7-26-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: CFL Doubleheader

Ottawa Redblacks at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-7, 47.5)

Redblacks quarterback Henry Burris faces Hamilton for the first time since he was let go after two seasons with the Tiger-Cats. Zach Collaros, Burris’ replacement in Hamilton, remains out with a head injury suffered in Week 2, leaving the Tiger-Cats' offence in the hands of Jeremiah Masoli, who is completing 40 percent of his passes and has thrown two interceptions. Masoli might have his best chance yet for a good game against an Ottawa defence that allows a league-worst 287 passing yards per contest.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The line opened at the Ti-Cats -5 where it stayed for several days, but on Friday the line quickly moved to Hamilton -7. The total opened as 48 and has since only shifted down half a point to 47.5.

INJURY REPORT: Redblacks - DB Reggie Jones (Questionable) Tiger-Cats - DE Brandon Thurmond (Questionable)

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Redblacks are certainly in a bit of a letdown spot after winning their home opener over Toronto last week, but that's more than reflected in the line. Hamilton is in desperation mode still searching for its first win of the season but it's offense remains in a state of flux with Dan LeFevour getting the nod under centre. Leaning to taking the points in this spot." - Covers Expert Sean Murphy

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Big line move during week on Hamilton, going from -4.5 to -7.5. We've seen 79 percent of cash & 83 percent of bets on the Ti-Cats." - Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag (http://www.sportsbook.ag/)

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (1-2): Kicker Brett Maher scored all 18 points in the first win in Ottawa’s franchise history. Defensive back Jerrell Gavins is off to an impressive start in his first CFL season with 13 tackles, one sack and one interception. Running back Chevon Walker will also be facing his former team after spending his first two seasons with Hamilton.

ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (0-3): Wide receiver Andy Fantuz caught a team-leading seven passes for 59 yards in his season debut in Week 4. Running back C.J. Gable is off to a slow start with 121 combined yards, averaging just 3.4 yards per carry. Linebacker Simoni Lawrence leads the team with 16 tackles and has one sack.

TRENDS:

*Tiger-Cats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
*Under is 2-0 in Redblacks last 2 games.
*Under is 10-2 in Tiger-Cats last 12 games overall.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 56.9 percent of the Covers users are taking the Ti-Cats -5.5 with 52 percent on the Over.



Toronto Argonauts at Saskatchewan Roughriders (-7, 50.5)

The Saskatchewan Roughriders emerge from their bye week looking to snap a two-game losing skid when they host the Toronto Argonauts on Saturday. Toronto is mired in a two-game skid of its own and is 0-2 on the road as the team deals with injuries to key starters on offence. The Argonauts defeated Saskatchewan in Toronto in Week 2 and a Roughriders victory at home could help turn around a rocky start to their Grey Cup defending season.

Argonauts quarterback Ricky Ray leads the league with 1,280 passing yards but will be without his top target once again as slotback Chad Owens is expected to miss at least two more games with a foot injury. Saskatchewan quarterback Darian Durant is off to a sluggish start with a completion percentage of 55.3 for 622 yards, but his five touchdown passes are just one behind Ray. Toronto forced three turnovers in its victory over the Roughriders, including two of the Argonauts’ three interceptions.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The initial line saw the Roughriders -6, but bettors money has shifted the line to -7. The total opened at 49.5, but has jumped a full point to 50.5.

INJURY REPORT: Argos - SB Chad Owens (Out), LB Jonathan Hood (Questionable), SB Jason Barnes (Questionable) Roughriders - OL Corey Watman (Questionable)

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Toronto is injury-ravaged as it heads to Saskatchewan to challenge the Riders in Saturday. There's no question the Riders will be fired up coming off their bye week, and remembering the thumping they took at the hands of the Argos in Toronto earlier this season. Tough not to look the Riders way given Toronto's injury situation on offense but not a lot of value on the table here." - Covers Experts' Sean Murphy

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Saskatchewan has seen a slight move and has gone from -6 to -7. 60 percents of bets backing the Roughriders -7." - Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag (http://www.sportsbook.ag/).

ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (1-3): Slotback Andre Durie and wide receiver Jason Barnes are also on the injured list, leaving Ray with limited reliable passing options. Defensive back Jalil Carter leads the defence with 17 tackles and has three sacks. No Toronto player has rushed for more than 100 yards, with running back Curtis Steele posting a team-leading 97.

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (1-2): Saskatchewan added running back Will Ford to its practice roster Tuesday, one week after releasing running back Hugh Charles. Running back Anthony Allen should see another chance as a starter after recording 231 rushing yards over his first three CFL games. The Roughriders are tied for second in the league with 14 sacks despite only playing three games, with John Chick (four), Ricky Foley (three) and Tearrius George (three) leading the way.

TRENDS:

*Argonauts are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
*Under is 5-1 in Roughriders last 6 games following a ATS loss.
*Argonauts are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Saskatchewan.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 50.3 percent of the Covers bettors are taking the Argos +7 with 55 percent on the Over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROCHESTERTITANS

UFC

​kyle kingsbury +145 (5units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FurysFightPicks


4* parlay at -111

Josh Thomson (-225) & Robbie Lawler (-315)


3* parlay at -107

Tim Means (-230) & Bermudez/Guida over 2.5 rounds (-285)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB betting cheat sheet: Lee a strong Over play

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for the weekend's major league action:

Nine is Enough

The San Diego Padres (-123, O 7) erupted for a season-high nine runs in the sixth inning en route to a 13-3 thumping of the host Chicago Cubs on Thursday. The Padres have gone Over the total in back-to-back games for just the third time since the end of May.

Simon Sliding?

Cincinnati starter Alfredo Simon will look to bounce back from a rough first outing of the second half as he leads the Reds (-134) against the visiting Washington Nationals. Simon leads the majors in value (+$1,230) but was trounced 7-1 by the Yankees in his first start following the All-Star break.

Over-Lee Predictable

Philadelphia lefty Cliff Lee has been a strong Over play this season as he and the Phillies entertain the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday night. Lee, one of the stingiest hurlers in baseball over the past seven years, is 7-3-1 O/U and has five Overs in his last six outings.

Wainwright to Rebound?

Expect a strong effort from St. Louis Cardinals ace Adam Wainwright as he faces the host Cubs. Wainwright is coming off a loss to Tampa Bay last time out; the Cardinals have followed all four of their previous losses in Wainwright starts with victories in his next outing.

Pitching Notes

* Toronto left-hander Mark Buehrle has yet to figure out the New York Yankees. Buehrle, whose Blue Jays (+123, 8) visit the Bronx on Friday, is 1-11 with a 5.81 ERA in 18 career starts versus the Yankees.

* Baltimore right-hander Bud Norris looks to continue his red-hot run Saturday as the Orioles visit Seattle. Norris is 5-1 against the moneyline in his last six starts while putting together a five-game Under streak.

* Boston Red Sox righty Jake Peavy carries the worst value in the majors into Sunday's tilt against the Tampa Bay Rays. Peavy is at a dismal $-1,371 for the season, while the Red Sox have lost his last nine starts.

Hitting Notes

* Boston shortstop Xander Bogaerts is mired in a lengthy slump, batting just .157 since the end of may to see his average for the season dip to .237. Coincidentally, Bogaerts is a career .237 hitter against the Rays (-134, 6.5), who host Boston on Friday.

* It should come as no surprise that the San Francisco Giants have struggled versus Los Angeles Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw. Members of the Giants roster are hitting a combined .214 in 276 at-bats versus Kershaw, who takes the hill Saturday night.

* Yankees shortstop Derek Jeter may be a good bet to add to his Hall of Fame hit total Sunday against the Blue Jays. Jeter is a career 6-for-11 hitter against Toronto starter JA Happ, with a pair of home runs and three RBIs.

Totals Streak

Cincinnati Reds (0-4 O/U): The Reds enjoyed a much-needed day of rest Thursday after capping a winless six-game road trip with a 5-1 thumping at the hands of the Milwaukee Brewers. Cincinnati, which scored just 12 runs during the trek, is 45-53-3 O/U for the season.

Prop of the Day

Expect a closely contested affair in St. Petersburg between Boston's Jon Lester and fellow southpaw David Price. Bettors should look at either team to win by exactly one run, with the Red Sox valued at +500 to do so and Tampa Bay set at +325.

Injury Notes

* The New York Yankees may be forced to place first baseman Mark Teixeira on the 15-day disabled list with a lat injury. Teixeira has already missed 25 games this season, with the Yankees going 13-12 SU, 11-13-1 O/U and earning 154 units in those contests.

* Minnesota Twins hurler Phil Hughes survived a scare after taking a liner off his right shin Thursday against the Chicago White Sox. X-rays came back negative on Hughes, who left in the fourth inning but remains fourth in the majors in money earned so far in 2014 (+$818).

Weather Watch

* Wind at Wrigley Field will blow out to left field at 11 mph for Friday's game between the host Cubs and the Cardinals. Teams have combined to go 2-9 O/U over the previous three seasons with the wind blowing out to left.

* Philadelphia fans will be treated to wind blowing out to center field at 9 mph Saturday as the Phillies entertain the Arizona Diamondbacks. The home side won just seven of 20 games under similar wind conditions in 2013, with a 12-7-1 O/U.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 3 a.m. ET Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dominant road pitcher takes to visting mound again
Justin Hartling

The Oakland Athletics will be sending one of the top road pitchers to the mound in Sonny Gray Saturday. Gray has led the A's to a stellar 8-2 record in his past 10 starts on the road.

Gray has only given up 16 runs during those 10 starts and has allowed less than two runs 50 percent of the time.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

White Sox ace dominant against Twins

Justin Hartling

Chris Sale takes to the mound Saturday against a team in which he has had extended success. The Chicago White Sox have gone 5-1 in Sale's last six starts against the Minnesota Twins.

Sale has only given up two runs per game on average against the Twins. Not only has Sal kept the runs down, but he has recorded more strikeouts than he has allowed hits (31 hits vs. 37 K's).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Slumping Cardinals turn to weak option
Justin Hartling

The St. Louis Cardinals went into the All-Star break on a three-game losing streak and will look to rebound when they send Shelby Miller to the mound. Unfortunately, The Cardinals have dropped the last five games that Miller started.

Those past five starts has seen miller give up an average of five runs per game with a mere 13 strikeouts total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lee keeping the streak alive versus Diamondbacks
Justin Hartling

Cliff Lee may be a trade commodity whose stock is about to go up. In Lee's last four appearances against the Arizona Diamondbacks, his Philadelphia Phillies are a perfect 4-0.

Lee has only allowed 11 runs in those four outings (2.75 per game).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rockies pitcher not inspiring confidence
Justin Hartling

The Colorado Rockies will send Tyler Matzek to the mound Saturday. This statement should worry Rockies' supporters as the team has lost Matzek's last seven starts.

Matzek has allowed opposing teams to tee-off on him with five of those seven games seeing the opposing team amass at least seven hits.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SATURDAY, JULY 26th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Saturday, 7/26/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #17
•Soria A Strong Addition To Detroit Bullpen: Dave Dombrowski's latest trade also felt like one of his most predictable. There was simply no way the Detroit general manager was going to sit idly by without addressing his team's bullpen. "We've been working on trying to find someone in the bullpen for an extended period," Dombrowski said. "It's something we've been focused on for a while. For the month of July, at least." The Tigers added one of the game's better relievers in a trade earlier this week, acquiring Joakim Soria from Texas, but that may only be the beginning of a significant overhaul in the way Detroit approaches the late innings.

Manager Brad Ausmus stuck with his usual routine in Thursday night's win over the Los Angeles Angels, using Joba Chamberlain in the eighth and Joe Nathan in the ninth. But with Soria in the fold, Ausmus now has more options. Detroit's bullpen woes are nothing new. The Tigers finally gave up on Jose Valverde as their closer last year, letting Joaquin Benoit handle that role instead. Benoit pitched well, but the grand slam he allowed to Boston's David Ortiz was perhaps the defining moment of baseball's entire postseason in 2013.

Benoit left via free agency, and Detroit signed Nathan, who was coming off a sparkling season with the Rangers. The 39-year-old right-hander has slipped badly this year. Even after striking out the side to close out a 6-4 win Thursday, his ERA was an unsightly 5.73. Nathan has shown mild signs of improvement, posting a 3.68 ERA in his last 15 appearances, striking out 21 in 14 2-3 innings in that span. But statistically, Soria has been better this year than any of Detroit's current relievers - and the Tigers gave up a couple promising young arms to get him. Ausmus says he's keeping Nathan and Chamberlain in their usual roles for now - but Soria's presence means the Detroit manager doesn't have to be overly patient with anyone.

•Yanks Put Capuano On Big League Roster: Left-hander Chris Capuano has been put on the New York Yankees' major league roster, a day after he was acquired from the Colorado Rockies. Capuano will start Saturday against Toronto, with Shane Greene pushed back to Sunday. New York designated right-hander Chris Leroux for assignment Friday to clear a roster spot. The 35-year-old Capuano was 1-1 with a 4.55 ERA in 28 relief appearances for Boston, which released him July 1. He had four starts at Triple-A and Double-A for the Rockies. Capuano, a 2006 NL All-Star, pitched with Arizona, Milwaukee, the New York Mets, the Los Angeles Dodgers and Boston in parts of 10 major league seasons. Earlier this month, the Yankees obtained pitcher Brandon McCarthy from Arizona and third baseman Chase Headley from San Diego.

•Williams Becomes 31st Rangers Pitcher: Veteran right-hander Jerome Williams is the next on the mound for the Texas Rangers. The Rangers purchased Williams' contract from Triple-A Round Rock on Friday to start the opener of a series against American League West-leading Oakland. Williams was set to be the 52nd different player, and 31st pitcher, used by Texas this season. He was signed by the Rangers two weeks after being released by Houston. To make room on the 25-man roster, outfielder Jake Smolinski was put on the disabled list a bone bruise in his left foot. Left-hander Justin Marks was released to clear a 40-man spot. He was on the disabled list at Round Rock.

