8-11-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::handshake::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Blue Jays win 19-inning marathon, face King Felix Monday
By STEPHEN CAMPBELL

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Detroit Tigers played a marathon of a ball game north of the border Sunday, with the Jays finally coming out on top thanks to a Jose Bautista opposite field single in the bottom of the 19th inning to give them a well-earned 6-5 walk-off victory.

The game was the longest in Blue Jays history, lasting an incredible six hours and 36 minutes. The Jays used eight pitchers in the contest, including starter Marcus Stroman as a pinch runner in the 10th inning.

Toronto won't have much time to catch their breath as Canada's lone baseball club will have to travel five hours westward to Seattle for their date with the Mariners Monday evening at 10:10 pm ET. The news only gets worse for the blue birds since they'll have to face M's ace Felix Hernandez (12-3, 1.97 ERA) on tired legs and a depleted bullpen.

The scrambled trip to the West Coast, general fatigue and a date with King Felix - a nightmare for opposing teams on a good day - creates a recipe for disaster for Toronto. At the time of publication, the Mariners were -197 faves on the moneyline with a total of 6.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

This pitcher is lights out on the Under
Stephen Campbell

Baltimore Orioles pitcher Bud Norris continues to be a fantastic bet for Under bettors. In Norris' last eight outings, the O/U is 1-7.

He'll get the ball when the O's host the New York Yankees Monday. BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).com presently has the Birds as -135 faves on the moneyline with a total of 8.5 for the AL East matchup.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Road teams loving this ump behind the plate
Stephen Campbell

Umpire Mark Wegner has been a boon for bettors backing the road team lately, with visiting teams winning eight of the last 10 games he's called.

That's good news for the New York Mets as Wegner will be behind the dish when they visit the Philadelphia Phillies in Pennsylvania Monday. For more information on the men behind the plate.

[golden contender]

Triple Perfect Monday has the Highest Rated 7* MLB Game of the Year from a Perfect system with a Perfect Angle, a 100% Road Warrior Blowout system and a Dog system that is undefeated since 2004. There is also a One Day Only 75% Discount on the NFL Seasonal Pack. Free MLB Totals System Below.




On Monday the free MLB Totals system is on the Under in the Toronto at Seattle game at 10:10 eastern. Seattle has Felix Hernandez going and he has pithced under in 6 straight games and has a 1.97 era this year. In August 9 of his last 12 home starts have stayed under. His counter part D. Hutchison has a fine 3.17 road era. The Jays come in off a 6 hour and 37 minute marathone win over Detroit in a game that last 19 innings. The Jays are scoring just 2.7 runs the past week. Seattle has played under in 10 of 14 vs winning teams. The Most powerful reason for this selection is a totals system that has won 91% and plays under for road dogs at +140 or higher like Toronto that are off a 1 run home dog win that scored 5+ runs, vs an opponent off a home game. Look for this one to stay under tonight. On Monday the 7* Highest Rated MLB Game of the Year takes Center Stage along with a 75% off one Day only early Bird NFL Season pack discount. The Card also has a 100% Road warrior System Blowout and a Dog with a system that has not lost in over 1o seasons. Data like this wont be found any where else. The 7* is backed with a Rare and Perfect system and a 100% power Angle. Jump on now and start the week big with a World Champion analyst. For the free play take the Toronto and Seattle to go under tonight. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

National League
Mets-Phillies
Niese is 0-4, 6.48 in his last four starts.
Buchanan is 5-2, 3.43 in his last seven starts.

Mets are 3-5 in their last eight games.
Phillies won seven of their last ten home games.

Over is 17-9 last 26 Philly games.

Cardinals-Marlins
Miller is 1-0, 2.07 in his last couple starts.
Koehler is 1-3, 5.29 in his last six starts.

Cardinals lost four of their last six road games.
Marlins lost seven of their last eleven games overall.

Four of last five Miller starts went over the total.

Dodgers-Braves
Haren is 1-5, 8.22 in his last six starts.
Teheran is 4-0, 1.24 in his last seven home starts.

Dodgers won six of their last eight road games.
Braves won five of last six at home.

Four of last five Dodger games stayed under total.

Brewers-Cubs
Gallardo is 1-1, 1.93 in his last three starts.
Arrieta is 2-0, 2.14 in his last five home starts.

Milwaukee won three of last four games, but lost six of last eight on road.
Cubs are 6-9 in their last fifteen home games.

Five of last seven Brewer games stayed under total.

Rockies-Padres
Lyles is 1-1, 6.66 in his last five starts.
Hahn is 6-2, 2.17 in his last eight starts.

Rockies lost 11 of their last 14 games.
San Diego won eight of its last eleven games.

Under is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Colorado road games.

American League
Bronx-Orioles
Capuano is 1-1, 3.32 in three starts for Bronx.
Norris is 2-1, 3.00 in his last four starts.

Bronx is 5-7 in its last twelve road games.
Baltimore won ten of its last fourteen games.

Six of last seven Bronx games stayed under total.

Rays-Rangers
Smyly is 0-2, 5.06 in his last three starts.
Lewis is 2-0, 1.13 in his last couple starts.

Rays won three of their last four games.
Texas lost 12 of last 18 games (3-2 in last five).

Under is 4-1-1 in Tampa Bay's last six games.

A's-Royals
Gray is 5-2, 2.72 in his last seven starts.
Ventura is 2-0, 2.77 in his last two starts.

A's won five of their last seven games.
Kansas City won ten of its last eleven games.

Under is 8-4 in last twelve Kansas City games.

Twins-Astros
Milone is making first Minnesota start; he was 6-0, 2.70 in his last eleven starts for Oakland.
Peacock is 0-3, 18.00 in his last three starts.

Minnesota lost four of its last five games.
Astros won five of their last six home games.


Seven of last ten Minnesota games went over total.

Blue Jays-Mariners
Blue Jays won last three Hutchison starts (2-0, 3.44).
Hernandez is 4-1, 1.61 in his last nine starts. Seattle scored 17 runs in his last seven starts.

Toronto lost six of last nine games, but won last two in last at-bat.
Mariners won six of their last eight games.

Four of last five Hutchison starts went over the total; under is 9-1-1 in last 11 Hernandez starts.

Interleague games
Tigers-Pirates
Verlander is 1-2, 2.86 in his last three starts.
Locke is 1-2, 6.03 in his last five starts.

Detroit is 10-14 since the All-Star break.
Pirates are 5-6 in last eleven games; they scored three runs in last two games.

Last five Verlander starts stayed under the total.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Niese 10-11; Buchanan 6-5
-- Miller 10-12; Koehler 10-13
-- Haren 11-12; Teheran 14-10
-- Gallardo 10-13; Arrieta 10-7
-- Lyles 7-6; Hahn 7-3

-- Capuano 1-2; Norris 11-8
-- Smyly 6-12/0-1; Lewis 10-10
-- Gray 15-8; Ventura 11-10
-- Milone 9-7/0-0; Peacock 6-10
-- Hutchison 12-11; Hernandez 16-8

-- Verlander 13-10; Locke 7-5

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Niese 6-21; Buchanan 2-11
-- Miller 4-22; Koehler 4-23
-- Haren 11-23; Teheran 8-24
-- Gallardo 7-23; Arrieta 5-17
-- Lyles 5-13; Hahn 2-10

-- Capuano 1-3; Norris 6-19
-- Smyly 6-19; Lewis 7-20
-- Gray 7-23; Ventura 6-21
-- Milone 7-16; Peacock 6-16
-- Hutchison 5-23; Hernandez 3-24

-- Verlander 7-23; Locke 6-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Betting: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs August 11, 08:05 EST

It's been a rough stretch for Milwaukee with hurler Yovani Gallardo. Brew Crew have lost seven of his last eight starts. He'll get the ball when Milwaukee squares off against Cubbies on the North Side of Chicago Monday. A reversal in fortune may be in the making. Brewers have won Gallardo last four when tossing in Chicago's back yard and they've won ten of his last eleven starts in the month of August.


Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners August 11, 10:10 EST

The Seattle Mariners have been an 'Under' bettors dream lately with Hernandez, evidenced by nine of the last eleven games playing 'Under' posted totals (1-9-1 O/U). Seattle will host Toronto Monday night with Drew Hutchison on the mound. The Jays have played 'Under' in twelve of Hutchinson's last fifteen (3-12 O/U) starts against a team with a winning record.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo, who should have his head examined for laying 8 with the ’Stros, crashed in Houston Sunday when the homies were thumped by the Rangers. Add that to his losses with Fowler and Garcia in the PGA and the deficit is now at a beefy 1,445 maxvills.

Monday: It’s Miller time in Miami so Mr. Aitch will put 10 units on the Cards to flush Koehler. Also, Hondo hears the Smyly-Lewis matchup knockin’ but it can’t come in.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Blue Jays (62-55) at Mariners (60-55)

Game: 1
Venue: Safeco Field
Date: August 11, 2014 10:10 PM EDT

The Toronto Blue Jays are coming off their longest game ever, but the pitcher they'll face in the opener of an eight-game road trip is certainly capable of balancing that out.

Felix Hernandez will try to extend his MLB-record run of 15 starts of seven innings or more with two runs or fewer Monday night as the Seattle Mariners host the taxed Blue Jays. If any club is particularly likely to end the streak, though, it might be Toronto.

Hernandez (12-3, 1.97 ERA) is 8-2 with a 1.42 ERA, 0.75 WHIP and .168 opponents' average in those starts, the latest of which resulted in a 4-2 home win over Atlanta on Tuesday. The Seattle ace allowed a run and four hits while striking out eight over eight innings for his first victory in four starts.

Manager Lloyd McClendon elected to remove Hernandez after just 97 pitches as he tries to keep his staff fresh for a push at an AL wild-card spot.

"I'll continue to protect my pitchers," McClendon told MLB's official website. "I'm trying to play meaningful games in September, not have a pitcher throw a complete game in the first week of August. My objective is to try to get this team as far as I can and hopefully that's the playoffs. We have our eyes set on it, I don't know if we can get there or not, but I want Felix healthy, strong and moving forward in September."

Hernandez has been roughed up by Toronto more than any other team in 11 starts, going 4-5 with a 4.95 ERA. It gets even worse at Safeco Field, where the Blue Jays have tagged him with two losses and a 10.80 ERA in three outings.

Colby Rasmus is 5 for 7 against Hernandez and Jose Reyes is 3 for 5 with a home run.

While Toronto (63-56) might not have had much of a break as it flew to Seattle, the team has had no respite from elite pitching. Hernandez is the third straight Cy Young winner the Blue Jays will face after Detroit's David Price and Max Scherzer. However, they should have some confidence after getting victories out of the first two.

Sunday's 6-5 win in 19 innings ended when Jose Bautista singled in Munenori Kawasaki and sparked a celebration that was 6 hours, 37 minutes in the making.

"It was a long day today and coming out on top is the only thing that matters," said Bautista, who has reached base in 19 straight games.

Melky Cabrera reached eight times Sunday alone, going 3 for 5 with five walks to become the first player to reach eight-plus times in one game since Rod Carew had five hits and three walks for Minnesota on May 12, 1972. Cabrera is batting .388 with a .488 on-base percentage over his last 17 games.

As if facing Hernandez isn't a tall enough task, Toronto starter Drew Hutchison is the recipient of added pressure knowing his bullpen is drained. But Hutchison (8-9, 4.39) was actually more impressive than Hernandez in his last start, allowing one hit - a solo homer - while striking out eight in 8 2-3 innings of Wednesday's 5-1 win over Baltimore.

That followed a start in which he was chased after three innings, and his manager was quick to remind after the dazzling performance that the 23-year-old is still growing.

"He's still a young kid. He's not physically where he's going to be," manager John Gibbons said.

Hutchison hasn't faced Seattle (62-55), which enters the series 1 1/2 games behind Kansas City for the second wild card.

The Mariners have won five of six after Sunday's 4-2 victory over the Chicago White Sox. Logan Morrison extended his hitting streak to 11 games, though just one has been a multihit effort.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dodgers decide to play it safe with SS Ramirez
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

MILWAUKEE -- The Los Angeles Dodgers aren't taking any chances with shortstop Hanley Ramirez.

An MRI exam performed Saturday revealed a strained right oblique, prompting the Dodgers to place Ramirez on the 15-day disabled list Sunday.

Ramirez said he felt tightness in his right side during batting practice Friday but attempted to play through the pain. He aggravated the injury during a first-inning at-bat and gave way to a pinch runner after drawing a walk.

"We're probably being a little cautious," manager Don Mattingly said. "He could be ready in 10 games, but we don't want to bring him back in seven and then have something worse happen and maybe lose him the rest of the year. We want to assure ourselves he'll be available down the stretch"

Infielder Darwin Barney was called up to replace Ramirez. Barney, acquired July 28 from the Chicago Cubs, has only played 17 of his 542 career games at shortstop. However, he played the position regularly in high school and college and will see time there with the Dodgers while Ramirez is on the mend.

"He's a guy we know is a Gold Glove caliber second baseman but he grew up playing short," Mattingly said. "Third is probably his least-comfortable position, so we'll probably see him at short and second and we'll see how that mix works."

Justin Turner and Miguel Rojas, who had three hits Sunday, also will see action at short.

The Dodgers will make another roster move before their game Monday. Los Angeles acquired right-hander Kevin Correia from the Minnesota Twins late Saturday night, and he will be added to the roster to start the series opener in Atlanta against the Braves.

Correia will work primarily out of the bullpen, but he will make a spot start Monday as Mattingly looks to give his rotation an extra day of rest during a stretch of 20 games in 20 days.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brewers' Garza still sore, won't be back soon
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

MILWAUKEE -- When Matt Garza went on the disabled list Tuesday with a strained left oblique, the general consensus was that the move was strictly precautionary and the Milwaukee Brewers right-hander would be ready to return in 15 days.

That is no longer the case.

Manager Ron Roenicke said Sunday that Garza was still experiencing discomfort and hasn't resumed throwing.

"It's not looking good," Roenicke said before the Brewers' 5-1 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Garza sustained the injury a week ago on his second-to-last pitch in a six-inning, one-hit effort at St. Louis. While he showed improvement during workouts last week, he reported soreness Saturday, which led to his rehab plan being placed on hold.

"He didn't have a setback, but until he is completely pain-free in a bunch of different motions, they're not going to let him throw," Roenicke said.

Signed to a four-year, $50 million contract in January, Garza is 7-7 with a 3.58 ERA in 23 starts. In seven starts before the injury, Garza was 3-2 with a 2.62 ERA -- numbers that were inflated by a nightmare outing against Washington in which he allowed five runs in one-third of an inning.

Milwaukee recalled right-hander Mike Fiers to start in place of Garza.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Milone set to make Twins debut
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

OAKLAND, Calif. -- Former Oakland A's left-hander Tommy Milone will be called up from Triple-A Rochester and make his Twins debut Monday night in the opener of a three-game series at Houston.

Twins catcher Kurt Suzuki, Milone's teammate at Oakland in 2012, knows what to expect.

