8-29-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

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Dave Cokin

Texas San Antonio +12½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik

3* Colorado/Colorado state under 63

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF Week 1

BYU lost its first road game the last four years and were favored in last two; Cougars have junior QB with 15 career starts- they're 8-12 as road favorites since '08, were 0-3 LY. Dogs covered 12 of their last 16 games on road. UConn has new coach, three QBs back from LY who all threw 125+ passes LY- since '04, they're 19-4 vs spread as home underdogs. Dogs covered 16 of UConn's last 20 home games.

Bowling Green-Western Kentucky haven't met since '07; both clubs have new coaches. Hilltoppers are on 3rd coach in three years. WKU is 9-4 as a home underdog since '09; they covered 12 of last 14 tries as underdogs, but lost 7 starters on defense, have senior QB with eleven career starts. Falcons are 12-3 as road faves since '07; they have 7 starters back on defense, 3 on OL and junior QB with 13 starts.

Colorado won eight of last 11 games vs Colorado State; dogs are 10-6 vs spread in series, but Buffs' last four series wins are all by 14+ points. In LY's game, Buffs outgained State by 214 yards- they're 3-0 as favorites under MacIntyre, have soph QB with 7 starts. Rams have senior QB; he has 22 starts, led State to first bowl in five years LY (won 48-45). CSU lost 4 starters on OL, is 6-7 as an underdog under McElwain.

Tex-San Antonio is coached by Larry Coker, old Miami coach; they are 7-5 as road underdogs last two years; this is only their 4th year as team. Roadrunners have 10 starters back on both sides of ball, but their QB has not started yet. Houston (-2) beat UTSA 59-28 LY; Coogs had +5 ratio in turnovers, yardage was even. Houston is 20-7 as home favorites since '07, 6-4 under Levine- their soph QB started 11 games last year.

Arizona (-10) pounded UNLV 58-13 LY, running ball for 397 yards, but RichRod has been complaining this summer about lack of QB. Wildcats have four starters back on OL to protect whoever new QB is- they're 5-6 as home favorites under Rodriguez. Rebels got to first bowl in 13 years LY; they've got 13 starters back, junior QB with 15 starts, 4 starters are back on OL- they are 6-2 as road dog last two years.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's CFL Picks

Ottawa at Montreal

The REDBLACKS head to Montreal on Friday to face an Alouettes team that is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games in Week 10 of the season. Ottawa is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Montreal favored by only 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+6 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


FRIDAY, AUGUST 29
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (8/26)


Game 281-282: Ottawa at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 103.237; Montreal 106.872
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 3 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Montreal by 6 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+6 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin

149 Colorado State +3

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Goodfella

3* Colorado St +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Minnesota at Phoenix

The Mercury open up the Western Conference finals on Friday against a Minnesota team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on 3 or more days rest. Phoenix is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks


FRIDAY, AUGUST 29
Time Posted: 9:30 a.m. EST (8/27)


Game 601-602: Minnesota at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 112.199; Phoenix 122.707
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 10 1/2; 156
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4 1/2; 161
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-4 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NCAAF STAT/SHEETS
FRIDAY, AUGUST 29th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** NCAA College Football Week #1 Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every week during the 2014 NCAA College Football season we will analyze all of your daily football action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of StatSystems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
__________________________________________________

NCAA College Football News and Notes - Week #1
•Buckeyes' Miller Has Shoulder Surgery: Ohio State quarterback Braxton Miller underwent surgery Tuesday to repair a torn labrum in his throwing shoulder. Coach Urban Meyer said the surgery, performed by Dr. James Andrews, was a success. Miller tweeted a picture of himself and Andrews after the procedure. Miller, a senior and two-time Big Ten Player of the Year, initially injured the shoulder during an Orange Bowl loss to Clemson and had surgery in February. He sat out spring practice to rehab and then returned to fall camp before reinjuring it during a routine throw on August 18th. After the second injury, Miller said he would redshirt this year and return to the Buckeyes in 2015. On Monday, he was named a team captain for the 2014 season. With Miller sidelined, redshirt freshman J.T. Barrett will take over at quarterback and start the season opener on Saturday against Navy in Baltimore.

•Oklahoma's Bell Ready To Contribute At Tight End: Even before Trevor Knight's performance against Alabama in the Sugar Bowl, Oklahoma quarterback Blake Bell thought about switching positions -- for the good of the team and his future. Saturday against Louisiana Tech, Bell will make his debut at tight end for the No. 4 Sooners. "We expect him to play at a high level," Oklahoma co-offensive coordinator Josh Heupel said. "He's been really good in the pass game like you would expect having played quarterback, understanding space; catches the ball extremely well. He plays as big as he is at that position, but he's done a really good job in the run game as well." Bell's biggest adjustment has been with blocking, but coaches have consistently praised Bell's improvement there. "With the more he's on the field and the more opportunities he gets, that will improve," Sooners coach Bob Stoops said. Oklahoma hasn't had much production out of its tight ends since Jermaine Gresham played for the Sooners in 2006-08. With virtually no skill-position starters returning outside of Knight, a big tight end target could be something Oklahoma needs, especially early.

"It'll back some defenses up," Bell said. "Last year you saw a lot of teams just packing the box and forcing us to pass. This year with a lot of the talent and speed you've got outside, it can change a bit." Bell's days at quarterback might not be completely done though. After insisting since the move that Bell was permanently a tight end, Oklahoma's coaches said this week that they'd given Bell practice reps at quarterback after backup Cody Thomas suffered a minor injury. Then Stoops said Monday that the "Belldozer" package, which the Sooners used often in red-zone and short-yardage situations in 2011-12 when Landry Jones was the starting quarterback, could be used to take some of the wear and tear off Knight. "There's a place for it," Stoops said. "How much or not, it would maybe depend on how successful we are with some of the other stuff we are doing." Bell was certainly successful in that spot when he did it as a backup for those two seasons. Bell scored 24 rushing touchdowns in 20 games while directing the situational package behind Jones.

Roster Report
WR K.J. Young, who redshirted last season, is expected to make his first start against Louisiana Tech, playing in the slot. Young stood out among young receivers during December's bowl preparation and kept up the momentum through camp.... Sophomore Ahmad Thomas is expected to make his first start after earning the free safety spot over another sophomore, Hatari Byrd.... The Sooners are expected to play several true freshmen in the opener, including RB Samaje Perine, FB Dimitri Flowers, WR Michiah Quick and defensive backs Steven Parker and Jordan Thomas.... LG Adam Shead, who missed the last three games of last season due to injury, earned back his spot, beating out Dionte Savage.

•No Peeking For Ducks In Opener Vs. FCS School: Oregon coach Mark Helfrich said his team is not peeking ahead to a home showdown against No. 8 Michigan State, despite the Ducks being a 50-point favorite in their season opener. It's a soft opening for Oregon, which plays Saturday against the South Dakota Coyotes, an FCS school that went 4-8 last season. "It's 100 percent South Dakota," Helfrich said of the game plan this week. The Ducks will take a big jump in competition when they host Michigan State on Sept. 6 in a game that could have College Football Playoff implications. Regardless of opponent, Oregon says it is just happy to be through with fall camp and have an opponent to prepare to face.

"We're pretty excited to get going," said junior quarterback Marcus Mariota, who begins the season as one of the frontrunners for the Heisman Trophy. "I know guys are tired of hitting each other. Now that we get into a game week, we will prepare like we have every year I have been here." The Ducks had a string of four straight BCS bowls snapped last year when they finished 11-2 with a win over Texas in the Alamo Bowl. Oregon is ranked No. 3 in the Associated Press poll, making them a prime contender to reach the new four-team playoff. "That is the No. 1 goal," Mariota said. "We want to be able to come out of the conference this year, because we haven't been able to do that the last couple years, and be a part of the national playoff picture."

"We are really motivated. This was one of the best fall camps I have been part of since I got here. We are excited and anxious to get out and play." Oregon lost starting left tackle Tyler Johnstone to a torn ACL earlier this month, and wide receiver Bralon Addison will miss at least half of the season with a torn ACL suffered in spring practice. However, the Ducks still return eight starters on offense. Oregon brings back five starters on defense, including All-American cornerback Ifo Ekpre-Olomu. "We've gotten some things straightened out and a few things we still need to do, but I am really comfortable with where we are at as a defense," linebacker Rodney Hardrick said.

Roster Report
LB Johnny Ragin III was declared immediately eligible by the NCAA after transferring from California. He had two tackles in eight games as a true freshman for the Bears.... CB Dominique Harrison, a junior college transfer, suffered a knee injury in fall camp. His status for the season is unknown because Oregon does not release injury information.... Tanner Carew will be Oregon's long snapper as a true freshman.... WR Charles Nelson, a true freshman, will play on offense and special teams.

•Baylor Eager To Play In New On-Campus Digs: The most popular photos and videos in Waco these days -- outside of those from the Ice Bucket Challenge -- are the ones taken inside Baylor's new McLane Family Stadium. And much like a person dousing themselves with ice-cold water, the Baylor football team isn't exactly certainly how it will react to the rush. But the Bears have a pretty good guess. Coach Art Briles has compiled the kind of talent entering his seventh season at Baylor that will pair nicely with the fancy new on-campus stadium. "We've got guys that when you put them on the field, and there's some energy, they can be a different step, different level," Briles said.

"I've been around it a long time and I know how fast looks when it's excited." At around 45,000 seats, Baylor's new stadium is quaint compared to some of the mammoth venues across the college football landscape. But the Bears are hoping it's not the size of the crowd in the fight but the size of the fight in the crowd. "It's our job to make that the most exciting stadium in the United States of America on game day," Briles said. "Our guys got to feed off of it." The first opponent to test that theory will be SMU, which finished 5-7 last season. The Mustangs don't figure to be much of a match for No. 10-ranked Baylor as the Bears have been tabbed a four-touchdown-plus favorite.

But Briles pointed out that the first game is a bit of a roll of the dice. That's partially because college programs don't have the same preseason luxury as the NFL or other sports. There's no real dress rehearsal for the Bears as they step on their new stage. "There's nothing to relate it to," Briles said. "In the NFL, you have preseason games. In high school, you have scrimmages. In college you play. It's showtime." At least the Bears know who some of the leading players will be. Quarterback Bryce Petty has been touted as a Heisman contender. His favorite target from a year ago, Antwan Goodley, is looking to improve on his already-high draft stock.

And while Baylor lost two quality running backs in Lache Seastrunk and Glasco Martin, Shock Linwood showed last season there's not much drop-off when he gets the ball. Maybe none. And the high-powered offense isn't the only unit getting rave reviews in the preseason. Baylor is convinced its defensive front seven is as formidable as any in college football. It will take a while before Baylor's mettle is seriously tested -- until a road game at Texas on Oct. 4. Until then, expect the Bears to do plenty of dancing in their new digs.

Roster Report
Starting wide-receiver Clay Fuller is out for the first month of the season with a broken clavicle. Fuller suffered the injury in practice in early August and was expected to be sidelined for six to eight weeks.
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Teams On Upset Alert - Week #1
Systems Analyst James Vogel

Each and every year during the NCAA College Football campaign we see upsets during the first week of the season. Here are five matchups to keep on upset alert during the opening week.“Enjoy, and until next week - as always the very best of luck” –James!

