8-6-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::handshake::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Despite wins, Sale struggles versus Rangers
Andrew Avery

With a record of 10-1, an ERA of 2.09 and a WHIP of 0.90, it's safe to say that Chicago White Sox lefty Chris Sale has been sensational this season.

He'll be on the mound versus the Texas Rangers Wednesday, a team that - while he's posted three victories in four starts - he's struggled against. In four career starts versus the Rangers, Sale has tossed 31 innings, given up 17 earned runs on 28 hits and has posted an ERA of 4.94 - his third highest (Dodgers 10.50, Orioles 5.28).

It will be his first start against the club since August 23 of last season. He allowed eight runs on eight hits over seven innings of work, losing 11-5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2Halves2Win MLB 8/6
Week to date: 13-10-1 FOR +3.14 Units....

GAME - NYM @ WAS: Metropolitans ML - TBD

(*COMP*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

National League
Marlins-Pirates
Koehler is 1-1, 2.89 in his last three starts.
Locke is 0-2, 6.66 in his last four starts.

Miami lost four of its last six games.
Pirates are 14-4 in their last 18 home games.

Over is 3-1-1 in last five Locke starts.


Mets-Nationals
Niese is 0-3, 5.68 in his last three starts.
Fister is 4-1, 2.41 in his last five starts.

Mets are 5-3 in their last eight road games.
Washington is 4-6 in its last ten home games.

Under is 9-0-1 in last ten Fister starts.

Giants-Brewers
Vogelsong is 1-5, 3.59 in his last seven starts.
Gallardo is 1-0, 0.00 in his last two (14.2 IP) starts.

Giants won four of their last six games.
Milwaukee won seven of their last nine home games.

Under is 5-1-1 in last seven San Francisco road games.

Cubs-Rockies
Arrieta is 5-1, 1.74 in his last ten starts.
Colorado lost last four Lyles starts (0-1, 6.87) last of which was June 4.

Cubs won six of their last eight games.
Colorado lost eight of its last nine games.

Under is 9-4 in Arrieta's last thirteen starts.

American League
Tigers-Bronx
Verlander is 2-1, 3.32 in his last three starts.
Bronx lost both Capuano starts (0-1, 4.38).

Detroiit won five of its last seven games.
Bronx won 11 of its last 18 games.

Under is 9-2-1 in Detroit's last twelve road games.

Orioles-Blue Jays
Chen is 5-0, 2.53 in his last five starts.
Hutchison is 1-3, 8.10 in his last five starts.

Orioles won 11 of their last 15 games.
Toronto lost its last four games.

Four of last five Chen starts stayed under the total.

Rangers-White Sox
Williams is 1-1, 9.90 in two starts this season.
Sale is 5-0, 2.54 in his last eight starts.

Rangers lost 12 of their last 16 games.
White Sox lost five of their last seven home games.

Last seven White Sox games went over the total.

Rays-A's
Hellickson is 0-1, 3.29 in three starts (less than five IP in all three).
Gray is 5-1, 1.50 in his last six starts.

Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games.
A's are 18-5 in their last 23 home games.


Under is 14-6-1 in last 21 Oakland home games.


Interleague games
Astros-Phillies
Peacock is 1-3, 9.00 in his last four starts.
Buchanan is 4-2, 3.28 in his last six starts.

Houston won four of its last six games.
Phillies are 8-12 in their last twenty games.

Six of last nine Buchanan starts stayed under the total.

Indians-Reds
Salazar is 3-0, 2.50 in his last three starts.
Latos is 1-2, 4.68 in his last four starts.

Cleveland lost six of its last eight road games.
Reds lost 12 of their last 18 games (4-2 in last six).

Eight of eleven Salazar starts went over the total; under is 5-1-1 in Latos' last seven outings.

Padres-Twins
Despaigne is 0-3, 5.25 in his last four starts.
Correia is 1-5, 5.08 in his last seven starts.

San Diego won five of its last seven games.
Twins lost 11 of their last 16 home games.

Over is 3-0-1 in Correia's last four starts.

Red Sox-Cardinals
Former Cardinal Kelly was 1-1, 7.32 in his last four starts for St Louis.
Miller is 1-3, 5.95 in his last seven starts.

Boston lost 11 of its last 13 games.
Cardinals won four of their last five games.

Five of last six Miller starts went over the total.

Royals-Diamondbacks
Ventura is 1-1, 6.26 in his last four starts.
Arizona won last four Collmenter starts (1-0, 4.30) .

Royals won five of their last six games.
Arizona is 7-5 in its last twelve home games.

Five of last seven Collmenter starts stayed under the total.

Angels-Dodgers
Haren is 0-5, 10.42 in his last five starts.
Shoemaker is 3-1, 3.42 in his last four starts.

Dodgers won eight of their last eleven games.
Angels are 29-8 in their last 37 home games.

Under is 13-7-1 in last twenty-one Angel games.

Braves-Mariners
Teheran is 1-1, 2.57 in his last three starts.
Young is 1-2, 3.45 in his last five starts.

Atlanta lost its last seven games, all on the road.
Mariners lost five of their last seven home games.

Under is 15-2-1 in last 18 games at Safeco Field.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Koehler 10-12; Locke 6-5
-- Niese 10-10; Fister 11-4
-- Vogelsong 12-10; Gallardo 10-12
-- Arrieta 10-6; Lyles 6-6

-- Williams 1-1; Sale 12-5
-- Hellickson 2-1; Gray 15-7
-- Chen 14-7; Hutchison 11-11
-- Verlander 13-9; Capuano 0-2

-- Despaigne 3-4; Correia 6-16
-- Teheran 14-9; Young 12-8
-- Peacock 6-9; Buchanan 5-5
-- Salazar 6-5; Latos 4-5
-- Kelly 3-4/0-0; Miller 10-11
-- Ventura 10-10; Collmenter 13-6
-- Haren 10-12; Shoemaker 9-3

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Koehler 3-22; Locke 5-11
-- Niese 6-20; Fister 4-15
-- Vogelsong 3-22; Gallardo 6-22
-- Arrieta 5-16; Lyles 4-12

-- Williams 1-2; Sale 1-17
-- Hellickson 1-3; Gray 7-22
-- Chen 6-21; Hutchison 4-22
-- Verlander 7-22; Capuano 0-2

-- Despaigne 1-7; Correia 6-22
-- Teheran 7-23; Young 4-21
-- Peacock 5-15; Buchanan 1-10
-- Salazar 1-11; Latos 0-9
-- Kelly 2-7; Miller 4-21
-- Ventura 6-20; Collmenter 8-19
-- Haren 11-22; Shoemaker 1-12

Umpires
-- Mia-Pitt-- Underdogs won 11 of last 14 Miller games.
-- NY-Wsh-- Over is 10-5-1 in last sixteen Vanover games.
-- SF-Mil-- Eight of last eleven HGibson games went over.
-- Chi-Col-- Five of last seven Drake games went over.

-- Tex-Chi-- Favorites won 13 of last 16 Baker games.
-- TB-A's-- Five of last seven Tumpane games stayed under.
-- Balt-Tor-- 12 of last 15 O'Nora games stayed under total.
-- Det-NY-- Over is 8-4-1 in Woodring games this season.

-- SD-Min-- Underdogs are 14-7 in last 21 Hudson games.
-- Atl-Sea-- Five of last seven LBarrett games stayed under.
-- Hst-Phil-- Seven of last ten Carlson games stayed under.
-- Clev-Cin-- Favorites won last six Cuzzi games.
-- Bos-StL-- Four of last five Barksdale games stayed under.
-- KC-Az-- Favorites won seven of last nine Demuth games.
-- LA-LAA-- Seven of last eight Reynolds games stayed under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PGA Championship: Golf betting preview and picks
By MATT FARGO

The PGA Championship – the fourth and final major tournament of the TOUR season - will be contested for the 96th time, this year from Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, Kentucky.

This is the third time Valhalla has hosted the PGA Championship, the last coming in 2000. That year, Tiger Woods defeated Bob May in a playoff and the previous time, Marks Brooks defeated hometown favorite Kenny Perry in a playoff as well.

Valhalla Golf Club is a Par-71, 7,458-yard track that has seen some major renovations come through recently. Following the most recent Senior PGA Championship held there in 2011, every green was redone on the Jack Nicklaus design, that is actually owned by the PGA of America.

This is the ultimate shotmakers course and by that it can reward or penalize many second shots along the way. Because of the lack of experience here for a lot of the players, it evens out the field so there are not many advantages from a history standpoint.

While the course itself is a challenge, parity remains constant in the majors. As of the last 23 major tournaments – Masters, U.S. Open, British Open, PGA Champsionship - there have been 18 different winners with Rory McIlroy, Phil Mickelson, Bubba Watson and Martin Kaymer being the only multiple major winners.

Not since 2008 has there been a repeat major winner. Padraig Harrington is the last player to do so, winning The Open Championship and PGA Championship back-to-back. The challenge now sits with McIlroy following his win at the British Open Championship.

Since 1993, there have been 17 different winners of the PGA Championship with only Tiger Woods (4) and Vijay Singh (2) being repeat champs, which adds even more complication to the scenario. This tournament is known for its surprising victors, even though there have been some big names at the top in recent years. It’s interesting to note that the last 10 winners of the PGA Championship have had a Top-25 finish in their last start, so it’s been a "who's hot" event.

No one is hotter than McIlroy (+550), who is the favorite this week following consecutive wins at the Open Championship and the Bridgestone Invitational. He is once again the top-ranked player in the world and he’s a PGA Champion when he won the Wannamaker Trophy in 2012 at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island Golf Resort. Three in a row will be tough but he certainly has the game to do it.