"Same old Tommy; same old, same old," Suzuki said Sunday before the Twins' 6-1 victory against Oakland. "Just kind of hit his spots, work his fastballs both sides, cutter, curveball, changeup. Obviously everybody knows his changeup. Just try and mix it up"

The A's traded Milone to Minnesota on July 31 for outfielder Sam Fuld. Despite winning six straight decisions for the A's, Milone had been demoted to Triple-A Sacramento on July 5 when they acquired right-handers Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel from the Chicago Cubs. Not long after he was sent down, Milone requested a trade.

A's manager Bob Melvin said he was happy to hear that Milone was returning to the major leagues.

"He's meant a lot to us around here over the last few years," Melvin said. "Not only in the clubhouse but production wise. He's won upwards of 30 games for us. Anybody that is giving those kind of contributions and is a guy that really from the beginning here was a younger guy that kind of set an example for work ethic, professionalism here, which was very important in getting to the point where we are now.

"So we wish him the best. It's nice that he is called up because I believe he is a big leaguer."

Days before the Twins traded for Milone, Suzuki gave him high praise when his name came up while talking to manager Ron Gardenhire, bench coach Terry Steinbach and pitching coach Rick Anderson.

"I kind of threw out the idea a little bit earlier," Suzuki said. "Tommy Milone was in Triple-A and I've had pretty good success with him as a teammate. The only thing I told them was how great of a guy he was. He works hard, he does everything the right way, he's a professional, let alone really good at what he does.

"I said, 'Hey, he'd be a perfect fit here,' just kind of joking around. The next thing you know we traded for Tommy Milone."

Milone has a career record of 32-22 with a 3.84 ERA with 339 strikeouts and 105 walks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mets closer Mejia pitching through injuries
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

PHILADELPHIA -- The New York Mets could have a problem at closer.

On Sunday, ninth-inning man Jenrry Mejia allowed three hits and two runs for his third blown save, resulting in the Mets' 7-6 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies.

In his last four appearances, Mejia is 0-2 with a 9.84 ERA. But struggles aren't the biggest issue.

After the loss, Mejia, already dealing with a calf injury, admitted that he's been pitching through a hernia injury, as well, that will require surgery after the season.

"Doctors say if it bothers me too much to let him fix it, but I don't want to let him know because I want to keep pitching," Mejia said. "I keep trying and throw my ball normal. It doesn't affect me."

Mejia said he's known about the hernia for three weeks and is receiving treatment.

"(Doctors) gave me some pills and some medication," he said. "If I don't feel normal, too much pain, they're going to make an operation. But I want to keep pitching. I want to take some pills and keep pitching. I think I can keep going. I'm ready to go."

Mets manager Terry Collins still has faith in his closer.

"He's done a great job. He's done an absolutely great job," Collins said. "The breaking ball is a little tumble-y right now. It's not as crisp as it normally is. That could be from wear and tear. There's nothing wrong with him physically. He's fine."

Mejia plans on gutting through it.

"Every time I come to the game I feel I want to keep going, do some treatment and keep pitching," he said. "Everything's OK. There's no excuse."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Injuries, marathon game take toll on Tigers' staff
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

TORONTO -- The Detroit Tigers have some shuffling to do.

It was bad enough that starter Anibal Sanchez (pectoral strain) and reliever Joakim Soria (oblique strain) were placed on the 15-day disabled list Sunday. However, the Tigers then played 19 innings before losing their second extra-inning game in a row to Toronto, falling 6-5 in the longest game in Blue Jays history.

It was so bad that starter Rick Porcello pitched the final two innings and took the loss Sunday. Manager Brad Ausmus suggested that he might have used a position player to pitch had the game gone longer.

"It's very possible it would have been a position player at that point," said Ausmus, who was ejected in the third inning. "We were talking about it, but it never got to that point."

Justin Verlander will start Monday against Pittsburgh. Left-hander Robbie Ray is scheduled to fill Sanchez's spot against the Pirates on Wednesday. In between, some moves will be made. Ray does not have to be officially called up until Wednesday.

Porcello, who was scheduled to start Tuesday, had a light bullpen session Saturday and a more strenuous outing Sunday.

"We're going to have to do some shuffling," Ausmus said. "Other than Verlander pitching tomorrow, I can't tell you anything."

Despite the injuries to Sanchez and Soria, there were no call-ups for Sunday's game.

"We didn't think we could get them here," Ausmus said. "Of course, if we knew we had until 7 o'clock to get them here, maybe we would have."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks Oakland at Kansas City The Royals head into tonight's matchup with Oakland carrying a 4-1 record in Yordano Ventura's last 5 starts as an underdog. Kansas City is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+110). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


MONDAY, AUGUST 11
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: NY Mets at Philadelphia (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 16.109; Philadelphia (Buchanan) 13.640
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-125); Under


Game 953-954: St. Louis at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Miller) 14.320; Miami (Koehler) 15.794
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Miami (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-115); Under


Game 955-956: LA Dodgers at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Correia) 16.899; Atlanta (Teheran) 15.743
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-170); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+150); Over


Game 957-958: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 17.442; Cubs (Arrieta) 15.598
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2; 6
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-115); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-105); N/A


Game 959-960: Colorado at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Lyles) 15.402; San Diego (Hahn) 14.313
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-155); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+135); Over


Game 961-962: NY Yankees at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Capuano) 16.599; Baltimore (Norris) 15.671
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+125); Over


Game 963-964: Tampa Bay at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Smyly) 17.322; Texas (Lewis) 14.862
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135); Over


Game 965-966: Minnesota at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Milone) 14.512; Houston (Peacock) 13.611
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120); Under


Game 967-968: Oakland at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gray) 16.772; Kansas City (Ventura) 18.398
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+110); Over


Game 969-970: Toronto at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Hutchison) 17.122; Seattle (Hernandez) 16.321
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-220); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+185); Over


Game 971-972: Detroit at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.976; Pittsburgh (Locke) 14.520
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-120); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play Mon

Tigers w/ Verlander -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Tigers at Pirates

Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates (+102, 7.5)

The Pittsburgh Pirates own the best home record in the National League but have lost two in a row at PNC Park as they prepare to host the Detroit Tigers on Monday in the opener of a four-game, home-and-home set. The Pirates scored five runs in dropping two of three to San Diego over the weekend and continue to struggle with injuries to reigning National League MVP Andrew McCutchen and second baseman Neil Walker. The Pirates won three of four versus Detroit in 2013 - two by 1-0 shutouts.

Adding left-hander David Price at the trade-deadline to give Detroit three consecutive Cy Young Award winners has yet to yield the expected results. The Tigers have dropped five of seven after blowing a five-run lead in Sunday's 19-inning marathon loss in Toronto. Detroit's lead has dwindled to one-half game over surging Kansas City atop the American League Central and its vaunted pitching staff took a hit when starter Anibal Sanchez and reliever Joakim Soria went on the disabled list Sunday.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, FSN Detroit, ROOT (Pittsburgh)

LINE HISTORY: Pinnacle Sports opened the Pirates as +109 home dogs, but that has since moved to +102. The total has held at 7.5.

INJURY REPORT: Tigers - RP Joakim Soria (Day-to-day, oblique), LF Andy Dirks (Indefinitely, back). Pirates - 2B Neil Walker (Indefinitely, back), CF Andrew McCutchen (Indefinitely, ribs)

POWER RANKINGS: Tigers (-196), Pirates (-182)

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "It appeared former Detroit ace, Justin Verlander, was over the hill with a poor start this season, however he has actually started to pitched better recently. Verlander has a mediocre 4.57 ERA in his 24 starts this season, but it is misleading as Verlander had two awful outings in mid-June in which he allowed 14 runs in just 11.2 innings (10.80 ERA). Since then, Verlander has allowed three runs or less in seven of his past nine starts with a more respectable 3.90 ERA during that span." Steve Merril.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We opened Detroit a -125 favorite. Verlander is starting to pitch much better recently posting a 2.86 ERA during his last three appearances. Locke, on other hand has 6.16 ERA his last 3 starts." Mike Perry.


