10-5-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GILZTIPS

[460] Saints -10.5
[460] NO/TB O49
[465] Ravens +3 (+105)
[475] Bengals +3 (-120)
[456] Eagles -7 (-105)
Steelers -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

10* Atlanta +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DBT Algorithm

Bears +3 (-120) [3]
Texans +4.5 [3]
Bucs +10.5 [2]
Lions -7 [2]
Jags +7 (-120) [2]
Redskins +7.5 [2]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NFL STAT/SHEETS
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 5th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_____________________________________


***** National Football League Information - Week #5 *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every week during the 2014-15 National Football League season we will analyze all of your daily football action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
__________________________________________________ ____________

Sundays’ Week #5 Matchups
Systems Analyst James Vogel

#451 CHICAGO @ #452 CAROLINA - 1:00 PM
Turnovers were the primary reason for the Bears’ home loss to the Packers in Week #4, quarterback Jay Cutler threw a pair of interceptions as Chicago lost 38-17 despite outgaining Green Bay, 496 to 358, and possessing the ball for more than 36 minutes. The Panthers went to Baltimore and lost 38-10. These teams have played eight games against each other since the Panthers entered the league in 1995. Chicago is 5-3 straight-up in those games, but the Panthers are 5-2-1 versus the number. They last met October 28th, 2012, when the Bears won 23-22 as seven-point favorites. DeAngelo Williams (ankle) is doubtful for Carolina.

•KEY STATS
--CHICAGO is 1-9 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game over the L2 seasons.
--CHICAGO is 3-15 ATS away vs. poor punt coverage teams, allowing >= 12 yards per return since 1992.
--CHICAGO is 8-0 OVER after playing a game at home over the L2 seasons.

--CAROLINA is 55-23 ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game since 1992.
--CAROLINA is 12-3 UNDER against conference opponents over the L2 seasons.
--CAROLINA is 46-24 UNDER at home in the first half of the season since 1992.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--CAROLINA is 5-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO since 1992.
--CHICAGO is 5-3 straight up against CAROLINA since 1992.
--5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--CAROLINA is 4-4 versus the first half line when playing against CHICAGO since 1992.
--5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.

--Bears are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
--Underdog is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
--Road team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
_______________________________________

#453 CLEVELAND @ #454 TENNESSEE - 1:00 PM
While the Browns are coming off a bye week, the Titans lost 41-17 to the Colts in Indianapolis. Expect Cleveland to try to establish its running game in this one, as the Browns rank ninth in the league in rushing yards per game with 132.7. The Titans, meanwhile, go up against a Cleveland defense that is allowing 272.0 yards per game through the air and 153.7 on the ground, only Atlanta and Jacksonville are giving up an average of more yards per game in 2014. The Titans have won and covered in two straight against the Browns, in 2008 and 2011. Quarterback Jake Locker (wrist) is questionable for Tennessee.

•KEY STATS
--CLEVELAND is 9-1 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record over the L3 seasons.
--CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs over the L3 seasons.
--CLEVELAND is 19-8 UNDER after allowing 400+ total yards/game in their last 3 games since 1992.

--TENNESSEE is 8-1 ATS at home after 2 straight losses by 10 or more points since 1992.
--TENNESSEE is 6-0 OVER after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games over the L3 seasons.
--TENNESSEE is 7-17 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest over the L3 seasons.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--TENNESSEE is 10-8 against the spread versus CLEVELAND since 1992.
--TENNESSEE is 11-7 straight up against CLEVELAND since 1992.
--9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--TENNESSEE is 8-8 versus the first half line when playing against CLEVELAND since 1992.
--10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.

--Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
--Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
_______________________________________

#455 ST LOUIS @ #456 PHILADELPHIA - 1:00 PM
The Eagles host the Rams on Sunday and they’ll be going for their fourth straight win and cover in this series, the last time the Rams beat the Eagles was on December 27th, 2004. In Week #4, the Eagles went to San Francisco and lost 26-21 thanks to four turnovers. Quarterback Nick Foles threw two interceptions in the game and will need to take better care of the football against a Rams defense that comes into this game ranked third in the NFL against the pass. St. Louis is 6-4 ATS when coming off a bye week over the last 10 seasons. WR Tavon Austin (knee) is listed as questionable for the Rams.

•KEY STATS
--ST LOUIS is 0-9 ATS away vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 27 or more points/game since 1992.
--ST LOUIS is 7-0 ATS away vs. excellent kickoff return teams, 24+ yards per return over the L3 seasons.
--ST LOUIS is 0-9 ATS away vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 27 or more points/game since 1992.

--PHILADELPHIA is 30-12 UNDER at home in October games since 1992.
--PHILADELPHIA is 4-14 ATS in home lined games over the L3 seasons.
--PHILADELPHIA is 5-16 ATS in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 against the spread versus ST LOUIS since 1992.
--PHILADELPHIA is 7-3 straight up against ST LOUIS since 1992.
--7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--PHILADELPHIA is 7-3 versus the first half line when playing against ST LOUIS since 1992.
--8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.

--Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
--Rams are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
--Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
--Rams are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
_______________________________________

#457 ATLANTA @ #458 NY GIANTS - 1:00 PM
The Falcons lost 41-28 in Minnesota last week while allowing 558 total yards to an offense led by a rookie quarterback who was making his first National Football League start. They’re now up against a Giants offense that scored six offensive touchdowns in a 45-14 road victory over the Redskins last Thursday night. The Giants lost to the Falcons 34-0 in Atlanta the last time these teams met, which was in 2012, but had won four straight straight-up against them prior to that blowout. Eight of the last nine games played between these teams have gone Under the total. WR Odell Beckham Jr. (hamstring) could make his debut for the Giants.

•KEY STATS
--ATLANTA is 3-18 ATS after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992.
--ATLANTA is 11-2 ATS away after allowing 24 points or more in the first half last game since 1992.
--ATLANTA is 7-0 UNDER after gaining 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992.

--NY GIANTS are 39-22 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive overs since 1992.
--NY GIANTS are 24-11 ATS off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog since 1992.
--NY GIANTS are 35-20 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog since 1992.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--ATLANTA is 6-4 against the spread versus NY GIANTS since 1992.
--NY GIANTS is 5-5 straight up against ATLANTA since 1992.
--7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--ATLANTA is 6-4 versus the first half line when playing against NY GIANTS since 1992.
--7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.

--Under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings.
--Road team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
--Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
--Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New York.
______________________________________

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#459 TAMPA BAY @ #460 NEW ORLEANS - 1:00 PM
The Saints turned the ball over three times in a 38-17 beating at the hands of the Cowboys in Dallas on Sunday night. The Buccaneers, meanwhile, came back to defeat the Steelers in Pittsburgh, 27-24, with Mike Glennon starting at quarterback and throwing a game-winning touchdown pass to Vincent Jackson with just seven seconds remaining. The Saints have won the last five games in this series straight-up and they’ve covered in four of those contests. The last time the Buccaneers beat the Saints in New Orleans was January 2nd, 2011. WR Mike Evans (groin) is out for the Buccaneers and S Dashon Goldson (ankle) is questionable.

•KEY STATS
--TAMPA BAY is 6-0 OVER in October games over the L3 seasons.
--TAMPA BAY is 8-0 OVER in weeks 5 through 9 over the L3 seasons.
--TAMPA BAY is 23-9 ATS away after a playing a game where 50+ total points were scored since 1992.

--NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS as a home favorite over the L2 seasons.
--NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 UNDER against conference opponents over the L2 seasons.
--NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS in a home game where total is greater than or equal to 45.5 the L2 seasons.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--NEW ORLEANS is 15-14 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY since 1992.
--NEW ORLEANS is 17-13 straight up against TAMPA BAY since 1992.
--17 of 30 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--NEW ORLEANS is 16-14 versus the first half line when playing against TAMPA BAY since 1992.
--18 of 29 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.

--Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.
--Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
--Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
--Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
--Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.
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#461 HOUSTON @ #462 DALLAS - 1:00 PM
These teams have met just twice since the Texans entered the league in 2002. The Texans beat the Cowboys 19-10 as nine-point underdogs in their inaugural game, but the most recent meeting was a 27-13 road victory for the Cowboys on September 26th, 2010. Dallas is coming off of a 38-17 victory at home over the Saints, while the Texans beat the Bills, 23-17. Houston’s 26th-ranked run defense will be facing a top-ranked Dallas rushing offense that’s averaging 165 yards per game on the ground. WR Andre Johnson (ankle) is listed as probable for the Texans in this one.

•KEY STATS
--HOUSTON is 5-19 ATS away versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game since 1992.
--HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=5.65 yards/play over the L2 seasons.
--HOUSTON is 6-16 ATS away when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) since 1992.

--DALLAS is 32-14 ATS at home after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.
--DALLAS is 22-7 OVER at home after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
--DALLAS is 10-2 ATS in the first half of the season over the L2 seasons.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--DALLAS is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON since 1992.
--DALLAS is 2-1 straight up against HOUSTON since 1992.
--3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--HOUSTON is 2-1 versus the first half line when playing against DALLAS since 1992.
--3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
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#463 BUFFALO @ #464 DETROIT - 1:00 PM
The most recent meeting between the Bills and Lions was November 14, 2010, a 14-12 win-and-cover at home for Buffalo while Detroit quarterback Matthew Stafford was sidelined with an injury. EJ Manuel is out as Buffalo’s starting quarterback, and veteran Kyle Orton is in, Manuel completed less than half his passes and threw two interceptions in a 23-17 loss to Houston on Sunday. The Lions are coming off a 24-17 road win against the Jets and enter this one with the NFL’s top-ranked defense. Orton is 4-0 in his career against Detroit with four touchdown passes, no interceptions and a 102.2 passer rating.

•KEY STATS
--BUFFALO is 10-1 ATS off a road loss over the L3 seasons.
--BUFFALO is 44-27 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
--BUFFALO is 5-16 ATS away versus good defensive teams - allowing <=285 yards/game since 1992.

--DETROIT is 0-8 ATS off a non-conference game over the L3 seasons.
--DETROIT is 15-4 OVER off 3 or more consecutive unders since 1992.
--DETROIT is 29-14 OVER off a road win since 1992.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--DETROIT is 2-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1992
--BUFFALO is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT since 1992
--4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992

--Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
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#465 BALTIMORE @ #466 INDIANAPOLIS - 1:00 PM
The Ravens defeated the Panthers 38-10 on Sunday, piling up 454 total yards in the process. The Colts also blew out their opponent, beating the Titans 41-17 at home thanks to 393 yards and four touchdowns from Andrew Luck. The last five meetings between the Colts and Ravens have gone Under the total. They last met in a playoff game on January 6th, 2013, when the Ravens won 24-9 in Baltimore. Luck threw for 288 yards in that game but was unable to find the end zone and threw an interception. Indianapolis has won the last five meetings at home between the teams, and they’ve covered in the last three.

•KEY STATS
--BALTIMORE is 75-53 ATS off 1 or more straight overs since 1992.
--BALTIMORE is 12-1 UNDER away after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1992.
--BALTIMORE is 18-4 UNDER after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1992.

--INDIANAPOLIS is 11-1 ATS at home after the first month of the season over the L3 seasons.
--INDIANAPOLIS is 8-0 ATS in a home game where total is between 45.5 and 49 points over L3 seasons.
--INDIANAPOLIS is 9-0 ATS at home vs. excellent kick return teams, 24+ yards per return L3 seasons.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--INDIANAPOLIS is 8-5 against the spread versus BALTIMORE since 1992.
--INDIANAPOLIS is 9-4 straight up against BALTIMORE since 1992.
--9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--INDIANAPOLIS is 9-4 versus the first half line when playing against BALTIMORE since 1992.
--7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.

--Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
--Ravens are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
--Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
--Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Indianapolis.
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#467 PITTSBURGH @ #468 JACKSONVILLE - 1:00 PM
The Jaguars fell to 0-4 both straight-up & versus the spread after a 33-14 loss at San Diego on Sunday. It’s the fourth straight season that Jacksonville has gotten off to a terrible start: The Jaguars went 1-4 SU & ATS over their first five games of 2011, 1-4 SU & 1-3-1 ATS to begin 2012, and 0-5 both SU & ATS to start 2013. Since entering the league in 1995, the Jaguars are 7-4 SU and 9-2 ATS when playing against the Steelers in Jacksonville. Pittsburgh is coming off a disappointing home loss in which it blew a late lead to lose 27-24 at home against the previously winless Buccaneers. Jaguars WR Cecil Shorts (hamstring) is questionable.

•KEY STATS
--PITTSBURGH is 7-0 OVER versus teams averaging <=70 rushing yards/game since 1992.
--PITTSBURGH is 27-14 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game since 1992.
--PITTSBURGH is 50-31 ATS in October games since 1992.

--JACKSONVILLE is 0-8 ATS versus defenses allowing >=4.5 rushing yards/carry over L3 seasons.
--JACKSONVILLE is 1-11 ATS in the first half of the season over the L2 seasons.
--JACKSONVILLE is 3-14 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the L3 seasons.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--JACKSONVILLE is 14-8 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH since 1992.
--JACKSONVILLE is 12-10 straight up against PITTSBURGH since 1992.
--13 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--JACKSONVILLE is 11-11 versus the first half line when playing against PITTSBURGH since 1992.
--12 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.

--Underdog is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
--Steelers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
--Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Jacksonville.
--Steelers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Jacksonville.
_______________________________________

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#469 ARIZONA @ #470 DENVER - 4:05 PM
The Cardinals head to Denver to take on the Broncos Sunday afternoon with both teams fresh off bye weeks, Denver has won and covered in four straight games when playing after bye weeks. Arizona should have quarterback Carson Palmer back from a shoulder injury, which would bode well for a team that was able to pick up two crucial victories with journeyman Drew Stanton under center. These teams have met just five times since 1992 and the Broncos have owned this series, going 4-1 straight-up and against the spread in those games. They have won and covered in both home games and all five have gone Over the posted total.

•KEY STATS
--Bruce Arians is 22-10 ATS in all lined games.
--ARIZONA is 15-4 UNDER in the first half of the season over the L3 seasons.
--ARIZONA is 14-4 OVER after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games since 1992.

--DENVER is 15-3 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
--DENVER is 14-2 OVER at home vs. poor kickoff return teams, less than 19 yards per return since 1992.
--DENVER is 16-2 OVER vs. poor kickoff return teams, less than 19 yards per return since 1992.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--DENVER is 4-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA since 1992.
--DENVER is 4-1 straight up against ARIZONA since 1992.
--5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--DENVER is 3-2 versus the first half line when playing against ARIZONA since 1992.
--3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.

--Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
--Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
--Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
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#471 KANSAS CITY @ #472 SAN FRANCISCO - 4:25 PM
The Chiefs and 49ers have met just four times since the year 2000. The most recent meeting between these teams was September 26th, 2010, when the Chiefs won 31-10 as three-point home underdogs. The 49ers defense has been stifling at times this season, allowing just 217.5 passing yards per game and 69.8 rushing yards per game. The Chiefs will try to establish running back Jamaal Charles early, but could have difficulty against a tough 49ers’ run defense that’s one of only two in the league giving up an average of fewer than 70 rushing yards per contest. TE Vernon Davis (back) is questionable for the 49ers.

•KEY STATS
--Andy Reid is 16-4 UNDER when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest.
--KANSAS CITY is 18-6 ATS against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
--KANSAS CITY is 8-1 ATS away in games played on a grass field over the L2 seasons.

--SAN FRANCISCO is 40-23 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points since 1992.
--SAN FRANCISCO is 11-3 OVER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better over L3 seasons.
--SAN FRANCISCO is 8-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 games over L3 seasons.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--KANSAS CITY is 5-1 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO since 1992.
--KANSAS CITY is 4-2 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO since 1992.
--3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--SAN FRANCISCO is 3-3 versus the first half line when playing against KANSAS CITY since 1992.
--3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.

--Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
--Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
--Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
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#473 NY JETS @ #474 SAN DIEGO - 4:25 PM
The Jets fly across the country to take on a red-hot San Diego team on Sunday. New York had just 336 total yards in a 24-17 home loss to the Detroit Lions during Week #4. The Jets are now up against a Chargers defense that allowed just 319 total yards in a 33-14 blowout over the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Chargers caused three turnovers in that game and will look to do the same against erratic New York quarterback Geno Smith. Philip Rivers has been on a tear over the last three weeks and now faces a Jets team that’s one of six in the league to have allowed opposing QBs to post a passer rating of better than 104 this season.

•KEY STATS
--NY JETS are 8-1 OVER against teams who commit 0.75 or less TO/game on the season since 1992.
--Rex Ryan is 15-2 OVER vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return with JETS.
--Rex Ryan is 9-1 OVER away in October games as coach of NY JETS.

--SAN DIEGO is 9-1 ATS in the first half of the season over the L2 seasons.
--SAN DIEGO is 0-7 ATS at home off 1 or more straight overs over the L3 seasons.
--SAN DIEGO is 26-6 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--NY JETS is 6-3 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO since 1992.
--NY JETS is 5-4 straight up against SAN DIEGO since 1992.
--6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--NY JETS is 5-4 versus the first half line when playing against SAN DIEGO since 1992.
--6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.

--Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
--Jets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
--Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
--Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in San Diego.
_______________________________________

#475 CINCINNATI @ #476 NEW ENGLAND - 8:30 PM
The Bengals were undefeated heading into their Week #4 bye and now take on a Patriots team that got demolished (14-41) in Kansas City on Monday Night Football. Over the last three years, the Bengals are 2-1 straight-up and versus the spread coming off of their bye. The last time these teams met was in Cincinnati on October 6th, 2013, with the Bengals winning 13-6 as a two-point home underdog. New England allowed the Bengals to rush for 162 yards in that game and the Patriots will have their hands full with Jeremy Hill now a factor in the Cincinnati running game. When playing in New England since 1992, the Pats are 4-0 SU but 1-3 ATS vs. Cincy.

•KEY STAT
--CINCINNATI is 2-13 ATS away vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return since 1992.
--CINCINNATI is 19-6 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 since 1992.
--CINCINNATI is 12-3 ATS in games played on turf over the L2 seasons.

--NEW ENGLAND is 7-0 OVER at home vs. teams with a completion pct. of 64%+ over the L3 seasons.
--NEW ENGLAND is 9-1 OVER at home vs. teams averaging 235+ passing yards/game. over L3 seasons.
--NEW ENGLAND is 11-2 OVER versus teams averaging >=350 yards/game over the L3 seasons.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--CINCINNATI is 7-3 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND since 1992.
--NEW ENGLAND is 7-3 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992.
--5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--NEW ENGLAND is 6-4 versus the first half line when playing against CINCINNATI since 1992.
--6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
_______________________________________

Monday, 10/6/2014

#477 SEATTLE @ #478 WASHINGTON - 8:35 PM
The Seahawks are coming off of their bye week, prior to which they won 26-20 in overtime against the Broncos behind 258 yards and two touchdowns passing from Russell Wilson. Wilson now gets to throw against a Redskins’ defense that allowed 300 yards and four touchdowns passing in a 45-14 home defeat at the hands of Eli Manning and the Giants last Thursday night. The last time these teams met was in the playoffs on January 6th, 2013. The Seahawks won 24-14 in Washington. Redskins quarterback Kirk Cousins saw time late in that game and went just 3-of-10 for 31 yards.

•KEY STATS
--SEATTLE is 21-8 ATS against conference opponents over the L3 seasons.
--SEATTLE is 11-3 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the L3 seasons.
--SEATTLE is 10-1 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7+ passing yards/att. over the L3 seasons.

--WASHINGTON is 68-42 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
--WASHINGTON is 52-28 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 7+ passing yards/att. since 1992.
--WASHINGTON is 10-26 ATS at home after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse since 1992.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--WASHINGTON is 6-6 against the spread versus SEATTLE since 1992.
--WASHINGTON is 7-6 straight up against SEATTLE since 1992.
--7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--WASHINGTON is 8-5 versus the first half line when playing against SEATTLE since 1992.
--9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.

--Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
--Seahawks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
--Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik

Indy/Baltimore Over
Atlanta Falcons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Colin Cowherd Blazing 5

NY Giants
Bears
Buffalo
Jets
Redskins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 5

Bears (2-2) @ Panthers (2-2)— Carolina allowed 75 points in losing last two games after 2-0 start; they were outrushed 391-109 in losses and haven’t forced a turnover yet, after forcing three in each of their two wins. Chicago won both its road games, is 0-2 at home; go figure; they had 446 yards in home loss to Packers last week, but Pack scored five TD, kicked two FGs, never punted. Panthers are 10-5-1 as a home favorite under Rivera, 1-1 this year. Bears lost battle for field position in all four games, by 4-4-8-24 yards; they're 6-10-1 as road dogs since '11, but 2-0 this season. NFC South teams are 3-7 vs spread out of division, 2-5 when favored. NFC North teams are 6-6, 4-4 as underdogs. Carolina coach Rivera was a LB for Bears in his playing days.

Browns (1-2) @ Titans (1-3)—Tennessee lost last three games by 16-26-24 points after upsetting Chiefs in opener; they’ve turned ball over seven times in losses, while converting just 5-30 on 3rd down. Titans are 8-12-1 in last 21 games as a home fave, 0-1 this year. All three Cleveland games were decided in last 0:06, with all three going over total; three of four Titans games stayed under. Browns scored 21+ points in all three games, are off bye week. Browns are 6-9-1 in last 16 games as road dog, 1-0 this year. Titans are 7-3 in series, winning 28-9/31-13 in last two meetings; Browns are 2-3 in five visits here, with both wins by FG. AFC North teams are 5-1 vs spread out of division, 2-0 as underdogs; AFC South teams are 5-7, 3-3 when favored.

Rams (1-2) @ Eagles (3-1)—Concern with Philly OL after they didn’t even try to run ball in from 2-yard line with game on line in last minutes at SF Sunday. Even in three wins, Iggles trailed all three games by 10+ points; not sure Foles is 100% after big hit he took in Week 3 vs Redskins. Rams are off bye after blowing 21-0 lead at home to Dallas, losing 34-31; Davis has been pleasant surprise at QB, converting 13-24 on 3rd down, averaging 7.1/7.8 ypa in first two NFL starts. St Louis is 10-7 as a road dog under Fisher. Philly is 10-18 in last 28 games as home favorite; 4-6 under Kelly. Eagles won last three series games by 1-35-18 points; Rams lost five of last six visits here, but last visit was in ’08. NFC West teams are 5-5 vs spread out of division, 3-1 on road; NFC East teams are 7-4, 3-0 when favored.

