10-13-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::handshake::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike O'Connor
(277) San Francisco -3 (-130)

The Rams defense has really missed defensive end Chris Long as so far this season as St. Louis has only 1 sack. With Long out, opposing offenses are focusing on containing Robert Quinn and others haven’t been able to step up. While the Rams pass defense looks great in allowing a league low 190 yards per game, they have actually given up 7.1 yps against teams that gain 6.2 yps on average. In addition, teams simply haven’t thrown the ball much against the Rams. In fact, the Rams have the fewest pass attempts against in the league mainly because they haven’t been able to stop the run. That makes for a difficult match-up in this game against a 49es offense that can pound the ball but also has the ability to stretch the field with a number of playmakers in the receiver and tight end groups.


The 49ers qualify in 664-495-40 and 215-103-4 situations while the Rams do qualify in a couple of weaker situations. My adjusted points model favors San Francisco by about 8 points in this game and with the match-up advantages favoring the superior team, who should also be motivated playing in primetime in a divisional game, I’ll take the 49ers -3 -130 for 2-Stars up to -4.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tiger

*NFL (278) ST. LOUIS +3.5-120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

gilztips

• [277] 49ers -3 (-125) = [2U]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fat Jack

#278 St louis OVER 43

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 16
By David Schwab

The plot continues to thicken in this season’s race to the CFL Grey Cup Playoffs with eight of the nine teams still very much in contention for one of the six spots.

Last week in CFL action, Ottawa got things started by stunning Winnipeg 42-20 as a 3 ½-point home underdog. The total easily went OVER the 44 ½-point closing line. Calgary padded its lead in the West Division race with a 31-24 victory against Saskatchewan as a six-point road favorite in last Friday’s other game. The total went OVER the 46-point line in that contest.

Monday, Oct. 13

Saskatchewan (9-5 SU, 6-8 ATS) at Montreal (5-8 SU, 6-7 ATS)

Point-spread: Montreal -3 ½
Total: 47 ½

Game Overview

There is little doubt that Saskatchewan is in serious trouble at quarterback with the loss of Darian Durant a few weeks back. Tino Sunseri continues to get the call as his replacement, but the result has been just one SU win in the last four games with a costly 0-4 record ATS. The defense also has to share some of the blame after allowing an average of 28.8 PPG during this four-game stretch.

Montreal went into last week’s bye with four SU wins in its last five games to remain just a game back in the East Division race. It also covered ATS in four of those games and the total stayed UNDER in three of the contests. The Alouettes’ offense has finally shown some signs of life with quarterback Jonathan Crompton at the helm to average 24 PPG during this recent five-game run.

Betting Trends

The Roughriders have failed to cover in their last five games against Montreal and they are 4-10 SU in the last 14 meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in their last five road games against the Alouettes.

Winnipeg (6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS) at Edmonton (9-5 SU, 9-5 ATS)

Point-spread: Edmonton -7 ½
Total: 50 ½

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers have returned to the form that led to just three SU wins in 2013. They will bring a SU five-game losing streak into this matchup and they have failed to cover in their last four outings. They have averaged 13.3 PPG in their last three contests, while allowing 28 PPG on defense.

Edmonton is another team that has had its issues winning games lately with a SU 2-4 record in its last six tries, but the Eskimos have been friendly to bettors with a 4-0 mark ATS in their last four games. Mike Reilly was largely responsible for keeping last week’s game close with 272 yards passing and two scores while completing 75 percent of his 32 attempts.

Betting Trends

Winnipeg has posted a costly 1-5 record both SU and ATS in its last six games against the Eskimos and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five games that were played in Edmonton.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Week 16 Betting Preview and Trends
By Mike Pickett

Week 16 of the Canadian Football League season stretches from Friday to Monday this week, with the slate getting underway at the Rogers Centre in Toronto on Friday night as the Argonauts take on the Tiger-Cats in a battle for top spot in the East division.

Saskatchewan at Montreal

Last 10 Meetings: Montreal 6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS | OU 3-7

The Montreal Alouettes have covered the posted spread in each of their last five games against the Saskatchewan Roughriders as those teams hit the gridiron together on Monday afternoon. The Roughriders topped the Alouettes 16-11 in their first meeting of the season back on August 16 but failed to cover the 13-point spread at home in that contest. The UNDER is 5-1 in their last six matchups.

