7-28-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::handshake::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Phelps, Yankees ice cold on the road
Stephen Campbell

The New York Yankees have been having an awful time when David Phelps has started on the road recently. In Phelps' last nine starts away from Yankees Stadium, the Bronx Bombers are a pitiful 1-8. He'll get the nod when the Yankees face off against the Texas Rangers in the Lone Star State Monday.


BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) presently lists the Rangers as -146 faves with a total of eight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jays, Red Sox trending Over
Stephen Campbell

When the Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox have gotten together lately, there hasn't been any shortage of runs. The O/U is 6-0-1 in the last seven matchups between the two AL East clubs. They'll begin a three-game series at Fenway Park Monday.

The BoSox are presently -132 favorites with a total of 8.5, per BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oberholtzer, Astros on an Under tear at home
Stephen Campbell

Houston Astros pitcher Brett Oberholtzer has been a fantastic play for Under bettors when starting at home this season. In the 25-year-old's last 11 outings at Minute Maid Park, the Under is 9-1-1.

The 'Stros send Oberholtzer to the mound when they host the AL-West leading Oakland A's Monday. BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) currenly has the Athletics as -180 faves with a total of 8.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Under on fire with Kennedy on the road
Stephen Campbell

San Diego Padres Ian Kennedy continues to be a fantastic Under play on the road. In the 29-year-old's last 11 starts away from Petco Park, the Under is a scorching hot 10-1.

Kennedy gets the ball for the Padres when they renew acquaintances with the Atlanta Braves at Turner Field Monday afternoon. BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) currently has the Braves as -156 faves with a total of seven.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fish prevailing as underdogs
Stephen Campbell

The term "underdog" hasn't meant much to the Miami Marlins as of late. In their last seven games when listed as dogs through Sunday, the Fish are 6-1.

Miami happens to currently be +126 home dogs against the Washington Nationals Monday. The total for the game is presently at 7.5, per BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

This club is red-hot on the Under
Stephen Campbell

The Cincinnati Reds have been on a tear for Under backers in recent matchups, evidenced by all of their last six games going under the total as of Sunday. Cincy hosts the Arizona Diamondbacks at Great American Ball Park Monday.

The Reds are currently -127 faves on the moneyline with an O/U of 7.5, per BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
MONDAY, JULY 28th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Monday, 7/28/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #18
•Sox Consider Trade For Matt Kemp: He has had debilitating ankle and shoulder injuries that have limited his play the last two seasons, is still owed roughly $118 million on a contract that runs through 2019, and has a mixed reputation as a clubhouse presence, but the Red Sox are considering making a move for Dodgers outfielder Matt Kemp, according to a club source. With the Sox in need of more offensive production in the outfield, the right-handed-hitting Kemp could be the major piece in a trade for Red Sox left-hander Jon Lester, especially with the Dodgers reluctant to part with top outfield prospect Joc Pederson.

Kemp has had two operations on his left shoulder since 2012 and another on his left ankle in October. He was limited to 73 games in 2013, and the Dodgers determined that the loss of mobility due to his ankle injury limits him to playing one of the corner outfield positions instead of center field. Center field was the position he played in 2010, when he finished runner-up in the National League MVP voting by hitting .324 with a .399 OBP, .586 slugging percentage, 39 home runs and 40 stolen bases. He has put up much more modest numbers this season, posting a .273/.339/.429/.768 slash line, with 8 home runs and 5 stolen bases in 10 attempts. The Dodgers already have five outfielders for three spots, with Pederson knocking on the door, so it makes sense they would consider moving Kemp.

Making a trade problematic is Kemp's contract; the Dodgers would have to be willing to eat a considerable sum for the deal to make any sense for Boston to make it. They might be willing to do so for a pitcher of Lester's magnitude, though again, with no assurances that Lester would be no more than a two-month rental, that also would seem to limit how much the Dodgers would give. The Sox would almost certainly prefer a package built around Pederson. On Saturday, Dodgers general manager Ned Colletti addressed speculation that the Dodgers have some interest in Lester.

"You know what? We may not do anything," Colletti said, according to Mark Saxon of ESPNLosAngeles.com. "We've still got a club that's solid, that still has upside to it, so I think there's still more in this club. Have we won four in a row yet? I think there's still a strong run in this club as it's currently constituted. That said, we've been historically active in July and August, sometimes, and we'll continue to see what else we can do." As for the Red Sox? "It's going to be a crazy few days," Lester said.

•Holland Nears Start Of Rehab Assignment: Left-hander Derek Holland, who has been out since undergoing microfracture surgery on the left knee in January, is on the verge of beginning a 30-day minor-league injury-rehabilitation assignment. Holland rejoined the Texas Rangers on Saturday and is scheduled to throw a bullpen session on Monday. If all goes well, he will began a rehab assignment with a start at Double-A Frisco on Wednesday night against Midland of the Oakland organization.

That would put him on course to return in late August. Before the second half began, general manager Jon Daniels said the club had considered shutting down Holland until next spring but believes he can benefit from pitching again this season. “You start thinking about what’s most important,” Daniels said. “With that being said, he has worked out so hard to come back. I think there is some benefit to him from a mental standpoint to see the light at the end of the tunnel.”

•Yankees Eyeing Willingham, Other Bats, In Addition To Rotation Help: The Yankees, perhaps as concerned about their offensive issues as their rotation, are looking at outfielder Josh Willingham and some other bats. The Yankees may actually prefer Willingham to Marlon Byrd or Alex Rios, perhaps partly because of Willingham's reasonable $7 million salary and status as a free agent after the season, though Byrd and Rios haven't been ruled out. Rios makes $12 million, with a $2 million buyout of a $14 million team option, and Byrd has an $8 million salary next year. Byrd's deal does not seem overly high considering his solid production the past two years, but there may be some concern about his fit in the Bronx.

