8-7-14 [Archive] - Investwithsports.com Sportstalk and Gambling forum

Can'tPickAWinner

08-06-2014, 10:49 PM

We enter the years final Major Championship with Rory McIlroy on top of the golf world yet again. The young Irishman claimed his second straight big tournament last week when he was victorious at the Bridgestone Invitational (Obviously his prior win was the Open Championship). The best players in the world will all be congregated in Kentucky this week, attempting to conquer the famous Valhalla.

Let's take a closer look at the course for this week.

Valhalla Golf Club is in Louisville, Kentucky, and will be hosting its third PGA Championship. This week the course will be playing 7458 yards and as a Par 71. Valhalla is known as a generous golf course off the tee but a demanding one from there. Iron play will be the key this week, as players who miss these greens will be severely challenged to get up and down.

The greens are a bentgrass strain, and should hold the ball well based on the forecast ( chance of thunderstorms in the area throughout the tournament). They are undulating but it will be the pressure of putting in a major that will challenge players the most.

My favourite hole on this course is the Par 4 6th Hole. It will play to 495 yards this week, a drastic change from the last time the players teed it up here when it was only 420. The green has been pushed over 70 yards back, thus forcing players to attack it from between 180-210 yards. It is guarded by a very deep bunker on the left hand side and a closely mown area on the right. Par here will be a great score all week.

We will see a 156 man field this week, though I would say only about 100 players actually have a chance at winning the championship. Headlining the event will be the aforementioned Rory McIlroy, along with Sergio Garcia, Adam Scott, Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson. Though Phil and Tiger have had seasons to forget in 2014, they are still always top talked about names in Major Championships.

Over recent years golf has seen plenty of first time major championships, and based on our selections this week we have a feel this trend might continue (though there is some major championship flavor in there).

Lets get down to the picks, as I am very excited about this weeks 6 pack.

STEVES 6 PACK

SHANE LOWRY 250/1 - The big man from Ireland currently sits 15th on the Race to Dubai standings on the European Tour. He has finished inside the Top 10 in both of his last two starts, including a T9 just a few weeks ago at The Open Championship. His finish prior to that was a T4 at the Scottish Open, where he carded rounds of 68, 68, 66 to close the tournament. Lowry hits the ball an average length off the tee but is most known for his iron play and great putting. Those will be two keys to winning this week at Valhalla.

Lowry has all the talent in the world and I feel he will be a name that will pop up on leaderboards of big tournaments in the coming years. This will only be Lowry's 2nd tournament on US soil this season (other one being the US Open), but that shouldn't be an issue. His good buddy Rory won the last major, look for Lowry to grab this major title.

MARC LEISHMAN 45/1 - I absolutely love this pick. Leishman is playing the best golf of his life recently, posting Top 5 finishes in his past two tournaments. He has also posted Top 12 Finishes in 4 of his last 5 tournaments. Marc finished T5 at Open Championship, and struck the ball beautifully all week. Last week Leishman finished solo 3rd at the Bridgestone Invitational, a tournament that saw him hit only 48% of his fairways, yet 66% of his Greens. With Valhalla being extremely forgiving off the tee, Leishman can figure to be hitting from the short grass much more often this week.

It will be a positive for the long hitting Aussie that last week he was lights out with the putter, as the flat stick has cost him in big moments this season. It might surprise some people but Marc actually ranks 8th on the Tour for All Around Ranking. We can expect Leishman to hit the ball close once again this week and it will come down to his putting. I like Marc's chances of bringing the Wanamaker Trophy back to Australia.

LEE WESTWOOD 70/1 - Westwood closed last week with a 63 at the Bridgestone Invitational, a round that should bring him great confidence this week. Westwood has expressed in the past that he loves Valhalla, and that he feels the course suits his game. People feel that Lee has had a bad season this year but if you look at his results in some of the bigger tournaments it is actually impressive (Masters - T7, PLAYERS - T6, Bridgestone - T19).

Westwood also won the Malaysian Open earlier this season when he posted a ridiculous score of -18, winning by 7 shots. Lee's window to win a Major Championship is running out, and he will need to make the most of these opportunities. Westwood is known as one of the best iron players in the world, and will put that talent on display in Kentucky this week. It would be great to see this veteran Englishman win his first Major. It should also be noted that Lee has expressed his desire to play his way onto the Ryder Cup team, even though he is a sure bet to be a captains selection.

KEEGAN BRADLEY 32/1 - Keegan won the Wanamaker Trophy in 2011, kick starting what has been an impressive start to a career. He had a fairly quiet start to the 2014 season, though he has posted 12 Top 25's in his 22 events. Keegan looks like he is really rounding into form recently though, posting T4's in two out of his last three tournaments. Bradley finished T4 one month ago at the Greenbrier Classic, shooting sub 70 in all 4 rounds. He then finished T19 at the Open Championship thanks to a pair of 69's on the weekend. Last week at the Bridgestone Keegan played great all week, once again posting 4 straight round sub 70.

Keegan bombs the ball off the tee and will absolutely love the forgiving fairways at Valhalla( ranks 14th on Tour for Driving Distance). Keegan is also a terrific putter, something that is crucial to win a major. He ranks 24th this season in Strokes Gained Through Putting, and 20th on Tour for total putting. A key for Keegan this week will be keeping his emotions in check. He is one of the more intense players on Tour but cannot get frustrated when something doesn't go his way. I expect him to use the great memories from 3 years ago and be in contention yet again.

ROBERT KARLSSON 185/1 - Some people might question this pick as they don't know much about Karlsson. He is an extremely talented player from Sweden who has been playing some of the best golf in the world for the past month. Very few players will be more confident entering this week than Karlsson will, as he has posted Top 12 finishes in each of his last 3 starts. These finishes included a 4th place at the Alstom Open de France, a T8 at the Scottish Open, and a T12 at the Open Championship.

Karlsson has started in just 5 PGA Tour events this season but has finished inside the Top 15 in four of the five. Karlsson is known for his terrific iron play (especially long irons), and that will be of great use this week. The odds that we are getting on Karlsson are ridiculous, as I had him pegged at 100 to 1. This is one of those players that no one is talking about and will be making noise on Sunday. A great chance for a big payday here.

RICKIE FOWLER 23/1 - We have to take Rickie in this spot. I will keep this short and sweet. The guy has finished inside the Top 5 in each of the years first three majors, including Runner ups in the past two. His swing looks outstanding and his presence on the course is that of a veteran (It really doesn't get to him when he makes mistakes). Fowler is ready to take that next step and win his first major (Rory even noted that at the Open Championship in his speech). I feel these odds are more than fair for Rickie, as he is playing like a Top 3 player in the world right now. Enjoy watching Rickie in bright orange on Sunday holding the Wanamaker trophy.

HEAD TO HEAD

TWO units on both of these plays
ROBERT KARLSSON (-1.5) (-120) over Geoff Ogilvy
KEEGAN BRADLEY (-105) over Phil Mickelson
We deserve a winner and are going to get it this week.
Steve

Can'tPickAWinner

08-06-2014, 10:50 PM

Dave Cokin

NY Jets -3

Can'tPickAWinner

08-06-2014, 10:52 PM

Best last-minute golf bets for the 2014 PGA Championship
By MATT FARGO

Have you traded hours of hard handicapping for fun in the sun this summer? Are you spending more time on the course than watching the action on it? Are you scrambling to get wagers down on this week’s PGA Championship – the final major tournament of the golf season?

Don’t sweat through your short shorts. Covers Expert’s resident golf capper Matt Fargo not only has a preview and picks for the PGA Championship (find those here) but he also gives out some great last-minute bets for the action at Valhalla Golf Club, teeing off Thursday.

Will Sergio Garcia Finish in the Top 20?

Sergio Garcia is arguably playing the best golf of his career right now and he’s once again at the top of the list as the best player never to win a major.

He has finished outside the top 25 only once in 11 made cuts and he has finished in the Top 10 in eight of those. This includes three straight runner-up finishes. And while he did not place in the Top 20 at the Masters or the U.S. Open, his recent run bodes well to finish high again this week.

Pick: Yes -140

Will Graham DeLaet Make The Cut?

DeLaet has been playing exceptional this season but most of the success came early in the year. Four of his five missed cuts have come since the Masters and that doesn’t even include him having to withdraw at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational last week.

He came down with a horrible case of the flu and ended up losing 10 pounds in the process. "I'm feeling better physically, but it's kind of taken its toll on me a little bit," said DeLaet.

Pick: No +185

Last-minute addition to win: Steve Stricker (+8,000)

A recent trend for PGA Championship winners is that the last 10 champs have finished in the Top 25 in their last start, but we are bucking that trend with Stricker.

He’s coming off a T63 at Firestone last week but in 10 medal-play events during his limited schedule, he’s made the cut in each. He needs a good week to secure a spot in the FedEx Cup Playoffs and that should provide plenty of motivation. He’s 23rd in the world but these odds don’t portray that. Great value play.

Full Round Matchup - Webb Simpson -120 over Luke Donald

It’s been a streaky season for Simpson, finishing in the Top 25 in just eight of his 15 made cuts. But he takes advantage as seven of the eight are Top 10s including three third-place finishes and a victory. He’s a major champion, so he has the experience.

Luke Donald is not a former major champion and he’s having a difficult time right now with his game. His solo second at the RBC Heritage (http://www.heritagesports.eu/) was solid but his best finish since then is a T38 in six starts which includes two missed cuts.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-06-2014, 10:54 PM

Tiger Woods faces biggest golf betting odds of career at PGA Championship
By JASON LOGAN

Depending on where you’re placing bets for the 2014 PGA Championship, you’re either going to have to wait in line to bet on Tiger Woods or you won’t be able to bet on him at all. No other golfer – perhaps athlete – can spark that kind of divide in the betting market.

At some books, Woods has drawn more action than any other player in the field, including heavy 5/1 favorite Rory McIlroy. At others, he’s not even on the outright winner board since withdrawing from the Bridgestone Invitational after reinjuring his back last weekend. But on the eve of the final major tournament of the year, the big question is will he play or won’t he?

Woods’ 40/1 price to win the PGA Championship could be his longest odds ever to win a tournament, says renowned golf oddsmaker Jeff Sherman, whose database only goes back to 2008.

“I think 25/1 was the highest and prior to that he was in better form and lower odds,” Sherman tells Covers.

Woods stirred up media channels Wednesday afternoon when he rolled into Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, Kentucky for his practice round. It looks like the 14-time major winner is going to give it a go – at least as of Wednesday afternoon.

“We don’t have him listed as an option for odds to win because he’s so questionable to tee off tomorrow,” Peter Childs, of U.S.-facing Sportsbook.ag (http://www.sportsbook.ag/), tells Covers. “In my opinion, Tiger is a complete non-factor this week even if he does play. He’s just a name. He’s far from being a contender.”

At UK-based online sportsbook Ladbrokes (http://www.ladbrokes.com/), Tiger’s presence at Valhalla did nothing to stir up interest in his outright odds. According to their spokesman, the majority of the outright money is landing on McIlroy, who has won three of his last six events including the Open Championship last month.

However, on American soil in Las Vegas, Woods has drawn three times more money wagered than the next highest golfer for the PGA Championship, even though he ranks 22nd in overall ticket count, according to the LV Superbook.

“We had initial support for him at 15/1 and 12/1 prior to last week's WGC event,” Sherman, who is also the assistant manager at the LV Superbook, tells Covers. “But since his withdraw and moving him to 40/1, support has been minimal.”

On top of his long-shot price, Woods is listed at +300 to finish inside the Top 10 and +800 to place within the Top 5 this weekend.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-06-2014, 10:55 PM

Three good reasons to fade Rory McIlroy at the PGA Championship
By JOE FORTENBAUGH

With three victories over his last six starts worldwide, including a win at the British Open and a return to the top spot in the World Golf Rankings, betting against Rory McIlroy entering the 96th edition of the PGA Championship at Valhalla Golf Club feels like stepping in front of a 100-mph freight train.

McIlroy’s incendiary tear through TOUR competition has been nothing short of exceptional, with each phase of the three-time major winner’s game firing on all cylinders. But is Rory a lock to take home his second Wanamaker Trophy this weekend or will a worthy adversary rise from the field to challenge golf’s big-hitting superstar?

Here are three reasons why you may want to consider wagering your money elsewhere this weekend:

Value

Prior to his debilitating back injury, Tiger Woods was listed as a favorite or co-favorite in virtually every tournament he played for close to a decade - even at the venues where the 14-time major winner carried a less than stellar resume.

This was an effort on behalf of the sportsbooks to limit exposure, thanks to the foresight of knowing that the public would come in betting heavy on Tiger no matter what the situation. A similar phenomenon is now occurring thanks to McIlroy’s recent incendiary play.

