55 in his last eight starts.

Cincinnati lost three of its last four games.
Bronx won three of its last four games.

Under is 7-2-2 in last eleven Bronx home games.


Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Lincecum 13-6; Hand 1-4
-- Gallardo 9-10; Gonzalez 9-5
-- Matzek 1-6; Locke 5-3
-- Kendrick 8-10; Wood 4-7
-- Wheeler 8-11; Despaigne 2-2
-- Arrieta 9-4; Collmenter 10-6
-- Kershaw 11-3; Martinez 5-1


-- Tepesch 4-6; Buehrle 13-6
-- Tomlin 5-7; Smyly 5-10
-- Ventura 8-9; Lester 12-7
-- Archer 9-10; Correia 6-13
-- Cosart 10-8; Danks 9-10
-- Young 10-7; Skaggs 8-6
-- Gausman 5-2; Gray 13-6

-- Cueto 12-8; Kuroda 8-11

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Lincecum 6-19; Hand 1-5
-- Gallardo 6-19; Gonzalez 6-14
-- Matzek 2-7; Locke 4-8
-- Kendrick 4-19; Wood 5-11
-- Wheeler 6-19; Despaigne 1-4
-- Arrieta 4-13; Collmenter 8-16
-- Kershaw 2-14; Martinez 1-6


-- Tepesch 3-10; Buehrle 5-19
-- Tomlin 3-12; Smyly 6-15
-- Ventura 4-17; Lester 6-19
-- Archer 3-19; Correia 4-19
-- Cosart 8-18; Danks 5-19
-- Young 2-18; Skaggs 7-14
-- Gausman 1-7; Gray 7-19

-- Cueto 2-20; Kuroda 6-19

Umpires
-- SF-Mia-- Six of eight Randazzo games stayed under.
-- Mil-Wsh-- Over is 5-0-2 in Campos games this year.
-- Col-Pitt-- Four of last five Hudson games stayed under.
-- Phil-Atl-- Favorites won 11 of last 12 Davis games.
-- NY-SD-- Underdogs are 8-6 in Guccione games this year.
-- Cubs-Az-- Both Scheurwater games stayed under total.
-- LA-StL-- Five of last six Hickox games stayed under.

-- Tex-Tor-- Favorites won 12 of last 14 Hoye games.
-- Cle-Det-- Three of last four Carlson games went over.
-- KC-Bos-- Last nine Danley games stayed under total.
-- TB-Min-- Six of last seven Morales games went over.
-- Hst-Chi-- Under is 7-4 in Pattillo games this season.
-- Sea-LA-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Schrieber games.
-- Balt-A's-- Five of last seven Baker games stayed under.

-- Cin-NY-- Under is 6-3-2 in last eleven Hernandez games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB PicksChicago Cubs at ArizonaThe Cubs look to salvage a game in the series and come into today's contest with a 7-3 record in Jake Arrieta's last 10 starts as a road underdog. Chicago is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Cubs favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


SUNDAY, JULY 20
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: San Francisco at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Linececum) 15.629; Miami (Hand) 13.298
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-145); Over


Game 953-954: Milwaukee at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.385; Washington (Gonzalez) 18.239
Dunkel Line: Washington by 3; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-150); Under


Game 955-956: Colorado at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Matzek) 16.300; Pittsburgh (Locke) 18.251
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-185); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-185); Over


Game 957-958: Philadelphia at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 13.556; Atlanta (Wood) 17.033
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-195); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-195); Under


Game 959-960: NY Mets at San Diego (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Wheeler) 15.740; San Diego (Desapigne) 14.216
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Diego (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+100); Over


Game 961-962: Chicago Cubs at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Arrieta) 16.608; Arizona (Collmenter) 15.290
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); Under


Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at St. Louis (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.710; St. Louis (Martinez) 12.548
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 3; 5
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-195); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-195); Under


Game 965-966: Texas at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Tepesch) 13.910; Toronto (Buehrle) 16.138
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-175); Under


Game 967-968: Cleveland at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Tomlin) 16.379; Detroit (Smyly) 15.516
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+140); Over


Game 969-970: Kansas City at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Ventura) 16.488; Boston (Lester) 15.349
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Boston (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+125); Under


Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 15.769; Minnesota (Correia) 13.498
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-140); Over


Game 973-974: Houston at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Cosart) 11.284; White Sox (Danks) 15.947
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 4 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-145); Under


Game 975-976: Seattle at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Young) 13.509; LA Angels (Skaggs) 14.834
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-165); Over


Game 977-978: Baltimore at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gausman) 16.379; Oakland (Gray) 17.639
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-170); Under


Game 979-980: Cincinnati at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 16.134; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 18.239
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-105); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

2* Blue Jays-170

2* Tigers-145

2* Reds-112

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

20* Mets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Giants
Cubs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Nationals on Saturday and likes the Angels on Sunday.

The correct deficit should be 354 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo was no rocket scientist with his Astros investment Saturday night, suffering a second straight second-half setback that sent the debt skyrocketing to 1,375 bedrosians.

