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Can'tPickAWinner
08-14-2014, 10:18 PM
::clap::

Can'tPickAWinner
08-14-2014, 10:23 PM
Game of the Day: Eskimos at Redblacks

Edmonton Eskimos at Ottawa Redblacks (+7, 50.5)

The Edmonton Eskimos brief East Division road trip concludes with a visit to the Ottawa Redblacks on Friday. The Redblacks are on a three-game losing streak and their defense is the only one in the league averaging more than 300 passing yards and 100 rushing yards allowed. Edmonton is 3-0 on the road and 3-0 against East Division foes after toppling the Montreal Alouettes in Week 7.

Redblacks quarterback Henry Burris enters the contest with a completion rate of 58.1 percent and five interceptions, which does not bode well against an Eskimos' defense that leads the league in interceptions with 10 and is second in sacks with 23. Edmonton quarterback Mike Reilly is tied for the league lead with 11 touchdown passes in what has been a balanced Eskimos' offense. In order to have a chance at winning, Ottawa will need to hold Edmonton to fewer than 30 points - something the team has not done since Week 4.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The LV Superbook opened the Eskies as 6.5-point road faves, but that has moved to -7. The total opened 51.5 and has moved to 50.5.

INJURY REPORT: Eskimos - RB John White (Questionable, hand)

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "It's by no means desperation time for the Redblacks, even after a 1-5 start to the season. After all, most believe the CFL season doesn't really get going until Labour Day. With that being said, Ottawa could certainly use a lift right now, and perhaps a revenge match (the Eskimos took the first meeting 27-11) with Edmonton will offer a spark. The Eskimos are on the road for the second straight week, and down a few key cogs with Fred Stamps, J.C. Sherritt, and possibly John White (who is enjoying a breakout year in the backfield). We'll see where the line settles, but may find some value with the Redblacks at home in this spot." Covers Expert Sean Murphy.

ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (5-1): Adarius Bowman leads the league with 440 receiving yards and is one touchdown catch away from tying his career-high of six. Defensive linemen Almondo Sewell (six sacks) and Odell Willis (five sacks) will lead the charge against Burris and the Redblacks. Edmonton lost running back John White to a hand injury last week and linebacker Eric Samuels is questionable with a neck injury.

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (1-5): Former Eskimos slotback Marcus Henry leads Ottawa with 349 receiving yards and is on pace for a career season in his first year away from Edmonton. Running back Chevon Walker has been the Redblacks’ most consistent performer on offense and signed a two-year contract extension with the team last week. Linebacker Jasper Simmons leads the team in tackles (28) and interceptions (two).

TRENDS:

* Eskimos are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.
* RedBlacks are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Over is 4-0 in Eskimos last four games in August.
* Eskimos are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a ATS win.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 60 percent of wagers on Covers Consensus are backing the visiting Eskimos.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-14-2014, 10:26 PM
Divisional rival not happy seeing this Royals pitcher
Justin Hartling

The Minnesota Twins have never been able to figure out Kansas City Royals' Darren Duffy. The Twins are 0-4 in their last four starts against Duffy.

Those four starts have seen the Twins score only four runs against Duffy and have 21 strikeouts.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-14-2014, 10:32 PM
Intra-divisional matchup has been one-sided
Justin Hartling

To say the Los Angeles Angels have been decimating the Texas Rangers may be an understatement. The Angels going into their weekend series with the Rangers taking the last seven games.

The Angels have outscored the Rangers 48-22, a run differential of 26, and have held the Rangers to three runs or less five times.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-14-2014, 10:35 PM
Under bettors rush to the window with these teams

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Miami Marlins have been a boon for totals bettors. In the last eight meetings between the D-Backs and Marlins, the teams are carrying a 1-7 over/under record.

The two teams have combined for 38 runs in those eight games (average 4.75 per game) and have six times scored five runs or less combined.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-14-2014, 10:36 PM
Bottom-dwellers seeing high total
Justin Hartling

The Atlanta Dream and Tulsa Shock have been lacking offense as of late. Over the past six games the teams have averaged 78 and 75 points respectively, which equals 153 points per game.

In their one meeting this year, the Dream and Shock scored a combined 160 points.

The Dream and Shock' current total is 162.5 for their matchup Friday.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-14-2014, 10:37 PM
Lynx dominance of opponent has paid-out
Justin Hartling

The Minnesota Lynx are travelling to friendly San Antonio Friday. The Lynx have covered seven of their last eight against the Stars, including four of their last five in San Antonio.

In all eight of the previous meetings the Lynx have been favored and that is no different as they are -3.5 Friday.

golden contender
08-15-2014, 01:10 AM
NFLX Double system Power play on Friday after Winning again last night now 34-15 on ALL NFLX Sides the last few seasons. MLB cashed big too tonight its the 100% MLB Total of th Month that beats the line by 3 runs on average, and a Second totals system that has won all 14 times since 2004. Free MLB System Play below





On Friday the free MLB Power System Play is on the SF. Giants. Game 964 at 10:15 eastern. The Giants fit a Powerful system that has not lost in the history of the database going 12-0 and winning by and average 8-3 score. While we don't believe they will win by 5 runs tonight, we do think they will take down the Phillies. We are playing on home favorites off a home favored win by 5 or more runs, vs an opponent off a 1 run road dog loss that scored 4 or less runs and had 5+ hits. The Phillies are 0-3 on the road off a 1 run road loss. Bumgarner and Hamels are on the mound tonight. Hamels has not been bad but has been victimized by a lack of run support and that should be the case again tonight as the Phillies will be on the road vs Bumgarner who has won 5 of his last 6 home August starts an shut down the Phillies going 8 scoreless against them last month. Look for the Giants to take the opener. Huge T.G.I.F NFLX Double system Power play on Friday after Winning again last night now 34-15 on ALL NFLX Sides the last few seasons. MLB cashed big too tonight its the 100% MLB Total of th Month that beats the line by 3 runs on average, + Another totals system that has won all 14 times since 2004. Jump on and Start the weekend big with the finest data available. For the free Play take the Giants. GC




SU: 12-0
Runs
Team 8.2
Opp 3.3

Date Link Day Site Team Starter Opp Starter Final SUm W/LOUm O/U Hits Errors BL Line Total Innings
Jun 28, 2005 box Tue home Athletics Barry Zito - L Mariners Jamie Moyer - L 8-1 7 W 1.5 O 12-7 0-0 7-1 -145 7.5 9
Aug 29, 2006 box Tue home White Sox Freddy Garcia - R Rays Casey Fossum - L 12-9 3 W 11.0 O 13-11 0-2 7-0 -210 10.0 9
Apr 11, 2008 box Fri home Rays James Shields - R Orioles Jeremy Guthrie - R 10-5 5 W 6.0 O 15-8 1-1 5-3 -155 9.0 9
Apr 21, 2008 box Mon home Cubs Carlos Zambrano - R Mets John Maine - R 7-1 6 W -0.5 U 8-5 0-2 6-0 -140 8.5 9
Aug 22, 2008 box Fri home Cardinals Adam Wainwright - R Braves Charlie Morton - R 18-3 15 W 12.0 O 26-10 0-0 17-0 -200 9.0 9
Sep 19, 2008 box Fri home Yankees Carl Pavano - R Orioles Radhames Liz - R 3-2 1 W -5.0 U 9-8 1-0 1-2 -200 10.0 9
Jun 16, 2009 box Tue home Yankees CC Sabathia - L Nationals Shairon Martis - ? 5-3 2 W -2.0 U 8-6 0-1 2-1 -360 10.0 9
May 21, 2010 box Fri home Rangers Colby Lewis - R Cubs Ted Lilly - L 2-1 1 W -6.0 U 7-8 1-2 1-1 -155 9.0 9
Sep 03, 2010 box Fri home Yankees Ivan Nova - R Blue Jays Brandon Morrow - R 7-3 4 W 1.0 O 11-6 0-0 4-1 -150 9.0 9
Jun 20, 2011 box Mon home Red Sox Andrew Miller - L Padres Wade LeBlanc - L 14-5 9 W 8.5 O 14-13 0-0 10-0 -190 10.5 9
Jul 23, 2012 box Mon home Diamondbacks Ian Kennedy - R Rockies Jonathan Sanchez - L 6-3 3 W -0.5 U 8-6 0-0 5-0 -215 9.5 9
Jul 11, 2014 box Fri home Indians Corey Kluber - R White Sox Hector Noesi - R 7-4 3 W 3.0 O 10-8 0-2 3-2 -215 8.0 9

Aug 15, 2014 Fri home Giants Madison Bumgarner - LPhillies Cole Hamels - L

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 08:23 AM
StatSystemsSports
Inside The Huddle – Friday

#403 PHILADELPHIA @ #404 NEW ENGLAND
Line: Patriots -3, Total: 47

Familiar preseason foes will meet in Foxboro (7:30 PM EST) on Friday when the New England Patriots play host to the Philadelphia Eagles. For the second consecutive week the Patriots are conducting joint practice sessions with their preseason opponent in advance of the game as the Eagles arrived early to partake in preparation with New England on Tuesday and Wednesday in advance of the game. "I'm looking forward to this week," said New England head coach Bill Belichick. "It'll be a big opportunity for our team and for each of us individually to improve on where we were last week."

The Patriots need to improve after an ugly preseason opener without star quarterback Tom Brady. Washington easily handled New England, 23-6, last week behind backup signal caller, Kirk Cousins, who played the majority of the opening half and threw a touchdown pass. New England rested Brady along with their key offseason acquisition, All-Pro cornerback Darrelle Revis. Ryan Mallett started in place of Brady but was shaky in the first half, finishing 5-of-12 for 55 yards through the air. Jimmy Garoppolo, a rookie out of Eastern Illinois, who won the 2013 Walter Payton Award as the top player in FCS, was 9-of-13 for 157 yards. That included a 26-yard TD pass to Brian Tyms late in the fourth quarter.

Philadelphia, meanwhile, also fell in its preseason opener, losing a 34-28 shootout in Chicago. The Eagles started slow behind Nick Foles, who was intercepted just twice in 317 passing attempts last season, and matched that total by getting picked off twice in his three possessions under center. Backup Mark Sanchez was far more efficient, connecting on 7-of-10 passes for 79 yards and leading the Eagles' second-team offense to 14 points courtesy of Matthew Tucker's two touchdown runs. Rookie wide receiver Josh Huff added a 102-yard kickoff-return touchdown for Philadelphia. "Well, the kickoff return was set up by my teammates," said Huff, who was drafted by the Eagles in the third round out of Oregon. "I couldn't have done it without them. That kickoff return was something special for me and my teammates."

Last season, the Patriots held joint sessions with the Eagles in Philadelphia prior to a 31-22 New England win. In all, the Pats and Eagles have met 21 previous times in the preseason with New England holding a slim 11-10 advantage in the series.

StatSystemsSports.net has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:

--In past games, the underdog covered the spread 8 times, while the favorite covered the spread 7 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 8 times, while the underdog won straight up 7 times. 1 games went over the total, while 0 games went under the total. *No EDGE.

--In past games, the favorite covered first half line 24 times, while the underdog covered first half line 19 times. *No EDGE. 2 games went over first half total, while 0 games went under first half total. *No EDGE.

•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Over - Any team versus the 1rst half total (NEW ENGLAND) - after being outgained by opponent by 100 or more total yards last game.
(61-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.2%, +41.2 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 19.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.4, Opponent 11.4 (Total first half points scored = 23.8)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (35-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (114-55).
Since 1993 the situation's record is: (227-135).
__________________________________________________ _______

#405 TENNESSEE @ #406 NEW ORLEANS
Line: Saints -3.5, Total: 43

Frequent preseason rivals renew hostilities (8:00 PM EST) on Friday evening when the New Orleans Saints entertain the Tennessee Titans at the Mercedes- Benz Superdome. Dating back their days as the Houston Oilers, the Titans have been New Orleans' most common preseason opponent as the two clubs have squared off 29 times, with the series deadlocked at 14-14-1.

Quarterback Ryan Griffin was the star in the Saints' preseason opener, throwing for 179 yards and a touchdown as New Orleans edged the St, Louis Rams, 26-24, in The Show Me State. With All-Pro Drew Brees sidelined with an oblique injury Griffin, a second- year product out of Tulane, came on for backup Luke McCown and completed 16- of-23 passes. He found first round pick Brandin Cooks for a 25-yard touchdown connection late in the third quarter that proved to be the difference.

Mark Ingram and Khiry Robinson each ran for touchdowns, with Ingram racking up 83 yards on eight carries. Cooks caught five balls for 55 yards in addition to the score for the Saints, who finished with an 11-5 record in 2013. Brees was back at practice in full pads on Tuesday but expect the Saints to be very cautious with their franchise player. So far coach Sean Payton has labeled Brees as day-to-day.

The Titans, meanwhile, also won their preseason opener after Jackie Battle's 7-yard touchdown run with 5:02 remaining lifted Tennessee to a 20-16 victory over the Green Bay Packers in a rain-soaked affair at LP Field. The rainfall amount reportedly reached three inches in the vicinity of the stadium, making ball security a problem for both squads. They combined for eight total fumbles.

Rookie QB Zach Mettenberger completed three passes for 71 yards on the go- ahead drive and the Titans were able to run out the clock after the Packers couldn't convert on 4th-and-1 at the Tennessee 24. Titans starting signal caller Jake Locker played just two series, completing one of his two passes. Backup Charlie Whitehurst saw much of the work, completing 10-of-15 for 94 yards and a touchdown.

StatSystemsSports.net has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:

--In past games, the favorite covered the spread 10 times, while the underdog covered the spread 4 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 11 times, while the underdog won straight up 3 times. 6 games went over the total, while 2 games went under the total. *No EDGE.

--In past games, the underdog covered first half line 12 times, while the favorite covered first half line 11 times. *No EDGE. 9 games went over first half total, while 1 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.

•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Over - Home teams against the 1rst half total (NEW ORLEANS) - in non-conference games, after a road game where both teams score 24 points or more.
(27-9 over the last 10 seasons.) (75.0%, +17.1 units. Rating = 2*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 18.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 14.3, Opponent 10.7 (Total first half points scored = 25)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-7).
Since 1993 the situation's record is: (37-30).
__________________________________________________ _______

#407 DETROIT @ #408 OAKLAND
Line: Raiders -2.5, Total: 39

Matt Schaub's first foray at the helm of the Oakland Raiders wasn't exactly aesthetically pleasing. The veteran will give it another try when his new club welcomes Detroit to the O.co Coliseum for the Raiders' preseason home opener (10:00 PM EST) on Friday night. Schaub finished just 3-of-7 for 21 yards against a stingy Minnesota defense in a 10-6 Vikings win last Friday.

High-profile free-agent running back pickup Maurice-Jones Drew flashed a little more in his Oakland debut, registering 10 yards rushing on two carries and hauling in two passes for 14 more. Third-string QB Matt McGloin ran in for a 10-yard score in the closing minutes of the final quarter for the Raiders only scoring. The two-point conversion was unsuccessful, however.

The Lions, meanwhile, spoiled Johnny Manziel's much-anticipated debut for Cleveland last week, grabbing a 13-12 victory over the Browns in the preseason opener for both clubs. Detroit was operating for the first time under new head coach Jim Caldwell, who took over the reins after the Lions fired Jim Schwartz following a 7-9 season that saw the team lose six of their final seven games.

The Lions had fumbled twice in the fourth quarter in Cleveland territory, but their final possession of the game saw Cleveland hit with three holding calls, and Kellen Moore found Corey Fuller in the left corner of the end zone for the 13-12 lead with 1:05 to play. Detroit then sealed the win with an interception of Tyler Thigpen. Lions starting quarterback Matthew Stafford played the opening series and led the team to a 37-yard field goal from Nate Freese.

The Raiders have dominated their preseason series with the Lions, owning a 5-1 advantage.

StatSystemsSports.net has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:

--In past games, the underdog covered the spread 15 times, while the favorite covered the spread 9 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 15 times, while the underdog won straight up 10 times. 30 games went under the total, while 17 games went over the total. *No EDGE.

--In past games, the underdog covered first half line 36 times, while the favorite covered first half line 22 times. *No EDGE. 32 games went over first half total, while 30 games went under first half total. *No EDGE.

•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is between 18 and 21 (OAKLAND) - after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game.
(41-16 since 1993.) (71.9%, +23.4 units. Rating = 2*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 19.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.8, Opponent 10.8 (Total first half points scored = 23.6)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (13-5).
__________________________________________________ _______

#409 SAN DIEGO @ #410 SEATTLE - 10:00 PM
Line: Seahawks -6, Total: 38.5

The reigning Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks kick off the home portion of their preseason schedule by entertaining the San Diego Chargers (10:00 PM EST) on Friday. Seattle began defense of the franchise's first Lombardi Trophy by coming up short against Denver last week in a rematch from Super Bowl XLVIII. Brock Osweiler's 34-yard touchdown pass to Jordan Norwood in the fourth quarter lifted the Broncos to a 21-16 win just over six months after the Seahawks decimated Denver in the big game.