PITCHING MATCHUP: Tigers RH Justin Verlander (10-10, 4.57 ERA) vs. Pirates LH Jeff Locke (3-3, 3.78)

While Verlander's days as a dominant ace appear to be over, he has turned in four consecutive quality starts but has alternated wins and losses in that span. A pair of solo homers were the only runs Verlander allowed over seven innings in a loss at the New York Yankees on Wednesday. He has an overpowering track record against the Pirates, tossing a pair of complete games and winning all four of his starts while compiling a 1.97 ERA.

Locke rebounded from back-to-back losses - both on the road - to beat Miami last time out, surrendering three runs (one earned) in seven innings for his first win in a month. He has been victimized by the long ball of late, yielding eight in his last four starts after giving up only three in his first eight turns. Locke, who held Detroit scoreless for 5 1/3 innings last year, is 2-1 with a 0.93 WHIP in seven home starts.


TRENDS:

* Tigers are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Pittsburgh.
* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Pittsburgh.
* Tigers are 4-0 in their last four interleague games.
* Over is 4-1-1 in Locke's last six starts overall.

CONSENSUS: 59.15 percent of wagers are backing the Detroit Tigers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mets hot versus Phillies when Niese gets the start
Andrew Avery

The New York Mets have posted a 4-0 record versus the Philadelphia Phillies when pitcher Jonathon Niese gets the start for the Mets.

Three of those starts have come this season, where Niese brings a personal record of 1-0 and a 2.57 ERA into Monday's start versus the Phils. The Mets have won those three starts by scores of 6-1, 5-4 and 4-3.

Niese and the Mets are currently -118 road faves for the afternoon game. David Buchanan will get the start for the Phillies.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Weather info you should know for Monday
Andrew Avery

Monday's weather forecast does not look promising for a couple of cities as both Pittsburgh and Atlanta could be hit with some thunderstorms.

Forecasts are calling for a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms, which will increase to 70 percent as the game progresses. The Pirates open an interleague series versus the Detroit Tigers from PNC Park Monday.

Elsewhere, Atlanta could be hit by some rain as well. Forecasts are calling for a 50 percent possibility of thunderstorms which dampen the meeting between the Atlanta Braves and Los Angeles Dodgers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB roundup: Tigers place Sanchez, Soria on DL
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

The Detroit Tigers placed right-handed starter Anibal Sanchez and reliever Joakim Soria on the 15-day disabled list Sunday.

Sanchez has a right pectoralis major strain. The move is retroactive to Saturday.

Soria has a left oblique strain.

The club will call up Robbie Ray to start Wednesday against the Pittsburgh Pirates in place of Sanchez, who is 8-5 with a 3.53 ERA this year.

Sanchez could miss at least three weeks. He left Friday night's game against the Toronto Blue Jays in the fifth inning with a strained muscle in his right side.

Soria, who was recently acquired from the Texas Rangers, left Saturday's game with a strained muscle in his left side after warming up before the 10th inning. He is 2-4 with a 3.58 ERA with 17 saves (all with the Rangers). He was the Rangers' closer but is in a setup role with the Tigers. Soria is 1-1 with a 10.38 ERA in six games with Detroit.


---The Los Angeles Dodgers placed shortstop Hanley Ramirez on the 15-day disabled list with a strained right oblique. The move was made retroactive to Saturday.

The Dodgers recalled infielder Darwin Barney from Triple-A Albuquerque.


---Los Angeles Angels left-hander Tyler Skaggs will have Tommy John surgery and may be sidelined through the 2015 season, the team announced.

Skaggs was recently placed on the disabled list with a flexor strain.

This year, the 23-year-old is 5-5 with a 4.30 ERA in 113 innings. Skaggs was acquired from the Arizona Diamondbacks as part of a three-team trade involving the Chicago White Sox that sent outfielder Mark Trumbo to Arizona.


---The Cleveland Indians placed outfielder David Murphy and first baseman/outfielder Nick Swisher on the 15-day disabled list. Murphy has a right abdominal strain and Swisher has right knee soreness.

The club recalled outfielder Tyler Holt and infielder/outfielder Zach Walters from Triple-A Columbus.



---Colorado Rockies right fielder Carlos Gonzalez was placed on the 15-day disabled list with left knee tendinitis and a right ankle sprain. He was removed in the seventh inning of Friday's game and did not play Saturday.

Left-hander Brett Anderson will see a spine surgeon in Phoenix on Monday after an MRI performed on his lower back found a bulging disk between the L4-L5 vertebrae, the team announced. Surgery is a possibility and it seems certain Anderson will not pitch again this season.



---Minnesota Twins third baseman Trevor Plouffe was out of the lineup after fouling a ball off his left ankle in the first inning off Saturday night's game against Oakland. X-rays were negative, and he is day-to-day.

"He's really sore," Twins manager Ron Gardenhire said.


---The Chicago White Sox optioned left-hander Eric Surkamp to Triple-A. Surkamp had an ERA of 7.11, and right-hander Matt Lindstrom is scheduled to come off the disabled list this week.


---The Boston Red Sox recalled left-hander Edwin Escobar from Triple-A Pawtucket and optioned right-hander Heath Hembree to Pawtucket.


---The Chicago Cubs made a couple of roster moves before the game, activating right-hander Jacob Turner (acquired from the Miami Marlins on Friday) and right-hander Neil Ramirez (15-day DL with triceps soreness).

To make room, the Cubs sent left-hander Chris Rusin to Triple-A Iowa and put right-hander Brian Schlitter on the 15-day DL (retroactive to Aug. 9) with right shoulder inflammation. The Cubs haven't yet settled on a plan for Turner, although he figures to be used in relief for now.


---The San Francisco Giants recalled first baseman Adam Duvall, who leads the Pacific Coast League with 26 home runs and 84 RBIs.

The Giants optioned outfielder Juan Perez to Triple-A Fresno.


---Texas Rangers right-hander Derek Holland pitched three scoreless innings in his third rehab start for Double-A Frisco on Saturday night, allowing three hits while striking out four on 49 pitches. Holland has allowed four runs in six innings over three rehab starts for Frisco and Triple-A Round Rock.


---Houston Astros outfielder George Springer remains in a holding pattern regarding his reinstatement from the 15-day disabled list. Springer felt discomfort in his left quad following a workout Saturday, and his status remains day-to-day.


---Milwaukee Brewers manager Ron Roenicke said injured right-hander Matt Garza has not resumed throwing and likely will need more than 15 days on the disabled list. Garza landed on the disabled list retroactive to Aug. 4 because of a strained left oblique.


---The Philadelphia Phillies claimed right-hander Jerome Williams off waivers. Williams pitched for the Rangers and Astros this season, going 2-5 in 28 games (two starts) with a 6.71 ERA.

