9-19-14

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Huskies, Bulls open AAC play

UConn Huskies (1-2) at South Florida Bulls (1-2)
Line & Total: South Florida -1.5, Total: 47.5

Two struggling teams square off in an American Athletic Conference battle on Friday when UConn travels to South Florida.

The Huskies have looked very poor in the early going of the 2014 season, as they have taken losses against both BYU and Boise State, while their only win was a three-point victory (19-16) against Stony Brook, which is an FCS club. Their game against Boise State last week was actually quite close though, as Connecticut cut the deficit to three points just before the final quarter, but could not hold off the Broncos, allowing two late touchdowns while failing to cover the 15-point spread. The Huskies managed 290 yards of offense with a meager 48 coming from the running game.

The Bulls are coming off of a 2-10 season and are not looking to have improved much in 2014. Just like its opponent, USF’s one win came against an FCS team, Western Carolina, in the opening week by a score of 36-31. Since then, the Bulls have averaged just 17.0 PPG in their two losses and really took a beating (49-17) at the hands of NC State as 2.5-point underdogs most recently. South Florida gained a putrid 159 yards of offense in the matchup as they turned the ball over three times and gave up 589 total yards to the Wolfpack.

Last season’s installment of this matchup was extremely ugly, as the Bulls went on the road and won 13-10 as 3.5-point underdogs despite connecting on only 8-of-28 passes for 106 yards. Connecticut holds a slight 5-4 SU edge (4-4 ATS) between these programs since 2007 and has won SU in its past two visits to South Florida.

The Bulls have not done well at all as a favorite with a 0-8 ATS record since the start of 2012 while the Huskies have gone just 2-11 ATS in the first half of the year in the same timeframe.

The injury to QB Casey Cochran (concussion) is a blow to the Connecticut club, as he will be out for the entire season, while bettors should keep an eye on whether or not playmaking WR Andre Davis (sternum) suits up for USF, since he is listed as questionable.

UConn has one of the worst run games in the nation, ranking seventh-worst among FBS schools in rushing yards (76 YPG) while doing slightly better in the passing game (223 YPG) and scoring 16.7 PPG (9th-lowest in nation). With Casey Cochran out for the season, QB Chandler Whitmer (464 yards, 3 TD, 2 INT) has taken over under center. He has not done well over the past two seasons with the program, throwing 14 TD and 22 INT, and is completing less than 50 percent of his passes in 2014.

Unfortunately, the team will be relying on him heavily to guide them, as their running game does little to nothing as HB Max DeLorenzo leads the sad group with 104 yards (3.6 YPC). The one true bright spot on this club is WR Geremy Davis who has 256 receiving yards (16.0 avg) and two touchdowns this year, and was the key to their one win as he grabbed six balls for 113 yards (18.8 avg) and a touchdown.

The Huskies defense has given up 406.5 YPG to opponents in FBS play thus far, and hope that a strong secondary led by senior DB Byron Jones (12 tackles) can help turn things around.

South Florida is similar to its Friday opponent, in that the offense has been poor in 2014, averaging 371 YPG with just 182.5 YPG of that coming from the passing attack. QB Mike White (275 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT) has been very unimpressive while completing 32.6% of his attempts that have gone for a low 6.4 YPA. Last week NC State baffled White as he completed 4-of-16 attempts for 82 yards and a TD.

Freshman HB Marlon Mack (399 yards, 4 TD) has been a great surprise for the Bulls, but had most of his production come in the opening win against Western Carolina when he rushed for 275 yards (11.5 avg) and four touchdowns. The receivers on this team will not impress anyone with WR Rodney Adams (116 yards) leading the team, while WR Deonte Welch (76 yards) has the most receptions (seven) and WR Reyshene Bronson (80 yards) has the lone touchdown.

The defense for the Bulls had its worst game last week, but will look to turn things around behind leader LB Reshard Cliett (7 tackles, 2 sacks).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Connecticut at South Florida

Connecticut Huskies at South Florida Bulls (-2, 45)

Very little went right for South Florida in its first season under then-rookie coach Willie Taggart, with one of the few exceptions being how it played at the start of its conference schedule. The Bulls on Friday look to win their American Athletic Conference opener for the second straight season when they host Connecticut. South Florida went 2-10 in 2013 – the worst campaign in its 17-year football history – but managed to defeat Cincinnati and the Huskies to begin league play last October.

The Bulls did not score an offensive touchdown in either victory and have only tallied one in each of their last two losses since freshman Marlon Mack rushed for four by himself in a season-opening win over Western Carolina. Connecticut also secured its only victory against an FCS foe in Stony Brook, although it was able to frustrate undefeated Brigham Young in its opener and played Boise State tight through three-plus quarters last Saturday. The Huskies and Bulls have met every year since 2005 and each of the former Big East rivals’ last seven meetings has been decided by seven points or fewer.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: South Florida opened as 3.5-point home faves, but have been bet down to -2. The total opened at 47.5 points and has also been bet down to 45.

INJURY REPORT: Connecticut - N/A. South Florida - OL Thor Jozwiak (probable Friday, arm), WR Andre Davis (questionable Friday, sternum).

WEATHER REPORT: The is supposed to be a thunderstorm in the region and an 80 pecent chance of rain at game time. Temperatures are expected to be in the mid 70s, with humidity reaching as high as 84 percent.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "On Monday afternoon we got sharp play on UConn +3.5, so we moved Huskies to +3. That was followed by another sharpie bet on UConn +3, so we moved game to current number of Bulls -2. We have a small decision on spread, as 53 percent of the cash and 55 percent of bets are backing USF. The total remains at 46 and 70 percent of the cash and 59 percent of bets so far are on the under." - Mike Perry.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY:

ABOUT CONNECTICUT (1-2, 0-3 ATS, 1-2 O/U): First-year coach Bob Diaco was pleased with his defense despite giving up 38 points last week as it held Boise State 245 yards below its season average in total offense and limited Broncos’ running back Jay Ajayi 113 yards under his season rushing average. "The defense, playing basically the same system they played in week one, looked nothing like it looked in week one. I'm proud of the way that they played today," Diaco said. Chandler Whitmer became the eighth player in program history to surpass 4,000 passing yards after throwing for a season-high 209 last week.

ABOUT SOUTH FLORIDA (1-2, 1-2 ATS, 2-1 O/U): The Bulls have played eight freshmen this season and two have already left a mark on the offensive end, including Mack’s AAC-record 275 yards rushing yards in the opener. In last weekend’s 49-17 loss to North Carolina State, it was Ryeshene Bronson’s turn as the freshman receiver collected two catches for 80 yards, including a 75-yard touchdown reception early in the first quarter. Andre Davis, who led South Florida with 49 catches and 735 yards last season, remains questionable after suffering a bruised sternum against Western Carolina.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Road team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Underdog is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Under is 7-0 in South Florida's last seven games versus a team with a losing record.

CONSENSUS: Just over 65 percent of wagers are backing South Florida at -2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

UConn has had problems covering in September
Stephen Campbell

The month of September has not been kind to spread bettors backing the University of Connecticut. The Huskies are a paltry 1-6 against the spread in their last seven September games.

Connecticut faces off against South Florida in the Sunshine State Friday, where the Huskies are currently listed as 2-point road dogs with a total of 46.

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Connecticut-USF have history of going Under

When Connecticut and South Florida get together for Friday night college football action, there's one particular trend bettors need to pay attention to.

In the last four meetings between the two schools, the Under is a perfect 4-0. USF is currently 2-point home faves with a total of 46.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Underdogs covered last five UConn-South Florida games, with average total in last four 25.8. Bulls won 13-6/13-10 last two years; Huskies lost four of last five visits here, with three losses by 7+ points. UConn lost its two games vs I-A foes this year 35-10/38-21; they were 3-9 as a road underdog under last coach. USF is also 0-2 vs I-A teams, losing by 25-32 points at home; Bulls are 5-21-1 vs spread in last 27 home games. USF lost 49-17 here to NC State last week, ending Wolfpack's 0-11 skid as a road favorite. Conference home favorites are 6-6 vs spread this year.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Young pitcher getting no support from team
Justin Hartling

If it wasn't for the lack of run support, we may be hearing a lot more about Jeremy Hellickson. The Rays have gone 0-7 in righties last seven starts.

Hellickson has only given up an average of 2.6 runs per game while striking out 37 battThe Rays though have provided only three runs per game and have only once tallied more than four runs.

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Yankees have had Buehrle's number past two years
Justin Hartling

The New York Yankkes will step into the batters box happy when they see Mark Buehrle on the mound Friday. The Bronx Bombers have gone 7-1 against the Toronto Blue Jays with the 14-year veteran on the bump.

The Yankees have tallied at least six hits in each of those eight starts and have tallied four or more runs five times against Buehrle.

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Gallardo has enjoyed his trips to Pittsburgh
Justin Hartling

There has been no stadium quite like PNC Park for Yovani Gallardo. The talented rightie has dominated in Pittsburgh, leading to an over/under record of 1-7 in his last eight starts in the Steel City.

Galardo has allowed seven runs over those eight games, while holding the Pirates to no runs five times. To add to the stunning numbers, Gallardo has notched 51 strikes.