•Portland State Vikings @ Oregon State Beavers (-31)
If history is any indication, then Oregon State is in trouble in their opener. Last season, the Beavers lost to Eastern Washington 49-46. In 2011, they fell to Sacramento State 29-28. Portland State lost four games last season but did play Cal close (lost 37-30) and their biggest loss from 2013 was 28 points so even if they don't pull the upset, they could cover the spread.

Likelihood Of An Upset: Small

•Rice Owls @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-20.5)
With the exception of 2012, under Brian Kelly, the Irish have been bitten by the upset bug. In 2010 it was Navy and Tulsa. In 2011 it was USF. In 2013 it was Pitt. Notre Dame is in the midst of an internal investigation into academic misconduct and you have to wonder if their attention will be elsewhere when they face off with the defending Conference USA Champions.

Likelihood Of An Upset: Medium

•California Golden Bears @ Northwestern Wildcats (-10)
In 2013, California was flat out awful. Last year, Cal lost over 50 starters to injury, they broke in a new QB and they had a coaching change so they had to adjust to a change in schemes. On the flip side, Northwestern just found out that their top receiver, Christian Jones, suffered a season-ending knee injury. Both of these teams are coming off of very disappointing 2013 seasons and it was be an interesting game to watch.

Likelihood Of An Upset: Medium

•Utah State Aggies @ Tennessee Volunteers (-6.5)
The Volunteers lost every player on their offensive and defensive line. They also just named Justin Worley their starting quarterback, which seems like a disappointment based on his past performance. Can talent at RB and WR overcome the question-marks the Vols have? Another big factor in this game will be Utah State's star quarterback Chuckie Keeton, who will be returning from injury.

Likelihood Of An Upset: XL

•Youngstown State @ Illinois (-10)
Tim Beckman's era at Illinois has been a huge disappointment through two years. The Illini have gone 6-18 overall and 1-15 in Big Ten play. In Illinois only game against an FCS opponent in 2013, they won by just eight points. Youngstown State went 8-4 last season and isn't a team to be taken lightly. Remember 2012 when the Penguins went to Pitt and came away with a 31-17 victory?

Likelihood Of An Upset: Jumbo
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Final Four Consensus Picks
The first season of the four-team playoff in college football will keep things wide-open heading into January. We polled our stable of Expert Handicappers looking for their views on who will make the inaugural “Final Four,” as defending champion Florida State and Alabama are two of the front-runners to win the National Championship. However, the Seminoles and Crimson Tide weren’t the overwhelming favorites among the panel, as Pac-12 favorites Oregon and UCLA were selected by several of our Pro's to win it all.

Who will raise the AFCA National Championship trophy in January? A handful of StatSystems Sports handicappers give their opinion on who will win the title, starting with the defending champions from Tallahassee.

Florida State

•Vegas Insider Ryan Taylor - Their ACC schedule is very manageable as they get a young Clemson team at home in week #4 and FSU is off a bye. They must play Louisville on the road on a Thursday but get a bye prior to that game as well. The ‘Noles play Florida and Notre Dame but get both those games at home and the Seminoles have the stifling defense to contain both of those mediocre offenses. FSU has a confident leader in quarterback Jameis Winston and the best combination of offensive line and defensive line in the country. They could conceivably, with their hype, high preseason ranking, and Heisman trophy candidate, lose to Notre Dame and still garner a playoff spot.

Oregon

•Expert Handicapper Jude Ravo - With the Pac-12 playing nine-conference games plus a conference championship game, even a one-loss champion in the conference appears to be a safe bet for inclusion in the four-team playoff field. Oregon has failed as the conference favorite the past two seasons, but this is an elite program that gets most of its toughest games at home this season. If Oregon beats Michigan State early in the season, they would have a big trump card in comparisons with the potential Big Ten champion if the resumes are similar and Oregon could even make a strong case for inclusion as the Pac-12 champion with two losses in some scenarios if there are few undefeated teams nationwide. The toughest road game for Oregon is at UCLA this season and a loss in that game could potentially be avenged in the conference championship which could also provide a boost for the case for the Ducks.

Alabama

•Systems Analyst Larry Hertner - Defense and running back depth are enough for the Crimson Tide. Finding another game manager to replace A.J McCarron won't be that difficult especially given the weapons Alabama has. The last time the Crimson Tide ended a season with consecutive losses under Nick Saban was 2008. The following year they went undefeated and won the national championship.

UCLA

•Systems Analyst William Stillman - Quarterback Brett Hundley might win the Heisman. They have 18 returning starters and will have one of the top offenses in the country. But most importantly, the Bruins defense could be their strongest asset. Bringing back almost the entire defensive line, opponents will have their work cut out. Also, their schedule seems very nice this year, with three of their toughest games, Oregon, USC and Stanford...all at home. I believe Jim Mora will out-coach teams in the playoffs and win the National Championship.

2015 National Championship Odds
•Florida State 18/5
•Alabama 6/1
•Oregon 7/1
•Auburn 10/1
•Oklahoma 12/1

•Georgia 13/1
•UCLA 14/1
•Ohio State 20/1
•South Carolina 23/1
•LSU 25/1

•USC 28/1
•Michigan State 30/1
•Baylor 30/1
•Wisconsin 30/1
•Florida 35/1

•Ole Miss 45/1
•Michigan 50/1
•Stanford 65/1
•Notre Dame 75/1
•Clemson 80/1

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•Friday's Matchups
--Brigham Young lost its first road game the last four years and were favored in last two; Cougars have junior quarterback with 15 career starts- they're 8-12 as road favorites since 2008, were 0-3 last season. Dogs covered 12 of their last 16 games on road. Connecticut has new head coach, three QBs back from last year who all threw 125+ passes LY- since 2004, they're 19-4 versus spread (82.6%) as home underdogs. Underdogs covered 16 of the Huskies last 20 home games.

--Bowling Green-Western Kentucky haven't met since 2007; both clubs have new head coaches. Hilltoppers are on 3rd coach in three years. WKU is 9-4 as a home underdog since 2009; they covered 12 of last 14 tries as underdogs, but lost 7 starters on defense, have senior quarterback with eleven career starts. Falcons are 12-3 as road favorites (80.0%) since 2007; they have 7 starters back on defense, 3 on offensive line and junior quarterback with 13 starts.

--Colorado won eight of last 11 games versus Colorado State; underdogs are 10-6 versus spread in series, but Buffaloes last four series victories are all by 14+ points. In last season’s matchup, Colorado outgained State by 214 yards- they're 3-0 as favorites under MacIntyre, have sophomore quarterback with 7 starts. Rams have senior QB; he has 22 starts, led State to first bowl in five years in 2013 (won 48-45). CSU lost 4 starters on offensive line, is 6-7 as an underdog under McElwain.

--Tex-San Antonio is coached by Larry Coker, old Miami Hurricanes head coach; they are 7-5 as road underdogs last two years; this is only their 4th year as team. Roadrunners have 10 starters back on both sides of ball, but their quarterback has not started yet. Houston (-2) beat UTSA 59-28 in 2013; Cougars had +5 ratio in turnovers, yardage was even. Houston is 20-7 as home favorites (74.0%) since 2007, 6-4 under Levine- their sophomore quarterback started 11 games last season.

--Arizona (-10) pounded UNLV 58-13 last year, running ball for 397 yards, but RichRod has been complaining this summer about lack of quarterback. Wildcats have four starters back on offensive line to protect whoever new QB is- they're 5-6 as home favorites under Rodriguez. Rebels got to first bowl in 13 years in 2013; they've got 13 starters back, junior QB with 15 starts, 4 starters are back on OL- they are 6-2 as road dog (75.0%) last two years.

Gridiron Trends - Saturday
•FLA ATLANTIC is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was FLA ATLANTIC 21.1, OPPONENT 29.9.

•TROY is 31-11 OVER (+18.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
The average score was TROY 23.4, OPPONENT 29.0.

•MARSHALL is 1-10 against the 1rst half line (-10.0 Units) in a road game where the first half total is between 28.5 and 31.5 since 1992.
The average score was MARSHALL 11.5, OPPONENT 21.7.

•ARKANSAS is 16-30 against the 1rst half line (-17.0 Units) in road games in the first half of the season since 1992.
The average score was ARKANSAS 9.4, OPPONENT 14.9.

•W VIRGINIA is 14-4 OVER (+9.6 Units) the 1rst half total in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was W VIRGINIA 19.2, OPPONENT 20.4.

•MARK RICHT is 31-17 UNDER (+12.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of GEORGIA.
The average score was RICHT 27.8, OPPONENT 19.6.

Situational Analysis of the Week
•Play On - Home favorites versus the money line (HOUSTON) - good team from last season - outscored opponents by 7 or more points/game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning, in the first month of the season.
(72-6 since 1992.) (92.3%, +56.2 units. Rating = 5*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -264.2
The average score in these games was: Team 40.8, Opponent 15.6 (Average point differential = +25.2)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-0, +5 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (20-0, +20 units).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (33-2, +27.3 units).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

executive

is a passing today

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rooster

Colorado State +3.5
Uconn Under 53
Western Kentucky Under 64.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 10
By David Schwab
VegasInsider

The CFL will close the first-half of its 2014 regular season this upcoming Labor Day Holiday Weekend and all indications continue to point to a league of “haves” (the West Division) and “have nots” (the East Division).

Winnipeg got things going for the West last week with a 24-16 victory over Montreal as a 7½-point home favorite on Friday night. The total stayed UNDER the closing 49½-point line.

Saturday’s CFL double-header kicked things off with Edmonton almost doubling-up Toronto 41-27 as a seven-point favorite at home. This time the total went well OVER the 49½-point line. Calgary rolled over Ottawa 32-7 in the nightcap to easily cover as an 8½-point road favorite with the total staying UNDER the 48-point line.

This past Sunday in the only divisional matchup on the slate, Saskatchewan outlasted British Columbia 20-16 as a 2 ½-point road underdog. The total in that game stayed UNDER the 50 ½-point closing line.

Friday, Aug. 29

Ottawa (1-7 SU, 2-6 ATS) at Montreal (1-7 SU, 2-6 ATS)

Point-spread: Montreal -5½
Total: 47

Game Overview

The good news for the expansion RedBlacks is that they have a decent shot at doubling their win total on the year in their first meeting this season against Montreal. Ottawa has held their own against the other two teams they faced from the East with a Week 3 victory over Toronto (18-17) as a one-point home underdog and a 10-point loss to Hamilton as a 6½-point road underdog in Week 4.

The Alouettes continue to sink deeper and deeper into a hole they probably will not be able to climb out of. Their offense is ranked last in the CFL in scoring with an average of 15.6 points a game and they have major issues at the quarterback position. Montreal’s defense has allowed 30 or more points four times during its current six-game losing streak.