Right-hander Sean O'Sullivan was designated for assignment to make room for Williams on the roster.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

3 Units Minnesota Twins -110

The Minnesota Twins pitching rotation will get a boost on Monday night as they give the ball to lefty Tommy Milone, who they recently acquired from the Oakland Athletics. Tonight's game will also most likely be the return of Twins All Star Joe Mauer, who has missed the last 34 games with an injury. The Houston Astros give the ball to Brad Peacock, who has been absolutely brutal for these Astros over his past three starts. Peacock (3-8, 5.44) is 0-3 with a 16.00 ERA over his past three starts and also lost a decision to these Twins earlier this year. The Astros are just 3-14 in Peacock's last 17 starts when the Astros have lost the previous game and 0-8 when Peacock is off 4 days rest. The Twins have enjoyed some decent recent success against losing teams on the road, posting a 4-1 mark in their last five road games in that spot. For us, Peacock is just a "play against" and people need to look at Milone's track record before he was traded from the A's, where he had posted a 6-0 record with a stellar 2.62 ERA in the 11 starts previous to the trade. We think Milone make things very hard on the home team here tonight and the Twins hit Peacock hard.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAMBLING GOD

League: MLB
Team A: Yankees
Team B: Orioles
Pick: Yankees moneyline
Risk:$100 to win $127
Time: 4:00 PM PT

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | OAKLAND at KANSAS CITY
Play Against – Home teams (KANSAS CITY) poor power team (<=0.9 HR’s/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR’s/start, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL
119-74 since 1997. ( 61.7% | 48.2 units )
7-6 this year. ( 53.8% | 1.2 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends– FoxSheets

MLB | NY METS at PHILADELPHIA
NY METS are 10-2 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was: NY METS (5.2) , OPPONENT (3.0)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You MLB Service Selections for Monday, August 11th

August's Major League Bases Revenge Total of the Month!!!!!
Detroit/Pittsburgh over 7 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Tuesday's MLB Report Free of Charge!!!

MLB Best Bets
Los Angeles/Atlanta over 7
Colorado/San Diego under 6 1/2
Tampa Bay/Texas over 9
Minnesota/Houston over 8 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Mets -130
Pirates Even

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Monday

Tampa Bay/Texas under 9

Oakland/KC under 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Monohan

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins

Monday 5* FREE MLB Play

5* St. Louis Cardinals +105

The Marlins are not nearly the juggernaut at home they were earlier in the season. I am encouraged that they avoided the sweep down in Baltimore and like that starter Shelby Miller is dealing well now - just 5ER in his last three starts, 2 of them on the road. The Marlins are not terrible but they are not viable for the playoffs either.

They have pretty much cooled since their run that drew them close to the Braves.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters

POD MIA -105

NYY +115
PIT +100

FREE PLAY CHC -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Worlds Worst Picker

Philadelphia Phillies

Chicago Cubs

Colorado Rockies

Tampa Bay Rays

Pittsburgh Pirates

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

N.Y. Yankees @ BALTIMORE

BALTIMORE -1 +107 over N.Y. Yankees

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.14)

A couple of weeks ago we wrote about how the Orioles have defied logic for most of the year with a weak starting rotation and an offense that had been running cold for most of the year. However, the Orioles bats have really come to life recently with outputs of 7, 9, 10 and 12 runs scored in four of their past seven games. The Orioles average of 5.2 runs scored per game in August leads the majors. They also lead the majors in home runs with 147, which is 40 more jacks than the Yanks have belted out. This offense now gets a crack at Chris Capuano. Frequent Flier programs were invented for guys like Chris Capuano. After two years with the Dodgers, he signed with the Red Sox in the offseason. After being released in July, he was picked up by Colorado, and was being stretched out in the minors to serve as a starter. He was then traded to the Yankees, where he now finds himself as a starter in the midst of a pennant chase. While Capuano may now have time to unpack, he’s unlikely to be a difference-maker for New York. While he usually has good control, he’s been uncharacteristically wild this year. Capuano’s strikeout rate looks good (46 in 51 innings) but his swinging strike rate of 7% indicates that he may not be able to maintain it for long. Additionally, this year's K rate spike has come primarily in relief work, before his recent move to the NYY rotation. Of Capuano’s 51 innings pitched this year, 32 have come in relief, usually one inning or less. While he’s done better the past couple of years, he’s had issues with fly balls during his career. This could be an issue in this hitter’s park against this home-run hitting team. The litany of pitcher injuries the Yankees have faced this year has essentially forced them to give Capuano a chance at this point and all we can say is that all those other teams in need of starters can’t all be wrong, can they?

Speaking of defying logic, how about the Yankees? The Yanks are five games over .500 with a garbage team that no GM in baseball would trade for his own. No reliable starters, an offense that has two consistent hitters in Jacoby Ellsbury and Brett Gardiner (Yanks 4, 5 and 6 hitters are batting .230, .245. and .175 respectively) and two backup catchers with Brian McCann out with a concussion. The Yanks are a collection of aging vets and castoffs. Over their last four games they have been held to one run or less three times with all them occurring at Yankee Stadium (+33% LH HR; +16% RH HR). Bud Norris has held the opposition to one run or less in five of his past eight starts. Norris has had a steady 2014 season thus far, with a 50%/5% dominant start/disaster start split in 19 starts. At Camden Yard he is 4-2 with an ERA of 2.61 (xERA of 3.32). Over his last four starts covering 24 frames, Norris has 24 K’s and a 47% groundball rate. All of his skills are trending the right way. Lastly, once the Orioles starters get through six innings, it’s lights out for the opposition with Andre Miller (27 hits in 47 innings), Darren O’Day (33 hits in 51 innings) and Zach Britton (37 hits in 58 innings) coming in to form what has been the deadliest trio in the majors since the All-Star break. Lay the 1½-runs if you like but we’ll play it safer and spot a run.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Early-week betting cheat sheet: Felix, fatigue bad news for Jays

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for the early-week major-league games:

'Dogs Have Their (Sun)Day

The underdog play was a strong one on a weird Sunday in the major leagues. Underdogs went a staggering 10-5 SU, a trend that included victories by Minnesota (+162), the Chicago Cubs (+144), Toronto (+144) and Colorado (+143).

Felix + Fatigue = ?

The Blue Jays could be in tough Monday night as they open a three-game series against Felix Hernandez and the Seattle Mariners (-194, 6.5). Toronto made the cross-continental trip after playing 19 innings against Detroit on Sunday, and that fatigue factor could push the line higher in favor of Seattle.

Road Warrior Adam

St. Louis Cardinals ace Adam Wainwright will look to continue his road dominance Tuesday as he faces the Marlins in Miami. Wainwright has been one of the best pitchers away from his home park this season, going 9-3 with a 1.32 ERA and just one home run allowed over 95 2/3 innings.

Pitching Notes

* Detroit Tigers right-hander Justin Verlander will try to cure his recent road woes Monday as he tangles with the host Pittsburgh Pirates (+102, 7.5). Verlander is 1-4 SU in his last five starts away from Comerica Park, though he has recorded five straight Unders in that span.

* Interleague play has agreed with Chicago White Sox lefty Chris Sale, who faces the San Francisco Giants on Tuesday night. Sale is perfect in 14 apperances (six starts) against the National League, going 3-0 with a 2.52 ERA and 60 strikeouts over 53 2/3 innings.

Hitting Notes

* Philadelphia second baseman Chase Utley will be at a decided disadvantage Monday as he faces off against Jonathon Niese and the New York Mets (-118, 8). Utley has just three hits - all singles - in 28 career at-bats against Niese.

* A pair of Chicago Cubs are looking forward to Tuesday's matchup with Milwaukee Brewers hurler Wily Peralta. Starlin Castro is 10-for-21 with a pair of home runs in his career versus Peralta, while Anthony Rizzo is 8-for-19 with four homers and nine RBIs.

Totals Streak

New York Mets (5-1-2 O/U): The Mets continue to be the league's pushiest team - leading the majors with 13 - but have become a strong Over play of late, having allowed five or more runs in four of their last eight games. New York is 52-53-13 O/U for the season.

Prop of the Day

The Mariners are +325 to win by more than three runs, and Hernandez alone makes this a viable betting option. The sensational right-hander has made 15 consecutive starts of seven innings or more with two earned runs or fewer allowed - a major-league record.

Injury Notes

* St. Louis Cardinals catcher Yadier Molina has had the cast removed from his surgically-repaired right thumb and can begin light baseball-related activities. The Cardinals are 12-12 SU, 15-9 O/U and -68 units since Molina suffered the thumb injury just over a month ago.

