10-26-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 8

Lions (5-2) vs Falcons (2-5) (London)—Atlanta is in freefall, losing last four games while allowing 31.8 ppg (13 TD’s on 41 drives); they allowed 9+ yards/pass attempt in four of last six games, losing all four road games by 10+ points (average score, 31-16). Detroit won four of last five games, scoring two TD’s in last 3:38 to stun Saints at home last game; they’ve held four of last five opponents to 17 or less points. Atlanta is 2-5 this season when scoring less than 37 points. Lions won two of three road games, with favorite covered all three games; over last 10+ years, they’re 6-9-2 as road favorites, but 2-0 this season. Falcons won last three series games, by 13-7-13 points. NFC South teams are 2-12-1 SU in non-divisional road tilts, 3-8-1 vs spread. NFC North non-divisional favorites are 3-5.

Vikings (2-5) @ Buccaneers (1-5)—Minnesota lost last three games, scoring total of 29 points (two TD’s on last 37 drives); they scored 34-41 points in only two wins- they’re 1-5 without Peterson. Vikings are 1-3 on road, 0-2 outdoors, scoring 13 ppg outside. Buccaneers won last six series games, with four of six by 11+ points; Vikings lost last six visits to Tampa, with last win in ’97. Tampa Bay allowed 85 points in last two games before its bye; they’re 7-12-1 in last 20 games as home favorite, 0-2 this year- they’re 0-3 SU at home this year, losing by 6-2-31 points and two of those three games were against backup QB’s. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 3-5-1 vs spread, 3-2 at home. Last four Buc games went over total; five of seven Viking games stayed under.

Bears (3-4) @ Patriots (5-2)— After being 4-10-1 as road underdog from 2011-13, Bears are 3-1 this year; visitor won six of seven Chicago games this season, with Bears 3-1 SU on road - they led late at Carolina before turning ball over on last three drives and losing 31-24. Chicago lost three of last four games overall, turning ball over nine times (-6) in three losses. Bears are 3-0 this season when allowing 20 or less points, 0-4 when allowing 23+- they’re +7 in turnovers when they win, -8 in losses. Patriots covered four of last five vs NFC teams; they won last three games with Chicago by 3-4-29 points. Pats are 0-2 as home faves this year, 21-15 in last 36 as non-divisional HF. NFC North non-divisional road dogs are 4-4; AFC non-divisional home faves are 0-6 vs spread. Last four Patriot games went over total.

Rams (2-4) @ Chiefs (3-3)—Young Rams hit road after facing top two rivals at home last two games, upsetting Seattle last week; they’ve either won or had 14+-point lead in each of last five games. St Louis is 2-0 as road dogs this year, 11-7 as road dogs overall under Fisher, winning at Tampa, losing 34-28 at Philly in game they trailed 34-7. Chiefs split pair of home games, with dogs winning both SU; they’re 5-18-1 as home favorites since ’07, 2-6 under Reid. KC ran ball for 154+ yards in each of its wins; they’re 0-3 when rushing ball for less than that. Chiefs held San Diego to 251 yards in upset win last week. Road teams won six of last eight games in this intrastate series. NFC West non-divisional underdogs are 2-4 vs spread; AFC West non-divisional home faves are 5-2. Last four Ram games went over total.

Seahawks (3-3) @ Panthers (3-3-1)—Defending champs lost last two games, allowing 58 points; they’ve allowed 28+ points in all three losses this year, are 1-2 on road, winning 27-17 in Washington, losing at San Diego/St Louis- they allowed 20 or less points in all three wins, but had terrible special teams game last week. Carolina is 1-3-1 in last five games after 2-0 start, with losses by 18-28-21 points; they’ve allowed 17 TD’s on foes’ last 43 drives. Seattle struggled but won on this field last two years, 16-12/12-7; Carolina scored 14 or less points in last five series games. Hawks are 6-4 in last ten games as road favorite, 1-2 this year. Panthers won two of three home games; they’re 5-5 as home dogs under Rivera. Carolina is 3-0-1 with positive turnover ratio; they’ve been -2/-1/-1 in their three losses.

Bills (4-3) @ Jets (1-6)—Home side won last five series games; Bills lost last four visits here, by 31-4-20-7 points. Buffalo turned ball over nine times (-7) in last two games, but pulled game out last week vs Vikings, when Orton threw TD pass with 0:01 left; he is major upgrade over younger Manuel. Orton led game-winning TD drive late in two of his three starts; Bills are 4-0 when allowing 20 or less points, 0-3 when they allow more. Jets lost last six games, giving up 24+ points in all six; they’ve also lost four of last five post-bye games. Gang Green has only three takeaways in seven games (-9); they ran ball for 218 yards in tough 27-25 loss last week in Foxboro and had extra three days to recover from that. Not sure if newly-acquired WR Harvin will play big role here or not. Six of seven Buffalo games stayed under total.

Dolphins (3-3) @ Jaguars (1-6)—Jags got first win last week after getting first cover week before; they’re 7-20-1 as home underdog since ’10, 1-2 this year, but have played better since rookie QB Bortles became starter- they ran ball for 185 yards in win over Browns last week, winning field position (by 12 yards) for first time all year. Miami won last two road games by 24-13 points; win at Oakland was first in four tries as road favorite under Philbin. Miami ran ball for 137+ yards in four of six games. Over last three years, Jaguars are 2-6 vs spread in game following a win. Miami won 24-10/14-10 in last two visits here. AFC East non-divisional favorites are 1-7 vs spread; AFC South non-divisional dogs are 5-5. Last three Jax games stayed under total; three of last four Miami games went over.

Texans (3-4) @ Titans (2-5)—Houston started 2-0 this year and last; other than those four games, they’re 1-18 in last 19—how long before they start playing Mallett at QB, seeing as they traded a draft pick for him? Road game here on short week for Texans after bizarre meltdown Monday night when they allowed 24 points in 2:54 after they led 13-0. Texans are 3-2 in last five visits here, 3-1 in last four series games overall. Houston lost last three games, all by 7 or less points; they’ve lost last three road games, including OT game at 6-1 Dallas. Texans covered once in last five games as road favorite. Titans’ last three games were decided by total of five points; they’re 3-7-1 in last 11 games as a home underdog. NFL-wide, home underdogs are 5-7 vs spread in divisional games.

Ravens (5-2) @ Bengals (3-2-1)—Rematch of Cincy’s 23-16 (+1.5) win in Week 1, when Bengals blew 15-0 lead, only to score winning TD on 77-yard pass to Green with 4:58 left; he had 131 receiving yards in that game, is expected back here after being hurt (toe), missing couple games. Teams split season series three of last four years- Ravens lost four of last five visits here. Cincy is 0-2-1 after 3-0 start and a bye; they’re 2-0-1 at home, winning by 14-26 points, tying Panthers. After allowing 33 points in first three games, they allowed 107 in next three. Baltimore won five of six games since Week 1 loss, with last three wins all by 22+ points; they’ve won two of three on road, losing 20-13 at 5-2 Indy. Ravens are 4-0 if they turn ball over less than two times; they won field position last two weeks by 16-11 yards.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NFL | BUFFALO at NY JETS
Play Over - Home teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points excellent punt coverage team, allow less than 7.5 yards per return
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

NFL | INDIANAPOLIS at PITTSBURGH
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) with a terrible defense - allowing 5.7 or more yards/play, after outgaining opp by 200 or more total yards in their previous game
26-12 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

NFL | ST LOUIS at KANSAS CITY
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (ST LOUIS) with a good offense - averaging 5.4 or more yards/play, after being outgained by 100 or more total yds 2 consecutive games
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

SUNDAY

3* (255) Chicago Bears +6

The Bears are coming off of another home loss on Sunday, this time against the Dolphins. Brandon Marshall called out quarterback Jay Cutler as the postgame Chicago locker room was very heated. I expect Chicago to respond with a strong showing in New England. The Bears play much better on the road and running back Matt Forte should have a huge game against a New England team that struggled to stop the run without linebacker Jared Mayo. Brandon Marshall might visit Revise Island, but Cutler still has Alton Jeffery, Marls Benet and Matt Forte to catch passes. New England survived against the Jets, and they should be able to score on the Chicago defense, but not winning by this margin. I think Chicago has a great shot at the upset, take the points.


3* (262) New York Jets -3

The Bills had their prayers answered last week as they stole one at home in the last seconds of the game against the Vikings. Buffalo's win did come at a cost as they lost their top two running backs Fred Jackson and CJ Spiller both to injury. I don't expect Buffalo to generate much on the ground with a third string running back starting against a Jets defense that stops the run well. Kyle Orton is going to have to chuck it around to win this game and that is good news for the Jets. New York also gets to use Percy Harvin for the first time. This trade was stunning, but the Jets really have nothing to loss. I believe Harvin will have an impact in this game right away either on offense or the return game. Geno Smith played well at New England and that type of effort will pick up the win here. Lay the points.


3* (276) New Orleans Saints -1

This is a huge game for New Orleans. The Saints gave one away last week in Detroit, so this is almost a must win game. Green Bay throttled the Panthers last week and it looks like they have their offense back on track. One area that I think the Saints will be able to take advantage of is the run defense of the Packers that is last in the NFL. I expect a heavy dose of Mark Ingram as the Saints will try to control the time of possession and keep Aaron Rodgers and the offense on the sidelines. The Saints are a much better team at home in the dome and they will need to channel that home field advantage in this game. Another week of rest should also help tight end Jimmy Graham recover from his shoulder injury. Lay the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella

one and only NFL GOY

over 54.5 Packers/Saints

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gilztips

2 units - Chargers +7.5
2 units - Oakland +7

Dallas under 50
Philly over 48
Cincy under 46

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trev Rogers

Saints +1
Steelers +3
Jaguars +6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo’s salute to MC

This isn’t about Hondo and his shared perch atop the Bettor’s Guide Best Bet Standings or his steady and solid work in the compulsories.

No, this is about the torrid pace being set by Mark Cannizzaro, who recently requested Mr. Aitch give him “a shout-out” because of his consistent excellence.