Williams starts in place of Nick Tepesch, who got an extra day of rest after having to pitch in the Rangers' 14-inning loss at the New York Yankees on Tuesday night. Tepesch starts Saturday against the Athletics. The 32-year-old Williams is 43-51 with a 4.45 ERA in 181 major league games since 2003 for San Francisco, the Chicago Cubs, Washington, Los Angeles Angels and Houston. Williams was released by the Astros earlier month after going 1-4 with a 6.04 ERA in 26 relief appearances. He was 0-1 with a 6.10 ERA in two starts at Round Rock. Smolinski was hitting .389 with three doubles and five RBIs in 11 games since getting called up from Round Rock on July 7. He had started 10 games in a row before fouling a pitch off the inside of his foot in a game Monday night at the New York Yankees.

•Uggla Joins Giants: The San Francisco Giants didn't waste much time calling up Dan Uggla. After signing the former Atlanta Braves second baseman to a minor league contract this week, Uggla was summoned from Triple-A Fresno to San Francisco on Friday along with utility infielder Tony Abreu. The Giants placed Marco Scutaro and Ehire Adrianza on the 15-day disabled list with back and hamstring injuries and designated infielder Nick Noonan and pitcher Jose De Paula for assignment.

A rash of injuries prompted the Giants to make the move with Uggla. They had planned to give him an extended look in the minors but instead was batting seventh in the Giants' order Friday night against the Los Angeles Dodgers. In two Triple-A games with Fresno, Uggla was 2-for-7 with a double and two walks. Before the Braves released the 34-year-old Uggla, he played in 48 games this season and batted .161 with two home runs. He also struggled last year, hitting .179 with 22 homers in 136 games.

Twins To Bring Up Darnell To Start Saturday: The Minnesota Twins plan to bring up left-hander Logan Darnell from Triple-A Rochester to start Saturday against the Chicago White Sox in place of ailing Kyle Gibson. Gibson played long toss from 120 feet and threw in the bullpen Friday. He'll try to start Tuesday in Kansas City. The right-hander originally was scheduled to pitch Wednesday against Cleveland but was scratched the day before due to lower back stiffness. Gibson is 8-8 with a 4.19 ERA in 19 starts.

Darnell, who was 5-5 with a 3.43 ERA for Rochester, will be making his first major league start. A corresponding roster move will be made after Friday's game. Gibson isn't the only Twins pitcher dealing with an injury. Phil Hughes left Thursday's start after taking a line drive off his shin. He felt better Friday and expects to make his next start. Kohl Stewart, the No. 4 overall pick in last year's draft, went on the seven-day disabled list Friday at Class A Cedar Rapids with a sore shoulder, but general manager Terry Ryan said he didn't think it was too serious.
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Betting Notes - Saturday

National League
•Cardinals-Cubs - 4:05 PM
--Cardinals lost last five Miller starts (0-3, 7.40).
--Arrieta is 4-1, 1.64 in his last eight starts.

--St Louis lost its last four games.
--Cubs lost seven of their last nine games.

--Nine of last eleven games at Wrigley Field went over total.

•Nationals-Reds - 4:05 PM
--Gonzalez is 2-0 with a 1.00 ERA in four starts against the Reds.
--Cueto is 5-3 with a 4.58 ERA in nine starts against Washington.

--Washington won seven of its last nine games.
--Reds lost their last seven games.

--Six of last seven Washington road games went over the total.

•Diamondbacks-Phillies - 7:05 PM
--Collmenter is 3-1, 2.67 in his last five starts.
--Lee is 1-3, 6.31 in his last four starts.

--Arizona lost eight of its last eleven road games.
--Phillies lost seven of their last ten games.

--Nine of last eleven Collmenter starts stayed under the total.

•Padres-Braves - 7:10 PM
--Despaigne is 2-1, 1.31 ERA and is coming off the best start of his young career Sunday.
--Teheran owns a 3-1 mark and 1.23 ERA in 10 starts this season at home.

--San Diego won five of its last six games.
--Braves lost four of their last five games.

--Under is 13-4-1 in last eighteen San Diego road games.

•Mets-Brewers - 7:10 PM
--Niese is 2-2, 5.92 in his last five starts.
--Peralta is 7-1, 5.89 in his last ten starts.

--Mets lost 10 of their last 15 road games.
--Milwaukee won five of its last six home games.

--Five of Mets' last six road games stayed under.

•Pirates-Rockies - 8:10 PM
--Locke is 2-0, 3.06 in his last seven starts.
--Colorado lost last seven Matzek starts (0-4, 5.31).

--Pittsburgh won five of its last seven games.
--Rockies lost seven of their last nine games.

--Five of last seven Pittsburgh road games went over.

•Dodgers-Giants - 9:05 PM
--Kershaw is 8-0, 1.06 in his last nine starts.
--Vogelsong is 0-4, 3.90 in his last five starts.

--Dodgers lost six of their last nine road games.
--Giants won six of their last nine games overall.

--Six of last nine Dodger games stayed under total.

American League
•Blue Jays-Yankees - 1:05 PM
--Hutchison is 1-5, 6.97 in his last six starts.
--Capuano is pitching for third team this season (1-1, 4.55 in 28 relief stints); he is 74-84 in his career, in 209 starts, all in the NL.

--Blue Jays won five of last seven games, but are 3-14 in last 17 road games.
--New York won eight of its last ten games.

--Under is 11-3-2 in last sixteen Yankees home games.

•Orioles-Mariners - 4:10 PM
--Norris is 5-1, 3.57 in his last six starts.
--Young is 0-2, 3.79 in his last three starts.

--Orioles won 12 of their last 17 road games.
--Seattle lost six of its last nine games.

--13 of last 15 Seattle home games stayed under.

•Red Sox-Rays - 7:10 PM
--Lackey is 2-0, 2.08 in his last couple starts.
--Hellickson allowed one run in 4.1 IP (84 PT) in his first '14 start.

--Red Sox lost their last four games.
--Tampa Bay won its last eight games.

--Seven of last nine Boston road games went over total.

•Indians-Royals - 7:10 PM
--McAllister is 1-5, 7.75 in his last eight starts.
--Guthrie is 0-3, 8.66 in his last four starts.

--Cleveland lost five of its last six games.
--Kansas City won its last four games.

--Five of last seven Indian games stayed under total.

•White Sox-Twins - 7:10 PM
--Sale is 4-0, 2.11 in his last six starts.
--Darnell is making first MLB start; he is 5-5, 3.43 in 17 AAA starts this year- he's thrown three scoreless innings in the majors.

--White Sox won three of their last four road games.
--Minnesota lost six of its last eight games.

--12 of last 17 White Sox games stayed under.

•Athletics-Rangers - 8:05 PM
--Gray is 4-0, 1.59 in his last four starts.
--Tepesch is 0-2, 7.71 in his last three starts.

--Oakland lost seven of its last nine road games.
--Rangers lost 28 of their last 35 games overall.

--Six of last nine A's games went over the total.

•Tigers-Angels - 9:05 PM
--Verlander is 3-1, 5.04 in his last four starts.
--Shoemaker is 1-2, 8.04 in his last three starts.

--Detroit won four of its last six games.
--Angels won nine of their last fourteen games.

--Eight of last eleven Angel games stayed under total.

Interleague
•Marlins-Astros - 7:10 PM
--Koehler is winless in his last three starts, but has surrendered only four runs over 13 innings.
--Cosart (9-6, 4.23) is 5-1 in his last seven starts.

--Miami won four of its last five games.
--Astros lost five of last six home games.

--Over is 13-7 in last 20 Houston games.

•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Miller 8-11; Arrieta 9-5
-- Gonzalez 10-5; Cueto 12-9
-- Collmenter 11-6; Lee 15-6
-- Despaigne 3-2; Teheran 13-8
-- Niese 10-8; Peralta 11-8
-- Locke 6-3; Matzek 1-7
-- Kershaw 12-3; Vogelsong 11-9

-- Hutchison 9-11; Capuano 0-0
-- Norris 10-6; Young 10-8
-- Lackey 12-8; Hellickson 1-0
-- McAllister 6-6; Guthrie 10-10
-- Sele 10-5; Darnell 0-0
-- Gray 14-6; Tepesch 4-7
-- Verlander 12-8; Shoemaker 7-3

-- Koehler 9-11; Cosart 11-8

•Umpires Trends
-- StL-Chi-- Three of last four Wegner games stayed under.
-- Wsh-Cin-- 11 of last 14 Nelson games stayed under total.
-- Az-Phil-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Wolcott games.
-- SD-Atl-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Nauert games.
-- NY-Mil-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Ripperger games.
-- Pitt-Col-- Five of last six Cooper games stayed under.
-- LA-SF-- Five of last seven Hamari games went over.

-- Tor-NY-- Under is 13-4-1 in last eighteen Porter games.
-- Blt-Sea-- Underdogs won six of last nine Culbreth games.
-- Bos-TB-- Five of last seven Fairchild games stayed under.
-- Cle-KC-- Five of last six Meals games went over total.
-- Chi-Minn-- Favorites won last four Gorman games.
-- A's-Tex-- Four of last five Reyburn games went over.
-- Det-LAA-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Blaser games.

-- Mia-Hst-- Seven of last ten Hoberg games went over.

•Incredible Stat of the Day
Dodgers Ace Clayton Kershaw is a spotless 11-0 against the money line in road games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs per game in the second half of the season over the last three seasons. The two-time Cy Young winner owns baseball's lowest ERA and is 8-0 with a 1.06 mark and 88 strikeouts in 68 innings over his last nine outings.

Another victory would give the left-hander the longest winning streak for Los Angeles since Kevin Brown won nine straight decisions over a 10-game stretch from April 29-June 17, 2003. Kershaw, though, didn't perform up to his lofty standards while not figuring in the decision of a 4-3 win at St. Louis on Sunday. He battled through 109 pitches in seven innings, allowing three runs with eight strikeouts.

Diamond Trends - Saturday
•MINNESOTA is 6-26 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in home games versus an American League team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 3.3, OPPONENT 6.2.

•LA ANGELS are 14-2 OVER (+12.2 Units) versus a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA ANGELS 6.1, OPPONENT 5.9.

•BALTIMORE is 17-3 (+14.8 Units) against the run line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was BALTIMORE 4.5, OPPONENT 3.3.

•RYAN VOGELSONG is 18-5 (+15.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VOGELSONG 4.7, OPPONENT 3.1.

•CHRIS YOUNG is 12-2 UNDER (+10.2 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season.
The average score was YOUNG 2.9, OPPONENT 2.7.

•JUSTIN VERLANDER is 9-23 (-15.8 Units) against the run line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VERLANDER 4.1, OPPONENT 4.2.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CLEVELAND) - team with a poor on base percentage (<=.320) against a good starting pitcher (WHIP=1.300 to 1.350) - American League, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start.
(35-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.3%, +32.8 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +142.3
The average score in these games was: Team 4.8, Opponent 3.3 (Average run differential = +1.5)

The situation's record this season is: (4-2, +4 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-12, +24.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (54-48, +27.3 units).

•Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (National League), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 5 starts.
(65-26 since 1997.) (71.4%, +41.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (56-35)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.3, money line price: +104
The average score in these games was: Team 5.4, Opponent 3.8 (Average run differential = +1.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 51 (56% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-4, -1.3 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-6, -0.1 units).

•Play Over - Home teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (NY YANKEES) - terrible offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) - American League, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games.
(53-22 since 1997.) (70.7%, +29.3 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 8.3, Money Line=-107.7
The average score in these games was: Team 5, Opponent 5.5 (Total runs scored = 10.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 44 (59.5% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (5-6, -1.3 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-13, +5.1 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (35-16, +17.8 units).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Yankees on Friday and likes the Yankees on Saturday.

The deficit is 254 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Kuroda and the Yanks came to Hondo’s rescue last night, rallying wonderfully to continue their Stadium domination of the Jays and reduce the deficit to 1,450 kluszewskis.

Saturday: Mr. Aitch sees no need to network with Nat Gio, but he expects Cueto to put on a good show — 10 units on the Reds. Also, 10 on Despaigne to show the Braves who their Padres are.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Saturday

Washington / Cincy Under 7

Cubs -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play White Sox w/Sale -160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB PicksSan Diego at AtlantaThe Padres look to follow up last night's 5-2 win in the opener and come into tonight's contest with a 7-1 record in their last 8 games versus the Braves. San Diego is the pick (+155) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+155). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


SATURDAY, JULY 26
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Miller) 16.011; Cubs (Arrieta) 14.368
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-125); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+105); N/A


Game 952-954: Washington at Cincinnati (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 15.615; Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.750
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+105); Under


Game 955-956 Arizona at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Collmenter) 16.244; Philadelphia (Lee) 14.774
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+130); Over


Game 957-958: San Diego at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Despaigne) 14.992; Atlanta (Teheran) 14.093
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-175); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+155); Under


Game 959-960: NY Mets at Milwaukee (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 15.776; Milwaukee (Peralta) 14.664
Dunkel Line: NY Mets 1; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+145); Over


Game 961-962: Pittsburgh at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Locke) 14.577; Colorado (Matzek) 15.961
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-150); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+130); Over


Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at San Francisco (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.337; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 13.785
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers 2 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-180); 6
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-180); Under


Game 965-966: Toronto at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Hutchison) 14.946; NY Yankees (Capuano) 16.397
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-140); Under


Game 967-968: Baltimore at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Norris) 15.385; Seattle (Young) 13.935
Dunkel Line: Baltimore 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-115); Under


Game 969-970: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 15.262; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 17.404
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-125); Over


Game 971-972: Cleveland at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (McAllister) 13.546; Kansas City (Guthrie) 15.159
Dunkel Line: Kansas City 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-130); Under


Game 973-974: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 16.752; Minnesota (Darnell) 13.436
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 3 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-170); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-170); Under


Game 975-976: Oakland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gray) 16.921; Texas (Tepesch) 14.497
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Oakland (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-180); Over


Game 977-978: Detroit at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.818; LA Angels (Shoemaker) 15.471
Dunkel Line: Detroit 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-115); Over


Game 929-930: Miami at Houston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 15.268; Houston (Cosart) 13.536
Dunkel Line: Miami 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Houston (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+105); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
SATURDAY, JULY 26TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________

#951 ST LOUIS @ #952 CHICAGO CUBS - 4:05 PM
•Cardinals RH Shelby Miller (7-8, 4.25 ERA, WHIP: 1.482) - Miller came out of the bullpen to throw a scoreless frame on Sunday after the Cardinals opted to temporarily bump him from the rotation to give him some rest. The 23-year-old, who is fourth in the majors with 55 walks and 0-3 with a 6.03 ERA over his last six starts, was tagged for four runs over five innings in his last turn on July 10 in a 9-1 loss to the Pirates. Miller has yet to surrender a run to the Cubs in two career appearances (one start) spanning 5 2/3 innings.