Betting Trends

Ottawa is 1-4 against the spread in its last five games and 0-4 ATS in four road games this year. Montreal is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 home games and total has stayed UNDER in its last five division games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prediction Machine Sides


Fri Aug. 29th ATS
Rot Pick Opp Line Pick%
150 COLO (Lock of the Week) COLOST -2.5 61.7
148 @ WESTKY BGSU 7.5 56.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux Sports


10* UTSA/Houston over 56 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Gold Sheet
Key Release

*Colorado 34 - Colorado St. 20—While dealing with its Pac-12 foes might still be a problem, CU handled its non-league tests (including CSU) in Mike MacIntyre’s debut season. Envision a similar scenario in Denver, with now-soph QB Sefo Liufau having emerged since the 2013 opener. Meanwhile, Rams now deploying a rebuilt OL to protect sr. QB Garrett Grayson, and several other key CSU cogs from LY are spending summer in NFL camps. Worth noting that MacIntyre (at San Jose in 2012) has now out-schemed CSU counterpart Jim McElwain each of the past two seasons. (at Denver, CO)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Gold Sheet CKO


10 *CONNECTICUT over Byu
Late Score Forecast:
*CONNECTICUT 27 - Byu 31


Connecticut has been an extremely strong technical play getting points at home, covering 19 of last 23 in that role.
Don’t think oddsmakers have adequately compensated for BYU’s early-season offensive limitations. Star Cougar
RB Jamaal Williams (1233 YR, 5.7 ypc, 10 TDs LY) is suspended, and Bronco Mendenhall’s BYU side is without the
services of starting WRs Devon Blackmon (suspension) and Nick Kurtz (foot injury). We’ll give a vote of confidence
to Husky soph QB Casey Cochran, who made quite an impression in winning 3 of his 4 starts LY, completing 63%
of his passes and posting an 11-4 TD-interception ratio. With Cochran at the controls UConn scored 31 ppg, so
expect the Huskies to trade TDs with Cougs.


10 UTSA over *Houston
Late Score Forecast:
UTSA 31 - *Houston 32


UTSA has been a solid pointspread winner in its first few seasons on the Las Vegas line, boasting a 14-8 mark
against the number. On the surface of it, Houston blew out the Roadrunners last season at the Alamodome, but the
game was much closer than the 59-28 final, as UTSA outgained the Cougars slightly and the game was tied at half
and Houston held just a 31-28 edge after three quarters. However, the Cougars blocked a field goal and returned
it for a TD, intercepted 3 passes in the fourth quarter (one returned for a score) and tipped the scoreboard in a game
that might’ve gone very differently. Experienced Roadrunners have 20 returning starters (plus both kickers) and a
nation-leading 37 seniors, all of whom would love nothing more than to spoil the party as UH inaugurates its new
TCEDU Stadium. Cougars got much more than their share of breaks last season (+25 in TO count; led the country
with 43 takeaways), and if the ball bounces fairly, UTSA very capable of throwing a severe scare into Houston HC
Tony Levine (if not ruin his day entirely by pulling the upset).


NINE-RATED GAME: ARIZONA (-23½) vs. Unlv —U of A still unsettled at QB, but not for lack of talent; UNLV doesn’t have the defensive speed if Wildcat coach Rodriguez pushes the right buttons...

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nelly's Green Sheet

RATING 5 NEBRASKA (-23) over Florida Atlantic
RATING 4 ARKANSAS (+20½) over Auburn
RATING 3 FLORIDA STATE (-17½) over Oklahoma State
RATING 2 TEXAS SAN ANTONIO (+11½) over Houston
RATING 2 TULSA (-5) over Tulane
RATING 1 TEMPLE (+14) over Vanderbilt
RATING 1 TROY (PK) over Uab

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Colorado State vs. Colorado

Colorado State Rams vs. Colorado Buffaloes (-3, 60)

Throughout the 121-year history of Colorado State football, only two quarterbacks have been able to beat Colorado twice. Garrett Grayson looks to become the third player to achieve the feat Friday when the schools meet in the 86th Rocky Mountain Showdown at Sports Authority Field at Mile High in Denver. The Rams are 21-62-2 all-time in the series, with Matt Newton (1999-2000) and Alexander Hutton (1915-16) the only signal-callers to lead Colorado State to multiple wins over the Buffaloes.

Grayson, who threw for a school-record 3,696 yards last season, will be relied on even more this season after Kapri Bibbs declared for the NFL Draft following a sophomore campaign that saw him become only the third running back in NCAA history to rush for 30 or more touchdowns. Colorado opened the Mike MacIntyre era last year with two wins – including a 41-27 victory over the Rams – before dropping six of its last eight to post the school’s eighth straight losing record. The Buffaloes have won eight of the last 11 meetings between the in-state rivals, with each of their last four victories coming by at least 14 points.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Buffaloes as 3-point faves. The total opened at 65 but has dropped to 59.

INJURY REPORT: Rams - RB Dee Hart (Questionable, ankle), TE Kivon Cartwright (Questionable, foot),

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Colorado improved in just about every statistical category under new head coach Mike MacIntyre in 2013, including wins (from one to four). Quarterback Sefo Liufau showed promise as a freshman and now has a year under his belt. Fellow sophomore Addison Gillam made 119 tackles at linebacker last season." Covers Expert Doc's Sports.

ABOUT COLORADO STATE (2013: 8-6): Grayson will have plenty of familiar targets to throw to in his senior season as the Rams return their five most-used wide receivers and John Mackey Award candidate Kivon Cartwright. Four players will vie to fill the void left behind by Bibbs, including returnees Jasen Oden Jr. and Bryce Peters as well as transfers Dee Hart and Treyous Jarrells. Colorado State returns leading tackler Max Morgan, Butkus Award candidate Aaron Davis and four players with starting experience in the secondary, which should help overcome an inexperienced defensive line.

ABOUT COLORADO (2013: 4-8): MacIntyre has 13 underclassmen listed atop the depth chart, including two young team captains in quarterback Sefo Liufau and middle linebacker Addison Gillam. Liufau threw for 12 touchdowns after replacing Connor Wood midway through his freshman season, but will be hard-pressed to build upon his moderate success without Paul Richardson, who declared for the NFL Draft after a junior season in which he accounted for 10 of Colorado’s 21 receiving touchdowns. Gillam became the first freshman in school history to lead his team in tackles (a freshman-record 119).

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Rams are 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Rams are 5-0 ATS in their last five non-conference games.
* Over is 8-1 in Buffaloes last nine Friday games.

COVERS CONSENSUS: According to Covers Consensus, 56 percent of wagers are backing the Buffaloes.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Ottawa (1-7) @ Montreal (1-7) -- Expansion RedBlacks lost last five games, outscored 30-0 in the second half of last two games; Ottawa is 0-4 vs spread as road underdogs, losing by 8-16-11-21 points; in only one of those games did they trail by more than 3 points at the half. Montreal lost its last six games, scoring 13.8 ppg the last four weeks- they're 0-2 as favorites this year. Six of eight Alouette games stayed under total. Als were outscored 35-13 in second half of last couple games. Ottawa scored only 11.5 ppg in last four games.

Winnipeg (6-3) @ Saskatchewan (6-2) -- Roughriders (-3) won 23-17 in Winnipeg three weeks ago running ball for 186 yards, while forcing six Bomber turnovers (+6) in their 12th series win in last 14 meetings. Winnipeg lost its last ten visits here, last three by average score of 42-11- they're 4-2 as underdogs this year, 3-1 on road, with only road loss 38-21 (+3) at Toronto. Riders won five in a row (4-1 vs spread) since their bye, with +13 turnover ratio in those games- they're 2-2 as home favorites. Five of last six Roughrider games, four of last six Bomber games stayed under total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Week 10 Betting Preview and Trends
By Mike Pickett

East meets East and West meets West on the CFL betting schedule for Week 10, with the Ottawa RedBlacks and Montreal Alouettes opening up the week at Molson Stadium on Friday night and a pair of holiday Monday matchups rounding out the week's slate.

Find all of this week's CFL betting lines plus updated Grey Cup futures at Bovada.

Fri Aug 29 - Ottawa at Montreal

Last 10 Meetings: Montreal 0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS | OU 0-0

The Ottawa RedBlacks and the Montreal Alouettes will meet for the first time this season in CFL betting action on Friday night, with the Alouettes having managed to pick up just one ATS victory in their four home games so far this season - and Ottawa sitting at 0-4 ATS on the road. Overall Montreal is an ugly 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS heading into their Week 10 outing with the expansion RedBlacks.

Sun Aug 31 - Winnipeg at Saskatchewan

Last 10 Meetings: Saskatchewan 8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS | OU 5-5

The Saskatchewan Roughriders are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers heading into their Sunday afternoon matchup in Week 10, with the Riders getting past the Blue Bombers 23-17 as a 3-point road favorite in the first meeting of the season between the two teams on August 7. That was the second straight UNDER result for totals bettors in games between the two teams.

Mon Sep 01 - Toronto at Hamilton

Last 10 Meetings: Hamilton 5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS | OU 6-4

The Toronto Argonauts and the Hamilton Tiger-Cats will renew their rivalry on Monday afternoon with their annual Labour Day matchup. The Tiger-Cats went 3-1 both SU and ATS against the Argonauts last season, with the OVER/UNDER splitting at 2-2 for totals bettors on the CFL odds at the sportsbooks in those contests.

Mon Sep 01 - Edmonton at Calgary

Last 10 Meetings: Calgary 9-1 SU, 7-3 ATS | OU 5-5

The Calgary Stampeders are riding an eight-game SU winning streak against the Edmonton Eskimos as those rivals also participate in a Labour Day CFL betting matchup on Monday. Calgary topped Edmonton by a score of 26-22 as a 2-point road favorite in their first meeting of the season on July 24, with the combined score an UNDER result for totals bettors. The UNDER is 3-0 in their last three meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CFL | OTTAWA at MONTREAL
Play On - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (OTTAWA) after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game
24-4 over the last 5 seasons. ( 85.7% | 19.6 units )

CFL | OTTAWA at MONTREAL
Play On - Any team vs the money line (MONTREAL) after 6 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15
18-8 since 1997. ( 69.2% | 0.0 units )

CFL | WINNIPEG at SASKATCHEWAN
Play Against - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (WINNIPEG) after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, when playing on a Sunday
26-5 since 1997. ( 83.9% | 20.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's Tip Sheet
By Brian Edwards

**Brigham Young at Connecticut**

-- As of early Wednesday afternoon, most betting shops had BYU installed as a 16.5-point road favorite with a total of 51. Gamblers can take the Huskies to win outright for a +550 return (risk $100 to win $550).

-- BYU is coming off a season in which it went 8-5 straight up and 6-7 against the spread. The Cougars dropped a 31-16 decision to Washington at the Fight Hunger Bowl. BYU's other defeats came at Virginia (19-16), vs. Utah (20-13), at Wisconsin (27-17) and at Notre Dame (23-13). The highlight of the year was a 40-21 home win over Texas as a seven-point underdog. The Cougars also won 31-14 at Utah State and trashed Georgia Tech 38-20 as seven-point home 'chalk.'