* The Minnesota Twins will activate Joe Mauer from the disabled list in time for the opener of a three-game set Monday against the host Houston Astros (+101, 8.5). Mauer has missed the last 34 games with a strained oblique; the Twins are 14-20 SU, 16-18 O/U and -330 units in his absence.

Weather Watch

* Fans at Citizens Bank Park will be treated to winds blowing out to left field at 11 mph for Monday's showdown between Philadelphia and the visiting Mets. Philadelphia went 6-1 SU and 2-4-1 O/U in seven games under similar conditions a season ago.

* Citi Field will see wind blowing out to left field at 11 mph for Tuesday's showdown between host New York and the Washington Nationals. Teams combined to average 2.04 home runs in 26 games with the wind blowing out to left in 2013 - above the stadium average of 1.84.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Weekly Dollar Special
Jack Jones
2014-08-16 (5 days)


MLB Premium Picks

Top Pick


League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


MLB
Aug 11 ,2014
7:10p
[953] St. Louis Cardinals[954] Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals -105
at Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com)


20* NL Monday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -105

The St. Louis Cardinals find themselves two games back of the Milwaukee Brewers for first place in the NL Central. They will be motivated for a victory Monday as they take on the Miami Marlins (57-60), who return from a long road trip. That first game home after a long trip is usually tough for players for family reasons.

After getting a two-week break from St. Louis' rotation, Shelby Miller has come back a different starter. He has gone 1-0 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.589 WHIP in three starts since that break. He allowed one run and four hits to Boston his last time out.

Tom Koehler is having a solid season for the Marlins, going 7-9 with a 3.80 ERA and 1.231 WHIP in 23 starts. However, in his lone career start against St. Louis last year, Koehler gave up nine runs and two homers over 4 2/ 3 innings of a 7-13 home loss on June 15.

The Cardinals are 4-0 in Miller's last four starts as a road favorite. The Marlins are 18-37 in their last 55 vs. National League Central opponents. Miami is 0-4 in Koehler's last four starts vs. NL Central foes. The Marlins are 7-16 in Koehler's last 23 starts vs. a team with a winning record. St. Louis is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings and 20-8 in the last 28 meetings in Miami. Bet the Cardinals Monday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
A run short of the over yesterday afternoon for myself. Kyle hit his second straight winner, but doesn't have anything going for today.
2 UNIT = New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles - UNDER 8.5 RUNS (-112)
Listed Pitchers: Capuano vs Norris
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.79 units)
The Yankees and Orioles will start an important series tonight in Baltimore. New York sends Chris Capuano to the mound who is 1-2 with a 3.91 ERA, .263 OBA and 1.42 WHIP on the season. Over his last three starts he has allowed just 6 earned runs against in a combined 19 innings of work. His latest outing was his best as he went 6.2 innings giving up just 5 hits and 0 earned runs with 8 strikeouts. The Orioles will have Bud Norris on the mound who is 9-7 with a 3.68 ERA, .251 OBa and 1.26 WHIP. He has been solid since the All Star break with a 2.63 ERA over 4 starts, and at home this year he is 4-2 with a 2.61 ERA, .247 OBA and 1.20 WHIP. New York scored 10 runs on Friday, but in their three other games since Thursday they scored a combined 2 runs. The UNDER is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games overall, 8-1 in their last 9 as an underdog, and 5-1 in their last 6 vs a right handed starter. The UNDER is 20-8 in the Orioles last 28 divisional games, 8-2 in their last 10 vs a left handed starter, 4-0 in Norris' last 4 home games and 7-1 in his last 8 starts overall. The UNDER is 5-1 in these two teams last 6 meetings overall as well. I'm on the UNDER.
Kyle's Pick(s)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports
2014-08-16 (5 days)


MLB Premium Picks



League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


MLB
Aug 11 ,2014
8:10p
[965] Minnesota Twins[966] Houston Astros
Houston Astros +101
at Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com)


3-unit Play Take #966 Houston Astros over Minnesota Twins (8:10pm EST) We couldn't get there with the Houston Astros yesterday, but that won't discourage us today as this team has made us quite a bit of money in 2014 playing them in certain spots. The Astros are slowly but surely improving as a ballclub as they continue to bring up top-level talent from their minor league system. Their offense is has made huge strides and they know have a nice top five in their order with some power. They'll play a Twins club that is going backwards fast after a decent start to the campaign. They are 8-14 since the All-Star break and now sit at the bottom of the AL Central. Their offense is right on par with the Astros, as they are nothing special but are getting better. I also don't care much for either of today's starting pitchers. Brad Peacock has been a disaster on the mound la tely, getting shelled in two recent starts. Tommy Milone was just traded to the Twins from the A's two weeks ago. Milone had a decent ERA but was fortunate in getting there. I've never liked his game and don't think he'll fit that well with the Twins. This one can really go either way, so we'll gladly take a plus price on the home team. Go Astros.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd
2014-08-16 (5 days)


MLB Premium Picks



League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


MLB
Aug 11 ,2014
1:05p
[951] New York Mets[952] Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies +117
at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


3* MLB Early Bird Oddsmakers Error on Phillies +
The Phillies are showing excellent value as a home underdog against the Mets Monday afternoon. There's a great chance that Philadelphia's offense will put up a big number against the struggling Jonathon Niese, who has an awful 5.68 ERA and 1.368 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Niese has simply not been the same pitcher since returning from the DL. I'll take my chances on the Phillies with a red-hot David Buchanan taking the mound. Buchanan is 2-1 with a 3.26 ERA a 1.086 WHIP over his last 3 starts and hasn't allowed more than 3 earned runs in each of his last 7.
Great system in play that's telling us to fade the Mets. Road teams with a money line of -100 to -150with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games, after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs are just 18-41 over the last 5 seasons. That's a 70% system in favor of the Phillies. Take Philadelphia!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play San Diego -140 over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)

Colorado has lost 92 of the last 145 games when playing as an underdog of +125 to +175 and they have lost 31 of the last 53 games when playing on a Monday.Colorado has lost 37 of the last 56 games when the total posted is 7 runs or less and they have lost 92 of the last 150 games coming off three or more straight road games.

================================================== ===

50* Play St. Louis -110 over Miami (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Tampa Bay -115 over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

MONDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play New York Mets -120 over Philadelphia (MLB TOP PLAY)

Philadelphia is 26-36 when playing as a home underdog of +100 to +125
Philadelphia is 57-76 in day games the last three seasons
Philadelphia is 25-40 coming off an OVER the total in their last game



10* Play Tampa Bay -115 over Texas (MLB TOP PLAY)

Texas is 19-44 when playing as an underdog of +100 or higher
Texas is 26-42 when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs
Texas is 21-33 in home games this season

=============================================

5* Play New York Yankees +135 over Baltimore (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Pittsburgh +110 over Detroit (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

MONDAY BASEBALL




Play Pittsburgh +110 over Detroit----Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)

7:00 PM EST

Pittsburgh has won 43 of the last 73 games coming off a loss by four or more runs and they have won 31 of the last 51 inter-league games. Pittsburgh has won 98 of the last 170 home games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less and they have won 50 of the last 81 games after scoring four runs or less in three straight games.





Play Tampa Bay -115 over Texas----Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
8:00 PM EST


Texas has lost 26 of the last 35 games when playing in the 2nd half of the season and they have lost 17 of the last 20 home games when playing as an underdog of +100 or higher. Texas has lost 38 of the last 59 games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game and they have lost 31 of the last 49 games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* New York Yankees +110

50* St. Louis Cardinals -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

golazoprediction

ICELAND: Pepsideild - Round 15

Fjolnir - Breidablik

Over 3 AH

Odd: 1.90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FEZZIK’S FOCUS

I’m going into a neighborhood I don’t like to drive in, playing

970 SEA -202 for the Focus Play of the day.

Give me King Felix vs. a Toronto team off that NEVER beats David Price, but just did, off 19 innings, then to the Airport flying cross country to get to Sea. CAN THEIR BE A WORST SPOT??