Falcons (2-2) @ Giants (2-2)—Atlanta allowed 12.6/10.6 ypa in losing first two road games, allowing 65 points without forcing turnover (-5); they’ve scored 28+ points in three of four games, with home side covering all four. Falcons are 3-6 in last nine games as road dogs. Giants rebounded from 0-2 start by scoring 75 points in wins over Texans/Redskins, scoring nine TDs on 25 drives, forcing nine turnovers (+7) after being -6 in first two games. Big Blue is 8-3 in last 11 games as home favorites, 1-1 this year. Giants won four of last five series games, but lost 34-0 in last meeting in 2012, in Georgia Dome. NFC South teams are 1-5 vs spread in non-divisional road games; NFC East teams are 7-4 out of division, 3-0 when favored. Three of four games for both teams went over total.

Bucs (1-3) @ Saints (1-3)—Third straight road game for Tampa, historically an NFL soft spot, but Bucs showed life behind backup QB Glennon last week, rallying from down 24-13 to beat Steelers in last minute on road. Saints won only home game, lackluster 20-9 win over Vikings; they’ve forced just one turnover this year (-6), none in last three games, but won last five games with Tampa Bay, winning last three here by average score of 37-11. NO is 19-3-1 in last 23 games as home favorite, 3-0 in last three when laying double digits. Bucs are 3-6 in last nine games as a road dog; they've been outscored 72-17 in first half this year; two of their three TDs last week were on drives of less than 50 yards. Saint defense can’t get people off field; foes converted 27 of 56 (48.2%) on 3rd down against New Orleans.

Texans (3-1) @ Cowboys (3-1)—Underdogs are 25-8 vs spread in Cowboy home games in Garrett era; he is 6-20 as a home fave. Dallas scored 32.7 ppg in winning, covering last three games; they’re averaging 165 rushing yards for year, creating manageable 3rd down situations- they’ve converted 55.1% of their 3rd down plays. Houston is 6-10-1 in last 17 games as a road dog; they converted just 7 of last 26 on 3rd down, turning ball over three times in each of last two games, but defense scored go-ahead TD in last week’s home win over Bills. Cowboys won two of three series games, winning 34-6 in only game played here, in ‘xx. NFC East non-divisional favorites are 3-0 vs spread; AFC South teams are 5-7 vs spread out of division, 2-4 as road dogs.

Bills (2-2) @ Lions (3-1)—Detroit fired Schwartz after last year; he is now Buffalo's DC; think this game means extra to him? Buffalo gave young QB Manuel quick hook, start veteran backup Orton under center here, after losing last two games; last week’s loss turned on Manuel’s red zone pick-6 that became winning 80-yard TD for Texans. Bills have only three TDs on last 11 red zone drives; they're 6-16-1 in last 23 games as a road dog. Detroit is 5-8 in last 13 games as a home favorite; they've allowed 17 or less points in all three wins, have converted 21-33 (63.9%) of 3rd down plays at home, winning both games by 21-12 points. Home side won last five series games; Bills lost three of four visits here, with last win in 1979. AFC East teams are 3-8 vs spread, 2-1 as road dogs. All four Buffalo games, last three Lion games stayed under total.

Ravens (3-1) @ Colts (2-2)—Indy scored 44-41 points in winning last two games (9 TDs on 23 drives) after starting year 0-2; they converted 15 of last 28 on 3rd down, forced six turnovers (+5) in two wins. Both teams have stretched out passing game in last two weeks; Ravens averaged 7.0/10.5 ypa in last two games, Colts 8.6/9.6- Indy has 16 plays of 20+ yards in last two games. Baltimore is 3-6-1 in last ten games as a road underdog, but won only road game this year, at Cleveland. Colts are 7-5 as home favorites under Pagano, 2-0 this year; they're 9-4 in this series, but lost 24-10/24-9 in last two meetings; Ravens are 0-5 at Indy, losing 31-3/20-3 in last two visits here. AFC North teams are 5-1 vs spread in non-divisional games, 2-0 as underdogs. Last three Colt games went over the total.

Steelers (2-2) @ Jaguars (0-4)— Steelers are 11-21-1 as road favorites with Tomlin as coach, 6-18 as non-divisional road favorite since '05. Bad loss for Pitt last week, blowing 24-13 lead, losing in last 0:20 to Bucs after Brown dropped easy TD on flea-flicker when Steelers led 24-20. Penalties are issue for Pitt; they’ve been flagged 44 times for 387 yards (94.3 ypg). Jaguars have to win or cover, losing 44-17 to Colts in only home game; they’ve lost badly in field position this year (by 9-14-11-18 yards) and turned ball over three times in each of last two games (-6). Teams haven’t met since ’11; Pitt won last two meetings 26-21/17-13, won three of last four visits here. Jaguars are 6-19-1 in last 26 games as home underdogs; they lost only home game so far this year, 44-17 to Colts. Three of four games for both sides went over total.

Cardinals (3-0) @ Broncos (2-1)—One of NFL’s last two unbeaten as 7-point dogs? Arizona allowed 17-14-14 points in its three wins, and teams they beat are combined 7-2 in other games; their defense will go against Bronco squad that scored only 27 second half points in three games, but 17 came in last game, with Welker back from suspension. Arizona QB Stanton is 2-0 as starter for injured Palmer, but with only two TDs in eight red zone drives. Denver is 7-1-1 in series, but lost 43-13 in desert in last meeting in 2010; Redbirds are 0-4 in Denver, losing last two visits here by combined score of 75-13. Arizona is 4-2 as road dog under Arians; Denver is 12-5 in last 17 games as home favorite, but 0-2 this year. AFC West teams are 8-4 vs spread out of division, 2-2 as home favorites; NFC West teams are 5-5, 3-1 on road. All three games for both teams stayed under total.

Chiefs (2-2) @ 49ers (2-2)— You think Alex Smith is pumped up for this game, cast aside by 49ers after going 19-5-1 as their starting QB in 2011-12? Resurgent Chiefs scored 75 points in winning last two games, after scoring 27 in pair of opening losses; long travel on short work week makes this tough spot, though. 49ers allowed 21+ points in each of last three games, but all three TDs they gave up to Eagles last week came on special teams/defense. Home side won last eight series games, with four of last five decided by 14+ points; Chiefs lost last four visits here, three by 14+ points- their lone win here was in ‘76. AFC West teams are 8-4 vs spread out of division, 2-2 as home favorites; NFC West teams are 5-5, 3-1 on road. All four 49er games this season stayed under total.

Jets (1-3) @ Chargers (3-1)—Jets lost last three games since beating winless Raiders in opener; they’ve forced total of two turnovers in four games (-6). Gang Green is 26-59 (44.1%) on 3rd down, which is good, but with only 26 points n last eight red zone drives, at what point do they have to give Vick shot under center, before season slips away? Bolts are 2-0 at home, winning 30-21/33-14; they’re 3-1 as home favorites under McCoy. Chargers haven’t turned ball over in last three games (+4), averaged 9.7/8.9 ypa in last two games and have won field position by 7+ yards in every game. Jets are 12-14-1 as road underdogs under Ryan, 6-10-1 in non-divisional games. AFC East teams are 3-8 vs spread out of division, 2-1 as road underdogs; AFC West teams are 8-4, 2-2 as home favorites. Home side lost seven of last nine series games; Jets won four of last five visits here.

Bengals (3-0) @ Patriots (2-2)—New England looked old/slow in dreadful Monday night loss in Kansas City; remember they’re 26-9 vs spread in game after their last 35 losses and 24-17 vs spread in last 41 home games, 16-10 in last 26 non-divisional games- since ’05, they’re 1-1 as home underdogs. On first drive of each half, Pats gained total of only 65 yards on 28 plays, with no points. Bengals have yet to allow point on first drive of a half; they held all three opponents to 5.1 or less ypa and outscored foes 44-3 in first half of games- they are 20-10-1 in last 31 games where spread was 3 or less points. NE is 10-6 in last 16 games with spread of 3 or less. AFC East home teams are 0-6 vs spread in non-divisional games. AFC North teams are 5-1 vs spread outside their division. All three Bengal games stayed under total.

Seahawks (2-1) @ Redskins (1-3)—Washington imploded in last game, turning ball over six times, converting 1-8 on 3rd down in 45-14 home loss to division rival Giants. Skins’ only win was over lowly Jaguars, now defending champs come in off bye. Seattle is 5-3 in last eight games as road favorite but lost only road game this year, at San Diego. Redskins is 3-4 in last nine games as a home dog; they won six of last nine series games- all three losses came in playoff games. NFC West teams are 5-5 vs spread outside division, 3-1 on road. NFC East teams are 7-4 vs spread, 3-2 as underdogs. Last three Washington games, two of three Seahawk games went over the total. Serious question: If you’re Pete Carroll, how much do you tell ESPN’s Jon Gruden in your production meeting, seeing as his brother coaches the Redskins?

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports

Complimentary NFL Pick for October 5th, 2014

Game: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Time: Sunday 10/05 1:00 PM Eastern
Pick: Game Total OVER 47 (-110) at Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu)

The Pittsburgh Steelers don't often let games get away from them, but they allowed a pretty bad Tampa Bay team to steal one behind a semi-rookie quarterback in the final seconds last week, and allowed it to happen at home. That made three of four Steelers' opponents that have scored 26 points or more. When those teams are Carolina, Cleveland and Tampa Bay, it appears as if the Steelers' defense no longer has much bite. Fortunately for them they face Jacksonville in this one. The Jags haven't been able to slow anyone down. Jacksonville has allowed 152 points in four games or 38 points per game, so the Steelers should be in the end-zone often in this one. Jacksonville is 7-1 to the OVER in their last eight after scoring fewer than 15 points in their previous game, and all four of their games have topped the total this season. Since Mike Tomlin took over in Pittsburgh, the Steelers are 23-13 OVER as a road favorite. Play on the OVER in this one.

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Art Aronson

Seahawks / Redskins UNDER 45.5
Chicago / Carolina UNDER 45.5
Buffalo / Detroit OVER 44

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Trev Rogers

Jets +7

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BEN BURNS

BREAKFAST CLUB carolina

3 GAME (ONLY 2 were posted) st louis, jacksonville

BLUE CHIP TOTAL jets/sd under

PERSONAL FAVORITE sf

MAIN EVENT new england

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WINSPORTSNOW

Best Bets Program Report

NY Giants -4
Jets Over 43.5
Bengals -1

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Captainsplays

all 1 unit

Totals
Denver u48
Detroit u44
NYG o50

Sides
Cincy pk
Arizona +7.5
Cleveland +2
Tampa Bay +10.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman


6-Unit Play. Take #462 Dallas (-6) over Houston (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 5)
This play is from my NFL 411 System.
The Cowboys are red hot. This line has jumped from -4 to -6 and it could get higher. They destroyed the Saints on Sunday night and have won three straight games since the season opening loss to San Francisco. They are the biggest and best football team in Texas. They are going to want to show it. Houston is 3-1. But they were very fortunate to win last week. The Bills were going to take the lead in the second quarter when J.J. Watt took an interception the length of the field. That was a huge shift in that game. The Texans were blown out by the Giants on the road already this year. I think the same thing will happen here. Dallas will want to show its "little brother" who is boss and they will run up the score against Houston. Take the Cowboys.



3-Unit Play. Take #464 Detroit (-7) over Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 5)
I like the Lions to blow out the Bills here. The Bills made a controversial move this week. They benched their starting quarterback even though they are 2-2. They are going to unproven Kyle Orton. Orton is a backup and hasn't been a consistent NFL starter for years. He has only been with the team for two months. The Bills have lost two straight after winning the first two games. Those two wins are starting to look like flukes for an organization that is in trouble. Detroit is 2-0 at home. They shut down Eli Manning and Aaron Rodgers in those two games. They are coming off a big road win last week and they are 3-1 ATS so far this year. The home team has won five straight in this series and that dates back 20 years. I like the home team in this one.



