8-24-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

WEEK 9

Calgary (6-1) @ Ottawa (1-6)-- Stampeders (-13) led 28-7 at half two weeks ago in a 38-17 home win over Ottawa; Stamps held RedBlacks to 39 rushing yards- they're 3-0 as road favorites, with wins on foreign soil by 19-4-10 points (+5 turnover ratio on road). Ottawa lost its last four games but covered two of three as home underdog, upsetting Toronto, losing by 24-2 points- they lost to Eskimos 10-8 last week, after leading at half for 4th time in seven games- they've averaged 13 ppg in last thee games, after averaging 19.8 ppg in first four. Three of last four games for both sides went over total.

Saskatchewan (5-2) @ BCLions (5-3)-- Lions (+5) upset defending champs 26-13 in Regina back in Week 3, avenging loss from LY's playoffs. Riders' 31-17 (+3) win here LY snapped four-game skid in this building. BC had 186 rushing yards first meeting; Saskatchewan hasn't allowed 100+ on ground since- they're 4-0 since that loss, wnning last two weeks by 6-5 points. Lions won last three games, five of six since 0-2 start; they're 2-2 SU at home, but covered three of last four when favoried. 19 of last 24 series games stayed under total, as have six of eight Lion games, four of last five Roughrider games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 8
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 5-0 straight up in Week 8
-- Favorites went 3-2 ATS in Week 8
-- Road teams posted a 3-2 SU record in Week 8
-- Road teams posted a 3-2 ATS record in Week 8
-- The 'under' went 3-2 in Week 8

Team Betting Notes

-- Toronto (3-5) has won two of the past three games, and they're also 2-1 ATS over the span. The Argonauts have opened up a solid game-and-a-half lead in the East Division. The Argos had a rare two-game week, losing to the BC Lions (5-3) in the second game Sunday, 33-17.

-- The Lions have won three straight games for the first time this season, and they have gone 3-0 ATS during the impressive span. The game went 'under' snapping a two-game 'over' streak. The under is now 6-2 for the Lions this season.

-- Montreal (1-6) slipped up for the fifth consecutive game Saturday againts Saskatchewan (5-2), but they covered the nearly two-touchdown spread in the 16-11 loss against the defending champs.

-- The win for the Roughriders was their fourth straight, but they failed to cover for the first time since July 12. The 'under' has also cashed in four of their past five outings.

-- Calgary (6-1) covered on the road at Hamilton (1-6), maintaining a tie for first place with Edmonton (6-1). The Stamps have covered three of the past four, and seven of their seven this season. The 'under' is also 5-2 for Calgary, as the under hit against the TiCats after two straight overs.

-- The Esks struggled against expansion Ottawa (1-6), winning just 10-8. Edmonton has alternated covers and non-covers in each of the past four games. The constant with the Esks is the 'under' cashing in six of their seven outings.

-- After being in first place two weeks ago, Winnipeg (5-3) has fallen on hard time and dropped back-to-back games. After starting out 3-0 ATS, the Blue Bombers are 2-3 ATS over the past five.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting News and Notes Week 8
By Ian Cameron

Here are my CFL Week 8 News & Notes as I take a look at each team from a betting perspective.

Toronto Argonauts (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS)

Toronto had a busy Week 8 by playing two games in the span five days. They took advantage of their bye week by trouncing Winnipeg, 38-21, but the tables turned when BC took advantage of eight days off and really wore down the Argos late en route to a 33-17 win. Quarterback Ricky Ray and his new look receiving corps -- due to multiple injuries -- fired on all cylinders against Winnipeg as Ray tossed four touchdowns. But it was a different story against BC’s stout defense with the Argos scoring just a lone touchdown while also coughing up a few turnovers. Toronto can’t be held to too much blame for the BC loss as the schedule really conspired against them but it doesn’t get easier with a daunting road trip to Edmonton (6-1) on deck.

Montreal Alouettes (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS)

The change to quarterback Alex Brink didn’t result in a win as the Alouettes notched only 11 points in the loss to Saskatchewan but I did spot some positives with Brink under center. He managed to run out of the pocket for a few first downs and was able to move the football effectively between the 20’s. Unfortunately the red zone acted as a mouse trap for the Alouettes throughout the game where drives stalled and/or they turned the football over. A Brandon Whitaker fumble inside the 10-yard line set the tone early and they never recovered. The defense bounced back with their best performance in weeks but it was still not quite good enough. Montreal will be on the road for a second straight week against a rested Winnipeg team that has been off since last Tuesday. It will be interesting to see if an extra week of work can put Brink in a better position to succeed. Note that Winnipeg’s defense gave up an uncharacteristically high 38 points against Toronto last time out.

Ottawa RedBlacks (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS)

I give Ottawa credit as they competed toe-to-toe with one of the league’s best teams but ultimately couldn’t come up with its second win of the season. Edmonton prevailed 10-8 in a game dominated by defense and missed opportunities on offense. The box score will show that Ottawa quarterback Henry Burris didn’t have a good game with only 18 completions and 8 points but the number of dropped passes by Ottawa’s receivers was staggering. The defense had one of its best games of the season albeit against an Edmonton team that had some key injuries on offense. Ottawa earned a wire-to-wire pointspread cover as touchdowns underdogs at home despite the 10-8 loss. They’re catching +9 this week vs. the 6-1 Calgary Stampeders. The spot is certainly in Ottawa’s favor with a second straight home tilt while Calgary plays its second of back-to-back road games in the Eastern Time Zone. But there is a massive talent gap between the two teams as evidenced when Calgary demolished Ottawa 38-17 at McMahon Stadium two weeks ago.

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (1-6 SU, 1-5-1 ATS)

Hamilton had yet another chance to win a close game at home against Calgary but a devastating fourth quarter injury to quarterback Dan LeFevour completely changed the complexion of the game. He left and didn’t return and now there is speculation his season may be done with a suspected torn ACL. With Hamilton trailing 23-20 with three minutes left, backup Jeremiah Masoli threw a horrific INT and Calgary later punched in a game clinching touchdown with mere seconds left. That crushed Hamilton bettors (including myself) holding +3, +3.5 or +4 as Calgary went on time win, 30-20. I’m not convinced Masoli is the answer which is a concern moving forward. Hamilton is now 1-6 despite a handful of tough losses by a touchdown or less and enter their bye week needing an answer under center. Zach Collaros is still an unknown as to when he will return and with LeFevour’s season possibly being done it’s either Masoli or their pair of practice roster quarterbacks, Stephen McGee or Jacory Harris. Hamilton’s is likely looking at the trade market with quality and experienced backups like Drew Tate (Calgary) and Kevin Glenn (BC) as potential candidates.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS)

In my mind there was no doubt Winnipeg was due for regression following a 5-1 start. They have since lost back-to-back games against Saskatchewan and Toronto but certainly have a favorable chance to get back in the winning column against the reeling Montreal Alouettes on Friday. The Blue Bombers defense had its worst game of the season last week allowing 38 points and four touchdown passes to Ricky Ray and the Argos. Winnipeg has a couple of key defensive injuries to contend with but get a much needed boost offensively with the expected return of receiver Nick Moore. Montreal was competitive last week despite the 16-11 loss in Saskatchewan covering the number as double digit road dogs.

Edmonton Eskimos (6-1 SU, 6-1 ATS)
Edmonton was far from sharp in its ugly win over Ottawa but a win is a win and good teams typically find ways to when their A-game isn’t present. The offense was bogged down as quarterback Mike Reilly had by far his worst game of the season and the absences of running back John White and wideout Fred Stamps certainly hindered a lot of their explosiveness. However, the contestant with his team has been their dominating defense which held true to form again as they smothered Ottawa’s offense for the entire 60 minutes. It’s becoming quite clear that if you have a mediocre offense, you are going to have a difficult time scoring in bunches against Edmonton. Edmonton returns home to face the best of the bad lot East Division when they take on Toronto.

Calgary Stampeders (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS)

The difference between the Stampeders now compared to earlier in the season is the improvement of quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell. Earlier this season, they were winning games in spite of Mitchell but now he is making an impact. His poise in the pocket continues to improve and he has done a very good job keeping Calgary’s offense productive despite cluster injuries at the skill positions. The defense remains strong allowing less than 20 points per game so to see the offense play at a higher level makes this team a very tough one to beat right now. Calgary might finally welcome back running back Jon Cornish this week vs. Ottawa.

Saskatchewan Roughriders (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS)

The Saskatchewan Roughriders were lethargic for the majority of their lackluster 16-11 win vs. Montreal after big wins over Toronto, Ottawa and Winnipeg. It was a classic letdown as they didn’t sniff a pointspread cover as nearly two touchdown favorites. The defense was solid but the offense never got in any sort of rhythm. Quarterback Darian Durant relies on a solid ground game to help complement the passing attack but the Riders’ top two receivers, Chris Getzlaf and Taj Smith, were blanketed for much of the game. The fact that the Roughriders still won shows how superior the West remains over the East. Saskatchewan will clash with BC (5-3) in a pivotal game within the ultra-competitive West Division.

BC Lions (5-3 SU, 4-3-1 ATS)

One of the favorites to win the Grey Cup before the season started is finally getting their act together. BC notched a third straight win against Toronto on Sunday, 33-17. The Lions defense was tremendous but the offense was mediocre partially because of an odd decision by head coach Mike Benevides to pull Kevin Glenn for two offensive possessions in the second quarter. Travis Lulay, who stepped in for Glenn, was expected to be the starter prior to the season but needed more time to recover from offseason surgery. Now that he is healthy, he has already been given snaps in an actual game. Glenn came back in the game in the third quarter but was never the same and most of BC’s points came via defense and special teams. I would be surprised if Glenn doesn’t start this week but I wonder if the “musical chairs” will hurt the team’s chemistry and rhythm moving forward.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 9
By David Schwab

The West Division continued its dominance over the East this past week in the CFL with a 4-1 straight-up record in a rare five-game inter-division schedule. Toronto had to pull double duty coming off a Week 7 bye starting with last Tuesday’s 38-21 rout of Winnipeg as a three-point home favorite. The total in that game went OVER the 51-point closing line.

Last Friday’s lone game saw Edmonton claw its way to a 10-8 victory over Ottawa as a six-point road favorite. The total came nowhere close to the 49-point line. This past Saturday, Calgary continued to impress with a 30-20 win against Hamilton as a 2½-point road favorite with the total staying UNDER the 53-point closing line. Later in the day, Saskatchewan ran its SU winning streak to four games with a 16-11 victory over Montreal as a hefty 13-point home favorite. That total stayed UNDER as well against a closing betting line of 49½ points.

Toronto was back at it on Sunday as a three-point home underdog and it came up well short against British Columbia in a 33-17 loss that stayed UNDER the 53-point closing line.

Sunday, Aug. 24

Calgary (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS) at Ottawa (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS)

Point-spread: Calgary -8
Total: 49

Game Overview

The Stampeders have been stomping their way through the league by outscoring their opponents by a combined 77 points in their first seven games. They are averaging 27.3 PPG behind a bruising running game and their defense has been the stingiest in the league by allowing just 16.3 PPG. Jock Sanders has been a force on special teams with 617 return yards on the year.