Well, by gosh, he deserves it. So let’s give some Hondo Nation props to Mark and whoever is making his picks for him this season. Cheers to both of you!

Jets over Bills: Ahhh, Buffalo! A journeyman QB plus a thoroughly depleted backfield add up to a legitimate chance for the Jets to break their schneid at six. Actually, if you looked at the Jets schedule before the season, this probably is right where you figured they’d be after beating the Raiders in Week 1 and then facing six elite QBs. Then again, with losses looming in Weeks 9 and 10 (Chiefs and Steelers), they might not want to do anything to jeopardize a shot at Jameis Winston, who clearly was born to be a Jet.

John Idzik on his acquisition of Percy Harvin: “It’s really [a matter of] immersing him into what it is to act like a Jet, be a Jet and play like a Jet.” No offense, John, but judging by the talented troublemaker’s spotty résumé, it would seem he already has figured that out.

Lions over Falcons: This is Part 2 of Roger Goodell’s London Obsession Games. Speaking of Goodell, Ray Rice’s appeal of his indefinite suspension will be heard Nov. 5 and 6, and the commissioner, who levied the ban, will testify. It’s good of him to come out from under his desk for something other than a domestic violence photo op.

Vikings over Buccaneers: Jennifer Lopez reportedly is close to a signing a deal that will pay her $350K per show three times a week for 24 weeks at Planet Hollywood in Las Vegas. If she keeps making that kind of cash, she won’t have to sing at birthday parties for tyrannical Eastern European dictators.

Bears over Patriots: Belichick sent Darrelle Revis home Tuesday because he was late for a meeting. Now Revis knows what everyone else knows: The Hoodie is a real stickler for the rules — except for when it comes to illegally videotaping opponents.

Chiefs over Rams: There was another fence jumper at the White House on Wednesday, but he never made it to the President’s residence because two of the Secret Service’s best agents were on duty and stopped him. Congratulations, Fido and Rover!

Panthers over Seahawks: Props to Renee Zellweger for being named this year’s recipient of the “Kenny Rogers Who The Hell Are You Award.” The good thing about making yourself totally unrecognizable is that if you have any nude selfies and they get hacked, no one will know it’s you.

Dolphins over Jaguars: David Letterman fired his cue card guy, Tony Mendez, for assaulting writer Bill Scheft. Sources say Dirty Dave became upset when one of them almost landed on the Late Show Intern Love Couch, which could have caused serious injury to Dave and one of the interns.

Titans over Texans: With the death of Oscar de la Renta, word is designers and fabric makers are lining up in Chappaqua, hoping to land Hillary Clinton’s lucrative double-wide woolen pantsuit business.

Bill Clinton once said of a de la Renta creation: “I still remember when Hillary walked out in that gown [at his inauguration ball in 1997]. I thought, ‘Oh my God, that’s beautiful.’ ” But what about Hillary, Bill?

Bengals over Ravens: Bill’s always had a great appreciation for Oscar’s work. That’s why he wasn’t upset when he stained the Portly Pepperpot’s crusty blue love dress — it wasn’t a de la Renta.

Cardinals over Eagles: Here’s the latest from Daily News columnist Anthony “A-Wad” Weiner: “Realistically, my political career is probably over.” Over? C’mon, A-Wad, where’s that notorious “I’ll show-’em/-it attitude” of yours?

Colts over Steelers: Accused rapist Sanford “The Cashew” Rubenstein, lawyer and former pal of Al Sharpton, reportedly was turned away at a Manhattan sex club called Checkmate last weekend. The proprietor, having read about Rubenstein’s shortcomings, told San The Little Man: “It’s a game of inches, not a game of inch.”

Raiders over Browns: Emailer Donny Mac points out not everything is going wrong for Rubenstein. He was just asked to star in a remake of a Sylvester Stallone/Kurt Russell classic movie, this one to be called: “Tango and Cashew.”

Packers over Saints: Here’s the Mismatch of the Day: Aaron Rodgers vs. a Rob Ryan-coached defense.

Cowboys over Redskins: How good is the Cowboys’ running game? Some say it’s even better than the one being used by Democratic candidates as they run as fast and far as possible from Obama and his failed policies?

Obama went to vote early at a Chicago polling station, and while standing next to a woman, was told by her fiancé: “Mr. President, don’t touch my girlfriend.” The President calmly responded he wasn’t planning on doing so, which placated the guy until Obama then told him: “If you like your girlfriend, you can keep your girlfriend.”

BEST BETS: Jets, Colts, Packers.

Thursday night: Broncos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges
NFL



DOUBLE PLAYS: Baltimore -1 Cincinnati

INDY -3 Pittsburgh




SINGLE PLAYS:




Detroit -3 1/2 Atlanta

Seattle -5 Carolina

Philadelphia +2 1/2 Arizona

Oakland + Cleveland

Dallas -9 1/2 Washington




Chicago--New England OVER 50 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nfac

$300:
905 kc +115
905 under 7 (-105) kc/sfg

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
I'm adding a Monday Night pick below, because I want to make sure I get it at +10. And Kyle has added his write ups as well...
2 UNIT = Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys - REDSKINS +10 (-110) *Monday
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
Sent Earlier:
4 UNIT = Green Bay Packers @ New Orleans Saints - SAINTS -1 (-115)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.48 units)
4 UNIT = Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers - OVER 49 POINTS (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.64 units)
2 UNIT = 2-Team 6-Point Teaser - VIKINGS +8.5 and EAGLES +8.5 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
2 UNIT = Oakland Raiders @ Cleveland Browns - BROWNS -7 (+106)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.12 units)
2 UNIT = Detroit Lions @ Atlanta Falcons - OVER 46.5 (-108) *9:30 AM EST START SUNDAY
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.85 units)
Kyle's Pick(s)
4 UNIT = St. Louis Rams @ Kansas City Chiefs- CHIEFS -7 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.64 units)
Do you know how much good luck the Rams needed to win that game last week against the Seahawks? Okay, I won't call it luck, but they pulled all of the tricks out of the bag for that game. They faked a punt deep in their own territory, which resulted in a touchdown. They then pulled off that improbable punt return for 6. Head coach Jeff Fisher admitted after the game they needed to go deep in the playbook because he knew they weren't going to stop Russell Wilson. Well..cheers for the successful trick plays, but that isn't exactly a vote of confidence for your team. That was arguably one of the biggest wins for the Rams in a long time, but now they need to hit the road and play in one of the rowdiest environments in the NFL. This is a good situational bet, and not only that, there are statistics that lean in the Chiefs' direction as well. The Rams are still awful defending the run, there is no escaping that. This week they'll need to face a healthy dose of the run against the Chiefs. KC will hammer the ball with Jamaal Charles, who leads an NFL 3rd best rushing attack. The Rams will counter with their defense that allows 145 yards per game on the ground, 28th, the exact same amount that the Chiefs rush for. They also allow 30 points a game. The Rams only win on the road this season was a squeaker against the lowly Bucs, 19-17. The Rams will also be banged up defense coming into Sunday. Three rookies could be shouldering the load in the defensive backfield for St. Louis this week. A pretty difficult task for them playing in Kansas City. A 10-14 point win for the Chiefs looks realistic in this spot.
2 UNIT = Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans - UNDER 42 (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
It could be the beginning of the Zach Mettenberger in Tennessee, or it could just be the beginning of another disappointment at the quarterback position for the Titans. Tough task to ask of Mettenberger to jump right into the fire against a furious Houston pass rush. Jake Locker has been so awful that the Titans are left with no other choice, though. As a whole the passing game stinks, no solid offensive line, receiving core, and the quarterback situation is up in the air. To add to the Titans misery, it is expected that defensive end Jadeveon Clowney will be healthy for Sunday. Tennessee is 27th in the NFL in total offense, scoring only 17 points per game and 320 yards. Now they'll have a rookie quarterback at the helm trying to run away from Clowney and JJ Watt. Mettenberger won't be able to run anywhere, he is a tall lengthy quarterback that doesn't have much mobility in the pocket. The Texans are entering 19th in total offense, and are putting up just 21 points per game on the board. This game could be a work in progress offensively. I don't foresee Mettenberger doing much in his first start against their defensive line. Clowney has been raring to get back on the field opposite Watt. Points should come at a premium, which makes the UNDER 42 look like a solid bet.
2 UNIT = Green Bay Packers @ New Orleans Saints - SAINTS -2 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
Remember the Jaguars bet last week I hit? I am going in the same situational betting direction here with this pick. No I am not comparing the Jaguars to the Saints, but this is one of these spots it is good to take the team everyone is done with. Aaron Rodgers has been hotter than any quarterback in the league at the moment, so it has to mean he comes in and lights the Saints up, right? If it were that easy no one would have a 9-5 job and all would make a living sports betting. I think Drew Brees is too competitive of a player to come back home after last weeks collapse against the Lions and throw up another dud. The Packers should make life easy on Brees this week. The Saints won't be playing against a stingy defensive line like a week ago. This week they get the 2nd worst rush defense in the NFL. Green Bay is giving up 4.6 yards a carry for 148 yards allowed per game. Brees should be operating in short 2nd and 3rd downs, instead of having to force a ball on a 3rd and 10 constantly. The Saints haven't lost at home this season yet, and virtually never do period. They went 8-0 at home in 2013 as well. Betting against the Saints at home is a big no-no. The red hot 5-2 Packers playing the 2-4 Saints looks like an easy bet to make. However, I think the Saints put together their best game of the year Sunday night at home on SNF. The running game against an abysmal Packers' defense will dictate this game. It should be an entertaining game, one in which the Saints find themselves emerging with a victory in.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports

Complimentary NFL Pick for October 26th, 2014

Game: Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets
Time: Sunday 10/26 1:00 PM Eastern
Pick: Buffalo +3 (+100) at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)