While Willingham is batting .215, he has 10 homers in only 56 games and a .777 OPS. He's always showed good power despite playing in pitchers parks, such as Target Field, and before that Oakland Coliseum and Pro Player Stadium, the football stadium the Marlins played in before moving to Marlins Park. Willingham, 35, missed 41 games earlier this year because of a fractured wrist, but seems to be healthy now.

The Yankees are known to be seeking rotation help after losing four of its original five starters, but the offense has been disappointing, sparky interest in a bat. Ichiro Suzuki, 40, wasn't supposed to be playing every day, and as we know form the leaks of the Astros notes, the Yankees had been trying to trade him previously. Suzuki wasn't the choice of GM Brian Cashman, and was instead an ownership call from the start. The Yankees may have some concernes about the ability of Carlos Beltran to hold up, as well.

•Braves Look At Andrew Miller: The Braves are believed to be looking closely at lefty Andrew Miller of the Red Sox as their prime bullpen target, with some other lefties in the mix. Atlanta has identified lefty in the pen as its biggest need, with Oliver Perez, who interested the Braves in the winter, Wesley Wright, Neal Cotts, Tony Sipp and Mike Dunn are among other accomplished pen lefties believed available in trade. Miller, a free agent after the year, is having a spectacular season in Boston's pen (64 strikeouts and only 12 walks in 39 1/3 innings to go with a 2.52 ERA), and the fading Red Sox have said they are now "listening" to trade inquiries.

The Braves in their pen currently have only one left-hander, Chasen Shreve, who was called up a week ago, in their pen. Shreve replaced Luis Avilan, who was sent down. The Braves have won more regular-season games than anyone else since 2010, but have perennially adhered to a budget of $90 million to 100 million. Since they've gone "over budget" this year with the $14 million signing of Ervin Santana in spring training following elbow injuries to young starters Kris Medlen and Brandon Beachy, they aren't expected to have room for even bigger moves. But Miller would be a big help.
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Betting Notes - Monday

National League
•Padres-Braves - 12:10 PM
--Former big league OF Lane is making first MLB start on mound; he played 499 games as an outfielder ('02-'07), has thrown 4.1 scoreless innings this year. He was 6-8, 4.67 in 19 AAA starts this year.
--Santana is 4-1, 3.41 in his last five starts.

--San Diego are 4-8 in their last dozen road games.
--Braves are 10-6 in their last sixteen home games.

--Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Atlanta games.

•Diamondbacks-Reds - 7:10 PM
--Anderson is 1-0, 2.25 in his last two starts.
--Bailey is 1-1, 2.25 in his last four starts.

--Arizona lost nine of its last thirteen road games.
--Reds lost eight of their last nine games.

--Under is 3-1-1 in last five Anderson starts.

•Phillies-Mets - 7:10 PM
--Burnett is 1-2, 4.01 in his last five starts.
--Colon is 1-3, 5.13 in his last five starts.

--Phillies won five of their last seven road games.
--Mets won seven of their last eight home games.

--Nine of last twelve games at Citi Field went over the total.

•Nationals-Marlins - 7:10 PM
--Zimmerman is 0-1, 8.64 in his last couple starts.
--Eovaldi is 0-3, 6.39 in his last five starts.

--Washington won eight of its last eleven games.
--Marlins won seven of their last eight games.

--Seven of last ten Miami home games went over.

•Rockies-Cubs - 8:05 PM
--Colorado is 0-4 when Flande starts (0-2, 7.20).
--Cubs lost both Wada starts (0-1, 6.00).

--Colorado lost 12 of their last 13 road games.
--Cubs lost nine of their last eleven games overall.

--Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen games at Wrigley Field.

•Pirates-Giants - 10:15 PM
--Worley is 1-1, 5.50 in his last three starts.
--Bumgarner is 3-0, 2.21 in his last three starts.

--Pittsburgh lost eight of its last eleven road games.
--Giants lost 19 of their last 25 home games.

--Last three Worley starts went over the total.

American League
•Blue Jays-Red Sox - 7:10 PM
--Dickey is 2-6, 4.47 in his last eight starts.
--Buchholz is 3-2, 3.89 in six starts since coming off the DL.

--Blue Jays won seven of their last nine games.
--Red Sox lost five of their last six games.

--Seven of last nine Dickey starts stayed under total.

•Yankees-Texas - 8:05 PM
--Phelps is 2-0, 2.59 in his last four starts.
--Darvish is 1-2, 5.32 in his last four starts.

--New York lost three of its last four road games.
--Rangers lost 30 of their last 37 games overall.

--Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Texas games.

•Athletics-Astros - 8:10 PM
--Chavez is 2-1, 2.60 in his last three starts.
--Oberholtzer is 2-1, 3.23 in his last six starts.

--A's won four of their last five games.
--Astros lost seven of last eight home games.

--Over is 14-8 in last 22 Houston games.

Interleague
•Brewers-Rays - 7:10 PM
--Lohse is 2-0, 1.32 in his last two starts.
--Odorizzi is 3-1, 3.75 in his last four starts.

--Milwaukee won five of its last seven games.
--Tampa Bay won nine of its last ten games

--Six of last seven Milwaukee games stayed under.

•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Lane 0-0; Santana 9-9
-- Anderson 7-4; Bailey 9-11
-- Burnett 10-11; Colon 10-9
-- Zimmerman 12-8; Eovaldi 7-13
-- Flande 0-4; Wada 0-2
-- Worley 3-3; Bumgarner 11-9

-- Dickey 10-11; Buchholz 6-9
-- Phelps 4-10; Darvish 11-7
-- Chavez 14-6; Oberholtzer 4-9

-- Lohse 14-6; Odorizzi 8-12

•Incredible Stat of the Day
Nationals Jordan Zimmermann is 44-16 against the money line in night games (73.3%) over the last three seasons. The right-hander's season against Miami has been about as trying with a 1-0 record and 6.59 ERA in three starts. That hasn't stopped the Nationals from coming away with wins in seven of his last eight outings against the Marlins, resulting in a spot-less 5-0 record and 3.33 ERA for Zimmermann.