The game was delayed for 45 minutes because of lightning with 1:30 remaining in the first quarter after Ronnie Hillman's 1-yard touchdown gave the Broncos a 7-0 lead. Terrelle Pryor, acquired from Oakland in April, passed for 137 yards for the Seahawks. Starter Russell Wilson completed four of his six passes for 37 yards and led Seattle to a touchdown on its second possession, Christine Michael's 1-yard score in the second quarter. Steven Hauschka kicked three field goals for the Seahawks, including two of at least 40 yards.

Pryor led the Seahawks to the Denver 3-yard line in the final minutes of the game but was intercepted in the end zone by linebacker Steven Johnson. The Chargers, meanwhile, got things started on the right foot, dominating Dallas, 27-7, in their preseason opener. San Diego, which went 9-7 last season before losing to the Broncos in the Divisional Round of the playoffs, racked up 395 yards of total offense on Dallas.

Philip Rivers played one series and completed all four of his passes for 61 yards. Backup Kellen Clemens connected on all five of his passes for 134 yards and a touchdown and Brad Sorensen completed 5-of-7 passes for 48 yards. Rookie running back Branden Oliver carried the ball seven times for 64 yards and a score San Diego, which had 152 yards on the ground. Dontrelle Inman caught three passes for 107 yards and a touchdown.

StatSystemsSports.net has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:

--In past games, the favorite covered the spread 14 times, while the underdog covered the spread 10 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 17 times, while the underdog won straight up 8 times. 21 games went under the total, while 16 games went over the total. *No EDGE.

--In past games, the underdog covered first half line 34 times, while the favorite covered first half line 28 times. *No EDGE. 44 games went over first half total, while 22 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.

•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is between 18 and 21 (SAN DIEGO) - after playing a game at home against opponent after playing their last game on the road.
(48-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.6%, +27.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 19.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.3, Opponent 11.8 (Total first half points scored = 22)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-10).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (94-55).
Since 1993 the situation's record is: (178-110).

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 08:23 AM
NFL Football Trends

NFL Preseason Betting Trends for Friday, 8/15/14

Philadelphia at New England, 7:30 ET
Philadelphia: 15-30 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3
New England: 5-1 OVER after playing a non-conference game

Tennessee at New Orleans, 8:00 ET
Tennessee: 23-10 OVER in road games
New Orleans: 9-1 ATS in all games

Detroit at Oakland, 10:00 ET
Detroit: 6-3 ATS in all games
Oakland: 3-6 ATS in all games

San Diego at Seattle, 10:00 ET
San Diego: 20-7 OVER after allowing 14 points or less last game
Seattle: 7-0 ATS as a favorite

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 08:24 AM
CFL Week 8 Betting Preview and Trends
By Mike Pickett


The CFL's Western teams are a combined 22-9 SU and 20-11 ATS heading into Week 8 of the season, while the Eastern teams are a combined 5-18 SU and 7-16 ATS. West meets East in five matchups on the CFL odds slate as the league offers up its Week 8 schedule.

Fri Aug 15 - Edmonton at Ottawa

Last 10 Meetings: Ottawa 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS | OU 0-1

The Eskimos won both SU and ATS against the RedBlacks in the first meeting of the season between the two teams on July 11, claiming a 27-11 home victory as a 5-point favorite on the CFL odds in that UNDER result. Edmonton heads into the week with as many SU victories (five) as all four teams combined in the East Division of the CFL; Ottawa has just a single SU victory over its first five outings.

Sat Aug 16 - Calgary at Hamilton

Last 10 Meetings: Hamilton 1-9 SU, 5-5 ATS | OU 4-6

The Tiger-Cats lost their fifth straight game SU against the Stampeders in their first meeting of the season on July 18, falling 10-7 but covering the spread on the CFL betting lines as a 9.5-point road underdog. Hamilton has just one SU victory in its last 10 games against Calgary, but they've managed to cover the posted spread at the sportsbooks in four of their last six matchups.

Sat Aug 16 - Montreal at Saskatchewan

Last 10 Meetings: Saskatchewan 3-7 SU, 5-5 ATS | OU 3-7

The Roughriders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against the Alouettes as those two teams meet for the first time this season on Saturday night. Saskatchewan, however, is 4-2 both SU and ATS so far on the season, while Montreal has stumbled to records of 1-5 both SU and ATS heading into Week 8 of the campaign. The UNDER has paid out in four of their last five meetings.

Sun Aug 17 - B.C. at Toronto

Last 10 Meetings: Toronto 2-8 SU, 4-6 ATS | OU 4-6

The Argonauts will play their second game of the week on Sunday night as they get a visit from the Lions, who they will battle for the first time this season. The Argos and Lions split their two games last year both SU and ATS, but that made Toronto just 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in the last seven games between the two teams. The UNDER has paid out on the CFL odds for totals bettors in four of their last six meetings.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 08:24 AM
StatFox Super Situations

CFL | EDMONTON at OTTAWA
Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OTTAWA) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games
37-10 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.7% | 26.0 units )

CFL | BRITISH COLUMBIA at TORONTO
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (BRITISH COLUMBIA) after gaining 450 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in their previous game
51-15 since 1997. ( 77.3% | 0.0 units )

CFL | EDMONTON at OTTAWA
Play On - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (OTTAWA) with a poor scoring defense - allowing 29 or more points/game, after allowing 34 points or more in 2 straight games
46-16 since 1997. ( 74.2% | 28.4 units )

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 08:25 AM
Dave Essler - MLB Friday thoughts

Washington's first game back from a six game roadie after playing a night game, while the Pirates simply played poorly in Detroit but still are in a playoff race. Not sure Roark isn't a little too pricey at -150 here, especially since Washington isn't as solid against RHP as LHP. Morton can be serviceable, but I don't really trust the Pirates pen. Werth still questionable. At 7 I do lean over. It certainly won't go to 6.5.

Total disrespect for Woods and too much for Wheeler, IMO. The Mets really don't need to be -150 to too many people. With the total as low as it is I can make a good case for the Cubs RL here.

Cahill is instinctively a better bet on the road, and Brad Hand is what he is. Not terribly sure the Fish need to be -140, either, but, Cahill is actually tougher on RHH's which could take Stanton/McGehee out of the equation a bit. Lean under and simply can't take the D-Backs with zero bullpen.

Earlier in the season Tyson Ross was a go-to pitcher and Lynn was a fade. Tough to fathom the Cardinals ONLY being -130 to the Padres, but San Diego does have a better bullpen. No doubt I lean under, and perhaps this is the public disaster of the day at -130 since they are begging us to take the Cardinals.

The Reds go from reasonable dogs with Simon to -150 with Cueto, yet the total is still 9, not far off of the De La Rosa/Simon game Thursday. Have to think the under might be in play here, and with the Reds having some difficulty with LHP (I know it's Morales) I could see thinking about the Rockies RL. We'll see who plays and who doesn't first.

I'm not taking Grienke at -170 to a first place team. Obviously paying a premium, and IMO the better bet is the Brewers. Dodgers flying back from Atlanta is also a "yellow flag" as well.

Another game that looks odd is the Giants. That's about as cheap as you've been able to get Bumgarner in a couple of years, so again that one may look a bit too easy. I hate to take the Phillies, not ever knowing what you'll get, but Hamels at that price versus an offense that's not doing much is the only thing I can look at right now.

Porcello at only -125 to Paxton is another one that seems to say "not so fast, my friends". Paxton is clearly backed by a far better bullpen, too. That total of 8 is perhaps a bit too high, and with the Mariners rested, it may be worth a shot to take the dog here.

Since the Indians struggle far more w/RHP, this MAY be the time the Kluber is too expensive. I am not a Chen fan by any means, but almost without looking I could see taking the Orioles, at the very least on the RL.

I think instinctively people would want to back McCarthy just based on what he's been able to do since joining the Yankees. That may be the right side here, since the Rays play in Texas Thursday night, in the heat, then fly home to play the rested Yankees with the far better closer(s) in Betances and Roberson.

Yet another game in Boston that simply looks to simple. The Red Sox at home against a LHP and their only -135. Something is not quite right there. I never trust Buccholz and if the Red Sox use much bullpen on Thursday, Keuchel and his ground balls may be a very viable option.

I know Martinez is not very good, but -200 on the road is just not happening. Since the Angels are assured of 27 outs being the road team, I could see laying the RL here, especially since they're coming in rested.

I knew Duffy would be good one day, but -165 on the road, even to the Twins, is perhaps a bit much for me to swallow. Twins are rested and Nolasco is at least capable. Twins just took three of four on the road, so Twins RL or nothing, IMO.

Another perhaps live home team with the White Sox. At some point Stroman becomes over priced, and it could be here. Toronto still dinged and the White Sox CAN hit. Noesi CAN pitch once in a while. Because of the White Sox lack of any bullpen and without looking at the weather, this game could go over.

No chance I ever back Alex Wood and his fly balls. Oakland or nothing, and with both pens being solid, perhaps under given the A's have no DH and there's no familiarity with the pitchers. Maybe a great F5 under there.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 08:27 AM
Who's Not Hot - NL
By Mike Rose

The National League isn't nearly as polarizing as the American League is for baseball betting fans. However, there are still some clubs that are sucking money out of your wallets left and right that should be remembered before placing a bet on the diamond.

We'll showcase the three worst that the NL has to offer.

Colorado Rockies (46-73, -$2,667) – The Rockies had everything rolling at the beginning of the season, and there was even a point back in April when they had the best money mark in the game. However, they haven't been able to keep either shortstop Troy Tulowitzki or outfielder Carlos Gonzalez healthy this entire year, and they simply don't have all that much of a team aside from that.

The most embarrassing moment of the year might have come when they gave up a steal of home plate last week because catcher Michael McKenry was literally just too lazy to pay attention to the runner on third base when he lobbed the ball back to the pitcher's mound. The upcoming Broncos season can't start soon enough for Denver sports fans.


Arizona Diamondbacks (51-67, -$1,490) – Worse for Colorado? That steal of home came against an Arizona team which has completely given up on the season as well. The Diamondbacks made a number of relatively minor moves at the trade deadline that did net them some prospects in exchange for men like Martin Prado and Brandon McCarthy who really weren't going to be a part of the team in the long-term future either. It wasn't a complete washout.

Arizona has at least competed in the second-half of the year, and on the road, the team is 26-28 and +$252. It's playing at Chase Field that has been so brutal for the Diamondbacks. They started off the year in horrid form at home, and that just hasn't gotten any better. Arizona is 25-39 and -$1,742 at Chase Field this year.


Atlanta Braves (60-59, -$1,013) – The argument could be made that manager Fredi Gonzalez should have his job on the line if the Braves don't make the playoffs this year. They really haven't had a team with a legit shot at winning the World Series since he took over. Sure, losing RHP Kris Medlen and RHP Brandon Beachy before the season started to Tommy John surgery didn't help the cause, but this isn't a .500 team.

This is a club which should be winning at least 88-90 games and winning, at minimum, a Wild Card slot. Instead, Atlanta finds itself five games back of the Washington Nationals for the top spot in the NL East and 2 ½ games back of the St. Louis Cardinals and San Francisco Giants for that last Wild Card spot. If Atlanta keeps faltering like this, both the Miami Marlins and the New York Mets could plausibly catch up, and if this team finishes fourth, there might not be any reprieve for Gonzalez, nor should there be.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 08:28 AM
NFLX

'Tune-Up'

The second full week of NFL preseason football continues Friday with four games on tap, followed by eleven running Saturday through Monday. Many sports bettors prefer a 'wait and see' attitude at this time of the year because most teams are content to limit activity of starters' while handing most duties to raw rookies making it tough identifying squads that will succeed during tune-up clashes. However, there are still plenty of good wagering opportunities for those who wish to participate in preseason betting. Studying past histories of teams during August and certain coaches can glean wagering edges. A team like Chiefs are always dangerous bets during warm-ups (5-16 SU, 4-15-2 ATS). San Francisco has been rock solid at home in week-2 (7-0 SU, 6-1 ATS). A coach like Sean Payton instils a winning attitude during practice season which is why Saints have produce a solid 17-5 ATS stretch in August. One coach who has never given a hoot, boasting a 1-11 SU and 3-9 ATS August mark entering this years tune-up play is Falcons Mike Smith. However, would not read too much into that betting nugget. Smith on the hot seat following a disastrous 4-12 SU, 7-9 ATS regular season has seen the light and got his troops to pull off a rare August victory last week and could easily make it two in-a-row facing Houston which was spanked 32-zip in it's opener. As always best of luck this season but above all enjoy the games. Betting on the NFL in August is a completely different exercise than betting on the same sport a month later.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 08:30 AM
2Halves2Win

MLB

BAL @ CLE

1* Indians

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 08:32 AM
Gamblers Data

Free Plays Friday

Tigers -125

Angels -1.5 -120

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 08:33 AM
Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the A’s on Thursday and likes the Indians on Friday.

The deficit is 552 sirignanos.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 08:33 AM
STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT

***** Friday, 8/15/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
__________________________________________________ ___

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #20
•Manfred To Succeed Selig As Commissioner: The man long assumed to be the next commissioner of Major League Baseball ended up being elected to the position late Thursday afternoon. However, it was a rougher ride than expected for Rob Manfred to get there. Manfred, MLB's chief operating officer, was chosen by a 30-0 vote by major league owners over Boston Red Sox chairman Tom Werner at the owners' quarterly meetings at the Baltimore Hyatt Regency. Manfred will become the sport's 10th commissioner on January 15th when Bud Selig retires after 22 years on the job.

The unanimous vote is misleading, though. It took all day for Selig to what he does best, which is to build a consensus among the owners, before Manfred got the necessary three-quarters of the votes -- 23 -- to get elected. After MLB vice president of business Tim Brosnan earlier in the afternoon, Manfred twice received 22 votes to Werner's eight. The Washington Nationals flipped from Werner to Manfred and Selig then had Chicago White Sox owner Jerry Reinsdorf convince the rest of the owners to make the vote unanimous. Reinsdorf was the biggest opponent to Manfred, believing he has not been tough enough in collective bargaining negotiations with the Major League Baseball Players Association over the years.

Before being promoted to COO last September, Manfred was MLB executive vice president of labor relations for 15 years. During that time, he negotiated three CBAs without a work stoppage. Baseball has had an unprecedented 19 years of labor peace since the 1994-95 players' strike. The current CBA expires at the end of 2016. "The biggest thing in the game is labor peace," New York Yankees owner Hal Steinbrenner said. "The game has grown so much once both sides were able to open better lines of communications and work together. Rob certainly has had a lot to do with that and we're optimistic it will continue with him as the commissioner." Keeping labor peace will continue to be one of Manfred's primary objectives.

•Pirates Acquire Reliever Axford From Indians: The Pittsburg Pirates acquired right-handed reliever John Axford from the Cleveland Indians in a waiver deal on Thursday, the Cleveland Plain Dealer reported. The Pirates will be responsible for the remaining portion of Axford's $4.5 million contract, estimated to be $1.3 million. The Indians do not get a player in return. Axford opened the season as the Indians' closer, but was replaced in May when control problems and the long ball proved his undoing. He walked 30 batters in 43 2/3.2 innings this season while compiling a 2-3 mark with a 3.92 ERA and 10 saves in 49 appearances. The Indians are expected to fill his roster spot on Friday when center fielder Michael Bourn is expected to be activated off the disabled list.

•Verlander “Going To Get Other Opinions” On Shoulder: So far Justin Verlander has avoided the disabled list after being diagnosed with an inflamed shoulder capsule, but the Tigers right-hander is expected to miss at least one turn in the rotation and will have specialists take a look at his test results following his initial examination by the team medical staff. Verlander revealed after his ugly one-inning appearance that he’s been dealing with shoulder problems for a while now, but would not specific when they started. Dating back to mid-May he has a 5.85 ERA in 17 starts, including an ERA higher than 4.50 in May, June, July, and now August.

•Dodgers Beat Braves To Continue Road Success: The Los Angeles Dodgers have the best record in the National League because of their success on the road rather than at home. The Dodgers improved to 40-26 away from Los Angeles with 6-4 victory over the Atlanta Braves on Thursday afternoon that completed a 6-3 trip. The Dodgers' top three hitters went 9-for-13, with leadoff man Dee Gordon scoring four times and Adrian Gonzalez driving in three runs. "When your guys at the top get on, it changes the game," manager Don Mattingly said. Gordon showed his speed to the utmost. In going 3-for-4 with a walk, two of his hits were bunts and another didn't leave the infield. Once on, he increased his major league-leading stolen base total to 54 with two swipes. "I know I need to bunt. It's part of my game and I needed to be doing it a little more," Gordon said.

•A's Shortstop Lowrie Headed To DL: Athletics shortstop Jed Lowrie will be placed on the disabled list on Thursday because of a fractured right index finger. Lowrie had been trying to play through the injury. He is expected to miss two to three weeks. "I tried to play with it for 10 days and I think the realization is that it's not going to get any better unless I take time off," Lowrie told the San Jose Mercury News. "There was no way I could continue to put the same velocity on throws. The finger just wouldn't allow it. I get this burning sensation the minute any pressure is put on it." The 30-year-old Lowrie is batting .238. with five homers and 42 RBIs in 110 games this season. The A's are expected to call up Andy Parrino to take Lowrie's spot on the roster. Eric Sogard was in the starting lineup for Thursday's game against the Kansas City Royals.

