9-1-14

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::clap::

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CFL Betting Notes - Week 10
By David Schwab

The CFL will close the first-half of its 2014 regular season this upcoming Labor Day Holiday Weekend and all indications continue to point to a league of “haves” (the West Division) and “have nots” (the East Division).

Winnipeg got things going for the West last week with a 24-16 victory over Montreal as a 7½-point home favorite on Friday night. The total stayed UNDER the closing 49½-point line.

Saturday’s CFL double-header kicked things off with Edmonton almost doubling-up Toronto 41-27 as a seven-point favorite at home. This time the total went well OVER the 49½-point line. Calgary rolled over Ottawa 32-7 in the nightcap to easily cover as an 8½-point road favorite with the total staying UNDER the 48-point line.

This past Sunday in the only divisional matchup on the slate, Saskatchewan outlasted British Columbia 20-16 as a 2 ½-point road underdog. The total in that game stayed UNDER the 50 ½-point closing line.

Monday, Sept. 1

Toronto (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS) at Hamilton (1-6 SU, 3-4 ATS)

Point-spread: Toronto -1
Total: 50½

Game Overview

Toronto has just three SU victories on the year, but it can open-up a three-game lead in the East Division with a win next Monday. Quarterback Ricky Ray continues to lead the CFL in total passing yards with 2,442 and he has a league-high 15 touchdown throws, but the Argonauts’ downfall has been a defense that is giving-up 27.7 PPG.

The Tiger-Cats have been able to keep the majority of their games relatively close, but they have not played with the consistency needed to turn these losses into wins partially due to multiple injuries at the quarterback position. They will try and snap a three-game skid both SU and ATS which includes a 10-point loss to Calgary at home as 2½-point underdogs before last week’s bye.

Betting Trends

The Tiger-Cats have won the last three meetings both SU and ATS after dropping their previous four games to Toronto both ways dating back to the 2012 regular season. The total in this series has gone OVER in six of the last eight meetings.

Edmonton (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) at Calgary (7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS)

Point-spread: Calgary -4½
Total: 50½

Game Overview

The surprising Eskimos continue to keep pace with Calgary in the West Division title race with a three-game SU winning streak (2-1 ATS). They have scored 26 points or more in seven of their eight games this year and their defense is holding teams to an average of 17.8 PPG. Slotback Adarius Bowman is leading the CFL in receiving yards with 619.

Calgary’s numbers are even more impressive with an offense that is averaging 27.9 PPG complementing a defense that is allowing an average of 15.1 points, which is tops in the CFL. Bo Levi Mitchell has done a good job leading the offense at quarterback. He has thrown for 1,958 yards and 12 touchdowns against just four interceptions.

Betting Trends

The Stampeders grinded-out the early edge in this season’s series with a 26-22 victory in late July as 1½-point road favorites. The total stayed UNDER the 49½-point closing line and it has now stayed UNDER in the last three meetings. Calgary is 9-1 SU in the last 10 meetings with a 7-3 edge ATS.

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CFL Betting Recap - Week 9
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

Favorites went 3-1 straight up in Week 9
Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 9
Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 9
Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 9
The 'under' went 3-1 in Week 9

Team Betting Notes

Calgary (7-1) annihilated expansion Ottawa (1-7), as the West continues to dominate the East. First-place Calgary has won three straight, and covered each contest.

Edmonton (7-1) kept pace with their provincial rivals by hammering Toronto (3-6) by a 41-27 score. The Esks have won three in a row since losing to Calgary July 24. While they have an impressive straight-up record, they're still just 2-2 ATS over the past four, and 5-2 ATS overall. A rematch with Calgary looms Sept. 1 on the road, with the second game of a home-and-home Sept. 6 in Edmonton.

Montreal (1-7) continues to fight hard, but they suffered another loss Friday in Winnipeg (6-3). The Alouettes have improved since a couple of lopsided losses July 19-Aug. 1 when they lost by an average of 31.0 points per game. Over their past three losses, they have fallen by an average of just 7.8 points per game. Still, a loss is a loss. They're also 1-5 ATS over the past six.

The Blue Bombers put the skids on a two-game SU/ATS losing streak, and they're now 6-3 ATS overall. They 'over' and 'under' has alternated over each of their past five, so no helpful trend there. Next up is a key home-and-home series with Saskatchewan (6-2).

The Roughriders lost QB Darian Durant (finger) to a finger injury at halftime, so former Pitt QB Tino Sunseri was forced into action. He actually rallied the defending champs to a win at BCLions (5-4). Saskatchewan has won five straight games, and they're 4-1 ATS during the span.

Saskatchewan has also had the 'under' cash in five of the past six games. In their previous meeting with Winnipeg, the under hit back on Aug. 7.

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CFL Week 10 Betting Preview and Trends
By Mike Pickett

Mon Sep 01 - Toronto at Hamilton

Last 10 Meetings: Hamilton 5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS | OU 6-4

The Toronto Argonauts and the Hamilton Tiger-Cats will renew their rivalry on Monday afternoon with their annual Labour Day matchup. The Tiger-Cats went 3-1 both SU and ATS against the Argonauts last season, with the OVER/UNDER splitting at 2-2 for totals bettors on the CFL odds at the sportsbooks in those contests.

Mon Sep 01 - Edmonton at Calgary

Last 10 Meetings: Calgary 9-1 SU, 7-3 ATS | OU 5-5

The Calgary Stampeders are riding an eight-game SU winning streak against the Edmonton Eskimos as those rivals also participate in a Labour Day CFL betting matchup on Monday. Calgary topped Edmonton by a score of 26-22 as a 2-point road favorite in their first meeting of the season on July 24, with the combined score an UNDER result for totals bettors. The UNDER is 3-0 in their last three meetings.

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Game of the Day: Miami at Louisville

Miami Hurricanes at Louisville Cardinals (-3.5, 54)

Louisville begins the second Bobby Petrino era - and its inaugural season in the Atlantic Coast Conference - when Miami (Fla.) pays a visit on Monday night in a rematch of last season's Russell Athletic Bowl. Petrino, who coached the Cardinals from 2003-06, returned to Louisville after Charlie Strong became the head coach at Texas. However, the excitement surrounding Petrino's return was tempered somewhat by the loss of star wideout DeVante Parker, who broke his foot in practice Aug. 22 and will miss up to eight weeks.

"We're fortunate that we have a lot of experienced players," Petrino said after losing Parker, who had 55 catches for 885 yards and a school-record 12 touchdowns last season. "You're never going to replace a guy like DeVante with just one guy. You've got to do it collectively with all the weapons that we have, stepping up and making more plays." Perhaps nobody will be more affected by the Parker injury than sophomore quarterback Will Gardner, who was just named Louisville's starter last week. Miami has a challenging quarterback situation of its own as freshman Brad Kaaya takes over behind center with starter Ryan Williams sidelined with a torn ACL.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: The Cardinals opened as 2.5-point favorites and have been bet up slightly now sitting at -3.5. The total has risen slightly from 53.5 to 54.

INJURY REPORT: Miami: QB Kevin Olsen - out (suspension). Louisville: RB Michael Dyer - questionable (quadriceps)

WEATHER REPORT: There will be a nine mile per hour wind blowing towards the north end zone at Cardinal Stadium. There will also be a 20 percent chance of rain and a chance of thunderstorms.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We opened Louisville -3 and the total 5 and now sit on Cards -3.5 and 54. On Aug. 2 we got sharp play on Louisville and on the 23rd we got wiseguy play on the under 55. Fifty-six percent of the cash and 59 percent of bets on the spread are backing Louisville and 69 percent of bets and 77 percent of cash on the total is taking the over." - Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag.

ABOUT MIAMI (2013: 9-4, 5-8 ATS): While all eyes will be on Kaaya, the bulk of Hurricanes' heavy lifting on offense will likely be handled by junior running back Duke Johnson, who ranked third in the nation in all-purpose yards per game (174.1) before breaking his ankle in early November. “We have the potential to be great," Johnson said, “but what I’m hoping for is to finally win the Coastal Division and the Atlantic Coast Conference championship. If I need to carry the load then I will, no problem. But I believe I have enough weapons around me to where I don’t have to." Among the weapons that surround Johnson is wideout Stacy Coley, who led the team with seven receiving touchdowns as a freshman in 2013.

ABOUT LOUISVILLE (2013: 12-1, 6-7 ATS): The Cardinals, who are beginning play in their third conference in as many years, are coming off a season in which they only suffered one defeat - a three-point loss to Central Florida in mid-October - and closed the campaign by routing the Hurricanes, 36-9. Star quarterback Teddy Bridgewater is now with the Minnesota Vikings, leaving Petrino to put his faith in Gardner, who was impressive in limited action last season (8-of-12, 112 yards, two touchdowns, zero interceptions). On defense, Louisville has to replace seven starters but does return its two starting cornerbacks in upperclassmen Charles Gaines and Terell Floyd.