Sunday: Mr. Aitch expects the Giants to enjoy some fast times against Mr. Hand — 10 units on The Freak. Also, His Aitchness is of the opinion you shouldn’t be hatin’ on Clayton, so he will drop 10 units on Kershaw against his Arch enemy.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Play 19-6 run Sun: Cinci w/ Cueto-115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Sunday

Cleveland/Detroit over 9

Cinn/NYY under 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

majorleaguebaseball-tips

Match: Oakland Athletics(Gray) vs Baltimore Orioles(Gausman)
Selection: Oakland Athletics
Handicap: -1 AH
Odd: 1.85

[Can'tPickAWinner]

American-predictor

MLB Tip
TEX Rangers vs TOR Blue Jays
Blue Jays -1.5
2.15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Sunday, July 20


This could be the hottest betting stat of the summer

The Under went an impeccable 4-0 in the CFL's Week 4 schedule of games. The perfect week improved the season-to-date mark to 4-12 Over/Under.

It was a low-scoring week north of the border, with Edmonton and Winnipeg combining for 29 points, staying well under the closing total of 54.5 to get the week started Thursday. Elsewhere, Toronto and Ottawa combined for 35 (52.5), Hamilton and Calgary managed just 17 points (50.5) and Montreal and B.C. tallied 46 (49) coming the closest to going Over.

Week 5 action gets underway with the Edmonton Eskimos host the Calgary Stampeders Thursday. No lines are currently on the board for the Week 5 slate, but both Edmonton and Calgary have spotless records for Under bettors, going 0-4 and 0-3 respectively.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dodgers, Cards hook up

L.A. Dodgers (54-45) at St. Louis Cardinals (54-44)

First pitch: Sunday, 8:00 p.m. ET

Line and Total: Dodgers -165, Cardinals +155, Total 6.5

Two of the premier franchises in baseball right now, the Dodgers and Cardinals, square off in the conclusion of their three-game series on Sunday night.

The Dodgers came into the All-Star break winning six of 10 games to take a one-game lead in the NL West and securing the best record in the National League. The last series of their first half came at home against the Padres in which pitching dominated as they won 3-of-4 games. Los Angeles’ pitchers allowed just seven runs over the four contests and took each of the past two games by a score of 1-0. However, the Dodgers have lost each of the first two games to the Cardinals in this series, including Saturday's 4-2 defeat as a -150 favorite.

Hyun-Jin Ryu pitched a gem on Sunday (6 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 10 K’s) and was backed by the sole RBI from All-Star OF Yasiel Puig (.309 BA). Puig was hot in his previous nine games before the break, going 11-for-36 (.305) with eight of his nine hits going for extra bases while adding 6 RBI and eight runs. The Cardinals sit just one game back of the Brewers in the NL Central race after winning five of their final seven games, all against divisional opponents. They scored 17 runs in the first two games of their series against the Brewers most recently, but failed to complete a sweep, as they were blown out 11-2 in the series finale.

2B Kolten Wong (.242 BA) has found his power stroke recently, going 7-for-22 (.318) with four home runs and 7 RBI in his past six contests. Possibly the best pitcher in the game, 26-year-old LHP Clayton Kershaw (11-2, 1.78 ERA), will start this game for L.A. as he goes toe-to-toe with 22-year-old Redbirds RHP Carlos Martinez (2-4, 4.43 ERA). The Dodgers will actually be happy to start the second half on the road, as they are 29-19 (.604) in away games coming into this series while St. Louis is a solid 27-20 (.574) at home. The matchup between these two clubs has been a close one over the past three seasons with Los Angeles holding a 15-13 edge overall while going just 4-7 at Busch Stadium. The first time these teams met this year, it was in L.A. and the Dodgers were clearly the better club, winning 3-of-4 games and outscoring the Cardinals 17-4.

There is certainly an argument -- and a very easy one at that -- to make for Clayton Kershaw being the best pitcher in baseball. He has been to four straight All-Star games and is already a two-time Cy Young Award winner at just 26 years old, and has a great shot at winning a third award in 2014. He has started only 14 games so far this season due to injuries early in the year, but has made them count as he is striking out 11.8 batters per nine innings while showing impeccable control (1.2 BB/9) and allowing just five home runs in 96.1 innings of work (0.47 HR/9). A solo homer is the only run he has allowed in his past five starts (41 IP), and he is 8-0 with an 0.74 ERA, 0.61 WHIP and 11.8 K/9 in eight starts since June 1.

But Kershaw has been rather average against the Cardinals over his career, going 5-5 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.29 WHIP, but allowing just two homers in 81.1 IP (13 starts). 3B Matt Carpenter (5-for-16, 1 double, 1 RBI) and OF Matt Holliday (9-for-33, 1 RBI, 10 walks) have had some success against the ace, while SS Jhonny Peralta is 0-for-7 with four strikeouts in the matchup. Coming into this series, the Dodgers bullpen has gone 7-16 with a 3.74 ERA and 1.34 WHIP, while coming away with successful saves in 30-of-36 (83%) opportunities. Kenley Jansen (3.49 ERA, 27 saves) blew only three saves in the first half of the baseball season while striking out a solid 14.4 batters per nine innings and getting unlucky with batters hitting .391 BABIP.