•Tigers Closer Nathan Apologizes: Joe Nathan apologized on Thursday morning for making two obscene gestures toward frustrated Detroit Tigers fans after his outing on Wednesday. Nathan, the team's closer, was booed when he walked the first two batters he faced in the ninth inning but did not allow a run in the 8-4 victory over the visiting Pittsburgh Pirates. "Hearing it the whole inning just got the better of me and my frustration came out," said Nathan, who has a 5.11 ERA with six blown save opportunities. "It was bad on both parts. Frustration came out on both sides and I apologize to the fans and apologize to my kids and I will be better." Nathan has 24 saves, 24 walks and five home runs allowed, not what he or the Tigers envisioned when the veteran signed a two-year, $20 million contract in the offseason. The 39-year-old is part of a bullpen that ranks 28th of 30 teams in ERA (4.35) entering Thursday's game.

•Rockies' Carlos Gonzalez Is Likely Done For The Season: Troy Tulowitzki is done for the season and outfielder Carlos Gonzalez is likely done, too, after playing in just 70 games. The Rockies' outfielder underwent another examination Wednesday on his aching left knee. The MRI revealed more damage than a previous test, so Gonzalez will consult with the team's training staff and various doctors on Thursday to decide on a treatment plan. Gonzalez, 28, has suffered from left knee tendinitis since last season, and it's bothered him acutely at times this season. He was placed on the 15-day disabled list Sunday. According to Dugger, the Rockies are exploring a number of treatment options, including surgery or treatments such as plasma-rich platelets or stem-cell therapy.

The only way CarGo will play again this season is if it's decided that rest and rehab will allow him back on the field. That is an unlikely scenario. Thursday, Gonzalez will meet with Dr. Thomas Hackett, of Frisco, who performed the MRI. Also taking part in the consultation will be Rockies medical director Dr. Thomas J. Noonan, Rockies rehab coordinator Scott Murayama, and Dugger. Also on Wednesday, the Rockies announced that Tulowitzki will undergo season-ending surgery to repair a tear in his left hip labrum. It's been a difficult year for Gonzalez. He had his appendix removed in January. Then, early in the season, his left index finger ballooned up to three times its normal size. It became so painful, he couldn't grip a baseball, let alone a bat. In June, he had a tumor removed from the finger. The growth was famously described by trainer Dugger as "a fatty mass with tentacles."

The tendinitis in his left knee is something CarGo is trying to learn to fight through and manage. It was made worse be the tender right ankle that put more pressure on the knee. CarGo also has been dealing with care and well-being of his two baby girls. He and his wife, Indonesia, welcomed the twins, Carlota and Genova, on June 13. They were just 30 weeks old at birth. Genova has been home for a while. Carlota finally came home from the hospital last Friday. Gonzalez, who won the National League batting title in 2010 when he hit .336 with 36 homers, is batting .238 with just 11 homers in limited action this year. He has struck out 70 times and walked just 19 times. His on-base percentage is .292.
______________________________________________

Betting Notes - Friday

National League
•Pirates-Nationals - 7:05 PM
--Morton is 0-2, 5.48 in his last four starts.
--Roark is 4-1, 2.20 in his last six starts.

--Pittsburgh lost four of last six, including last three on road.
--Nationals won six of their last eight games.

--Five of last seven Pirate road games went over total; four of Nationals' last five games stayed under.

•Cubs-Mets - 7:10 PM
--Wood is 0-3, 7.06 in his last eight starts.
--Wheeler is 3-0, 2.10 in his last eight starts.

--Cubs are 8-6 in their last fourteen games.
--Mets lost their last three games, scoring four runs.

--Under is 6-1-1 in Cubs' last eight games.

•Diamondbacks-Marlins - 7:10 PM
--Cahill is 1-0, 2.57 in his last couple starts.
--Hand is 0-2, 6.00 in his last three starts.

--Arizona is 7-12 in its last nineteen games.
--Marlins won five of their last seven games.

--Five of last seven Cahill starts went over total.

•Padres-Cardinals - 8:15 PM
--Ross is 4-0, 1.74 in his last five starts.
--Lynn is 4-2, 2.64 in his last seven starts.

--San Diego won five of its last six games.
--Cardinals lost four of their last seven games.

--Last five St Louis home games stayed under.

•Reds-Rockies - 8:40 PM
--Cueto is 6-0, 2.23 in his last seven starts.
--Morales is 0-2, 4.91 in his last four starts.

--Cincinnati lost five of its last six games.
--Rockies lost 14 of their last 18 games. .

--Nine of last eleven Morales starts stayed under.

•Brewers-Dodgers - 10:10 PM
--Nelson is 1-2, 3.15 in his last three starts.
--Greinke is 0-2, 4.29 in his last three starts.

--Milwaukee is 5-8 in its last thirteen road games.
--Dodgers won four of their last five games.

--Last four Nelson games stayed under total.

•Phillies-Giants - 10:15 PM
--Hamels is 3-1, 0.97 in his last five starts.
--Bumgarner is 4-2, 3.05 in his last six starts.

--Philly lost five of its last six games.
--Giants lost five of their last six games.

--Seven of last eight Hamels starts stayed under.
_______________________________________

American League
•Mariners-Tigers - 7:05 PM
--Paxton is 2-0, 2.38 in four starts this season.
--Porcello is 2-1, 2.00 in his last five starts.

--Mariners won eight of their last nine games.
--Detroit won its last five home games.

--Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Porcello starts.

•Orioles-Indians - 7:05 PM
--Chen is 5-1, 2.92 in his last six starts.
--Kluber is 6-0, 1.49 in his last seven starts.

--Orioles won eight of their last ten games.
--Cleveland won three of its last four games.

--Five of last six Chen starts stayed under total.

•Yankees-Tampa Bay - 7:10 PM
--McCarthy is 4-1, 2.70 in his last five starts.
--Cobb is 3-0, 1.85 in his last six starts.

--New York lost last four games, outscored 23-7.
--Rays won six of their last eight games.

--Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Yankees games.

•Astros-Red Sox - 7:10 PM
--Keuchel is 1-3, 3.44 in his last five starts.
--Buchholz is 0-2, 8.25 in his last four starts.

--Houston lost its last six road games.
--Red Sox won five of their last six games.

--Six of last nine Boston games stayed under total.

•Angels-Rangers - 8:05 PM
--Richards is 3-1, 1.40 in his last six road starts.
--Martinez is 1-4, 7.67 in his last six starts.

--Angels won three of their last four games.
--Texas lost 15 of their last 22 games.

--Five of last seven Angel games stayed under total.

•Royals-Twins - 8:10 PM
--Duffy is 3-0, 2.22 in his last four starts.
--Nolasco was 1-2, 6.53 in his last six starts before going on DL.

--Royals won 13 of their last 15 games.
--Minnesota won three of its last four games.

--Six of last nine Kansas City games stayed under.

•Blue Jays-White Sox - 8:10 PM
--Stroman is 3-1, 2.18 in his last five starts.
--Noesi is 1-0, 2.51 in his last two starts.

--Toronto lost nine of its last twelve games.
--White Sox lost eight of their last eleven games.

--Seven of last eight Stroman starts stayed under.

Interleague
•Athletics-Braves - 7:35 PM
--Hammel is 1-0, 0.75 in his last two starts.
--Wood is 1-1, 2.62 in his last three starts.

--Oakland is 6-12 in its last eighteen road games.
--Braves lost 12 of their last 15 games.

--Six of last eight Oakland road games went over total.

•Incredible Stat of the Day
Baltimore's Ace Wei-Yin Chen is 11-2 in his team starts against the money line (84.6%) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. Chen's personal five-game winning streak came to an abrupt end Aug. 6 at Toronto, which got to him for four runs and eight hits in five innings. He was scheduled to start Tuesday against New York but had his turn pushed back due to a rainout. The left-hander will have a chance to improve upon his last meeting with Cleveland on May 22 when he gave up five runs in 6 2/3 innings while striking out just one batter. Overall, Chen has been reached for 11 runs in 13 frames over two career starts versus the Indians.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 08:33 AM
FurysFightPicks

4* parlay: 2 teams at +119

Ryan Bader (-170)

Brad Tavares (-262)


3* parlay: 2 teams at -139

Sara McMann (-375)

Tavares vs Boetsch OVER 2.5 rounds (-280)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 08:34 AM
Doc's Sports

NFLX

1 Unit Play. Take New England Patriots -2.5 over Philadelphia Eagles (Friday 7:30 pm) The coaches are big buddies but we will side with the Patriots in this affair. Coach Belichick has a winning record in the preseason and I expect a much better effort out of New England tonight than they showed at Washington last week. QB Tom Brady did not play in that game but rookie Jimmy Garoppolo actually looked good and that should give the Patriots the edge in the second half. The Patriots only have three quarterbacks on the roster and that is always a bonus compared to teams that have 4 quarterbacks.


1 Unit Play. Take New Orleans Saints -3 over Tennessee Titans (Friday 8 pm) Never like to lay this many points in the exhibition season, but New Orleans played to win in game 1 and I see that trend continuing in Week 2. Rob Ryan was blitzing like a mad men (which he is) at the end of their game in St. Louis last week going all out to win in a game that came down to third and fourth stringers. Hard to take away much from the Tennessee - Green Bay game since weather played a role but playing in the Superdome is always a factor that greatly favors the home team. Drew Brees did not play in Week 1 and the Saints still managed to complete 27 of their 40 passes. New Orleans win this game by double digits.


1 Unit Play. Take Oakland Raiders -2.5 over Detroit Lions (Friday 10 pm) I like the quarterback rotation for Oakland and expect a big bounce back effort after they did not perform well in Week 1 putting up just six points against a defensive minded coach in Mike Zimmer. Jim Caldwell is back as a head coach and his record in the preseason is just 3-10 straight-up. Enough said, as Dennis Allen needs all the wins he can get as a head coach even if it is just preseason! The Seahawks are 8-1 straight-up in their last 9 preseason games. They have also covered the spread in all 8 of those victories and beat San Diego by 21 points last season.


1 Unit Play. Take Seattle Seahawks -6 over San Diego Chargers (Friday 10 pm) The Seahawks finally lost a preseason game last week with a storm delay in the first half against Denver. Expect them to bounce back in a big way on Friday night against San Diego. Both teams played teams in Week 1 that they will play during the regular season so I do not put much stock in San Diego's victory or Seattle's loss.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 08:34 AM
StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | TULSA at ATLANTA
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=76 PPG) after 15+ games, after a win by 10 points or more
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
4-6 this year. ( 40.0% | -2.6 units )

WNBA | WASHINGTON at CONNECTICUT
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games
144-46 since 1997. ( 75.8% | 0.0 units )
9-6 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | WASHINGTON at CONNECTICUT
Play On - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (WASHINGTON) revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a favorite, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )
7-3 this year. ( 70.0% | 3.7 units )

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 08:35 AM
StatFox Super Situations

MLB | TORONTO at CHI WHITE SOX
Play On - Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL
99-39 since 1997. ( 71.7% | 43.3 units )
4-4 this year. ( 50.0% | -1.8 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | BALTIMORE at CLEVELAND
BALTIMORE is 96-78 (+50.7 Units) against the money line in Road games as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.4) , OPPONENT (4.1)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 09:00 AM
Today's MLB Picks Oakland at Atlanta The A's head to Atlanta to open a series against a Braves team that is 4-10 in its last 14 interleague games. Oakland is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-105). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


FRIDAY, AUGUST 15
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Pittsburgh at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.302; Washington (Roark) 16.114
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-150); Over


Game 953-954: Chicago Cubs at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 13.707; NY Mets (Wheeler) 16.224
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-160); Under


Game 955-956: Arizona at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Cahill) 15.302; Miami (Hand) 13.889
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Miami (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+110); Over


Game 957-958: San Diego at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Ross) 16.409; St. Louis (Lynn) 15.112
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+115); Under


Game 959-960: Cincinnati at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 16.904; Colorado (Morales) 15.817
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-150); Over


Game 961-962: Milwaukee at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Nelson) 14.311; LA Dodgers (Greinke) 17.204
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 3; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-170); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-170); Under


Game 963-964: Philadelphia at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.792; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.102
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 6
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+125); Under


Game 965-966: Seattle at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Paxton) 16.309; Detroit (Porcello) 15.475
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+115); Over


Game 967-968: Baltimore at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 17.302; Cleveland (Kluber 16.435
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-170); 7
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+150); Under


Game 969-970: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (McCarthy) 16.412; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 14.774
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+115)); Over


Game 971-972: Houston at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 14.774; Boston (Buchholz) 15.622
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-145); Over


Game 973-974: LA Angels at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 15.745; Texas (Martinez) 13.817
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-220); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-220); Under


Game 975-976: Kansas City at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Duffy) 16.892; Minnesota (Nolasco) 14.259
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-140); Over


Game 977-978: Toronto at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Stroman) 17.892; White Sox (Noesi) 15.333
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-150); Under


Game 979-980: Oakland at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Hammel) 16.332; Atlanta (Wood) 14.204
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-105); Over

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 09:00 AM
WNBA Basketball Picks Minnesota at San Antonio The Lynx head to San Antonio carrying a 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 road games. Minnesota is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3). Here are all of today's WNBA picks


FRIDAY, AUGUST 15
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST


Game 601-602: Washington at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 110.609; Connecticut 109.322
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 143
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4; 146
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+4); Under


Game 603-604: Tulsa at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 108.655; Atlanta 111.449
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 3; 160
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 165
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+6); Under


Game 605-606: Minnesota at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 117.302; San Antonio 110.119
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 7; 164
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 3; 157
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3); Over


Game 607-608: Seattle at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 106.444; Los Angeles 114.302
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 8; 153
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 6 1/2; 146
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-6 1/2); Over

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 09:01 AM
Bookies Hunter
2* Phillies ml
2* Nationals ml
2* Ottawa Redblacks +7.5

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 09:08 AM
Today's CFL Picks Edmonton at Ottawa The Eskimos head to Ottawa following a 33-23 victory over Montreal and come into the contest with a 1-4 ATS record in their last 5 games following an ATS win. Ottawa is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Eskimos favored by only 4. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+7). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


FRIDAY, AUGUST 15
Time Posted: 8:00 p.m. EST (8/11)


Game 123-124: Edmonton at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 112.080; Ottawa 107.869
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 4; 47
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 7; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+7); Under

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 09:10 AM
Today's NFL Picks San Diego at Seattle The Seahawks return home following last week's 21-16 loss at Denver as they host San Diego on Friday night. Seattle is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Seahawks favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-5 1/2). Here are all of this week's NFL preseason picks.


FRIDAY, AUGUST 15
Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST (8/12)


Game 403-404: Philadelphia at New England (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 119.426; New England 124.915
Dunkel Line: New England by 5 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: New England by 3; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-3); Over


Game 405-406: Tennessee at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 122.570; New Orleans 124.246
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 1 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+3 1/2); Over


Game 407-408: Detroit at Oakland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 123.242; Oakland 119.979
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 3 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: Oakland by 2 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+2 1/2); Under


Game 409-410: San Diego at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 123.140; Seattle 131.958
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 9; 35
Vegas Line: Seattle by 5 1/2; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-5 1/2); Under

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 10:35 AM
WIN BET NFL

USA: NFL – Pre-season
Oakland Raiders – Detroit Lions
Over 39
1.91

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 10:35 AM
EZWINNERS

2* (969) Yankees +$113
2* (974) Rangers +1.5 (+$118)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 10:36 AM
HALL OF FAME PICKS / William Holloway

Nationals(-149)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 10:36 AM
PAUL LEINER

100* Titans +3
50* SF Giants -140

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 10:37 AM
RICH SPORTS

NFLX

3* San Diego/Seattle Over 38

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 10:37 AM
Friday’s NFL Week 2 preseason betting primer

The first game of the second week of NFL preseason is in the books, but there’s plenty of action remaining as the league reaches the halfway point of its exhibition schedule. Here’s a look at betting notes for Friday’s preseason action:

Philadelphia Eagles at New England Patriots (-3, 46.5)

* With Riley Cooper (foot) and Jeremy Maclin (hamsttring) both expected to be out Friday night, expect to see a cast of unknowns line up for the Eagles at wide receiver – a group that includes Josh Huff, Arrelious Benn and Jordan Matthews. Quarterback Nick Foles will be hoping for a better performance from his offensive line, which struggled in the opener against Chicago.

* Patriots linebacker Jerod Mayo sat out his third consecutive practice Thursday and is expected to miss Friday’s game as he continues his recovery from a season-ending pectoral muscle tear. Veteran quarterback Tom Brady will make his preseason debut against Philadelphia after sitting out the exhibition opener, though it isn’t immediately clear how long the 37-year-old will play.

Tennessee Titans at New Orleans Saints (-3, 43)

* The Titans want to see a lot more of starting quarterback Jake Locker, who has looked good in practice but was on the field for just 12 plays in the opener and wound up attempting only two passes. With three of Tennessee’s five wide receiver spots (Kendall Wright, Nate Washington, Justin Hunter) spoken for, Friday will see Derek Hagan, Marc Mariani, Michael Preston and Brian Robiskie battle for the final slots.