Speaking to renowned golf oddsmaker Jeff Sherman of the LV Superbook in Las Vegas, Rory’s true odds should be in the neighborhood of 7/1 rather than the current price of 5/1. But higher odds would bring an increase in liability due to a betting public that is heavily backing McIlroy entering the PGA Championship.

The bottom line is that if you’re looking for an edge against the books this weekend, it won’t be found in supporting the most popular player on TOUR at 5/1.

History

Since 1980 there has only been one season (2000) in which a cycle through golf’s four majors failed to produce a first-time major winner.

Bubba Watson won the Masters in April for the second time in his career, Martin Kaymer shredded the field at Pinehurst to claim the United States Open Championship after having previously won the 2010 PGA Championship, and Rory’s British Open victory last month marked the third time the 25 year old had throttled the competition in a major championship.

If history holds true this week at Valhalla, we should see a breakthrough performance from a golfer like Rickie Fowler, Sergio Garcia, Matt Kuchar or Jim Furyk - not a repeat champion like McIlroy.

Elite competition

Gone are the days when Tiger Woods could consistently blow away an out-classed field that was ill-equipped to stand toe-to-toe with the best in the business. Today’s TOUR features the deepest and most talented crop of golfers in the sport’s history and several of them enter this week’s PGA Championship in excellent form.

Rickie Fowler has posted a Top-5 finish in each major played so far this season, former No. 1 Adam Scott has notched five consecutive Top-10s, Sergio Garcia has recorded three runner-ups over his last four outings and Keegan Bradley - who won this event back in 2011 - has racked up three Top-4 finishes over his last six starts, which includes last week’s WGC-Bridgestone.

To put it in football terms, this isn’t Peyton Manning against Tom Brady. It’s Peyton Manning against the entire National Football League.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-06-2014, 10:55 PM

PGA Championship: Golf betting preview and picks
By MATT FARGO

The PGA Championship – the fourth and final major tournament of the TOUR season - will be contested for the 96th time, this year from Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, Kentucky.

This is the third time Valhalla has hosted the PGA Championship, the last coming in 2000. That year, Tiger Woods defeated Bob May in a playoff and the previous time, Marks Brooks defeated hometown favorite Kenny Perry in a playoff as well.

Valhalla Golf Club is a Par-71, 7,458-yard track that has seen some major renovations come through recently. Following the most recent Senior PGA Championship held there in 2011, every green was redone on the Jack Nicklaus design, that is actually owned by the PGA of America.

This is the ultimate shotmakers course and by that it can reward or penalize many second shots along the way. Because of the lack of experience here for a lot of the players, it evens out the field so there are not many advantages from a history standpoint.

While the course itself is a challenge, parity remains constant in the majors. As of the last 23 major tournaments – Masters, U.S. Open, British Open, PGA Champsionship - there have been 18 different winners with Rory McIlroy, Phil Mickelson, Bubba Watson and Martin Kaymer being the only multiple major winners.

Not since 2008 has there been a repeat major winner. Padraig Harrington is the last player to do so, winning The Open Championship and PGA Championship back-to-back. The challenge now sits with McIlroy following his win at the British Open Championship.

Since 1993, there have been 17 different winners of the PGA Championship with only Tiger Woods (4) and Vijay Singh (2) being repeat champs, which adds even more complication to the scenario. This tournament is known for its surprising victors, even though there have been some big names at the top in recent years. It’s interesting to note that the last 10 winners of the PGA Championship have had a Top-25 finish in their last start, so it’s been a "who's hot" event.

No one is hotter than McIlroy (+550), who is the favorite this week following consecutive wins at the Open Championship and the Bridgestone Invitational. He is once again the top-ranked player in the world and he’s a PGA Champion when he won the Wannamaker Trophy in 2012 at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island Golf Resort. Three in a row will be tough but he certainly has the game to do it.

Sergio Garcia (+2,000) came painfully close once again last week but had to settle for his fifth Top 3 in his last seven starts on the PGA Tour. His only missed cut this year was at the Masters and in his 11 cuts made, he has finished in the Top 10 eight times. He hasn’t won since 2012, when he won the Wyndham Championship which came after a missed cut at the PGA Championship.

We used Keegan Bradley (+3,500) last week and while his T4 was nice, a bad Sunday back nine did him in. Still, he comes in playing very well and also had a T4 at the Greenbrier sandwiched around a T19 at the Open Championship. He won the 2011 PGA Championship at Atlanta Athletic Club and followed that up with a T3 in 2012 and a T19 last year. His T4 at the U.S. Open doesn't hurt.

Graeme McDowell (+4,500) had his best ever finish at Firestone with a T8 thanks to a pair of 66s over the weekend. That was his third Top 10 in his last three starts, including a T9 at the Open Championship - his best finish in a major since a T12 at the PGA Championship last year. He has experience here as he played in the 2008 Ryder Cup at Valhalla and was one of the top European performers.

Mark Leishman (+5,000) is playing better than these odds indicate. He’s coming off a solo third at Firestone which came after a T5 at the Open Championship. He has missed only one cut since April and has finished outside the Top 23 only once in his last eight cuts made. Overall he has six Top 10s and finished T12 at the PGA Championship at Oak Hill last year.

Patrick Reed (+10,000) is coming off a strong performance last week which fits the hot trend. He finished T4 as a Saturday 71 kept him out of contention. That was his best finish since winning the WGC-Cadillac Championship back in March, which was his second win of the season. He had a rough three-month stretch after that but the birth of his first child played into that skid.

Recommended tournament win five pack at the PGA Championship (all for one unit)

Sergio Garcia (+2,000)
Keegan Bradley (+3,500)
Graeme McDowell (+4,500)
Mark Leishman (+5,000)
Patrick Reed (+10,000)

2014 Record to date after 29 events: -88 Units

Can'tPickAWinner

08-06-2014, 10:56 PM

McIlroy clear favorite to win PGA Championship
By: Staff Writer - StatFox

PGA Championship
Tees Off: Thursday, August 7
Valhalla Golf Club – Louisville, KY

Odds to Win Tournament

Golfer Odds

Rory McIlroy 11-to-2
Adam Scott 12-to-1
Sergio Garcia 20-to-1
Phil Mickelson 20-to-1
Justin Rose 25-to-1
Henrik Stenson 25-to-1
Matt Kuchar 25-to-1
Rickie Fowler 25-to-1
Jordan Spieth 30-to-1
Bubba Watson 35-to-1
Keegan Bradley 35-to-1
Jason Day 40-to-1
Jim Furyk 40-to-1
Graeme McDowell 45-to-1
Martin Kaymer 50-to-1
Jason Dufner 50-to-1
Brandt Snedeker 50-to-1
Zach Johnson 50-to-1
Charl Schwartzel 50-to-1
Marc Leishman 60-to-1
Hunter Mahan 60-to-1
Jimmy Walker 60-to-1
Lee Westwood 65-to-1
Webb Simpson 65-to-1
Hideki Matsuyama 65-to-1
Angel Cabrera 80-to-1
Steve Stricker 80-to-1
Gary Woodland 85-to-1
Louis Oosthuizen 85-to-1
Victor Dubuisson 85-to-1
Ryan Moore 85-to-1
Ian Poulter 85-to-1
Brendon Todd 85-to-1
J.B. Holmes 85-to-1
4 Golfers 100-to-1
Harris English 115-to-1
4 Golfers 125-to-1
2 Golfers 135-to-1
7 Golfers 150-to-1
8 Golfers 165-to-1
7 Golfers 200-to-1
15 Golfers 215-to-1
2 Golfers 250-to-1
7 Golfers 265-to-1
5 Golfers 350-to-1
John Daly 500-to-1

The final major of the year begins this weekend in Louisville as the tour's best players converge in an attempt to grab PGA Championship glory. As with most majors, the past winners at this tournament are some of the best in the world as each of the past four victors are currently in the top-27 of the current world rankings; including newly-crowned No. 1 player, Rory McIlroy. Last season at this event, Jason Dufner earned his first major win as he shot 10-under par and defeated veteran Jim Furyk by two strokes. Tiger Woods has won this major four different times in his career, including back in 2000 when it was last played at this course, but is doubtful to even play after withdrawing from this past week’s Bridgestone Invitational after reinjuring his back. Let’s take a look at a few players in the strong field that can either continue recent dominance or make a name for themselves on the tour’s biggest stage.

Golfers to Watch

Rory McIlroy (11/2): There is no debating McIlroy being the top player in the world after winning in each of the past two tournaments, The British Open and WGC-Bridgestone Invitation; both against all of the top players. He has placed in the top-8 in all three majors this year and has also finished in the top-8 in four of the past five PGA Championships while winning it in 2012. McIlroy is crushing his driver to the tune of 310.3 yards per (3rd on tour) and has hit 68.8% of greens in regulation (10th on tour). Even though the payout on McIlroy will not be tremendous, it is hard to bet against him coming into this week.
Adam Scott (12/1): Scott lost his position as the No. 1 golfer in the world this week, but has not been playing poorly with top-9 finishes in each of his past five tournaments. He has also been one of the best in majors, producing five top-10 finishes in the past two years (7 starts). He ranks as the best on tour in scoring a birdie or better on par-5’s (55.9%) and also has a solid combination of great driving (301.6 yards per, 18th on tour) with .538 strokes gained putting (13th on tour). Scott should be an easy bet to put himself in contention come Sunday in Valhalla.

Graeme McDowell (45/1): McDowell has not been playing quite as well as the past two years, but comes into this week with momentum after finishing in the top-9 in each of his past five tourneys between the PGA and European Tours. He already has a major under his belt (2010 U.S. Open) and has top-15 finishes in four of his past six PGA Championships. His .872 strokes gained putting (5th on tour) always keeps him in the running to compete, and should allow him to do well again this week.

Marc Leishman (60/1): Leishman has looked great over the past two events while chasing McIlroy. He finished third last week at the Bridgestone Invitational while tying for fifth at the British Open the week prior to that. His best career finish at this particular tournament was a 12th-place showing last year, but his great scoring average (69.8, 14th on tour) and current momentum should allow him to continue playing at a high level.

Chris Kirk (150/1): Kirk has flown under the radar while ranking 10th in the FedEx Cup Rankings due to 10 top-25 finishes in his 23 tournaments on the year. He missed just one cut in that time and was solid in the first majors this year; finishing no worse than 28th place. Kirk has steadily been improving since becoming a pro in 2007, and is a great longshot pick come this weekend to take down his first major.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-06-2014, 10:57 PM

PGA Championship prop bets
By: Freddy Wander - StatFox

PGA Championship Prop Bets
Tees Off: Thursday, August 7
Valhalla Golf Club – Louisville, KY

Top 20 Finish: Adam Scott (Even)

While the payout is better if you go for top-10, this bet seems like easy money from the No. 2 player in the World Golf Rankings. Scott has finished in the top-20 in 11 of the past 12 majors going back to the PGA Championship in 2011, and ha been in the top-11 in each of the past three years at this event. He has been so consistent that he has not missed a cut since May 20, 2012 (38 events), which is the longest streak currently on the PGA Tour. Also, since the start of last season, he has been in the top-20 in 21-of-28 (75%) events. This bet provides great odds for how consistent Scott has been.

Winning Margin: Playoff (+225)
The PGA Championship has been played at Valhalla Golf Club twice (1996 and 2000) with each installment ending in a playoff. Rory McIlroy has been fantastic, and has been able to run away from the field in his past two events, but it is nearly impossible to keep up this type of run against such tough competition. Some top golfers will make a run at this major, leaving plenty of talent at the top of the leaderboard. The ending to this tourney should be very exciting and a playoff is certainly likely enough for this attempt to more than double your wager.

Will Sergio Garcia Finish in the Top 20: No (+110)
Garcia is a fantastic player to watch and he has been playing amazing golf lately with runner-up finishes in his past three starts on the PGA Tour. The problem is that he typically does not do well in majors. Besides his second-place finish at the British Open just a few weeks ago, Garcia placed in 35th at the U.S. Open and failed to make the cut at The Masters. He is probably the best current golfer without a major to his name and he has not been too close over the past three years, failing to crack the top-20 in 8-of-11 events. While Garcia is a fan favorite, his 34th place finish at Valhalla back in 2000 and poor finishes at majors recently are cause for concern.

Highest Placed Finisher in Group B?: Henrik Stenson (+300)
Unlike Garcia, Stenson has seemingly stepped up his game when he is among the best in the world under the pressure of the four golf majors. While he has yet to take home a trophy in any of these illustrious events, Stenson has finished in the top-four in three of his past five tries while placing third at the PGA Championship last year. In that same timeframe, the other top players in this group (Phil Mickelson, Keegan Bradley, Matt Kuchar, Bubba Watson) do have two major wins, but have also combined to miss the cut five times and finish outside of the top-20 another six times. Stenson is just too consistent and composed to not put up another big effort this week.

