10-16-14

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::clap::

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BEN BURNS

Thursday Roast Oregon State

Thursday BEST BET! (2-0 in series last year)
jets/pats under

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Sports Insights

Best Bet

Jets +10

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Gilztips

new england -9.5

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Maddux Sports

10* Pittsburgh +3

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EZWINNERS

3* Pitt -1.5

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Tiger:

* NFL (1304) 1H TOTAL u23.5-115 (1H NY JETS vrs 1H NE PATRIOTS)

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Today's NFL PicksNY Jets at New EnglandThe Patriots host the Jets on Thursday night and come into the contest with an 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 home games. New England is the pick (-9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Patriots favored by 18 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New England (-9 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.


THURSDAY, OCTOBER 16
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST (10/16)


Game 303-304: NY Jets at New England (8:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 123.454; New England 141.770
Dunkel Line: New England by 18 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: New England by 9 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: New England (-9 1/2); Over

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Game of the Day: Utah at Oregon State

Utah Utes at Oregon State Beavers (+2.5, 52.5)

Utah quarterback Kendal Thompson is expected to make his first start Thursday when the Utes visit Oregon State, which won last season’s meeting 51-48 in overtime. Thompson, who transferred in the offseason from Oklahoma, replaced an inefficient Travis Wilson and rushed for 83 yards to spark No. 23 Utah’s 30-28 upset of UCLA on Oct. 4. Utes coach Kyle Whittingham hasn’t named a starter for Thursday, but all signs point to Thompson getting the nod.

After opening Pac-12 play with a 35-10 loss at USC, Oregon State bounced back from a with a 36-31 victory at Colorado on Oct. 4. Beavers senior quarterback Sean Mannion threw five touchdowns in last year’s win over Utah, but brings a 5-to-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio into this season’s matchup. While Mannion and his young receiving corps has struggled throughout the first half of the season, Oregon State ranks second in the Pac-12 in total defense at 331.4 yards allowed per game.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1.

LINE HISTORY: Utah opened as 2-point road favorites and were bet as high as -3, before settling at -2.5. The total opened at 52 and is now up to 52.5.

INJURY REPORT: Oregon State - OL Garrett Weinreich (questionable Thursday, knee). Utah - N/A.

WEATHER REPORT: It will be mostly cloudy at kickoff with seven mile per hour wind blowing towards the northwest endzone. There will be a slight nine percent chance of rain.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Utah (-10.5) - Oregon State (-4) + home field (-3) = Oregon State +3.5

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We opened Utah as a 1.5 point favorite on the road on Sunday and quickly went to -2 as we took a sharp bet at the 1.5 number. On Monday we went up to Utah -3 but by the end of the day we settled on Utah -2.5 were we currently sit with 64 percent of the action. We opened the total 54.5 yesterday and saw a flood of public money come in on the under pushing us to 53.5 this morning we adjusted to 53 then to 51.5 where we had some sharp money come in on the over at that number forcing us back up to 53 with 59% of the action now on the over." - Michael Stewart of Carbonsports.ag

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Pac-12 rivals Utah and Oregon State will meet in Corvallis on Thursday night. Both teams are 4-1, and both are well rested coming off a bye. The Utes though have climbed into the rankings after upsetting UCLA in Pasadena. The Beavers will likely have their hands full trying to stop Utah's power running game." - Covers Expert Jesse Schule.

ABOUT UTAH (4-1, 4-1 ATS, 2-3 O/U): Running back Devontae Booker had 156 yards on 33 carries against UCLA and could post similar numbers against an Oregon State front seven that is missing two injured starters. The Utes’ defense leads the nation in sacks (5.6 per game) and tackles for loss (10.2 per game), and defensive end Nate Orchard ranks first in the country with 8.5 sacks. The Utes boast one of the top special teams units in the country, led by kicker Andy Phillips and kick returner Kaelin Clay, who leads the Pac-12 in punt return average (23.1).

ABOUT OREGON STATE (4-1, 2-3 ATS, 2-3 O/U): Terron Ward provided a boost for the Beavers’ offense with 102 rushing yards and two touchdowns against Colorado, but Mannion has struggled at times while waiting for receivers such as Victor Bolden and Richard Mullaney to become consistent downfield threats. The Beavers rank second in the league in passing efficiency defense, led by linebackers Michael Doctor, D.J. Alexander and Jabral Johnson. Kicker Trevor Romaine has been on a tear since missing the first two games, going 8-for-8 on extra points and 4-for-4 on field goals, including a 47-yarder.

TRENDS:

* Oregon State is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Utah is 4-0 ATS versus a team with a winning record.
* Under is 7-1 in Utah's last eight games versus a team with a winning record.
* Under is 5-1 in Oregon State's last six home games.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Just under 52 percent of wagers are backing Utah at -2.5.

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Thursday Night Football: Jets at Patriots

New York Jets at New England Patriots (-10, 44)

Looking like a team whose time had passed just a couple of weeks ago, the New England Patriots are back atop the AFC East and preparing to face an opponent they have dominated in recent years. The Patriots aim to pad their division lead when they host the New York Jets on Thursday. New England has won six of the past seven meetings, but New York claimed a 30-27 overtime win in last season's second showdown.

The Patriots were all but counted out after a 41-14 drubbing by the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday night in Week 4, but they've claimed two straight impressive victories, including a 37-22 win at Buffalo on Sunday to move to the top of the standings. While the Jets have lost five straight since a 19-14 win over Oakland in Week 1, they gave defending AFC champion Denver a scare before falling 31-17 on Sunday. The Patriots have won 32 straight home games against AFC opponents, the longest streak since the NFL merger in 1970.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE HISTORY: After opening at Patriots -9.5, the line has since shifted to -10 where it sits currently. The toal opened as 45, but has sinced dropped a point to 44.

INJURY REPORT: Jets - WR David Nelson (Ques-Ankle) Patriots - DL Dominique Easley (Ques-Shoulder), CB Brandon Browner (Ques-Ankle), LB Dont'a Hightower (Ques-Knee)

WEATHER REPORT: Rain is suppose to be hitting Gillette Stadium hard from Wednesday night straight through till kickoff. Rain is supposed to open up right around kickoff and dropping 15 mm of rain. Winds are expected to be blowing between five and six mph.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: The Patriots made it two straight wins to take over first place in the AFC East and now start a three-game homestand. The Pats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 30 points. New York has failed to cover a single game this season after getting frontdoored last Sunday. The road team has covered 4 of last 5 in the series with New England.