Things have gone pretty much as expected for the expansion RedBlacks with a 1-6 SU start, but they have looked especially bad against the teams from the West. Just two weeks ago they were more than doubled-up in a 38-17 loss to Calgary after getting torched by Stamps’ quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell for 289 passing yards and three scoring strikes.

Betting Trends

Calgary easily covered the 14-point spread at home in that first meeting and the total went OVER the 49-point number. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the Stampeders first seven games this season and it has gone OVER in three of Ottawa’s last four games.

Saskatchewan (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) at British Columbia (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS)

Point-spread: BC -3½
Total: 52

Game Overview

Do not look now, but the defending Grey Cup Champs are building-up a head of steam heading into this critical matchup in the West Division title race. The Roughriders have won their last four games by a combined score of 114-51 and they have not allowed more than 17 points in any of the four contests.

BC has won its last three games including an impressive 25-24 victory over Calgary as a four-point underdog on the road to start this run. Quarterback Travis Lulay is close to 100 percent after missing the first six games with a shoulder injury, but so far Kevin Glenn has been able to hold onto the starting job. He teamed up with Emmanuel Arceneaux for a 53-yard scoring strike this past Sunday to seal the win over Toronto.

Betting Trends

The Lions beat Saskatchewan 26-13 on the road in mid-July as five-point underdogs to improve to 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in the last five meetings in BC and overall it has stayed UNDER in 11 of the last 12 games between the two division rivals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Week 9 Betting Preview and Trends
By Mike Pickett

The Calgary Stampeders lead the CFL betting ranks at 5-2 ATS through the first eight weeks of the season as they head into a game against the Ottawa RedBlacks - who have just two ATS victories in seven games so far in their expansion campaign.

Sun Aug 24 - Calgary at Ottawa

Last 10 Meetings: Ottawa 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS | OU 1-0

The Calgary Stampeders already have one SU and ATS victory against the Ottawa RedBlacks this season as those teams battle in Week 9 CFL betting action on Sunday afternoon. The Stampeders won and covered a big spread in their first meeting of the season against the RedBlacks back on August 9, with Calgary grabbing a 38-17 victory and covering the big 14-point spread at home. That game was an OVER play for totals bettors.

Sun Aug 24 - Saskatchewan at B.C

Last 10 Meetings: B.C. 5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS | OU 1-9

The UNDER continues to be the play for totals bettors in games between the Saskatchewan Roughriders and the B.C. Lions as those teams close out the CFL Week 9 betting slate on Sunday night. The Lions topped the Roughriders 26-13 as a 5-point road underdog on the CFL odds in the first meeting of the season between the two teams on July 12. That was the ninth UNDER result in the past 10 games between the teams.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CFL | CALGARY at OTTAWA
Play On - Home underdogs or pick (OTTAWA) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, when playing on a Sunday
26-4 since 1997. ( 86.7% | 21.6 units )

CFL | SASKATCHEWAN at BRITISH COLUMBIA
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (SASKATCHEWAN) versus division opponents, off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite
35-10 since 1997. ( 77.8% | 24.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatSystemsSports
Inside The Huddle Sunday

New Hands-Off NFL Makes For Tough Totals Betting In Week #1
Led by a Denver Broncos team that posted an NFL-record 606 total points, the 2013 season featured more scoring in professional football than any that had come before it. No-huddle, up-tempo attacks featuring a pass-first mentality coupled with the abandonment of the “workhorse running back” have played an integral role in the rise of scoring averages over the last 10 years. The 256 regular season games played during the 2004 campaign resulted in an average of 42.96 points per contest. In 2013, that number skyrocketed to 46.81 points per game, good for an increase of 8.96 percent.

For their part, Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/)s have been quick to stay on top of the situation. Despite a 2.85 percent increase in scoring from 2012 to 2013, over bets went just 130-122-4 last year. When you factor in the juice, there’s no profit to be made by simply backing the Over or the Under during the course of a five-month season. But what if we shrink our target size down from five months to just the first week of the regular season?

Week #1 of the 2004 season featured an average Over/Under of 42.12 with a scoring average of 38.81 points, which resulted in Under bets going 9-7. Contrast that with the 2013 campaign, where the average total for Week #1 was 45.3 and the scoring average was 46.4, which resulted in Over bets going 9-7. That’s an increase of just 7.54 percent in the Week #1 totals market, but a staggering leap of 19.55 percent in scoring. Viewing the results of Week #1 over the last 10 years in the aggregate, Overs have gone just 72-86-2 (.455). But the per-year increase in average totals for Week #1 has failed to pace the increase Week #1 scoring.

Over the last five years, Overs have gone 42-36-2 (.538) during the first week of the NFL regular season. That number skyrockets again when you look solely at the last three seasons, where Week #1 Overs have produced a record of 29-18-1 (.617). If you had blindly laid $110 to win $100 on every Over played during Week#1 from 2011-2013, you would currently be up $920 entering the 2014 season. This data certainly doesn’t guarantee Week #1 success for the upcoming season, as Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/)s have once again bumped the average of their Week #1 totals, this time from 45.3 in 2013 to 45.8 this year. But the big question is whether or not that will be enough, especially when you consider the fact that NFL referees are expected to throw more flags for illegal contact thanks to a push from the league office.

“As the league changes the rules and the quarterbacks and receivers continue to be more protected, you are going to see an increase in scoring and linemakers will have to adjust,” Johnny Avello, Executive Director of Race & Sports at the Wynn & Encore in Las Vegas tells us here at StatSystems Sports. There’s absolutely no doubt that Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/)s both local and abroad have been paying very close attention to the recent adjustments made to illegal contact penalties. But does that mean there’s no value to be had when it comes to betting Week #1 Overs?

Maybe, maybe not. That doesn’t change the fact that at least one subset of Week #1 totals has been extremely profitable to backers in recent years. From 2004-2013, totals lined at 39.5 or fewer points in Week #1 have gone 22-30-1 (.423) to the Over. But as scoring has outpaced the increase in Week #1 totals over the last five years, that record improves slightly to 11-12-1 (.478) to the over. Break this subset down further to the last three years and you get a record of 7-2 (.777), which makes playing the over in the Oakland-New York Jets (39.5) and Carolina-Tampa Bay (39.5) games an enticing proposition.
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2014 NFL Player Props
Systems Analyst Larry Hertner

In the never-ending pursuit of prop bets that people will spend money on, sportsbooks are getting more and more creative every year. It used to be that a side and a total was all that was needed for books to draw more business, but the Internet has changed all of that. Each year books come up with new ways to tempt us — or really not tempt the smart ones amongst us in a lot of cases. One of the interesting things to look at this year at bovada (http://www.bovada.lv/) Sports are the special NFL player props on offer. They are essentially parlays of two or three individual or team accomplishments. They certainly aren’t packed with value, but at least they are interesting to consider:

•Will Peyton Manning lead the league in passing yards, win the MVP award, and lead the Broncos to a Super Bowl win?

The only side you can bet here is the “yes,” and it will pay off at +2500 if he pulls off this impressive trifecta. Manning has won the MVP five times, led the league in passing yards three times (a surprisingly low number), and won a Super Bowl, so we know he is individually capable of each thing. He has twice had a double — winning the MVP while leading the league in passing in both 2003 and last year. He also fell just a game short of the trifecta last year — though he really, really, really fell short with that horror show of a Super Bowl performance. So, can he put it all together and win all three this year?

Well, he’s favored in all three categories. He’s 7/2 to win the MVP, the 11/4 co-favorite with Drew Brees to win the passing title, and the Broncos are 13/2 to win the Super Bowl. The first thing that stands out when you look at these prices is what a horrible price bovada (http://www.bovada.lv/) is offering on the prop. The true parlay price would be just over 125/1 based on the odds for each bet, so they are paying about a fifth of what risk is involved — if you assumed that each of the three odds involved were fair. In short, then, the book would be thrilled for you to make this bet at any time regardless of how it ultimately turns out. So often this is the case with parlays, so it’s key to do the math yourself to be sure of what you are really looking at.

If we put aside the dismal math for a second, we can look at each category in turn. In each category the biggest risk is the same — Manning isn’t young, he isn’t mobile, and he is fragile in both the knees and the neck — at least. If he were to get hurt and miss any real time then he likely wouldn’t win MVP or the passing title, and with Brock Osweiler as the backup the Broncos likely wouldn’t win the Super Bowl, either. To consider betting on Manning here means you are betting on his health. That makes me uneasy. That aside, he has the talent around him to shine, his defense should be better this year so he should get more opportunities, and voters absolutely love him, so he will come out on top in a close race.

"There also isn’t anyone better positioned than him to win the passing title -- though Brees is competitive, and I have a soft spot for Matthew Stafford this year. I can’t convincingly argue against any one of these categories, but I am very confident that he won’t win all three."

•Will Calvin Johnson lead the league in receiving yards and the Lions win the NFC North?

Johnson has been the receiving leader twice in the last three years, and he would have won it again last year if he hadn’t missed two games. He is a freak at the top of his game, and the Lions should be much-improved offensively this year. He’s the heavy 13/5 favorite to come out on top, and he’s close to a bargain at that price. The question, then, is whether the Lions can win the NFC North. They are the third choice to do so at +400, behind the Bears at +275 and the Packers at -125. I think there is a lot of value in the Lions at that price. It’s a brutally-tough division, but the gap between Detroit and the other two isn’t as big as the odds suggest, and I don’t see Green Bay as nearly as dominant as the price suggests.

"The yes side here pays +1500. That’s actually only slightly less than it should pay off. I probably wouldn’t tie my money up in this for a whole season, but it is infinitely more attractive than the previous option."

•Will Johnny Manziel win the rookie of the year and the Browns make the playoffs?

Simple answer — no. Manziel isn’t even going to be the starter to begin the season, and he has very little to work with, so it is very hard to imagine him getting it together enough to win the award in what should be a pretty loaded field. Then there is the matter of whether the Browns will make the playoffs. They won’t. Not even close. The prop only pays +2000. Manziel is the 11/2 favorite to win the OROY — proof of just how lacking in objectivity the public is when it comes to their new crush. The odds are at +400 that the Browns will make the playoffs.

“The prop pays almost half of what it should, and that’s ignoring the fact that both of the odds involved are way lower than they should be. I can’t think of many bets I would be less interesting in making than this one."
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#279 SAN DIEGO @ #280 SAN FRANCISCO
Line: 49ers -6, Total: 42

The San Francisco 49ers hope to turn around what has been a rough preseason so far when they welcome Golden State rival San Diego to Levi's Stadium. Last week, the 49ers opened their new home by laying an egg against the reigning AFC champion Denver Broncos, falling 34-0. In his first work of the preseason, running back Frank Gore rushed for 12 yards on two carries while McLeod Bethel-Thompson was the team's leading passer, completing 6-of-8 attempts for 79 yards, including a 48-yard pass to tight end Kevin Greene.

Bruce Ellington led San Francisco in receptions for the second consecutive week, recording four catches for 24 yards. The defense was highlighted by a goal-line stand in the fourth quarter when linebacker Chase Thomas stopped Broncos back Kapri Bibbs for a one-yard loss on 4th-and-goal. "It's the preseason, but it all means something," said 49ers star left tackle Joe Staley. "Scoring points is the name of the game and we haven't done it. It will be a real test this week to see how we rebound from this."