* The Saints will be without franchise quarterback Drew Brees, who continues to nurse an oblique injury and is aiming to return in time for New Orleans’ third preseason game. Brees isn’t the only key starter expected to be on the sidelines Friday night; he’ll be joined by cornerback Champ Bailey, receiver Kenny Stills and linebackers David Hawthorne and Victor Butler.

San Diego Chargers at Seattle Seahawks (-6, 38.5)

* The Chargers are expected to roll with rookie offensive lineman Chris Watt on Friday against a defensively elite Seahawks team playing in front of a raucous home crowd. Fellow first-year player Jason Verrett, still recovering from surgery in March to repair a posterior labral tear, will not be in the lineup but the first-round defensive back is expected to see action before the regular-season opener.

* Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll is expected to give both candidates for the backup quarterback job – Tavaris Jackson and Terrelle Pryor – an equal number of snaps against the Chargers. Seattle came into its preseason opener having outscored opponents 125-37 in the second half of its last eight exhibition games, but was outscored 14-6 in the second half against Denver last week.

Detroit Lions at Oakland Raiders (-2.5, 39.5)

* Don’t expect to see wide receiver Calvin Johnson much, if at all; head coach Jim Caldwell hasn’t said whether Megatron will suit up Friday, but he’s still recovering from off-season knee and finger surgeries and may want one more week to recover. Defensive tackle Nick Fairley has fallen down the depth chart due to uninspired play and poor work habits, and will give way to new starter C.J. Mosley this week.

* Lost in an endless flurry of scuffles and squabbles during its joint practice with the Dallas Cowboys was the fact that the Oakland offense looked good in the days leading up to Friday’s encounter with Detroit. Former practice squad tight end Brian Leonhardt has been taking first-team reps with Mychal Rivera, and may be pressed into significant duty Friday due to a spate of injuries at the position

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 10:38 AM
NFLX Trends & Angles – Week 2
August 14, 2014

Well the home teams and the ‘under’ have been the cash cows so far in the 2014 preseason. After the Hall of Fame game was played at a neutral site, the home teams went 12-3-1 ATS and 14-2 straight up in Week 1! Meanwhile, the ‘under’ is now a wallet-filling 13-4 including Hall of Fame week.

More relevant to our Trends & Angles last week, all underdogs went just 6-9-1 ATS, which was not good for our angle that said to play on all underdogs in Week 1. We did mention a good subset of that historically was to play on underdogs of +3½ or more, and that subset split 1-1 ATS.

Luckily, our other general angle was to take the ‘under’ in games with totals of 36 or more and it turned out all but one game qualified, with the ‘under’ going a nifty 11-4 on qualifying plays!

Unfortunately, the angles regarding the three coaches we are following the entire preseason went 0-3, as the two we are playing on lost and the one we are fading covered the spread. Our Week 1-specific coaching angles did fare a bit better though going 2-1 ATS.

Before moving on to out Week 2 Trends & Angles, remember to check those teams’ websites for player rotations and expected game plans, as the one thing that makes the NFL preseason both unique and beatable is that coaches usually reveal those things beforehand and then more or less stick to the plans.

In regards to Week 2 specifically, this could be the week that offers the most profit potential of any preseason week! That is because Week 2 has been a contrarian’s dream as a nice profit could have been made over the years simply by playing on teams that lost straight up in Week 1 and against teams that won straight up in Week 1.

You will see our three favorite angles in that regard when we get to the Week 2 General Angles. But let us kick off our look at Week 2 with our disappointing recap of the three coaches we are looking at the entire preseason.

Coaches To Follow

Mike Tomlin (Pittsburgh Steelers): The tide could be turning for the negative here as after going 0-4 during preseason last year, the Steelers lost their opener to the Giants last week 20-16. That still leaves Tomlin at 19-11 overall in preseason since taking over as head coach, but remember that record stood at 19-6 after his first six years in Pittsburgh.

Pete Carroll (Seattle Seahawks): Carroll’s Seahawks were a perfect 4-0 in preseason each of the last two years and had won nine straight preseason games overall before their 2014 opener, but they lost 21-16 to the Denver Broncos in a Super Bowl rematch. That could make Seattle extra dangerous this week as Carroll generally likes to build a winning culture in these games and he is Seattle is still 11-6 overall since Carroll took over as head coach. You can also bet that Carroll will not tolerate any complacency after winning the Super Bowl.

Coach To Fade

Mike Smith (Atlanta Falcons): This is Mike Smith’s seventh year are the coach of the Falcons, and not only did he have a dismal record before last week but he has also yet to have a winning preseason. He had also been 1-11 the last three preseasons with two 0-4 seasons including last year. Unfortunately for us, Atlanta opened up 2014 with a 16-10 win over the Miami Dolphins, improving Smith to 8-17 overall in preseason as the Atlanta coach.

Now that the bad news is out of the way, let us move on to the great week-specific winning contrarian Trends & Angles exclusively for preseason Week 2 that we alluded to earlier, with all ATS records being over the last 14 preseasons since 2000.

Preseason Week 2 General Trends

Play on Week 2 underdogs coming off a straight up loss (72-33-2, 68.6% ATS): No that is not a misprint, as teams that have lost straight up in Week 1 and are then underdogs in Week 2 have covered at better than a 68 percent clip over 105 decisions in 14 years, and yet people still refuse to bet on preseason! These exhibition games are all about motivation, and in Week 2, teams that lost their openers are usually motivated to put forth a better performance to at the very least gain some peace of mind. Remember that talent means nothing in these games, so this angle even works if the underdog off a loss is among the very worst teams in the league.

Play against Week 2 favorites coming off a straight up win (62-46-1, 57.4% ATS):Granted this winning percentage is lower than most of our other angles, but the volume makes up for it as this still works out to +11.40 units at -110 odds and even more at reduced juice options. This is actually the exact opposite angle as our previous one. Teams that won in Week 1 often feel some sense of contentment getting a preseason win out of the way, and now the coaches can put a greater emphasis on evaluating personnel in Week 2, especially with the regular season dress rehearsal coming up in Week 3. Had the team lost Week 1, then most coaches would have had more of a balance between evaluating players and trying to get a win.

Play on any Week 2 team coming off a straight up loss against a team coming off of a straight up win (70-42-1, 62.5% ATS): This angle combines the two motivations from our first two angles, except that it applies to all games and not only underdogs, so this is one of our few preseason trends that actually points to some favorites.

Preseason Week 2 Coaches
Starting with the three coaches we are following the entire preseason, Tomlin is just 4-3 in Week 2 while Carroll is only 2-2, but Smith is 1-5 in Week 2, which is in keeping with his overall profile.

Other notable Week 2 coaching marks:

Marvin Lewis (Cincinnati Bengals, 8-3): Interestingly, coming into this season, Lewis was 5-8 in Week 1 (plus two Hall of Fame games) and 2-9 in Week 3, so it appears Week 2 is the week when he usually has his team ready to bounce back well from the opener, and once he gets that win he backs off a bit the following week. Well, the Bengals lost in Week 1 again this year to the Kansas City Chiefs.

Mike McCarthy (Green Bay Packers, 6-2): Similarly to Lewis, McCarthy was just 2-7 in Week 1 (plus one Hall of Fame game) entering this season before usually getting the best out of his team in Week 2. And again, the Packers lost last week to the Tennessee Titans.

John Fox (Denver Broncos, 4-8): Fox is the polar opposite of Lewis in that he entered this year 9-4 in Week 1 plus one Hall of Fame game and 8-4 in Week 3, usually making Week 2 his “breather” week. And once again he opened up this preseason with a win while getting a little bit of Super Bowl revenge over the Seattle Seahawks in the process.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 10:38 AM
NEWSLETTER NFL Preseason Prediction From Raphael Esparza

Take Under 39.0 – Detroit at Oakland (10 p.m., Friday, Aug. 15)
Can somebody please tell me why this total is 39? The Oakland Raiders scored six points last week against the Vikings and those six points were late in the 4th quarter. Raiders QB’s Schaub, and Carr both struggled last week and I don’t see much improvement this week from the Detroit Lions. The Lions offense was no better last week as Detroit was only able to produce 13 points against Cleveland and granted the Lions had some key players sitting but still it was against the Browns defense. I thought this total would be around 35.5 or 36 but 39 points – I just don’t see it. Take the ‘under’ here

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 10:38 AM
NEWSLETTER MLB Baseball Prediction From Mike Davis

Take #952 Washington -1.5 (+125) over Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Friday, August 15)
This is a great opportunity for Tanner Roark and the Washington Nationals to jumpstart their 10 game home stand with a victory. On a staff that has Strasburg and Zimmerman, you can certainly make an argument that Roark and Fister have been the two best starters on the staff. Roark is 11-7 with a 2.86 era. He had a bad outing two starts ago vs. Baltimore. If you throw that game out, he has only allowed 1 earned run in each of his last 5 starts and he went 7 innings in each of those outings. “That” is getting it done. In those 5 starts, the Nationals were 5-0 and only one game was a one-run game.

Pittsburgh sends Charlie Morton to the mound to begin this three game series. Morton is a guy that I really like but he has been scuffling over the past month or so. The Pirates are 0-4 in his past 4 starts and Charlie has allowed 14 earned runs and 27 hits in 23 innings. Those 4 games were against SD, Miami, at SF and at Colorado. Colorado is a good hitting team, especially at home, but the other three teams have struggled on offense most of the season. In those four losses, the Pirates were outscored 29-11 and none of the games were one-run games. I like the Nationals here.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 10:38 AM
NEWSLETTER Major League Baseball Prediction From Doc’s Sports

Take ‘Over’ 9.0 – L.A. Angels at Texas (8 p.m., Friday, Aug. 13)
The Texas Rangers have long given up on the 2014 season. They currently have the worst record in the American League and are more concerned about the future than the present. That’s probably why the Rangers continue to trot out Nick Martinez to the hill every five days. Martinez is the worst starting pitcher in baseball and I don’t think there’s a particularly close second. The young right-hander is 2-8 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in 20 games in 2014. He’s also only striking out 4.5 batters per nine innings against 4.1 walks. That ratio won’t get the job done and he definitely has to work on his control to pitch in the big leagues. He’ll face probably the most dangerous lineup in all of baseball on Friday night against the Angels. They are top-rated offense on a park-adjusted basis so Martinez will have his hands full. Los Angeles counters with Garrett Richards, who is having just a banner season. However, Richards has probably hit his ceiling and we could see a bit of regression as he’s in unchartered territory from an innings perspective. He has already thrown more innings this season than any in his professional career and there’s still two months to go including the playoffs. The Rangers lineup hasn’t produced much this season, but they still have some tough hitters at the top of the order. I think they can get a few on Richards and Martinez will certainly give more than his share to the Angels. As a result, we like this one to go over the total.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 10:39 AM
vip-picks

BONUS
Jagiellonia - Legia Warsaw
Tip: Legia Warsaw -0.5
odds: 1,80

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 10:39 AM
WinMatchDay

France Ligue 2
Auxerre vs US Orleans
US Orleans (+0/+0.5)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 10:40 AM
v i p picks

Dundalk -1,5

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 10:41 AM
Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

San Diego @ Seattle
Pick: Seattle -5.5

Seattle comes home for its opener, and this team is an absolute beast at Century Link Field in the postseason, regular season and preseason - especially for hard-driving coach Pete Carroll, who is 22-11 ATS in August. This team has loads of depth and talent, especially on defense, and even in losing to the high-powered Broncos last week, they only allowed 274 yards. On offense, their preseason QB rotation is loaded with three players who have a lot of NFL regular season starting experience in Russell Wilson, Tarvaris Jackson and Terrelle Pryor. Coach Carroll demands physical play - and gets it. San Diego is in town for their first road game with nothing to prove after a 27-7 rout of Dallas. A year ago in week two in their first road game, the Chargers turned it over four times in a loss at Chicago, surrendering 33 points. These teams met early last August too, and the Seahawks won in San Diego 31-10, as part of a 4-1 SU/ATS Seattle preseason run. Go with the defending champs at home.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 10:43 AM
NFL Preseason Point Spreads and Picks
By: Mike Wilkening
Sportingnews

Of the 16 games slated for the second full week of the preseason, one has a bigger total than all the rest.

And it’s not close.

The total for Friday’s Patriots-Eagles tilt (7:30 p.m. ET, NFL Network) sits at 47, a healthy number for the regular season but positively super-sized for the exhibition slate. The OVER/UNDER is 4 points higher than any other game on this week’s board, and it is at least 6 points higher than 11 other preseason contests.

Nevertheless, the number makes sense.

For starters, these clubs met last August in Philadelphia and combined for 53 points, with the Patriots posting a 31-22 win. The total in that game was a mere 40, though.

Second, it’s reasonable to believe Patriots quarterback Tom Brady could get some reps in Friday’s game after sitting out the exhibition opener at Washington. With Brady seemingly unlikely to get much playing time in the last preseason game, if any, the Patriots have just two games for the first-team offense to tighten the screws. He was sharp in the 2013 preseason, completing 34-of-44 passes for 357 yards.

Third, the Eagles have had a knack for being in high-scoring exhibitions in Chip Kelly’s two-year tenure. In five preseason games under Kelly, the Eagles have been outscored 125-115. Philly is 4-1 O/U in those games.

Finally, the OVER has been a good play in the Patriots’ second preseason game in recent years, cashing 7-of-10 times since 2004, according to Covers.com data.

The Patriots are 3-point favorites in Friday night’s game in Foxborough. That’s a fairly normal preseason line.

The total? That’s a different story.

The Linemakers’ lean: While neither of these teams will be overly concerned about losing their first preseason game, we like the Eagles to bounce back in this spot. Mark Sanchez was solid in relief last week vs. the Bears, and Nick Foles will look to shake off his shaky, two-interception performance. Philly plus the points is the play.

As you watch for fireworks in New England, here’s a look at the other three contests to be played Friday night. Lines are the Las Vegas consensus as of Thursday afternoon, and preseason point spread data is from Covers.com. For updated point spreads and totals, visit our live odds page.

Tennessee at New Orleans (-3.5, 43)

Now this is interesting: Since 2012, the Saints are 9-1 against the spread in exhibition games. Moreover, they are 5-0 ATS and 4-1 straight-up in preseason play since Sean Payton returned last season. The Saints are also 4-1 to the OVER in exhibition play since 2013.

Saints quarterback Drew Brees (oblique) looks questionable for Friday. If he can’t go, the Saints will lean on Ryan Griffin and Luke McCown. Griffin was solid in the exhibition opener, completing 16-of-23 passes for 179 yards and one TD.

The Titans won and covered in their preseason opener vs. Green Bay, but the Packers rested quarterback Aaron Rodgers and tailback Eddie Lacy, and the game was played in rainy conditions. Facing the Saints indoors, even if Brees is just a spectator, could be a better litmus test for Ken Whisenhunt’s club.

Detroit at Oakland (-2.5, 39.5)

Keep an eye on how the Raiders’ offensive line fares against the Lions’ front four. Of the 13 penalties called against Oakland in the exhibition opener, four were false starts and three were offensive holding.

Also, handicappers will want to monitor the Lions’ offense when starting quarterback Matthew Stafford gives way to backups Dan Orlovsky and Kellen Moore. Orlovsky led the Lions to just three points in more than 2.5 quarters of play in the exhibition opener. Moore, meanwhile, was 11-of-13 for 121 yards and a touchdown pass to win out the game.

With a 10-6 loss to Minnesota in the first exhibition game, Oakland fell to 3-6 against the number in preseason play in Dennis Allen’s tenure.

San Diego at Seattle (-6, 38.5)

The Seahawks’ 21-16 loss at Denver on August 7 snapped Seattle’s 10-game preseason covering streak, a run dating back to 2011. In defeat, Seattle was penalized 14 times, but just once for defensive pass interference. Also, Seattle was not penalized for defensive holding or illegal contact.

San Diego emphasized the run in its preseason debut vs. Dallas, rushing 42 times and attempting just 16 passes. However, when the Chargers passed, they did quite well. San Diego quarterbacks were 14-of-16 for 243 yards against the Cowboys, with Philip Rivers going 4-of-4 for 61 yards in his lone series.

The Chargers are 3-2 against the number in exhibition games in Mike McCoy’s tenure as head coach.

The Linemakers’ lean: Our Kenny White made the total 36 for this game, so he offers a small lean to the UNDER. “When you’re looking at totals in preseason, if you have UNDER teams, go UNDER. If you have OVER teams -- like Chicago and Philly (last week) -- go OVER! They’re usually easy.”

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 10:43 AM
Friday's Preseason Tips
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider

Preseason Recap: The home teams have won 15 of the first 17 preseason contests, including Chicago's comeback victory over Jacksonville on Thursday. Home clubs own a 12-4-1 ATS record, as the Bears failed to cover against the Jaguars last night, while the only road teams to win outright have been the Saints (at Rams) and Bills (at Panthers). The 'under' has cashed in 14 of 18 exhibition games (including the Hall of Fame game), including each of the last five contests since last Saturday.