--KEY STAT: MILLER is 0-8 against the run line (-9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 2.6, OPPONENT 5.0.

--MILLER is 1-10 against the run line (-11.1 Units) in road games versus an National League team with they batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 2.6, OPPONENT 4.9.

•Cubs RH Jake Arrieta (5-2, 2.12 ERA, WHIP: 1.012) - Despite being weak from a three-day battle with the stomach flu in Sunday’s 3-2 setback against the Arizona Diamondbacks, Arrieta managed to strike out eight over 6 2/3 innings, only to suffer his first loss since May 27. The Missouri native yielded three runs on four hits and three walks for the second consecutive outing and has limited opponents to three runs or fewer in nine straight turns. Arrieta has been masterful in his career versus the Cardinals, posting a 1-0 record and 0.55 ERA in three all-time starts.

--KEY STAT: ARRIETA is 13-5 (+10.0 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ARRIETA 3.8, OPPONENT 2.6.

--ARRIETA is 7-1 (+7.6 Units) against the money line versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was ARRIETA 3.5, OPPONENT 1.5.

#953 WASHINGTON @ #954 CINCINNATI - 4:05 PM
•Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (6-5, 3.74 ERA, WHIP: 1.246) - Gonzalez received a no-decision after he allowed three runs and four hits while walking three in 3 1/3 innings in Washington's 5-4 victory over Milwaukee on Sunday after his start was pushed back a day because of travel problems returning from the All-Star break. ''Nine days off. It didn't help missing bullpen (session) and doing all that (work),'' the 28-year-old Florida native told reporters. ''Obviously my command and fastball location wasn't where I wanted it to be.'' Gonzalez is 2-0 with a 1.00 ERA in four starts against the Reds, striking out 32 in 27 innings while allowing only one homer.

--KEY STAT: GONZALEZ is 25-6 (+17.7 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 5.1, OPPONENT 2.4.

--GONZALEZ is 33-11 (+20.8 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 5.7, OPPONENT 3.0.

--GONZALEZ is 19-3 (+15.4 Units) against the money line against National League Central opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 5.9, OPPONENT 2.8.

•Reds RH Johnny Cueto (10-6, 2.18 ERA, WHIP: 0.915) - Cueto received a no-decision after allowing two runs and five hits while walking four and striking out seven in five innings of Cincinnati's 3-2 loss at Yankee Stadium on Sunday. The 28-year-old Dominican Republic native leads the NL in batting average against (.184) and innings (148 2/3), and is second in strikeouts (148). Cueto, who is 5-3 with a 4.58 ERA in nine starts against Washington, is 5-2 with a 1.74 ERA in 10 day starts this season, and 7-3, 1.98 in 11 turns at home.

--KEY STAT: CUETO is 10-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 5.1, OPPONENT 2.4.

--CUETO is 13-2 (+10.6 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 4.1, OPPONENT 1.9.

--CUETO is 24-7 UNDER (+16.3 Units) in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 3.6, OPPONENT 2.2.

#955 ARIZONA @ #956 PHILADELPHIA - 7:05 PM
•Diamondbacks RH Josh Collmenter (8-5, 3.64 ERA, WHIP: 1.240) - Collmenter has put together two straight strong starts spanning the All-Star break, allowing one run over seven innings in each. He gave up only four hits while beating the Chicago Cubs on Sunday, earning his first win since June 28. The 28-year-old is 1-2 with a 3.70 ERA in seven career games (three starts) versus Philadelphia.

--KEY STAT: COLLMENTER is 7-1 (+6.7 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLLMENTER 5.5, OPPONENT 3.3.

•Phillies LH Cliff Lee (4-5, 3.67 ERA, WHIP: 1.357) - Lee's return from the disabled list was ugly, as he allowed six runs and 12 hits over 5 2/3 innings in Monday's loss to San Francisco. It was his first major-league start since May 18 and marked the third time in 11 outings this season he has allowed six or more earned runs. Lee is 4-1 with a 3.12 ERA in seven career starts against the Diamondbacks, including a no-decision on April 26 in Arizona.

--KEY STAT: LEE is 5-13 (-11.8 Units) against the money line after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LEE 3.3, OPPONENT 3.6.

--LEE is 21-42 against the run line (-20.2 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LEE 3.6, OPPONENT 3.9.

--LEE is 16-35 against the run line (-19.7 Units) in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LEE 3.3, OPPONENT 3.7.

--LEE is 10-27 against the run line (-16.2 Units) after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LEE 3.5, OPPONENT 3.6.

--LEE is 23-9 UNDER (+13.0 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LEE 4.3, OPPONENT 3.7.
_______________________________________

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#957 SAN DIEGO @ #958 ATLANTA - 7:10 PM
•Padres RH Odrisamer Despaigne (2-1, 1.31 ERA, WHIP: 0.903) - Despaigne is coming off the best start of his young career Sunday, when he allowed one run on two hits over 7 2/3 innings against the New York Mets after taking a no-hitter into the eighth. The 27-year-old has pitched six or more innings and has yielded two or fewer runs in each of his first five major league starts. Opponents are batting .177 against Despaigne, who signed with the Padres as a minor league free agent May 2.

•Braves RH Julio Teheran (9-6, 2.64 ERA, WHIP: 1.026) - Teheran matched a career high with 11 strikeouts and tossed seven innings of one-run ball against Miami on Monday. “I felt that it was the best start I had this year,” the 23-year-old told reporters. “All my pitches were working and I had the confidence to throw them.” Teheran, who is 0-2 with a 6.39 ERA in two career starts against San Diego, owns a 3-1 mark and 1.23 ERA in 10 starts this season at home.

--KEY STAT: TEHERAN is 20-7 UNDER (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TEHERAN 3.6, OPPONENT 3.1.

--TEHERAN is 22-10 UNDER (+10.3 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TEHERAN 3.4, OPPONENT 3.5.

--TEHERAN is 12-2 UNDER (+9.6 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TEHERAN 4.1, OPPONENT 1.9.

--TEHERAN is 12-2 UNDER (+9.6 Units) in home games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TEHERAN 3.1, OPPONENT 2.1.

--TEHERAN is 13-3 UNDER (+9.6 Units) in home games versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was TEHERAN 4.1, OPPONENT 2.4.

--TEHERAN is 12-4 UNDER (+7.5 Units) in night games this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was TEHERAN 3.3, OPPONENT 2.9.

#959 NY METS @ #960 MILWAUKEE - 7:10 PM
•Mets LH Jonathon Niese (5-5, 3.13 ERA, WHIP: 1.253) - Niese lost to Seattle in his last start in his return from a shoulder ailment. He allowed four runs and a season-worst 11 hits while striking out six in six innings. Niese is 2-0 with a 4.64 ERA in six career starts against Milwaukee, including a no-decision June 12 when he gave up one run and six hits over 7 2/3 innings.

--KEY STAT: NIESE is 17-8 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 4.9, OPPONENT 3.2.

--NIESE is 13-4 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games against National League Central opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 6.2, OPPONENT 3.6.

--NIESE is 33-10 against the run line (+19.2 Units) in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 5.0, OPPONENT 3.6.

--NIESE is 15-4 against the run line (+12.1 Units) when playing on Saturday since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was NIESE 5.6, OPPONENT 3.5.

•Brewers RH Wily Peralta (11-6, 3.58 ERA, WHIP: 1.257) - Peralta has won seven of his past eight decisions and his next victory will surpass last season’s win total. He has allowed one earned run and six hits in 14 innings over his last two turns, winning both decisions. He is 2-0 with a 0.63 ERA in two career starts against the Mets, including a win June 11 in which he allowed one runs and four hits in 6 1/3 innings.

#961 PITTSBURGH @ #962 COLORADO - 8:10 PM
•Pirates LH Jeff Locke (2-1, 3.05 ERA, WHIP: 1.032) - Locke on Sunday yielded three runs and seven hits in six innings to stretch his unbeaten streak to seven outings. The 26-year-old New Hampshire native sports a 2.38 ERA in his last eight turns - all quality starts. Locke has left four of his 10 outings this season with the lead only to be the victim of a blown save.

•Rockies LH Tyler Matzek (1-4, 4.91 ERA, WHIP: 1.469) - Matzek on Sunday allowed three runs and seven hits while striking out eight in six innings, and hasn't won in seven starts since winning his major-league debut. ''Tyler did a great job,'' Weiss told reporters of the 23-year-old California native. ''Put us in position (to win) again." Matzek, the 11th overall pick in 2009 by the Rockies, has a 7.27 ERA and struck out only eight covering 17 1/3 innings in his last three turns at home since defeating Atlanta 8-2 on June 11.

#963 LA DODGERS @ #964 SAN FRANCISCO - 9:05 PM
•Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (11-2, 1.92 ERA, WHIP: 0.842) - Kershaw has been outstanding in his career against the Giants, going 11-5 with a 1.48 ERA in 22 starts. Hunter Pence has been held to four hits in 41 at-bats against the two-time Cy Young Award winner, who allowed three runs over seven innings in a 7-4 loss to San Francisco on May 11. Kershaw has struck out 134 batters and issued 14 walks in 103 1/3 innings this season, and he has worked at least seven frames in nine of his last 10 starts.

--KEY STAT: KERSHAW is 11-0 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 5.5, OPPONENT 1.4.

--KERSHAW is 10-1 against the run line (+9.5 Units) in road games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 5.5, OPPONENT 1.4.

--KERSHAW is 15-4 against the run line (+11.8 Units) in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 5.6, OPPONENT 2.9.

•Giants RH Ryan Vogelsong (5-7, 3.99 ERA, WHIP: 1.340) - Vogelsong is looking to bounce back from a shaky outing against Philadelphia on Monday, when he allowed a career-high 11 hits and four runs (three earned) over three-plus innings. The 37-year-old is 4-3 with a 3.76 ERA in 22 career games (13 starts) against the Dodgers, including a 3.12 ERA in three starts this season. Vogelsong has posted a 3.04 ERA in 11 starts at home this season compared to a 5.44 ERA in nine road outings.

--KEY STAT: VOGELSONG is 18-5 (+15.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOGELSONG 4.7, OPPONENT 3.1.

--VOGELSONG is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOGELSONG 2.0, OPPONENT 3.4.

--VOGELSONG is 24-9 UNDER (+14.3 Units) versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOGELSONG 3.6, OPPONENT 3.1.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT
SATURDAY, JULY 26TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________

#965 TORONTO @ #966 NY YANKEES - 1:05 PM
•Blue Jays RH Drew Hutchison (6-9, 4.54 ERA, WHIP: 1.345) - Hutchison was pummeled for the second straight time, tying a career high by surrendering six runs – set in his previous outing nine days earlier against Tampa Bay – on nine hits over 2 2/3 innings in a 14-1 setback to the Boston Red Sox. The loss, which was his fifth in six outings, dropped the second-year hurler to 2-5 with a 7.71 ERA at home. Hutchison is 4-4 with a 2.97 ERA on the road, where he will try to change his luck against the Yankees, against whom he is 0-3 with a 9.22 ERA in three starts this season.

•Yankees LH Chris Capuano (1-1, 4.55 ERA, WHIP: 1.546) - In an effort to add another arm to their injury-ravaged rotation, the Yankees acquired Capuano for cash considerations from the Colorado Rockies on Thursday. The 35-year-old, who made 28 relief appearances with the Red Sox this season before he was released, will make his first start since last Aug. 31 with the Los Angeles Dodgers. Capuano tossed two innings in relief versus the Blue Jays in May and is 1-0 with a 4.97 ERA in five all-time appearances (two starts) against them.

--KEY STAT: CAPUANO is 6-23 against the run line (-17.3 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was CAPUANO 3.7, OPPONENT 4.8.

#967 BALTIMORE @ #968 SEATTLE - 4:10 PM
•Orioles RH Bud Norris (8-6, 3.78 ERA, WHIP: 1.208) - Norris has won five of his last six starts, allowing one or fewer earned runs in four of them. He struck out eight while beating the Los Angeles Angels in his last turn, giving up two runs (one earned) and eight hits in 6 2/3 innings. Norris is 1-2 with a 5.09 ERA in three career starts against Seattle.

--KEY STAT: NORRIS is 23-8 UNDER (+13.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NORRIS 3.9, OPPONENT 3.5.

•Mariners RH Chris Young (8-6, 3.22 ERA, WHIP: 1.125) - Young is 0-2 over his last three outings despite not giving up more than three runs in any of the starts. He received a no-decision in his last turn when he gave up three runs and 10 hits in six innings against the Los Angeles Angels. Young is 1-1 with a 4.70 ERA in three career starts against Baltimore.

--KEY STAT: YOUNG is 35-18 (+17.7 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was YOUNG 4.7, OPPONENT 3.7.

--YOUNG is 0-12 against the run line (-12.8 Units) in home games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was YOUNG 3.7, OPPONENT 6.1.

--YOUNG is 8-30 against the run line (-22.2 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was YOUNG 3.8, OPPONENT 4.9.

--YOUNG is 10-1 UNDER (+9.2 Units) versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was YOUNG 2.7, OPPONENT 2.6.

--YOUNG is 12-2 UNDER (+10.2 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was YOUNG 2.9, OPPONENT 2.7.

#969 BOSTON @ #970 TAMPA BAY - 7:10 PM
•Red Sox RH John Lackey (11-6, 3.66 ERA, WHIP: 1.205) - Lackey is seeking his third straight win and the 150th of his career after defeating Toronto with seven outstanding innings on Monday. He allowed a run on a season-low two hits and did not walk a batter for the first time since May 28. The veteran tossed seven scoreless in his last start at Tampa Bay on May 23 and has allowed two runs in 15 frames against the division rivals this year.

