8-2-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB betting cheat sheet: Burnett pitching to over

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for the weekend's major league action:

Dioner Dialed In

Dioner Navarro has been on fire for the Blue Jays (-110, 8.5) as of late. The surprise catcher has been one of the team's most productive hitters during their recent streak. Navarro has hits in five of the Blue Jays last six games including five RBIs as Toronto continues to hold the second AL Wild Card spot while chasing the Baltimore Orioles in the AL East.

Action Jackson

Austin Jackson left his last appearance with the Detroit Tigers midway through an eventual loss to the Chicago White Sox, but the new Seattle Mariners outfielder who was a part of the three team David Price deal will be bringing a needed red hot bat to the Pacific Northwest. Jackson had two hits and an RBI to stretch his hitting streak to five games.

BoSox Blues

Boston Red Sox fans can likely finally give up any hopes of turning around their season as defending World Series champions. After trading Jon Lester and John Lackey at the deadline, things are likely to go from bad to worse for Boston. Not a good sign for a team that is 2-8 in their last 10 ball games.

Pitching Notes

* AJ Burnett starts Saturday for the Phillies and has been providing consistent overs since July when on the mound. Since July 1, the Over is 5-1 when the former Blue Jays and Yankees pitcher gets his start.

* Marcus Stroman will start Sunday's series finale for the Blue Jays against the cellar dwelling Astros in the midst of a breakout streak of a quality starts for Toronto. The young potential ace has three straight wins on the mound, two of which were against the Red Sox including a no hitter bid at the Rogers Centre and a win at Fenway.

Hitting Notes

* Dodgers outfielder Yaisel Puig is doing his best to put himself in NL MVP consideration with the Dodgers and is red hot heading into August. The Cuban is 12-26 in his last five games at the plate, including two four hit games and hits in all but one appearance for Los Angeles.

* Oakland will have to find production to replace Yoenis Cespedes, the back to back Home Run Derby champion who was included in the Jon Lester trade with Boston. Cespedes currently has 17 home runs and 67 RBI's this season as one of the best bats for the A's so this weekend will be interesting for Oakland in terms of finding out where their new power will come from.

Totals Streak

Cincinnati Reds (1-9 O/U in last ten): Cold bats have been the issue for the Reds all season, so it should be no shock that they have quite the streak of Unders going during their recent struggles. Going 3-7 in their last ten, nine games have went under the total for the Reds in those ten ballgames.

Prop of the Day

Yu Darvish has been the lone bright spot for the Texas Rangers this season and is still very much an ace in the AL with a 10-6 record and a 2.90 ERA. A play on the Rangers F5 ML or the F5 Under could be a strong Sunday prop play with Darvish on the mound.

Injury Notes

* Boston outfielder Shane Victorino will miss Friday's game against the Mariners with a slight back injury that is causing him discomfort. Red Sox manager John Farrell will be hoping newly acquired outfielder Yoenis Cespedes will be able to replace him in the lineup.

* Cincinnati Reds outfielder Jay Bruce will be expected to return to baseball this weekend following a leave of absence to due to passing of a family member. Bruce is currently struggling along with the Reds, but will be looking to get back on track at the plate in a return to the game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Roughriders at Redblacks

Saskatchewan Roughriders at Ottawa Redblacks (5.5, 50)

The Ottawa Redblacks will host another sold-out contest when they welcome the Saskatchewan Roughriders on Saturday. Ottawa won its home-opener in a nail-biter against the Toronto Argonauts, but they face a Roughriders team that routed the Argonauts in Week 5. Saskatchewan is 2-1 against the East Division, while the Redblacks are 0-2 against West Division opponents.

Ottawa quarterback Henry Burris is carrying his lowest completion percentage since 2006 but has only tossed one interception with the Redblacks, who are struggling to score with 80 points in four contests. The Roughriders' offense has not fared much better, with quarterback Darian Durant on pace for the worst statistical season of his career, but their defense is second in the league with 18 sacks. Ottawa’s defense is the only unit in the league allowing more than 300 passing yards per game.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The LV Superbook opened the Redblacks as 4.5-point home dogs, but that has since moved to +5.5. The total has held at 50.

INJURY REPORT: Roughriders - SB Chris Getzlaf (Questionable, undisclosed), WR Ryan Smith (Questionable, Undisclosed). Redblacks - WR Kierrie Johnson (Six-game IR, leg).

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "The expansion Redblacks are in first place in the woeful East with a 1-3 record and are hosting the 2-2 Riders. The Riders are getting all the action as a 6-point road favorite, while the 50 point total is getting 95 percent of the action coming in on the over." Michael Stewart, CarbonSports.ag.

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (2-2, 2-2 ATS): Running back Will Ford appears to have found a home after being cut by the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to start the season, recording 113 rushing yards and three touchdowns in his debut for Saskatchewan. Defensive end John Chick earned Defensive Player of the Week honors after recording two sacks and one forced fumble against Toronto. Chick, who leads the league with six sacks, was also named Defensive Player of the Month for July.

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (1-3, 1-3 ATS): Marcus Henry is Burris’ top receiving option, leading the team with 253 receiving yards. Ottawa signed former Hamilton Tiger-Cats receiver Onrea Jones on Monday, giving Burris a familiar target. Running back Chevon Walker has a team-high 251 rushing yards to go with 91 receiving yards and 121 combined return yards.

TRENDS:

* Roughriders are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games in August.
* Roughriders are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games.
* Under is 5-0 in Roughriders last five games in Week 6.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 63.6 percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are backing the road-fave Roughriders.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

National League
Phillies-Nationals
Burnett is 0-2, 6.50 in his last three starts.
Zimmerman is 0-1, 5.87 in his last three starts.

Phillies won three of their last four games.
Washington lost four of its last five games.

Five of last six Burnett starts went over the total.

Reds-Marlins
Bailey is 1-1, 2.00 in his last five starts.
Eovaldi is 0-3, 6.69 in his last six starts.

Cincinnati won three of its last four games.
Marlins lost their last three games, scoring six runs. .

Four of last five Bailey starts stayed under the total.

Giants-Mets
Peavy is 0-8, 5.37 in his last ten starts.
deGrom is 4-0, 0.66 in his last four starts.

San Francisco lost six of its last eight games.
Mets won nine of their last twelve home games.

Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Peavy starts.

Brewers-Cardinals
Nelson is 0-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
Masterson was 0-1, 13.00 in his last three starts for Cleveland, before going on DL; his last start was July 7.

Milwaukee lost four of last six road games.
Cardinals lost seven of their last ten games.

Nine of last eleven Milwaukee games stayed under the total.

Pirates-Diamondbacks
Worley is 2-0, 2.40 in his last couple starts.
Arizona won last three Anderson starts (1-0, 1.89).

Pirates won four of their last six games.
Arizona is 8-1 in game following its last nine losses.

Under is 4-1-1 in last six Anderson starts.

Cubs-Dodgers
Wada is 1-1, 3.94 in three starts for the Cubs.
Ryu is 3-0, 2.37 in his last three starts.

Cubs lost nine of their last eleven road games.
Dodgers won 15 of its last 21 home games.

Under is 6-2-2 in last ten Ryu starts.


Braves-Padres
Santana is 3-0, 2.11 in his last three starts.
Kennedy is 3-0, 2.53 in his last five starts.

Atlanta lost eight of its last eleven road games.
San Diego won five of its last six home games.

Six of last eight Santana starts stayed under total.


American League
Mariners-Orioles
Paxton was 2-0, 2.25 in two starts back in April.
Gonzalez is 1-0, 2.12 in his last four starts.

Seattle lost seven of its last ten games.
Baltimore won eight of its last eleven games.

13 of last 15 Seattle games stayed under the total.

Rangers-Indians
Mikolas is 1-3, 10.29 in his last four starts.
House is 1-1, 5.52 in his last six starts.

Rangers lost nine of their last thirteen games.
Cleveland lost eight of its last twelve games.

Five of last seven Cleveland games went over the total.

Angels-Rays
Wilson was 1-1, 8.58 in his last six starts before going on the DL.
Archer is 2-2, 4.54 in his last six starts.

Angels won 18 of their last 25 games.
Tampa Bay won nine of 12 games since All-Star break.


Under is 12-4-1 in last seventeen Angel games.

Bronx-Red Sox
Greene is 1-1, 4.42 in his last three starts.
Webster allowed two runs in 5.1 IP in his first '14 start.

Bronx lost five of its last six games.
Red Sox lost eight of their last ten games.

Six of last seven Bronx road games stayed under.

Blue Jays-Astros
Dickey is 3-2, 3.27 in his last five starts.
Astros won last three Oberholtzer starts (1-0, 3.27).

Blue Jays won eleven of their last fourteen games.
Astros lost nine of their last thirteen home games.

Over is 18-9 in last 27 Houston games.

Twins-White Sox
Pino is 1-1, 3.09 in his last four starts.
Carroll is 2-1, 2.38 in his last four starts.

Minnesota lost ten of its last fourteen games.
White Sox won six of their last eight games.

Under is 5-1-1 in Pino starts this season.

Royals-A's
Vargas was 4-2, 2.83 in his last nine starts before his appendectomy; his last start was July 8.
Lester was 4-1, 1.83 in his last eight starts for Boston.

Royals won eight of their last ten games.
Oakland lost three of its last four games.

Last six Kansas City road games stayed under the total.