Winnipeg at Edmonton

Last 10 Meetings: Edmonton 6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS | OU 4-6

The Edmonton Eskimos are 3-0 both SU and ATS in their last three games against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers as the Western clubs meet for the second time this season on Monday afternoon. Edmonton topped Winnipeg 26-3 as a 1.5-point road underdog in the first meeting of the season between the teams on July 17, in an UNDER result for totals bettors on the CFL odds at the sportsbooks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CFL | WINNIPEG at EDMONTON
Play On - Underdogs or pick (WINNIPEG) after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team in the second half of the season
39-11 since 1997. ( 78.0% | 26.9 units )

CFL | WINNIPEG at EDMONTON
Play On - Underdogs vs. the money line (WINNIPEG) versus division opponents, off an upset loss as a favorite
64-54 since 1997. ( 54.2% | 0.0 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 0.0 units )

CFL | WINNIPEG at EDMONTON
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (WINNIPEG) off a road loss, team with a losing record in the second half of the season
29-7 over the last 5 seasons. ( 80.6% | 21.3 units )
4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 2.9 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 6
By Bruce Marshall

Monday, Oct. 13

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

SAN FRANCISCO at ST. LOUIS...Niners 7-1 as road chalk since LY, and Harbaugh 19-9-1 vs. line away from home since 2011. Fisher 0-2 vs. line at home TY, also "over' 7-4 last 11 at Edward Jones Dome. 49ers and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 6

49ers (3-2) @ Rams (1-3)—Home team is honoring ’99 Super Bowl champs tonite, current Rams are 4-13-1 in last 18 games vs their rival, losing 35-11/23-13 in two meetings LY, when backup QB Clemens was playing. This year’s backup QB Davis has proven to be more capable starter; Rams scored seven TDs on 22 drives in losing last two games, when they led Dallas 21-0 and finished on 21-0 run at Philly, but in between those two runs they were outscored 68-17—young Rams make too many mistakes. Thru four games, St Louis was penalized 305 yards, their opponents 105. 49ers split last four visits here; they’ve scored only two TDs, six FGs on last eight red zone drives, winning last two games by five points each, after losses to Bears, Cards.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monday Night Football: 49ers at Rams

San Francisco 49ers at St. Louis Rams (+3, 43.5)

The San Francisco 49ers have not been fazed by the soap opera involving their head coach and will go for their third consecutive victory when they visit the St. Louis Rams on Monday night in an NFC West matchup. Rumors of dissension permeating the locker room prompted 49ers team owner Jed York to publicly defend coach Jim Harbaugh prior to last week's 22-17 home victory over Kansas City. "I love Coach Harbaugh," quarterback Colin Kaepernick said. "I'd go to war with him any day of the week."

San Francisco coughed up second-half leads in back-to-back losses to Chicago and Arizona but rebounded with a pair of stellar defensive performances in home wins over Philadelphia and the Chiefs. A bye week did little to rectify the defensive issues of the Rams, who have surrendered 34 points in each of their three setbacks. The 49ers, winners of six straight on Monday night, posted a pair of double-digit victories over St. Louis last season after going 0-2-1 in their three previous matchups against the Rams.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: The Rams opened as 3.5-point home dogs, but that is presently +3. The total has held at 43.5.

INJUR REPORT: 49ers - T Anthony Davis (Questionable, knee), TE Vernon Davis (Questionable, back), CB Tramaine Brock (Questionable, toe). Rams - LB Jo-Lonn Dunbar (Questionable, groin), WR Kenny Britt (Questionable, knee), CB Trumaine Johnson (Questionable, knee), RB Zac Stacy (Questionable, calf).

POWER RANKINGS: 49ers (-3.75) - Rams (+2.75) + home field (-3.0) = 49ers -3.5

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "San Francisco travels to St. Louis on Monday night following two straight home wins. The 49ers have covered eight of last nine Monday night games. Denver on deck. St. Louis has back-to-back home games against San Francisco and Seattle before a three-game roadtrip. 0-6 ATS L6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards." Matt Fargo.

ABOUT THE 49ERS (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 1-4 O/U): Ageless Frank Gore became the oldest running back in team history with consecutive 100-yard games since 1960, but he knows there's room for improvement after San Francisco settled for five field goals by Phil Dawson in last week's win. "We have to get better," Gore said of the team's struggles in the red zone. "Watch the tape and clean up whatever it is. We just have to get better." Kaepernick has yet to throw for more than 248 yards this season but should be helped by the expected return of tight end Vernon Davis, who has missed two games with ankle and back injuries. San Francisco's defense ranks second in the league with an average of 284.8 total yards allowed and is among the top five in rushing (77.2) and passing yards (205.6).