--KEY STAT: LACKEY is 20-7 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 5.7, OPPONENT 3.5.

--LACKEY is 1-9 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in road games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LACKEY 2.9, OPPONENT 5.7.

•Rays RH Jeremy Hellickson (0-0, 2.08 ERA, WHIP: 1.617) - Hellickson is expected to be recalled from Single-A Charlotte and make his second start in the majors this season after working his way back from elbow surgery. He allowed one run in 4 1/3 innings against Kansas City on July 8 before making two more minor-league starts prior to the recall. The 27-year-old, who lasted just one-plus inning in Game 4 of the ALDS against Boston last fall, is 4-2 with a 4.21 ERA in 13 career appearances (12 starts) versus the Red Sox.

--KEY STAT: HELLICKSON is 7-0 OVER (+7.3 Units) versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HELLICKSON 4.8, OPPONENT 6.6.

--HELLICKSON is 28-10 UNDER (+15.8 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HELLICKSON 3.6, OPPONENT 3.8.

#971 CLEVELAND @ #972 KANSAS CITY - 7:10 PM
•Indians RH Zach McAllister (3-5, 5.28 ERA, WHIP: 1.408) - McAllister is expected to be recalled from Triple-A Columbus to make his 13th start of the season. The 26-year-old saw his winless streak reach eight outings (0-5) on July 19 despite allowing just one run and three hits over 5 1/3 innings at Detroit. McAllister evened his career record against Kansas City to 2-2 on April 21, when he yielded three runs - two earned - over six frames in a 4-3 triumph.

--KEY STAT: MCALLISTER is 12-3 (+9.7 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MCALLISTER 5.1, OPPONENT 3.3.

•Royals RH Jeremy Guthrie (5-9, 4.56 ERA, WHIP: 1.346) - Guthrie lost his third consecutive start Monday at the Chicago White Sox despite allowing only three runs and five hits in six innings. The 35-year-old surrendered a total of 14 runs over eight frames in his previous two outings. Guthrie fell to 4-5 lifetime against the Indians on July 5, when he was tagged for six runs and 11 hits over four innings at Cleveland.

--KEY STAT: GUTHRIE is 28-16 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GUTHRIE 4.3, OPPONENT 3.6.
___________________________________________

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#973 CHI WHITE SOX @ #974 MINNESOTA - 7:10 PM
•White Sox LH Chris Sale (9-1, 2.03 ERA, WHIP: 0.863) - Sale opened his season by allowing three runs and striking out eight in 7 1/3 innings against Minnesota on March 31. He is 5-1 with a 2.42 ERA in his career against the Twins and 3-1 with a 2.83 mark at Target Field. The three-time All-Star entered Friday leading the American League in winning percentage (.900), WHIP (0.863) and hits per nine innings (6.3).

--KEY STAT: SALE is 4-13 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SALE 3.2, OPPONENT 4.6.

--SALE is 7-20 against the run line (-15.8 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SALE 3.5, OPPONENT 3.7.

--SALE is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) after giving up <=1 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SALE 2.0, OPPONENT 2.3.

•Twins LH Logan Darnell (NR) - Darnell, who has made one relief appearance in his major-league career, takes the rotation spot of Kyle Gibson, who is unable to go due to a stiff back. Darnell was 5-5 with a 3.43 ERA in 17 starts for Triple-A Rochester, allowing 96 hits and 40 walks in 94 1/3 innings. The 25-year-old was a sixth-round pick in 2010 out of the University of Kentucky.

#975 OAKLAND @ #976 TEXAS - 8:05 PM
•Athletics RH Sonny Gray (11-3, 2.72 ERA, WHIP: 1.156) - Gray has been dominant all month, going 4-0 with a 0.95 ERA while recording four straight quality starts. The 24-year-old allowed only one earned run and two hits over 6 2/3 innings in Sunday's win over Baltimore. Gray has the Rangers' number - he is 2-1 with a 1.96 ERA in three starts against them, all this season.

•Rangers RH Nick Tepesch (3-6, 4.87 ERA, WHIP: 1.459) - Tepesch was scheduled to start Friday's series opener but was pushed back a day after pitching in relief in Tuesday's 14-inning loss to the New York Yankees. The 25-year-old is winless since June 27 and has been tagged with the loss three of the last four times he has taken the mound. The A's have roughed him up in four meetings (two starts), racking up 12 runs and 19 hits in 13 innings.

#977 DETROIT @ #978 LA ANGELS - 9:05 PM
•Tigers RH Justin Verlander (9-8, 4.84 ERA, WHIP: 1.445) - Verlander posted his third win in four starts Monday, allowing three runs and six hits in 6 2/3 innings at Arizona. The 31-year-old has surrendered at least three runs in 11 of his last 13 outings and has yet to keep an opponent under two runs this season. Verlander has had his difficulties with Los Angeles over his career, going 4-5 with a 4.08 ERA in 12 starts.

--KEY STAT: VERLANDER is 6-13 (-17.0 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VERLANDER 3.9, OPPONENT 4.1.

•Angels RH Matt Shoemaker (7-3, 4.54 ERA, WHIP: 1.299) - Shoemaker had his modest two-game winning streak snapped by Baltimore on Monday as he yielded four runs and five hits while striking out 10 over 5 2/3 innings. The 27-year-old picked up a win in relief in his previous appearance, allowing two runs and five hits in 3 2/3 frames against Toronto after replacing an injured Jered Weaver. Shoemaker, who is 4-2 at home this season, never has faced the Tigers.

Interleague
#979 MIAMI @ #980 HOUSTON - 7:10 PM
•Marlins RH Tom Koehler (6-7, 3.85 ERA, WHIP: 1.223) - Koehler is winless in his last three starts, but has surrendered only four runs over 13 innings during the last two in which he did not factor in the decision. The Bronx, N.Y. native has notched just one victory in his last eight starts, but has held opponents to a .227 average overall in 2014. Koehler, who is 2-4 with a 4.92 ERA on the road, will face Houston for the first time in his career.

--KEY STAT: KOEHLER is 7-0 OVER (+7.1 Units) versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KOEHLER 5.1, OPPONENT 5.1.

•Astros RH Jarred Cosart (9-6, 4.23 ERA, WHIP: 1.437) - Cosart is 5-1 in his last seven starts, but has allowed 16 runs (14 earned) over 15 2/3 innings while going 1-1 in the last three turns. The 24-year-old Texan yielded only two homers in his last 13 starts after opponents went deep five times in the first six. Jarrod Saltalamacchia is 2-for-2 with a double versus Cosart, who will make his first-ever start against the Marlins.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 5
By David Schwab

The 2014 CFL season is just four weeks old and we are already seeing a major disparity between a West Division that has four teams with a .500 record or better and an East Division that so far has combined to win just three games straight up.

Last Thursday, Edmonton won the battle of two unbeaten teams in the West with a 26-3 victory over Winnipeg as a 1 ½-point road underdog. The total stayed well UNDER the 54-point closing line. Ottawa kicked off Friday’s double-header with its first ever CFL victory as the RedBlacks with a tight 18-17 win against Toronto as a one-point home underdog. That total stayed UNDER the 52-point line. Calgary remained perfect in the West with a 10-7 win over Hamilton at home on Friday night as a 9 ½-point favorite and the total stayed UNDER the 51-point closing line.

In the only game on Saturday’s slate in Week 4, British Columbia pasted Montreal 41-5 as a 7 ½-point home favorite to even its mark after a 0-2 SU start. It was a clean sweep for the UNDER play with the total line in that game set at 48 ½ points.


Saturday, July 26

Ottawa (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) at Hamilton (0-3 SU, 2-1 ATS)

Point-spread: Hamilton -4½
Total: 48½

Game Overview

The RedBlacks earned their first victory of the season behind Henry Burris throwing the ball and Chevon Walker running it on the ground. Neither player’s numbers were spectacular, but it was just enough to get the job done. You also have to give credit to the defense for its ability to shutdown Toronto when it needed to the most.

Hamilton had to turn to both Jeremiah Masoli and Dan LeFevour last week for injured quarterback Zach Collaros and the result was a grand total of seven points on a one-point play and two field goals. Collaros remains questionable for this Saturday while recovering from a blow to the head. The Tiger-Cats are ranked dead-last in scoring with an average of 13.7 points a game.

Betting Trends

The Tiger-Cats are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a SU loss, but they are just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with a SU losing record. The total has stayed UNDER in their last four games at home.

Toronto (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS) at Saskatchewan (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)

Point-spread: Saskatchewan -6
Total: 49½

Game Overview

Despite the fact that quarterback Ricky Ray leads the CFL in passing with 1,280 yards while completing 70.9 percent of his throws, this has not always translated to points and more importantly wins. It also does not help when you have a defense that has given-up the most points (112) in the league.

The defending champs are fresh off a bye week that followed a disappointing 26-13 loss to BC in Week 3 as five-point home favorites. Saskatchewan has already lost to the Argonauts this season in a 48-15 beatdown in Week 2 as a two-point favorite on the road. Darian Durant has 622 passing yards in three games and he has completed just 55.3 percent of his 85 attempts.

Betting Trends

The Argonauts have won three of the last four meetings both SU and ATS and the total has gone OVER in all four games. The road team in this matchup is 6-3 SU in the last nine meetings and Toronto is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight trips to Saskatchewan.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Toronto (1-3) @ Saskatchewan (1-2) -- Argonauts' only win this season was 48-15 (+2) over Riders back in Week 2, their third win in last four series games, with all four going over total. Argos ran ball for 161 yards, had three takeaways, but lost two games since, scoring only 16 ppg in losses to Calgary/Ottawa. Roughriders had last week off after scoring 15-13 points in last two games, including a home loss to Lions. Riders allowed 34 rushing yards in their last two games. Home favorites are 6-7 vs spread in first four weeks of season.

Montreal (1-3) @ Hamilton (0-3) -- TiCats' first home game in Hamilton in 637 days, as their new stadium debuts here, with TiCats 0-3, losing last two games by 4-3 points, with bye in between. Hamilton turned ball over 10 times in three games (-4), were outscored 41-15 in first half of games. TiCats won four of last five series games, beating Alouettes in OT in playoffs last fall. All three Hamilton games stayed under total; hey've yet to lead at halftime (0-2-1 in first halves). Montreal is 0-2 on road, losing by 21-36 points (25 for 66 passing)- Als' offense is gaining 170 ypg on road, 287 ypg at home.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arena Football (AFL)

Playoff Spot, Bragging Rights, On the Line in Keystone Collision
By MIKEY WONSOVER

The AFL season is winding down.

With just one week left in the regular season, the playoff picture is coming into focus. The matchups of Arizona versus Portland, San Jose versus Spokane, and Orlando versus Pittsburgh are already set for the 2014 AFL Postseason. But the last wildcard spot and No. 4 seed in the American Conference is still up for grabs.

The Philadelphia Soul (9-8) and the Tampa Bay Storm (8-9) have everything riding on the last week of the season. With a win or Storm loss, the Soul can clinch the last playoff spot. But if Tampa Bay wins and Philadelphia falls, the Storm can steal the final wildcard spot. If this late-season drama wasn’t enough for the Soul, they will be playing their last game of the regular season in enemy territory against one of the hottest teams in the League.

Philadelphia will make the five-hour trip to Pittsburgh on Saturday in the ninth meeting in Keystone Collision history. The Soul held a 4-2 advantage in the series heading into this year, but the Power have turned the tables this season. The game between the two Pennsylvania teams is unlike the regular week-to-week AFL matchups.

“There certainly is a different atmosphere,” Power head coach Ron James said of the Keystone Collision rivalry. “There are a couple aspects to it when you’re playing an in-state rival in your own division. The biggest aspect of it is that it juices up the crowd. When we go down there, the Philadelphia crowd really likes to see Pittsburgh take their lumps so to speak. I think it’s the same thing here for our Pittsburgh crowd. They like to get after the Philadelphia folks as well. We’ve played them twice already, both were fantastic football games.”

The Power have won the previous two games against the Soul this season by a combined nine points. Pittsburgh took the first game 65-57 in Week 8, thanks to an eight-touchdown-to-no-interception performance by Power quarterback Tommy Grady. The Week 14 matchup was an instant classic.

Soul quarterback Dan Raudabaugh put Philadelphia up 56-54 after a three-yard touchdown pass to V’Keon Lacey with just 35 seconds left in the game. A failed onside kick by the Soul gave the Power prime field position at the Philadelphia 13-yard line. That gave kicker Julian Rauch more than enough room to connect on a 23-yard field goal as time expired, giving Pittsburgh a one-point victory. Close losses have doomed the Soul this season.

“We’ve struggled finishing games,” defensive back LaRico Stevenson said. “Not making plays when we’re supposed to make plays. It’s things that we’ve done to ourselves that have really hurt us. Not finishing plays, not catching balls when we’re supposed to, not making tackles when we’re supposed to, blowing coverage. All of the aspects of hurting a team, we’ve done it.”

Stevenson has been on both sides of the Keystone Collision. The five-year AFL veteran spent time with the Power in 2011 and 2012 before joining the Soul during the 2012 season. He endured a breakout season in his first campaign in Philadelphia, finishing with a career-high 74 tackles and seven interceptions in 2013.

“It was a different experience,” Stevenson said of his time in Pittsburgh. “Ever since I’ve been in Philadelphia, it’s a big notch up from where I was at. I love Pittsburgh, but man Philly is totally different. I love it here.”

Having played for both teams in the American East rivalry has given Stevenson a unique perspective.

“When I was there, the rivalry was intense,” Stevenson said. “Now that I’m here, the Pittsburgh fans and Philadelphia Soul fans are totally different. Our fans are great. What I’ve seen since I’ve been here, it’s made me love this game a little bit more every time I play against Pittsburgh. It’s totally different for me. I get pumped up for all the games, they’re all the same to me at the end of the day, but it’s going to be a little bit more for this one right here because of who we’re playing.”