TRENDS:

* Hurricanes are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall.
* Cardinals are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
* Over is 4-0 in the Hurricanes last four conference games.
* Under is 5-1 in the Cardinals last six games overall.

COVERS CONSENSUS: The consensus is close in this matchup with just over 51 percent of wagers on the Hurricanes at +3.5. The consensus is very slightly favoring the over 54.

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Nelly's Green Sheet

LOUISVILLE (-3) Miami, FL (53½) 7:00 PM
The Hurricanes will be an interesting team to watch in 2014, the fourth season behind widely respected head coach Al Golden. Miami rose into the
top 10 with a 7-0 start last season but they faltered down the stretch and were embarrassed in the Russell Athletic Bowl, losing 36-9 against the 2014 opening opponent, Louisville. The Cardinals move to the ACC this season and while losing Charlie Strong and Teddy Bridgewater is a big blow, getting Bobby Petrino to return provides someoptimism. Petrino has his flaws but his college track record on the sidelines is impressive. Louisville out-gained Miami 554-174 in the bowl game last season which should provide a great incentive for Miami and Louisville has a weakened roster with only 11
starters back. The impact may be more severe on defenses as Louisville quietly had one of the best defenses in the nation last season despite the
offense getting most of the attention. Miami has suspended its QB Kevin Olsen for this game but they may still be able to win.

MIAMI BY 3

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The Gold Sheet

*LOUISVILLE 30 - Miami-Florida 20—Eventually, the second marriage of Bobby Petrino and Louisville might spoil. But Petrino is not exactly inheriting the Idaho job, as did his brother Paul LY; Although potential absence of key WR DeVante Parker (foot) a concern, reports on Teddy Bridgewater’s QB successor Will Gardner are unfailingly positive. Remember, Miami was blitzed by these same Cards in the Russell Athletic Bowl last December to culminate a late-season collapse caused mostly by a “D” unrecognizable from past Cane standards. Al Golden
is also dealing with QB issues in Coral Gables

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Robert Ferringo

2-Unit Play Miami (+3.5) over Louisville (8 p.m., Monday,Sept. 1)

This one just fitsinto one of our focus for the weekend. This game equals revenge for Miami,which lost its bowl game to Louisville last season. I know the Cardinal isexcited to have Bobby Petrino back in the fold. And he will do a great job withthis program because even though he is a huge scumbag he is also a very goodcoach. But this Louisville team lost a ton of talent from last year's team. Andthe guys that Charlie Strong recruited, that Petrino is working with right now,were recruited for an entirely different system. Louisville is trying to takeguys groomed for ground-and-pound and turn them into a run-and-gun team. Miamihas come to play in these early season situations in the past. I don't thinkthey are going to be thrown by Louisville's crowd or home field edge. The factis that Miami was on the verge of having a breakthrough season last year beforeinjuries took the wind out of their sail late in the year. Louisville is in aletdown situation this season, having accomplished a fantastic season,including bowl win, while dominating the AAC. I think this spread isconspicuously small. Last year if these teams had met I think the numberwould've been closer to 8.5. But the lower number here shows how the talentlevel has shifted. Bottom line: I just think Miami is the better team andhaving the points is a benefit.

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Bookiemonsters

POD
MIAMI -120

Money Generator plays
WASH +100
BOS +140
SEA +130

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Steve Fezzik

CFL

Dime Edmonton +4

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EZWINNERS

1* Miami Florida +3

Its not often that you open up a season against the team that you played in your bowl game, but that is exactly what we have in this match up. Miami got their asses kicked in the Russell Athletic Bowl last year 36-9 and I'm sure that stinging loss is still fresh in the Hurricanes mind. Louisville has a new head coach as Bobby Petrino returns after Charlie Strong moved on to Texas. Star quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has also moved on to the NFL. Louisville also loses seven starters on what was a pretty strong defensive unit. Not only will Louisville have a new quarterback under center, but he will be without the Card's top wide receiver senior Davante Parker who is out with a broken toe. Miami will go with true freshmen Brad Kaaya at quarterback, but he will also get a boost with the return of running back Duke Johnson who missed the Canes last three games of the season last year with an ankle sprain. This has been a money making spot for Miami head coach Al Golden who is 22-6-2 against the spread as a conference underdog. Take the points.

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MLB

National League
Phillies-Braves
Hamels is 4-1, 2.09 in his last eight starts.
Teheran is 3-0, 1.47 in his last three starts.

Phillies won seven of their last ten games.
Atlanta won four of its last five games.

Under is 6-1-2 in last nine Atlanta games.

Mets-Marlins
Wheeler is 5-1, 2.67 in his last eleven starts.
Alvarez is 2-1, 4.66 in three starts since coming off DL.

Mets are 10-8 in their last 18 road games.
Marlins lost six of their last eight games.

Under is 4-1-1 in last six Miami games.

Pirates-Cardinals
Cole is 1-0, 1.50 in his last three starts.
Lynn is 3-0, 2.19 in his last four starts.

Pirates won four of their last five games.
St Louis won six of its last eight home games.

Eight of last nine Cardinal home games went over.

Brewers-Cubs
Nelson is 0-3, 4.77 in his last four starts.
Turner is 2-3, 7.66 in his last five starts.

Milwaukee lost its last five games, outscored 38-11.
Cubs lost four of last six games, allowing 39 runs.

Five of Cubs' last six games went over total.

Diamondbacks-Padres
Cahill is 1-1, 6.61 in his last three starts.
Ross is 5-2, 2.10 in his last eight starts.

Arizona lost 10 of its last 14 games.
Padres won four of their last five games.

Four of last five San Diego games stayed under.

Giants-Rockies
Hudson is 1-0, 2.03 in his last two starts.
Morales is 0-3, 5.34 in his last six starts.

Giants won their last six games by combined score of 42-11.
Colorado lost five of their last six games.
Completion of suspended game is before scheduled game.

Five of last seven games at Coors Field went over the total.

Nationals-Dodgers
Gonzalez is 0-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
Hernandez is 2-1, 3.91 in four starts for the Dodgers.

Washington lost four of its last six games.
Dodgers won three of their last four home games.

Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Washington games.

American League
Red Sox-Rays
de la Rosa is 0-1, 6.46 in his last three starts.
Smyly is 3-0, 0.88 in his last four starts.

Red Sox lost ten of their last fourteen games.
Tampa Bay lost ten of its last fifteen games.

Seven of last nine Tampa Bay home games stayed under total.

Twins-Orioles
Hughes is 4-1, 2.06 in his last five starts.
Gausman is 1-3, 4.50 in his last four starts.

Twins lost seven of their last eight games.
Baltimore won six of their last seven games.

Seven of last ten Minnesota games went over total.

Tigers-Indians
Price is 1-2, 4.68 in his last five starts.
Kluber is 4-2, 1.62 in his last eight starts.

Detroit won six of its last nine games.
Cleveland won 13 of its last 18 games.

14 of last 17 Cleveland games stayed under total.

Mariners-A's
Young is 4-0, 3.00 in his last six starts.
Hammel is 1-1, 2.86 in his last four starts.

Mariners lost four of their last six games.
Oakland lost seven of its last eight games.

Last five Young starts went over the total.

Rangers-Royals
Lewis is 1-3, 6.23 in his last four starts.
Ventura is 3-1, 2.84 in his last five starts.

Texas lost 11 of its last 17 games.
Royals lost five of their last seven games.

Four of last five Kansas City games stayed under.

Interleague games
None

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Hamels 12-12; Teheran 17-11
-- Wheeler 13-14; Alvarez 17-8
-- Cole 11-5; Lynn 17-10
-- Nelson 4-5; Turner 6-6/0-1
-- Cahill 4-8; Ross 14-14
-- Hudson 16-9; Morales 7-12
-- Gonzalez 12-10; Hernandez 8-11/2-2

-- de la Rosa 7-7; Smyly 6-12/3-2
-- Hughes 17-10; Gausman 9-6
-- Price 14-9/2-3; Kluber 17-11
-- Young 16-8; Hammel 10-7/1-7
-- Lewis 11-13; Ventura 13-11

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Hamels 3-24; Teheran 8-28
-- Wheeler 8-27; Alvarez 6-25
-- Cole 6-16; Lynn 6-27
-- Nelson 3-9; Turner 5-13
-- Cahill 6-12; Ross 7-28
-- Hudson 6-25; Morales 3-19
-- Gonzalez 7-22; Hernandez 9-25

-- de la Rosa 4-14; Smyly 6-23
-- Hughes 5-27; Gausman 3-15
-- Price 9-28; Kluber 4-28
-- Young 6-25; Hammel 7-25
-- Lewis 8-24; Ventura 7-24

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Today's MLB PicksDetroit at ClevelandThe Tigers head to Cleveland today to open a big AL Central series against the Indians and come into the contest with a 12-4 record in their last 16 games in Cleveland. Detroit is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 1
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: Philadelphia at Atlanta (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.891; Atlanta (Teheran) 14.761
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1;
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+125); Under


