7-31-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::handshake::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's CFL PicksWinnipeg at HamiltonThe Tiger-Cats (1-3) host at Winnipeg team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games versus a team with a losing record. Hamilton is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tiger-Cats favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-3 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


THURSDAY, JULY 31
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (7/30)


Game 421-422: Winnipeg at Hamilton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 111.674; Hamilton 117.317
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 5 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 3 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-3 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Blue Bombers at Tiger-Cats

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-4, 50)

Dan LeFevour and the Hamilton Tiger-Cats try to build on their first victory when they host the Winnipeg Blue Bombers on Thursday. The Blue Bombers already have surpassed their total from 2013 with four victories on the strength of new additions such as quarterback Drew Willy and kicker Lirim Hajrullahu. Former Hamilton defensive back Matt Bucknor also have proved a timely addition, as he leads the team with 21 tackles.

LeFevour looked great in his first career CFL start, powering the Tiger-Cats' offense to 558 total yards after spending last season taking short-yardage duty. He should be under center again for Hamilton with Zach Collaros on the injured list, but he faces a much steeper challenge against a Winnipeg defense that limited its opponent to six points in Week 5. Willy is second in the league with 1,301 passing yards, but the Tiger-Cats' defense averages the fewest passing yards allowed in the East (226.3).

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The LV Superbook opened the Ti-Cats as 3.5-point home faves but that moved up to -4 earlier Wednesday. The total opened 51 but dropped to 50.

INJURY REPORT: Blue Bombers - SB Cory Watson (Questionable, hamstring). Tiger-Cats - QB Zach Collaros (Six-game IR, head)

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "I expected continued regression from the Bombers last week but we saw anything but as they manhandled the Lions in B.C. I'm still not sure Winnipeg is quite as good as its record suggests. There are plenty of Ti-Cat doubters out there but I believe the oddsmakers have it right installing them as a favorite here. Dan LeFevour may not be a long-term solution under center but in the short-term I do expect him to succeed." Covers Expert Sean Murphy

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (4-1): Willy’s primary target has been Nick Moore, who has 320 receiving yards and will be counted on more as long as Aaron Kelly is injured. Nic Grigsby has registered 287 rushing yards and three touchdowns to start his first CFL season. Defensive tackle Zach Anderson leads the team with three sacks.

ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (1-3): Defensive back Craig Butler was seen wearing a walking boot on the sidelines at practice on Monday and could miss Thursday’s game. Running back C.J. Gable recorded 167 of his 288 combined yards last week. Linebacker Rico Murray has made two of the team’s three interceptions.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Blue Bombers are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Tiger-Cats are 1-5 ATS in their last six Thursday games.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 51.79 percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are backing the Tiger-Cats.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fourth-worst money pitcher in action Thursday
Stephen Campbell


If you've been backing the Detroit Tigers with Drew Smyly on the mound this season, your bank account has been taking a hit. The 25-year-old ranks as the fourth-worst money pitcher in baseball through Wednesday with a miserable -$860.


Smyly gets the nod for the Tigers when they host the Chicago White Sox at Comerica Park Thursday. BetOnline currently lists Detroit as heavy -181 faves on the moneyline with a total of nine.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Over red-hot with this ump behind the plate
Stephen Campbell

Recent trends are showing umpire Gabe Morales has been a fantastic play for bettors backing the Over in recent matchups, as eight out of the last 10 games he's worked have gone over the total. Morales will be behind the dish for Thursday's meeting between the Seattle Mariners and Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field.

Per BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/), the Tribe are currently -126 favorites with an O/U of 8.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

This pitcher is lights out on the Under
Stephen Campbell

Under bettors have been cashing in with Baltimore Orioles Bud Norris on the mound. In Norris' last six starts, the Under is a perfect 6-0. He'll get the ball for the O's when they host the Los Angeles Angels at Oriole Park at Camden Yards Thursday.

BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) presently has the Halos as -117 favorites with an O/U of nine.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Phils, Lee trending Over
Stephen Campbell

In Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Cliff Lee's previous eight outings, the Over is a scorching hot 6-1-1. Lee takes the mound for Philly against the Washington Nationals in D.C. Thursday.

The Nats are currently -153 faves with a total of seven, according to BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cards need to buck this trend versus Padres
Stephen Campbell

The St. Louis Cardinals have not been playing well with pitcher Shelby Miller on the mound as of late, dropping five out of the last six games he's started. They'll try to turn things around when the 23-year-old gets the ball against the San Diego Padres at PETCO Field Thursday.

BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) currently lists the Pads as -114 faves with a total of seven.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Blue Jays keep posting high totals
Stephen Campbell

The Toronto Blue Jays have rediscovered their early season offense, and Over bettors are profiting. Through Wednesday, the Over is 7-1-2 in the Jays' last 10 games.

Toronto visits the lowly Houston Astros in Texas Thursday. The Jays are currently -127 faves with an O/U of 8.5, per BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WGC-Bridgestone Invitational preview: Don't count out defending champ Tiger Woods
By MATT FARGO

The PGA Tour is doing double duty this week, the second time this season that a regular tour event and a WGC event are taking place the same week. This week, the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational takes center stage with every player ranked in the top 50 in the OWGR competing from the Firestone Country Club South Course in Akron, Ohio. The Barracuda Championship has to deal with that along with preceding the PGA Championship.

We will keep our focus on the Bridgestone for betting purposes as we have a field that has not been seen on many occasions this season because of its strength.

The South Course at Firestone seems almost unfair to amateurs as it is a par 70 but measures 7,400 yards making it the longest par 70 course of all non-majors. Surprisingly, the bombers off the tee do not have a huge edge as the real way to score is hitting greens in regulation as the greens can be very receptive and can lead to good birdie chances. Firestone South ranked second highest of all par 70's out of the non-Majors a year ago.

Defending his championship is Tiger Woods (+1,200) who has now won here eight times. He tied the course record with a Friday 61 en route to a seven-shot lead that he never relinquished. This is his third event since coming back from back surgery and while he has shown some strong positives, he is still showing a lot of rust. Even with that though, he cannot be counted out here.


Keegan Bradley (+2,300) won here is 2012 which was his third win on tour and he has not won since. He has finished in the top 25 in 26 of his last 38 starts the last two seasons which includes 12 top tens and three runner ups. He has been hit or miss this year but owns two T4 finishes in his last five starts including one at the U.S. Open. Finished T2 here last year in his title defense.

We are getting exceptional value with Jason Dufner (+4,500). He is another player that has been all over the place this season but he certainly has the tools to win especially at this course. His best finish in a major this year is T51 and while he is defending the last one of the season next week, his history here shows that can wait. He finished seventh in 2012 and T4 last year.

Victor Dubuisson (+7,000) made a name for himself with a runner up finish at the Accenture Match Play Championships and he has been solid ever since. He is coming off a T9 at the Open Championship which was his fourth worldwide top ten of the season. This is his first start at Firestone but it is the type of course that fits his game very well and he should be able to score well here.

Brendon Todd (+7,500) is a big time sleeper with big time game. Let's not forget that he already has a win this season at the HP Byron Nelson Championship. That was the start of a run of five top eights in six starts including four top fives. His last start resulted in a T39 at the Open Championship. He will cherish this week as he had to play in Reno the last two years this event was taking place.