Carlos Martinez has spent most of the season coming out of the bullpen, but injuries to some of the starters have forced St. Louis to plug him into the role he pitched in the minors and he has now started in his past six outings. As a starter, Martinez has gone 2-1 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.59 WHIP, while compiling a 29:14 K-to-BB ratio over 28.1 innings on the mound. He has not been able to give the bullpen much rest in his starts, going past the fifth inning just once, and was unable to reach that modest benchmark in his last outing, as he lasted only four innings while allowing four runs on seven hits and three walks with five strikeouts in a loss to Milwaukee.

Martinez has faced the Dodgers three times (2 starts) in his career, going 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.90 WHIP, while striking out eight and walking six over 10 innings of work. He did pitch well against them earlier this year on June 27, but earned a no-decision after going 4.1 innings while giving up one run on six hits and three walks with four strikeouts.

Both OF Yasiel Puig and 2B Dee Gordon have been great against Martinez, combining to go 6-for-10, but OF Andre Ethier, OF Matt Kemp and 3B Juan Uribe are hitless in nine combined at-bats when facing him. The Cardinals’ relievers were solid in the first half of 2014, going 12-13 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.21 WHIP, while saving 31-of-42 (74%) games. Trevor Rosenthal (3.50 ERA, 28 saves) has four blown saves on the year and has struck out 56 batters in 43.2 innings (11.5 K/9) while struggling mightily with his command (5.4 BB/9).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Sunday, July 20


Troy Tulowitzki, Colorado - Ques Sun

Tulowitzki left Saturday's game with a cramp in his thigh and is questionable to play Sunday against the Pirates.


Yasiel Puig, LA Dodgers - Ques Sun

Puig left Saturday's game after being hit by a pitch on his left hand. X-rays were negative and he is questionable to play Sunday against the Cardinals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | CHICAGO CUBS at ARIZONA
Play On - All teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (ARIZONA) poor power team - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, after scoring 8 runs or more
230-129 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.1% | 73.7 units )
31-22 this year. ( 58.5% | 5.2 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | SEATTLE at LA ANGELS
SEATTLE is 9-2 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in Road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.
The average score was: SEATTLE (4.5) , OPPONENT (2.8)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

ARENA | PORTLAND at ARIZONA
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 110 with an excellent offense - averaging 6.7 or more yards/play, after gaining 8 or more yards/play in their previous game
34-11 since 1997. ( 75.6% | 21.9 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

ARENA | SAN JOSE at PHILADELPHIA
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) with a terrible defense - allowing 6.7 or more yards/play
134-197 since 1997. ( 40.5% | 84.6 units )
1-7 this year. ( 12.5% | -4.0 units )

ARENA | SAN JOSE at PHILADELPHIA
Play Under - Road teams against the first half total after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games
49-23 over the last 10 seasons. ( 68.1% | 23.7 units )
6-7 this year. ( 46.2% | -1.7 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

'GIANT SWEEP'

San Francisco Giants look for the series sweep when they hook Tim Lincecum (9-5, 3.66 ERA) against Marlins' lefty Brad Hand (0-2, 5.26 ERA). Taking a road favorite can be a perilous road in baseball betting, but Giants with Lincecum appears to have enough in their favor to counteract such concerns. Giants have flourished with Lincecum of late as he's 4-0 allowing a single run over 30 1/3 innings of work. Giants have won seven of Lincecums' eight day starts this season and hit the field 13-4 with the hurler following a win the previous day. Miami hitting the skids losing six straight while averaging just 2.1 runs/game, Brad Hand on a 2-11 team start slide look for Giants to improve it's 12-3 record in Sunday games (6-1 on the road), 11-5 stretch in road day games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

The Pirates are looking to complete the three-game sweep this afternoon in Pittsburgh as they send lefty Jeff Locke to the mound against rookie Tyler Matzek and the Colorado Rockies. Locke has really pitched well this season and been the victim of some blown saves in the first half, while still sporting a solid 2.89 ERA. Matzek has been hit pretty hard, allowing 12 runs in his last three outings. The Rockies are 0-6 in Matzek's last six starts and an incredible 6-26 in their last 32 games following a loss. The Bucs are 8-2 in Locke's last 10 home starts vs. a team with a losing record and we think Locke takes care of business this afternoon and the Bucs get to Matzek early and often. The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - PITTSBURGH PIRATES -1.5 (+115)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon




Ben lee won on Saturday in MLB in the National League with the Diamondbacks -$145/Cubs.


For Sunday in MLB in the National League "Mr Chalk" likes the Pirates -$170/Rockies.


Ben lee is 2-0 +$100 for Week Thirty Eight 176-200-5 -$2630


"Mr Chalk" is 52-36 -$142 for the 2014 MLB season.


