7-25-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Blue Bombers at Lions

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at B.C. Lions (-8.5, 52.5)

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers and host BC Lions are heading in opposite directions as they prepare to meet Friday. Winnipeg lost its first game of the season in Week 4 while the Lions are riding a two-game winning streak after stumbling to start the season. Friday’s contest will be a battle between Winnipeg’s league-best offense (118 points for) and BC’s stifling defense (69 points allowed).

Lions quarterback Kevin Glenn recorded 301 passing yards last week in his best outing since joining BC. Drew Willy and the Blue Bombers were ground to a halt by the Edmonton Eskimos in a 26-3 loss after recording at least 30 points in each of their first three games and will need to bounce back against a similarly difficult defensive unit with the Lions, who allow a league-low 168 passing yards per contest. BC re-established its home dominance after dropping its season opener and can tie Winnipeg in the West Division with a victory.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The Lions opened favored by a converted touchdown. It has since moved at B.C. -8.5. The total opened at 53.5 and has been bet down to 52.5.

INJURY REPORT: Lions: QB Kevin Glenn - probable (back), QB Travis Lulay - questionable (shoulder)

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (3-1, 3-1 ATS): Running back Nic Grigsby has 268 rushing yards and three touchdowns in his first CFL season. Defensive end Jason Vega will likely miss Friday’s game due to what the team calls various ailments, joining defensive back Johnny Sears Jr., who has a hamstring issue. Receivers Aaron Kelly and Cory Watson were injured in Week 4, which had a noticeable effect on Willy’s effectiveness.

ABOUT THE LIONS (2-2, 2-2 ATS): Glenn benefited from the return of receiver Emmanuel Arceneaux, who led the team with 145 yards in his season debut. Running back Andrew Harris has 585 total combined yards after adding 150 last week. Linebacker Solomon Elimimian leads the league with 24 tackles, while teammate Adam Bighill is second with 21.

TRENDS:

* Under is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in B.C.
* Under is 14-4 in the last 18 meetings.
* Blue Bombers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight meetings in B.C.
* Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win.

COVERS CONSENSUS: The consensus is split between the Blue Bombers and Lions at -8.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Real MVPs: Most valuable players to the MLB odds
By JASON LOGAN

When St. Louis Cardinals catcher Yadier Molina went down with a wrist injury before the MLB All-Star break, plenty of baseball bettors focused on how the absence of one of the best catchers in the majors would have on the Cardinals.

Unlike most position players, Molina’s impact is felt on both sides of the ball. As of July 9, he was hitting .287 BA with 30 RBIs and catching a pitching staff ranked sixth in the National League. Since losing its backstop for an estimated eight to 12 weeks, St. Louis has gone 4-4 (+21 units) with a 6-2 Over/Under mark.

Molina’s worth to the moneyline is estimated to be around five to eight cents. And while that makes him a valuable factor to the Cardinals’ daily odds, he’s behind these position players in terms of their impact and worth to the MLB oddsmakers.

We talked to oddsmakers and baseball bettors, getting their moneyline MVPs for the 2014 MLB season:

Mike Trout, OF Los Angeles Angels (5-15 cents on moneyline)

Trout was the unanimous No. 1 pick when it came to the most valuable player to the MLB odds but his value fluctuated depending on the source. Books kept Trout’s value to between 5-10 cents, sighting a deep Anaheim lineup as to why, while bettors believe he’s worth more to the Angels. Trout does boast the highest WAR (Wins Above Replacement) of any major league position player at 5.8.

“The best all-around player in the game today. His value goes without saying, even on a team as talented as the Angels,” Covers Expert Sean Murphy says of Trout.

Miguel Cabrera, IF Detroit Tigers (4-10 cents on moneyline)

The two time American League MVP has slid back a bit in terms of worth to the moneyline but is still an elite talent that can force major market moves if he’s ever scratched. Cabrera’s numbers were a little low in the first half of the schedule – and by low we mean leading the majors in RBIs and hitting .313. His name alone is worth five cents to the oddsmakers and even more to the betting public.

“Despite admitting to not being fully fit, he's still putting up great offensive numbers,” Ladbrokes (http://www.ladbrokes.com/) senior MLB analyst tells Covers. “Even if his numbers were to drop off slightly, public perception would still have him in the 10 cent range.”

Troy Tulowitzki, SS Colorado Rockies (5-10 cents on moneyline)

Bettors are seeing firsthand how much Tulowitzki is worth to the Rockies moneyline odds now that he’s hit the 15-day disabled list with a hip strain. The National League MVP frontrunner was valued between 5-6 cents by one Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/), due to the fact that his offensive numbers get a boost from playing half his games inside hitter’s haven Coors Field.

“Tulowitzki is first in the NL in batting average (.340) and third in home runs (21),” Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag (http://www.sportsbook.ag/) tells Covers. “He would be worth more if he didn’t play home game in the thin air of Colorado. The MVP race will be between him and (Andrew) McCutchen.”

Andrew McCutchen, CF Pittsburgh Pirates (5-15 cents on moneyline)

Speaking of McCutchen, some baseball experts believe he’s up there with Trout in terms of value to the moneyline, strictly because he does so much for the Pirates on both sides of the ball. The reigning NL MVP is hitting .319 (third in NL) with 62 RBIs (fourth in NL) and has 16 stolen bases on the year – not to mention his work in the outfield, which boosts his WAR to 4.8 – second highest in the National League.

“Cutch means an awful lot to the Buccos,” says Murphy. “Without him, they're not a contender in the NL Central, plain and simple.”

Buster Posey, C San Francisco Giants (5-10 cents on moneyline)

Like Molina, Posey has value on both sides of the ball, hitting .286 with 53 RBIs in an often lifeless lineup, while managing one of the deepest rotations in the majors behind the plate. San Francisco’s lack of depth is where he edges his masked counterpart, giving him a higher price impact on the odds even if his WAR is a pedestrian 2.2 (Molina 2.1).

“Ultimately, value comes down to a combination of public perception and the replaceability of the skillset they offer,” a spokesman for Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com/) Sports tells Covers. “Posey can be replaced as far as his defensive ability goes, but his strength as a hitter, game caller and leader aren't easily replicated by a backup catcher.”

Jose Abreu, 1B Chicago White Sox (4-10 cents on moneyline)

White Sox bettors are getting a taste of life without Abreu this week, with the slugger dealing with a sore back. The AL Rookie of the Year shoo-in leads the bigs in home runs (29), is hitting .292 BA and has driven in 74 RBIs in his first season. To give you an idea of how much impact he has on the betting public, Chicago opened as a -105 favorite versus Kansas City Tuesday and dropped to +137 when news hit that Abreu was out of the lineup.

“Whilst the White Sox might not be contending to win the AL Central, they have improved massively this season and much of this is down to Abreu,” says Ladbrokes (http://www.ladbrokes.com/) MLB analyst. “Not always perfect on first base but his offensive numbers have him worth close to 10 cents at least.”

Honorable mentions

Robinson Cano, 2B Seattle Mariners (5-10 cents on moneyline)
Nelson Cruz, RF Baltimore Orioles (5-8 cents on moneyline)
Ryan Braun, RF Milwaukee Brewers (5-10 cents on moneyline)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Red Sox have poor record vs. lefties on the road
Stephen Campbell

The Boston Red Sox have had a tough time on the road versus left-handed pitchers recently, posting a paltry 1-9 record in their last 10 games as of Thursday. That's bad news for Sox backers as they'll take on southpaw David Price and the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field Friday.

BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).com presently lists the Rays as -140 home faves with a total of 6.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Buehrle, Jays struggling vs. Yankees
Stephen Campbell

Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Mark Buehrle has been getting knocked around by the New York Yankees recently. In the veteran's last six starts versus the Bronx Bombers, Toronto is just 1-5. Buehrle and the Jays will try and turn things around against the Yankees in New York Friday.

The Yanks are currently -133 faves with a total of eight, per BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends show Padres love playing against Atlanta
Stephen Campbell

It's been a tough season for the San Diego Padres, but their backers can find some solace for Friday's matchup with the Atlanta Braves at Turner Field. Through Thursday, the Pads own a 6-1 record in their last seven meetings with the Braves.

Per BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/), Atlanta is currently -156 faves on the moneyline with a total of seven.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

This betting trend needs your attention
Stephen Campbell

If you've been putting your money on the Kansas City Royals as favorites with Yordano Ventura on the mound this season, you're definitely wishing you hadn't. The Royals are just 1-7 in Ventura's last eight starts when listed as faves.

Ventura gets the nod Friday for KC when they host the Cleveland Indians. Royals bettors beware, though: Kansas City is presently listed as -130 faves on the moneyline with a total of eight, per BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When these clubs meet, high totals tend to follow
Stephen Campbell

The scorekeeper has been busy in recent meetings between the Washington Nationals and Cincinnati Reds. In the last 11 matchups between the two clubs, the O/U is 8-2-1 through Thursday. They'll renew acquaintances at Great American Ball Park Friday.

BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) currently has the Nats as -111 faves on the moneyline with a total of 7.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

White Sox cashing in for Under bettors
Stephen Campbell

If you've been backing the Under in Chicago White Sox games lately, you've been collecting some nice profits. Through Thursday, seven of the ChiSox's last eight games have gone Under the total. The Minnesota Twins will host the Sox at Target Field Friday.

According to BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/), the Twinkies are currently -114 faves with an O/U of nine.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas 'Dog Days' built for diehard baseball bettors
By MARC MELTZER

I love the “Dog Days of Summer” as a diehard baseball bettor. Every other major sport is finished and the spotlight is on the diamond.

For the next couple weeks, every baseball game that’s available to be shown in Nevada (MLB has some crazy blackout restrictions) will be on a screen. Sure, there will be some Canadian Football League games or WNBA on the TVs but that will just be to fill space. Baseball will be king... until preseason football kicks off.

Baseball is the third-most bet sport in Las Vegas behind football and basketball, so the books are almost empty when those sports aren’t being played. The World Cup garnered much more interest this year so there’s less baseball-only time.

Some people find this to be a sad and depressing time to be in the sportsbook, but not me. I consider the book my home away from home during this time of year. Here are some reasons I love baseball during the “Dog Days of Summer”.

Climate

Everyone knows that Las Vegas is super hot during the summer. Air conditioning is a valuable commodity when it’s 110 in the shade. Sportsbooks offer a nice respite from the heat and the slow pace of a baseball game keeps the adrenaline down which helps cool you off.

Whether I’m on the strip bouncing around from casino to casino or just hanging out in a locals spot, I love to sit back, relax, take in some cool air while watching baseball. Chances are that if I’m watching a game (or games), I probably have a few bucks at risk.

People

Baseball is one of the more social sports around. You won’t typically miss much, if anything, if you get caught up in conversation. The game moves at a slow pace so you can chat away with the staff or other fans watching the games. While other sports allow you to create camaraderie by cheering with other people, the pace of baseball allows you to get to know people - for better and worse.

Betting

Since it’s not very crowded you can wait until seconds before the first pitch to get your bets in. There are rarely lines to place a bet during the “Dog Days of Summer”. You can never wait until the last second to get your football bets in. The extra time may give you a few more minutes to do some research that you may not have had the chance to do if you had to stand in line for 30 minutes to place a bet.

Midweek day games

In Las Vegas, you might wake up and a baseball game is about to start. If you did some research on the early games the night before you can grab a cup of coffee and watch the game. Afternoon games are even better.

Games that start at 1 p.m. are great for anyone that wants something to do during a lunch break. If you’re near the Vegas Strip, you can grab a nice big sandwich at the Carnegie Deli at The Mirage and take in a game for an hour. If you’re like me and can work anywhere, you can literally spend your workday watching and betting baseball. Ahhhh…

Other activities

Baseball bets don’t typically live or die on one play like a football game, so you can step away from your bet and do something else. Even the biggest baseball fan can’t sit in the same chair all day.

I like to step away from the book for a few minutes and play a little video poker. I usually keep track of the game on my phone but I don’t always need to see or hear every play. I have friends that take the same 20-40 minutes and just hang out at the pool working on their tan.

Space

I love the intensity of watching college and NFL football in the book but I also like having my own personal space. The Dog Days allow me to pretty much take up as much space in the sportsbook as I want.

There’s plenty of elbow room. If I have to work, I can have a workspace bigger than my setup at home at some of the larger Cantor sportsbooks since they have outlets to keep all of my tech charged.