Is a 1-6 team really favored here? Over the last quarter century, there have only been 10 instances of a team this bad after three weeks giving points to a winning opponent. The Jets won their opener, but have lost six games in a row. One problem is a defense that has allowed 24 points or more in each of the losses, while the offense has reached as many as 25 just one time all season. You don't have to be a math wizard to figure out why they are losing. New York just played a big game against their biggest rival, New England, and really spent a lot of emotional and physical energy in that game. So, I don't know how much is left in the tank here. Despite the "excitement" around acquiring Percy Harvin, the Jets season is essentially already over before the mid-way mark of the year. After a good start, Buffalo had lost three of four. They needed a win last week and eked one out 17-16 vs. Minnesota. There's nothing that can infuse a team like a win, and that leaves the Bills in pretty good shape at 4-3. Yes, the Bills are without their top two running backs but they weren't going to get a lot on the ground vs. the Jets anyway, and today's NFL is more about passing than running. The truth is, good running backs in today's NFL are a dime-a-dozen and Bryce Brown and Anthony Dixon will likely fill the role just fine. And oh yeah - as far as I know, Sammy Watkins will still be on the field Sunday. Buffalo has gone 7-1 ATS after allowing greater than 150 yards rushing in their previous game as the defense makes a stand. The Jets, on the other hand, are 0-6-1 ATS after laying it all out in their previous game, holding their opponent to less than 90 yards rushing. The Jets will pay the price for last week and as hard as they played it will be tough to get it going after yet another loss. Buffalo in this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fat Jack

THERE ARE 3 SELECTION ON SUNDAY

#254 tampa bay OVER 42.5
#272 PITTSBURGH +3 (SENT TUESDAY)
#276 NEW ORLEANS -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast

Top Opinion:
SUNDAY AM LONDON MARQUEE - Detroit -3.5 Atlanta 9:30am FOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

255 Chicago +6 20*

258 kc -7 10*

baltimore/cinn under 46

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVID GLISAN SPORTS

NFL:

(251) Detroit -3' over Atlanta <>
(262) NY Jets -3 over Buffalo
(263/264) Miami/Jacksonville UN 43

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Victor King
'London Calling': Part Two


The second of three NFL international games kicks off this weekend, as the Atlanta Falcons 'host' the Detroit Lions in Wembley Stadium in London, England. When last we spoke, we reviewed the Miami / Oakland game played on this field on Sept. 28th. That game had a low OU line of 41 points. Final score: Mia 38 - Oak 14. The OVER hit by +11 points. In the last three seasons, these London games have seen 52 pts... 52 pts... 61 pts... and 52 pts. The OVER (4-0 O/U) has hit by an avg of more than 2 TD's per game (+14.2 ppg). This week's line in the Falcons / Lions game opened at 36.5 pts and went up to 47. We will take a slight position on another HIGH-scoring outcome. But again, there are some elements to this game that scream 'caution'. Detroit comes in with the #1 defense in the league (290.3 YPG allowed and 15.0 PPG allowed). And Atlanta is so beat up with injuries, that their offense is in extreme REGRESSION mode (7 and 13 points in last two). Don't forget: Neutral Site FAVS (Lions) have gone 7-1 ATS L6Y!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

sportsinsights

10/26 1:00 PM 262 Play on NYJ -3+100
10/26 1:00 PM 268 Play on CIN 1.5-110
10/26 4:05 PM 270 Play on ARI Under 48.5-110
10/26 8:30 PM 276 Play on NO 0-110
10/27 8:30 PM 278 Play on DAL Under 50-110
10/27 8:30 PM 277 Play on WAS 10-105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik
263 MIA / 264 JAC UNDER 43.0
Analysis: Mia/Jax UNDER 43, 3* Play
BAL / 268 CIN UNDER 45.5 2* Play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hitting Pay Dirt

Mays NFL: 8-5 +5.05
Falcons +4 * 2 units




AJ NFL: 8-9 -2.2u
Bengals -1 * 2 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sixth Sense:

253 Minnesota +3 -120
258 Kansas City -7
259 Seattle -5
267 Baltimore +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep

U43 dolphins jags

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Davis

8* Jets -3
4* Lions -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

5* Saints -5.5
3* Bengals +1
3* Vikings +2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports



5 Unit Play. #276/#226 Take New Orleans Saints -1 over Green Bay Packers (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC)

TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEKEND.

Still not ready to write off the Saints this season, especially playing a night game at the Superdome. New Orleans is 2-4 this season but 2-0 at home, and as we all know this is a completely different team when playing at home. Green Bay is on a roll right now, winning four straight games, but all of them came against teams that will likely not be making the playoffs this season (Carolina still could win the AFC South). This is a must-win game for New Orleans in order to save their season, and I believe that they will come out hunger and ready to make a statement. New Orleans had Detroit beat last week (a team that beat Green Bay) before collapsing in the final 5 minutes of the fourth quarter. Tonight they take out their frustration on the Packers. New Orleans has won 10 straight home games (8-2 ATS), winning these games by an average of 16.4 points per game.



4 Unit Play. #260/#204 Take Carolina Panthers +5 over Seattle Seahawks (Sunday 1 pm CBS)

We will again ride a NFL team that looked awful the previous week. Believe it or not, the Panthers are actually in better shape to make the playoffs than are the Seahawks. I always like to fade West Coast teams playing at 1 pm eastern, and I expect the Seahawks to lose three games in a row. Seattle is finding out how difficult it is to repeat in the NFL, as you get everybody's best shot during the regular season. This game will go down to the wire, and we will collect with whoever comes out on top by a field goal. Carolina is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against NFC teams.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INDIAN COWBOY

7-Unit Play #255 Take Over 50 Chicago Bears vs. New England Patriots (Sunday @ 1pm est)

Thisis likely going to be a very high scoring affair and we want to take the overhere for a couple reasons. For starters, we like the 5.5 line as that alwaysindicates an active underdog and the Bears indeed will be an active underdoghere and given New England a lot to handle. With Marshall calling out hisquarterback in Cutler for a lackluster performance against his former team inthe Dolphins, this is a tema that comes off an ugly loss to Miami at home thatlooks to bounce-back against the elite Patriots. But the Patriots team isvulnerable on defense giving up 25 points to an anemic Jets team on primetimeFootball. With the Bears needing to be an active underdog, coming off an uglyloss and looking to bounce-back after a very poor performance offensively, lookfor them to be much better offensively. Plus, look for the Patriots to be downin this game early and then the typical Patriot way to claw back and make thisgame into a high scoring fashion in which it will be decided late. The Bearsare infamous for their ability to play down to mediocre teams and play up togood teams (i.e. winning at San Francisco earlier this year). A lot of pressureis on the Bears to do well here and Cutler usually performs well in thosecircumstances such as drilling Atlanta on the road earlier this year. Thereason this total is set in the 50 range is the Bears are going to come to playhere and with the Patriots playing catch up its likely a high scoring affair.The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 road game for the Bears and the Over is 15-3 forthe Patriots when they face a team with a losing road record at home (i.e theJets). Look for this contest to be around 54 or higher with a final score inthe range of 30-24 or 30-27.


3-Unit Play #270 Take Arizona-2.5 over Philadelphia (Sunday @ 4:05pm est)

Whatyou might not see outwardly in this game is how much these two coaches dislikeand hate each other. Which is what makes this game fun. Coach Arians calledChip Kelly's offense a gimmick and Kelly got the last laugh last year and ofcourse the NFL made sure these two coaches hooked up once again and in Arizonaagain. This is a decent public fade as the public is on the underdog here, butnote that Arizona nearly beat Philadelphia last year losing by a field goal onthe road and Arizona has covered this matchup the last 4 and 5 of 6 times theyhave played. With Philadelphia coming off such a big public win over the Giantsin a 27-0 fashion, look for them to have a much more difficult time scoring asthey face the most potent defense to date. If the Eagles struggled a bitagainst the Niners defense, the Cardinals defense is a notch better. The Eagleshave won some tight games but note that Arizona is one of the top 5 teams inpower rankings and their quality of wins are better as well. Outside of theblowout against Denver on the road, this team has beat the likes of theChargers and the Niners. Philadelphia has barely got past St. Louis,Washington, struggled against Jacksonville and lost to the Ninres. Their lucklikely runs out here as Arizona has revenge, the Eagles on a let down and adecent public fade to boot as well for Arizona.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman


Take #271 Indianapolis (-3) over Pittsburgh
Take #267 Baltimore (Pk) over Cincinnati
Take #276 New Orleans (-1) over Green Bay
Take #263 Miami (-6) over Jacksonville
Take #253 Minnesota (Moneyline: +125) over Tampa Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point

6*- Eagles +2.5
4*- Carolina +5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football jesus podcast : Saints

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GMC NFL Selections
254 Tampa Bay -2.5
272 Pittsburgh +3.5
268 Cincinnati +2
276 New Orleans -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookieshunter NFL 26October2014

Chiefs -7 vs Rams (2)
Jets -3 vs Bills (3)
Cardinals M/L vs Eagles (2)
Steelers +3.5 vs Colts (3)
Packers @ Saints Over 55 (3)

Jets/Bills "AFC GOM"
Packers @ Saints "NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR" as per bookieshunter

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEN BURNS

BREAKFAST CLUB Cincinnati

3 GAME - st louis - tennessee - cincinnati and breakfast club included

PERSONAL FAVORITE Tampa Bay

BLUE CHIP TOTAL - seattle/carolina under

MAIN EVENT - saints

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Win or Lose Sports Betting NFL

251 DET -3 (Buy the half)

256 NE -6

258 KC -7


262 NYJ -3

264 Mia / Jax UN 43

267 BALT -2

269 PHIL +1.5

271 INDY -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole | NFL Total

triple-dime bet 255 CHI / 256 NEP OVER 50.0 5Dimes
Analysis: 3**** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL (50 pts)

double-dime bet 275 GBP / 276 NOS OVER 55.5 Hilton
Analysis 2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Randall the Handle's
BEST BETS