ABOUT THE JETS (1-5 SU, 0-5-1 ATS, 3-3 O/U): New York ranks 30th in the league in total offense (303.3 yards per game) and last in passing (182.2) but coach Rex Ryan insists he is committed to second-year quarterback Geno Smith. Smith has thrown seven interceptions — at least one in every game — and has completed only 57.1 percent of his passes, so the Jets have leaned heavily on running backs Chris Ivory and Chris Johnson to power the offense. The Jets rank sixth in the league in total defense but 25th in scoring defense, largely because of unfavorable field position thanks to 12 giveaways.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U): After a disastrous game against the Chiefs, Tom Brady and the Patriots' offense have come back to life the past two games, though the loss of running back Stevan Ridley is a big one. Shane Vereen becomes the featured back with Ridley out, but Brady might have to go to the air more often. The Patriots lead the NFL with a plus-9 turnover margin in large part because of an AFC-best seven interceptions and will try to force Smith into the type of poor decisions he is prone to make.

TRENDS:

*Jets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
*Over is 14-3 in Patriots last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
*Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in New England.
*Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 57.48 percent of Covers users are backing the Patriots -10, with 64.14 percent taking the over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

marc lawrecne phone plays

Jets

oregon state

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Today's MLB Picks St. Louis at San Francisco The Giants look to clinch the NLCS following yesterday's 6-4 win and come into tonight's contest with a 10-2 record in Madison Bumgarner's last 12 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in the previous game. San Francisco is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-140). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


THURSDAY, OCTOBER 16
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 969-970: St. Louis at San Francisco (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.303; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.897
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 6
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-140); Under

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StatFox Super Situations

CFB | MARSHALL at FLA INTERNATIONAL
Play On - Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (MARSHALL) dominant team - outscoring opponents by 17 or more points/game, after scoring 37 points or more in 3 straight games
46-18 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% | -1.2 units )

CFB | CLEMSON at BOSTON COLLEGE
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (CLEMSON) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season
86-56 over the last 5 seasons. ( 60.6% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

CFB | UTAH at OREGON ST
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is between 25 and 28 after a win by 6 or less points
89-45 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units )
4-4 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.4 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

NHL | COLORADO at OTTAWA
Play On - Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (COLORADO) poor team - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game, after scoring 2 goals or less in 3 straight games
29-7 over the last 5 seasons. ( 80.6% | 21.3 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

NHL | SAN JOSE at NY ISLANDERS
Play Against - Road Favorites against the money line (SAN JOSE) after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game against opponent after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game
34-18 since 1997. ( 65.4% | 26.6 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

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Giants beat Cards, one win from Series

SAN FRANCISCO (AP) - Buster Posey and the Giants already know how to win in October - even without all this help from the St. Louis Cardinals.

Even without home runs, or even hits.

Posey drove in three runs and San Francisco took advantage of some clunky defense by first baseman Matt Adams, beating the Cardinals 6-4 on Wednesday night to move within one victory of the World Series.

Chasing their third title in five years, the Giants lead the best-of-seven NL Championship Series 3-1 after poor throws cost the Cardinals yet again.

October ace Madison Bumgarner can pitch San Francisco to another pennant Thursday at home in Game 5. Struggling All-Star Adam Wainwright starts for St. Louis, now facing the same daunting deficit the Giants overcame to beat the Cardinals in the 2012 NLCS.

Kansas City awaits the winner after completing its ALCS sweep of Baltimore earlier in the day. The wild-card Royals will host Game 1 of the World Series on Tuesday night.

San Francisco climbed out of an early three-run hole, and back-to-back bad throws by Adams in the sixth inning helped the Giants rally - one night after a wild toss by St. Louis reliever Randy Choate allowed the winning run to score in the 10th inning.

''I think any time you can put pressure on the defense, you've got the opportunity for good things to happen,'' Posey said. ''We're able to come up with some big two-out RBIs to get back in the game.''

Minus injured catcher Yadier Molina again, the Cardinals were clinging to a 4-3 lead when San Francisco put runners at second and third in the sixth. Playing in with one out, the lumbering Adams backhanded Gregor Blanco's bouncer and stumbled as he tried to set himself to throw home.

Adams had trouble with the transfer, and his toss short-hopped catcher Tony Cruz as Juan Perez slid across with the tying run.

Joe Panik then hit a grounder right to Adams, who stepped on first base before firing wildly to second in trying for a double play. Brandon Crawford stopped about halfway between third and home, yet was able to score easily when Adams threw wide of the bag.

Cardinals shortstop Jhonny Peralta came way off the base to catch the ball, but had no play at the plate.

''The play at home, there's a fast runner at third and I was going in on the ball and threw on the run,'' Adams said. ''Just should've made the throw, though. The second one, I should've just touched first and checked home.''

Posey added an RBI single off Seth Maness to make it 6-4. The star catcher also had a sacrifice fly in the first and a run-scoring single in the third.

These wild-card Giants joke about not needing hits and home runs to win, and they're showing that with timely bunts, small ball and a few miscues from the opponent. The tying and go-ahead runs came home on balls that didn't leave the infield.

Yusmeiro Petit pitched three scoreless innings to win in relief of an ineffective Ryan Vogelsong. Petit has been a valuable long man - he delivered six shutout innings in an 18-inning NLDS victory at Washington.

''He's been really good for us for a long time and he's finally getting some recognition. What a weapon to have,'' Posey said.

Sergio Romo worked the eighth and Santiago Casilla finished for his second save of the series.

A total of six Giants relievers held St. Louis scoreless over the final six innings.

Marco Gonzales took the loss after issuing a leadoff walk to pinch-hitter Perez in the sixth and giving up a single to Crawford.

''A lot of these innings are set up with good at_bats early in innings,'' Giants outfielder Hunter Pence said.

The Giants haven't homered in six games since Brandon Belt connected in the 18th inning at Washington, but it hasn't mattered much.

Cardinals rookie Kolten Wong showed off more postseason power, but his solo homer was wasted.

Vogelsong was the only pitcher in major league history to yield no more than one run in his first five postseason starts, but his streak ended when he gave up four in three innings. San Francisco has still won all six of the postseason games he has started.

SANDOVAL'S STREAK

Giants 3B Pablo Sandoval has reached base in 22 straight postseason games dating to Game 4 of the 2012 NLDS on Oct. 12, 2012. That breaks Barry Bonds' franchise record set from 2002-03. Bonds threw out the ceremonial first pitch Wednesday.

UP NEXT

Cardinals: Wainwright believes he has worked out some kinks in his delivery that have kept him from getting out of the fifth in his first two playoff starts this year. He has allowed eight earned runs and 17 hits in nine innings. ''I just don't want to get a bad rap for not being a good playoff pitcher,'' Wainwright said. ''That's the time I want to shine the most.''