Vibe

I was born and raised in New York City. I’m always stressed and I live off that stress. It fuels me and the doctor tells me that isn’t good.

The Dog Days allow me a mellow sports betting experience that I won’t normally get. It can be stressful when there are multiple games from multiple sports that I care about. I like to mellow out every now and again, and this is the best time to do so.

I’m grateful that I’m able to work wherever I want. This article started in my local sportsbook, where I was one of about 20 people just hanging out and watching the games. I’d guess that most people didn’t have more than $20 riding on any of the games.

I kept to myself as I had my face in my phone writing this article. After my result (push on a total of eight runs) I headed to the nearly empty bar for a little video poker and a beer.

Vegas is awesome. And the “Dog Days of Summer” make it even better.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
FRIDAY, JULY 25TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________

#901 ST LOUIS @ #902 CHICAGO CUBS - 4:05 PM
•Cardinals RH Joe Kelly (2-1, 2.84 ERA, WHIP: 1.303) - Kelly threw a career-high seven innings last time out, allowing one run and four to beat the Los Angeles Dodgers in his second start since returning from the disabled list. The 26-year-old has made only five starts because of a long DL stint with a hamstring injury. Kelly is 3-2 with a 2.19 ERA in eight games (five starts) versus the Cubs.

--KEY STAT: KELLY is 15-5 (+10.1 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KELLY 5.7, OPPONENT 3.3.

--KELLY is 15-5 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KELLY 5.7, OPPONENT 3.3.

•Cubs LH Travis Wood (7-9, 5.12 ERA, WHIP: 1.526) - Wood has not approached his All-Star form from a year ago, especially over the past month. The 27-year-old is 0-4 with a 6.82 ERA in his last six starts, and he continues to issue too many walks - 52 in 116 innings. Wood has beaten the Cardinals twice this season and is 5-5 with a 4.99 ERA in 13 career starts against them.

--KEY STAT: WOOD is 1-12 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WOOD 3.0, OPPONENT 5.4.

--WOOD is 4-16 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WOOD 3.3, OPPONENT 4.6.

--WOOD is 5-19 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in home games in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WOOD 3.3, OPPONENT 4.7.

#903 ARIZONA @ #904 PHILADELPHIA - 7:05 PM
•Diamondbacks LH Wade Miley (6-6, 4.16 ERA, WHIP: 1.231) - Miley won his third straight start after allowing three runs on seven hits in as many innings en route to a 9-3 triumph over the Chicago Cubs on Saturday. The 27-year-old has relished life on the road, posting a 4-1 mark with a 2.85 ERA while limiting the opposition to a .215 batting average. Miley is 1-0 in two appearances versus Philadelphia, but settled for a no-decision despite making a quality start in the last meeting.

--KEY STAT: MILEY is 11-1 (+11.0 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILEY 5.3, OPPONENT 2.3.

--MILEY is 14-2 against the run line (+13.4 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILEY 4.3, OPPONENT 2.6.

--MILEY is 14-2 against the run line (+13.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILEY 4.8, OPPONENT 2.3.

•Phillies RH Kyle Kendrick (4-10, 4.87 ERA, WHIP: 1.353) - While Miley's heating up, Kendrick has dropped two straight outings while permitting 18 runs in 16 2/3 innings in his last three starts. The 29-year-old has struggled mightily versus the Diamondbacks, posting an 0-2 career mark with a 5.45 ERA while allowing the club to bat .323 against him. Citizens Bank Park hasn't provided a safe haven for Kendrick, who owns a 2-5 mark at home.

--KEY STAT: KENDRICK is 12-3 OVER (+8.9 Units) in home games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KENDRICK 4.5, OPPONENT 5.5.

--KENDRICK is 26-11 OVER (+14.3 Units) against National League West opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was KENDRICK 5.4, OPPONENT 5.1.

#905 WASHINGTON @ #906 CINCINNATI - 7:10 PM
•Nationals RH Tanner Roark (9-6, 2.91 ERA, WHIP: 1.127) - Roark yielded one run and six hits while striking out five in seven innings of an 8-3 victory over Milwaukee on Saturday - his second straight start allowing one run in seven frames. "He's been great. He's fun to play behind, he goes right at the hitters," Washington's Ryan Zimmerman told reporters about the 27-year-old Illinois native, who is 5-1 with a 3.28 ERA in 10 night starts this season. It's been a lot of fun to watch." Roark lost his only appearance against Cincinnati 2-1 on May 21.

--KEY STAT: ROARK is 12-4 against the run line (+11.3 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ROARK 4.9, OPPONENT 3.0.

•Reds RH Alfredo Simon (12-4, 2.74 ERA, WHIP: 1.052) - Simon, who is bidding to become the majors' first 13-game winner, had his streak of eight consecutive quality starts halted when he yielded four runs (two earned) and five hits in five innings of a 7-1 loss at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. The 33-year-old Dominican Republic native, a converted reliever, was 6-0 with a 2.47 ERA in his previous eight outings while becoming one of the biggest surprises in baseball. Simon has a 2.14 ERA in 11 games (one start) over 21 innings against the Nationals.

--KEY STAT: SIMON is 14-0 (+15.2 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 4.1, OPPONENT 1.8.

--SIMON is 15-1 (+15.4 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 4.5, OPPONENT 2.2.

--SIMON is 14-0 (+15.0 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 4.1, OPPONENT 1.9.

--SIMON is 16-2 (+15.4 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 4.3, OPPONENT 2.4.

--SIMON is 12-2 UNDER (+9.7 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 4.1, OPPONENT 1.8.

--SIMON is 13-3 UNDER (+9.6 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 4.1, OPPONENT 2.1.
_________________________________________

Jackpot In July Huge Discounted Offer
We're just a few days away from the start of the 2014 National Football League & NCAA College Football Season and things are coming together very nicely here at StatSystemsSports.net. Along with the NBA Playoffs and MLB, an abundance of hours were spent in May and June diligently working on the upcoming football run. A number of exciting parameters were added to our state of the art database and we’ve uncovered some exciting and highly profitable Situational Analysis. We'll use them all this year and win with them I guarantee you that.

If you haven't registered for our Full-Season Package for the 2014 (NFL & NCAACF) Football Season, you can do so right now at 570-828-4091, "Where The Winning Just Never Stops!" The current rate for football is $2199.00 a 50% saving for signing up today. For those of you that invest on basketball and baseball, you may want to consider our 2014-15 All Season Profit Pass. For an additional $1400, you'll get everything we release in all three sports from July 5th, 2014 to June 30th, 2015 for only $3599. That fee breaks down to less than $300.00 dollars per month and is a number I know you call can handle.

We've got four months left in the Major League Baseball season and we're looking at our 2014 MLB Game of the Year. Normally priced at $350, you can get everything we release on the diamond in July thru the 2014 World Series as an added bonus. While also having access to all our Top-Rated Selections daily by E-mail. July isn't wasting any time so get on board today once again @ 570-828-4091.

"You'll be real Glad you did” -Stan!
_____________________________

#907 SAN DIEGO @ #908 ATLANTA - 7:35 PM
•Padres RH Jesse Hahn (5-2, 2.21 ERA, WHIP: 1.057) - Hahn has made a huge impression on San Diego through the first seven starts of his major-league career, winning five of his past six outings while allowing more than two earned runs just twice. He beat Los Angeles on July 11 with six innings of one-run, three-hit pitching. Hahn walked a season-high four in that outing, but has struck out seven or more hitters four times while not giving up more than six hits in a start.

•Braves LH Alex Wood (7-7, 3.24 ERA, WHIP: 1.156) - Wood opened the second half with a strong effort Sunday against Philadelphia, giving up one run on three hits with eight strikeouts to improve to 2-1 since returning to the starting rotation. The 23-year-old sports a 2.95 ERA in 12 starts, going 4-6 while holding opponents to a .230 batting average. Wood pitched a scoreless inning of relief against San Diego last season in his only lifetime appearance against the Padres.

#909 NY METS @ #910 MILWAUKEE - 8:10 PM
•Mets RH Zack Wheeler (5-8, 3.78 ERA, WHIP: 1.365) - Wheeler has allowed just one run in each of his last four outings while going 2-0 with two no-decisions. He struck out seven and gave up eight hits in six innings while taking a no-decision against San Diego on Sunday. Wheeler beat Milwaukee last season when he gave up three runs (one earned) and seven hits in five innings.

•Brewers RH Yovani Gallardo (5-5, 3.79 ERA, WHIP: 1.264) - Gallardo is 0-1 in five starts since last winning on June 19. He wasn’t involved in the decision in his last assignment as he gave up four runs and eight hits in six innings against Washington. Gallardo is 4-3 with a 3.64 ERA in nine career starts against the Mets.

--KEY STAT: GALLARDO is 51-18 (+29.6 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GALLARDO 5.5, OPPONENT 3.2.

--GALLARDO is 20-8 against the run line (+13.4 Units) versus an National League team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GALLARDO 5.4, OPPONENT 3.6.

#911 PITTSBURGH @ #912 COLORADO - 8:40 PM
•Pirates RH Charlie Morton (5-9, 3.28 ERA, WHIP: 1.172) - Morton is winless in his last three starts despite allowing two or fewer runs in two of those turns. The 30-year-old held Colorado to two runs on five hits in seven innings on Saturday but did not factor in the decision in a game Pittsburgh went on to win 3-2. Morton is 2-0 with a 3.16 ERA in five career starts against the Rockies.

•Rockies LH Brett Anderson (0-3, 4.00 ERA, WHIP: 1.444) - Anderson is making his third straight start after a three-month stint on the disabled list and is coming off an encouraging outing. The Texas native held the Pirates to one run on four hits and struck out eight in seven innings while going up against Morton on Saturday. Anderson has made only two home starts this season and has not fared well, allowing 11 runs - eighth earned - while walking six in 11 total innings.

--KEY STAT: ANDERSON is 6-20 (-13.6 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was ANDERSON 3.0, OPPONENT 5.2.

#913 LA DODGERS @ #914 SAN FRANCISCO - 10:15 PM
•Dodgers RH Zack Greinke (11-6, 2.90 ERA, WHIP: 1.198) - Greinke suffered his second straight loss after allowing four runs and a season-high five walks in 5 2/3 innings en route to a 4-2 setback against the Cardinals on Saturday. The 30-year-old looks to rebound versus the Giants, against whom he has posted a 2-0 mark in four career outings. Greinke was stellar in his last meeting with the NL West rival, permitting two runs and striking out eight over seven innings to lift the Dodgers to a 6-2 win on May 10.

--KEY STAT: GREINKE is 21-7 (+13.7 Units) against the money line versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.8, OPPONENT 2.5.

--GREINKE is 16-37 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 3.2, OPPONENT 4.4.

--GREINKE is 17-4 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.5, OPPONENT 2.5.

--GREINKE is 39-16 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.6, OPPONENT 3.1.

--GREINKE is 18-5 (+12.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.5, OPPONENT 2.5.

--GREINKE is 14-4 UNDER (+9.7 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 3.5, OPPONENT 2.1.

--GREINKE is 17-5 UNDER (+11.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 3.6, OPPONENT 2.3.

•Giants RH Tim Lincecum (9-6, 3.65 ERA, WHIP: 1.234) - Lincecum secured the first save of his eight-year career by recording the final two outs against the Phillies on Tuesday. In his more traditional role as a starter, the 30-year-old saw his four-game winning streak come to a halt versus Miami despite pitching seven strong innings on Sunday. Lincecum, who owns a solid 9-6 career mark against Los Angeles, is 6-2 at home this season while limiting the opposition to a .195 batting average.

--KEY STAT: LINCECUM is 13-3 (+10.1 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LINCECUM 5.6, OPPONENT 2.4.

--LINCECUM is 7-1 against the run line (+9.4 Units) in home games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was LINCECUM 4.9, OPPONENT 2.0.

--LINCECUM is 8-2 against the run line (+8.7 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was LINCECUM 4.2, OPPONENT 2.2.

--LINCECUM is 16-5 UNDER (+10.6 Units) in home games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LINCECUM 3.0, OPPONENT 2.8.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Winnipeg (3-1) @ BCLions (2-2 )-- Lions won last five series games, winning last two here by 17-7 points; 14 of last 18 series games stayed under total. BC righted ship after 0-2 start with wins by 13-36 points last two weeks, running ball for 186/153 yards while opponents hit on less than 50% of passes both games. bombers lost first game last week; ; they won 34-33 at Montreal in only road game- they scored 38.3 ppg in their wins, 3 in only loss, when Eskimos ran ball for 192 yards last week.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 5
By David Schwab


The 2014 CFL season is just four weeks old and we are already seeing a major disparity between a West Division that has four teams with a .500 record or better and an East Division that so far has combined to win just three games straight up.

