9-10-14

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::handshake::

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See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities
By JASON LOGAN

Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.

Lookahead spot

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are off to a 2-0 start and dreams of SEC grandeur are starting to creep in. The Bulldogs have their first taste of SEC competition in Week 4, making the trip to Death Valley to play the LSU Tigers. But before MSU tests its conference might, it travels to little ole South Alabama as a 14.5-point favorite in Week 3.

The Bulldogs rolled over Southern Mississippi but found themselves up against it versus UAB last weekend. Mississippi State was actually out-gained 548-516 by the Blazers, and can’t afford to look past the jacked-up Jaguars – and to LSU - this weekend.

South Alabama, which defeated Kent State 23-13 as a 2-point favorite in Week 1, enjoyed a bye week last Saturday and has been preparing for MSU since the ink dried on the schedule. Hell, there’s a billboard on Interstate-65 outside of Mobile simply stating “It’s Here, Sept. 13, 2014.” Oddsmakers opened MSU as 15.5-point road chalk but that has since been trimmed to 14.5, with that pesky half-point hook standing strong.

Letdown spot

The USC Trojans jumped into the national title conversion with a hard-fought 13-10 victory as 3-point road underdogs at Stanford in Week 2, going from 20/1 to 12/1 to win the college football championship. The Trojans’ emotions are running high after Andre Heidari’s field goal gave USC the edge late in the fourth quarter.

Southern Cal will have to bottle that excitement during a cross-country plane ride, traveling all the way to the East Coast for a date with Boston College Saturday. The Eagles are getting a lofty 17.5 points from the oddsmakers, but a look at the early line moves could give USC backers reason for concern. Books opened Southern Cal as big as a 19.5-point road favorite but have cut that spread down two points as of Tuesday, with early action expecting the Trojans to come out flat.

“I think it’s natural for that to be a concern,” USC head coach Steve Sarkisian told the Orange County Register of a possible letdown in Boston. “As I’ve said all along, whether it’s a rival or not, a conference opponent or not, the way we prepare is what is critical. That shouldn’t change based on the opponent. That being said, I’m still learning this football team.”

Note: USC will be without senior starting LB and team captain Hayes Pullard for the first half Saturday due to suspension.

Schedule spot

Another team making a long road trip this weekend is the Arizona Cardinals. They’re traveling to New Jersey for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff – 10 a.m. in Arizona – with the New York Giants on a short week, coming off a 18-17 win over San Diego (failed to cover -3) on Monday Night Football.

Arizona will not only deal with the long flight and time change but the early forecast is calling for un-desert like conditions in the Meadowlands Sunday. There’s a low pressure system projected to hit the East Coast this weekend and it brings wind and rain with it. The Cardinals are also 0-3 ATS in their last three contests coming off a Monday nighter.

The Giants need all the help they can get. New York’s new offense sputtered versus Detroit in Week 1, with Eli Manning throwing for just 163 yards and two interceptions Monday. Books opened the Giants as 3-point favorites but that spread is stinking like a stone. As of Tuesday afternoon, New York can be had as low as -1 and will be an underdog by the time Sunday rolls around.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Pittsburgh Pirates -140 over Philadelphia Phillies - pending
Los Angeles Angels -154 over Texas Rangers
(System Record: 90-2, won last game)
Overall Record: 90-68

Rest of the Plays
Pittsburgh Pirates -131 over Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs +131 over Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles -134 over Boston Red Sox

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Soccer Crusher
Sport Recife + Santos UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 632-22, won last game)
Overall Record: 632-523-93

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Shields has been terrible against the Tigers
Justin Hartling

The Kansas City Royals will be sending their ace, James Shields, to the mound against the Detroit Tigers. However, Shields and the Royals are 0-4 in his last four starts against the Tigers.

Shields has given up more than nine hits and six runs per game.

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This umpire means great things for road team
Justin Hartling

The Baltimore Orioles must be happy to see Mike Everitt behind home plate Wednesday. Everitt has guided the road team to a perfect 8-0 record in his last eight games calling balls and strikes.

The O's will travel to Fenway Park and face the Boston Red Sox Wednesday.

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Mariners streaking with Iwakuma on the mound
Justin Hartling

Hisashi Iwakuma has been unstoppable for the Seattle Mariners lately. Iwakuma has led the Mariners to six straight victories.

The Japanese ace has only given up an average of two runs per game while shutting out opponents four times.

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This elite pitcher has seen no support
Justin Hartling

Alfredo Simon has been pitching just as well as ever over the past 90 days, but the lack of run support has damaged him. In Simon's last 10 starts, the Reds have gone 1-9.