Recommended Tournament Win Six Pack at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational (all for One Unit)

Tiger Woods (+1,200)
Keegan Bradley (+2,300)
Jason Dufner (+4,500)
Victor Dubuisson (+7,000)
Brendon Todd (+7,500)

2014 Record to date after 28 events: -83 Units

Sony Open in Hawaii -5 Units
Humana Challenge -5 Units
Farmers Insurance Open -5 Units
Waste Management Phoenix Open -5 Units
AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am +22 Units
Northern Trust Open -5 Units
WGC - Accenture Match Play +23 Units
Honda Classic -5 Units
WGC-Cadillac Championship -5 Units
Valspar Championship -5 Units
Arnold Palmer Invitational -5 Units
Valero Texas Open -5 Units
Shell Houston Open -5 Units
The Masters -7 Units
Zurich Classic -5 Units
Wells Fargo Championship -5 Units
THE PLAYERS Championship -5 Units
HP Byron Nelson Championship -5 Units
Crowne Plaza Invitational -5 Units
Memorial Tournament -5 Units
FedEx St. Jude Classic -5 Units
U.S. Open -6 Units
Travelers Championship -5 Units
Quicken Loans National -5 Units
Greenbrier Classic -5 Units
John Deere Classic -5 Units
The Open Championship -5 Units
RBC Canadian Open -5 Units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 6
By David Schwab

The CFL schedule heads into Week 6 of the regular season and the gap in talent between the West and East Division continues to widen. The West has four teams sitting at .500 or better while the four teams in the East have a combined record of 4-13 straight up.

Week 5 in the league kicked things off last Thursday with Calgary remaining perfect on the year in a 26-22 victory over Edmonton as a two-point road underdog. The total in that game stayed just UNDER the 49-point closing line. Friday’s only action saw Winnipeg continuing its strong start with a 23-6 victory against British Columbia as an eight-point underdog on the road. The total stayed well UNDER the closing line of 51 ½ points in that contest.

This past Saturday’s double-header kicked things off with Hamilton outlasting Ottawa 33-23 as a 6 ½-point home favorite with the total going OVER the 47-point line. Saskatchewan wrapped things up with a 37-9 rout over Toronto as an eight-point favorite at home. The total stayed UNDER the closing 51-point betting line.

Thursday, July 31

Winnipeg (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS) at Hamilton (1-3 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -3 ½
Total: 51

Game Overview

Winnipeg was able to eclipse last season’s SU win total of three games with the victory over BC behind another strong performance from Drew Willy at quarterback. He completed 18-of-26 attempts for 250 yards and a score to remain second in the CFL total passing yards this season with 1,301 in five games.

The Tiger-Cats held the RedBlacks to six-points in the second half of last Saturday’s win after giving-up just 10 points in a loss to Calgary the week before. While there does not appear to be any major issues with Hamilton’s defense, it is ranked second-to-last in the league in scoring with an average of 14.8 points per game. Dan LeFevour got the start at quarterback against Ottawa for the injured Zach Collaros.

Betting Trends

Winnipeg is 0-5 SU and 1-4 against the spread in the last five meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in 16 of the last 21 games played in Hamilton. The home team in this matchup is 7-3 SU in the last 10 games.

Friday, Aug. 1

Toronto (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS) at Montreal (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal -3 ½
Total: 48

Game Overview

Toronto has bared little resemblance to the team that won the East last season with a SU record of 11-7. Ricky Ray is still throwing the ball all over the field with a CFL-high 1,501 passing yards and six touchdown throws, but the Argonauts’ defense has not made things easy with an average of 29.8 points allowed. This is also the highest total in the league.

Montreal is coming off a bye week after stumbling out to a 1-3 start against three different teams from the West (it split two games against BC). An ineffective Troy Smith has seen the majority of the action at quarterback, but look for the Alouettes to possibly turn to Tanner Marsh if Smith gets off to another slow start.

Betting Trends

Toronto has covered the spread in five of its last six trips to Montreal, but overall in this East Division showdown it is 7-15 ATS in the last 22 meetings. The road team has won the last six games SU and the total has stayed UNDER in eight of the last nine meetings between the two.

British Columbia (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS) at Calgary (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -5
Total: 45 ½

Game Overview

Last week’s loss to Winnipeg was a serious set-back for a Lions’ team that was favored by many to win the West this year so this Friday becomes a huge test to get back into the race. Kevin Glenn continues to fill-in at quarterback for the injured Travis Lulay, who is still recovering from a shoulder injury.

Calgary may not have the most dynamic offense in the CFL with an average 24.8 points a game, but that has been more than enough production with a defense that has given-up a grand total of 52 points through its first four outings. Bo Levi Mitchell has done an excellent job at managing the game at quarterback and Matt Walter is the team’s leading rusher with 139 yards on 29 carries.

Betting Trends

BC is 7-15-1 ATS in the last 23 meetings and the total has gone OVER in four of the last six games. The home team in this West Division clash has won SU in seven of the last nine games and the total has stayed UNDER in two of the last three meetings.

Saturday, Aug. 2

Saskatchewan (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS) at Ottawa (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -4
Total: 50

Game Overview

Last season’s CFL Grey Cup Champs proved they still know how to put points on the board and play defense with last week’s win over Toronto. This followed a shaky 1-2 start in the Roughriders first three games. Will Ford led the way against the Argonauts with 114 yards rushing and three touchdowns after recently joining the team.

The expansion RedBlacks keep showing up week after week as a better team than their record might indicate. Henry Burris put the ball up 44 times against Hamilton last week and completed 27 passes for 290 yards and two scores. Running back Chevon Walker is ranked fourth in the league in rushing yards with 251 yards on 45 attempts.

Betting Trends

Saskatchewan is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five games following a SU win, but it is just 8-22 ATS in its last 30 games against a team with a SU losing record. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of their last 14 games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Who's Hot - NL Edition
By Mike Rose

The trading deadline is just about here, and the teams that are the hottest in the National League are the ones who really should be making the moves at this point. Though each of the five best money teams in the game are all in the American League, we'll be taking a look at the top teams in the NL for bettors in pro baseball betting action.

Miami Marlins (53-53, +$540) – The Fish are still living just a bit on what they did at the outset of this season at home. All of their profits are from games played at Marlins Park, and their +$547 mark here at home is a fraction of what they were up when they started off like gangbusters in South Beach. That being said, this young pitching staff really is coming together, and it's only going to get better when left-handed pitcher Andrew Heaney really figures it out and is set to become the stud that we know he can be. All of these prospects that have been put together in trades over the years are finally coming together, and though this probably isn't the year the Marlins will make the playoffs, they can legitimately finish right here as a .500 team with a solid last two months of the season.

Pittsburgh Pirates (57-49, +$513) – The Bucs are starting to get sneaky at the trade deadline, and we wonder if they are ultimately going to end up making a big move that could change the course of how the National League playoff race ends up looking. When outfielder Starling Marte and right-handed pitcher Gerrit Cole both come back from the disable list, this really might end up being the best team in the NL, and that's saying something, especially in the crowded NL Central. The reason why the Pirates are going to be a decent bet all year long is because they don't have any of those "name pitchers" who are always the big time favorites every time they get on the bump. Pittsburgh should continue to trend upwards, and we would be surprised if it wasn't one of the best five teams in baseball from a betting perspective at season's end.