Last Thursday, Edmonton won the battle of two unbeaten teams in the West with a 26-3 victory over Winnipeg as a 1 ½-point road underdog. The total stayed well UNDER the 54-point closing line. Ottawa kicked off Friday’s double-header with its first ever CFL victory as the RedBlacks with a tight 18-17 win against Toronto as a one-point home underdog. That total stayed UNDER the 52-point line. Calgary remained perfect in the West with a 10-7 win over Hamilton at home on Friday night as a 9 ½-point favorite and the total stayed UNDER the 51-point closing line.

In the only game on Saturday’s slate in Week 4, British Columbia pasted Montreal 41-5 as a 7 ½-point home favorite to even its mark after a 0-2 SU start. It was a clean sweep for the UNDER play with the total line in that game set at 48 ½ points.

Friday, July 25

Winnipeg (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS) at British Columbia (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS)

Point-spread: BC-7
Total: 53½

Game Overview

Winnipeg will look to quickly bounce back from last week’s dismal three-point effort after averaging 38.3 points in its first three games. The Blue Bombers are still the highest scoring team in the CFL behind quarterback Drew Willy, who has thrown for 1,051 yards and five touchdowns while completing 62.4 percent of his attempts.

BC has had to turn to Kevin Glenn at quarterback in the absence of Travis Lulay and he came up with his best offensive effort of the year this past Saturday against Montreal with 301 yards passing and two touchdowns. He had quite a bit of help from wide receiver Emmanuel Arceneaux, who caught eight balls for 145 yards after missing much of the season so far due to injury.

Betting Trends

The Lions current SU winning streak in this series stands at five games and they are 3-2 ATS during that run. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last 10 meetings and it has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 10 meetings at BC Place.

Saturday, July 26

Ottawa (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) at Hamilton (0-3 SU, 2-1 ATS)

Point-spread: Hamilton -4½
Total: 48½

Game Overview

The RedBlacks earned their first victory of the season behind Henry Burris throwing the ball and Chevon Walker running it on the ground. Neither player’s numbers were spectacular, but it was just enough to get the job done. You also have to give credit to the defense for its ability to shutdown Toronto when it needed to the most.

Hamilton had to turn to both Jeremiah Masoli and Dan LeFevour last week for injured quarterback Zach Collaros and the result was a grand total of seven points on a one-point play and two field goals. Collaros remains questionable for this Saturday while recovering from a blow to the head. The Tiger-Cats are ranked dead-last in scoring with an average of 13.7 points a game.

Betting Trends

The Tiger-Cats are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a SU loss, but they are just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with a SU losing record. The total has stayed UNDER in their last four games at home.

Toronto (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS) at Saskatchewan (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)

Point-spread: Saskatchewan -6
Total: 49½

Game Overview

Despite the fact that quarterback Ricky Ray leads the CFL in passing with 1,280 yards while completing 70.9 percent of his throws, this has not always translated to points and more importantly wins. It also does not help when you have a defense that has given-up the most points (112) in the league.

The defending champs are fresh off a bye week that followed a disappointing 26-13 loss to BC in Week 3 as five-point home favorites. Saskatchewan has already lost to the Argonauts this season in a 48-15 beatdown in Week 2 as a two-point favorite on the road. Darian Durant has 622 passing yards in three games and he has completed just 55.3 percent of his 85 attempts.

Betting Trends

The Argonauts have won three of the last four meetings both SU and ATS and the total has gone OVER in all four games. The road team in this matchup is 6-3 SU in the last nine meetings and Toronto is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight trips to Saskatchewan.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers


Blue Jays at Yankees – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
TOR: Buehrle (10-6, 2.86 ERA)
NYY: Kuroda (6-6, 3.88 ERA)

Previous series recap: Following a meltdown prior to the All-Star break, the Blue Jays capped off a solid homestand at 5-2 against the Rangers and Red Sox. After losing the opener to Boston, Toronto grabbed the final three games of its series, including Thursday’s 8-0 blowout of its division rival. The Yankees are also on fire of late, winning six of seven games at home, as New York captured the final three against struggling Texas.

What to watch for: New York’s pitching has carried the club of late, resulting in a 9-1 run to the ‘under’ the past 10 contests. Since 2009, Buehrle is winless in his last seven starts in the Bronx, but the Jays did beat the Yankees in the southpaw’s last outing against New York in late June, 7-6. The Yankees have captured six of nine matchups with the Jays this season, including a three-game home sweep last month.

Red Sox at Rays – 7:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
BOS: Lester (10-7, 2.50 ERA)
TB: Price (10-7, 3.06 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Rays are the hottest team in baseball by winning each of their last seven games, including a two-game road sweep of the Cardinals. Tampa Bay’s pitching has carried the team in this hot stretch, allowing just 10 runs during this winning streak. The Sox entered their series in Toronto with a 7-1 record in their past eight contests, but dropped three of four to the Blue Jays, while racking up just one hit in Thursday’s 8-0 setback.

What to watch for: The home team has won each of the last six meetings as these two clubs have exchanged sweeps since late May. Both these starting pitchers are on fire, as the Red Sox are 7-0 in Lester’s past seven starts, while the Rays own a 5-0 record in Price’s last five outings. Tampa Bay has taken care of business against AL East opponents of late, winning seven of the past 10 within its division.

Tigers at Angels – 10:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
DET: Smyly (6-8, 3.80 ERA)
LAA: Skaggs (5-5, 4.65 ERA)

Series recap: After losing eight consecutive meetings with the Angels, the Tigers have won each of the last three matchups, including Thursday’s 6-4 triumph. Detroit erased a 3-1 deficit by scoring five unanswered to take control of the game, as the Tigers have won four of their past five contests since dropping the first three games out of the All-Star break.

What to watch for: The Angels have won each of Skaggs’ last two starts in spite of the southpaw allowing 11 earned runs against the Mariners and Rangers. The Tigers are 6-2 to the ‘over’ in Smyly’s last eight road outings, while Detroit has put together a solid 9-2 record in the previous 11 games against left-handed starting pitchers.

Orioles at Mariners – 10:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
BAL: Gausman (4-3, 4.04 ERA)
SEA: Hernandez (11-2, 2.02 ERA)

Series recap: The Orioles cruised past the Mariners on Thursday, 4-0 to easily cash as +130 road underdogs. After losing two of three at Oakland, the O’s have won three of their past four on this West Coast swing, with all three victories coming in the ‘dog role. The defeat by the Mariners snapped a six-game winning streak in home series openers.

What to watch for: Seattle has won each of the last five starts made by Hernandez, while the M’s are 6-1 in his past seven outings at Safeco Field. The Orioles are 6-0 in their previous six Game 2’s of a road series dating back to the start of June, while Baltimore owns a 5-2 record in Gausman’s past seven starts, in spite of a 10-2 defeat in his last outing at Oakland.

Dodgers at Giants – 10:15 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
LAD: Greinke (11-6, 2.90 ERA)
SF: Lincecum (9-6, 3.65 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Giants failed to pull off the sweep of the Phillies after losing on Thursday, 2-1 as short underdogs. However, San Francisco finished off its road trip at 5-2, including three victories at Philadelphia. The Dodgers stumbled in Pittsburgh by losing the final two games by a combined score of 18-8. Los Angeles concluded its highway swing at St. Louis and Pittsburgh with a 2-4 mark.

What to watch for: San Francisco has taken care of its rival this season by posting a 7-3 record against Los Angeles, as these two teams are meeting for the first time since early May. Greinke is responsible for two of the three wins by the Dodgers in the season series, but Los Angeles is 1-6 in his last seven road starts. The Giants are on fire at home when Lincecum takes the mound, compiling a 6-1 record in his past seven outings at AT&T Park.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks Toronto at NY Yankees The Yankees open their series against Toronto tonight and come into the contest with a 20-2 record in the last 22 games between the two teams. New York is the pick (-145) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-145). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


FRIDAY, JULY 25
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Kelly) 12.439; Chicago Cubs (Wood) 14.546
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs 2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+115); N/A


Game 903-904: Arizona at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 14.768; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 16.043
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+105); Over


Game 905-906: Washington at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Roark) 15.303; Cincinnati (Simon) 16.674
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-110); Under


Game 907-908: San Diego at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Hahn) 13.539; Atlanta (Wood) 16.685
Dunkel Line: Atlanta 3; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-165); Under


Game 909-910: NY Mets at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Wheeler) 17.353; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.235
Dunkel Line: NY Mets 2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+135); Under


Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.402; Colorado (Anderson) 15.332
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 12
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+120); Over


Game 913-914: LA Dodgers at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 17.416; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.979
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-125); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-125); Under


Game 915-916: Toronto at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 14.278; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 15.923
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-145); Over


Game 917-918: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 15.242; Tampa Bay (Price) 17.422
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-150); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-150); Over


Game 919-920: Oakland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Hamel) 16.122; Texas (Williams) 13.535
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-165); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-165); Under


Game 921-922: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 15.644; Minnesota (Correia) 16.235
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-125); Over


Game 923-924: Cleveland at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Tomlin) 15.136; Kansas City (Ventura) 16.857
Dunkel Line: Kansas City 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-140); Under


Game 925-926: Detroit at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Smyly) 17.233; LA Angels (Skaggs) 15.618
Dunkel Line: Detroit 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+120); Over


Game 927-928: Baltimore at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gausman) 16.864; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.957
Dunkel Line: Baltimore 1; 6
Vegas Line: Seattle (-180); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+160); Under


Game 929-930: Miami at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Hand) 15.325; Houston (Keuchel) 14.414
Dunkel Line: Miami 1; 8
Vegas Line: Houston (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+115); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
FRIDAY, JULY 25th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


***** Friday, 7/25/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
__________________________________________________ ___

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #17
•Mariners Trade For Twins' Morales: The Seattle Mariners acquired first baseman/designated hitter Kendrys Morales from the Minnesota Twins on Thursday in exchange for right-handed relief pitcher Stephen Pryor. Morales, 31, is scheduled to report to the Mariners on Friday, at which time a 25-man roster move will be made. Morales rejoins Seattle after a brief stint with the Twins. Morales, who signed as a free agent with Minnesota on June 8, appeared in 39 games and batted .234 with 11 doubles, one home run and 18 RBIs. He had a 12-game hitting streak snapped on Wednesday when he went 0-for-4 in the Twins' 3-1 win over the Cleveland Indians.

In 156 games with the Mariners last season, Morales led the team in batting average (.277), hits (167), doubles (34), RBIs (80), multi-hit games (46) and extra-base hits (57). The 23 home runs established a club record for a switch-hitter. The Cuban native is a career .277 hitter with 141 doubles, 103 home runs and 363 RBIs in 659 games with the Angels (2006-2012), Mariners (2013) and Twins (2014). Pryor, 25, made one appearance for the Mariners this season after opening the season on the disabled list due to surgery to repair right latissimus dorsi muscle. He appeared in 34 games with the Mariners from 2012-14, recording a 2.81 ERA. He was originally selected by the Mariners in the fifth round of the 2010 draft out of Tennessee Tech University.

•Phillies Considering Releasing Ryan Howard: A few years ago Ryan Howard was one of the most feared hitters in baseball, and now he’s on the verge of being out of the game altogether. On Wednesday a report surfaced claiming that the Philadelphia Phillies are considering paying the rest of Howard’s contract and releasing him after the season. Howard is owed $25 million this season and a total of $60 million over the next two seasons, but he has been so bad over the past few years that he’s basically wasting a roster spot. Howard is a three-time All-Star, won the National League Rookie of the Year in 2005 and was the 2006 National League MVP. But since 2011 he has dealt with serious injury problems and has been awful when healthy.

In the past three seasons, Howard has played in just 248 of a possible 486 games. He has posted a .236 batting average, .306 on-base percentage and a woeful .724 OPS. In 914 at-bats he has struck out an incredible 312 times, and his WAR has been a ridiculously bad -0.8. The 34-year-old is clearly not the player he once was, and it has gotten so bad that he has even been benched on an awful team. After a loss on Wednesday, the Phillies are 43-58 and given the age of their roster, they are not going to compete any time soon. They are in the process of trying to unload some of their bigger contracts, but there are absolutely no takers for Howard, and with good reason.