Diamond Trends - Monday
•SAN FRANCISCO is 16-2 (+15.7 Units) against the money line versus teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game this season.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 5.6, OPPONENT 2.8.

•SAN DIEGO is 37-19 UNDER (+14.7 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 3.1, OPPONENT 3.5.

•TEXAS is 4-16 (-15.5 Units) against the run line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was TEXAS 3.2, OPPONENT 5.8.

•A.J. BURNETT is 19-45 (-28.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse since 1997.
The average score was BURNETT 3.5, OPPONENT 4.5.

•YU DARVISH is 17-5 UNDER (+11.9 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DARVISH 3.7, OPPONENT 2.5.

•BARTOLO COLON is 13-2 (+12.4 Units) against the run line versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was COLON 6.6, OPPONENT 2.5.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TEXAS) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) - American League, with a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start.
(130-38 since 1997.) (77.4%, +65.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -169.2
The average score in these games was: Team 5.2, Opponent 3.1 (Average run differential = +2.1)

The situation's record this season is: (25-6, +13.9 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (45-12, +23.5 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (85-24, +44 units).

•Play On - All favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 to +160) (WASHINGTON) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) - National League, starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings.
(39-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.9%, +31.6 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (45-10 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.5, money line price: +120
The average score in these games was: Team 5.5, Opponent 2.7 (Average run differential = +2.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 31 (56.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (6-6, +1.4 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-13, +14.3 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (62-70, +4.7 units).

•Play Over - Road teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (NY YANKEES) - poor hitting American League team (AVG <=.260) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings.
(141-82 since 1997.) (63.2%, +55.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 8.3, Money Line=-104.8
The average score in these games was: Team 4.9, Opponent 4.7 (Total runs scored = 9.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 112 (50.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (11-7, +3.6 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (51-35, +14 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (86-53, +30.2 units).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2Halves2Win MLB 07/28

+3 units Sunday....

GAME - SD @ ATL: Braves ML (1UNIT)

***COMP***

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Betting Recap - 7/21-7/27
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes (from Monday, July 14 through Sunday, July 20)

-- Favorites went 11-6 straight up
-- Favorites/underdogs went 8-8-1 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams posted a 9-8 SU record
-- Road teams posted a 10-6-1 ATS record
-- The 'under' went 10-7

Team Betting Notes

-- Minnesota (20-6) has turned up the intensity, as they try to keep Phoenix (21-3) within hailing distance. The Lynx won all three games in the past week, and went 2-1 ATS during the span. They've won seven games in a row, and they're 6-1 ATS during the span. Next up is a date with Phoenix Thursday night at home.

-- Speaking of the Mercury, they have torn off 15 straight victories, and they have covered 10 straight games. They'll try not to look ahead to Thursday's giant tilt against the Lynx, trying to take care of business first against Los Angeles (11-14) Tuesday night in the Valley of the Sun.

-- Washington (13-13) has suddenly caught fire, winning four straight games, and they're 3-0-1 ATS during the impressive stretch.

-- Tulsa (9-17) picked up a rare win by taking care of equally disappointing Chicago (10-15). The Shock have stumbled in the win column overall, but they are 3-0-1 ATS in the past four.

-- The Sky had their meager two-game winning streak snapped in Tulsa, and they are now just 5-14 SU over the past 19 games with a 6-13 ATS mark during the stretch. That's disappointing considering they started out 5-1 SU/ATS.

-- San Antonio (12-14) have struggled lately, particularly against the numbe. The Stars are just 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS over the past six games. They'll take on the Sky Tuesday, so something's gotta give.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 5
By Joe Williams


League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 3-1 straight up in Week 5
-- Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 5
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 5
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 5
-- The 'under' went 3-1 in Week 5

Team Betting Notes

-- How bad is the East Division? Three teams are tied for first place with a 1-3 record.

-- Calgary (4-0) won as a slight road favorite against Edmonton (4-1), their provincial rivals. The Stampeders are now 3-1 ATS while the 'under' has cashed in each of their first four games.

-- Hamilton (1-3) picked up its first win, their first game at home in four outings this season. The TiCats moved from the basement to the penthouse in one game. While they're overall record might be poor, they have covered three straight games.

-- Winnipeg(4-1) rattled off an impressive win on the road against the biggest Jekyll and Hyde team in the CFL, BCLions (2-3). The Blue Bombers are now 4-1 ATS this season, too.

-- While you never know which Lions team will show up each game, one thing is consistent -- the 'under' is a perfect 5-0 in their games.

-- The same holds true for the Eskimos, as the 'under' has cashed in each of their five outings this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks Toronto at Boston The Red Sox open a series at home tonight against at Toronto team that is 0-7 in R.A. Dickey's last 7 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Boston is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


MONDAY, JULY 28
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: San Diego at Atlanta (12:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Lane) 14.473; Atlanta (Santana) 16.338
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-165); Over


Game 953-954: Arizona at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Anderson) 13.911; Cincinnati (Bailey) 15.647
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-140); Over


Game 955-956: Philadelphia at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Burnett) 15.402; NY Mets (Colon) 14.089
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+125); Over


Game 957-958: Washington at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 15.188; Miami (Eovaldi) 16.023
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+125); Over


Game 959-960: Colorado at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Flande) 13.306; Cubs (Wada) 17.064
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 4; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-145); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-145); N/A


Game 961-962: Pittsburgh at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Worley) 15.761; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 17.378
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-175); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-175); Under


Game 963-964: Toronto at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 13.415; Boston (Buchholz) 18.117
Dunkel Line: Boston by 4 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Under


Game 965-966: NY Yankees at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Phelps) 11.688; Texas (Darvish) 17.729
Dunkel Line: Texas by 6; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-160); Over


Game 967-968: Oakland at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Chavez) 15.244; Houston (Oberholtzer) 16.431
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-185); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+165); Over


Game 969-970: Milwaukee at Tampa Bay (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 15.333; Tampa Bay (Odorizzi) 13.772
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+125); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks Indiana at Los Angeles The Sparks play host to an Indiana team that is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games in Los Angeles. LA is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-5). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.