Simon has only given up an average of 3.2 runs per game, but the Reds have been slumping offensively. The Reds have only 2.7 rpg while only topping four runs once.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

National League

Braves-Nationals
Harang is 0-3, 8.59 in his last three starts.
Strasburg is 3-0, 2.48 in his last five starts.

Braves lost six of their last eight games.
Washington won five of its seven home games.

Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Harang starts. .

Pirates-Phillies
Worley is 1-2, 7.64 in his last four starts.
Williams is 3-0, 2.86 in in his five starts for the Phils.

Pittsburgh won four of its last five games.
Philly won 12 of its last 18 games.

Last three Worley starts stayed under the total.

Cardinals-Reds
Lackey is 1-1, 5.68 in his last four starts.
Simon is 1-3, 6.35 in his last five starts.

Cardinals won nine of their last eleven games.
Cincinnati lost six of its last eight games.

Eight of last eleven Cardinal games went over total.

Rockies-Mets
Matzek is 3-0, 0.78 in his last three starts.
Montero is 0-3, 5.18 in six starts this season.

Colorado lost seven of its last eight road games.
Mets won seven of their last nine games.

Four of last five Colorado games stayed under total.

Marlins-Brewers
Cosart is 4-0, 1.27 in his last five starts. .
Peralta is 0-3, 10.93 in his last three starts.

Marlins won four of their last five games.
Milwaukee lost 13 of its last 14 games.

Last five Milwaukee games went over the total.

Padres-Dodgers
Kennedy is 1-2, 5.48 in his last four starts.
Haren is 2-0, 1.89 in his last three starts.

Padres lost six of their last seven games.
Dodgers won five of their last seven games.

Six of last nine Haren starts stayed under total.

Diamondbacks-Giants
Collmenter is 2-0, 1.23 in his last three starts.
Vogelsong is 1-2, 6.33 in his last five starts.

Arizona lost its last four games, scoring six runs.
Giants won ten of their last thirteen games.

Over is 4-0-1 in last five Vogelsong starts.


American League

Twins-Indians
Gibson is 0-1, 6.14 in his last four starts.
House is 1-0, 2.31 in his last five starts.

Twins lost 12 of their last 16 games.
Cleveland is 4-5 in its last nine games.

Six of last eight Cleveland games stayed under.

Royals-Tigers
Shields is 1-0, 1.59 in his last two starts.
Porcello is 0-2, 11.17 in his last couple starts.

Royals lost three of their last four games.
Detroit won 11 of its last 16 home games.

Eight of last ten Royal games stayed under total.

Orioles-Red Sox
Chen is 2-0, 2.81 in his last five starts.
Workman is 0-7, 7.25 in his last eight starts.

Baltimore won 12 of its last 16 games.
Red Sox lost 11 of their last 13 home games.

Last four Boston games stayed under the total.

Rays-Bronx
Odorizzi is 1-0, 0.00 in his last two starts.
Capuano is 1-1, 5.79 in his last five starts.

Tampa Bay won three of its last four games.
Bronx lost six of its last nine games.

Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Tampa Bay games.

Angels-Rangers
Shoemaker is 4-0, 1.44 in his last five starts.
Tepesch is 0-2, 6.23 in his last three starts.

Angels won 12 of their last 14 games.
Texas lost nine of its last ten games.

Seven of last ten Texas games stayed under total.

A's-White Sox
Samardzija is 1-4, 5.18 in his last five starts.
Bassitt allowed five runs in 6.1 IP in his first MLB start.

Oakland lost nine of its last twelve games.
White Sox lost five of their last six games.

Eight of last twelve Oakland games stayed under.

Astros-Mariners
Tropeano is making MLB debut; he was 9-5, 3.03 in 20 AAA starts.
Iwakuma is 5-0, 3.57 in his last six starts.

Astros won seven of their last nine games.
Mariners won six of their last eight games.

Last four Houston games stayed under the total. .


Interleague games

Cubs-Blue Jays
Hemdricks is 5-0, 2.30 in his last seven starts.
Hutchison is 1-0, 1.89 in his last three starts.

Cubs lost their last five games, scoring nine runs.
Toronto won eight of its last ten games.