Interleague games
Rockies-Tigers
Matzek is 1-0, 2.08 in his last two starts.
Porcello is 4-1, 2.13 in his last seven starts.

Colorado lost 16 of its last 18 road games.
Tigers lost five of their last seven games.

Under is 4-1-1 in last six Porcello starts.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Burnett 10-12; Zimmerman 12-9
-- Bailey 9-12; Eovaldi 8-13
-- Peavy 5-15/0-1; deGrom 6-8
-- Nelson 2-2; Masterson 10-9/0-0
-- Worley 4-3; Anderson 8-4
-- Santana 10-9; Kennedy 10-12
-- Wada 1-2; Ryu 12-8

-- Vargas 10-9; Lester 13-8/0-0
-- Greene 2-2; Webster 1-0
-- Mikolas 1-4; House 5-4
-- Paxton 2-0; Gonzalez 9-8
-- Wilson 10-9; Archer 10-11
-- Dickey 11-11; Oberholtzer 5-9
-- Pino 4-3; Carroll 4-7

-- Matzek 2-7; Porcello 13-7

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Burnett 7-22; Zimmerman 1-21
-- Bailey 6-21; Eovaldi 9-21
-- Peavy 4-21; deGrom 2-14
-- Nelson 1-4; Masterson 4-19
-- Worley 0-7; Anderson 3-13
-- Santana 7-19; Kennedy 6-22
-- Wada 1-3; Ryu 1-20

-- Vargas 2-19; Lester 6-21/0-0
-- Greene 1-4; Webster 0-1
-- Mikolas 1-5; House 3-9
-- Paxton 1-2; Gonzalez 4-17
-- Wilson 4-19; Archer 3-21
-- Dickey 6-22; Oberholtzer 6-14
-- Pino 0-7; Carroll 3-11

-- Matzek 2-9; Porcello 8-20

Umpires
-- Phil-Wsh-- Five of last seven Guccione games stayed under.
-- Cin-Mia-- Over is 8-3-1 in Woodring games this season.
-- SF-NY-- 11 of last 14 O'Nora games stayed under total.
-- Mil-StL--- Home side won seven of last eight Cuzzi games.
-- Pitt-Az-- Road team won seven of last eight Kulpa games.
-- Atl-SD-- Last five Reynolds games stayed under total.
-- Cubs-LA-- Nine of eleven Randazzo games stayed under.

-- KC-A's-- 11 of 15 Basner games went over the total.
-- NY-Bos-- Four of last five TBarrett games stayed under.
-- Tex-Clev-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Hudson games.
-- Sea-Balt--- Four of last five Fagan games went over.
-- LA-TB-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Vanover games.
-- Tor-Hst-- Favorites won 12 of last 15 Baker games.
-- Min-Chi-- Five of last six Cederstrom games went over.

-- Col-Det-- Four of last five Davidson games stayed under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 6
By David Schwab

The CFL schedule heads into Week 6 of the regular season and the gap in talent between the West and East Division continues to widen. The West has four teams sitting at .500 or better while the four teams in the East have a combined record of 4-13 straight up.

Week 5 in the league kicked things off last Thursday with Calgary remaining perfect on the year in a 26-22 victory over Edmonton as a two-point road underdog. The total in that game stayed just UNDER the 49-point closing line. Friday’s only action saw Winnipeg continuing its strong start with a 23-6 victory against British Columbia as an eight-point underdog on the road. The total stayed well UNDER the closing line of 51 ½ points in that contest.

This past Saturday’s double-header kicked things off with Hamilton outlasting Ottawa 33-23 as a 6 ½-point home favorite with the total going OVER the 47-point line. Saskatchewan wrapped things up with a 37-9 rout over Toronto as an eight-point favorite at home. The total stayed UNDER the closing 51-point betting line.

Saturday, Aug. 2

Saskatchewan (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS) at Ottawa (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -4
Total: 50

Game Overview

Last season’s CFL Grey Cup Champs proved they still know how to put points on the board and play defense with last week’s win over Toronto. This followed a shaky 1-2 start in the Roughriders first three games. Will Ford led the way against the Argonauts with 114 yards rushing and three touchdowns after recently joining the team.

The expansion RedBlacks keep showing up week after week as a better team than their record might indicate. Henry Burris put the ball up 44 times against Hamilton last week and completed 27 passes for 290 yards and two scores. Running back Chevon Walker is ranked fourth in the league in rushing yards with 251 yards on 45 attempts.

Betting Trends

Saskatchewan is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five games following a SU win, but it is just 8-22 ATS in its last 30 games against a team with a SU losing record. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of their last 14 games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo put another dent in the debt Friday night when the Brewers defied the odds against Wainwright and the Busch leaguers to slash the accounts payable to 1,325 finleys.

Saturday: Mr. Aitch expects Jonny Lager to stumble in his first start with the A’s – 10 units on the Royals. Also, 10 on deGrom Reaper to slay the Giants.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Saturday

Reds +105

Orioles -122

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play Sat Pirates -125 w/ Worley

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SATURDAY, AUGUST 2nd 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Saturday, 8/2/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
__________________________________________________ ___

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #18
•Mets' Harvey Tosses Pitches From Mound: New York Mets ace Matt Harvey threw off a mound Friday for the first time since he had elbow surgery in October. The All-Star right-hander, who underwent Tommy John elbow reconstruction surgery on Oct. 22, was restricted to 15 pitches at about 60 percent velocity, Mets general manager Sandy Alderson said. Alderson said Harvey will ramp up a rehab program starting Tuesday at the Mets' training complex in Port St. Lucie, Fla., through the beginning of October. He will pitch against batters in the instructional league and might make one start in the Arizona Fall League. While Harvey hoped to return to the major leagues this year, Alderson said the Mets are hoping he will be healthy for spring training in 2015. The 25-year-old Harvey started 26 games last season and posted a 9-5 record with a 2.27 ERA before he was injured.

•Marlins RHP Alvarez Goes On DL: Miami Marlins All-Star pitcher Henderson Alvarez was placed on the 15-day disabled list Friday because of inflammation in his right shoulder. The move was retroactive to Wednesday. The Marlins also recalled left-hander Dan Jennings from Triple-A New Orleans. Alvarez, who was scheduled to start Sunday game against Cincinnati, was named to the All-Star team this season for the first time in his career. He's 8-5 with three shutouts and a 2.48 ERA. Alvarez pitched seven scoreless innings Tuesday in a 3-0 victory over Washington. He showed some discomfort in the second inning, but stayed in the game after manager Mike Redmond and trainers tended to him. The Marlins acquired right-handed starting pitcher Jarred Cosart from the Houston Astros shortly before Thursday's non-waiver trade deadline and Cosart will make his team debut Friday against Cincinnati. Jacob Turner, who was briefly moved to the bullpen in place of Cosart, will start Sunday in Alvarez's spot.

•Phillies Place P Cliff Lee On 15-Day DL: The Philadelphia Phillies placed left-hander Cliff Lee on the 15-day disabled list with an elbow strain Friday and recalled left-hander Cesar Jimenez from Triple-A Lehigh Valley. Lee left in the third inning of Thursday night's win over the Washington Nationals with a left flexor pronator strain, an apparent recurrence of the injury that put him on the disabled list in May. Manager Ryne Sandberg said Friday that Lee will be examined by the team doctor Saturday in Washington, and undergo an MRI and additional tests when the team returns to Philadelphia early next week. The 35-year-old Lee (4-5, 3.65) missed two months because of a strained left elbow, and was making his third start since coming off the disabled list. Jimenez, 29, appeared in two games for Philadelphia in June, pitching two scoreless innings. With Lehigh Valley, he was 3-2 with a 1.45 ERA in 38 games, including two starts.

•Angels Put Left-Hander Skaggs On DL: The Los Angeles Angels placed left-hander Tyler Skaggs on the 15-day disabled list Friday because of a strained forearm and recalled left-hander Michael Roth from Double-A Arkansas. Skaggs was hurt Thursday night in a 1-0, 13-inning win at Baltimore. The left-hander had not allowed a hit when he left with two outs in the fifth. Angels manager Mike Scioscia hopes Skaggs will pitch again this season, but says the injury "might take a little bit of time" to heal Skaggs is 5-5 with 4.30 ERA in 18 starts this season. Roth is making his second stint with the Angels this season. In his lone appearance this year, he went two perfect innings to get a win against Houston on July 5.

•Indians Designate Zach McAllister: The Cleveland Indians designated right-hander Zach McAllister for assignment Friday and plan to send him to Triple-A Columbus after he clears optional waivers. McAllister, who hasn't won since April 21, is 3-6 with a 5.91 ERA in 14 starts. He won his first three decisions, but is 0-6 with a 7.89 ERA in his last 10 starts. McAllister missed six weeks this season because of a sore back. With the exception of staff ace Corey Kluber, Cleveland's starting pitchers have struggled all season. Kluber is the only remaining member of the rotation that began the season. Justin Masterson, the team's opening-day starter, was traded to St. Louis on Wednesday. The Indians recalled outfielder Tyler Holt from Columbus before Friday's game against Texas. Chris Dickerson, who injured his left knee Thursday, is expected to miss a couple of days.