Milwaukee Brewers (59-49, +$447) – The Brewers were once the best money team in the league, and though they have had a bit of a plight, they have still hung in there and would be in the playoffs if they started today. It's a heck of an accomplishment for a club with no really bona fide ace pitchers and bats that have generally overachieved as we see it. Our concern? The team has scored just two runs in its last three games combined, and it has three road games against the Cardinals coming up here over the weekend. There is a real chance that the schedule is going to end up getting the best of this team by October, and that will probably see the Brewers left out of the postseason dance when it's all said and done with.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks Cincinnati at Miami The Reds head to Miami tonight to open a series and come into the contest with a 4-1 record in Johnny Cueto's last 5 starts against the Marlins. Cincinnati is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Reds favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-130). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


THURSDAY, JULY 31
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: Colorado at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Matzek) 14.334; Cubs (Arrieta) 13.542
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-170); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+150); N/A


Game 903-904: St. Louis at San Diego (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Miller) 15.685; San Diego (Despaigne) 14.304
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+105); Under


Game 905-906: Philadelphia at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 15.386; Washington (Gonzalez) 16.629
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-165); Over


Game 907-908: Cincinnati at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.384; Miami (Koehler) 13.888
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-130); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-130); Under


Game 909-910: Pittsburgh at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Locke) 14.458; Arizona (Collmenter) 15.873
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-110); Under


Game 911-912: Atlanta at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 16.172; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 17.775
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-200); Over


Game 913-914: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 15.386; Detroit (Smyly) 14.562
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+170); Under


Game 915-916: LA Angels at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Skaggs) 16.477; Baltimore (Norris) 17.797
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+110); Under


Game 917-918: Seattle at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Young) 14.902; Cleveland (McAllister) 16.300
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-135); Under


Game 919-920: Minnesota at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Correia) 15.737; Kansas City (Ventura) 17.438
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-190); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-190); Over


Game 921-922: Toronto at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Hutchison) 13.783; Houston (Cosart) 15.138
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+115); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks Phoenix at Minnesota The Lynx play host to Phoenix tonight and come into the contest with an 11-5 ATS record in the last 16 games between the two teams. Minnesota is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-1). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.


THURSDAY, JULY 31
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 651-652: Phoenix at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 118.167; Minnesota 121.178
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 3; 169
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 165 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-1); Over


Game 603-604: New York at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 107.407; Chicago 112.624
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 5; 155
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 149 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3); Over


Game 605-606: Atlanta at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 110.536; Tulsa 111.765
Dunkel Line & Total: Tulsa by 1; 169
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 165 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+3 1/2); Over


Game 607-608: Indiana at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 108.759; Seattle 108.266
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 148
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 3; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Golf Professor
Progolfmoves

2014 WGC BRIDGESTONE INVITATIONAL



FIRST ROUND MATCH UPS



2 Unit(2%) Plays

149 **Harris English -110 over Lee Westwood

~We give up the course experience edge in favor of everything else and in a short 18 hole match up we should be fine. English T14 here in his first and only trip here last year. Statistically and looking at recent form everything points to English and at this price we’ll gladly take it.

141 **Webb Simpson +105 over Bill Haas

~Could be a tight match but we have to like the generous dog price. I believe Webb is a more complete player and scores and putts better which favors this spot in a 18h m/u. Haas has played here last four years and has been trending here properly but Webb made his first appearance last year and T14. Look for Webb to grind out a nice win in this match and possibly have a solid week.

7142 **Kevin Na -130 over Brendon de Jonge

~Little bit of chalk but everything points to a Na win in this match. Little bit more variance in these 18h plays but I feel we have a solid all around edge in this match. Course form, recent form, key stats, scoring, putting, ball striking etc in Na’s favor. BdJ making his first trip to Firestone and may need a couple rounds to adjust. Easy play on Na here who could have a good week if he makes some putts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Golf Professor
Progolfmoves

2014 WGC Bridgestone Invitational


TO WIN



FUTURES



1 Unit(1%) Plays

*Tiger Woods 16/1

*Henrik Stenson 20/1

*Keegan Bradley 27/1

*Matt Kuchar 32/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

National League
Rockies-Cubs
Hernandez is making first '14 start because of 16-10 inning games Rockies had last two nights; he was 3-3, 6.83 in 12 MLB starts LY.
Arrieta is 4-1, 1.96 in his last eight starts.

Colorado lost 14 of is last 16 road games.
Cubs lost ten of their last fourteen games overall.

Last four Arrieta home starts went over total.

Cardinals-Padres
Miller is 0-3, 6.53 in his last six starts.
Despaigne is 2-2, 2.37 in his first six MLB starts.

St Louis lost six of its last eight games.
Padres won last four home games, allowing three runs.

Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Cardinal road games.

Phillies-Nationals
Lee is 1-3, 6.16 in his last five starts.
Gonzalez is 0-2, 4.24 in his last three starts.

Phillies lost seven of their last eleven games.
Washington won nine of its last twelve home games.

Six of Lee's last seven starts went over the total.

Reds-Marlins
Cueto is 3-0, 2.59 in his last four starts.
Koehler is 1-1, 6.00 in his last four starts.

Cincinnati lost 10 of its last 12 games.
Marlins won nine of their last eleven games.

Four of last five Cueto starts stayed under total.

Pirates-Diamondbacks
Locke is 0-1, 5.68 in his last three starts.
Collmenter is 1-1, 5.16 in his last four starts.

Pirates won three of their last four games.
Arizona won five of its last seven home games.

Five of last six Collmenter starts stayed under.


Braves-Dodgers
Teheran is 4-1, 3.86 in his last six starts.
Kershaw is 9-0, 0.94 in his last ten starts.

Atlanta lost six of its last nine road games.
Dodgers won 14 of its last 19 home games.

Under is 4-1-1 in last six Kershaw starts.


American League
White Sox-Tigers
Danks is 2-0, 5.63 in his last four starts; Sox scored 26 runs.
Smyly is 2-1, 3.26 in his last three starts.

White Sox won four of their last six games.
Detroit lost eight of its last thirteen games.

Six of last nine Danks starts went over total.

Angels-Orioles
Skaggs is 1-1, 5.63 in his last four starts.
Norris is 1-2, 6.32 in his last three starts.

Angels are 16-7 in last 23 games, but lost last two.
Baltimore won seven of its last nine games.

11 of last 15 Angel games stayed under total.

Mariners-Indians
Young is 4-2, 2.12 in his last eight starts.
McAllister is 1-4, 10.50 in his last six starts.

Mariners lost six of their last eight games.
Cleveland lost seven of its last ten games.

12 of last 13 Seattle games stayed under the total.

Twins-Royals
Correia is 1-5, 5.45 in his last six starts.
Ventura is 0-1, 7.88 in his last three starts.

Minnesota lost eight of last 12 games, but is 6-2 in last eight on road.
Royals won six of their last eight games.