-- Bronco Mendenhall's team returns eight starters on offense and six on defense. This is his 10th season as head coach. Junior QB Taysom Hill is the star of this squad and for those unfamiliar, he might remind you of Tim Tebow. Hill is a bruising runner who has speed but does some of his best work between the tackles. He rushed for a team-high 1,344 yards and 10 touchdowns in 2013, averaging 5.5 yards per carry. Hill's passing numbers improved as the year went on, and he finished with 2,938 passing yards and a 19/14 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

-- BYU junior running back Jamaal Williams won't play Friday night due to a one-game suspension. Williams rushed for 1,233 yards and seven TDs last year, averaging 5.7 YPC. Also, WR Devon Blackmon and starting nose tackle Marques Johnson will serve one-game suspensions. Blackmon, a Juco transfer who initially signed with Oregon and played three games for the Ducks in 2012, was the prize recruit in the Cougars' 2014 class. Johnson made 31 tackles last season.

-- BYU senior LB Alani Fua is 'questionable' with a strained hip flexor. Fua was the Cougars' sixth-leading tackler in 2013 when he was in on 63 stops. He had three sacks, 10 passes broken up, two tackles for loss and a pair of QB hurries.

-- UConn went 3-9 SU and 5-7 ATS last season, prompting the school to send Paul Pasqualoni packing. On the bright side, the Huskies ended the year on a three-game winning streak. They return seven starters on offense and six on defense.

-- Bob Diaco takes over as the new head coach after spending the last five years (four at Notre Dame, one at Cincinnati) as Brian Kelly's defensive coordinator. Diaco, who is a first-time head coach, hired Mike Cummings as his offensive coordinator. Cummings held the same post at Central Michigan the last four years. The co-DCs are Anthony Poindexter (former DBs coach at Virginia) and former New England Patriot Vincent Brown, who was also on the UVA staff for the last four seasons.

-- UConn will go with sophomore Casey Cochran as its starting QB. Cochran started the last four games of 2013. He played eight games last year, completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 1,293 yards with an 11/4 TD-INT ratio.

-- UConn has nearly all of its WRs back. Geremy Davis is one of the AAC's top wideouts and is coming off a year in which he hauled in 71 catches for 1,085 yards and three TDs.

-- UConn's Lyle McCombs rushed for a team-high 670 yards and five TDs while averaging 4.2 YPC in 2013. However, in a recent development, McCombs elected to transfer to Rhode Island.

-- Since 2005, UConn has posted an incredible 19-4 spread record in 23 games as a home underdog. Only four of those contests had the Huskies catching a double-digit number, and they went 3-1 in those spots.

-- BYU owns a 15-16 spread record as a road favorite during Mendenhall's tenure. The Cougars went 0-3 in such spots last year.

-- Kick-off is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**UNLV at Arizona**

-- As of early Wednesday afternoon, most books were listing Arizona as a 24-point favorite with a total of 60. Most offshore shops opened UA at 23 or 23.5 and started the total at 57. When most of the Vegas books put up 60, the offshores instantly made the three-point adjustment. Bettors can back the Rebels on the money line for a +1350 payout at 5Dimes (risk $100 to win $1,350).

-- Arizona has gone 8-5 and won bowl games in back-to-back seasons since Rich Rodriguez took over as head coach. The Wildcats, who were 7-6 ATS last year, blasted Boston College 42-19 as seven-point 'chalk' at the AdvoCare V100 Bowl.

-- R-Rod's squad returns seven starters on offense and six on defense. UA has to replace its all-time leading rusher in Ka'Deem Carey, who had 1,885 rushing yards and 19 TDs in 2013. The Wildcats must also replace QB B.J. Denker, who rushed for 949 yards and 13 TDs last season. Denker also had 2,516 passing yards with a 16/7 TD-INT ratio.

-- Rodriguez is turning to a redshirt freshman, Anu Solomon, to take over for Denker as the starting QB. Solomon is a native of Las Vegas who attended prep powerhouse Bishop Gorman High School and was heavily recruited by UNLV. He will be the first Arizona freshman to start a season opener since Willie Tuitama in 2005. Rodriguez told the media, "I thought he deserved the right to start the first game. I don't know who the next guy is, but I told all four to be ready to play, because all four could play. He's playing the best of the four quarterbacks. He has a good feel for the game, and he did things better on a more consistent basis."

-- After winning only six games in the first three seasons of Bobby Hauck's tenure, UNLV won seven of its last 10 regular-season games to garner its first bowl bid since 2000. The Rebels, who finished 7-6 SU and 8-5 ATS, won outright as underdogs in their last two games to become eligible for the postseason. However, the year ended on a down note when they got spanked by a 36-14 count as 6.5-point 'dogs to North Texas at the Heart of Dallas Bowl.

-- UNLV returns seven starters on offense and six on defense, but it must replace its top two offensive weapons. Tim Cornett, the school's all-time leading rusher with 3,733 career rushing yards, is gone after rushing for 15 TDs in 2013. Also, QB Caleb Herring isn't around following a season in which he threw for 2,718 yards with a stellar 24/5 TD-INT ratio.

-- Blake Decker beat out Nick Sherry for UNLV's starting QB job. Decker, who grew up in the Tempe area as an Arizona State fan, has always thought of Arizona as the enemy. Decker, a 23-year-old junior who began his career at BYU and went on a two-year Mormon mission, was one of the nation's best QBs in the Juco ranks in 2013. He threw for 4,241 yards and 47 TDs for Scottsdale (Az.) Community College.

-- UNLV compiled an abysmal 1-11 spread record in its first 12 games as a road underdog on Hauck's watch. However, the Rebels have gone 3-1 ATS as road 'dogs in back-to-back seasons.

-- Arizona is 5-6 ATS as a home favorite on R-Rod's watch. The Wildcats are 5-4 ATS in nine games as double-digit favorites (whether at home or away).

-- Arizona has won 13 consecutive home openers by an average margin of 26 points per game. The Wildcats haven't lost a home opener going all the way back to 1987.

-- When these schools met at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas last year, Arizona raced out to a 45-6 halftime lead en route to a 58-13 win as a 10.5-point road 'chalk.'

--ESPN will have the broadcast at 10:30 p.m. Eastern.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CFB | BYU at CONNECTICUT
Play On - Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (BYU) incredible offense from last season - averaged 450 or more total yards/game
46-18 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

CFB | TULANE at TULSA
Play Against - A road team vs. the money line (TULANE) good rushing defense from last season - allowed 125 or less rushing yards/game
62-36 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.3% | 0.0 units )

CFB | PENN ST at UCF
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 21.5 to 24.5 good team from last season - outscored opponents by 7 or more points/game, with an inexperienced QB as starter, in the first two weeks of the season
46-18 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

National League

Reds-Pirates
Leake is 1-0, 2.63 in his last two starts.
Volquez is 3-0, 2.88 in his last four starts.

Cincinnati won four of its last five games.
Pirates won five of their last seven games.

Over is 8-3-1 in last twelve Cincinnati games.

Phillies-Mets
Buchanon is 0-2, 4.08 in his last three starts.
deGrom is 5-1, 2.31 in his last seven starts.

Phillies won six of their last seven games.
Mets lost seven of their last ten games.

Over is 5-2-1 in last eight New York games.

Marlins-Braves
Koehler is 2-0, 4.00 in his last four starts.
Santana is 6-1, 2.92 in his last eight starts.

Marlins lost four of their last five games.
Atlanta won four of its last five home games.

Over is 10-5 in last fifteen Koehler starts.

Cubs-Cardinals
Hendricks is 4-0, 2.01 in his last five starts.
Miller is 0-1, 6.35 in his last three starts.

Cubs are 7-4 in last eleven games, but lost last two.
St Louis lost three of its last four games.

Last four St Louis games stayed under the total.

Rockies-Diamondbacks
Bergman is 1-2, 6.75 in his last four starts.
Collmenter is 1-2, 5.83 in his last six starts.

Rockies lost last three games, scoring three runs.
Arizona lost nine of its last eleven games.

Five of last six Colorado games stayed under total.

Dodgers-Padres
Haren is 3-1, 3.86 in his last four starts.
Cashner is 0-1, 2.32 in his last five starts.

Dodgers won five of their last six games.
San Diego won three of its last four games.

Four of last five Dodger games went over total.

Brewers-Giants
Peralta is 1-2, 5.71 in his last three starts.
Vogelsong is 0-1, 3.86 in his last three starts.

Milwaukee lost five of its last seven games.
Giants won their last three games, allowing three runs.

Last four San Francisco games stayed under total.


American League

Twins-Orioles
May is 0-3, 9.00 in his three starts.
Gonzalez is 2-2, 2.67 in his last seven starts.

Minnesota lost eight of its last twelve games.
Orioles won five of their last six home games.

Nine of last thirteen Baltimore games stayed under.

Bronx-Blue Jays
Capuano is 0-1, 5.71 in his last three starts.
Buehrle is 0-1, 7.11 in his last four starts.

Bronx won six of its last eight games.
Blue Jays lost three of their last four games.

Nine of last thirteen Bronx games stayed under total.

Red Sox-Rays
Ranaudo is 2-0, 4.50 in his first two MLB starts.
Archer is 1-0, 2.81 in his last four starts.

Red Sox lost nine of their last eleven games.
Tampa Bay lost eight of its last twelve games.

Nine of last thirteen Tampa Bay games stayed under total.

Rangers-Astros
Baker is 1-3, 5.96 in five starts this season.
Oberholtzer is 0-2, 3.79 in his last three starts.

Texas is 6-5 in its last eleven road games.
Astros lost five of their last eight games.

Seven of last ten Houston games stayed under total.

Tigers-White Sox
Verlander is 2-3, 5.02 in his last five starts.
Carroll is 1-2, 7.99 in his last four starts.

Detroit won four of its last five games.
White Sox lost eight of their last nine games.

Six of last eight Chicago games stayed under total.

Indians-Royals
Salazar is 0-2, 5.40 in his last three starts
Vargas is 2-1, 1.64 in his last three starts.

Cleveland won 11 of its last 16 games.
Royals are 19-7 in last 26 games, 2-3 in last five.

12 of last 15 Cleveland games stayed under total.

A's-Angels
Lester is 3-1, 2.86 in his last five starts.
Weaver is 2-0, 4.00 in his last three starts.

Oakland lost nine of their last twelve road games.
Angels won 12 of their last 16 games.

Under is 11-4 in last fifteen Angel games.


Interleague games

Nationals-Mariners
Zimmerman is 3-0, 2.38 in his last six starts.
Hernandez is 2-1, 2.45 in his last four starts.

Nationals lost last three games, allowing 15 runs.
Seattle won nine of its last twelve home games.