•Royals' 1B Eric Hosmer Out 3-6 Weeks: Kansas City Royals first baseman Eric Hosmer will be out three to six weeks with a stress fracture of the third finger of his right hand. He aggravated a previous injury on a check swing in the fourth inning of a 6-3 victory Thursday night over the Minnesota Twins. Billy Butler hit for Hosmer in the sixth and X-rays revealed the fracture. Hosmer was hit by a pitch by Jon Lester on July 20 at Boston and did not start six of the next seven games. "Very frustrating, bad timing," Hosmer said. Hosmer, who will go on the disabled list, had a 16-game hitting streak before Lester's pitch hit him.

•Rockies' Gonzalez Leaves Game After Sliding Catch: Colorado Rockies right fielder Carlos Gonzalez has left Friday night's game at Detroit after sliding into the wall while making a terrific catch in foul ground. Gonzalez caught Victor Martinez's flyball to end the fifth inning, then limped off the field, having aggravated a sprained right ankle. He was replaced in the sixth by Brandon Barnes. Gonzalez is having a rough season, hitting only .237 with 10 homers. Friday's injury comes three weeks after he came off the disabled list - he missed over a month with a left index finger injury.

•Twins' Mauer, Nolasco Set For Rehab Stints: Minnesota Twins first baseman Joe Mauer and starter Ricky Nolasco are scheduled to begin minor league rehab stints next week. Assistant general manager Rob Antony said Friday both players will head to Class A Cedar Rapids and could be ready to return to the majors the following week. Antony said Mauer (strained right oblique) will drive to Cedar Rapids on Sunday, work out Monday and start playing Tuesday. He might join the team in Houston, where the Twins play Aug. 11-13. A stop at Triple A also is possible. Nolasco (sore right elbow) will throw a bullpen session Saturday in Chicago, fly back to Minneapolis with the team on Sunday and work out Monday morning at Target Field before driving to Cedar Rapids.

He will start Tuesday with a 50-pitch limit and, assuming no setbacks, the following Sunday with a 75-pitch cap. It's been a tough season for both players, with Nolasco's ERA at a career-high 5.90 through 18 starts and Mauer batting .271 with just two homers and 28 RBIs in 76 games. He was injured swinging on a two-run double against Kansas City on July 1 that stretched his hitting streak to 12 games, and he went on the disabled list the following day. Before that surge, the six-time All-Star and three-time American League batting champion been in his worst slump ever, his average dipping as low as .254 a couple of times in June.
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Betting Notes - Saturday

National League
•Phillies-Nationals - 7:05 PM
--Burnett is 0-2, 6.50 in his last three starts.
--Zimmerman is 0-1, 5.87 in his last three starts.

--Phillies won three of their last four games.
--Washington lost four of its last five games.

--Five of last six Burnett starts went over the total.

•Reds-Marlins - 7:10 PM
--Bailey is 1-1, 2.00 in his last five starts.
--Eovaldi is 0-3, 6.69 in his last six starts.

--Cincinnati won three of its last four games.
--Marlins lost their last three games, scoring six runs. .

--Four of last five Bailey starts stayed under the total.

•Giants-Mets - 7:10 PM
--Peavy is 0-8, 5.37 in his last ten starts.
--DeGrom is 4-0, 0.66 in his last four starts.

--San Francisco lost six of its last eight games.
--Mets won nine of their last twelve home games.

--Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Peavy starts.

•Brewers-Cardinals - 7:15 PM
--Nelson is 0-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
--Masterson was 0-1, 13.00 in his last three starts for Cleveland, before going on DL; his last start was July 7.

--Milwaukee lost four of last six road games.
--Cardinals lost seven of their last ten games.

--Nine of last eleven Milwaukee games stayed under the total.

•Pirates-Diamondbacks - 8:10 PM
--Worley is 2-0, 2.40 in his last couple starts.
--Arizona won last three Anderson starts (1-0, 1.89).

--Pirates won four of their last six games.
--Arizona is 8-1 in game following its last nine losses.

--Under is 4-1-1 in last six Anderson starts.

•Braves-Padres - 8:40 PM
--Santana is 3-0, 2.11 in his last three starts.
--Kennedy is 3-0, 2.53 in his last five starts.

--Atlanta lost eight of its last eleven road games.
--San Diego won five of its last six home games.

--Six of last eight Santana starts stayed under total.

•Cubs-Dodgers - 9:10 PM
--Wada is 1-1, 3.94 in three starts for the Cubs.
--Ryu is 3-0, 2.37 in his last three starts.

--Cubs lost nine of their last eleven road games.
--Dodgers won 15 of its last 21 home games.

--Under is 6-2-2 in last ten Ryu starts.

American League
•Royals-Athletics - 4:05 PM
--Vargas was 4-2, 2.83 in his last nine starts before his appendectomy; his last start was July 8.
--Lester was 4-1, 1.83 in his last eight starts for Boston.

--Royals won eight of their last ten games.
--Oakland lost three of its last four games.

--Last six Kansas City road games stayed under the total.

•Yankees-Red Sox - 4:05 PM
--Greene is 1-1, 4.42 in his last three starts.
--Webster allowed two runs in 5.1 IP in his first '14 start.

--New York lost five of its last six games.
--Red Sox lost eight of their last ten games.

--Six of last seven Yankees road games stayed under.

•Rangers-Indians - 7:05 PM
--Mikolas is 1-3, 10.29 in his last four starts.
--House is 1-1, 5.52 in his last six starts.

--Rangers lost nine of their last thirteen games.
--Cleveland lost eight of its last twelve games.

--Five of last seven Cleveland games went over the total.

•Mariners-Orioles - 7:05 PM
--Paxton was 2-0, 2.25 in two starts back in April.
--Gonzalez is 1-0, 2.12 in his last four starts.

--Seattle lost seven of its last ten games.
--Baltimore won eight of its last eleven games.

--13 of last 15 Seattle games stayed under the total.

•Angels-Rays - 7:10 PM
--Wilson was 1-1, 8.58 in his last six starts before going on the DL.
--Archer is 2-2, 4.54 in his last six starts.

--Angels won 18 of their last 25 games.
--Tampa Bay won nine of 12 games since All-Star break.

--Under is 12-4-1 in last seventeen Angel games.

•Blue Jays-Astros - 7:10 PM
--Dickey is 3-2, 3.27 in his last five starts.
--Astros won last three Oberholtzer starts (1-0, 3.27).

--Blue Jays won eleven of their last fourteen games.
--Astros lost nine of their last thirteen home games.

--Over is 18-9 in last 27 Houston games.

•Twins-White Sox - 7:10 PM
--Pino is 1-1, 3.09 in his last four starts.
--Carroll is 2-1, 2.38 in his last four starts.

--Minnesota lost ten of its last fourteen games.
--White Sox won six of their last eight games.

--Under is 5-1-1 in Pino starts this season.

Interleague
•Rockies-Tigers - 7:05 PM
--Matzek is 1-0, 2.08 in his last two starts.
--Porcello is 4-1, 2.13 in his last seven starts.

--Colorado lost 16 of its last 18 road games.
--Tigers lost five of their last seven games.

--Under is 4-1-1 in last six Porcello starts.

•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Burnett 10-12; Zimmerman 12-9
-- Bailey 9-12; Eovaldi 8-13
-- Peavy 5-15/0-1; DeGrom 6-8
-- Nelson 2-2; Masterson 10-9/0-0
-- Worley 4-3; Anderson 8-4
-- Santana 10-9; Kennedy 10-12
-- Wada 1-2; Ryu 12-8

-- Vargas 10-9; Lester 13-8/0-0
-- Greene 2-2; Webster 1-0
-- Mikolas 1-4; House 5-4
-- Paxton 2-0; Gonzalez 9-8
-- Wilson 10-9; Archer 10-11
-- Dickey 11-11; Oberholtzer 5-9
-- Pino 4-3; Carroll 4-7

-- Matzek 2-7; Porcello 13-7

•Umpires Trends
-- Phil-Wsh-- Five of last seven Guccione games stayed under.
-- Cin-Mia-- Over is 8-3-1 in Woodring games this season.
-- SF-NY-- 11 of last 14 O'Nora games stayed under total.
-- Mil-StL--- Home side won seven of last eight Cuzzi games.
-- Pitt-Az-- Road team won seven of last eight Kulpa games.
-- Atl-SD-- Last five Reynolds games stayed under total.
-- Cubs-LA-- Nine of eleven Randazzo games stayed under.

-- KC-A's-- 11 of 15 Basner games went over the total.
-- NY-Bos-- Four of last five TBarrett games stayed under.
-- Tex-Clev-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Hudson games.
-- Sea-Balt--- Four of last five Fagan games went over.
-- LA-TB-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Vanover games.
-- Tor-Hst-- Favorites won 12 of last 15 Baker games.
-- Min-Chi-- Five of last six Cederstrom games went over.

-- Col-Det-- Four of last five Davidson games stayed under.

•Incredible Stat of the Day
Oakland's newly acquired Jon Lester has recorded a 14-1 mark against the money line in home games versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last two seasons. Lester is pitching for the first time since July 25th as the Red Sox scratched him from Wednesday’s scheduled start in anticipation of trading him. He tossed eight shutout innings of four-hit ball while beating Kansas City on July 20th to improve to 7-3 with a 1.43 ERA in 11 career starts against the Royals. The left-hander has a 3.52 ERA in six regular-season starts at O.co Coliseum.

Diamond Trends - Saturday
•BALTIMORE is 21-8 (+17.2 Units) against the money line versus a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities this season.
The average score was BALTIMORE 4.9, OPPONENT 3.4.