While Cliff Lee and Jonathan Papelbon could actually be moved before next week’s trade deadline, Howard isn’t going anywhere. The Phillies are going to have to pay him anyway and they clearly have no use for him on the roster anymore. Releasing him and eating his massive contract will hurt, but it’s probably the right move for the future of the franchise. No one should be shocked if this is Howard’s final season in Philadelphia.

•Callaspo Could Be Activated From DL By Sunday: Second baseman Alberto Callaspo is getting closer to coming off the disabled list, with A’s manager Bob Melvin suggesting he might be activated as early as Sunday. Recovering from a strained right hamstring, Callaspo took batting practice and fielded grounders before Wednesday’s game against the Houston Astros, as did first baseman Kyle Blanks, who is covering from a torn calf muscle. “He’ll probably do a couple more days of this and maybe we’ll send him out somewhere” on a rehab assignment, Melvin said of Callaspo. “There’s a chance he’ll be ready by Sunday.”

Callaspo is hitting .234 with three home runs and 31 RBI. Not eye-popping numbers, but Melvin would like to have Callaspo at his disposal as a regular option at second base, or as a switch-hitting option off the bench. When he does return, the A’s have a decision to make as far as who to send out to clear a roster spot. Eric Sogard’s defensive ability alone makes him an asset, but can the A’s afford to keep him, Callaspo and Nick Punto on the roster at the same time? It’s possible that with Callaspo available as a right-handed hitting first base option, Nate Freiman could be the odd man out. That decision will eventually play itself out. Eventually, the A’s hope to get Blanks back too. Melvin said he’s a little bit behind Callaspo in his recovery, but when Blanks is able to run full speed with no discomfort, he figures to go out on a minor league rehab assignment.

Thursday's MLB Roundup
If the Rays are inclined, they can make the biggest deal before next Thursday's non-waiver trading deadline by sending left-hander David Price to another contender. The St. Louis Cardinals are reportedly pushing to be at the front of the line if indeed the team parts with Price. Price is eligible for arbitration for the final time at the end of this season --- the 2012 American League Cy Young Award winner could easily wind up with a $20 million salary for 2015 through the process -- and free agency at the end of next season. The Rays would get maximum value if they traded Prince this week, when a team would have him for the rest of this season and all of next.

The Rays are 4 1/2 games out in the AL wildcard race and 7 1/2 games back in the AL East standings after winning 25 of their last 36 games. What president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman is weighing is whether to keep Price and go for what would be the franchise's first World Series title or trade him and get enough in return to set themselves up for a number of future runs at a championship. While Friedman figures it out, here are five players who should be changing uniforms before the non-waiver deadline next Thursday:

•Bartolo Colon, RHP, Mets --- Colon is signed through next season and is still a very effective starting pitcher despite 41 years old and quite rotund However, the rebuilding Mets could use the young talent he could fetch in a trade. Colon is 9-8 with a 4.03 ERA and a fine 100/19 strikeout-walk ratio in 134 innings. He surely impressed scouts Wednesday when he retired the first 20 batters he faced in his start at Seattle.

•Jorge De La Rosa, LHP, Rockies --- Eligible for free agency at the end of the season, De La Rosa would make a nice rental starter for a contender. The 33-year-old is 11-6 with a 4.19 ERA in 21 starts, including an impressive 6-2 with a 3.49 ERA in 10 home starts in the thin air of Denver. He also opened scouts' eyes Wednesday by holding the National League-East leading Washington Nationals to two runs in 7 1/3 innings while out striking out 11.

•Jonathan Papelbon, RHP, Phillies --- Interest has been surprisingly light in a closer who has converted 23 of 26 save opportunities with a 1.96 ERA in 41 games. Furthermore, he has 309 saves in his 10-year career. However, Papelbon's personality rubs many people raw. He has been so vocal about wanting out of Philadelphia that the Phillies will absorb almost all of the remaining $31 million left on his contract to get rid of him.

•Alexei Ramirez, SS, White Sox --- Despite appearing in his first All-Star Game last week and hitting .280 with eight home runs and 17 stolen bases in 101 games, Ramirez is a goner in Chicago. He is 32, becomes a free agent at the end of the season and the White Sox have a ready-made replacement at Triple-A Charlotte in Carlos Sanchez.

•Kurt Suzuki, C, Twins --- Suzuki has been a great bargain for Minnesota after being signed to a one-year, $2.75-million contact as a free agent in the offseason as he has hit .312 in 84 games. He is outstanding handler of pitchers and a clubhouse favorite. However, Suzuki is also 30 and the foundering Twins need to find out if rookie Josmil Pinto is the long-term answer at catcher.

Around The League
-- Dodgers manager Don Mattingly has been trying to fit four starting outfielders into three spots for more than a year and the situation is ready to come to a head --- and become a potential distraction in the midst of a tight NL West race with the San Francisco Giants. Mattingly believes his best alignment is Andre Ethier in left field, Yasiel Puig in center fielder and Matt Kemp in right field. Nothing wrong with that on the surface. Beneath the surface, though, it is going to cause plenty of problems.

Kemp still believes he can be a Gold Glove center fielder and says if he has to play on a corner then he wants it to be left field. The gifted Puig would easily make the transition from right field to center field but he is a bone-breaking collision waiting to happen every time he chases a fly ball because of his propensity to not call off the other outfielders. Then there is the case of Carl Crawford winding up as a $20.25-million fourth outfielder. He won't be happy about that.

-- The Colorado Rockies are on their way to not only a fifth consecutive losing season but oblivion as they are 41-60, last in the NL West with this yeas NL batting leader (Troy Tulowitzki) and last year's NL batting champion (Michael Cuddyer) on the disabled list. That's only part of the Rockies' problems. Their unusual --- to be kind --- front office structure just doesn't work. General manager Dan O'Dowd is a figurehead while assistant GM Bill Geivett runs the major league operation.

Geivett is also the only executive in the big leagues with an office in his team's clubhouse, adjoining manager Walt Weiss' office at Coos Field. That is far too close for comfort for Weiss, who is chafing at the arrangement. Owner Dick Monfort has always been loyal to a fault to his employees and it's long past time for him to put sentimentality on the shelf and blow the operation up.

-- The Hall of Fame inductions ceremonies are this weekend in Cooperstown and a star-studded cast will receive baseball's ultimate honor -- Tom Glavine, Greg Maddux, Frank Thomas, Bobby Cox, Tony La Russa and Joe Torre. That is truly a six pack of greatness.
______________________________________

Jackpot In July Huge Discounted Offer
We're just a few days away from the start of the 2014 National Football League & NCAA College Football Season and things are coming together very nicely here at StatSystemsSports.net. Along with the NBA Playoffs and MLB, an abundance of hours were spent in May and June diligently working on the upcoming football run. A number of exciting parameters were added to our state of the art database and we’ve uncovered some exciting and highly profitable Situational Analysis. We'll use them all this year and win with them I guarantee you that.

If you haven't registered for our Full-Season Package for the 2014 (NFL & NCAACF) Football Season, you can do so right now at 570-828-4091, "Where The Winning Just Never Stops!" The current rate for football is $2199.00 a 50% saving for signing up today. For those of you that invest on basketball and baseball, you may want to consider our 2014-15 All Season Profit Pass. For an additional $1400, you'll get everything we release in all three sports from July 5th, 2014 to June 30th, 2015 for only $3599. That fee breaks down to less than $300.00 dollars per month and is a number I know you call can handle.

We've got four months left in the Major League Baseball season and we're looking at our 2014 MLB Game of the Year. Normally priced at $350, you can get everything we release on the diamond in July thru the 2014 World Series as an added bonus. While also having access to all our Top-Rated Selections daily by E-mail. July isn't wasting any time so get on board today once again @ 570-828-4091.

"You'll be real Glad you did” -Stan!
_____________________________

Betting Notes - Friday

National League
•Cardinals-Cubs - 4:05 PM
--Kelly is 2-1, 3.55 in five starts this season.
--Wood is 0-3, 9.72 in his last three starts.

--St Louis lost its last three games.
--Cubs lost seven of their last eight games.

--Eight of last ten games at Wrigley Field went over total.

•Diamondbacks-Phillies - 7:05 PM
--Miley is 3-0, 1.74 in his last three starts.
--Kendrick is 1-2, 9.92 in his last three starts.

--Arizona lost seven of its last ten road games.
--Phillies lost seven of their last nine games.

--Last four Kendrick starts went over the total.

•Nationals-Reds - 7:10 PM
--Roark is 6-2, 2.45 in his last eight starts.
--Simon is 2-1, 2.43 in his last five starts.

--Washington won six of its last eight games.
--Reds are off 0-6 road trip; they're 7-2 in last nine home games.

--Last six Washington road games went over the total.

•Padres-Braves - 7:35 PM
--Hahn is 5-1, 1.70 in his last six starts.
--Wood is 2-1, 2.87 in his last five starts.

--San Diego won four of its last five games.
--Braves won nine of their last thirteen home games.

--13 of last 17 San Diego road games stayed under.

•Mets-Brewers - 8:10 PM
--Wheeler is 1-0, 1.42 in his last four starts.
--Brewers lost last five Gallardo starts (0-1, 7.33 in last four).

--Mets lost 10 of their last 14 road games.
--Milwaukee won its last five home games.

--Four of Mets' last five road games stayed under.

•Pirates-Rockies - 8:40 PM
--Morton is 1-0, 2.77 in his last four starts.
--Anderson is 0-3, 5.33 in five starts this season.

--Pittsburgh won five of its last six games.
--Rockies lost seven of their last eight games.

--Five of last six Pittsburgh road games went over.

•Dodgers-Giants - 10:15 PM
--Greinke is 2-3, 4.05 in his last five starts.
--Lincecum is 4-1, 0.96 in his last five starts; he had a save Tuesday.

--Dodgers lost six of their last eight road games.
--Giants won six of their last eight games.

--Six of last eight Dodger games stayed under total.

American League
•Blue Jays-Yankees - 7:05 PM
--Buehrle is 0-5, 4.24 in his last eight starts.
--Kuroda is 0-0, 1.98 in his last couple starts.

--Blue Jays won five of last six games, but are 3-13 in last 16 road games.
--New York won seven of its last nine games.

--Under is 11-2-2 in last fifteen Yankees home games.

•Red Sox-Rays - 7:10 PM
--Boston won last seven Lester starts (4-0, 1.70).
--Price is 5-0, 1.13 in his last five starts.

--Boston won eight of its last twelve games.
--Tampa Bay won its last seven games.

--Six of last eight Boston road games went over total.

•Athletics-Rangers - 8:05 PM
--Hammel is 0-2, 10.29 in two starts for Oakland.
--Williams was 1-4, 6.04 in 26 relief stints for Houston this year; he is 43-51 in his MLB career, making 117 career starts (9-10, 4.57 in 25 starts LY).

--Oakland won five of its last seven games.
--Rangers lost 28 of their last 34 games.

--Six of last eight A's games went over the total.

•White Sox-Twins - 8:10 PM
--Danks is 2-1, 5.30 in his last six starts.
--Correia is 1-4, 4.03 in his last five starts.

--White Sox lost three of their last five games.
--Minnesota lost five of its last seven games.

--12 of last 16 White Sox games stayed under.

•Indians-Royals - 8:10 PM
--Tomlin is 0-2, 6.88 in his last three starts.
--Ventura is 1-3, 4.71 in his last five starts.

--Cleveland lost four of its last five games.
--Kansas City won its last three games.

--Five of last six Indian games stayed under total.

•Tigers-Angels - 10:05 PM
--Smyly is 3-4, 4.02 in his last seven starts.
--Skaggs is 1-4, 5.93 in his last seven starts.

--Detroit won four of its last five games.
--Angels lost three of their last four games.

--Seven of last ten Angel games stayed under total.

•Orioles-Mariners - 10:10 PM
--Gausman is 1-2, 5.59 in his last four starts.
--Hernandez is 3-0, 1.60 in his last six starts.

--Orioles won 11 of their last 16 road games.
--Seattle lost six of its last eight games.

--12 of last 14 Seattle home games stayed under.

Interleague
•Marlins-Astros - 8:10 PM
--Hand is 1-2, 5.34 in six starts this season.
--Keuchel is 1-3, 6.67 in his last five starts.

--Miami won four of its last five games.
--Astros lost five of last six home games.