ABOUT THE RAMS (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 O/U): St. Louis is coming off a pair of narrow losses, blowing a 21-point lead in a 34-31 setback to Dallas before a furious comeback came up short in last week's 34-28 loss to Philadelphia. "I think we’re a good football team," rookie quarterback Austin Davis said. "The record is what it is, but we’re a couple plays here and there from being where we want to be. We’ve got to stay the course. I think we’re headed in the right direction." Davis, who started the season as the third-string quarterback before injuries to Sam Bradford and Shaun Hill, threw for 375 yards and three touchdowns versus the Eagles. However, Davis could be without starting running back Zac Stacy, who missed Thursday's practice due to a calf injury sustained in last week's game.

TRENDS:

* 49ers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games.
* Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Under is 4-0 in Rams last four vs. NFC West.
* Under is 7-2 in Rams last nine games overall.

CONSENSUS: 75 percent of wagers are backing the 49ers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rams causing headaches for their spread bettors
Stephen Campbell

The St. Louis Rams have been a poor spread play lately, covering in only one out of their last five games.

They'll try and buck that trend when they host their division rival San Francisco 49ers in Monday Night Football action.

The Rams are currently 3-point home dogs with a total of 43.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kaepernick shines on Monday stage
Andrew Avery

San Francisco 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick arguably plays his best football on the primetime stage on Monday Night Football, posting a straight up record of 3-0 and a QB rating of 126.8 in his young career.

Kaepernick has gone 2-1 against the spread in his three Monday starts and get's his first shot of the 2014 campaign versus the Rams in Week 6.

His only failure ATS was Week 16 last season. The 49ers were 14-point home favorites against the Atlanta Falcons and won 34-24, coming up just shy for their backers.

Oddsmakers opened the 49ers as 3.5-point road faves against the Rams, and that has moved to -3.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Preview: Orioles (96-66) at Royals (89-72)


Game: 3
Venue: Kauffman Stadium
Date: October 13, 2014 8:07 PM EDT

KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP) - Resilience and perseverance are two traits that have come to epitomize the Kansas City Royals, who've turned into a playoff force with their run of late-inning wins.

They're two qualities that the Baltimore Orioles had better embrace.

After taking the first two games of the AL Championship Series at the bandbox known as Camden Yards, the Royals return to spacious Kauffman Stadium needing two more wins to reach the World Series in their first playoff appearance since winning it all in 1985.

Game 3 is Monday night, with two more games on deck in Kansas City - the second only if needed. And make no mistake the Orioles are desperate to play all of them.

'You've got to win four games,' Baltimore manager Buck Showalter said. 'You've got to keep from losing three. And that's obviously oversimplifying it. But you look at teams that compete during the course of the season, they compete on the road, too.'

The Orioles were 46-35 on the road this season, a decent mark but by no means the same level of dominance that they exhibited at home. And now their power-hitting lineup has to try to punch balls over the outfield fence at one of the least homer-friendly ballparks in the game, a stadium that lends itself to the Royals' strong suits: pitching and defense.

The Orioles will also have to overcome a daunting bit of history. Since the best-of-seven format was adopted 29 years ago, none of the previous 11 teams that dropped the first two games of a league championship series at home rallied to reach the World Series.

'We're grown men. We're not little kids who need to sit in a circle and play `Duck, Duck, Goose,'' Orioles outfielder Adam Jones said, when asked whether there would be any special pep talks before the game. 'We're just going to approach it as we've approached every game all season, and do what we do best.'

Wei-Yin Chen starts for the Orioles against former Baltimore pitcher Jeremy Guthrie.

While the Orioles are trying to buck history, the Royals have been making some.

The same club that languished below .500 in late July has seemingly become invincible when the game is on the line. The Royals became the first team in major league history to win four playoff games in extra innings with their 8-6, 10-inning triumph in Game 1 on Friday night, and then added another chapter to their memorable postseason in Game 2 on Saturday.

After the Orioles kept rallying to tie the game, Alcides Escobar delivered a go-ahead double in the ninth inning that propelled Kansas City to a 6-4 victory.

'Over the past few years we've played a lot of close games,' Royals closer Greg Holland said. 'The reason we're here now is we've learned how to win those games. When you learn how to win those games, it kind of builds on itself and you know you can.'