Six of last nine Toronto home games stayed under.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Harang 13-16 (1-9 last 10); Strasburg 16-14
-- Worley 8-6; Williams 1-1/4-1
-- Matzek 5-11 (3-0 last 3); Montero 0-6
-- Lackey 12-9/5-2; Simon 16-12 (1-9 last 10);
-- Cosart 11-9/5-1; Peralta 15-12
-- Kennedy 14-15; Haren 14-14
-- Collmenter 16-8; Vogelsong 14-14

-- Chen 17-10; Workman 2-11 (0-9 last 9)
-- Gibson 11-16; House 9-5
-- Shields 18-12; Porcello 16-11
-- Odorizzi 12-16; Capuano 4-4
-- Shoemaker 14-4; Tepesch 7-11
-- Samardzija 3-14/7-5; Bassitt 0-1
-- Tropeano 0-0; Iwakuma 16-8 (6-0 last 6)

-- Hendricks 9-1; Hutchison 14-14

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Harang 8-29; Strasburg 11-30
-- Worley 3-14; Williams 2-7
-- Matzek 6-16; Montero 1-6
-- Lackey 6-28; Simon 9-28
-- Cosart 9-26; Peralta 6-27
-- Kennedy 8-29; Haren 13-28
-- Collmenter 9-25; Vogelsong 6-28

-- Chen 9-27; Workman 7-13
-- Gibson 6-27; House 6-16
-- Shields 7-30; Porcello 10-27
-- Odorizzi 4-28; Capuano 4-8
-- Shoemaker 2-18; Tepesch 4-18
-- Samardzija 10-29; Bassitt 0-1
-- Tropeano 0-0; Iwakuma 5-24

-- Hendricks 5-10; Hutchison 7-28

Umpires
-- Pitt-Phil-- Under is 11-6 in last seventeen TWelke games.
-- Atl-Wash-- Five of last six Foster games stayed under.
-- StL-Cin-- Six of last seven Hallion games stayed under.
-- Col-NY-- Under is 8-3-1 in last dozen Culbreth games.
-- Mia-Mil-- Last four Bellino games went over the total.
-- SD-LA-- Six of last nine Woodring games stayed under.
-- Az-SF-- Five of last six Gorman games stayed under.

-- KC-Det-- Favorites won 19 of last 23 Hoye games.
-- Min-Clev-- Nine of last ten Ripperger games stayed under.
-- Balt-Bos-- Underdogs won 11 of last 14 Johnson games.
-- TB-NY-- Five of last six Vanover games went over total.
-- LA-Tex-- 10 of last 14 Hamari games went over the total.
-- A's-Chi-- Under is 9-4-1 in last fourteen Wolcott games.
-- Hst-Sea-- Underdogs are 13-9 in last 22 Hoberg games.

-- Chi-Tor-- Under is 13-3-3 in last nineteen Wendelstedt games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Astros (64-80) at Mariners (78-65)

Game: 3
Venue: Safeco Field
Date: September 10, 2014 10:10 PM EDT

The Seattle Mariners failed to keep pace in the wild-card race after getting shut down by the Houston Astros last time out.

They'll try to quickly regroup Wednesday night as these AL West rivals wrap up a three-game set in Seattle.

The Mariners (79-65) took Monday's opener 4-1 before falling 2-1 the following day, their second one-run defeat in three games. Logan Morrison provided all the offense with a game-tying homer in the eighth inning before Yoervis Medina gave the lead back in the ninth.

Seattle fell one-half game back of the AL's second wild-card spot.

"I like where we're at," Morrison told MLB's official website. "It's a tough loss, but shoot, that's why we play 162."

Houston's Jonathan Villar delivered a two-out tiebreaking single and Collin McHugh combined with reliever Josh Fields on a two-hitter. The Astros (64-81) have won seven of nine behind a 2.04 ERA.

"They have the confidence and they know they can win, and when you can have that, you come out ahead a lot of times," interim manager Tom Lawless said. "It's somebody different every night contributing something to the W, and that's really important for a team."

Houston's victory was just its third over an 11-game stretch against the Mariners.

Hisashi Iwakuma (14-6, 2.97 ERA) takes the ball for Seattle looking to win a sixth consecutive decision. However, the right-hander hasn't been very sharp of late, posting a 7.24 ERA in his last three starts.

Iwakuma gave up three runs and seven hits over 5 1-3 innings to win 7-5 at Texas on Friday.

"I felt good in general," he said after throwing just 84 pitches. "I thought I had good arm action, I thought my pitches were working. It was a tight strike zone but I thought I did well overall."

Iwakuma is 4-0 with a 2.31 ERA over a five-start stretch against division foes. He's also gone 5-1 in his last six home starts while striking out 37 and walking one over 42 1-3 innings.

Iwakuma threw six innings of one-run ball to win 13-2 at Houston on July 1, improving to 4-1 with a 2.43 ERA in his last six appearances in the series. Jose Altuve is 8 for 19 in their matchups, but Chris Carter and Jason Castro are a combined 7 for 38 with 13 strikeouts.