Sergio Garcia (+2,000) came painfully close once again last week but had to settle for his fifth Top 3 in his last seven starts on the PGA Tour. His only missed cut this year was at the Masters and in his 11 cuts made, he has finished in the Top 10 eight times. He hasn’t won since 2012, when he won the Wyndham Championship which came after a missed cut at the PGA Championship.

We used Keegan Bradley (+3,500) last week and while his T4 was nice, a bad Sunday back nine did him in. Still, he comes in playing very well and also had a T4 at the Greenbrier sandwiched around a T19 at the Open Championship. He won the 2011 PGA Championship at Atlanta Athletic Club and followed that up with a T3 in 2012 and a T19 last year. His T4 at the U.S. Open doesn't hurt.

Graeme McDowell (+4,500) had his best ever finish at Firestone with a T8 thanks to a pair of 66s over the weekend. That was his third Top 10 in his last three starts, including a T9 at the Open Championship - his best finish in a major since a T12 at the PGA Championship last year. He has experience here as he played in the 2008 Ryder Cup at Valhalla and was one of the top European performers.

Mark Leishman (+5,000) is playing better than these odds indicate. He’s coming off a solo third at Firestone which came after a T5 at the Open Championship. He has missed only one cut since April and has finished outside the Top 23 only once in his last eight cuts made. Overall he has six Top 10s and finished T12 at the PGA Championship at Oak Hill last year.

Patrick Reed (+10,000) is coming off a strong performance last week which fits the hot trend. He finished T4 as a Saturday 71 kept him out of contention. That was his best finish since winning the WGC-Cadillac Championship back in March, which was his second win of the season. He had a rough three-month stretch after that but the birth of his first child played into that skid.

Recommended tournament win five pack at the PGA Championship (all for one unit)

Sergio Garcia (+2,000)
Keegan Bradley (+3,500)
Graeme McDowell (+4,500)
Mark Leishman (+5,000)
Patrick Reed (+10,000)

2014 Record to date after 29 events: -88 Units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Three good reasons to fade Rory McIlroy at the PGA Championship
By JOE FORTENBAUGH

With three victories over his last six starts worldwide, including a win at the British Open and a return to the top spot in the World Golf Rankings, betting against Rory McIlroy entering the 96th edition of the PGA Championship at Valhalla Golf Club feels like stepping in front of a 100-mph freight train.

McIlroy’s incendiary tear through TOUR competition has been nothing short of exceptional, with each phase of the three-time major winner’s game firing on all cylinders. But is Rory a lock to take home his second Wanamaker Trophy this weekend or will a worthy adversary rise from the field to challenge golf’s big-hitting superstar?

Here are three reasons why you may want to consider wagering your money elsewhere this weekend:

Value

Prior to his debilitating back injury, Tiger Woods was listed as a favorite or co-favorite in virtually every tournament he played for close to a decade - even at the venues where the 14-time major winner carried a less than stellar resume.

This was an effort on behalf of the sportsbooks to limit exposure, thanks to the foresight of knowing that the public would come in betting heavy on Tiger no matter what the situation. A similar phenomenon is now occurring thanks to McIlroy’s recent incendiary play.

Speaking to renowned golf oddsmaker Jeff Sherman of the LV Superbook in Las Vegas, Rory’s true odds should be in the neighborhood of 7/1 rather than the current price of 5/1. But higher odds would bring an increase in liability due to a betting public that is heavily backing McIlroy entering the PGA Championship.

The bottom line is that if you’re looking for an edge against the books this weekend, it won’t be found in supporting the most popular player on TOUR at 5/1.

History

Since 1980 there has only been one season (2000) in which a cycle through golf’s four majors failed to produce a first-time major winner.

Bubba Watson won the Masters in April for the second time in his career, Martin Kaymer shredded the field at Pinehurst to claim the United States Open Championship after having previously won the 2010 PGA Championship, and Rory’s British Open victory last month marked the third time the 25 year old had throttled the competition in a major championship.

If history holds true this week at Valhalla, we should see a breakthrough performance from a golfer like Rickie Fowler, Sergio Garcia, Matt Kuchar or Jim Furyk - not a repeat champion like McIlroy.

Elite competition

Gone are the days when Tiger Woods could consistently blow away an out-classed field that was ill-equipped to stand toe-to-toe with the best in the business. Today’s TOUR features the deepest and most talented crop of golfers in the sport’s history and several of them enter this week’s PGA Championship in excellent form.

Rickie Fowler has posted a Top-5 finish in each major played so far this season, former No. 1 Adam Scott has notched five consecutive Top-10s, Sergio Garcia has recorded three runner-ups over his last four outings and Keegan Bradley - who won this event back in 2011 - has racked up three Top-4 finishes over his last six starts, which includes last week’s WGC-Bridgestone.

To put it in football terms, this isn’t Peyton Manning against Tom Brady. It’s Peyton Manning against the entire National Football League.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB roundup: McCutchen dealing with broken rib
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

Pittsburgh Pirates outfielder Andrew McCutchen has a fractured rib and not an oblique muscle injury, but the team has yet to place him on the disabled list.

The Pirates announced Tuesday that McCutchen has an avulsion fracture involving the costochondral cartilage of the left 11th rib. "We continue to evaluate Andrew's progress and he will remain on the active roster," Pirates general manager Neal Huntington said.

With McCutchen out of the lineup, the Pirates activated outfielder Sterling Marte from the concussion disabled list.

It was initially reported that McCutchen's oblique injury could sideline the reigning National League Most Valuable Player for up to a month, but he told reporters Tuesday that he is hoping for a quick recovery and to avoid a stint on the DL.


---Anthony Bosch, the founder of Biogenesis of America, and 10 associates were booked by federal Drug Enforcement Administration agents near Fort Lauderdale, Fla., where Bosch masqueraded as a physician and wellness expert providing illegal supplements including human growth hormone to athletes.

Bosch testified as the star witness against New York Yankees third baseman Alex Rodriguez in Major League Baseball's investigation into the anti-aging clinic that Rodriguez and several others purchased for use HGH and other banned substances such as testosterone.

One of the Bosch associates arrested Tuesday was Yuri Sucart, Rodriguez's cousin. When Rodriguez told MLB Sucart provided him with performance-enhancing drugs, his cousin filed a $5 million civil suit for damages. Sucart traveled with Rodgriguez as a do-all gopher for more than 15 years but was banned from charter flights and the clubhouse by the Yankees.


---It wasn't a good day on the medical front for the Boston Red Sox. An injury-plagued season officially ended Tuesday for outfielder Shane Victorino with the announcement that he will undergo lower back surgery. Meanwhile, newly acquired Allen Craig was placed on the 15-day disabled list with a sprained ankle.

Dr. Robert Watkins, a spine specialist, will perform the back procedure on Victorino next Tuesday in Los Angeles. An MRI showed that Victorino might be in need of back surgery and Watkins confirmed the test findings.



---The Milwaukee Brewers sent right-hander Matt Garza to the disabled list Tuesday with a strained oblique muscle.

To take his place on the roster, the Brewers recalled right-hander Rob Wooten form Triple-A Nashville. It's unknown how long Garza will be sidelined.

Garza was injured during Monday's start against the St. Louis Cardinals. He had a one-hit shutout through six innings when he left the game after just 71 pitches. In his first season with the Brewers, Garza has started 23 games and has a 7-7 record with a 3.58 ERA, 43 walks and 104 strikeouts spanning145 2/3 innings.


---The Detroit Tigers signed struggling reliever Jim Johnson to a minor-league contract on Tuesday in an attempt to beef up their bullpen.

The Oakland Athletics released Johnson last week after he posted a 4-2 record, two saves and a 7.14 ERA with 24 walks and 28 strikeouts in 38 outings covering 40 1/3 innings this season.

The former All-Star closer saved 101 games in 2012-13 for the Baltimore Orioles before he went into the tailspin. According to FOX Sports, Johnson worked out for the Orioles after he was released by the A's and was thought to be returning to Baltimore before the Tigers claimed him.


---The Washington Nationals claimed left-handed reliever Matt Thornton off recocable waivers on Tuesday from the New York Yankees.

The 37-year-old Thornton appeared in 46 games for the Yankees this year and posted an 0-3 record with a 2.55 ERA in 24 2/3 innings.


---The Cleveland Indians recalled right-hander Josh Tomlin from Triple-A Columbus, optioned outfielder Tyler Holt to Columbus and activated outfielder outfielder Nyger Morgan from the 60-day disabled list and then released him.

Tomlin was scheduled to start Tuesday night's game against the Cincinnati Reds at Progressive Field. He was part of the Indians' rotation from May 6 to July 25 and posted a 5-7 record with a 4.47 ERA in 15 games (14 starts).


---New York Yankees pitcher Masahiro Tanaka threw again Tuesday with increased intensity from flat ground as he attempts to work his way back from a small ligament tear in his right elbow.

Tanaka, the Japanese sensation who was 12-4 with a 2.51 ERA before he was injured last month, made 50 throws from 60 feet before the Yankees' game against the Detroit Tigers on Tuesday night.

A day earlier, Tanaka made 25 light tosses on flat ground. The 25-year-old will rest the arm Wednesday before throwing again Thursday.

The team also made a roster move Tuesday, promoting reliever 34-year-old Rich Hill from Triple-A after reliever Matt Thorton was picked up by the Washington Nationals on a waiver claim.


---Toronto Blue Jays infielder Brett Lawrie was activated from the 15-day disabled list ahead of Tuesday's series opener against the Baltimore Orioles.

Lawrie, who went 4-for-10 in a three-game rehab assignment, was placed on the DL on June 23 with a fractured right index finger after getting hit by a pitch. The 24-year-old hit in the No. 6 spot in the lineup and played third base in his return.

Toronto placed infielder Steve Tolleson on the paternity list to make room for Lawrie on the roster.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Who's Hot - AL
By Mike Rose

There are only around 50 games left in the baseball's regular season, and it's tough to believe that the campaign has gone by this quickly. MLB betting fanatics have certainly been having a field day with some of the American League teams this year, and these are the three who have given you the most bang for your buck.