Pittsburgh and Philadelphia have had remarkably different seasons. The Soul have the richer history of the two teams, winning the ArenaBowl in 2008 and reaching the championship game in 2012 and 2013, but Pittsburgh has flipped the script this season. The Power are in the midst of a franchise-record 11-game winning streak, with their last loss coming in Week 7 to a then-undefeated Cleveland Gladiators squad. Pittsburgh has the third-most wins in the League this season with a record of 14-3, while Philadelphia has yet to clinch a playoff spot. The turnaround season for Pittsburgh has had a monumental affect on the football-crazed city.

“I think it’s got to feel great for the organization and our fan base,” James said. “For me, I don’t know any different. I’m used to being in tough divisions out in the West with Spokane, Arizona, and San Jose, and now with Cleveland and Philadelphia. It’s great competition and I love it. Hopefully our fans get something special out of it. The fans here in Pittsburgh are rabid football fans. They’ve really been pining away for a winner here in the AFL and finally we’ve been able to give that to them. I know it’s been a special season for our fan base and our ownership group. We’re just hopeful that we could push this thing to the limit this year.”

The Soul aren’t accustomed to losing, but the team now has a chip on its shoulder when it matters most.

“It is a different feeling,” Stevenson said. “We are predominately one of the top teams. This year injuries and not finishing games has hurt us. Now that we’re at the bottom, scratching and fighting for the top, we want it much more. It makes your team hungrier, it makes us closer, it makes us know what are goals are. We want to beat this team much more.”

Rivalries are intense. Emotions run high, physicality is prevalent, and aggressive play is the norm, but on-field animosity won’t get in the way of a cherished friendship between the opposing head coaches.

“For me it’s always special when we play Philadelphia because one of my former players, Clint Dolezel, is the head coach at Philadelphia,” said James, who coached Dolezel in stints with the Houston ThunderBears and Las Vegas Gladiators. “I know Clint and his family real well. It’s always fun to play those guys. It’s always fun to compete against your friends.”

The Keystone Collision goes beyond the state of Pennsylvania. The entire AFL and its fan base will benefit from what is becoming one of the best rivalries in the game.

“It’s very important for us, for the League, and for the fans. It’s a great rivalry,” Stevenson said. “Pittsburgh has been real good this year, one of the top teams. We right now are trying to get to the playoffs. There are players on our team that have been in situations like this with a playoff atmosphere. We’re ready for it. With this game, it’s exciting right now, I’m telling you. It’s going to be a good game this weekend.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AFL

Division Champs to Meet in Regular Season Finale on CBS Sports Network
AFL Communications

ORLANDO – The South Division champion Orlando Predators (10-7) will square off with the West Division champion Arizona Rattlers (15-2) in a battle of playoff-bound teams this weekend. The “NET10 Wireless Arena Football Saturday” matchup is set for 7:00 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network.

This will be the first meeting between the two teams since July 2013, when the Rattlers defeated the Predators, 84-56, in “The Jungle”. It will also be Arizona’s first time back in Orlando since defeating the Philadelphia Soul at ArenaBowl XXVI last August. The Predators will be looking for their first win against the Rattlers since 2006.

Arizona wrapped up the No. 1 seed and home field advantage in the National Conference in Week 15, while Orlando comes into Week 20 fresh off clinching the No. 2 seed in the American Conference last week. Both teams will host playoff games next Sunday in the AFL Quarterfinals, with Arizona returning home to face the Portland Thunder and Orlando welcoming in the Pittsburgh Power.

The Rattlers come into the game boasting one of the most dynamic offenses in AFL history, led by AFL MVP candidate Nick Davila. The “Latin Laser” has tossed a franchise-record 121 touchdown passes this season, the second-highest single-season total in AFL history. He also moved into 10th place all-time for career passing yards in last week’s 65-55 win over the Portland Thunder, bringing his five-year yardage total to 24,585. Those stats have been helped along by a star-studded cast of characters in the Arizona receiving corps. Rod Windsor is four touchdown receptions shy of his own single-season franchise record of 47, while Maurice Purify and Tysson Poots continue to force AFL defenses into costly mismatches.

Bernard Morris figures to get the start at quarterback for the Predators. Morris, who was added to the lineup after opening day starter Jason Boltus went down with an injury midway through the year, has been electric for the Predators this season, most recently accounting for nine total touchdowns in the team’s 70-64 overtime victory against the New Orleans VooDoo last week. The AFL’s best dual-threat signal-caller passed for six scores and rushed for three more in the game. He also eclipsed 10,000 passing yards for his career a week ago. Orlando will need another big performance from Morris this week against an experienced and opportunistic Rattlers defense. NET10 Wireless Rookie of the Year candidate Greg Carr should help the cause, as the former Florida State Seminole star leads all rookies in receiving with 111 catches for 1,413 yards and 36 touchdowns this season. Fellow first-year wideouts Kendal Thompkins and Khalil Paden have also shown big-time playmaking ability, while midseason acquisition Larry Brackins has provided some much needed veteran leadership. The sixth-year pro has also shown he still has plenty left in the tank, leading the team with three touchdown grabs last week.

Orlando will have their hands full defensively against the high-powered Arizona attack. Pass rushers Michael Janac and Earl Okine will have their work cut out for them, as sacks have been hard to come by all season against the very reliable Rattlers offensive line. If Orlando cannot find a way to put pressure on Davila, the Predators secondary could be in for a long day. However, that unit has no shortage of talent. Jack linebacker Tanner Varner forced two fumbles a week ago and is one interception shy of 25 for his career, while veterans Eddie Moten and Tracy Belton will be anxiously waiting for opportunities to contend for a few more picks of their own.

For the Rattlers, opposing teams have struggled to find weak spots in the defense all season. The franchise’s all-time leader in sacks, Anttaj Hawthorne, mans the middle, while former Defensive Lineman of the Year, Cliff Dukes, and perennially underrated Mac linebacker Tyre Glasper lead the pass rush. Three former All-Arena selections headline the secondary, with Jack linebacker Jeremy Kellem and defensive backs Arkeith Brown and Marquis Floyd – the League’s leader in interceptions with 13 – all turning in outstanding seasons. Rookie Allen Chapman has also come on strong as of late, returning an interception 40 yards for a touchdown last week.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AFL

StatFox Super Situations

ARENA | LA KISS at JACKSONVILLE
Play Against - Home favorites (JACKSONVILLE) average team (+/- 0.5 YPP) against a poor team (outgained by 0.5 to 1.3 YPP)
92-49 since 1997. ( 65.2% | 38.1 units )
8-5 this year. ( 61.5% | 2.5 units )

ARENA | LA KISS at JACKSONVILLE
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (LA KISS) after playing a game where both teams scored 58 or more points
137-87 over the last 10 seasons. ( 61.2% | 41.3 units )
15-13 this year. ( 53.6% | 0.7 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UFC on FOX 12 Preview
By Brian Edwards


The Ultimate Fighting Championship will bring a 12-fight card to SAP Center in San Jose this Saturday night. In the main-event tilt on FOX, welterweight contenders 'Ruthless' Robbie Lawler and Matt 'The Immortal' Brown will collide for the right to face Johny Hendricks for the 170-pound belt.

Most betting shops opened Lawler (23-10 MMA, 8-4 UFC) as a favorite in the -260 to -280 range. As of early Friday afternoon, Bovada had Lawler installed as the -370 'chalk,' while Brown was available for a +280 return (risk $100 to win $280). Gamblers can find a better payout for Brown (+310).

The total for 'over/under' wagers is 2.5 rounds. Bettors have to lay a -145 price for the 'under,' while 'over' backers can garner a +115 payout.

In his second tour of duty in the UFC, the 32-year-old Lawler has reached his prime and done his best work inside the cage. He's won four of five fights, including brutal knockouts of Josh Koscheck and Jake Ellenberger. His only loss came to Johny Hendricks in an epic five-round slugfest at UFC 171 on March 15, when the judges gave the decision to 'Bigg Rigg' by a 48-47 score on all three cards.

Brown (21-11 MMA, 12-5 UFC) has won seven consecutive fights, including a thrilling comeback win over Erick Silva in his main-event debut at UFC Fight Night 40. Brown got floored by a hard body kick from Silva early in the first round, but he fought off a couple of submission attempts after giving up his back. Brown eventually got back to his feet and dominate the last two minutes of the opening stanza.

In the second and third rounds, it was Matt Brown 101. He punished Silva with a wild array of strikes, knees and kicks. Silva, whose chin had been a question mark in previous bouts, took the beating and kept coming. The Brazilian even halted Brown's momentum a couple of times by landing body kicks to the same spot that initially hurt Brown in Round 1.

But fighting in his home state in front of a crowd in Cincinnati that clearly had his back, Brown shook off those body blows and eventually finished Silva with a violent barrage of punches. He hooked up his betting supporters with a +210 return (paid $210 on $100 wagers).

During his seven-fight winning spree, Brown has cashed underdog tickets four times. His victories over Jordan Mein and Stephen Thompson scored his backers payouts of +300 and +190, respectively. Brown's last five wins have come via the KO route.

Prediction: This scrap has Fight of the Night (and potentially Fight of the Year) written all over it. Both guys are talented on the ground, but they are at their best standing. Lawler has looked incredible lately and he has clearly faced tougher competition. That's the knock on Brown -- that his last seven victims haven't been from the upper tier of the welterweight loop. Only two of those foes (Mike Pyle and Silva, No.'s 13 and 15, respectively) are currently ranked. If this is a pick 'em matchup or if Lawler is -160ish or cheaper, then 'Ruthless' would be the play. However, that's not the case. Gamblers can get Brown at +300 or better and, therefore, that's my suggestion for a small wager. With both men's propensity to finish, I'm tempted to look at the 'under,' but the -145 price tag is a little expensive for my taste.

In the co-main event, Anthony 'Rumble' Johnson will face Antonio Rogerio Nogueira in a crucial light-heavyweight showdown. As of Friday, most spots had Johnson installed as an enormous -500 'chalk.' 'Little Nog' is +400 on the comeback (risk $100 to win $400). The total is 1.5 rounds ('over' -150, 'under' +120).

Johnson (17-4 MMA, 8-4 UFC) made an explosive return to the Octagon at UFC 172, easily defeating Phil Davis by unanimous decision (30-27 three times). Rumble cashed tickets as a +180 underdog.

Johnson took a pink slip from the UFC early in 2012 after he missed weight by 12 pounds for a middleweight clash against Vitor Belfort, who nevertheless submitted Johnson at UFC 142. While toiling in the minor leagues, Johnson rolled to seven consecutive wins, including a victory over former UFC heavyweight champ Andrei Arlovski.

Now that he's fighting at 205 pounds, Johnson appears to have put his weight-cutting issues in the past. And if his performance against Davis is an indicator, he looks like a serious contender in the light-heavyweight division.

Nogueira (21-5 MMA, 4-2 UFC) hasn't fought in more than 17 months due to various injuries. However, the Brazilian legend looked sharp in his last outing at UFC 156, beating Rashad Evans by unanimous decision. Prior to that victory, 'Little Nog' destroyed UFC Hall of Famer and former 205-pound kingpin Tito Ortiz.

Prediction: How much does the 38-year-old Brazilian have left in the tank? Can he deal with Johnson's speed? Will cage rust be a factor, or could the lengthy layoff be a good thing for Nogueira? I think Johnson gets the victory, but he's entirely too expensive in this situation. You either take Nogueira or pass. I'll pass.

In the featherweight division, veteran Clay Guida (31-14 MMA, 11-8 UFC) will take on Dennis Bermudez. Most books are listing Bermudez as a -155 favorite, while 'The Carpenter' is +135 on the comeback. The 'over/under' is 2.5 rounds ('over' -280, 'under' +230).

Bermudez (13-3 MMA, 6-1 UFC) has won six fights in a row since getting submitted by Diego Brandao in the finals of The Ultimate Fighter 14. 'The Menace' is coming off a TKO win over Jimy Hettes that earned him a Performance of the Night bonus.

Prediction: I'll have a small play on Guida as a short underdog in a fight he absolutely has to have if he hopes to make a push toward a title shot.

The main card will start with a lightweight matchup between Josh Thomson and Bobby Green. Thomson was originally slated to take on Michael Johnson in what would have been a very interesting battle. Now the 13th-ranked Green gets an excellent opportunity to pull an upset and slide into the top 10 of the 155-pound loop.

Thomson, ranked No. 3 in the division, is a -250 favorite at most shops. Green is a +210 underdog (risk $100 to win $210). The total is 2.5 rounds ('over' -190, 'under' +160).

Green hasn't tasted defeat in nearly three years, winning seven straight fights, including his first three in the UFC. He is the former King of the Cage lightweight champ.

Thomson (20-6-0-1 MMA, 3-2 UFC) is coming off a split-decision loss to Benson Henderson. During the first round of that setback, Thomson sustained a broken thumb. Before losing to Henderson, Thomson became the first fighter to KO Nate Diaz.

Prediction: I think Thomson wins, but I'm not going to risk the expensive price. I'll pass.

The first four fights on the card will be on UFC Fight Pass (subscription only), while the last eight bouts will be on FOX.

**Octagon Extras**

-- I like Daron Cruickhshank as a +205 underdog against Jorge Masvidal. Also, I'll be on Kyle Kingsbury as a +125 underdog vs. Patrick Cummins.

-- Alexander 'The Mauler' Gustafsson had to pull out of his UFC 178 showdown against Jon 'Bones' Jones after tearing his meniscus while training in Sweden. Therefore, Daniel 'DC' Cormier will take on the long-time 205-pound kingpin. Sportsbooks opened the champ as a -170 favorite a few days ago, with Cormier listed as the +145 underdog. On Friday, however, Sportsbooks had Jones as a -230 'chalk,' with Cormier as a +170 'dog.

-- Nick Diaz signed a three-fight contract extension with the UFC on Thursday. All indications are that Diaz will probably return to the Octagon to face Anderson Silva on Super Bowl Weekend.