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Maddux Sports

10* Connecticut +3.5

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BEN BURNS

MAIN EVENT uconn

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EXECUTIVE

passes

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Baseball Crusher
Seattle Mariners -147 over LA Angels - pending
Tampa Bay Rays -132 over Chicago White Sox
(System Record: 98-2, won last 8 games)
Overall Record: 98-69

Rest of the Plays
Pittsburgh Pirates -120 over Milwaukee Brewers
Kansas City Royals -113 over Detroit Tigers
San Diego Padres +120 over SF Giants

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Football Crusher
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6.5 over Atlanta Falcons - pending
South Florida -125 over Connecticut
(System Record: 6-1, lost last game)
Overall Record: 6-7

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Soccer Crusher
Gremio + Santos OVER 2 - brazil pending
Quilmes + Lanus OVER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 634-22, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 634-529-93

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

National League

Dodgers-Cubs
Kershaw is 5-0, 1.80 in his last five starts.
Jackson is 0-3, 10.80 in his last three starts.

Dodgers won nine of their last thirteen games.
Cubs won three of their last four games.

Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Dodger games.

Brewers-Pirates
Gallardo is 0-3, 7.36 in his last three starts.
Locke is 1-2, 5.28 in his last three starts.

Brewers lost ten of their last eleven road games.
Pirates won seven of their last eight games.

Seven of last eight Milwaukee games stayed under.

Nationals-Marlins
Fister is 2-0, 2.07 in his last two starts.
Koehler is 0-0, 3.48 in his last five starts.

Nationals won five of their last six games.
Miami lost six of its last nine games.

Four of last five Washington games stayed under total.

Mets-Braves
Wheeler is 1-2, 4.57 in his last four starts.
Teheran is 0-3, 5.40 in his last three starts; Braves scored two runs in the three games.

Mets lost four of their last five games.
Atlanta lost five of its last six games.

Over is 5-1-1 in Mets' last seven games.

Diamondbacks-Rockies
Anderson is 2-1, 2.65 in his last three starts
Lyles is 0-2, 4.81 in his last four starts.

Arizona lost eight of its last eleven games.
Colorado won last three games, scoring 33 runs.

Five of last six Colorado games went over total.

Reds-Cardinals
Holmberg is 1-1, 9.53 in three starts this season.
Lackey is 0-1, 8.16 in his last three starts.

Reds lost their last four games, scoring three runs.
Cardinals won five of their last six games.

Six of last eight Cincinnati games stayed under.

Giants-Padres
Hudson is 0-2, 11.25 in his last three starts.
Despaigne is 0-4, 6.55 in his last six starts.

Giants lost six of their last nine games.
San Diego won three of their last four games.

Six of last seven San Diego games went over total.


American League

Blue Jays-Bronx
Buehrle is 1-1, 3.33 in his last four starts.
Kuroda is 3-1, 2.92 in his last six starts.

Toronto lost six of its last seven games.
Bronx won its last three home games.

Six of last eight Buehrle starts went over the total.

Red Sox-Orioles
Webster is 1-2, 8.24 in his last four starts.
Gausman is 0-0, 1.29 in his last couple starts.

Red Sox lost last three games, outscored 16-3.
Baltimore won its last four games, allowing seven runs.

Under is 6-1 in last seven Baltimore games.

White Sox-Rays
Quintana is 2-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.
Hellickson is 0-1, 5.33 in his last five starts.

White Sox lost three of their last four games.
Tampa Bay won three of its last four games.


Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Tampa Bay games.

Indians-Twins
Bauer is 0-1, 4.82 in his last three starts.
Hughes is 1-2, 4.55 in his last four starts.

Indians won their last three games, allowing three runs.
Minnesota won three of its last four games.

Last four Cleveland games stayed under the total.

Tigers-Royals
Verlander is 1-1, 6.52 in his last three starts.
Vargas is 1-4, 4.91 in his last five starts.

Detroit won seven of last ten games, but lost last two.
Royals are 0-5 in game following their last five wins.

Over is 4-0-1 in last five Kansas City games.

Mariners-Astros
Walker is 1-2, 4.32 in his last five starts
Peacock is 1-0, 2.08 in his last four starts.

Seattle lost seven of its last eleven games.
Astros lost five of their last seven games.

Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Seattle games.

Rangers-Angels
Bonilla allowed two runs in six IP in winning his first MLB start.
Santiago is 2-1, 3.12 in his last seven starts.

Texas won its last six games, allowing 12 runs.
Angels won 11 of their last 14 games.

Last four Texas games went over the total.


Interleague game

Phillies-A's
Buchanan is 0-0, 3.62 in his last five starts.
Lester is 2-1, 1.64 in his last three starts.

Phillies lost four of their last five games.
Oakland lost six of its last eight games.

Six of last eight Oakland games stayed under the total.


Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Kershaw 21-4; Jackson 8-18
-- Gallardo 12-18; Locke 11-8
-- Fister 16-7; Koehler 14-16
-- Wheeler 14-16; Teheran 17-14
-- Anderson 11-9; Lyles 9-11
-- Holmberg 2-1; Lackey 12-9/5-3
-- Hudson 16-12; Despaigne 7-8

-- Buehrle 20-10; Kuroda 13-17
-- Webster 5-4; Gausman 10-8
-- Quintana 11-19; Hellickson 3-8
-- Bauer 11-13; Hughes 18-12
-- Verlander 17-12; Vargas 14-14
-- Walker 1-2; Peacock 8-14
-- Bonilla 1-0; Santiago 8-14

-- Buchanan 8-11; Lester 13-8/6-3

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Kershaw 3-25; Jackson 13-26
-- Gallardo 9-30; Locke 8-19
-- Fister 6-23; Koehler 4-30
-- Wheeler 9-30; Teheran 7-31
-- Anderson 5-20; Lyles 6-20
-- Holmberg 0-3; Lackey 7-29
-- Hudson 7-28; Despaigne 5-15

-- Buehrle 7-30; Kuroda 11-30
-- Webster 2-9; Gausman 4-18
-- Quintana 6-30; Hellickson 2-11
-- Bauer 9-24; Hughes 6-30
-- Verlander 10-29; Vargas 4-28
-- Walker 3-3; Peacock 7-22
-- Bonilla 0-1; Santiago 6-22

-- Buchanan 2-19; Lester 6-30

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Giants (82-68) at Padres (71-80)

Game: 1
Venue: PETCO Park
Date: September 19, 2014 10:10 PM EDT

If they want to play with the division title potentially at stake next week, the San Francisco Giants will first have to take care of their own business in San Diego this weekend.

Tim Hudson is likely anxious to take the mound as he looks to rebound from one of the worst outings of his career.

Ahead of their critical series at Chavez Ravine, the wild card-leading Giants will try to move closer to the division lead Friday night when they open a three-game set against the Padres.

San Francisco (84-68) took two of three in Arizona to begin this key nine-game trip with Wednesday's 4-2 victory.

Brandon Crawford had a career high-tying four hits, while rookie Matt Duffy delivered a pinch-hit two-run single in the top of the ninth inning. Crawford has been on a roll, going 11 for 20 with seven RBIs over his last six contests.

The Giants, who have a healthy lead in the wild-card standings, narrowed the gap in the NL West before the Dodgers pushed the advantage to 2 1/2 games over idle San Francisco with Thursday's 8-4 win at Wrigley Field.

'The scoreboard here is right in front of you,' Bochy said of chasing the Dodgers, who host the Giants starting Monday. 'Now we've got three big games in San Diego and that's where our focus is going to be.'

Hudson (9-11, 3.41 ERA) will try to move past his last start Saturday when he was roughed up for six runs on eight hits in a career-low one inning in a 17-0 home loss to the Dodgers.

It was the first time the All-Star had been knocked out of a game before two innings since giving up seven runs over 1 2-3 in a 14-2 loss at Boston in April 2000. He also fell to 0-2 with a 10.50 ERA in his last three starts.

"They got on a little roll in the first inning," he told MLB's official website. "It was challenging for me to get that third out."

The right-hander has certainly fared better against the Padres (71-81), going 7-3 with a 2.87 ERA in 16 career starts. He's 1-2 with a 2.96 mark while allowing two runs or less in three of his four meetings in this season.

Will Venable hit a three-run home run Thursday, while Alexi Amarista had a solo shot as the Padres took three of four from Philadelphia with a 7-3 victory. Amarista is 6 for 11 with two homers and five RBIs in his last three games and 5 for 9 with a double versus Hudson.

Odrisamer Despaigne (3-7, 3.63) has allowed 12 runs and 14 hits over 10 innings while dropping his last two starts on the road, though he's 2-1 with a 2.11 ERA in his seven at home.

The rookie right-hander also has given up just one run over 13 innings in two meetings with the Giants. He opposed Hudson at home in July, surrendering one run and two hits over six in that extra-inning defeat.

San Francisco's Angel Pagan could return after missing the past three games due to a bulging disk in his back, while slugger Michael Morse is also close to returning from a strained left oblique.

The NL West rivals have split 12 meetings this season, including six at Petco Park.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks Detroit at Kansas City The Tigers open a series in Kansas City tonight where they are 6-1 in their last 7 contests against the Royals. Detroit is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-105). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 19
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST


Game 901-902: LA Dodgers at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.935; Cubs (Jackson) 14.033
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-300); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-300); N/A


Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.736; Pittsburgh (Locke) 16.735
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-130); Under


Game 905-906: Washington at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Fister) 15.721; Miami (Koehler) 14.436
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-145); Over


Game 907-908: NY Mets at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Wheeler) 14.751; Atlanta (Teheran) 16.227
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-145); Under


Game 909-910: Arizona at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Anderson) 15.647; Colorado (Lyles) 14.219
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+110); Over


Game 911-912: Cincinnati at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Holmberg) 13.363; St. Louis (Lackey) 15.388
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-200); Under


Game 913-914: San Francisco at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Hudson) 15.527; San Diego (Despaigne) 14.076
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-135); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-135); Over


Game 915-916: Toronto at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 14.879; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 16.213
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-140); Under


Game 917-918: Boston at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Webster) 14.608; Baltimore (Gausman) 17.357
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-170); Over


Game 919-920: Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Quintana) 15.915; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 14.595
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+115); Under


Game 921-922: Cleveland at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Bauer) 14.715; Minnesota (Hughes) 16.105
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-130); Under


Game 923-924: Detroit at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.077; Kansas City (Vargas) 14.697
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-105); Over


Game 925-926: Seattle at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Walker) 16.588; Houston (Peacock) 15.152
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-145); Under


Game 927-928: Texas at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Bonilla) 14.653; LA Angels (Santiago) 16.397
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-200); Over


Game 929-930: Philadelphia at Oakland (9:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Buchanan) 15.004; Oakland (Lester) 13.941
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-260); 7
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+220); Over

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NCAA Football Game Picks Connecticut at South Florida The Huskies head to South Florida tonight to take on a Bulls team that is 5-21-1 ATS in its last 27 home games. Connecticut is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the Huskies favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+2). Here are all of this week's games.


FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 19
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (9/17)


Game 305-306: Connecticut at South Florida (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 74.395; South Florida 68.501
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 6; 42
Vegas Line: South Florida by 2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+2); Under





OTHER GAMES:
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (9/18)


Holy Cross at Harvard (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Holy Cross 49.859; Harvard 71.332
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 21 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's CFL Picks Toronto at BC The Argonauts head to BC on Friday night and come into the contest with a 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 September games. Toronto is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by only 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+6 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 19
Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST (9/17)


Game 491-492: Toronto at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 112.703; BC 116.214
Dunkel Line: BC by 3 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: BC by 6 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+6 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Friday

Blue Jays/NYY over 7.5

Padres +121

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

(CFB) S. Florida-2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 12
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

Favorites went 4-0 straight up in Week 12
Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 12
Home teams posted a 4-0 SU record in Week 12
Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 12
The 'over/under' went 2-2 in Week 12

Team Betting Notes

Calgary (10-1) won its sixth straight contest in a 40-33 win over Toronto (3-8), but for the first time during the win streak they failed to cover.

Winnipeg (6-6) has flip-flopped its season. They started 5-1 SU, but slipped to 1-5 SU over its past six games, going 2-4 ATS during the span.

Edmonton (8-3) took out their frustrations on Montreal (3-8), covering a double-digit spread. The Esks are 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS against everyone not named Calgary, and 0-3 SU/ATS against the Stamps.

The modest two-game win streak is over for the Alouettes. They're still just 2-7 SU and 3-6 ATS over the past nine games, and winless in five straight against the West Division.

In one of the more surprising results of the weekend, Hamilton (3-7) squashed Saskatchewan (8-3) by a 28-3 score. The TiCats were actually favored by 1½ points, but no one expected a 25-point victory. Hamilton has won back-to-back home games, and they're 3-2 SU/2-3 ATS in five outings at Tim Hortons Field.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 13
By David Schwab

It was a good time to be a favorite in the CFL in Week 12 with a 4-0 straight-up run and a 3-1 mark against the spread. Edmonton got the ball rolling last Friday with a 33-16 romp over Montreal as a nine-point home favorite. The total went OVER the 49-point closing line.

Saturday’s double-header started with Calgary coming out on top of Toronto 40-33, but it could not cover the hefty 11½-point spread at home. The total in this game went OVER the 49½-point closing line. Later that day, British Columbia hammered Winnipeg 26-9 as a 7½-point home favorite with the total staying UNDER 48 points.

Hamilton won for only the third time this season with a 28-3 victory against Saskatchewan as a 2½-point favorite at home. The total stayed UNDER the 47-point closing line in this inter-division clash.

Friday, Sept. 19

Toronto (3-8 SU, 5-6 ATS) at British Columbia (7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS)

Point-spread: BC -7
Total: 50

Game Overview

The Argonauts opened-up a 29-10 lead on Calgary after two quarters behind another solid performance from quarterback Ricky Ray, but once again the defense broke down in the second half. Toronto is averaging 24.4 points a game but its current losing streak reach four games SU behind a defense that is allowing a league-high 27.5 points a game.

BC’s Week 12 win improved its record to 5-1 SU in the last six games and it is 4-2 ATS. Kevin Glenn was back at the helm as quarterback for the Lions with Travis Lulay back on the injured list and he completed 20-of-27 attempts for 261 yards and two scores against the Blue Bombers.

Betting Trends

The Lions are 17-2 SU in the last 19 meetings and they are 6-2 ATS in the last eight games between the two including a 33-17 road win over Toronto in mid-August as three-point favorites. The total stayed UNDER the 53-point line in that game and it has now stayed UNDER in 17 of the last 23 meetings.

Saturday, Sept. 20

Edmonton (8-3 SU, 6-5 ATS) at Hamilton (3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS)

Point-spread: Hamilton -2
Total: 53

Game Overview

The Eskimos snapped a quick two-game skid both SU and ATS with last week’s win and they remain tied with Saskatchewan for second-place in the West Division title race. Slotback Adarius Bowman added 131 yards receiving on 10 catches to his league-high 997 receiving yards on the year.

Hamilton may only have three SU wins on the year, but right now that is good enough for sole possession of first place in the East by a half-game over Montreal and Toronto. Zach Collaros continues to light it up at quarterback since missing a significant amount of time with a head injury. He had 287 yards passing and two scores in Sunday’s win.

Betting Trends

Edmonton is just 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games against the Tiger-Cats and the total has gone OVER in four of its last six road games against Hamilton. The Eskimos won the first meeting this season 28-24 but they could not cover as 4½-point home favorites. The total stayed UNDER the closing 54-point line.

Sunday, Sept. 21

Calgary (10-1 SU, 8-3 ATS) at Montreal (3-8 SU, 4-7 ATS)

Point-spread: Calgary -7
Total: 48½

Game Overview

Calgary continues to roll towards the Grey Cup Playoffs with a SU six-game winning streak and last Saturday was the first time it failed to cover during this impressive run. This is easily the most complete team in the CFL with 30.2 points per game on offense and a points-allowed average of 18.3 on defense.

Montreal’s offense has shown some signs of life with quarterback Jonathan Crompton at the helm, although he took a step backwards against Edmonton last Friday with 169 yards passing and a completion rate of just 55.5 percent on 27 attempts.

Betting Trends

The Stampeders have won six of the last seven meetings SU and they have covered in their last five games against Montreal including a 29-8 victory on opening day as 7½-point home favorites. The total has gone OVER in 12 of Calgary’s last 18 road games against the Alouettes.

Ottawa (1-9 SU, 3-7 ATS) at Saskatchewan (8-3 SU, 6-5 ATS)

Point-spread: Saskatchewan -11
Total: 44½

Game Overview

Bruised and battered in their first 10 games in the CFL, the RedBlacks are coming off a much needed bye week. As expected, the expansion team is ranked last in the league in scoring with just 14.1 PPG and its beleaguered defense has been giving-up an average of 25.8 PPG.

Saskatchewan should be able to get back to its winning ways after last week’s loss snapped a seven-game SU winning streak. The bad news is that it will have to press on towards the playoffs without quarterback Darian Durant. He was replaced by an ineffective Tino Sunseri in the loss to the Tiger-Cats.

Betting Trends

These two inter-division foes first met in early August with the Roughriders cruising to a 38-14 victory as six-point road favorites. The total in that contest went OVER the 50½-point closing line.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Week 13 Betting Preview and Trends

The CFL's four Eastern teams all have sub-.500 records both SU and ATS on the season as they take on some of their Western counterparts in Week 13 CFL odds action. The action for the week gets underway on Friday with the Argos on the road in B.C.

Fri Sep 19 - Toronto at B.C

Last 10 Meetings: B.C. 8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS | OU 3-7

The B.C. Lions have just two ATS losses in their last eight games against the Toronto Argonauts as those teams kick off the CFL betting slate for Week 13 on Friday night. B.C. and Toronto have already met once this season, with the Lions winning 33-17 and easily covering as 3-point road favorites on the CFL odds at the sportsbooks. The UNDER has paid off in five of the last seven games between the two teams.

Sat Sep 20 - Edmonton at Hamilton

Last 10 Meetings: Hamilton 3-7 SU, 5-5 ATS | OU 6-4

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats pulled out a slim cover in their first game of the season against the Edmonton Eskimos as those two teams meet again on Saturday night. Hamilton has just three SU wins in its last seven games against Edmonton, but they covered a 4.5-point spread on the road on the CFL odds in their 28-24 loss when the teams faced each other on July 4. That game turned out to be an UNDER result.

Sun Sep 21 - Calgary at Montreal

Last 10 Meetings: Montreal 3-7 SU, 2-8 ATS | OU 6-4

The Montreal Alouettes have been tagged with an ATS loss in each of their last seven games against the Calgary Stampeders with those teams set to hit the gridiron together again on Sunday afternoon. The Stampeders blew out the Alouettes in their first meeting of the season on June 28, winning 29-8 at home and easily covering the 7.5-point spread. Montreal last beat Calgary back in the 2012 season.

Sun Sep 21 - Ottawa at Saskatchewan,

Last 10 Meetings: Saskatchewan 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS | OU 1-0

The Ottawa RedBlacks were soundly beaten at home when they faced the Saskatchewan Roughriders for the first time this season as those teams meet once again on Sunday afternoon. The Roughriders rolled to a 38-14 win over the RedBlacks back on August 2, having no trouble covering the 6-point spread on the road at the sportsbooks in that contest. That game turned out to be an OVER result on the CFL totals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Blue Jays on Thursday and likes the Brewers on Friday.