All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

Tampa Bay @ MINNESOTA

Tampa Bay -129 over MINNESOTA

(Risking 2.58 units - To Win: 2.00)

The Rays are scoring runs, they’re winning a lot of games recently and coming to the park has become fun again for this talented group that grossly underachieved in the first three months. Customarily, we’re not in favor of spotting a tag like this one but if this game were in Tampa, the Rays would be the same price (-180 or thereabouts) as many of today’s heavy chalk like Pittsburgh, Toronto and Atlanta. Furthermore, the Rays have a better road record than they do at home and they have a significant edge on the hill. There is still value in playing underpriced favorites and that applies here. Tampa has outscored the Twins 11-3 in winning the first two games of this series and it doesn’t get much easier than facing Kevin Correia. Pay no attention to Correia’s 2.90 ERA over his past five starts, as it was driven by extreme luck, which is revealed in his 5.44 xERA over that span. Over those five starts, covering 31 frames, Correia’s BB/K split was 10/10 and his strand rate was 83%. Correia rarely misses a bat. His swinging strike rate of 5% is one of the worst marks in the games for pitchers with 60 innings or more. Correia’s pitch-to-contact approach minimizes his value and really shows how thin his margin for error is. This is one of the worst starters in the game that will get into several jams every start. If he escapes them again, so be it.

By contrast, Chris Archer has 101 strikeouts in 113 innings to go along with a nice 48% groundball rate. In 39 career AB’s against Archer, current Twins’ batters have just one extra-base hit, which was a double. The other nine hits he were all singles. Archer made good on his pedigree in the 1H and it may have been an abbreviated coming out party. He already owns one of the top heaters in the game and if he's able maintain some of those control gains it's reasonable to project a second half season of ample Ks and an ERA close to 3. He’ll now face a laboring squad that has scored six times in their past four games.


Cleveland @ DETROIT

Cleveland +125 over DETROIT

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.50)

The Indians are on a roll and that makes them very playable here at this price against Drew Smyly and especially after sweeping a DH yesterday. It was a much longer day for the Tigers than it was for the Tribe. The Indians have won four straight and has outscored the opposition over that span 23-9. Smyly's long-awaited transition from long-reliever/ lurking fifth starter in Detroit's bullpen to full-time starter finally materialized in May after Anibal Sanchez hit the DL. Reliever-to-starter transitions are always tricky to predict and Smyly is showing signs of trouble. After 15 solid IP in April (and one start), Smyly's first month as a full-time starter saw his control jump to 4.1 BB/9. He's been laboring through most of his starts, eclipsing 100 pitches in 9 of his past 10, despite never making it past the sixth inning in all but one of those 10 starts. His strikeout rate has held up relatively well (as has velocity), but its fallen from his 2013 elite level. His swinging strike rate has also dropped from 11% to 9%, which is closer to the league average. xERA is skeptical that Smyly is a sub-4.00 ERA pitcher. A touch of strand % luck has been the difference. Smyly carries a 3.80 home ERA into this start but beware of this particular turn, as the Indians offense is on a nice roll (.794 OPS in July) and has hit Smyly well in the past (.866 OPS). Over his past 14.1 IP, Smyly has allowed 13 runs on 23 hits, which includes three balls that left the yard. No thanks to Smyly right now.


Baltimore @ OAKLAND

Baltimore +156 over OAKLAND

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.12)

Kevin Gausman has made just 7 starts this season and just 27 appearances (12 starts) over his career. With a career ERA of 4.60 and an ERA of 5.66 last season, Gausman’s stock isn’t nearly what it should be. Gausman entered 2014 as the #18 prospect in the minors and he certainly has the stuff and makeup to front a rotation. He’s an athletic pitcher (6’3, 190 lbs.) with a plus fastball, change-up, and command. He mixes his pitches nicely and can command all four, pounding strikes to all quadrants of the plate. His fastball, which can reach 99 MPH, shows excellent movement and he gets nice fading action on his change-up. His slider is becoming nasty with good depth and bite. Since being recalled on June 7, Gausman has made six starts and has allowed one earned run or less in five of them. What’s so remarkable about that is most of those innings occurred at home and Camden Yards is not a pitchers park by any stretch. In just 11 road innings, Gausman has a 0.79 ERA and a BAA of .220. Current A’s have 4 hits in 24 career AB’s against this future star. Buy low candidates do not get much better than Kevin Gausman.

The A’s are heavily favored here because Gausman’s stock is low and Sonny Gray’s is high. Gray deserves his billing because of his 2.79 ERA after 19 starts of which 16 of them have been of the pure quality variety. Gray threw just 64 major league innings last season (after his call-up) and has already thrown 126 this year. That’s the equivalent of a full season in the majors and he hasn’t missed a beat. However, Gray’s minor-league numbers didn't suggest this level of performance. And before you get too comfortable spotting -165 with him against a team like Baltimore, keep in mind that he has not allowed any HR in 87 IP with runners on base. He is the only pitcher in MLB that has kept the ball completely in the park with runners on (minimum 65 IP). Expect his ERA to rise closer to his 3.55 xERA once that regresses. The price on the O’s is too good to pass up on.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R & R TOTALS
MLB Jul 20 '14
1:10p San Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins
Take Over 7½
TOP MLB Over-Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power play wins

boston -140
tampa bay -140
chicago white sox -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BRANDON LANG