Eagles at Patriots (-2½, 47)

2014 Preseason Records: NE (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS), PHI (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)

Previous Preseason Meeting: Patriots (+3½) beat Eagles, 24-6 in 2013

Week 1 Review: New England was dominated by Washington, 23-6 as Tom Brady rested in the preseason opener for the Pats. The loss snapped a five-game winning streak for New England in exhibition openers. The Eagles fell to the Bears as one-point road favorites, 34-28, as Chicago scored the final 17 points of the contest.

Expert Handicapper Analysis: Joe Nelson - Chip Kelly is now 2-3 S/U and ATS in the preseason and this will be a second straight road game which could take a toll at this stage in the season. New England is 6-3 S/U in the last nine home games in the preseason, averaging 27 points per game. Given Belichick’s respect for Kelly this is a game his team will take seriously and the Patriots should have opportunities early and late in this matchup.

Titans at Saints (-3, 43)

2014 Preseason Records: TEN (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS), NO (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)

Previous Preseason Meeting: Titans (+4½) beat Saints, 10-6 in 2012

Week 1 Review: The Saints outlasted the Rams as short road underdogs, 26-24, as New Orleans was just one of two teams (Buffalo) to win on the highway last week. The Titans held off the Packers in a driving rainstorm in Nashville, 20-16 as -2½-point favorites.

Expert Handicapper Analysis: Doc's Sports - Never like to lay this many points in the exhibition season, but New Orleans played to win in game 1 and I see that trend continuing in Week 2. Hard to take away much from the Tennessee–Green Bay game since weather played a role, but playing in the Superdome is always a factor that greatly favors the home team. Drew Brees did not play in Week 1 and the Saints still managed to complete 27 of their 40 passes. New Orleans wins this game by double digits.

Lions at Raiders (-2½, 39)

2014 Preseason Records: DET (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS), OAK (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)

Previous Preseason Meeting: Raiders (+3) beat Lions, 31-20 in 2012

Week 1 Review: The Raiders fell to the Vikings as three-point underdogs, 10-6, as Oakland scored a late touchdown and failed on a two-point conversion in the final minutes. The Lions rallied past the Browns, 13-12 to cash as 1½-point home underdogs, as the lone touchdown came in the contest came by Detroit with 1:05 remaining.

Expert Handicapper Analysis: The Gold Sheet - The Oakland coaching staff is fighting for its job this season and was very upset with the team's poor performance last week at Minnesota, as evidenced by the team's several fights this week while scrimmaging with Dallas. Detroit is not very deep on defense, especially in the secondary, which should yield opportunities to new Oakland No. 1 QB Matt Schaub, impressive rookie Derek Carr, and young veteran Matt McGloiin. New Detroit coach Jim Caldwell is from the Tony Dungy "low key" school of thought in preseason, with Caldwell going only 4-8 vs. the spread while head coach at Indianapolis and only 1-5 vs. the spread as a visitor.

Chargers at Seahawks (-6, 38½)

2014 Preseason Records: SD (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS), SEA (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)

Previous Preseason Meeting: Seahawks (-3) beat Chargers, 31-10 in 2013

Week 1 Review: Seattle's eight-game preseason winning streak came to an end in a Super Bowl rematch with Denver, as the Seahawks lost 21-16 as one-point road favorites. The Chargers cruised past the beat-up Cowboys, 27-7 as 3½-point home favorites, snapping a two-game home losing streak in the preseason.

Expert Handicapper Analysis: James Manos - It's obvious that Seahawks HC Pete Carroll takes the preseason seriously as he's gone 21-13 SU and 24-10 ATS in his NFL preseason coaching appearances, including going 8-0 SU combined in 2012 and 2013. The Seahawks did lose their preseason opener this season at Denver, but that was a huge revenge setup for the Broncos, and anyone who really watched the game could see that both coaches were making an effort to WIN. This will be Seattle's first home game since winning the Super Bowl and they should be welcomed by the loud and racous crowd that give the Seahawks the best homefield advantage in the NFL. The Chargers enter off demolishing Dallas and San Diego accomplished all it's goals in that game.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 10:53 AM
Five to Follow MLB Betting: Friday August 15, 2014 Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews

To no surprise, the Colorado Rockies have ruled out Troy Tulowitzki for the rest of the season. It’s a shame because Tulo might have been the NL MVP had he stayed healthy, and this move also will cost him the NL batting title. He leads the league by far in average at .340, but a player needs 502 plate appearances to qualify. Tulo will end his season with 375. Here’s a look at five interesting matchups Friday around MLB.

Yankees at Rays (-136, 7)

New York had to be encouraged by what it saw from Michael Pineda on Wednesday night, but it’s about time to write off the Yankees’ playoff hopes in 2014. They have lost four straight games — currently the longest streak in AL — and the East Division hopes are gone. Yes, the Bombers are 3.5 games out of the second wild-card spot entering Thursday, but only the second one is available because the Angels will grab the first. There are four other teams ahead of New York. It’s not happening. Brandon McCarthy (7-11, 4.31) starts Friday’s opener in St. Petersburg. He’s 4-1 with a 2.21 ERA in six starts since being dealt from Arizona. This will be his first start this year vs. the Rays. Tampa Bay’s Alex Cobb (7-6, 3.41) has managed to avoid the Yankees this season. He hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in a start since June 23.

Key trends: New York is 4-12 in its past 16 against the AL East. Tampa Bay is 1-4 in Cobb’s past five at home. The Rays are 4-1 in Cobb’s past five vs. New York. The “under” is 5-1 in his past six against the Yankees.

Early lean: I’m a big Cobb fan — the Rays are going to be just fine pitching-wise next year when Matt Moore returns. Take them and the under here.



Orioles at Indians (-161, 7)

Not that it really matters at this point as the Tribe remain without injured Nick Swisher and Daniel Murphy, but the team will get back outfielder Michael Bourn on Friday. He hasn’t played since July 5 due to a hamstring injury and has largely been an injury-plagued bust since the Tribe gave him a big free-agent contract before the 2013 season. He probably won’t be much of a stolen base threat the rest of the season to ensure that hamstring doesn’t get worse. The Indians aren’t totally out of it yet but teetering on the edge. They start one of the best pitchers in the AL, to the surprise of many, in Corey Kluber (13-6, 2.46). He is 6-0 with a 1.33 ERA in his past seven outings. He shut out the Orioles on May 24 at Camden Yards over seven innings. Lefty Wei-Yin Chen (12-4, 3.90) goes for Baltimore. He had a five-start winning streak snapped last time out, allowing four runs in five innings at Toronto. He allowed five runs over 6.2 innings on May 22 vs. Cleveland.

Key trends: The Orioles have won 10 of their past 11 series openers. The Indians are 5-0 in Kluber’s past five against teams with a winning record. The under is 7-1 in Cleveland’s past eight against lefties. The under is 9-2 in Baltimore’s past 11 road games.

Early lean: How can you not go under here? Surprised it’s a +100 dog.



Pirates at Nationals (-160, 7)

Pittsburgh is playing pretty well without Andrew McCutchen and Neil Walker, but it looks like Walker might have to join McCutchen on the DL. The second baseman (.277, 16 HRs, 50 RBIs) hasn’t played since Aug. 9 due to a back injury. Washington’s surprising Tanner Roark (11-7, 2.86) could dominate that depleted lineup on Friday. He is 5-5 with a 2.40 ERA in 11 home starts but has never faced Pittsburgh. Charlie Morton (5-11, 3.62) gets the call for Pittsburgh, which has lost his past four outings. He got his first win of the season on May 23 vs. the Nationals, allowing a run over 5.2 innings. Adam LaRoche is 3-for-5 with a homer and four RBIs against Morton.

Key trends: The Pirates are 1-5 in Morton’s past six on the road. The Nats are 6-1 in Roark’s past seven against teams with a winning record. The over is 5-0-1 in Washington’s past six series openers.

Early lean: Nats at +140 on the runline.



Padres at Cardinals (-128, 7.5)

San Diego entered Thursday with the longest winning streak in baseball (five games) but is going to lose first baseman Yonder Alonso (.240, 7 HRs, 27 RBIs) to the disabled list with a right forearm strain. Too bad, as he’s been part of the reason the Padres are playing so much better lately. He was hitting .522 with two homers and five RBIs this month. That’s one less guy for Lance Lynn to worry about. Lynn (12-8, 2.97) allowed three runs last time out in a win over Baltimore, which was notable because he hadn’t allowed that many since June 28. He lost in San Diego on July 29, allowing just one earned run over six innings. Red-hot Jedd Gyorko is 2-for-5 with two RBIs off him. San Diego’s Tyson Ross (11-10, 2.60) would probably have 15 wins if he played on a better offensive team. He has tied a Padres record with 10 straight starts of six or more innings while allowing two or fewer earned runs. That includes beating the Cardinals opposite Lynn on July 29, allowing a run over six innings.

Key trends: San Diego is 5-0 in Ross’ past five against the NL Central. The under is 9-2 in Ross’ past 11 on the road against teams with a winning record. The under is 7-0 in Lynn’s past seven at home.

Early lean: Ross has been great, but it seems Cards should be bigger favorites at home. They are the pick with another under.



Brewers at Dodgers (-171, 7)

Milwaukee rested Ryan Braun for Thursday’s game in Chicago as his hand/thumb has flared up lately, but don’t read anything into that. It was just a getaway day game with the Brewers flying to L.A. afterward. He’ll no doubt be in there Friday night. The Brewers haven’t scored more than three runs in their past four games entering Thursday’s finale. It will be tough exceeding three on Friday against the Dodgers’ Zack Greinke (12-8, 2.84). He will be looking for a little payback after the Brewers beat him last week in Milwaukee, hitting Greinke for four runs and eight hits over six innings. Lyle Overbay is a career .346 hitter with three home runs and eight RBIs in 26 at-bats vs. Greinke. Milwaukee’s Jimmy Nelson (2-3, 4.00) lost to L.A. last week, giving up two runs and eight hits over six innings. This will be his first road start since May 25.

Key trends: Milwaukee has won four straight series openers. The Dodgers are 7-1 in Greinke’s past eight at home against teams with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Nelson’s past four. It is 6-1 in Greinke’s past seven.

Early lean: Dodgers at +125 on the runline and under again as Greinke shuts down the Brew Crew.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 10:54 AM
LCM Sports

LA Angels

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 12:45 PM
NFLPredictions / Kevin

San Diego Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks – SEAHAWKS -6 (-109)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 12:46 PM
ART ARONSON

AAA’s SENIOR CIRCUIT PITCHING MISMATCH!

Cincinnati Reds ML-143

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 12:52 PM
BOB BALFE

MLB SELECTION
BOSTON REDSOX/HOUSTON ASTROS – OVER 8.5
(Keuchel/Buchholz)

Clay Buchholz has been awful this year. When he starts the Redsoxs usually lose and they get pounded. Keuchel is a great pitcher and I hope he gets a chance to pitch on a playoff bound team because he could be a household name. This Astros Bullpen however stinks. Look for a lot of runs just like last night. Take the OVER.


NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -3

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS +6

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 01:02 PM
Northcoast

3* Oak -2.5

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 01:02 PM
Behind The Bets

Pirates +139
Orioles +143

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 01:03 PM
New York Yankees {A} bet - Official system bet (+1.5 Run Line)
New York Mets {A} bet - Official system bet (Money Line)
Texas {A} bet - Unofficial system bet (fails RPI filter. Warning: massive RPI gap difference!)

Tony the sports betting "Champ"

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 01:03 PM
Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee had Np on Thursday.

For Friday in MLB in the National League "Mr Chalk" likes the Nationals -$150/Pirates.

Ben lee is 0-3 -$160 for week Forty Two 187-220-5 -$3012 through Forty One Weeks.

"Mr Chalk" is 61-46 -$405 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 01:31 PM
Arthur Ralph
Super Pick Seattle -5 1/2
Blue Ribbon Reds w/ Cueto

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 01:32 PM
Northcoast

3* Oak -2.5

TV pod #1
Philly +3

marquee pod is Oak as well as a 3* late ph play

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 01:33 PM
Dave Aquiro is from yesterday. Today's picks are:

MLB Handicappers

Mike: (8-3) - Cincinnati

John: (7-3) - orioles/Indians under 8.5 (buy 1 run)

Jim: (7-5) - Kansas City

BD: (5-3) - LA Angels

Tom: (4-0) - Cleveland

Tex: (4-1) - LA Angels

MH: (1-2) - Kansas City

Len: (2-1) - none

Today's Selections

NFL: chargers/seahawks over 38Â

WNBA: none

CFL: none

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 01:35 PM
BigBetTiger

NFL

(408) OAKLAND RAIDERS (-140) ML

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 01:36 PM
Indian Cowboy
WNBA

3* Over 164.5 Tulsa vs. Atlanta

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 01:37 PM
King Creole | NFL Total - 404 NEP / 403 PHI Over 46.5 Hilton

6-1 O/U since 2005: All NFL pre-season games with an OU line of > 44 pts (PHIL @ NENG).

17-3 O/U last 3 years: All NFL pre-season Game Two teams who scored 10 < pts in Game One (PATRIOTS).

8-0 O/U last 3 years: All NFL pre-season teams who allowed 34 > pts on the road the previous week (EAGLES).

EAGLES / PATRIOTS series tendencies: 4-0 O/U last 4 meetings (48.3 ppg).

EAGLES: 4-0 O/U in Game 2 of the pre-season (48.6 ppg).
PATRIOTS: 4-0 O/U in Game 2 of the pre-season (43.3 ppg).

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 01:54 PM
ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

PJ’S TENNIS CORNER

ATP – WESTERN & SOUTHERN OPEN @ CIN, OHIO, USA
(3PM) D FERRER -170 vs T ROBREDO

WTA – WESTERN & SOUTHERN OPEN @ CIN, OHIO, USA
(7PM) M SHARAPOVA -120 vs S HALEP

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 01:54 PM
SOCCER BETTING MASTERS

Austria » Erste Liga » Mattersburg – A. Lustenau

Opinion: Mattersburgh to win

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 01:54 PM
UNDER Umpire Streakers

#971 UN 8.5 -110 HOU/BOS 1.10u to win 1.00u
Blaser 7ov/11un L18gms 61.1%

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 02:56 PM
newworldinsiders

philly insider : eagles over 46.5

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 04:09 PM
RickJ's Handicapping Picks Friday MLB Play
1/2 Unit
Colorado O9-115

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 04:17 PM
Trev Rogers

San Diego +116
Baltimore +138
Tampa Bay -132

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 04:26 PM
Jeff Clement


10* Kansas City Royals -137

NFL
7* New Orleans Saints -3.5 (+104)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 04:26 PM
BONES BEST BET

ANGELS RL (-1.5) -120 *6* BEST BET

The Rangers are getting pounded night in and night out and tonight does not look good for them. Texas just lost their home series to the Rays three games to one, being outscored 25-7 along the way. The last met the Angels for a 4 game series in July where they lost all four games by a total score of 33-15! Now you have a no contest on the hill with Richards against Martinez to top it all off – this is a big bet here guys and we’ll be stunned if we do not cash this one.

PHILLIES ML +149 *3*

This line is crazy. Yes the Phillies are not a great we know but the Giants haven’t been any better of the last month plus. In fact, the Giants have lost 14 of their last 20 games. The Phillies have lost just 11 of their last 20. Now for the pitching matchup – Hamels vs Bumgarner. Hamels has been rock solid all year (2.27 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 1.55 road ERA, 1.07 road WHIP) while Bumgarner can’t pitch at home to save his life. He has not had a quality home start since June 10th and currently owns a 5.60 home ERA paired with a 1.56 home WHIP.

NATIONALS -1 +100 *4*

We have a lot of trends we like here. The Nationals are great at home with a 34-24 record. The Pirates are terrible on the road with a 25-34 record. The Nationals have have 3 straight and 6 of 8. The Pirates have lost 2 straight. Roark has been lights out giving up 1 earned run in 5 of 6 starts and 7 of 10 overall. The Nationals have also won 5 of his last 6 and 7 of his last 10 starts. Morton has struggled giving up at least 4 earned runs in 4 of 6. The Pirates have lost his last 4 starts and 7 of his last 10.

BREWERS @ DODGERS – UNDER 7 -105 *2*

The Brewers have went under in 8 of 11 games and the Dodgers have went under in 7 of 11 games. The Brewers have went under in 4 of Nelson’s 5 starts this year. The Dodgers have went under in 6 of Greinke’s last 7 starts. He also has a WHIP under 1.00 at home this year.

ROYALS ML -140 *4*

The Royals look to continue their red hot run, after taking 3 of 4 against the best team in baseball. Duffy has been great this season with a 1.09 WHIP and a 2.57 ERA. Meanwhile Nolasco for the Twins has been atrocious with a 1.62 WHIP and a 5.90 ERA. The Twins are just 25-30 at home this season while the Royals are a solid 33-26 on the road.