The deficit is 268 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

No Jays for Hondo

Hondo soared with the Dirty Birds over the Bucs Thursday night in Atlanta, which extended his winning streak to two and left him crowing about lowering his accounts payable to 1,800 crosettis.

Friday night: Mr. Aitch will go heavy against Buehrle, who, according to research, seems to struggle against the Yankees — 20 units on Kuroda.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play FRI Braves w/ Teheran -145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees September 19, 07:05 EST
The meeting between Toronto and New York Friday night is one that will give Toronto backers pause. Toronto has not only lost 15 of it's last 21 in unfriendly territory, the Blue Birds have flown into what has become a 'House of Horrors'. The Jays are a dreadful 4-22 the past 26 trips into the Big Apple. What should really have Toronto backers sitting this one out or fading their favorite team are the numbers compiled by veteran Mark Buehrle against New York. The lefty will be up against the club that has given him the most trouble in his 15-year career. He is 1-13 in twenty starts against New York with his teams 2-18 (Jays/Pale Hose) over the span including 1-7 wearing a Blue Jay uniform. Jays are +$1.30 underdogs with the total set at 7.5 runs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT

***** Friday, 9/19/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #25
•A's Out Of Top Wild-Card Spot, Texas Sweeps: The Oakland Athletics are stunned by their September collapse, yet stuck to find a solution. And with the way things are going, manager Bob Melvin can't talk about playoffs, let alone plan for them. Sonny Gray and the A's kept tumbling Thursday, falling out of the top AL wild-card spot with a 7-2 loss to Texas that gave the Rangers a three-game sweep. "It's not very fun. When you're in a race, it's supposed to be fun," left fielder Brandon Moss said. "But I don't see anyone in this clubhouse having any fun, because it's not. We're pretty frustrated. We're disappointed. But it's not over, and we know that.' The latest loss to the team with the worst record in the majors dropped the A's a half-game behind idle Kansas City for the first wild-spot slot.

Oakland owned the best record in the big leagues as recently as Aug. 15. "We're still in the wild card. All that's moot unless we start to play better. We'll find ourselves in no position if we continue to lose," Melvin said. "You've got to fight being beat down based on what has transpired here recently.... It's tough sometimes to get over these things. They're all accountable for what they do. We all are." Texas roughed up Gray for four runs in the first inning and won its season-best sixth in a row. Oakland has lost six of eight. Gray saw his winless stretch reach five starts. The right-hander in his first full major league season has only one victory in 10 starts since his 5-0 July that earned him AL pitcher of the month honors.

"It's these games we need to win and I think everyone knows that. It's tough to play away the last three days," Gray said. "Unfortunately for us, I dug us in a hole a little bit too deep. If you give up four in the first, nine times out of 10 you're not going to overcome that. It's probably easier said than done, but we honestly have got to put this behind us." Nick Martinez allowed two runs and three hits in 5 2-3 innings. Leonys Martin hit an RBI double and the Rangers came out swinging for 15 total hits. Texas got four straight two-out singles in the first, including RBI hits from Jake Smolinski, Tomas Telis and Ryan Rua. A passed ball added another for Texas. Smolinski had four hits, and the Rangers' rookies were 9 for 22.

This series was a far cry from the end of the 2012 season, when the A's stunned the Rangers by sweeping the final three games at the Coliseum to win the AL West. Sam Fuld's RBI triple in the third accounted for Oakland's runs. The A's were outscored 19-6 in an embarrassing sweep and have struggled to support their starting pitchers during this long funk. "I think if anyone had any answers it wouldn't be happening," Gray said. "Today was just ugly, it was bad." The Rangers won again only hours after former manager Ron Washington publicly apologized in Texas, to wife of 42 years, Gerry, for breaking her trust. It was his first public comment since resigning Sept. 5. "These are good teams we're beating but I think we can beat anyone if we continue to play the way we are capable," A's infielder Adam Rosales said. "I think they're pressing right now, trying to do too much. It's got to be tough on them."

•Struggling Vets Lackey, Wacha To Rejoin Cardinals Rotation: Adam Wainwright did what every ace aspires to do in the heat of a pennant race: Summon up his best stuff and command, resulting in a shutout of Milwaukee that kept St. Louis 2 1/2 games ahead of hard-charging Pittsburgh in the National League Central. What Wainwright did Wednesday night is what the Cardinals are still holding out hope that John Lackey and Michael Wacha can provide in their playoff push. Manager Mike Matheny confirmed that both will rejoin the rotation for this weekend's series with visiting Cincinnati. Lackey starts Friday night's series opener and Wacha gets the ball on Saturday evening.

Lackey wasn't happy with having his turn skipped on Tuesday night, but also conceded that he hasn't had his best stuff since joining the team July 31 after being traded by Boston. Lackey has allowed opponents to hit .309 in eight starts and is pitching to a 5.05 earned-run average. Wacha had his turn skipped Sunday when Matheny decided mechanical issues were keeping the young righty from throwing his best fastball. Matheny clearly wants Wacha, who won four postseason games last October, to show enough that he can use him this October. In short, St. Louis' final home series is also a referendum of sorts for Lackey and Wacha in regards to their postseason status. Pitch well and their spots might be assured. Struggle, and their October might be spent in the bullpen instead of on the mound.

•Blue Jays' Stroman Appeals Six-Game Suspension: Toronto right-hander Marcus Stroman was suspended six games and received an undisclosed fine for throwing at Baltimore Orioles catcher Caleb Joseph earlier this week, Joe Garagiola Jr., senior vice president of standards and operations for Major League Baseball, announced. Stroman has appealed the suspension and is scheduled to make his next start Saturday against the New York Yankees. Stroman had not heard about a specific date for an appeal. "It's tough," Stroman said. "It's in the appeal process now. I would never intentionally throw at anyone. I respect the game. I respect the players too much to ever do anything like that. Family, friends, teammates know the type of individual I am." Stroman threw 92 mph fastball that soared just above Joseph's head in the sixth inning of Monday's game.

Stroman said he was in the process of reaching out to Joseph through a friend to explain the issue. "Obviously, I would never throw at someone's head," Stroman said. "It's not in my nature. That's pretty much it. That's not in my game. It's something I would never do. It doesn't make sense to me." Baltimore manager Buck Showalter supported the swift action by MLB. "I have a lot of confidence that when something like that happens and emotions of players get in the way of good decisions that the league office will remind them that certain things aren't tolerated," he said. Stroman is 10-6 with 3.80 ERA in 24 games, including 19 starts. Toronto manager Johns Gibbons was not surprised by decision. He still expected Stroman to make his scheduled start Saturday, but was ready to come up with a backup plan if necessary. "I expected them to do something on it," Gibbons said about the suspension.

Around The League
--Tampa Bay Rays Jeremy Hellickson getting no support from team. If it wasn't for the lack of run support, we may be hearing a lot more about Hellickson. The Rays have gone 0-7 in the righties last seven starts. Hellickson has only given up an average of 2.6 runs per game while striking out 37 batters. The Rays though have provided only three runs per game and have only once tallied more than four runs.

--The New York Yankees will step into the batter’s box happy when they see Mark Buehrle on the mound Friday. Buehrle has struggled mightily against the Yankees, posting a 1-13 mark with a gaudy 6.14 ERA while allowing the club to bat .314 against him. The 35-year-old is 0-3 versus New York this season and yielded four runs in six innings en route to a 6-3 setback in the most recent meeting Aug. 29. Buehrle also gave up four runs in six frames in his last outing to claim a no-decision against Tampa Bay on Sunday.

--Milwaukee Brewers Yovani Gallardo has enjoyed his trips to Pittsburgh. There has been no stadium quite like PNC Park for Gallardo. The talented rightie has dominated in Pittsburgh, leading to an over/under record of 1-7 in his last eight starts in the Steel City. Galardo has allowed seven runs over those eight games, while holding the Pirates to no runs five times. To add to the stunning numbers, Gallardo has notched 51 strikes.

--Former Texas Rangers manager resigned because "I was not true to my wife after 42 years," he said Thursday. Washington spoke publicly for the first time since resigning on Sept. 5. He appeared at a hotel near Irving, Texas, with his wife and spoke for less than four minutes. He did not take any questions. "I'm here today to own that mistake and apologize to her and those I disappointed. "Today, I'm at a very low time in my life," he said. "I'm sorry for breaking the trust that I had with my wife and for disappointing my players, for disappointing my coaches, for disappointing Major League Baseball and for disappointing the Texas Rangers.

"All I ask is for your forgiveness and your understanding." When he finished his statement, Washington put his arm around his wife and left the room. Washington guided the Rangers to back-to-back World Series in 2010 and 2011. He managed the team for nearly eight full seasons, compiling a 664-611 record. The 62-year-old Washington tested positive for cocaine in 2009. He offered to resign, but team president Nolan Ryan rejected the notion and signed Washington to a contract extension in 2012.

--A 91-second commercial for Gatorade featuring Derek Jeter drew raves from fans all over social networking. The ad was filmed near Yankee Stadium in late July and Jeter discussed it before Thursday's game by saying: "It was an opportunity for me I felt as though to thank people which I've been pretty consistent with every time I spoke," Jeter said. "I know what the fans have meant throughout my career. "So it was sort of a way for me to thank them for what they've meant to me. It was a fun experience."

--Oakland RF Josh Reddick was out of the lineup against Texas, one day after taking a hard fall while beating out an infield single in the eighth inning and hurting his left ankle and the right side of his neck. Reddick had an MRI on his ankle. "No breaks as far as the ankle," A's manager Bob Melvin said. "That's what we were worried about." Reddick did not have an MRI of his neck. "The neck's just kind of more like a whiplash thing."