--Over is 13-7 in last 20 Houston games.

•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Kelly 3-2; Wood 10-10
-- Miley 11-10; Kendrick 8-11
-- Roark 10-9; Simon 15-4
-- Hahn 5-2; Wood 5-7
-- Wheeler 8-12; Gallardo 9-11
-- Morton 10-10; Anderson 6-4
-- Greinke 11-9; Lincecum 13-7

-- Buehrle 14-6; Kuroda 9-11
-- Lester 13-7; Price 13-8
-- Hammel 10-7/0-2; Williams 0-0
-- Danks 9-11; Correia 6-14
-- Tomlin 5-8; Ventura 8-10
-- Smyly 6-10; Skaggs 9-6
-- Gausman 5-3; Hernandez 15-6

-- Hand 2-4; Keuchel 10-8

•Incredible Stat of the Day
Boston’s Jon Lester is a spot-less 7-0 with a 0.85 earned-run average during his last seven teams starts, and also 5-0 with a 0.75 ERA his last five team starts during July. Lester (10-7, 2.50) has had to endure ongoing trade rumors with the defending World Series champs at the bottom of the American League East following three straight losses in Toronto.

The left-hander allowed an earned run in three of his last four after surrendering four hits over eight innings in Sunday's 6-0 home win over Kansas City. Now Lester will make his first start since principal owner John Henry announced Wednesday that the club would table contract talks with him until the offseason. Lester has won his last three starts versus Tampa Bay, including Game #1 of last year's playoff series. In his only meeting this season, he allowed four hits with 12 strikeouts in seven innings of a 4-0 home win June 1.

Diamond Trends - Friday
•TEXAS is 13-2 (+14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TEXAS 5.3, OPPONENT 3.0.

•SAN DIEGO is 22-6 UNDER (+15.4 Units) versus a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 3.2, OPPONENT 2.8.

•MIAMI is 16-3 (+15.6 Units) against the run line versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 4.3, OPPONENT 3.2.

•ALFREDO SIMON is 14-0 (+15.2 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season.
The average score was SIMON 4.1, OPPONENT 1.8.

•HIROKI KURODA is 21-3 UNDER (+17.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KURODA 2.8, OPPONENT 3.4.

•WADE MILEY is 14-2 (+13.4 Units) against the run line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILEY 4.7, OPPONENT 2.2.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - team with a poor on base percentage (<=.320) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP<=1.300) - American League, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings.
(38-12 since 1997.) (76.0%, +37.5 units. Rating = 5*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +130.1
The average score in these games was: Team 4.5, Opponent 3.3 (Average run differential = +1.2)

The situation's record this season is: (2-1, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-3, +4.7 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-5, +20 units).

•Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (CINCINNATI) - bad offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA<=3.00) (National League), after a loss by 4 runs or more.
(52-15 since 1997.) (77.6%, +41.5 units. Rating = 5*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (46-21)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.6, money line price: +109
The average score in these games was: Team 4.5, Opponent 3.3 (Average run differential = +1.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 41 (61.2% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (4-1, +4 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-5, +22.8 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (33-7, +28.7 units).

•Play Under - Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (HOUSTON) - below average American League hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 5 starts.
(35-10 since 1997.) (77.8%, +24.4 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 9.1, Money Line=-106
The average score in these games was: Team 3.4, Opponent 4.1 (Total runs scored = 7.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 30 (63.8% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-1, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-4, +4.7 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-6, +12.4 units).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Friday

Washington / Cincy Under 7.5

Mets + 128

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

By now it’s clear Hondo arrived at the Sawx party too late, which he proved again with Thursday’s loss in Toronto that pushed the debt to an even-steven 1,500 hamiltons.

Friday night: Mr. Aitch will do the Hiroki-pokey with Kuroda and the Yanks, who no doubt will hand the Jays their 17th straight Stadium seback. Ten units.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Yankees on Thursday and likes the Yankees on Friday.

The deficit is 304 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play Braves -165 w/ Wood

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks Chicago at Atlanta Chicago heads to Atlanta tonight to face a Dream team that is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 Friday games. Atlanta is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-8 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.


FRIDAY, JULY 25
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 651-652: Tulsa at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 105.584; Washington 116.943
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 11 1/2; 165
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4 1/2; 160 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-4 1/2); Over


Game 653-654: Chicago at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 106.047; Atlanta 116.526
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 10 1/2; 155
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 8 1/2; 159 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-8 1/2); Under


Game 655-656: San Antonio at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 105.379; Minnesota 118.734
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 13 1/2; 166
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 8 1/2; 160
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-8 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's CFL Picks Winnipeg at BC The Lions host Winnipeg tonight and come into the contest with a 10-2 ATS record in their last 12 games overall. BC is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by 13 1/2. Dunkel Pick: BC (-7). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


FRIDAY, JULY 25
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (7/23)


Game 123-124: Winnipeg at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 106.958; BC 120.365
Dunkel Line: BC by 13 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: BC by 7; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (-7); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's CFL Picks Winnipeg at BC The Lions host Winnipeg tonight and come into the contest with a 10-2 ATS record in their last 12 games overall. BC is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by 13 1/2. Dunkel Pick: BC (-7). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


FRIDAY, JULY 25
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (7/23)


Game 123-124: Winnipeg at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 106.958; BC 120.365
Dunkel Line: BC by 13 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: BC by 7; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (-7); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | SAN ANTONIO at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 after allowing 80 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )

WNBA | SAN ANTONIO at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Home teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after scoring 90 points or more
26-10 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.2% | 0.0 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | CHICAGO at ATLANTA
Play Against - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (ATLANTA) in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (>=76 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 75 points or more in 3 straight games
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB betting cheat sheet: Lee a strong Over play


Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for the weekend's major league action:

Nine is Enough

The San Diego Padres (-123, O 7) erupted for a season-high nine runs in the sixth inning en route to a 13-3 thumping of the host Chicago Cubs on Thursday. The Padres have gone Over the total in back-to-back games for just the third time since the end of May.

Simon Sliding?

Cincinnati starter Alfredo Simon will look to bounce back from a rough first outing of the second half as he leads the Reds (-134) against the visiting Washington Nationals. Simon leads the majors in value (+$1,230) but was trounced 7-1 by the Yankees in his first start following the All-Star break.

Over-Lee Predictable

Philadelphia lefty Cliff Lee has been a strong Over play this season as he and the Phillies entertain the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday night. Lee, one of the stingiest hurlers in baseball over the past seven years, is 7-3-1 O/U and has five Overs in his last six outings.

Wainwright to Rebound?

Expect a strong effort from St. Louis Cardinals ace Adam Wainwright as he faces the host Cubs. Wainwright is coming off a loss to Tampa Bay last time out; the Cardinals have followed all four of their previous losses in Wainwright starts with victories in his next outing.

Pitching Notes

* Toronto left-hander Mark Buehrle has yet to figure out the New York Yankees. Buehrle, whose Blue Jays (+123, 8) visit the Bronx on Friday, is 1-11 with a 5.81 ERA in 18 career starts versus the Yankees.

* Baltimore right-hander Bud Norris looks to continue his red-hot run Saturday as the Orioles visit Seattle. Norris is 5-1 against the moneyline in his last six starts while putting together a five-game Under streak.

* Boston Red Sox righty Jake Peavy carries the worst value in the majors into Sunday's tilt against the Tampa Bay Rays. Peavy is at a dismal $-1,371 for the season, while the Red Sox have lost his last nine starts.

Hitting Notes

* Boston shortstop Xander Bogaerts is mired in a lengthy slump, batting just .157 since the end of may to see his average for the season dip to .237. Coincidentally, Bogaerts is a career .237 hitter against the Rays (-134, 6.5), who host Boston on Friday.

* It should come as no surprise that the San Francisco Giants have struggled versus Los Angeles Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw. Members of the Giants roster are hitting a combined .214 in 276 at-bats versus Kershaw, who takes the hill Saturday night.

* Yankees shortstop Derek Jeter may be a good bet to add to his Hall of Fame hit total Sunday against the Blue Jays. Jeter is a career 6-for-11 hitter against Toronto starter JA Happ, with a pair of home runs and three RBIs.

Totals Streak

Cincinnati Reds (0-4 O/U): The Reds enjoyed a much-needed day of rest Thursday after capping a winless six-game road trip with a 5-1 thumping at the hands of the Milwaukee Brewers. Cincinnati, which scored just 12 runs during the trek, is 45-53-3 O/U for the season.

Prop of the Day

Expect a closely contested affair in St. Petersburg between Boston's Jon Lester and fellow southpaw David Price. Bettors should look at either team to win by exactly one run, with the Red Sox valued at +500 to do so and Tampa Bay set at +325.

Injury Notes

* The New York Yankees may be forced to place first baseman Mark Teixeira on the 15-day disabled list with a lat injury. Teixeira has already missed 25 games this season, with the Yankees going 13-12 SU, 11-13-1 O/U and earning 154 units in those contests.

* Minnesota Twins hurler Phil Hughes survived a scare after taking a liner off his right shin Thursday against the Chicago White Sox. X-rays came back negative on Hughes, who left in the fourth inning but remains fourth in the majors in money earned so far in 2014 (+$818).


Weather Watch

* Wind at Wrigley Field will blow out to left field at 11 mph for Friday's game between the host Cubs and the Cardinals. Teams have combined to go 2-9 O/U over the previous three seasons with the wind blowing out to left.

* Philadelphia fans will be treated to wind blowing out to center field at 9 mph Saturday as the Phillies entertain the Arizona Diamondbacks. The home side won just seven of 20 games under similar wind conditions in 2013, with a 12-7-1 O/U.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 3 a.m. ET Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

'House of Horror'

The meeting between Toronto and New York Friday night is one that will give Toronto backers pause. The club has not only lost 13 of it's last 16 in unfriendly territory, the Blue Birds fly into what has become a house of horrors for Toronto. Swept here back in June, the Blue Jays are now on a 2-20 skid the past 22 trips into the Big Apple. What should really have Toronto backers sitting this one out or fading their favorite team are the numbers compiled by veteran Mark Buehrle against New York. The lefty will be up against the club that has given him the most trouble in his 15-year career. He is 1-11 in eighteen starts against New York with his teams 2-16 (Jays/Pale Hose) over the span including 1-5 wearing a Blue Jay uniform.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | ST LOUIS at CHICAGO CUBS
Play On - Any team (CHICAGO CUBS) with a team on base percentage .300 or worse on the season (NL), after allowing 12 runs or more
41-24 since 1997. ( 63.1% | 27.5 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | OAKLAND at TEXAS
OAKLAND is 115-59 (+57.6 Units) against the money line after 2 straight games without giving up a stolen base over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (5.1) , OPPONENT (3.8)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VIP PICKS
tennis
Youzhny - Haase
Tip: Youzhny -1.5 sets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE FACTSMAN

MLB Friday Video Pick
Arizona Diamondbacks ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* New York Yankees-130

50* Tampa Bay Rays -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

3 units Minnesota Twins -110

The Twins have struggled a bit post All-Star break and so have the Chicago White Sox, so something has to give tonight when they open up a three-game series in Minneapolis. The Sox will give the ball to John Danks, who was rocked for six runs and 10 hits the last time he faced these Twins on June 22nd. The Twins will counter tonight with Kevin Correia, who leads the American League with 12 losses. However, if you dig a little deeper, you will see that Correia has really given the Twins seven quality starts before his last outing, which was a loss to the Rays. Something to consider here in this spot...Danks has really struggled at Target Field, posting a 1-4 career mark with a 7.50 ERA. The Sox are 1-5 in Danks' last six road starts vs. teams with a losing record and an incredible 5-21 in Danks last 26 Friday starts! We really like the home team here tonight and think Correia gives the Twins another good outing.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FurysFightPicks


3* parlay at -128

Jorge Masvidal (-245) & Andrey Koreshkov (Bellator, -380)



2* parlay at -106

Dennis Bermudez (-155) & Anthony Johnson (-555)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

3 STAR SELECTION

(918) Tampa Bay Rays -$149

(Risking $447 to win $300) (Action)


2 STAR SELECTION

(912) Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-$143)

(Risking $286 to win $200) (Action)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond

Chase's 10* MLB ROAD WARRIOR

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies

10* Arizona Diamondbacks -121

This game features the 44-58 Arizona and the 44-58 Phillies. Although we backed the Phillies yesterday that was because of Cole Hamels. This team is a mess Ryan Howard is benched this team is going nowhere and is a really veteran group with not much motivation. They are just 20-32 at home and Arizona is 23-25 on the Road. Kyle Kendrick is in self destruct mode I'm surprised they are still sending him out there Wade Miley is a smart lefty and only 27 he is only getting better.6-6 with a 4.16 ERA. Arizona is 6-4 last 10 games and look for them to take this easy tonight. Take Arizona for a 10* winner

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marat Cranne

ATP Croatia

Robredo -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VIP PICKS

tennis

Youzhny - Haase

Tip: Youzhny -1.5 sets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

H&H Sports

3* Dodgers
2* Cardinals
2* Indians

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Nationals -120
Mariners(RL) -1.5(+120)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler

3* Cleveland/KC Over 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

3* Detroit/Angels Over 8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):

Free pick Friday and I remembered this time ;) ... have a good weekend guys, and lets kick it off with a few winners.