I KNOW this is unpopular to say, but I don’t need to find some “silly” -200 other favorite to parlay this into to make me feel like I’m not laying -200. I am VERY HAPPY to just lay -200 (which I have to do in a parlay anyways), with a team I’m SURE would win in this situation over 2/3 of the time.

Also with a total of under 7, I have ZERO desire to sweat out -1.5 in my bet. I don’t need Sea to be up 2-1 after 6 innings and stare at a Sea -400 line, BUT I’m losing vs. the -1.5 line

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JEFFREY JAMES

(Play of the Day)

#972 Pittsburgh Pirates with Locke +100 (7:05 edt)

The Tigers are in a very bad spot here after coming off of a 19 inning loss yesterday in Toronto. They are really struggling lately and now only have a half game lead in the division. Verlander has been nowhere near his Cy Young self from a couple of years ago. Look for the Pirates with Locke to take advantage and get this win here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

MLB

2* (956) Braves -$162

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Now, let's get to today's official system bet! For today on August 11 we have the following bet:
Atlanta {A} bet - Official MLB system bet!
All the best,
Tony the sports betting "Champ"

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dodgers, Braves open 4-game set Monday
By: Freddy Wander - StatFox


LOS ANGELES DODGERS (67-52) at ATLANTA BRAVES (60-57)

First pitch: Monday, 7:10 p.m. ET
Line: Atlanta -165, Los Angeles +155, Total: 7

Two storied franchises, the Dodgers and Braves, begin a four-game series at Turner Field on Monday night.

Los Angeles has gone 13-9 (.591) since the All-Star break to take a solid 4.5-game lead over the Giants in the NL West. The Dodgers were nearly swept in Milwaukee this weekend though, and after their offense mustered up a measly four runs over the first two games, they were saved by ace Clayton Kershaw who went eight strong inning (6 H, 1 ER, 6 K’s) in the 5-1 victory on Sunday. Despite some offensive struggles, 1B Adrian Gonzalez (.269 BA) has found his stroke and is 9-for-14 with three doubles, two home runs and 7 RBI over his past four contests. Atlanta had lost eight straight games -- all of which were on the road -- going into its weekend series against the NL East-leading Nationals, but was able to take 2-of-3 games in the return home, trimming the division deficit to 3.5 games behind Washington. The Braves' 3-1 win in the rubber match on Sunday was a microcosm of what they have done to be successful as the starting pitching of Alex Wood (7.1 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 12 K’s) saved a below-average offense which is third-worst in the league in runs scored (437). 1B Freddie Freeman (.288 BA) has been a bright spot in their lineup, especially in the past four games where he's 8-for-15 with two doubles, a homer and 4 RBI. Newly acquired RHP Kevin Correia (5-13, 4.94 ERA) will toe the rubber for L.A. in this one, while Atlanta counters with flamethrowing, 23-year-old RHP Julio Teheran (10-8, 2.92 ERA). The Dodgers have done much better on the road this year with an MLB-best record of 37-25 (.597), but will have a tough time against the Braves who are an excellent 33-25 (.569) at Turner Field. These two clubs met just a two weeks ago (July 29-31) when L.A. swept three games at home to push its record in this series over the past three years to 11-9, but Atlanta holds the 5-3 edge at Turner Field during this timeframe. Some trends bettors may want to consider in this game include that the Braves are 87-49 (.640) under manager Fredi Gonzalez after having lost 4 or 5 of their previous six games, but the Dodgers are a stellar 35-8 (.814) versus an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in the second half of the season over the past two years. Los Angeles’ offense may be thin on Monday though with OF Yasiel Puig (back) questionable and SS Hanley Ramirez (side) on the 15-day DL. The one injury to watch for on Atlanta is SS Andrelton Simmons (ankle) who is questionable for the contest.

Kevin Correia has had a long career with 344 games pitched (213 starts) at the major-league level, and the Dodgers are hoping that he can provide just enough depth when needed. He’s never been an ace by any terms of the word and has over a 4.15 ERA in each of the past five seasons. With a pitiful 4.2 K/9 this year, Correia is by no means a strikeout pitcher, but has solid control (2.2 BB/9) and has done a pretty good job keeping the ball in the ballpark with 13 homers allowed over 129.1 frames (0.90 HR/9) with the Twins. Correia had quality starts in his final two outings with Minnesota as he combined to pitch 12 innings while allowing five runs (4 ER) and striking out seven with only one walk. In his 12 career games (8 starts) against the Braves, Correia is 3-3 with a 4.20 ERA and dreadful 1.62 WHIP, while allowing six home runs in 45 innings of work. When he last faced Atlanta on May 20, 2013, the right-hander was tagged for five runs on eight hits in just four innings of work. OF Justin Upton has been great against the veteran in his career, as he is 16-for-44 (.364) with four doubles, 1 HR and 2 RBI. Overall, the players in Atlanta’s lineup have combined to go 38-for-108 (.352) against the righty with 13 extra-base hits (.500 SLG). SS Andrelton Simmons is the only player to really struggle versus Correia, going hitless in five at-bats. The Dodgers’ bullpen has gone 12-18 this year with a 3.68 ERA and 1.33 WHIP, while converting 35-of-45 (78%) save chances. Closer Kenley Jansen (3.00 ERA, 32 saves) has struck out 14.1 batters per nine innings on the season and is 32-for-36 (89%) in his save opportunities.

Julio Teheran has been great in his second full season at the big league level and ranks in the top-10 among NL pitchers in all the major pitching categories. He's 2nd in innings (163.1), 3rd in complete games (3), 4th in WHIP (1.07), 8th in strikeouts (146) and 10th I ERA (2.92). He is striking out 8.0 batters per nine innings on the year and has shown amazing control (2.0 BB/9) for such a young pitcher. Teheran has been lucky though, benefiting from hitters having a .268 BABIP, which is well below the league average of .298 BABIP. He’s lasted at least seven innings in seven of his past 10 outings, and has allowed two or fewer runs in five of those starts. He did very well against the Dodgers two outings ago on July 31, tossing eight innings while allowing only two runs on five hits with nine strikeouts with three walks in a losing effort. In his one other career start against L.A. in last year's playoffs, Teheran was bombed for six runs on eight hits and six runs in just 2.2 innings. No player on L.A. has more than four at-bats against the youngster, and as a team they are 7-for-30 (.233) with three extra-base hits (1 HR) and eight strikeouts when facing him. OF Yasiel Puig was the player to take Teheran yard in their last matchup, but the Dodgers may not miss their other injured star, SS Hanley Ramirez, who went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts against the right-hander. The Braves relievers are 17-20 with a 3.31 ERA and 1.31 WHIP this season, and have successfully converted 41-of-51 (80%) saves. Craig Kimbrel (1.91 ERA, 34 saves) has been mowing down batters at an incredible rate (15.1 K/9) while allowing one home run in his 47 innings of work (0.19 HR/9).

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Ecks and Bacon


E&B had the split's in Soccer winning with Arsenal +220/Manchester City and losing with a play on the Draw +$250.

Ben lee lost on Sunday in the American League with the Astros -$152/Rangers.

For Monday in MLB in the American League "Mr Chalk" likes a DOG Rangers +$117/Rays.

Ben lee is 187-217-5 -$2862 through Forty One Weeks.