--Oakland catcher John Jaso might not play again this season because of a concussion he suffered on Aug. 24. Jaso is supposed to be examined in Pittsburgh this weekend at which time he will know if there's a chance he will be able to suit up again this year. "My season could be over; I don't know," he told the San Jose Mercury News. "But if I get clearance, then there'd be a chance to may hit some next week."
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Betting Notes - Friday

National League
•Dodgers-Cubs - 2:20 PM
--Kershaw is 5-0, 1.80 in his last five starts.
--Jackson is 0-3, 10.80 in his last three starts.

--Dodgers won nine of their last thirteen games.
--Cubs won three of their last four games.

--Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Dodger games.

•Brewers-Pirates - 7:05 PM
--Gallardo is 0-3, 7.36 in his last three starts.
--Locke is 1-2, 5.28 in his last three starts.

--Brewers lost ten of their last eleven road games.
--Pirates won seven of their last eight games.

--Seven of last eight Milwaukee games stayed under.

•Nationals-Marlins - 7:10 PM
--Fister is 2-0, 2.07 in his last two starts.
--Koehler is 0-0, 3.48 in his last five starts.

--Nationals won five of their last six games.
--Miami lost six of its last nine games.

--Four of last five Washington games stayed under total.

•Mets-Braves - 7:35 PM
--Wheeler is 1-2, 4.57 in his last four starts.
--Teheran is 0-3, 5.40 in his last three starts; Braves scored two runs in the three games.

--Mets lost four of their last five games.
--Atlanta lost five of its last six games.

--Over is 5-1-1 in Mets' last seven games.

•Diamondbacks-Rockies - 8:10 PM
--Anderson is 2-1, 2.65 in his last three starts.
--Lyles is 0-2, 4.81 in his last four starts.

--Arizona lost eight of its last eleven games.
--Colorado won last three games, scoring 33 runs.

--Five of last six Colorado games went over total.

•Reds-Cardinals - 8:15 PM
--Holmberg is 1-1, 9.53 in three starts this season.
--Lackey is 0-1, 8.16 in his last three starts.

--Reds lost their last four games, scoring three runs.
--Cardinals won five of their last six games.

--Six of last eight Cincinnati games stayed under.

•Giants-Padres - 10:10 PM
--Hudson is 0-2, 11.25 in his last three starts.
--Despaigne is 0-4, 6.55 in his last six starts.

--Giants lost six of their last nine games.
--San Diego won three of their last four games.

--Six of last seven San Diego games went over total.
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American League
•Blue Jays-Yankees - 7:05 PM
--Buehrle is 1-1, 3.33 in his last four starts.
--Kuroda is 3-1, 2.92 in his last six starts.

--Toronto lost six of its last seven games.
--Yankees won its last three home games.

--Six of last eight Buehrle starts went over the total.

•Red Sox-Orioles - 7:05 PM
--Webster is 1-2, 8.24 in his last four starts.
--Gausman is 0-0, 1.29 in his last couple starts.

--Red Sox lost last three games, outscored 16-3.
--Baltimore won its last four games, allowing seven runs.

--Under is 6-1 in last seven Baltimore games.

•White Sox-Rays - 7:10 PM
--Quintana is 2-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.
--Hellickson is 0-1, 5.33 in his last five starts.

--White Sox lost three of their last four games.
--Tampa Bay won three of its last four games.

--Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Tampa Bay games.

•Indians-Twins - 8:10 PM
--Bauer is 0-1, 4.82 in his last three starts.
--Hughes is 1-2, 4.55 in his last four starts.

--Indians won their last three games, allowing three runs.
--Minnesota won three of its last four games.

--Last four Cleveland games stayed under the total.

•Tigers-Royals - 8:10 PM
--Verlander is 1-1, 6.52 in his last three starts.
--Vargas is 1-4, 4.91 in his last five starts.

--Detroit won seven of last ten games, but lost last two.
--Royals are 0-5 in game following their last five wins.

--Over is 4-0-1 in last five Kansas City games.

•Mariners-Astros - 8:10 PM
--Walker is 1-2, 4.32 in his last five starts.
--Peacock is 1-0, 2.08 in his last four starts.

--Seattle lost seven of its last eleven games.
--Astros lost five of their last seven games.

--Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Seattle games.

•Rangers-Angels - 10:05 PM
--Bonilla allowed two runs in six IP in winning his first MLB start.
--Santiago is 2-1, 3.12 in his last seven starts.

--Texas won its last six games, allowing 12 runs.
--Angels won 11 of their last 14 games.

--Last four Texas games went over the total.

Interleague
•Phillies-Athletics - 9:35 PM
--Buchanan is 0-0, 3.62 in his last five starts.
--Lester is 2-1, 1.64 in his last three starts.

--Phillies lost four of their last five games.
--Oakland lost six of its last eight games.

--Six of last eight Oakland games stayed under the total.

•Incredible Stat of the Day
Los Angeles Dodgers Clayton Kershaw is 19-3 in his team starts against the money line (86.3%) in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) since 1997. The Left-hander has also been spectacular during the past three seasons recording a 20-3 record in road games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs per game on the season.

Continuing his quest for his third NL Cy Young Award in four years, Kershaw fortified his resume by limiting San Francisco to two runs over eight frames in Sunday’s 4-2 victory – the seventh straight turn he has lasted that long. The outing also marked the first time during his five-start winning streak that the four-time All-Star has allowed more than one earned run. Kershaw, who is 10-1 with a 1.64 ERA in 12 road starts, hasn’t faced the Cubs this season but is only 3-2 despite a 1.60 ERA in five all-time outings against Chicago.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Weekend betting cheat sheet: Hughes cashing for Under bettors

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for the weekend's major-league games:

Rockies Riding High

The Coors Field factor is in full effect this week, with the Rockies posting their fourth Over in as many home games Thursday with a 7-6 triumph (-120, O 10) over the Arizona Diamondbacks. The victory moves Colorado to 41-32-5 O/U at Coors Field with three home games remaining, and 74-67-12 O/U for the season.

This Could Get Messy

One of the biggest mismatches of the season goes Friday afternoon as the Los Angeles Dodgers (-285) square off against the host Chicago Cubs. The Dodgers send Cy Young and National League MVP candidate Clayton Kershaw (19-3, 1.70 ERA) to the hill against Cubs journeyman Edwin Jackson (6-14, 6.09).

Potential Mismatch

The Los Angeles Angels will likely be big favorites Saturday night as they welcome the Texas Rangers to Angels Stadium of Anaheim. The Angels enter the weekend with the best home record in the American League, while the Rangers are 32-46 away from Texas and have won just three of 16 meetings with Los Angeles this season.

Tanaka Time

The New York Yankees will have electrifying rookie Masahiro Tanaka back on the mound Sunday as they host the Toronto Blue Jays. Tanaka, who has been on the disabled list since early July with a partially torn UCL in his right elbow, will look to finish the season on a high note after going 12-4 with a 2.51 ERA and $465 in value through 18 starts.

Pitching Notes

* Minnesota right-hander Phil Hughes looks to remain a strong Under play Friday night as he leads the Twins (-128, 7.5) against the visiting Cleveland Indians. Hughes is 2-9 O/U in his last 11 starts and remains one of the top value pitchers in the majors, ranked seventh overall at $1,001.

* Bettors should keep a close eye on right-hander Max Scherzer's workload Saturday as the Detroit Tigers ace squares off against the host Kansas City Royals. Scherer (16-5, 3.26 ERA) has thrown at least 110 pitches in seven of his previous nine starts, going 7-2 SU and 4-5 O/U over that span.

* It has been a rough 3 1/2 weeks for Seattle right-hander Hisashi Iwakuma, who takes the hill Sunday as the Mariners visit the Houston Astros. Iwakuma (14-8, 3.42 ERA) was tagged for seven runs over 3 1/3 innings last time out and has allowed 22 runs over his previous five starts, going 2-3 SU and 4-0-1 O/U over that span.

Hitting Notes

* Colorado catcher Wilin Rosario has benefited greatly from the Rockies' recent home success. Rosario is 9-for-13 with two home runs and seven RBIs over the past three games, after recording just one home run and six RBIs over his previous 18 contests - a stretch during which Colorado went 6-12.

* There's something about Baltimore Orioles pitcher Chris Tillman that brings out the worst in Boston Red Sox slugger David Ortiz. Tillman has limited to Ortiz to just a pair of hits - both singles - in 24 career at-bats, striking him out six times as the two prepare to face off Saturday night at Camden Yards.

* St. Louis Cardinals hurler Lance Lynn may have his hands full Sunday night as he prepares to face Jay Bruce and the Cincinnati Reds. Bruce has struggled for the majority of the season but is batting a red-hot .480 (12-for-25) with a double, two triples, two home runs and eight RBIs in his career versus Lynn.

Totals Streak

New York Yankees (1-7 O/U): The Yankees head into the twilight of the regular season with a meager offensive attack that has failed to produce more than three runs in any of its last eight games. The recent Under streak has New York at 61-87-4 on the season - the second-fewest Overs in the American League.

Prop of the Day

Bettors should consider using Mark Buehrle's history against him and taking the New York Yankees -2.5 against the Toronto Blue Jays (+260). Buehrle is 1-13 with a 6.14 ERA in 20 career starts versus the Yankees, including an 0-6, 6.04 mark in eight outings at Yankee Stadium.

Injury Notes

* Los Angeles Angels outfielder Josh Hamilton is dealing with tightness and soreness in his right shoulder and is considered day-to-day. The Angels are 39-22 SU, 32-27-2 O/U and +1,421 units in Hamilton's absence so far this season.