Giants: Bumgarner gave up four hits over 7 2-3 innings for a 3-0 win in Game 1. He pitched a four-hitter in San Francisco's 8-0 wild-card win at Pittsburgh before taking the loss in Game 3 of the NLDS against Washington.

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NCAAF

Thursday's games

Underdogs covered six of last seven Va Tech-Pitt games, winning four of last five SU; Hokies lost last three visits here, by 18-3-31 points, as Pitt won four of last five series games. Tech already won at Ohio State and North Carolina; win at OSU was its first cover in last seven tries as road underdog. Pitt lost last three games, including a horrible loss to Akron at home; they're 0-2 as home favorites this year, 5-4 under Chryst. ACC home favorites are 6-8 vs spread in conference play.

Home side won four of last five Utah-Oregon State games; Utes lost last two visits here 21-7/24-7- they got upset 51-48 at home by Beavers LY. Utah has road wins at Michigan/UCLA; they've failed to cover last four tries as road favorites. OSU is 2-4 in last six tries as home dog; they gave up 66 points in splitting last two games (won 36-31 at Colorado)- they beat San Diego State in only I-A home game. Underdogs are 12-4 vs spread in Pac-12 conference games, 4-2 at home.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 7

Jets (1-5) @ Patriots (4-2)—Pats won five of last six series games, with three of last four decided by exactly 3 points; Jets lost five of last six visits here, with only win in ’10 playoffs- they lost last three visits here by 9-3-3 points. Patriots scored 80 points in last two games since 41-14 loss to Chiefs, scoring seven TD’s on 23 drives- they’ve been +3 or better in three of four wins, lost field position by 8-19 yards. Jets have only three takeaways for season, are -9 in turnovers. Pats are 7-5 in last 12 games as divisional home favorite; they’re 0-1 as home faves this year. Jets are 8-11-1 in last 20 games as road underdog. Both teams suffered key injuries Sunday; Milliner for Jets, Mayo/Ridley for NE- they’re all out for year. Keep in mind that over is now 15-4 in primetime games this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Sharks won their first three games, allowing five goals. Islanders also won their first three games, scoring 15 goals.
-- Penguins won their first two games, scoring 11 goals.
-- New Jersey won first three games, allowing six goals.
-- Ottawa won its last two games, allowing two goals.
-- Canadiens won three of their first four games.
-- Los Angeles won last two games, outscoring foes 10-2.

Cold teams
-- Dallas Stars lost two of first three games, scoring seven goals.
-- Washington lost two of its first three games.
-- Rangers lost their last three games, allowing 17 goals. Carolina lost first three games, allowing 13 goals.
-- Colorado lost three of its first four games.
-- Bruins lost three of their last four games.
-- Blues split their first two games, both at home.

Series records
-- Islanders lost six of last seven games with San Jose.
-- Penguins won seven of last nine games with Dallas.
-- Devils won eight of last ten games against Washington.
-- Rangers won 11 of their last 12 games with Carolina.
-- Senators lost their last seven games with Ottawa.
-- Canadiens are 10-4 in last 14 games vs Boston; they beat Bruins in 7 games in LY's playoffs.
-- Kings won six of their last seven games with St Louis.

Totals
-- Six of last seven San Jose-Islander games stayed under total.
-- Four of last six Dallas-Pittsburgh games went over.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in last 12 New Jersey-Washington games.
-- Over is 7-2-3 in last twelve Carolina-Ranger games.
-- Four of last five Colorado-Ottawa games went over total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in Boston games this season.
-- Under is 4-1-4 in last nine St Louis-LA games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Royals on Wednesday and likes the Cardinals on Thursday.

The deficit is 947 sirignanos.

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Hondo

Hondo hits the double!

The Royals finished off the Orioles Wednesday night, and the Giants performed to expectation against the Cards, which enabled Hondo to remove a hefty chunk from the deficit, which plunged to 1,140 hannahs.

Thursday night: Mr. Aitch will hold his nose with one hand and put 10 units on Belicheat and the Pats with the other.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Thursday

Canadians +125

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Cappers Access

Patriots -9.5
Virginia tech +1.5
Oregon St +3

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Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play Thursday NCAAF Pittsburgh Panthers -1

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EZWINNERS

EZ's Plays For Today

I'm not playing anything on Wednesday or the Thurday night NFL game between the Jets and the Patriots. My Thursday night college football selection in posted below along with three big plays for Saturday. I sent out the Notre Dame play before the game was taken off the board. Best of luck.

-EZ

THURSDAY

3* (306) Pittsburgh Panthers -1.5

Virginia Tech's starting quarterback Michael Brewer has already thrown eleven interceptions and just can't be trusted on the road. Pitt has some issues with their sophomore quarterback as well but the do have a ball hawking defense and an edge at running back with James Conner. Conner is a big 250 pound bruising running back that has already rushed for over 800 yards on the season. The Panthers should be able to control the clock with the running game and force a turnover or two to pick up the home win. Play on Pittsburgh.


SATURDAY

5* (340) Arkansas Razorbacks +4

Georgia is coming off of a huge shutout win over Missouri last week in their first game without their suspended star running back Todd Gurley. The players dedicated the game to Gurley and as teams often do in their first game without their star they rose to the occasion in a big way. Freshmen running back Nick Chubb rushed for 143 yards and the Bulldogs defense forced Missouri into five turnovers. Now the Bulldogs must take to the road for the second straight week as a more then a field goal favorite against an ever improving Arkansas team. The Hogs are 0-3 in SEC play, but in their last two games lost in overtime against A&M and by one point to Alabama. The Arkansas defense held ‘Bama to just ten first downs. Hogs quarterback Brandon Allen is also playing well to compliment


5* (400) Northwestern Wildcats +7

This is a big revenge game for Northwestern who lost to these Huskers last season in Nebraska on a Hail Mary. If the Wildcat defense can do a decent job on Husker running back Ameer Abdullah, which I expect them to do, Northwestern will have a chance at the upset. Nebraska will want to try to establish the run, but their offensive line is still an area of concern. Last week the Wildcat defense held Minnesota running back David Cobb to under 100 yards for the game. Coming into that game Cobb was averaging over 144 yards per game and I expect Northwestern's defense to have another strong effort in this game. I like Northwestern to get it done in their homecoming game. Take the points.