MONDAY, JULY 28
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 601-602: Indiana at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 107.703; Los Angeles 117.698
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 10; 144
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 5; 150
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-5); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play MON Braves -160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Red Sox -140
Brewers +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Monday

Reds/ Dbacks Under 7.5

Phils/Mets Over 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo had his good splitter working Sunday when his victory with the Metamucils overwhelmed his loss with the Small Bears and reduced the deficit to 1,435 moneys.

Monday night: Mr. Aitch will try to avoid a loss with Lohse — 10 units on the Brews to do some damage against the formerly invincible Rays.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Yankees on Sunday and likes the Rays on Monday.

The deficit is 388 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Blue Jays (55-49) at Red Sox (46-57)

Game: 1
Venue: Fenway Park
Date: July 28, 2014 7:10 PM EDT


The Boston Red Sox admitted last week that R.A. Dickey's knuckleballer can be tough to decipher.

An exception for them to that this year has been Xander Bogaerts, who was just given a rest as he works through some issues with his swing.

Dickey tries again to baffle the Red Sox, who will likely have Bogaerts back in the lineup Monday night at home against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Toronto (56-50) took three of four from Boston last week to improve to 7-3 in the season series, with Dickey (8-10, 4.04 ERA) beating Clay Buchholz in last Wednesday's 6-4 victory. Those two starters will meet again in the opener of this three-game set.

Dickey allowed a three-run homer in the first inning to David Ortiz before yielding one run over his final five innings to improve to 2-0 with a 3.65 ERA in two starts against the Red Sox (48-57) this year. He has one walk and 11 strikeouts in those outings.

"That knuckleball is so unpredictable," said Boston first baseman Mike Napoli, who is 2 for 6 off Dickey this year. "We had it going early then he kind of shut us down."

Ortiz is 5 for 15 in his career against Dickey, who has started at Fenway Park once - a complete game in a 5-2 loss Sept. 22. But Ortiz is 1 for 3 against the right-hander this year, which pales in comparison to how Bogaerts has gone 4 for 6 with two doubles.

Boston manager John Farrell gave Bogaerts the day off from Sunday's 3-2 win at Tampa Bay. The third baseman is hitting .142 over his last 28 games.

"(He's) trying to keep some momentum going with the adjustments he's continuing to work on daily," Farrell told MLB's official website. "We've seen it gain a little traction inside of a given game, but occasionally there's some reversion back to him being a little bit quick to the front side - some of the same challenges that he's been facing for some time now."

Bogaerts' .333 career average against Toronto is his highest against any AL club.

Buchholz (5-6, 5.50) looks to recover after he lost for the first time in three starts Wednesday, allowing five runs in six innings. He walked four and struck out one.

"I let that lead go," Buchholz said. "I'll take the blame for this one, for sure."

The Blue Jays have won the last five times he has started against them at Fenway, with the right-hander going 0-3 with a 4.18 ERA in that span. Buchholz is 1-2 with a 5.60 ERA in three outings against Toronto this year.

It's unclear if Blue Jays first baseman Adam Lind, out since July 7 with a broken foot, will be activated. He's a .348 hitter off Buchholz.

Jose Reyes is 13 for 39 in his last nine games, scoring one run in each of his last six.

The Blue Jays took the final two games of a three-game set at Yankee Stadium, winning 5-4 on Sunday. The Red Sox ended a five-game slide Sunday, as Ortiz homered for the fifth time in seven games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Blue Jays at Red Sox

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox (-135, 8.5)

The Toronto Blue Jays look to take advantage of the sinking Boston Red Sox for the second time in a week as they open a three-game series in Boston on Monday. Toronto took three of four at home against the Red Sox to begin last week before winning two of three at the New York Yankees over the weekend, pulling to within three games of first-place Baltimore in the American League East. Overall, the Blue Jays have won seven of nine following a 2-9 stretch.

After dropping the final three games in Toronto, Boston lost two of three at Tampa Bay to extend its misery. The defending world champs scored 14 runs over the final six games of their road trip after producing 14 in the opener of the trek. The Blue Jays swept three straight by a combined score of 20-10 in their last visit to Boston in May.

LINE HISTORY: The line opened at Boston -135 and with some early action on the Red Sox, jumped as high as -139 before settling back down at the opening number. The total currently sits at 8.5.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "These two A.L. East rivals are heading in opposite directions again with the Jays coming off an encouraging series in the Bronx and the BoSox dropping yet another series against a division foe (Tampa Bay). With that said, I do expect to see the Sox put up a serious fight in this series. Clay Buchholz is a better pitcher than his numbers indicate. It remains to be seen whether he can step up against a surging lineup, however." - Covers Experts' Sean Murphy

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We have made Boston a -135 favorite. R.A. Dickey has struggled over his last 3 starts (5.2 ERA), but he is 2-0 vs Red Sox this season (3.5 ERA) so that’s why Boston isn't a bigger fave." - Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag

PITCHING MATCHUP: Blue Jays RH R.A. Dickey (8-10, 4.04 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Clay Buchholz (5-6, 5.50)

Dickey got the win after allowing four runs and nine hits in six innings against Boston on Wednesday, just the second victory in his last eight decisions. The knuckleballer has worked at least six innings in eight consecutive starts while striking out at least five in each of his last seven outings. Dickey also let up a run in 6 1/3 solid innings to defeat the Red Sox at home on April 27 but he is 0-1 with a 6.91 ERA in five career games (one start) at Fenway Park.