Top American?: Jim Furyk (+1200)
Furyk has been on a hot streak in majors of late, finishing in the top-14 in each of his past four tries which included a runner-up finish at this event in 2013. While there are many bigger-name picks in this group (Keegan Bradley, Rickie Fowler, Bubba Watson and Jordan Spieth), Furyk has five more career victories than those four players combined, and has 21 career top-10 finishes in his 76 starts at major events. This 44-year-old has plenty of high-level golf left in him, and it should not surprise anyone if he is the top American come Sunday afternoon.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-06-2014, 10:59 PM

Top-flight pitcher struggling against this team
Justin Hartling

Homer Bailey is quietly producing another solid year in Cincinnati, but he is facing one of his worst enemies in the Cleveland Indians Thursday. Bailey and the Reds have lost their last four games against the Tribe.

During those starts, Bailey has been chased before pitching four innings twice while allowing six hits per contest.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-06-2014, 11:00 PM

This umpire is sight to behold for travelling teams
Justin Hartling

Road-weary MLB teams have been taking to the field feeling a little better with Gary Cederstrom calling balls and strikes. The road team has gone 12-3 in Cederstrom's last 15 games behind home-plate.

That's good news for Boston Red Sox backers as he'll be behind the dish when they visit the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium Thursday.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-06-2014, 11:01 PM

Find out which pitcher is on fire for his club
Stephen Campbell

New York Mets pitcher Jacob deGrom has come into his own his season, and as a result bettors backing the Mets are profiting in a big way. In the 26-year-old's last five outings, the Mets are a perfect 5-0.

He'll get the ball when New York visits the Washington Nationals in D.C. Thursday. BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) currently lists the Nats as -139 faves on the moneyline with an O/U of seven.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-06-2014, 11:02 PM

Team in need of win sees helpful umpire
Justin Hartling

The Toronto Blue Jays are falling out of the American League East title picture and need a win over the Baltimore Orioles to keep pace. Luckily for the Jays, D.J. Reyburn will be behind the plate.

The Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last five games with Reyburn calling balls and strikes.

golden contender

08-07-2014, 02:28 AM

Thursday card has the 21-2 NFLX Preseason power angle in the Seattle at Denver game and 2 Big MLB power system plays, one is early and from a 24-1 system. The other is the 100% Game of the Week from a system that dates to 2004. MLB Top play cashes easily. NFLX Sides on 31-14 run. SEASONAL Early Bird football pack up now. Free plays 23-10. MLB System play below.

On Thursday the free MLB System play is on the Philadelphia Phillies. Game 968 at 7:05 eastern. The Phillies smokes the Astros last night and have now beat them 7 straight times here. They are 5-1 at home off a home win by 5 or more runs. Houston is 1-8 on the road off a road loss by 5+ runs and 4-12 in the inter league play scoring just 2.8 runs in those games. The Phillies also fit a nice system here tonight that plays on home favorites with a total that is 8 or less off a home favored win by 5 or more runs with 10+ hits, vs an opponent off a road dog loss by 5 or more runs and scored 4 or less runs also with 10 or more hits. These home teams have won 13 of 17. Houston has McHugh on the mound and have lost 6 of his last 7 starts. Look for Hernandez and the Phillies to get the sweep here tonight. On Thursday we have the 21-2 power Angle play in the NFLX Game between Seattle and Denver. NFLX Sides are on a 31-14 runs after cashing the Giants on Sunday. In MLB The lead is the 5* Game of the Week from a 100% Database system that dates to 2004. There is also a 24-1 Afternoon system play. Jump on and Flatten your book big with the Most Powerful data and material in the industry. For the free which are on a 23-10 run. Take the Phillies. GC

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:01 AM

2Halves2Win MLB:

1* GAME - CHI @ COL: Rockies +1.5 RL - TBD

*** COMP ***

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:02 AM

MLB

National League
Marlins-Pirates
Flynn is making first '14 start; he was 0-2, 8.50 in four starts LY.
Volquez is 0-1, 7.47 in his last three starts.

Miami lost five of its last seven games.
Pirates are 15-4 in their last 19 home games.

Six of last seven Pirate games went over the total.

Mets-Nationals
deGrom is 5-0, 1.04 in his last five starts.
Zimmerman is 1-0, 1.29 in his last couple starts.

Mets lost three of their last four games.
Washington is 5-6 in its last eleven home games.

Under is 6-2 in last eight deGrom starts.

Giants-Brewers
Peavy is 0-2, 5.54 in two starts for the Giants.
Peralta is 4-0, 2.05 in his last four starts.

Giants won five of their last seven games.
Milwaukee won seven of their last ten home games.

Under is 5-2-1 in last seven San Francisco road games.

Cubs-Rockies
Hendricks is 2-1, 1.33 in his last three starts.
Colorado is 0-5 when Flande starts (0-3, 6.07).

Cubs won six of their last nine games.
Colorado lost eight of its last ten games.

Last three games at Coors Field went over the total.

American League
Tigers-Bronx
Porcello is 2-0, 2.17 in his last four starts.
Greene is 0-1, 5.74 in his last three starts.

Detroiit lost five of its last six road games.
Bronx won 12 of its last 19 games.

Under is 10-2-1 in Detroit's last thirteen road games.

Orioles-Blue Jays
Gonzalez is 1-1, 2.86 in is last five starts.
Happ is 1-1, 1.96 in his last three starts.

Orioles won 11 of their last 16 games.
Toronto lost four of its last five games.

Four of last five Gonzalez starts stayed under the total.

White Sox-Mariners
Carroll is 0-1, 5.00 in his last three starts.
Elias is 1-1, 2.25 in his last three starts.

White Sox lost four of their last five games.
Mariners won three of their last four games.

Seven of last eight White Sox games went over the total.

Twins-A's
Pino is 0-1, 4.66 in his last three starts.
Lester is 3-1, 1.85 in his last six starts.

Minnesota is 8-4 in its last dozen road games.
A's are 18-6 in their last 24 home games.

Under is 14-7-1 in last 22 Oakland home games.

Interleague games
Astros-Phillies
McHugh is 1-6, 4.87 in his last seven starts.
Hernandez is 3-0, 2.20 in his last four starts.

Houston lost six of their last eight road games.
Phillies won five of their last six home games.

Over is 10-5 in Houston's last fifteen road games.

Indians-Reds
House is 2-1, 3.80 in his last four starts.
Bailey is 1-1, 1.88 in his last six starts, but Cincy bullpen lost his last four.

Cleveland lost seven of its last nine road games.
Reds won five of their last seven home games.

Five of last six Bailey starts stayed under the total.

Red Sox-Cardinals
Workman is 0-4, 7.83 in his last four starts.
Wainwright is 1-2, 6.88 in his last three starts.

Boston lost 11 of its last 14 games.
Cardinals won four of their last six games.

Five of last six Boston road games stayed under.

Royals-Diamondbacks
Guthrie is 2-3, 7.92 in his last five starts, but won his last two.
Arizona lost all five Nuno starts (0-2, 3.68).

Royals won six of their last seven games.
Arizona lost four of its last five games.

Five of last seven Arizona games went over the total.

Dodgers-Angels
Ryu is 3-0, 2.42 in his last four starts.
Wilson is 1-1, 14.00 in his last five starts.

Dodgers won nine of their last twelve games.
Angels are 29-9 in their last 38 home games.

Under is 14-7-1 in last twenty-two Angel games.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- deGrom 7-8; Zimmerman 13-9
-- Peavy 5-16; Peralta 13-8
-- Hendricks 3-1; Flande 0-5
-- Flynn 0-0; Volquez 12-9

-- Porcello 14-7; Greene 3-2
-- Gonzalez 9-9; Happ 10-6
-- Pino 5-3; Lester 13-8/1-0
-- Carroll 4-8; Elias 10-12

-- McHugh 6-10; Hernandez 8-11
-- House 6-4; Bailey 9-13
-- Workman 2-7; Wainwright 16-6
-- Guthrie 12-10; Nuno 6-8/0-5
-- Ryu 13-8; Wilson 10-10

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- deGrom 2-15; Zimmerman 1-22
-- Peavy 4-21; Peralta 4-22
-- Hendricks 3-4; Flande 0-5
-- Flynn 0-0; Volquez 6-21

-- Porcello 8-21; Greene 1-5
-- Gonzalez 4-18; Happ 2-16
-- Pino 0-8; Lester 6-22
-- Carroll 4-12; Elias 6-22

-- McHugh 9-16; Hernandez 9-20
-- House 3-10; Bailey 6-22
-- Workman 6-9; Wainwright 3-22
-- Guthrie 7-22; Nuno 7-19
-- Ryu 2-21; Wilson 5-20

Umpires
-- Mia-Pitt-- Six of last eight Fairchild games stayed under.
-- NY-Wsh-- Niine of last eleven Iassogna games stayed under.
-- SF-Mil-- Four of last five Porter games went over the total.
-- Chi-Col-- Last seven Guccione games stayed under total.

-- Det-NY-- Underdogs won 13 of last 15 Wegner games.
-- Balt-Tor-- Underdogs are 7-6 in last thirteen Reyburn games.

-- Hst-Phil-- Six of last seven Barry games stayed under.
-- Clev-Cin-- Eight of last eleven Little games stayed under.
-- Bos-StL-- Last five Cederstrom games went over total.
-- KC-Az-- Under is 9-2-1 in Randazzo games this year.
-- LA-LAA-- Road team won eight of last eleven Knight games.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:09 AM

Showtime at the PGA
By Dan Daly

The only surprising news to me about Dustin Johnson being suspended for cocaine use was how many people were actually surprised by it. Honestly, I was under the assumption that was common knowledge? Clearly based on Twitter and emails I saw it wasn’t. My bad. I’ll just say this, this news ranked right up there with Lance Bass announcing he was gay on the shock value scale. Here’s another one for you…DJ and Paulina Gretzky probably do cocaine together. Yep, let that one sink in for a second. Crazy right?

I wrote about this in 2012 when Johnson played the Cadillac Championship at Doral in March and was perfectly healthy and then miraculously didn’t play again for 11 weeks. The PGA Tour is not required to announce any disciplinary actions against players who test positive for recreational drugs and never does. It wasn’t that difficult to put the two together.

As for the PGA Championship, it has always been the red-headed step child of the four majors. The British has the history, the US Open is our National Championship, The Masters is…well, the Masters and the poor PGA just always seems to be an afterthought. To me, the irony is that the PGA Championship year in and year out seems to almost always deliver one of the most exciting majors of the year. The last time it was played here at Valhalla for the 2000 PGA Championship the Sunday round between Tiger and Bob May ranks in the top 3 best Sunday finishes of any Major in the last 30 years…in my opinion.

In fact, the top 100 players in the World Golf Ranking had committed to play the PGA Championship; until Dustin Johnson went Pablo Escobar on us. It would have been the first time any major would have featured all of the top 100 since the world rankings began. Thanks Pablo. I broke down the PGA field this week in honor of DJ.

The Dazed and Confused Group (You have to be one or the other to take anyone in this group):

Ernie Els 115/1 – Winning is simply not an option this week for Ernie, I think his goal should simply be to try and not break anyone’s jaw when he tees off. Let’s just start there and see where it goes.

Patrick Reed 115/1 – Dear Patrick Reed, at 115/1 we are basically saying we still think you have zero chance of winning a major. Sincerely, Las Vegas.

Boo Weekley 215/1 – It’s the PGA Championship.

Vijay Singh and Davis Love III 265/1 – If they played a best ball for 72 holes these odds MIGHT be right. Even then I wouldn’t take them.

Colin Montgomerie 350/1 – For some reason they listed his weight instead of his odds? Weird?

John Daly 500/1 – So you’re telling me there’s a chance!

The Blow Group (Sorry, too easy):

Dustin Johnson 28/1 – So DJ has been locked in as my PGA Championship pick for months. In fact, I had already written the blurb for it comparing Paulina to Amanda Dufner last year…trust me, it was great. Then Dustin Johnson goes and gets busted for doing lines, probably off of Paulina Gretzky (I’m thinking Wolf of Wall Street type stuff) in which case I can’t overly blame him. Anyway, he is obviously out. On a side note…I know I hate when I order a Coke at a restaurant and the waitress says “Is Pepsi OK?” I can’t even imagine how pissed off DJ gets.

The “Breaking” Bad Group (If you like to bet on people with injuries these are your guys):

Tiger Woods 15/1 – I’m not sure if 15/1 are even good odds that he will play this week, much less win.

Jason Day 28/1 – This guy’s wrist is more on again off again than Ross and Rachel from "Friends". It’s hurt, it’s ok, it’s hurt, it’s ok. I give up. Let’s just say he will be “on a break” from winning this week. And yes, I continue to reference cheesy movies and cheesy TV shows each week and I’m okay with that.