5* (403) Notre Dame Fighting Irish +13.5

The Irish looked past an offensively talented North Carolina team last week with this game against #1 ranked Florida State on tap. I took the generous points last week with the Tar Heels as I faded the Irish in the look ahead spot, but I will back Notre Dame in this game. The Irish have been money in these games as they are 10-4 in their last fourteen games against top ten teams including 4-0 against the spread as a visiting dog since 2012. There are more Jameis Winston distractions this week as FSU investigates his autograph signings so I wanted to jump on this early just in case he sits for this game. Even with Winston in the game, the Irish offense can score enough points to win this game straight up. The FSU defense is allowing 21 points and 359 yards per game and this will be the best offense that they have faced all year. Take the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks Colorado at Ottawa The Avalanche head to Ottawa tonight and come into the contest with a 7-0 record in their last 7 games versus the Senators. Colorado is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Avalanche favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-105). Here are all of today's picks.


THURSDAY, OCTOBER 17
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 1-2: San Jose at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 13.509; NY Islanders 12.013
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-120); Under


Game 3-4: Dallas at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.504; Pittsburgh 12.997
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-170); Under


Game 5-6: New Jersey at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 12.896; Washington 11.422
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+105); Under


Game 7-8: Carolina at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.202; NY Rangers 13.411
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 9-10: Colorado at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 12.621; Ottawa 11.022
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-105); Over


Game 11-12: Boston at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.735; Montreal 13.168
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-120); Under


Game 13-14: St. Louis at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.298; Los Angeles 12.786
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-130); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Victor King Creole:

I have this as a 3* Play:

NEW YORK JETS @ NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
3*** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
*Optimum OU line: 44 or less points

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner:

2000* CFB Virginia Tech +2
100* NFL Over 44.5 Jets/Patriots
50* CFB Utah -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bio Sports Picks:

3u Jets/Patriots OVER 44

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole | NFL Total Thu, 10/16/14 - 8:25 PM
double-dime bet 303 NYJ / 304 NEP OVER 44.0 Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437).com
Analysis:
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
*Optimum OU line: 44 or less points

We’re well aware that there could be bad weather in the Thursday night game between the PATRIOTS and JETS. In fact, the chance of rain is 100%… with possible thunderstorms as well. Winds won’t be a factor however, with a forecast of just 5-6 mile per hour. The OU line in this game has been adjusted as a result of that weather forecast…. as it opened at 47 points, and has gone down as low as 44 points. So we’ll look to STILL play on this OVER… and sharp Totals Players will get on board when the line ‘bottoms out’. It might just be at the current number of 44.5 to 45 points, given there public’s tendency to slam Overs on game day. So for now, our optimum OU line in this one is 44.5 or less points. And we’re PLAYIN it… rain or shine.

THURSDAY’s have been a GREAT Day of the Week for NFL games to be significantly higher-scoring than anticipated. In the last four weeks, Thursday games have seen 61 pts… 52 pts… 59 pts… and 70 pts. Until an opposite OU pattern starts to show, we’re compelled to still go with the flow. Especially knowing that:

*THURSDAY games in the NFL with an OU line of 52 < points have gone 16-2 O/U In the last three seasons in Game Five ore greater…
*THURSDAY big home favorites of -7 > pts (PATRIOTS) have gone 5-0 O/U in the last two seasons in the OU line range of 44 to 56 points…
*THURSDAY games with an OU line of < 49 points when BOTH teams come into the game off an ‘Over' in their last game (PATS + JETS).
*THURSDAY teams playing the first of 3 STRAIGHT home games (PATRIOTS) have gone 8-1 O/U...

At last look, the host Patriots were laying a whopping 9.5 to 10 points in this game… 6-0 /U last 3 years: All DIVISION home favorites of -9 > pts playing off a SUATS win (NEW ENG) when the OU line is < 48 points.

New England’s offense has really picked up their game as of late. The Patriots averaged only 20.0 ppg in their first four games. But in their last two, they’ve scored 43 and 37 points… 7-0 O/U since 2009: All GAME 14 or less home favorites of > 3 points AFTER scoring 37 > points in EACH of their last two games (NEW ENG).

On the flip side, the Jets’ defense hasn’t scared anyone. After starting the season by allowing 14 points to the Oakland Raiders, the Jets have allowed 31… 27… 24… 31… and 31 points in their last five games…. 7-1 O/U last 2 years: All road teams who allowed 31 > points in EACH of their last two games (NEW YORK).

Last week, the Jets lost at home to Denver by a score of 31 to 17… 10-2 O/U last 5 years: All division road teams off a SU non-division home loss of 14 > points that also went Over the Total (NEW YORK).

So the Jets are on a 5-game losing streak…. 9-1 O/U last 2+ seasons: All Game 12 or less road underdogs off 5 or more SU losses in a row (JETS).

10-1 O/U since 1991: All GAME 10 or less division road underdogs of < 13 points off BB SU losses of 14 > pts EACH (JETS) versus any opponent off a SU win (PATS).

Adding fuel to the fire is the series history between these two teams. The last NINE meetings between the JETS and PATRIOTS have gone 8-1 O/U… with an averaged combined point total of 49.6…

7-1 O/U last 4 years: All AFC EAST division games in which the host is favored by 7 > pts (PATS) and the OU line is > 43 points...

Pick Made: Oct 15 2014 10:03AM PST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prediction Machine

Utah / Oregon St Over 52.5 (56.9%)
Jets / Patriots Under 46.5 (54%)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle Baseball

THURSDAY

Play San Francisco -135 over St. Louis (Top Play)
8:00 PM EST

Madison Bumgarner has won 47 of the last 77 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 4 of the last 5 games when his team is leading in a playoff series. Madison Bumgarner has won 28 of the last 48 games coming off a team win and he has an ERA of 0.76 in his last three overall starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle Football


THURSDAY

Play New England -9.5 over New York Jets (NFL)
8:30 PM EST

New York has lost 14 of the last 18 games coming off an OVER the total in their last game and they have lost 17 of the last 23 games when playing as an underdog. New York has lost 18 of the last 27 games when playing with six or less days of rest and they are allowing an average of 26 points a game on defense this season.


Play Virginia Tech +1.5 over Pittsburgh (NCAA)
7:30 PM EST

Virginia Tech has won 22 of the last 31 games when playing on a Thursday and they have won 14 consecutive road games when the total posted is between 45.5 and 49 points. Virginia Tech has won 58 of the last 79 games when playing in the month of October and they have won 68 of the last 96 games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game.