•CHICAGO CUBS are 46-26 OVER (+20.0 Units) versus National League teams allowing 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 3.9, OPPONENT 4.6.

•CHI WHITE SOX are 17-3 (+14.2 Units) against the run line versus an American League starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 to 4.70 this season.
The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 4.7, OPPONENT 3.7.

•HYUN-JIN RYU is 20-6 (+13.8 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was RYU 4.9, OPPONENT 2.7.

•C.J. WILSON is 20-6 OVER (+13.9 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WILSON 5.9, OPPONENT 5.0.

•BRETT OBERHOLTZER is 15-3 (+11.9 Units) against the run line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OBERHOLTZER 3.8, OPPONENT 3.1.

Situational Analysis of The Day
•Play On - All favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (OAKLAND) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) - American League, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games.
(45-5 since 1997.) (90.0%, +35.7 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -186
The average score in these games was: Team 6.1, Opponent 2.6 (Average run differential = +3.5)

The situation's record this season is: (4-1, +2.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2, +4.3 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (20-3, +14.5 units).

•Play On - Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season (National League) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games.
(73-18 since 1997.) (80.2%, +43.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (42-49)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -163
The average score in these games was: Team 4.2, Opponent 3.6 (Average run differential = +0.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 42 (46.2% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (14-5, +5.9 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (36-11, +17.7 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (54-16, +28.1 units).

•Play Under - All teams where the total is 7 or less (MIAMI) - with an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) - National League, against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts.
(35-14 since 1997.) (71.4%, +19.3 units. Rating = 2*)

The average total posted in these games was: 6.9, Money Line=-111.8
The average score in these games was: Team 2.9, Opponent 3.7 (Total runs scored = 6.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 31 (64.6% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-5, -4.7 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-8, +3.9 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (24-10, +12.8 units).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Nationals (RL)-1.5 (+104)
Red Sox -113

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks Cincinnati at Miami After dropping the first two games of their series with the Reds, the Marlins look to bounce back as they face a Cincinnati team that is 2-8 in Homer Bailey's last 10 road starts when the total is set from 7 to 8 1/2 runs. Miami is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Marlins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-130).. Here are all of today's MLB picks.


SATURDAY, AUGUST 2
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: Philadelphia at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Burnett) 14.399; Washington (Zimmermann) 17.402
Dunkel Line: Washington by 3; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-235); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-235); Over


Game 903-904: Cincinnati at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.781; Miami (Eovaldi) 16.228
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Miami (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-130); Under


Game 905-906: San Francisco at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Peavy) 16.012; NY Mets (deGrom) 15.233
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+115); Over


Game 907-908: Milwaukee at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 17.211; St. Louis (Masterson) 15.742
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+105); Under


Game 909-910: Pittsburgh at Arizona (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Worley) 14.404; Arizona (Anderson) 15.522
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+100); Under


Game 911-912: Atlanta at San Diego (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Santana) 14.320; San Diego (Kennedy) 15.899
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 6
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Under


Game 913-914: Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wada) 13.611; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 16.782
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 3; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-220); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-220); Under


Game 915-916: Kansas City at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Vargas) 14.309; Oakland (Lester) 16.951
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-235); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-235); Over


Game 917-918: NY Yankees at Boston (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Greene) 14.611; Boston (Webster) 16.319
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-115); Under


Game 919-920: Texas at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Mikolas) 12.718; Cleveland (House) 15.319
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-170); Over


Game 921-922: Seattle at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Paxton) 16.498; Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.552
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+110); Over


Game 923-924: LA Angels at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 18.209; Tampa Bay (Archer) 16.773
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-105); Over


Game 925-926: Toronto at Houston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 14.991; Houston (Oberholtzer) 15.809
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+125); Under


Game 927-928: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pino) 15.402; White Sox (Carroll) 13.228
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+110); Over


Game 929-930: Colorado at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Matzek) 13.671; Detroit (Porcello) 17.129
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 3 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-240); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-240); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks Indiana at Phoenix The Mercury play host to Indiana (13-14 SU) tonight and come into the contest with a 9-0 ATS record in their last 9 games versus a team with a losing SU record. Phoenix is the pick (-9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 15 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-9 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.


SATURDAY, AUGUST 2
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 601-602: Minnesota at Tulsa (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 118.310; Tulsa 109.915
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 8 1/2;
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 6; 166
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-6); Over


Game 603-604: Indiana at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 109.290; Phoenix 125.035
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 15 1/2;
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 9 1/2;
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-9 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's CFL Picks Saskatchewan at Ottawa The Roughriders head to Ottawa tonight following last week's 37-9 victory over Toronto and come into the contest with a 3-1-1 ATS record in their last 5 games following a SU win. Saskatchewan is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-5). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


SATURDAY, AUGUST 2
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (7/30)


Game 427-428: Saskatchewan at Ottawa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 113.700; Ottawa 107.058
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 6 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 5; 50
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-5); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

2* Mets -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLBTotal

New York Mets - San Francisco Giants
Over 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | CINCINNATI at MIAMI
Play On – Home teams (MIAMI) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (NL), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts
140-82 since 1997. ( 63.1% | 53.5 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | SEATTLE at BALTIMORE
SEATTLE is 21-11 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was: SEATTLE (4.3) , OPPONENT (2.8)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MINNESOTA at TULSA
Play On - Road teams (MINNESOTA) after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games 34-11 since 1997. ( 75.6% | 21.9 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

MINNESOTA at TULSA
Play On - Any team vs the money line (MINNESOTA) after 1 or more consecutive wins, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games 239-83 since 1997. ( 74.2% | 0.0 units ) 13-2 this year. ( 86.7% | 0.0 units )

INDIANA at PHOENIX
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 off a road loss against opponent off a road win 82-41 since 1997. ( 66.7% | 36.9 units ) 5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.8 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Betting Previews for August 2

The dog days of August continue on Saturday with a big rivalry game and another key matchup. Does Boston have any starters available that aren't fresh out of the minor leagues? We'll preview both key matchups below.

New York Yankees (55-52, 46-59 O/U) at Boston Red Sox (48-60, 44-60 O/U)

Last game: (8/1/14): Boston over New York Yankees, 4-3.

Key Betting Trends

NY Yankees are:
2-5 last 7 road games.
5-1 last 6 with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
4-1 last 5 during game 2 of a series.

Boston is:
1-8 last 9 vs. American League East.
1-7 last 8 during game 2 of a series.
0-4 last 4 as a favorite.

Pitching matchup: (RHP) Shane Greene (2-1, 3.28 ERA) vs. (RHP) Allen Webster (1-0, 3.38 ERA)

Outlook: Due to trades, Boston is back to Allen Webster on the mound, who was called up to take the place of Jake Peavy, who was traded to the San Francisco Giants. Webster has one start this season and gave up two runs in 5 1/3 innings with five walks against Tampa Bay on the road on July 27. The Yankees have their own pitching problems but that's due to injuries to C.C. Sabathia, Michael Pineda, Ivan Nova and Masahiro Tanaka. They send Shane Greene to the mound, who allowed three runs in his last start in 5 1/3 innings against Toronto. Greene has never faced the Red Sox and this is Webster's first start against the Yankees. MLB Odds: Boston is a -125-money line favorite. Total: 9.0.

Los Angeles Angels (65-43, 54-49 O/U) at Tampa Bay Rays (53-56, 52-52 O/U)

Last Game: (8/1/14): Los Angeles Angeles over Tampa Bay, 5-3

Key Betting Trends:

LA Angels are:
2-6 last 8 as a road dog.
1-4 in Wilson's last 5 starts as an underdog.
0-6 in Wilson's last 6 road starts.

Tampa Bay is:
8-0 last 8 during game 2 of a series.
9-2 last 11 as a favorite.
20-6 last 26 overall.

Pitching matchup: (LHP) C.J. Wilson (8-6, 4.33 ERA) vs. (RHP) Chris Archer (6-6, 3.37 ERA)

Outlook: Southpaw C.J. Wilson is coming off the disabled list due to an ankle sprain. Wilson was struggling before the ankle injury, allowing 19 runs in his last four games. He's been up-and-down against Tampa Bay, allowing 10 runs in his last three games. The Rays hit left-handers better than they do against right-handers (.254 to .248). Tampa Bay, still in the race even after the David Price deal, throws Chris Archer to the bump. He gave up no runs in 5 2/3 innings against the Angels in May. Archer has thrown four quality starts in his last five games. They'll need to win with Archer on the mound since he becomes elevated to the ace role with Price gone. Baseball Odds: Tampa Bay is a -110-money line favorite. Total: 7.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lester a big fave in A's debut
Andrew Caley

The Oakland A's big trade deadline acquisition, ace Jon Lester, makes his debut for his new team Saturday and will take the mound as a big fave.

Lester (10-7, 2.52 ERA) and the A's are currently listed as -208 faves against the visiting Kansas City Royals. The Royals counter with Jason Vargas (8-4 3.31 ERA).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Preview: Cubs (46-61) at Dodgers (61-48)

Game: 2
Venue: Dodger Stadium
Date: August 02, 2014 9:10 PM EDT

A three-game series with the last-place Chicago Cubs seemed to be an ideal chance for the Los Angeles Dodgers to stay hot.

Instead, they've looking to Hyun-jin Ryu to get them back on track.