Jason Dufner 35/1 – I would love nothing more than to see Amanda’s husband defend this week, but my man Dufner was diagnosed with two bulging discs in his neck last Wednesday after recently undergoing an MRI. I’m no Doogie Howser, M.D., but I can’t imagine him winning a major with two bulging discs in his neck.

Ian Poulter 65/1 – I couldn’t decide if those were his actual odds or the number of bitter tweets he will post over the course of the tournament. Either way, both are too low.

The Scarface Group (The payouts are great but greed gets you in the end):

Phil Mickelson 25/1 – I’m not sure if that’s 25/1 to win or to just make the top 10? Either way I’ll pass. The dude shot a frickin 62 on Sunday and still didn’t finish in the top 10.

Jordan Spieth 28/1 – Jordan Spieth will win a major in 2015…problem is, it’s still 2014.

Rickie Fowler 28/1 – If he wins this week that would mean Rickie will have gone T5, T2, T2, WIN in the four majors this year. That from a guy with one career PGA Tour win? Yeeeaaah, I don’t think so.

Martin Kaymer 28/1 – It was a nice run, Martin. Had to close out some day. Nobody wins them all.

Henrik Stenson and Justin Rose 28/1 – Both have the talent to win, but neither one will win this week.

Matt Kuchar 28/1 - If you're happy and you know it, and you really want to show it, if you're happy and you know it…bet on Kuchar. (Clap, Clap)

Bubba Watson 35/1 – Two majors in the same year? Next….

Jim Furyk 35/1 - He could hold the 18, 36, 54 or even 71-hole lead. It simply doesn’t matter. My wife and one-year-old would have a better chance of winning down the stretch than Furyk would at this point. #gritty #gutsy #grinder

Brandt Snedeker; Keegan Bradley; Charl Schwartzel; Zach Johnson (all 45/1) – No; No; please God no; no chance in hell.

Graeme McDowell 45/1 – Not the kind of tournament McDowell wins. Yep, that’s all I got.

Hunter Mahan 55/1 – Honestly, I just don’t like him at all. That’s not a reason he won’t win this week, but I just wanted to point that out. But he won’t win this week anyway.

Luke Donald 55/1 – If this course really is all about driving the ball long and straight Luke and I might as well have the same odds to win this week.

Jimmy Walker 55/1 – Seriously, how is he still leading in FedEx Cup points?

Angel Cabrera 85/1 and Miguel Angel Jimenez 115/1 – They say the first rule of gambling is to leave emotion at the door…so unfortunately for me these two are out.

The Wire Group (Definitely a solid option but someone has to be second):

In this case, two someone’s.

Rory McIlroy 8/1 – First of all those were his odds prior to his WGC win…good luck getting those now. It will probably be more like 5/1 by the time he tees off Thursday. I mean the guy is clearly the best player on the planet and Rory winning this week wouldn’t surprise me at all but at some point he has to lose…right? No one has won back-to-back majors since Padraig Harrington in 2008 (British and PGA Championship ironically enough) and only 12 have ever done it since World War I. That stat alone scares me away from taking Rory but I also have to believe at some point there is a hangover effect, and I’m not talking about the one from drinking Jägermeister out of the Claret Jug (which is awesome by the way).

Sergio Garcia 28/1 – To be really honest, I loved Sergio this week. Seriously. He’s always had the game to win a major, it was just that pesky little thing between his ears that has been his biggest problem. However, when he didn’t have a Sergio meltdown after leaving it in the bunker late Sunday of the British I dare say young Sergio has all grown up. Or so I thought. And then he started speaking at Firestone and I remembered why he is 0-for his lifetime in Majors. “I'm not going to lie to you,” Garcia said, “It's not my favorite golf course in the world.” Yep, same Sergio. Besides, the last time he played at Valhalla, six years ago, he lost to Anthony Kim (5 and 4) in a Sunday singles match at the 2008 Ryder Cup. Which reminds me, Anthony Kim was good enough to qualify for a Ryder Cup team once upon a time??? Throw in his blown lead at the WGC last Sunday and I’m pretty sure Sergio doesn’t even believe Sergio can win this week.

The Heisenberg Group (The Man):

Adam Scott 15/1 – I literally couldn’t come up with a single reason not to take him this week. Drives it long and straight (that’s what she said), great iron player, putts well on these type of greens, his caddy won the last PGA held here and he has finished inside the top 15 in 11 of the last 12 majors he has played in. So why not this week?

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:10 AM

CFL Betting Notes - Week 7
By David Schwab

The underdogs got the best of it both straight-up and against the spread in Week 6 of the CFL regular season with a 3-1 mark as the last team fell from the ranks of the unbeaten.

Winnipeg got things started last Thursday with a 27-26 victory on the road against Hamilton as a 4 ½-point underdog. The total went OVER the 50 ½-point closing line. Friday’s action got underway with another SU upset when Toronto stunned Montreal 31-5 as a two-point road underdog. The total in that contest stayed UNDER 50 ½ points.

British Columbia kept the upset train going with a 25-24 squeaker over previously unbeaten Calgary as a four-point road underdog. This total went OVER against a closing line of 46 ½ points. The expansion Ottawa RedBlacks ended the underdogs’ run this past Saturday in a 38-14 loss to Saskatchewan as six-point underdogs at home. The total in that contest also went OVER with the line set at 50 ½ points.

Thursday, August 7

Saskatchewan (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) at Winnipeg (5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS)
Point-spread: PICK
Total: 53

Game Overview

Saskatchewan has overcome a slow start with back-to-back victories against Toronto and Ottawa by a combined score of 75-23, but it will have to take things up a notch this week against the league’s hottest team. The defending 2013 Grey Cup Champs got another strong effort from Darian Durant in Saturday’s win with 294 yards passing while completing 76 percent of his throws.

The Blue Bombers appear to be for real after a three-win season in 2013. They are the CFL’s leading scorer with an average of 28 points a game and Drew Willy continues to impress with 1,662 yards passing and an overall completion percentage of 65.5. Both Nick Moore and Clarence Denmark have been his primary targets with a combined 628 yards on 43 receptions.

Betting Trends

The home team is 6-2 SU in the last eight meetings with the total going OVER in five of those games. Saskatchewan is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games against Winnipeg and the total has stayed UNDER in six of the last eight meetings at Investors Group Field.

Friday, August 8

Edmonton (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) at Montreal (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -4
Total: 46 ½

Game Overview

Edmonton has been the other big surprise this year after posting just four victories last season. Mike Reilly has led the way for the Eskimos on offense with 1,142 yards through the air and slotback Adarius Bowman leads the CFL in receiving with 359 yards. Edmonton’s defense has done its part and it is ranked second in the league in points allowed (16.8).

The rebuilding process in Montreal took a huge step backwards with last week’s loss and overall this offense has only been able to score a total of 75 total in its first five games. Troy Smith has not been the answer at quarterback and Alex Brink did not fare any better in relief against Toronto.

Betting Trends

The Alouettes have owned this series in recent years with a 9-1 SU record in the last 10 meetings and an 8-2 mark ATS. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five games. Edmonton has failed to cover in six of its last seven trips to Montreal.

Hamilton (1-4 SU, 3-2 ATS) at British Columbia (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -7
Total: 50

Game Overview

Hamilton has just one SU victory on the year, but a win against BC would put the Tiger-Cats into a tie with idle Toronto for the lead in the watered-down East Division standings. Quarterback Zach Collaros remains on the Six-Game IR list with a head injury, so the T-Cats have turned to Dan LeFevour as their starter.

The Lions are trying to get their quarterback Travis Lulay back on the field after missing the first six games with a shoulder injury. His absence has been fairly evident on an offense that has averaged just 21.2 points per game. BC has been able to hang tough behind a defense that is allowing just 19.3 PPG.

Betting Trends

This series has remained tight in the last 10 meetings with each team posting five SU wins, but Hamilton has gone a very profitable 8-2 ATS during this stretch. The total has also been a good bet by going OVER in six of the last nine meetings.

Saturday, August 9

Ottawa (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS) at Calgary (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -12
Total: 45 ½

Game Overview

The RedBlacks have not played all that bad in their inaugural season in the CFL, but they did look like an expansion team last week against Saskatchewan. They fell behind by 24 points in the first quarter and it was pretty much over from there. While Ottawa could not climb back into that game, Thomas DeMarco did give the team a spark in relief for an ineffective Henry Burris by completing five of six passes for 84 yards and a score.

Calgary is coming off a tough loss to BC, but it remains the best balanced team in the CFL this season. The Stampeders’ offense led by quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell is averaging 24.6 PPG, which are more than enough points when you have a defense that is holding teams to an average of 15.4 PPG.

Betting Trends

This will be the first meeting between these two teams this season. The Stampeders are 23-11-2 ATS in their last 35 games against a team with a SU losing record and the total stayed UNDER in eight of their last nine games overall.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:11 AM

CFL Week 7 Betting Preview and Trends
By Mike Pickett

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers have been the most lucrative team so far this season in the CFL at 5-1 ATS through six games, and they'll lead off the Week 7 slate on Thursday night as they play host to a Saskatchewan Roughriders team that has three ATS wins.

Saskatchewan at Winnipeg

Last 10 Meetings: Winnipeg 2-8 SU, 4-6 ATS | OU 5-5

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers have only picked up one SU victory in their last six games against the Saskatchewan Roughriders as those teams meet in Week 7 action on Thursday night for the first time this season. Winnipeg and Saskatchewan, however, split their two meetings last season both SU and ATS, with the OVER/UNDER going 1-1 as well. The OVER is 4-1 in the last five games between the two teams.

Edmonton at Montreal

Last 10 Meetings: Montreal 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS | OU 6-4

The Montreal Alouettes only have one SU victory so far this season, but they're on an 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS run against the Edmonton Eskimos as those teams meet for the first time this year on Friday night. Montreal went 2-0 both SU and ATS against Edmonton in their two meetings last season, with the OVER paying out for totals bettors in each of those games. The OVER is 4-1 in their last five meetings.

Hamilton at B.C

Last 10 Meetings: B.C. 5-5 SU, 2-8 ATS | OU 6-3-1

The B.C. Lions will be home favorites on the CFL Week 7 betting lines for Friday night against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats, but they've only managed to pay off twice in the last 10 games between the two teams dating back to 2009. Last season B.C. went 1-1 SU but 0-2 ATS against Hamilton, with the OVER paying off for totals bettors at the sportsbooks in each of those two CFL odds matchups.

Ottawa at Calgary

Last 10 Meetings: Calgary 0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS | OU 0-0

The Calgary Stampeders will be trying to pick up their fifth SU victory in six games so far this season on Saturday night as they play their first ever game against the Ottawa RedBlacks. Calgary fell to 4-1 on the season last week with a 25-24 home loss to the Lions, while the RedBlacks are coming off a 38-14 home loss to the Roughriders that dropped them to just 1-4 so far this year.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:12 AM

NFL

Broncos, Seahawks kick off preseasons with Super Bowl rematch
By: Mike Wilkening

Some may loosely bill Thursday's Seahawks-Broncos exhibition as a Super Bowl rematch.

And indeed, some experienced preseason handicappers might be watching this preseason opener closely to take stock of one of the teams.

But it's not necessary to assess whether Super Bowl loser Denver has improved after an offseason of free agent additions.

On the contrary, it's Seattle's exhibition form that bears watching.

Over the last two years, no team has been better in the preseason than the Seahawks. According to Covers.com data, the Seahawks have won and covered in their last nine exhibition games, including two routs of Denver. Seattle has outscored preseason opponents 252-83 in this span.

Perhaps not surprisingly, the Broncos are 1.5-point home underdogs Thursday night vs. Seattle (9 p.m. ET). The total is 37.5.

So why have the Seahawks been so dominant in the summer?

For one, Seattle has built wonderful depth. Their QB play in the last two preseasons has been sparkling, with Russell Wilson starring in 2012 and Tarvaris Jackson posting a 131.4 QB rating in 2013. The Seahawks are again strong at the position entering 2014, with Terrelle Pryor -- the former Oakland starter -- a third-stringer.

The Seahawks have also dominated the turnover battle, forcing 20 takeaways against five giveaways. Of particular note: Seattle has forced 19 fumbles in the last two exhibition slates, recovering 10.

As for the Broncos: if past form holds, Peyton Manning will see limited work in the opener. He attempted just four passes in his exhibition debut last season. The Broncos are 4-4 straight-up and 3-5 against the number in preseason games in Manning's time with the club, with two of the spread defeats to Seattle.

Here's a quick look at Thursday's other preseason games. All lines are courtesy of the South Point, and all are preseason ATS statistics are from Covers.com:

Indianapolis at N.Y. Jets (-3, 37.5) (7 p.m. ET)

The Jets were 3-1 ATS last year in preseason play after a horrid 2012 exhibition slate (0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS). If the Colts follow last season's blueprint, third-string quarterback Chandler Harnish could get a good deal of work.