Baltimore Orioles (63-48, +$2,029) – We're not really all that sure how the O's are doing all of this. They really haven't gotten much this year out of J.J. Hardy or Chris Davis or Manny Machado, yet they still rank second in the league in home runs (thank you, Nelson Cruz) and 12th in run production on average. There isn't a legitimate ace pitcher on this team, and though Zach Britton has been good in relief, the rest of this bullpen is only so-so. Then again, maybe that's why the oddsmakers keep making Baltimore a dog on the road! Logic would tell you that the Orioles really shouldn't be able to win the AL East this year, but they really could. They're 33-23 on the road this year, and virtually all of the damage they have done for bettors has come away from Camden Yards. Winning those close games is what really makes the difference, especially on the road. Baltimore is doing just that.

Los Angeles Angels (67-44, +$1,538) – The Tigers went out and got David Price, and the A's have been doing all they can to go pitcher for pitcher with every team in the American League (more on them in a minute). Yet it's the Angels who are really flying high at the moment as the second best money team in the AL West. The Halos are just a game back of Oakland for the best record in baseball, and there is no doubt that they have the horses to get the job done. Sending out there Jered Weaver and Garrett Richards in the first two games of any short series is as good as anything that any team will be able to do, but beyond that, we have our concerns. The difference? Los Angeles can mash with any team in the game.

Oakland Athletics (68-43, +$1,053) – Pitching wins in the postseason, and that's why the A's have completely reworked their rotation. They have Jon Lester and Jeff Samardzija to build up the top of that rotation for the playoffs, and Sonny Gray as a third option isn't too shabby either. Our concern? How much will giving up Yoenis Cespedes really end up costing Oakland come the postseason? It's not often that you see a team give up its leadoff hitter in a trade to try to get better, but the Athletics did just that. They've still statistically got one of the best offenses in the league, but can it hold up? This pitching will do what it can otherwise, but there's still a long road ahead yet for Oakland.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

August Pitchers Report
By Marc Lawrence

With the MLB trade deadline having closed and the NFL preseason whetting our pigskin appetite, the month of August sets the table for the stretch run of the baseball season. Which pitchers can we count on to satisfy our tastes, and which ones figure to turn our stomach? Take a look below.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of August. On the flip side, we’ve also listed pitchers that struggle in August team starts, winning 33% percent or less of their efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each August over the last three years. *Designates this pitcher appeared on the list last season.

I’ll be back next month with September’s Good Month Pitchers. Until then, enjoy the hot August nights.

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS

Buehrle, Mark (11-5)

After a phenomenal start, the Toronto left-hander has returned to career norms, but if the Blue Jays are to make the postseason, Buehrle will have to play a large role. Toronto overall has flourished with the Missouri native on the mound with a 15-7 overall record and a sharp 10-3 when he’s been the favorite.

*Chen, Bruce (12-6)

Chen has only been back in the Kansas City rotations since the end of June and frankly has not been effective. Because the Royals offense runs cold and warm, they are dependent on their starters like Chen to keep them in games. They will need the Chen of August’s past to stay in wild card contention.

*Gallardo, Yovani (12-1)

The Brewers ace has not put up the kind of numbers Milwaukee fans have come to expect. In his last 11 starts he’s just 3-2, but Gallardo has lowered his ERA just over a run, which shows progress. The Brew Crew does not figure to win the division without one of their key elements and they need him to own this month like in the past.

Greinke, Zack (13-4)

Manager Don Mattingly is receiving just what he needs from his No. 2 pitcher... consistency. What makes Greinke unique is his approach since he has an array of pitches he can throw for strikes. On days maybe when the fastball lacks the usual juice or location is an issue, he can turn to various breaking pitches to get batters out and keep changing speeds to keep them off-balance.

Hamels, Cole (11-4)

After a slow start coming back from injury, Hamels has been brilliant with a sparking 1.77 ERA in his last 10 starts. He’s averaging better than a strikeout an inning and on the season and has a 1.70 ERA on the road, doing his best on aging team that will be rebuilding go forward.

Lohse, Kyle (11-4)

Though not the official ace of the Brewers, he’s pitched like one all season. The Crew is 15-7 when Lohse takes the ball and they are a gritty 5-2 as underdogs. Milwaukee’s right-hander is bulldog on the road, as he and his teammates are 9-4 away from Miller Park.

Minor, Mike (10-5)

To say this has not been a good season for Minor is an understatement, as his ERA has risen by 3.5 runs in his last 10 starts and the left-hander has surrendered a head-shaking .393 batting average against lefties no less. Despite Atlanta averaging just 3.9 runs a game, they have scored a full run more in Minor’s 16 outings, which why they are .500 when he’s pitched. It’s hard to imagine a quick about face.

*Santana, Ervin (12-5)

This turned out to be a great pickup for Atlanta after suffering heavy losses to its starting staff in the spring. Santana does not overpower opposing hitters, but he’s really kept right-handed batters off balance as they are hitting only .206 against. Santana has always pitched better at home than on the road and be sure to play him this month at Turner Field.

*Scherzer, Max (13-4)

Some baseball pundits wondered if Scherzer found lightning in a bottle last season in winning the Cy Young, but he’s come right back with another solid campaign. Among his strengths is he doesn’t beat himself and has a 4-to-1 strikeout to walk ratio. He’s also known for his relentless determination, making him tough to bet against.

*Shields, James (13-4)

Shields is a true professional and David Price of Tampa Bay credits him for setting the standard for hard work and enhancing his career. The righty might not have the lowest ERA or flashiest numbers, yet he will more often than not hold the opposition to one less run than his team scores, which piles up the W’s.

BAD MONTH PITCHERS

Hernandez, Roberto (4-8)

Since winning 19 games in 2007, the pitcher formerly known as Fausto Carmona is 44-72, had two stints in the minors and is primarily a fifth starter trying to hold on to a big league paycheck (Maybe the Cubs could use him). Whatever name he signs on the back of his paycheck these days is definite play against material here.

*Correia, Kevin (2-10)

Though the Twins soft-tossing starter had a good stretch over seven starts beginning on June 10, the fact of the matter is 5-13 with an ERA of 5.06 this season. (As of 7-31-14) Since this is the fourth different team he’s been a starting pitcher for since 2008, don’t expect any real improvement this month.

Hellickson, Jeremy (5-11)

Hellickson began the season on the disabled list due to right elbow surgery and has spent most of the season at Double and Triple-A, trying to work his way back to the big club. He made two spot starts in July and it is not guaranteed he will do anything more than that in August.

Jimenez, Ubaldo (5-12)

Jimenez last pitched for Baltimore on July 5th after suffering a right ankle sprain. He’s scheduled to make two rehab starts in the first part of August before returning to the Orioles. However, the Birds have been playing very good baseball without him and his 3-8 record and 4.52 ERA, thus you have to wonder if he moves back into Buck Showalter’s rotation.

*Maholm, Paul (3-8)

Strictly a reliever and spot starter for the Los Angeles Dodgers, who has an ERA of almost five and just 34 punch-outs to go along with 27 walks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

McIlroy clear favorite to win PGA Championship
By: Staff Writer - StatFox

PGA Championship
Tees Off: Thursday, August 7
Valhalla Golf Club – Louisville, KY

Odds to Win Tournament

Golfer Odds

Rory McIlroy 11-to-2
Adam Scott 12-to-1
Sergio Garcia 20-to-1
Phil Mickelson 20-to-1
Justin Rose 25-to-1
Henrik Stenson 25-to-1
Matt Kuchar 25-to-1
Rickie Fowler 25-to-1
Jordan Spieth 30-to-1
Bubba Watson 35-to-1
Keegan Bradley 35-to-1
Jason Day 40-to-1
Jim Furyk 40-to-1
Graeme McDowell 45-to-1
Martin Kaymer 50-to-1
Jason Dufner 50-to-1
Brandt Snedeker 50-to-1
Zach Johnson 50-to-1
Charl Schwartzel 50-to-1
Marc Leishman 60-to-1
Hunter Mahan 60-to-1
Jimmy Walker 60-to-1
Lee Westwood 65-to-1
Webb Simpson 65-to-1
Hideki Matsuyama 65-to-1
Angel Cabrera 80-to-1
Steve Stricker 80-to-1
Gary Woodland 85-to-1
Louis Oosthuizen 85-to-1
Victor Dubuisson 85-to-1
Ryan Moore 85-to-1
Ian Poulter 85-to-1
Brendon Todd 85-to-1
J.B. Holmes 85-to-1
4 Golfers 100-to-1
Harris English 115-to-1
4 Golfers 125-to-1
2 Golfers 135-to-1
7 Golfers 150-to-1
8 Golfers 165-to-1
7 Golfers 200-to-1
15 Golfers 215-to-1
2 Golfers 250-to-1
7 Golfers 265-to-1
5 Golfers 350-to-1
John Daly 500-to-1

The final major of the year begins this weekend in Louisville as the tour's best players converge in an attempt to grab PGA Championship glory. As with most majors, the past winners at this tournament are some of the best in the world as each of the past four victors are currently in the top-27 of the current world rankings; including newly-crowned No. 1 player, Rory McIlroy. Last season at this event, Jason Dufner earned his first major win as he shot 10-under par and defeated veteran Jim Furyk by two strokes. Tiger Woods has won this major four different times in his career, including back in 2000 when it was last played at this course, but is doubtful to even play after withdrawing from this past week’s Bridgestone Invitational after reinjuring his back. Let’s take a look at a few players in the strong field that can either continue recent dominance or make a name for themselves on the tour’s biggest stage.