Nine of last eleven Minnesota games stayed under.

Blue Jays-Astros
Hutchison is 1-3, 7.53 in his last four starts.
Cosart is 1-2, 8.86 in his last four starts.

Blue Jays won ten of their last twelve games.
Astros lost eight of their last eleven home games.

Over is 17-8 in last 25 Houston games.


Interleague games
None

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Hernandez 0-0; Arrieta 9-6
-- Miller 9-11; Despaigne 3-3
-- Lee 5-7; Gonzalez 10-6
-- Cueto 13-9; Koehler 10-11
-- Locke 6-4; Collmenter 12-6
-- Teheran 14-8; Kershaw 13-3

-- Danks 10-11; Smyly 6-11
-- Skaggs 10-6; Norris 10-7
-- Young 11-8; McAllister 6-7
-- Correia 6-15; Ventura 9-10
-- Hutchison 10-11; Cosart 11-9

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Hernandez 0-0; Arrieta 5-15
-- Miller 4-20; Despaigne 1-6
-- Lee 3-12; Gonzalez 6-16
-- Cueto 2-22; Koehler 3-21
-- Locke 5-10; Collmenter 8-18
-- Teheran 6-22; Kershaw 2-16

-- Danks 6-21; Smyly 6-17
-- Skaggs 8-16; Norris 6-17
-- Young 3-20; McAllister 3-13
-- Correia 6-21; Ventura 5-19
-- Hutchison 5-21; Cosart 9-20

Umpires
-- Col-Chi- Favorites won last six Davis games.
-- Atl-LA-- Five of last six Dimuro games went over.
-- StL-SD-- Favorites won last five Gorman games.

-- Chi-Det-- Eight of last ten TWelke games stayed under.
-- Sea-Clev-- Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Morales games.
-- LA-Blt-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Ripperger games.
-- Min-KC-- Underdogs are 6-5 in last eleven Hamari games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Chicago Cubs -160 over Colorado Rockies
(System Record: 70-0, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 70-48

Rest of the Plays
Cincinnati Reds -119 over Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Angels -113 over Baltimore O's
San Diego Padres -116 over St. Louis Cardinals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo suffered an early setback with the Reds on Wednesday but turned a profit for the day by hitting with the Astros and Giants to lower the deficit to 1,375 pendletons.

Thursday: Mr. Aitch will take a sporty ride with Shelby in San Diego — 10 units on the Cardinals to dispose of Despaigne.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Diamondbacks on Wednesday and likes the Tigers on Thursday.

The deficit is 358 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play Thurs: Reds w/ Cueto -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Thursday

Hamilton Tiger Cats -4.5 (CFL)

Phoenix Mercury +1 (WNBA)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

3 Units Diamondbacks +107

The Arizona Diamondbacks open up a 10-game home stand tonight as they give the ball to Josh Collmenter, hosting the first of a three-game series with lefty Jeff Locke and the Pittsburgh Pirates. After Wednesday's loss to the Giants in San Fran, the Bucs find themselves two games behind NL Central-leading Milwaukee. This series opener may prove tougher than it looks on paper as Collmenter has done his best work at home this season. The righty has posted a 6-2 record with a 2.94 ERA in 10 starts. Both of these pitchers were shelled their last time out, Locke giving up six runs and 10 hits to the Rockies and Collmenter being hit hard by the Phillies. This may not be an ideal matchup for Locke as he has struggled vs. the D'Backs in his short career and more specifically, against D'Backs slugger Paul Goldschmidt. Locke has posted an 0-1 record with a 6.92 ERA in those appearances and Goldschmidt is 4-for-6 against him. Interesting note that the Bucs are just 1-6 in Locke's last seven starts when following a Pirates loss and 0-4 in his last four starts as a road favorite. The Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Collmenter's last six home starts and we are expecting another good performance tonight as the home dog.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

INDIANA at SEATTLE
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, with a losing record after 15 or more games 41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units ) 6-5 this year. ( 54.5% | 0.5 units )

PHOENIX at MINNESOTA
Play On - Any team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) after 1 or more consecutive wins, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games 238-82 since 1997. ( 74.4% | 0.0 units ) 12-1 this year. ( 92.3% | 0.0 units )

PHOENIX at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 70.5 revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points, off a road win 46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

TORONTO at HOUSTON
Play On - Road teams (TORONTO) off 5 straight wins vs. division rivals 56-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.4% | 29.9 units ) 3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.5 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

ATLANTA at LA DODGERS
LA DODGERS are 40-12 (+25.6 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was: LA DODGERS (4.0) , OPPONENT (2.0)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Thursday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers

Mariners at Indians – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
SEA: Young (9-6, 3.04 ERA)
CLE: McAllister (3-6, 5.65 ERA)

Series recap: These two clubs have split the first two games of this set after Cleveland blanked Seattle on Wednesday, 2-0 in a pitcher’s duel between Corey Kluber and Felix Hernandez. Kluber tossed a complete-game shutout to cash as a short favorite, one night after the Mariners knocked around the Indians in a 5-2 triumph on Tuesday.

What to watch for: Seattle continues to be an ‘under’ machine, drilling the ‘under’ in nine consecutive games. The M’s own an impressive record off a road loss since May, posting a 10-2 mark in this situation. The Indians have responded well in home series finales the last two months, putting together a 7-1 record. Cleveland has struggled with McAllister on the mound this season, losing seven of his past nine starts.

Angels at Orioles – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
LAA: Skaggs (5-5, 4.49 ERA)
BAL: Norris (8-7, 3.94 ERA)

Series recap: The Orioles go for the sweep tonight after holding off the Angels in a pair of one-run victories. Following Tuesday’s walk-off win in extra innings, Baltimore edged Los Angeles on Wednesday, 4-3 as +125 underdogs. The O’s built a 4-0 lead before the Angels rallied to cut the deficit to one run, but Baltimore held on for its fourth win in five tries against Los Angeles this season.

What to watch for: Baltimore’s pitching is cruising lately, allowing three runs or less seven times in the last nine games, resulting in eight ‘unders.’ After going nearly six weeks without a win when Skaggs takes the mound, the Angels are 3-0 in the southpaw’s last three starts. The Orioles have hit six straight ‘unders’ when Norris starts, while Baltimore is 5-2 in his past seven trips to the hill.

Reds at Marlins – 7:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
CIN: Cueto (11-6, 2.08 ERA)
MIA: Koehler (7-7, 3.91 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Reds continue to fall backwards in the NL Central race after losing two of three to the Diamondbacks at home. Cincinnati dropped a 5-4 decision to Arizona on Wednesday, as the four runs scored by the Reds were the most they have plated since the All-Star break. The Marlins couldn’t pull off the home sweep of the Nationals, losing on Wednesday 4-3 to snap a six-game winning streak.

What to watch for: This is the first meeting between these teams this season, as Cincinnati put together a 6-1 record against Miami in 2013. The Reds ended a nine-game ‘under’ streak with Wednesday’s ‘over’ against Arizona in which Cincinnati scored three runs in the ninth inning to bust the total of 7. Cincinnati has lost nine consecutive road games, but the club is 7-2 in Cueto’s past nine starts. Koehler is making his first home start since July 2, as Miami is 1-4 in his last five outings at Marlins Park.