New England at Washington (-1.5, 38.5) (7:30 p.m. ET)

Washington coach Jay Gruden has indicated the club's starters won't play more than 10 snaps or so. New England has won its last five preseason openers. The teams held joint practices leading up to the game.

San Francisco at Baltimore (-1.5, 35) (7:30 p.m. ET, NFL Network)

The 49ers are 1-2 straight-up in exhibition openers under Jim Harbaugh, while the Ravens are 5-1 in preseason debuts in John Harbaugh's tenure. Look for both clubs to give their reserve tailbacks plenty of work; the Niners have been hit by injuries at the position, while the Ravens' Ray Rice is suspended for the first two games.

Cincinnati at Kansas City (-2.5, 35.5) (8 p.m. ET)

Bengals coach Marvin Lewis has indicated quarterback Andy Dalton will not play much in the opener. Also, recent history suggests Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith won't break much of a sweat, either. Andy Reid-coached teams have won four preseason openers in a row, while the Bengals have won their last two openers under Lewis.

Dallas at San Diego (-3, 37) (10 p.m. ET, NFL Network -- joined in progress)

Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo will be held out of the preseason opener, leaving Brandon Weeden, Caleb Hanie and Dustin Vaughan to carry to the load. Here's an oddity: the Chargers have lost four straight Thursday preseason games. However, the Chargers appear deeper than they were a season ago.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:13 AM

NFL Betting News and Notes
By Tony George

Seattle @ Denver (Pick em) Total 37

Last years Super Bowl Blowout re-visited, Peyton Manning versus a defense that shred him to bits last year. The problem is he gets 1 series, maybe two to exact revenge with a fairly vanilla playbook for week 1. The story here is MOTIVATION on Denver’s part, no matter what unit is in, because they were embarrassed in the Super Bowl last year and there is no doubt a win here is a moral victory. This Denver at home should be a favorite but this is a pickem game which scares me as oddsmakers are not baiting you to lay 2 or 3 with Denver as you would think.. If you see Manning and company more than 2 series I would be in shock, and although it is going to be sloppy, as all week 1 games are, Denver's QB’s 3 deep have looked great in camp and no doubt Coach Carrol will be gunning for a win as always. Might be some scoring in this one in what should be a good match-up so the total of over 37 might be worth a small sniff. I would lean Denver.

49ers @ Ravens (Pick em) Total 35

The Super Bowl 2 years ago and the brothers Haurbaugh here. Talk about drama and two coaches who clearly want to beat each other, even in the preseason. That sets up for some scoring and the total of 35 going over looks a little tasty. Two things at play here in my mind, and the first one is the travel required for San Fran, which has an affect on a team this early. Also John Harbaugfh likes to win in the 1st week of the preseason, he has a 5-1 straight up record in week 1, while little brother Jim is 1-2 in week 1 in his 3 years. It should be noted Jim Hatbaugh has a 6-2 SU record in the preseason as a head coach in his last 2 preseasons. Lean again to the home team here.

Patriots @ Redskins (-1.5) Toatl 38

A veteran coach versus a new head coach. I prefer vetran head coaches in the NFL in the preseason to prevail in week 1. First year head coaches tend not to fare well in Week 1 , and we all know Bill Bilichick’s teams do very well out of the gate, he is 11-4 SU in week 1 of the preseason as a head coach. I think 3 deep Washington is better at QB, but with lack of depth on defense and an all new coaching staff, the value in this one lies with the visitor who is an underdog and their offensive scheme is more finely tuned at this point. Lean to New England

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:13 AM

CFL

StatFox Super Situations

CFL | SASKATCHEWAN at WINNIPEG
Play Against - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SASKATCHEWAN) after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread, with a winning record on the season
49-16 since 1997. ( 75.4% | 31.4 units )

CFL | SASKATCHEWAN at WINNIPEG
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (SASKATCHEWAN) an average offensive team (23 to 28 PPG) against a good offensive team (28-32 PPG), after allowing 14 points or less last game
33-7 since 1997. ( 82.5% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

CFL | SASKATCHEWAN at WINNIPEG
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (WINNIPEG) in a game involving two average teams (within +/- 40 YPG of their opponents), after outgaining opp by 120 or more total yards in their previous game
25-5 since 1997. ( 83.3% | 19.5 units )

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:18 AM

WNBA Basketball Picks Chicago at Minnesota The Lynx host a Chicago team that is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 games versus Western Conference opponents. Minnesota is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 7
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 651-652: Phoenix at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 120.452; San Antonio 108.508
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 12; 166
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 159
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-7); Over

Game 653-654: Chicago at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 110.376; Minnesota 120.603
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 10; 162
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 7 1/2;/156 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-7 1/2); Over

Game 655-656: Atlanta at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 109.995; Seattle 108.777
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 155
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 150 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+5 1/2); Over

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:18 AM

Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play Thurs

Denver Broncos + 2 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:19 AM

R&R Totals

Dallas Cowboys vs. San Diego Chargers

FREE NFL-X Over-Under Total 36½ Over -110

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:19 AM

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Braves on Wednesday and likes the Nationals on Thursday.

The deficit is 490 sirignanos.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:19 AM

Hondo

Hondo, who had the good splitter working Tuesday night with the Mets and Dodgers, came right back Wednesday and hit a bomb with the Rangers as they smacked Sale to cut the debt to 1,245 boroses.

Thursday: Mr. Aitch again will side with deGrom Reaper — 10 units on the Metamucils to slay the Nats. Also, he will take a swing at the PGA with 10-unit investments on Rickie Fowler at 20-1 and Sergio Garcia at 16-1.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:19 AM

Jordan Haimowitz

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals

Haimo's Thursday Early Afternoon MLB NL East Side Play

**2 Star Favorite Selection**

Play on Washington -143

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:20 AM

Carlo Campanella

NFLX Dallas Cowboys vs. San Diego Chargers

10* San Diego Chargers -3+100

Dallas heads to San Diego on Thursday night to open their exhibition season against the Chargers. The Cowboys have put Head Coach Jason Garrett on the hot seat after his 3rd straight 8-8 SU season in 2013. Dallas Owner Jerry Jones shook up the defense after they ended last year ranked last in the NFL and the Boys are scrambling to fill positions left opened by LB Lee injuring his knee in training camp and DE Ware joining the Broncos. On the other side you have a Chargers team coming off a solid 10-8 season in 2013 behind 2nd year Head Coach Mike McCoy. The Chargers have a season with McCoy under their belt and things should only run smoother in his second season. We'll back San Diego, who owns a profitable 23-18 mark as Preseason favorites, as they're too many questions in "Big D" to want any part of backing the Cowboys this early.

10* Play On San Diego

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:20 AM

Andre Ramirez

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers

BLACK DIAMOND MLB RELEASE

TODAY'S WINNER GIANTS/BREWERS OVER 8 -120

Today we are laying the money on the over. Jake Peavy will take the mound for the Giants. Jake hasn't really got situated with the team yet, and is facing difficulties in ball control. Jake is averaging a 5.80 ERA on the road, and has surrendered 44 earned runs in 68.3 innings. Today Jake will face Wily Peralta who has struggled in the past against the Giants. Wily is pitching a 5.23 ERA against the Giants, and has allowed 6 earned runs on the average in his last 2 starts in this series. This line is very undervalued when you read between the lines. I was talking to my Offshore Boys on this game, and we are both on the same page. Lay the money, and get PAID... Thank You

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:20 AM

NFLX

'Practice Season'

The first full week of NFL preseason football begins on Thursday, August 7 with six games on tap, followed by ten more over the next three days. Many sports bettors prefer a 'wait and see' attitude at this time of the year because most teams are content to limit activity of starters' while handing most duties to raw rookies making it tough identifying squads that will succeed during tune-up clashes. However, there are still plenty of good wagering opportunities for those who wish to participate in preseason betting. Studying past histories of teams during August and certain coaches can glean wagering edges. A coach like Sean Payton instills a winning attitude during practice season which is why Saints have produce a solid 16-5 ATS stretch in August. A guy like Andy Reid who saw his club fall apart after the bye week losing 6-of-8 will likely exert energies evaluating personnel rather than worry about improving Chiefs 4-16 (3-15-2 ATS) skid in warm-ups. Note: Reid is 1-8-1 against the spread in his last ten HOF/WK1 preseason games in Philadelphia and Kansas City. The Super Bowl rematch between Seattle and Denver is an interesting one. Super Bowl winners still on a high are not always the best bets the first time out in preseason posting a 4-6 ATS record L10 yrs. As for Super Bowl runner ups, they're even worse at 0-6 ATS L6 yrs, 2-8 ATS L10 yrs. Little wonder, Broncos opening 2 point fave have now moved to 1 point dogs.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:20 AM

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | MINNESOTA at OAKLAND
Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (OAKLAND) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start
93-25 since 1997. ( 78.8% | 45.1 units )
5-6 this year. ( 45.5% | -6.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | BALTIMORE at TORONTO
BALTIMORE is 18-6 (+13.1 Units) against the money line vs. a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (5.3) , OPPONENT (4.1)

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 08:25 AM

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Thursday

Reds -130

Oakland -1.5 -115

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 10:33 AM

WNBA

Thursday, August 7

Formerly strong team becoming wasteland for bettors

The Phoenix Mercury were looking like guaranteed money for bettors not long ago, but after a stunning 11-0 run against the spread, the money has dried up. The Mercury have now lost three-straight ATS for bettors.

The Mercury are seven-point road favorites against the San Antonio Stars Thursday.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 10:33 AM

River City Sharps

3 Units Baltimore Orioles +104

The Toronto Blue Jays try and get a game closer to the lead in the AL East tonight as they host the Baltimore Orioles in the final game of their three-game set. The Orioles will give the ball to Miguel Gonzalez (5-6, 3.93) to be opposed by the Jays J.A. Happ (8-5, 4.34) The Jays took a 5-1 decision on Wednesday night, but these teams have seemingly been moving in different directions over the past couple of weeks. The Orioles have been red hot and have been playing particularly well on the road, winning five of their last seven games. Showalter's team has been pretty solid in bouncing back off a loss this season, posting a 35-16 record in their last 51 games following a loss. Thursday's have been good as well for Gonzalez as the Orioles are 7-1 in Gonzalez's last eight Thursday starts and 4-1 in his last five games as the road dog. We expect the Orioles to get another bounce back win here tonight.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 10:34 AM

Chase Diamond

10* NY Yankees +113

This game has the 62-49 Tigers and the 59-54 Yankees. We have ridden the Yankees for 3 straight wins and I'm confident in them finishing off the sweep today they are red hot right now and believe they can make the playoffs.Shane Greene has been very strong in his first 5 starts and I think this line looks fishy Vegas is trying to get as much Tigers action as possible early and it's working as 68% are backing them yet the line has moved 9 cents the wrong way showing major sharp action on the Yanks.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 10:35 AM

PAUL LEINER

100* NY Jets -3
100* Reds -125
50* Phillies -120

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 10:36 AM

JOE MORETTI

Cincinnati Bengals +1.5

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 10:36 AM

HALL OF FAME PICKS / William Holloway

Cardinals(-185)

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 10:36 AM

THE SHEEP

Early NFL Pre-Season – Parlay Card

NFLx PARLAY =254 Washington Redskins-2 with 254 Under 37
NFLx PARLAY =255 SF 49ers (PK) with 255 Over 35
NFLx PARLAY =259 Seattle Seahawks+2 with 259 Under 37

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 10:37 AM

GiLzTips:

. [952] WAS/NYM U7 (-120) *S*
. [954] MIL/SF U8 (+100) *S*
. [968] PHI/HOU U8 (-120) *S*
. [974] ARI/KC U8.5 (-110) *S*

. [956] COL/CHC O10.5 (-110)
. [972] Cardinals -1 (-133) [2]
. [976] Angels ML (-110) [2]

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 10:37 AM

BONES BEST BET

EDMONTON Eskimos @ MONTREAL Alouettes – UNDER 46 -110 *2*
3 Team Teaser – 7.5 Points – Ties Win +127 *2*

EDMONTON Eskimos @ MONTREAL Alouettes – UNDER 53.5
HAMILTON Tiger-Cats @ BC Lions – UNDER 57
BC Lions pk

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 10:38 AM

GOODFELLA

2* NEW YORK YANKEES ML
(Listed Pitchers)

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 10:39 AM

Advanced sports investments

perry's soccer area
uefa - europa league

12pm- rnk split @ chernomorets odessa - under 2.5 -147

1pm kardemir karabukspor @ rosenborg trondheim - over 2.5 +105

245pm ac omonia nicosia@ metalurg skopje - under 2.5 -120

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 10:40 AM

NO LIMIT SPORTS

5* Cincinnati Bengals +2

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 10:41 AM

StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

WNBA | CHICAGO at MINNESOTA
Play Under – Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 after having covered 3 of their last 4 against the spread, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

WNBA | PHOENIX at SAN ANTONIO
Play On – Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 2 straight games
30-13 since 1997. ( 69.8% | 0.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | PHOENIX at SAN ANTONIO
Play Under – Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a losing record
127-70 since 1997. ( 64.5% | 50.0 units )
6-3 this year. ( 66.7% | 2.7 units )

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 10:42 AM

StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | HOUSTON at PHILADELPHIA
Play On – Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) poor NL hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA >=4.50), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL)
80-39 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 36.7 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | MINNESOTA at OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 75-35 (+40.5 Units) against the money line vs. good fielding teams – averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (5.1) , OPPONENT (3.5)

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 10:42 AM

RICH SPORTS

NFLx
3* Colts vs Jets - OVER 37
2* Washington Redskins (pk)

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 10:43 AM

Cappers Access

Nationals(RL) -1.5(+145)
Cubs -107

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 11:04 AM

Ben Burns

personal favorite: 10* Cincinnati Reds

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 11:07 AM

Game of the Day: Roughriders at Blue Bombers
By ANDREW AVERY

Saskatchewan Roughriders at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+2.5, 54.5)

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers' league-best offence may meet its match Thursday night when the Saskatchewan Roughriders come to town in the opening game of Week 7 in the CFL. The West Division-leading Blue Bombers are coming off back-to-back road wins over BC and Hamilton following a one-sided loss to Edmonton in mid-July, but will need to be wary of a Roughriders team that has reeled off 75 points in consecutive wins over Toronto and Ottawa. The first meeting of the season between division rivals will pit Saskatchewan's potent running game against the Blue Bombers' stout rush defence.