Game 903-904: NY Mets at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Wheeler) 15.848; Miami (Alvarez) 14.943
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Miami (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+110); Over


Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Cole) 14.425; St. Louis (Lynn) 15.869
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-125); Over


Game 907-908: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Nelson) 14.810; Cubs (Turner) 13.389
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-140); N/A


Game 909-910: Arizona at San Diego (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Cahill) 13.746; San Diego (Ross) 15.295
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Diego (-155); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-155); Over


Game 911-912: San Francisco at Colorado (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Hudson) 16.756; Colorado (Morales) 13.825
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 3; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-145); Under


Game 913-914: Washington at LA Dodgers (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 16.629; LA Dodgers (Hernandez) 15.143
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-115); Over


Game 915-916: Boston at Tampa Bay (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (De La Rosa) 14.791; Tampa Bay (Smyly) 14.238
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-155); Under


Game 917-918: Minnesota at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hughes) 15.490; Baltimore (Gausman) 14.290
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+125); Over


Game 919-920: Detroit at Cleveland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Price) 16.422; Cleveland (Kluber) 14.734
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100); Under


Game 921-922: Seattle at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Young) 15.081; Oakland (Hammel) 13.924
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Oakland (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+125); Under


Game 923-924: Texas at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 14.271; Kansas City (Ventura) 15.760
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-190); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-190); Over

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Monday

Phils/Cards under 7

Mets/Marlins under 7

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NCAA Football Game PicksMiami (FL) at LouisvilleThe Cardinals open the season with their first ACC game in school history and face a Miami team that they defeated 36-9 in last year's Russell Athletic Bowl. Louisville is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-3). Here are all of this week's games.


MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 1
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (8/25)


Game 209-210: Miami (FL) at Louisville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 92.311; Louisville 97.730
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 5 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Louisville by 3; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-3); Over

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play MON Louisville -3

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Today's CFL PicksToronto at HamiltonThe Tiger-Cats host a Toronto team today that is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 road games. Hamilton is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has Hamilton favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 1
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (8/26)


Game 285-286: Toronto at Hamilton (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 110.230; Hamilton 114.585
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 4 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Toronto by 2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+2); Under


Game 287-288: Edmonton at Calgary (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 116.615; Calgary 124.502
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 8; 56
Vegas Line: Calgary by 5; 50
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-5); Over

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Hondo

Slumping Hondo threw a bad splitter Sunday, cashing with the Dodgers and paying with the Yankees to raise the dirty rotten digits to 1,565 gehringers.

Monday: Mr. Aitch likes the price with David in Cleveland — 10 units on the Tigers. Also, in matters of National interest, he expects Cole to make the Braves sore 10 units.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

September Pitchers Report
By Marc Lawrence

Like the notches in out belt after a tasty Labor Day barbeque, MLB rosters have expanded to accommodate the final month of the season. And as College Football and the NFL crash onto the scene, MLB pitchers take the final spotlight in hopes of leading their teams on to the playoff trail. Which ones can we count on and which ones figure to crash-test dummies? Check it out.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of September. On the flip side, we’ve also listed pitchers that struggle in September team starts, winning 33% percent or less of their efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each September over the last three years.

Enjoy…

Note: Pitchers with an asterisk (*) next to their named appeared on this month’s list last year.

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS:

Bumgarner, Madison (10-4)

A consistently good pitcher who can work side to side or up and down in the strike zone, with equal effectiveness. Bumgarner will set a career-high for strikeouts this season and very likely wins, while still being far below a base hit an inning.

*Fister, Doug (11-3)

After being brilliant most of the season, Fister has been a little off his game of late. Otherwise, he’s been sparkling all year and has excelled at keeping the ball down. He is currently on pace to set best-ever WHIP number in a season.

*Gallardo, Yovani (11-5)

Gallardo has pitched much better coming into September, with a 2.86 ERA in his past 10 starts. While not the strikeout pitcher he used to be, his command has been exemplary and should easily surrender the fewest walks in a season in his career.

*Gonzalez, Gio (12-4)

Injuries and inconsistency has plagued the left-hander, which is why he has allowed nearly a hit an inning, unable to fully command his wide array of pitches. Washington needs Gonzalez to find his game like in the past this month and have him ready to be a factor for the playoffs.

Greinke, Zack (8-4)

This Dodgers’ hurler has done everything necessary as the No. 2 starter and is as dependable as they come. If Greinke, Kershaw and Ryu stay on top of their game, the L.A. Dodgers could be headed to the World Series.

*Guthrie, Jeremy (11-4)

Never a great pitcher, for some reason has finished seasons strong in the final month of the year. If Kansas City is to win their division for the first time since 1985, Guthrie will have to do his part to contribute to their success.

*Hughes, Philip (9-3)

How important has Phil Hughes been to the success of Minnesota this season? When he’s started they are 17-10; when he is watching between starts they are 42-66 as August concluded. Based on the past, bettors should know how to bet on Hughes and the Twins the rest of the season.

*Kennedy, Ian (14-1)

For an average pitcher, Kennedy has closed the season like few with this incredible record. This season, his numbers are around career norms, but his sinker has had more bite with two strikes, fanning more than a batter per inning.

Latos, Matt (11-4)

The 6’6 Virginia native has been battling injuries all season and his team has floundered, which has been no fault of the right-hander. With the Reds going nowhere, good time for Latos to pad stats for his next contract.

*Lee, Cliff (11-5)

Season is over for the lanky lefty with what is essentially a bad elbow.

Milone, Tommy (12-1)

Moving from Oakland to Minnesota is probably going to curtail Milone’s September numbers, of which reported above represent three-year career numbers. The A’s gave Milone numerous chances. He just never came through. Subtract this month and the 6’0 lefty has a below .500 career record.

Scherzer, Max (10-5)

While not as domineering as his Cy Young season, Scherzer has been no less effective and did his part from seeing Detroit falling completely apart. Works fast, knows how to change speeds, and added another gear when it comes to getting hitters out with runners on base.

Shields, James (12-4)

Shields had his worst outing in sometime on Aug. 25 and knowing his bulldog determination that could be his last poor game of the regular season. Knows how to pitch and always around the plate. On pace to conceded his fewest walks in five seasons.

*Weaver, Jered (10-4)

No longer having great “stuff”, Weaver as a youngster always knew how to pitch by changing speeds and working the strike zone vertically. He will give the Angels a chance to win the AL West because he knows how to win.

Wilson, C.J. (13-5)

Since coming back from injury, not the same Wilson we are used to seeing. His control has been awful, catching too much of the plate with upper zone pitches and strikeouts-to-walks nearly even. It’s time for the port-sider to elevate his game at crunch time.

BAD MONTH PITCHERS

Buehrle, Mark (5-10)

Unfortunately for Toronto, their season has mirrored that of Buehrle. The Blue Jays like the crafty lefty were super early, but as the season wore on, they started to show wear and tear and have been crumbling since. Lacking velocity, the 35-year old now wears down late in the season.

*Francis, Jeff (3-7)

Designated for assignment in late July by Yankees.

Harang, Aaron (4-9)

Though it seems Harang has pitched better this season than any time in recent years, his numbers are very similar to when he was with the Dodgers two years ago with fewer walks. Can he contribute in September?

Hernandez, Felix (2-10)

Having an absolutely marvelous season, batters are around the Mendoza Line (.202) hitting against King Felix. Very curious to watch how he pitches with playoffs on the line this month, which happens infrequently for the Mariners.

McCarthy, Brandon (4-8)

Cannot remember a pitcher having a bigger in-season turnaround after being traded. McCarthy has arguably become the ace of the Yankees staff, one decimated by injuries. Hence, would have to think McCarthy results will improve this time around.

Norris, Bud (3-8)

Having pitched on bad Houston teams and ineffective last year after coming to Baltimore, Norris has been fair this year for the Orioles. Always look to play on at home and play against on the road.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ACC Report - Week 1

Miami, Fla. at Louisville

These two sides met in the Russell Athletic Bowl last season, with the Cardinals embarrassing the Canes by a 36-9 score. Both teams are replacing long-time starting QBs, and this is now an official conference game, too. True freshman QB Brad Kaaya takes the reins under center for Miami, while head coach Bobby Petrino turns to QB Will Gardner. The new Cards QB has the benefit of WR DeVante Parker (foot) in the receiving game, although he suffered a foot injury last week and that's worth keeping an eye on. The Cards are a field-goal favorite, and they're 13-3 ATS in their past 16 conference games while Miami is 1-6 ATS in their past seven in conference.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miami, Fl. at Louisville
By Brian Edwards

Matchup: Miami, Fl. at Louisville
Venue: Papa John's Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, Kentucky
Date: Monday, Sept. 1, 2014
Time/TV: 8:00 p.m. ET, ESPN
Line: Louisville -3.5, Over/Under 54
Last Meeting: Dec. 28, 2013, Louisville (-5.5) 36 vs. Miami, Fl. 9

Miami will be looking to avenge an embarrassing postseason loss to Louisville when these schools square off Monday night at Papa John's Cardinal Stadium. As of early Saturday afternoon, most betting shops had U of L installed as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 54. Some books had the Cardinals at minus three with a -120 price.