* A bout of pneumonia may sideline Colorado Rockies third baseman Nolan Arenado for the remainder of the season. Arenado has missed 40 games so far in 2014, with Colorado going just 13-27 SU, 24-12-4 O/U and -1,223 units with him out of the lineup.

Weather Watch

* Wind at Wrigley Field will blow out to left-center field at 13 mph Friday for the game between the Cubs and the heavily favored Dodgers. Teams combined for better than three home runs per game under similar conditions in 2013 - well above stadium averages.

* Fans at Target Field in Minnesota will be greeted by wind blowing out to right field at 12 mph for Saturday's showdown between the Twins and the visiting Indians. Teams averaged just .245 in 14 games with the wind blowing out to right in 2013.

Umpire Note of the Day

Over is 16-6-4 in umpire Laz Diaz' last 26 games behind home plate. Diaz will be calling the balls and strikes Friday evening when the New York Yankees (-140, 7.5) entertain the Toronto Blue Jays.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Red Sox/Orioles Over 8
50* Nationals-145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SMART SPORTS INVESTMENTS /Geoff Weigel

NCAAF – 8:00 pm – South Florida -130 for 3 units

In a matchup of two bad teams, take the bad team at home on Friday Night. The Bulls were much more competitive in their two losses than UCONN has been.Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in September.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

PERRY'S SOCCER CLUB season record (-8.87)

(ITALY - SERIE B) - TRAPANI CALCIO @ CARPI FC 1909 - OVER 2 -154 (1PM)

(BRAZIL - SERIE B) - PORTUGUESA SP @ AMERICA RN - UNDER 2.5 -125 (630PM)

(GERMANY - 2ND BUNDESLIGA) - SV SANDHAUSEN @ VFR AALEN - UNDER 2.5 -140 (1230PM)

(DENMARK - 1ST DIVISION) - VENDSYSSEL FF @ SKIVE IK - UNDER 2.5 -105 (1PM)

(SCOTLAND - PREMIER LEAGUE) - ST MIRREN @ PARTICK THISTLE - OVER 2.5 -110 (245PM)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Five to Follow MLB Betting: Friday September 19, 2014 Opening Line Report
by Alan Matthews

I hear some people say that baseball’s regular season should end in late August so it doesn’t interfere with football season. I respectfully disagree. Look at a day like Friday where you have five live baseball betting options at Bovada: Dodgers at Cubs, Blue Jays at Yankees, Red Sox at Orioles, Rangers at Angels and Giants at Padres. I’m guessing all those games will be more exciting than the college football matchup between UConn and South Florida. Just saying. Here’s a look at five interesting matchups on Friday’s MLB schedule.

Dodgers at Cubs (+242, TBA)

This doesn’t have the biggest spread discrepancy of the season — now I’m interested to find what that has been — but it might be the biggest pitching mismatch all year. The Dodgers’ Clayton Kershaw continues to make his case for NL MVP (Cy Young is locked up) when he faces the Cubs at Wrigley in the day’s only matinee. Kershaw (19-3, 1.70) isn’t just the best pitcher in baseball, he might be the best of this generation. Kershaw has gone eight innings in each of his past five starts, all wins, and not allowed more than two runs. This will be his first look at the Cubs in 2014. Kershaw is an amazing 10-1 with a 1.64 ERA on the road. That’s obscene. Meanwhile, the Cubs start probably the worst pitcher in the majors in Edwin Jackson (6-14, 6.09). He hasn’t pitched since Aug. 20 when he was shelled for seven runs and eight hits in 2.2 innings by the Giants. He was placed on the DL after. Jackson actually won at the Dodgers on Aug. 3, allowing two runs over six innings in one of his best starts of the year.

Key trends: The Dodgers are oddly just 3-7 in Kershaw’s past 10 vs. the NL Central. The Cubs are 1-6 in Jackson’s past seven at home. The “over/under” has gone under in Kershaw’s past five vs. the Cubs.

Early lean: Uh, yeah, Dodgers on the runline.



Mets at Braves (-150, 6.5)

There could be as many as three key Braves sitting this one out. Catcher Evan Gattis for sure will as he’s dealing with a kidney stone. Both shortstop Andrelton Simmons and outfielder Jason Heyward left Wednesday’s game with minor ailments, so they are questionable. Hard to believe the Braves could actually finish below .500 and behind the Marlins in the NL East. Atlanta just collapsed. Thus, it could be a weakened lineup that the Mets’ Zack Wheeler (10-10, 3.61) will face. This will be his fifth start against Atlanta this year, and he is 0-2 despite a solid 3.70 ERA. Freddie Freeman is 7-for-13 career off him with two doubles and a home run. Julio Teheran (13-12, 2.89) has lost three straight for Atlanta because the Braves have totaled two runs in those games. He is 2-1 with a 3.78 ERA vs. the Mets in 2014.

Key trends: The Mets are 4-1 in Wheeler’s past five Friday starts. The Braves have won seven straight Teheran starts on Friday. The under is 5-1 in Teheran’s past six vs. the Mets.

Early lean: Under at -120.



Tigers at Royals (-118, 8)

This probably has to qualify as the biggest series of the year thus far. Detroit enters leading the Royals by a half game in the AL Central, although Kansas City has a game in hand. Whichever team doesn’t win the division could quite possibly miss the playoffs altogether, largely depending on how Seattle finishes the season. Normally you would be happy as a Tigers fan that Justin Verlander is starting the opener, but he hasn’t been himself this season. Maybe he’s distracted by Kate Upton (I would be). Verlander (13-12, 4.81) is 2-2 with a 5.57 ERA in five starts against the Royals this season. Salvador Perez hits Verlander hard, going 14-for-33 with seven doubles, a homer and 10 RBIs. The Royals can’t feel too confident in lefty Jason Vargas (11-9, 3.41). He has a 7.59 ERA in his past two starts, both losses. He is 1-2 with a 5.18 ERA vs. Detroit. Alex Avila hits .313 off him with two homers. He hasn’t played since Sunday, however, after taking a foul tip off his mask.

Key trends: The Tigers have lost eight straight on the road vs. lefties. They are 0-5 in Verlander’s past five road starts vs. teams with a winning record. Detroit is 1-5 in Verlander’s past six in K.C. The under is 4-0 in Vargas’ past four vs. teams with a winning record.

Early lean: I think Verlander finds his old stuff. Take Detroit.



Mariners at Astros (+127, 8.5)

This is the easiest series the M’s have left, so they really need to win all three games. They start one of the game’s top pitching prospects in Taijuan Walker (1-2, 2.96). He’s getting a start because a spot opened up with rookie lefty Roenis Elias expected to be done for the season. Strangely, three of Walker’s six big-league starts have come against Houston, and he’s 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA. Houston’s Brad Peacock (4-8, 4.80) missed his last start due to back tightness. Peacock has been good of late, not allowing more than two earned over his past five starts, although he never goes very deep into games. He is 0-1 with a 4.41 ERA in three starts vs. Seattle. Kyle Seager is 6-for-18 with a homer and five RBIs against him.

Key trends: Seattle is 6-1 in its past seven on the road vs. teams with a losing record. Houston is 1-4 in Peacock’s past five at home. Seattle has won five straight in Houston. The under is 4-1 in Peacock’s past five vs. Seattle.

Early lean: Under at -110.



Giants at Padres (+120, 6.5)

The Giants were hoping to be whole in the lineup for the first time in a while on Friday, but that’s not expected to happen now. The good news is an MRI on the back of outfielder Angel Pagan came back clean, and he should return. The team’s second-leading hitter (.302) hasn’t played since Sunday. Originally, Michael Morse was expected to return as well, but he is still feeling pain in his oblique. He has been out since the end of August. This is a series the Giants should sweep and need to. They start Tim Hudson on Friday. Hudson (9-11, 3.41) is pitching through some hip pain and he has been a bit off of late, allowing 14 runs over 12 innings in his past three starts, all losses. He is 1-2 with a 2.96 ERA vs. the Padres. Odrisamer Despaigne (3-7, 3.63) has owned the Giants, allowing just one run over 13 innings in two starts.

Key trends: The Giants are 9-2 in their past 11 against right-handers. San Diego is 1-6 in Despaigne’s past seven against teams with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in San Francisco’s past five on Friday.

Early lean: Giants and over at -120.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NEWSLETTER Major League Baseball Prediction From Doc’s Sports

Take ‘Over’ 8.0 – Toronto at New York (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 19)
The season is winding down, but we keep punching tickets. We’re up $14,000 in profit on the season, and will have a 5-Unit Game of the Week on Friday. Here we have a matchup between two teams that have seen their playoff chances finally dwindle down to nothing as we approach the final week. The New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays can now focus on the golf course and put baseball in the rear view mirror. That plays into the handicap as teams out of the race generally play to more overs than unders historically. We get two veteran hurlers in this contest, and both are up there in age with Mark Buehrle at 35 and Hiroki Kuroda at 39. Both are true professionals and take their craft seriously, but this is the time of year where guys this age aren’t even close to 100% as their bodies have worn down. I’d be surprised if either starter pitches a gem, so the respective offenses will have every opportunity to pounce. Both teams have also been riding their top bullpen arms for quite a while (especially Joe Girardi with the Yankees), so there’s a good chance we start to see some other guys get chances in the late innings. That probably means more chances at runs and another reason to look towards the over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph

Blue Ribbon Nationals w/ Fister

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J.R. Stevens/SMOOTH44

MLB: (902) Chicago Cubs +285

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Worlds Worst Picker
U Conn +2

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ALL SPORTS INSIDER

Connecticut +2 *1 unit*

(Uconn/S.Florida) – Under 44 *1 unit*

Seattle Mariners *1 unit*

Pittsburgh Pirates *1 unit*

Washington Nationals *2 units*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Win or Lose Sports Betting

MLB

904 PITT ML -125
908 ATL -1 +105
917 BOS +1 +105
920 TB ML -125
928 LAA -1 -150
929 PHIL +1 +175

[golden contender]

T.G.I.F Card has a Huge college Football Total of the Month with 8 Power angles and statistical indicators. Early Saturday 6* NCAAF also up. Football sweeps on Thursday. In MLB The lead play is a 5* Blowout system that is 40-5 since 2004 and has 2 perfect angles. Free MLB Play below.