The woes continued this week when the Niners were forced to move practice out of Levi's Stadium due to poor turf conditions on Wednesday. The organization then decided to replace the playing surface altogether ahead of Sunday's game. "We have determined the appropriate measures necessary to have the field ready for Sunday and look forward to hosting the San Diego Chargers," the team said in a statement.

The Chargers are also coming off a tough week, losing to the Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks, 41-14, in the Pacific Northwest. San Diego QB Philip Rivers, who played only one series, was 2-of-4 for 20 yards, while his backup Kellen Clemens finished 14-of-21 for 149 yards and two scores. Keenan Allen hauled in a 13-yard TD pass in defeat. Chargers tight end Antonio Gates saw his first action of the 2014 preseason against the Seahawks and expects to see more snaps this Sunday at San Francisco.

"It always feels good to get out there," said Gates. "It's all about timing in this game and getting the speed down." The 49ers and Chargers have met 42 times in the preseason, including every year since 1987, with the 49ers leading the all-time series 22-20. San Francisco has won each of the last four preseason games against San Diego. The two teams will also meet at Levi's Stadium in Week #16 of the regular season.

•KEY STAT: SAN FRANCISCO is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) the 1rst half total after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse since 1993.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 6.6, OPPONENT 9.4.

StatSystemsSports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:

--In past games, the underdog covered the spread 19 times, while the favorite covered the spread 12 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 20 times, while the underdog won straight up 13 times. 7 games went under the total, while 1 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.

--In past games, the favorite covered first half line 32 times, while the underdog covered first half line 30 times. *No EDGE. 11 games went under first half total, while 7 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.

•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Against - Underdogs of 2 to 6 points versus the first half line (SAN DIEGO) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse.
(37-12 since 1993.) (75.5%, +23.8 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.6, Opponent 6.6 (Average first half point differential = +6)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (20-3).
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#281 CINCINNATI @ #282 ARIZONA
Line: Cardinals -2.5, Total: 43

Carson Palmer and the Arizona Cardinals will host the reigning AFC North champion Cincinnati Bengals in a primetime matchup (8:00 PM EST) on "Sunday Night Football." As a rookie head coach back in 2003 Bengals coach Marvin Lewis made Palmer the first overall selection in the 2003 draft and the Southern Cal product went on to make two Pro Bowls in the Queen City before moving on after the 2010 season. These days Palmer is at the controls of the Cardinals, who are coming off a last- second loss to the Vikings in Minneapolis last week.

Arizona was leading 28-24 with 1:07 left when Minnesota rookie QB Teddy Bridgewater and the Vikings offense got the ball back on their own 17-yard line. Bridgewater found Rodney Smith for short gains of 10 and six yards and following a 12-yard completion to Jarius Wright, went back to Smith for 37 yards down the left sideline to the Arizona 18. Four plays later, Bridgewater hooked up with Smith for a 2-yard, go-ahead score.

Drew Stanton had a touchdown pass for Arizona and Jonathan Dwyer, Robert Hughes and Zach Bauman had scores on the ground. Palmer drove the Cardinals 93 yards on the team's opening drive, capped by Dwyer's one-yard plunge. "It was good to come out fast," said Palmer about Arizona's first possession. "Good execution, good efficiency. That's what you want out of these games." Bauman's 6-yard score with 1:11 remaining put Arizona back ahead prior to Bridgewater's heroics.

The Bengals, meanwhile, are still searching for that first preseason win although the first-team offense was brilliant in a 25-17 setback to the New York Jets last week. Andy Dalton was crisp under center for the Bengals, going 8-of-8 for 144 yards and a score while guiding the team to a pair of touchdowns and a field goal during his three drives. "He continues to play the way we think Andy should play all the time," said Lewis. "It doesn't surprise me. It's the way he practices every day. He doesn't need to be flashy. He just needs to be accurate and handle the offense. He does that very well."

This contest will be the first preseason matchup for these two teams since 1996 and will mark the Bengals first-ever trip to University of Phoenix Stadium.

•KEY STATS: CINCINNATI is 12-3 OVER (+8.7 Units) the 1rst half total off an upset loss as a home favorite since 1993.
The average score was CINCINNATI 9.5, OPPONENT 13.4.

--CINCINNATI is 35-11 OVER (+22.9 Units) the 1rst half total after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1993.
The average score was CINCINNATI 11.5, OPPONENT 11.8.

StatSystemsSports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:

--In past games, the favorite covered the spread 14 times, while the underdog covered the spread 7 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 15 times, while the underdog won straight up 7 times. 4 games went over the total, while 0 games went under the total. *No EDGE.

--In past games, the favorite covered first half line 24 times, while the underdog covered first half line 21 times. *No EDGE. 8 games went over first half total, while 1 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.

•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Over - Any team versus the 1rst half total (ARIZONA) - in non-conference games, after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse.
(64-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.4%, +39.8 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 19.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.3, Opponent 11.8 (Total first half points scored = 24.1)

The situation's record this season is: (3-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (38-12).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (117-59).
Since 1993 the situation's record is: (230-139).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

49ers -6
Bengals +2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Astros producing W's behind this pitcher
Stephen Campbell

The Houston Astros have been on fire behind starting pitcher Brett Oberholtzer, winning six out of his last seven starts.

He'll be on the mound for the 'Stros when they visit the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field Sunday. The Tribe is currently -157 faves with a total of eight, per BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends show Braves dominating Cincinnati
Stephen Campbell

The Atlanta Braves have been on a tear lately, and recent history is showing they love playing against the Cincinnati Reds - their opponent Sunday.

The Braves are 5-0 in their last five meetings against Cincy through Saturday. BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) currently lists Atlanta as -112 favorites with a total of eight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Under trending when this club is on the road
Stephen Campbell

The Chicago White Sox have been participating in a lot of low scoring games away from U.S. Cellular Field as of late.

The Under is a red-hot 6-1 in the ChiSox's last seven games on the road through Saturday, which is a good omen for backers as they'll take on the New York Yankees in the Bronx Sunday afternoon.

BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) presently has Chicago as -128 faves with a total of seven.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Sports Informer
NFL
1* Arizona -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

Preseason GOY
2* Over 42 Chargers / 49ers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

National League
Cardinals-Phillies
Masterson is 2-1, 6.00 in three starts for St Louis.
Williams is 1-0, 1.76 in two starts for the Phillies.

Cardinals won eight of their last ten games.
Phillies are 10-6 in their last sixteen 16 home games.

Last seven Cardinal games went over the total.

Giants-Nationals
Vogelsong is 2-1, 2.08 in his last four starts.
Strasburg is 3-2, 2.65 in his last five starts.

Giants won five of their last seven games.
Nationals won 12 of their last 13 games.

Over is 9-2-2 in last thirteen Washington home games.

Braves-Reds
Harang is 5-1, 3.22 in his last 11 starts (Braves 0-5 in no-decisions).
Reds lost last seven Simon starts (0-5, 6.38).

Braves won seven of their last nine games.
Reds lost ten of their last twelve games.

Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Cincinnati games

Pirates-Brewers
Worley is 0-2, 8.74 in his last couple starts.
Fiers is 2-0, 0.86 in his three starts this season.

Pirates lost seven of their last ten games.
Brewers lost last three games, allowing 27 runs.

Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Pittsburgh games.

Marlins-Rockies
Hand is 0-3, 5.40 in his last four starts.
Bergman was 0-2, 7.20 in three starts back in June.

Marlins are 9-5 in their last fourteen games.
Colorado won four of its last five games.

Six of last nine Colorado games went over total.

Padres-Diamondbacks
Former D'back Kennedy is 1-2, 5.82 in his last three starts.
Anderson is 2-0, 1.88 in his last four home starts.

Padres lost five of their last six games.
Arizona lost six of its last eight games.

Last four games for both San Diego/Arizona stayed under.

Mets-Dodgers
Colon lost his mom earlier this week; he is 1-1, 1.80 in his last two starts.
Correia is 2-0, 4.09 in two starts for the Dodgers.

Mets lost eight of their last eleven games.
Dodgers won four of their last five games.

Over is 8-1-1 in Mets' last ten road games.

American League
Astros-Indians
Oberholtzer is 2-1, 3.27 in his last five starts.
Bauer is 0-3, 6.15 in his last six starts.

Astros won four of their last six games.
Cleveland won eight of its last twelve games.

11 of last 12 Cleveland games stayed under total.

White Sox-Bronx
Sale is 4-2, 2.09 in his last nine starts.
Capuano is 1-2, 4.45 in five starts this season.

White Sox lost six of their last seven games.
Bronx won its last three games, allowing six runs.

Seven of last eight Bronx games stayed under.



Rays-Blue Jays
Archer is 2-1, 3.65 in his last four starts.
Hutchison is 1-2, 6.66 in his last four starts.

Rays lost five of their last seven games.
Toronto lost seven of its last ten games.

Under is 9-3-2 in last fourteen Tampa Bay games.

Mariners-Red Sox
Iwakuma is 3-0, 0.42 in his last three starts.
Webster is 3-1, 5.06 in five starts this season.

Mariners won 13 of their last 17 games.
Boston lost its last seven games, scoring 15 runs.

Three of last four Boston games went over total.

Royals-Rangers
Vargas is 2-0, 1.29 in his last three starts.
Baker is 0-3, 6.97 in four starts this season.

Royals won 19 of their last 23 games.
Texas lost seven of its last nine games.

Over is 5-2-2 in last nine Royal games.

Tigers-Twins
Scherzer is 3-1, 2.20 in his last six starts.
Gibson is 1-1, 6.00 in his last three starts.

Detroit lost 13 of its last 18 road games.
Minnesota lost five of its last eight games.

Five of last seven Detroit games went over total.

Angels-A's
Weaver is 2-1, 5.40 in his last five starts.
Kazmir is 2-2, 4.56 in his last four starts. .

Angels won eight of their last eleven games, but lost last two.
Oakland won eight of its last eleven home games.

Eight of last ten Angel games stayed under.

Interleague games
Orioles-Cubs
Gonzalez is 2-1, 2.66 in his last six starts.
Wada is 3-0, 2.08 in his last five starts.

Baltimore won 12 of its last 18 games, but lost last two.
Cubs won five of their last seven games.

Six of last eight Baltimore games stayed under.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Harang 13-13; Simon 15-10 (0-7 last 7)
-- Masterson 10-9/2-1; Williams 1-1/1-1
-- Vogelsong 13-12; Strasburg 14-13
-- Worley 6-5; Fiers 3-0
-- Colon 13-11; Correia 6-17/2-0
-- Hand 4-7; Bergman 1-2
-- Kennedy 12-14; Anderson 9-7

-- Oberholtzer 8-10; Bauer 10-9
-- Archer 13-12; Hutchison 12-13
-- Sale 13-7; Capuano 1-4
-- Iwakuma 13-8; Webster 3-2
-- Scherzer 18-8; Gibson 11-13
-- Vargas 13-10; Baker 0-4
-- Weaver 17-10; Kazmir 18-7

-- Gonzalez 10-9; Wada 3-4

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Harang 5-26; Simon 7-25
-- Masterson 5-22; Williams 1-4
-- Vogelsong 6-25 (3 of last 3); Strasburg 10-27 (4 of last 7)
-- Worley 2-11; Fiers 0-3
-- Colon 7-25; Correia 5-25
-- Hand 4-11; Bergman 2-3
-- Kennedy 8-26; Anderson 3-17

-- Oberholtzer 8-18; Bauer 8-19 (3 of last 4)
-- Archer 4-25; Hutchison 5-25
-- Sale 1-20; Capuano 2-5
-- Iwakuma 4-21; Webster 0-5
-- Scherzer 7-26; Gibson 6-24
-- Vargas 2-23; Baker 0-4
-- Weaver 6-27; Kazmir 4-25

-- Gonzalez 4-19; Wada 1-7

Umpires
-- SF-Wsh-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Conroy games; dogs won last five.
-- StL-Phil-- Four of last five Reyburn games stayed under.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Home side won nine of last ten Cuzzi games.
-- Atl-Cin-- Four of last six Carlson games went over total.
-- Mia-Col-- Underdogs won six of last nine TWelke games.
-- SD-Az-- Over is 13-1-1 in last fifteen Morales games.
-- NY-LA-- Underdogs won four of last seven Scott games.