2 UNIT = St Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs - CARDINALS TO WIN (-142) *AFTERNOON GAME*
Listed Pitchers: Kelly vs Wood
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.41 units)

This afternoon the Cubbies will host the Cardinals for their 10th meeting of the season. So far the Cardinals hold a 5-4 edge in their meetings. St Louis is 54-47 on the year and 25-24 on the road, but enter today's game losers of three straight. They have won 4 of their last 8 overall though. The Cubs have lost 7 of their last 8 games and are sitting at 41-59 on the year and 21-24 at home. Joe Kelly will take the mound for St Louis and he is 2-1 with a 2.81 ERA, .265 BA and 1.30 WHIP over 5 starts this year. He was on the DL and had a rough first start back, but his latest start was 7 innings vs the Dodgers giving up just 4 hits and 1 earned run. Kelly loves playing against the Cubs as he has a career 2.19 ERA, .217 OBA and 1.03 WHIP vs Chicago. He gave up just 1 earned run vs them over 6 innings in his lone start against them this season. Travis Wood will be on the mound for Chicago and he is 7-9 on the season with a 5.12 ERA, .274 OBA and 1.53 WHIP. He pitches much better at home, but in four July starts he has a 7.97 ERA with batters hitting .349 against him. He has had one good and one poor outing vs St Louis this year, but his career ERA vs the Cardinals is 4.99 with a .290 OBA and 1.42 WHIP. Note that the Cardinals are 8-3 in their last 11 as a road favorite, 14-6 in Kelly's last 20 road starts and 8-3 in his last 11 starts as a favorite. The Cubs are just 3-13 in their last 16 games overall, 1-10 in their last 11 as an underdog, and 7-18 in Wood's last 25 starts as a home underdog. St Louis has won 10 of their last 14 meetings with Chicago and I expect another win this afternoon.

2 UNIT = San Diego Padres @ Atlanta Braves - UNDER 6.5 RUNS (+100)
Listed Pitchers: Hahn vs Wood
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)

Tonight's match up in Atlanta will feature two solid young pitchers. The Padres will have Jesse Hahn on the mound who is having a great start to his MLB career with a 5-2 record, 2.21 ERA, .185 OBA and 1.06 WHIP over his first 7 starts. In three road starts he is 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA, .129 OBA and 0.89 WHIP. The Braves will counter with lefty Alex Wood who is 7-7 on the year with a 3.24 ERA, .243 OBA and 1.16 WHIP. He has been even better at home with a 2.51 ERA, .223 OBA and 1.02 WHIP. Take note that the UNDER is 21-6-3 in the Padres last 30 road games vs a left handed starter, and 34-12-5 in their last 51 vs a left handed starter overall. The UNDER is also 35-16-1 in the Padres last 52 overall and 38-18-3 in their last 59 road games. The UNDER is 7-1 in the Braves last 8 games vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, 13-6-1 in Wood's last 20 starts overall and 5-2 in his last 7 starts as a favorite. These two teams haven't met this year yet but the the UNDER is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings and 21-5-2 in their last 28 meetings in Atlanta. Take the UNDER in what should be a low scoring ball game.

Kyle's Pick(s)

2 UNIT = Washington Nationals @ Cincinnati Reds - UNDER 7.5 RUNS (-105)
Listed Pitchers: Roark vs. Simon
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)

I didn't like the board yesterday, but I like a play today. Trying to build off the winner on Wednesday lets go after another to start the weekend off with.

Alfredo Simon figured to be a decent cog in the Reds' rotation this season after injuries have him a chance at the majors. He took the chance and parlayed it into an All-Star start to the season. He's been a bright spot, along with Cueto, in an otherwise disappointing year for the Reds. Not due to their own fault because injuries have ravaged them all over the place. They have now lost six straight games and 2-8 their last 10. The problem is accredited to their offense. Again it is the injuries here. The Reds are without Joey Votto, Brandon Philips, and Zack Cozart is questionable for tonight's game. Cozart isn't as important, but Votto and Philips is the meat of their offense. It certainly has showed, as the Reds have scored only 9 runs in their last five games, 1.8 runs per game. The UNDER went 5-1 their last six. Simon has been strong, though, entering Friday night with a 2.74 ERA, 2.37 in his last three starts. He hasn't allowed more than 2 runs in five starts. The last start he had it rough was when Simon gave up 5 to the Angels ten starts ago on May 27th. Consistency is really the name of the game for Simon, bringing a strong 1.05 WHIP and .276 OBP. Simon will be up against another up and comer, Tanner Roark. Roark has been hot as well, giving up just a run each in his last two starts. He went for a 2.57 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and .268 his last three starts. Note the 4.04 away ERA, but however, his WHIP is still low on the road at 1.08. The majority of the runs he's allowed away from home have been home runs, but the Reds have no pop in that lineup to take advantage of it. Also, Roark has allowed only 2 home runs in his past eight starts. His most recent road starts have been impressive: 0 ER Padres, 2 ER Giants, 4 ER Cubs, and 1 ER Phillies. 4 against the Cubs isn't impressive mind you, but that can be a difficult place to pitch when the weather conditions are right. I expect a strong start against a team that has no offense and has hit righties at just a .192 clip in the Reds last ten matchups. Both pitchers should keep the runs to a minimum, so the UNDER 7.5 looks good here.

Cheers,
Kevin
MLBPredictions

[golden contender]

T.G.I.F Total Domination MLB Card has the 18-1 A.L. East Total of the Year a Triple Perfect 5* Totals and a 90% totals as well as Perfect dog system. 4 Plays in all. Free MLB Play below.


On Friday the Free MLB Play is on the KC. Royals. Game 924 at 8:10 eastern. The Royals fit a nice system here that has cashed 9 of 10 times playing on home favorites with a total of 8 or less that won as a home favorite by 1 run at less than -140 last night and scored 2 or less runs on 5+ hits and had no errors, vs an opponent off a road dog loss and also scored 2 or less runs on 5+ hits . The Royals have won 3 of 4 at home off a 1 run home win if they scored 2 or less runs. Cleveland has lost 14 of 22 here in KC, including the last 3. KC has the pitching edge with Ventura who has been slid in 3 starts against Cleveland allowing just 3 earned runs in 21 innings. Ventura has a superb 1.29 era in his last 3 starts. Tomlin for the Tribe has hit the skids losing his last 3 starts with a 6.88 era. Look for KC To Take another from Cleveland. On Friday there are 3 Huge Totals up in MLB Action led by the A.L. East total of the Year from a Huge 18-1 System, there is a Triple Perfect Late Totals system and a 90% Early evening totals system and a Never lost Dog with Bite system. Jump on all 4 and start the weekend big with the Most Powerful data out there. For the free Play take. Kansas City. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Play Wins

* St Louis Cardinals -145 (Kelly)
* New York Yankees -135 (Kuroda)
* Detroit Tigers +115 (Smyly)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

8 Unit GOY
Houston Astros

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

SOCCER
PERRY’S SELECTIONS (July -13.25)
7/25
IRELAND – EIRCOM LEAGUE
2:45PM DROGHEDA UTD @ SHAMROCK ROVERS -285
BELGIUM – JUPILER LEAGUE
2:30PM ROYAL CHARLEROI SC @ STANDARD LIEGE – OVER 3 +110
DENMARK – SAS LIGAEN
12:30PM ODENSE BK @ FC VESTSJAELLAND – UNDER 2.5 -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

SELECTION
KANSAS CITY ROYALS/CLEVELAND INDIANS – OVER 8

(Ventura/Tomlin)
I hope you guys got to tune into last nights game. What a great pitchers duel it was. Both pitchers today have been struggling of late and I believe the lack of offense last night will show up early and often today. Cleveland does well against right handed pitching and Ventura will give them plenty of extra base runners with his recent control issues. Tomlin has been awful in his last 3 starts. Look for this one to sail over the total. Take the Over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
Baseball

3* Cardinals -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NEWSLETTER Major League Baseball Prediction From Allen Eastman

Take Pittsburgh (RL-1.5) over Colorado (8:40 p.m., Friday, July 25)
Let’s start off the weekend with a big winner here. Colorado is really struggling right now. Troy Tulowitzki and Justin Morneau are both on the disabled list. The Rockies are just 13-38 in their last 51 games and they are just 8-21 at home. Colorado has lost eight of its last nine games as a home underdog, and they are getting creamed. This team is done for the season. The Pirates are really starting to pick things up. They are getting back in the race in the N.L. Central and they won’t give this game away against a weak team. Brett Anderson takes the mound for Colorado. He has only pitched twice this year. He was really good against the Pirates last week on July 19 and only allowed one run in seven innings. I think Pittsburgh will have a lot more luck against him this second time. Charlie Morton gave up two runs in that same game against Anderson. But he has been a lot more consistent. Morton has posted six of eight quality starts. He’s been pretty good on the road. So I will put my money on the Pirates to win and win big. Play Pittsburgh.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NEWSLETTER Major League Baseball Prediction From Jason Sharpe

Take St. Louis (-125) over Chicago Cubs (4 p.m., Friday, July 25)
Right-hander Joe Kelly takes the hill here for the Cardinals. In his five previous starts this season for St, Louis he’s allowed just one or less runs in four of them. He’s backed here by a hot St. Louis squad who’ve fought their way back to near the top of the NL Central. The Cubs counter here with the left-hander Travis Wood in this one. Wood has been awful of late while also seeing his velocity having dropped lower and his strikeouts decrease as well. He posts an ugly ERA of nearly 8.00 in his last four starts. Take St. Louis here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels
Time: Friday 07/25 10:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Los Angeles -120 (moneyline) at BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/)

The Los Angeles Angels have finally hit their stride after under-achieving for the past two seasons. This game features the Tigers worst option on the mound in Drew Smyly, who has struggled to a 6-8 record on the season, and his only appearance this season against Los Angeles did not end well as he lasted just three innings and allowed four runs on six hits. The Tigers have not seen Tyler Skaggs, which generally favors the pitcher. Detroit has also fared poorly when Smyly takes to the mound on regular four days rest where they are 0-4 in his last four, as he appears to do better as a spot starter. The Angels have whipped up on this type of pitching as they are 36-15 in their last 51 against a starter with a WHIP of greater than 1.30. This has been a house of horrors over the years for Detroit as they are just 14-38 in their last 52 here. Make the play on Los Angeles.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NEWSLETTER Major League Baseball Prediction From Doc’s Sports

Take ‘Over’ 8.0 – Detroit at Los Angeles Angels (10 p.m., Friday, July 25)
Two of the American League’s offensive powerhouses hook up on Friday night in Anaheim as the Angels host the Tigers. There’s no question that both of these teams can hit, evidenced by their numbers this season and in the past. However, that’s not the main reason that we like this game to go Over the total. Neither Tyler Skaggs nor Drew Smyly is throwing the ball very well lately, and these are not the kinds of teams that you all of a sudden figure it out against. Skaggs has given up five runs and six runs, respectively in each of his last two outings. And neither was against a strong hitting team as he pitched against the Mariners and Rangers. For Smyly, he’s been in a funk recently as well. Over his last four starts, the left-hander has a robust 5.91 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. The Tigers also have a susceptible bullpen that may get some heavy work in this one. The Angels improved their bullpen significantly with some recent trades, but they still have some holes in middle relief. It’s hard to imagine a low-scoring affair in this one, so we’ll play Over the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee won on Thursday with the Braves -$145/Marlins and won with his lean on the Yankees -$190/Rangers.

For Friday in MLB in the American League "Mr Chalk" likes the Mariners -$172/Orioles.