The Roughriders average a league-best 125.6 rushing yards per contest, though they finished with just 88 in a 38-14 trouncing of the Redblacks in their last contest Saturday in Ottawa. Winnipeg won its second straight game - 27-26 victory over host Hamilton on July 31 - after suffering its only loss 26-3 in Edmonton on July 17. The Blue Bombers have allowed the third-fewest yards on the ground per game (94.8), but averages a league-worst 73.8.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: Books opened this as a Pick, but that has moved to Saskatchewan -2.5. The total is up to 54.5 after opening at 53.5.

INJURY REPORT: Roughriders - WR Taj Smith (Out, legal issues). Blue Bombers - SB Cory Watson (Questionable, hamstring)

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "The Riders appear to be in a favorable spot here as they try to close the gap on the Bombers in the West Division, but I'm not sure how they'll respond to the Taj Smith distraction. He's a key offensive cog and will undoubtedly be missed here. The Bombers are pretty lucky to have only one loss to this point with a couple of last second wins to their credit. Hard to say how long that luck will last. This is the start of a tough stretch that will see them face the Riders and Stamps exclusively in a four-game span." - Covers Expert Sean Murphy.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "The West division leader 5-1 Blue Bombers play host the 3-2 Roughriders. The Bombers are the top offensive team in the league averaging 28 points per game, while giving up 23.3 points per game. The Roughriders are 0-1 in division play so far this season, but are getting 90 percent of the action as a 3.5-point road favorite while the 54.5 total is seeing 73 percent of the action come in on the over." - Michael Stewart of CarbonSports.ag.

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (3-2, 3-2 ATS): Saskatchewan will be relying on a not-so-secret weapon in what is a pivotal early-season showdown with the division leaders. Running back Will Ford has been sensational for the Roughriders, scoring five touchdowns in two games since joining the club after spending the previous two seasons with the Blue Bombers. Ford, who was an East Division all-star last season but was cut earlier this year without appearing in a game, had a pair of one-yard TD runs to lead last week's rout of Ottawa.

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (5-1, 5-1 ATS): Winnipeg has been the surprise of the CFL season, already surpassing its win total from a season ago and coming into Thursday's game on a high following last week's thrilling last-second win over the Tiger-Cats. But first-year coach Mike O'Shea isn't ready to plan any parades. "We still have a lot of room for growth," O'Shea told the Winnipeg Sun over the weekend. "To be where we're at right now, it's good so far. But there's still a lot of room to grow."

TRENDS:

* Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
* Roughriders are 2-6 ATS in their last eight meetings in Winnipeg.
* Roughriders are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games in August.
* Over is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last five Thursday games.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 52.97 percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are backing the Rough Riders.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 11:09 AM

MLB

Thursday, August 7

Thursday afternoon's must read weather update

There is a couple of games on tap Thursday afternoon with weather you should keep your eye on before you place your wagers.

The Detroit Tigers travel to Yankee Stadium to face the Yankees, where there will be a nine mile per hour wind blowing out to the short porch in right field. There is also a 12 percent chance of rain.

At Coors Field in Colorado, the Rockies host the Chicago Cubs, where there is a chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. There is also a 21 percent chance of rain.

Pirates' 3B Pedro Alvarez, questionable Thursday

Alvarez has been placed on the bereavement list and has missed the last two games. He is questionable to return for Thursday against the Marlins.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 11:10 AM

Kevin's Pick(s):
Hutchison decided to have his best start of the season last night, and Chen seemed a little off giving up 4 early runs. Today we have two afternoon plays going between Kyle and I... lets pick up a couple of winners.
2 UNIT = San Francisco Giants @ Milwaukee Brewers - BREWERS TO WIN (-132)
Listed Pitchers: Peavy vs Peralta
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.52 units)
The Giants and Brewers have split the first two meetings of this series, with Milwaukee taking the first 4-3 and San Fran winning 7-4 last night. The Giants will send newly acquired Jake Peavy to the mound who is 1-11 on the season with a 4.73 ERA, .267 OBA and 1.38 WHIP. He went 6.1 innings without giving up a hit in his last outing before allowing 4 hits and 4 earned runs over 7 innings in a loss vs the Mets. On the road this year he is 1-7 with a 5.80 ERA, and he has given up 3 or more earned runs against in 4 straight starts. Willy Peralta will take the rubber for the Brewers and he is 13-6 with a 3.52 ERA, .258 OBA and 1.28 WHIP on the year. At home his ERA rises slightly to 3.82, but his OBA and WHIP are better at home with a .254 OBA and 1.21 WHIP. Since a very rough outing on July 8th he has allowed just 5 earned runs against over his last 4 starts. Take note that the Giants are just 2-6 in their last 8 games as an underdog. The Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 games as a home favorite, 4-0 in Peralta's last 4 starts, 4-1 in his last 5 home starts, and 6-0 in his last 6 home starts vs a team with a winning record. The Brewers are also 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs the Giants and 7-3 in their last 10 meetings overall. Peralta has been pitching well lately, and I will back him and the Brewers at home this afternoon.

Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Detroit Tigers @ N.Y. Yankees - TIGERS TO WIN (-115)
Listed Pitchers: Porcello vs. Greene
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)
Didn't take long to get credited with a loss yesterday. I would rather get it over with quick and easy then get backdoored late like the game before. Lets get neither this afternoon in the fourth game of the Tigers/Yankees' series and pick up a winner.
Looking at this game I don't feel like the price is where it should be. I think Porcello is being a little bit disrespected with it. As I stated not that long ago, Porcello was on the edge of making the All-Star game and perhaps had a case for it. Porcello enters with a 3.18 ERA this afternoon and has been even stronger on the road with a 2.73 ERA and 8-2 record. He follows with a 1.09 WHIP and .280 away from home. Porcello went on a marvelous stretch, giving up no runs over three games and then he got blitzed for 7 runs. However, what I find impressive is the way he's respond after that game, not allowing more than 3 runs in any given start. Included in that was 1 run, 3, 0, and 2 allowed. His ERA was a sub 2.00 during that stretch, and his WHIP was 0.77 with a .215 OBP. On the other side Yankees' starter Shane Greene has been in all kinds trouble in his brief five games in the rotation. The ERA is okay at 3.68, but take notice of all of the runners he's been allowing to reach base safely. Most notably at home, where his WHIP is all the way up at 1.45 and he also has a .340 OBP. Greene's ERA is also much higher at Yankee Stadium, 5.73 ERA compared to 2.45 on the road. The Tigers dropped 2-1 from the Yankees so far in this series and I would be surprised to see them only take one. They have an excellent shot at splitting under these circumstances with Porcello going up against Greene. As I said I believe this price should be steeper, so ill gladly put my money on the Tigers in this spot.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 11:10 AM

BeatYourBookie

THURSDAY

MLB BASEBALL

10* Play Philadelphia -115 over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Houston is 1-10 vs. NL East Division Opponents this season
Houston is 13-28 when playing on a Thursday
Houston is 21-63 in road games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs

10* Play LA Angels -110 over LA Dodgers (MLB TOP PLAY)

LA Angels are 37-15 when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs
LA Angels are 34-14 at home when playing as a favorite of -110 or higher
LA Angels are 30-21 when playing in an inter-league game

=============================================

5* Play Pittsburgh -125 over Miami (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Cincinnati -120 over Cleveland (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 11:10 AM

XpertPicks

THURSDAY

TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS

Play New York Jets -3 over Indianapolis---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

New York has won 32 of the last 52 preseason games when the total posted is between 35.5 and 42 points and they have won 23 of the last 36 preseason home games.New York has won 28 of the last 40 preseason games when playing as a favorite and they averaged 32 points a game on offense at home in preseason games last year.

Play Baltimore -1 over San Francisco---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

Baltimore has won 35 of the last 59 preseason non-conference games and they have won 24 of the last 41 preseason games when the line posted is between +3 to -3.Baltimore has won 22 of the last 35 preseason games when playing as a home favorite and they averaged 29 points a game on offense in preseason games last year.

Play Seattle -1 over Denver---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

Denver has lost 5 of the last 7 preseason games against the spread vs. NFC West Division Opponents and they have lost 4 consecutive preseason home games against the spread.Denver has lost 4 of the last 6 preseason games against the spread when the total posted is between 35.5 and 42 points and they allowed an average of 26 points a game on defense in preseason games last year.

Play San Diego -2.5 over Dallas---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

San Diego has won 27 of the last 40 preseason games when playing as a favorite and they have won 26 of the last 42 preseason home games.San Diego has won 3 of the last 4 preseason games vs. Dallas and they only allowed an average of 280 yards on defense in preseason games last year.

================================================== ========

TOP CANADIAN FOOTBALL PLAY

Play Saskatchewan -2.5 over Winnipeg----RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 11:11 AM

XpertPicks

THURSDAY BASEBALL

Play Philadelphia -115 over Houston----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)

7:00 PM EST

Collin McHugh has lost 9 of the last 11 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season and he has lost 8 of the last 10 games when pitching with five or six days of rest. Collin McHugh has lost 14 of the last 19 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has lost 7 of the last 10 road games.

Play Los Angeles Angels -110 over Los Angeles Dodgers----Top Play (Risk 8% of your Bankroll)
10:00 PM EST

CJ Wilson has won 40 of the last 66 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and he has won 44 of the last 70 games when the line posted is between -100 to -150. CJ Wilson has won 51 of the last 80 home games and he has won 21 of the last 37 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 11:11 AM

FantasySportsGametime

THURSDAY NFL FOOTBALL

1000* Play Washington -1 over New England (TOP NFL PLAY)

Washington has won 7 of the last 8 preseason games and they have won 6 consecutive preseason games when playing as a favorite.Washington has won 4 consecutive preseason home games and they have won 5 consecutive preseason non-conference games.

1000* Play Baltimore -1 over San Francisco (TOP NFL PLAY)

San Francisco has lost 21 of the last 32 preseason games when playing as a road underdog and they have lost 6 of the last 7 preseason road games when the total posted is 35 points or less.San Francisco has lost 7 of the last 10 preseason games when playing on artificial turf and they have lost 2 of the last 3 preseason games vs. AFC North Division Opponents.

1000* Play Kansas City -1 over Cincinnati (TOP NFL PLAY)

Cincinnati has lost 33 of the last 54 preseason games when the line posted is between +3 to -3 and they have lost 26 of the last 42 preseason road games.Cincinnati has lost 34 of the last 59 preseason games when the total posted is between 35.5 and 42 points and they have lost 31 of the last 49 preseason games when playing as an underdog.

==============================================

THURSDAY CANADIAN FOOTBALL

50* Play Saskatchewan -2 over Winnipeg (BONUS CFL PLAY)

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 11:12 AM

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Seattle -160 over Chicago White Sox (MLB TOP PLAY)

Chicago has lost 27 of the last 44 games when playing on a Thursday and they have lost 72 of the last 118 games when playing as an underdog of +125 to +175.Chicago has lost 95 of the last 160 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have lost 63 of the last 115 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers.