Golfers to Watch

Rory McIlroy (11/2): There is no debating McIlroy being the top player in the world after winning in each of the past two tournaments, The British Open and WGC-Bridgestone Invitation; both against all of the top players. He has placed in the top-8 in all three majors this year and has also finished in the top-8 in four of the past five PGA Championships while winning it in 2012. McIlroy is crushing his driver to the tune of 310.3 yards per (3rd on tour) and has hit 68.8% of greens in regulation (10th on tour). Even though the payout on McIlroy will not be tremendous, it is hard to bet against him coming into this week.
Adam Scott (12/1): Scott lost his position as the No. 1 golfer in the world this week, but has not been playing poorly with top-9 finishes in each of his past five tournaments. He has also been one of the best in majors, producing five top-10 finishes in the past two years (7 starts). He ranks as the best on tour in scoring a birdie or better on par-5’s (55.9%) and also has a solid combination of great driving (301.6 yards per, 18th on tour) with .538 strokes gained putting (13th on tour). Scott should be an easy bet to put himself in contention come Sunday in Valhalla.

Graeme McDowell (45/1): McDowell has not been playing quite as well as the past two years, but comes into this week with momentum after finishing in the top-9 in each of his past five tourneys between the PGA and European Tours. He already has a major under his belt (2010 U.S. Open) and has top-15 finishes in four of his past six PGA Championships. His .872 strokes gained putting (5th on tour) always keeps him in the running to compete, and should allow him to do well again this week.

Marc Leishman (60/1): Leishman has looked great over the past two events while chasing McIlroy. He finished third last week at the Bridgestone Invitational while tying for fifth at the British Open the week prior to that. His best career finish at this particular tournament was a 12th-place showing last year, but his great scoring average (69.8, 14th on tour) and current momentum should allow him to continue playing at a high level.

Chris Kirk (150/1): Kirk has flown under the radar while ranking 10th in the FedEx Cup Rankings due to 10 top-25 finishes in his 23 tournaments on the year. He missed just one cut in that time and was solid in the first majors this year; finishing no worse than 28th place. Kirk has steadily been improving since becoming a pro in 2007, and is a great longshot pick come this weekend to take down his first major.

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PGA Championship prop bets
By: Freddy Wander - StatFox

PGA Championship Prop Bets
Tees Off: Thursday, August 7
Valhalla Golf Club – Louisville, KY

Top 20 Finish: Adam Scott (Even)

While the payout is better if you go for top-10, this bet seems like easy money from the No. 2 player in the World Golf Rankings. Scott has finished in the top-20 in 11 of the past 12 majors going back to the PGA Championship in 2011, and ha been in the top-11 in each of the past three years at this event. He has been so consistent that he has not missed a cut since May 20, 2012 (38 events), which is the longest streak currently on the PGA Tour. Also, since the start of last season, he has been in the top-20 in 21-of-28 (75%) events. This bet provides great odds for how consistent Scott has been.

Winning Margin: Playoff (+225)
The PGA Championship has been played at Valhalla Golf Club twice (1996 and 2000) with each installment ending in a playoff. Rory McIlroy has been fantastic, and has been able to run away from the field in his past two events, but it is nearly impossible to keep up this type of run against such tough competition. Some top golfers will make a run at this major, leaving plenty of talent at the top of the leaderboard. The ending to this tourney should be very exciting and a playoff is certainly likely enough for this attempt to more than double your wager.

Will Sergio Garcia Finish in the Top 20: No (+110)
Garcia is a fantastic player to watch and he has been playing amazing golf lately with runner-up finishes in his past three starts on the PGA Tour. The problem is that he typically does not do well in majors. Besides his second-place finish at the British Open just a few weeks ago, Garcia placed in 35th at the U.S. Open and failed to make the cut at The Masters. He is probably the best current golfer without a major to his name and he has not been too close over the past three years, failing to crack the top-20 in 8-of-11 events. While Garcia is a fan favorite, his 34th place finish at Valhalla back in 2000 and poor finishes at majors recently are cause for concern.

Highest Placed Finisher in Group B?: Henrik Stenson (+300)
Unlike Garcia, Stenson has seemingly stepped up his game when he is among the best in the world under the pressure of the four golf majors. While he has yet to take home a trophy in any of these illustrious events, Stenson has finished in the top-four in three of his past five tries while placing third at the PGA Championship last year. In that same timeframe, the other top players in this group (Phil Mickelson, Keegan Bradley, Matt Kuchar, Bubba Watson) do have two major wins, but have also combined to miss the cut five times and finish outside of the top-20 another six times. Stenson is just too consistent and composed to not put up another big effort this week.

Top American?: Jim Furyk (+1200)
Furyk has been on a hot streak in majors of late, finishing in the top-14 in each of his past four tries which included a runner-up finish at this event in 2013. While there are many bigger-name picks in this group (Keegan Bradley, Rickie Fowler, Bubba Watson and Jordan Spieth), Furyk has five more career victories than those four players combined, and has 21 career top-10 finishes in his 76 starts at major events. This 44-year-old has plenty of high-level golf left in him, and it should not surprise anyone if he is the top American come Sunday afternoon.

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Pirates on Tuesday and likes the Braves on Wednesday.

The deficit is 430 sirignanos.

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Hondo

Hondo scored easily with the Mets in D.C., but the Angels wrecked what could have been a terrific Tuesday by blowing a lead against the Dodgers, resulting in a positive split that reduced the deficit to 1,365 vosbergs.

Wednesday: Mr. Aitch believes he has found a bargain with an anti-Sale selection Sale — 10 units says he’s barking up the right tree with Tepesch and the Rangers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Wednesday

Orioles -115

Miami +110

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MLB

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays - Series Aug 5-7 - 2014
Baseball fans, as well as those focused on baseball betting are in for a great battle Tuesday night when Baltimore Orioles visit Toronto Blue Jays for a pivotal three-game series between the top two clubs in the AL East.

The Orioles are 63-48 (+$2029) on the campaign, 33-23 away from Camden Yards, 17-10 on the road platting 5.37 runs/game against .500 or better teams. The Jays looking to interrupt it's 0-3 skid suffered in Houston and now 4 games back of Orioles are 60-53 (+$534) overall, 30-23 at home including 9-3 vs a .500 or better team crossing 3.94 per/contest.

Probable pitching matchups has southpaw Mark Buehrle trading pitches with Bud Norris in the opener, followed by Drew Hutchison facing lefty Wei-Yin Chen in GM-2 with port-side hurler J.A. Happ trying to best Miguel Gonzalez in the finale. Those choosing to side with Toronto do so with a slew of negative betting trends to overcome. Buehrle has a 1-4 TSR vs Orioles since joining Toronto, Norris has a 4-0 TSR vs Jays since joining O's. Inconsistent Hutchison has a 2-5 record at home with a whopping 7.71 ERA and sports 2-3 TSR vs Baltimore. Happ heads to the hill with a 1-3 TSR vs O's wearing a Blue Jay uniform.

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | TEXAS at CHI WHITE SOX
Play On - Road teams (TEXAS) ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest
105-82 over the last 5 seasons. ( 56.1% | 48.9 units )
9-10 this year. ( 47.4% | 0.2 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | KANSAS CITY at ARIZONA
KANSAS CITY is 37-20 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in Road games with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: KANSAS CITY (4.8) , OPPONENT (3.4)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Tigers at Yankees

Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees (+123, 9)

The New York Yankees own more than their share of major-league records, and they will set another when they host the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday in the third contest of their four-game series. Scheduled to face Detroit's Justin Verlander, the Yankees will become the first team in history to take on the league's last three Cy Young Award winners in three consecutive games. New York, which trails Toronto by one game for the second wild-card spot in the American League, beat Max Scherzer in the series opener and had David Price on the ropes before blowing a two-run lead Tuesday.

Having assembled an armada in their starting rotation, the Tigers took a step to bolster their struggling bullpen by signing Jim Johnson to a minor-league contract. Johnson posted consecutive 50-save seasons with Baltimore before being traded in the offseason to Oakland, which released him after he posted a dreadful 7.38 ERA and 2.06 WHIP in 38 appearances. Recently acquired reliever Joakim Soria turned in his second straight scoreless effort Tuesday and closer Joe Nathan has picked up four saves while allowing two hits in his last six appearances for Detroit, which owns a 4 1/2-game lead over Kansas City in the AL Central.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, FSN Detroit, YES (New York)

LINE HISTORY: The Yankees opened as +127 home dogs. The total has held at 9.

INJURY REPORT: Tigers - Torii Hunter (Questionable, hand).

POWER RANKINGS: Tigers (-196), Yankees (-151)

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: Detroit's Justin Verlander is no longer a dominant pitcher like he was in previous seasons. It appears the 31-year has lost an edge with a weak 4.66 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in his 23 starts this season. However, it is a bit misleading as Verlander has pitched better in his past eight outings. After allowing a horrendous 14 runs and 20 hits in two starts on June 11th and June 16th, Verlander has actually pitched well since, allowing three runs or less in six of his past eight starts." Steve Merril.


PITCHING MATCHUP: Tigers RH Justin Verlander (10-9, 4.66 ERA) vs. Yankees LH Chris Capuano (1-2, 4.50)

Verlander is coming off one of the best starts of his inconsistent season, allowing two runs on eight hits over eight innings in a victory over Colorado. It marked Verlander's longest outing since going eight innings on April 6 and also was only the second start in which he did not walk a batter. Verlander is 5-5 in 15 career starts versus New York but 0-2 with seven homers allowed in 31 innings at the new Yankee Stadium.

Capuano is making his third start since he was acquired in a trade with Colorado following his release from Boston in late June. He took the loss against the Red Sox on Friday, permitting four runs on eight hits over 6 1/3 innings after giving up two runs in six frames against Toronto in his New York debut. Miguel Cabrera is 9-for-23 with four homers and eight RBIs against Capuano while Torii Hunter is 9-for-21.