RAYS ML -127 *3*

Alex Cobb has fantastic stuff and the Rays are re hot with wins in 6 of 8. The Yankees meanwhile have dropped 4 in a row losing by 2+ every game. Tampa has won the past 4 meetings between these teams as well.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 04:27 PM
SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS

LA Angels RL-1.5 -120 (5*)

Kansas City -1.5 +115 (3*)
Cincinnati RL-1.5 EV (3*)
Washington RL -1.5 +150 (3*)

Free play — NYY +120 vs Tampa Bay

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 04:28 PM
SHAKER’S SHORTS

#955 Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins – OVER 3.5 -120 (1st 5 Innings)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 04:28 PM
Dave Essler

Chicago WS +1.5

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 04:28 PM
Bryan Leonard

Oakland -2.5

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 04:28 PM
the analyzer
atlanta

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 04:29 PM
MLB betting cheat sheet: Toronto feeling blue

Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for the weekend’s major-league games:

Toronto Feeling Blue

The Toronto Blue Jays’ recent road woes continued Wednesday, as they dropped a 2-0 decision to the Seattle Mariners, to cap a demoralizing three-game sweep. The Blue Jays have scored just eight runs during a six-game road losing skid that has dropped their overall value to +273 units for the season. They begin a three-game set with at the Chicago White Sox (+129, 8.5) Friday.

Rays Rolling With the Under

The Tampa Bay Rays remain one of the strongest under plays in the league over the past 10 days as they prepare to open a three-game series against the visiting New York Yankees (+122, 7). Tampa went 1-2-1 over/under in its four-game series in Texas and went 2-6-2 O/U on its 10-game road swing.

Felix vs. Price? Take the Under

Expect a great Under play at any total Saturday when Felix Hernandez and the Seattle Mariners visit David Price and the Detroit Tigers. Hernandez has gone seven innings while allowing two or fewer runs in 17 straight starts, while Price had a string of 13 consecutive quality starts snapped in Toronto.

Fister Flying

Washington Nationals right-hander Doug Fister has been nearly automatic over the past month and a half as he leads the Washington Nationals into Sunday’s tilt with the visiting Pittsburgh Pirates. Fister is 7-2 straight up over his last nine starts while giving up no fewer than three runs in any of those outings.

Pitching Notes

* Brandon McCarthy will look to keep the good times rolling as he leads the Yankees into St. Petersburg for the series opener against the Rays. McCarthy, who was the worst value pitcher in the majors prior to being dealt out of Arizona, is 4-1 with a 2.21 ERA in six starts with the Yankees.

* Godspeed, Milwaukee. The Brewers face a monumental task Saturday night as they square off with Los Angeles Dodgers left-hander Clayton Kershaw, who is 14-2 with a 1.78 ERA and is 16-3 SU over his 19 starts so far this season.

* Oakland Athletics lefty Jon Lester will look to make it four straight wins with his new team Sunday as he takes on the host Atlanta Braves. Lester has won each of his first three starts in an Oakland uniform, posting a 2.49 ERA while allowing zero home runs over that stretch.

Hitting Notes

* Houston Astros slugger Chris Carter has been a hard man to keep down over the past week as he prepares to face Clay Buchholz and the host Boston Red Sox (-142, 8.5). Carter has swatted four home runs and racked up 10 RBIs over the past seven days – tops in the league over that stretch.

* Don’t expect many long bombs in Saturday’s Mariners-Tigers tilt – especially from the Seattle lineup. Price has allowed just one home run in 169 combined at-bats against members of the Mariners’ roster; that homer came courtesy second baseman Robinson Cano.

* Joe Mauer will face a friendly foe Sunday when the Minnesota Twins entertain Jeremy Guthrie and the Kansas City Royals. Mauer is 8-for-24 lifetime versus Guthrie, with two home runs and an OPS over 1.000.

Totals Streak

Baltimore Orioles (4-0-1 O/U): The Orioles finally settled for a push in their last game – a 5-3 victory over the Yankees – after putting together four straight overs on the strength of three double-digit scoring outbursts. The recent Over string moves Baltimore to 53-63-3 O/U for the season.

Prop of the Day

A heavy bet on the under for Friday’s Baltimore Orioles-Cleveland Indians game (T: 7) may be a strong one. Orioles lefty Wei-Yin Chen is 1-5 O/U over his last six starts, while Cleveland counterpart Corey Kluber has a minuscule 0.68 ERA since the All-Star break.

Injury Notes

* Pittsburgh Pirates second baseman Neil Walker may be back in the lineup Friday against the host Washington Nationals (-148, 7) after missing the previous eight games with a back injury. The Pirates have gone 5-3 SU, 5-3 O/U and +195 units with Walker out of action.

* Colorado Rockies outfielder Michael Cuddyer will be activated from the disabled list in time for Saturday’s game against visiting Cincinnati. Cuddyer has missed the past 59 games with a fractured shoulder; the Rockies are 18-42 SU, 27-24-8 O/U and -2,153 units without him.

Weather Watch

* Wind at Comerica Park will blow out to left field at 7 mph for Friday’s game between host Detroit (-127, 8.5) and Seattle. Teams went 5-1-1 O/U in seven games under similar wind conditions a season ago, combining to bat .297.

* Fans at Fenway Park will see wind blowing out to center field at 6 mph when the host Boston Red Sox face Houston on Saturday night. Teams went 1-5 O/U in six games with the wind blowing out to center in 2013, averaging just 1.5 homers – well below the stadium average of 1.85.

Umpire Note of the Day

The home team is 5-1 in umpire Cory Blaser’s last six games calling balls and strikes. Blaser will be behind home plate Friday night when the Red Sox entertain the Astros.

** Odds, stats, weather forecasts and probable pitchers as of 12:55 p.m. ET Friday

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 04:30 PM
EZWINNERS

Added

4* (952) Nationals -$150
2* (952) Nationals -1.5 (+$150)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 04:30 PM
Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

LA Angels RL-1.5

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 04:31 PM
Teddy Covers | MLB Money Line

dime bet – 965 SEA (+120) vs 966 DET
Analysis: 1* Take Seattle (#965).
We’re not going to find James Paxton at an underdog price for much longer; let’s take advantage while we can. Paxton ranks among the most promising pitching prospects in baseball, only in his second start back off a three month stint on the DL with a ‘lat strain’. He was dominant in his first start back, needing only 77 pitches to get into the seventh inning while allowing just a single run. That’s picking up right where he left off before his injury; now 5-0 with a 1.93 ERA in eight starts over the last two seasons. Seattle manager Lloyd McClendon: “I’m so excited about Paxton. I think he’s going to be special for us down the stretch.”

The Tigers have lost six of their last nine to fall out of first place in the AL Central. One of those losses came with Rick Porcello in an ultra-rare relief appearance when he was forced into action in the Tigers 19 inning marathon against the Blue Jays last Sunday, a game where he took the loss. That takes Porcello completely out of his normal rhythm between starts. His quote: “I’ve come out of the bullpen before, (but) not really on a day where I’m sitting there watching the game not prepared to pitch at all.”

And, of course, there’s no comparison between these bullpens if this game is tight late. The Mariners bullpen ranks #1 in the AL in ERA, a dominant unit all year. The Tigers bullpen has been a consistent problem area, ranked #13 in the AL in ERA; a unit that just lost their trade deadline upgrade when Joakim Soria went on the DL.

Very quietly, the Mariners have been inching up in the standings, now just a half game behind Detroit and the LA Angels in the Wild Card race. They’ve won four straight and eight of their last nine; an emerging, surging team here in August. They’re worthy of support at this attractive underdog price. Take the Mariners

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 04:32 PM
Primetime Sports

5 unit Wood -120 Atlanta

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 04:36 PM
STATFOX DAVE'S BEST BET

SAN DIEGO (409) AT SEATTLE (410)
Latest Line: SEAHAWKS -6; Total: 38.5

Gonna get back on that SEATTLE Preseason trend and expect them to bounce back tonight at home following last week's end-of-game loss. Also helps that SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. Seattle Hammertime!
PLAY ON: SEAHAWKS -6

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 04:42 PM
Insider Sports Report

4* Reds

3* TB

3* Det/Oak OVER 39

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:05 PM
GAMBLING GOD

League: MLB
Team A: Mets
Team B: Cubs
Pick: Cubs moneyline
Risk:$100 to win $130
Time: 4:00 PM PT

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:05 PM
IVEY WALTERS

2% Kansas City Royals -145

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:06 PM
RIVER CITY SHARPS

Wish I could tell you some fancy story on why this one has popped up on our radar, but to be honest…this is a complete value play. We get one of the hottest teams in baseball in the Orioles travelling to Cleveland to take on Corey Kluber and the Indians. While we will acknowledge that Kluber has been tremendous, this price is way too high for us and when you consider that the Orioles are giving the ball to W.Y. Chen tonight, it makes the road puppy all that much more appealing. Chen has been really solid for the O’s, other than his last start, and have won five of his last six outings. We fully know that Kluber can be dominant, but a little “regression to the mean” is in order and we think the hot bats from Baltimore may be able to get to the Cleveland ace. The Orioles are an impressive 10-1 in the last 11 game one of a series and 39-19 in their last 58 games following an off day. The Tribe hasn’t been a real profitable home favorite as of late, dropping five of their last six games in that spot. We are recommending the value play here tonight with the Orioles. The Sharps say…

3 UNITS – BALTIMORE ORIOLES (+135)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:07 PM
Ben Burns

10* MLB Blue Chip Super Total
METS Under 7.5

MLB Run-line Personal Favorite
Philly +1.5 -175

*major Blowout* MLB Blue Marlin *special
Cleveland -160 ML

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:07 PM
Indian Cowboy
English Premier League
6* Play. Take Queens Park Rangers Pk over Hull City
3* Play. Take Everton Pk over Leicester

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:07 PM
Maddux

10* Twins +131

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:08 PM
Indian Cowboy
3* Braves/A's UNDER 7

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:08 PM
Trev Rogers

Lions/Raiders OVER 39.5 (-110)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:09 PM
Doc's Sports
2014-08-16 (1 days)


WNBA Premium Picks



League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


WNBA
Aug 15 ,2014
7:05p
[601] Washington Mystics[602] Connecticut Sun
Total 145½ un-105
at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


4-Unit Play. #601. Take Under 146 Washington vs. Connecticut (Friday @ 7:05pm est) These two teams make for a likely under because the last time they met the game went into overtime and Connecticut was the tough luck loser to Washington. That's going to change here probably as Connecticut plays to their strong defense at home especially with revenge here and we like them to step up here as what they do is they play better defense when they face tougher opponents who they have revenge against at home. The Under is a solid 5-0 for the Mystics off a straight up loss and the Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams as they are highly familiar with each other.




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MLB Premium Picks



League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


MLB
Aug 15 ,2014
7:05p
[967] Baltimore Orioles[968] Cleveland Indians
Total 7 un-115
at bovada (http://www.bovada.lv/)


3-unit Play Take Baltimore Orioles/Cleveland Indians UNDER (7:05pm EST) Two stud pitchers go at it today in Cleveland as the Indians host the Orioles. Wei-Yin Chen is throwing the ball really well right now and has his ERA below 4.00 despite pitching in the AL East. Chen's stuff can't be categorized as dominant but he's a master of mixing up his pitches and keeping hitters off balance. The Indians struggle with left-handers, so they will have their work cut out for themselves. This is his third season in the majors and the opposition still hasn't been able to figure out a good way to attack Chen. But as good as Chen has been this season, Indians starter has been light years better. Kluber is pitching better than just about anyone in baseball at the moment. He's 13-6 with a 2.46 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 25 starts and just keeps getting better in each start. Over his las t four outings, Kluber is 3-0 with a 0.29 ERA and 0.57 WHIP. That's not a misprint. Kluber is off the charts and who knows what else he is capable of. The Orioles have a nice lineup, but I don't see anyone getting to Kluber at the moment. This one has all the makings of a pitcher's duel. Take the Under.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports





League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


MLB
Aug 15 ,2014
7:05p
[965] Seattle Mariners[966] Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners +121
at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


5-unit Play Take #965 Seattle Mariners over Detroit Tigers (7:05pm EST) Not many would have predicted that the Detroit Tigers would be sitting in second place in the AL Central in mid-August, but that's exactly where they find themselves at the moment. Poor defense, a fragile bullpen and injuries have been the main culprits thus far. Detroit is just 12-16 since the All-Star break and their schedule hasn't been all that tough during that stretch. For a lot of clubs I would just chalk it about to bad variance or a series of unfortunate events, but I think it's deeper than that with the Tigers. The team chemistry isn't quite right and I think they are fully aware of their weaknesses and let it get into their own heads at times. Manager Brad Ausmus feels lost at times with this team and it will be interesting to see if he can right the ship down the stretch. Today they get a tough matchup against left-hander James Paxton of the Mariners. Paxton has been sensational since being called up from the minors a few weeks ago. In four starts he has a tidy 2.38 ERA and 0.93 WHIP to go along with an impressive 22-5 K/BB ratio. He has also faced some tough lineups in those starts going up against the White Sox, Orioles and Angels twice. Paxton was a highly-touted pitching prospect in the Seattle organization for the last couple of years, so his performance isn't a complete shocker. As a result, I think he can continue his dominance in Detroit against a struggling Tigers team. Rick Porcello will be pitching on short rest after a two-inning relief appearance in the marathon game in Toronto earlier this week. That could be enough to throw off his routine and give the M's a few better looks at the right-hander. This is a big series for both teams and I like the road team to get the job done today. Take Seattle behind Paxton.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:09 PM
Alright we're back with a system play in Week 2 of the preseason. Our final play of last week was a winner, as the Giants covered the spread against the Steelers. One play tonight, and probably a few coming tomorrow for the weekend.
IMPORTANT - Please note that I don't bet much at all on my preseason picks. There are too many "unknowns" in the preseason, so I keep my bets small. I also don't keep my preseason record towards my yearly record, as I bet a fraction of the amount on these preseason picks.
San Diego Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks - SEAHAWKS -6 (-109)
Cheers,
Kevin

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:09 PM
Kevin's Pick(s):
A profitable day yesterday with the Tigers winning and covering the run line. Two more system picks today ...
2 UNIT = Oakland Athletics @ Atlanta Braves - ATHLETICS TO WIN (+105)
Listed Pitchers: Hammel vs Wood
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.10 units)
2 UNIT = Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies - REDS TO WIN (-165)
Listed Pitchers: Cueto vs Morales
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.21 units)


Kyle's Pick(s)
5 UNIT = L.A. Angels @ Texas Rangers - ANGELS -1.5 (-115)
Listed Pitchers: Richards vs. Martinez
(Note: I'm risking 5.00 units to win 4.35 units)
I was feeling confident, but a big inning by the Royals put my wager in the garbage. I haven't had a 5 unit play in awhile, but that changes tonight as I look to take advantage of another abysmal pitcher in the Rangers' rotation.
Not only do the Rangers have some gas cans in their rotation, but it doesn't help either playing in this ballpark. It typically yields plenty of runs and their starting pitching has been doing that on a consistent basis. There are injuries galore for the Rangers, which has also been a problem for their offense. To demonstrate how difficult it can be sometimes to pitch in Texas, take for instance Nicholas Martinez. Martinez has a shoddy ERA of 5.22 overall, but I think a pitching machine may pose more of a challenge at home than Martinez does. He is averaging more than 2 runners on base per inning, as his 2.09 WHIP indicates. Also, his OBP is sky high with a .426. This all adds up to one poor ERA of 7.86 at home. It goes without saying that Martinez hasn't won a game at home, where he is 0-4. On occasion you' see numbers from a guy like this that has only pitched a few innings, but that isn't the case here, Martinez has 26.1 under his belt in Texas. Conversely, Garrett Richards is a polar opposite on the road of what Martinez is at home. Richards boasts an ERA of 1.91 on the road to go along with a 0.91 WHIP and .243 OBP. He`s been hot recently as well, entering with a 2.01 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, and .207 OBP his last three outings. In his last two he`s only given up a run and 8 hits. The Angels at 70-49 are looking at making some noise in October, meanwhile the 47-74 Rangers are booking vacations. Expect an easy Angels win here, so I`ll be on the -1.5 for 5 units Friday night.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:10 PM
Jimmy Boyd
2014-08-16 (1 days)


MLB Premium Picks

Top Pick


League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


MLB
Aug 15 ,2014
8:10p
[975] Kansas City Royals[976] Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins +128
at bovada (http://www.bovada.lv/)


5* AL Central Game of the Month on Twins +
It's easy to assume that the Royals will just come into Minnesota and make easy work of the last place Twins, but I think this is a difficult spot for Kansas City coming off that huge homestand against the A's. It can be difficult to maintain your edge against a bad team after going up against the best, while Minnesota on the other hand is going to come into this series motivated against the division leaders. Keep in mind that the Twins have taken 4 of 6 at home against the Royals this season and the overall series is split at 6-6.
You also might not think the Twins have any chance given today's pitching matchup. Minnesota's Ricky Nolasco is 5-7 with a 5.90 ERA and 1.621 WHIP over 18 starts, while Kansas City's Danny Duffy is 7-10 with a 2.57 ERA and 1.089 WHIP. However, Nolasco just recently held the Royals to 1 run over 6 innings at home back on July 1. It's also worth noting that Duffy comes in having received a win in each of his last two starts. Duffy has never won 3 straight decisions in his career.
There's a solid system backing the Twins in this one based off what appears to be a lopsided pitching matchup. Home teams with a money line of +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.600 to 1.700 on the season-AL that has walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings are 38-17 since 1997. That's a 69% system in favor of the Twins. Take Minnesota!