10 Dimes Cincy Reds

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TRACE ADAMS

1500 Raise the Bar
Run Line Rout

Tampa Bay Rays RL-1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CRAIG DAVIS

40 DIME Run Line Dog Lock

Oakland A's RL-1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SCOTT DELANEY

80 Dime American League Total of the Year

UNDER - Baltimore at Oakland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JEFF BENTON

50 DIME Interleague Total of the Year

UNDER - Cincinnati vs NY Yankees

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SEAN MICHAELS

100 DIME MAX WAGER

Arizona Diamondbacks ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BRAD WILTON

100 Dime A.L. Game of the Season

Boston Red Sox ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANTHONY REDD

40 Dime Run Line Massacre

Los Angeles Dodgers RL-1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GABRIEL DUPONT

100 Dime MLB Dog Shocker of the Year

Colorado Rockies ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

San Francisco Giants

The Marlins are in a major slump because they can't hit the ball. Tim Lincecum strives on pitching against teams that don't hit well. It would not shock me to see Lincecum walk away with a 3 hit shutout. Take the Giants.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Overunder Baseball

Over 7 Los Angeles Dodgers/St. Louis Cardinals

2.00

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Tampa Bay Rays -135 over Minnesota Twins
(System Record: 63-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 63-44

Soccer Crusher
Victoria + Corinthians OVER 2
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 610-21, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 610-503-87

Here are the rest of his baseball plays for today...


Cincinnati Reds -105 over NY Yankees
Detroit Tigers -138 over Cleveland Indians
Oakland Athletics -163 over Baltimore Orioles

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Mets -110

50* White Sox -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

H&H Sports

MLB

3* Boston Red Sox

2* Under 6.5 Los Angeles Dodgers/St. Louis Cardinals

2* Over 8.5 Seattle Mariners/Los Angeles Angels

2* Over 8 Tampa Bay Rays/Minnesota Twins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Handicapper King

MLB

San Francisco Giants


Free Arizona Diamondbacks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts

We've run out of superlatives for Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw, who has won his last eight starts allowing only five runs combined, one of which was a 15-strikeout no-hit performance against Colorado on June 18. But in the betting world, sometimes you have to say enough is enough. And when we're talking about enough in the betting world, it's all about the price and where it probably should be.

So, let's break down where tonight's Dodgers-Cardinals line should be. On a neutral field, without pitchers involved, the game is about a pick 'em. We'd then give the Cardinals about a 10-cent edge because they're at home. As the months go on for quality teams the home field increases. So since we're in late-July after the All-Star break, 10 cents is justified compared to April when it's maybe only about five cents. So on that alone, without the pitching matchup, we have the Cardinals at -120.

Now the big tamale is adding in the pitchers and in this instance we have baseball's best pitcher in Kershaw (11-2, 1.78 ERA), on a hot streak, going against a quality young Carlos Martinez (2-4, 4.43) making only his eighth career start and seventh this season after 30 appearances in relief.

While Martinez's ERA may suggest that he has struggled, the Cardinals have bailed him out and won five of his six starts. Okay, so he has allowed four runs in each of his past two outings. We get that, but this is the kid's dream. He has wanted to be a starter ever since he came into the big leagues last season and nearly won a spot in the spring based on his great stuff before being relegated to the bullpen.

Besides all the dreams of Martinez, the cold hard facts make Kershaw at least 80 cents better in any situation. However, when looking at the -185 price on Kershaw, things just don't add up. If Kershaw is 80 cents better than Martinez, the price should be -170 based on home field for St. Louis and also giving them a similar overall team rating.

Cardinals catcher Yadier Molina being out is a big deal, but they're playing great ball right now, winning four of their past five and seven of their last nine while looking for a sweep right out of the gate after the break. But Molina being out is already factored into the overall team rating, so no minuses factored in for the Cards, especially with their great play lately.

With the Cardinals' win Saturday, coupled with the Brewers loss, the Birds are now tied for first place in the NL Central. Meanwhile, with the Giants winning the past two days at Miami and the Dodgers dropping two, San Francisco now has a one-game lead in the NL West. That momentum on both sides is worth a three cent edge to the Cardinals. So now we're at Dodgers -167.

Two key players left Saturday's game which has to be factored in as well. Matt Holliday banged his head on a play at second while the Dodgers' best player, Yasiel Puig, was hit in the hand. Both players left the game early and their status for Sunday night's game is unknown at the time of writing this, but of the two, Puig is the more valuable player and worth at least six cents to the number while Holliday is worth about two cents (he's not been the typical power-hitting Holliday of the past).

So let's just say they're both out, which gives the Cardinals a four-cent edge. Now we're at Dodgers -163. We can logically say, unless we see wild lineup changes, that Kershaw and the Dodgers are priced about 22 cents too high and that makes it a must play on the undervalued team. And the sell is even easier when they're going for the sweep and playing great ball.