Bobby Petrino's team is -170 on the money line, while gamblers can take the Hurricanes to win outright for a +150 return (risk $100 to win $150).

Since leaving Louisville after going 41-9 in four seasons from 2003-2006, Petrino has left a pair of jobs under sketchy circumstances. First, while he was at U of L, he flirted with schools like Ole Miss, LSU, Notre Dame and others, not to mention the Oakland Raiders. Shortly after signing a 10-year contract with U of L, he bolted for the Atlanta Falcons.

But within months of his hiring, Michael Vick became immersed in an ugly dog-fighting scandal that led to a two-year prison sentence. Petrino took the job to coach Vick but instead of buckling down and going to work (after all, he was getting paid $5 million per year!), he reacted angrily and distanced himself from his players with his mercurial behavior. In the end, Petrino bolted with three games left in the season to take the Arkansas job, leaving owner Arthur Blank fuming because he went on national television 24 hours earlier and spoke highly of Petrino, who had assured Blank there was nothing to the Arkansas rumors before a Falcons loss on Monday Night Football.

Twenty-four hours after the MNF loss, Petrino was calling the Hogs in Fayetteville live on Sports Center.

Petrino coached his ass off at Arkansas, winning 10 games in his final season. The losses came at LSU and at Alabama, who both had to come to Fayetteville in 2012 when expectations were through the roof based on the return of QB Tyler Wilson and RB Knile Davis.

But during spring practice, a wreck on a Harley Davison motorcycle prompted one of the most scandalous one-week investigation in the history of sports in the state of Arkansas. Petrino initially told AD Jeff Long that he was alone when he crashed. A subsequent investigation revealed that Petrino was with a young co-ed who recently graduated after a volleyball career for the Razorbacks.

Additionally, she had just been given a job within the Arkansas football program ahead of more than 150 other applicants. Petrino also gave her a $20,000 signing bonus out of his own pocket, which was obviously a major breach of school rules.

Since Petrino originally lied to Long about being solo for the motorcycle wreck, in addition to hiring his mistress, the well-respected AD was left with a tough decision. But in the end, despite Petrino's success on the field, it was a no-brainer for Long to send BP packing.

Petrino spent a year away from football repairing his marriage and attempting to make things right with his family. Then Western Kentucky hired him for the 2013 campaign and he led it to an 8-4 record. The Hilltoppers actually made cash in this scenario, as the contract was built to protect the school if BP left after just one season.

Louisville had a strong four-year run under Charlie Strong, who turned down several jobs in 2013, including a lucrative offer from Tennessee, but couldn't pass on the chance to replace Mack Brown at Texas. The Cardinals went 12-1 straight up and 5-7-1 against the spread last year, smashing Miami by a 36-9 count as five-point favorites at the Russell Athletic Bowl.

But U of L lost its leader in Teddy Bridgewater, who started at QB for three seasons and finished as the school's third all-time leading passer. He went to the Minnesota Vikings in the first round, as did DE Calvin Pryor. Petrino inherits a squad returning seven starters on offense but just four on defense.

Louisville's 2013 'D' surrendered just 12.2 points per game. Former Georgia defensive coordinator Todd Grantham signed a lucrative four-year contract (guaranteed!) to become the Cards' DC. However, and nobody should be stunned by this, a recent report from SI.com revealed that Grantham and Petrino are having issues galore, including multiple shouting matches in front of the rest of the staff.

Will Gardner saw limited duty behind Bridgewater as a redshirt freshman, completing 8-of-12 passes for 112 yards and two TDs without being intercepted. He has a pair of outstanding RBs to lean on in Dominique Brown and Michael Dyer. Brown rushed for a team-best 825 yards and eight TDs last year while averaging 5.1 yards per carry. The Cards also have Michael Dyer, the MVP of Auburn's BCS Championship Game win over Oregon four years ago. But Dyer struggled with injuries last year and his status for Monday night is in question due to another injury.

U of L will be without its best offensive weapon in wide receiver DeVante Parker, who broke his foot last weekend and is expected to miss 6-8 weeks. Parker had 55 catches for 885 yards and 12 TDs in 2013.

Miami started 2013 with seven consecutive wins, only to drop three in a row by double-digit margins once star RB Duke Johnson was lost to a season-ending injury. After getting spanked by U of L in the postseason, Al Golden's squad finished 9-4 SU and 5-8 ATS.

The Hurricanes return seven starters on offense and seven on defense. However, starting safety Rayshawn Jenkins, who had 46 tackles and three interceptions in 2013, is out for the season due to back surgery. Also, UM's top two quarterbacks, Ryan Williams and Kevin Olsen, won't play against the Cardinals.

Williams is still recovering from a torn ACL last year but could be ready in a few weeks. Olsen is serving a one-game suspension. Therefore, true freshman Brad Kaaya will get the starting nod under center.

The good news is that Johnson is healthy again. Despite playing only seven games, Johnson still garnered first-team All-ACC honors with 920 rushing yards and six TDs. He averaged 6.1 YPC and has take-it-the-house speed on any given carry.

As a road underdog, UM owns a 5-4-1 spread record as a road underdog during Golden's tenure.

This key ACC showdown will kick Monday night at 8:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Betting Cheat Sheet

Dodgers Halt Padres' Under Streak

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-165, O 7) used five runs in the eighth and ninth innings to defeat host San Diego 7-1 Sunday, ending the Padres' latest Under streak at four. San Diego remains far and away the best under bet in the league, sitting 48-82-5 entering the week.

Smyly Dealing Low Totals

Tampa Bay lefty Drew Smyly will look to extend his recent under streak Monday as the host Rays (-152, 7.5) tangle with the Boston Red Sox. Smyly is 1-7 over/under over his last eight starts, and has surrendered just three total runs in his previous four outings.

Welcome Back, Holland

Derek Holland makes his long-awaited 2014 debut Tuesday as the Texas Rangers visit the Kansas City Royals. The veteran left-hander underwent surgery to repair torn cartilage in his left knee and hasn't pitched in a major-league game since last Sept. 28.

Pitching Notes

Gerrit Cole is one of the hottest pitchers going as the Pittsburgh Pirates (+109, 7) visit the St. Louis Cardinals on Monday afternoon. The Pirates are 7-1 SU in Cole's last eight outings, with the right-hander racking up five quality starts over that span.

Twins lefty Tommy Milone will look to get back on track Tuesday as Minnesota hosts the Chicago White Sox. Milone has surrendered 15 runs in 11 innings over his previous three outings, with the Twins going 3-0 O/U over that span.

Hitting Notes

Philaelphia pitcher Cole Hamels vs. Atlanta first baseman Chris Johnson will be one of the marquee matchups of Monday's showdown between the visiting Phillies (+131, 6.5) and the Braves. Johnson is 7-for-20 lifetime vs. Hamels, but has struck out nine times.

Tampa Bay pitcher Jeremy Hellickson may want to steer clear of Toronto outfielder Jose Bautista on Tuesday when the Rays host the Blue Jays. Bautista is 8-for-26 with threee home runs lifetime against Hellickson.

Totals Streak

Chicago Cubs (5-1 O/U): The Cubs have a wealth of young hitters but continues to scuffle on the mound, surrendering 22 runs in back-to-back losses in St. Louis over the weekend. The Cubs remain a strong over play for the year, entering Monday at 68-62-7 O/U.

Prop of the Day

Bettors may want to shrink Monday's total between the Detroit Tigers (+104, 7) and the host Cleveland Indians, with Under 5.5 offering +145. Cleveland ace Corey Kluber is 2-10 O/U in his previous 12 starts, while Detroit counterpart David Price is 3-6 O/U in his last nine.

Injury Notes

Kansas City outfielder Josh Willingham missed Sunday's game against Cleveland with back stiffness and is considered day-to-day. Willingham was slumping at the time of the injury, hitting just 4-for-21 over his previous eight games.

Milwaukee Brewers outfielder Carlos Gomez left Sunday's game against San Francisco with a sore left wrist and is considered day-to-day. Gomez has missed nine games this season, with the Brewers going 4-5 SU, 5-4 O/U and -175 units without him.

Weather Watch

Wrigley Field will see wind blowing out to center field at 13 mph as the host Chicago Cubs (+120) face the Milwaukee Brewers. Teams combined to average better than 13 runs in seven games under similar conditions a season ago.