-- TB-Tor-- 13 of last 17 BWelke games stayed under.
-- Chi-NY-- Eight of last twelve Winters games stayed under.
-- Det-Min-- Nine of last eleven Cooper games stayed under.
-- Sea-Bos-- Under is 9-4 in last 13 Carapazza games; underdogs won 12 of his last 17 games behind the plate.
-- Hst-Clev-- Six of last nine Barksdale games stayed under.
-- KC-Tex-- 15 of 19 Basner games went over the total.
-- LA-A's-- Over is 9-4 in last thirteen Everitt games.

-- Balt-Chi-- 12 of last 16 Iassogna games stayed under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CFL | CALGARY at OTTAWA
Play On - Home underdogs or pick (OTTAWA) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, when playing on a Sunday
26-4 since 1997. ( 86.7% | 21.6 units )

CFL | CALGARY at OTTAWA
Play On - Underdogs of +140 to +325 vs. the money line (OTTAWA) after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record
17-10 since 1997. ( 63.0% | 0.0 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | 0.0 units )

CFL | SASKATCHEWAN at BRITISH COLUMBIA
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (SASKATCHEWAN) versus division opponents, off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite
35-10 since 1997. ( 77.8% | 24.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFLX

Trends

Sunday, 8/24/14

San Diego at San Francisco 04:05 EST
Chargers 0-3-1 L4 vs 49ers in preseason
49ers 6-1 ATS L7 during WK3

Cincinnati at Arizona 08:00 EST
Bengals 2-11 ATS skid WK3
Cardinals 5-1 ATS L6 preseason

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Winning Crew

NFLX 25 Dime Play - Arizona Cardinals

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Today's MLB PicksLA Angels at OaklandThe A's go for the series sweep tonight against an Angels team that is 2-10 in Jered Weaver's last 12 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Oakland is the pick (-150) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-150).. Here are all of today's MLB picks.


SUNDAY, AUGUST 24
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: Atlanta at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Harang) 16.014; Cincinnati (Simon) 13.807
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-120); Over


Game 903-904: St. Louis at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Masterson) 14.414; Philadelphia (Williams) 15.322
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+115); Under


Game 905-906: San Francisco at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 14.581; Washington (Strasburg) 15.966
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-185); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-185); Under


Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Worley) 16.199; Milwaukee (Fiers) 14.574
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+125); Over


Game 909-910: NY Mets at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Colon) 13.877; LA Dodgers (Correia) 16.164
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130); Over


Game 911-912: Miami at Colorado (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Hand) 14.156; Colorado (Bergman) 15.081
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 12
Vegas Line: Miami (-120); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+100); Over


Game 913-914: San Diego at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Kennedy) 15.292; Arizona (Anderson) 13.807
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-120); Over


Game 915-916: Houston at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oberholtzer) 16.452; Cleveland (Bauer) 15.337
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+140); Under


Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 14.246; Toronto (Hutchison) 15.538
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2;9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+105); Over


Game 919-920: Chicago White Sox at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 13.754; NY Yankees (Capuano) 15.834
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+110); Over


Game 921-922: Seattle at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Iwakuma) 16.729; Boston (Webster) 13.453
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 3 1/2' 9
Vegas Line: Seattle (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-160); Over


Game 923-924: Detroit at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 16.338; Minnesota (Gibson) 14.960
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-175); Under


Game 925-926: Kansas City at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Vargas) 17.170; Texas (Baker) 14.192
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 3; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 927-928: LA Angels at Oakland (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 14.640; Oakland (Kazmir) 16.122
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Oakland (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-150); Under


Game 929-930: Baltimore at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 16.159; Cubs (Wada) 14.580
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-110); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110); N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball PicksPhoenix at Los AngelesThe Sparks look to stave off elimination as they face a Phoenix team that is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Los Angeles is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+4). Here are all of today's WNBA picks


SUNDAY, AUGUST 24
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 613-614: Atlanta at Chicago (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 107.191; Chicago 113.020
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 6; 152
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 155 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-4); Under


Game 615-616: Phoenix at Los Angeles (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 116.355; Los Angeles 115.345
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 151
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 155
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+4); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's CFL PicksSaskatchewan at BCThe Roughriders head to BC tonight and come into the contest with a 4-1-1 ATS record in their last 6 road games. Saskatchewan is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


SUNDAY, AUGUST 24
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST (8/19)


Game 295-296: Calgary at Ottawa (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 120.005; Ottawa 106.237
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 14; 53
Vegas Line: Calgary by 8 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-8 1/2); Over


Game 297-298: Saskatchewan at BC (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 116.826; BC 117.979
Dunkel Line: BC by 1; 55
Vegas Line: BC by 3 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+3 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NFL PicksCincinnati at ArizonaThe Bengals head to Arizona tonight in search of their first preseason victory after dropping contests against the Chiefs (41-39) and Jets (25-17). Cincinnati is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bengals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+2). Here are all of this week's NFL preseason picks.


SUNDAY, AUGUST 24
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST (8/20)


Game 279-280: San Diego at San Francisco (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 115.806; San Francisco 124.394
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 8 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 6; 42
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-6 1/2); Under


Game 281-282: Cincinnati at Arizona (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 121.517; Arizona 120.477
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 40
Vegas Line: Arizona by 2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Angels (75-52) at Athletics (76-51)

Game: 3
Venue: O.co Coliseum
Date: August 24, 2014 8:05 PM EDT


After defeating the Los Angeles Angels again, the Oakland Athletics are looking to reclaim sole possession of first place in the AL West.

The Athletics go for a second consecutive three-game home sweep of the Angels on Sunday night with the best record in baseball on the line.

While Oakland (76-52) lost control of the division following a 2-8 slide, it's since climbed back into a tie after taking the first two in this series. The A's, who held on for a 5-3 win Friday, pulled out a 2-1 victory the following night after Coco Crisp scored the tiebreaking run on a wild pitch with two outs in the eighth inning.

"We can't get caught up in the standings or the playoff picture," closer Sean Doolittle said.

The A's have taken eight of 11 from Los Angeles this year, including all five home meetings by a combined 33-15 score. Oakland hasn't posted six consecutive home wins against the Angels in the same season since 1991.

Los Angeles (76-52), which went a combined 2 for 9 with runners in scoring position in the two defeats, has only three extra-base hits in the series.

"The A's do a lot of things well. They pitch well and they have a good bullpen. It was another close game and we didn't get a couple of things done," manager Mike Scioscia said. "We have to keep moving forward."

Oakland now turns to Scott Kazmir (14-5, 2.73 ERA), who beat the New York Mets 6-2 on Tuesday to set a new career high for wins. The left-hander struck out six over six innings of one-run ball, improving to 7-1 with a 2.19 ERA over his last nine home starts.

"Where we are right now, that's the last thing I'm thinking about," he said. "We have to take care of business. All you can think about is tomorrow, what we have to do tomorrow."

Sunday's start could have extra meaning for Kazmir, who spent two-plus seasons with Los Angeles from 2009-11. He's only faced them once since, yielding all five runs over three-plus innings in a 5-2 defeat last Aug. 9 while with Cleveland.

The Angels counter with Jered Weaver (13-7, 3.70), who owns a 5.40 ERA over his last five starts. The right-hander yielded three runs, seven hits and a season high-tying four walks over 5 1-3 innings but didn't receive a decision in Tuesday's 4-3 win at Boston.

Weaver went 8-1 with a 0.87 ERA in 11 starts against the A's from 2011-13 before struggling in two matchups this year. After surrendering six runs and a season-worst 11 hits over six innings in a 6-3 road loss June 1, Weaver gave up four runs over 5 1-3 innings in a 7-1 home defeat 10 days later.

John Jaso and Josh Donaldson are a combined 2 for 28 versus Weaver. Coco Crisp is a career .175 hitter against him despite going 4 for his last 12 in their matchups.

Donaldson, 3 for 27 with 10 strikeouts in his last eight games, is hitless in his last 19 at_bats against Los Angeles.

Albert Pujols is 2 for 19 with just one RBI in Oakland this year.

These division co-leaders open another crucial four-game set at Angel Stadium on Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters

POD
ATL -110

Money Generator plays
COL -105
TOR +105
NYY +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play Sun: WhiteSox w/ Sale -130

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Sunday

Brewers -140

Tampa Bay -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2Halves2Win

MLB COMP

1* 2-TEAM PARLAY SEA & DET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

The Padres couldn’t solve the great Victor Nuno on Saturday in Phoenix, which helped cause a setback for Hondo that increased the deficit to 1,580 guras.

Sunday: Mr. Aitch expects the Royals to flush Mikolas and the Rangers — 10 units on Vargas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Preseason Point Spreads and Picks
By: Craig Williams

The NFL's preseason, this long, snaking line in which we wait for the regular-season roller coaster, is just about over.

The final two games of consequence come Sunday, with the 49ers hosting the Chargers and the Bengals visiting the Cardinals. These are the NFL's final major tune-ups.

Yes, every NFL club plays one more exhibition on Thursday, but all 16 games are shoehorned into one night. This is just a way for the NFL to give every team two exhibition contests at home. It is your season-ticket money at work for owners who don't need more of it.

But enough about that. Let's talk about Sunday's games, which are actually quite interesting:


San Diego at San Francisco (-6, 41.5,)

In two preseason games, the 49ers have been outscored 57-3, and they are on a two-game exhibition losing streak for the first time under coach Jim Harbaugh. Incredibly, the Niners have not scored since quarterback Colin Kaepernick led the club to a field goal on their first series of the preseason.

Kaepernick will likely play extended snaps for the only time all summer on Sunday, which could help the Niners snap out of the doldrums. Also, the 49ers are 2-1 in third preseason games in Harbaugh's tenure.

Nevertheless, the 49ers haven't exactly inspired much confidence in the exhibition season. Making matters worse, Levi's Stadium has already had to be re-sodded because of footing concerns. All things considered, can the 49ers really be counted upon to deliver a strong performance?

The Chargers are a tricky read, too, with a blowout win vs. Dallas and a lopsided loss at Seattle on their summer ledger. Quarterback Philip Rivers figures to get double-digit passing attempts for the first time in the exhibition season. He draws a San Francisco defense that's been horrible on third downs thus far, allowing 19-of-32 conversions in two games.