Over is 4-1-1 in last six Washington games.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Leake 11-16; Volquez 15-10
-- Buchanan 6-8; deGrom 7-10
-- Koehler 12-14; Santana 14-11
-- Hendricks 7-1; Miller 11-14
-- Bergman 2-2; Collmenter 14-10
-- Haren 13-13; Cashner 6-7
-- Peralta 16-10; Vogelsong 13-13

-- May 0-3; Gonzalez 10-10
-- Capuano 2-4; Buehrle 18-8
-- Ranaudo 2-0; Archer 14-12
-- Verlander 14-11; Carroll 5-10
-- Salazar 7-7; Vargas 13-11
-- Baker 1-4; Oberholtzer 8-11
-- Lester 13-8/4-1; Weaver 17-10

-- Zimmerman 17-9; Hernandez 18-9

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Leake 7-27; Volquez 7-27
-- Buchanan 2-14; deGrom 2-17
-- Koehler 4-26; Santana 7-25
-- Hendricks 4-8; Miller 5-25
-- Bergman 2-4; Collmenter 7-23
-- Haren 13-27; Cashner 4-13
-- Peralta 4-26; Vogelsong 6-26

-- May 1-3; Gonzalez 4-20
-- Capuano 3-6; Buehrle 6-26
-- Ranaudo 0-2; Archer 4-26
-- Verlander 8-25; Carroll 6-15
-- Salazar 1-14; Vargas 3-24
-- Baker 0-5; Oberholtzer 8-19
-- Lester 6-26; Weaver 6-27

-- Zimmerman 2-26; Hernandez 3-27

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Veteran pitcher has career long dominance
Justin Hartling

The Oakland Athletics have never been able to decipher Jered Weaver. Weaver has started for the Los Angeles Angels at home against the A's 13 times and the over/under record is 0-12-1.

Weaver has allowed an astonishing 15 runs in those 13 starts and has only once surrendered more than two runs.
.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pitcher crushing opponent, total bettors be aware
Justin Hartling

Andrew Cashner has been totally dominant against the Los Angeles Dodgers. In Cashner's last four starts against the Dodgers, the under has paid out all four times thanks to his performances.

Cashner has only allowed three runs in his four starts and has only once surrendered more than five hits.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Nationals (74-57) at Mariners (71-60)

Game: 1
Venue: Safeco Field
Date: August 29, 2014 10:10 PM EDT


Felix Hernandez hasn't performed up to his lofty expectations recently, something the rest of the Seattle Mariners can relate to after a tough series against the worst team in baseball.

The Washington Nationals aren't exactly coming into this matchup on a positive note, either.

Hernandez and Jordan Zimmermann take the mound Friday night in Seattle as the top two pitching staffs in the majors meet in a three-game series.

The Mariners (72-60) are in a tight battle with Detroit for the AL's second wild card but just dropped two of three to Texas, falling 12-4 on Wednesday.

"We just have to flush it," left fielder Dustin Ackley said. "We know what our pitching is going to do the rest of the way out. (Wednesday) wasn't a reflection of what we've done all year on the mound, and I think Friday will be a different story."

Manager Lloyd McClendon, who will miss this game and Saturday's contest to attend his daughter's wedding, decided to push his rotation back one day by recalling Erasmo Ramirez. He gave up a career-worst 10 runs in three innings.

"It was the right thing to do," McClendon said. "That game is over with. We got our butts kicked. That happens. It hasn't happened very often to us this year. We've just been that good with our pitching."

Seattle leads the majors with a 2.99 ERA, with Washington (75-57) second at 3.13. Hernandez (13-4, 2.07 ERA) is a major reason for the Mariners' top mark, though he's struggled a bit over his last two outings.

Hernandez set a major league record by making 16 straight starts of at least seven innings and two or fewer runs allowed, then pitched five innings of two-run ball in a 4-2 loss to Detroit on Aug. 16.

The right-hander following that up by giving up three runs while throwing a season high-tying 116 pitches in 5 2-3 innings of a 5-3 win over Boston last Friday. He allowed a three-run homer to Yoenis Cespedes in the sixth and didn't get the decision.

McClendon, who will pass managing responsibilities to bench coach Trent Jewett in his absence, isn't worried about Hernandez.

"Felix is fine," McClendon said, before repeating it.

Hernandez will get his first look at the Nationals, who hold a comfortable lead over Atlanta atop the NL East despite being swept by last-place Philadelphia this week.

Washington had won 12 of 13 entering that series, which concluded with the Phillies' 8-4 win Wednesday. Denard Span homered and had three hits while Ian Desmond went 3 for 4 with an RBI.

The Nationals haven't lost four straight since June 12-15.

'We're still playing good baseball,' Desmond said. 'We just lost a couple games. We know who we are.'

Manager Matt Williams knows his club still is in good position in the playoff race and is putting the rough series behind him.

'We always have the same approach, win or lose,' Williams said. 'We look forward to the next one. We know if we do things correctly, we have a good chance to beat the other team.'

Having Zimmermann (9-5, 2.93) on the mound could help, too.

Zimmermann is 3-0 with a 2.08 ERA in five starts this month after giving up two runs - both in the first - over eight innings of Saturday's 6-2 win over San Francisco. He's pitched into at least the seventh in each outing and has 27 strikeouts and three walks in that stretch.

The right-hander has never faced Seattle, which has lost all nine meetings since Washington relocated from Montreal in 2005. This will be the first matchup since 2011.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo on a fishing trip

Hondo didn’t have a Niese night Thursday in the big City as he lost with the Metamucils to elevate his NRN (nasty red number) up to 1,650 alous.

Friday night: Mr. Aitch will go from the Metamucils to Koehler, whom he also expects to do a flush job on the Braves.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Jay Dotson

Big Jay's 1000* MLB Heavy Hitter

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

New York Yankees +104

This game features the 69-63 Yankees versus the 67-66 Blue Jays. Those following me this week know that I've been backing the Yankees lately and it's the right play to back them again. Chris Capuano 1-3 4.37 ERA gets the start for the Yankees, while Mark Buehrle 11-8 3.41 ERA gets the start for the Blue Jays. Buehrle has had a good season, but he's struggled post all star with an ERA over six not too mention he's carrying an ERA over six verus the yanks this season. Capuano hasn't set the world on fire as a Yankee, but he is due for a win. Hit the Yankees on the Money Line for a 1000* Winner.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | CHICAGO CUBS at ST LOUIS
Play Against - Road teams (CHICAGO CUBS) poor hitting team (AVG <=.250) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL
92-53 since 1997. ( 63.4% | 40.3 units )
10-8 this year. ( 55.6% | 1.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | MINNESOTA at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 22-9 (+14.6 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.3) , OPPONENT (2.8)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports

4 Unit Play. #146/#146 Take Connecticut Huskies +16.5 over BYU Cougars (Friday 7 pm ESPN)

Many people believe that the Huskies are one of the worst teams in the American Athletic Conference. That may be the case, but I just do not see them getting blown out in this game at home. BYU faced a similar opponent on the road last year and lost to a terrible Virginia team. UCONN has a new coach in Bob Diaco, a defensive minded coach that faced BYU last year at Notre Dame and held them to just 13 points. The fact remains that the Cougars are a completely different team on the road compared to playing in the high elevation of Provo, UT. UCONN is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. BYU is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. We will take the points with UCONN at Rentschler Field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LCM Sports

Detroit Tigers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks Chicago Cubs at St. Louis The Cubs head to St. Louis to open up a series against at Cardinals team that is 0-7 in Shelby Miller's last 7 starts as a home favorite. Chicago is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Cubs favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+130). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


FRIDAY, AUGUST 29
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 15.289; Pittsburgh (Volquez) 17.545
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-150); Under


Game 953-954: Philadelphia at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Buchanan) 15.469; NY Mets (deGrom) 16.270
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-150); Under


Game 955-956: Miami at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 14.443; Atlanta (Santana) 15.561
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-160); Under


Game 957-958: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Hendricks) 15.663; St. Louis (Miller) 14.195
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+130); Under


Game 959-960: Colorado at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Bergman) 14.620; Arizona (Collmenter) 13.651
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Arizona (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+130); Under


Game 961-962: LA Dodgers at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Haren) 16.237; San Diego (Cashner) 14.802
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+100); Over


Game 963-964: Milwaukee at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Peralta) 14.817; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.750
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115); Under


Game 965-966: Minnesota at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (May) 16.398; Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.381
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+170); Over


Game 967-968: NY Yankees at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Capuano) 14.437; Toronto (Buehrle) 15.307
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-125); Under


Game 969-970: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Ranaudo) 15.030; Tampa Bay (Archer) 13.999
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+140); Under


Game 971-972: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.563; White Sox (Carroll) 14.052
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-160); Over


Game 973-974: Cleveland at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Salazar) 15.346; Kansas City (Vargas) 14.448
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+125); Under


Game 975-976: Texas at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Baker) 16.333; Houston (Oberholtzer) 15.193
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Houston (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+125); Under


Game 977-978: Oakland at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Lester) 14.811; LA Angels (Weaver) 15.550
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-120); Over


Game 979-980: Washington at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 15.692; Seattle (Hernandez) 18.218
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: Seattle (-165); 6
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-165); Under

[Mr. IWS]

testing

[DaKid]

Best time of the year!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You "Total Domination" for Friday, August 29th

August's College Football Watch & Win Total of the Month!!!!!
Brigham Young/Connecticut under 52 1/2

Please note: due to discount, guarantees do not apply to this package

NCAA Best Bets
Bowling Green/Western Kentucky under 61
Colorado State/Colorado over 59
Texas-San Antonio/Houston over 56
UNLV/Arizona under 60

August's Friday Night MLB Scoreboard-Sorcher of the Month!!!!!
Colorado/Arizona over 8 1/2

MLB Best Bets
Cincinnati/Pittsburgh over 7 1/2
Chicago/St Louis udner 7 1/2
Detroit/Chicago over 9
Cleveland/Kansas City over 7 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The factsman (cfb)

double plays
virginia under 3.5 wins
maryland under 6.5 wins
clemson under 8.5 wins
fresno state under 7.5 wins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER (CFB)

3-Unit play. Take Colorado St.+3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ALEX B. SMITH

Best Bet - UTSA Roadrunners over Houston Cougars.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INSIDE THE NUMBER$

ISSUE #1

7:00 PM ET BYU 0-0 at Connecticut 0-0

INS SELECTION- BYU -16.5

7:30 PM ET Bowling Green 0-0 at Western Ky 0-0

INS SELECTION- BOWLING GREEN -7.5

9:00 PM ET Colorado State 0-0 vs Colorado 0-0

INS SELECTION- COLORADO ST +3

9:00 PM ET TX-San Antonio 0-0 at Houston 0-0

INS SELECTION- TX San Antonio +10.5

10:30 PM ET UNLV 0-0 at Arizona 0-0

INS SELECTION- Arizona -23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HALL OF FAME PICKS / William Holloway

Braves(-155)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

PJ’ TENNIS CORNER (+.55)

ATP – US OPEN @ NEW YORK, U.S.A.
330PM- T GABASHVILI -190 vs A KUDRYAVTSEV

WTA – US OPEN @ NEW YORK, U.S.A.
11AM- J LARSSON +500 vs J JANKOVIC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Advanced sports investments

perry’s soccer club (-1.25)

spain – la liga (2pm) – ud almeria @ cf getafe – under 2.5 -145

brazil – serie b (730pm) – atletico go @ atletico go – under 2.5 -135

france – ligue 2 (2pm) – dijon fco @ fc sochaux – over 2 -135

germany – bundesliga (230pm)- borussia dortmund @ fc augsburg – over 2.5 -130

ireland – eircom league (245pm)- cork city fc @ athlone town – under 2.5 -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SOCCER BETTING MASTERS

USA » MLS » Kansas City – Houston

Opinion: Kansas City to win

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROBERT FERRINGO (CFB)

1-Unit play. Take Colorado-3

1-Unit play. Take Arizona-12.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DR. BOB

Bowling Green vs Western Kentucky – OVER 57.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GOODFELLA

Friday Night MLB Team Total

LA ANGELS – OVER 3.5 RUNS (+100 @BOL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Davis Mlb 8/29
3* Under-7-Miami/Atlanta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

NCAA NON-CONFERNCE GAME OF THE YEAR


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FRIDAY BASEBALL




Play New York Yankees +120 over Toronto----Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)

7:00 PM EST

Toronto has lost 16 of the last 23 games when playing in the month of August and they have lost 30 of the last 47 games when playing on a Friday. Toronto has lost 31 of the last 53 games after having lost two of the last three games and they have lost 36 of the last 63 home games when the line posted is between -100 to -150.