TRENDS:

* Over is 5-0 in Verlander's last five road starts vs. Yankees.
* Tigers are 0-6 in Verlander's last six road starts vs. Yankees.
* Yankees are 5-16 in their last 21 games as a home underdog.
* Over is 9-4 in umpire Tom Woodring's last 13 games behind home plate.

CONSENSUS: 60.82 percent of wagers are backing the Detroit Tigers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

We have two teams here tonight that are feeling very different about their current fortunes. The Cubs are fresh off a 6-5 extra innings win on Tuesday night, which featured the major league debut of highly-regarded prospect Jacier Baez. He did nothing to dispel that praise as he hit a home run to win the game for the Cubs. Chicago also has to feel good because they are sending Jake Arrieta (6-2, 2.11) to the mound tonight to be opposed by Colorado's Jordan Lyles (5-1, 3.52) Lyles is making his first start off the DL, which is a reason to play against the Rockies, as well as the fact they have lost five straight games. The Cubs are playing pretty good baseball and have won six of their last eight games. The Cubs are 5-1 in Arrieta's last six starts vs. teams with a losing record and 13-6 in his last 19 starts overall. The Rockies are experiencing a dismal year as evidenced by the fact that they are a dismal 14-40 in their last 54 games as an underdog. We will back the hot team with the hot pitcher here tonight and suggest you do the same! The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - CHICAGO CUBS -115

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MLBtotal

Oakland Athletics – Tampa Bay Rays

Total: Over 7

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betinvest99

EUROPE: Champions League – Qualification

Salzburg vs Karabakh Agdam

Salzburg -2

Odd: 1.60

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bluesoccertips

Germany D3

Osnabruck – Dresden

Dresden +0

1,95

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infosoccertips

UEFA – Champions League Qualifiers

Zenit x Ael

Over 2,75

Odd: 1,85

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks Baltimore at Toronto The Orioles look to follow up last night's 9-3 win as they face a Blue Jays' team that is 1-9 in Drew Hutchison's last 10 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous start. Baltimore is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-115). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 6
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: Miami at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 14.308; Pittsburgh (Locke) 15.877
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-130); Under


Game 903-904: NY Mets at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 14.887; Washington (Fister) 17.421
Dunkel Line: Washington by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-165); Over


Game 905-906: San Francisco at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 16.879; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.775
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+130); Under


Game 907-908: Chicago Cubs at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Arrieta) 14.622; Colorado (Lyles) 16.232
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+100); Over


Game 909-910: Texas at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Tepesch) 15.402; White Sox (Sale) 14.330
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-250); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+210); Over


Game 911-912: Tampa Bay at Oakland (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 17.322; Oakland (Gray) 15.887
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-210); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+180); Over


Game 913-914: Baltimore at Toronto (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 17.643; Toronto (Hutchison) 15.102
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-115); Over


Game 915-916: Detroit at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.332; NY Yankees (Capuano) 14.498
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-135); Under


Game 917-918: San Diego at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Despaigne) 16.404; Minnesota (Correia) 14.229
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Under


Game 919-920: Atlanta at Seattle (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 15.297; Seattle (Young) 16.865
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+120); Under


Game 921-922: Houston at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Peacock) 13.224; Philadelphia (Buchanan) 14.672
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135) 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135); Under


Game 923-924: Cleveland at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Salazar) 15.898; Cincinnati (Latos) 17.453
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-110); Over


Game 925-926: Boston at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Kelly) 15.476; St. Louis (Miller) 14.564
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+135); Under


Game 927-928: Kansas City at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Ventura) 14.865; Arizona (Collmenter) 16.322
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+115); Over


Game 929-930: LA Dodgers at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Haren) 14.532; LA Angels (Shoemaker) 16.879
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-140); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher


Play of the Day
Chicago Cubs -105 over Colorado Rockies


Rest of the Plays
Pittsburgh Pirates -136 over Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Angels -136 over LA Dodgers
Baltimore Orioles -106 over Toronto Blue Jays

Soccer Crusher


Bahia + Corinthians UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond

10* Texas Rangers +230

This game has the 44-69 Rangers and the 55-59 White Sox. We rode the Rangers to a very easy win as they shut out the Sox. The White Sox just are not hitting and I believe we are getting great plus money here versus the best pitcher in Baseball but if they can't score the Sox can not win. This is Nick Tepesch first start back from DL so expect him to be fresh and motivated to beat his counter part Chris Sale. The public is all over the SOX at 67% take the huge plus money for a winner.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Reds / Indians Over 7
50* Royals -130

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Bookiemonsters

Money Generators

TOR -105
SEA +105
CIN -105

POD

STL -130

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FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Washington -150 over NY Mets (MLB TOP PLAY)

Washington has won 48 of the last 69 games when playing on a Wednesday and they have won 74 of the last 126 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers.Washington has won 87 of the last 127 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher and they have won 37 of the last 60 games when playing in the month of August.

================================================== ===

50* Play Pittsburgh -130 over Miami (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Oakland -175 over Tampa Bay (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

WEDNESDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Kansas City -130 over Arizona (MLB TOP PLAY)

Kansas City is 40-27 when playing on a Wednesday
Kansas City is 20-9 in road games when playing as a favorite of -125 to -175
Kansas City is 36-27 when playing in the month of August


10* Play Pittsburgh -130 over Miami (MLB TOP PLAY)

Pittsburgh is 49-33 vs. NL East Division Opponents
Pittsburgh is 79-52 when playing as a favorite of -125 to -175
Pittsburgh is 17-4 at home when playing on a Wednesday

=============================================

5* Play LA Angels -140 over LA Dodgers (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Atlanta -110 over Seattle (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

WEDNESDAY BASEBALL




Play Pittsburgh -130 over Miami----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)

7:00 PM EST

Tom Koehler has lost 6 of the last 7 games vs. NL Central Division Opponents and he has lost 13 of the last 19 games when pitching with five or six days of rest. Tom Koehler has lost 25 of the last 41 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has lost 13 of the last 20 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 to +150.





Play Atlanta -110 over Seattle----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
3:40 PM EST


Julio Teheran has won 26 of the last 38 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 16 of the last 23 games when pitching with five or six days of rest. Julio Teheran has won 8 of the last 13 day games and he has an ERA of 2.57 over the last three starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

We enter the years final Major Championship with Rory McIlroy on top of the golf world yet again. The young Irishman claimed his second straight big tournament last week when he was victorious at the Bridgestone Invitational (Obviously his prior win was the Open Championship). The best players in the world will all be congregated in Kentucky this week, attempting to conquer the famous Valhalla.

Let's take a closer look at the course for this week.

Valhalla Golf Club is in Louisville, Kentucky, and will be hosting its third PGA Championship. This week the course will be playing 7458 yards and as a Par 71. Valhalla is known as a generous golf course off the tee but a demanding one from there. Iron play will be the key this week, as players who miss these greens will be severely challenged to get up and down.

The greens are a bentgrass strain, and should hold the ball well based on the forecast ( chance of thunderstorms in the area throughout the tournament). They are undulating but it will be the pressure of putting in a major that will challenge players the most.

My favourite hole on this course is the Par 4 6th Hole. It will play to 495 yards this week, a drastic change from the last time the players teed it up here when it was only 420. The green has been pushed over 70 yards back, thus forcing players to attack it from between 180-210 yards. It is guarded by a very deep bunker on the left hand side and a closely mown area on the right. Par here will be a great score all week.

We will see a 156 man field this week, though I would say only about 100 players actually have a chance at winning the championship. Headlining the event will be the aforementioned Rory McIlroy, along with Sergio Garcia, Adam Scott, Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson. Though Phil and Tiger have had seasons to forget in 2014, they are still always top talked about names in Major Championships.

Over recent years golf has seen plenty of first time major championships, and based on our selections this week we have a feel this trend might continue (though there is some major championship flavor in there).

Lets get down to the picks, as I am very excited about this weeks 6 pack.

STEVES 6 PACK

SHANE LOWRY 250/1 - The big man from Ireland currently sits 15th on the Race to Dubai standings on the European Tour. He has finished inside the Top 10 in both of his last two starts, including a T9 just a few weeks ago at The Open Championship. His finish prior to that was a T4 at the Scottish Open, where he carded rounds of 68, 68, 66 to close the tournament. Lowry hits the ball an average length off the tee but is most known for his iron play and great putting. Those will be two keys to winning this week at Valhalla.

Lowry has all the talent in the world and I feel he will be a name that will pop up on leaderboards of big tournaments in the coming years. This will only be Lowry's 2nd tournament on US soil this season (other one being the US Open), but that shouldn't be an issue. His good buddy Rory won the last major, look for Lowry to grab this major title.

MARC LEISHMAN 45/1 - I absolutely love this pick. Leishman is playing the best golf of his life recently, posting Top 5 finishes in his past two tournaments. He has also posted Top 12 Finishes in 4 of his last 5 tournaments. Marc finished T5 at Open Championship, and struck the ball beautifully all week. Last week Leishman finished solo 3rd at the Bridgestone Invitational, a tournament that saw him hit only 48% of his fairways, yet 66% of his Greens. With Valhalla being extremely forgiving off the tee, Leishman can figure to be hitting from the short grass much more often this week.

It will be a positive for the long hitting Aussie that last week he was lights out with the putter, as the flat stick has cost him in big moments this season. It might surprise some people but Marc actually ranks 8th on the Tour for All Around Ranking. We can expect Leishman to hit the ball close once again this week and it will come down to his putting. I like Marc's chances of bringing the Wanamaker Trophy back to Australia.

LEE WESTWOOD 70/1 - Westwood closed last week with a 63 at the Bridgestone Invitational, a round that should bring him great confidence this week. Westwood has expressed in the past that he loves Valhalla, and that he feels the course suits his game. People feel that Lee has had a bad season this year but if you look at his results in some of the bigger tournaments it is actually impressive (Masters - T7, PLAYERS - T6, Bridgestone - T19).