Altuve is hitless in seven at_bats over the last two days and 2 for his last 17 in the series. Carter has hit safely in eight straight overall, going 11 for 28 with three homers and seven RBIs.

Nick Tropeano will be called up from Triple-A Oklahoma City for his big league debut as Houston goes to a six-man rotation. The right-hander went 9-5 with a 3.03 ERA over 23 minor league games - 20 starts - while striking out 120 over 124 2-3 innings.

"It's a great experience," general manager Jeff Luhnow said. "He pitched a full year, so he doesn't need a lot of innings. We need to be careful not to overuse him. We do want to see how he performs against big league hitting. It's an exciting opportunity for him, and it gives our guys a little bit of a breather."

Mariners outfielder Dustin Ackley, mired in a 1-for-19 slump, is expected to miss a fourth consecutive game with an injured left ankle.

Seattle has dropped four of its last six at home.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks Kansas City at Detroit After dropping the first two games of the series, the Royals look to salvage Game 3 today and come into the contest with an 11-1 record in James Shields' last 12 road starts against a team with a winning record. Kansas City is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 10
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: Atlanta at Washington (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Harang) 14.288; Washington (Strasburg) 15.876
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-200); Over


Game 953-954: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Worley) 15.272; Philadelphia (Williams) 16.110
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+120); Under


Game 955-956: Colorado at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Matzek) 16.023; NY Mets (Montero) 14.675
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+120); Under


Game 957-958: St. Louis at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lackey) 16.286; Cincinnati (Simon) 14.755
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130); Over


Game 959-960: Miami at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Cosart) 15.442; Milwaukee (Peralta) 13.009
Dunkel Line: Miami by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+110); Over


Game 961-962: San Diego at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Kennedy) 13.593; LA Dodgers (Haren) 15.488
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-150); Under


Game 963-964: Arizona at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Collmenter) 15.237; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 14.238
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-170); 7
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+150); Under


Game 965-966: Baltimore at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 16.037; Boston (Workman) 14.272
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-150); Over


Game 967-968: Minnesota at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Gibson) 14.492; Cleveland (House) 15.980
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-150); Under


Game 969-970: Kansas City at Detroit (7:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Shields) 15.930; Detroit (Porcello) 14.461
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+100); Over


Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Odorizzi) 16.388; NY Yankees (Capuano) 14.991
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105); Over


Game 973-974: LA Angels at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Shoemaker) 17.361; Texas (Tepesch) 13.837
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 3 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-170); Under


Game 975-976: Oakland at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Samardzija) 15.419; White Sox (Bassitt) 13.901
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-180); Under


Game 977-978: Houston at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Tropeano) 16.482; Seattle (Iwakuma) 15.338
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-250); 7
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+210); Over


Game 979-980: Chicago Cubs at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Hendricks) 12.895; Toronto (Hutchison) 16.380
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 3 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Toronto (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-150); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox September 10, 01:35 EST

When the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox complete their three game series Wednesday afternoon an 'Under' play looks to be the right choice. The 'Under' has paid dividends in 6-of-8 meetings between the two AL East rivals. When Orioles are favorites of -$1.10 to -$1.50 with lefty Wei-Yin Chen on the mound the 'Under' has been a profitable 17-4-1. Another positive for 'Under' gamblers, Red Sox are 27-16-2 'Under' this campaign vs a left-handed starter.

Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals September 9, 04:05 EST

Washington backers have good reason to believe Nationals sweep the current series and finally pick up a victory vs Braves with Stephen Strasburg on the hill. The Nats are 0-3 this season vs Braves w/Strasburg but with Aaron Harang the scheduled starter for the visitors, Nats are overdue for a win. Nationals have loved home cooking for the last month or so, compiling a record of 14-3 before the home audience and Strasburg is off back-2-back quality starts. Harang heads to the mound winless the past three with a whopping 7.38 ERA and has just 1 victory the past ten on the hill with Braves 1-9 over the span.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Wednesday

Colorado Rockies +120

Dodgers -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Rockies +120
Royals Ev

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Tigers on Tuesday and likes the Nationals on Wednesday.

The deficit is 210 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo’s Brave rave

Hanigan blocked Hondo’s deficit-reduction plan Tuesday when he slapped the tag on Stephen Drew, which led to a Yankees loss that elevated the accounts payable to a beefy 1,620 bragans.