For those that read all this and say "so what" and play the run-line at -1.5 -110 and roll with the Kershaw express, consider that the Dodgers have scored only 12 runs in their past seven games. That's with Puig in the lineup while Matt Kemp bickers about his role on the club. Also consider that before Kershaw beat the Cardinals earlier this season, he had been 0-5 with a 6.59 ERA against them in his previous five outings, including two losses in the NLCS last season. You could downgrade Kershaw a couple of cents on past history as well.

I picked the Dodgers to win the World Series a few days ago, and still believe they will, but baseball is all about moments and streaks. While Kershaw has a great streak going, his team isn't performing well offensively lately. And the run-line players following Kershaw's roll know exactly what I mean as he beat the Padres, 2-1, in his last outing.

The play in this game is St. Louis to win and get the sweep.

Sunday's selections:

Cardinals (Martinez) +170 vs. Dodgers

Padres (Despaigne) -104 vs. Mets

Cubs (Arrieta) +109 at Diamondbacks

Mariners/Angels OVER 8.5 (-110)

Reds (Cueto) -101 at Yankees

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Sunday
By Vince Akins


SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Mariners are 0-13 (+$1,300) since August 08, 2009 as a dog after an extra inning win and it is not the first game of a series.


PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- When Jake Arrieta starts the Cubs are 8-0 since August 16, 2013 after the team lost their last two games for a net profit of $1018.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Mets are 12-0-1 OU since May 11, 2005 on the road after a loss in which they did not walk the opponent.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Rockies are 0-10 since May 30, 2014 when they are off a loss in which they held the lead for a net profit of $1015 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- When Johnny Cueto starts the Reds are 12-1 since August 17, 2011 as a favorite after going at least 6 innings and giving up 6 or fewer hits at home and they won in his previous start for a net profit of $1085.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE ESSLER

Sunday Thoughts & Free Play

956 PIT (+145) vs 955 COL

Analysis: Two team ML parlay……

Pittsburgh (Locke -185) to LA Dodgers (Kershaw -170)

I am not a huge Locke fan, but without Tulowitzki (perhaps) and as poorly as Colorado is playing, I’ll take my chances. There’s an end game here, and that’s that if the Pirates do win this game, that we have huge options later. Taking the Cardinals at home, even the RL is cheap, or the ML and just taking profit. We’ll see what happens.


Other games:

The Fish have fallen on hard times, but they did make a valiant effort to come back last night. I still can’t wrap my head around Lincecum (paying that price on the road) but Brad Hand can go either way. With the total coming down (I do not agree) I would have to throw a bit on the Fish RL or use that in a parlay, because it’s not cheap.


The Brewers might be pressing a bit today, and Gallardo isn’t (IMO) as good as advertised. Gio has been pitching well enough to be -130 here, and inasmuch as you guys know I like the dogs, I can’t fade the Nationals here.


I don’t care how bad Kendrick can be, or who is or isn’t playing for the Phillies. Wood should not be -200 to anyone, so I would take the Phillies RL here.


I can’t touch the Mets/Padres game. I suppose I would have to take the Padres at home after yesterday, but that’s playing Russian Roulette no matter which way you go. I’d follow late money if it were telling enough.


Cubs meltdown last night and Trumbo back means I lean over in this one, in spite of the move down. I’m not a Collmenter fan, or a fan of either bullpen.


I really want to take the Rangers here. I don’t like Buerhle and the Rangers are SOMEWHAT better against LHP. Tepesch isn’t Darvish, but the Jays w/o Edwin and a couple others might be vulnerable here.


As badly as the Tigers have been playing, Smyly is the type of pitcher that could pose a problem for Cleveland. Not sure I’m ready to lay the price, but am not sure that it isn’t correct.


I just don’t like Jon Lester at any price. He’s just not the same, and even tho the Royals are better against RHP, Ventura is under valued now (he has been over valued) so I could make a reasonable case for the Royals RL.


I’d love to find a way to take the home dog that is the Twins, but I just can’t. That’s a game that has “pass” written all over it, although I’d consider the over if anything.


Skaggs does not need to be -160 here, I don’t care how Young has been on the road or against the Angels. Seattle RL or even ML a very possible play for us.


IMO clearly the value lies with the Orioles at that price. I can’t lay -160 (ever, really) and just don’t see laying the -1.5 with a home team that may be ahead by one and not bat in the ninth. Nothing more annoying. Perhaps under there.


The move to the Yankees is somewhat expected with the Reds injuries, but I couldn’t pass up Cueto at that number to have the Reds avoid another loss.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Play

vip-picks

BONUS Tips

Austria Vienne - Grodig

Tip: Austria Vienne -0.5, 1

Odds: 1,85

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SHAKER’S SHORTS

Free play - 971 TAM (-128) vs 972 MIN

Analysis: The Rays may not have accomplished what they have wanted to this year but this team is finally playing the way they can and in doing so they are scoring a lot of runs. Severe Pitching Mis-Match for this one and there is no reason to be fooled by the Twins starter who has been extremely lucky over his “Good” recent run. In addition he has not performed well here at Target field and while I don’t have those stats handy as I write these notes, they are pretty bad. Archer has been a charmer and he has a very good GB Ratio this year and the reason why his last 10 of 11 starts have featured NO DINGERS. Laying this price on the road is not my norm but doing it here is no so hard to do..
Biggest UNDER Umps going today are doing games at Miami 7-1 U/0, St Louis 4-10 U/0, Boston 3-13 U/o.
Notable OVER Ump at Washington with Campos at 6-0 O/U and 9.5 RPG.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INSIDE VEGAS SHARP / CORY KLUGE