Play Oregon State +3 over Utah (NCAA)
10:00 PM EST

Oregon State has covered the spread in 50 of the last 75 games coming off an OVER the total in their last game and they have covered the spread in 53 of the last 84 games when playing in the month of October. Oregon State has covered the spread in 30 of the last 43 games after having won two of the last three games and they are only allowing an average of 10 points a game on defense at home this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WinningAngle

THURSDAY

NBA BASKETBALL----PRESEASON

Play Boston +2.5 over Philadelphia (NBA TOP PLAY)
Play New Orleans +1.5 over Oklahoma City (NBA TOP PLAY)


Detailed information and Analysis will start once the regular season begins in a few weeks.



================================================== =====


NHL HOCKEY

Play St. Louis +115 over Los Angeles (NHL TOP PLAY)
Play Boston +110 over Montreal (NHL TOP PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KEVIN'S PLAYS

A nice 3-0 night on Saturday capped off a winning week, and we look to continue that right into Week 8 starting tonight with one pick.
2 UNIT = Utah @ Oregon State - [308] OREGON STATE +2.5 (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
Cheers,
Kevin

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie


THURSDAY

10* Play New England -9.5 over New York Jets (Top NFL Play)

New York is 4-14 SU coming off an OVER the total in their last game
New York is 6-17 SU when playing as an underdog the last three seasons


10* Play Virginia Tech +1.5 over Pittsburgh (Top NCAA Play)

Virginia Tech is 22-9 SU when playing on a Thursday
Virginia Tech is 14-0 SU in road games when the total posted is between 45.5 and 49 points


10* Play Oregon State +2.5 over Utah (Top NCAA Play)

Oregon State is 26-12 ATS coming off a bye week
Oregon State is 53-31 ATS when playing in the month of October

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

THURSDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play San Francisco -140 over St. Louis (MLB TOP PLAY)

San Francisco is 37-20 after having won three of the last four games
San Francisco is 54-37 when playing in the month of October

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

THURSDAY FOOTBALL

5000* Play Oregon State +3 over Utah (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Oregon State has covered the spread in 33 of the last 53 games when the line posted is between +3 to -3 and they have covered the spread in 75 of the last 139 games when playing as an underdog. Oregon State has covered the spread in 67 of the last 118 home games and they have covered the spread in 44 of the last 71 games after covering the spread in two of their last three games.

===========================================

50* Play Virginia Tech +1.5 over Pittsburgh (BONUS NCAA PLAY)
50* Play New England -9.5 over New York Jets (BONUS NFL PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime


MLB Baseball

1000* Play San Francisco -135 over St. Louis (TOP MLB PLAY)

San Francisco has won 7 of the last 8 games when playing in the 5th game of a playoff series and they have won 45 of the last 71 games after having won two of the last three games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

THURSDAY

TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAY


Play New England -9.5 over New York Jets----RISK 35% OF YOUR BANKROLL


8:30 PM EST

New England has won 4 of the last 5 games and they have covered the spread in 11 of the last 12 games coming off a division game. New England has covered the spread in 50 of the last 79 games after having won four of the last five games and they are averaging 29 points a game on offense at home this season.

==================================================

TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAYS


Play Virginia Tech +1.5 over Pittsburgh----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Oregon State +3 over Utah---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

THURSDAY BASEBALL



Play San Francisco -135 over St. Louis---Top Play (Risk 10% of your Bankroll)


8:00 PM EST

San Francisco has won 9 of the last 12 games when trying to close out a playoff series and they have won 54 of the last 94 games coming off a win in their last game. San Francisco has won 54 of the last 91 games when playing in the month of October and they have won 59 of the last 95 games when playing as a favorite of -110 or higher.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
The Royals wrapped up the ALCS with a sweep yesterday afternoon to stay undefeated in the postseason, while the Giants went up 3-1 in the NLCS and have a chance to win it infront of their home crowd tonight. No system pick from me but Kyle looks for another winner.
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants - UNDER 6.5 RUNS (-115)
Listed Pitchers: Wainwright vs. Bumgarner
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)
Entertaining couple of games yesterday, with the Royals clinching their first trip to the World Series since 1985. Then in the night game the Giants came from behind to win to take a 3-1 series heading into today. The Giants look to join the Royals and pop some champagne bottles behind Bumgarner in this critical matchup.
This is a duplicate pitching matchup of game 1 in this series. Madison Bumgarner was completely locked in then, holding the Cardinals down to 4 hits and no runs scored. In fact, Bumgarner has been locked in all postseason, he enters tonight with an ERA of 0.76 coupled with a 0.72 WHIP. The Cards have had plenty of issues hitting left-handed pitching, hitting only .164 against in their last 5 starts. Bumgarner is a big reason for that number, and all indications are that he is going to rip through them once again. Adam Wainwright will look for some redemption after getting credited for 2 runs against in the last game. In a playoff setting, yeah, 2 runs against for Wainwright is too much. From a pitcher of his level you expect something like Bumgarner has been doing. But still, other than that one start against the Dodgers, allowing 6, Wainwright has allowed only 4 runs in five of his last six games. I am expecting another low scoring contest, with Wainwright and Bumgarner dueling in San Francisco. In my opinion I think you can flip a coin on the winner of this game, but on the total I see a winner on the UNDER 6.5.
Cheers,
Kevin

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Burns Baseball: St Louis Cardinals (r) Run Line! 7*

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wayne root

Millionaire patriots
Billionaire pitt

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Craig Davis

40 Dimes Jets +9.5

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Al DeMarco

10 Dimes SF Giants -145

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Jerry Major Sports

NFL:


(303) 3* Under 46 NYJets, NEP


NCAAFB:


(306) 5* Pitt Panthers +1.5
(307) 5* Utah Utes -2.5



MLB:


(969) 2* St. Louis Cards +135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dennis Tyler from We Cover Spreads:


4*Pittsburgh (-155) (Line is -170 everywhere at release)


4*Ottawa (-109)

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Strike Point Sports

NHL

4*Kings-135

[golden contender]

Thursday night NFL 100% System Game of the Month and double perfect College Football play on ESPN Headline the Thursday card.NFL is ranked #1 on several top leader boards. MLB Playoff Game of the year cashes in on KC. Game 5 Historical system up now. Free NHL Play below.