Vikings (2-5) at Buccaneers (1-5)
LINE: TAMPA BAY BY 2½
When QB Christian Ponder is your other option, continuing to nurture Teddy Bridgewater is the more sensible way to go. The Vikings are not a contending team and they may as well see what they have in their young draft choice. Trouble is, that you lose a lot of games during this audition stage. Sure, Teddy caught some lightning in a bottle against the Falcons (who doesn’t?) about a month ago, but it’s been downhill from there. After returning from an injury two games ago, Bridgewater has not thrown for 200 yards in a game. He’s thrown one touchdown compared to five interceptions and Minnesota’s passing game has dropped to dead last in the league, averaging 183.9 yards per game. The Bucs have had issues stopping the pass, but it shouldn’t be a concern against this impotent aerial attack. Tampa has had an extra week to prepare and they’ll be plenty motivated, having yet to win at home in three earlier attempts. Despite Tampa’s dreary 1-5 start, they are just two games back of this meek division’s lead. Look for strong effort against an incapable guest.
TAKING: BUCCANEERS –2½

Seahawks (3-3) at Panthers (3-3)
LINE: SEATTLE by 5
Enough of this nonsense. It’s time for the Seahawks to get well and they may have picked a perfect opponent to do so. The Panthers are not the strong defensive unit they were a year ago. Myriad secondary losses and injuries have left Carolina’s defence as thin as the talent level in the woeful NFC South. These guys have allowed 174 points over their past five games, an average of almost 35 per contest. Things are so desperate that the Panthers have to start James Dockery at corner, their third corner in as many weeks and a guy that wasn’t on an NFL roster three weeks ago. The Seahawks have had issues of their own, both on and off the field. But QB Russell Wilson is playing his butt off and, with his leadership qualities, he’ll get his championship team reined-in sooner than later. Even though Seattle was upset in St. Louis last week, the Seachickens outgained the Rams by nearly 200 yards. Special teams and distractions did them in, but don’t expect the same against this defenceless foe.
TAKING: SEAHAWKS –5

Packers (5-2) at Saints (2-4)
LINE: NEW ORLEANS by 1½
No, this is not a pre-Halloween trick. You really do get to spot this small price with a New Orleans team that has won 19 straight on its own field. They’ve played two games here this year and won them both. So the Saints didn’t cover against Tampa Bay as an 11-point favourite, their first non-cover in those 19 consecutive wins. Let’s discount them right down to where they basically just need to win for a cover here? We understand that the Packers have elevated their game since an inauspicious start, but let’s not overlook that they weren’t very good in three of four road games thus far. Green Bay lost at Seattle and Detroit, before being very fortunate to take down the Dolphins in final seconds two weeks ago. We understand that the Saints sit a couple games below .500, but they’ve been losing the turnover battle, while Green Bay is among the league leaders in turnover ratio. These things tend to balance out and, in front of a crazed N’awlins crowd on Sunday night, we’re very comfortable needing the bounces to go New Orleans’ way in a stadium at which they never lose.
TAKING: NEW ORLEANS –1½


THE REST
Falcons (2-4) versus Lions (5-2)
at London, England
LINE: DETROIT by 3½
While this one will be played at Wembley Stadium in London, England, you’d be able to see the holes in this Atlanta defence from Planet Mars. The Falcons have been just average at home, but they remain brutal on the road. They’ve lost all four of their away games by a combined 59 points, an average of nearly 15 points per game. Atlanta’s two wins have come within this porous division, defeating a pair of NFC South foes who are a combined 3-9. Meanwhile, the Lions have become a top defensive club, holding five of seven opponents to under 17 points. Expect QB Matt Ryan to be running for his life here.
TAKING: LIONS –3½

Bears (3-4) at Patriots (5-2)
LINE: NEW ENGLAND by 6
Screwy Bears. Currently 0-3 at home and 3-1 away, Chicago travels again to face what appears to be a repaired New England team, one that most thought was broken after being crushed at Kansas City. Maybe the Patriots are okay, but facing a trio since then that included the suddenly mediocre Bengals, the Bills and the Jets, can we really be sure? New England has some injury concerns with key LB Jerod Mayo and RB Steven Ridley gone. Now the Pats get this NFC opponent that hails from a decent NFC division and it comes before a home date with arch-frenemy Peyton Manning and the Broncos next week. Bears leave it all out there this week.
TAKING: BEARS +6

Rams (2-4) at Chiefs (3-3)
LINE: KANSAS CITY by 7
While it is better to give than to receive, that doesn’t apply to these Chiefs. Kansas City has been underdogs in five of six games this year, covering four and pushing once. In the lone game that K.C. was giving, they were smoked 26-10 by the dreadful Titans. Granted, this will be Kansas City’s easiest contest in a month after facing the Patriots and Niners and upsetting the Chargers last week. But teams commonly play to the level of their opponent and since Andy Reid’s arrival here, his Chiefs have covered just two of their past eight as chalk. The Rams are high off a win over Seattle and should be motivated here for Missouri bragging rights.
TAKING: RAMS +7

Bills (4-3) at Jets (1-6)
LINE: N.Y. JETS by 3
The Jets have had a tough schedule, leading to their dismal 1-6 start. While things may get a little easier now, we’re still not prepared to spot points with a team that couldn’t even cover at home to Oakland. The Jets also lost straight-up when favoured here over the Bears. The Bills arrive with issues to their running game, but they still have skilled position players on offence where the Jets simply do not. Percy Harvin was acquired to help, but he’s expected to see limited action while he learns this offence. The Bills lead the league with 24 sacks and that doesn’t bode well for the Jets’ careless QB Geno Smith.
TAKING: BILLS +3

Dolphins (3-3) at Jaguars (1-6)
LINE: MIAMI by 6
The Fish have not given away this many road points since the Dan Marino days. However, the line sometimes shouts directions at you and we’re hearing them loud and clear. The Jaguars notched their first win of the year last week, but little has changed in Florida’s northeast. Rookie QB Blake Bortles somehow overcame three interceptions to defeat Cleveland, his 12th turnover in four games, and that is a sure recipe for losing in most cases. On the flip side, Miami QB Ryan Tannehill is in a groove and his squad won’t let up here as they remain in contention for the AFC East.
TAKING: DOLPHINS –6

Texans (3-4) at Titans (2-5)
LINE: HOUSTON by 3
QB Zach Mettenberger will get his first pro start for this one. That’s fine, as we’d fade QB Ryan Fitzpatrick as a road favourite even if Zach Galifianakis was the opposing starter. Fitzpatrick is a turnover machine and he’ll play against a defence that knows him from practice a year ago when he played in Nashville. The Texans are outgained in every game they play and, if not for the extreme defensive talents of J.J. Watt, this Houston team would be worse off than it already is. Houston is travelling for the third time in four games and this one takes place on a short week after a demoralizing loss in Pittsburgh on Monday.
TAKING: TITANS +3

Ravens (5-2) at Bengals (3-2-1)
LINE: BALTIMORE by 1
It may be difficult to get all revved up about the Bengals during this current slide, especially with the Ravens winning and playing at a high level. But, similar to New Orleans, we see great value with the home side. Cincinnati has not lost on this field since December 2012. That’s a streak of 11 games and now we’re asked to spot a measly point against a Baltimore team that Cincy already took down in the Ravens’ own backyard. The Bengals could get much-needed WR A.J. Green back for this one. His presence makes a huge difference — mentally and physically — for both combatants.
TAKING: BENGALS +1

Eagles (5-1) at Cardinals (5-1)
LINE: ARIZONA by 3
Not sure if either of these two will be deserving of a 6-1 record, but one of them is headed there. It very well could be the Eagles. Arizona’s depleted defence might be functional against the likes of the Raiders and Redskins, but we highly doubt it can hold up against Philadelphia’s rested and potent offence. Philly is healthier than it has been all year and it will get back some key players, including LG Evan Mathis. Picking up where they left off against the Giants, the Eagles’ fine group of tight ends (eight catches, 118 yards and two TDs) should be able to inflict similar damage to Arizona’s most gaping weakness.
TAKING: EAGLES +3

Colts (5-2) at Steelers (4-3)
LINE: INDIANAPOLIS by 3
Hard to gauge how good the Colts are as they’ve had a significantly soft schedule. That said, good teams defeat the teams they are supposed to and the Steelers qualify. Pittsburgh is playing winning football, but its record is better than it is. The Steelers have played the Browns twice, splitting with a narrow win and then being clobbered, the Jaguars in a close one and Houston on Monday night where they had a three-minute spurt that secured the game against a sloppy Texans team. Most important is Pittsburgh’s defence, a unit that can be easily exposed and, with Andrew Luck’s ascension as a top pivot in this league, he should have little trouble with this meager host.
TAKING: COLTS –3

Raiders (0-6) at Browns (3-3)
LINE: CLEVELAND by 7
It’s been a while since the Browns have been laying seven and this follows an embarrassing loss to the lowly Jaguars. Following up a loss to winless Jacksonville with another to these winless Raiders would set Cleveland back beyond their low point of recent years. We have to think they’ll rebound against an Oakland team that hasn’t won in 12 games and that has not topped 14 points in 11 of those 12 contests. Jacksonville was successful by stopping Cleveland’s run game. The Raiders don’t have that same ability, as they’ve allowed opponents to rush for 145 yards per game, fourth-most in the league.
TAKING: BROWNS –7

Redskins (2-5) at Cowboys (6-1)
LINE: DALLAS by 10
Wow, 10 points? This Dallas thing could be getting out of hand. We can’t deny how well the Cowboys are playing, seemingly unstoppable with DeMarco Murray shredding defences and Tony Romo taking advantage by not being forced to win games with his arm. But this is Redskins-Cowboys, a rivalry that goes beyond the merits of each team. Washington has covered seven of its past eight versus its rivals, and the two times it was receiving generous points like this, it lost by three and one respectively. Perhaps Colt McCoy starting for the Redskins has bolstered this spread, but is he really much of a dropoff from Kirk Cousins?
TAKING: REDSKINS +10


WEEK 8 SELECTIONS
FAVOURITE LINE UNDERDOG LONGLEY FIDLIN RANDALL
Lions 31/2 Falcons Lions Lions Lions
BUCS 21/2 Vikings Bucs Vikings Bucs*
PATRIOTS 6 Bears Patriots Patriots Bears
CHIEFS 7 Rams Rams Rams Rams
Seahawks 5 PANTHERS Seahawks* Seahawks Seahawks*
JETS 3 Bills Jets Jets Bills
Dolphins 6 JAGUARS Dolphins Jaguars Dolphins
Texans 3 TITANS Texans Titans Titans
Ravens 1 BENGALS Ravens Ravens Bengals
CARDINALS 3 Eagles Eagles Cardinals Eagles
Colts 3 STEELERS Colts Colts Colts
BROWNS 7 Raiders Raiders Browns Browns
SAINTS 11/2 Packers Saints Saints* Saints*
COWBOYS 10 Redskins Redskins Redskins Redskins
BEST BETS (*) BEST BETS (*)
Last Week Season LAST WEEK SEASON
Sun NFL columnist Rob Longley 8-7 57-44-3 1-0 4-3
Sun NFL columnist Ken Fidlin 7-8 43-58-3 0-1 2-5
Randall The Handle 10-5 51-50-3 1-2 9-11-1

[golden contender]

Sunday NFC Game of the Year 3 Perfect systems and angles, 6* Early AFC Side has 5 Power systems. Sunday night Totals with 16 totals angles lead the card as NFL Remains ranked #1 on Several leader boards. Free NFL System Club Play below.