4 MLB Sharp Plays

Dodgers -180 ML

Colorado +173 ML

Miami +130 ML

Cubs +102 ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LiveWebPicks

Cleveland (Tomlin) +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GOODFELLA

Sunday MLB Team Total

PITTSBURGH PIRATES – OVER 4.5 RUNS (+100 )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker

San Diego Under 6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler

Philly +1.5 -120

[golden contender]

Sunday card has 5* ESPN MLB Totals System and a big Early Blowout system that is undefeated since 2004. Saturday card cashes 2 of 3. Free Early MLB System Play below.


On Sunday the free MLB Play is on the SF. Giants. Game 951 at 1:10 eastern. Free Plays are now on a 13-2 run The Giants have Tim Lincecum going an he has a superb 0.42 era in his last 3 starts. He takes on B. Hand for Miami who has a lost 4 of his 5 starts with a 5.26 era. The Giants qualify in a powerful Road warrior system that has won 15 of 17 times long term. We are playing on road favorites with a total of 8 or less that are off a road favored win by 2 or more runs in a game where the total was 8 or less and they scored 5 or more runs with no errors, and their opponent scored 4 or less runs and had 10 or more hits. The Giants are looking for the sweep and have won 12 of 15 on Sunday and 4 of 5 as a road favorite in this range. Miami has hit the skids losing 6 straight and averaging under 2 runs the past week. Look for San Francisco to bring out the brooms today. Jump on and end the week big as the 5* Sunday night MLB ESPN Power total leads the card along with a huge Blowout system that wins by an average 6-2 score. Saturday card cashes 2 of 3. For the free play take the Giants. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top umpire for Under bettors at work Sunday
By ANDREW AVERY

Kerwin Danley, one of the top Under umpires in Major League Baseball, will be calling balls and strikes at Fenway Park as the Boston Red Sox host the Kansas City Royals Sunday.

Danley sports an Over/Under record of 3-13 in his games worked behind home plate, making him the top Under umpire with at least 10 games under his belt this season. Tony Randazzo (1-7 O/U) and Stu Scheurwater (0-1 O/U) have better percentages, but less than 10 games worked.

What's perhaps even more fascinating about his numbers is the 4.9 runs per game that cross the plate when he's calling balls and strikes.

The Sox will put Jon Lester on the bump while the Royals are scheduled to counter with Yordano Ventura. Books have slapped a total of 7.5 on this matchup and Danley is 1-7 O/U when the total is 7.5 on the season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STRIKE POINT SPORTS

MLB

3-Unit Play. Take Under 7.5 Cincinnati at New York (AL) (1:05 p.m. Sunday, July 20)

2-Unit Play. Take Under 8 Kansas City at Boston (1:35 p.m. Sunday, July 20)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Fezzik

MLB Total

956 PIT / 955 COL Under 8 Hilton

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bestbetpick

Josh Daniels - 2* Mets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Port port sports

tampa bay rays (-140)

under 8 kansas city royals @ boston red sox (-125)

detroit tigers (-130)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tiger:

* MLB (980) TOTAL u7.5-117 (CIN REDS vrs NY YANKEES) (J. CUETO -R/H. KURODA -R)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetime Insiders

3* Plays

NYM -112 **Despaigne ERA does not tell the whole story as he is gravely overrated per our system. This is a very cheap price to get Wheeler and the Mets**

Cleveland +119 **The hottest team in baseball takes the field against an overrated Drew Smyly. On the other hand Tomlin rates as underrated and should be able to strikeout quite a few Tigers batters in this contest**

Tampa Bay -129 **For this price our system grades this play as a no brainer. If Correia hadn't been pitching better of late this number would probably sitting closer to -140 or -150. We like the value on Tampa Bay and Archer**

2* Plays

CHC -110 **Our system was also surprised to see this number so low as Arrieta has been truly dominate since May 1st going up against Collmenter and the Dodgers. Even though Arrieta has an ERA sitting south of 2 our system still believes he is slightly underrated and makes a good play today**

Kansas City and Boston Under 7.5 **We played it yesterday and it stayed way under the total and one could make the argument that Ventura and Lester are better pitchers. The outcome should be similar to last night with this total staying under 6**

LAA -1.5 +120 **Our system was hoping to see this number a little lower so we could make a big play on the money line but as it stands we will just be making a 2* run line play. We have one of the most overrated pitchers in baseball per our system in Young. His record and ERA paint a different picture but he is truly overrated and should come back down to earth against a very talented Angels roster**

1* Plays

Milwaukee +122

Cincinnati +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant


This is the only bet I've made/released today.