Wednesday night: Mr. Aitch will harangue the Braves for some assistance — 10 units on Aaron to outduel Strasburg.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | MINNESOTA at CLEVELAND
Play On - Home teams (CLEVELAND) bad offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70)-AL, with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game
116-79 since 1997. ( 59.5% | 50.0 units )
16-13 this year. ( 55.2% | 1.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | BALTIMORE at BOSTON
BALTIMORE is 49-29 (+21.6 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.3) , OPPONENT (3.3)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bookiemonsters

Pittsburgh Pirates -135 (POD)


Money Generators

New York Mets -130

Boston Red Sox +125

Detroit Tigers -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

100* Over 7 Mets/Rockies
50* Brewers -130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

PERRY'S SOCCER CLUB season record (-3.66)

AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS
GABON @ LESOTHO - UNDER 2 -102 (1PM)

BRAZIL SERIE A
CRICIUMA @ PALMEIRAS SP - UNDER 2 +110 (630PM)

ENGLAND CONFERENCE
BARNET FC @ DOVER ATHLETICO - UNDER 2.5 -115 (245PM)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Worlds Worst Picker

Balt
Wash
Det
T bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Braves at Nationals

Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals (-180, 7)

Stephen Strasburg has spent the past six weeks re-establishing himself as one of the National League’s top pitchers, and the Washington Nationals’ right-hander looks for his fourth consecutive victory Wednesday as the NL East leaders host the Atlanta Braves. Strasburg has allowed one or zero runs in six of his past eight outings, helping propel Washington’s second-half surge. The Nationals have taken the first two games of the series from Atlanta and lead the Braves by nine games in the East.

Atlanta’s hopes of repeating as division champions have all but evaporated, as the Braves have dropped seven of 10 and sit 1 ½ games behind Pittsburgh for the NL's second wild card. Atlanta first baseman Freddie Freeman has three homers in 22 career at-bats against Strasburg, and is 29-for-59 against Washington pitching this season. Justin Upton hit a two-run blast in Tuesday’s 6-4 loss, his first homer and first two RBIs this month after blasting seven homers with 28 RBIs in August.

TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, MLB Network, SportSouth (Atlanta), MASN2 (Washington)

LINE HISTORY: Online book SportsInteraction opened the Nats as -210 faves, but are now -195. The total has held at 7.

INJURY REPORT: Braves - 2B Tommy La Strella (Questionable, migraine), C Evan Gattis (Doubtful, throat). Nationals - SS Ian Desmond (Questionable, back).

POWER RANKINGS: Braves (-166), Nationals (-195)

WEATHER REPORT: Partly cloudy skies with temperatures in the low-70s. Wind will blow in from centerfield at 9 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Braves RH Aaron Harang (10-10, 3.87 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (11-10, 3.43)

Harang gave the Braves an outstanding first four months, but has struggled mightily since mid-August while going 1-4 with a 6.91 ERA and a .350 opponents batting average in his past five stars. The 36-year-old lasted just 3 2/3 innings Friday at Miami, giving up six runs on 10 hits. Harang, who gave up one run on seven hits over seven innings against Washington on Aug. 9, is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two starts against the Nationals in 2014.

Strasburg gave up seven runs in five innings to the Braves on Aug. 8 and five runs to San Francisco in four innings on Aug. 24, but has allowed only four earned runs in the other 42 2/3 innings pitched since July 29. He got a no-decision Friday against Philadelphia despite giving up one run on four hits in six innings, and sports a 0.92 WHIP in his past eight outings. Strasburg, who leads the NL with 215 strikeouts, is 3-6 with a 4.62 ERA lifetime against Atlanta.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in Strasburg's last four starts vs. Braves.
* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Under is 4-0 in umpire Marty Foster's last four games behind home plate.
* Braves are 1-9 in Harang's last 10 starts.

CONSENSUS: According to Consensus, 61.91 percent of wagers are backing the Nationals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Clement

8* Blue Jays -150

[golden contender]

Hump day card led by the MLB Total Of the Week backed with a Powerful League Wide totals system that averages over 12 runs. Top N.L. Play cashed out on Tuesday. Free MLB Play below.


On Wednesday the free MLB Play is on the Under in the Arizona at San Francisco game. Rotation numbers 963/964 at 10:15 eastern. Arizona has struggled at the plate of late averaging just 2.6 runs the past week. They have played under in 10 of 12 games as a road dog from +150 to +175. This game also fits a nice league wide system that has gone under in 16 of 20 games for home favorites at -140 or higher with a total that is 8 or less if they are off a home favored win at -140 or higher and scored 5 or more runs on 10 or more hits with no errors and are playing an opponent like Arizona that lost as a road dog and scored 2 or less runs and had 4 or less hits. Arizona has Collmenter pitching and he has been solid of late with a 0.83 era in his last 3 starts. In his last 2 starts vs the Giants he has allowed 2 runs in 10 innings. Vogelsong for San Francisco has pitched under in 10 of 14 starts and has a solid 2.97 home era. So based on the system and angles we will back the one to stay under the total. On Hump day we bring the bang in bases and the lead play is the MLB Total Of The Week from an amazing totals system that averages 12 runs. Last night we nailed the MLB Top play. Tonight get on the "Giving End" Hump day. For the free play take the Diamondbacks and Giants to play under the posted total. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