================================================== ===

50* Play Pittsburgh -125 over Miami (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play St. Louis -175 over Boston (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 11:12 AM

Totals 4 You MLB Service Selections for Thursday, August 7th 2014 Inter-League Rivary Primetime Total of the Year!!!!!
Cleveland/Cincinnati over 7 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Friday's MLB Report Free of Charge!!!

MLB Best Bets
San Francisco/Milwaukee over 8
Miami/Pittsburgh over 7 1/2
Minnesota/Oakland over 7
Kansas City/Arizona over 8 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 11:13 AM

Totals 4 You NFL Service Selections for Thursday, August 7th

2014 NFL Preseason Week 1 Kickoff Total of the Year!!!!!
San Francisco/Baltimore under 35 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Friday's NFL Report Free of Charge!!!

NFL Best Bets
Indianapolis/New York under 37
Cincinnati/Cleveland under 36
Seattle/Denver over 37 1/2
Dallas/San Diego over 36 1/2

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 11:16 AM

Thursday's NFL Week 1 preseason betting primer

The NFL Preseason kicks into high gear with six games opening Week 1 of the exhibition schedule Thursday night. Here's a look at betting notes for Thursday's NFL preseason action:

Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets (-3, 37)

* Colts coach Chuck Pagano doesn't yet know how much Andrew Luck and the first-team offense will play Thursday, and may not come to a final decision until the game is already underway. What is known, however, is that wide receiver Reggie Wayne, still recovering from last season's torn knee ligament, will not be on the field.

* Safety Calvin Pryor, the Jets' first-round pick last spring, practiced with the third-team and scout defense this week but will sit out the team's preseason opener after suffering a concussion in late July. Geno Smith will get the start at quarterback over Michael Vick, despite struggling throughout training camp, but it isn't clear how long the first-team offense will play.

New England Patriots at Washington Redskins (-1, 37.5)

* Patriots quarterbacks Ryan Mallett and Jimmy Garoppolo split the majority of reps during Wednesday's practice, a good sign both will see plenty of action in the preseason opener with Tom Brady siitting out Thursday. One guy who likely won't be in action is starting defensive tackle Sealver Siliga, who left practice after suffering a left hand injury and returned to the sidelines in a black cast.

* The Redskins suffered a scare Wednesday when wide receiver DeSean Jackson rolled his ankle after having his foot stepped on. He left the field right away and had a trainer apply ice. Despite the injury, head coach Jay Gruden expects Jackson to play Thursday night. Washington was a perfect 4-0 in the 2013 preseason, then proceeded to win just three games during the regular season.

San Francisco 49ers at Baltimore Ravens (-1, 35)

* San Francisco appears to be in midseason form already, and that's not necessarily a good thing. Veteran nose tackle Glenn Dorsey suffered a torn left biceps during practice last week and may be lost for the entire 2014 season, while cornerback Chris Culliver was removed from practice for rough play, just two days after wide receiver Anquan Boldin was sent off for starting a fight.

* Expect to see a different offensive approach from the Ravens than the one they have employed for most of the century, beginning with the preseason opener. New offensive coordinator Gary Kubiak says he believes Baltimore can become one of the league's best teams when it comes to screen passes. The Ravens have thrown just 123 screen passes since 2001 - fourth-fewest in the league over that span.

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (-2, 36.5)

* It could be a dicey opener for newly signed Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton, who is only expected to play one or two series and will be missing several projected starters on the offensive line against Kansas City. Rookie Russell Bodine will make his debut at center for Cincinnati, while Will Svitek and Marshall Newhouse will start in place of Andrew Whitworth and Andre Smith.

* The Chiefs have laid out their quarterback plan for the game. Alex Smith will start the opening quarter, Chase Daniel will open the second, Tyler Bray will kick off the second half and fifth-round pick Aaron Murray gets the call for the final quarter. Kansas City will be without safety Sanders Commings indefinitely after the 2013 fifth-round pick suffered a fractured fibula and ankle earlier in training camp.

Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos (+1.5, 37)

* Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll anticipates his starters will play most of the first quarter, and he's eager to get at least three of his four quarterbacks into the game. B.J. Daniels tweaked his groin earlier this week and may rest as a precaution. Rookie wide receiver Kevin Norwood is out after having surgery to remove a bone spur in his foot, but could be back before the start of the season.

* Peyton Manning will take the field in the preseason opener against the team that denied him a second Super Bowl ring last February. But he and the rest of the Denver starters won't play more than the first quarter, according to head coach John Fox. Manning may not have Emmanuel Sanders to throw to, as the veteran wide receiver is considered questionable with a strained quad.

Dallas Cowboys at San Diego Chargers (-3, 36.5)

* The Cowboys' suspect defense is already in disarray, with defensive end Demarcus Lawrence expected to miss 8-10 weeks with a broken foot and cornerback Morris Claiborne sitting out the preseason opener for the third straight year with a knee injury. Quarterback Tony Romo isn't going to play, leaving the bulk of the work to backups Brandon Weeden, Caleb Hanie and Dustin Vaughan.

* The Chargers are dealing with a litany of injuries themselves. Rookie guard Chris Watt, slated to start the exhibition opener, suffered an undisclosed injury Tuesday and is questionable for Thursday, while cornerbacks Brandon Flowers (leg) and Marcus Cromartie (groin) ran on the side earlier this week but won't suit up against Dallas.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 11:24 AM

DHayes2

2* NY Jets -3 -120

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 11:56 AM

BOOKIESHUNTER

NFLx
San Diego -2.5
Over Patriots/Redskins

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 12:01 PM

Tiger

MLB (952) TOTAL UN 7 -110 (NY METS vrs. WAS NATIONALS) (J. Degrom R/J Zimmerman-R)

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 12:03 PM

STATFOX DAVE'S BEST BET
Seattle (259) AT Denver (260)
Latest Line: SEAHAWKS -2.5; Total: 37.5
SEATTLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 preseasons. Also, the betting public is correct when moving the total in SEATTLE games 85.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons (6-1).
Seattle -2.5; Over 37.5

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 12:04 PM

Wunderdog Sports

Complimentary MLB Pick for August 7th, 2014

Game: New York Mets @ Washington Nationals
Time: Thursday 08/07 12:35 PM Eastern
Pick: Washington -152 (moneyline) at BetOnline

The Washington Nationals have opened up a four game lead in the NL East, and they will take on the New York Mets in afternoon action. The Mets will go with Jacob deGrom, who will be looking to win for the sixth straight time, although he will be matched against one of the best in Jordan Zimmermann. Zimmermann has been very impressive at home as a favorite where he has led the Nats to a 27-10 mark in his last 37 starts in this role. What is most impressive within these numbers is that the Nats have averaged winning these games by a combined score of 5.6 to 3.3, or by over 2 runs per contest. The Mets have not responded well on the road when facing a team over .500 where they are 3-7 in their last 10, and behind Zimmermann to a line of -151 to -200, the Nationals are an amazing 20-3 in their last 23. Take Washington.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 12:14 PM

EZWINNERS

5* Buccaneers +2
4* Packers +5.5

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 12:24 PM

Fezzik | NFL Side

dime bet – 256 BAL -2.0 (-110) vs 255 SFX

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 12:25 PM

JEFF CLEMENT

7* Stl. Cardinals -180

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 01:41 PM

M. DaSilva
MLB
Toronto RL
LA Dodgers ML
CFL
Saskatchewan Roughriders -110

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 01:42 PM

Teddy Covers

New England +1

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 01:42 PM

Sports Picks Portfolio

NYM +143
DET +104
DET Over 8.5 -120
SF Over 8.5 +100
PHI Under 8 -120
BOS Over 7.5 +110
LAD +102
CWS +165
CWS Over 7.5 -110

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 01:43 PM

UNDER Umpire Streakers

#951 UN7 -125 NYM/WAS 1.25u to win 1.00u
Iassogna 9ov/11un L20gms 55% (L15gms 73% and L10gms 80%)

#967 UN8 -120 HOU/PHI 1.20u to win 1.00u
Barry 60v/14un L20gms 70% (L15gms 73.3% and L10gms 70%)

#973 UN8.5 -115 KC/AZ 1.15u to win 1.00u
Randazzo 1ov/10un L11gms 90.0%

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 01:43 PM

Behind The Bets

Reds -120
Angels -107

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 01:44 PM

Dave Essler

2* Yankees
3* Cubs

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 01:44 PM

shieldbet

10*Mets/Wash u7
8*kc/arz u 8.5
5*hou/philly u8
5*clev/cin u7.5

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 01:44 PM

Maddux

10* Mets/Washington under 7 (already started)
10* Houston

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 01:44 PM

Indian Cowboy

WNBA
7* Over 157 Chicago vs. Minnesota

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 02:13 PM

NORTH COAST

3*** Dallas/SD Chargers Over 36.5 points

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 02:14 PM

USA Sports Monitor
Alpha Omega (1st in MLB)
953 San Fran
974 Arizona

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 02:14 PM

Alatex

NFL PreSeason

Baltimore -2
San Diego -3

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 02:16 PM

Thursday's Preseason Tips
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider

Colts at Jets (-3, 36½)

2013 Preseason Records: IND (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS), NYJ (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS)

Previous Preseason Meeting: Jets (+3) beat Colts, 31-7 in 2004

QB Rotations:
IND - A. Luck, M. Hasselbeck, C. Harnish
NYJ - G. Smith, M. Vick, M. Simms, T. Boyd*

Expert Handicapper Analysis: Dave Cokin - Colts head man Chuck Pagano is the first to come right out and say this game doesn't mean a whole lot to him. His team has some early injuries, and his "just trying to get through this" comment is telling. The Jets offense has not looked good in scrimmages, which is not shocking at all, but the defense appears to very sharp already. Not necessarily saying the Jets will want this more, but I'm pretty sure the Colts want it less. That's enough to get me to the favorite in this game, laying the points with the Jets.

Patriots at Redskins (-1½, 38)

2013 Preseason Records: NE (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS), WSH (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS)

Previous Preseason Meeting: Patriots (-3 ½) beat Redskins, 27-24 in 2009

QB Rotations:
NE - T. Brady, R. Mallett, J. Garoppolo*
WSH - R. Griffin III, K. Cousins, C. McCoy

Expert Handicapper Analysis: Bruce Marshall - While the track record of new head coaches (such as Washington's Jay Gruden) in their first preseason games is not particularly illuminating, Bill Belichick's recent marks in preseason openers are worth noting. That's because his Patriots have won five consecutive lid-lifters, as Belichick usually likes to set a winning tone at the outset before inevitably delivering a flat effort or two later in preseason. Play the Patriots.

49ers at Ravens (-1, 35)

2013 Preseason Records: SF (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS), BAL (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS)

Previous Preseason Meeting: First ever meeting

QB Rotations:
SF - C. Kaepernick, J. Johnson, B. Gabbert, M. Bethel-Thompson, K. Faulkner
BAL - J. Flacco, T. Taylor, K. Wenning*

Expert Handicapper Analysis: Hank Goldberg - The Harbaugh brothers will match wits and I believe John takes the exhibition more seriously. He’s 5-1 against the spread in his last six preseason openers. Plus, I believe it will be very tough for San Francisco, who has to travel cross-country to Maryland.

Bengals at Chiefs (-1½, 36½)

2013 Preseason Records: CIN (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS), KC (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS)

Previous Preseason Meeting: First ever meeting

QB Rotations:
CIN - A. Dalton, J. Campbell, A.J. McCarron*
KC - A. Smith, C. Daniel, T. Bray, A. Murray*

Expert Handicapper Analysis: Pat Hawkins - I'm taking the Bengals on the money line because taking under a field doesn't help especially when laying odds (-110). Andy Reid has a proven track record of not caring about the first preseason game going 1-8 in his last nine openers while the Chiefs are 6-23 ATS in their last 29 preaseason games. Kansas City is coming off a surprise season in 2013, but look for Reid to address this game as a practice in pads and play very conservatively.

Seahawks (-2, 37½) at Broncos

2013 Preseason Records: SEA (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS), DEN (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS)

Previous Preseason Meeting: Seahawks (-5) beat Broncos, 40-10 in 2013

QB Rotations:
SEA - R. Wilson, T. Jackson, T. Pryor, B. J. Daniels
DEN - P. Manning, B. Osweiler, Z. Dysert, B. Renner*

Expert Handicapper Analysis: ASA - Seattle’s offense scored a bunch of points in last year’s pre-season schedule (30 PPG), but they were breaking in Russell Wilson at QB and he picked up a lot of playing time. That won’t be the case this year. They know what Wilson can do so look for him to only be in for a series or two. The Bronco defense will be focused in here after allowing 43 points in the Super Bowl and we expect a big effort on that side of the ball. Look for a defensive battle with neither team revealing much offensively here. Take the under.