Pirates at Diamondbacks – 9:40 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
PIT: Locke (2-2, 3.54 ERA)
ARZ: Collmenter (8-5, 4.03 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Pirates continue their venture through the NL West after grabbing two of three from the Giants at AT&T Park. Pittsburgh fell to San Francisco in the series finale on Wednesday, 7-5 as a short underdog, snapping a three-game winning streak. The Diamondbacks return home following a 3-3 road trip at Philadelphia and Cincinnati in which Arizona alternated wins and losses during the six-game stretch, capped off by Wednesday’s one-run triumph over the Reds.

What to watch for: Pittsburgh beat Arizona two of three times at PNC Park earlier this month, which included a 3-2 walk-off victory as Pittsburgh scored each of its three runs in the ninth inning to capture the series opener. Locke took the mound in that contest, tossing eight innings while receiving a no-decision. Arizona owns a 5-1 record in Collmenter’s past six starts, which includes a pair of solid performances in home wins over the Cubs and Marlins.

Braves at Dodgers – 10:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
ATL: Teheran (10-6, 2.71 ERA)
LAD: Kershaw (12-2, 1.76 ERA)

Series recap: The Dodgers remain hot following last night’s walk-off victory in 10 innings, 3-2 as a -170 favorite. Los Angeles is riding a five-game winning streak, while improving to 4-0 in its past four home matchups with Atlanta dating back to last season’s NLDS.

What to watch for: Kershaw has been unbeatable in the last two months, as the Dodgers are 10-0 in his past 10 trips to the mound, while tossing at least seven innings in eight consecutive appearances. The Braves have stumbled to a 3-6 record in their past nine road contests, but Atlanta has put together a solid 6-2 record in its last eight series finales.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

'Dodgers Go for Sweep'

The closing matchup of a three game series is today’s baseball betting focus as the Los Angeles Dodgers aim for a series sweep of the Atlanta Braves. According to the current betting odds, Los Angeles is a -$2.00 home favorite. That whopping nod by the oddsmaker is due to the success of the LA starter. That pitcher is Clayton Kershaw, with the left-hander sporting a 12-2 record, miniscule 1.76 ERA and who is undefeated in ten trips to the hill. The Dodgers' have not only flourished when Kershaw has faced the Braves at home posting a 3-1 mark last four encounters, they've won 12 of his last 16 home starts in the month of July and have won 22 of his last 27 starts against a National East opponent. Kershaw will be matching pitches with Braves' right-hander Julio Teheran, carrying a 10-6 record, 2.71 ERA to the mound. Teheran who does much better at home (4-1, 1.48 ERA) than on the road (6-5, 4.09 ERA) has faced Dodgers just once in his career lasting just 2 2/3 innings getting smacked for 6 runs in a loss. A final few betting nugget, Dodgers are 3-0 at home this season as heavy chalk (-$2.00 or higher), the Braves have had issues on the road in game-three of a series with Teheran as they're 1-3 including 0-2 when underdogs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POWER PLAY WINS

Plays Of The Day

1 Unit Los Angeles Angels -115 (Skaggs)
1 Unit Cincinnati Reds -115 (Cueto)
1 Unit Toronto Blue Jays -125 (Hutchison)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

EZ's Plays For Thursday

A solid 2-1 day on Wednesday cashing in a big dog with the Brewers over the Rays! Just one play on my card for Thursday. Best of luck!

4 STAR SELECTION

(908) Miami Marlins +$105

(Risking $400 to win $420) (Action)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Leo Carosielli

Uefa Europa League

Play the over 2.5 between Elfsborg vs Hafnarfjordur

Kickoff 12pm est

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT

#901 COLORADO @ #902 CHICAGO CUBS - 2:20 PM
•Rockies LH Pedro Hernandez (NR) - Hernandez got the call to make a spot start after the Rockies were forced to use scheduled starter Tyler Matzek during Tuesday's 16-inning marathon. The 25-year-old Venezuelan hasn't pitched in the majors since last season with Minnesota, where he went 3-3 with a 6.83 ERA in 14 games (12 starts). Hernandez has endured a rocky campaign at Triple-A Colorado Springs, going 6-6 with a 6.14 ERA in 18 games (16 starts).

•Cubs RH Jake Arrieta (5-2, 2.18 ERA, WHIP: 1.011) - Arrieta has recorded nine straight quality starts yet is in the midst of a four-start winless streak. The 28-year-old has emerged as the Cubs' most consistent starter, but they haven't rewarded him with much support of late and he didn't get a decision last time out despite holding the Cardinals to two runs over six innings. Arrieta has never faced the Rockies.

--KEY STAT: ARRIETA is 13-5 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ARRIETA 4.6, OPPONENT 2.9.

#903 ST LOUIS @ #904 SAN DIEGO - 3:40 PM
•Cardinals RH Shelby Miller (7-8, 4.20 ERA, WHIP: 1.435) - Miller returned from a brief stint in the bullpen and held the Cubs to two runs on three hits over 5 2/3 innings last Saturday. The 23-year-old made a case to stick in the rotation by retiring the first nine batters and not issuing a walk. Miller, who is 0-1 with a 5.19 ERA in two career games (one start) against San Diego, owns a 7-3 mark with a 2.93 ERA in 21 career games (15 starts) after the All-Star break.

--KEY STAT: MILLER is 1-7 (-8.1 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 2.0, OPPONENT 5.6.

--MILLER is 9-1 (+8.7 Units) against the money line after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 6.4, OPPONENT 3.3.

--MILLER is 1-10 against the run line (-10.0 Units) versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 2.6, OPPONENT 4.5.

--MILLER is 0-8 against the run line (-9.8 Units) versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 2.0, OPPONENT 5.6.

•Padres RH Odrisamer Despaigne (2-2, 1.66 ERA, WHIP: 1.105) - After posting a 1.31 ERA in his first five starts, Despaigne issued five walks and allowed five runs (two earned) over 3 2/3 innings against Atlanta last Saturday. “He was trying to be a little too fine, kind of hitting the corners instead of making pitches,” Padres catcher Yasmani Grandal told reporters. Opponents are batting .203 against the Cuban-born Despaigne, who was signed May 2 as a minor league free agent.

#905 PHILADELPHIA @ #906 WASHINGTON - 7:05 PM
•Phillies LH Cliff Lee (4-5, 3.78 ERA, WHIP: 1.411) - Lee is making his third start since spending more than two months on the disabled list and will be hoping for better results than his previous two turns. The 35-year-old allowed three runs on nine hits in a no-decision versus Arizona on Saturday after getting knocked around for six runs on 12 hits by San Francisco on July 21. Lee is 6-4 with a 2.74 ERA in 12 starts against Washington, including seven innings of two-run ball on May 2.

--KEY STAT: LEE is 32-19 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LEE 5.0, OPPONENT 3.6.

•Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (6-6, 3.56 ERA, WHIP: 1.217) - Gonzalez was a hard-luck loser last time out, permitting one run on four hits over seven innings in a 1-0 defeat at Cincinnati to extend his winless drought to three starts. Gonzalez had an identical line over 7 1/3 innings in a 1-0 loss at Philadelphia on May 4 to fall to 5-3 with a stellar 2.48 ERA against the Phillies. Gonzalez has stymied slugger Ryan Howard, holding him hitless in 11 at-bats with six strikeouts.