Ben lee is 2-1 +$15 for week thirty nine 179-210-5 -$2655.

"Mr Chalk" is 55-37 -$77 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

(WNBA)

3 Units Take San Antonio (+8.5) over Minnesota (8 p.m., Friday, July 25)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Picks - Roxxyfish

Chicago Sky @Atlanta Dream

ATLANTA Dream -8.5

The Atlanta Dream come from a amazing gane at Minnesota which they lost in Double OT against the reigning champions 108-112 in a fantastic basketball game where Maya Moore scored 48 points,


tonight Atlanta will host the Chicago Sky who pulled a upset win at Indiana on Tuesday,against a Fever Team that I have seen never that bad , Indiana scored just 20 points in the first half, this was the first win for the Sky after a six game losing streak,Chicago is 3-7 the last 10 and 3-7 on the road,

Elena Delle Donne will be out for at least a week more and also Courtney Vandersloot will still be missed with a knee injury.without those two key players the Sky are not really competitive, and I cant see them come close tonight against The Dream who are still the bes team in the east and the only one with a positive record (15-7)

last time those two met at Atlanta was on July 13th and it was unexpected close at the end, the Dream could barely hold on to a 81-79 victory after already beeing up 12 in the 3rd, I am sure this will not happen this time,things have further changed since then,numbers for the Chicago Sky keep going down, especially on the offensive end where only Sylvia Fowles and a improved Alex Quigley are on top of their games,whilst numbers going down for first time All Star Jessica Breland and the rookie Tamira Faulkner, especially Faulkner struggled with her shooting the last games

The Atlanta Dream are very solid with Angel Mc Coughtry playing another great season great season and rookie sensation Shoni Shimmel further improving after her sensational record breaking All Star performance last saturday. I know 8.5 is a huge spread and in the last game here the spread had exactly the same number and it ended very close, i am sure today it will be a comfortable win for the dream

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bestbetpick

Josh Daniels - Yankees

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Picks - Roxxyfish

Hi guys some picks from different sports, my soccer picks were realy hot all week, will add WNBA and more soccer with late games later,plus a rare MLB game good luck guys

but lets start with a Rugby League pick from English Super League, St. Helens the hottest team on home soil should have NO problem to beat the Widnes Vikings today, I think the spread is set way too lowI see them winning by 4 converted trys at least

#Pick#1 Rugby League 3:00 PM EST

St. Helens -19.5 over Widnes Vikings -110 Best Bet


Fri 7/25 113 Widnes Vikings +19½ -110 +515 o58½ -110
3:00PM 114 St Helens -19½ -110 -730 u58½ -110

#Pick# 2 Soccer Romania 11:30 AM EST

Astra Giurgiu was the best team from Romania last year,we have the opening round of the newe season, I think it is a good bet to back the champions here in their opening match

Astra Giurgiu -1 goal over Concordia Chiajna -117

Romania Liga I
Fri 7/25 1901 Astra Giurgiu (ROM-1) -1 -117 -192 o2½ +105
11:30AM 1902 Concordia Chiajna (ROM-1) +1 +102 +673 u2½ -120
1903 Draw +322

#Pick#3

Soccer : UEFA U19 Championship 12PM EST

Israel U19 vs Hungary U19 OVER 2.5 goals -125

Hungary comes from a huge loss against the portugese youth team,and Israel played not that bad against Austria,both teams with weak defensive efforts, the OVER should be a decent bet here

UEFA U19 Championship
Fri 7/25 2651 Hungary U19 (UEFA-Cham) +114 o2½ -121 o2½,3 +105
12:00PM 2652 Israel U19 (UEFA-Cham) +264 u2½ +106 u2½,3 -120
2653 Draw +249

#Pick#4

Soccer UEFA U19 Championship 2:15PM EST

Serbia -1 goal over Bulgaria -125

Serbia with a great preformance against the German U19 Team a few days ago, if they can repeat this there should be no doubt tha they will beat the Bulgarians by more than 1

Fri 7/25 2657 Bulgaria U19 (UEFA-Cham) +1 +110 +627 o3 +125 o2½,3 -106
2:15PM 2658 Serbia U19 (UEFA-Cham) -1 -125 -200 u3 -140 u2½,3 -109
2659 Draw +347

#Pick#5

Soccer Czech Republic 12PM EST

Sparta Prague -1,-1.5 goals -122

We have the first round of the new season in the Czech Republic too, and I go also with the champions Sparta Prag here,they played not well in the Championsleague qualifier this week,but they didnt need to against a weak opponent, today they have to be clearly favored against city rivals Bohemians Prag

Czech Republic Gambrinus Liga
Fri 7/25 901 Sparta Prague (CZE-G) -1½ +105 -1,-1½ -122 -273 o2½ -113 o2½,3 +118
12:00PM 902 Bohemians 1905 (CZE-G) +1½ -120 +1,+1½ +107 +958 u2½ -102 u2½,3 -133
903 Draw +410

#Pick#6

WNBA 7:05 PM EST


Tulsa Shock OVER 78.5 Team Total

Tulsa still with a 81 point average, in the last meeting between those two teams at Tulsa it was a high scoring game,Tulsa is a team that can score 80 points in any game this season,and with Riquana Williams they have another sharp shooter back,I see them score over 80 easy again


WNBA Basketball

Spread

Money Line

Total Points

Team Total Points

Tulsa Shock at Washington Mystics
Fri 7/25 651 Tulsa Shock +4 -110 +160 o161 -110 o78½ -110 u78½ -110
7:05PM 652 Washington Mystics -4 -110 -185 u161 -110 o82½ -110
u82½ -110


#Pick#7

MLB 7:07 PM EST

Tampa Bay Rays -1 +104

Boston Red Sox have a 1-9 road record against lefties, cant see that change against Savid Price today

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
Fri 7/25 917 Boston Red Sox J Lester - L +1½ -185 +2½ -300 -1½ +205 -2½ +325 +1 -124 +133 Listed

7:10PM 918 Tampa Bay Rays D Price - L -1½ +160 -2½ +250 +1½ -245 +2½ -400 -1 +104 -143 Listed

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
Fri 7/25 917 Boston Red Sox J Lester - L +1½ -185 +2½ -300 -1½ +205 -2½ +325 +1 -124 +133 Listed o6½ +100 o6 -127 o7 +133 o5½ -152 o7½ +170
7:10PM 918 Tampa Bay Rays D Price - L -1½ +160 -2½ +250 +1½ -245 +2½ -400 -1 +104 -143 Listed u6½ -120 u6 +107 u7 -153 u5½ +132 u7½ -200

#Pick#8
CFL 10:05PM EST
BC Lions -9 +100

301 passing yards last weeks for BC Lions QB against the Alouttes,tonight against the leagues best offense,running back Andrew Harris with 150 last week, I see a clearly advantage tonight for the lions

Canadian Football

Spread

Money Line

Total Points

Team Total Points

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at British Columbia Lions
Fri 7/25 123 Winnipeg Blue Bombers +9 -120 +8 -110 +8½ -115 +9½ -125 +7½ -105 +320 o52 -110 o51½ -116 o52½ -104 o51 -125 o53 +102 o22 -110 u22 -110
10:05PM 124 British Columbia Lions -9 +100 -8 -110 -8½ -105 -9½ +105 -7½ -115 -390 u52 -110 u51½ -104 u52½ -116 u51 +105 u53 -122 o30 -110 u30 -110

#Pick#9


Soccer Paraguay 8:00PM EST


Nacional Asuncion vs Deprtivo Capiata OVER 2.5 goals -106


Deportivo Capiata is not a very confident road team, I have seen them several times meltdown last season,when this team fall behind early their opponents blow them out very often,really like the OVER here



Paraguay Division Profesional
Fri 7/25 1601 Deportivo Capiata (PAR) pk,+½ -126 +194 o2½ -106
8:00PM 1602 Nacional Asuncion (PAR) pk,-½ +106 +131 u2½ -114
1603 Draw +216

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Craig Davis
100 Dimes
Seattle RL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan
400 Tampa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JEFF CLEMENT

8* MILWAUKEE -144
7* LA ANGELS -121
10* SAN FRANCISCO +112

[Can'tPickAWinner]

moneymakers
seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Picks Portfolio

OAK Over 9.5 +105
MIN Under 9 -115
PIT Over 10 -125
DET Over 8.5 -125
SEA Under 6.5 -120
SF +114

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Aquino
Today's Selections


WNBA : shock/mystics over 161


CFL : BC -8
0-1 Thurs. Now 33-37-1 on the latest free trial.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mysystempicks

2.5* Brewers
2* Pirates
2* Seattle -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JEFF BENTON

50 DIMER

50 DIME winner going out for this Friday is the Pirates and Rockies to go Over the total with Morton and Anderson listed as your starters. At 9:30 am eastern time, the total for this game is 10 1/2 under, -110 both in Vegas and offshore. Keep in mind that both listed pitchers must start, or this is a NO PLAY.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Handicapper King

MLB
Rays

CFL
Winnipeg

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UNDER Umpire Streakers

#909 NYM/MIL UN7.5 -105 1u (S.Pt) Danley 3ov/14un L17gm 82.4%
#921 CWS/MIN UN9 -115 1u (S.Pt) Rackley 6ov/9un L15gm 60.0%
#925 DET/LAA UN8.5 -105 1u (S.Pt) Eddings 5ov/14un L19gms 73.7%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts
Sportingnews

It's pretty good stuff to be sitting here in late July with 12 of the 15 series this weekend having major importance on how the season will shape up. October hopes and dreams are still alive for several teams, and it will be fun to watch whether they make it happen or they falter down the stretch.

Look at Tampa Bay, sitting 7.5 games back in the AL East and given up for dead a month ago, now playing some of the best ball in the AL as they ride a seven-game win streak. They get the Red Sox on a three-game losing streak visiting tonight. Even though the Rays are playing great, they don't know whether they are buyers or sellers right now, which makes the pitching matchup between Jon Lester and David Price something like a claiming race.

The last time Price faced the Red Sox on May 30, he beaned David Ortiz, which helped incite a bench-clearing brawl later in the game. Price has been in a zone lately. The Rays have won his past five starts, and he hasn't allowed a run in three of his last four outings. Ortiz is not expected to play tonight. Price is a -139 favorite.

The AL East looks more vulnerable than ever, which is why the Rays might need a team to mortgage its future to deal Price. But Lester might be available for cheaper.

The division battle keeps raging with the Yankees and Blue Jays – who are tied for second, three games behind the Orioles – hooking up, both riding three-game win streaks. Baltimore is out west playing the Mariners, who have been struggling lately, but have Felix Hernandez on the mound tonight as a -190 favorite.

Chances look good for two of the contending teams, such as the Rays and Yankees, to pick up a game on Baltimore tonight. Price is rolling, but the better bet may be laying -130 with Hiroki Kuroda against Mark Buehrle. Kuroda is 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA in three home starts against Toronto, including beating Buehrle twice, but that isn't even the best part of this international rivalry.

The Yankees have won 16 straight home games against the Blue Jays. What might even be more remarkable is that Buehrle is 1-11 in 18 starts against the Yankees. His teams have lost all seven of his outings at the current Yankee Stadium. Needless to say, Toronto is carrying a lot of baggage in this one, and it's better to kick a team when it’s down than wager that they'll do something for the first time in ages.

Perhaps the most anticipated of this weekend’s series is the Dodgers at San Francisco for a three-game set. The Giants have won seven out of 10 against L.A. so far this season, but manager Don Mattingly is trying to make a statement this weekend, as his squad is 1.5 games behind in the NL West.

You may have been wondering why Dan Haren, with his penchant for serving up home runs, would get the first start after the All-Star break. The sole reason was so Mattingly could send his best to beat the hated Giants in this series. After Zack Greinke tonight, the Dodgers go with Clayton Kershaw tomorrow and then Hyun-jin Ryu, while the Giants are on the back end of their rotation.

With the intensity of the Yankees-Red Sox rivalry dwindling in their recent meetings, this NorCal/SoCal civil war is the best thing going in baseball. The two teams don't like each other, and the two groups of fans hate almost everything the other city represents. It's a beautiful thing to watch.

Yasiel Puig was hit on the hand Saturday and hasn't started in any game since, but he should be available tonight, especially since he feasts on Tim Lincecum pitching, going 5-for-10 against him in Puig's two seasons in the majors. Hanley Ramirez was hit twice on Sunday, the last one on his hand, and he's been out ever since and is not likely to play tonight.