WEDNESDAY BASEBALL




Play Washington -170 over Atlanta---Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)

4:10 PM EST

Washington has won 52 of the last 74 games when playing on a Wednesday and they have won 39 of the last 63 games when playing in the month of September. Washington has won 46 of the last 73 home games and they have won 99 of the last 143 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher.





Play Toronto -160 over Chicago Cubs---Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
7:10 PM EST


Chicago has lost 42 of the last 63 games when playing in the month of September and they have lost 44 of the last 70 games when playing on a Wednesday. Chicago has lost 80 of the last 124 games when playing as an underdog of +150 or higher and they have lost 45 of the last 74 road games.

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BeatYourBookie

WEDNESDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Washington -170 over Atlanta (MLB TOP PLAY)

Washington is 52-22 when playing on a Wednesday
Washington is 39-24 when playing in the month of September
Washington is 46-27 in home games this season


10* Play Toronto -160 over Chicago Cubs (MLB TOP PLAY)

Chicago is 21-42 when playing in the month of September
Chicago is 26-44 when playing on a Wednesday
Chicago is 44-80 when playing as an underdog of +150 or higher

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5* Play Kansas City +115 over Detroit (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Miami +125 over Milwaukee (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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FantasySportsGametime


MLB Baseball

1000* Play Oakland -170 over Chicago White So (TOP MLB PLAY)

Oakland has won 39 of the last 63 games when playing in the month of September and they have won 97 of the last 151 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs.Oakland has won 83 of the last 118 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher and they have won 66 of the last 117 games vs. AL Central Division Opponents.

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50* Play Seattle -230 over Houston (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Los Angeles Angels -160 over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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Kevin's Pick(s):

Well at least Kyle continues to provide the winners lately. We had a 2-1 game going into the bottom of the 7th and then a 4-2 game in the bottom of the 8th, but the Cubs bullpen blew up and the total soared over the total late. Three system plays today...

2 UNIT = Chicago Cubs @ Toronto Blue Jays - BLUE JAYS -1.5 (+130)
Listed Pitchers: Hendricks vs Hutchison
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.60 units)

2 UNIT = Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers - RANGERS TO WIN (+164)
Listed Pitchers: Shoemaker vs Tepesch
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 3.28 units)

2 UNIT = Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Indians - TWINS TO WIN (+134)
Listed Pitchers: Gibson vs House
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.68 units)

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PowerPlay Wins

Pittsburgh -135
St. Louis -130
LA Dodgers -155

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Johnny Wynn

Kansas City +105

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SOCCER BETTING MASTERS
USA » MLS » Montreal Impact – Los Angeles
Opinion: under 3.5 goals
Belgium » Proximus League » Tubize – FC Antwerp
Opinion: over 2 goals

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DOC SPORTS (MLB)
4* Cleveland Indians-145
4* Kansas City+100
2* Toronto Blue Jays-180

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VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER (MLB)
7-Unit Play. Take LA Dodgers-155

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MIKE DAVIS (MLB)
4* Over 7 – Atlanta vs Washington

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ROBERT FERRINGO (MLB)
2* St. Louis Cardinals-130
2* Baltimore O’s-135
2* Kansas City Royals+100
2* NY Yankees-115
2* Under 7.5 – Cardinals vs Cincinnati
2* Over 8 – Minnesota vs Cleveland
1* Over 9 – Baltimore vs Boston
1* San Francisco Giants-170
1* LA Dodgers-160
1* Seattle Mariners RL-1.5 -125
1* Toronto Blue Jays-180

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Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

MLB Game: Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers
Time: Wednesday 09/10 7:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Kansas City +102 (moneyline)

The Detroit Tigers have gotten a lot more mileage out of Ricky Porcello than they ever imagined. Porcello, now in his sixth season with the Tigers has recorded a career high 15 wins. That comes with a lot of innings and his 183 innings on the season are also a career high, and you have to wonder how much is left in the tank. The Tigers are just 4-8 in his last 12 starts after going 12-4 in his first 16 on the season. James Shields is 13-7 on the season and has pitched his best over his last 12 starts where he has allowed more than 3 runs in just one of them. The Royals have hung with the Tigers all season, and a win tonight will even the teams up for the stretch drive. The Royals are playing better baseball than almost everyone right now at 31-14 in their last 45 games, and are 11-1 in their last 12 on the road behind Shields. The Royals get the call here.