"Mr Chalk" is 61-44 -$295 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

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Sports Cash System

extra bonus system for today:

Baltimore Orioles -133 over the New York Yankees (Bet Level 3) (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 7:05 PM EST

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Sean Michaels 50 Dime LAD

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SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS 393-342-12 YTD

Free Play: NY Mets -120 vs Philadelphia

Monday 8/11 Service Play's


The trend continues... We have to keep riding this out and hope it turns around today!! The winning day was there yesterday for us until the Met's blew a 6-1 lead to the Phillies. This is a new week and let's hope we get off to a good start and even better get the clean sweep!! Let's do this!!


MLB


Baltimore RL -1.5 +155


Atlanta RL -1.5 +150


Seattle RL -1.5 +105

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Ben Burns

10* Best Bet: Kansas City Royals

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BOB BALFE

SELECTION
MILWAUKEE BREWERS -105
(Gallardo/Arrieta)

The Brewers only hold a 2 game lead in their division so every game here on out is so important. At even money this has great value due to the fact the Cubs are awful inside of the NL Central. Arrieta has been great this season, but it takes a complete effort from this team to win games. Put this guy on any other team and he is a household name. Gallardo is also having a fine season so we will go with the better team tonight. Take Milwaukee.

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GOODFELLA

Monday Night MLB Team Total

SAN DIEGO PADRES – OVER 3.5 RUNS (-120 @BOL)

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BONES BEST BET

BREWERS @ CUBS – UNDER 7.5 -115 *4* BEST BET

Gallardo and Arrieta have not faced the Cubs and Brewers respectively this year which is an advantage to the pitchers. Both teams have been playing a lot of unders lately. The Brewers have went under in 3 of 4 and 5 of 7. The Cubs have not went over in their last 4 games. Gallardo has been great on the road this year with a 2.90 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Before his last start in Colorado, Arrieta had given up 3 earned runs or less in 9 straight while pitching at least 6 innings. At home this year he has a 1.85 ERA and 0.92 WHIP.

ATHLETICS @ ROYALS – UNDER 7 +100 *3*

Gray vs Ventura makes for a great pitching duel. Neither of these teams are seeing a ton of runs over their past 10 games (A’s at 7 and Royals at 7.8). In Gray’s only start against KC he allowed just 1 ER (and 3 hits) over 7 innings.

ORIOLES ML -130 *3*

Baltimore looks to step away from the pack here in the AL East with a big series at home against the Yankees. The Yankees have been outscored 44-25 while dropping six of nine to the Orioles this season and tonight run into Bud Norris who is 5-2 with a 2.64 ERA in his last eight outings. There isnt much data on Capuano who starts tonight and has a 4.91 ERA in three relief appearances against the Orioles this season. Considered laying the -1 here to get plus money but the Orioles at 24-17 are the best 1 run team in baseball backed by their top tier bullpen. Take the money line.

TWINS @ ASTROS – OVER 8.5 -108 *2*

Brad Peacock is absolutely terrible. In his last 3 starts he is 0-3, has pitched just 9 total innings, has an ERA of 16.00 and a WHIP of 2.89! He has a season ERA of 5.44 and an overall record of 3-8. Meanwhile, the Astros have scored a very respectable 45 runs over their last 10 games and should get theirs tonight.

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Gordon24

$400 best bet – twins -111

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Tiger

CFL (122) TORNTO ARGONAUTS -PK

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Ben Burns

10* Best Bet Kansas City Royals
9* Padres -141
8* Phillies +110 (Lost)
6* Seattle -192

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Jeff Clement

10* Baltimore -133
8* Milwaukee -110
8* Tampa Bay -118

Toronto +190 Underdog of the Day

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topshelfpicks

People are going to look at Gray vs. Venture and my guess will be, they will bet Gray.

Gray is 24yrs old in his 1st full season. He just threw the worst game of his career. How will he respond?

Can his arm be getting tired? He never threw this many innings before or this many pitches. I think he threw something like 1200+ pitches last year in the big leagues. Right now for this season he as thrown over 2300 pitches.

Oakland never faced Venture before. He is hit or miss. But when the flame thrower is on, he is good. And he has been good his last few starts.

KC is hot right now.

K.C. +101

Marlins -101 I think Shelby Miller blew his load his last start, when he faced his best friend Joe Kelly. I'll take Koehler at home.

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Dr. Ed Meyer | MLB Money Line

dime bet – 968 KAN (-108) vs 967 OAK

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Trev Rogers

Minnesota -110

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Indian Cowboy
3* Over 8.5 yankees+orioles

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Power Play Wins

Detroit -113
Baltimore -135
Tampa Bay -119

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Dwayne Bryant

3* on Padres -160 recommends RL too...

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Maddux

10* Kansas city +100

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LineCatchers

A rare opportunity as a sports bettors do we get a line like the one set by the oddsmakers in this match up between the Brewers and Cubs.

In my view, this is a great spot to back the Cubs at home in game 1 of this series against Milwaukee as Jake Arrieta takes the mound. Arrieta has been lights out in 7 home starts in 2014, he is 2-0 with a stingy 1.85 ERA and 0.92 WHIP at Wrigley Field. The Cubs are 5-2 in Arrieta’s 7 home outings. Opponents are hitting just .186 against Arrieta within the friendly confines of Wrigley Field.

Yovani Gallardo gets the nod for the Brewers and is coming off a rough outing against the Giants where he was tagged for 9 hits and issued 4 walks in just 4 IP. The righty has given up at least 4 ER in 4 of his last 7 starts. The Brew Crew have lost seven of Gallardo’s last eight starts and in 14 ‘Night’ starts this season, Gallardo is 1-5 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.

Chicago Cubs - 112



My 2nd MLB Monday Play goes on this math up between the Twins and Astros at Minute maid Park.

Brad Peacock will toe the slab for Houston and comes into tonights game having allowed 22 ER in his let 20 IP over 5 starts. He has issued 10 walks in his last 3 outings and his location of his fastball seems non existent. In 10 starts at home in 2014, is 2-3 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. The righty has averaged just 5 1/3 IP at home this season and the Astros’ bullpen has been rocked for a 4.46 ERA in 194 IP at home.

Tommy Milone gets the start for Minnesota who will be looking to get off to a solid start for the Twins. In 16 starts this season, Milone is 6-3 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Milone has given up 3 ER or fewer in 10 of his last 11 outings and has been very consistent throughout the year. Minnesota’s bats have warmed up over the last week, hitting a combined .278 average and .348 slugging mark whilst averaging 5.4 runs per game. The Twins are also 13-7 in their last 20 games against Houston.

Minnesota Twins - 111

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Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

NY Yankees ML

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SPORTS BETTING PROF
Texas Rangers +111

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Monday, August 11


J.J. Hardy, Baltimore - Ques Mon

Hardy has a sprained left thumb and did not play Sunday. X-rays were negative and he is questionable for Monday's game against the Yankees.

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VEGAS PRO SPORTS PICKS / Jason Morris

BRAVES RL-1.5 (+125)
PADRES RL-1.5 (+135)

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Las Vegas Pipeline

10* Brewers

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analyzer
colorado

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SPORTS PICK PREDICTIONS

Tampa Bay Rays/Texas Rangers – UNDER 9 -110 (2 Units)

New York Yankees/Baltimore Orioles – UNDER 8.5 -105 (1 Unit)

Texas Rangers +110 (2 Units)

Pittsburgh Pirates +100 (1 Unit)

Atlanta Braves -166 (2 Units)

Kansas City Royals -102 (2 Units)

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Diamond Dog Sports

961: Yankees: +125 (.5)
Listed Pitchers: Capuano /Norris

#953/954: Cardinals/Marlins: Over 8.0 (+100) (2.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Miller/Koehler

#955/956: Dodgers/Braves: Under 7.5 (-105) (E2.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Haren/Teheran

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Vegas RUNNER



YANKS 1st 5
Yanks ML +115
T bay -130 1st 5
T bay -125
Atlanta ML -170