The Free NFL System Club Play is on the Cincinnati Bengals. Game 268 at 1:00 eastern. The Bengals were shutout last week by the Colts and now return home to face a Hot Baltimore team that they beat on the road in week 1. Cincy will look to get back on track and home teams that scored 9 or less points and lost on the road by 21 or more are perfect to the spread since 1989 v an opponent off a home win that scored 28 or more points. In Fact road teams that are off back to back wins by 15 or more points are 4-19 ats if the line is -3 to +2 and their opponent is off a loss. The Ravens are 1-14 ats on the road off a home win where they had 3 or more minutes in time of possession than their season average. The Bengals are 8-0 ats if they had a turnover margin of +2 or more. Look for the Bengals to get the win. On Sunday the NFC Game of the year is the lead play with 3 Never lost systems and Angles. In early action we have the 6* AFC Side with 5 Exclusive systems, a Dog with bite from a 24-3 system, the Sunday night Totals play with 16 Totals angles and more. NFL is ranked #1 on several prestigious leader boards. Message to Get on now and put Power of this devastating data on your side as we end the week big. For the free play take the Cincinnati Bengals. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Insider Sports Report

4* Indianapolis -3.5 over Pittsburgh (NFL)
Range: -1.5 to -5.5

3* N.Y. Jets -3 over Buffalo (NFL)
Range: -1.5 to -5.5

3* Philadelphia +2.5 over Arizona (NFL)
Range: +4 to +.5

3* Green Bay/New Orleans OVER 55 (NFL)
Range: 53 to 57

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Elite Sports Picks

St. Louis +7 over Kansas City (NFL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root

Pinnacle afc Gom Pittsburgh Steelers

inner circle nfl favorite of month
new orleans

perfect play divisional rival of month
cincinnati

no limit arizona

millionaires carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

National Sports Service

5* Indianapolis -3.5 over Pittsburgh (NFL)

3* Chicago/New England OVER 50.5 (NFL)

3* Seattle -5 over Carolina (NFL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INT Picks

Top
KC -7
Houston -3
Indiana -3 (-130)

Regular
Miami -6
NO -1

Free Pick
TB -2

MLB

Regular
KC/SF Over 6.5 (+100)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor Original NFL Picks

Version 3 (10/26): 1:00 PM BUF +3 (B)
4:25 PM IND -3 (pending above)


Rest of games...
MIA -6
NE -6
KC -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike O'Connor

Jets
Bucs
Chiefs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Lions vs. Falcons

Detroit Lions vs. Atlanta Falcons (+3.5, 46.5)

The Atlanta Falcons hardly look ready for prime time this season so perhaps a trip overseas is coming at an opportune time as the struggling club attempts to halt a four-game losing streak. The Falcons have dropped all four games by double digits and look to rebound against the Detroit Lions on Sunday morning at London's Wembley Stadium. “We need to worry about this coming week,” Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan said. “We need to prepare better, practice better and play better. We know what to do."

Even though the Falcons are designated the home team, not having to play in Atlanta is a boost for the Lions, who are tied with Green Bay atop the NFC North following last week's dramatic comeback win over New Orleans. Star wideout Calvin Johnson practiced on a limited basis Wednesday and Thursday and Detroit hopes he can rejoin the lineup after missing the past two games with a high ankle sprain. It marks the first international contest for both the Falcons and Lions and will be the first NFL tilt to ever be televised at 9:30 a.m. ET.

TV: 9:30 a.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Lions -3.5. O/U: 46.5

LINE HISTORY: The line has had no movement since opening at Atlanta +3.5. The total has dropped only half a point from a 47 point opening to 46.5.

INJURY REPORT: Lions - WR Calvin Johnson (Ques-Ankle), RB Reggie Bush (Doub-Ankle), TE Brandon Pettigrew (Doub-Ankle) Falcons - G Justin Blalock (Prob-Back), DT Jonathan Babineaux (Doub-Foot)

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Mike Smith is squarely on the hot seat after a fourth straight loss. The Falcons head to London for a must win game before their bye week. They are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 after scoring 15 or less. Detroit stays atop the NFC North with a come-from-behind win over the Saints and now heads to London for an early start time." - Matt Fargo

ABOUT THE FALCONS (2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS, 3-4 O/U): Atlanta came into the season with questions surrounding its defense, but the Falcons have struggled on the other side of the ball - blowing a 10-point second-half lead against the New York Giants in Week 5 and scoring only one touchdown in each of their last two losses to Chicago (27-13) and Baltimore (29-7). Ryan opened the season with a 448-yard, three-TD performance in a win over New Orleans, but he has been limited to one scoring pass in four of the past six games. An already-suspect running game has been further hindered by an injury-ravaged offensive line that is missing four starters. Atlanta is 30th overall in both points (28.4) and total yards (412.1) and has only seven sacks.

ABOUT THE LIONS (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS, 2-5 O/U): Johnson has been a non-factor since his ankle issues cropped up in Week 4, but Detroit has compensated for the superstar receiver's loss with a defense that permits a league-low 290.3 yards and ranks second with 15.0 points allowed. The Lions have also registered 21 sacks and could build upon that total against Ryan, who has been sacked nine times over the past two games. Lions quarterback Matt Stafford has thrown for only nine scoring passes versus six interceptions, but he rallied Detroit with two TD passes in the final 3:38 last week to erase a 13-point deficit against the Saints. Golden Tate had 10 catches for 154 yards and a TD last week and has at least seven receptions in four straight games.

TRENDS:

*Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
*Under is 5-0 in Lions last 5 games following a ATS loss.
*Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
*Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 52.83 percent are backing the Lions and 57.4 are backing the over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NFL | BUFFALO at NY JETS
Play Over - Home teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points excellent punt coverage team, allow less than 7.5 yards per return
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

NFL | INDIANAPOLIS at PITTSBURGH
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) with a terrible defense - allowing 5.7 or more yards/play, after outgaining opp by 200 or more total yards in their previous game
26-12 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

NFL | ST LOUIS at KANSAS CITY
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (ST LOUIS) with a good offense - averaging 5.4 or more yards/play, after being outgained by 100 or more total yds 2 consecutive games
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

NFL | HOUSTON at TENNESSEE
Play Over - Home teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points excellent punt coverage team, allow less than 7.5 yards per return 46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

NFL | MIAMI at JACKSONVILLE
Play Over - Home teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points excellent punt coverage team, allow less than 7.5 yards per return
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

NFL | DETROIT at ATLANTA
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (ATLANTA) with a good offense - averaging 5.4 or more yards/play, after being outgained by 100 or more total yds 2 consecutive games
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Michigan State on Saturday and likes the Falcons on Sunday.

The deficit is 953 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo picks only the Best

Freeze froze, Wallace choked and Hondo missed with the Rebs against LSU on Saturday night, causing the deficit to balloon to 1,120 thurstons.

Sunday: Mr. Aitch will let it ride on his Best Bets: 10 units apiece on the Jets, Colts and Packers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

SUNDAY

3* (255) Chicago Bears +6

The Bears are coming off of another home loss on Sunday, this time against the Dolphins. Brandon Marshall called out quarterback Jay Cutler as the postgame Chicago locker room was very heated. I expect Chicago to respond with a strong showing in New England. The Bears play much better on the road and running back Matt Forte should have a huge game against a New England team that struggled to stop the run without linebacker Jared Mayo. Brandon Marshall might visit Revise Island, but Cutler still has Alton Jeffery, Marls Benet and Matt Forte to catch passes. New England survived against the Jets, and they should be able to score on the Chicago defense, but not winning by this margin. I think Chicago has a great shot at the upset, take the points.


3* (262) New York Jets -3

The Bills had their prayers answered last week as they stole one at home in the last seconds of the game against the Vikings. Buffalo's win did come at a cost as they lost their top two running backs Fred Jackson and CJ Spiller both to injury. I don't expect Buffalo to generate much on the ground with a third string running back starting against a Jets defense that stops the run well. Kyle Orton is going to have to chuck it around to win this game and that is good news for the Jets. New York also gets to use Percy Harvin for the first time. This trade was stunning, but the Jets really have nothing to loss. I believe Harvin will have an impact in this game right away either on offense or the return game. Geno Smith played well at New England and that type of effort will pick up the win here. Lay the points.


3* (276) New Orleans Saints -1

This is a huge game for New Orleans. The Saints gave one away last week in Detroit, so this is almost a must win game. Green Bay throttled the Panthers last week and it looks like they have their offense back on track. One area that I think the Saints will be able to take advantage of is the run defense of the Packers that is last in the NFL. I expect a heavy dose of Mark Ingram as the Saints will try to control the time of possession and keep Aaron Rodgers and the offense on the sidelines. The Saints are a much better team at home in the dome and they will need to channel that home field advantage in this game. Another week of rest should also help tight end Jimmy Graham recover from his shoulder injury. Lay the points.