The Royals have certainly embraced a flair for the dramatic.

Beginning with their rally from a four-run deficit in the eighth inning of their wild-card game against Oakland, and right through a pair of extra-inning wins over the Angels in the divisional round, the Royals have thrived when the game is in the balance.

It helps that they have one of the best bullpens in baseball. Kelvin Herrera, Wade Davis and Holland have been just as dynamic in the playoffs as they were in the regular season. And considering that neither the Royals nor Orioles have had a starter go deep in a game yet, the play of both bullpens already has proven pivotal.

'We just want to get the ball to our bullpen with the lead,' Royals outfielder Jarrod Dyson said. 'If we can do that, we know we got it.'

Getting the ball to the bullpen will be the job of Guthrie. He'll be starting Monday night for the first time since Sept. 26, though he's thrown simulated games and bullpen sessions to keep sharp.

'I've never had this much time between starts aside from being on the DL,' Guthrie said, 'so I don't view it one way or another. I was able to throw a simulated game, which at least gave me the opportunity to go out there and face hitters.

The Orioles will counter with Chen, who pitched well in two games against the Royals earlier this season.

'It doesn't matter to me if we're ahead or behind,' the left-hander said through interpreter Louis Chao, when asked about the Orioles' two-game deficit. 'For me, my job is to go out and pitch a good game. It doesn't change whether it's 0-2 or 2-0. I just want to pitch a good game.'

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Royals name Vargas as Game 4 starter
The Sports Xchange

Left-hander Jason Vargas will start Game 4 for the Kansas City Royals in Game 4 of the American League championship series on Tuesday.

It could be the series clincher as the Royals lead the best-of-seven series 2-0. Game 3 is Monday in Kansas City.

In one American League Division Series start, Vargas held the Los Angeles Angels to two runs over six innings in a 3-2 victory for the Royals.

Vargas, 31, went 11-10 with a 3.71 ERA and 1.27 WHIP over 187 innings in the regular season.

Baltimore has not named a starter for Game 4.

Left-hander Wei-Yin Chen will start Game 3 for the Orioles against Royals right-hander Jeremy Guthrie.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Betting: Streaks, Tips, Notes

Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals October 13, 07:00 EST

Down 0-2 in the ALCS heading into Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City this is clearly a “MUST WIN” for Baltimore as they send left-hander Wei-Yin Chen to the mound. Baltimore will be in good hands, O's were 2-0 with the hurler vs Royals this season, 5-3 on the road with the southpaw following a team loss the previous effort. Baltimore 11-4 on the road following a loss, Royals 0-2 vs Baltimore with X-Oriole Jeremy Guthrie on the mound, roll the dice with Baltimore.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB Playoffs

Orioles-Royals

Chen is 0-2, 6.89 in his last three starts, 1-0, 5.40 in two playoff starts, 1-0, 2.19 in his two starts against the Royals this season.

Former Oriole Guthrie is making first postseason appearance after 11 years and 1,616 IP; he is 3-0, 1.33 in his last three starts, was 0-1, 3.60 in two starts vs Baltimore this year. Guthrie was an Oriole from 2007-11.

Orioles allowed 14 runs in losing first two series games; they've lost three of their last four road games.

Royals won seven games in row and 12 of last 14, with 11 of those 14 on road. KC won its last three home games.

Chen 20-12..........10-32 first inning
Guthrie 19-13......12-32 first inning

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NFL Picks San Francisco at St. Louis The 49ers head to St. Louis tonight and come into the contest with a 12-2 ATS record in their last 14 October games. San Francisco is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the 49ers favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-3). Here are all of this week's picks.


MONDAY, OCTOBER 13
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (10/8)


Game 277-278: San Francisco at St. Louis (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 136.075; St. Louis 130.107
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 6; 40
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 3; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-3); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's CFL Picks Winnipeg at Edmonton The Blue Bombers head to Edmonton today to face an Eskimos team that is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between the two teams. Edmonton is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Eskimos favored by 17 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-8 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


MONDAY, OCTOBER 13
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (10/9)


Game 295-296: Saskatchewan at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 110.259; Montreal 111.404
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 1; 42
Vegas Line: Montreal by 3 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+3 1/2); Under


Game 297-298: Winnipeg at Edmonton (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 103.657; Edmonton 121.225
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 17 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 8 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-8 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks Baltimore at Kansas City The Orioles look to break through with their first win of the series and come into tonight' game with a 10-2 record in their last 12 Monday games. Baltimore is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


MONDAY, OCTOBER 13
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 950-960: Baltimore at Kansas City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 16.402; Kansas City (Guthrie) 14.831
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks Montreal at Tampa Bay The Canadiens head to Tampa Bay tonight where they are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings with the Lightning. Montreal is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Canadiens favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+115). Here are all of today's picks.