-- Joe Riggs is returning to the promotion to face Paulo Thiago at UFC Fight Night 51 in Brazil.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

2* A's -180

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's CFL Picks Toronto at Saskatchewan The Roughriders host a Toronto team that is 0-3-1 ATS in its last 4 road games. Saskatchewan is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-6). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


SATURDAY, JULY 26
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (7/23)


Game 125-126: Ottawa at Hamilton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 104.243; Hamilton 116.131
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 12; 44
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 4 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-4 1/2); Under


Game 127-128: Toronto at Saskatchewan (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 107.401; Saskatchewan 118.317
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 11; 54
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 6; 50
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-6); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks Indiana at San Antonio The Fever head to San Antonio tonight and come into the contest with a 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 road games. Indiana is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Fever favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.


SATURDAY, JULY 26
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 601-602: Los Angeles at Seattle (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 110.869; Seattle 113.376
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 2 1/2; 142
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 4; 148
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+4); Under


Game 603-604: Indiana at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 113.818; San Antonio 112.715
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 144
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 1 1/2; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+1 1/2); Under


Game 605-606: New York at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 109.587; Phoenix 125.907
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 16 1/2; 164
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 11 1/2; 158 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-11 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | INDIANA at SAN ANTONIO
Play On - Home teams (SAN ANTONIO) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )
0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -2.2 units )

WNBA | INDIANA at SAN ANTONIO
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games
137-43 since 1997. ( 76.1% | 0.0 units )
2-3 this year. ( 40.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | NEW YORK at PHOENIX
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 off a road win
291-181 since 1997. ( 61.7% | 91.9 units )
9-18 this year. ( 33.3% | -10.8 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

'NL West Showdown'

The second of a pivotal three-game series between the top two clubs in the NL West is Saturday's baseball betting focus as Los Angeles Dodgers and San Francisco Giants square off in AT&T Park. The Dodgers send Clayton Kershaw to the mound carrying an 11-2 record, 1.92 ERA to the hill. The left-hander in great form is ridding a perfect 9-0 team start record allowing 2 or less runs in eight of the nine trips to the mound. Kershaw will be matching pitches with Giants’ Ryan Vogelsong, who has a 5-7 record, 3.99 ERA. In contrast, the Giants' right-hander is struggling posting a 1-5 record the past eight with San Francisco 2-6 over the span. The starters coming into the game from opposite ends of the spectrum is bad new for Giants. The fact Kershaw is a southpaw is another reason Giants take a step backwards, as they club is just 3-8 last 11 vs a left-handed starter. A few other telling baseball betting nuggets that favor Los Angeles in this one. Dodgers have won 15 of Kershaw's last 19 July starts, have won 7 of his 8 road starts this season and have won 6 of his last 8 tossing in San Francisco.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | MIAMI at HOUSTON
Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MIAMI) after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after getting shut out
154-89 since 1997. ( 63.4% | 56.9 units )
10-6 this year. ( 62.5% | 3.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | CLEVELAND at KANSAS CITY
CLEVELAND is 35-11 (+24.1 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: CLEVELAND (4.6) , OPPONENT (3.3)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Cubs -125

Marlins +102

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POWER PLAY WINS

* Chicago Cubs -125 (Arrieta)
* Pittsburgh Pirates -130 (Locke)
* Detroit Tigers +110 (Verlnder)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Plays

Itomtips
Pogon – Slask
Pogon +0.25
Odd:1.66


lighttips
Romania - Steaua Bucharest -0,75


assiatictips
Ukraine - PFK Oleksandria -0,75


uivatips
Czech Republic - V. Plzen -0,75


realmastertips
Russia - CSKA Moscow -0,75


blacksoccertips
Switzerlland - Grasshoppers -0,75


europeinsidertips
Friendly - Numancia -0,75


hockeyprofessionaltips
Friendly - HK MVD U21 - Loko Yaroslavl U21
U 5,5
VIP Pick
Brazil: Serie A
Santos — Chapecoense
Santos -1
2.17 pinnacle


premiumsoccerpicks
Regular Pick
Belgium Jupiler League
Waasland Beveren — Club Brugge
Club Brugge -0.5
1.84 SBOBET


earn-picks
Tennis Pick
ATP Umag
Fognini vs Cuevas
Cuevas +2
1.99


earn-tips
Soccer Tip:
Sweden Allsvenskan
Malmo vs Kalmar
Malmo -0.75
1.83


englandtips
RUMANIA: Liga I
Rapid Bukarest – Steaua Bukarest
Steaua Bukarest -1


horseaccademy
TIPSTER: DAVID GOLDIE
Date: 2014/07/26
Event: 15.50 Ascot
Prediction: Telescope
Odds: 3.25
Stake: 10/10

TIPSTER: RICHARD MURHY
Date: 2014/07/26
Event: 14.55 York
Prediction: Windhoek
Odds: 4.0
Stake: 10/10

Date: 2014/07/26
Event: 15.15 Ascot
Prediction: Don’t Bother Me EW
Odds: 23.0
Stake: 10/10


igorbet
AUSTRIA: Tipico Bundesliga
Rapid Vienna – Ried
Rapid Vienna -0,75
Odd: 1.90


prosport365
Sweden Allsvenskan, Soccer
Match: Halmstads - Gefle
Tip: Over 2.5
Odds: 2.020
Stake: 5%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Play

vip-picks

Bonus not archive

Pogon Szczecin - Slask Wroclaw

Tip: Slask Wroclaw -0

Odds: 1,87

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FurysFightPicks

4* parlay at -111

Josh Thomson (-225) & Robbie Lawler (-315)



3* parlay at -107

Tim Means (-230) & Bermudez/Guida over 2.5 rounds (-285)



3* parlay at -128

Jorge Masvidal (-245) & Andrey Koreshkov (Bellator, -380)




2* parlay at -106

Dennis Bermudez (-155) & Anthony Johnson (-555)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Saturday, July 26


CFL games on a crazy under streak

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers thrashed the BC Lions 23-6 in Canadian Football League action Friday night, resulting in yet another game landing below the point total and extending the streak of games going under.

Teams in the CFL have gone under the point total in nine consecutive games and are now 4-14 over/under for the season. The under is hitting 77.78 percent of the time.

There is a doubleheader on tap for Saturday with the Ottawa Redblacks (1-2 over/under) visiting the Hamilton Tiger-Cats (0-3 O/U) with a total currently at 47.5 and the Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-2 O/U) host the Toronto A
Argonauts (2-2 O/U) with a current total of 50.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Five to Follow MLB Betting: Saturday July 26, 2014 Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews – Doc Sports

The 2014 San Diego Padres are one of the least interesting teams in baseball this decade. They are great to bet against and on the “under” because the Padres have what could be a historically bad offense and already have traded two of their best players in third baseman Chase Headley and closer Huston Street. That said, it’s worth watching the Padres, and maybe even backing them occasionally, when Cuban Odrisamer Despaigne is on the mound. Here’s a look at his matchup on Saturday and four other games.

Padres at Braves (-181, 6.5)

I had never heard of Despaigne (2-1, 1.31) before he was called up in late June. The 27-year-old has drawn comparisons to El Duque Hernandez. Despaigne defected in June 2013 at Charles de Gaulle Airport in Paris while the Cuban team was en route to a tournament in the Netherlands. He received a $1 million bonus to sign with the Padres on May 2. The Padres have never had a no-hitter in franchise history — the only active team without one (by comparison, Tim Lincecum has two against them in the past two years) — but Despaigne came within four outs of one in his last start against the Mets. He is holding opponents to a .177 average and has yet to allow more than two earned runs in his five starts. Is there some talent in Cuba or what? Atlanta starts a pretty good Colombian pitcher by the name of Julio Teheran (9-6, 2.64). He struck out a season-high 11 and allowed just a run over seven innings last time out vs. the Marlins but took a no-decision.

Key trends: The Braves are 5-2 in Teheran’s past seven at home vs. teams with a losing record. The under is 5-1 in his past six at home against teams with a losing record.

Early lean: I would take San Diego at -135 on the runline and under at -110.



Orioles at Mariners (-114, 8)

I really don’t get the Seattle Mariners. They had all offseason to re-sign Kendrys Morales. OK, maybe he wanted too much. But then they had the first three months of the season to still do it and chose not to despite a glaring need for a bat. The guy led the Mariners in batting average (.277), hits (167), doubles (34) and RBIs (80) last season while also hitting 23 homers. So what does Seattle do now? Gives up a potential asset in minor-league pitcher Stephen Pryor to acquire Morales from the Twins. Seattle certainly leads the league in first base/DH types. Morales looked pretty lousy in his month-plus with the Twins so I doubt he makes a huge dent for the M’s. Morales is 2-for-5 career off Saturday’s Orioles starter Bud Norris (8-6, 3.78). He held the Angels to an earned run over 6.2 innings in his last start. Corey Hart, another one of those Seattle 1B/DH guys, has two homers and six RBIs career off Norris in 18 at-bats. Chris Young (8-6, 3.22) goes for the Mariners. Young is 5-3 with a 2.45 ERA in 10 starts at Safeco Field this year. Few Orioles have ever faced him.

Key trends: The Orioles are 5-2 in Norris’ past seven on the road. The Mariners have lost five straight Game 3s of a series. The under is 9-0-1 in Young’s past 10 at home.

Early lean: Why aren’t the Mariners more heavily favored with how good Young has been at home? I think they will be at least -120 by game time. Take Seattle and the under at +100.



Diamondbacks at Phillies (-152, 7.5)

If you are an ESPN Insider, check out Buster Olney’s latest blog on how the Phillies have so many untradeable contracts, more than any other team. Right behind Ryan Howard on that list is Cliff Lee, who starts Saturday. The Phillies absolutely want to dump Lee, but Olney makes a good point that a trade might not happen until August because Lee will clear waivers. He is still owed $25 million for next season and then around the same amount in 2016 or a $12.5 million buyout. Who gives $12.5 million buyouts?? Lee (4-5, 3.67) made his first start in two months on Monday and was shelled, allowing six runs and 12 hits over 5.2 innings. He will still be a Phillie after the July 31 deadline. Some team might take a shot in August (Yankees) if he improves. Arizona second baseman Aaron Hill is 9-for-26 with two doubles and three RBIs career off Lee. Snakes starter Josh Collmenter (8-5, 3.64) has had back-to-back starts of allowing just an earned run over seven innings. His best start of the year was when he blanked the Phillies over six innings on April 25.

Key trends: Arizona is 6-1 in Collmenter’s past seven vs. teams with a losing record. Philadelphia is 1-6 in Lee’s past seven at home. The under is 5-0 in Collmenter’s past five.

Early lean: Lee might not be right yet and Collmenter has been good of late. The Snakes are good value here.



Indians at Royals (-127, 8.5)

Two injuries to keep an eye on here. Indians shortstop Asdrubal Cabrera (.247, 9 HRs, 39 RBIs) is aiming to play. He hasn’t started since Monday due to back spasms. Royals first baseman Eric Hosmer (.271, 6 HRs, 45 RBIs) might play as he has been dealing with a bruised right hand that is hampering his swing. He did enter Thursday’s game late as a defensive replacement. Zach McAllister (3-5, 5.28) starts for the Tribe. He was sent down to the minors for a while but has been better since returning, allowing four runs over 12.1 innings in two starts. He beat the Royals on April 21, allowing two earned over six. Alex Gordon is a career .333 hitter off him with two doubles and homer in 12 at-bats. Kansas City’s Jeremy Guthrie (5-9, 4.56) looks to end a three-start losing streak. He has allowed 17 runs over 14 innings in that stretch. The first of those was July 5 in Cleveland when he was rocked for 11 hits and six runs in four innings. Jason Kipnis really kills the guy, going 10-for-17 with two homers and seven RBIs. Nick Swisher (.370, 2 HRs, 11 RBIs) does too.

Key trends: The Royals have lost five straight on Saturday as well as five straight Guthrie starts on Saturday. The under is 6-1 in K.C.’s past seven vs. right-handers.

Early lean: Over at -110.



Red Sox at Rays (-118, 7.5)

The injury to watch here is to Boston DH David Ortiz. He left Thursday’s game in the ninth inning after experience a spasm in the middle of his back after taking a check swing. It didn’t look good, but Ortiz didn’t seem overly concerned. Still, a long flight from Toronto to the Tampa area wouldn’t have helped things. Big Papi has proven pretty durable despite his age. Ortiz will want to be in there against Rays right-hander Jeremy Hellickson as Ortiz is 9-for-24 with three homers and four RBIs career against him. Hellickson (0-0, 2.08) was activated off the DL right before the All-Star Break and pitched 4.1 innings vs. the Royals, allowing a run. He was then sent back down to get more seasoning with the break and the Rays not needing him. Now he’s back and should be in the rotation to stay. After a rough stretch, Boston’s John Lackey (11-6, 3.66) has pitched back-to-back quality starts, winning both. He is 1-0 with a 1.20 ERA in two starts vs. Tampa Bay this year. Both Matt Joyce and Evan Longoria are career .333 hitters off him with two homers and six RBIs.

Key trends: Boston is 1-7 in Lackey’s past eight road starts vs. teams with a losing record. The Rays have won seven straight vs. right-handers. The over is 4-1 in Lackey’s past five against Tampa Bay.

Early lean: I lean Rays regardless, but if Ortiz sits add them on the runline (currently at +180).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
I took it on the chin last night with two late losses. The Cubs and Cardinals went back and forth but the Cubs eventually took and held the lead in the 7th inning, and then in the night game the Braves scored their 2nd run of the game in the bottom of the 8th to put that game one run over the total. I'm looking to bounce back here on Saturday night, going again with the UNDER in the Padres/Braves series with another two solid starters on the mound.
2 UNIT = San Diego Padres @ Atlanta Braves - UNDER 7 RUNS (-125)
Listed Pitchers: Despaigne vs Teheran
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.60 units)
Odrisamer Despaigne will start for the Padres with an extra days rest after flirting with a no-hitter his last time out. He pitched 7.2 innings giving up 2 hits and 1 earned run. He is now 2-1 on the season with a 1.31 ERA, .177 OBA and 0.90 WHIP over 5 starts. In 2 road starts he has a 1.29 ERA as he has given up just 2 runs over 14 innings of work. The Braves will counter with Julio Teheran who is 9-6 with a 2.64 ERA, .221 OBA and 1.03 WHIP. At home he is a stellar 3-1 with a 1.23 ERA, .176 OBA and 0.79 WHIP. After two poor road starts he came back home and went 7 innings allowing just 4 hits and 1 earend run with 11 strikeouts and just one walk his last time out. Take note that the UNDER is 34-15-2 in the Padres last 51 overall, 5-1-1 in their last 7 games vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, 4-1 in Despaigne's 5 starts, and 48-22-4 in their alst 74 games as an underdog. The UNDER is 7-1-1 in the Braves last 9 games vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, 20-6 in Teheran's last 26 home starts, and 11-0 in his last 11 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The UNDER is also 32-13-1 in Teheran's last 46 starts overall and 9-4-1 in his last 14 starts pitching with 4 days rest. With the stats sites having last night's game being graded a push because some bookies closed with a totla of 7 (-135) the UNDER is 21-5-3 in these two teams last 29 meetings in Atlanta. I'm on the UNDER.


Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Washington Nationals @ Cincinnati Reds - UNDER 7 RUNS (-112)
Listed Pitchers:Gonzalez vs. Cueto
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.79 units)
Picked up a winner last night in this same series and on the same bet. Looking for the same results here on Saturday afternoon.
As predicted, the Reds' offense was atrocious. Some of it was due to the effort of Tanner Roark, but a lot of it was because of their lineup. They managed only 1 run on 3 hits. Without Phillips and Votto around much of the same should continue to happen. I said in my last writeup the Reds have two solid players currently healthy, the one being Alfredo Simon and the other the starter today, Johnny Cueto. We've expected this type of production out of Cueto who enters this afternoon with a 2.18 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. His numbers are even better at home, where in that respect his ERA slides down to 1.93 with a WHIP and OBP of only 0.79 and .224. Cueto last allowed more than 3 runs on June 6th nine starts ago against the Phillies. He should be able to handle the Nationals today at home after a rough outing against them on the road a couple of months ago. His pitching counterpart, Gio Gonzalez, hasn't been amazing but he should be able to look amazing against these Reds' hitters. I noted yesterday that the Reds have average 1.8 runs in their last five games, well that number goes down due to the 1 run they scored last night. Gonzalez hasn't been bad either, just good, not great. He's been good in his last three starts with a 3.00 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Gonazlez went a stretch between June 23rd-July 5th where he allowed no runs and only 9 hits in those three games. He followed it up by allowing 3 runs in each of his last two games, so he is turning it around after a poor start. He'll be able to take advantage of the anemic Reds' offense today going opposite to Cueto. I loved getting the hook on last nights number as I thought the line should have been 7. I still like the total of 7 today in which I'll be playing the UNDER 7.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

SATURDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play St. Louis +115 over Chicago Cubs (MLB TOP PLAY)

Chicago is 41-80 vs. division opponents the last two seasons
Chicago is 49-78 in day games the last two seasons
Chicago is 31-50 vs. right-handed starting pitchers the last two seasons


10* Play Washington +105 over Cincinnati (MLB TOP PLAY)

Washington is 71-53 after having won five or six of the last seven games
Washington is 98-79 when the total posted is 7 runs or less
Washington is 38-31 when playing on a Saturday the last three seasons

=============================================

5* Play Cleveland +120 over Kansas City (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Miami +110 over Houston (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

SATURDAY

TOP CANADIAN FOOTBALL PLAYS---BIG PLAY



Play Toronto +8.5 over Saskatchewan---RISK 25% OF YOUR BANKROLL


Saskatchewan has lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread after having lost two of the last three games and they have lost 19 of the last 27 games against the spread when playing after the 1st month of the season.Saskatchewan has lost 13 of the last 18 games against the spread when playing on a Saturday and they have lost 8 of the last 11 games against the spread after allowing 200 or less passing yards in their last game.




Play Hamilton -7 over Ottawa---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL


================================================== =========

TOP ARENA FOOTBALL PLAYS



Play Jacksonville -16 over Los Angeles Kiss---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play San Jose -13 over Iowa---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Spokane -9.5 over Portland---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

SATURDAY BASEBALL




Play St. Louis +115 over Chicago Cubs----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)

4:00 PM EST

Shelby Miller has won 6 of the last 8 games when pitching on a Saturday and he has won 12 of the last 18 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season. Shelby Miller has won 9 of the last 14 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 to +150 and he has an ERA of 0.00 vs. Chicago over his career.





Play Washington +105 over Cincinnati----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
4:00 PM EST


Gio Gonzalez has won 19 of the last 22 games vs. NL Central Division Opponents and he has won 55 of the last 92 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season. Gio Gonzalez has won 29 of the last 43 road games and he has won 77 of the last 131 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

SATURDAY CANADIAN FOOTBALL

5000* Play Hamilton -7 over Ottawa (TOP CFL PLAY)

Ottawa has lost 10 of the last 14 games against the spread coming off a home win and they have lost 25 of the last 37 road games against the spread.Ottawa has lost 45 of the last 48 games when playing as an underdog and they are only averaging 19 points a game on offense this season.


5000* Play Toronto +8.5 over Saskatchewan (TOP CFL PLAY)

Toronto has covered the spread in 10 of the last 13 games when playing on a Saturday and they have covered the spread in 13 of the last 20 road games.Toronto has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 games after covering the spread in three of the last four games and they have covered the spread in 10 of the last 14 games when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime
MLB Baseball

1000* Play Pittsburgh -130 over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)

Colorado has lost 46 of the last 68 games when playing in the month of July and they have lost 41 of the last 67 night games.Colorado has lost 85 of the last 133 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers and they have lost 58 of the last 85 games when playing as an underdog of +125 to +175.

================================================== ===

50* Play Chicago White Sox -155 over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Oakland -165 over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

LA ANGELS -115
(Shoemaker/Verlander)

Justin Verlander has not been impressive this year and this is a Angels team that is great against right handed pitching and excellent at home. Look for the Angels to get to Verlander early today. Take Los Angeles.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LVWhiteShark

Colorado Rockies +120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer MLB Situational GOM

Pittsburgh

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin

Bonus Total

Under 7.5 Chicago White Sox/Minnesota Twins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J. Banks
500 DIME - Yankees ML
500 DIME - Yankees OVER 8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SHAKER’S SHORTS

2* 954 CIN / 953 WAS – UNDER 7
Analysis: The weather in Cincy is somewhat conducive to a higher than normal score but I promise you that has been factored into the betting number here for this game. We do have a better than average ump working the balls and strikes 2 much better than average starters working this game, and a Reds team that is having trouble plating runs. The Bonus here is that Cueto has been Marvo at this park this year with an ERA well under 2 and a WHIP Under .80. These things and others make this an easy choice for us in this afternoon contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetime Insiders

2* Play

Boston +100

This game pits Hellickson vs Lackey. Lackey has struggled in his last 5 with an ERA north of 6 but has been great in his last two starts by not giving up more than two runs. Lackey is a very underrated pitcher according to our system whereas Hellickson is very overrated and even though he dominated his last start he was quite lucky in that contest and should have some difficulty against the Red Sox today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels
Time: Saturday 07/26 9:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Los Angeles -114 (moneyline) at Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu)

The Los Angeles Angels have been a mystery over the past two seasons as they have a lot of talent, but just didn't seem to have the team chemistry. All that has changed as this team is 20 games over .500 and just two games behind Oakland for the best record in the AL, and in all of baseball. Matt Shoemaker takes the ball for the Halos, and his 7-3 record on the season is backed by a better ERA than the Tigers Justin Verlander. Verlander hs seen his velocity, once topping out at 100, drop considerably, and he hasn't pitched with the same effectiveness this season with a 4.84 ERA. The Angels have been punishing as a home favorite where they are now 22-6 in their last 28. And the Tigers have never played well against the Angels here where they are a brutal 14-39 in their last 53. Make the play on Los Angeles

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bestbetpick

Josh Daniels

Washington Nationals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Topshelfpicks

Carson K

San Diego Padres

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

Saturday Night MLB Team Total

Kansas City Royals Over 4 Runs -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Handicapper King

MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates


CFL

Toronto Argonauts +7.5


Free Play New York Yankees

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

MLB

3* Kansas City Royals -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

WNBA

3* Take Los Angeles/Seattle 'Over' 148.5 (4 p.m., Saturday, July 26)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

75 DIME MAX WAGER

Orioles ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Saturday
By Vince Akins


SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Pirates are 11-0 since May 29, 2014 when they are off a loss in which they never led and allowed more than two runs for a net profit of $1,165.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY

When Clayton Kershaw starts the Dodgers are 10-0 since July 2, 2013 as a road 140+ favorite after his team won the last time he started for a net profit of $1,000.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The Marlins are 0-12 ($+1,350) since 2010 if their opponent has allowed at least 11 hits in each of the last three games.

CHOICE TREND:

The Orioles are 0-9 since August 10, 2013 after an extra inning win and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1,095 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

When Julio Teheran starts the Braves are 13-1 since May 20, 2013 as a favorite after his team lost the last time he started for a net profit of $1,170.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

CFL

Ottawa @ HAMILTON

Ottawa/HAMILTON over 47 -110

(Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)

The buy-low, sell-high angle does not just apply to sides. It can apply to totals too and we find an example of that in this game. Hamilton has played three games and the totals in those games were 54, 54 and 50½ respectively. All three games went under the number and the reaction to that and to overall scoring being down is a very beatable number here. Both games so far this week have gone under the number. Over players are getting clobbered this year, which in turn makes them gun shy and many will shift gears but we’re not one of them.

Hamilton’s offense is loaded with outstanding receivers and for the first time this season they’re all healthy with a full week of practice under their belt. They also have one of the most dangerous offensive weapons out of the backfield in C.J. Gable. The Tiger-Cats come into this game 0-3 but two of their losses occurred against the great defenses of Edmonton and Calgary. The Tabbies take a huge step down in class here when facing the poor defense of the Redblacks. Incidentally, Hamilton probably should have won both those games. Dan LeFevour gets the call at QB for Hamilton and he’s the third different starter in three weeks. However, after replacing Jeremiah Masoli last week he got in plenty of snaps and he’s been taking most of the reps in practice this week. LeFevour is dangerous with his ability to run and is without question Hamilton’s best option.

The Redblacks aren’t scoring many points and in fact these two rank at the bottom of the league in all key offensive categories. But as the weeks pass and players get used to new systems and offensive schemes, scoring will increase. Ottawa’s Henry Burris is capable of going off in any game. Had his receiving corps been able to catch accurate passes right in the numbers, Ottawa would have scored a lot more points. Burris will be a little extra-jacked up here to perform well because the Tiger-Cats chose to release him in in the of-season in favor of Zach Collaros. Furthermore, the Redblacks figure to get a couple of short fields because the Tiger-Cats are turnover prone with 12 already in just three games. That said, we’re not counting on Ottawa to light it up here. A reasonable output of between 14-24 points is attainable. As for Hamilton, with all that offensive firepower, they figure to go off. This is their first “real” home game in close to two years. The fans will be crazy and the atmosphere electric. Hamilton has the horses to put up 40 points on their own in this one and they may not stop there.

NOTE: We’re passing on the Riders/Argos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

Baltimore @ SEATTLE

Baltimore -105 over SEATTLE

(Risking 3.15 units - To Win: 3.00)

Frankly, we couldn’t give a rat’s behind who is pitching for the Orioles, as this one is all about fading Chris Young of the Mariners. The Orioles find ways to defeat strong pitchers and usually beat up on poor ones and Young fits the bill of the latter. Chris Young has started 19 games and has a 3.22 ERA after 117 innings. How can that be? Here’s a guy with the worst groundball rate in the league at 24%. Over his last five starts, his groundball rate is even worse at 21%. He has just 70 K’s in those 117 innings and it’s only a matter of time before he strings together a series of disasters. Young has been the beneficiary of a ridiculously high 88% strand rate over 50% of his starts. Overall, his strand rate is 80% and his xERA is 4.99. Young is 35-years old and totaled only 44 IP in 2010/11 due to shoulder issues, and missed most of 2013 due to thoracic outlet syndrome. Despite his 6’10” height, Young isn’t a power pitcher. His fastball is generally in the 84 mph range and he’s never piled up big strikeout numbers. Chris Young is pitching on borrowed time. His skills are horrible and if this home-run hitting team doesn’t get to him, it’ll be because of the yard he pitches in but even that can’t mask his deficiencies much longer. The Orioles at a cheap price against Young is perhaps the best value on today’s board.


Toronto @ N.Y. YANKEES

Toronto +121 over N.Y. YANKEES

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.42)

Leave it to the New York Yankees to bring in another aging veteran. Chris Capuano is 39 years old and hasn’t started a game since September of last year. He made 28 relief appearances this season as a member of the Red Sox before they released him. The Rockies picked him up and sent him to the minors where he was subsequently dealt to the Yanks for cash considerations. In Capuano’s last five outings in June, he surrendered 10 earned runs on 14 hits and four walks in just four innings. The left-handed Capuano's four 2014 minor league starts show promise (21 strikeouts and five walks in 19.1 innings), but a major league career 39% fly-ball rate and 1.2 HR/9 makes him a huge risk at this launching pad for right-handed hitters (Yankee Stadium increases HR’s by 16% compared to rest of league. Capuano’s 1.55 WHIP this season (1.41 last year in 24 starts for the Dodgers) almost assures us that men will be on base when one or more Blue Jays go deep.