Westwood also won the Malaysian Open earlier this season when he posted a ridiculous score of -18, winning by 7 shots. Lee's window to win a Major Championship is running out, and he will need to make the most of these opportunities. Westwood is known as one of the best iron players in the world, and will put that talent on display in Kentucky this week. It would be great to see this veteran Englishman win his first Major. It should also be noted that Lee has expressed his desire to play his way onto the Ryder Cup team, even though he is a sure bet to be a captains selection.

KEEGAN BRADLEY 32/1 - Keegan won the Wanamaker Trophy in 2011, kick starting what has been an impressive start to a career. He had a fairly quiet start to the 2014 season, though he has posted 12 Top 25's in his 22 events. Keegan looks like he is really rounding into form recently though, posting T4's in two out of his last three tournaments. Bradley finished T4 one month ago at the Greenbrier Classic, shooting sub 70 in all 4 rounds. He then finished T19 at the Open Championship thanks to a pair of 69's on the weekend. Last week at the Bridgestone Keegan played great all week, once again posting 4 straight round sub 70.

Keegan bombs the ball off the tee and will absolutely love the forgiving fairways at Valhalla( ranks 14th on Tour for Driving Distance). Keegan is also a terrific putter, something that is crucial to win a major. He ranks 24th this season in Strokes Gained Through Putting, and 20th on Tour for total putting. A key for Keegan this week will be keeping his emotions in check. He is one of the more intense players on Tour but cannot get frustrated when something doesn't go his way. I expect him to use the great memories from 3 years ago and be in contention yet again.

ROBERT KARLSSON 185/1 - Some people might question this pick as they don't know much about Karlsson. He is an extremely talented player from Sweden who has been playing some of the best golf in the world for the past month. Very few players will be more confident entering this week than Karlsson will, as he has posted Top 12 finishes in each of his last 3 starts. These finishes included a 4th place at the Alstom Open de France, a T8 at the Scottish Open, and a T12 at the Open Championship.

Karlsson has started in just 5 PGA Tour events this season but has finished inside the Top 15 in four of the five. Karlsson is known for his terrific iron play (especially long irons), and that will be of great use this week. The odds that we are getting on Karlsson are ridiculous, as I had him pegged at 100 to 1. This is one of those players that no one is talking about and will be making noise on Sunday. A great chance for a big payday here.

RICKIE FOWLER 23/1 - We have to take Rickie in this spot. I will keep this short and sweet. The guy has finished inside the Top 5 in each of the years first three majors, including Runner ups in the past two. His swing looks outstanding and his presence on the course is that of a veteran (It really doesn't get to him when he makes mistakes). Fowler is ready to take that next step and win his first major (Rory even noted that at the Open Championship in his speech). I feel these odds are more than fair for Rickie, as he is playing like a Top 3 player in the world right now. Enjoy watching Rickie in bright orange on Sunday holding the Wanamaker trophy.

HEAD TO HEAD

TWO units on both of these plays
ROBERT KARLSSON (-1.5) (-120) over Geoff Ogilvy
KEEGAN BRADLEY (-105) over Phil Mickelson
We deserve a winner and are going to get it this week.
Steve

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon


Ben lee won on Tuesday in MLB in Interleague play with the Cardinals -$155/Red Sox.

For Wednesday E&B have a few future plays in the PGA at the Vahalla Golf Club in Louisville, KY for Thursday morning.

The first two wagers are for $20 each.


(1) Rory Mcllroy

(2) Rickie Fowler


All other wagers are for $10 each.

(1) Phil Mickelson

(2) Adam Scott

(3) Keegan Bradley

(4) Jordan Speith

(5) Hideki Matsuyama

For Wednesday in MLB in Interleague play "Mr Chalk" likes the Braves -$120/Mariners.

Ben lee is 2-0 +$100 for week forty one 184-212-5 -$2687.

"Mr Chalk" is 60-40 -$66 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

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EZWINNERS

2* (912) A’s -$205
2* (930) Angels -$145

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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

PJ’S TENNIS CLUB

ATP – ROGERS CUP @ TORONTO, CANADA
1:05PM- F FOGNINI +135 vs K ANDERSON
6:35PM- F LOPEZ -240 vs T SMYCZEK

WTA – ROGERS CUP @ MONTREAL, CANADA
3:00pm L SAFAROVA -330 vs M RYBARIKOVA

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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

PERRY’S SOCCER AREA

UEFA – CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
2:45pm LEGIA WARSZAWA @ CELTIC GLASGOW – OVER 2.5 -140
1:00pm AC SPARTA PRAHA @ MALMO FF – OVER 2.5 -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

blacksoccertips
Uefa - Celtic Glasgow -0,75

europeinsidertips
Colombia - Deportes Tolima -0,75

hockeyprofessionaltips
Friendly - Kosice - Sl. Bratislava O 5,5

realmastertips
Iceland - Valur R. -0,75&Finland - BK-46 -0,75

lighttips
South Koreea - Pohang Steelers -0,75

assiatictips
Poland - Polonya Bytom -0,75

uivatips
Uefa - Steaua Bucharest -1,5

earn-tips
Soccer Tip
Champions League
Salzburg vs Karabakh Agdam
Karabakh Agdam +2.5

MySoccerKing
Brazil Serie A
Chapecoense vs Atletico Mineiro
Chapecoense (+0/0.5)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POWERPLAY WINS

DETROIT -120
MILWAUKEE -135
CHICAGO CUBS -120
LA ANGELS -145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JEFF CLEMENT

7* SAN DIEGO/MINNESOTA UNDER 8.5 (+103)
10* PITTSBURGH -124
8* WASHINGTON -149

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R & R TOTALS

CLEVELAND/CINCINNATI UNDER 7 (+110)

[golden contender]

Hump day Triple Pack has the 100% MLB Total Of the Week, a 5* MLB Blowout system that wins by an average 4 runs per game and a 22-2 Pitching Dominator system. Free plays on a 23-9 run. MLB Free totals Play below. Early Bird FOOTBALL rates up now through Sunday.


On Hump day the free MLB Totals Play is on the Under in the Atlanta at Seattle game. Rotation numbers 919/920 at 3:40 eastern. This game is chocked with low scoring pitching angles. Atlanta has J. Teheran on the mound and they have stayed under the total in 15 of his 22 starts as he has rebounded this year with a stellar 2.69 era. The Braves are scoring just 2 runs per game the past week and will take on Seattle right C. Young. Seattle has stayed under in 15 of his 20 starts this seasons and he has a fine 2.21 home Era. In fact Young has pitched under the total in 12 straight home starts. Seattle has some interesting under angles as well. The Mariners have played under in the following situations. on Wednesday 12 of 16, in inter league games 9 of 11, in day games 24 of 34 and 10 of 13 vs winning teams. They also have a solid home bullpen era of 2.31 when Young departs. Look for this one to stay under the total today. On Hump day we Bring the Bang with 3 More Powerful Plays, the lead is the MLB Total of the Week from an undefeated totals system dating to 2004. There is also a Blowout system that wins by 4 runs per game and a 22-2 Power Pitcher Dominator system. Jump on now and get all three. For the free MLB Totals Play take the Under in the Atlanta at Seattle game. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSATARI

Daily Reports
August 6th, 2014


That was a tough loss in the 15th inning by intentionally walking Utley to pitch to Ryan Howard, the only guy on the team with a run (HR) in the game. Bad strategy and a bad loss that goes down as the most annoying letdown of the season so far.


The loss is compounded into a number line that equals 15.52 units. Today's play can be made to win 1.94, 3.88, 5.82 or 7.76 units. The strength of this play is absolutely high enough to recommend a wager for the max at 7.76 units especially when the line is coming in cheap.


Remember to use the excel file I've given you to make the -1 play. I've attached it again for anyone who doesn't have it.






MLB PLAY OF THE DAY


LA Angels -1 (-108)


Risking 8.38 units to win 7.76 units


10:05pm start


Shoemaker, Haren must start





The series is split 1-1 and continues with the Angels hosting the last 2 games between both LA teams. The Angels are a solid favorite for all the right reasons today. They own the second best record in baseball and are 2 games shy of the AL West lead. This is a team you want to back with the way they’ve been playing at home with a 29-8 record in the last 37 home games.


The Dodgers bring out Dan Haren who was a solid pitcher when he played for the Angels but is having a rough season in a Dodger uniform. He’s 0-5 with a 10.42 ERA in his last 5 starts. Haren gave up 7 runs in under 5 innings last Friday to the Cubs and it’s highly likely he’ll be attacked again by Pujols and the rest of the LA bats.


Matt Shoemaker opposes Haren on the mound with a 3-1, 3.42 ERA in his last 4 starts. He’s won 4 of 5 and is coming off only giving up 2 runs in a win over the Rays on Friday. The Dodgers have never seen him and will not have an easy time here especially with Adrian Gonzalez mired in a 3-21 slump in his last 7 games.


Take the Angels to win another one at home.





SPORTSATARI

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Personal Favorite. 9* Washington Nats!

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Jimmy Boyd

3* Mets

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Trev rogers

atlanta -116
dodgers/angels over 8.5 (-103)
tampa bay/oakland over 7 (-108)

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UNDER Umpire Streakers

#913 UN8.5 -105 BAL/TOR 1.05u to win 1.00u
Onora 4ov/11un L15gms 73.3%

#905 UN7.5 -105 SF/MIL 1.05u to win 1.00u
TGibson 3ov/12un L15gms 80.0%

#929 UN9 -105 LAD/LAA 1.05u to win 1.00u
Reynolds 5ov/10un L15gms 66.6%

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LBSMuggler

40* Angels -142

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB betting cheat sheet: Rays in tough against Gray

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for the mid-week major league games:

The Price Was (Mostly) Right

David Price looked strong in his Detroit debut, striking out 10 over 8 2/3 innings but settling for a no-decision in the Tigers' 4-3, 11-inning victory over the New York Yankees. Between the Rays and Tigers, Price is 8-2 SU and 2-8 O/U in his last 10 starts.