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Teddy Covers

10* Tampa Bay

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MLB betting cheat sheet: Samardzija struggling

Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for the mid-week major-league games:

Strong Stretch for Away Faves

Away favorites are enjoying a good stretch, having gone 21-11 SU over the past seven days. That includes a 3-2 SU mark in Tuesday’s games, with the Baltimore Orioles (-127), Los Angeles Angels (-144) and Oakland Athletics (-191) all prevailing away from home.

Strasburg Sensational at Home

Washington ace Stephen Strasburg looks to continue his hot home track record Wednesday as he leads the Nationals (-185, 7) against the Atlanta Braves. Strasburg is 8-2 with a 2.60 ERA in 16 starts in Washington this season, with an 11-4-1 O/U mark over that span.

Peavy Providing Value

San Francisco Giants right-hander Jake Peavy is on his hottest stretch of the season entering Thursday’s home tilt with the Arizona Diamondbacks. Peavy is 4-1 over his last five starts while allowing just four earned runs over that span; he ranked last in the majors in value with the Giants before the hot run.

Pitching Notes

* Oakland right-hander Jeff Samardzija is struggling as he leads the Athletics (-191, 8.5) into a Wednesday showdown with the host Chicago White Sox. Samardzija is 1-4 SU over his last five starts and sits a lowly 136th in value (-$18) since being acquired from the Chicago Cubs.

* Cleveland Indians ace Corey Kluber continues to be one of the league’s strongest second-half Under plays entering Thursday’s encounter with the visiting Minnesota Twins. Kluber is 2-8 O/U in 10 starts the all-star break, a stretch that includes a 4-1 loss to the Twins on Aug. 21.

Hitting Notes

* Washington Nationals outfielder Adam LaRoche is the hottest hitter in the majors over the past week. The 34-year-old is batting a sizzling .474 with four home runs, 12 RBIs and a 1.647 OPS over the past seven days; the Nationals are 4-2 SU and 3-3 O/U over that stretch.

* St. Louis outfielder Jon Jay has dominated his career matchup with Cincinnati ace Johnny Cueto entering Thursday’s game between the Cardinals and the host Reds. Jay is batting 12-for-23 lifetime versus Cueto, with a double, three home runs, seven RBIs and just two strikeouts.

Totals Streak

Seattle Mariners (0-4 O/U): The Mariners are back in a familiar position after putting together a stretch in which it recorded four consecutive totals of six or under, going 2-2 SU over that span. The Mariners are now the strongest Under bet in the AL for the season, going 57-80-7 O/U.

Prop of the Day

Bettors should consider taking a chance on the New York Yankees’ -1.5 run line (+170) against the visiting Tampa Bay Rays. Members of the New York lineup are hitting a robust .353 with three home runs in 34 at-bats against Tampa Bay right-hander Jake Odorizzi.

Injury Notes.

* New York Yankees right-hander Masahiro Tanaka may pitch for the team again this season despite being on the shelf with a partially torn UCL. Tanaka is 12-4 with a 2.51 ERA, a 13-5 SU mark and a 9-9 O/U record in 18 starts in his rookie season.

* Seattle Mariners outfielder Dustin Ackley is expected to miss at least a couple of games with bone spurs in his left ankle. Ackley is mired in a 1-for-19 slump that has dropped his average to .251; the Mariners haven’t missed a beat over that span, going 4-1 SU and 3-2 O/U.

Weather Watch

* Fans at Progressive Field will be treated to wind blowing out to centre field at 16 mph for Wednesday’s game between the host Indians (-152, 8) and the Twins. Teams averaged 9.91 runs and 2.36 homers in 11 games under similar conditions in 2013 – well above the stadium averages.

Umpire Note of the Day

Under is 36-15-1 in umpire Hunter Wendelstedt’s last 52 Wednesday games behind home plate. Wendelstedt will call the balls and strikes as the Toronto Blue Jays (-173, 8) welcome the Chicago Cubs in their interleague finale.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 11:20 a.m. ET Wednesday.