Buchholz had seemingly turned a corner after a rocky, injury-marred start to his season, but has been more pedestrian in his last two starts. He has given up eight earned runs on 16 hits and four walks over 12 innings in those outings, including six frames opposite Dickey last week. The 29-year-old has a 6.32 ERA in seven home starts, allowing 52 hits in 37 innings.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Fifty-four percent of wagers are backing the Blue Jays at +125.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HALL OF FAME PICKS / William Holloway

Braves(-165)

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EZWINNERS

2* (952) Braves -$160
2* (967) A's -$190

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | PHILADELPHIA at NY METS
Play On – Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL
157-108 since 1997. ( 59.2% | 60.3 units )
5-7 this year. ( 41.7% | -1.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | OAKLAND at HOUSTON
OAKLAND is 26-10 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in Road games on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.
The average score was: OAKLAND (5.4) , OPPONENT (3.2)

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

WNBA | INDIANA at LOS ANGELES
Play On – Home teams (LOS ANGELES) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games
129-72 since 1997. ( 64.2% | 49.8 units )
1-6 this year. ( 14.3% | -5.6 units )

WNBA | INDIANA at LOS ANGELES
Play Against – Home teams vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) terrible defensive team – allowing 77+ points/game on the season, in July games
146-128 since 1997. ( 53.3% | 0.0 units )
19-15 this year. ( 55.9% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | INDIANA at LOS ANGELES
Play Under – Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 after a game where they covered the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% after 15 or more games
131-74 since 1997. ( 63.9% | 49.6 units )
6-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 6.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Washington Nationals -136 over Miami Marlins
(System Record: 69-0, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 69-45

Soccer Crusher
Tigre + All Boys UNDER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 615-21, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 615-505-87

Here are the rest of his baseball plays for today...


New York Mets -133 over Philadelphia Phillies
Cincinnati Reds -122 over Arizona Dbacks
New York Yankees +136 over Texas Rangers

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Behind The Bets

Astros +181

Pirates +149

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GAMBLING GOD

League: MLB
Team A: Brewers
Team B: Rays
Pick: Brewers moneyline
Risk:$100 to win $117
Time: 4:00 PM PT

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Inside Vegas Sharp Info Play / Cory Kluge Jr.

2 MLB Sharp Plays

San Diego Padres +145 ML

Chicago Cubs -134 ML

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DIY SPORTS BETTING SYSTEMS / Sam Oconnel

Pittsburgh Pirates+145

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays
Time: Monday 07/28 7:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Tampa Bay -129 (moneyline)

The Tampa Bay Rays were left for dead in June when they fell to 18 games below .500, and appeared to be done. This team never quit, and has battled all the way back to contention on the strength of 9 wins in their last 10 games. The Rays are just 4.5 games behind the race for the second Wild Card spot, and the strength of this team has been outstanding pitching. The Tampa Bay staff has allowed more than 3 runs in just 1 of the last 10 games. Milwaukee opened the season a sizzling 20-7, but have actually been a below .500 team since, so they have not played as good as the record looks over their last 79 games. The Brewers have had fits when competing on the road in interleague play where they own a 15-38 record in their last 53 interleague tilts vs. a right-hander. Tampa Bay is 20-6 in their last 26 overall – even better than the sizzling Brewers’ start. Take Tampa Bay.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ART ARONSON

3-GM MON ALL INCLUSIVE (incl. 10* GAME OF WEEK & 10* ART OF WAR!)

Cincinnati Reds ML
OVER 7.5 – Arizona vs Cincinnati
OVER 7.5 – Washington vs Miami

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PRIMETIME INSIDERS

MLB Early Game Play

2* play on Atlanta -1.5 +115!

We have Santana going up against Lane in a very lopsided pitching duo today. Santana has pitched well of late including 6 quality starts in his past seven outings. He should succeed against the very poor hitting Padres. Santana is still underrated per our system and our system loves him in this spot. Lane on the other hand is in his second trip up to the majors and there is really nothing to write about Lane as he was an outfielder back in 2007… Additionally, the Braves have dominated lefty hitting this year hitting close to .263. This is a complete mismatch and the Braves should be able to control this game with Santana on the mound and Lane getting battered for a couple runs. We have the final score in this outing at 5 to 2. We also lean to the under as the Braves and Padres are not very frightening offensive teams. Our official play is a 2* play on Atlanta -1.5 +115!

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Torissi

Nats 4* (-1, -118)

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Indian Cowboy
7* Indiana/Los Angeles 'Under' 151 (10:30 p.m., Monday, July 28)

[golden contender]

Monday card has a Pair of 5* Plays, one is a 94% Revenge system side the other a totals system that beats the posted total line by over 3 runs per game and has 6 Strong angles. Free Plays on an 18-5 run. Free System Play below.


On Monday the free MLB System Play is on the Chicago Cubs. Game 960 at 8:05 eastern. Chicago fits a solid league wide system that has won 10 of the last 11 times and plays against road dogs like Colorado that are off a home loss by 2 or more runs and had 10 or more hits and 1 or less errors, vs an opponent like the Cubs that are off a home dog loss. The Cubs have won 0 of 14 at home vs Colorado and the Rockies have lost their last 4 on the road vs leftys. The Cubs have Y. Wada going and he was solid in one of his starts and mediocre in the other. Today he will bet a Colorado team that is not as potent on the road and will be without Gonzalez and Tulowitzki. The Rockies have Flande on the mound and they have lost all 4 of his starts and he has a 7.20 era. Look for Chicago to the the opener of this series. Start the week big on Monday with a Pair of Powerful 5* MLB Systems, one is a 5* revenge system the other is a 91% totals system. Jump on now and cash out. For the free play take the Cubs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee had Np on Sunday.