Cowboys at Chargers (-3, 37)

2013 Preseason Records: DAL (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS), SD (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS)

Previous Preseason Meeting: Chargers (-3) beat Cowboys, 28-20 in 2012

QB Rotations: DAL - B. Weeden, C. Hanie, D. Vaughan*
SD - P. Rivers, K. Clemens, B. Sorensen

Expert Handicapper Analysis: Tony Stoffo - Going with a highly recommended play on the over in this spot between the Cowboys and Chargers - as first the Chargers with McCoy in his first season as head coach of the Chargers saw 3 of the 4 San Diego preseason games go over the posted total. With his former offensive experience from his Denver days, I look for more of an wide open offensive approach in the preseason this year. I can see the Cowboys offensive numbers going up this preseason with the addition of Brandon Weeden in the offseason.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 03:06 PM

Bob Balfe

NY Jets -3.5

This Jets team has come a long way this offseason and are working on getting back to the playoffs. Mike Vick in town will not push Geno Smith to become a better QB. The receivers and backup receivers on this team are really good and the running game features two new players that will have to get a lot of touches to get used to this system. The Jets are always going to have a great defenses in this system. This could be a dangerous team if they can put it all together. Take the Jets.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 03:07 PM

BookieMonster

Play of Day
Colorado -114

Money Generator Plays
Houston +104
Cleveland -111
Arizona +101

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 03:08 PM

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee lost on Wednesday in MLB in Interleague play with the Braves -$120/Mariners.

For Thursday in MLB in the National League "Mr Chalk" likes the Brewers -$130/Giants.

Ben lee is 2-1 +$40 for week forty one 185-213-5 -$2747.

"Mr Chalk" is 60-41 -$126 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 03:08 PM

Falcon Sports

Kansas City -105 listing Guthrie/Nuno

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 03:39 PM

Rooster

Colorado Rockies -107

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 04:20 PM

Sports Cash System

extra bonus system

Kansas City Royals -109 over the Arizona Diamondbacks (Bet Level 2) (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 9:40 PM EST

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 04:47 PM

Trev Rogers

New England/ Washington OVER 37.5 (-110)

Seattle Mariners -1.5 (+117)
Minnesota/Oakland OVER 7 (-115)
Miami/Pittsburgh OVER 8 (+105)

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 04:48 PM

Jeff Clement

7* Cardinals -180

10* Milwaukee -131
8* Detroit -114
8* LA Angels -114

10* Washington Redskins -1.0 (-110)

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 04:48 PM

POWERPLAY WINS

New York Jets -3
New England Patriots +1
San Francisco 49ers +1
Kansas City Chiefs -2

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 04:48 PM

firefox
under phillies

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 04:49 PM

VEGAS RUNNER

NFLX Leans for Thursday Night

WASH & UNDER

NY JETS -3 (-120)

UNDER 38 – SEA/DEN

SF 49ERS +3 (-120)

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 04:49 PM

BONES BEST BET

PRESEASON NFL BETS!

First NFL bets of the season – more to come possible on Friday and Saturday! Preseason can be hard to pick winners, but there are certain strategies to look for – and we’ve put together some plays we like! VERY light on the units in preseason, but an opportunity to hit the ground running here.

[August 7th]

COLTS ML +168 *0.5*
COLTS +3.5 -105 *0.5*

BENGALS +2 -108 *2*

PATRIOTS ML +110 *1*

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 04:49 PM

BONES BEST BET

CARDINALS -1 -128 *5* BEST BET

If this isn’t a pitching mismatch then we don’t know what is. Brian Workman is a #4 starter at best and going up against Wainwright at home tonight will not work out well for him. Wainwright was torched in his last start (7 earned runs over 5.1 innings against the Brewers) but we can assure you that this will not happen again. Next to Kershaw, this is arguably the best pitcher in baseball and one little bump in the road will not change our opinion on that.

METS @ NATIONALS – UNDER 7 -120 *3*

Both deGrom and Zimmermann have been solid this year but fantastic of late. deGrom owns a 0.82 WHIP and a 1.31 ERA over his last 3 starts. Zimmermann meanwhile owns an almost as impressive 0.95 WHIP and a 2.84 ERA.

REDS ML -121 *3*

The Reds should be much bigger favorites at home. They are 30-25 at home this year while the Indians are 23-35 on the road. Homer Bailey is hot and has given up only 2 earned runs and 8 hits in his last 2 starts in 15 innings. He is also 5-2 at home with a 1.20 WHIP and 3.43 ERA on the year. House has struggled on the road for the Indians where he holds a 0-2 record with a 1.59 WHIP and 4.78 ERA in 32 innings pitched. Look for the Reds to make it 3 straight vs the Indians today.

PHILLIES ML -111 *3*

Coming off a big 10-3 win last night we like the Phillies here again tonight. Phillies start Roberto Hernandez who has won his last three decisions. Posting decent numbers this year also despite a 6-8 record he comes into the game with just a 3.87 ERA. Philadelphia is 6-1 in their last seven home games. Their opponent, the Astros are 0-6 in their last six interleague road games, 0-8 in their last eight games in Philadelphia. Collin McHugh is a nice starter for the Astros but we like the better team at home here tonight.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 04:50 PM

GAMBLING GOD

League: MLB
Team A: Tigers
Team B: Yankees
Pick: Tigers moneyline
Risk:$105 to win $100
Time: 10:00 AM PT

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 04:50 PM

BIG MONEY DOGS

Jim’s pick
Chicago White Sox ML+170

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 04:51 PM

DAVE COKIN

Toronto Blue Jays ML

NFLx Free play: 258 KAN -2.0 (-110) vs 257 CIN

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 04:51 PM

STEVE FEZZIK

NFLx Best Bets – Over 38 - Redskins/ Patriots

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 04:51 PM

CHUCK EDEL

Under 36.5 – Dallas/ San Diego

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 04:58 PM

Worlds Worst Picker

Miami
KC
Angels

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 04:58 PM

Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

Miami Marlins ML

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 04:58 PM

NonStopSportsPicks

2* - Dodgers

1* - Redskins/Pats UNDER 38 & Redskins/Patriots Under 37 for 0.5

So we have a total of 1.5* on this game. We got down today, when I heard of Deshawn Jackson spraining his ankle. Pierre Garcon is already out and now Jackson is likely out too. That will slow down the big play potential on this game. The Pats tightened up the defense in the offseason as well, and the Pats are always prepared! On the opposite side, Brady is getting older (he's still amazing) but let's face it. He's not playing long. The Pats know what they're doing and aside from the defense, no major player is playing long. We LOVE this even more now because of the injury news, and we even got out a little ahead of the market, on a key #. This number will likely drop closer to game time (of course I could be wrong), but I do believe the market will react if/when Jackson is confirmed out. Even if he plays, HOW effective will be he?

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 05:00 PM

GUANTANTEED SPORTS PICK

1/2* Houston vs Philadelphia – UNDER 8

1/2* LA Dodgers vs LA Angels – UNDER 7.5

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 05:39 PM

Diamond Trends - Thursday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Angels are 13-0 since April 09, 2014 after a loss in which their opponent left 18+ men on base individually for a net profit of $1317.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Jeremy Guthrie starts the Royals are 10-0 since August 14, 2012 after he had a WHIP of less than one his last start as an underdog for a net profit of $1109.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The White Sox are 5-20 since May 4, 2013 on the road vs a team that has won at least their last two games and it is not the last game of a series.

CHOICE TREND:

The White Sox are 0-14 since September 26, 2006 as a road dog after a loss in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent as a favorite for a net profit of $1400 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

When Jordan Zimmermann starts the Nationals are 14-1 since July 18, 2012 as a home 140+ favorite after his team won the last time he started for a net profit of $1220.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 05:39 PM

MLB Odds and Picks
By: Micah Roberts
Sportingnews

LAS VEGAS -- The Los Angeles Dodgers haven’t won a Freeway Series over Orange County’s Angels since 2006, but with a win tonight they’ll take three of four, and it would be only the fourth time since the advent of interleague play that the Dodgers would emerge the victors. Overall, the Angels still hold a 57-42 advantage in wins and a 9-3-5 edge in series.

In order for the Angels to keep the Dodgers from accomplishing the series win, they’re going to need C.J. Wilson to step up big time, and with the way he’s pitched lately, that’s a tall task. Over his last five starts, opponents are hitting .416 against him, which has led to 25 earned runs over 18 innings. Fortunately for the Angels, they’ve been able to get him out of the game quickly enough to give their stellar offense a chance to come back and win three of those starts.

After missing a month due to a sprained ankle, Wilson came back on Saturday at Tampa Bay and couldn’t make it out of the second inning. His ankle was fine, but his stuff wasn’t, as he was tagged for six runs in a 10-3 loss.

In the grand scheme of things, Wilson is expected to be a huge part of the Angels’ future this season, not only in their quest to pass the A’s in the AL West, but also in any potential playoff series. He's supposed to be the No. 3 starter behind Jered Weaver and Garrett Richards, but as of right now, he’s got a lot more work to do.

The good news for Wilson is that he’s won his last six decisions at home and the Angels have won 36 of their last 51 home games overall. And not that it means much, but the Angels are 17-4 in their last 21 Thursday games. The Angels are also 6-1 in the final of four-game series this season. Maybe those numbers contribute to Wilson being a short favorite tonight.

The Dodgers tonight start Hyun-Jin Ryu, who has been on a roll lately, allowing only seven runs over his last four starts covering 26 innings. The Dodgers won all four games, with Ryu getting the decision in three of them.

The surprising part of Ryu’s game this season is that he’s been stingier on the road (2.89 ERA) than at home (3.94). Dodger Stadium is usually a safe haven for pitchers to lower their ERAs. In Ryu’s only meeting with Angels, he threw a two-hit shutout last May at Dodger Stadium.

Look for Wilson to shake some of the rust off his last start and not be as bad, but he’s in a tough spot against Ryu. With Ryu the +101 underdog, the Dodgers are the play.

Thursday selections:

Pirates (Volquez) -134 vs. Marlins, 7:05 p.m. ET

Royals (Guthrie) -107 at Diamondbacks, 9:40 p.m. ET

Dodgers (Ryu) +101 at Angels, 10:05 p.m. ET

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 05:40 PM

ALLEN EASTMAN 7 UNIT MLB PLAY:

Reds ML -125

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 05:40 PM

Tony the sports betting "Champ"

For today, we have an unofficial {A} bet on Minnesota. This is an unofficial bet not only because it does not pass the RPI filter, but also because Minnesota is playing against the #1 RPI ranked team in the league! Therefore, I strongly recommend proceeding on this unofficial system bet with great caution.

Can'tPickAWinner

08-07-2014, 05:40 PM

Brandon Goble - Against the Number

253 New England Patriots PK +105

The Patriots are in an interesting position here as far as their quarterback situation goes. Brady may not see the filed tonight, but this play really has nothing to do with him. This play revolves around each teams main backup quarterback and what I expect the teams motivations to be in regards to them. Ryan Mallett has spent the last 3 years on the bench behind Tom Brady. I don’t believe the Patriots really see him as the heir apparent to the throne of New England so this preseason will mean a LOT to them in regards to building up his trade value. The Pats drafted another QB in the 2nd round and they’re not the kind of team to do that if they’re not planning on keeping that player around. Mallett should see significant playing time and he is more than capable under center. Mallett knows where he stands and will be looking for this to be his chance to score a payday with another team. Couple that with the fact that there will be an intense battle for carries in the running game and there should be a lot of motivation for this Pats offense. On the other side, Cousins is firmly embedded as the backup to Griffin. With Griffin’s health ALWAYS in questions, the Redskins will have to do their best to get Cousins his work early, and then retire him to the bench. Who will be seeing the majority of the snaps then?….the mighty Colt McCoy (que the wah wah sound bite). I like my chances if I get a significant portion of this game with with Mallet Vs McCoy and will take the dog money here.

260 Denver Broncos PK +105

Is there really such a thing as revenge motivation in the first game of the preseason? Probably not, but don’t tell the fans that. This may be one of the few games where the crowd is actually into game somewhere near the intensity of a regular season game. The Seahawks could blown out here and waive it off as “who cares we won the Super Bowl”, but the Denver fans will not let the Broncos off that easy if they don’t show up. Obviously Manning will be luck to see one series before Osweiler takes over. I do think there will be some significant playing time for the former Sundevil QB because right now he is the long term plan for the post Manning era, and has yet to see much playing time in the regular season so every live snap is important to his development. Where I think the Broncos have an advantage here is in the running game. There is no premier back in Denver, but there are a lot of solid players all fighting for carries and a final spot on the roster. I believe on the whole their depth is better than that of Seattle in the backfield and this could quickly turn into a ground game battle in the second half as the Seahawks backup QB’s aren’t exactly known for their throwing ability. The Broncos weakest link in regards to depth is their secondary and these are the kinds of QB’s that will have a hard time punishing that. Denver is still pretty pissed about their last game, and the stadium should be rocking, so i’ll take the dog money again, this time at home.