MONDAY, OCTOBER 13
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 51-52: Colorado at Boston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.309; Boston 12.845
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-175); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-175); Under


Game 53-54: Anaheim at Buffalo (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 13.398; Buffalo 10.819
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 2 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-180); Over


Game 55-56: Montreal at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 12.870; Tampa Bay 11.719
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+115); Under


Game 57-58: Ottawa at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.852; Florida 12.296
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+100); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Monday

Edmonton -8.5 CFL

Ottawa -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Steelers (+1 1/2) on Sunday and likes the Orioles (86% System) on Monday.

The deficit is 1047 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo going to KC again

Hondo covered via the late pick-six with both the Broncos and Cards on Sunday but was betrayed by the Chargers, who showed no concern for their backers in ending their game in the “Victory Formation.” As a result, His Aitchness’ deficit dropped only to 1,295 busbys.

Monday night: Mr. Aitch will hitch another ride on the Royals’ magic carpet — 10 units on Guthrie to push the Birds one step closer to extinction.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NHL | COLORADO at BOSTON
Play Against - A favorite against the money line (BOSTON) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a bad team (30% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (<=30%) in the first half of the season
65-44 since 1997. ( 59.6% | 43.6 units )

NHL | COLORADO at BOSTON
Play Against - A favorite against the money line (BOSTON) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a bad team (30% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (<=30%)
76-59 since 1997. ( 56.3% | 45.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | BALTIMORE at KANSAS CITY
Play On - Any team (BALTIMORE) terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts
186-154 over the last 5 seasons. ( 54.7% | 52.5 units )
26-36 this year. ( 41.9% | -8.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | BALTIMORE at KANSAS CITY
BALTIMORE is 89-61 (+31.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.5) , OPPONENT (3.7)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pointwise Phones

3* St. Louis Rams

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FSOTB - Fat Side Of The Bacon

St. Louis Rams

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle Baseball

MONDAY

Play Kansas City -110 over Baltimore (Top Play)
8:00 PM EST

Jeremy Guthrie has won 40 of the last 65 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has won 29 of the last 48 home games. Jeremy Guthrie has won 30 of the last 50 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season and he is 3-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 0.44.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle Football


MONDAY

Play San Francisco -3 over St. Louis (NFL)
8:30 PM EST

San Francisco has covered the spread in 10 of the last 12 games when playing as a road favorite of seven points or less and they have covered the spread in 28 of the last 38 games when playing on a Monday Night. San Francisco has covered the spread in 7 of the last 9 games when playing in the month of October and they have covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games coming off a two game home-stand.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

MONDAY

TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY



Play San Francisco -3 over St. Louis---RISK 30% OF YOUR BANKROLL

8:30 PM EST

San Francisco has won 19 of the last 24 games when playing after the 1st month of the season and they have won 40 of the last 55 games when playing as a road favorite. San Francisco has won 22 of the last 32 games vs. NFC Conference Opponents and they have won 6 consecutive games coming off a two game home-stand.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

MONDAY BASEBALL




Play Kansas City -110 over Baltimore---Top Play (Risk 10% of your Bankroll)

8:00 PM EST

Kansas City has won 26 of the last 34 games after having won six or seven of the last eight games and they have won 26 of the last 41 games coming off three of more OVER the totals. Kansas City has won 15 of the last 20 games when playing with a day off and they have won 20 of the last 27 home games when the line posted is between -100 to -125.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie


MONDAY

10* Play San Francisco -3 over St. Louis (Top NFL Play)

San Francisco is 10-2 ATS when playing as a road favorite of 7 points or less
San Francisco is 28-10 ATS when playing on a Monday Night

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

MONDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Kansas City -110 over Baltimore (MLB TOP PLAY)

Kansas City is 52-34 when playing in the 2nd half of the season
Kansas City is 15-5 when playing with a day off

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

MONDAY FOOTBALL

5000* Play San Francisco -3 over St. Louis (TOP NFL PLAY)

St. Louis has lost 6 of the last 7 games after gaining 400 or more total yards in their last game and they have lost 7 of the last 10 games when playing in weeks five through nine. St. Louis has lost 10 of the last 15 games coming off a road game and they are allowing an average of 29 points a game on defense this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime


MLB Baseball

1000* Play Kansas City -110 over Baltimore (TOP MLB PLAY)

Jeremy Guthrie has won 33 of the last 51 games when the line posted is between +125 to -125 and he has won 23 of the last 34 home games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Jeremy Guthrie has won 18 of the last 29 games after giving up one or less earned runs in his last outing and he has an ERA of 2.67 vs. Baltimore over his career.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Winning Crew

NFL 25 Dime Play: San Francisco -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WINNING ANGLE

MONDAY CANADIAN FOOTBALL
Play Saskatchewan +3.5 over Montreal (TOP CFL PLAY)
Play Edmonton -9 over Winnipeg (TOP CFL PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Accuscore

NFL:
SF vs St. Louis UNDER 43.5

MLB:
Baltimore vs KC UNDER 7.5 (****GOY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon


Ben lee won on Sunday in the NFL with the Cardinals -3/Redskins.

Ben lee won on Sunday in MLB in the National League Championship Series with the Cardinals -$120/Giants.

For Monday in MLB in the American League Championship Series "Mr Chalk" likes the Royals -$110/Orioles.

Ben lee is 236-265-5 -$3240 through Fifty weeks.

"Mr Chalk" is 88-64 -$524 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play 6-1 run MON Rams + 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
Another awesome postseason MLB game, this time with a walk off homerun by the Cardinals. For record keeping I took a 2 unit loss on the game, while Kyle picked up a third straight winner. The ALCS returns with Game 3 in Kansas City tonight, and I've got a 5 unit play for the game.
5 UNIT = Baltimore Orioles @ Kansas City Royals - ROYALS TO WIN (+102)
Listed Pitchers: Chen vs Guthrie
(Note: I'm risking 5.00 units to win 5.10 units)

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Scott Spreitzer 10/13 MLB (Premium Service)

BAL/KC UNDER 7.5

40-21 MLB Winning Run!

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WinningAngle

MONDAY

NBA BASKETBALL----PRESEASON

Play Charlotte -5 over Orlando (NBA TOP PLAY)
Play Chicago -5.5 over Denver (NBA TOP PLAY)


Detailed information and Analysis will start once the regular season begins in a few weeks.



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NHL HOCKEY

Play Montreal +115 over Tampa Bay (NHL TOP PLAY)
Play Florida +100 over Ottawa (NHL TOP PLAY)

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Paul Leiner

100* Orioles -105

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Doc Sports

Mlb

3*Baltimore-110

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EZWINNERS

2* 49ers -$180

[golden contender]

Monday Night Football Perfect system play along with a Game 3 MLB League Championship series system lead the Monday card. MLB on a 9-2 run. NFL Ranked #1 on several boards. Free Columbus Day NHL Matinee play below.

On Monday the free Columbus day NHL Power angle Play is on Anaheim. Game 53 at 3:00 eastern. The Ducks travel into Buffalo to take on a Sabres team they beat twice last season scoring 6 goals in both win. Anaheim is 7-1 on the road off a road game and has much more depth. Buffalo is 0-9 off a road game and has lost 16 of 18 if they were a dog in their last game. Look for Anaheim to get the win. On Monday there are 2 plays up. In NFL we are ranked #1 on several prestigious boards and tonight there is a 100% System in the Monday night football game and a Game 3 League Championship Series system play. Message to Get on both now as we start the week big. For the free play take Anaheim. GC

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skyblue picks

8:05pm ET - Kansas City Royals +102

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Northcoast

2* over 43.5 San Fran/ St. Louis
Top Opinion Marquee
San Francisco -3

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Raphael esparza nhl

3* Ottawa -110

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sports pick predictions

MLB
Baltimore Orioles, -110 (2 units)
NFL
St. Louis +3.5, EVEN MONEY (2 units)

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Stevie Y

NHL

Florida Under 5.5

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Lt lock

Rams

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Sammy P

20* Tampa Bay Under

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Brandon Lang

50 DIME MONDAY NIGHT

MONEY MOVE #2 IN A ROW

SF Niners -3

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Sports Profit Factory

2 Orioles -105

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Sports Cash System

extra bonus system for today:

San Francisco 49ers / St. Louis Rams UNDER 43½ (Bet Level 4) (Total Points Bet) (NFL Football) - Game Starts at 8:30 PM EST