Gray Day For Rays

The Tampa Bay Rays will have their hands full Wednesday as they face Sonny Gray and the Oakland Athletics (-204, 7). Gray has a 0.61 ERA in two starts against Tampa Bay, and has surrendered just five earned runs over his previous six outings overall.

Lester's Encore

Left-hander Jon Lester will look for his second win in as many starts as an Athletic on Thursday as Oakland entertains the Minnesota Twins. Lester, acquired from Boston at the non-waiver trade deadline, is 8-1 SU and 3-6 O/U in his previous nine starts.

Pitching Notes

* Cleveland right-hander Danny Salazar has a pair of streaks on the line Wednesday as the Indians (-108, 7) visit the Cincinnati Reds. Salazar is 3-0 SU and 3-0 O/U in three starts since being called up from Triple-A Columbus in late July.

* Jake Peavy is off to a dismal start in his return to the National League as he leads the San Francisco Giants into Milwaukee on Thursday. Peavy has lost his first two starts since being acquired from Boston, and his teams have dropped 14 of his previous 15 outings overall.

Hitting Notes

* Atlanta Braves catcher Evan Gattis is mired in a 3-for-25 slump that has coincided with his team's season-worst seven-game losing skid. Gattis and the Braves (-120, 7) resume their interleague series in Seattle on Wednesday.

* Home runs may be hard to come by for the Baltimore Orioles in Thursday's tilt with JA Happ and the Toronto Blue Jays. No active member of the Orioles has gone deep against Happ, who has a 2.45 ERA in 25 2/3 career innings vs. Baltimore.

Totals Streak

Pittsburgh Pirates (5-1 O/U): The Pirates are in a bit of a tailspin, having dropped four of six while dealing with the potential long-term absence of defending NL MVP Andrew McCutchen. Pittsburgh is 51-53-8 O/U for the season.

Prop of the Day

The Cubs may be a strong play to win in Colorado by more than two runs; they're valued at +215 to do so. Cubs starter Jake Arrieta has recorded 10 straight quality starts while Rockies counterpart Jordan Lyles is making his return from a two-month DL stint due to a broken hand.

Injury Notes

* Colorado outfielder Carlos Gonzalez is expected to return Wednesday after missing the previous four games with an ankle injury. The Rockies went 2-2 SU, 2-2 O/U and earned four units in his absence as they prepare to tangle with the Cubs.

Weather Watch

* Winds at O.co Coliseum will blow out to right field at 6 mph Wednesday for the game between host Oakland and Tampa Bay. The Athletics went 21-8 SU and 12-17 O/U in 29 games last season with the wind blowing out to right at less than 10 mph.

Umpire Note of the Day

Under is 15-5-1 in umpire Brian O'Nora's last 21 games calling balls and strikes. O'Nora will be behind home plate Wednesday when the Blue Jays (+110, 8.5) host the Orioles.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 10:20 a.m. ET Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

5% A's Run Line
4% Angels
4% Baltimore
3%s Reds, Cubs, Nats, Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Wednesday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Cardinals are 12-0 since June 05, 2011 as a home favorite after a win that was tied after six innings and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $1200.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Chris Sale starts the White Sox are 11-0 since May 23, 2012 as a home 140+ favorite after his team won the last time he started for a net profit of $1100.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The Athletics are 17-1 (+$1,800) since August 26th 2004 in the last game of a 3+ game series following a shutout win where they scored 2-12 runs.

CHOICE TREND:

The Phillies are 0-13 since September 20, 2013 at home when they came back from a deficit to win in their starter’s last start for a net profit of $1428 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

Yovani Gallardo has produced a team record 21-1 (+$1,987) since June 24, 2010 when he starts as a favorite against a team which has won at least 38% of its games, after he had a WHIP of less than one his last start.

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LT LOCK

Dodgers/Angels OVER 8.5

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Falcon Sports

St. Louis -125 listing Miller/Kelly

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Bob Balfe

Chicago Cubs -125

Arrieta/Lyles
Neither team is very good at all, but the Cubs have been playing well as of late and although both pitchers are having decent years on bad teams Arrieta is by far the superior pitcher in this spot. The Rockies are built for offense, but they are not hitting the ball well at all right now. Without winning high scoring games this team is not going to win. Take the Cubs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole

Milwaukee Under 8

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Dave Cokin

3* Balty

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RickJ's Handicapping Picks MLB Play
1/2 Unit
Tampa Bay +176

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

10* Mets
10* Boston

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DAVE AQUINO

Mike: (1-2) - Washington


John: (0-1) - Washington


Jim: (2-1) - Oakland


BD: (1-0) - Baltimore


Tom: (0-0) - rays/athletics over 7

Today's Selections


WNBA: none


CFL: none

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BONES BEST BET

ORIOLES ML -118 *5* BEST BET

The Jays are ice cold having dropped 4 straight scoring a grand total of 7 runs in those games. Chen comes in for the Orioles red hot with a 0.89 WHIP and a 1.77 ERA over his past 3 starts. Baltimore has won 3 straight, and 7 of 9 overall. The biggest selling point to this play is how bad Drew Hutchison has been of late AND at home. Hutchison owns a 1.86 WHIP and an 8.76 ERA over his past 3 starts. At home this season Drew has a 7.71 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP.

NATIONALS -1 -110 *4*

Jon Niese hasn’t looked like the same pitcher since coming off the DL. Since coming back he is 0-3, has a 4.73 ERA and a very poor 1.53 WHIP. Fister meanwhile is rock solid each and every time he takes the mound. 10-3, 2.68 ERA, 1.09 WHIP are just about as good as you can ask for. What really stands out is his home WHIP of 0.88, very tough to lose games when you simply don’t allow base runners.

CUBS ML -115 *3*

The Rockies are ice cold having dropped 8 of 9 and in tough against Jake Arrieta who has been fantastic this year with a sub 1 WHIP and a 2.11 ERA. Colorado has dropped their last 5 games by an average of 3 runs per game. Meanwhile the Cubs are winning their last 5 by an average of 2 runs and come into this game with wins in 6 of 8.

ANGELS ML -135 *3*

The Angels have been playing great baseball, especially at home. They are 38-19 at home this year. Shoemaker has been steady all year with a 1.24 WHIP. The Angels are 9-3 in his 12 starts this year. Now Haren has been horrendous lately. He has a 9.00 ERA and 1.93 WHIP his last 3 starts. In his last 5 starts he has given up 26 earned runs over 23 innings. He has also struggled on the road all year with a 5.40 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. We always like the Angels at home below -150 and love fading Haren right now.

WHITE SOX ML + ATHLETICS ML +116 *2*

Gray is an impressive 12-4 with a 2.59 ERA tgis season and is one reason the A’s are where they are. They need to protect this lead in the AL West and we think this is a no brainer for them to build on the 3-0 win Tuesday night. Rays starter Jeremy Hellickson has gone 0-1 in three starts since coming off the disabled list with a 3.29 ERA. We feel this is a huge mismatch on the mound and love this play on the A’s once again.

PADRES ML +101 *2*

Correia as a favorite? No way. At home he owns a 2-8 record, a 6.83 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP. Enough said.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HOT CHICKS PICKS / Britney DeLuca

Take SEATTLE +110 to be more brave today

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GAMBLING GOD

League: MLB
Team A: Padres
Team B: Twins
Pick: Twins moneyline
Risk:$115 to win $100
Time: 10:00 AM PT

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GUARANTEED SPORTS PICK

Braves vs Mariners – UNDER 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Five to Follow MLB Betting: Wednesday, August 6, 2014 Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews

Some big news out of Pittsburgh on Monday: All-Star center fielder and reigning N.L. MVP Andrew McCutchen could miss up to a month with a severe oblique muscle injury suffered on Sunday. That not only hugely dims the Pirates’ chances of returning to the playoffs – they are +275 at Sportsbook to win the NL Central – but it also jumbles the NL MVP race even further. Here’s a look at Pittsburgh’s matchup on Wednesday and four others of interest.

Marlins at Pirates (-137, 7.5)

McCutchen leads the Pirates in just about every offensive category that matters and I don’t think there’s a more important player to his team in the majors, especially considering Pittsburgh doesn’t spend a ton of money. McCutchen leads the NL in batting average (.322) and RBIs (44) since the start of June. He was your NL MVP betting favorite. Now? The guy formerly right behind him, Troy Tulowitzki, is also hurt. This opens it up for Clayton Kershaw or Giancarlo Stanton. Meanwhile, Travis Snider will see an uptick in playing time with McCutchen out. That depleted lineup faces Miami’s Tom Koehler on Wednesday. Koehler (7-8, 3.70) has allowed three runs or fewer in four straight starts but has just a win to show for it. It’s his first 2014 start vs. Pittsburgh. Lefty Jeff Locke (2-3, 3.77) goes for the Bucs. He has lost back-to-back starts, allowing 12 runs and 19 hits over 11 innings. He pitched well in Miami on June 13, giving up two runs over eight innings. Stanton is 6-for-9 with two homers off him.

Key trends: The Marlins are 1-6 in Koehler’s past seven against the NL Central. Pittsburgh is 9-2 in Locke’s past 11 at home against teams with a losing record. The “over” is 6-1 in Koehler’s past seven road starts.

Early lean: Pittsburgh is going to be a bad bet much more often now without McCutchen. The Pirates are here with a struggling Locke on the mound.