Umpire Note of the Day

Over is 20-8-3 in umpire Mark Wegner's last 31 games behind home plate involving Minnesota. Wegner will call the balls and strikes for Monday's series finale between the visiting Twins (+136, 8) and the Baltimore Orioles.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Basketball PicksIndiana at ChicagoThe Sky look to even up the series as the host an Indiana team that is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 Monday games. Chicago is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sky favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks


MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 1
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 607-608: Indiana at Chicago (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 108.500; Chicago 114.028
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 5 1/2; 151
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

'Runs at a premium'

When the Texas Rangers and Kansas City Royals open their three-game series Monday night 'Under' is a good play. That's because Texas has shown a penchant for 'Under' lately posting a 9-24-4 O/U platting 3.65 runs/game. This being the start of a Texas road series is another positive for 'Under' gamblers as Rangers have played 'Under' in eight of it's past ten road opener's (2-8 O/U). The clincher, the past two seasons, the teams have met nine times, with the 'Under' being the right play in seven games, along with two pushes (0-7-2 O/U). For those reasons and the fact, Rangers Colby Lewis and Royals Yordano Ventura have each seen the 'Under' hit in five of their respective last seven starts (2-5-1 O/U) 'Under' is the best choice.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics September 1, 04:05 EST

The starters will be coming into the game from opposite ends of the spectrum. Despite a rare blip in Chris Young's performance last time out the Mariners have won four straight with the hurler. On the other side, Oakland is on a 1-7 skid in Jason Hammel's eight starts since joining Athletics. Oakland mired in a 6-14 skid expect Seattle to do what they typically do with Chris Young on the mound and that's win!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive


200 Miami Florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Baltimore Orioles -145

50* St. Louis Cardinals -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Worlds Worst Picker

NCAAF

Louisville -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Under trending when these clubs meet

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox have been playing in a lot of low scoring games as of late, evidenced by the Under going 4-1 in their last five meetings through Sunday.

They'll meet again at The Trop Monday. The Rays are currently -153 faves with a total of 7.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mets cashing tickets for bettors against Miami

The New York Mets have been dominating the Miami Marlins in recent games, winning all five out of the last five meetings between the two NL clubs through Sunday.

They'll face off again in the Sunshine State Monday. The Marlins are -122 faves with a total of seven.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Phils, Hamels streaking on the Under away from home

The Under has been the hot bet with Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Cole Hamels on the road as of late, as six of his last seven starts away from Citizens Bank Park have gone under the total.

Hamels takes the mound for the Phils Monday when they visit the Atlanta Braves at Turner Field.

The Braves are -142 faves with an O/U of 6.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

This pitcher is lights out on the Under at home

If you've been betting on the Baltimore Orioles at home with Kevin Gausman on the mound, you've been collecting some nice profits.

The Under is 5-1 in Gausman's last six starts at Camden Yards. He'll get the call when the O's host the Minnesota Twins Monday.

The Orioles are -138 faves with an O/U of eight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Miami at Louisville Point Spread and Pick
By: Matty Simo
Sportingnews

A new ACC rivalry begins on Monday when two teams in the top 30 of the Don Best/Linemakers Power Ratings square off, as the 24th-rated Louisville Cardinals host the No. 27th Miami Hurricanes (8 p.m. ET, ESPN). The Cardinals enter 2014 having closed last season with a six-game winning streak, capped by a 36-9 rout of the Hurricanes in the Russell Athletic Bowl last Dec. 28.

Line: Louisville -3.5, Total: 53.5

Line movement and notes: The Cardinals opened at -2.5 and have since been bet up to -3.5, while the total has stayed steady from its opening number. This is an interesting move considering Louisville recently found out that senior wide receiver DeVante Parker will miss six to eight weeks with a broken foot that required surgery. For updated spreads and totals from around Las Vegas, visit our live odds page.

Cards go back to the future: Louisville got a blast from its past when former head coach Bobby Petrino decided to return to the school where he won 41 games in four seasons from 2003-06. The Cards also covered the spread in 30 of the 50 games under him. Petrino’s coaching history since then has been turbulent. He left the NFL’s Atlanta Falcons after just 13 games in 2007 for Arkansas, then got into an infamous motorcycle accident while coaching the Razorbacks that uncovered an affair with an assistant he hired. Needless to say, he is happy to be back where he enjoyed a lot of success early on.

But Petrino has a massive challenge ahead of him starting on Monday without departed star quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, who stormed the Hurricanes with a career-high 447 passing yards and three touchdowns in the bowl game before getting drafted by the Minnesota Vikings. Petrino led the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to an 8-4 record last year in his first job since getting fired at Arkansas, including a 4-3 mark in the Sun Belt that was good for a tie for third place. The Hilltoppers were also 5-7 against the spread, failing to cover five of their last six.

The injury to Parker though could be huge as well, considering the Cardinals have a new QB in redshirt sophomore Will Gardner. The 6-foot-5, 226-pound Gardner has already battled back from two torn ACLs to earn the starting job and will now be without a dangerous weapon in Parker, a projected first-round pick in the 2015 NFL Draft who totaled 55 catches for a team-high 885 yards and scored 12 touchdowns as one of Bridgewater’s tops targets last season.

“He's a tremendous player,” Petrino said. “We're fortunate with the situation we're in that we have a lot of experienced players (to fill in).

“They're all going to have to contribute. You're never going to replace a guy like DeVante with just one guy.”

‘Canes underrated according to White and Avello: The Linemakers on Sporting News’ very own Kenny White believes Miami is one of the most underrated college football teams in the country heading into this year, and Johnny Avello agrees with him. The Wynn's Executive Director of Race & Sports Operations said the action at his shop, though, is going the other way.

“I’ll tell you what then, if he feels that way about it, he should bet Miami wins 8 OVER +145 – 8 is nothing, right?” Avello asked earlier this week when told of White’s thoughts. “After opening a pick, they’re betting Miami UNDER 8 wins -165. They disagree with him, (but) I agree with him.”

White said he has already bet Miami OVER 8 wins, and he thinks this team has more potential than Louisville, possibly winning 10 or 11 games this season.

Neither team is currently ranked in the AP or USA Today Top 25 polls.

The Linemakers' lean: Both teams will be looking to get their new QBs settled, and public money will likely push this total higher. So we'll see where the number goes ahead of kickoff and make a play on the UNDER. Also, a small play on Miami should this spread grow beyond +4.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HALL OF FAME / William Holloway

Cardinals(-117)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

PJ'S TENNIS CORNER (0.00)

ATP - US OPEN @ NEW YORK, U.S.A.
1PM- JW TSONGA +117 vs A MURRAY

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Advanced sports investments

perry's soccer club (0.00)

portugal - 1 liga- boavista porto @ rio ave fc - under 2.5 -145 (3pm)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INSIDE THE NUMBER$

ISSUE #1
8:00 PM ET Miami-Florida 0-0 at Louisville 0-0
INS SELECTION- LOUISVILLE -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLBPredictions / Kevin

2 UNIT = New York Mets @ Miami Marlins - METS TO WIN (+109) *Early
Listed Pitchers: Wheeler vs Alvarez
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.18 units)

2 UNIT = Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays - RED SOX TO WIN (+154) *Early
Listed Pitchers: De La Rosa vs Smyly
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 3.08 units)

2 UNIT = Seattle Mariners @ Oakland Athletics - MARINERS TO WIN (+125) *Afternoon
Listed Pitchers: Young vs Hammel
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.50 units)

2 UNIT = Texas Rangers @ Kansas City Royals - ROYALS -1.5 (+110)
Listed Pitchers: Lewis vs Ventura
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.20 units)

Kyle's Pick(s)
-- No play today

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Johnny Wynn

Seattle Mariners +136

Pittsburgh Pirates +111

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PLAYBOOK / MARC LAWRENCE

Miami Fla over LOUISVILLE by 3

When Texas waved enough money at Louisville HC Charlie Strong to lure
him away on January 7th, the Cardinal brain trust wasted no time in going
to Plan B – or in this case, Plan 3B: Bring Back Bobby. Yes, ‘new’ coach
Bobby Petrino returns to his old stomping grounds for the fi rst time since
2006 and like its vagabond leader, the Cardinals will play in a different
conference for the 4th time in 11 years as they make their ACC debut
here. Petrino hasn’t had much luck keeping his Harley upright but he sure
knows how to keep the local folks happy: BP owns a wallet-fi lling 34-14-
1 ATS mark in home games during his college coaching career. He’s also
gone 9-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in season openers, and Louisville has cashed its
last 12 tickets against the Atlantic Coast boys. One of those wins came in
last year’s Russell Athletic Bowl when the Cardinals destroyed Miami Fla,
36-9, outgaining the Hurricanes 554-174. Despite that humbling defeat,
don’t count out the current crop of Canes… not when this year’s training
camp has been energized by a heavyweight quarterback battle won by
freshman Brad Kaaya (18-year old Californian ‘Superman on Campus’,
heavily recruited by UCLA and USC) over senior Jake Heaps (ex-BYU and
Kansas starter). Miami also benefi ts from the return of star RB Duke
Johnson, who was lost for the fi nal three games of 2013 with a serious
ankle injury. The ‘U’ has some good ATS numbers on its side as well, going
23-5 SU in season openers (13-5 ATS away) and 8-3 ATS as a conference dog
of 7 or less points. Prodigal son Petrino may be getting all the attention
here but Miami HC Al Golden shows up with a superb 22-6-2 ATS mark
as a conference pick or dog. In truth, there are lots of good numbers on
both sides of the ball – and for both coaches – but the bottom line is
humiliating bowl revenge looms large. With a mere four starters back on
defense for the Cardinals, look for the Hurricane offense to control the
tempo and spoil Bobby Boy’s return. This just in: the Cardinals’ top wide
receiver, senior Devante Parker, will miss tonight’s game with a broken
left small toe, and could be sidelined for six to eight weeks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trev Rogers