2 Units (Normal-sized wager)

[969-970] KC at Boston UNDER 7.5 -120 (5 Dimes)

List Ventura & Lester

KC is more potent against RHP, while Boston is better versus LHP, making this a good starting point for an UNDER wager. The BoSox have never faced Yordano Ventura, which gives him the early-game edge. He's been very solid in six of his seven road starts & Boston's offense hasn't scared anyone this season. Jon Lester has been pretty dominant, striking out many, walking very few & has been extremely tough at Fenway. And Lester always seems to hold KC to a run or less when he takes the mound against them. He gets very little run support, especially at Fenway where they've given him just 2.9 runs per game in 10 home starts (UNDER is 8-2). Both bullpens have pitched well recently, which only helps our cause. We also have a major UNDER umpire behind the plate today in Kerwin Danley. Danley is 13-3-1 to the UNDER behind the plate in 2014, with those games seeing an average of just 4.94 runs scored. That's no fluke, as Danley was 22-6 to the UNDER last season, with his stints behind the dish seeing an average of just 6.14 runs per game. Add it all up & I like our chances of cashing this UNDER bet in Boston today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Simon Green

MLB Free Winner

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals

Total: Over 7.5/-101

Nationals and Brewers over 7.5 runs Gallardo has really been struggling for the Brewers. He has an ERA over 6.00 his last 3 starts and gave up 8 runs his only start in Washington. Nats starter Gonzalez will have to deal with the hot hitting Braun who has 15 RBI his last 16 games while hitting .377. Take the over in this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Sports Insiders

MLB

SUNDAY'S PICKS(HIGH ROLLERS CLUB)

20* MLB Mets -110 and 10* MLB UNDER 6.5

20* MLB Red Sox -150 and 10* MLB OVER 7.5

20* MLB Rangers +160 and 10* MLB OVER 8.5

20* MLB Giants -140 and 10* MLB UNDER 7.5

20* MLB Twins +120 and 10* MLB OVER 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Picks Portfolio

MLB

Toronto Blue Jays -174

Over 8 +110 Colorado Rockies/Pittsburgh Pirates

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The GameHunter Sunday

Giants -136
Mets -103

Under 8 Cubs/DBacks (-118)

Tigers -138

Twins +127

Astros +115

Under 7.5 Red Sox/Royals (-120)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HOT CHICKS PICKS / Britney DeLuca

Take MIAMI +130 to make the big men feel small!

Take the Mets and San Diego to fly OVER 6.5!

Take PHILADELPHIA +175 to be more brave today!

Take CINCINNATI +110 to paint the big apple red!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chip Chirimbes

Mets at Padres

New York Mets

The Mets have been playing their best baseball of the season despite their 6-0 loss Saturdays and they have still won 8-of-10. Today they start one of their prized young hurlers as Zack Wheeler (5-8, 3.90 ERA) who has had some outstanding outings but need to be more consistent. He has allowed only one run in each of his last three starts and is 0-1 lifetime against the Padres. Look for New York to bounce back against MLB's weakest hitting club.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

louisville slugger
dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UNDER Umpire Streakers
#965 UN8.5 -105 TX/TOR 1u Hoye 7ov/12un L19gms 63.2%
#969 UN7.5 -125 KS/BOX 1u Danley 3ov/13un L16gms 81.3%
#963 UN6.5 -110 LAD/STL 1u Hickox 4ov/10un L14gms 71.4%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

5* GOW San Francisco Giants -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

7* San Diego Padres -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

5* Detroit Tigers -144

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

4* New York Mets -108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportshandicappers

Free pick

Detroit Tigers Over 4.5 Runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports


Complimentary MLB Pick for July 20th, 2014


Game: Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves
Time: Sunday 07/20 1:35 PM Eastern
Pick: Game Total UNDER 7.5 (-125) at Bovada

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MrProfitsPicks

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS. FLORIDA MARLINS
PICK: SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (-125)
RISK: 2 UNITS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd Undervalued Underdog

Phillies

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sam Martin

5* Pick: Washington Nationals

5* Play on Washington. After the Brewers opened this series against Washington with a 4-2 victory - their second win in their previous nine games overall - Washington came back with an easy 8-3 victory to push Milwaukee's losing streaks to 2-8 in their last ten and 3-12 in their last 15. We tried by back Washington behind Gio Gonzalez in that game, but Gonzalez was a late scratch and will pitch today.

Therefore, we'll (try to) back Gonzlez and the Nationals for the second day in a row. Gonzalez owns a perfect 3-0 team start record (2-0 record) in his career against the Cubs with a low 1.89 ERA and he hasn't allowed a single earned run in each of his last two meetings. Already having a 5-1 TSR at home this season, we'll back Gonzalez to out-pitch Yovani Gallardo, who owns a career 5.84 ERA vs. the Nats. 5* Play on Washington.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SportsCashSystem (http://www.sportscashsystem.com/)

extra bonus system

Chicago White Sox -122 over the Houston Astros (Bet Level 3) (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 2:10 PM EST - EARLY Play Alert

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

3* Tapout: Mets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

3* Run Line GOM: Mariners

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NSA

LATE INFO VIP PHONE SERVICE

Oakland Athletics (978)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

20* Baltimore Orioles