ADDED 2 STAR PLAYS FOR SUNDAY:

2* (252) Atlanta Falcons +3.5

2* (269) Philadelphia Eagles +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTSWAGERS

NFL

Detroit -3½ vs Atlanta

Detroit -3½ -110 over Atlanta

(Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)

9:30 AM EST. The 2-5 Falcons will try to end a four-game losing streak and they’ll attempt to do that across the pond at Wembley Stadium in London. Away from Atlanta, the Dirty Birds have lost six straight. Since they defeated the Buccaneers 56-14, Atlanta has lost every game by double digits and even allowed the offensive-less Vikings to hang a 41 on them. Aside from being the worst-coached team in the NFL, Atlanta will now play this game with its third starting center in undrafted rookie James Stone. The Falcons have already suffered season-ending injuries to four offensive linemen: tackles Sam Baker (knee) and Lamar Holmes (foot), Hawley and reserve Mike Johnson. Defensively, Atlanta has no pass rush whatsoever, which does not bode well here against Detroit. When you give quality QB’s time in this league they will rip you apart and that’s precisely what we expect to see from Matthew Stafford.

The Lions have been harassing quarterbacks all season and have the best defensive QBR in the NFL. Matt Ryan has been sacked on over 5% of his attempts this year, which is a disturbing number under any circumstance and now he’s facing a top-ranked unit with a makeshift line and third string center trying to protect him. Atlanta suffered a lot of injuries last year and went on to post an awful 4-12 record. This year the injuries are even worse and so are margins in which they are getting buried. Losing has taken a toll on this entire staff and it’s not about to change. Nothing about these squads is remotely comparable right now and it will be evident within minutes of kickoff that the Falcons are up against it once again. Unless Atlanta gets every bounce go their way, and that still might not be enough, they are going down by double-digits again. If Teddy Bridgewater went off for over 300 yards and 41 points against this Falcons’ defense, Stafford might go off for 600 yards and 80 points.


St. Louis @ KANSAS CITY

KANSAS CITY -7 -110 over St. Louis

(Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)

The Chiefs came off their bye last week and went into San Diego and won outright as a four-point pooch. Kansas City is gaining steam with four strong performances in a row, winning three of them and losing by just five in San Fran. The Chiefs have not played at home since Week 4 when they whacked the Patriots, 41-14. Since then, they’ve played twice on the road with a bye in between. Aside from the unexplainable opening loss to the Titans, the defense has been quietly very good at holding opponents down. Alex Smith and Jamaal Charles are a solid RB/QB combination and overall these Chiefs are pretty sound. They have the Jets on deck so this is not a look ahead game. It’s a chance for the Chiefs to solidify their playoff chances.

We’re not going to dissect the Rams because this fade has nothing to do with X’s and O’s and everything to do with the situation. St. Louis is in a horrible scheduling spot here and because of that they just might get whacked. The Rams are coming off games against San Francisco in prime time and Seattle last week. They defeated the Super Bowl Champs in a hugely emotional game and to make matters worse they have the 49ers up again next week in San Francisco. This road game against an AFC team is now sandwiched between San Fran, Seattle and San Fran again. After beating Seattle last week, taking seven points may look appealing but St. Louis isn’t braced for a big game here. Instead, they are in a near impossible spot that often leads to a huge defeat.


Minnesota @ TAMPA BAY

TAMPA BAY -3 +106 over Minnesota

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.12)

The Vikings finished with a 5-10-1 record last year, but had they not blown leads in the final minute of five games, they would have finished 10-6. They have a new coaching staff now and a new quarterback, but the outlook stays the same. They allowed journeyman Kyle Orton to throw for 105 yards on an 80-yard drive, including a pair of key passes to Sammy Watkins – who scored the game-winning touchdown with one second left on the clock. The more things change in Minnesota, the more they stay the same and our original prognostication on Teddy Bridgewater was way off. Dude is not NFL ready; not even close. Bridgewater holds the ball far too long, a common mistake among rookie QB’s and when he does get rid of it he misses his targets by five yards. The Vikes rank #29 in overall offense and are last in passing offense.

Take away the first quarter and the Bucs are actually a decent club. They have been outscored in the first quarter by a remarkable count of 72-17 but it’s pretty difficult to envision the pitiful Vikings putting up a crooked number in the first. Furthermore, the Bucs are coming off another embarrassing performance two weeks in Baltimore, where they were walloped 48-17. The last time they were walloped in Atlanta (56-14), Tampa Bay responded with a win in Pittsburgh the next time out as an 8-point underdog. Now they’ve had two weeks to prepare and that’s a long time to prepare with that latest loss hanging over their heads. Mike Glennon is getting better. He's not only thrown for two scores in each of the last three games, but twice he topped 300 yards in the process while only throwing one interception per week. More impressive still - he threw for 302 yards in a road game in Pittsburgh and later 314 yards at home against the Ravens defense. Minnesota is playing its third road game in four weeks here and that’s difficult for even the best of teams. Now we’re getting the better all-around team at home, coming off a bye and a horrible loss. Getting them at this price is a great bargain.


Baltimore @ CINCINNATI

CINCINNATI +104 over Baltimore

(Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.08)

Baltimore is 5-2. They have won two in a row and four of its past five games. The Ravens last three wins were by scores of 38-10, 48-17 and 29-7. That’s a combined 115 to 34 and blowout wins often cause an overreaction. String three blowout wins together and that overreaction is even bigger. In other words, Baltimore’s stock is soaring through the roof, which provides us with this sell-high opportunity. It should be noted, however, that Baltimore’s three blowout wins occurred against Carolina, Tampa Bay and Atlanta.

When the Bengals got off to a 3-0 start, they were making their statement that the road to the Super Bowl was going through Cincinnati. The city even had the parade mapped out. That seems like such a long time ago. In the last three weeks, the Bengals allowed New England to score nine times in a 43-17 blowout, missed a chip-shot field goal to tie Carolina and got shut out by Indianapolis. In other words, Cincinnati’s stock has hit rock bottom in much the same way New England’s did after the Patriots were whacked in Kansas City. If anyone had suggested three weeks ago that Baltimore would be favored in Cincinnati in Week 8, they would have been carted off to an asylum. Yeah, things do change in this league from week to week but this line is a big overreaction to Baltimore’s three blowout wins and Cincinnati’s three ugly losses. Let us now point out that Cincinnati has not lost at Paul Brown Stadium since December of 2012. That’s a streak of 11-0-1 since then and now the Bengals are a dog at home to a Baltimore team that has averaged 14 points a game in Cincinnati since 2009 and that has lost four of the past five here. This is a classic buy-low/sell-high situation and we’re on it.


San Diego @ DENVER

San Diego +9½ -103 over DENVER

(Risking 2.06 units - To Win: 2.00)

This line just keeps moving in Denver’s direction. Line opened at 7½, was at 8½ most of yesterday and is now up to 9½. It’s not often you get offered 9½ points with a quality team but that’s the case here and we’ll gladly bite because that is where the value lies. Just when the Chargers seem like they are an elite team, they struggle to beat the Raiders and then lose to the Chiefs in San Diego. Now the Chargers appear to be just another average team in a league full of them because of their last two results. That works to our advantage because we now get this quality team at an inflated price.

By contrast, Denver’s stock is extremely high after they buried the 49ers in prime time last week. Denver now plays in back-to-back prime time games and last week’s was especially emotional after Peyton Manning broke Brett Favre’s record. The anticipation in Denver was tremendous. It’s also worth noting that it was a Sunday night late game, which gives the Broncos even less time to recover and prepare for this short week. The Broncos are a great team but you are still going to pay a major premium on them here because of the over-reaction to last Sunday’s win and because they are so popular among bettors. Another reason this number is high is because the Chargers have some key defensive players on the rack. However, in San Diego’s win at Denver last year, the Chargers started Richard Marshall and Shareece Wright at cornerback and Thomas Keiser and Reggie Walker at outside linebacker. With San Diego’s top two cornerbacks in Brandon Flowers (concussion) and Jason Verrett (shoulder) nursing injuries, along with rookie pass-rusher Jeremiah Attaochu (hamstring), the Chargers' projected starting cornerbacks are Wright and Marshall. And the team’s projected starting outside linebackers are Jarret Johnson and Walker. The bottom line is Pagano trusts his backup players to know and understand his complex scheme. Those fill-in guys proved they can execute his game when they did so last year against Manning. Furthermore, Philip Rivers is 6-2 with wins in four of his last five starts at Sports Authority Field during the regular season. The Chargers won 27-20 in Denver last year. The Broncos won 28-20 in San Diego. The Broncos would later win in the divisional round when they beat the Chargers 24-17. A well-coached, balanced team with a strong record and an attack that knows how to execute its way down the field is being offered substantial (inflated) weight here in a short week. That doesn’t happen often and it instantly makes us buyers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Capitals +110

Ducks -160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Randall the Handle's

BEST BETS

Vikings (2-5) at Buccaneers (1-5)

LINE: TAMPA BAY BY 2½

When QB Christian Ponder is your other option, continuing to nurture Teddy Bridgewater is the more sensible way to go. The Vikings are not a contending team and they may as well see what they have in their young draft choice. Trouble is, that you lose a lot of games during this audition stage. Sure, Teddy caught some lightning in a bottle against the Falcons (who doesn’t?) about a month ago, but it’s been downhill from there. After returning from an injury two games ago, Bridgewater has not thrown for 200 yards in a game. He’s thrown one touchdown compared to five interceptions and Minnesota’s passing game has dropped to dead last in the league, averaging 183.9 yards per game. The Bucs have had issues stopping the pass, but it shouldn’t be a concern against this impotent aerial attack. Tampa has had an extra week to prepare and they’ll be plenty motivated, having yet to win at home in three earlier attempts. Despite Tampa’s dreary 1-5 start, they are just two games back of this meek division’s lead. Look for strong effort against an incapable guest.
TAKING: BUCCANEERS –2½