Tampa/ Boston UNDER 7.5

Tampa Bay Rays

Minnesota/ Baltimore UNDER 8

Atlanta Braves

Detroit Tigers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Play Wins

Atlanta Braves

San Francisco Giants

Louisville -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVID BANKS

LOUISVILLE -3

The Louisville Cardinals have made the jump this year from the fledging AAC to the ACC, meaning that this is one of the few conference games on the Week 1 schedule as the Cards host the Miami Hurricanes Monday in the first ACC game in school history at 8:00 ET on ESPN. Louisville comes off of an 11-1 regular season last year, although the loss did come here at home at Papa John's Stadium to UCF. Miami finished 9-3 during the regular season in 2013 with all three losses coming inside the ACC (5-3). This is also a rematch of the Russell Athletic Bowl last December in which Louisville dismantled the Canes 36-9.

Still, there are quite a few red flags in place for the Cardinals here to suggest that this contest will be nothing like that bowl game, and that this should be a tight hard-fought affair with an outright Miami upset not at all out of the question. After all, the major architect of Louisville's success the last couple of years now plays for the Minnesota Vikings of the NFL in Teddy Bridgewater, who was one of the all-time great quarterbacks in school history. Trying to follow in those huge footsteps will be sophomore Will Gardner, who has the size (6-foor-5, 226 pounds) and the arm strength to succeed, but lacks big-time experience and draws a seemingly tough first assignment vs. a Miami secondary that returns all four starters from last year. Furthermore, the Cardinals will be without senior wide receiver DeVante Parker for six to eight weeks following surgery on a broken toe, giving young Gardner one less reliable target to throw to. Now yes, the Louisville defense ranked second in the country last year in scoring defense allowing 12.2 points per game, trailing only the national champions from Florida State. However, how much of that had to do with facing a weaker AAC schedule? After all, UCF may have been the best team the Cardinals faced all year and Louisville allowed 38 points and 446 total yards in the loss.

Miami had it best season of the Coach Al Golden era last year, and even though the Hurricanes lost four of their last six games including the bowl game after a 7-0 start that had them ranked seventh in the country, all of those defeats came after running back Duke Johnson was lost for the year with an ankle injury. Johnson had 920 rushing yards on 6.3 yards per carry with six touchdowns in seven games, and he returns healthy for this season. Granted the Canes are going with a freshman quarterback in Brad Kaaya, who beat out senior Jake Heaps for the job, but the presence of Johnson and also top receivers Stacy Coley and Phillip Dorsett should make the quarterback transition easier. The defense is experienced as it returns seven starters in all including the entire secondary as mentioned, including All-American senior linebacker Denzel Perryman, who led Miami in tackles a year ago.

Miami went 5-0 ATS in September last season including an outright upset of the Florida Gators. Louisville is just 1-4 ATS in its last five home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

CFL

Toronto @ HAMILTON

Toronto +100 over HAMILTON

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.00)

1:00 PM EST. The Argos opened as a slight favorite in this one. Subsequently, some breaking news out of Hamilton inspired a change of heart by the sportsbooks, which now sees the Tiger-Cats as the slight favorite. The first bit of news that came across the wire was that Hamilton QB Zach Collaros would be ready to go for the first time since Week 2 when he suffered a concussion. The second story of course, is that the City of Hamilton has approved the use of Tim Hortons Field for the Labour Day Classic. The documentation was completed less than 18 hours before the scheduled 1 p.m. kickoff after City inspectors spent much of Sunday making sure the facility met the necessary requirements. It's good for just 12 hours, from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. on Monday. The new facility’s capacity is 24,000 and if enough people make the trip from surrounding areas (and there is a lot of them, including Toronto, which is roughly 65 km east of Hamilton), the joint will be sold out. If not, about 20,000 are expected.

That’s all good for the city but a struggling team playing on a surface they haven’t even practiced in yet can’t be considered beneficial. The nuances of the new stadium will be as much of an intangible to the home team as it will to the visitors. Furthermore, we also have to wonder of the return of Zach Collaros will hurt the Ti-Cats more than it will help them. Collaros has been out for almost two months. As Hamilton’s starting QB, he went 0-2 with the Tabbies being outscored 59-34. Collaros completed just 23 of 41 passes for 212 yards while Dan LeFevour completed 101 passes in 149 attempts for 1241 yards in the last seven games. Sitting for eight weeks, a rusty and unproven Zach Colloras may not even be an upgrade. Hamilton’s lone win this season occurred against the lifeless Redblacks. Its next easiest opponent was Winnipeg, a game they lost 27-26 but were outgained by over 200 yards. The past two weeks, the Ti-Cats played decent but still lost in British Columbia and at home to Calgary because their defense couldn’t come up with any big stops at crucial times. Hamilton has been able to move the ball very effectively over the past three weeks and now they’re making a QB switch for no reason that makes any sense. Dan LeFevour was the only reason they were in those games. The Tiger-Cats need a change on defense, not at QB.

Meanwhile, the Argonauts are the class of the East with the highest rated QB in the game in Ricky Ray. The Argos trailed Edmonton last week, 31-10 at the half but a furious second half rally put them in a position to win it. In the end a late pick-six made the final score 41-27 but it was closer than that final score reveals. Since losing their opening game in Winnipeg, Toronto has outgained eight of their past nine opponents. That includes Saskatchewan twice and Calgary once. Every week, the Argos get their yards and opportunities to score and with a couple of tweaks inside the red zone, they have the potential to put up 35 or more every week. Ricky Ray is the most accurate passer this league has ever seen. It seems like he hits his receiver’s right in the numbers every time. Toronto is 3-6 but could easily be 5-4. This Labour Day Classic between Hamilton and Toronto has produced some of the best games in the history of the CFL and certainly some of the most exciting too. In that respect, it’s like Big Brother in that you can “expect the unexpected”. No result would surprise but if we’re sticking to our theory of playing value, we get the better QB for sure and the better defense for sure while the Tiger-Cats are putting in a cold QB in a new stadium in an attempt to change the course of its 1-6 start. It likely won’t work.

NOTE: We’re passing on Calgary/Edmonton. At the time of this writing, Eskies QB Mike Reilly was still questionable and Edmonton has still not revealed who their starting QB will be. When that news is released the line may change and we’re not about to make any assumptions regarding either.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

NCAAF

Miami @ LOUISVILLE

Miami +150 over LOUISVILLE

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.00)

8:00 PM EST. The Hurricanes are a dark horse to win the ACC and this opening week game can set the tone for the men of Miami. The Hurricanes are a team that very quietly won nine games last year. In fact, the ‘Canes have assembled an incredible defense robust with blue-chip recruits. The question is whether the talent will translate and if it does, Miami will once again implore its signature blend of defense on the college football universe. The x-factor in this match-up is Duke Johnson. The Duke is one of the best running backs in college football and has gone unjustifiably unrecognized. Johnson returns from a broken ankle injury which sidelined him for the remainder of the 2013 season. Nevertheless, in eight games, Johnson managed to put up remarkable numbers: 145 carries, 920 yards, 6 rushing TDs. When Johnson played in 2013, the Hurricanes were 7-1. The sole defeat coming in the contest with Florida State where Johnson suffered the injury. Louisville's defense is suspect and the central piece of the Cardinal offense is wide-receiver Davonte Parker, who is out with a broken toe. Additionally, the replacement for Teddy Bridgewater remains a nebulous void in the offense and starter Will Gardner will be tested immediately against a vicious Hurricane attack.