4-Unit Play. Take #465 Baltimore (+3.5) over Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 5)
This is a great underdog price on Baltimore. They are coming off a blowout win last week over Carolina. I think they can do it again on the road. The Colts have won their last two games by the score of 41-17 and 44-17. But those two wins came against two of the worst teams in the league with the Titans and Jaguars. If you go back and include the preseason the Ravens have gone 7-1 ATS this year. The Ray Rice distraction has helped this team come together. They are better offensively. And this Baltimore team is starting to really improve on offense. They have outgained all four of their opponents this year, even Cincinnati. The Ravens won the last two meetings in 2011 and in the playoffs last January. I think they do it again here.



4-Unit Play. Take #467 Pittsburgh (-6.5) over Jacksonville (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 5)
The Steelers will bounce back. Mike Tomlin has been very angry all week. He has had to answer questions about being a ?players coach?. I think that he is going to crack the whip. The Steelers know they can't fall too far behind the Bengals and Ravens in the North. This is a very sad Jaguars team. They have lost by at least 17 points in all of their games. That includes losing by 27 points in their last home game. The Jaguars are 0-4 ATS and the books have not adjusted to how bad this team is. They have been outscored 151-58 so far this year. They have been outscored by almost 100 points already! The Steelers bounce back with an easy win here.



4-Unit Play. Take #469 Arizona (+7.5) over Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 5)
I like the points in this game. Arizona is unbeaten for a reason. They have won three big games against three very good teams, beating San Diego, the Giants and the 49ers. I think that the bye week was a big help to them. It is helping the Cards get healthy. Denver sulked all through its bye week. They lost the rematch game with Seattle then they had to think about that for two weeks. Denver is 0-3 ATS so far this year and they have been outgained in all three games. That is a bad sign for a team like this. This is an aging Denver team and they have not been as good as advertised. They are just 1-5 ATS at home and the Cardinals are 5-0 ATS on the road. Arizona is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games. I think Arizona will beat them up like Seattle did. I think the Cardinals have a great change for an upset here. Take the points.



3-Unit Play. Take #474 San Diego (-6.5) over N.Y. Jets (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 5)
The Chargers are 4-0 ATS this year and they are playing as well as anyone in the league. The Jets have lost three straight. There are major issues at quarterback and the coach could be a lame duck soon. The Jets have to travel across the country and that can take a toll on the players after three straight tough games against the Packers, Bears and Lions. The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games and already have big wins over the Seahawks and Jaguars. This team is hot. The Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games and they are 2-5 ATS after a loss. The Jets have major problems. The Chargers will make things worse and win big here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports


5 Unit Play. #476 Take New England Patriots +1.5 over Cincinnati Bengals (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC) TOP NFL Game of the Weekend. New England could not have played any worse last week in Kansas City, and because of that they enter this game as an underdog at home for just the second time in close to a decade. Cincinnati could very well be the best team in the AFC, but they have never handled prosperity all that well in recent years. Much like Tampa Bay winning for us last week, all of these players are professionals, and pride is on the line when they are coming off an embarrassing game. The Patriots need this game and they get it at Foxborough.



4 Unit Play. #471 Take Kansas City Chiefs +6 over San Francisco 49ers (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) The 49ers dominated the line of scrimmage on both sides of the football last week against Philadelphia and still had to hang on for dear life to earn a home victory. I do not expect that kind of domination this week against Kansas City, a team that has won two straight games in dominating fashion. The visitor is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 San Francisco home games. Kansas City has a bye on deck, and this falls into a 12-4 ATS trend (1 push) when teams are coming off a Monday Night Football Game. Coach Reid has a knack of keeping games close, and I just do not see Kansas City getting blown out in this game. If the Chiefs can hang with Denver at Sports Authority Field, they can take this game down to the wire as well.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Raphael Esparza
5 U Denver -7

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INDIAN COWBOY

8-Unit Play #458. Take New York Giants -3.5 over Atlanta (Sunday @1pm est)

These teamsdislike each other more than most people realize. For starters, Atlanta hadlost to this team in the playoffs a few years ago and was drummed up in NewYork and ever since then bad blood was there between these two teams. Atlantatook out all of their frustrations when they beat this team in their mostrecent affair 34-0 in 2012. Now, the Giants who did not score a point inAtlanta at the Dome look for revenge here at home. Atlanta does come off a lossto Minnesota which is a bit worrisome but having said that, the Falcons havebeat two teams outside the top 20 in power rankings including the Bucs andSaints. Combine that with the Giants having played a much tougher schedulelosing to the likes of Detroit and Arizona, both competent teams and nowbeating two teams in Houston who is around the top 16 and Washington on theroad in a big win, this is a nice spot for the Giants to get revenge from the2012 loss. Atlanta is a good team, but a .500 team as that defense is porous asthe Vikings showed. Look for Atlanta to stay close early but then the Giants tomake adjustments as Coughlin is significantly a better coach than Mike Smithand we have the Giants winning this contest by likely double-digits here. TheGiants will not get shutout like they did in 2012 and though the Falcons willbe motivated, this will be a public loss as well as the public are on Atlantacatching the points. The Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last 13 road games andthe Giants are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 5 - this is when Coughlinmakes the adjustments after a slow start every year.

5-Unit Play. #468. Take Over 47 Pittsburgh vs. Jacksonville(Sunday @ 1pm est)

This was nearly abigger step out but we did not want to release a bigger step-out on a total.Per this game, after Pittsburgh was embarrrassed at home by a loss to Tampa Bay(which was not their fault given that TB coming off their worst drubbing to thehands of the Falcons on national television) - but its a game that thePittsburgh defense should have held on. Nevertheless as they stroll intoJacksonville, they are just a 6 point favorite and this time, the public istaking note as Jacksonville played a pretty good contest at San Diego - butnotice San Diego is a much improved team continuing to shape up from lastyear's playoff run. Look for Jacksonville to continue to improve, look forPittsburgh to be much better offensively and look for Jacksonville to pushPittsburgh as this will likely be a high scoring affair and surprsie somefolks. We have this game in the 52 range which is wh you see a 47 total on thisgame which seems a bit high. Note that the Over is 4-0 for the Steelersfollowing a straight up loss (see the Caorlina Over after the Baltimore loss)and the Over is 5-1 for the Jaguars in their last 6 home games (indicating theyare an active underdog at home)

3-Unit Play. #472. Take San Francisco -6 over Kansas City (Sudnay@ 4:25pm est)

It's tough to seethis happening but we do think that San Fran does well here at home againstKansas City. Though KC looked amazing on Monday Night Football, this is aclassic let down spot here for this team as they hook up against San Fran. Ifanyone knows Alex Smith well it's Harbaugh and with as much heat as he hastaken with the Niners with his impending contract, the Michigan rumors, theRaiders job now open as they will pursue him heavily and open up their walletsas Harbaugh is frankly perfect for the Raiders job, this team does well againstadversity. Harbaugh and the Niners have their backs against the walls in thatdivision at 2-2 and looking to avoid going 2-3 and this is a must win. As down,they face a Chiefs that are on a high, facing their old quarterback and thisteam getting a lot of heat for losing to two good teams in Chicago (a late letdown) and of course the loss to the Cardinals (a competent Bruce Arians team).This team is much better and the Chiefs struggle against tough defensive linessuch as the Titans and the Broncos. Good public fade here to boot as well asthe public is heavily on the underdog which isn't that much of a surprise afterthe big Monday Night win by the Chiefs. Classic let down spot and Harbaugh willlook to give Smith all he can handle here. We have the Niners possibly by double-digitsas the Chiefs running game runs against a wall here against the Ninersdefensive line and line backing core.

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Strike Point Sports

7*- Ny Giants
3*- Houston Texans

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Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play Sun Saints -10

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Cappers Access

Panthers -3
Chargers -6.5
Bengals Pk

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River City Sharps

The Pittsburgh Steelers are still smarting from their stunning last-minute loss to the Tampa Bay Bucs and need to start feeling good about themselves. Looks like it’s a perfect time to take a trip to Jacksonville to meet up with Blake Bortles and the Jags! The Steelers seemingly had the Tampa game in the bag until Mike Glennon led the Bucs down the field late to grab the road victory. Remember that just the week before, the Steelers had gone into Carolina and convincingly beat Cam Newton and the Panthers. We like that road moxie and think it shows itself here again vs. the Jags on Sunday. While Bortles looks like he can make all of the throws, he is still locked in to receivers too much and that may be a problem against the Pittsburgh ball-hawking secondary. We get a veteran team with the better head coach (Tomlin) on the road trying to bounce back…and we get them at less than a touchdown against a team that has been outscored 152-41 since their 17-0 lead over the Eagles in the season opener. Jacksonville is just 3-11 as a home underdog over the past three seasons and 1-11 ATS in the first half of seasons over the past two seasons. Big Ben and the Steelers take care of business on the road and win this one by double digits. The Sharps say…

3 UNITS – PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-6)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NonStopSportsPicks

2* Teaser 2 Team 7 Point Falcons & Saints

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Inside the Stats - Week 5
By Marc Lawrence

Week Five of the 2014 NFL season is here and with it only two teams remain undefeated – Arizona and Cincinnati, both of whom avoided the grim reaper with Bye Weeks.

As we do each week, let’s take a deeper look inside the stats and analyze the numbers to date.

Remember, all results are ATS (Against The Spread) in games played this season through Monday, Sept. 29 unless noted otherwise.

By Land or by Air

With September in the rear view mirror, here are the leading college football offensive and defensive rushing and passing stats complied season to date against FBS teams only with a minimum of three game results. Stats compiled in FCS games are excluded.

Looking Inside the Stats

As you know, football games are won on the field and the scoreboard. To re-iterate, gambling public reacts more to the score than the stats inside the game.

Here are the phony teams playing this week who won phony ‘inside-out’ ITS (In The Stats) in their last game; won the game but were out-gained by 100 or more yards:

-- NFL: Green Bay Packers.

These are the teams playing this week who lost phony ‘inside-out’ ITS (In The Stats) in their last game; lost the game but out-yarded their opponent by 100 or more yards:

-- NFL: Chicago Bears and St. Louis Rams.

Who’s Hot And Who’s Not

From my weekly NFL column in the USA TODAY SPORTS WEEKLY, here are some of the hottest trends surrounding this week’s card from my all-knowing database:

-- Atlanta Falcons head coach Mike Smith is 16-3 ATS in his NFL career in games off a loss of eight or more points, including 10-3 SU and 13-0 ATS if his squad’s win percentage is .400 or greater.

-- The Chicago Bears are 2-0 SU and ATS in games in which they have been out-gained this season. Chicago is 0-2 SU and ATS in games in which they have out-gained their opponents.

-- Chicago quarterback Jay Cutler is 0-4 ATS in his NFL career as a dog versus opponents off back-to-back losses by an average loss of 15 points per game.

-- Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton is 18-6 SU and ATS In his NFL career in games off a win when facing a non-division opponent, including 6-0 ATS during the first four games of the season.

-- The Detroit Lions held their first three opponents to season low yards this campaign. They held the New York Jets to a 2nd low yardage mark last week.

-- St. Louis Rams head coach Jeff Fisher is 91-62-1 ATS as an underdog. He has faced Philadelphia only once in his NFL career, defeating the Eagles 31-13 as a 13-point underdog in 2006.

STAT OF THE WEEK

Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is 0-5 SU and ATS in his last five games versus winless opponents.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gridiron Angles - Week 5
By Vince Akins

NFL USER TREND:

-- The Rams are 17-1-1 ATS since November 27, 2005 on the road against a non-divisonal opponent that had less than 200 passing yards in their last game.