League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


MLB
Aug 15 ,2014
10:15p
[963] Philadelphia Phillies[964] San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants -139
at Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com)


3* MLB Late Night Bailout on Giants -
The Giants were able to put an end to their 5-game losing streak with a 7-1 win over the White Sox on Wednesday and I look for them to keep the momentum going off a much-needed day of rest. It also helps that they are taking on the slumping Phillies, who have lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall. Both teams will send out quality starters, as the Giants give the ball to Madison Bumgarner and the Phillies go with Cole Hamels. While Hamels has been lights out of late, Bumgarner allowed just 5 hits over 8 shutout innings in his only start against Philadelphia this season.
As good as Hamels has been, he finds himself in a spot where he's struggled in the past. Hamels last pitched on Aug. 9, which means he's had a full 5 days of rest instead of the regular 4. That's important to note, because he's just 5-15 in his last 20 starts working on 5 or 6 days of rest. Adding to this is the fact that San Francisco is 19-9 in their last 28 against the NL East and 28-11 in Bumgarner's last 39 starts after walking 1 or less batters in each of his last 2 starts. These 3 trends combine to form a 71% (62-25) system in favor of the Giants. Take San Francisco!

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:10 PM
FantasySportsGametime

FRIDAY NFL FOOTBALL

1000* Play New England -3 over Philadelphia (TOP NFL PLAY)

Philadelphia has lost 30 of the last 45 preseason games against the spread when the line posted is between +3 to -3 and they have lost 11 of the last 15 preseason games against the spread when playing as a road underdog of three points or less.Philadelphia has lost 22 of the last 36 preseason games against the spread coming off an OVER the total in their last game and they have lost 20 of the last 31 preseason games against the spread vs. AFC East Division Opponents.


1000* Play New Orleans -3 over Tennessee (TOP NFL PLAY)

New Orleans has covered the spread in 5 consecutive preseason games coming off a win in their last game and they have covered the spread in 7 of the last 8 preseason non-conference games.New Orleans has covered the spread in 4 consecutive preseason games coming off an OVER the total in their last game and they have covered the spread in 6 of the last 8 preseason games vs. Tennessee.


1000* Play Oakland -2.5 over Detroit (TOP NFL PLAY)

Detroit has lost 15 of the last 21 preseason games against the spread when playing on a natural grass field and they have lost 23 of the last 38 preseason games against the spread when playing as an underdog.Detroit has lost three consecutive preseason games against the spread vs. Oakland and they are only averaging 13 points a game on offense in preseason games this year.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:11 PM
FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Cincinnati -135 over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)

Johnny Cueto has won 11 of the last 17 games vs. NL East Division Opponents and he has won 20 of the last 29 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season.Johnny Cueto has won 38 of the last 52 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 7 of the last 9 games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs.

================================================== ===

50* Play Kansas City -150 over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Cleveland -165 over Baltimore (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:11 PM
BeatYourBookie

FRIDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Boston -130 over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Houston is 19-49 when playing in the month of August
Houston is 25-45 when playing on a Friday
Houston is 21-39 vs. AL East Division Opponents


10* Play St. Louis -120 over San Diego (MLB TOP PLAY)

Tyson Ross is 6-17 when pitching as an underdog of +100 to +150
Tyson Ross is 2-6 when pitching on a Friday
Tyson Ross is 14-27 when pitching in night games


=============================================

5* Play New York Yankees +135 over Tampa Bay (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play New York Mets -130 over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:11 PM
XpertPicks

FRIDAY

TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY



Play New England -3 over Philadelphia---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL


New England has covered the spread in 20 of the last 32 preseason games when playing as a home favorite of seven points or less and they have covered the spread in 22 of the last 35 preseason games vs. NFC East Division Opponents.New England has covered the spread in 21 of the last 34 preseason games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game and they have covered the spread in 7 of the last 11 preseason games vs. Philadelphia.




Play Seattle -6 over San Diego---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL


Seattle has covered the spread in 22 of the last 29 preseason games vs. AFC West Division Opponents and they have covered the spread in 23 of the last 32 preseason games coming off a loss in their last game.Seattle has covered the spread in 7 consecutive preseason games when playing as a favorite and they have covered the spread in 20 of the last 30 preseason games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game.

================================================== ========



TOP CANADIAN FOOTBALL PLAYS



Play Edmonton -7 over Ottawa----RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:12 PM
XpertPicks

FRIDAY BASEBALL




Play Boston -130 over Houston----Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)

7:00 PM EST

Dallas Keuchel has lost 25 of the last 36 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has lost 10 of the last 11 games when pitching in the month of August. Dallas Keuchel has lost 18 of the last 29 road games and he has lost 14 of the last 21 games when pitching as an underdog of +125 to +175.





Play St. Louis -120 over San Diego----Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
8:00 PM EST


Lance Lynn has won 53 of the last 78 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has won 10 of the last 15 games when pitching on a Friday. Lance Lynn has won 30 of the last 44 home games and he has won 43 of the last 65 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:12 PM
Jack Jones
2014-08-16 (2 days)


MLB Premium Picks

Top Pick


League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


MLB
Aug 15 ,2014
8:05p
[973] Los Angeles Angels[974] Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels -1½-120
at Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com)


20* AL Friday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (-120)

The Los Angeles Angels (70-49) have the second-best record in baseball. They trail the Oakland A's by just two games for the AL West lead and will be laying it all on the line the rest of the way to go for it. They had a day off yesterday and not get to face the league-worst Texas Rangers (47-74), who did not have yesterday off and lost the Rays (6-3).

Garrett Richards has been one of the most underrated starters in the league this season. The right-hander has gone 12-4 with a 2.54 ERA and 1.015 WHIP in 24 starts, including 7-2 with a 1.91 ERA and 0.909 WHIP in 13 road starts. Richards is 4-1 with a 3.21 ERA in nine career starts against Texas. He has allowed one earned run over 13 innings in his last two starts against the Rangers this season.

Nick Martinez is easily one of the w orst starters in baseball. The right-hander has gone 2-8 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.636 WHIP in 15 starts and eight relief appearances this season. Martinez has been at his worst at home, going 0-4 with a monstrous 10.18 ERA and 2.361 WHIP in five starts.

The Angels are 7-0 in their last seven meetings with the Rangers with six of those victories coming by two runs or more. The Rangers are 0-9 against the run line (-11.8 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher who throws more than 6.5 innings per start this season. Texas is 0-9 against the run line (-11.4 Units) in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better this season. These three trends combine for a perfect 25-0 system backing Los Angeles. Bet the Angels on the Run Line Friday.





League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


MLB
Aug 15 ,2014
8:15p
[957] San Diego Padres[958] St. Louis Cardinals
Total 7 un-117
at Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com)


15* NL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Padres/Cardinals UNDER 7

Two of the worst offenses in the league square off tonight in the Padres (3.3 RPG, .225 AVG) and the Cardinals (3.7 RPG, .251 AVG). I look for an absolute pitcher's duel tonight between two of the most underrated starters in baseball.

Tyson Ross has been dominant, going 11-10 with a 2.63 ERA and 1.183 WHIP in 25 starts with 160 strikeouts over 160 2/3 innings. He is 2-0 with a 2.50 ERA in his last three starts as well. Ross has faced the Cardinals once in his career, allowing one earned run over six innings of a 3-1 Padres' victory on July 29.

Lance Lynn is having the best year of his career. The right-hander has gone 12-8 with a 2.97 ERA in 24 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 2.41 ERA in his last three. Lynn has been at his best at home, going 7-3 with a 2.60 ERA in 13 starts.

Lynn is 8-0 UNDER (+8.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last two seasons. The UNDER is 21-5-3 in Padres last 29 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The UNDER is 27-10-1 in Ross' last 38 starts. The UNDER is 7-0 in Lynn's last seven home starts. Take the UNDER in this game Friday.





League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


MLB
Aug 15 ,2014
7:05p
[965] Seattle Mariners[966] Detroit Tigers
Total 8 un+101
at Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com)


15* AL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Mariners/Tigers UNDER 8

I look for a pitcher's duel tonight between the Seattle Mariners and Detroit Tigers. While Seattle has been terrible at the plate (3.9 RPG, .246 AVG) this year, it has made up for it by having the best team ERA in the majors. In fact, their team ERA is sub-3.00 for the season. Opponents are only hitting .224 and scoring 3.2 RPG against them this year.

James Paxton has been one of the bright young stars in Seattle's farm system. He has gotten his chance to start briefly this season, and he has made the most of it. Paxton has gone 2-0 with a 2.38 ERA and 0.927 WHIP in four starts this year, including 1-0 with a 1.59 ERA in two road starts.

Rick Porcello is making his case as to why he should remain in Detroit's rotation. The right-hander is having his finest season yet, going 13-7 with a 3 .11 ERA and 1.144 WHIP over 22 starts and one relief appearance. Porcello is 1-1 with a 1.23 ERA in his last three starts, and 4-2 with a 3.48 ERA in seven career starts against Seattle.

The UNDER is 40-17-2 in Mariners last 59 games overall. The UNDER is 25-8-1 in Mariners last 34 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. The UNDER is 16-5 in Tigers last 21 vs. a team with a winning record. The UNDER is 5-0 in Tigers last five games following a win. Roll with the UNDER in this game Friday.




[ back to top (https://us-mg5.mail.yahoo.com/neo/launch?.rand=2gpfd2gg6k6h3#top_label) ]
NFLX Premium Picks

Top Pick


League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


NFLX
Aug 15 ,2014
10:00p
[409] San Diego Chargers[410] Seattle Seahawks
San Diego Chargers +6-105
at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


20* NFLX Friday No-Brainer on San Diego Chargers +6

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:12 PM
Doc's Sports
2014-08-16 (2 days)


CFL Premium Picks



League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


CFL
Aug 15 ,2014
7:35p
[123] Edmonton Eskimos[124] Ottawa Redblacks
Edmonton Eskimos -7-120
at bovada (http://www.bovada.lv/)


Edmonton at Ottawa, Friday August 15, 7:30 pm ET

8 Unit Play: Take Edmonton

Ottawa looked confused and outclassed at Calgary last time out. Edmonton has a defense that is every bit as good as Calgary's, and an offense that is perhaps only a touch worse. Being at home will help the RedBlacks somewhat, but the spread is nearly a touchdown less to compensate for that. Edmonton is, by a wide margin, the better team here. The game against Calgary wasn't nearly as close as it seemed for Ottawa because Ottawa tightened it up after Calgary had taken their feet off the gas. This is an expansion team that is playing like one, and Edmonton will exploit them badly.





League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


CFL
Aug 16 ,2014
3:05p
[125] Calgary Stampeders[126] Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Calgary Stampeders -3-110
at bovada (http://www.bovada.lv/)


Calgary at Hamilton, Saturday August 16, 3 pm ET

6 Unit Play: Take Calgary

Hamilton is still a flawed and challenged team that has yet to find their stride and is still facing uncertainty at quarterback because of injuries. Calgary snapped out of a bit of a funk last week with their big win over Ottawa, and they are going to be able to carry that momentum forward here. Hamilton is still not playing in their new stadium, so they really lack a home field advantage in their tiny and temporary setting. Calgary has an advantage in every matchup on the field at this point, and the West has dominated the East this year so far. That trend will continue. Calgary is a nice play here.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:13 PM
Doc's Sports
2014-08-16 (2 days)


NFLX Premium Picks



League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


NFLX
Aug 15 ,2014
7:30p
[403] Philadelphia Eagles[404] New England Patriots
New England Patriots -2½-120
at BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/)


1 Unit Play. #404/#403 Take New England Patriots over Philadelphia Eagles (Friday 7:30 pm) The coaches are big buddies but we will side with the Patriots in this affair. Coach Belichick has a winning record in the preseason and I expect a much better effort out of New England tonight than they showed at Washington last week. QB Tom Brady did not play in that game but rookie Jimmy Garoppolo actually looked good and that should give the Patriots the edge in the second half. The Patriots only have three quarterbacks on the roster and that is always a bonus compared to teams that have 4 quarterbacks.





League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


NFLX
Aug 15 ,2014
10:00p
[409] San Diego Chargers[410] Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks -6-105
at BMaker


1 Unit Play. #410/#510 Take Seattle Seahawks over San Diego Chargers (Friday 10 pm) The Seahawks finally lost a preseason game last week with a storm delay in the first half against Denver. Expect them to bounce back in a big way on Friday night against San Diego. Both teams played teams in Week 1 that they will play during the regular season so I do not put much stock in San Diego’s victory or Seattle’s loss.





League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


NFLX
Aug 16 ,2014
8:00p
[423] Atlanta Falcons[424] Houston Texans
Houston Texans -2½-125
at BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/)


1 Unit Play. #424/#524 Take Houston Texans over Atlanta Falcons (Saturday 8 pm) We won last week with the Texans and the under as they were shutout in an awful performance for new coach Bill O’Brien. I truly expect a much better performance out of them on Saturday night in their 2014 home opener. The Falcons are coming off a victory over Miami in Week 1 and that will likely be their only win of the 2014 Preseason since they went 0-4 in 2013 and 1-3 in 2012. Mike Smith is 8-17 straight-up in his coaching career. Houston was terrible last year and needs to get the fan base excited and I believe they will put forth a good effort on Saturday night.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:56 PM
Sean Murphy

10* underdog Philly

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:57 PM
Rooster

CARDINALS ML -127
TITANS +3

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:58 PM
Vegas Runner

(405)TENNESSEE +3.5 (-115)
(980) OVER 7 in OAK/ATL

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:59 PM
psychicsportspicks

PSYCHIC
(1-5)

Pass

WIIZARD
(1-10)

8 unit New England -2.5

JT WALKER
(all units same one unit)

1 unit Detroit -125

The Statman
(1-10)

8 unit NY Yankees +127

Michael Cash Money
(1-10)

7 unit San Diego +6

Genius
(1-10)

7 unit Tennessee +3

The Sports Report
(1-10)

10 unit Oakland -2.5

Totals 4 U
(1-100% ratings)

Pass until football

Sports Chick

Pass until football

Sports Advisors, Joe Wright
(1-10)

Pass until football

Iceman
(1-3)

Pass

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:59 PM
Phillygodfather

MLB (968) TOTAL UN 7 -120 BAL ORIOLES VRS. CLEVELAND INDIANS

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 05:59 PM
Teddy Covers

NFLX
Oak-3

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:00 PM
Alatex

Oakland -2.5

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:03 PM
Scott Delaney
100* cardinals (mlb)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:03 PM
Craig Davis
30* chargers

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:03 PM
Chris Jordan
600* Washington r line

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:04 PM
Al Demarco
5 * Washington

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:04 PM
David Banks
AUGUST 15, 2014
Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots

Two teams that held joint practices sessions with each other on Tuesday and
Wednesday will square off in their second NFL preseason game of the year
Friday night on NFL Network when the Philadelphia Eagles visit the New England
Patriots at Gillette Stadium at 7:30 ET. The Patriots also held joint
practices with the Washington Redskins before their preseason opener last week,
and that did not end well with the Patriots losing the actual game 23-6. The
Eagles also come off of a loss 34-28 to the Bears in Chicago, and what was
significant about that game was the Philadelphia offensive reserves outplayed
the starters after the Eagles were shut out in the first quarter.

Coach Chip Kelly has intimated this week that he may play his starters into
the second period in Week 2 and that he also plans to work on some
different formations, thus not being as "vanilla" with the play-calling as he was in
the opener. In other words, into the second quarter at least, expect to see
Nick Foles and LeSean McCoy in more or less regular season form in Kelly's
hurry-up offense before the back-ups get summoned and the vanilla schemes of
last week return. And how the Eagles perform in that first quarter and a
half or so could ultimately determine the outcome of this game, although if
the second and third stringers match last week's performance, Philadelphia may
not stop scoring. Also expect to see more of Darren Sproles with the first
team after he did not catch a pass last week, although he did carry the ball
three times for 11 yards. The one setback for Philadelphia is that Jeremy
Maclin, who is expected to take over as the primary receiver this season with
DeSean Jackson departed, is again doubtful with a knee injury. That may not
necessarily be a bad thing though as the Eagles can take a longer look at
their second round draft pick Jordan Matthews who seemed nervous while
dropping three passes in he opener but has excelled in training camp.

As for the Patriots, Tom Brady is expected to make his 2014 debut while
major free agent signee Darrelle Revis is expected to make his New England
debut. The difference though is that the Patriot starters do not figure to play
more than one quarter and maybe even just a couple of series. The Patriots
want to continue to take extended looks at Ryan Mallet, who was terrible in
the opener in what was rumored to be a trade audition, and rookie Jimmy
Garoppolo as that duo is still competing for the back-up quarterback job behind
Brady (assuming Mallet is still with the team). Mallet started last week and
was lousy completing 5-of-12 passes for just 55 yards with several of the
incompletions falling at the feet of his receivers. There have been rumors of
Mallet possibly going to the Houston Texans since before the NFL Draft,
which may have been a reason Houston did not select a quarterback in the draft,
but his opening performance looks like cause for concern.