Ryu will try to help the Dodgers bounce back from their first loss in seven games by continuing his recent success Saturday night against the Cubs.

Los Angeles (62-48) entered this series with a season-high six-game winning streak, but it ended with an 8-2 loss to the last-place Cubs (46-62).

Still, the Dodgers have won nine of the past 11 meetings with Chicago, and are turning to Ryu (12-5, 3.44 ERA) to help them widen their 2 1/2-game lead on second-place San Francisco.

The left-hander has won three straight starts behind a 2.37 ERA with 22 strikeouts and two walks in 19 innings, limiting opponents to a .186 average.

Ryu is one victory shy of moving into a tie for the most in baseball following Sunday's 4-3 win at San Francisco. He struck out seven Giants and allowed three runs in six innings.

Ryu's impressive stretch has been spurred by some mechanical adjustments. He changed the grip and arm angle on his slider on advice from Clayton Kershaw and also tweaked his curveball after talking with Josh Beckett, according to MLB's official website.

"Ever since then, it's a go-to pitch," manager Don Mattingly said of Ryu's curve.

Ryu earned a 6-2 road win in his only career meeting with the Cubs on Aug. 2, 2013, allowing two runs while scattering 11 hits in 5 1-3 innings.

He'll now face a Chicago team that's hit .285 while winning four of five games, matching its number of victories over the previous 19.

Chris Coghlan had two hits Friday, and his .372 average since June 30 leads the NL. Luis Valbuena had a solo homer and an RBI single in the series opener, giving him two blasts and six RBIs in his past three contests.

The Cubs are giving the ball to Tsuyoshi Wada (1-1, 3.38), who will try to build on his first win in the majors. The 33-year-old rookie left-hander, a veteran of nine seasons in Japan and three in the minors, allowed one run in seven innings of a 4-1 win over Colorado on Monday.

Wada totaled nine inning over his first two starts.

"He executed pitches, got some big outs when he needed to and got out of traffic that developed late," manager Rick Renteria said. "He did a nice job and gave us some innings."

Wada may have to contend with Yasiel Puig, who is 13 for 29 with three doubles, four triples, one homer and nine runs in his last six games. The All-Star right fielder also pounds Cubs pitching, going 12 for 24 with six runs in seven meetings. However, Puig exited Friday's loss with mild left hamstring soreness in the seventh as a precautionary measure.

That was followed by reliever Paul Maholm injuring his right knee covering first for the final out of the inning, while first baseman Adrian Gonzalez left in the third with a right knee contusion.

Dee Gordon, meanwhile, should be back in the lineup after stealing two bases Friday, giving him a major league leading 50 - the most by a Dodger since Juan Pierre had 64 in 2007.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

August Pitchers Report
By Marc Lawrence

With the MLB trade deadline having closed and the NFL preseason whetting our pigskin appetite, the month of August sets the table for the stretch run of the baseball season. Which pitchers can we count on to satisfy our tastes, and which ones figure to turn our stomach? Take a look below.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of August. On the flip side, we’ve also listed pitchers that struggle in August team starts, winning 33% percent or less of their efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each August over the last three years. *Designates this pitcher appeared on the list last season.

I’ll be back next month with September’s Good Month Pitchers. Until then, enjoy the hot August nights.

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS

Buehrle, Mark (11-5)

After a phenomenal start, the Toronto left-hander has returned to career norms, but if the Blue Jays are to make the postseason, Buehrle will have to play a large role. Toronto overall has flourished with the Missouri native on the mound with a 15-7 overall record and a sharp 10-3 when he’s been the favorite.

*Chen, Bruce (12-6)

Chen has only been back in the Kansas City rotations since the end of June and frankly has not been effective. Because the Royals offense runs cold and warm, they are dependent on their starters like Chen to keep them in games. They will need the Chen of August’s past to stay in wild card contention.

*Gallardo, Yovani (12-1)

The Brewers ace has not put up the kind of numbers Milwaukee fans have come to expect. In his last 11 starts he’s just 3-2, but Gallardo has lowered his ERA just over a run, which shows progress. The Brew Crew does not figure to win the division without one of their key elements and they need him to own this month like in the past.

Greinke, Zack (13-4)

Manager Don Mattingly is receiving just what he needs from his No. 2 pitcher... consistency. What makes Greinke unique is his approach since he has an array of pitches he can throw for strikes. On days maybe when the fastball lacks the usual juice or location is an issue, he can turn to various breaking pitches to get batters out and keep changing speeds to keep them off-balance.

Hamels, Cole (11-4)

After a slow start coming back from injury, Hamels has been brilliant with a sparking 1.77 ERA in his last 10 starts. He’s averaging better than a strikeout an inning and on the season and has a 1.70 ERA on the road, doing his best on aging team that will be rebuilding go forward.

Lohse, Kyle (11-4)

Though not the official ace of the Brewers, he’s pitched like one all season. The Crew is 15-7 when Lohse takes the ball and they are a gritty 5-2 as underdogs. Milwaukee’s right-hander is bulldog on the road, as he and his teammates are 9-4 away from Miller Park.

Minor, Mike (10-5)

To say this has not been a good season for Minor is an understatement, as his ERA has risen by 3.5 runs in his last 10 starts and the left-hander has surrendered a head-shaking .393 batting average against lefties no less. Despite Atlanta averaging just 3.9 runs a game, they have scored a full run more in Minor’s 16 outings, which why they are .500 when he’s pitched. It’s hard to imagine a quick about face.

*Santana, Ervin (12-5)

This turned out to be a great pickup for Atlanta after suffering heavy losses to its starting staff in the spring. Santana does not overpower opposing hitters, but he’s really kept right-handed batters off balance as they are hitting only .206 against. Santana has always pitched better at home than on the road and be sure to play him this month at Turner Field.

*Scherzer, Max (13-4)

Some baseball pundits wondered if Scherzer found lightning in a bottle last season in winning the Cy Young, but he’s come right back with another solid campaign. Among his strengths is he doesn’t beat himself and has a 4-to-1 strikeout to walk ratio. He’s also known for his relentless determination, making him tough to bet against.

*Shields, James (13-4)

Shields is a true professional and David Price of Tampa Bay credits him for setting the standard for hard work and enhancing his career. The righty might not have the lowest ERA or flashiest numbers, yet he will more often than not hold the opposition to one less run than his team scores, which piles up the W’s.

BAD MONTH PITCHERS

Hernandez, Roberto (4-8)

Since winning 19 games in 2007, the pitcher formerly known as Fausto Carmona is 44-72, had two stints in the minors and is primarily a fifth starter trying to hold on to a big league paycheck (Maybe the Cubs could use him). Whatever name he signs on the back of his paycheck these days is definite play against material here.

*Correia, Kevin (2-10)

Though the Twins soft-tossing starter had a good stretch over seven starts beginning on June 10, the fact of the matter is 5-13 with an ERA of 5.06 this season. (As of 7-31-14) Since this is the fourth different team he’s been a starting pitcher for since 2008, don’t expect any real improvement this month.

Hellickson, Jeremy (5-11)

Hellickson began the season on the disabled list due to right elbow surgery and has spent most of the season at Double and Triple-A, trying to work his way back to the big club. He made two spot starts in July and it is not guaranteed he will do anything more than that in August.

Jimenez, Ubaldo (5-12)

Jimenez last pitched for Baltimore on July 5th after suffering a right ankle sprain. He’s scheduled to make two rehab starts in the first part of August before returning to the Orioles. However, the Birds have been playing very good baseball without him and his 3-8 record and 4.52 ERA, thus you have to wonder if he moves back into Buck Showalter’s rotation.

*Maholm, Paul (3-8)

Strictly a reliever and spot starter for the Los Angeles Dodgers, who has an ERA of almost five and just 34 punch-outs to go along with 27 walks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

NEW YORK METS
(Degrom/Peavy)

There is a reason why Boston got rid of Peavy. Peavy is on the decline in his career and his facing a pitcher in Degrom that has much better numbers this year. The Giants have not faced this guy which is always tough for a team that is struggling to hit the ball. Degrom has been awesome at home and pitching very well as of late. Take the Mets.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Advanced sports investments

perry's soccer corner

brazil - serie b
8:00pm luverdense mt @ avai sc - under 2.5 -130

czech rep - gambrinus liga
11:00am- hradec kralove @ fc zbrojovka brno - under 2.5 -135

sweden - superettan
10:00am landskrona bois @ ljungskile sk - over 3 -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANDRE GOMES
Soccer Saturday
Arsenal to win @-143 vs. SL Benfica
NOTE: game starts @11:20 AM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MADDUX

10* Seattle Mariners
10* LA Angels

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Five to Follow MLB Betting: Saturday August 2, 2014 Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews

Many of the guys traded by Thursday’s deadline should be making their debuts by Saturday as you have to factor in travel time and physicals and all that. Two of the biggest pitchers to be dealt will be on the mound as Jon Lester makes his first career start in the green and gold of the A’s, while Justin Masterson does the same in the red and white of the Cardinals. Here’s a look at those two games and three other interesting matchups.