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

-- The Bills are 11-0 ATS (7.7 ppg) since December 20, 1997 as a 7+ dog when they lost and failed to cover their last two games

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

-- The Jaguars are 0-10 ATS (-11.8 ppg) since September 30, 2012 when facing a team that ha s allowed more than 4.4 yards per carry season-to-date.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

-- The Lions are 0-12-1 ATS (-7.3 ppg) past week one when Calvin Johnson had at least seven receptions in a loss the last time they faced this team.

NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Steelers are 0-10 ATS as a road favorite by at least six points.

NFL SUPER SYSTEM:

-- Teams that lost by a TD in overtime last game are 43-34-3 ATS. Active on Denver.

NFL O/U TREND:

-- The Eagles are 12-0 OU (10.2 ppg) since November 27, 2008 on artificial turf after a loss as a dog.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Tech Trends - Week 5
By Bruce Marshall

Sunday, Oct. 5

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

CHICAGO at CAROLINA..Bears have won and covered first two as dog on road this season. Chicago also "over" 7-1 last seven since late 2013. "Over" and Bears, based on "totals" and team trends

CLEVELAND at TENNESSEE...Titans no covers and outscored 100-34 last three after opening win over KC. Browns "over" 3-0 TY. "Over" and Browns, based on "totals" and team trends.

ST. LOUIS at PHILADELPHIA...Eagles "over" 5-2-1 last eight reg.-season games. Rams 1-0 as road dog TY, in fact road team 3-0 vs. line in Ram games this season. Fisher 2-6 in role LY but was 7-1 getting points away in 2012.
Slight to "over" and Rams, based on team and "totals" trends.

ATLANTA at NY GIANTS...G-Men have recovered quick with two SU wins and covers in a row. NYG also "over" 3-1 TY. Falcs 4-9-1 vs. spread last 14 away. Giants and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

TAMPA BAY at NEW ORLEANS...Saints now 18-0 SU and 17-0-1 vs. line at Superdome since 2011 with Sean Payton on sidelines. Saints have also covered 4 of last 5 in series. Saints, based on team trends.

HOUSTON at DALLAS...Jerry Jones 6-15 vs. line last 21 in Arlington. Texans, based on extended Dallas home negatives..

BUFFALO at DETROIT...Lions 7-3 vs. spread as host since 2013. Bills 2-10 last 12 as dog away from home. Lions, based on team trends.

BALTIMORE at INDIANAPOLIS...Ravens 8-3 last 11 overall as dog. Indy 6-6 last 12 as Lucas Oil chalk. Ravens, based on team trends.

PITTSBURGH at JACKSONVILLE...Jags 0-4 SU and vs. line, also "over" 9-3-1 last 13 since mid 2013. Steel just 3-8 as road chalk since 2011 "Over" and slight to Steelers, based on "totals" and team trends.

ARIZONA at DENVER...Broncos now 0-3 vs. line TY, also "under" 2-0-1 after long-running "over" trends prior. Cards "under" 3-0 TY and 6-2 "under" last 8 since late 2013. "Under," based on recent "totals" trends.

KANSAS CITY at SAN FRANCISCO...49ers "under" 11-4 last 15 since mid 2013. Andy Reid 9-1 vs. line away in reg.-season games with Chiefs. Chiefs and "under," based on team trends.

NY JETS at SAN DIEGO...Bolts 8-2 vs. spread last ten since late 2013. But Rexy 7-3 as dog since LY, and underdog is 3-0 in Jets games TY. Slight to Jets, based on recent Rex dog mark.

CINCINNATI at NEW ENGLAND...Bengals 11-2 vs. line last 13 away in reg.-season games. Patriots 1-4 vs. line last five since late 2013. Bengals, based on recent trends.


Monday, Oct. 6

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

SEATTLE at WASHINGTON...Skins 3-9 vs. line last 12 since mid 2013 (1-3 for Jay Gruden). Seahawks 26-12-2 vs. spread overall since 2012. Seahawks, based on Redskins negatives.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

marc lawrence phone plays

NEW ENGLAND
BALT
CLEV
JETS
DEN

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Crusher
Los Angeles Dodgers -157 over St. Louis Cardinals - pending
Detroit Tigers -168 over Baltimore O's
(System Record: 107-2, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 107-75

Rest of the Plays
Los Angeles Angels +118 over KC Royals
Los Angeles Angels + Kansas City Royals OVER 7
Detroit Tigers + Baltimore Orioles UNDER 7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Crusher
Nevada +4 over Boise St - pending
Arizona Cardinals +7.5 over Denver Broncos
(System Record: 12-2, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 12-12-1

Rest of the Plays
Chicago Bears +2.5 over Carolina Panthers
Jacksonville Jaguars +6 over Pittsburgh Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals -115 over New England Patriots

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Crusher
Club Brugge + Standard Liege OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Belgium
(System Record: 642-22, won last game)Overall Record: 642-534-97

[golden contender]

NFL at or near the top of most major leader boards. Sunday card has 5 Powerful plays led by the 6* Afternoon Blowout that has 2 Perfect systems and 5 angles that combined add to 61-0, their is a 26-0 Sunday night NFL Top play, the Non Divisional Total of the Month in early action along with an early 5* side and a MLB Total in the evening game with 7 big angles. Free NFL System Play below.



On Sunday in early action the free NFL System Club play is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 453 at 1:00 eastern. Some powerful systems in this game. We play against home favorites of less than 5 off back to back road less like the Titans the last of which was by 30 or more points if they have no rest. These home teams are 2-11 ats A 44-17 system plays on Cleveland here as we again go against home favorites that allowed 35 or more as a road dog and lost to the spread by 10+ points. The Titans are 0-8 ats off a road game. The Browns are 6-0 ats as a dog vs a non division team before a home game. With Tennessee 5-15 ats when the total is more than 42 up to 49. We will see what Brown can do for you today. On Sunday a huge pack is up and posted as NFL is at or near the top of several major leader boards. The 6* Afternoon blowout with systems and angles that combined are 61-0, the 26-0 Sunday night NFL Game of the Month, the 100% Non Division total of the month in early action and MLB Power total in evening action are all up. Message to Jump on and end the week big with the most powerful data in the country. For the free play take the Cleveland Browns. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges


DOUBLE PLAY
Baltimore +3.5
(also recommends playing the money line at +165)


SINGLE PLAYS

Denver -7.5
Cleveland +2
St. Louis +7
Washington +7
Dallas -6
Dallas / Houston UNDER 46.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | LA ANGELS at KANSAS CITY
Play On - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) average offensive team (4.7 to 5.2 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA<=4.20) (AL), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games
64-36 since 1997. ( 64.0% | 31.1 units )
6-5 this year. ( 54.5% | 1.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | BALTIMORE at DETROIT
BALTIMORE is 22-8 (+15.8 Units) against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.5) , OPPONENT (3.0)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Stanford on Saturday and likes the Falcons on Saturday.

The deficit is 777 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Griddy Hondo hopes for the best

Rutgers failed in its measly mission, which was to beat Michigan by more than two points Saturday night. However, the Scarlet Knights did win by two, so Hondo’s deficit held firm at 1,375 wietechas.

Sunday: Mr. Aitch expects Prince Amukamara and the Giants to unload on the Falcons — 10 units. Also, 10 apiece on his other Best Bets, the Broncos and Bengals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al DeMarco - GM Sunday

30 DIME play on Philadelphia at home against St. Louis. The Eagles are -7 1/2 as of 7:05 PM Pacific on Saturday night. Go ahead and buy down the half-point on Philly if your price is either -7 or -7 1/2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

EZ's Plays For Sunday

A winning day on Saturday cashing in two out of three of my small college football plays. Six NFL selections on my card for Sunday. Best of luck.

-EZ

3* (451) Chicago Bears +3

The Panthers free fall that many predicted is in full force. Carolina has been dominated in back to back games by the Steelers and Ravens and they have issues on both sides of the ball. The offense is decimated with injuries. The once loaded roster of running backs is now very thin. Quarterback Cam Newton looks like a 50 year old man trying to play quarterback with a gimpy ankle and banged up ribs. The defense that was so tough last season and finished as the #2 ranked unit in the NFL has allowed 75 points the last two weeks. Chicago has injury issues of their own on the defensive side of the ball, but with rookie wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin as they only real threat I expect them to do a good job against this struggling Carolina offense. The Bears have a ton of offensive weapons with wide receivers Ashton Jeffery and Brandon Marshall, tight end Marcellus Bennet and running back Matt Forte. I just don't see how Carolina will hold this group down for an entire game. With the state that this Carolina team is in at the moment, they should not be laying points against a quality team. Play on Chicago.

3* (453) Cleveland Browns +1.5

After winning their first game of the season, the Titans have lost three straight. The offense for Tennessee has looked horrible. Jake Locker looked pretty bad after week one and is nursing a wrist injury. Charlie Whitehurst didn't look any better filling in for Locker. The Titans defense has not played bad, but they can only do so much for an offense that is averaging just fifteen points per game. Cleveland is just 1-2 on the season, but they have played pretty well. The Browns are coming off of a bye and have a very manageable schedule the next few games starting with this one. Brian Hoyer has played well running the Cleveland offense that is averaging just under 25 points per game. The Browns should also have the services of starting running back Ben Tate and tight end Jordan Cameron back for this game as well. Cleveland's defense was expected to play much better than they have, but I expect them to play well here. Take the points.

3* (457) Atlanta Falcons +4

I was on Minnesota last week as they ran all over the Falcons and picked up the upset win. The NFL is really funny because a team can go from looking unbeatable to looking like shit in a week. Atlanta was coming off of a huge win over Tampa Bay on Thursday just like the Giants are coming off of a huge win over the Redskins last Thursday. I expected this line to be closer to a touchdown considering last weeks results which also tells me that Atlanta is the play here. I'm still not convinced that the Giants have magically turned things around enough to be asked to win games by a margin. The Falcons still have a lost of offensive firepower and asking them to lose by no more than a field goal does not seem like a daunting task. Since 1990, road underdogs off a loss in which they allowed forty or more points are 84-61 (58%) against the spread. Take the points.

3* (462) Dallas Cowboys -6.5

The Cowboys are in first place at 3-1 and are coming off of a dominating win over the Saints last Sunday night. That's what makes this pick a bit scary. Dallas has always seemed to lay and egg as a home favorite against teams they should beat, but I'm going to give them a shot here. The Texans are also 3-1 and in first place in their division, but Houston has to be one of the least impressive first place teams that I can recall. Houston was unable to run the ball last week against Buffalo and quarterback Ryan Fitzpaterick didn't do much thru the air. Houston pulled off the win and the cover thanks mostly to JJ Watt making a pick six! Houston's defense is still struggling to stop the run and I believe that will doom them against Dallas and running back DeMarco Murry who leads the NFL in rushing. Once the Texans safety's come up to help with the run the play action will be wide open. Houston's three wins have come against teams who quarterback QBR ranks 25th or worse in the league. Their loss was to Eli Manning who is 6th in the NFL in QBR and this week they face Tony Romo who is 4th in the league in QBR. I look for the Boy's to carve up this defense. Lay the points.