Play Washington +150 over Seattle---Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
10:00 PM EST


Jordan Zimmermann has won 47 of the last 64 night games and he has won 29 of the last 43 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season. Jordan Zimmermann has won 26 of the last 42 road games and he is 2-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 2.11.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd
2014-08-30 (1 days)


MLB Premium Picks



League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


MLB
Aug 29 ,2014
10:05p
[977] Oakland A's[978] Los Angeles Angels
Total 7 un+107
at Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com)


3* MLB Total Dominator on A's/Angels UNDER
I look for tonight's showdown between the A's and Angels to finish well below the mark of 7 runs set for the total. Oakland will be sending out Jon Lester, who has gone 3-1 with a 2.60 ERA over 5 starts since being traded to the A's from Boston. One of those starts included a matchup against the Angels, where he allowed just 1 run on 5 hits over 7 innings of a 1-2 loss.
The Angels counter with their ace Jered Weaver, who has allowed 3 earned runs or less in 10 of his last 13 starts. Weaver did just give up 3 runs on 8 hits in 6 2/3 innings at Oakland, but he's a much better pitcher at home. Weaver has a 3.72 ERA and 1.233 WHIP overall and a 2.89 ERA and 1.097 WHIP at home.
The UNDER is 29-9 in Weaver's last 38 home starts against a division opponent, 4-1 in his last 5 following a quality start and 43-17-3 in his last 63 s tarts at home with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The UNDER is also 20-4-3 in Weaver's last 27 starts against the Athletics and 25-10-3 in the last 38 meetings between these two teams in Los Angeles. These trends combine to form a massive 75% (121-41-9) system in favor of the UNDER!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

FRIDAY

TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAYS



Play Texas-San Antonio +11.5 over Houston----RISK 50% OF YOUR BANKROLL
(Non-Conference Game of the Year)


Texas-San Antonio has covered the spread in 9 of the last 11 road games and they have covered the spread in 5 consecutive games when playing in the 1st month of the season.Texas-San Antonio has covered the spread in 5 of the last 7 non-conference games and they only allowed an average of 10 points on defense in their last three games last season.




Play UNLV +23.5 over Arizona----RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Colorado -3 over Colorado State----RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play BYU -15.5 over Connecticut----RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Bowling Green -7.5 over Western Kentucky---RISK 5% OF YOUR BANKROLL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd
2014-08-30 (1 days)


NCAA-F Premium Picks



League
Date
Time (ET)
Matchup
Pick


NCAA-F
Aug 29 ,2014
9:00p
[203] Texas-San Antonio[204] Houston
Texas-San Antonio +11½-110
at Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com)


4* NCAAF Friday Night No Limit ATS Smash on UTSA +11.5
Don't let Houston's 59-28 win over UTSA last season fool you. That was a much closer game than the final score would indicate. Going into the 4th quarter Houston only had a 31-28 advantage. UTSA fell apart and turned it over 5 times in the final period to allow the Cougars to turn this into a blowout.
That loss couldn't have sat well with the Roadrunners and I look for them to come out extremely motivated for revenge. I don't know if they will have enough to win outright, but I'm confident they will keep it within single digits.
One of things I love about UTSA is they are going to be one of the most experienced teams in the country with 20 returning starters (10 offense, 10 defense). Where I'm expecting the biggest improvements is on the defensive side of the ball. Getting back all those starters who are famil iar with Houston's offensive attack and the extra preparation they had for this matchup with it being the first game of the season should allow them to keep the Cougars in check.
UTSA is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Take the Roadrunners!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

FRIDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play New York Yankees +120 over Toronto (MLB TOP PLAY)

Toronto is 7-16 when playing in the month of August
Toronto is 17-30 when playing on a Friday
Toronto is 22-31 after having lost two of the last three games



10* Play Washington +150 over Seattle (MLB TOP PLAY)

Jordan Zimmermann is 47-17 when pitching in night games
Jordan Zimmermann is 29-14 when pitching in the 2nd half of the season
Jordan Zimmermann is 26-16 in road games the last three seasons

=============================================

5* Play Miami +155 over Atlanta (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Cincinnati +145 over Pittsburgh (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

FRIDAY NCAA FOOTBALL

1000* Play BYU -16 over Connecticut (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Connecticut has lost 21 of the last 24 games when playing as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points and they have lost 4 of the last 5 games when the total posted is between 49.5 and 56 points.Connecticut has lost 9 of the last 12 games when playing in the 1st half of the season and they allowed an average of 30 points a game on defense last season.


1000* Play Bowling Green -7 over Western Kentucky (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Western Kentucky has lost 10 of the last 14 games when the total posted is between 56.5 and 63 points and they have lost 35 of the last 47 games when playing as an underdog.Western Kentucky has lost 25 of the last 37 home games and they have lost 33 of the last 44 non-conference games.


1000* Play Colorado -3 over Colorado State (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Colorado State has lost 12 of the last 16 games when playing as an underdog and they have lost 10 of the last 13 games when playing in the 1st half of the season.Colorado State has lost 14 of the last 20 games vs. Colorado and they allowed an average of 30 points a game on defense last season.

================================================

FRIDAY CANADIAN FOOTBALL

25* Play Ottawa +6 over Montreal (TOP CANADIAN PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Arizona -135 over Colorado (TOP MLB)

Josh Collmenter has won 14 of the last 20 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has won 6 of the last 7 games when pitching on a Friday.Josh Collmenter has won 9 of the last 12 games vs. division opponents and he has an ERA of 2.85 in home games this season.

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50* Play Tampa Bay -140 over Boston (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Houston -125 over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Finest:

Nuggz:

Bowling Green/Western Ky: U 64, 2 units
UTSA, +10.5, 2 U
Colo St. +3, 2 u
BYU/Uconn U 53, 2 u

[Can'tPickAWinner]

purelock

top play NY YANKEES

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman MLB

HUGE SIDE SELECTION PICK OF THE MONTH

Kansas City (-145) over Cleveland 7* play HUGE PLAY

3*PLAY RUNLINE PICK

Baltimore (-1.5, +105) over Minnesota 3* Play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

Mlb

7* NY Mets -145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NEWSLETTER Major League Baseball Prediction From Doc’s Sports

Take ‘Over’ 8.5 – Minnesota at Baltimore (7 p.m., Friday, Aug. 29)
The Minnesota Twins and Baltimore Orioles are clearly on different wavelengths as far as the 2014 goes. For the O’s, they are desperately trying to hold onto their lead in the AL East and employing every edge they have at their disposal to win ballgames. For the Twins, however, they are looking ahead to next season and trying to get some young players in the fold to see what they can do. That’s why Trevor May continues to get starts for the Twinkies despite the fact he has looked awful in his first four outings. Put the 8.79 ERA aside, and May has struck out only seven batters in 14.1 innings of work while walking 13. That ratio is about as bad as it gets, and things might get worse for him before they get better if he can’t improve there. May had a nice season in Triple-A for the Twins, but it’s clear that he needs more seasoning before he can get big league hitters out. However, Minnesota is sticking with him because winning isn’t a priority at the moment. The Orioles have an aggressive lineup that preys on weak pitchers, and I have no doubt they’ll get some good hacks in on Friday night. Baltimore starter Miguel Gonzalez is probably the weak link in their rotation, and he’ll make his 21st start of the season on Friday. His 3.75 ERA is deceiving because he has an astronomical 85% strand rate that has to come down to earth at some point. The Twins lineup has performed better than I expected this year, and they’ve played a significant portion of the season without Joe Mauer, who is now back. Runs shouldn’t be hard to find in this game, so we’re on the over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NEWSLETTER College Football Prediction From Raphael Esparza

Take #154 Arizona -24 over UNLV (10:30 p.m., Friday, Aug. 29)
Here are two teams that will have totally different seasons when December rolls around. NCAA politics pretty much screwed the UNLV football program, giving a bowl ban and then removing the bowl ban. UNLV lost talented players on key positions because of that, and their defense will suffer the most. Arizona is an upcoming program in the PAC-12 and in college football, and their offense will be explosive. Look for the Wildcats to put pressure on the Rebels defense all game long, and Arizona should win this game by ease. Take Arizona first half and the game and the Wildcats will have no trouble scoring points at home against UNLV.

[golden contender]

T.G.I.F Card has the 100% 2nd Half MLB Total Of the Year, a 96% Blowout system and a 95% Opening Week College Football Dominator system. Free A.L.East play below.



The Free MLB A.L East play is on the Toronto Blue Jays. Game 968 at 7:05 eastern. The Jays offer solid value here as they opened as a favorite but are now basically a pick. Toronto is the the number 2 scoring team in the league at home and has a nice pitching advantage here tonight They start M. Buehrle and they have won 9 of his 13 home starts, including 8 of the last 11. In his last home starts made in August Buehrle has a 6-1 record. He has won his last 3 starts overall. He will take on a Yankee team that other than 1 big game vs D. Price have struggled to be consistent at the plate. The Yankees have Chris Capuano going and he has 5.84 road era. In his lone start here he lasted just 4 innings allowing 5 runs and should once again struggle with Toronto's Power right handed batters. Capuano has lost 7 of his last 10 Road starts in August. Look for Toronto to take the opener. On Friday we start the Weekend big with the 2ND Half MLB Total of the Year from a Killer 100% Situation, their is also a 96% MLB Blowout System and a 95% Opening Week Dominator system in College Football. Message to Jump on Now and put the Most Powerful systems and Data in the Country on Your Side tonight. For the free play take the Toronto Blue Jays. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Finest:

Prez: A's, ML, 3 units
Padres, ML, 2 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Winning Crew

MLB 50 Dime Play: Toronto -115

MLB 25 Dime Play: Arizona -136

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor Original NCAAF Picks 8/29


9 PM
151. UTSA +10.5* (Best Available)

Rest of Games
148. Western Kentucky +6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor NCAAF 3.0 Picks 8/29

7:30 PM
148. Western Kentucky +7* (Best Available)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges

UTSA Friday

Sat
double play
Georgia

single play
Marshall
Virginia
Alabama
Fresno State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miguel DaSilva - MLB

2* Pirates ML
4* Cubs ML
2* LAD Over 6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach

Detroit Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hollywood Sports

Western Kentucky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Ryan


Texas-SA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness Underdog GOY

NY Yankees

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

SELECTION
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS -145
(Collmenter/Bergman)

The Rockies have been awful on the road this year and their overall runs per game has been down. Arizona has the better starter tonight and the better bullpen. This is a Colorado team that is unique because they are built for their own ballpark at home and have a nice advantage there, but on the road are as bad as my baseball picks have been this week. Take the Diamondbacks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BONES BEST BET (MLB)

DODGERS ML -103 *2*

We will take the Dodgers 42-26 road record at plus money most days. The Dodgers have won 7 of 10 meetings vs the Padres since June 20th. The Dodgers are also hot winning 5 of their last 6 games. Haren has been better than Cashner this year and he has pitched very well in 3 of his last 4 starts. Cashner has struggled the past 3 games with a 1.56 WHIP. There is value in the Dodgers today and worth a small play at plus money.