With Parker out, Kai De La Cruz will be stepping in to the role as the "X" wide receiver. De La Cruz is primarily a specialist on return teams but he did manage to accumulate three receiving touchdowns in 2013. De La Cruz (15 rec, 271 yards, 3 TD) along with Eli Rogers (44 rec, 536 yards, 4 TD) comprise an excellent set of receivers but Louisville’s primary focus on offense figures to be the duo of senior running backs. The Cardinals lost Sinorise Perry but they still have both senior rushers Dominique Brown and Auburn transfer Michael Dyer (the freshman sensation, that was part of the 2010-11 championship team) to lead the way for Louisville. Thing is, the Canes have an answer with one of the best run stoppers and linebackers in America in Denzel Perryman. Perryman was a 2013 All-ACC First Team Selection, 2013 All-American Honorable Mention by Sports Illustrated, 2013 Miami Defensive MVP and he even received the Hard Hitter Award too. In a game in which the dog has at least as good a chance of winning and probably a better chance, we’ll pass on the points and take the ‘Canes straight up.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

MLB

Philadephia @ ATLANTA

Phily (1st 5 innings) +120 over ATLANTA

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.40)

The Braves’ offense has been hot and cold for two months running and cannot be trusted in this price range against Cole Hamels. At home against the Marlins the past two games, Atlanta scored 1 run and that includes being shut out by Jared Cosart over seven innings. Hamels has gone 17 consecutive starts where he has allowed three earned runs or less. In two starts versus Atlanta this season, he has allowed just one earned run in 14 innings, throwing a true gem both times. Hamels has been outstanding on the road all season, where he owns a 1.74 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 12 starts. Last time out, he was pulled after just 84 pitches, so he should be fresh coming into this start. He was pulled because he went seven full in those 84 pitches. Cole Hamels is one of the top five pitchers in the game but for whatever reason, he’s been undervalued practically the entire year. We see another example of that here and it’s not like the Phillies can’t win a game either. Philly has won 7 of its past 10, which includes a three-game sweep over Washington prior to facing the Mets this past weekend.

Julio Teheran has won three straight while posting a 1.47 ERA over that span. Don’t buy it. Those three wins came against three struggling teams in Cincinnati, the Mets and Oakland. Truth is, Teheran’s skills have been declining for 7 straight weeks. Over that span, covering his last 10 starts, he has an xERA of 4.77. Teheran’s groundball/fly-ball split on the season was pedestrian to begin with at 35%/45% but over his last 10 it’s turned ugly at 31%/55%. We’re also seeing a significant dip in strikeouts, where Teheran has whiffed just 19 over his past 32 innings. Yesterday we talked about Scott Kazmir running on fumes and right on cue, Kazmir didn’t make it out of the second inning yesterday. We’re seeing a lot of the same characteristics or skills decline in Teheran as we saw in Kazmir and while we’re not suggesting he’ll get knocked out in the second, we are suggesting that he’s way overpriced, that he's running on fumes and that he cannot be this big a favorite over Hamels. Let’s take the pens out of the equation here.


N.Y. Mets @ MIAMI

N.Y. Mets +109 over MIAMI

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.18)

Henderson Alvarez’s surface stats are one of the most misleading among all starting pitchers. Alvarez is 10-6 with a 2.75 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. How can that be? Here’s a guy that has struck out just 97 batters in 157 innings. Indeed he has outstanding control but the fact that he doesn’t miss many bats reveals that all those balls in play are being hit right at people. Alvarez’s 7% swing and miss rate support his low strikeout total and it should be noted that in his last start his swing and miss rate was 4%. In 25 starts, he has just 14 pure quality starts so it’s obvious he’s at the mercy of his defense. Don’t get us wrong, Alvarez does have a strong groundball tilt and outstanding control so he’s usually able to keep his teams in games and win more games than he loses. However, he’s not as good as his surface stats suggest, which makes him an overvalued commodity. That makes us sellers.

Then there’s Zach Wheeler. Wheeler is nearly unblemished in four starts versus the Marlins this season. Each start has resulted in a gem, where he is 2-0 with a 0.65 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, and 10.1 K’s/9 in 27.2 IP. He has shown excellent skills growth in his second MLB season, especially with keeping the ball on the ground (54% GB% in 2014, 43% in 2013). Wheeler has become an impact starter. In his last start he was as flawless as it gets with an 82% groundball rate and 0% line-drive rate. His only blemish is his walk total, which shows 65 BB in 160 innings. If he can improve upon that, he’s going to be a Cy Young candidate for years to come and one of the true rotation anchors in the game. Wheeler plus a tag against Alvarez and the cooling off Marlins (3-7 over their past 10) gets the call here.


Milwaukee @ CHICAGO

CHICAGO +127 over Milwaukee

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.54)

The Brewers are going bad. They have lost five straight while being outscored by an incredible 38-11 over that span. They are coming off back-to-back series in San Diego and San Fran in which their relief pitching posted an ERA of 9.60 over 15 innings. What that does is force the manager to leave the starter in longer than he would normally do and the results usually end up being disastrous. Jimmy Nelson has just nine starts this season and is 2-5 with an ERA of 4.10. Nelson does have upside but he’s now pitching under immense pressure in the midst of a serious team slump during a late pennant race. With a good fastball/slider combination, Nelson started last season in Double-A and ended it in the majors. This season he has been at the Triple A level and majors but he has some issues that have prevented him from sticking around for more than a cup of coffee. Strikeouts have been plentiful at each stop, but a high-effort delivery has led to control problems and lots of base-runners at every level. He’s best watched from afar for now and is too big a risk spotting a price on the road with a reeling club.

Meanwhile, the Cubbies are having fun. Chicago is primed to be a serious contender for years to come in the very near future and we’re seeing signs of it now. Loaded with young talent and gaining confidence, Chicago is not a team these contenders want to run into right now. The Cubbies have won 9 of their past 15 games. In their last series at home, they swept the Orioles in a three-game set. They’re scoring runs and they’re enjoying playing the role of the spoiler. Newcomer Jacob Turner makes just his second start since being acquired from Miami. Turner did not have a good outing in his first start in a Cubs uniform, lasting only 3.2 innings while allowing seven hits and three earned runs. He will look to turn things around here against a Brewers team he faced on May 24, throwing 6.1 shutout innings. His skill set says he deserves better than his 5.84 ERA and 1.63 WHIP. We’ve always liked this guy. He has an elite groundball rate of 58% and one of the nastiest sliders in the game. For whatever reason, Turner has struggled at this level but he has to be rejuvenated going to a team with all this potential. Turner has been hurt by a very low strand rate of 64% but this former 1st round pick has the pedigree and stuff to change things around quickly and it would come as no surprise if that occurred here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

SELECTION
LA DODGERS +-105
(Hernandez/Gonzalez)

Both pitchers have been pretty good this year, but the Nationals magical run of all those wins in a row is slowly fading away. This is a great team, but in that run got very lucky being on the right end of all the walk of games. Its obviously better to be lucky then good sometimes, but they are facing a very tough Dodgers team that hits left handed pitching well. Take the Dodgers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RockdemanSports

Louisville

[golden contender]

Labor Day Monday card has the Miami at Louisville 100%bower Angle play, an Early MLB Perfect system totals play and an Undefeated Evening blowout system that wins by an average 4 runs per game. Sunday card SWEEPS, college Football on a 6-1 run. Free MLB Play below.




On Labor Day Monday the free play is on the San Diego Padres. Game 910 at 4:10 eastern. The Padres have a solid pitching edge in this game with T. Ross over T. Cahill. Ross has a superb 1.90 home era and has won 6 of his 7 day starts. He has a solid 2.63 era vs Arizona and has won 6 of his last 8 starts. Cahill is 1-4 on the road with a 5.71 era. he has dropped 5 of 6 vs N.L. West teams. Arizona has lost 20 of 30 when the total is 7 or less and has lost 10 of 13 on Monday. San Diego fits a solid league wide system that plays on home favorites with a total that is 8 or less and is off a home dog loss and scored 2 or less runs, vs an opponent like Arizona that is off a home win. These teams have won over 80% of the time. Sunday we swept the board, On Monday we start the month and week with a Powerful 3 game Labor day card that has the 100% College Football release from a perfect angle. College is on a 6-1 run. In Bases we have blasted our top totals of late and have an Early Perfect system total. In evening action its a huge 5* Blowout backed with an undefeated system that dates to 2004 and wins on average by 4 runs per game. Jump on now and Roll your book big. For the free play take San Diego. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INSIDE VEGAS / Cory Kluge

3 MLB Sharp Plays

Pittsburgh +113 ML
Cubs +120 ML
Colorado +125 ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Louisville -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BONES BEST BET

TIGERS/INDIANS – UNDER 7 -120 *4* BEST BET
Kluber versus Price in what should be a battle of the Aces. The Indians are seeing just 5.6 runs per game over their past 5 contests and should struggle scoring against Price. Meanwhile Kluber has been fantastic this season with a 2.52 ERA. Expect a very low scoring game here today.

PHILLIES ML + PHILLIES/BRAVES – UNDER 7 +272 *2*
The hotter between these two teams is the Phillies who have won 7 of their past 10 games. Cole Hamels has had some minor struggles of late but he has dominated the Braves this year allowing just 1 ER through 2 starts and 14 innings. Both Hamels and Teheran have incredible numbers this season with sub 3 ERAs and low 1 WHIPs. We think the Phillies can squeak one out in a low scoring contest, plenty of value here!