On Thursday the free NHL Power play is on the San Jose Sharks. Game 1 at 7:05 eastern. The Sharks have won 7 of the last 8 on the road vs the NY. Islanders and are 41-22 long term vs winning teams. The Sharks have also won 8 of the last 10 vs Metro teams. The Islanders exploded in the 3rd period on Tuesday scoring 4 goals and beating cross town rival NY. Rangers 6-3. We expect they will come up a bit flat for this one here tonight and they have lost 3 of the last 4 when off 3 or more wins and 1-6 off a dog win. The Islanders have lost 24 of 34 here when the total is 5.5. In a battle of two 3-0 teams we will back San Jose. On Thursday another Powerful card is backed with the 100% NFL Thursday night Game of the Month from a Powerful system that is Thursday night specific and has several angles and Indicators. In College Football its a Huge Double perfect Power play on ESPN. NFL is ranked #1 on several top leader boards and NCAAF is cashing big too. Message to Jump on now and roll your book like wholesale carpet with most Powerful data in the Industry. For the free play take San Jose. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

40 Dimes - OVER 44 1/2 points in the New York Jets/New England Patriots game

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RAS

Rating: 1.00

Utah/Oregon State Over 50.5

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Bob Balfe ‏

Giants -150

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EXECUTIVE

200 Oregon State

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Mike Rose

Pitt Panthers -1

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SB Professor

System Play

Oregon St +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFAC $500:
969) ST LOUIS +140


tiger U 23.5 New England 1H

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Rooster

VT+1

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Lt lock

Pitt- 1. 5

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Jimmy Moore

4* Montreal ML -120

Big scheduling edge here for the Canadians since they get to take on the Bruins off of a game last night in Detroit that did not start until 8:00. Also the Bruins just have not been able to score much this season. Look for a spirited effort from Montreal here in a big rivalry game against a Boston team that they have beaten 10 of the last 15 times they have met. Thank you and good luck.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Anthony Michael

New England Patriots -9.5


The Jets are a complete mess on offense right now with horrible QB play and pretty much worse WR play. Coach Bill loves nothing more than to stick it to Coach Ryan so look for the Patriots to get a lead and keep pushing the pedal to the metal to get a big divisional win here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Clayton


3* NYJETS / PATRIOTS UNDER THE TOTAL.

Reason: A rivalry game and the Jets and Rex Ryan always play well defensively against the Patriots. But this Jets offense is a joke at 1-5. New York put a lot of emotion on Sunday at home against the Broncos to try and end a 4-game skid but couldn’t, losing 31-17. They have a strong run defense and can pressure the passer, and the Pats offensive line has been a problem. They are piling up injuries on the offensive line, as well, a tough game Sunday against Buffalo. The new England defense, though, is exceptional with new CB Derrel Revis and the Jets will get only field goals while the Pats will go with a safe game plan on offense. Play the NY Jets/Patriots Under the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeffrey James

Los Angeles Kings -135

The Kings are playing well after opening up with 2 losses. They get to take on a rusty Blues team playing only their 3rd game of the season after having 4 days off. The Kings have beaten the Blues in their last 5 trips to L A, they make it 6 tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Cash System

extra bonus system for today:

New York Jets / New England Patriots UNDER 44½ (Bet Level 2) (Total Points Bet) (NFL Football) - Game Starts at 8:25 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RAS SATURDAY

Ball State/Central Michigan - Over 51.5
Rating: 1.00

New Mexico State/Idaho - Over 66
Rating: 1.00

Western Kentucky/Florida Atlantic - Under 69
Rating: 1.00

Miami Ohio/Northern Illinois - Under 58.5
Rating: 1.00

UAB/Mid Tennessee State - Under 72
Rating: 1.00

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Aquino

PROBABLES: (3-0)

Today's probables - NFL: jets/patriots over 44.5

POD: (2-0) +1.68 units

Today's POD - NFL: jets/patriots over 44.5 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep

$1000:
Under 5.5 Sj-Nyi

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegasButcher

Giants (MLB)

There’s really not much more I can say about Bumgarner than what he’s already “said” about himself with his recent play. He’s thrown 23.2 innings in the postseason so far, allowed only 14 hits, 0 HR’s, 2 ER’s (0.76 ERA), and has 23 K to only 3 BB’s in this span. And that’s pitching @ PIT, vs WSN, and @ STL, on the road twice, and facing strong lineups each time. Like discussed the last few days, STL offense is much weaker without Molina in the lineup, and Pierzynski just adds another left-handed bat to the order, which is even worse against BumG. His 1.4 FIP against lefties ranks 2nd in the league, only behind Chris Sale’s 1.0. I’m sure we’ll see Cruz for the full game behind the plate today, only because he’s right-handed. At the same time I would also not be scared of BumG’s 4.0 ERA at home this year. A big factor here is an inflated .336 BABIP at home, as his 26% K-rate, 0.7 HR/9 rate, and 2.8/2.9 FIP/xFIP are all much stronger than they were on the road this season. These are elite numbers at home, and indicate that BumG has pitched more like a 2.8 FIP pitcher at home than a 4.0 ERA one. I trust the advanced stats in this scenario.

In any case, the bigger factor in this game is Wainwright. In his 2 post-season starts he’s allowed 17 hits, 8 ER’s (8.0 ERA), and a HR in 9 innings of work. He has 7 K but the 4 BB’s issued is a major red flag, given the fact that he rarely walks anyone at all. Last start vs. the Giants at home, Wainwright lasted 4.2 innings and threw 98 pitches. Prior to that he lasted 4.1 innings against LAD and threw 102 pitches. That’s as inefficient as it gets. Did you know that over the last two years, and including post-season, Wainwright has thrown 508 innings, the MOST out of any starter in the National League? Do you also remember that this is the guy that is 3 years removed from Tommy John Surgery? Reports indicate that it has been months now that Wainwright has been pitching with “tendinitis and discomfort around his right elbow” which is a big ‘Oh Oh’ sign. There was a study done in HardBallTimes earlier this year on TJS’s, and one of the interesting findings is that pitchers who usually get/need the 2nd TJSurgery are typically around 650 total innings pitched since the first one. Wainwright is at 640 total innings since his surgery, which is pretty much right on the mark. I hope that Wainwright is fine, I really do, as he’s one of my favorite pitchers in the league. But the signs are all there to point out that something is clearly WainNOTright (yeah I know it’s a bad joke!) with him right now. Unfortunately for the Cards they don’t really have any other options at this point. Lynn is on 3-days rest (he should have been game 1 starter it looks like so that the Cards could have used him today), Wacha hasn’t been used at all, indicating that his shoulder isn’t right still, and there really isn’t anyone else. Cards will probably hope to get at least 3-4 innings out of Wainwright and then will rely on the BP again. But that is where San Fran’s second major advantage comes into play!