Royals at A’s (-210, 7.5)

Oakland is now the -400 favorite in the AL West after acquiring Lester from the Red Sox, and it should be quite a festive atmosphere at O.co Coliseum on Saturday. Maybe even a rare sellout. Incidentally, this game was when the team was going to hand out Yoenis Cespedes T-shirts to the first 10,000 fans. Of course, Cespedes was included in the Lester deal to Boston. The promotional giveaway will go on — and most of the shirts will be on eBay soon after. Lester (10-7, 2.52) dominated the Royals on July 20, holding them scoreless on four hits over eight innings. The Royals got bad news recently in that Eric Hosmer will miss perhaps six weeks with a fractured right hand. K.C. is toast now, especially after doing nothing at the deadline. Lefty Jason Vargas (8-4, 3.31) will come off the DL (appendix) to start this one. He’s a tremendous 4-1 with a 1.68 ERA on the road this year. He hasn’t faced Oakland. Jonny Gomes, who also came over in the trade, will usually play against lefties as he hits them well. Not Vargas. Gomes is 1-for-15 career off him with 11 strikeouts. The one hit was a homer.

Key trends: The Royals are 1-4 in their past five against lefties. The “under” has hit in four of those. The under is 6-1 in the past seven meetings in Oakland entering Friday.

Early lean: I think Lester pitches a gem now that he’s back in a pennant race, even though he did love Boston. The better value is Oakland at -105 on the runline.



Blue Jays at Astros (+135, 8.5)

Considering that Baltimore only added lefty reliever Andrew Miller and the Yankees just Martin Prado and Stephen Drew at the deadline, I still like Toronto to win the AL East. The Jays, +200 to win the division at Sportsbook.ag, will have the best lineup once everyone is healthy. Pitching, like the Orioles (-130) and Yankees (+320), will be their main concern. Thus, R.A. Dickey (9-10, 3.91) has to pitch more often like he did last time out when he held the Red Sox to just a run and three hits over seven innings, striking out 10. His previous two starts had not been good. Dickey faced Houston on April 10 and allowed five runs over seven innings. He befuddles Astros All-Star Jose Altuve, who is 0-for-10 off Dickey. Houston goes with lefty Brett Oberholtzer (3-7, 4.30). He has turned his season around, going 3-1 with a 3.15 ERA in his past seven starts. He allowed three runs over 5.1 innings on April 8 in Toronto. Jose Bautista has a solo homer in two at-bats off him.

Key trends: Toronto is 2-9 in its past 11 against lefties. The Jays are 1-5 in Dickey’s past six road starts against teams with a losing record. Houston is 1-5 in Oberholtzer’s past six at home against teams with a winning record. The under is 5-1 in Dickey’s past six on the road.

Early lean: Over at +105. You can never trust that Dickey knuckler.



Angels at Rays (+100, 7)

I’m still stunned the Angels didn’t make a single move before Thursday’s trade deadline. I liked them all season to win the AL West, but now I don’t feel that way any longer because Oakland’s rotation is so much better. That is unless C.J. Wilson (8-6, 4.33) gets back to pitching like a true No. 2 starter. He has been out since July 9 with an ankle problem. Hopefully for Angels backers that was why he had four straight lousy starts before going on the DL. He has just one win since June 8. By far Wilson’s best start of the year was May 17 against the Rays, throwing a complete-game, five-hit shutout. Ben Zobrist has some success off him, hitting .269 with two homers, two doubles and six RBIs in 26 career at-bats. I’m curious to see if the Rays go into a mini-funk after management traded David Price, all but giving up on this year. The new ace is Chris Archer, who starts this one. He pitched in Anaheim on May 16 and blanked the Halos over 5.2 innings. Josh Hamilton is 3-for-7 with a homer, double and three RBIs against Archer.

Key trends: The Rays have won eight straight Game 2s of a series. They are 1-9 in Archer’s past 10 following a quality start in his last appearance. The over is 5-0 in Archer’s past five Saturday starts.

Early lean: I do think the Rays will go into a bit of a slide, but Archer is a fine pitcher and Wilson is still a question mark. So I like Tampa as a home dog.



Brewers at Cardinals (-120, 7.5)

I believe the Cardinals are now clearly the top threat to the L.A. Dodgers in the National League after St. Louis acquired Masterson and John Lackey this week. Masterson (4-6, 5.51) makes his NL debut in this one. As you can see by the numbers he hadn’t been that good this year but was in 2013. Masterson hasn’t pitched since July 7, after which he was placed on the DL with a minor knee injury. I wasn’t aware you could trade guys on the DL. Masterson’s career ERA of 3.14 against NL teams is more than a run lower against AL teams. Only a couple of Brewers have faced him. Lyle Overbay is 6-for-11 off Masterson, all singles. Jimmy Nelson (1-2, 4.30) starts for Milwaukee. He has had back-to-back quality starts. Nelson faced the Cards on July 12 and was bombed for eight runs over 4.1 innings. Kolten Wong hit a two-run homer off him.

Key trends: The Brewers are 1-5 in their past six Game 2s of a series. The under is 7-1 in Milwaukee’s past eight road games vs. righty starters. The over is 6-0 in the past six meetings entering Friday.

Early lean: Masterson will be energized by pitching in baseball-mad St. Louis. Take the Cards.



Giants at Mets (-135, 7)

Perhaps the best National League pitcher in the month of July who doesn’t have to initials C.K. and pitch for the Dodgers was the Mets’ Jacob deGrom (5-5, 2.79). He was 4-1 with a 1.39 ERA in the month and allowed just two total runs over his last four starts. If this 26-year-old is for real, the Mets have some scary good young pitching and might be ready to turn the corner as soon as 2015 when Matt Harvey returns. De Grom has never faced the Giants. He has a 1.83 ERA in six home starts. It’s Jake Peavy (1-10, 4.71) for the Giants, making his second start since coming over in a trade from Boston. His teams have lost the past 10 times he has taken the mound. Peavy wasn’t awful in his Giants debut, allowing three earned over six innings against the Dodgers. David Wright does little against the guy, going 2-for-16 with seven strikeouts.

Key trends: The under is 7-2-1 in deGrom’s past 10 against teams with a winning record. The Giants are 7-2 in their past nine against right-handed starters.

Early lean: Under at +105. Either guy could pitch a shutout with two mediocre offenses.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

"Mr Chalk" won on Friday in MLB in the American League with the Orioles -$137/Mariners.

For Saturday in MLB in the National "Mr Chalk" likes the Mets -$140/Giants (Peavy/DeGrom)

Ben lee is 2-1 +$21 for week Forty 180-212-5 -$2887

"Mr Chalk" is 56-40 -$266 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

INTERNATIONAL CHAMPIONS CUP SOCCER

1000* Play Inter +.5 over Roma
1:00 PM EST

1000* Play Manchester City -1 over Olympiakos
3:00 PM EST

1000* Play Manchester United +.5 over Real Madrid
4:00 PM EST

1000* Play Liverpool +.5 over AC Milan
6:30 PM EST

PK=game is a pick—no spread

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bookiemonsters

POD

Seattle Mariners -105


Money Generators

Arizona Diamondbacks +115

San Francisco Giants +120

San Diego Padres -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soulhat Sports

Oakland Athletics -1.5 +100 (Vargas/Lester)
MLB
3:05 PM CT
4 units

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moneymakers

la dodgers -1.5

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BigBetTiger

OVER 6 RUNS IN PADRES- BRAVES GAME

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Benton 75 DIME

Winner # 9 of 10
N.L. Total of the Year - Part 2
Giants vs. Mets
Under Giants/Mets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Wilton
60 Dime
Winner # 7 in a Row
Angels ML

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Trace Adams
Raise the Bar
1500♦
Winner # 10 of 14
N.L. Game of the Month
Braves ML

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Anthony Redd
30 Dime
Winner # 23 of 37
Under Braves/Padres

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Craig Davis
30 DIME

N.L. Game of the Month

Braves ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gabriel Dupont
100 Dime A.L. Central

Game of the Year
White Sox ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Delaney
50 Dime

Bounce Back Total
Under Seattle/Baltimore

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Sean Michaels

Second Ever

150 DIME

Release of my Career

Detroit RL

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Brandon Lang

75 Dime

Reds

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Sam Martin

Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres 8:40PM

5* Play Atlanta Braves

In the span of a 162-game regular season, it's easy for teams to lose focus and concentration from time to time. But when a team gets embarrassed like Atlanta did last night - losing 10-1 and getting out-hit 20-4, that team usually comes back to the ballpark the next day ready to get some revenge.

We'll back the Braves to bounce back from yesterday's blowout loss and win comfortably tonight in San Diego, and we like the pitching matchup of Santana vs. Kennedy. Santana has won each of his last three starts, looking especially good in his last two games allowing just one run combined over 15 1/3 innings. Kennedy has been worse at home than one the road (odd considering SD is pitching-friendly park) and the Padres have lost 7 of his 11 team starts here. 5* Play on Atlanta.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steven Nover

Minnesota +110

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Spartan

Oakland Under 7

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RTG SPORTS

Yankees @ Red Sox - Under 9 (-125)

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MTI Sports

San Diego Padres

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JOSH DANIELS

1* Baltimore O's
1* Tampa Bay Rays

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Dave Aquino

Today's Selections

MLB

Oakland Athletics

Milwaukee Brewers

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Diamond Trends - Saturday
By Vince Akins


SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Pirates are 0-12 since August 20, 2005 on the road when their starter went at least eight innings in his last start after a win for a net profit of $1305 when playing against.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Rick Porcello starts the Tigers are 14-0 since June 08, 2013 as a 140+ favorite vs a team that has averaged 7+ strikeouts per game if he allowed no more than 10 hits last start for a net profit of $1400.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

Vance Worley has produced a team record of 8-1 (+$700) following a starter where he allowed four or fewer hits.