Drew Hutchison has always flashed big strikeout potential and currently leads the Blue Jays staff in Ks with 102 in 113 innings. Hutchison has one of the unluckiest profiles in the game with a low 68% strand rate on the year to go along with an abnormal 32% hit rate. Once that normalizes his ERA will decrease. On the road, Hutchison is 4-4 with an ERA of 2.97. What's more, he's bumped his fastball velocity from 91 mph to 92 mph, but can reach back to the 95-mph range if necessary. Hutchison has been whacked in two straight starts and may be a little shell-shocked but he and the Blue Jays are a strong value play taking back a tag against a guy that couldn’t crack the Rockies horrible staff.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Louisville Slugger

*8 St. Louis Cardinals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Behind The Bets

MLB

Houston Astros

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UNDER Umpire Streakers

#953 UN7 -115 WAS/CIN 1u (S.Pt) Nelson 3ov/7un L10gm 70.0%

#977 UN8.5 -115 DET/LAA 1u (S.Pt) Blaser 3ov/7un L10gm 70.0%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DHayes2

1* Nationals +106

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant | MLB Money Line Sat, 07/26/14 - 9:05 PM غ
triple-dime bet 978 ANA (-120) BetOnline (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fpartners.commission.bz%2Fpr ocessing%2Fclickthrgh.asp%3Fbtag%3Da_36640b_127) vs 977 DET Analysis:


3 Units (Max Bet)

[978] LA ANGELS -120

List Shoemaker & Verlander

We went against Felix Hernandez on the Run Line last night & cashed with the Orioles. Time to go against another well-known hurler tonight in Justin Verlander. The name alone would scare off many bettors, but the fact is Verlander isn't anywhere near the pitcher we've seen in recent yœears. The guy owns an ERA near 5! But that's not the worst part for JV. He threw 116 pitches in Arizona in his last start. There were four other times this season when JV threw more than 115 pitches in a game. How did he do in his next start? Total: 4 starts, 25.1 IP, 21 ER, 37 H, 11 K, 12 BB. That's a 7.46 ERA & 1.93 WHIP this season in his next start after throwing more than 115 pitches in his previous start. Notice he also walked more batters than he struck out in those games. That is some very bad news for JV & Detroit today, as they face a very potent offense in an Angels club that is also very tough at home.

Verlander will be opposed by Matt Shoemaker. Shoemaker's numbers aren't the greatest either, but he has the advantage of facing these Tigers hitters for the first time. He'll most likely give up a few runs, but I expect him to outpitch Verlander based on the info above. LA's bullpen is hit or miss, but I expect them to be handed a multi-run lead that they should hold here at home. The Tigers are actually 0-6 in Verlander's last six starts as a road dog of +110 to +150. I don't see that streak ending tonight. When you see Verlander listed as a dog against a virtual unknown like Shoemaker, there's probably a very good reason for it. Call it Angels 5, Tigers 3. MAX BET on the LA ANGELS.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

4-Unit Play. Take #954 Cincinnati (-115) over Washington (4 p.m., Saturday, July 26)

The Reds have lost seven straight games. They haven't won since the All Star Break. This team needs a win badly. They will get it behind their ace and stopper Johnny Cueto. Washington is going with Gio Gonzalez and he is still working things out after missing time with an injury. Cueto has just a 2.18 ERA on the season and has just a 1.93 ERA at home. He is 5-2 with a 1.74 ERA in day games and I think Cueto will dominate the visitors today.

3-Unit Play. Take #975 Oakland (-1.5, -110) over Texas (8 p.m., Saturday, July 26)

Oakland was blown out yesterday and they will bounce back today. Sonny Gray has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this year. He will shut down a struggling Texas lineup today. The Rangers are going with Nick Tepesch today. He has a 7.71 ERA and is 0-3 in his last three starts. The Rangers are just 8-22 in their last 30 home games. I think Oakland beats them up today.

Allen Eastman

[Can'tPickAWinner]

4-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 9 Cleveland @ Kansas City (7:10 p.m., Saturday, July 26)

Mcallister (R) (3-5 5.28) vs Guthrie (R) (5-9 4.49)

First and foremost, both of these teams hit better when they are facing right-handed pitchers. Cleveland is batting .257 vs righties which is 23 points higher than when they are facing lefties. Also, they are scoring 1.05 more runs per game vs righties. The Royals also prefer when righties oppose them. They are batting .261 vs right-handed pitchers which is 10 points higher than when they are facing left-handed pitchers. More importantly, they are scoring exactly 1 more run per 9 innings vs right-handed pitchers.

The above stats are nice and we certainly prefer both teams to be facing right-handed pitchers when we are playing the over. However, the key to this over is Jeremy Guthries current form and his past performances vs the Indians. Guthrie has been horrible in his last three starts allowing 17 earned runs and 24 hits in just 14 innings pitched. On top of that, Cleveland salivates when Guthrie takes the mound against them. The Indians have faced Gurthrie twice this year and they have lit him up for 21 hits and 10 earned runs in just 10 1/3 innings.

Both teams have been struggling to score runs lately but they came to life a little bit last night as they combined for 10 runs and 17 hits. I look for the Indians to really come to life today.

4-Unit Play on the Over

Best of luck -- Mike


4-Unit Play. Take #971 Cleveland Indians (-105) over Kansas City (7:10 p.m. Saturday, July 26th)(odds courtesy of 5dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229))

Mcallister (R) (3-5 5.28) vs Guthrie (R) (5-9 4.49)

Kansas City has won the opening two games of this series by scores of 2-1 and 6-4. Fortunately for the Indians, they get to face Jeremy Guthrie Saturday night. As I mentioned in the above write-up, Guthrie has been atrocious lately and the Indians have owned him.

Mcallister hasnt been a world beater by any means so far this year. However, he did beat Kansas City 4-3 allowing 6 hits and 2 earned runs in 6 innings pitched earlier in the season. In his last 3 starts, he pitched 14 1/3 innings allowing only 12 hits but a whopping 9 runs with 8 of them being earned. In other words, he hasnt been terrible but he hasnt made the big pitches when it counts. Tonight, he wont have to be stellar to beat Guthrie and the Royals. This is a great spot for Mcallister and the Indians.

4-Unit play on Cleveland

Best of luck -- Mike


2-Unit Play. Take Josh Thomson (+195) to win inside the distance over Bobby Green (8:00 p.m. Saturday, July 26th)

(You can play this at 5dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229). To win inside the distance simply means that Thomson will win and the fight will not go the distance.)

In his last three fights, Josh Thomson (20-6-0) has been in the ring vs three of the best lightweight Mixed Martial Artists in the world. In those three fights, he lost split decisions to Benson Henderson and Gilbert Melendez, and he knocked out Nate Diaz with a head kick in the second round; it was the first time Nate was stopped inside the octagon.

Josh fought Benson in January and the loss was so devastating to him that he considered retirement. However, he elected not to retire and he makes his return tonight vs Bobby Green (22-5-0), who took the fight on short notice. Daniel Cormier went on record at the weigh-ins saying Josh Thomson was the most skilled technical fighter at AKA (American Kickboxing Academy). That says a lot because DC has a great chance to be the next Light Heavyweight Champion and Cain Velazquez is the Heavyweight Champion, and they both train at AKA.

As I mentioned, Green took this fight on short notice and that could very well be his downfall. Thomson is always in tip-top shape and he will push the pace. If Thomson gets it to the ground, he will finish Green as Thomson is very accomplished on the ground while Green is just a blue belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu.

In conclusion, Thomson has been in the ring with much better talent than Green has been in the ring with. This is a big step-up for the 13th ranked Lightweight, Bobby Green. Thomson is going to make one final push at a title and he will come out with something to prove tonight.

Best of luck -- Mike Davis

[Can'tPickAWinner]

3-unit Play Take #966 New York Yankees (-125) over Toronto Blue Jays (1:05pm EST) Chris Capuano will make his Yankees debut today in the Bronx against the Toronto Blue Jays. New York obviously saw something in the left-hander even though he struggled in the bullpen with the Red Sox. Capuano has always been an overachiever and a guy that has defied the odds. He's come back from some serious injuries when everyone counted him out and given good innings to several teams throughout his career. I don't think he's going to win any games by himself with the Yankees, but I'm not going to count him out as far as keeping his team in the game. The Yankees should be able to give him decent run support going up against a struggling Drew Hutchison. The right-hander is 6-9 with a 4.54 ERA overall, but it's his last couple of starts that have raised some eyebrows. Hutchison has allowed six earned runs in each of his last two outings and has a 6.97 ERA over his last six starts. The Jays are also without three key components in their lineup today - Edwin Encarnacion, Adam Lind and Brett Lawrie. This is probably going to be a back and forth game, but in the end I like the Yankees to come out on top.

Best of Luck - Doc's Sports

[golden contender]

Saturday card has MLB Triple Perfect Game of the Month and a 5* 100% Totals system leading the way. MLB Top Totals play Cashes big on Friday. Free Plays now 16-5. MLB Road warrior system Play below.


On Saturday the Free MLB Road warrior system Play is on the Chicago Whitesox. Game 973 at 7:10 eastern. The Whitesox have their ace C. Sale going and they should sail in this one as Minnesota has Logan Darnell going tonight, fresh off a Triple AAA Call up where he good not great. Sale on the other had has been Dominant on the road with a 2.27 era And his last 3 starts overall he has allowed 3 earned runs in 23 innings good for a 1.12 era. He is 5-1 vs the Twins. This game also fits a road warrior system that plays on road favorites in this range if the total is 8 or less and they are off a road win by 2 or more runs and scored 5 or more runs on 10+ hits and had no errors, vs an opponent like the Twins that are off a home loss and scored 5 or more runs. These road teams are 11-2 the past few years. Look for the Whitesox to win. On Saturday the 2 lead plays are the Triple Perfect MLB Game Of The Month from a Huge system that wins on Average by 4 runs per game, their is also a 5* Totals from an Undefeated League wide totals system in a game where their are 5 supporting power angles. Last night TOP play cashed as the A.L East totals play was a winner. Jump on Now and Flatten your book with the Most Powerful systems and data in the Industry. For the free Play take the Chicago Whitesox. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Fisher

Chicago White Sox -1.5 +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Picks Portfolio

MLB

St. Louis Cardinals +118

Tampa Bay Rays +106

Colorado Rockies +111

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor

MMA Picks

Daron Cruickshank (+220) over Jorge Masvidal

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Aquinos

Today's Selections

MLB

Under 8 Baltimore Orioles/Seattle Mariners

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

5 A's run line -1.5/-20
5 Dodgers Run Line -1.5/-115
3 Reds -20
3 Mariners -05
3 Rays -05
3 Angels -15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GameHunter

Reds
Under Mariners

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting 1st Look with Marco D’Angelo

Chicago Cubs ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports

MLB

Sides

#969: Red Sox: +100 3*
Listed Pitchers: Lackey / Hellickson

#976: Rangers: +175 1*
Listed Pitchers: Gray / Tepesch


Totals

#965/966: Under Yankees: 8.5 (+105) 2.5*
Listed Pitchers: Hutchinson / Capuano

#977/978: Under Angels: 8.5 (-110) 2*
Listed Pitchers: Verlander / Shoemaker

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Inside Sports Report

5* SD/At under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Picks - Roxxyfish

WNBA 4:05 PM EST

LA SPARKS -2 first half

Sparks already won twice very comfortable this season at Seattle, Storm might be without Sue Bird due neck injury

MLB

Starting with a MLB game , I like the White Sox tonight, Chris Sale is 5-1 in his last 6 starts and has given up only 2 runs in average against the Minnesota Twins

CHICAGO WHITE SOX -1.5 7:10 PM EST

Soccer USA USL 7:30 PM EST

Minnesota United -103 over Atlanta Silverbacks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LineCatchers

The Pittsburgh Pirates lost game 1 of this series to the sound of 8-1 by the Colorado Rockies and I look for them to bounce back and win game 2 tonight. Jeff Locke will toe the slab for the Pirates and has been dominant in 9 starts in 2014. He is 2-1 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.03 WHIP and has pitched very well in 3 road games this season, going 1-0 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.20 WHIP whilst walking just 2 hitters. Locke has given up 2 ER or less in 6 of his 8 outings and has averaged 6 2/3 IP per start this year.

Tyler Matzek gets the nod of the Rockies and has been roughed up in 4 of his 8 starts this season and the lefty is 1-4 with a 4.91 ERA with a 1.47 WHIP. In 4 home starts, Matzek owns a 1-3 record with a 5.92 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. Batters are hitting a lofty .291 against Matzek and has issued 8 walks in his last 3 outings.

I like the Pirates to get the W tonight and I believe they are showing good value at (- 116) with a huge advantage on the mound. The Rockies bullpen has been rocked at home, combining for a 5.47 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP.

Pittsburgh Pirates - 116

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cajun-Sports

MLB 3* Super System Play of the Day

Philadelphia Phillies -145 vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cajun-Sports

MLB 3* Super System Play of the Day

Philadelphia Phillies -145 vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Play On MLB Home Favs vs a team that won their starters last 2 starts.

569-362 SU +6401 Units including 16-4 SU L20 & 10-2 SU L12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris James Sports

Over NYY/Tor 8.5
Cardinals +112

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

extra bonus system for today:

San Diego Padres / Atlanta UNDER 7 (Bet Level 2) (Total Runs Scored) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 7:10 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AL Demarco

Second Ever 20 Dime MLB Release of my Career

Los Angeles Dodgers RL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R & R Totals

OVER 8 St. Louis Cardinals/Chicago Cubs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep

$1000 951 Over 8 1/2 (-120) St. Louis Cardinals/Chicago Cubs

$1000 953 Under 7 -125 Washington Nationals/Cincinnati Reds

$1000 953 Washington Nationals +100

$1000 951 St. Louis Cardinals +115

$1000 UFC - Ortega -170

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams

BIGGEST BASEBALL RELEASE

2000♦ Double Your Wager Winner # 4 of 5

A.L. East Game of My Career

Boston Red Sox ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso 100 Milw.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JEFF CLEMENT

10* Pittsburgh Pirates -124

8* St. Louis Cardinals +118

6* Oakland Athletics -186

[Can'tPickAWinner]

M. DaSilva
Baltimore ML
White Sox RL
Tampa Bay OVER 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

James Jones

MLB

3* Kansas City Royals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

J. Banks
1000 DIME, Tampa Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE AQUINO

Today's Selections



MLB: orioles/mariners under 8


WNBA: none


CFL: none

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting As A Business

MLB (7:10 et)
Atlanta (Teheran) -1.5 (+120) / SD (Despaigne) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
(Play ON Atlanta: Run Line)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon


Ben lee lost on Friday in MLB in the American League with the Mariners -$172/Orioles.

"Mr Chalk" has Np for Saturday.

Ben lee is 1-3 -$194 for week thirty nine 178-212-5 -$2869.

"Mr Chalk" is 54-39 -$286 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS PRO SPORTS PICK / Jason Morris

NATIONALS-108