--KEY STAT: GONZALEZ is 28-10 (+16.3 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 5.2, OPPONENT 3.0.

--GONZALEZ is 25-7 (+16.6 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 4.9, OPPONENT 2.3.
____________________________________________

#907 CINCINNATI @ #908 MIAMI - 7:10 PM
•Reds RH Johnny Cueto (11-6, 2.08 ERA, WHIP: 0.919) - Cueto has allowed three or fewer runs in nine straight starts while going 6-1, including seven shutout innings Saturday in a 1-0 victory over Washington. The Dominican Republic native is among the league leaders in WHIP (0.93) and ERA and has struck out 157 in 155 2/3 innings. Garrett Jones is 11-for-39 with a homer versus Cueto, who is 2-1 with a 5.27 ERA in five career starts against Miami.

--KEY STAT: CUETO is 12-5 against the run line (+10.2 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 3.6, OPPONENT 2.5.

--CUETO is 14-4 UNDER (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 3.9, OPPONENT 2.9.

•Marlins RH Tom Koehler (7-7, 3.91 ERA, WHIP: 1.247) - Koehler battled through five innings, giving up three runs and nine hits, to beat Houston in his last outing. The 28-year-old Bronx, N.Y. native yielded three or fewer runs in six of his last seven starts and has given up 108 hits in 124 1/3 innings overall. Koehler, who has not given up an unearned run this season, pitched 3 1/3 scoreless innings as a reliever against Cincinnati in 2013.

#909 PITTSBURGH @ #910 ARIZONA - 9:40 PM
•Pirates LH Jeff Locke (2-2, 3.54 ERA, WHIP: 1.121) - Locke will look to bounce back from his worst outing since his recall from Triple-A Indianapolis in early June, when he was shelled for six runs on 10 hits in Colorado on Saturday. That halted a string of eight consecutive quality starts for Locke, who allowed a total of 15 earned runs in that span. Locke is 0-1 with a 6.92 in three appearances (two starts) versus Arizona and has been tormented by Paul Goldschmidt (4-for-6).

--KEY STAT: LOCKE is 0-7 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOCKE 2.6, OPPONENT 6.3.

•Diamondbacks RH Josh Collmenter (8-5, 4.03 ERA, WHIP: 1.307) - Collmenter is also coming off a disastrous performance that saw him last only 2 2/3 innings and give up six runs on 11 hits in a loss at Philadelphia on Saturday. That outing followed back-to-back starts in which Collmenter allowed one run over seven innings. Collmenter has pitched decidedly better at home, posting a 6-2 record with a 2.94 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 14 appearances (10 starts).

--KEY STAT: COLLMENTER is 12-4 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLLMENTER 4.6, OPPONENT 3.5.

#911 ATLANTA @ #912 LA DODGERS - 10:10 PM
•Braves RH Julio Teheran (10-6, 2.71 ERA, WHIP: 1.045) - Teheran won his second straight decision and fourth in the last five after allowing three runs in six innings en route to a 5-3 victory over San Diego on Saturday. The 23-year-old Colombian didn't yield a homer after permitting four in his previous three outings. Teheran was blitzed in his previous meeting with the Dodgers, taking the loss in the National League Division Series after allowing six runs on eight hits in 2 2/3 innings.

•Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (12-2, 1.76 ERA, WHIP: 0.801) - Kershaw continued his scorching run after scattering three hits Saturday en route to his fourth complete game - and second shutout - of the season. The two-time Cy Young Award recipient has won nine in a row and struck out at least seven in 12 consecutive outings. For all of his success, Kershaw has yet to record a decision versus Atlanta, although he has limited the Braves to a .189 batting average in four career starts.

--KEY STAT: KERSHAW is 15-0 (+15.0 Units) against the money line against ational League East opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 5.5, OPPONENT 1.7.

--KERSHAW is 9-23 against the run line (-14.7 Units) in home games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 3.0, OPPONENT 2.7.

--KERSHAW is 12-3 against the run line (+10.5 Units) against National League East opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 5.5, OPPONENT 1.7.

--KERSHAW is 15-3 UNDER (+11.6 Units) in home games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 3.1, OPPONENT 1.6.

--KERSHAW is 13-4 UNDER (+8.4 Units) after giving up no earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 3.3, OPPONENT 2.1.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Advanced sports investments

perry’s soccer corner

uefa – europa league

12:00pm hapoel ironi kiryat shmona @ dynamo moscow – under 2.5 +122

1:00pm skn st polten @ psv eindhoven – under 3.5 -115

3:00pm fc zimbru chisinau @ sv scholz grodig – over 2.5 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Klprodigypicks

Free Play Of Day

KANSAS CITY ROYALS ML (-187)


Other Picks

CINCINNATI REDS f5 ML (-116)

WASHINGTON NATIONALS (-156)

HOUSTON ASTROS ML (+114)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sam Martin

Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks 9:40PM

5* Play on Pittsburgh vs. Arizona Under.

We scored an "Under" winner last night here in our Free Pick section as the Indians shutout the Mariners 2-0. We'll come back with our second "Under" play in a row tonight - this time out in the desert as Pittsburgh takes on Arizona.

Both starting pitchers Locke and Collmenter are in "play-on" spots tonight, looking to bounce back from an unusually poor outing in their previous game. Locke held Arizona to just two runs over 8 IP in his only meeting against them this season, while Collmenter shutout Pittsburgh in his lone career meeting (five innings pitched) and has an ERA south of 3.00 here at home. 5* Play on Pittsburgh vs. Arizona Under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UNDER Umpire Streakers

#914 UN9 -115 DET/CWS 1u TWelke 4ov/11un L15gms 73.3% (L10gm 80.0%)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux Sports

MLB

10* Cleveland Indians

10* St. Louis Cardinals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

CFL

Winnipeg @ HAMILTON

Winnipeg +4½ -110 over HAMILTON

(Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)

Line opened with the Tiger-Cats as a -3½-point favorite and has been bet up to -4½. It would appear to us that the market has overreacted to Hamilton’s win last week but more specifically to Dan LeFevour’s sparkling CFL starting debut that saw him put up in excess of 350 yards passing and more than 100 yards rushing. Let us point out, however, that it came against Ottawa, a team coming off a huge emotional victory the week prior in their first ever home game. It was also the Ti-Cats first home game of the year so everything was right in place for a strong showing from the Tabbies. What might be lost in last week’s Hamilton victory is that the Redblacks could have won and went toe-to-toe with the Ti-Cats until a very late TD in the fourth that put Hamilton up by 10 for good. Again, that was Ottawa. Let us also remind you that before the season began Dan Lefevour was the third string QB and when Zach Collaros went down in Week 3, Coach Kent Austin chose Jeremiah Masoli to start Week 4. There are other factors here that work against Hamilton as well. Last week was its first win and it was also its first “real” home game in nearly two years. An emotional victory it was and it was also the third consecutive week that Hamilton played their hearts out. The two previous weeks they played in Edmonton and Calgary respectively and they could have won both those games. After three weeks of being emotionally jacked up, the Tiger-Cats are in a letdown spot and will play this one on just five days rest with a weak offensive line.