CHOICE TREND

The Rangers are 0-12 since May 11, 2014 as a dog when they lost the last time they faced this starting pitcher for a net profit of $1200 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

When Miguel Gonzalez starts the Orioles are 13-2 since August 10, 2012 at home after a quality start for a net profit of $1091.

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GUARANTEED SPORTS PICK

Cincinnati vs Miami - UNDER 7

[golden contender]

Saturday card has 2 Big 5* Plays one from a 20-2 system the other a 100% Dog system, their is also a 32-7 Totals angle with a 90% system. Friday card cashes 2 of 3. Free Plays on a 20-8 run. Free MLB Totals System Below.


On Saturday the Free MLB Totals System Play is to play over the total in the Milwaukee at St. Louis game. Rotation numbers 907/908 at 7:15 eastern. Last night we cashed a big 5* With these 2 playing over the total easily with 11 runs. Tonight their is a different system that pertains to a high scoring totals system that has won 28 of 34 times since 2011. We are playing the over for Home favorites like the Cardinals with a total that is 8 or less if they are off a home favored loss at-140 or higher and lost by 2+ runs and scored 4 or less runs with 5 or more hits, vs an opponent off a road dog win and scored 5 or more runs with 10 or more hits and no errors. The Brewers have flown over 15 of 22 times as a road dog from +100 to +125. In the series here 7 of the last 10 have posted over the total. Milwaukee has K. Lohse on the mound and he has pitched over in 6 of his last 8 road Starts in August. J. Masterson makes his first start for the Cards since getting traded. He has a dismal 10.03 era in his last 3 starts and has pitched over in 3 of his last 4 home August starts. Look for this one to go over tonight. On Saturday another Big Power system Card is on the menu with 2 big 5* plays, one is a 20-2 Dominator system, the other a Perfect system dog. There is also a solid totals system with a 32-7 Angle. Jump on Now and put the Power of our Cutting edge data and Material on your side. Last night we nailed 2 of 3. For the free Play take Milwaukee and St. Louis to fly over the total. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAMBLING GOD

League: MLB
Team A: Brewers
Team B: Cardinals
Pick: Over 7.5
Risk:$110 to win $100
Time: 4:00 PM PT

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BANKROLL SPORTS

2* Tampa Bay Rays -110 (MLB)

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Indian Cowboy

MLB

3* Under 9 Texas Rangers/Cleveland Indians

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SPORTSWAGERS

CFL

Saskatchewan @ OTTAWA

OTTAWA +6 -105 /+210 over Saskatchewan

(Risking 2.05 units - To Win: 1.95)

We’re going to break this up and play 1 unit on the money line and 1 unit on the point-spread.

Saskatchewan is 2-2 after four games but they have only played one road game and that came in Toronto in Week 2 in which the Argonauts rolled the Roughriders 48-15. In the rematch back in Regina last week, Saskatchewan paid the Argos back with a 37-9 pasting but in case you didn’t know, Toronto actually outgained the Riders by 146 yards in the air and 65 yards overall. In fact, the Green Riders have only outgained one of their four opponents and that came in Week 1 against a Tiger-Cats team that looked as lethargic as could possibly be. The Riders rank near the bottom in several key offensive and defensive stats. Their defense ranks eighth in yards allowed per game and their offense is last in the West and sixth overall and that’s after playing Toronto twice and Hamilton once. In the Riders only game versus the West they were buried by the Lions by a flattering score to them of 26-13. The local media in Ottawa is playing this up as a “measuring stick” game because the Riders are the defending champs but don’t buy into that, as Saskatchewan is a fraction of the team they were a year ago. They tore apart both their offensive and defensive lines and have just four returners overall on defense. This is a team that has looked no better than Ottawa and looked brutal in their only road game.

Ottawa is getting better each week. Unlike the other teams in the East, the Redblacks have yet to be blown out and have led at the half in three of their four games so far. Last week they trailed Hamilton by just three at the break and hung in there the entire game. The Redblacks have shown an ability to move the chains. They have been inside the red zone plenty of times but have been unable to punch it on several occasions otherwise they may have three wins instead of one. That’s a slight tweak that we’re sure they’ve been working on. Henry Burris has four TD passes and just one pick while Darian Durant has thrown five picks. After five weeks, Durant’s 777 yards passing ranks seventh out of eight regular starters and he’s only slightly ahead of Montreal’s Troy Smith, who has 758 yards passing. There’s nothing that we’ve seen from the Riders that suggest they deserve to be a 6-point road favorite or that they’re not capable of losing outright. All the value here is on the pooch and we're on it.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

Seattle @ BALTIMORE

Seattle +102 over BALTIMORE

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.04)

Some things just defy logic and a case in point is Orioles starter Miguel Gonzalez. Here’s a guy with a 3.77 ERA after 18 starts but his WHIP of 1.42 does not come close to supporting that ERA. And it’s not like Gonzalez can get out of jams on his own. He has just 77 K’s in 103 innings while issuing 38 walks. The reason he’s been able to keep his ERA in check is due to a very lucky 80% strand rate. Over his last five starts covering 30 innings, Gonzalez has a strand rate of 93%. No other pitcher in the majors has a 93% strand rate or higher over a five-game stretch. You would assume that he’s been helped by double plays but that’s not true either, as Gonzalez is a fly-ball pitcher with a GB/FB split of 38%/42%. His swing and miss rate is 7% overall and 4% over his past six starts. Gonzalez’s xERA of 4.92 reflects pedestrian skills at best. He doesn't miss enough bats or get enough groundballs to keep the ball in the park. The under the hood stats scream out that Miguel Gonzalez is one of the worst starters in the league so take this projection seriously.

Not many know about James Paxton but we’re here to tell you that this guy has some of the nastiest stuff you’ll ever see. Paxton come off the DL after getting injured in just his second start of the year way back in April. In his two starts he surrendered just six hits in 12 innings while striking out 13 batters. Last year, Paxton went 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA in 24 innings for Seattle after his September call-up. In just 36 major-league innings over his brief career, Paxton has allowed just 24 hits for an oppBA of .164. He’s also 5-0 as a starter in six starts with an ERA of 1.75 and an elite groundball rate of 56%. Paxton features a mid-90s heater, a changeup he'll use anytime and a curve as his out pitch. As a 25-year-old ground-baller with three plus pitches, Paxton offers up so much more value than his mound opponent and he’ll face an Orioles team that is struggling miserably at the plate.


Toronto @ HOUSTON

Toronto -1½ +127 over HOUSTON

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.54)

R.A. Dickey is regaining the form that saw his stock soar back in 2012. Since June 14th, a string of eight starts, he's been able to induce whiffs at a healthy rate with an elite swing and miss rate of 15%. However, Dickey had more success in the past inducing weak contact on the ground with his knuckleball-led arsenal rather than aiming for Ks. His groundball rate is down from his glory days but he may have found it again, as his groundball rate has been creeping up since June 14. Dickey certainly hasn't been bad, far from it actually, as he's racked up pure quality starts in every one of his starts since June 14. And the knuckleball velocity that he's relied on for prior success hasn't declined. That said, this one is all about fading Astros lefthander, Brett Oberholtzer.

Oberholtzer is basically a two-pitch pitcher. When we look at successful two-pitch pitchers (see Derek Lowe), they almost always feature a nasty slider but that’s not the case with this stiff. Oberholtzer’s two pitches are of course a fastball (that tops off at 89 MPH) and a changeup. Is it any wonder that he’s spent the majority of the past six years in the minors? In 84 innings, Oberholtzer has just 53 K’s. His groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile is an ugly one at 35%/21%/44%. As a minor-leaguer, Oberholtzer was considered a fringe prospect and he’s done nothing at this level to alter that. Over his last four starts covering 26 innings he has a BB/K split of 6/9. His ERA at Minute Maid is 4.91 with an xERA of 5.47. A soft-tosser with a fly-ball bias profile, Oberholtzer’s chances of a blowup is high against HR hitting teams and the Blue Jays certainly fit that bill.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle's Pick(s)

2 UNIT = Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers - TIGERS -1.5 (-106)

Listed Pitchers: Matzek vs. Porcello

(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.89 units)

Sonny Gray took care of business yesterday, but the offense was lackluster to say the least. The A's couldn't score a run off Jeremy Guthrie and the Royals went on for the 1-0 win. Tonight we head out to Detroit for an inter-league clash between the Rockies and Tigers.

There was a point this season where the Rockies were able to rely on the offense to stay a little competitive, but without Troy Tulowitzki the life of their offense was taken away. Not to mention the injury to Carlos Gonzalez. Similar to the Reds, the Rockies are without the meat of the offense. It isn't the best formula to have against the Tigers, which wasn't successful for them last night in a 4-2 losing effort against Justin Verlander. A good formula for success in this game will be the Tigers vs. a left-hander. They are hitting .280 against them! Tyler Matzek isn't the worst option for the Rockies in their rotation, but he should be handled by the Tigers' offense. He comes in with a 4.39 ERA and 1.39 WHIP, not good, but there is still worse out of the Colorado starters. He has had major trouble keeping runners off base on the road, a 1.50 WHIP. Remember the Tigers hit .280 against left-handers, so they are going to have many chances to score some runs in this game. Opposite Matzek will be the surprise of the season for the Tigers, Rick Porcello. There was a big campaign to get Porcello into the All-Star game, which he definitely deserved given his work in the first half of the season. He went three games without allowing a single run. He got hit hard the following start, but three starts later Porcello is right back on track. His past three starts yielded a 1.71 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, and .247 OBP. The Rockies trip to Detroit should get dicier tonight, as the Tigers should be able to take care of them by more than a run once again.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):

3-1 late inning loss last night, as the Jays bullpen gave up two runs in the bottom of the 8th. One play here tonight on a busy day of baseball that includes a lot of starting pitchers pitching for their new teams after the trade deadline.