3* (463) Buffalo Bills +7

The Bills really reached when they took EJ Manual in the first round and it looks like they have decided to pull the plug on that experiment, at least for now. Kyle Orton will get the start in this game which will be a big upgrade at the position (I can't believe I just said that!). Orton has experience and should make better decisions. He also throws a better deep ball than EJ Manual which will make Robert Woods and Sammy Watkins the dangerous weapons that they should be. The Detroit defense has been one of the best in the league, but this will be the toughest test they have faced this season trying to stop the running game of Fred Jackson and CJ Spiller. Detroit's offense is always one of the best, but the Lions are hurting at the running back position with Bell sidelined for this game and star wide receiver Calvin Johnson is nursing an ankle injury. The Buffalo defense has played very well this season and you know they will have a very good game plan with ex Lions head coach Jim Schwartz running the Buffalo defense. Take the points.

3* (475) Cincinnati Bengals PICK

The Patriots had their asses handed to them last Monday night in Arrowhead Stadium by the Chiefs and I do not like them to bounce back in this Sunday Night Football matchup with Cincinnati. Teams playing in the second of back to back primetime games (Sunday night and Monday night only) are now just 2-18 against the spread in the last twenty games. New England has big problems with their offensive line and Tom Brady is not looking confident in the pocket. The Patriots defense was exposed by the Kansas City running and Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith carved up this defense. That spells trouble against a Bengals team that is one of the most complete teams in the NFL. Cincinnati has had two weeks to prepare as they are coming off of their bye week. The Bengals defense is ranked #4 in the league and I think they will give this Patriots offense fits, epically on 3rd down where the Patriots are not very good. Offensively the Bengals bye week also gave wide receiver AJ Green time to be 100% healthy. Play on Cincinnati.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

NFL

Atlanta +4½ -106 over N.Y. GIANTS

(Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)

The Giants have awoken from the dead. After looking unplayable and very sloppy in its first two games of the season against Detroit and Arizona, New York responded with wins over Houston and Washington and we’re focusing in on the latter. That was a Thursday night game in which the G-Men clobbered Washington and those featured games always have a bigger over/under reaction than any Sunday afternoon game because it is watched by the masses. We’re like everyone else in that it’s difficult to get a good read on a team that can look so bad one week and so good the next. We’re not clairvoyant either in knowing which of those Giants team will show up but here’s what we do know. The Giants stock is high after that nationally televised game, which once again sets up a sell high opportunity. We alo know that the Giants have Philadelphia and Dallas up next, with the former being another nationally televised game next Sunday at 8:30 PM. This is precisely the type of situation in which the Giants usually fall flat on their faces.

Enter the Falcons, a team that just put a serious beat down on the Buccaneers two weeks ago and that had a golden opportunity to get off to a 3-1 start, especially seeing as they were playing a Minnesota team that was without Adrian Peterson, Kyle Rudolph, its best run blocking offensive lineman and playing a rookie quarterback making his first NFL start. Vegas reported that Atlanta took more money last week than any other team in the NFL and all that money went down the drain. That sticks in bettors minds. After losing with a team that they figured couldn’t lose, those same gamblers are very reluctant to come back on that same team the following week. That’s where we come in. We’ve often said the best time to jump on a team is when everyone jumps off and that applies here. This one sets up well for the Dirty Birds in that their stock is now low and they are perceived as a team that has no shot of winning on the road. Meanwhile, the Giants are coming off a blowout win over Washington in prime time and they have the Eagles and Cowboys on deck. Situational betting is a key component in our selection process and this one fits perfectly.


Cleveland @ TENNESSEE

TENNESSEE -2 -104 over Cleveland

(Risking 2.08 units - To Win: 2.00)

We’re a month into the season and the Browns can be considered one of the surprise teams thus far with three extremely close games that all came down to the final drive. In Week 1, the Brownies rallied from a big deficit to nearly get by Pittsburgh. In Week 2, they caused a lot of ripped tickets when they defeated the overhyped Saints. In Week 3, Baltimore needed a FG on the final play of the game to defeat the Browns. That’s three games against three very recognizable teams, all decided by a combined seven points. The Brownies stock is high and that makes us sellers. Let us remind you that Cleveland has not won on the road since Sept. 13 of last season against Minnesota, a span of 375 days. Cleveland has lost 10 of its last 11 road games and 18 of its past 20. That may change here but they didn’t catch the Titans at the right time.

Remember the Titans? Tennessee was viewed as the only team with a legitimate shot at competing with Indianapolis for the AFC South title. After going into Kansas City and laying a beatin’ down in unfriendly confines, all those who had made them a trendy pick to be one of the up and coming teams in the AFC were full of themselves. Since then, they have lost by 16 at home to Dallas, by 26 at Cincinnati and by 27 at Indianapolis. Tennessee’s stock is WAY down and that makes us buyers. Jake Locker is back this week. Locker and HC Ken Whisenhunt have been working extensively together to improve Locker’s game. You can expect more rollouts, bootlegs and play-action this week from Locker and the Titans offense. Three intense games later, the inability to stop both the passing and running games (Cleveland ranks 27th and 29th in those two departments respectively) a vulnerability to losing on the road and the Titans being embarrassed for three straight weeks are all factors working against the Brownies in their bid for another cover. We’re stepping in.


Baltimore @ INDIANAPOLIS

INDIANAPOLIS -3½ -101 over Baltimore

Posted Friday at 2:30 PM EST

We played against the Ravens last week and got creamed. Anyone else that played against them also got creamed. The Ravens were one of the featured teams in highlight reels this past week with the big story being Steve Smith sticking it to his old team. When the Panthers cut loose Steve Smith, there were some who speculated he signed with the Ravens simply because they were playing the Panthers. Just like everything else, the media blows it way out of proportion. The Ravens used Steve Smith’s energy and motivation to destroy a very average Panthers’ squad. The NFL hasn’t stopped talking about that all week and now we’ll play against that. Baltimore hasn’t been as great as advertised. They lost to the Bengals in Week 1 by 7 points. In Week 2, they beat the Steelers but were dominated for three quarters. In Week 3, they needed a last play FG to defeat Cleveland in a game they outgained the Earth Tones by 2 yards. Finally, last week, Baltimore had its first dominant performance and that’s not enough incentive for us to back them here.

The Colts are on a two game streak of 40+ points from their offense. The Colts are not stumbling on offense like the Panthers were. The Colts are not stumbling at all. Indy lost its first two games against Philly and Denver but rebounded back to defeat Jacksonville and Tennessee. The betting world sees that. They see two victories over two cupcakes and two losses against two quality clubs. That said, Indy could have won both those games and surely could have put away the Eagles a few times. Andrew Luck is currently the #1 quarterback thanks to 14 touchdowns and an average of 326 passing yards per game. It would be easy to say Luck played well because they faced the Jaguars and the Titans but it’s more than that. He played well against Denver and Philly also. He has complete control of the offense. Luck’s ability to spread the ball around has been impressive. He has completed passes to 17 different players and that makes it tough on any defense. Baltimore has not played well at this venue either, losing by an average of 13 points in its last four visits here. That may not change in this one.

Note: This is an interesting game in terms of line movement and while this game is not an official wager yet, there’s a good chance will pull the trigger on Sunday. We’ll wait and decide later whether or not this will be an official play. For now, no bets but stay tuned.


N.Y. Jets @ SAN DIEGO

N.Y. Jets +6½ -102 over SAN DIEGO

Posted Friday at 2:30 PM EST

This is another classic case of buying low and selling high. The Chargers are getting a lot of press ever since they defeated and dominated the Seahawks in a 30-21 final. The following week they went into then 2-0 Buffalo and won comfortably against the Bills. Last week, the Chargers won and covered again and they are now 3-1 straight up and 4-0 against the spread. Folks are riding them for all they’re worth but this week you will pay a premium to wager on them. The Chargers could be in for a big surprise this week. The rushing game is in big need of help. Ryan Mathews remains out with a sprained knee. Danny Woodhead is gone for the year and Donald Brown took over but he only gained 19 yards on 10 carries on the Jaguars. The rushing game figures to be an issue again here and let’s also not ignore that the Chargers have three AFC West matchups waiting on the other side of this game, which also makes them vulnerable.

With one win this year (against Oakland) in four starts, the Jets stock is extremely low. That makes us instant buyers. The good news is that they had a chance to be 4-0. The Jets had the ball down by one score late in the fourth quarter in each of their last three games against Green Bay, Chicago and Detroit and The Jets lost them all but at least they’ve been right there against some pretty stiff competition and high octane offenses. The Chargers style will suit the Jets just fine. San Diego is not an explosive team like Detroit, Green Bay or Chicago. They are a more methodical team that seldom blows out anyone. One of the worst spots for a significant favorite is playing a home game again after defeating a very weak opponent the previous week. We'll take the points with an undervalued Jets bunch that's vastly improved but the results don’t show it. A solid defense, a ball-control offense and reasonable confidence are all good underdog traits, and it wouldn't surprise us one bit to see the Jets win outright.

Note: We’ll wait until Sunday to step in here as there is a very good chance of this number moving to a key +7. We’ll surely be able to get 6½ anytime so waiting would be the prudent decision.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike O'Connor

NFL

New Orleans Saints

Baltimore Ravens

Pittsburgh Steelers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gold Medal Club NFL Selections

462 Houston +6.5
466 Indianapolis -3
470 Denver -7.5
472 San Francisco-5
476 New England +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NFL Picks

Cincinnati at New England

The Bengals come into the Sunday night contest following a 33-7 win over Tennessee two weeks ago and carrying a 13-4 ATS record in their last 17 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Cincinnati is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Bengals favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-1). Here are all of this week's picks.


SUNDAY, OCTOBER 5
Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST (10/1)


Game 451-452: Chicago at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 131.769; Carolina 130.767
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 1; 49
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+3); Over


Game 453-454: Cleveland at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 130.186; Tennessee 133.182
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 3; 48
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+1 1/2); Over


Game 455-456: St. Louis at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 126.313; Philadelphia 136.073
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 10; 43
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 7; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-7); Under


Game 457-458: Atlanta at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 128.379; NY Giants 135.217
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 7; 55
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 4; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-4); Over


Game 459-460: Tampa Bay at New Orleans (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 126.937; New Orleans 133.394
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 6 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 10 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+10 1/2); Under


Game 461-462: Houston at Dallas (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 131.610; Dallas 129.115
Dunkel Line: Houston by 2 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Dallas by 6; 46
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+6); Over


Game 463-464: Buffalo at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 127.295; Detroit 137.332
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 10; 40
Vegas Line: Detroit by 7; 44
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-7); Under


Game 465-466: Baltimore at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 139.229; Indianapolis 139.627
Dunkel Line: Even; 43
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+3 1/2); Under


Game 467-468: Pittsburgh at Jacksonville (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 136.104; Jacksonville 126.048
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 10; 50
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 6 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-6 1/2); Over


Game 469-470: Arizona at Denver (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 127.433; Denver 140.986
Dunkel Line: Denver by 13 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Denver by 7; 49
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-7); Over


Game 471-472: Kansas City at San Francisco (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 138.838; San Francisco 136.857
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2; 41
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 6 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+6 1/2); Under


Game 473-474: NY Jets at San Diego (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 130.911; San Diego 129.631
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 1 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: San Diego by 7; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+7); Under


Game 475-476: Cincinnati at New England (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 139.630; New England 135.686
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 4; 51
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1; 46
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-1); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

extra bonus systems for today:

New England Patriots (pk) over the Cincinnati Bengals (Bet Level 3) (Spread Bet) (NFL Football) - Game Starts at 8:30 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pointwise Phones

3* Denver
3* New England
3* Pittsburgh
3* New Orleans
2* Jets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning points

late plays

Giants
under Az Denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Pick Predictions

NFL
St Louis/Philadelphia OVER 48, -110 (3 units)
Atlanta +4.5, -110 (4 units)
Denver -8, -110 (3 units)
San Francisco -5.5, -110 (3 units)
New England +1., -110 (5 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG AL's #1 AMERICAN LEAGUE GAME OF THE YEAR!
Al McMordie's releasing one of his BIGGEST PLAYS of the ENTIRE BASEBALL SEASON! It's Big Al's American League Baseball Game of the Year, and it has B-L-O-W-O-U-T written all over it. If you're a serious player, then make sure you get on board for this hardball winner. It WILL CASH!