On Friday night the free MLB power angle play is on the MY. Yankees. Game 916 at 7:05 eastern. The Yankees have won 27 of the last 31 here at the stadium vs Toronto. They are 9-2 at home off a 1 run home win where they scored 4 or less runs. The Pitching is all in favor of New York as well. M. Buehrle goes for the Jays and he is 0-10 here the last few seasons including 0-2 this year allowing 8 earned runs in 9 innings. He has lost 7 of his last 10 road starts made in September. Kuroda for the Yankees has won 7 of his last 10 home September starts. He has gone 4-0 at home vs Toronto with 3 of those wins over Buehrle. He also has allowed just 7 runs in 26 innings in those 4 home wins vs the Jays. Look for the Yankees to get the win here tonight. On Friday the NCAAF College football total of the month with 8 powerful angles and indicators is up along with a 5* MLB 40-5 Blowout system that wins by over 3 runs per game and has 2 Perfect angles. Football sweeps 2-0 on Thursday, early Saturday 6* up now. Get on now and start the weekend big with the most powerful data and material in the industry. For the free play take the NY. Yankees. GC

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FantasySportsGametime

FRIDAY FOOTBALL

5000* Play South Florida -1.5 over Connecticut (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Connecticut has lost 7 consecutive games after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in two straight games and they have lost 14 of the last 19 games when playing as an underdog. Connecticut has lost 9 of the last 10 games coming off two or more losses against the spread and they are only averaging 16 points a game on offense this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime


MLB Baseball

1000* Play LA Dodgers -240 over Chicago Cubs (TOP MLB PLAY)

Edwin Jackson has lost 27 of the last 38 day games and he has lost 39 of the last 59 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher. Edwin Jackson has lost 14 of the last 20 games vs. NL West Division Opponents and he is 0-3 over the last three starts with an ERA of 10.12.

================================================== ===

50* Play Colorado -120 over Arizona (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Atlanta -140 over New York Mets (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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XpertPicks

FRIDAY

TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY



Play South Florida -1.5 over Connecticut----RISK 25% OF YOUR BANKROLL

8:00 PM EST

Connecticut has lost 11 of the last 13 games against the spread when playing in the 1st half of the season and they have lost 10 of the last 14 games against the spread coming off a loss against the spread in their last game. Connecticut has lost 10 of the last 15 games against the spread when playing with six or less days of rest and they have lost 6 of the last 8 games against the spread when playing as a road underdog

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

FRIDAY BASEBALL




Play Washington -120 over Miami---Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)

7:10 PM EST

Doug Fister has won 8 of the last 8 games when pitching with five or six days of rest and he has won 8 of the last 10 games when the total posted is 7 runs or less. Doug Fister has won 11 of the last 14 games when the line posted is between -100 to -150 and he has an ERA of 1.13 vs. Miami over his career.





Play Seattle -125 over Houston---Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
8:00 PM EST


Brad Peacock has lost 12 of the last 15 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and he has lost 23 of the last 35 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher. Brad Peacock has lost 12 of the last 19 home games and he has an ERA of 5.95 vs. Seattle over his career.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie


FRIDAY

10* Play South Florida -1.5 over Connecticut (Top NCAA Play)

Connecticut is 2-11 ATS when playing in the 1st half of the season
Connecticut is 4-10 ATS coming off a loss in their last game
Connecticut is 2-7 ATS in road games the last two seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

FRIDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Washington -120 over Miami (MLB TOP PLAY)

Doug Fister is 8-1 when pitching with five to six days of rest
Doug Fister is 8-2 when the total posted is seven runs or less
Doug Fister is 11-3 when the line posted is between -100 to -150


10* Play Seattle -125 over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Brad Peacock is 3-12 when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs
Brad Peacock is 12-23 when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher
Brad Peacock is 7-12 in home games the last two seasons

=============================================

5* Play Atlanta -140 over New York Mets (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play Colorado -120 over Arizona (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
Awesome night last night, as I went 2-1 including cashing 5 units on the Rangers winning as huge underdogs! Plus Kyle added his 9th straight winner, and is now 12-1 over his last 13 picks. I've got three systems picks and Kyle is taking a pass on today's board, waiting for tomorrow to try for his 10th straight winner.
2 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ Minnesota Twins - INDIANS TO WIN (+120)
Listed Pitchers: Bauer vs Hughes
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.40 units)
2 UNIT = Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies - OVER 10.5 RUNS (-105)
Listed Pitchers: Anderson vs Lyles
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
2 UNIT = San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres - UNDER 6.5 RUNS (+102)
Listed Pitchers: Hudson vs Despaigne
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.04 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast
Top Opinion South Florida -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LT LOCK

Kansas City -113

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Falcon Sports

Pittsburgh -130 listing Locke/Gallardo

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Bob Balfe

Milwaukee +110

Gallardo/Locke
This is more or less a playoff series for Milwaukee. If they fail to do well against Pittsburgh they are done. The Pirates have been on a nice run, but look at who they have played. The next two weeks are going to make or break them. The Brewers do well against left handed pitching and I think Gallardo is a slightly better pitcher even though he has struggled his last few starts. These final few weeks really test a teams will power. The Brewers don’t want to miss out again. MLB starts to get relevant right about now. This should be a great series. Take Milwaukee

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks & Bacon for Friday, September 19, 2014

Passing

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EZWINNERS

2* Chicago Cubs +$280

[Can'tPickAWinner]

killer move
braves

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DIAMOND DOG SPORTS

#902: Cubs: +255 (2*)
Listed Pitchers: Kershaw/Jackson

#907: Mets: +130 (3.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Wheeler/Teheran

#915/916: Blue Jays/Yankees: Over 7.5 (+100) (2.5*)
Listed Pitchers: Buehrle/Kuroda

#917/918: Red Sox/Orioles: Under 8.0 (-105) (3*)
Listed Pitchers: Webster/Gausman

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportswagers

Cincinnati @ ST. LOUIS
Cincinnati +213 over ST. LOUIS

The Cardinals won last night 3-2 in 13 innings but it was more a case of extremely poor managing by Ron Roenicke of the Brewers. Why Roenicke pulled Kyle Lohse with one out in the eighth is a mystery. Why he left Jonathan Broxton in there after Lohse in the eighth inning when Broxton couldn’t throw a strike is a mystery. Why be bunted with a leadoff double in the 11th is a mystery and why he chose to bunt again in the 12th after Pat Neshek walked the leadoff hitter on four pitches is also a mystery. St. Louis didn’t win that game; it was handed to them 5 times over. The Cardinals had three hits on Wednesday, six hits on Tuesday and they had two hits last night going to the eighth. Struggling miserably at the plate, the Cards will now face lefty David Holmberg. Holmberg pitched in relief before being inserted into the rotation and in two games in this much more comfortable role he has allowed just six hits and one run in 11.2 innings with nine K’s. Holmberg does bring some risk because he can be wild at times but at this price against a struggling lineup, he’s worth the risk.

We also can’t get past passing up a tag like this against John Lackey. Lackey had his last turn skipped after complaining of arm fatigue. Lackey has a 5.05 ERA since being traded to St. Louis on July 31. His 7.6 K’s/9 with Boston in 2014 has slightly dropped to 6.8 with St. Louis in eight starts. He's given up at least one jack in all but one game with the Cards and over his last five starts he has a WHIP of 1.43. Cincinnati is having a horrible year but they’ll now play in some relevant games against a contender and that’s a role many of the “also ran’s” step up in. The Reds swept the Cardinals back in Cincinnati just eight days ago and we would not count them out here. Big risk brings big rewards and this one isn't as big a risk as it may appear.


Our Pick
Cincinnati +213 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 4.26)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportswagers

Washington @ MIAMI
MIAMI +140 over Washington

Washington clinched the NL East on Wednesday and came in here last night and took the opener, 6-2. What usually follows a game clinching win is a bit of a letdown for a game or two and since that didn’t happen yesterday, this is a pretty good spot for that to occur with Doug Fister on the hill. Fister is beginning to labor. His swing and miss rate is low at 6% and he’s throwing less strikes the past month. He’s only walked 35 batters all year but he’s walked eight over his last five starts in 30 frames. He’s also hit 22 batters since the second half of last season, which has inflated his ERA. OK, maybe not, but they left plenty of bruises. Fister has stopped hitting people but he’s suddenly having trouble with LH batters. Despite his decent skills, Fister’s pitch-to-contact profile is a risky way to roll and he’s had trouble in the past against current Marlins with an oppBA of .325.

Tom Koehler has what might appear on paper to be a tough matchup against the NL East Champion Nationals. Koehler has been at his best at home, with a 2.68 ERA, compared to 4.63 on the road. In two starts against Washington, he has a 1.38 ERA in 13 IP. The Nationals will probably give their regulars some rest down the stretch, so Koehler may not face a fully-loaded Nationals lineup. Koehler’s recent profile is trending the right way and we also like the price in this one.