These teams annually meet in the preseason, and the 49ers have had the Chargers' number in recent years, winning the last four exhibitions. However, the meetings usually occur in the final preseason game, not in the penultimate one. The teams haven't met earlier than the final week of the exhibition slate since 2001.

According to multiple line-movement websites, the 49ers opened as six-point favorites throughout Nevada, and nothing has changed since.

The Linemakers' lean: It looks like Jim Harbough, 8-4 ATS in the preseason coming into this season, couldn't care less about these games anymore. Both teams look like they want to play slow, stay healthy, rely on the defense, and get the game over as quickly as possible. We're siding with the UNDER.


Cincinnati at Arizona (-2.5, 43)

Those who have banked on the Bengals in next-to-last preseason games under Marvin Lewis are deep in the red. Since 2003, the Bengals are just 2-9 straight-up in these dress rehearsals.

While the Bengals are winless in the preseason, quarterback Andy Dalton has been sharp, completing 11-of-13 passes for 215 yards and one TD in limited action. Wideout A.J. Green (five catches, 131 yards) is also in good form.

The Cardinals (1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS in the preseason) have to be pleased with the play of their starting quarterback, too, with Carson Palmer off to a solid start (9-of-13, 175 yards, one TD). The Cards have been outstanding on third downs, moving the chains 18-of-32 times (56.3 percent).

Arizona is 5-1 against the number in exhibition play in Bruce Arians' time as head coach, including a 2-0 mark in 2014. Cincinnati, for the record, is 23-22-2 ATS in preseason games under Lewis (51.1 percent). The Bengals, who have covered at least once in each of the last 11 preseasons, are 0-1-1 ATS in 2014.

The Cardinals opened as two-point favorites at the South Point, but the line has gone up a half-point, according to VegasInsider.com line movement records.

The Linemakers' lean: Andy Dalton is the key. He's looking good as the season approaches, but the quarterbacks that will follow aren't impressive. The Cardinals on the other hand will trot out better backups once Carson Palmer exits for the night. Lay the points with the Cardinals here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | PHOENIX at LOS ANGELES
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game, after scoring 75 points or more
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )
4-4 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.4 units )

WNBA | PHOENIX at LOS ANGELES
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) off a win against a division rival, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games, after 15 or more games
82-34 since 1997. ( 70.7% | 0.0 units )
7-2 this year. ( 77.8% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | ATLANTA at CHICAGO
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (30%-35%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 15+ games
121-66 since 1997. ( 64.7% | 48.4 units )
21-11 this year. ( 65.6% | 8.9 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LCM Sports

Detroit Tigers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

'AL West Up for grabs!'

The eyes of most baseball fans, as well as those focused on baseball betting, will be on the Sunday night finale of the divisional clash between Oakland Athletics and Los Angeles Angels. A's winning the first two games try for the series sweep and sole possession of first handing the ball to Scott Kazmir. The left-hander carrying a 14-5 record, 2.73 ERA over 25 starts with an 18-7 team start record is off a sharp 6 innings of 1 run ball in a home victory against Mets. That win has the southpaw 8-2 with a 2.28 ERA at O.co Coliseum with A's a solid 9-3 over 12 starts. Kazmir has not faced Angels since joining Oakland but did end up on the wrong end of a decision vs Angels in 2013 when hooked up against Weaver. In this one, Kazmir will once again trade pitches with Weaver who enters 13-7 overall with a 3.70 ERA in 27 attempts (17-10 TSR). The righty is 6-3 with a 4.82 ERA away from Angel Stadium with Halos winning 7 of the 12 starts. Weaver is 0-2 vs A's this season but Halos remain a potent 10-3 with the hurler the last thirteen vs their chief nemesis. Athletics winning 8-of-11 meetings this season including 5-0 as host the oddsmakers have given the nod to A's making them -$1.50 to -$1.60 favorite depending on locale.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: CFL Doubleheader

Calgary Stampeders at Ottawa Redblacks (+9, 48)

The Ottawa Redblacks aim to halt their four-game losing skid when they host the Calgary Stampeders on Sunday. The Stampeders boast arguably the best defense in the league, surrendering fewer than 17 points per contest, which is concerning for a Redblacks' offense that has not scored more than 17 points since Week 5. Calgary is 3-0 on the road and 5-0 against East Division opponents.

The Stampeders defeated Ottawa 38-17 in Calgary in Week 7, when Stampeders quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell threw for 289 yards and three touchdowns. The Redblacks surrender a league-worst average of 300 passing yards, so Mitchell could be in for another strong game. Ottawa was limited to 38 rushing yards against Calgary’s defense, which averages a league-low 81.1 rushing yards allowed.

TV: 3 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The majority of books opened the Redblacks as 9-point home dogs, which is where they currently remain. The total opened and presently sits at 48.

INJURY REPORT: Stampeders - OL Brander Craighead (Questionable, ankle), RB Matt Walter (Questionable, concussion), LS Randy Chevrier (Questionable, undisclosed), RB Jon Cornish (Probable, concussion). Redblacks - DL Chris McCoy (Questionable, wrist), DB Jovon Johnson (Probable, bicep).

ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (6-1): Star running back Jon Cornish could return to the lineup Sunday for his first action since suffering a concussion in Week 1. Calgary has fared well in the running game without Cornish, averaging 115.1 rushing yards. The Stampeders will likely be without receiver Jeff Fuller, who dislocated his shoulder, and defensive lineman Micah Johnson, who suffered a knee injury, for the foreseeable future.

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (1-6): Jovon Johnson returned to practice this week and could rejoin Ottawa’s defense sooner than expected after being placed on the six-game injured list. Quarterback Henry Burris is struggling with his lowest completion percentage (58.9) since 2006, when he was a member of the Stampeders. Defensive back Antoine Pruneau has recorded 18 of his 21 tackles in the last two games.

TRENDS:

* Stampeders are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games.
* Redblacks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Under is 10-1 in Calgary's last 11 road games.
* Under is 9-2 in Calgary's last 11 games overall.

CONSENSUS: 56 percent of wagers on Consensus are backing the visiting Stampeders.



Saskatchewan Roughriders at BC Lions (-3, 50.5)

Two of the hottest teams in the CFL meet Sunday when the BC Lions host the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Saskatchewan is riding a four-game winning streak, while BC has won its last three. The Lions defeated the host Roughriders in Week 3 and Saskatchewan looks to return the favour as the Lions enter their bye week.

Kevin Glenn has BC’s offense humming with 94 points in three games, but will be in tough against a Roughriders' defense that has not allowed more than 17 points in a contest since a Week 4 bye. Saskatchewan leads the league in sacks with 29 thanks to 12 from John Chick, and the quarterback pressure has led to nine interceptions for the Roughriders - bad news for Glenn, who has already tossed 11. Saskatchewan’s offense has been most effective on the ground, averaging 131.9 rushing yards.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE HISTORY: The majority of books opened the Lions as 3-point home faves, and after slight movement in both directions the line is presently back where it opened. The total opened 51 but has slightly gone down to 50.5.

INJURY REPORT: Roughriders - DB Marshay Green (Questionable, undisclosed), Dan DePalma (Questionable, undisclosed). Lions - LB Alex Hoffman-Ellis (Questionable, undisclosed), T Andre Ramsey (Questionable, ankle), RB Andrew Harris (Questionable, ankle), T Jermarcus Hardrick (Questionable, knee), DB Josh Johnson (Questionable, knee), CB Dante Marsh (Questionable, hamstring).

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (3-5): Chick was named defensive player of the week after recording three sacks in a win over the Montreal Alouettes, while receiver Rob Bagg was named Canadian player of the week. Jerome Messam is the latest running back to take the lead for Saskatchewan, rushing for 180 yards over the last two games. The Roughriders signed kicker Justin Palardy, putting pressure on Chris Milo, who is 15-for-21 on field goal attempts.

ABOUT THE LIONS (6-1): Stefan Logan earned offensive player of the week honours after recording a career-high 145 rushing yards in a road victory against the Toronto Argonauts, while Tim Brown earned special teams player of the week with 249 combined return yards. Andrew Harris is expected to return to the lineup Sunday, bumping Logan back to backup and kick-return duties with Brown. Travis Lulay took a few snaps against Toronto as he is eased back into action following shoulder surgery.

TRENDS:

* Under is 8-2 in Roughriders last 10 games versus the West.
* Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Under is 6-2 in Lions last eight games overall.
* Roughriders are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings in BC.

CONSENSUS: 55 percent of wagers on Consensus are backing the Lions.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie
SUNDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Miami -110 over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)

Colorado is 20-38 coming off an UNDER the total in their last game
Colorado is 15-30 when playing in the 2nd half of the season
Colorado is 19-30 coming off a win in their last game


10* Play St. Louis -120 over Philadelphia (MLB TOP PLAY)

Philadelphia is 25-46 coming off an OVER the total in their last game
Philadelphia is 58-79 in day games the last three seasons
Philadelphia is 29-38 in home games this season

=============================================

5* Play New York Yankees +120 over Chicago White Sox (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play San Diego -110 over Arizona (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd
2014-08-30 (6 days)
RENEW (https://u921746.ct.sendgrid.net/wf/click?upn=JWOfo1Uc9-2BNgMNEaxvmKWsX77XUOXPwqHv-2BKmAnDCP9T39cbLcEW1fPYBkP4SQBowZDKkHXU6STH5s3ltL1 tdUCUUk9Q9DquWT0w9qMbHHxsYtsqnMor4k-2F6N3PuStKXdJs5lgpx6WimK7B5lM4DmX35r4VbOJfc-2FRjPEXCGhQOXMOCJXLSUCnGkGy6uZBUi_jtVJqygaMVlApaRD Dwm7RuLihIC7iSyr3Bl0PY2SjUw2ffY4WFSAp3zR2AMjlUJKz2-2F2KhdV5nQnbEZ28-2FWK-2Fb3QW36-2FHGPvd2FZBjSXokZiaYkGV7TCosphskgrBsLo8T622RquM29x-2Fh688vvma7GeRW4e3v2tJeSgOjQXGKnRs3MRiWXhU8FjRLCM1 8bg1IAzposivv-2Fwpu3kWSfvrQ-3D-3D)



MLB Premium Picks

Top Pick


League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


MLB
Aug 24 ,2014
1:10p
[901] Atlanta Braves[902] Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves -115
at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)


5* MLB Heavy Hitter Game of the Month on Braves -
I'm all over the Braves to defeat the Reds in Sunday's series finale. Atlanta had won the first two games of the series before falling 0-1 last night. I look for the Braves' offense to rebound against struggling Reds' starter Alfredo Simon, who has a 5.87 ERA and 1.892 WHIP over his last 3 starts.
Atlanta will counter with Aaron Harang, who is coming off a strong outing against the Pirates, where he held them to 3 runs on 9 hits over 8 1/3 innings of work. Harang is also 3-0 with a 2.16 ERA and 1.160 WHIP over 4 career starts against the Reds.
Harang is 19-9 in his last 28 road starts against poor power teams who are averaging 0.9 or less home runs per start in the second of the season. Cincinnati is just 3-10 in their last 13 games following a win, 6-20 in their last 26 as a home dog of +110 to +150 and 0-7 in Simon's last 7 starts.
Solid system against the Reds as well. Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 who are a marginal losing team (46% to 49%) playing a winning team, in August games are 66-29 over the last 5 seasons. That's a 70% system in favor of the Braves. Take Atlanta!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Advanced sports investments

perry's soccer club

spain - la liga
5pm- cf villarreal @ ud levante - under 2.5 -145

england - premier league
830am- queens park rangers @ tottenham hotspur - over 2.5 -130

germany - bundesliga
930am- fsv mainz 05 @ sc paderborn 07 - over 2.5 -110

holland - eredivisie
830am- fc twente enschede @ nac breda - under 2.5 +115

norway - tippeligaen
1pm- aalesunds fk @ molde fk - over 3.5 +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SOCCER BETTING MASTERS

Croatia » HNL » Lokamotiv Zagreb - Rijeka
Opinion: Rijeka -0.75(Asian Handicap)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

2* Astros +140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations– FoxSheets

MLB | LA ANGELS at OAKLAND
Play On – Home teams (OAKLAND) with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL
184-97 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.5% | 63.9 units )
36-26 this year. ( 58.1% | 3.1 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | LA ANGELS at OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 43-18 (+27.4 Units) against the money line in Home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (4.3) , OPPONENT (3.2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

SUNDAY

TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS



Play San Francisco -6 over San Diego----Top Play (Risk 10% of your Bankroll)
4:00 PM EST


San Diego has lost 15 of the last 23 preseason games when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and they have lost 23 of the last 41 preseason road games. San Diego has lost 8 of the last 10 preseason games coming off a loss by ten points or more and they are allowing an average of 41 points a game on defense in preseason road games this season.