Both teams have used their BP’s throughout this series of course, but with Bumgarner going 7.2 innings in game 1, San Fran’s pen wasn’t really taxed much in that particular game. By comparison, a number of Cardinals’ relievers have pitched 4 out of the last 5 days (Choate / Manness) or 3 out of the last 4 (Neshek / Martinez). Giants have a few relievers in the same boat, but the overall workload has been lower. Let’s compare:

SFG bullpen (5 key relievers): 11.2 innings with 154 total pitches thrown @ 13.1 pitches per relief-inning and 31 pitches per reliever so far (Machi only threw 7 pitches so took him out of the equation and Petit wasn’t counted in this analysis as he’s a pseudo-starter, not really a reliever in a true sense).

STL bullpen (6 key relievers): 15 innings with 258 total pitches thrown @ 17.2 pitches per relief-inning and 43 pitches per reliever so far.

It’s pretty clear from these numbers that this Cardinals bullpen is a lot more taxed than the Giants’. At 43 pitches per reliever so far, that’s 39% higher than what San Fran’s relievers (31 total pitches per) have thrown on average. So which bullpen will you trust in the later innings of this one if Wainwright is ON and this game is close? And what if Wainwright’s elbow issues are real and he can’t go past the 4th/5th inning again, can you really trust this Cardinals bullpen to finish the game for him? I think we can make a very convincing argument that not only do the Giants have a strong advantage with their starter on the mound, but they also have a significant advantage with their BP in this one.

Finally, I want to point out that my MLB computer model has this game at -138 with a total of 6.4. There’s no ‘odds value’ on this game, but of course in the post-season you will very rarely find much pure value if any. What the model is telling us is that these odds listed for today are what they should be in an ideal scenario for both teams: starters healthy (Wainwright is not), both bullpens fresh (Cards’ are much more taxed), and both offensive and fielding lineups at their optimal (Molina is hurt). But that’s just not the case today as San Fran is in a much better shape from top to bottom. I wouldn’t be surprised to see this one go to -150 or even higher by the end of the day, but regardless of the odds, I love the chances of San Francisco Giants booking their trip to the World Series tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

Today's Winner:

My 500♦ Winner is the OVER in the AFC East clash between the New England Patriots and New York Jets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RockdemanSports

NHL

10* Over Islanders/Sharks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JAMES JONES
NCAAF-Oregon State University(+3)-117...(c)
NFL-New York Jets(+10)-119...(b)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dives Handicapping

Stl/sf over 6

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Just Cover Baby

4* New England -9½

4* Oregon St. +3 (if line at +2½ buy the hook to +3)
2* Pittsburgh +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Football Game Picks Utah at Oregon State The Beavers host a Utah team that is coming off a 30-28 win over UCLA and is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 games following a SU victory. Oregon State is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+3). Here are all of this week's picks.


THURSDAY, OCTOBER 16
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST (10/15)


Game 305-306: Virginia Tech at Pittsburgh (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 92.202; Pittsburgh 82.619
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 9 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 1; 47
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-1); Under


Game 307-308: Utah at Oregon State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 95.497; Oregon State 95.384
Dunkel Line: Even; 53
Vegas Line: Utah by 3; 57
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+3); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hot Chick PICKS

In baseball......

Take SAN FRANCISCO -145 to stand tall again tonight!


In NFL.....

Take the JETS +10 to fly high above the Boston harbor!


In college...

Take PITTSBURGH +1 to do the hokie pokie tonight!


In NBA....

Take Chicago and Atlanta to stay UNDER 190.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Welcome to Ecks & Bacon for Thursday, October 16, 2014

San Francisco Giants

If you're a St. Louis fan, ya GOTTA be worried about Adam Wainwright. He came into the post-season on a monster tear, winning five in a row, and allowing just two earned runs over a 33 inning stretch for a ridiculous 0.55 ERA. Phabulous! Then the playoffs started. He faced the Dodgers in the opener and was rocked for ELEVEN hits and SIX earned runs in just FOUR and a third innings. Wainwright's next start was in the opener against San Francisco, and while it wasn't quite as ugly, he did give up 6 hits and 2 earned in only 4.2 innings. So, his post-season line reads: 17 hits and 8 earned runs in 9 innings, for a BIG PHAT 8.00 ERA. Is there something wrong with his arm??? Bet on it. We will. Now, look across the field at Madison Bumgarner, and it's all smiles for San Fran. MadBum has started three playoff games, and allowed only 2 earned runs over 23 innings for a microscopic 0.78 ERA. Gonna throw down half a Benj on the Giants.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Charlie sports

500*
jets under
pitt under
utah under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Real Swoop

VaTech/Pitt Under 45 (1*)
Oregon State +3 (3*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports locksmith

(Chairmans play
San Francisco giants (5*))

N.y.jets +9.5 (1*)
Virginia tech -1(1*)
Oregon st./Utah under 53 (2*)
San jose/New York islanders Under 5.5 (1*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Falcon Sports

2 units San Francisco -1 +115 listing Bumgarner/Wainwright

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Linemakers

pitt & under

pats under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
7* San Jose Sharks -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WINSPORTS NOW

Thursday Best Bets Football Report
Jets+9
Pittsburgh+1
Oregon State+2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux Sports

10* Jets +10

10* Pittsburgh +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Geoff Weigell

Risk 3.00 to win 3.30 [305] Virginia Tech +110 vs Pittsburgh U
Risk 3.00 to win 2.10 [970] San Francisco Giants -143 vs St. Louis Cardinals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER

NY Jets (303) AT New England (304)
Latest Line: Pats -9.5; Total: 44.5

The Jets are coming off of a 31-17 home loss against the Broncos. The Patriots, meanwhile, defeated the Bills 37-22 in Buffalo. The last time these two teams played was Oct. 20, 2013, when the Jets won 30-27 as three-point home underdogs. Tom Brady did not throw for a touchdown in that game, but did throw a pick-six to Antonio Allen. Prior to that game, the Patriots had won five straight games SU versus New York. In his career, Tom Brady is 7-4 SU and 5-6 ATS when facing the Jets under Rex Ryan. Patriots RB Stevan Ridley (knee) and LB Jerod Mayo (knee) and Jets CB Dee Milliner (Achilles) are all out for the year.