E&B have a future wager in the NFL.

A $100 wager on the Jets to win more than 7 games in the Regular season.

For Monday in MLB in the National League "Mr Chalk" likes the Reds -$132/Diamondbacks.

Ben lee is 178-212-5 -$2869 thru Thirty Nine Weeks.

"Mr Chalk" is 54-39 -$286 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

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SPORTS PICKS PORTFOLIO

TOR +126
MIL +119
COL – Over 7.5 -120

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Sports Handicapper King

Tampa Bay

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SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS: 374-312-12 YTD

Free Play: Oakland RL -1.5 -120 vs Houston (6-0 Last 6 Free Play's)

Monday 7/28 Service Play's


So close to the huge day yesterday!! St. Louis only needed to get us 2 runs to cover the RL and they could only put up 1!!! What a shame they couldn't have gotten the insurance run we needed!! Another winning day though so we can't complain!! Let's get the clean sweep today and start this week off on a good note!!


MLB


Atlanta RL -1.5 +105


Cincinnati RL -1.5 +160


Washington RL -1.5 +115

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HOT CHICKS PICKS / Britney DeLuca

Take the METS -130 to eat cheesesteaks for dinner!
Take PITTSBURGH +140 to make the big men feel small!

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BOB BALFE

BOSTON RED SOX/TORONTO BLUEJAYS – OVER 8.5
(Buchholz/Dickey)

Clay Buchholz has been brutal this year and the knuckle ball of R.A. Dickey is not what it once was. Both pitchers do give up their fair share of walks and with the win blowing out tonight there could be a few innings with crooked numbers up on the board. Look for a high scoring game. Take the Over

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INDIAN COWBOY (MLB)

3* Cincinnati Reds -128

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killer move
toronto

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Primetime Insiders

2* Play

Colorado +130

We understand why this line is sitting at 8 with the Rockies playing on the road and the wind blowing in slightly at Wrigley but come on Vegas. We have the top offensive team in the league going up against an overrated pitcher in Wada. Wada has looked mediocre at best this year and that was against the Red and Padres where he gave up 5 earned runs. We know the Rockies are a lot worse on the round but it is hard to believe that they will not get at last 4 or 5 runs agains Wada. The Rockies are 3-6 since the all star break but are hitting close to .300. On the other hand we have Flande who has been torched this year with an ERA north of 7. Unlike Wada, Flande has pitched against some really good offensive teams including the Nationals twice and the Dodgers. The Cubs are only batting .237 since the break and are 2-7 at home. Flande has a three pitch arsenal including 61% fastball, 19% slider, and 20% curveball. The Cubs are average against the fastball and curveball but are dead last against the slider. If Flande can utilize his slider effectively he should have some success against the Cubs as Flande is very underrated. Wada is all about three pitches as well the problem is that the Rockies are top 6 against fastballs, and best in the league against sliders and change ups which Wada turns to over 20% of the time. Once again we realize that the Rockies are not even close to the same team at home but we will take the big dog on the road.

Oakland -1.5 -125 **Oberholtzer is overrated with an ERA of 1.08 at home, 5.00 against the Althetics and is going up against one of the best hitting teams in baseball. While Chavez is going up against the slumping Astros teams without Springer.**

Milwaukee +110 **Lohse has been excellent since the break owning a 2-0 record with an ERA of 1.32. He has had great success on the road with a 7-2 record. The Brewers are better hitting on the road and should be able to find some success against Odorizzi who is slightly overrated.**

1* Play

Toronto +120

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LineCatchers

Kyle Loshe gets the nod for the Brewers tonight as they face an in form Tampa Bay team which has gone 15-5 in their last 20 games. Loshe has been solid thus far in 2014 going 11-4 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in 21 starts. He has given up just 2 ER combined in his last two starts. The Brewers have won 9 of his 12 starts on the road and I see good value on Milwaukee tonight.

Jake Odorizzi will toe the slab for the Rays who will be looking to continue their great form by getting a series win against the Brewers to begin the week. Odorizzi has pitched well at home in 2014, going 3-4 with a 2.73 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. His pitch location hasn’t been at its best over his past few outings though, he has allowed an average of 2.3 walks per game. In 11 ‘Night’ starts this year, Odorizzi has pitched to a WHIP of 1.46.

The Brewers have a BA of .280 and averaged over 5 runs per game in 15 inter league games in 2014, they are 9-6 in those games. The Rays have hit just .239 in 14 inter league games this season going 6-8.

Milwaukee Brewers + 121

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Sportwagers

Toronto @ BOSTON
Toronto +126 over BOSTON
Posted at 12:15 PM EST
The Blue Jays might be ready to make a serious run. After losing 14-1 to these Red Sox on July 21 the Jays have caught fire. They have won five of six and seven of their past nine games. Over its past 10 games, Toronto is first in the majors in team batting average at .305 and they’re in the top three in several other key offensive categories as well. Clay Buchholz doesn’t figure to slow them down either, as Toronto is quite familiar with him. Scared they are not. Buchholz’s last start was also against the Blue Jays in which he took the loss after allowing five runs in six innings and was in trouble throughout. In that outing, he walked four and struck out one. Buchholz takes on the Blue Jays for the fourth time this season and in the three previous starts he has a 6/9 K/BB split over 17.2 IP. In other words, he has not come close to fooling the Blue Jays and there’s no reason to believe that will change in this one.
R.A. Dickey has 37 K’s over his last 40 innings and his knuckleball has never looked better. How do we know that? Well, Dickey’s swing and miss rate over his last six starts is the highest of his career at 13%. Over that same span his WHIP is way down at 1.10, his walks are down and his groundball rate is up. Boston is almost always overpriced and we find another example of that here where Clay Buchholz does not belong in this range against one of the hottest hitting teams in the league.