Play Arizona -2.5 over Cincinnati---Top Play (Risk 10% of your Bankroll)
8:00 PM EST


Cincinnati has lost 35 of the last 56 preseason games when the line posted is between +3 to -3 and they have lost 24 of the last 38 preseason games when playing as a road underdog of seven points or less. Cincinnati has lost 26 of the last 45 preseason games coming off an OVER the total in their last game and they are allowing an average of 33 points a game on defense in preseason this year.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

SUNDAY BASEBALL




Play Miami -110 over Colorado----Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)

4:00 PM EST

Colorado has lost 38 of the last 58 games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game and they have lost 30 of the last 45 games when playing in the 2nd half of the season. Colorado has lost 30 of the last 49 games coming off a win in their last game and they have lost 56 of the last 83 games when playing as an underdog of +100 or higher.





Play St. Louis -120 over Philadelphia---Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
1:30 PM EST


Philadelphia has lost 46 of the last 71 games coming off an OVER the total in their last game and they have lost 79 of the last 137 day games. Philadelphia has lost 38 of the last 67 home games and they have lost 44 of the last 74 games when playing on a Sunday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
A second straight winner with the Rockies winning 5-4 last night for us. Lets keep it going today with a system play on a good sized underdog...
2 UNIT = Houston Astros @ Cleveland Indians - ASTROS TO WIN (+138)
Listed Pitchers: Oberholtzer vs Bauer
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.76 units)
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Atlanta Braves @ Cincinnati Reds - BRAVES TO WIN (-110)
Listed Pitchers: Harang vs. Simon
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Detroit -150 over Minnesota (TOP MLB)

Max Scherzer has won 31 of the last 40 games vs. division opponents and he has won 27 of the last 39 day games.Max Scherzer has won 36 of the last 45 games when pitching as a favorite of -150 or higher and he has an ERA of 1.96 over the last three starts.

================================================== ===

50* Play Cleveland -150 over Houston (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Oakland -140 over Los Angeles Angels (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

SUNDAY NFL FOOTBALL

1000* Play Arizona -2.5 over Cincinnati (TOP NFL PLAY)

Cincinnati has lost 14 of the last 21 preseason games coming off a home loss and they have lost 27 of the last 43 preseason road games.


1000* Play San Francisco -6 over San Diego (TOP NFL PLAY)

San Diego has lost 23 of the last 41 preseason road games and they have lost 8 of the last 10 preseason games coming off a loss by ten points or more in their last game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SCOTT DELANEY

30 DIMER

My 30 Dime Winner for tonight is on the L.A. Dodgers in their National League clash with the New York Mets. As I release this game at 8:30 a.m. eastern, I see the line on the game is Dodgers -120.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Clement

10* Milwaukee Brewers -140

7* San Diego Chargers +6 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HALL OF FAME PICKS / William Holloway

Dodgers(-115)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POWER PLAY WINS

St. Louis -118
Milwaukee -140
LA Dodgers -118
Cincinnati/ Arizona - OVER 43

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NEWSLETTER European Soccer Prediction From Mike Davis

Take Manchester United (-135) over Sunderland (11 a.m., Sunday, August 24)

The transfer window closes August 31st and Manchester United is under tremendous pressure to make some big moves, especially after their first league match defeat versus Swansea at Old Trafford. I bring that up because Louis Van Gaal has clearly stated that he needs better players. It was evident in MU’s opening Barclays Premier League fixture loss to Swansea City (1-2). Van Gaal used his 3-5-2 system in the first half and United fell behind 1-0. At the half, he switched to the 4-2-3-1 and that is very telling. “We were not playing well and we were behind, so I changed the system to one they have used a lot at United before,” Van Gaal said after the game. Newly acquired Marcos Rojo’s versatility will certainly help Manchester United run Van Gaal’s new system but he alone is not a cure-all.
Sunderland defeated Manchester United 1-0 back on May 3rd of this year in League play. However, this is a much different situation. This is a pivotal, early game for Van Gaal’s club and he will have them ready to play. United will likely get the services of Robin Van Persie back this week after he was declared unfit for the opening fixture. As muddy as the waters are for Man U, they still have better overall talent than Sunderland and I look for them to respond on Sunday. Take Manchester United.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Chargers / 49ers Over 42
100* Rockies -110
50* Padres -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RIVER CITY SHARPS

MILWAUKEE -140

As many of you know, we are really not big fans of playing home favorites at more than about -130, but we are going to throw caution to the wind here and take a hard look at the Milwaukee Brewers and Mike Fiers against Vance Worley and the Pittsburgh Pirates. We thought about the RL (and if you are uncomfortable with the big chalk, the RL isn't a bad play...would probably dial down to 2 Units) but we are going to fire with Fiers and the Brew Crew here at home. He has ben absolutely fantastic since entering the rotation for Milwaukee and is making a strong case to be in their possible playoff rotation. He has won three consecutive starts, only allowing two earnd runs in those wins, while Worley was absolutely shelled in his last start vs. the Braves (an RCS 3 Unit winner) and is 0-2 with a 5.40 career ERA against Milwaukee. This game has major playoff implications as the Brewers not find themselves only 0.5 game ahead of the St. Louis Cardinals in the NL central, while the Bucs are within 1.5 games of the Giants for the second wildcard position. We expect another outstanding effort from Fiers and the Brew Crew to hit Worley hard this afternoon at Miller Park.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sunday's Tip Sheet
VegasInsider


Week 3 of the NFL preseason comes to a close on Sunday with a pair of televised matchups. These games are often called the “dress rehearsal” matchups for both teams as coaches play their starters for the majority of the first-half and sometimes into the final two quarters as well.


Oddsmakers have made both home teams favorites and that shouldn’t be surprising considering the trend in this year’s preseason. Through the first 36 games, the home team has produced a 31-15 record and that number could be even better but the visitors showed some fight on Saturday with a 6-2 mark.


According to our database, favorites have gone 29-18 straight up but the underdogs have prevailed to a 25-21-1 record against the spread. The extra result includes the Hall of Fame Game. Total bettors have seen a few more ‘over’ winners recently but the ‘under’ holds a 28-18-1 advantage thus far.


San Diego at San Francisco


2014 Preseason Records:
Chargers (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U)
49ers (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS, 0-2 O/U)


Preseason Notes: The Chargers pasted the Cowboys 27-7 as 3½-point home favorites in Week 1 of the preseason but were blasted 41-14 by the Seahawks in Week 2 as six-point road underdogs.


The 49ers have been humbled twice in the preseason, losing 23-3 at Baltimore in Week 1 before getting trounced last Sunday at home to Denver, 34-0.


Betting Odds: San Francisco opened as a six-point home favorite and the number has held steady all week. The total is hovering between 41½ and 42 points.


Preseason Tips:


Tony Stoffo - San Francisco has seen the UNDER be the right play on both of their first two preseason games the past two years – while just the opposite is true as in their dress rehearsal game and final preseason game the OVER was the winning play. Making for a solid 8-0 run for us to look forward to this year.


Bruce Marshall – Head coach Jim Harbaugh is 4-0 both SU and ATS vs. line in games 3 & 4 past two years. Some urgency to get offense moving and lots more of Kaepernick this week. Although issues remain on right side of OL, they face a Chargers rush defense that has been absolutely woeful thus far (5.6 ypc). And Bolts running dangerously short of healthy D-linemen. Even though both were played in Week 4 of the preseason, the 49ers have beaten Bolts combined 71-9 in preseason games past two years.


Cincinnati at Arizona


2014 Preseason Records:
Bengals (0-2 SU, 0-1-1 ATS, 2-0 O/U)
Cardinals (1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS, 1-1 O/U)


Preseason Notes: The Bengals have come up short in both of their preseason games this August, losing at the Chiefs 41-39 in Week 1 on the road and 25-17 to the N.Y. Jets at home last Saturday.


The Cardinals are coming off a 30-28 setback to the Vikings last Saturday as 4½-point road underdogs. In Week 1, the defense played much better at home as Arizona posted a 32-0 shutout over Houston.


Betting Odds: Arizona opened as a two-point favorite and it’s now laying 2½-points at most betting shops. The total is listed at 43.


Preseason Tips:


James Manos - This game has all the feeling of a low-scoring defensive battle. Both of these teams sport quality defenses and face offenses that will encounter matchup problems. Cincinnati has been getting good QB play from Andy Dalton but they've had some issues at the WR position and will be facing perhaps the 2nd most talented secondary in the NFL. Arizona has been getting mediocre QB play and Carson Palmer is a living statue in the pocket, he'll be facing a good Bengals pass rush. Starters are projected to play into the 3rd quarter for both clubs and when the backups come in neither backup QB scares me.


The Gold Sheet – Head coach Bruce Arians of Arizona seems to like the preseason, with his teams now 5-1 vs. the spread in exhibition play in his first two years. I expect that Arizona QB Carson Palmer wants to perform well against his longtime previous team, Cincinnati.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

David Banks
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Arizona Cardinals


The Cincinnati Bengals (0-2, 0-1-1 ATS) are still in pursuit of their first
win of the preseason as they implement new schemes on offense and defense,
and they now pay a visit to the Arizona Cardinals (1-1, 2-0 ATS) at U. of
Phoenix Stadium Sunday at 8:00 ET on NBC. The Bengals opened up with a narrow
41-39 shootout loss at Kansas City before losing at home 25-17 to the Jets
last week. The Cardinals opened up with a dominating performance here at
home, a 32-0 blowout of the Texans, before losing a tight one on the road 30-28
at Minnesota in Week 2.