Seahawks (3-3) at Panthers (3-3)

LINE: SEATTLE by 5

Enough of this nonsense. It’s time for the Seahawks to get well and they may have picked a perfect opponent to do so. The Panthers are not the strong defensive unit they were a year ago. Myriad secondary losses and injuries have left Carolina’s defence as thin as the talent level in the woeful NFC South. These guys have allowed 174 points over their past five games, an average of almost 35 per contest. Things are so desperate that the Panthers have to start James Dockery at corner, their third corner in as many weeks and a guy that wasn’t on an NFL roster three weeks ago. The Seahawks have had issues of their own, both on and off the field. But QB Russell Wilson is playing his butt off and, with his leadership qualities, he’ll get his championship team reined-in sooner than later. Even though Seattle was upset in St. Louis last week, the Seachickens outgained the Rams by nearly 200 yards. Special teams and distractions did them in, but don’t expect the same against this defenceless foe.
TAKING: SEAHAWKS –5


Packers (5-2) at Saints (2-4)

LINE: NEW ORLEANS by 1½

No, this is not a pre-Halloween trick. You really do get to spot this small price with a New Orleans team that has won 19 straight on its own field. They’ve played two games here this year and won them both. So the Saints didn’t cover against Tampa Bay as an 11-point favourite, their first non-cover in those 19 consecutive wins. Let’s discount them right down to where they basically just need to win for a cover here? We understand that the Packers have elevated their game since an inauspicious start, but let’s not overlook that they weren’t very good in three of four road games thus far. Green Bay lost at Seattle and Detroit, before being very fortunate to take down the Dolphins in final seconds two weeks ago. We understand that the Saints sit a couple games below .500, but they’ve been losing the turnover battle, while Green Bay is among the league leaders in turnover ratio. These things tend to balance out and, in front of a crazed N’awlins crowd on Sunday night, we’re very comfortable needing the bounces to go New Orleans’ way in a stadium at which they never lose.
TAKING: NEW ORLEANS –1½


THE REST

Falcons (2-4) versus Lions (5-2) at London, England

LINE: DETROIT by 3½

While this one will be played at Wembley Stadium in London, England, you’d be able to see the holes in this Atlanta defence from Planet Mars. The Falcons have been just average at home, but they remain brutal on the road. They’ve lost all four of their away games by a combined 59 points, an average of nearly 15 points per game. Atlanta’s two wins have come within this porous division, defeating a pair of NFC South foes who are a combined 3-9. Meanwhile, the Lions have become a top defensive club, holding five of seven opponents to under 17 points. Expect QB Matt Ryan to be running for his life here.
TAKING: LIONS –3½


Bears (3-4) at Patriots (5-2)

LINE: NEW ENGLAND by 6

Screwy Bears. Currently 0-3 at home and 3-1 away, Chicago travels again to face what appears to be a repaired New England team, one that most thought was broken after being crushed at Kansas City. Maybe the Patriots are okay, but facing a trio since then that included the suddenly mediocre Bengals, the Bills and the Jets, can we really be sure? New England has some injury concerns with key LB Jerod Mayo and RB Steven Ridley gone. Now the Pats get this NFC opponent that hails from a decent NFC division and it comes before a home date with arch-frenemy Peyton Manning and the Broncos next week. Bears leave it all out there this week.
TAKING: BEARS +6


Rams (2-4) at Chiefs (3-3)

LINE: KANSAS CITY by 7

While it is better to give than to receive, that doesn’t apply to these Chiefs. Kansas City has been underdogs in five of six games this year, covering four and pushing once. In the lone game that K.C. was giving, they were smoked 26-10 by the dreadful Titans. Granted, this will be Kansas City’s easiest contest in a month after facing the Patriots and Niners and upsetting the Chargers last week. But teams commonly play to the level of their opponent and since Andy Reid’s arrival here, his Chiefs have covered just two of their past eight as chalk. The Rams are high off a win over Seattle and should be motivated here for Missouri bragging rights.
TAKING: RAMS +7


Bills (4-3) at Jets (1-6)

LINE: N.Y. JETS by 3

The Jets have had a tough schedule, leading to their dismal 1-6 start. While things may get a little easier now, we’re still not prepared to spot points with a team that couldn’t even cover at home to Oakland. The Jets also lost straight-up when favoured here over the Bears. The Bills arrive with issues to their running game, but they still have skilled position players on offence where the Jets simply do not. Percy Harvin was acquired to help, but he’s expected to see limited action while he learns this offence. The Bills lead the league with 24 sacks and that doesn’t bode well for the Jets’ careless QB Geno Smith.
TAKING: BILLS +3


Dolphins (3-3) at Jaguars (1-6)

LINE: MIAMI by 6

The Fish have not given away this many road points since the Dan Marino days. However, the line sometimes shouts directions at you and we’re hearing them loud and clear. The Jaguars notched their first win of the year last week, but little has changed in Florida’s northeast. Rookie QB Blake Bortles somehow overcame three interceptions to defeat Cleveland, his 12th turnover in four games, and that is a sure recipe for losing in most cases. On the flip side, Miami QB Ryan Tannehill is in a groove and his squad won’t let up here as they remain in contention for the AFC East.
TAKING: DOLPHINS –6


Texans (3-4) at Titans (2-5)

LINE: HOUSTON by 3

QB Zach Mettenberger will get his first pro start for this one. That’s fine, as we’d fade QB Ryan Fitzpatrick as a road favourite even if Zach Galifianakis was the opposing starter. Fitzpatrick is a turnover machine and he’ll play against a defence that knows him from practice a year ago when he played in Nashville. The Texans are outgained in every game they play and, if not for the extreme defensive talents of J.J. Watt, this Houston team would be worse off than it already is. Houston is travelling for the third time in four games and this one takes place on a short week after a demoralizing loss in Pittsburgh on Monday.
TAKING: TITANS +3


Ravens (5-2) at Bengals (3-2-1)

LINE: BALTIMORE by 1

It may be difficult to get all revved up about the Bengals during this current slide, especially with the Ravens winning and playing at a high level. But, similar to New Orleans, we see great value with the home side. Cincinnati has not lost on this field since December 2012. That’s a streak of 11 games and now we’re asked to spot a measly point against a Baltimore team that Cincy already took down in the Ravens’ own backyard. The Bengals could get much-needed WR A.J. Green back for this one. His presence makes a huge difference — mentally and physically — for both combatants.
TAKING: BENGALS +1


Eagles (5-1) at Cardinals (5-1)

LINE: ARIZONA by 3

Not sure if either of these two will be deserving of a 6-1 record, but one of them is headed there. It very well could be the Eagles. Arizona’s depleted defence might be functional against the likes of the Raiders and Redskins, but we highly doubt it can hold up against Philadelphia’s rested and potent offence. Philly is healthier than it has been all year and it will get back some key players, including LG Evan Mathis. Picking up where they left off against the Giants, the Eagles’ fine group of tight ends (eight catches, 118 yards and two TDs) should be able to inflict similar damage to Arizona’s most gaping weakness.
TAKING: EAGLES +3


Colts (5-2) at Steelers (4-3)

LINE: INDIANAPOLIS by 3

Hard to gauge how good the Colts are as they’ve had a significantly soft schedule. That said, good teams defeat the teams they are supposed to and the Steelers qualify. Pittsburgh is playing winning football, but its record is better than it is. The Steelers have played the Browns twice, splitting with a narrow win and then being clobbered, the Jaguars in a close one and Houston on Monday night where they had a three-minute spurt that secured the game against a sloppy Texans team. Most important is Pittsburgh’s defence, a unit that can be easily exposed and, with Andrew Luck’s ascension as a top pivot in this league, he should have little trouble with this meager host.
TAKING: COLTS –3


Raiders (0-6) at Browns (3-3)

LINE: CLEVELAND by 7

It’s been a while since the Browns have been laying seven and this follows an embarrassing loss to the lowly Jaguars. Following up a loss to winless Jacksonville with another to these winless Raiders would set Cleveland back beyond their low point of recent years. We have to think they’ll rebound against an Oakland team that hasn’t won in 12 games and that has not topped 14 points in 11 of those 12 contests. Jacksonville was successful by stopping Cleveland’s run game. The Raiders don’t have that same ability, as they’ve allowed opponents to rush for 145 yards per game, fourth-most in the league.
TAKING: BROWNS –7


Redskins (2-5) at Cowboys (6-1)

LINE: DALLAS by 10

Wow, 10 points? This Dallas thing could be getting out of hand. We can’t deny how well the Cowboys are playing, seemingly unstoppable with DeMarco Murray shredding defences and Tony Romo taking advantage by not being forced to win games with his arm. But this is Redskins-Cowboys, a rivalry that goes beyond the merits of each team. Washington has covered seven of its past eight versus its rivals, and the two times it was receiving generous points like this, it lost by three and one respectively. Perhaps Colt McCoy starting for the Redskins has bolstered this spread, but is he really much of a dropoff from Kirk Cousins?
TAKING: REDSKINS +10


WEEK 8 SELECTIONS

FAVOURITE LINE UNDERDOG LONGLEY FIDLIN RANDALL

Lions 31/2 Falcons Lions Lions Lions

BUCS 21/2 Vikings Bucs Vikings Bucs*

PATRIOTS 6 Bears Patriots Patriots Bears

CHIEFS 7 Rams Rams Rams Rams

Seahawks 5 PANTHERS Seahawks* Seahawks Seahawks*

JETS 3 Bills Jets Jets Bills

Dolphins 6 JAGUARS Dolphins Jaguars Dolphins

Texans 3 TITANS Texans Titans Titans

Ravens 1 BENGALS Ravens Ravens Bengals

CARDINALS 3 Eagles Eagles Cardinals Eagles

Colts 3 STEELERS Colts Colts Colts

BROWNS 7 Raiders Raiders Browns Browns

SAINTS 11/2 Packers Saints Saints* Saints*

COWBOYS 10 Redskins Redskins Redskins Redskins


BEST BETS (*) BEST BETS (*)