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GOODFELLA

Wednesday MLB Team Total

WASHINGTON NATIONALS – UNDER 4 RUNS (@BOL)

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Scott Spreitzer

Cleveland

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James Jones

MLB-Baltimore Orioles ML-129...(1*)

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David Banks


Best Bet
Toronto Blue Jays

#965 1:35 BALTIMORE ORIOLES-135 CHEN
#970 7:05 DETROIT TIGERS-113 PORCELLO
#953 7:05 PITTSBURGH PIRATES-140 WORLEY

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Kyle Hunter

St Louis Cardinals

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Exodus to Black

Boston Red Sux +120

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UNDER Umpire Streakers

#967 UN 8 +100 MIN/CLE 1.00u/1.00u
Ripperger 11ov/17un L28gms 60.7%

#979 UN 8 -110 CUBS/TOR 1.10u/1.00u
Wendelstedt 8ov/12un L20gms 60%

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VEGAS WINNING CREW
MLB 50 Dime Play – LA Angels

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Dr. Ed Meyer | MLB Total
double-dime bet – 978 SEA / 977 HOU – UNDER 7

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BOB BALFE

Rockies/Mets – Over 7 runs

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SHAKER’S SHORTS

#952 Atlanta Braves/Washington Nationals – UNDER 3.5 -115 1st 5 Innings

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Scott Delaney

Wednesday winner...

My 40 Dime Winner for tonight is on the UNDER in the late clash between the Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners.

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Primetime Insiders

3* Plays

Angels -1.5 -115 **Hard to lay the juice with a run line play here but this game really should get out of hand early especially with Shoemaker on the mound who our system rates as one of the better pitchers in the league.** We also like the under again but just as a lean**

Pirates -1.5 +120 **Worley takes the mound against Williams tonight in Philadelphia. Our system shows us that this game us a complete mismatch especially with our trend: Pirates as a favorite off a one run loss outscore opponents 5.6 to 2.8 runs per game the next game.**

2* Plays

Cardinals -129 ** Lackey takes the mound against Simon who is one of our system's most overrated pitchers. The Cardinals do excellent off a 4+ run loss when they were a favorite in that contest and are a favorite in the next contest. They are 14-6 and are outscoring teams by almost 2 runs per game.**

1* Plays

Brewers -125 **Great trend - Marlins away dog after scoring 3+ runs and 10+ hits are 2-10 SU since 2013**

Yankees -115 **Great trend - Yankees are 23-12 SU at home as a favorite with a total of less than 8 after having 5+ hits in the previous contest**

Leans

Angels/Rangers under 9.5

Marlins/Brewers Under 8.5

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Diamond Trends - Wednesday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Red Sox are 0-10 since September 30, 2009 at home when they are off two losses in which they never led and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $1253 when playing against.

PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:

When Rick Porcello starts the Tigers are 8-0 since April 27, 2013 at home vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $808.

MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

The Rangers are 0-10 ($+1,172) since August 2008 when facing a team which has scored more than 8.5 runs per game over their past four games and at least eight runs last game.

CHOICE TREND:

The Rangers are 0-10 since June 10, 2014 after a loss in which their opponent left fewer than 10 men on base for a net profit of $1052 when playing against.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

When Jeremy Guthrie starts the Royals are 13-3 since August 25, 2012 on the road within 20 cents of pickem for a net profit of $1078.

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William E. Stockton

MLB free selection – Braves vs Nationals – Over 7

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Chuck Edel

MLB

Best Bet Under Mets/Rockies

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Larry Ness Legend

St L Cards over

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Sports Cash System

extra bonus system for today:

San Francisco Giants -143 over the Arizona Diamondbacks (Bet Level 2) (Money Line Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 10:15 PM EST

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BANKROLL SPORTS

2* Rockies/Mets Over 7

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bigbaseballbets

Kc ov8.5 5*
pit -135 5*
nyy -110 1*
mil un8 1*

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Winning Sport Plays

MLB (5-star or 5-unit)
(954) Philadelphia +130
(961) San Diego +145
(969) Kansas City +105
(972) NY Yankees -110
(977) Houston +225 (Play of the Day)

*Listed Pitchers

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VEGAS RUNNER

“5″ MLB LiveDogs for Tonight
963) ARZ +140
958) CIN +120
976) CWS +185
974) TEX +170
980) TOR -1.5 (+140)

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kelso


50 Marlins

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J.R Stevens/SMOOTH44

MLB (5-star or 5-unit)
(954) Philadelphia +130
(961) San Diego +145
(969) Kansas City +105
(972) NY Yankees -110
(977) Houston +225 (Play of the Day)
*Listed Pitchers

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VEGAS RUNNER
NFAC MLB Move = 974) TEXAS +170….also bet RL+1.5 and 1st 5 Innings.

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SHEEP :

158 S Alabama +14.5953 PIT -135956 NY METS -120957 ST LOUIS -1301974 TEXAS +1/2 (+105) 1st 5