The Bengals lost both their offensive coordinator and defensive coordinator
during the off-season, and the results with the new schemes have been mixed
to say the least. Now, teams that are 0-2 have traditionally been good bets
in Week 3 of the preseason under normal circumstances, but these
circumstances are not normal. Cincinnati is still more concerned getting their schemes
down on both sides of the ball than they are with actually winning there
meaningless games. New offensive coordinator favors a power running game,
which is a vast departure from the quick timing passes favored by former OC Jay
Gruden, who left to become head coach of the Washington Redskins. Giovani
Bernard is expected to be the bell cow of that new running attack this year as
reports are he could be expected to touch the ball 300 times this season.
However, he has rushed for just 32 yards on 10 carries this preseason, and
while his starting job is not in jeopardy, the Bengals have already stated
that they plan to take a long look at back-up running back Jeremy Hill with the
first team in this game, another indication that winning or losing does not
matter much. And the defense is having a tough time thus far after ranking
fourth in the NFL in total defense under the old system last year allowing
only 306.2 yards per game, allowing 41 points in Week 1 and then 343 total
yards and 25 points with the starters playing a little longer last week.


The Cardinals looked awesome in their only home game this preseason while
out-gaining Houston by 235 total yards in the opening week shutout, but then
the Cardinals suffered another loss last week besides losing by two points
on the field, as they lost stalwart defensive end Darnell Dockett for the
season after he tore both his ACL and MCL. Arizona had an understandable lack
of intensity after the injury that may have accounted for allowing the
Vikings to score 17 points in the fourth quarter as Arizona blew a 21-13 lead
entering that final stanza. Dockett will certainly be missed in the long run,
but possibly not as much in this game with the Cincinnati offense still
working out some kinks and the Cardinals' run defense remains stout. There have
been no problems at all offensively as Arizona has gotten good quarterback
play from starter Carson Palmer and second-stringer Drew Stanton, and those two
should play the bulk of this contest after Ryan Lindley may have lost his
job as the third quarterback with a bad second half last week to rookie Logan
Thomas, who completed 11-of-12 passes for 113 yards and one touchdown in
Week 1.


The Bengals are 2-8 ATS (3-7 straight up) in their last 10 preseason road
games, losing by an average of -6.0 points.
PICK: ARIZONA CARDINALS-2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System


extra bonus systems for today:


Atlanta Braves -120 over the Cincinnati Reds (Bet Level 1) (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 1:10 PM EST - EARLY PLAY ALERT

[golden contender]

Sunday card has the Highest Rated A.L. West Game of the Year tonight on ESPN Sunday night Baseball and a 92% totals system that averages over 11 runs and beats line by 3 runs on average. In NFLX Action we have the Triple system side in the Evening NFLX Game. MLB Sweeps on Saturday. Free MLB Totals Play below.



The Free MLB Total Play is on the Under in the NY. Mets at LA. Dodgers game. Rotation numbers 909/910 at 4;10 eastern. The Mets have Bartolo Colon making the start after skipping a turn in the rotation. Colon and the Mets have the intangible factor going and the thinking is Colon will want to pitch well and bounce back on the mound with the motivation after losing his mother. This game also fits a totals system that has cashed all 13 times since 2004. We want to play the Under in the games where the home team is off a -140 or higher 2 run win and scored 5 or more runs. vs an opponent off a road dog loss at +140 and scored 4 or less runs provided both teams had 1 error in the game. These games average a shade over 5 runs. Look for this game to stay under. On Sunday their a is a powerful Card up and led by the A.L. WEST Game of the Year, a 92% Totals system that wins on average by 3 runs and the Triple System NFLX Side. MLB Sweeps on Saturday. Jump on now and end the the week big. For the free play take the Mets and Dodgers to play under the total today. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe


San Diego +6


The 49ers have not looked sharp in the preseason and its time to get their starters involved in this week 3 preseason game. On Defense they have lost Dorsey for the year and a lot of the key guys up front just are not going to play until the regular season. Without the key guys in their this is not a dominate defense. The Chargers have a very good offense and I believe can win this game outright tonight. The 49ers need to give their fans a nice showing here in their new stadium where they were man handled last week. Look for the Niners Offense to show up today. Take the Chargers and the Over (no parlay)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportswagers

Chicago -110 over N.Y. YANKEES

For whatever reason, the New York Yankees remain grossly overvalued and that’s never been more evident than it is here. When we get Chris Sale against any Yanks pitcher not named Tanaka at this price, we’re going to play it 100% of the time. Sale is putting up Cy Young numbers. He’s struck out 48 over his last 34 innings and is averaging a sick 13 K’s/9 over his last five starts. On the year, Sale has 158 K’s and just 26 walks issued in 136 innings. He’s absolutely smothering lefties, limiting them to a ridiculous .057/.108/.057 line. However, it’s close to a moot point, since opposing managers mostly refuse to bat lefties against him. Thing is, Joe Girardi’s hands are tied because his outfield, which consists of Brett Gardner, Jacoby Ellsbury and Ichiro Suzuki all bat left. So does Stephen Drew and Brian McCann and if McCann sits, backup catcher Francisco Cervelli is hitting .143 over his past 10 games. Sale has dominated the Yankees in his past three starts against them and that figures to continue here, as New York has averaged 2.5 RPG on a .584 OPS over its last 11 games, the worst mark in the majors.

Chris Capuano has made just five starts this season after spending the first few months of the season in the Red Sox’ pen. The Yanks have lost four of his five starts. Over his last two starts, Capuano has surrendered 14 hits and eight runs in 11.1 innings. In those two games, the Yanks are 0-2 and have been outscored 18-7. There’s a reason Capuano couldn’t start for Boston. There’s a reason that the Yankees are his fifth team since 2010. Thrice last season, the Dodgers tried to demote him to bullpen, only to reinstate as a starter out of necessity. His roller-coaster 2013 also included a June DL stint (calf) and a September groin strain. Health woes, age (36), miles on his arm and increasing struggles vs. RHB suggest pen may be good fit but he’s back in the starting role, again, out of necessity and that’s not a good fit. The South Side offers up all the value in this one.

Our Pick
Chicago -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)


Tampa Bay -109 over TORONTO

Chris Archer started the season with outstanding skills in April but he followed that up with three months of mediocrity from May to July. Those three months of mediocrity have been wiped away so far in August, when his skills have been even more electric than they were in April: 12.8 K’s/9, 2.4 BB/9, 44% groundball rate and a 15% swing and miss rate. In his past five starts, Archer has posted a 2.64 ERA with a BB/K split of 12/36 in 31 innings. Archer remains a premium arm and could be in store for a big finish.

Drew Hutchison looks like he might be a poor stretch-run target in his first full season back from Tommy John surgery since he struggled to gain any consistency after his electric April. Hutchison has been awful pitching with runners on with a BAA of .344. His strand rate over the past month is the lowest in the majors at 53% and while bad luck and a low strand rate go hand-in-hand, that BAA with runners on tells the story of a pitcher struggling from the stretch. Hutchison is an exciting young arm with the potential to produce plenty of strikeouts but he carries some durability risk down the stretch. He’s also been brutal at home with a 3-5 record and a 6.46 ERA. Hutchsion has been a strong fade when pitching at home this entire year and now he's up against a vastly superior starter.

Tampa Bay -109 (Risking 2.18 units - To Win: 2.00)

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Welcome to Ecks & Bacon for August 24, 2014 (Chalk)

Gonna roll back over to England and work a little more Premier League soccer into Ecks & Bacon, or we could rename it Bangers & Mash (sausage & mashed potatoes) for today. Looking at Sunderland to spring an upset against Manchester United. Why? The Black Cats have lost ONLY one of their last seven league games. And this AIN'T your daddy's Man U. The Red Devils had a disastrous campaign last season, finishing an ugly SEVENTH on the league table, a full TWENTY TWO points behind the champion, and cross town rival, Manchester City. And they have already lost their first match of the new season, AT HOME, to a mediocre Swansea City squad. Ouch! There's no doubt that United's new manager, Louis van Gaal, will have the Devils humming eventually, but it might not be till next year.

So, we'll take a $25 pop on Sunderland to win, and also drop a $25 bill on the draw.

While I have your attention, also gonna drop half a Benjamin on the Brewers with Mike Fiers over the Pirates. The only thing I'll say about Fiers is, 0.86 ERA the last three times out.

When Arsenal went off the field down 2-0 at the half against Everton, I was ready to chalk up a loss. But a miracle in the second half brought the Gunners all the way back, and the game ended in a 2-2 draw. The half a Benjamin wager brought back $110, and after pressing the proper buttons, the calculator says that +$1953 is the current figure.And for all my baseball fanatics, we're leaning on the Brewers this afternoon.

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Northcoast
Top opinion Arizona
Reg opinion San Fran

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EXECUTIVE

PRE-SEASON

150 bengals

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RickJ's Handicapping Picks Sunday MLB Plays
1/2 Unit
San Fran +146
Toronto -108
Minn +131

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Fezzik

Braves single
Chargers single
Saskatchewan single

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BETS THAT PROFIT
2* Cardinals/Phillies – UNDER 8.5 (-110)

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DHAYES2
1* Arizona Cardinals -2.5 -120

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EZWINNERS

Added

NFLX
3* (279) Chargers +4 (1st Half)

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BONES BEST BET

NATIONALS -1 -113 *5* BEST BET
We were hoping for a slightly smaller line here but this is definately still a play-on for us and a play-on with the most confidence. Strasburg is simply too good at home to avoid and he has been since his rookie year. He is 8-2 at home, has a 2.30 ERA, and a 1.01 WHIP. Over 94 innings pitched he has struck out 116 batters. The Nats have won 11 of their last 12 games overall + Stras on the hill = big bet for us here today!

RAYS TEAM TOTAL – OVER 4 -105 *3*
The Rays have scored 12 runs in their first 2 games in Toronto for this 3 game series and now face Drew Hutchison today who owns a 6.46 ERA at the Rogers Centre and a 7.02 ERA in day games. We could be cashing this ticket by the 4th inning this aft.

WHITE SOX @ YANKEES -UNDER 7 -105 *3*
The issue lately for the White Sox has been their offense that has been held to three or less runs in 14 of their last 16 games. Offensively they have been a joke, pair that with their ace on the hill today Chris Sale and we think this under can hit. Sale is 10-3 with a 2.12 ERA and has 158 strikeouts in 136 innings. Sale is 3-0 with a 0.85 ERA in seven career games against the Yankees. The Yankees pitching staff has allowed just six runs in its last three games and three or less runs in five of their last seven. Chris Capuano takes the hill and is 1-0 with a 0.84 ERA in three career games against the White Sox.

BRAVES @ REDS – UNDER 8 -115 *3*
This total is half a point high. 8 has a lot of value today. These teams are a combine 110-135 o/u this year. They have went under in 4 of their last 5 meetings and the other game pushed. Also in 4 of those 5 games the total was set at less than 8. Harang hasn’t been great lately but that shouldn’t be an issue because the Reds can’t hit. They have scored a total of 2 runs in the first 3 games of the series. Simon has a solid 1.20 WHIP on the year and has been solid during day games with a 0.95 WHIP. We wouldn’t be surprised if neither team puts up 4 runs today.