4* Detroit

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

10* Atlanta +4.5
20* San.Fran -5
10* Buffalo +7
10* Baltimore +3.5
10* Denver -7
10* 6pt. Teaser Chicago/Denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor Original NFL

Version 3 (10/5): 1:00 PM HOU +7 (B)
4:05 PM ARZ +7.5 (pending above)
8:30 PM CIN -1 (pending above)

Rest of games...
NYG -4
PIT -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

100 DIME OFF LINE
MONEY MOVE #4 IN A ROW
KC Chiefs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

4* Chicago Bears +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE GOLD SHEET

NEW ORLEANS by 24 over Tampa Bay
PITTSBURGH by 19 over Jacksonville
OVER THE TOTAL in the Baltimore-Indianapolis game

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Delaney

30 Dimes Chargers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Craig Davis

100 Dimes Teaser
Saints / Denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U

2014 Pro Football Scoreboard-Scorcher of the Year!!!!!
Buffalo/Detroit over 43 1/2


Early NFL Best Bets
Chicago/Carolina over 46
Atlanta/New York under 50
Tampa Bay/New Orleans under 48
Baltimore/Indianapolis under 49


October's AFC Sunday Night Football Total of the Month!!!!!
Cincinnati/New England under 46


Late NFL Best Bets
Arizona/Denver over 47 1/2
Kansas City/San Francisco under 44
New York/San Diego under 43 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

100* Steelers -6
50* Chargers -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root

Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com/) new england

Inner circle Tennessee

Perfect play San francisco

No limit st Louis

Millionaires carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole | NFL Total

double-dime bet 457 ATL / 458 NYG OVER 50.0 SportsInterAction
ATLANTA FALCONS @ NEW YORK GIANTS
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
*Optimum OU line: 50.5 or less points
These two teams are two of the quicker offenses in the NFL. Both run a version of a no-huddle, fast-paced attack. It’s therefore no surprise that both the Giants and Falcons are both ranked in the Top Ten in offensive plays per game. Atlanta games have averaged 58.2 ppg on the season, and New York games have averaged 57.9 ppg on the year. The Falcons are tied for NUMBER ONE in the leagu†e in overall offense, with 444.0 yards per game. And they’re ranked second LAST (#31) in overall team defense (430 ypg allowed and 34 ppg allowed). This one has all the makings of a back-and-forth high scoring affair. Last team with the ball wins?
The Falcons play in the NFC South while the G-Men represent the NFC East… 10-2 O/U since 2009: All NFC EAST Division home favorites (GIANTS) versus a NFC SOUTH Division opponent (FALCONS).

The Giants play with extended rest off their most recent game. A Thursday affair against division rival Washington. A GREAT situation tells us to go OVER for these teams off a Thursday win… 21-1 O/U since 2008: All non-division teams playing off a THURSDAY SU win that also went OVER the Total (GIANTS).

In that last game, the G-Men were a division underdog… and scored a whopping 45 points… 7-1-1 O/U since 1988: All home favorites off a SU underdog win in which they scored 45 > pts (GIANTS) when the OU line is 41 > points.
Atlanta had an exact OPPOSITE result as the Giants did last week. While the G-Men were off a dog win, the Falcons s**t the bed as a road favorite… and lost to the Vikings by more than double-digits (Minnesota was our DOG of the WEEK last week)… 5-0 O/U since 2004: All NFL road teams off a SU non-division road FAV loss of 10 or more points that also went OVER the Total (FALCONS) when the OU line is 45 > pts.

Atlanta allowed 41 points last week, and scored 56 points two weeks ago in their win against the Buccaneers… 5-0 O/U since 2003: All road underdogs who ALLOWED 40+ pts in their last game… and SCORED 40+ pts in the game before that (FALCONS).
Yes, the OU line in this game is high. But this has been a great Week of the Season for high-scoring results when the OU line is relatively HIGH… and the home team is favored…. 5-0 O/U since 2000: All GAME FIVE home favorites of < 9 points (GIANTS) when the OU line is 49 or more.

465 BAL / 466 IND OVER 48.5 SportsInterAction
BALTIMORE RAVENS @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
*Optimum OU line: 49 or less points
Two of the NFL’s TOP SIX offensive teams will ‘have at it’ INDOORS on Sunday as the Colts host the Ravens. Indy has scored 41 and 44 points in their last 2 games, and put up 498 and 529 offensive yards in the process (393 and 385 passing yards to boot). It’s about time that we grabbed a piece of that Indy ‘OVER action’ (Colts are 4-0 O/U this season). Meanwhile, Baltimore just exploded for 454 offensive yards in their 38-10 home win over the Panthers. Looks like a shootout is in order, especially knowing that both teams also allow 250 > passing YPG this season on defense.
This a great week for OVERS in the AFC Conference when both teams are off a win… 9-1 O/U since† 2003: All GAME 5 AFC home favs off a SU win (IND) vs any AFC opponent also off a SU win (BAL).

It’s also a high-scoring week for INDOOR games… GAME 5 Dome favorites of < 6 pts (INDY) have gone 15-3 O/U snce 2000... including a PERFECT 6-0 O/U when the OU line is > 46 points.
The host Colts come in off BB DOMINATING division wins (vs Ten and Jax)… 6-0 O/U since 1994: All non-division favs of < 12 pts off BB division wins of 20 > pts each (COLTS).

We also inputted Indy’s team scoring in those last 2 games… 11-1 O/U since 1991: All home teams who scored 41 > pts in their last 2 gms (COLTS) when the OU line is > 42 points.
Up next for the Colts is a Thursday affair against the Texans… 9-1 O/U last 5 years: All home favorites BEFORE a THURSDAY game (COLTS) when the OU line is 47 > points.

Baltimore just took down a NFC opponent (Carolina) by 28 points last Sunday… 6-0 O/U last 4 years: All AFC road teams (RAVENS) off a SU non-conference home WIN of 21 > points.
So both of these teams are off back-to-back SU wins that both went OVER the Total… 7-0 O/U since 1996: All non-division home favorites of < 6 points when BOTH teams (INDY + BALT) are off BB SU wins that BOTH went OVER the Total.
Current form (both in Top Nine in QBR ratings) of gunslinger QBs Andrew Luck and Joe Flacco = Indoor SHOOTOUT

467 PIT / 468 JAC OVER 47.5 Hilton
PITTSBURGH STEELERS @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
*Optimu†m OU line: 47.5 or less points
Our third OVER of the day goes in the Florida game between Jacksonville and Pittsburgh. Sharp Totals Players are already aware of the Jaguar’s OU tendencies. They come into Sunday’s game with the clear-cut WORST defense in the league, allowing a whopping 451 yards per game and 38.0 ppg. Total combined points in Jaguars games this season: 68.7! So it’s surprise that they’ve gone a perfect 4-0 O/U this season. On the flip side, Steeler games have also been high-scoring… at a combined 48.7 on the year. They’ve allowed 26 or more points in THREE out of four games this season. And the bring the league’s 8th best passing offense (265.0 passing YPG) into this game.

At last look, Pittsburgh was the biggest road favorite on the board for Sunday (-6 to -7 points). That’s a good sign for a high-scoring outcome… 7-1-1 O/U last 5 years: All GAME 13 or less non-division road favorites of -6 > pts (PITT) when the OU line is > 45 pots and < 54 pts…. 9-0-1 O/U since 2007: All GAME 13 or less non-division road favorites of -7 > pts, with an OU line of > 45 points.
The Steelers were on the wring side of one of the most shocking results of the season last week. They were -7 at home vs the Buccaneers, and lost LATE by a final score of 27 to 24… 9-1 O/U since 2009: All non-division teams off a SU home loss of 3 < pts in a game in which they were a FAV of -7 > pts (STEELERS).

Pittsburgh’s surprising loss last week was to a non-conference (NFC) opponent… 7-1 O/U last 3 years: All AFC CONFERENCE road teams playing off a SU non-conference home FAVORITE loss (PITTSBURGH) versus any opponent off a SU loss (JACKSONVILLE).
We inputted Jacksonville’s current 4-game OVER streak into our Pro Football database… 7-1-1 O/U since 1988: All GAME FIVE underdogs of < 16 pts off 4 straight ‘Overs’ in a row (JAGS)… when the OU line is 47 or less points. NON-division games have gone a perfect 6-0 O/U.

Jacksonville’s margin of defeat in their first four games of the year has been -19 pts, -27 pts, -31 pts, and -17 pts… 7-1 O/U since 1985: All GAME SEVEN or less non-division underdogs off 3 or more DOUBLE-DIGIT losses in a row (JAGUARS) when the OU line is 45 > points.
The Jaguars are one of only TWO winless teams in the league after four weeks… 6-1 O/U last 5 years: All GAME FIVE winless home teams (JAGUARS).

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Vegas Winning Crew

NFL 25 Dime Plays: Indianapolis -3, San Diego -6, Pittsburgh -6, New England +3, Philadelphia -6.5.

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Dave Cokin

Titans -1.5
Bills +6.5
Jets +6.5

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XpertPicks

SUNDAY

TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS

Play Pittsburgh -6 over Jacksonville----RISK 15% OF YOUR BANKROLL

1:00 PM EST

Jacksonville has lost 18 of the last 19 games when playing in the 1st half of the season and they have lost 23 of the last 27 games coming off a loss in their last game. Jacksonville has lost 14 of the last 16 home games and they have lost 7 of the last 8 games coming off two of more OVER the totals.

Play Detroit -6.5 over Buffalo----RISK 15% OF YOUR BANKROLL

1:00 PM EST


Buffalo has lost 18 of the last 24 games when playing as an underdog and they have lost 13 of the last 18 road games. Buffalo has lost 16 of the last 24 games when playing after the 1st month of the season and they have lost 5 consecutive games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in their last game.

Play San Francisco -4.5 over Kansas City----RISK 15% OF YOUR BANKROLL

4:30 PM EST

San Francisco has won 28 of the last 32 home games when playing as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points and they have won 7 of the last 8 games when playing in the month of October. San Francisco has won 8 consecutive games after failing to cover the spread in two of the last three games and they have won 7 of the last 9 non-conference games.

==================================================


BONUS NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS

Play Philadelphia -6.5 over St. Louis----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Cincinnati -1 over New England----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

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Sports betting champ
Jacksonville. (B)
Tennessee. (A)
Jets (A)

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Mike Davis

Giants -4 7 units

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Josh Daniels

3* New England +3 (buy 1/2) -125
1* Jets +7
1* Panthers -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tiger

Jets +7

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fantasy sports gametime

5000* eagle -6.5
5000* steelers-6.5
5000* chargers-6.5

other plays
50*bears+2.5
50* bengals_1

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PhillyGodFather

U48 saints
U48 broncos
Ravens +3.5 -120

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Behind The Bets

Falcons +4.5
Rams +7.5
Jags +7
Jets +7
Texans +6
Bills +7
Bears +3
SNF: Pats +1.5
MNF: Redskins +7.5

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Tiger

Jets +7

* NFL TEASER 7 PTS: (465) BAL RAVENS +10.5 / (470) DEN BRONCOS -.5

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Total sports solutions

GOY from the site the swami ... CINCINATI

[Can'tPickAWinner]

soul hat sports

broncos-7

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Bob Balfe

Angels +110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

trace adams

1500 Detroit Lions

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TheSportsLab

5 units on Jets +7 (-125)
5 units on Washington +7.5 (-120)
1 unit on Minnesota +9 (released Wednesday)
1 unit on Under 47.5 Min@GB (released Wednesday)

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Steve Budin
100 DIME NFL
WINNER # 2 IN A ROW
Denver(buy half if at 7 or 7.5)

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Winning Sport Plays

MLB (5-star or 5-unit)


(917) Baltimore +165
*23-0 trending backing certain teams (BAL) when playing an opponent who strands fewer than 7 base runners per game.