Winnipeg is also in a letdown spot after they went into B.C. last week as a big underdog and won 23-6. However, the fact that they’re not getting the respect they deserve provides big motivation and that applies here. The top three teams in the West, Calgary, Edmonton and Winnipeg are a combined 12-1 while no team in the East has more than one victory. Hamilton’s 74 points scored is second last in the CFL, ahead of only the Alouettes 70 points scored. Furthermore, Winnipeg leads the CFL in points scored with 141 and they are 2-0 on the road. Winnipeg’s aggressive defense will now face a Hamilton’s offensive line that has three out of four regulars out. Throw in the points, throw in that Winnipeg has had an extra day of preparation and throw in the motivation of being disrespected (every player knows the point-spread) and there you have it. The West versus East getting +4½ points is too many in this decent situation.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

Seattle @ CLEVELAND

CLEVELAND/Seattle over 8½ -102

(Risking 2.04 units - To Win: 2.00)

Zach McAllister was spotted with a 5-0 lead after two innings in his last start in Kansas City but coughed it all up in another disappointing performance. After starting the season 3-0, he's 0-6 in his last nine starts. Overall he has a 5.65 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. McAllister is having trouble finding the plate and he has the worst oppBA (.422) in the majors when pitching with runners on. When this stiff pitches, there are always runners on. McAllister’s fast start last season was derailed by a mid-season finger injury but his xERA wasn't buying that first half ERA anyway. His control and command are going the wrong way. His groundball rate of 40% is stagnant at best. His dominant start/disaster start split says he’s a crap-shoot whenever he takes the ball. Age, some level of rebound is possible, but durability issues add to a less-than-optimistic outlook.

Chris Young has been a hot pickup in fantasy leagues off the waiver wire recently, as seven of his last eight starts have been of the pure quality variety, where he has allowed three earned runs or less in all eight. Safeco Field can make pitchers look awfully good but his road form leaves something to be desired and so do his skills. In 55 road innings, Young has been taken yard 12 times. That’s what you get with an extreme fly-ball pitcher. Young’s 24%/58% groundball/fly-ball split is the biggest discrepancy in the majors among pitchers with 10 or more starts. Over his last five starts, his groundball/fly-ball split is 20%/62%. Young’s 3.04 ERA is about the most mind-boggling ERA over the past 20 years but we’re here to tell you that it’s been all luck driven. He has been the beneficiary of an 84% strand rate and remarkably low 22% hit rate. Once those normalize, Young’s ERA is in for a big correction. That correction likely starts here against an Indians squad that owns the fourth best OPS in MLB versus right handed pitching at .751. This isn’t Safeco Field. The over/under for HR’s in this game should be 8½.


St. Louis @ SAN DIEGO

St. Louis +100 over SAN DIEGO

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.00)

3:40 PM EST. Shelby Miller went 15-9 last season with an ERA of 3.06 with an oppBA of .234. This year has been a different story. Miller has walked 55 batters while striking out just 76 in 115.2 innings. He has an awful 1.44 WHIP, an ERA of 4.22 and an xERA of 4.86. The Cardinals had lost five straight with Miller starting from June 19 to July 10 and he was subsequently demoted to the bullpen. He pitched one inning of relief from July 10 to July 20 and has only pitched 6.2 innings since July 10. Last week he started against the Cubbies and with some rest behind him he didn’t walk a batter and gave up just three hits in 5.2 innings. If Miller is throwing strikes and he’s not fatigued, he’s hugely effective. He’s only allowed 111 hits in 115.2 frames and will now face a Padres team that ranks 30th in just about every key offensive category. Still, this one is more about fading Odrisamer Despaigne than it is about backing Shelby Miller.

Despaigne was finally hit with his first poor outing in his sixth start although he escaped by allowing just two earned runs despite giving up six hits and five walks in 3.2 innings. Consider his 1.66 ERA to be a complete mirage, as his skill set is sub-par. Despaigne’s plus minor league strikeout rate hasn't translated over to the majors. A poor swing and miss rate of 6% doesn't offer much hope for improvement, either. Despaigne has benefited from a trifecta of good fortune (hit%/strand%, hr/f) to get to his sub-2.00 ERA. xERA says he's actually been a below average pitcher under the surface. He's had trouble getting ahead in the count as shown by his first-pitch strike rate. The walk rate has predictably suffered, so his command is well into the danger zone. Despaigne has relied on a variety of arm slots with deception in his delivery to get to the major leagues. His surface stats, however, have been just as deceptive given the general lack of skill support so far. The 27-year-old Cuban defector was given an unimpressive prospect rating upon his call-up on June 25, which doesn't bode well for his ability to remain relevant. Selling Despaigne's hot start is the wise play here, as both his long-term potential and short-term skills don't measure up to his current level of performance.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

MLB Heavy Hitter GOM

Washington Nationals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steven Nover

STEPHEN'S EARLY DISCOUNT CASHER

St. Louis Cardinals +104

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Thursday
By Vince Akins

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Reds are 13-0 since June 15, 2004 within 20 cents of pickem after a loss in which they left 18+ men on base in the last game of a series yesterday for a net profit of $1392.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Gio Gonzalez starts the Nationals are 10-0 since April 17, 2012 as a home 140+ favorite after facing 25 or fewer hitters for a net profit of $1000.

CHOICE TREND:

The Angels are 10-0 since May 09, 2014 after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits for a net profit of $1000.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

When Gio Gonzalez starts the Nationals are 15-3 since April 12, 2012 as a favorite in the first game of a series for a net profit of $1065.

[golden contender]

Throw back Thursday card has a Huge 100% 5* Blowout system, an Undefeated Dog system and the 90% MLB Total of the week from a system that Averages 12 runs per game- Free Plays are 19-7 of late . Free MLB System Play below.

On Thursday the free MLB System play is on the Cincinnati Reds. Game 907 at 7:10 eastern. Miami lost on Wednesday snapping their 6 game win streak and they have lost 4 straight in the series here to the Reds. Road favorites like the Reds are 10-1 off a home loss where they scored 4 or less runs on 10+ hits in a game where the total was 8 or less and the opponent was at home in their last game. The Reds have J. Cueto on the mound and he has a stellar 2.47 road era. Look for the Reds to do enough to get the win here against T. Koehler and the Marlins who may bounce a littler now that their win streak is over. Take the Reds. On Thursday the lead play is the 5* MLB Blowout system which is perfect since 2004, their is also an undefeated dog system and the MLB Total of the Week from a Killer 90% Totals system that Averages 12 runs per game. Jump on now and cash out with some of the most devastating material and data that won't be seen any where else. For the free play take the Reds. GC

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Marc Lawrence

MLB

Colorado Rockies at Chicago Cubs 2:20PM

Chicago Cubs w/Arrieta vs Hernandez

Edges - Cubs: Arrieta 3-0 team starts versus southpaws last two seasons, and 4-2 with 1.96 ERA home team starts this season. Rockies: Hernandez 8.14 ERA in 14 career MLB career team starts,including 9.83 away. With that look for the Cubs to make it four straight wins over left-handers here today. We recommend a 1-unit play on the Chicago Cubs. Thank you and good luck as always.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports

MLB

Total

#913/914: White Sox/Tigers: Under 9.0 (-115) 3*
Listed Pitchers: Danks/Smyly

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Vegas Runner

Early MLB Steam

Chicago Cubs (1st 5 Innings)

Colorado Rockies RL+1.5 (Full Game)

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PhillyGodfather

Over 3.5 St. Louis Cardinals/San Diego Padres 1st 5

Over 4 Minnesota Twins/Kansas City Royals 1st 5

Over 8.5 Toronto Blue Jays/Houston Astros

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Dave Aquino

Today's Selections

MLB: Detroit (Already started)


WNBA: Dream/Shock Under 164

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Wunderdog Sports

Free Pick

Atlanta Braves @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Atlanta Braves +190

We all know about Clayton Kershaw. But, let's not forget the other pitcher today. Julio Teheran has posted a 2.71 ERA this season, going 10-6 in the process. He's struck out 132 batters, given up just 31 walks and only 45 earned runs. He hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in a game in his last eight starts. That could spell trouble for the Dodgers who average just 3.8 runs per game in this ballpark. Dating back to last season, the Braves are 53-39 vs. losing teams and 91-55 vs. NL teams that average under 4.4 runs per game. Over the past three seasons, Atlanta is 59-50 as an underdog. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are just 9-18 this season after back-to-back wins. Take Atlanta to avoid the sweep.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

USA Sports Monitor - Alpha Omega

St. Louis Cardinals +100

Los Angeles Angels -105

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GUARANTEED SPORTS PICK

Under 8 Minnesota Twins/Kansas City Royals

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Goodfella

Thursday Night MLB Team Total

Washington Nationals – Over 4 Runs +100

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Sports Picks Portfolio

MLB

Under 7.5 -115 St. Louis Cardinals/San Diego Padres

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Bob Balfe

Toronto Blue Jays -135

Hutchinson/Cosart
The Bluejays have been hot as any team in baseball the last few weeks and are really hitting the ball well. This game comes down to Toronto just have better hitters. This team is in the zone right now as everyone on the roster is doing their part. A few wins against a bad team can really propel them to be on their way to a big playoff run. Take Toronto.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Silver Key Pick for Thursday ML Baseball

BALTIMORE NORRIS -R +1.5 Runs, -150 over Angels (7:05 et)

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LT LOCK

Cleveland -130

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Falcon Sports

Toronto -1 +100 listing Hutchinson/Cosart

Cincinnati -120 listing Cueto/Koehler

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Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

Miami Marlins ML

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Sports Handiccapper King

MLB

Toronto Blue Jays


CFL

Winnipeg Blue Bombers +4

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MR. PARLAY KING

5* Arizona Diamondbacks ML @-105

5* St. Louis Cardinals ML @-115

5* Cleveland Indians ML -1.5 @+150

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GiLzTips

• [904] San Diego Padres +102

• [917] Seattle Mariners +121

• [3921] Toronto Blue Jays/Houston Astros 1st inning *YES* +105

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BLACKSHEEP ‏

Medium Margin Move

Over 4 1/2 – Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs (1st 5innings)

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Gamehunter

Chicago Cubs First 5 -1/2 Run -135

St. Louis Cardinals -105

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Indian Cowboy

MLB

3* Pittsburgh Pirates -115

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Jeff Clement

8* Toronto Blue Jays -131


UNDERDOG OF THE DAY

Seattle Mariners +118

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SportsAtari

Under 6 Atlanta Braves/Los Angeles Dodgers

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WNBA Picks - Roxxyfish

YES, we just have released our BIGGEST GOY, to purchase for just $9.99 visit our

but I also have a #FREE PICK# for tonight Atlanta Dream -3.5 over Tulda Shock, Tulsa have won 2 in a row and keep their play off hopes alive with another win, they won against the Chicago Sky and Seattle Storm, two banged up teams, the Atlanta Dream are a different caliber, and even the Dream have their problems on the road,they are good enough to beat Tulsa, the Shock were lucky to came back against Chicago in the last quarter,and they struggled in the first half with their shooting against the Storm

if they want to beat Atlanta today they need to further improve but i highly doubt that,I am sure Atlanta coach Karleen Thompson have learned from the last games and comes with a new starting five without Jasmine Thomas, that didnt worked out for the Dream twice now, I rather see Shoni Schimmel or Dumerc as starting point guard, Atlanta will win this easy tonight

#FREE PICK" ATLANTA DREAM -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Topshelfpicks

Carson K

Atl* +190 I believe Teheran can keep the Braves in the game, 7 or 8 good innings. At this price I'll take a chance.

Cleve** -131 Until Seattle shows me some life, I'll keep betting against them.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

top dog sports
seattle

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Art Aronson

MLB
KC ML
WAS ML
Under TOR/HOU

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The Shadow Sports Network

MLB Pittsburgh -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Stoffo

MLB

Over 8.5 Seattle Mariners/Cleveland Indians

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Thursday, July 31

Winnipeg (4-1) @ Hamilton (1-3)-- Bombers are surprising 4-1, 2-0 on road, winning as dogs in Montreal/Vancouver. Hamilton got on board last week by winning home opener in their new stadium- two of their three losses are by 4-3 points. TiCats ran ball for 197 yards last week, after average 71.7 ypg on ground in first three games- they won last five series games, winning last three home series games by 10-5-23 points; five of last six series games stayed under total, as have three of four Hamilton games this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris James Sports

Mariners +118
Angels -114
Over Royals 8
Over Blue Jays 8.5
Braves +190

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

extra bonus system for today:

Baltimore Orioles -107 over the Los Angeles Angels (Bet Level 1) (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 7:05 PM EST

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LOCKSMITH SPORTS

2* Toronto/Houston – OVER 8.5

1* Washington -170

Chairman’s Play —- 4* Toronto Blue Jays -150

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Rooster

Phillies +165
Angels Even

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Sheep


1907 Over 3 1/2 (+115) Cin-Mia (1st 5) $1000
1915 Over 5 (+100) Laa-Bal (1st 5) $1000
1920 Over 4 (-105) Min-Kc (1st 5) $1000
920 Kansas City -210 $1000
Nfl Future - Carolina Panthers Under 8 1/2 (-180) Season Wins $1000

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Locksmith sports

chairman’s play — 4* miami marlins +102

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Brad Wilton

Your Thursday Winner...

Thursday winner is a 50 Dime release on the L.A. Angels and the Baltimore Orioles to go Over the total

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Diamond Dog Sports

MLB

Sides

#908: Marlins: +105 2.5*
Listed Pitchers: Cueto/Koehler


Total

#909/910: Pirates/Diamondbacks: Under8.5 (+100) 2.5*
Listed Pitchers: Locke/Collmenter

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Kelso 50 Toronto

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Las Vegas Pipeline

10* LAD RL - 1.5

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THE WAGER WIRE / Wage Discipline

Toronto Blue Jays (-152) 1u

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BRYAN LEONARD

MLB Favorite of the Month!

3 UNIT Washington Nationals ML