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​Kelso

50 Marlins

25 Ariz Cards [football]

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BOB BALFE

NFLX SELECTION

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS +6
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS/SAN DIEGO CHARGERS – OVER 42
The 49ers have not looked sharp in the preseason and its time to get their starters involved in this week 3 preseason game. On Defense they have lost Dorsey for the year and a lot of the key guys up front just are not going to play until the regular season. Without the key guys in their this is not a dominate defense. The Chargers have a very good offense and I believe can win this game outright tonight. The 49ers need to give their fans a nice showing here in their new stadium where they were man handled last week. Look for the Niners Offense to show up today. Take the Chargers and the Over (no parlay)

ARIZONA CARDINALS/CINCINNATI BENGALS – OVER 43
Both teams have opportunistic defenses with players capable of scoop and scores and pick 6′s. I like both quarterbacks to start this game and really Carson Palmer is having a great camp. This guy could take this team far if he cuts down the turnovers. The backup QB’s have also looked decent. Even the Cardinals 4th stringer has look solid. Look for a lot of scoring and maybe some defensive and special teams scores in the dome. Take the Over

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charlie SPORTS

500
sf over 42
arizona under 43.5

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Allen Eastman
MLB
4* KC -160
3* Brewers -140

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Doc Sports
MLB
3* Houston +125
3* Seattle -175

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Mike Davis
MLB
5* Over 7.5 LAA / Oakland

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Wunderdog sPORTS Free Play


Game: Houston Astros @ Cleveland Indians
Time: Sunday 08/24 1:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Cleveland -142 (moneyline) at WagerWeb


A brutal situational spot for Houston, the end of a 10-game road trip. They've lost two of the last three games, scoring zero and two runs in the losses. This offense is 22nd in baseball in on-base percentage and 27th in team batting average. The Astros are 26-77 on the road against a team with a winning record and have southpaw Brett Oberholtzer (4-8, 4.01 ERA) on the hill. Opponents hit .284 off him, and the Astros are 3-7 in Oberholtzer's last 10 road starts. Cleveland has a strong offense, eighth in runs scored, 11th in OBP, and 10th in slugging. The Indians are 22-5 in their last 27 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Cleveland's Trevor Bauer throws best at home (3.36 ERA), and Cleveland has owned this series, winning seven of the last eight. Plus, the Astros are 1-7 in the last eight meetings in Cleveland. Play Cleveland.

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Line Catchers


Tampa Bay Rays – 121


Sunday sees the Rays and Blue Jays face off in game 3 of their 3 game set in Toronto having split the first two games on Friday and Saturday.


The Rays will send righty Chris Archer to the mound this afternoon to face a Toronto team which he has had success against in the past. Archer sports an 8-6 record with a 3.17 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 25 starts this season and has pitched even better on the road this campaign. He is 4-3 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.30 WHIP and has held opponents to a .243 BA. In 7 ‘Day’ trips to the hill, Archer has hurled 41 innings and has pitched to a stingy 2.43 ERA. The Rays are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 road games with Archer toeing the rubber.


Drew Hutchinson gets the nod for the Blue Jays and comes into tonight’s game having given up 13 ER in his last 2 starts. Hutchinson is 8-11 with a 4.81 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 25 starts this year and has been as inconsistent as any pitcher in the AL. Hutchinson has been rocked in 8 ‘Day’ outings in 2014, he is 2-6 with a 7.02 ERA and 1.61 WHIP. The righty has struggled to find his command at the Rogers Centre which has resulted in the Jays dropping 6 of his 9 starts at home.


In todays rubber game, I believe the Rays are showing good value as a small favourite. Its worth noting that Archer has a 3.24 ERA in 6 career starts against Toronto compared to a Drew Hutchinson who has pitched to a lofty 7.78 ERA in 4 career outings against the Rays.

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Game of the Day: Angels at A's

Los Angeles Angels at Oakland A's (-134, 7.5)

The Oakland Athletics needed to sweep a three-game series against the Los Angeles Angels in order to take back the lead in the American League West. The Athletics will attempt to do just that when they host the Angels in the finale on Sunday. Oakland drew even atop the AL West with a 2-1 victory on Saturday as Coco Crisp raced across with the go-ahead run on a wild pitch in the eighth inning.

Los Angeles won eight of nine before arriving in Oakland to grab a two-game lead in the division but had a ninth-run rally fall short in Friday’s 5-3 setback before narrowly falling Saturday. The Angels, who host the Athletics in a four-game series next weekend, are winless in five games at Oakland this season and will visit the Athletics again in the final week of the regular season. Oakland is pulling out of a slump with three wins in their last four games.

LINE HISTORY: Online sportsbook Pinnacle Sports opened the A's as -146 home faves, but they now sit -134. The total opened at seven and is up to 7.5.

INJURY REPORT: A's - Jed Lowrie (15-day DL, hamstring).

POWER RANKINGS: Angels (-204), A's (-202)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Angels RH Jered Weaver (13-7, 3.70 ERA) vs. Athletics LH Scott Kazmir (14-5, 2.73)

Weaver is being leaned on to step up in the absence of Garrett Richards and needs to work deeper into games. The veteran has not recorded an out in the seventh inning in any of his last five starts and allowed three runs on seven hits and four walks over 5 1/3 innings at Boston on Tuesday. Weaver is making his third start of 2014 against Oakland after dropping the first two while yielding a total of 10 runs - nine earned - and 17 hits in 11 1/3 total innings.

Kazmir traded wins and losses in his last five starts and is coming off a win over the New York Mets in which he surrendered one run and four hits in six innings. That win gave the 30-year-old a career high of 14, besting the 13-9 mark he put up with Tampa Bay in 2007. Kazmir is facing his former franchise for the first time this season and was reached for five runs in three innings by Los Angeles on Aug. 9, 2013

TRENDS:

* Under is 20-3-3 in Weaver's last 26 starts vs. Athletics.
* Under is 8-2 in Angels last 10 overall.
* Road team is 4-0 in umpire Mike Everittss last four games behind home plate.
* Athletics are 5-1 in Kazmir's last six home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

CONSENSUS: 56 percent of wagers on Consensus are behind the A's

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Diamond Dog Sports

MLB
#912: Rockies: +105 (2.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Hand/Bergman

#915: Astros +150 (2.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Oberholtzer/Bauer

#907/908: Pirates/Brewers: Under 8.0 (+100) (4*)
Listed Pitchers: Worley/Fiers

#917/918: Rays/Blue Jays: Over 8.5 (+100) (3.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Archers/Hutchison

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UNDER Umpire Streakers


#917 UN 8.5 -115 TB/TOR 1.15u/1.00u
BWelke 9ov/15un L24gms 62.5%


#919 UN 7 -110 CWS/NYY 1.10u/1.00u
Winters 6ov/12un L18gms 66.7%


#921 UN 8 -120 SEA/BOS 1.20u/1.00u
Carapazza 10ov/16un L26gms 61.5%

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Arthur Ralph's

Super Pk Tigers w/ Scherzer

Tropy Play NFL Cinci Bengals + 2 1/2 BUY to 3

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Tony Stoffo

Chargers / 49ers Over

A's

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Indian Cowboy
MLB
5* Astros/Indians under 7 1/2

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Bruce Marshall

49ers

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Teddy Covers

Baltimore

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James Manos

Arizona / Cincinnati Under

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RTG SPORTS

Tampa Bay Rays -108 **

Giants @ Nationals – Over 7 (-115) *

Baltimore Orioles -112 *

Oakland A’s -133 *

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Chase Diamond

20* NY Mets

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VEGAS RUNNER
RLcrew Late MLB Moves
901) BRAVES -120 and RL-1.5 (+140)
920) YANKEES RL+1.5 (-150)

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VEGAS RUNNER

NFAC Late MLB Move

916) UNDER 8 (-125) HOU/CLE…and UNDER 7.5 (+100) (Full game)

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VEGAS RUNNER

RLcrew’s NinjaMove MLB

1903) ST LOUIS -120 (1st 5 Innings)

904) PHILLIES +115 (Full Game)

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SHAKER’S SHORTS

#930 Baltimore Orioles/Chicago Cubs – UNDER 4.5 -120 1st 5 Innings

#914 Arizona Diamondbacks Team Total – OVER 3.5 -115

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Top Over umpire to call game Sunday
By ANDREW AVERY

Umpire Toby Basner is the top Over ump in the bigs among umpires that have worked behind the plate in at least 10 games.

The Over is 15-5 - 75 percent, tops among umpires with at least 10 games - in Basner's 20 games calling balls and strikes and he's scheduled to be back in that spot in Arlington as the Texas Rangers host the Kansas City Royals Sunday.

Oddsmakers have tabbed the game with a total of nine as Jason Vargas gets the ball for the visiting Royals and Scott Baker is scheduled to get the start for the Rangers.

There has been an average of 10.3 runs scored per game when he is behind the plate, paced the the 2.2 home runs hit in those games.

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Sunday's NFL Week 3 preseason betting primer

The NFC West will be the focus of Sunday's NFL preseason sked, with the San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals hosting the final two games of Week 3. Here's a look at Sunday's matchups:

San Diego Chargers at San Francisco 49ers (-5.5, 41.5)

* The Chargers will have first-round pick Jason Verrett in the lineup against San Francisco; the standout cornerback missed the first two preseason games working his way back from offseason shoulder surgery. But San Diego will be without linebacker Manti Te'o (foot), and will likely go with veteran Kavell Conner to take Te'o's place alongside Donald Butler.

* Fans and bettors should keep an eye on field conditions, after the 49ers were forced to replace the turf at Levi's Stadium earlier this week due to uneven sod patches, large divots and a host of other issues. Running back LaMichael James is ahead of schedule in his return from a dislocated elbow and is expected to make his preseason debut.

Cincinnati Bengals at Arizona Cardinals (-2.5, 42.5)

* Bengals defensive tackle Geno Atkins - sidelined since last October after suffering a torn ACL - will make his much anticipated return Sunday; he's expected to start the game and play two or three series. The first-team offense will look to continue humming along - having scored on all four drives it has played so far - while the second-team unit needs a strong performance after struggling in each of the first two games.

* Cardinals quarterback Carson Palmer faces his former team having looked sensational in the preseason; that said, head coach Bruce Arians likely won't play Palmer as much as other first-team quarterbacks in Week 3, and may even take him out before halftime. Starting running back Andre Ellington has just four carries in the preseason but should see more action, hoping to bolster a run attack averaging just 2.5 yards per carry through two games.

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ALATEX

20* NFLX Chargers +6

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Gabriel DuPont NFL winner...

My 60 Dime Winner is the OVER in the preseason clash between the San Francisco 49ers and San Diego Chargers. As I release this play at 5 am pacific, I see the line being 41.5 points.

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Burns

10* personal Fave! LA Dodgers

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Maddux Sports
MLB
Pittsburgh+127 (10*)
Padres-108 (10*)
Tampa-105 (10*)
White Sox -117 (10*)

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Primetime Sports Picks For 08/24/14

4 Unit --> Oakland (Kazmir) -145 over L.A. Angels (Weaver)
3 Unit --> Milwaukee (Fiers) -145 over San Francisco (Vogelsong)
3 Unit --> Arizona -2.5 over Cincinnati (NFL)

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Burns' 10* MLB BLUE CHIP SUPER TOTAL

Angels / A's Under

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VEGAS RUNNER

MLB on ESPN Lean = OVER 7 (-125) – LAA/OAK

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EZWINNERS

Added

2* (281) Bengals +1