STATFOX SIX PACK:
NEW ENGLAND is 11-1 ATS off a division game over the L3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 7-0 OVER at home after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the L2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 12-2 OVER at home after the first month of the season over the L3 seasons.
NY JETS are 3-14 ATS off 1 or more straight overs over the L3 seasons.
NY JETS are 0-7 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) over the L3 seasons.
NY JETS are 2-10 ATS away after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U

2014 AFC East Division on CBS Super Total of the Year!!!!!
New York/New England over 44
NCAA Best Bets
Virginia Tech/Pittsburgh under 45
Utah/Oregon State over 53

2014 Major League Playoffs Game 5 Total of the Year!!!!!
St Louis/San Francisco under 6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pick Addict
8:05 PM EST MLB
ST LOUIS CARDINALS VS. SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
PICK: SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS ML (-150)
RISK: 5 UNITS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Legit Nelson

Pittsburgh +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Middleton

Utah -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JR Stevens Winning Sports Plays

MLB (5-star or 5-unit)(966) San Francisco -150

*18-0 trend backing certain home playoff teams (SF) seeking to close out the series if coming off a come-from-behind win, a momentum trend that historically has won by an average of 3 runs/gm. This might be the ONLY time you ever see me lay this juice but it's warranted tonight! *Listed Pitchers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Derek Hayes

1* C. Ivory Rushing Yards PK vs Vereen -150
1* Utah -2.5
1* Under 45 Pitt/Va Tech
1* Capitals -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Anthony

UNDER VT/PITT

UNDER OREGON ST/UTAH

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep

$1000:
303 Under 45 Nyj-Nep

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegasButcher

2014 – 2015 NHL Record:- 3 – 0 @ +3.2 Units

Montreal Canadiens -125

Typically I would look to back a team that is seeking ‘playoff revenge’ early in the regular season, but this scenario is a little different. First, these teams hate each other. It’s a huge rivalry and I’m sure players from both sides have these games circled on their calendars. Second, I think Montreal will be just as motivated as Boston to play well in this game. Last year these teams played an epic 7-game playoff series for a chance to play in the Stanley Cup, with Montreal coming back to win the last 2 games, outscoring Boston 7 to 1 in the process. After the game, there was an incident in the handshake-line, where allegedly one of the Boston players told two Montreal players that “I’m going to f***ing kill you next year.” While ‘bulletin board’ material isn’t a big factor in an individual sport like baseball, it could be a factor in a physical, effort-based, plus team-based sport like hockey. Third, this is Boston’s 2nd road game of a b2b and their 3rd game in 4 days. They played a tight game against Colorado at home on the 13th, losing by 1 on a goal in the final seconds. Then yesterday, they played another really close and physical game @ Detroit, going to OT and then winning it in the shoot-out. By comparison, Montreal had 2 days off to rest and prepare for this one. Could be a pretty significant advantage from a physical standpoint, especially in the later period(s). And finally, the last factor that is in Montreal’s favor is that this is their home opener. Canadians are crazed about hockey as they love their sport probably even more than Americans love football. You better believe it that these fans at the game will treat this one as if it is a game 7 of a Stanley Cup Final. At the same time, that energy should rub off on the players as well, though I’m sure they’ll already be pretty jacked up to play their rival tonight. Lots of strong factors in Montreal’s favor here. Besides, Boston hasn’t looked very impressive at all so far. They are 2-3, but their first win against an 0-2-2 Flyers team came in the final minutes of the game and of course they needed a SO to win @ Detroit yesterday. Their -4 goal-differential so far is even worse than Montreal’s -3, who are 3-1 but lost their last game 7-1 @ Tampa, which was their 4th straight road-game. In any case, I think this is a great situational spot for the Canadiens, and if last year’s post-season wasn’t a total fluke, then we can confidently say that this team is just as good as the Bruins if not better. Back them with confidence tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports
4 Unit Play. #305/#703 Take Virginia Tech Hokies -1 over Pittsburgh Panthers (Thursday 7:30 pm ESPN) Pittsburgh is in a major free fall at the moment going 0-3 in their last 3 games. All three of those setbacks came against marginal teams that will struggle to make bowl games. Virginia Tech is decent (not great) on both sides of the football and you can be sure they will be ready to stop the running attack of Pittsburgh. Virginia Tech is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games played on Thursday. Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gordon24

MLB

$500 Cardinals

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Josh Daniels

3* Oregon St. +3

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Trace Adams

1500 Pittsburgh +1

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Gabriel DuPont

100 Dimes Virginia Tech -1

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Ben Burns

NHL

Ottawa over 5.5

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Scott Spreitzer

Washington -122

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Game day

Oregon State

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The Blackwell Call Thu Oct 16th, 2014 7:30pm EDT

7 Unit Total Play · Under [305] Virginia Tech Hokies vs. [306] Pittsburgh Panthers

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shaved ice hockey plays
WSH ML -125 (5*)
DAL/PIT O5.5 -125 (5*)
NYI ML (2*)
SJ/NYI O5.5 -110 (2*)
BOS/MTL OVER 5 -110 (2*)
MTL ML -120 (2*)
COL ML -110 (2*)

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Ron From Las Vegas:

New England Patriots

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Sheep

$1000:
308 Under 53 Utah-Osu

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JR ODonnell | CFB Side
triple-dime bet 308 Oregon St. 2.5 (-110) Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437).com vs 307 Utah
Analysis: 3* ORE STATE ...Power Rated @ Ore State @ -4.22
Play the Home Dog to $$$$$$$$$$$$$

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Scott Spreitzer | CFB Side M
triple-dime bet 308 Oregon St. 3.0 (-110) SportsInterAction vs 307 Utah
Analysis:
PLAY: OREGON STATE
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY

I'm taking the points with Oregon State. Utah is off to a 4-1 start, are off a bye week, and look on their way to their first bowl invitation since 2011. But the wins now, don't look as impressive as they did when they happened. Beating Fresno State means nothing. Beating Michigan means much less than it did before the season began. Losing at home to Washington State still looks ugly and the 30-28 win over UCLA doesn't even hold as much merit as it did a couple of weeks ago. Now they travel to Corvallis, a tough place to play. Oregon State is also off a bye week and they too are 4-1. The Beavers' wins have come against lessor opposition, also, but the Utes should not be laying points at this venue. They will likely start Kendal Thompson at QB on Thursday night for the struggling Travis Wilson, but I don't care which QB gets the nod. The Utes will face the Pac-12's second stingiest defense and second best pass efficiency defense and I expect the advantage to be on the side of the home team. I also expect one of the better efforts of the season from the OSU offense with the extra time off to get everyone on the same page. After all, October football is what OSU and Mike Riley have been all about. HC Riley (1997-98 & 2003-present) has done a terrific job improving this program through the course of individual seasons and it has shown ATS. The Beavers are on a 43-16-1 ATS run in October action with most of those numbers coming under Riley. They're also on a 16-5 ATS run off a bye week and 27-14 ATS under Riley when the line is in the +3/-3 range. Meanwhile, the Utes have covered just 4 of their last 14 conference games. Utah is over-valued in my opinion and I'm grabbing the available points with Oregon State, my Thursday night Tapout. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.