2 UNIT = Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles - UNDER 8.5 RUNS -116

Listed Pitchers: Paxton vs Gonzalez

(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.72 units)

The first game of this series last night was a 2-1 Baltimore win. These two teams have now played 5 games this season and we've seen totals of 4, 3, 7, 5, and 3 with the UNDER going 5-0. Tonight's starting pitcher for Seattle is James Paxton who is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA, .146 OBA and 0.67 WHIP over two starts. He has faced the Angels twice in back to back starts. He looked great in his first start allowing just 2 hits over 7 innings, but the Angels figured him out a bit in his second appearance in less than a week against them. Last year over 4 starts with the Mariners he was 3-0 witha 1.50 ERA, .172 OBA and 0.92 WHIP. Baltimore will counter with Miguel Gonzalez who is 5-5 with a 3.77 ERA, .271 OBA and 1.42 WHIP. His home numbers are slightly better with a 2-2 record and 3.30 ERA. In 4 July starts Gonzalez was 1-0 with a 1.82 ERA, .218 OBA and 1.08 WHIP - with all four being quality starts. The UNDER is 37-13-1 in the Mariners last 51 overall, 7-2 in their last 9 road games and 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs a team with a winning record. The UNDER is 10-1 in the Orioles last 11 games overall, 38-14-2 in their last 54 games as a favorite, 35-16-2 in their last 53 home games, and 4-0 in Gonzalez's last 4 starts overall. The UNDER is also 6-0 in these two teams last 6 meetings (5-0 this season). Take the UNDER with two solid starting pitchers going at it tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AFL

StatFox Super Situations

ARENA | PHILADELPHIA at CLEVELAND
Play Under - Any team when the total is greater than or equal to 100 off a road win, with a winning record on the season
124-68 since 1997. ( 64.6% | 49.2 units )
16-5 this year. ( 76.2% | 10.5 units )

ARENA | PHILADELPHIA at CLEVELAND
Play On - Any team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) revenging a close loss of 10 points or less to opponent, off a road blowout loss by 17 points or more
19-9 since 1997. ( 67.9% | 20.3 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% | -1.0 units )

ARENA | PORTLAND at ARIZONA
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (PORTLAND) after beating the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games
34-11 over the last 10 seasons. ( 75.6% | 21.9 units )
4-3 this year. ( 57.1% | 0.7 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

Yes, we know that the Reds offense has been pretty anemic since the All Star break, which is expected when you lose Votto and Phillips for an extended period. But the trip to Florida seems to have woken up the Cincinnati Reds and their offense. Tonight, they give the ball to Homer Bailey, who will be opposed by the Marlins Nathan Eovaldi. Bailey is winless over his last four starts and Eovaldi is 1-4 with a 5.35 ERA over his last 11 starts. Saturday games for these teams have spelled OVER recently as the OVER is 9-4 in the Reds last 13 Saturday affairs and 4-1 in Eovaldi's last five Saturday starts. The OVER i also 17-7-1 in these teams last 25 meetings with one another and there are some nice umpire trends pointing towards some runs being scored. We're going OVER the posted total here tonight. The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - OVER 7.0 -120 Cincinnati Reds/Miami Marlins

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PhillyGodfather

Under 7 San Francisco Giants/New York Mets

Buffalo Bills -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports

Free Play

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox

Chicago -116

The Chicago White Sox lost 99 games last season while the Twins lost 96. Both teams are likely to improve upon those marks, but there is no doubt that the White Sox are the more improved team, and getting this one at home at slightly better than even odds puts them on the right side of this one. Chicago recovered from allowing a 5 run inning last night to get the win. The Twins send Yohan Pino to the mound, and he has not fared well on the road where his ERA stands at 6.75. The Twins own a 1-7 record in their last eight vs. a losing team, and have not fared well on the road as they are 7-15 in their last 22. The Twins are just 2-5 here in their last seven played. Back the White Sox.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Picks Portfolio

MLB

Under 9 -115 New York Yankees/Boston Red Sox

Under 7 -120 Kansas City Royals/Oakland Athletics

Philadelphia Phillies +174

Under 9 -120 Minnesota Twins/Chicago White Sox

Cincinnati Reds +108

Houston Astros +120

Los Angeles Angels +113

Under 7.5 -110 Los Angeles Angels/Tampa Bay Rays

San Francisco Giants +115

Under 7 -135 San Francisco Giants/New York Mets

St. Louis Cardinals -101

Over 6 -120 Atlanta Braves/San Diego Padres

Chicago Cubs +187

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UNDER Umpire Streakers

#905 UN7 -125 SF/NYM Onora 5ov/14un L19gms 73.7%
1.25u to win 1.00u

#911 UN6.5 -120 ATL/SD Reynolds 3ov/9un L12gm 75.0%
1.20u to win 1.00u

#921 UN8.5 -120 SEA/BAL Fagan 7ov/15un L22gms 68.2%
1.20u to win 1.00u

#929 UN8.5 +110 CO/DET Davidson 6ov/13un L19gms 68.4%
1.00u to win 1.10u

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Billy Coleman

8* Road Warrior

New York Yankees

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Rogers

Minnesota Twins +114

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LineCatchers

The Pittsburgh Pirates have played great baseball to get themselves right back in contention for postseason action. They were 4-0 down last night before scoring 8 runs in the last 2 innings to win 9-4. I believe they are showing good value on Saturday to get another W to in their pursuit of 1st place in the NL Central.

Vance Worley has been outstanding since being called up by the Pirates this year, going 4-1 with a 2.27 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP. Being a follower of the Phillies, I knew Worley had the potential to be a solid number 3/4 guy in a rotation in the NL. He did struggle last season with the Twins but in 53 starts in the NL, he is 22-14 with an ERA of 3.43 and a WHIP of 1.18. Worley has had success against the Diamonbacks in the past going 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in 3 career starts against Arizona.

Chase Anderson gets the nod for Arizona and he has pitched fairly well in his 12 starts in 2014. he is 6-4 with a 3.34 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. He has issued 13 walks in his last 5 starts and in 9 ‘Night’ outings this year, opponents have hit .280 against Anderson and he has pitched to a 1.53 ERA under the lights. In his only career start against the Bucs, Anderson gave up three ER on 8 hits and 3 walks over 3 2/3 IP of a 5-1 loss in early July.

I like the Pirates to get the Win tonight with an advantage on the mound and a team pushing for October baseball.

Pittsburgh Pirates - 125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BONES BEST BET

MARINERS @ ORIOLES – UNDER 8.5 -116 *5* BEST BET

In 5 games between these two teams this season they have yet to see an over (and have yet to see more than 7 runs!). Both the Mariners and Orioles have played to the under in 9 of their last 10 games. Phenom Paxton is back on the mound for the Mariners after suffering an injury after 2 starts. Before his injury Paxton owned a 0.67 WHIP and a 2.25 ERA. Gonzalez for Baltimore has been good this season and great of late (1.06 WHIP, 2.08 ERA). Add in that the Mariners have seen an average of just 5.1 runs per game over their past 10 contests and the Orioles just 5.4.

TIGERS RL (-1.5) -115 *5*

The Rockies have lost five of their last six games and tonight are in trouble again with these Tigers. Detroit needs to step up their game to ensure an AL Central title and coming off a 4-2 win last night we think they should get another one here. Taking the mound for Detroit tonight is Rick Porcello, who is 12-5 with a 3.24 ERA, facing the Rockies Tyler Matzek who is 2-5 with a 4.39 ERA. Big lean to the Tigers here as The Rockies are 0-4 in Matzeks last 4 road starts and 1-7 in Matzeks last 8 starts overall. The Tigers are 11-4 in Porcellos last 15 home starts and 24-10 in Porcellos last 34 starts.

REDS ML +110 *3*

We can’t believe we are getting the Reds as an underdog again. They own the Marlins winning again last night. They have now won 7 straight and 9 of 10 vs the Marlins. The Reds also have an advantage on the mound with Bailey pitching. He has been pitching well with a 0.84 WHIP his last 3 starts. Eovaldi has been struggling for the Marlins with a 1.59 WHIP and ERA just under 10.00 his last 3 starts. And he has struggled at home his year with an ERA over 5.00.

ORIOLES ML -111 *4*

The Mariners are really struggling to score now with just 20 total runs scored in their last 10 games. They have James Paxton taking the mound tonight who has not pitched since April and has just 12 innings under his belt this season. The Orioles meanwhile have won 8 of their last 11 and have Gonzalez going tonight who has allowed 1, 2, 2, and 1 run in each of his last 4 starts

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

Tampa Bay Rays ML

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ASA

MLB GOW 6*

Cincinnati Reds +108

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H&H Sports

MLB

3* Chicago White Sox

2* New York Yankees

2* Toronto Blue Jays