Our Pick
Toronto +126 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.52)


Sportswagers

Pittsburgh @ SAN FRANCISCO
Pittsburgh +145 over SAN FRANCISCO
Posted at 12:15 PM EST.
We always like playing against San Francisco after a weekend series with their biggest rivals and it sure doesn’t hurt that the Giants are cold. San Fran has dropped four straight and has scored just five runs over that span. The Giants will now take their shots at Vance Worley. As for being mediocre, well, Worley actually posted a negative **WAR (see explanation of WAR underneath this write-up) during a disastrous 2013 season for the Twins and he’s seen both his average fastball velocity and swinging strike rate decline year-to-year since he broke into the big leagues four seasons ago. To be fair, Worley blamed some of his struggles last year on elbow surgery during the previous offseason and biceps tendinitis early in the year. The good news is Worley brings with him a reputation for inducing groundballs, has a career 3.0 BB/9 over 333.1 innings and, it must be said, is still just 26 years old. In six starts and one relief appearance covering 40 innings this year, Worley is 3-1 with a 3.10 ERA. He’s walked just seven batters while whiffing 27. He’s not going to dazzle but there are enough good vibes surrounding him right now that he deserves a look at this price in a good spot.
Madison Bumgarner is having a decent year and his overall numbers look very close to what he has produced in previous seasons. However, his performance at home has been the extreme opposite of what he has done on the road. In 10 home starts, he is just 4-5 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 59 innings. He has allowed four earned runs or more in seven of his 10 home starts, something he has done only once in 12 road starts. Bumgarner is showing signs of fatigue as well. His swing and miss rate has declined from 11% in April to 10% in May and June to just 8% in July. The incredibly high number of innings he's thrown (close to 900) by age 24 may be taking a toll and we’ll put that to the test here.
**WAR - Wins Above Replacement. WAR is an attempt by the sabermetric baseball community to summarize a player's total contributions to their team in one statistic. You should always use more than one metric at a time when evaluating players, but WAR is pretty darn all-inclusive and provides a handy reference point.

Our Pick
Pittsburgh +145 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.90)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

MONDAY

MLB BASEBALL

10* Play Colorado +135 over Chicago Cubs (MLB TOP PLAY)

Chicago is 45-85 in road games the last two seasons
Chicago is 49-85 vs. left-handed starting pitchers
Chicago is 27-58 when playing as an underdog of +125 to +175


10* Play Philadelphia +125 over New York Mets (MLB TOP PLAY)

New York is 19-29 when playing on a Monday
New York is 74-96 at home when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less
New York is 84-104 when playing in the 2nd half of the season

=============================================

5* Play Toronto +130 over Boston (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Milwaukee +135 over Tampa Bay (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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Bookieshunter

2* Over 8.5 Jays/Red Sox
2* Over 7 Nationals/Marlins
1* Yankees

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FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Washington -125 over Miami (MLB TOP PLAY)

Nathan Eovaldi has lost 27 of the last 44 night games and he has lost 34 of the last 53 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.Nathan Eovaldi has lost 19 of the last 30 home games and he has lost 19 of the last 28 games when the line posted is between +125 to -125.

================================================== ===

50* Play Atlanta -145 over San Diego (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Oakland -165 over Houston (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportswagers

Arizona @ CINCINNATI
Arizona +119 over CINCINNATI
Posted at 12:15 PM EST
We mentioned yesterday that the Diamondbacks may be in for a big second half after grossly underachieving in the first half. They lost two of three to the Phillies but it was a case of some extreme poor fortune for the Snakes (lots of bloop hits and seeing-eye grounders) that figures to correct in their favor. The winning run yesterday by Philadelphia was a direct result of the ridiculous “blocking the plate” rule that will be done with next year. In any case, the Diamondbacks can put that behind them and take advantage of playing a team that is reeling. Cinci has lost eight of nine and over that stretch they have scored three runs or less in every game. The Reds have scored two runs or less in seven of their past eight and could be in for another long day at the plate here against Chase Anderson. Anderson’s raw per-inning stats make him the most improved pitcher in the majors. Over his last 16 innings, he has struck out 18 batters. Over his last two starts he has victories over both Miami and Detroit, the latter at home, where he had the Tigers off-balance the entire night. Anderson’s swing and miss rate has increased with each passing month and in July that rate was an elite 14%. His plus change-up is his calling card. He shows decent fastball velocity (88-92 mph) and goes right after hitters thanks to his plus change-up and ability to repeat mechanics and arm speed. He keeps hitters off guard with his willingness to throw his change-up in any count and is always being around the plate. He shows an advanced feel for pitching and works all quadrants of the strike zone. With his confidence soaring, Anderson is a great value play here.
All is not right with Homer Bailey. He was diagnosed with a sprained knee earlier this month and missed a start. Upon his return he was taken yard three times by the Brewers. Bailey’s BAA against is .261 but over his last six starts that BAA was at .275. He also owns an average 4.22 ERA on the year. The Reds have lost five of Bailey’s last six starts so it would come as no surprise of both he and the team he pitches for continue to struggle in this series beginning with this one.

Our Pick
Arizona +119 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.38)

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XpertPicks

MONDAY BASEBALL
•Play Milwaukee +135 over Tampa Bay----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)

7:00 PM EST

Kyle Lohse has won 7 consecutive games when the total posted is 7 runs or less and he has won 14 of the last 22 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher. Kyle Lohse has an ERA of 2.94 vs. Tampa Bay over his career and he has won two of the last three overall starts with an ERA of 2.49.