ROYALS -1 -103 *3*

Starting for the Royals is Jason Vargas, who is 10-6 with a 3.17 ERA, the Royals pitching staff has been on fire allowing three or less runs in 18 of their last 30 games. They have won 16 of their last 17 games when allowing three or less runs. The Indians counter with Danny Salazar who is struggling this season going 4-6 with a 4.52 ERA. Salazar is 1-2 with a 5.71 ERA in three career starts against the Royals. Cleveland is 2-6 in Salazars last 8 road starts, while the Royals are 4-1 in Vargas’ last 5 home starts. The Indians are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Kansas City.

BRAVES RL (-1.5) +140 *2*

Miami has been struggling of late while Atlanta made the best of a long road trip finishing 6-4 over their past 10 games (all on the road). The Braves come home where they have had great success (37-28) while the Marlins have been roughed up on the road (28-36)

MARINERS @ NATIONALS – UNDER 6 -110 *2*

Felix vs Zimmermann hard to expect much in the way of runs here. These guys both own sub 3 ERAs on the season. These guys both own sub 1 WHIPs over their past 3 starts. Opposing teams have scored a combined 5.6 runs per game this season when these two have started. 6 is a short line but we still think it’s a strong play.

PHILLIES ML +143 *2*

Phillies are red hot having won 4 straight and 7 of 9 overall. The Mets have dropped back to back contests and 7 of 10 overall. Lots of value here on the Phillies at plus money as the hotter team

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BONES BEST BET (CFB)

COLORADO STATE +3 -105 (over COLORADO) *4* BEST BET

Colorado had a rough year last year posting a 4-8 record while Colorado State had a decent 8-6 showing. More importantly Colorado will be starting 13 underclassmen this season with inexperience all over the field. Colorado State on the other hand has almost it’s entire offense back this season with their QB and top 5 WR from last year.

WESTERN KENTUCKY +7 +100 (over BOWLING GREEN) *2*

4 TEAM ML PARLAY +117 *1*
- BYU (over CONNECTICUT) [8/29]
- OHIO STATE (over NAVY) [8/30]
- FLORIDA STATE (over OKLAHOMA STATE) [8/30]
- LSU (over WISCONSIN) [8/30]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INDIAN COWBOY (MLB)

3-Unit play. Take Under – 8.5 – Minnesota vs Baltimore

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

CFB Game: UNLV Rebels @ Arizona Wildcats
Time: Friday 08/29 10:30 PM Eastern
Pick: Arizona -23.5 (-105)

The Arizona Wildcats may have something in Coach Rodriguez. He is in his third year at Arizona, and has won eight games in each of the first two seasons. One of the eight wins last season was against then ranked #5 Oregon, as he looks to take the program to greater heights. Arizona does not return their QB, but looking at their spring game, the offense won by scoring 58 points, which might say they are going to be fine on offense. UNLV earned the right to a Bowl game a year ago for the first time since the 2000 season. They won five more games than the previous year, but ominously hanging over the improvement was a ranking of #103 two years ago to just #96 last year. There is also a dark cloud looming over the program, as UNLV’s APR scores are expected to get them a ban from potential Bowl participation, and that will be a motivation killer. This is a team that is 13-80 straight-up as a road dog in their last 93, and they are in over their heads in this one once again. All Arizona in this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GUARANTEED SPORTS PICKS

Colorado St.+3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITTVIPER

CFB

ROT# 150 – 9:00pm – Colorado -3 (-106)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Worlds Worst Picker

UCONN
Bowling Green

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee won outright with his play in College Football on Thursday on Texas A&M +10.5/South Carolina.

"Mr Chalk" had Np for Thursday in MLB.

For Friday in College Football E&B likes Connecticut +17/BYU.

For Friday in MLB in the American League "Mr Chalk" likes the Rays -$150/Red Sox.

Ben lee is 3-0 +$150 for week forty four 198-224-5 -$2747

"Mr Chalk" is 69-50 -$330 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

WNBA Under 161.5 PHO 5*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

extra bonus system for today:

Western Kentucky +6½ over Bowling Green (Bet Level 3) (Spread Bet) (NCAA College Football) - Game Starts at 7:30 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB betting cheat sheet: O’s dominate Covers Consensus

Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for the weekend major-league games:

NL East Pushes Again

The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets preserved the NL East’s reputation as the league’s most push-centric division Thursday, with the Braves (-109, P 7) cruising to a 6-1 victory. Four of the six teams in the majors with double-digit pushes reside in the NL East, led by the Mets with 15.

Orioles the Covers Fave

The red-hot Baltimore Orioles (-185, 9) are a heavy favorite in Friday’s game against visiting Minnesota, and Covers readers believe in them. The Orioles have the most support of any team in Covers Consensus, with 76 percent of voters selecting them to win.

Dueling First-Timers

A pair of pitchers will make their major-league debuts Saturday when the Detroit Tigers visit the Chicago White Sox. The Tigers will send left-hander Kyle Ryan to the hill, while the White Sox counter with right-hander Chris Bassitt.

Pursuit of Happ-iness

Toronto lefty J.A. Happ looks to reverse an ugly trend Sunday as the Blue Jays finish up a weekend set with the New York Yankees. The Blue Jays have lost each of Happ’s last five starts, though they haven’t done him any favors – they’ve scored a total of nine runs in those games, resulting in a 1-4 O/U mark.

Pitching Notes

* Blue Jays southpaw Mark Buehrle has been a strong value for the majority of the season entering Friday’s tilt with the Yankees (-112, 9). Buehrle ranks fifth in the majors at $1,064, but may be in tough Friday – he’s just 1-12 with a 6.15 ERA in 19 career starts against New York.

* Athletics righty Jeff Samardzija has done a “total” reversal since joining Oakland near the trade deadline. Samardzija is 7-3 O/U in 10 starts with the A’s going into Saturday’s showdown with the host Angels; the 29-year-old was 7-10 O/U in 17 starts with the Cubs to open the season.

* Houston lefty Dallas Keuchel puts a five-game Under streak on the line Sunday as the Astros entertain the rival Texas Rangers. Keuchel has allowed three runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts overall, contributing to a 1-7 O/U mark in that span.

Hitting Notes

* Few players have had a worse week than Astros third baseman Matt Dominguez, who is 1-for-15 with eight strikeouts over the last seven days. Dominguez will try to turn things around Friday night when Houston (-129, 8.5) faces Scott Baker and the Rangers.

* It could be a good day for Miami hitters as they face Aaron Harang and the Atlanta Braves on Saturday. Members of the Marlins roster are a combined .370 with a .409 OBP, a .591 slugging percentage and six homers in 154 at-bats versus Harang.

* Clay Buchholz vs. Evan Longoria will be a matchup to monitor Sunday afternoon when Buchholz’s Red Sox tangle with Longoria’s Rays. Longoria is just 7-for-34 lifetime against Buchholz, with one RBI and 13 strikeouts.

Totals Streak

Atlanta Braves (1-5-2 O/U): An offense that had scored three runs or fewer in six of its previous seven games finally broke out Thursday night versus the Mets, racking up 13 hits against a quartet of New York pitchers. Atlanta is 53-70-11 O/U for the season, the second-best Under mark in the NL.

Prop of the Day

It doesn’t pay well, but betting against the Astros and Rangers going to extra innings (-1,200) could work out nicely. The Rangers have played the fewest extra-inning games in all of baseball (seven), while the Astros are close behind with just 10 extra-inning contests.

Injury Notes

* The Mets have placed second baseman Daniel Murphy on the 15-day disabled list with a right calf strain. New York has struggled in Murphy’s absence so far in 2014, going 1-5 SU, 2-3-1 O/U and -359 units with him out of the lineup.

* The Cardinals are expected to activate catcher Yadier Molina from the disabled list in time for Friday’s game against the visiting Cubs (+133, 7.5). Molina has missed the last 40 games with a torn ligament in his right thumb; the Cardinals are 21-19 SU, 23-17 O/U and +20 units without him.

Weather Watch

* Wind at Citi Field will blow out to center field at 7 mph for Friday’s showdown between the host Mets (-148, 7) and the Philadelphia Phillies. Teams combined to hit a whopping 2.4 home runs in five games under similar conditions a season ago, well above stadium averages.

* Fans at Busch Stadium will be treated to a wind blowing out to center field at 7 mph Saturday when the Cardinals entertain the Cubs. The home side went 7-2 SU while averaging 6.22 runs in nine games with the wind blowing out to center in 2013.

Umpire Note of the Day

The home team is 10-1 in umpire Phil Cuzzi’s last 11 games behind home plate. Cuzzi will call the balls and strikes Friday night when the Angels (+100, 7) host the Athletics.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 10:10 a.m. ET Friday.

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RIVER CITY SHARPS

Baseball has certainly been a challenge lately as the things that have always worked seem to be challenged, but as we have told clients, we will press on with less action as the football season begins. Thankfully football is here and we have already jumped out to another quick start, going 2-0 on Thursday night! We do like the Pirates here tonight as they will send Edinson Volquez to the mound against Mike Leake and the Cincinnati Reds. While we have generally played against Volquez, you can’t overlook the fact that he has been really solid for the Bucs over the second half of the season. He has won seven of his last eight decisions, while Leake is sporting a 5.03 ERA vs. the Pirates this season. The Bucs are still really in the thick of the race and have lots more motivation than the Reds, so we are going to back them here. The Sharps say…

3 UNITS – PITTSBURGH PIRATES (-136)

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BONES BEST BET

added play

CARDINALS TT UNDER 4 -110 *2*

We were expecting 3.5 at even money or 4 around the -140 mark. This number has value. Hendricks in 8 starts has allowed more than 4 ER a grand total of 0 times – in fact the Cubs team has not allowed more than 4 runs in any of his starts. The Cubs have allowed an average of just 1.5 runs in Hendricks starts this season. The Cardinals offense also comes in scoring just 2.6 runs per game over their past 5 contests.

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PLAYBOOK ( Marc Lawrence)

UPSET GAME OF THE WEEK UPSET

Utsa over HOUSTON by 3

The Clincher: Houston is 7-17 SUATS in lined season openers, including 2-13 SU and 3-12 ATS versus opponents that won 5 or more games the previous season.