Our Pick
MIAMI +140 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.80)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportswagers

Milwaukee @ PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH -1½ +173 over Milwaukee

Frankly, we could not care less about who is on the mound for the Pirates here because this one is all about fading the reeling Brewers and the garbage pitcher that they’re sending out today.

The Brewers gave up five hits over the first 16 innings in St. Louis the past two games and lost them both. Prior to taking two of three from the reeling Reds and defeating Miami in a series, Milwaukee had dropped 18 of its past 21 games. These Brewers are in big trouble and it sure can’t help their state of mind when they see the Pirates winning every night. Pittsburgh is the hottest team in baseball with four wins in a row and 11 victories over its past 13 games. The Bucs are scoring six a night with regularity and they figure to put up another crooked number here against Yovani Gallardo. It's clear that Gallardo isn't the same pitcher he used to be due to his inability to generate K’s. That becomes frustrating after a while and now Gallardo has lost his control because he’s afraid to come at hitter’s. Over his last 26 innings, Gallardo has an awful BB/K split of 12/13. Over that same span his swing and miss rate was 4%, which is another indicator of a “dead” arm. Gallardo has surrendered four jacks over his last three games, not to mention 21 hits, 15 runs and six walks over 14 innings. The Brewers have lost each of Gallardo’s last five starts and now this stiff is out of gas. The Pirates can put the Brewers out of their misery with a three-game sweep and it would be a complete shock to us if they didn’t do exactly that starting with this one. Hell, we’d even lay 2½ runs in this one but the +173 at -1½ runs is pretty juicy on its own.


Our Pick
PITTSBURGH -1½ +173 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.46)

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Doc Sports
MLB
5* Tampa Bay -125
4* Yankees -145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Antony Dinero

UConn

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Sports Cash System

extra bonus system for today:

Chicago White Sox / Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7 (Bet Level 3) (Total Runs Scored Bet) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 7:10 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob -East

U conn +3

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Spartan

Detroit +104

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole

Uconn Under 46

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trev Rogers

Oakland -1.5 (-115)

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Wunderdog Sports

Complimentary MLB Pick for September 19th, 2014

Game: Cleveland Indians @ Minnesota Twins
Time: Friday 09/19 8:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Minnesota -127 (moneyline) at Sportsbook.com

The Tribe made a gallant effort this season and contended for a long time, but as the sand sifts through the hour glass time is no longer on their side. They sit four games back of the second Wild Card playoffs spot, but with just 10 games remaining and two teams to pass, they have no realistic chance. Minnesota sits at 22 games under .500, but there is a catch. They have been 18-12 or a .600 team behind Phil Hughes who has seemed to have a rebirth with new scenery out of the Big Apple. Hughes has been even better of late as his control has been pinpoint, walking just one batter in his last six starts, and is off an 11 strikeout performance in his last outing. Hughes has a lot of incentive to go deep here as he picks up a cool half a million if he logs 210 innings this season, and needs 15 more in his last two starts. Go with Hughes and Minnesota.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Gomes | MLB RunLine

dime bet – 918 BAL -1.5 (+125) vs 917 BOS
Analysis:
MLB Pick #4: 917 Boston Red Sox @ 918 Baltimore Orioles
(Starting Pitchers: A. Webster vs. K. Gausman)
Rating: 3 units – Single Dime Play
Pick: 918 Baltimore Orioles RL-1.5 @ +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BRANDON LANG

50 DIME - Under USF/UConn

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TOM BARTON

2* NY Yankees -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cleveland Insider

Kansas City Royals -115 over the Detroit Tigers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DIAMOND DOG SPORTS

#305/306: Connecticut/South Florida: Under 43.5 (-105) (.5*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top Shelf Picks

Nite Owl Sports

Tonite's ESPN game is one of the uglier match-ups that will be forced upon us TY by ESPN (HQs in Bristol, CT), always wanting to get the “home town team” (U Conn) on national TV, even though they suck. And tonite the Huskies meet a team (USF) that appears to be just as bad as they are, if not worse. But more importantly, we don’t have to either pick a side or watch this piece of crap to make money off of it, which we’ll attempt to do with our below totals triple play.

Game – U Conn at USF, starts 8:00 EDT

Relevant current consensus totals lines - game total 43 or 45.5, team totals USF 23, U Conn 20 or 20.5

Play – total Under betting attack strategy consists of anywhere from 2 to 7 units on the Under, depending on your lines (see below betting guidelines), with two or 3 below picks

Top pick - 4 units Under 23 USF team total, or two units if 22 or 22.5, but pass at < 22 (since already have 2 units on game Under 43>)

Under on game total - 2 units at 43> (but buy up ½ point to 44 if your game total is 43.5)

Under CT team total – one unit if 20.5, but pass if 20 (since already have 2 units on game Under 43>)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Burns 10* Personal Favorite: Minnesota Twins

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bookiemonsters

POD
KAN -115

MGs
UConn +3

SDG +110
CWS +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INDIAN COWBOY (MLB)

7-Unit Play. Take San Francisco Giants -127

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Real Swoop
UConn/SFlorida Under 44 (2*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetime Insiders

3* Plays

Nationals -1.5 +105

Giants -127

Orioles -1.5 +120

1* Plays

White Sox +116

Yankees/Blue Jays Over 7

Brewers +122

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting As A Business

MLB

Tampa Bay (Hellickson) -124 / CWS (Quintana) 7:10 ET 1.25 Units
(Play ON Tampa Bay)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

OMEGA SPORTS PICKS

MLB tonight: Phillies/A’s – UNDER 7 -110 1unit

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HARRY BONDI

College Football Free Play

UCONN (+2) over South Florida
8 p.m. ET

Both teams are off to disappointing 1-2 starts to the season, but a look inside the numbers shows that UConn has been the better team overall, especially on the defensive side of the ball. First off, the Huskies have played the much tougher schedule, with losses to BYU and Boise State. And in last week’s 38-31 loss to Boise St as a 15-point dog, UConn was actually dead even in stats and the Broncos scored on a fumble return, interception return while another TD came on a drive of only 37 yards after a Connecticut turnover. Bottom line: UConn has the much better defense here tonight and is getting points against a South Florida team that’s failed to cover its last eight games as a favorite and is just 3-12 ATS in its last 15 home games. Take the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Intpicks
1star UCONN

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer looks to rock the sports books with his first CFB FRIDAY NIGHT BEATDOWN of 2104.


I’m backing Connecticut on Friday night. Just a couple of weeks ago, I mentioned how far the USF program has slipped since former HC Jim Leavitt was forced out. The horrible slide has counted where we like it the most also, the point-spread, giving us plenty of opportunities to increase our bankroll. The Bulls are 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 home games. USF began the season at home and escaped with a 36-31 win as a 26-point favorite over Western Carolina. The Bulls finished the game with 13 first downs to WCU’s 27, and connected on just 10-of-27 pass attempts for 181 yards and an INT. The cover against Maryland was a lucky one as USF returned a Terps fumble for a TD. USF struggled through the air again, completing just 15-of-37 passes for 174 yards and another INT. And last week’s home loss to NC State was a complete indictment on just how far the USF program has fallen. The Bulls lost 49-17 as a 2 1/2-point home dog. But it was more than the final score. USF finished with 8 first downs to NC State’s 30. And the Bulls allowed 589 yards, while gaining just 159. Through three games, South Florida owns the nation’s 116th rated passing offense and total offense. They have completed just 30-of-84 (36%) of their passes for and average of just 148 yards per game with 1 TD pass and 4 INTs. UConn, meanwhile, has faced BYU and Boise State in two of their first three games and will be taking a step down in level of opposition. The Bulls have no home field advantage, playing in front of less than 30-thousand people a week ago. And while South Florida is on a 0-8 ATS slide as chalk, the Huskies are on a 16-5 ATS run against teams averaging no more than 5.75 yards per pass. That’s a combined mark of 24-5 ATS. I’m backing the UConn Huskies, my Friday night Beatdown.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Locksmith Sports

2* Cardinals (RL), Pirates, Over Padres/Giants

1* A's (RL), Red Sox, Nationals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

OMEGA SPORTS PICKS

Uconn ML +115 – 0.75 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WinSportsNow

FRIDAY CHARTER ACCOUNT REPORT


Private Play Report
Over 7 A's


Owner Play Report
Orioles-170


Blue Ribbon Report
Under 8 Cardinals


100K Play Report


Phillies+250


VIP Play Report
Twins-140


MLB Site Plays Report
Braves-140
Under 10.5 Rockies
Cardinals-1.5
Over 6.5 Padres
Bluejays+1.5
Oriols-1.5
Under 7 Rays
Royals-110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS PICK PREDICTION

Uconn +2.5 (2*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep

1000* Uconn +3 -125

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VEGAS RUNNER / Gianni The Greek

305) UCONN ML , they also grabbed +3 (-120) when it was available.

1305) UNDER 22 (-120) – UCONN/USF

Tonight’s MLB Moves

REDSOX

BREWERS

NATS (1st 5 Inn)

OVER 7.5 – DET/KC

INDIANS

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James Jones
NCAAF-Under 43.5 Connecticut/South Florida-119...(1*)

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Goodfella

Friday Night MLB Team Total

ARIZONA D-BACKS OVER 5 RUNS (@BOL)

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Chris James Sports

South Fla -2.5

Mariners -140
Over Tigers 7.5
Under Rockies 10.5

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The Sheep's Moves



305 Connecticut +3 (-125) $1000
Sat Cfb - 377 Over 58 Sd State/Ore State $1000 open order*
Sat Cfb - 371 Old Dominion +7 1/2 $1000



Vegas Runner's Moves



Sat CFB : #326) WISCONSIN -26 (nfac $400)

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skybluepicks

royals -116