The Patriots are just 8-15 ATS in their last 23 games as preseason
favorites. NFL preseason Week 2 underdogs coming off of a loss (Eagles) are a
mind-boggling 72-33-2, 68.6 percent ATS since 2000.PICK: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES+3

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:05 PM
Larry Ness

Insider Detroit Tigers

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:16 PM
GOODFELLA

Friday Night MLB Team Total

LA ANGELS – OVER 5.5 RUNS (-105)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:16 PM
The Shadow Sports Syndicate

MLB: #974 Kansas City

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:39 PM
Chris James Sports

Under Tigers 8.5
Under Cardinals 7
Reds -163

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:40 PM
Diamond Dog sports

#951: Pirates: +135 (2*)
Listed Pitchers: Morton/Roark



#955/956: Diamondbacks/Marlins: Over 7.5 (-110) (.5)
Listed Pitchers: Cahill/Hand


#405: Titans: +3.5 (-115) (.5)



#977/978: Blue Jays/White Sox: Over 8.5 (+100) (3*)
Listed Pitchers: Stroman/Noesi

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:41 PM
VegasButcher

#1: Seattle Mariners +121



The key to this game is Seattle’s starter, James Paxton. In his 4 starts this season he has a 26% K-rate, 4.4 K/BB ratio, and 2.4 ERA. His FIP is at 3.6 due to him allowing 3 HR’s in his 22.2 innings this year but that’s an anomaly as a his GB-rate of 61% is one of the best in the league and I guarantee (it’s a LOCK J ) that his 33% HR/FB ratio will go down as the sample size increases. If Paxton had enough innings to qualify he’d rank as my 7th overall starter. That’s impressive. But what is even more impressive is that he’s gotten these numbers against CHW, BAL, and LAA twice, all top offensive squads. Paxton has a 4-pitch repertoire and I expect him to hold this struggling Detroit lineup off-balance. In the last 30-days Detroit ranks 18th offensively and has a wRC+ of 89. In the same time-span, Mariners have a wRC+ of 90.



Remember that Porcello was needed on 08/10, 3 days after his start on 08/07, to come in and pitch 2 innings of relief in a marathon game against Toronto. He threw 36 pitches in that one. He did have 4-days off prior to today’s start but pitchers tend to prefer a set routine and sometimes a shift from that could have an effect. Porcello will face a lefty-heavy Seattle lineup today. He has a 2.0 K/BB rate with a 4.1 xFIP against lefties, compared to a 5.2 K/BB with 3.3 against right-handers. In addition, he’ll have to face Austin Jackson, who is facing his old ‘mates for the very first time since he was traded. You know he’ll want to play well in this one and who knows, maybe he’ll have some ‘inside info’ to share with the Mariners as well.



Mariners have a huge advantage in the bullpen where they rank 1st overall while Detroit is 26th. Detroit also had Chamberlain pitch in 2 straight days and 4 times in the last 6, Coke pitched yesterday making it his 4th appearance in the last 5, and Detroit’s big move to upgrade the BP (Joakim Soria) is already on the DL. Joe Nathan will be available but his 5.11 ERA and 24 BB’s in 44 inn is a welcome sight. Mariners are 10-3 this year with a day-off, 9-3 in August, and 31-23 on the road. By comparison, Detroit is only 32-27 at home for -8.2 Units and I have them once again overvalued tonight.





#2: Oakland Athletics +118



Hammel gets to face a National League team and I can hear him screaming for joy. He had a 2.98 ERA in the NL and a 5.9 ERA once he joined the AL. Well today he’s going up against an Atlanta team that ranks 26th offensively against righties. Hammel has allowed 1 ER in his last 12 innings and had 7 K’s in that span. The 6 BB’s he’s issued in these 2 games is a concern but he didn’t have an issue dominating Atlanta earlier this year (7 inn / 2 ER / 5 K to 1 BB) so I expect a solid outing from him tonight as well.



As far as Wood is concerned, he’s been sensational lately (3 ER’s in 20 innings), but he won’t be facing an ARZ, or a HOU, or a NYM, or a SEA, or a SD lineup today. He’ll be going up against the 6th best offensive team in the league that will have mostly right-handers in their lineup. Wood is coming off an extremely strong, but also strenuous outing on Sunday night, where he allowed only 1 ER while striking out 12 in 7.1 innings of work. In the process he threw 124 pitches, by far the most he’s thrown in his short MLB career. I wonder how he’s going to respond against the best team in all of baseball. Wood relies on his ‘curveball’ to be effective but the A’s rank top-10 offensively against the pitch. If he can’t properly utilize this ‘curve’, I don’t see his 90 mph fastball being very effective in this one. Wood has a 1.1 HR/9 rate against right-handers (compared to 0.5 for lefties) and there’s only 5 teams in the majors that have hit more homers than the A’s.



Oakland is 23-13 against lefties and 10-2 in inter-league play this year while Atlanta is only 4-10. Braves are also only 3-9 in August and have had a tough time beating ‘better’ teams lately. I like the A’s to get the job done tonight especially since they’re 30-18 after a loss this season.



#3: Los Angeles Angels -1.5 RL -130



When a terrible pitcher like Martinez gets his first win in 3 months, you take notice and see if you can fade him in his next start. Since June, Martinez has an ERA of 7.2, with a 1.9 HR/9 rate, and a 1.0 K/BB ratio. He ranks 168th out of 168 pitchers in my database and his 6.0/5.7/5.7 FxS all rank 168th as well. Now he’ll take on an Angels team that had a day off yesterday, have their best starter on the mound (Richards is #17 overall), have a bullpen that ranks #1 in the last 30-days, and most importantly are featuring a #1 offensive unit in all of baseball. With Angels getting all of their 27 outs tonight they’ll have maximum chances to score runs in this one. And even if Martinez is ‘on’ once again, he typically does not last past the 5th inning so the Angels will be hitting against Rangers’ 24th ranked BP for almost half of this game. Checking on Richards’ current form, over the last 30-days he has had a 4.3 K/BB ratio, 0.3 HR/9, 53% GB-rate, and 2.5/3.1/3.2 FxS. Basically he’s in top-form today and should be able to dominate this 26th ranked Rangers lineup. There are multiple ways that this play can hit, as either Richards dominates this Rangers lineup or LA’s offense goes off (or BOTH of course) and I think this is a very strong RL play tonight.



#4: Minnesota Twins +134



Nolasco is coming off the DL so he should be well rested for this one. He was sharp in his rehab work in the minors compiling 8K’s through 9 innings of work. Royals sometimes hit like a ‘minor league’ team so he could have a good game today. He got shelled @ KC this year (11 hits and 5 ER’s) but managed to hold the Royals to only 2 ER’s on 13 hits in 14 innings (2 starts) at home. Duffy has also pitched well ‘on the surface’ against MIN this year allowing 2 ER’s in 10.1 innings on 8 hits as a starter. He had 6 BB’s in his last outing against the Twins but managed to work around that. Somehow he allowed 4 hits and issued 6 BB’s in 5.2 innings but only allowed 1 ER. In his 15.2 total innings (some were in relief) against the Twins he allowed 8 hits and issued 9 BB’s but only 2 ER’s. In MLB, the average is 36% of base-runners scoring over the course of a season, so his total runs allowed to the Twins should have been over 6 based on 17 base-runners. Clearly he’s been “dodging some bullets”. Will 3rd time be the charm? Duffy didn’t see Mauer in that last outing and he’ll be available today. In addition, Duffy’s 5.0 xFIP for the 2nd half of the season is 3 runs higher than his 2.0 ERA – regression alert! Duffy’s season long ERA of 2.6 is already deflated (4.0/4.6/4.5 FxS with .227 BABIP and 80% strand-rate) but it’s even more deflated just in the 2nd half. So will today be the day when Duffy’s numbers start regressing a bit? Twins rank 9th offensively in the last 30-days and their 125 wRC+ over the last 2 weeks is 2nd in the league (only behind the Orioles’ 135). They are hitting the ball well right now averaging double-digits in hits over the last 6 games. Duffy also had a SIERA of 5.1 and 7.3 in his two starts against Minnesota this season, which is an indication that they’ve hit him hard, just a bit unlucky. At the current price, there’s a lot of value on the home team and I’m going bite. I expect a strong outing from Nolasco and for the Twinkies to plate some runs off Duffy tonight.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:42 PM
Bets That Profit

2* Diamondbacks/Marlins UNDER 7.5(-115)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:42 PM
Against the Number

410 Chargers at Seahawks UNDER 38.5

It's not generally advisable to show your hand to your opponent before it REALLY matters. These two teams face off early in the regular season so I don't anticipate much in the way of opening up the play books here. Even in a preseason game, Seattle is a tough place to play and I expect the Seahawks defense to be playing pumped up tonight after the L in Denver last week. The Seahawks offense struggled against Denver but again, I don't think they come out of the gates firing on all cylinders and will let the defense do the work for them. This is a pretty low number but it may even go down a bit more before kickoff. I smell a 17-13 kind of game here and even though it's Seahawks -7, if they cover that I don't think it will be in a high scoring affair.



408 Oakland -2.5

To say that the Lions were sloppy last week would be an understatement. There's just something about that team that can't quite get it together. Also sloppy? The Raiders. Between those two games there was a SERIOUS amount of bad football being played. I do think however that Oakland was playing the far superior defensive squad, on the road, and thus I'm willing to give them a bit more of a pass. Raider fans are just begging for something to be positive about, and like Jags fans were treated to last night, I think they'll get to see their new franchise rookie QB step out some more tonight. Carr should get plenty of work tonight and I think he'll have some success against this questionable Lions team. Moore and Orlovsky were serviceable in moving the ball until it mattered last week, and that was in the friendly confines of Ford Field. Tonight will be a different atmosphere and I think the Lions struggle to get points again. Oakland takes this one 23-16 .

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:42 PM
Brandon Lang

20 DIME MONEY MOVE
Seahawks

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:43 PM
POWER PLAY WINS

3 Units Tampa Bay Rays -135 (Cobb)
3 Units St Louis Cardinals -130 (Lynn)
3 Units Cincinnati Reds -140 (Cueto)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:44 PM
Brad Wilton

Underdog Shocker
Cubs

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:44 PM
Trace Adams

2000* A.L. Showdown Game of the Year
Detroit Tigers

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:45 PM
Gabriel DuPont

40 Dime MLB
Dog Shocker Game of the Month
Rockies

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:45 PM
Dwayne Bryant

Game Time: 8:10 pm ET

Sport: MLB

Rotation #975

Bet: KANSAS CITY ROYALS -140

List Duffy & Nolasco

Amount: 2 Units (Regular-sized bet)
•KC is 18-4 in their last 22 games
•Since 4/15, KC is 5-0 as road chalk of -130 or more (margin +3.2 rpg)
•Duffy owns a team record of 4-0 as chalk this season after a start in which he walked more than two batters (margin +6 rpg)
•Duffy owns a team record of 5-0 as chalk this season in night time starts (margin +4.2 rpg)
•Brian Dozier is the only Twins hitter that has had decent success against Duffy in more than a handful of at-bats
•Nolasco is making his first start since coming off the DL
•More than a handful of KC hitters have had very good success against Nolasco
•Twins are 0-13 this season when they lost the last time they faced this starting pitcher (margin -3.1 rpg)
•Since 4/27, Twins are 0-6 as home dogs of +130 or more (margin -4.2 rpg)
•KC bullpen more than capable of closing the door on this one tonight

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:47 PM
Fezzik


Sdc/Seahawks under. Double


Oak NFL single


Cfl game under single

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:47 PM
Anthony Redd

25 Dime Football Trifecta
Saints
Lions
Chargers

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:48 PM
Jeff Benton

50 DIME Winner # 9 in a Row
A.L. Lock Total
Boston Red Sox Over

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:49 PM
WAYNE ROOT

MILLIONAIRE seattle seahawks

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:49 PM
Kelso

50 Lions
10 Seahawks
50 Tampa Bay

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:51 PM
SPORTS BANK

tennessee

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:51 PM
charlie sports

titans +3
lions over 38.5
clevand under 7.5

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:53 PM
J.R. Stevens/SMOOTH44

NFLX
Seattle -6

MLB
Pittsburgh +145

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:57 PM
Andre Gomes | MLB RunLine
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 973 Los Angeles Angels RL-1.5 (w/ G. Richards) @ -130 / 1.77 on BetOnline (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fpartners.commission.bz%2Fpr ocessing%2Fclickthrgh.asp%3Fbtag%3Da_36640b_127)

We've faded the Rangers last night, and w/ tonight's pitching matchup Richards vs. Martinez I have no other choice than fading them once again.

We are dealing w/ a rested team that will face a struggling pitcher. After some rough performances, Nicholas Martinez is finally coming from a decent outing in which he allowed 2 ER's in 5IP's of work. Still, there are some red flags about that performance as his pitch count = ridiculous high 20.4 P/IP number! No wonder he couldn't pass the 5th inning even though he threw 102 pitches! He has already faced LAA lineup, so the "surprise factor" won't help him in here.

On the other end, Garrett Richards is coming from another decent performance. He has faced some potent offenses lately like DET, BAL or LAD and has been able to give his team a chance to win. With this pitching mismatch favoring LAA, I expect them to roll past the Rangers tonight.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 06:57 PM
Sheep

All 1000

Stl -130
tor/cws over 8.5
hou/bos under 8.5
laa/tex over 9
det/oak over 39.5

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 07:05 PM
Topshelfpicks

Carson K - 1* Twins

For some weird reason Ricky Nolasco steps up his game when he faces the Royals. He had 18 starts this year and only 3 of them are worth talking about. 2 of those 3 came against KC. 4/12 he went 8in, 5h, 1r, 1bb & 4Ks. Then again on 7/1, he went 6in, 8h, 1r, 0bb & 3Ks. Both games picking up the win.

Can we also see a let down from KC? After losing 4 in a row after the AS break, they went on to win 18 of their next 22.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 07:05 PM
NonStopSportsPicks

2* Chargers +6

This is just TOO much and I think the Chargers have more to play for than the SeaChickens tonight. Really, this is a line based a LOT on the perception that "if Seattle almost beat Denver in Denver, than they'll destroy SD at home". It just doesn't work that easily, and honestly, I don't see WHAT the Seahawks have to play for. The Chargers looked AWESOME against the Cowboys, especially the 2nd and third string guys. And I just see this being a closer game than 6. I also see a LOW total, and that means more VALUE to taking the points.

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 07:06 PM
LineCatchers

The Braves have played poor baseball over the last 3 weeks but I believe this match up on Friday is a great situational spot to back them at home against the Oakland Athletics.

Oakland has dropped 4 of of their last 5 games and send righty Jason Hammel to the mound. Hammel has pitched very well at home this year but is only 4-7 with a 4.29 ERA in 13 road starts in 2014. In 11 ‘Night’ starts this season, Hammel has pitched to a 4.09 ERA and 1.44 WHIP over 62 IP. Opponents have hit Hammel at a rate of .288 in those games under the lights.

Alex Wood gets the nod the the Braves and comes into this game with a stingy 2.74 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over 8 (55 IP) home starts this season and has an impressive 1.33 ERA over his last 3 starts. Wood has allowed 3 ER or fewer in 12 of his 16 starts this year and has been one of the most consistent performers for the Braves this year without getting much run support.

The Braves’ bats need to find their swing tonight and they should get a spark from Freddie Freeman, who is hitting .517 over Atlanta’s last eight games and is 4 for 5 with a HR over his career against Hammel.

Atlanta Braves - 127

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 07:06 PM
WNBA Picks - Roxxyfish

Very hard to bet the last games of the regular season ,most teams rest starters if they already secured a paly off spot or give slightly imjured players the chance to recover, thats why i always have my eyes on underdogs in the last rounds

and today the underdog i like the most are the Seattle Storm, they are not totally out of the play off picture, if they win there last two and San Antonio loses their last two seattle would finish in 4th place in the Western Conference

the LA Sparks have their play off spot, they are a banged up team and i am sure they rest MVP Candace Parker tonight who is still suffering from a knee imjury and also Nneka Ogwumike is expected to be out, Lindsey Harding and Armentie Harrington are both not 100%

we will see the same farce we saw in the Atlanta Mercury game a couple days ago,I will not say the Sparks will tank this game but theey will surely avoid the strong physical game Seattle usually plays,its the Storms last chance and they will show up tonight, Brian Agler is a excellent coach and will have his team prepared,there are also no injuries reported on teh Storm roster I go with the Seattle Storm today plus the points and might risk a unit on the Moneyline ,as i dont see the Sparks even try tonight

so my selection for tonight SEATTLE STORM +6.5 10:35 PM EST

(and if you got balls throw a small unit on the ML) +248

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 07:06 PM
Sports Junkie

08-15-14: MLB: Oakland vs Braves (7:35 pm est.)

$500 MLB Play: Braves ML -129 (Bovada (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Frecord.bettingpartners.com% 2F_pO1vV3scjG8UbyPgnoR23mNd7ZgqdRLk%2F1%2F)) <------ (Pending)

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 07:14 PM
Worlds Worst Picker

St Louis
Seattle
Houston
Minnesota
oakland

Can'tPickAWinner
08-15-2014, 08:42 PM
James jones


3u titans