(919) Kansas City +115
*19-0 trending backing certain road teams (LAA) if facing a pitcher with an OBP of more than .325 over the L10 starts

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Mike Davis
7* Giants

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R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday

4* Best Bet = NEW ENGLAND
3* = SAN FRANCISCO
3* = CLEVELAND
2* = Denver
2* = N.Y. Jets

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Dave Essler (Full Card)

Been out of town for a while and simply taking care, for the most part, of LT clients. Here's everything I bet today, since I am not selling anything. Some lines have moved and some not, but it is what it is.

Bears

Bills

Rams

Jets/Chargers under

Falcons/Chiefs teased

NE/Cincinnati under

KC Royals

I think the Ravens are winners, too.

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Larry Rao

Bears +3
Browns +2
San francisco -5

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NorthCoast late phone

4* San Francisco -4.5 (trying -4) Kansas City 4:25 pm
3* Chicago +2.5 Carolina 1 pm
3* Philadelphia -5.5 / -6 St Louis 1 pm

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Pointwise Phones

3* Denver
3* New England
3* Pittsburgh
3* New Orleans
2* Jets

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Harry Bondi

5 Detroit
3 Carolina
3 Indy

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Kelso

Kansas City
Cincinnati

Added games
San Diego
Over 43.5 Detroit/Buffalo
Over 49 Indy/Baltimore

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Paul Leiner

2000 saints over
500 tigers over

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Northcoast

4* San Francisco -4.5 (trying -4) Kansas City 4:25 pm
3* Chicago +2.5 Carolina 1 pm
3* Philadelphia -5.5 / -6 St Louis 1 pm
Top Opinions:
New Orleans -10 Tampa Bay 1pm - NC Sports Pro Play (comp on #3)
Cleveland +1 Tennessee 1pm - Dog
New England +2 / +2.5 Cincinnati 8:30pm - NBC Marquee
Denver -7 Arizona 4:05 pm
San Diego -6.5 NY Jets 4:25 pm

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Locksmith Sports

2* St.Louis +6.5 -110
2* Jacksonville +7 -110
2* San Francisco -4.5 -110
1* Carolina -2.5 -110
1* Houston +6.5 -110

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Members Area
PSYCHIC
(1-5)

3 unit Tampa-No over 48
5 unit Kansas City +5.5 (WISEGUY)
10 unit St. Louis +6.5 (NFL Game of the Year)

WIZARD
(1-10)

8 unit New England Pk
9 unit NY Giants -4 (NFC Game of the Month)

JT WALKER
(all units same one unit)

10 unit Carolina -2.5 (NFL Game of the Year)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NSA
25* NFL Jets +7
20* NFL Bills over 42½
20* NFL Steelers under 47½
10* NFL Broncos -7½
10* NFL Ravens under 49½
5* NFL Giants under 51

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep
$1000:
1465 Bal +1/2 (1st H) open order*
1459 Under 24.5 TB/NO (1st H)
1469 Under 24.5 Arz/Den (1st H)
1473 NYJ +3.5 (1st H)

Added Plays

$1000:
455 St Louis +6
455 Under 48.5 Stl/Phi
461 Hou +7 (-120)

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Major1Sports

5* NEW ORLEANS
5*DENVER
5*KC
5*CINCINNATI

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Erin Rynning Sports

20 g.o.m. Houston

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Razor ray
8* Texans+7

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asa
6* giants

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Dwayne Bryants Best Bets

2* #451 CHICAGO ML +120
3* #460 NEW ORLEANS -10
2* #470 Arizona at Denver UNDER 48

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Jack Jones

20* St. Louis
20* NY Jets
15* NY Giants
15* Houston
15* New Orleans

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Lt locks

Rams
Panthers
49Ers
Patriots

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Preferred Pick

4 New England

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Marc Lawrence phone plays

New England
Bal
Brown
Jets
Broncos

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Robert Ferringo
7* AZ/Denver over 47.5

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Kelso




100 KC 50 CINCI SD

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Real Swoop
Rams +6 (2*)
Saints -10.5 (1*)
Bulls +6 (2*)
Ravens +3 (3*)
Jaguars +7 (1*)
6 - point Teaser: Bears +8/Browns +6

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Kyle Hunter

NFL

Baltimore

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Carolina sports:

5- no over,
4- clev, cinn,
3- balt, atl over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG MONEY:

San Fran.

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Gameday :

2- chi, det, sf

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Pure lock:

Atl

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Texas sportswire:

3- no, den, ne

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Charlie sports

500*
tb under
st Louis
jacksonville

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MTI 6 point teaser

Chicago/Denver

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FRANK SANTILLI
200* NFL Jets +7
200* NFL Broncos -7½
200* NFL Giants UNDER 51½
100* NFL Saints UNDER 48½
100* NFL Jaguars +6
75* NFL Colts UNDER 49½

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Jeff Benton:

75 DIME Winner # 16 of 22
AFC Total of the Year

colts over

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Diamond Dog Sports

#459: Bucs: +10.5 (-110) (1.5*)

#459/460: Bucs/Saints: Under 48.0 (-105) (0.5*)

#475: Bengals: -1.0 (+100) (1*)

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Locksmith Sports

Adds

2* Denver -7 -125 (Buy from 7.5 to 7)

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Lenny stevens:

20- atl, balt,
10- chicago, ne

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Rainman

SF. 5*
NO. 5*
Pitt. 3*
Tenn
StL

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Joe D

25* CINCINNATI
20* Cleveland
20* KC

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SportsLocksmith

MLB
Los Angels Angels +110 2*

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James jones


3 Units: (473) New York Jets +7 4:25 PM ET
1 Unit: (476) New England Patriots +3 8:30 PM ET

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Arthur Ralph's
Super Pick SUN Denver - 7 1/2 buy to 7
Gold Keys: Giants -4, Chargers - 6 1/2, NE Pats + 1, Over the total 47 Rams/Philly

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EXECUTIVE DOUBLE LOCK PARLAY

350 denver
350 jets

150 sf
100 tbay
100 new eng

last 3 are opinions

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TROPHY CLUB from Swami

4* HOUSTON, ATLANTA

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wildcat

10* chicago

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Ray Falco

Steelers
Eagles Over

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Youngstown Connection
Date: Sunday October 5, 2014
$25.00 NFL Play #1

#451 Chicago +3 1PM Eastern

Line from CRIS
Line as of 115AM Eastern 10/5/14

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Sports Unlimited

5* NY Jets
4* San Fran

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers
BIG TICKET


Atlanta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steven Nover

Baltimore Over 48

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Marc Lyle

New Orleans -10

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Vernon Croy

St Louis +7

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Asa 6- giants

big money sf

carolina sports 5- no over, 4- clev, cinn, 3- balt, atl over

doc's enterprises 5- ne, 4- kc

dr. Bob 2- no, balt, pitt

gameday 2- chi, det, sf

harry bondi 5- det, 3- carolina, indy

inside info 3- indy, 2- buff

jack jones 20- st louis, jets, 15- giants, hou, no

joe d 25- cinn, 20- clev, kc

lenny stevens 20- atl, balt, 10- chicago, ne

neri 3- giants, no, sf, ne

northcoast 4- sf, 3- chicago, phil

pick city 4- sd, 3- indy, 2- sf, det

pointwise 3- den, ne, no, pitt, 2- jets

preferred picks 4- ne

pure lock atl

texas sportswire 3- no, den, ne

underdog ne

wildcat 10- chicago, 7- pitt, 5- den over

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Wolkosky Milan


20* Bears / Panthers Under 46½
20* Cleveland Browns +1½
20* Atlanta Falcons +4½
20* Detroit Lions -5
20* Indianapolis Colts -2 (buy ½)
20* San Francisco 49ers -210 (ML)

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Rooster

Jets +7
New Orleans under48

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris James


Eagles
Giants
Jaguars
Saints

[Can'tPickAWinner]

red suit
eagles/rams over 48

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ness 10 star Over Jaguars/Steelers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports bank
buffalo under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Millionaires
top
denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TOUCHDOWN CLUB
LOCK
NEW ORLEANS
regular
buffalo under

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Vegas Betting Experts:

Two Plays:

San Diego Chargers - 6 at - 110

Kansas City Royals - 130
Has not loss in Baseball Playoffs
6 - 0

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Denton Bancroft:

San Francisco 49ers -4 (-110) (2*): 4:25 pm EDT

Cincinnati Bengals MoneyLine -150 (3*): 8:30 pm EDT

Detroit Tigers MoneyLine -170 (2*): 3:35 pm EDT

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RTG Sports

2* Kansas City Chiefs

2* Bengals @ Patriots Under 45.5

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Cajun Sports Wire


5.5* New England
4.5* San Francisco
4.5* San Diego

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Real Swoop

Broncos -7.5 (4*)
49ers -4 (2*)
Patriots +3 (1*)

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NOVER

3* 49ers
2* denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

spartan | NFL Side Sun, 10/05/14 - 8:30 PM
triple-dime bet 476 NEP 1.0 (-110) Hilton vs 475 CIN
Analysis: This won't be any more popular than most my NFL Triple Star releases. I get it. I am used to it and I suspect my longer term clients are also getting used to the drill. Listen guys, following the herd will bust out your roll as quickly as anything. Admit it, none of my Triples have been popular choices but the long term record is very popular. I'd rather be popular at the conclusion of a game than priot to the kick off. Here is the deal, I can see bettors lining up in droves to double down, etc sunday night after a weekend of action and the Bengals look like pretty easy money to most. Ask yourself honestly, how does that usually work out for the bettors. It's usually not a good outcome. I refuse to fall for it, seen this movie too many times. The Patriots walked into a scalping at Arrowhead monday night and I suspect the Bengals are walking into trouble here against a Patriots team fresh off a humilating nationally televised defeat. I expect Brady, Belichick and company to be loaded for bear, or in this case, cat. I'm going Triple Star on New England to restore some pride. The public just loves to bet according to what they have recently seen, it's so fresh in their minds. It's also so square it makes my head spin.

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BIG EAST EXPERT
1)NFL: SD CHARGERS -6 *BUY HOOK* FREE PICK! -120 *WIN $400*
2)NFL: CHIEFS / NINERS UNDER 44.5 *BUY PT* MEMBERS PICK! -130 *WIN $400*

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Bookieshunter


under 44.5 (3*) KC@Frisco ,
Jets +7@Diego (2*)
early - Rams +7(3*),
Saints-10 (1*)
steelers -5.5(1*),
giants -3.5 (3*)

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Matt Rivers

500,000
PATRIOTS VS BENGALS UNDER 46 POINTS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NSA
25* NFL New England +3
25* NFL New England OVER 45½

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Pick Addict

PICK: CINCINNATI BENGALS -1.5 (-105)

RISK: 5 UNITS