PIRATES ML + PIRATES/CARDINALS – UNDER 7.5 +282 *2*
Cole and Lynn have been great this year, but giving Cole the nod with a lower WHIP on the season and much lower WHIP of lately. Both of these teams have seen the under quite a bit lately with the Pirates hitting in 7 straight and the Cardinals seeing it in 5 of 8.

BREWERS ML + BREWERS/CUBS – OVER 10.5 +223 *2*
Between Nelson and Turner it’s hard to not love the over on this game. Two high WHIP and high ERA pitchers. However Turner for the Cubs takes the cake with a disastrous 2.10 WHIP over his past 3 starts and a 1.63 WHIP on the season. With Brewers ML, we lean on the better team and the better pitcher to get it done.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Winning Crew

MLB 50 Dime Play: Saint Louis -118

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

Tampa Bay Rays ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GOODFELLA

2* PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (1st 5 Innings)

(Listed Pitchers)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Wilton

Your Monday Winner...

Monday winner is a 50 Dime release on Philadelphia with Hamels and Atlanta with Teheran to hold Under the total

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness' 88% 10* LEGEND Play-MLB ('signature' release!)

My 10* LEGEND Play is on the StL Cards at 2:15 ET.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon


E&B lost on Sunday in College Football with Utah State +6.5/Tennessee.

Ben lee won in MLB in the American League with the Angels -$120/A's.

For Monday in MLB in the National League "Mr Chalk" likes the Padres -$ 152/Diamondbacks.

Ben lee is 202-228-5 -$2787 through Forty Four Weeks.

"Mr Chalk" is 71-51 -$305 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports

MLB

Sides

#905: Pirates: +110 1*
Listed Pitchers: Cole/Lynn


Totals

#901/902: Phillies/Braves: Over 6.5 -105 3.5*
Listed Pitchers: Hamels/Teheran

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends - Monday
By Vince Akins

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Pirates are 0-14 since June 25, 2004 on the road after a loss in which their opponent left fewer than 10 men on base individually in the last game of a series yesterday for a net profit of $1400 when playing against.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Corey Kluber starts the Indians are 12-0 since June 16, 2013 at home after throwing more than 100 pitches for a net profit of $1210.

CHOICE TREND:

The Athletics are 13-0 since August 19, 2005 as a 140+ favorite after a loss in which they were shut out in the first 6 innings and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $1300.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

When Julio Teheran starts the Braves are 14-2 since September 08, 2011 after facing 25 or fewer hitters for a net profit of $1133.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

extra bonus system for today:

Washington Nationals / Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 7½ (Bet Level 3) (Total Runs Scored) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 8:10 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LJ CONSULTING COACH

2* Phillys +125
2* Miami vs Louisville – Over 54

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS PICK PREDICTIONS

MLB

San Francisco Giants/Colorado Rockies – OVER 10, -110 (5 units—MLB TOTAL OF THE MONTH)

Los Angeles Dodgers +103 (2 units)

NCAA FOOTBALL

Louisville Cardinals -3.5, -105 (2 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Neri

San Francisco -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA

Miami Florida +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R & R Totals

Detroit/ Cleveland OVER 6.5 -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns
MLB Breakfast Club! *VERY EARLY*
Tampa Bay

EARLY MLB Personal Favorite!
San Francisco

10* MONDAY NCAAF MAIN EVENT!
Louisville -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stevewins

CFL

3* Hamilton ML 125

3* Calgary ML 175

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Finnest:


CoversNUGGZ
MLB (901-902) PHILLIES BRAVES UNDER 6.5 -120 *2U*MLB (901-902) PHILLIES METS F5 UNDER3.5 -130 *2U*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Finest:

Phillies, ML, 2 units
Twins, ML, 2 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

MLB

6* Miami Marlins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS RUNNER
NFAC Late MLB Move = 901) PHILLIES +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

Marquee

Louisville-3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Locksmith Sports

CFB
1* Louisville

MLB
3* San Francisco/Colorado Over 9.5
2* Cleveland -119

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Game Hunter

Under 6.5 Phillies/Braves
Under 7 Mets/Marlins
Cardinals
Nationals
Twins
Indians
Parlay - Padres/A's

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Watson

Tigers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Demarco

10 dimer St Louis

[Can'tPickAWinner]

root

miami

[Can'tPickAWinner]

purelock

la dodgers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegasButcher

Tigers +103

David Price is coming off the WORST outing of his life, though it could be classified as the WORST inning of his life. Through two innings, Price allowed 0 ER’s and had 3 K’s. Then things went sour in the 3rd: single, double, single, double, single, single, single, single, single. After 9 straight hits and 6 runs (2 more ER’s after that) Prices was pulled. But it’s not like his velocity was down or he was making a ton of bad pitches. His FIP was 1.6 for the game with a 3.6 SIERA. Of course the 0.857 BABIP and the 43% LD-rate didn’t help (he averaged a 16% LD-rate in the previous 4 starts (league average is about 19%)). Clearly it was a just a bad start and I don’t think there’s anything to worry about here. The good thing to come out of it is that Price threw only 68 pitches and should be much fresher for tonight’s bounce-back. By comparison, Corey Kluber is coming off another phenomenal start where he allowed 3 ER’s but had 8K’s through 6.1 innings. He’s now registered 86K in his last 75.1 innings of work. That’s absolutely phenomenal, but it also has come at the price of a high pitch counts. In those starts he’s averaged over 108 pitches thrown, and is coming off an outing where he threw 118, the most he’s thrown all season. Normally that’s not a big concern for a power-pitcher, but Cleveland’s bullpen isn’t in the best of shape today. Their closer Cody Allen pitched 2 straight days and 3 of the last 4, Shaw pitched yesterday and appeared in 4 of the last 6, and the rest of the bullpen had a day off yesterday bthough most key guys pitched 2+ days prior to Sunday. There’s a lot of pressure on Kluber today not just to pitch well, but to pitch well deep into the game. And he’ll have to do it against Tigers’ 5th ranked offense against righties (wRC+ of 105, 8th in ISO). By comparison, Indians’ offense ranks 27th against lefties (wRC+ of 87, 28th in ISO). That’s a +18% wRC+ variance in Detroit’s favor today. As far as Detroit’s BP, their key relieves are all well rested. Bottom line is that the Tigers could have an advantage with their starter in today’s matchup, as Kluber (he’s at 192 innings this year by the way, after throwing for 160 last year) could potentially be in a fatigue spot. He’ll also be facing the Tigers for the 4th time this year, while Price hasn’t seen Cleveland since 2013. Even if Kluber is ON his game, the starting pitching is equal here and Detroit’s advantages in the BP and offensively should be the differenc. I think the Tigers have a lot of different ways to win this one while the Indians must rely on a dominant outing by their starter. Price is 5-1 when facing Cleveland in his career, while Kluber is only 2-4 against the Tigers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SkyBluePicks


Pirates +102

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Patron
Monday, September 01, 2014
100,000 UNIT MUST WIN CFB
HIGHEST RATED LOCK TODAY

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

1500* NCAAF PRIMETIME GEM

Over 53.5 Miami/Louisville

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Behind The Bets

NCAAF

Miami FL +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Pick Predictions

(Adds)

2* Under 54.5 Louisville/Miami FL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

blasscyk wins

Miami Florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STRIKE POINT SPORTS (CFB)

7-Unit play. Take Louisville Cardinals-pts

[iavila]

Sean Michaels

100 DIME College KO Game of the Year

Louisville-Miami Side

Louisville

He recommends buying the hook at 3.5.

[iavila]

Kelso

25 Louisville

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports pick Predictions added play


UNDER 54.5 (2 units) on the UL-UM game

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegaslinereader

2 Units Miami Florida +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Intpics

2* Miami Florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Blasscyk WINS

NCAAF

Game #1 Miami (FL) @ Louisville (8:00 p.m. EST)

209 MIAMI ML (+150) *1 UNIT*

209 MIAMI +3.5 (-110) *1 UNIT*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

My 20 Dime selection is on Miami and Louisville Under the total.

The current line on this game is 54 in Vegas and offshore. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep

Sun NFL

476 Under 49 Buffalo Bills/Chicago Bears $1000


MLB

909 Arizona Diamondbacks +155 $1000

923 Texas Rangers + 1 1/2 (-125) $1000

914 Under 7.5 -120 Washington Nationals/Los Angeles Dodgers $1000

913 Washington Nationals -115 $1000


NFL Future

Carolina Panthers Under 8 1/2 -180 Season Wins $1000

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bookieshunter

2* Louisville -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

James Jones

NCAAF

2* Miami Florida +3.5 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rooster

Louisville -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony George

Louisville -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports

NCAAF

#209: Miami Florida: +3.5 -115 (.5*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITTVIPER

ROT# 209 – 8:00pm – Miami-Florida +3.5 -106

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris James Sports


5-3 YTD NCAAF


Louisville-4