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bookieshunter

MNF 49'ers -3

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VegasButcher

San Francisco 49ers -3 @ -120

Going to back the Niners in this one. St Louis ranks 31st in passing-D efficiency and their front 7 has registered only 1 sack on the year. If the Rams can't get pressure on stationary QB's like Romo, Folk, McCown, and Cassel, how are they going to pressure a dynamic running QB like Kapernick? San Fran is a better all around team and I expect them to show that on the national stage tonight. 49ers blew a game last time they played on National TV (to Chicago in week 2) but I don't see that happening tonight. They are 5-1 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or fewer, 3-1 ATS on Monday night over the last few years, and 14-6 ATS on the road in the last 20. I expect the better team to win and cover tonight.

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Dives Handicapping
Royals +102

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FYI

KC/Baltimore THE GAME HAS BEEN POSTPONED DUE TO RAIN. GAME 3 WILL BE PLAYED TUESDAY, OCTOBER 14, AT 8 PM ET. Kansas City leads series 2-0

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Locksmith Sports

NFL:
Chairman's Play - 5* Rams +3 (+105)

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James Jones NFL
2* St. Louis Rams +3.5 -120

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Charlie sports

500*
rams
rams under
balt under

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VegasNFLPicks

[5 Unit Pick]
San Francisco 49ers@St.Louis Rams - SAN FRANCISCO 49ers -3
(Best Odds: Pinnaclesports.com">-115@(Pinnaclesports.com)
(Risking 5.75 units to win 5.00 units)
8:30 PM EST

[2 Unit Pick]
San Francisco 49ers@St.Louis Rams - SAN FRANCISCO 49ers -8
(Best Odds: 5dimes.com">+184@(5dimes.com)
(Risking 2.00 units to win 3.68 units)
8:30 PM EST

[3 Unit Pick]
San Francisco@St.Louis Rams - SAN FRANCISCO 49ers -2.5 1st half
(Best Odds: Pinnaclesports.com">-113@(Pinnaclesports.com)
(Risking 3.06 units to win 3.00 units)
8:30 PM EST

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Line Drive Sports

Rams +3

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Craig Davis

50 Dimes Rams +3

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Al DeMarco

10 Dimes 49ers -3

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Totals4U

2014 NFC West Division Primetime Super Total of the Year!!!!!

San Francisco/St Louis over 43 1/2

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Larry ness

San Fran

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rbi sports
over royals

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King Creole

3* San Fran Over

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Scott Spreitzer

Tampa Bay -130

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SportsInsights

NFL Contrarian (9-5-2, +3.1 units)

10/13 4:33 P ET


Game Time (ET)

Play

Best Line

10/13 8:30 PM 278 Play on STL +4.5

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Hot Chicks PICKS

In NFL.......
Take SAN FRANCISCO -3 to strike gold in the Missouri!

In NBA....

Take the CLIPPERS -4.5 to tap dance around Utah tonight!

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Steve Budin

100 DIME WINNER # 5 IN A ROW

San Fran buy half point from 3 - 4 points

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MILLIONAIRES CLUB
small
rams

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Stephen Nover

NFL Side
triple-dime bet 277 SFX -3.0 (-125) 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) vs 278 STL
Analysis:
Colin Kaepernick is at his best when his ground game is going smoothly. That will be the case in this matchup. The 49ers rank No. 3 in rushing thanks to a hot Frank Gore, who has rushed for 299 yards while averaging 4.9 yards per carry during his last four games. Gore has had some of his best erformances against the Rams, having scored 14 touchdowns against them while running for more than 1,100 yards.
St. Louis permits nearly 30 points a game and is second-to-last in stopping the run. The Rams have allowed 100-yard rushers in three of their last four games.
Don't be fooled by the Rams ranking No. 1 in pass defense. Their secondary actually isn't very good at all. They've faced the fewest pass attempts per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed close to 71 percent of their throws against the Rams. The Rams are last in the league in sacks, too, with just one.
San Francisco owns the superior offense and defense. The 49ers are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 road and neutral site games, not including playing in Seattle. This spread is way short.
Pick Made: Oct 13 2014 4:15AM PST