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THE CAPTAIN PLAYS

CFB

1 Unit Play UT San Antonio +10.5

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SB Professor MLB Picks 8/29

Here are the picks for MLB with their current Money Lines.
972. Chicago White Sox +140

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Johnny Wynn

Colorado -3
Bowling Green/ Western Kentucky OVER 61.5

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R & R Totals

Cubs/ Cardinals OVER 7.5 (+108)

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Sharps like Colorado State in Rocky Mountain Showdown
By ANDREW CALEY

State bragging rights are on the line when Colorado and Colorado State meet in the 86th Rocky Mountain Showdown Friday night and while the Buffaloes are favored by three points, sharp money is backing the Rams.

“With Colorado State taking exactly half the number of bets with the spread, the total dollar amount of action is dead even, which means that a handful of sharps are liking the dog on this one,” an oddsmaker for GT bets.

The sharps and the public are split when it comes to the total as well, with sharps buying up a bunch of real-estate on the under 58.5.

“We’ll see how things go, but the sharp trend is pretty obvious in this college matchup,” the GTbets oddsmaker adde

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James Jones

3* UTSA(+10)

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Raphael esparza
3* col.st+3

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Pointwise Phones

3* UTSA

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Locksmith Sports

MLB
2* Texas/Houston Under 8.5 -110
1* Chicago Cubs +149
1* San Diego Padres -107
1* Angels/A's Over 7 -110

CFB
1* Colorado -3

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Sports Pick Prediction​s

Texas-San Antonio +10 (3 units)

Bowling Green/Western Kentucky OVER 62 (2 units)

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Paul Leiner

100* UConn +16.5
100* Royals -135
50* Diamondbacks -145
1000* Houston Cougars Over 56.5

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corey kluge

brewers
cubs
padres
marlins
mets
pirates
rockies

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Cappers Finest:

CoversNuggz: MLB (975-976) ASTROS RANGERS UNDER 8.5 -115 *6U*
LISTED PITCHERS


MLB (975-976) ASTROS RANGERS F5 UNDER 4.5 -115 *3U*
LISTED PITCHERS

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LineCatchers

The Diamondbacks host the Rockies tonight in the first game of a 3 game set over the weekend in Phoenix. Both Arizona and Colorado are sitting at the rear end of the NL Wildcard race, 16 and 18 games behind the Giants respectively.

Christian Bergman gets the nod for the Rockies and has been rocked in 4 starts this season. He is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.64 WHIP. Bergman has allowed 16 ER in just 21 1/3 IP and opponents have hit a staggering .357 in 2 games under the lights. The Rockies are 2-2 in games which Bergman has toed the rubber.

Josh Collmenter has been one of the best ‘Home’ pitchers in the NL this campaign, the righty ranks 4th in the NL in WHIP with 0.93 and 5th in BAA with hitters averaging just .209 against him in 13 starts at Chase Field. Arizona is 9-4 in those 13 games with Collmenter on the mound. Over the past 4 games, the Diamondbacks have left 34 runners on base and are have hit just .231 (9-39) with RISP.

I believe the value is on the home team in this match up, especially with the quality starts that Collmenter has put together at home. The D-Backs should be able to get enough runners on base and convert them into runs against Bergman tonight.

Arizona Diamondbacks - 140

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Exodus to Black

BYU/UCONN over 54

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Jack Jones

NY Yankees

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Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

Kansas City Royals ML

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The diamond play

Mets

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Bookieshunter
2* utsa +11
2* o9 det/chw
1* bg -7
1* hou -1.5

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BigBetTiger

colorado state +3

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REAL SWOOP

Texas San Antonio +10.5

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THE REAL ANIMAL SPORTS

Free play - 2* Bowling Green – ‘OVER’ 61 1/2

This total opened at 54 ½ and is now 7 POINTS HIGHER! I kind of suspect the USA Today article on Bowling Green with the headline “Babers wants flying start at Bowling Green” has contributed to this rise. Babers was at Eastern Illinois recently where he averaged 8.2 points and 87 plays a game in 2013. Jimmy Garoppolo, who has looked great as Brady’s back-up in Foxboro this month, was the QB throwing for 5,050 yards and 53 touchdowns. They got a play off every 10-12 seconds. It’s not that Bowling Green played slow last year. Falcon QB Matt Johnson hit 64.2 percent of his passes for over 3,467 yards and 25 touchdowns. Remember he outplayed Jordan Lynch in beating Northern Illinois 47-27 in the MAC title game. Bowling Green then lost to Pittsburgh 30-27 in the Little Caesars Bowl. The BG defense might have been exposed in that one. After being tough in the low-scoring MAC throughout the year, Pittsburgh compiled 487 total yards of offense. Plus this year BG returns just five starters. The problem with an offense running a play every 10-12 seconds is the defense lives on the field. Last year Western Kentucky opened with Kentucky and the game results in 61 points and 906 total yards. Kentucky went on to finish #107 in total offense averaging just 20.5 points per game-hardly a glowing endorsement for the Hilltoppers’ stop unit. In their second game, WK allowed Tennessee 52 points in Knoxville. Thankfully the next four opponents were South Alabama, Morgan State, Navy, and ULM. That helped the overall defensive stats. Army and Texas State would follow in November. But the bottom line is Western Kentucky was terrible facing legitimate teams. However offensively, senior QB Brandon Doughty set a school-record for yards with 2,857 and completed 66 percent. The USA Today article said Bowling Green will resemble Baylor estimated that 70 percent of Babers’ game plan is borrowed from the Bears. That’s enough for me to justify this huge move with the total. Go ‘OVER’ like ‘ROVER’ as Friday’s free pick and enjoy day #2 of college football!

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Chris James Sports

Colorado St +3
UTSA +11

Over Orioles 8.5
Over Tigers 9
Over Angels 7

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Vegas Runner

Colorado St +3 NFAC 200.00
Colorado St ML +125 NFAC 200.00

Saturday
FLA Atlantic +22 NFAC 400.00

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MY SYSTEM PICKS

Pirates -140 (3u)

Colorado St +2 (2u)

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Lance lock

Over 58.5. Coloroda/Colo. St.

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Ben Burns' Friday NCAA MAIN EVENT! +$23K IN AUGUST!
I'm playing on ARIZONA. Rich Rodriguez is probably going to always be maligned for a failed tenure at Michigan, but in many ways that's unfair. He's done a solid job here at Arizona and that's probably underselling things. He's gone 8-5 both years in Tucson and gone to two bowl games, winning both. The Wildcats open this season against a UNLV program that has fallen on some hard times. The Rebels also made a bowl game last year (first once since 2000). But they won't be going back to one this year, no matter the won-loss record, due to poor academics. That's too bad. It's also too bad for head coach Bobby Hauck that this game is taking place on the road. In his first three years in Vegas, his teams failed to win a single road game. Last year saw them win three, but I certainly don't expect them to even remotely threaten to add to that win total here. It's noteworthy that these teams did meet last year and that game was played in Vegas. Arizona still won 58-13, easily covering the 10-point spread. UNLV has lost 13 of its previous 14 road openers and done so in pretty convincing fashion. Their average margin of defeat has been by 23 points per game the last six seasons. The poor academic scores not only result in a bowl ban, but also the loss of four hours of practice time per week. That's a huge disadvantage, particularly when attempting to break in a new starting quarterback and running back. Rodriguez's teams always average a ton of points and this year should be no different. The average margin of victory for Arizona in home openers the last 13 years is 26 PPG. 9* main event

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Oracle Sports

Colorado St. +2.5
Arizona/Unlv over 59

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Linemakers plays

byu and under

colorado st and under

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Diamond Dog Sports

MLB

#953: Phillies: +135 (3*)
Listed Pitchers: Buchanan/deGrom

#961/962: Dodgers/Padres: Under 6.5 (+100) (4*)
Listed Pitchers: Haren/Cashner

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HARRY BONDI

College Football Free Pick

COLORADO STATE (+3) over Colorado
9 p.m. ET
Yes, the Rams have lost some key members of last year’s 8-6 team, including the nation’s leading rusher, and Colorado should be much improved this season. But, having said that, there’s no way the Buffs should be a three-point favorite here. Despite a 41-27 loss in this rivalry game in last year’s opener, the Rams were the better team overall in 2013 and if this game was played in December of last season they would have been at least a field goal favorite. Colorado has been installed in the unfamiliar role as the chalk marking just the fifth time in its last 40 games it has had to lay points. Colorado State has the better defense and is catching a field goal. Take the points.

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BigBaseballBets

Friday 5*
Braves under 7

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Kelso

50 A's
50 B.G.
25 Colo st

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Diamond Dog Sports

MLB

#953: Phillies: +135 (3*)
Listed Pitchers: Buchanan/deGrom

#961/962: Dodgers/Padres: Under 6.5 (+100) (4*)
Listed Pitchers: Haren/Cashner

NCAA FB

#147/148: Bowling Green/Western Kentucky: Over 64.0 (-105) (0.5*)

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wayne root
PASS

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Youngstown Connection
Date: Friday August 29, 2014
$25.00 NCAAF Play #1

#147/#148 BG/WKY over 62.5 730PM Eastern

Line from Intertops
Line as of 340PM Eastern 8/29/14

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Kyle Hunter
CFB
Bowling Green over

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Exodus to Black
MLB
Minnesota under 9

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INTPICKS

2* UTSA vs Houston – Over

1* Colorado St. vs Colorado – Under

1* Arizona-pts

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Joe Gavazzi

Colorado St. vs. Colorado (-3) 9:00 ET FS1 (Denver, CO)

In this annual lid lifter, Colorado has emerged with a 3-1 SU ATS record in recent seasons. That includes a 41-27 victory last year, when the Buffs outgained the Rams by 513-295. That gives second year Colorado HC MacIntyre consecutive victories against 3rd year Colorado St. HC McElwain, including his victory while at San Jose St. two seasons ago. That drubbing in last year’s contest was a bit misleading as the Buffs led just 26-24 in the 4th quarter. I like the continuity in the 2ndyear of the MacIntyre tenure. The Buffs have 8 returning starters to each side of the ball, including 3 linemen on both offense and defense. Colorado QB Liufau showed great progress in his initial campaign. Such offensive continuity will not be found on the Rams’ sideline, as there is just 1 starter along each of their lines. Experience shows with the more veteran Buffs who look to make their point in this state rivalry for the 4th time in 5 years.

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PHILLYGODFATHER

MLB #952 U7.5 -110 Reds vs. Pirates

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Las Vegas Pipeline

10* Seattle

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VEGAS LINEREADER

1* NEW YORK YANKEES vs TORONTO BLUE JAYS – OVER 8.5

1* BOWLING GREEN vs W. KENTUCKY – OVER 63.5

1* COLORADO ST. +3

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PSYCHIC
(1-5)

Pass

WIIZARD
(1-10)

7 unit Colorado State +2.5

JT WALKER
(all units same one unit)

Pass

The Statman
(1-10)

Pass

Michael Cash Money
(1-10)

7 unit Arizona -23.5

Genius
(1-10)

8 unit Houston -11

The Sports Report
(1-10)

Pass

Totals 4 U
(1-100% ratings)

Pass

Sports Chick

Pass

Sports Advisors, Joe Wright
(1-10)

Pass