•Play Toronto +130 over Boston----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
7:00 PM EST

Boston has lost 28 of the last 35 games vs. division opponents and they have lost 35 of the last 59 games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs. Boston has lost 25 of the last 40 home games after having lost five or six of the last seven games and they have lost 40 of the last 74 night games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mysystempicks

2* Brewers
2* Diamondbacks

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First Look with Marco D’Angelo

Milwaukee vs Tampa Bay
UNDER 7

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Intpicks
1* Under Yankees

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FALCON SPORTS

Oakland -1 -160 listing Chavez/Oberholtzer

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THE PROP MACHINE

4-Unit play on the “under 8” (-130) on Yu Darvish’s “Total Strikeouts” in Monday night’s game against the New York Yankees.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Powerplay wins

tampa bay -130
boston -135
ny mets -130
cincinnati -135
chicago cubs -135

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Jeff clement

cincinnati -127
texas -143

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The Shadow Sports Syndicate

MLB: Washington -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt miller

dog of the day — marlins+120

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Betting As A Business

MLB (7:10 et)
Philadelphia (Burnett) +130 / NY Mets (Colon) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
(Play ON Philadelphia)

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NonStopSportsPicks

2* Washington/Miami OVER 7.5, +105

Not sure about the line movement on this one other than the “perception” of what Zimmerman HAS done. But we look further, and we see he’s flat out been hit by the Marlins. In 2 starts this season vs the fish, Zimmerman has allowed hitters to bat .368 & his ERA is upwards of 7. On the opposite side, Eovaldi is no Cy Young. He’s 0-3 with a 6.6 ERA since June 23rd. Add to that the fact that OVER has ca$hed 43 out of 65 times in night games for the Marlins and we’ll take a stab here with + money. There is always the chance this goes to 7, and if you all can wait till closer to gametime, it’s worth the wait. If the line does move back to +100 on the OVER or gets juiced a little to the OVER…get down. If not, wait to see if this moves to 7. Either way, I see enough runs scoring tonight to ca$h this!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Fezzik

Milwaukee

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IveyWalters

Double Dime 2% Washington Nationals -145

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Diamond Trends - Monday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Rockies are 0-11 since May 09, 2014 as a dog after a loss it is the first game of the series for a net profit of $1100 when playing against.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Clay Buchholz starts the Red Sox are 10-0 since August 24, 2009 as a home favorite in the first game of a series when he is pitching on normal rest for a net profit of $1000.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The Yankees are 1-12-1 OU since July 23, 2012 after a one run loss and it is the first game of a series.

CHOICE TREND:

The Rays are 0-9 since April 24, 2014 as a favorite when they came back from a deficit to win in their starter’s last start for a net profit of $1161 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS

When Jordan Zimmermann starts the Nationals are 13-2 since May 07, 2009 after giving up 2 or more home runs last start for a net profit of $1155.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts
Sportingnews

The Pittsburgh Pirates blew a perfect opportunity to make up ground last weekend at Colorado. Meanwhile, the San Francisco Giants are still asking "what just happened" after the Dodgers swept them and took away first place in the NL West. Tonight the two struggling teams hook up, with the Giants as -165 favorites behind ace Madison Bumgarner.

The Pirates had a golden opportunity to make a move in the NL Central over the weekend, but instead got slapped around by the last-place Rockies at Coors Field, losing two of three. They were outscored 16-2 combined in Friday and Saturday's games against a Rockies staff that has a 4.98 ERA, the worst in baseball. After salvaging Sunday's getaway game, the Bucs have now dropped eight of their last 11 games on the road.

The Giants went into the pivotal Dodgers series with the back end of their rotation, but come strong tonight with Bumgarner (12-7, 3.19 ERA), who has won his past three starts after losing the previous three. However, he's had a rough time at home this season, going 4-5 with a 5.22 ERA in 10 starts. Plus, he's 1-2 in three career starts against the Pirates.

The Pirates come with Vance Worley (3-1, 3.10), who has been serviceable for the Pirates. He beat the Dodgers last Tuesday, ending the Pirates' three-game slide behind him. In his career with Philadelphia, he was 2-1 with a 4.09 ERA against the Giants.

The Pirates present a good opportunity with plus-money tonight, but the better play looks to be OVER 6.5 runs. Bumgarner has gone OVER in five of his last six starts and Worley has gone OVER in all three of his starts against the Giants and his last three starts overall.

Monday's picks:

Pirates/Giants OVER 6.5 (-125)

Rays (Jake Odorizzi) -125 vs Brewers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS RUNNER

Confirmed MLB True Steam

970) TAMPA BAY -132
960) UNDER 8 (-125) – COL/CHC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS PRO SPORTS PICK / Jason Morris

ROCKIES/CUBS – UNDER 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso 50 A's [RL]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Leo Carosielli
MLB play on the Tampa Bay Rays on the ML vs Milwaukee Brewers
First Pitch 7:10pm est

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS LOCKSMITH

1* Toronto Blue Jays RL +1.5 -140

2* New York Yankees/Texas – Under 7.5 -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy

Toronto

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Ben Burns

10* Boston

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Diamond Dog Sports
MLB Side Selections

#955: Phillies:+125 (1.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Burnett / Colon


#968: Astros: +180 (2*)
Listed Pitchers: Chavez / Oberholtzer

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Under Umpire Streakers
Marlins UNDER 7
Diamonbacks UNDER 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BLACKSHEEP ‏

Medium Margin Move —- Rockies +1/2 (1st 5innings), Houston Astros +175

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep
1963 Over 4 1/2 (-130) Tor-Bos (1st 5) $1000
1968 Houston +1/2 (+105) (1st 5) $1000

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gordon24

$300 cubs -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Wager Wire / Collab Play. Wage D & Joey B

Nationals -145 (series) 2u