Tigers at Yankees (+131, 8.5)

Now that David Phelps is the latest Yankee starting pitcher on the disabled list, the Bombers really have to hope that reclamation project Chris Capuano can help hold down the fort until Phelps, Michael Pineda and Masahiro Tanaka return. If they all do. Capuano has lost both starts in pinstripes, allowing six runs over 12.1 innings. Miguel Cabrera is a career .391 hitter with four homers and eight RBIs against him. The Tigers likely won’t have shortstop Eugenio Suarez as he’s dealing with a knee injury that forced him out of Monday’s game. Suarez is hitting .252 with 13 RBIs and is a good defensive player. Justin Verlander (10-9, 4.66) goes for Detroit. He might be finding his stuff again as Verlander has had three straight quality starts. Mark Teixeira might get the night off as he’s just 3-for-31 in his career with 10 strikeouts against Verlander.

Key trends: The Tigers are 1-4 in Verlander’s past five vs. the AL East. The under is 6-1 in his past seven road starts against teams with a winning record. Detroit is 0-6 in Verlander’s past six at Yankee Stadium.

Early lean: Verlander ends his losing streak in the Bronx.



Mets at Nationals (-164, 7)

Do you remember ever hearing a ballplayer take paternity leave in the 1980s or ’90s? I sure don’t. The Nats will be without catcher Wilson Ramos until Friday because of paternity leave. Ramos is hitting .295 with four homers and 26 RBIs in an injury-plagued season. Backup Jose Lobaton hits only .209. He will be catching Doug Fister on Wednesday. Fister (10-3, 2.68) has found his groove, allowing three runs or fewer in seven straight starts. Washington is 5-2 in those. Fister hasn’t faced the Mets this year. It’s southpaw Jon Niese (5-7, 3.24) for New York. He hasn’t been super sharp since returning from a DL stint with a 4.74 ERA in three starts, all Mets losses. Washington’s Adam LaRoche has two dingers and six RBIs off him in 15 at-bats.

Key trends: The Mets are 1-6 in Niese’s past seven starts vs. teams with a winning record. The Nats are 4-1 in their past five at home against lefties. The Mets are 1-4 in Niese’s past five in Washington.

Early lean: The way Fister is going, take Washington at +135 on the runline.



Red Sox at Cardinals (-155, 8)

While John Lackey won’t face his former Red Sox teammates in this series, Joe Kelly, who came over in that trade with Allen Craig from St. Louis, will face his former mates on Wednesday. Kelly (2-2, 4.37) was shaky in his final two Cardinals outings but is 9-7 with a 2.90 ERA all time at Busch Stadium. The Cards’ Shelby Miller (8-8, 4.14) looks to personally win consecutive starts for the first time since mid-May. He beat the Padres last time out, allowing two runs – both solo homers – over six innings. Miller has never faced Boston. He won’t be facing Craig as Craig has landed list due to an ankle injury. He hasn’t played since Aug. 1.

Key trends: St. Louis is 1-5 in Miller’s past six at home. The over is 4-0 in his past four overall. Boston is 1-8 in its past nine vs. teams with a winning record.

Early lean: The Sox are going to be in a nosedive for a while. Back the Cards at +145 on the runline. They at least know Kelly’s stuff.



Astros at Phillies (-122, 8.5)

The Astros could get one of their young stars back on Wednesday, as George Springer is eligible to be activated off the disabled list. Actually he was eligible Tuesday but expected to play at least one more rehab game in the minors. Springer (.231, 20 homers, 51 RBIs) has been out since July 19 with a quadriceps injury. If Springer is activated he will face the Phillies’ Brian Buchanan (5-5, 4.40). Buchanan has had back-to-back quality starts, but this will be his first in the majors since July 10. He is replacing the injured Cliff Lee in the rotation and has never faced Houston. Astros starter Brad Peacock (3-7, 4.93) has been terrible of late. Last time out he allowed seven runs (three homers) in just 3.2 innings of a loss in Oakland. Before that he managed to pitch just a third of an inning in a loss to Boston. He’s back in the rotation with the trade of Jarred Cosart to Miami.

Key trends: Houston is 1-6 in its past seven interleague road games entering Tuesday. The Phillies are 2-7 in their past nine interleague home games against teams with a losing record entering Tuesday.

Early lean: Two pretty mediocre pitchers here to go over at -120.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog
Early game

#919/920: Braves/Mariners: Over 7.0 (+100) (2.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Teheran/Young

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS RUNNER

NFAC Move

OVER 7.5 – San Francisco vs Milwuakee

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Sports Cash System

extra bonus system for today:

Miami Marlins / Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7½ (Bet Level 2) (Total Runs Scored) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 7:05 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
3* Nationals -1 1/2 (+135)

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Allen Eastman
7* Reds

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GOODFELLA

Wednesday Night MLB Team Total

NEW YORK YANKEES – OVER 4 RUNS (-125 @BOL)

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Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

Boston Red Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals
UNDER 8

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SPORTS BETTING PROF

Colorado Rockies +115
Arizona Diamondbacks +129

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LV White Shark:



Early Card 8/6

Game 909– Texas RL +1.5 +110 over Chicago White Sox

<ADDING>
Game 916 - New York Yankees ML +115 over Detroit

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Las Vegas Pipeline

10* Angels

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SMART SPORTS INVESTMENTS / SSIwins

9:40 pm Kansas City Royals -125 for 5 units

7:05 pm Washington Nationals -160 for 4 units

8:15 pm St Louis Cardinals -130 for 4 units

8:40 pm Chicago Cubs -110 for 3 units

7:05 pm Pittsburgh Pirates -130 for 4 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DHayes2

1* KC Royals -145

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Diamond Dog Sports

Late games

#908: Rockies: +100 (.5)
Listed Pitchers: Arrieta/Lyles

#921: Astros: +120 (2.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Peacock /Buchanan

#907/908: Cubs/Rockies: Over 10.0 (+115) (3*)
Listed Pitchers: Arrieta/Lyles

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

10* Toronto

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Wilton

Your Wednesday Winner...

Wednesday winner is a 50 Dime release on the Dodgers and Angels to go Over the total with Haren and Shoemaker listed.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Junkie

08-06-14: MLB: Detroit vs Yankees (7:05 pm est.)

$500 MLB Play: Yankees ML +102 (Bovada (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Frecord.bettingpartners.com% 2F_pO1vV3scjG8UbyPgnoR23mNd7ZgqdRLk%2F1%2F)) <------ (Pending)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gordon24

$500 WASHINGTON -150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegasButcher

Baltimore Orioles -113
Chicago Cubs -124
Cleveland Indians -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NonStopSportsPicks

2* Marlins/Pirates Under

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Topshelfpicks

Carson K - 1* Blue Jays

Hutchison may not be the best pitcher in the majors this year. But for some reason he sure looks like it when he faces the Orioles. He already threw 3 games against them this year, going 19in, 16h & giving up 2 runs. For some reason the kid brings his A-game when he plays Baltimore.

Chen's last 2 games were good, both coming against Seattle. But before those, his last 6 he gave up 9HRs, while give up 19 runs. Now if this was Seattle again 2nt that he was facing, I would bet Baltimore, but it isn't.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Phillygodfather

Cubs-Colorado Game 1st 5 TOTAL UNS 5 +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rooster

Yankees-105 1st 5
Astros+135 game

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts
Sportingnews

LAS VEGAS -- There’s a good betting situation tonight in Toronto, where the Blue Jays, reeling with a four-game losing streak, take on the red-hot Orioles, who have won three straight. After last night’s 9-3 win in the series opener between the top two teams in the AL East, Baltimore now has a commanding five-game lead in the division and should be able to make it six after tonight.

The main reason for backing Baltimore as a slight -110 favorite, beyond the opposing streaks, is that Orioles left-hander Wei-Yin Chen (12-3, 3.76 ERA) has been mowing down opponents over his past five starts – four of which as the underdog. In his last two outings, during a home-and-away series with Seattle, Chen allowed only one run in 15 1/3 innings of work. He looks to set a career high in wins tonight.

The Orioles have mystified me for being able to stay so consistently good with a starting rotation that appears to be average. They keep winning and getting stronger, and their starting pitching, in fact, has been a big reason why. At a key juncture in the season, they have turned their game up a notch by winning 22 of their last 31 games. They are the real deal, and it would be a surprise if anyone in the AL East catches them, including second-place Toronto.

The Blue Jays didn’t do anything at last Thursday’s trade deadline to improve their chances of walking down Baltimore, and Jose Bautista telling the media how disappointed he was that the team stood pat was an indication that something needed to be done. It's a mood-changer in the locker room – and kind of a a crutch now for bad play. Since Bautista made the comments, the Blue jays have been outscored 26-7 and lost all four games. If they lose tonight, they’ll match a season-high losing streak of five games.

Fantasy baseball: Play for money at Draft Kings

Toronto has won its last two games behind tonight’s starter Drew Hutchison (7-9, 4.62), but he’s been very hittable lately, compiling a 1-3 record with an 8.10 ERA over his last five starts. However, he has been his best against Baltimore over his career. In five starts, he’s 2-0 with a 1.16 ERA, by far his lowest ERA against any team he’s faced at least twice.

So what looks more attractive? Riding Hutchison’s past history against Baltimore, or going against him based on current form and a team behind him that's slumping – and sulking? Then mix into the equation how well Chen has been pitching.

The better bet looks to be against Hutchison.

Wednesday’s selections:

Orioles (Chen) -110 at Blue Jays, 7:07 p.m. ET

Giants (Vogelsong) +127 at Brewers, 8:10 p.m. ET

Dodgers/Angels OVER 8.5 (-115), 10:05 p.m. ET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GiLzTips ((8/6))



Today's UMP Streakers:


• [914] TOR/BAL U8.5 (-105)
• [930] LAA/LAD U8.5 (-105)
• [906] MIL/SF U8 (-115)