NFL Total Mon
triple-dime bet 277 SFX / 278 STL OVER 43.5 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)
Analysis:
The 49ers are No. 3 in rushing. St. Louis is 31st in run defense giving up an average of 152.5 yards per game on the ground. The 49ers have upgraded their receiving weapons and star tight end Vernon Davis should be a go. The Rams only have one sack. Colin Kaepernick will be able to pick his spots off play-action.
The Rams' offense has picked up under Austin Davis, who gets better with each game. Davis, unlike many other backups, is a gunslinger not a game manager. He's not afraid to throw long. This is good for the over. So is the game being played on a fast track inside a dome stadium.
San Francisco is missing a number of key defenders. The 49ers' defense is down from the last couple of seasons.
Both teams have excellent place-kickers, but are weak in coverage so special teams should be good, too, for the over.
Pick Made: Oct 13 2014 4:17AM PST

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Indian Cowboy

3* HOCKEY SELECTION. #57. Take Ottawa -110 over Florida (Monday @ 7:30pm est) (Westgate and Wynn have this at -110)

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Kelso

25 stl
25 under

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Dr. Bob Sports

**San Francisco (-3 -130) 26 ST. LOUIS 15
Mon Oct-13-2014 at 05:30 PM Pacific Rotation: 277 Over/Under 43.5 - Matchup Stats
With back to back home wins against the Eagles and the Chiefs, San Francisco is right back in the mix in the NFC West with a 3-2 record. Facing the Rams this week in St. Louis in an important divisional game on Monday night in primetime, the 49ers should be focused to play well and have some match-up advantages that they should be able to exploit. San Francisco’s strong power running game should be able to pound the ball on a Rams defense that is allowing 154 yards at 5.3 ypr that last week let an Eagles struggling rush offense generate 146 rushing yards at 4.6 ypr. Meanwhile, the San Francisco defense should win in the trenches as well. The 49ers rush defense is allowing just 75 yards at 4.1 ypr to teams that typically gain 119 yards at 4.5 ypr and should be able to shut down a Rams attack that generates 4.3 ypr against teams that have allowed 4.5 ypr. St Louis quarterback Austin Davis has put up some good numbers but much of his production has been against some of the poorer pass defenses in the league in Tampa Bay (30th in the NFL in pass defense), Philadelphia (29th) and Dallas (18th). Davis has also had some costly turnovers including two fumbles last week, and threw a pick-six against both Minnesota and Dallas. He’ll face a far better defense this week as the 49ers have allowed just 284 yards per game at 5.1 yppl overall.

The Rams defense has really missed defensive end Chris Long as so far this season as St. Louis has only 1 sack. With Long out, opposing offenses are focusing on containing Robert Quinn and others haven’t been able to step up. While the Rams pass defense looks great in allowing a league low 190 yards per game, they have actually given up 7.1 yps against teams that gain 6.2 yps on average. In addition, teams simply haven’t thrown the ball much against the Rams. In fact, the Rams have the fewest pass attempts against in the league mainly because they haven’t been able to stop the run. That makes for a difficult match-up in this game against a 49es offense that can pound the ball but also has the ability to stretch the field with a number of playmakers in the receiver and tight end groups.

The 49ers qualify in 664-495-40 and 215-103-4 situations while the Rams do qualify in a couple of weaker situations. My adjusted points model favors San Francisco by about 8 points in this game and with the match-up advantages favoring the superior team, who should also be motivated playing in primetime in a divisional game, I’ll take the 49ers -3 -130 for 2-Stars up to -4.

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Blasscyk WINS, LLC.
Welcome to the PLAYBOOK!
Monday, October 13, 2014
San Francisco @ St. Louis (8:30 pm EST)
BW NOTES: Kaepernick is 3-0 with a 126.8 passer rating on Monday night. San Francisco has an all-time best 45 wins on Monday Night Football. The TOTAL should have been set @ 47.
BW PLAY: 277 SAN FRANCISCO OVER 43 (-120 buy the hook) *5 UNITS* (Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437))
BW PLAY: 277 SAN FRANCISCO -3 (-120) *5 UNITS* (Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437))

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Chris James Sports
Rams +4

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Big money st. Louis

carolina sports 3- over

doc's enterprises pass

dr. Bob 2- sf

gameday op: Sf

harry bondi 3- st louis

inside info pass

jack jones 20 sf

joe d pass

lenny stevens 10- st louis


northcoast 2- over, op: Sf

pick city 2- sf

pointwise 3- st louis

preferred picks pass

pure lock pass

texas sportswire pass

underdog pass

wildcat 5- sf

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Diamond Dog Sports

NFL

#277/278: 49ers/Rams: Under 43.5 (-110) (2.5*)

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BEN BURNS BEST BET

NFL Over