Lincecum has learned to deal with losing some of the pace off his fastball and has a 4-1 record with a 0.96 ERA over his past five starts. He even collected his first career save in Tuesday's extra-inning game at Philadelphia.

The Dodgers have lost four of six on their current nine-game road trip, but are a -124 favorite behind Greinke tonight. Let's roll with the Dodgers in this one.

Friday's selections:

Yankees (Kuroda) -130 vs Blue Jays (7:05 p.m. ET)

Reds (Simon) +110 vs Nationals (7:10 p.m. ET)

Rays (Price) -135 vs Red Sox (7:10 p.m. ET)

Pirates (Morton) -119 at Rockies (8:40 p.m. ET)

Dodgers (Greinke) -124 at Giants (10:15 p.m. ET)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris James Sports

21-10 +52.6 Units L14 days

Cardinals -134
Mets +135
Marlins +117
Over Tigers 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miguel DaSilva

MLB

2* OVER Arizona
3* NYMets ML
2* Toronto ML
5* Pittsburgh ML
2* Detriot ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Handicapper King

MLB
Rays

CFL
Winnipeg

freeloader — LA Angels

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting 1st Look with Marco D’Angelo

Washington Nationals ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Johnny Banks - MLB
1000* St.L Cardinals
500* Arizona ML
500* Yankees ML
500* Tampa Bay ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Ed Meyer | MLB Money Line

dime bet – 912 COL (+112) vs 911 PIT

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BANKROLL SPORTS

2* Tampa Bay Rays -135 (MLB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas sports pick

cubs+114

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

CFL

Winnipeg @ B.C. LIONS

Winnipeg +8 -110 over B.C. LIONS

(Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)

Depending on where you shop, there are several different lines for this game. SportsInteraction has B.C. -9 +100, Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com) has them -8½ +102, Betfair (http://www.betfair.com) has them -7½ -125 and bet365 (http://www.bet365.com/) has them posted at -8 -110. When the sportsbooks aren’t all on the same page, it’s usually a good sign for the dog and in this case we’ll play Winnipeg at bet365 (http://www.bet365.com/) taking back 8 points. You might want to wait until game time because eight will be available all day until game time and if you wait, you may get a better price.

This number is actually a gross overreaction to last week in which B.C. woke up and throttled Montreal 41-5 while the Bombers were whacked at home, 26-3 by Edmonton. Had this game been scheduled last week instead of this week, the Lions would’ve likely been about a 4½-point favorite and we say that with conviction because B.C. opened as a 6½-point favorite in that game against a Montreal team that can’t move five yards. Surely the Bombers are superior to the Als, thus, if B.C. opened as a 6½-point favorite over Montreal, how can they open as an 8-point choice over the Bombers. We repeat, this number is an overreaction/under-reaction to last week’s results, which sets up this “buy-low, sell-high” opportunity. We could break down the numbers to support the Bombers as well.

Drew Willy has thrown for almost 200 more yards than Kevin Glenn and Willy’s passer rating is a significant 12 points higher. Glenn has also thrown six picks, which is double the total of Willy. Take away last week’s game against Montreal in which the Lions outgained the Als by almost 400 yards (373) and B.C. would rank in the bottom three in every single key offensive category. The Bombers have just one loss, it was an ugly one but they had been scoring an average of 36 points per game prior. No question the Lions are gaining steam and their defense is much better than the Bombers but we can’t endorse an inflated favorite. Furthermore, teams’ often bounce back from a lame performance and that applies here for the Bombers. Reports are that the Winnipeg had an outstanding week of practice and they’re mentally ready for this one. Winnipeg has also had two extra days to prepare. Lastly, every player in this day and age is very aware of the point-spread. One Winnipeg player even tweeted out that he was rather shocked at the disrespect. That’s another motivating factor for the Blue Bombers. An Inflated number with two extra days to prepare with the superior QB prompts us to take the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

N.Y. Mets @ MILWAUKEE

N.Y. Mets +126 over MILWAUKEE (1st 5 innings)

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.52)

Only Yovani Gallardo’s curve ball rates above-average by both grounders and whiffs. The sinker gets 55% grounders, so that’s good, but no whiffs (3.7%). The same goes for his four-seamer (45% and 3.4% respectively). The change gets ground balls (58%) but no whiffs (7.4%, 15% is average). That’s how a pitcher reworks his arsenal to work after losing his stuff and that’s precisely what has happened to Gallardo. This is basically a guy with one good pitch and at this level you need more for consistent success. Now that the league has caught up to the “new” Gallardo, trouble is brewing. Milwaukee has lost his last four starts in which Gallardo has allowed 34 hits in 23.1 innings. His swinging strike rate has decreased every month and is now at just 6% since the beginning of May. Over his last five starts, Gallardo has a WHIP of 1.47, an ERA of 5.33 and an alarming HR/F of 13%. Yovani Gallardo has become one of the most hittable pitchers in the game and even a mild rebound would only make him average.

Meanwhile, Zach Wheeler is coming on big time. He’s allowed just one run in each of his last four games while pitching into the seventh inning in three of them and six full in the other. That makes him a nice value play in five innings. Over his last 27 innings, Wheeler has struck out 25 batters and now has 112 K’s in 114 innings. His 94-mph four-seam fastball velocity is the sixth-highest among qualified NL SP. Wheeler does have a below average 1.36 WHIP but an unlucky 36% hit rate in the first two months is the reason for that elevated WHIP. With a 15% swing and miss rate and 54% groundball rate over his last five starts, Wheeler and the Mets are such a live pooch here in the first five innings and that’s the way we’ll play it.


Arizona @ PHILADELPHIA

Arizona -½ +104 overPHILADELPHIA (1st 5 innings)

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.08)

These two have identical records at 44-58 but the difference is that the D-Backs are playing well while the Phillies are not. Arizona has won five of its past eight games while the Phillies have two wins in their last nine. The Snakes also have a significant edge on the mound with Wade Miley against Kyle Kendrick. Miley has thrown five gems in his past eight starts. Overall, he’s struck out 125 batters while issuing just 39 walks in 134 innings. He also comes in with a 55% groundball rate and an 11% swing and miss rate since the beginning of June. Miley posted a 2.76 ERA over the past month and has done his best work on the road with a 2.85 ERA, compared to 5.45 at home. The Phillies'.689 OPS against LHP is in the middle of the league but they have hit poorly at home. They are averaging only 3.5 runs per game in Citizens Bank Park, where their .653 home OPS ranks 14th in the NL.

Kendrick has a 4.87 ERA and an xERA of 4.41. Over his last 31 innings covering five starts he has an ERA of 6.89. It's hard to find anything to get excited about in Kendrick's skills. He has improved control but in the process gave back much of his 2012-2013 strikeout rate improvement. Luck has turned against him (66% strand rate) after benefiting from somewhat lucky hit and strand rates the previous two seasons. Kendrick teased us with a couple of decent years and a nice uptick in strikeout rate in 2012. But there's not much upside in this skill set except that he can take the ball every fifth day. In the end, the weak strikeout numbers, middling xERA and his disaster risk all make Kendrick at best an innings eater.


Pittsburgh @ COLORADO

Pittsburgh -½ +109 over COLORADO (1st 5 innings)

Don’t expect lightning to strike twice here. Brett Anderson went into Pittsburgh last week and threw a seven-inning, four-hit, one-run gem against these Pirates. That’s nice but Anderson is a guy that is made of glass (he has spent the equivalent of two years on the disabled list since 2011) and rarely puts together back-to-back strong games. Anderson’s fast ball tops out at 89 MPH. He’s basically a two-pitch pitcher that relies heavily on a slider that sometimes works and sometimes does not. At Coors, he’s allowed 20 hits in 11 innings while walking six batters and striking out five. Anderson has a BAA of .392 at home to go along with a 6.55 ERA and it sure doesn’t help that he’s pitching for a team that has one win in their past eight games.

Charlie Morton is the Rodney Dangerfield of starting pitchers. When healthy he’s been electric for three years running but does not get nearly the same respect as other dominant starters. Morton’s 55% groundball rate has remained consistent throughout his entire career. Over his last five starts covering 33 innings, Morton has struck out 30 batters and walked nine. Last month, his huge surge in strikeouts was supported by his 12% swing and miss rate. Only Clayton Kershaw had a higher strikeout rate than Morton's 11 per nine among pitchers with a 50%+ groundball rate. Yeah, we said Clayton Kershaw. Invest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux Sports

MLB

10* Colorado Rockies

10* Cleveland Indians

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The official bets just continue to refuse to lose! Great work on the White Sox game yesterday as we power our ways to yet another big win! The official betting series are a perfect 17-0 so far this year, while the unofficial series are an astounding 26-1!
As a matter of fact, the system has been so astonishingly accurate that just the official {A} bets alone have won 14 out of 17 times!
Thanks for believing in me, and riding along in this incredible journey. Having you in on this brilliant winning adventure has been a gratefully satisfying experience I'll never forget. And as astonishing as our winning run has been, I'm convinced that our best days are still ahead!
The bets for today on July 25 are:
Tampa Bay {A} bet - Official bet
Colorado {A} bet - Unofficial bet (does not pass RPI filter)
All the best,
Tony the sports betting "Champ"

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Topshelfpicks

Carson K

S.D.* +150 At this price I'll take the Padres. I just think they are playing better baseball right now and are playing with confidence. 4-2 since the break. I also believe we get the better pitcher with Hahn. On the road this year, 3-0, 1.50era & .129oppBA.

Ariz RL* +120 I wish my Phillies were better this year but they aren't. I just think right now they are more concerned with who will be traded and who is staying. There's a reason they a dog at home vs. the D'backs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker

Friday Twitter Play #1: #926 Tigers/Angels UNDER 4.5 -105 1st 5 Innings...

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetime Insiders

2* Play

Cleveland and Kansas City Under 8

Tomlin vs Ventura tonight in KC. Tomlin is very underrated per our system and is fighting for his spot in the rotation. He is coming off a terrible performance but that was against the great hitting Tigers. The Royals are a completely different beast who are worse hitting at home and have been very poor hitting since the break. Tomlin is significantly better on the road with an ERA south of 3.5. Ventura is also coming off a terrible performance where he was torched for 6 runs against the Red Sox. The Indians are not the same team on the road and Ventura should be able to come on strong as he has down well against the Indians this season. We have two pitchers coming off bad performances who are going to want to prove themselves. We see this game not hitting 6 today in KC.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Watson

Cardinals
Rays
Padres
Astros
Yankees

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GUARANTEED SPORTS PICK

MLB play – UNDER 6.5 – Baltimore vs Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CORY KLUGE / Inside Vegas Sharp Info PLays

5 MLB Sharp Plays

Cubs +125 ML

Philly +127 ML

Cinncy +110 ML

Mets+132 ML

Colorado +117 ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Michaels

100 DIME MAX WAGER

Phillies-Diamondbacks

100 DIME Arizona Diamondbacks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

extra bonus system for today:

Los Angeles Dodgers -124 over the San Francisco Giants (Bet Level 2) (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 10:15 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Gomes | MLB Money Line
903 ARI (-125) Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437).com vs 904 PHI

MLB - 903 Arizona Diamondbacks @ 904 Philadelphia Phillies


(Starting Pitchers: W. Miley vs. K. Kendrick)

***FREE PREMIUM PLAY***



Wade Miley has been outstanding lately! His stats line in this month says it all: .194 BA / 2.20 FIP / 2.50 xFIP / 26.6% K% & 4.6% BB! Wow! Note that he has faced CHC, SF & ATL in his L3 starts and these 3 teams are pretty decent vs. LHP's this season by being ranked #5, #12 & #7, and still, Miley did pretty well against them! PHI offense is ranked just #23 and they are prone to be K'ed quite a lot (ranked #20 in the season w/ 21.1% K%), so I expect Miley to be decent tonight.

On the other end, K. Kendrick is clearly struggling and sooner or later, he will be demoted. He is coming from 3 consecutive awful starts and he will face an ARI offense that is batting pretty well in this second half of season: ranked #4 w/ .801 OPS! Note that despite facing two good SP's in R. Porcello and A. Sanchez, ARI has scored 5 runs in each contest.

We have a tremendous pitching edge for ARI in this contest, while we are catching them w/ "hot bats" right now.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 903 Arizona Diamondbacks ML (w/ W. Miley) @ -125 / 1.80 on Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437)