Last Week Season LAST WEEK SEASON

Sun NFL columnist Rob Longley 8-7 57-44-3 1-0 4-3

Sun NFL columnist Ken Fidlin 7-8 43-58-3 0-1 2-5

Randall The Handle 10-5 51-50-3 1-2 9-11-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Lions -3.5
Texans -3
Saints -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sample:

Packers TT OVER 27.5 (2Units)

Dolphins TT Under 24.5
Falcons TT Under 21.5
Cincy +8/Jags +14/Chiefs -.5 (+142) - 7pt ties win

Also adding a 3rd unit to GB TT, this one at O26.5. Other 2 were at 27.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

NFL DIVISIONAL GAME OF THE YEAR
Cincinnati Bengals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Fargo

NFL DIVISIONAL GAME OF THE YEAR
Cincinnati Bengals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Ramirez

7 KARAT HIGH ROLLER GAME
Indianapolis Colts ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

25* NFL GAME OF THE YEAR on New Orleans Saints -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartan Triple Dime Game of the Month
New Orleans -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Crusher
New Orleans Saints -135 over Green Bay Packers
(System Record: 19-4, won last 3 games and a push)
Overall Record: 19-21-2

Rest of the Plays
Chicago Bears +6 over New England Patriots
Arizona Cardinals -120 over Philadelphia Eagles
Atlanta Falcons +3.5 over Detroit Lions

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

3* NFL WEEK-8 SUNDAY SMACKDOWN: New Orleans Saints

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander

5* Wiseguy AFC North GAME OF THE YEAR on Bengals +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

7* AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Bengals
7* Sunday Night Football Game of the Year on Saints

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher
Colorado Avalanche + Winnipeg Jets UNDER 5.5
(System Record: 7-1, won last game)
Overall Record: 7-8

Rest of the Plays
Calgary Flames -101 over Washington Caps
Chicago Blackhawks -185 over Ottawa Sens
Colorado -110 over Winnipeg Jets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Crusher
Lanus + San Lorenzo OVER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 652-22, won last game)
Overall Record: 652-541-101

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Just Cover Baby

5 Baltimore -2
4 Atlanta +3.5
4 Indianapolis -3 (if -3.5 buy the hook to -3)
3 New England -6
3 Philadelphia +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

3* NFL WEEK-8 SUNDAY SMACKDOWN: New Orleans Saints

K.C.
BEARS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday

4* Best Bet = N.Y. JETS
3* = TENNESSEE
3* = "OVER" on SAINTS/PACKERS
2* = Philadelphia
2* = Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Beasts

Lions/Falcons over 45.5
Chiefs -6.5
Dolphins -5.5
Colts -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

San Francisco Giants -165

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Valley Sports

5* Seattle (-5½ or better) Over Carolina
4* Detroit (-3½ or better) Over Atlanta
3* Chicago (+6 or better) Over New England
2* Indianapolis (-3 or better) Over Pittsburgh
4* New Orleans/Green Bay (Over 55½ or better)
3* Jacksonville/Miami (Under 43 or better)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

Added

271 indy/pitt over 49

276 NO-2

both 10*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vince Akins's Pick Pack
NFL Sunday Picks



Premium Plays



Matchup: Baltimore at Cincinnati
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Under (46 -110)
Line Source: Sportsbook.ag
Posted on: October 24, 2014 @ 10:42:29 PM EDT

4.5-STAR Baltimore and Cincinnati Under - Even though Cincinnati's defense has been struggling of late, with Baltimore's history against the Bengals they are not going to try to win in a high-scoring game. Baltimore has not scored more than 20 points in their last four meetings against Cincinnati and will be more inclined to let the defense carry them to victory.
Both these teams are coming off of games that were expected to be quite high scoring and never got there. Baltimore's last game had a total of 49.5 and went under by 13.5 points. The Bengals game had a total of 49.5 and the total scoring was just 27 points. Teams after a game where the total was at least 49 and it went under by more than 12 points are 40-64-1 OU (p:total>=49 and p:ou margin<-12).
The Ravens are small dogs here after defeating the Falcons last game, 29-7. Underdogs who won by at least 20 points last game are 169-214-7 OU (D and p:margin>=20).
Even in that game they played conservatively by running the ball, with 36 carries in the win. Teams in games where the total is at least 44.5 who ran the ball more than 35 times last game are 211-265-6 OU (p:rushes>35 and total>=44.5).
They win by controlling the ball. They've punted just three times per game, fewest in the league. The Bengals are 0-7 OU (-11.07 ppg) since Dec 04, 2011 when facing a team that has averaged fewer than four punts per game season-to-date (team=Bengals and Average(o:punts@o:team and season)<4 and date>=20111204).
Cincinnati meanwhile is coming off a 27-0 loss to Indianapolis. They got beat in such dominating fashion that they did not even turn the ball over in a game where they were shutout . The Bengals are 0-6 OU (-12.33 ppg) since Dec 17, 2000 the week after a loss in which they committed no turnovers (team=Bengals and p:turnovers=0 and p:L and date>=20001217).
This is a two week stretch of big games for the Ravens as they travel to Pittsburgh next week as well. The Ravens are 0-14 OU (-11.1 ppg) since Sep 03, 2000 within 3 of pick vs a divisional opponent with a divisional opponent next game, if the teams combined for more than 20 points last meeting (team=Ravens and (-3<=line<=3) and DIV and n:DIV and season>=2000 and Po:points+P:points>20).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: 37 points






Matchup: Minnesota at Tampa Bay
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Minnesota (+3 -120)
Line Source: William Hill
Posted on: October 24, 2014 @ 10:42:29 PM EDT

4.5-STAR Minnesota over TAMPA BAY - If you look at these teams' records, things look pretty similar with Minnesota carrying a half game edge. However, when you look at the point differentials of -40 and -84, one team looks far better than the other. As history tells us, Tampa Bay's big losses matter long term when looking at their skill level and there is no way we would want to lay points with the Bucs.
For Minnesota, this is their second straight road game. Teams that are playing their second straight road game are 471-359-20 ATS since 2003 (A and p:A and season>=2003). Meanwhile, the Buccaneers are 0-10 ATS (-17.0 ppg) since Dec 21, 2008 when the total is no more than 49 and their opponent is playing in at least their second straight road game (team=Buccaneers and H and op:A and total<=49 and date>=20081221).
Last week they were 5.5-point dogs in Buffalo where they lost, 17-16. Past week five of the season, away teams within three of pick, after they covered in a loss as a dog last game are 48-16-1 ATS (3>=line>=-3 and A and p:ats margin>0 and p:LD and week>5).
However they led for much of that game including in the final seconds. They were up 13-10 at halftime. The Vikings are 6-0 ATS (5.58 ppg) since Sep 25, 2011 as a dog after a loss in which they were winning at the half (team=Vikings and D and p:L and 0=20110925).
Even against a ball control type team in Buffalo, Minnesota had the ball for 32:23 on the road. The Vikings are 12-0 ATS as a dog the week after a road game in which they had at least three more minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average and committed fewer than five turnovers (team=Vikings and D and p:A and NB and p:TOP - tA(p:TOP)>=180 and p:TO<5).
It was a safe game from Teddy Bridgewater with just 157 passing yards, as Minnesota's throwing totals have gone down over his three starts. The Vikings are 7-0 ATS (10.43 ppg) since Dec 24, 2011 when their passing yards decreased in each of the last two weeks (team=Vikings and p:passing yards=20111224).
Tampa Bay comes in off a bye but before that they were destroyed on both sides of the ball in a 48-17 loss to Baltimore that wasn't even that close. Favorites who allowed at least 37 points last game and scored no more than 19 points are 61-89-3 ATS (po:points>=37 and F and p:points<=19).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Minnesota 24, TAMPA BAY 17






Matchup: Seattle at Carolina
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Seattle (-4.5 -110)
Line Source: CG Technology
Posted on: October 24, 2014 @ 10:42:29 PM EDT

4.5-STAR Seattle over CAROLINA - Seattle might not be quite to the level that they were a season ago, but there is nothing inherently wrong with them. Carolina on the other hand has major problems. To be successful, the Panthers needs games where Cam Newton can carry them on his back but Seattle is not a team he can do that against.
Seattle comes in having lost back-to-back games as sizable favorites. The Seahawks are 7-0 ATS (14.29 ppg) since Nov 06, 2006 as a favorite when they lost and failed to cover their last two games (team=Seahawks and F and streak<=-2 and ats streak<=-2 and date>=20061106).
Vegas is undeterred even with those back-to-back losses and you should have confident too. Teams that are 3.5-8 point favorites after two straight losses as favorites are 42-25-2 ATS (p:FL and pp:FL and -8<=line<=-3.5).
Seattle is on the road for the second straight game after losing in St. Louis last week. Teams that are playing their second straight road game are 471-359-20 ATS since 2003 (A and p:A and season>=2003).
It was a narrow 28-26 loss to the Rams. The Seahawks are 10-0 ATS (12.2 ppg) since Dec 13, 1998 as a favorite when they lost 1-3 points last week (team=Seahawks and F and -3<=p:margin<0 and week>3 and date>=19981213).
Seattle did not have much trouble moving the ball as they played catch up. They picked up 463 yards offense in the loss. The Seahawks are 22-0 ATS (13.2 ppg) since November 19, 1995 if the are not 11+ point dogs the week after a game where they were not 4+ points dogs in which they had at least 97 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average (team=Seahawks and line<11 and p:line<4 and NB and p:TY-97>=tA(p:TY) and po:points>7 and date>=19951119).
They controlled the time of possession battle as well with 32:24 time of possession. The Seahawks are 8-0 ATS (14.06 ppg) since Nov 10, 2002 the week after a loss in which they had at least three more minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average (team=Seahawks and p:L and Average(p:time of possession@team and season and p:season=season) + 180<=p:time of possession and date>=20021110).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Seattle 31, CAROLINA 17






Matchup: Baltimore at Cincinnati
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Baltimore (-1.5 -110)
Line Source: William Hill
Posted on: October 24, 2014 @ 10:42:29 PM EDT

4-STAR Baltimore over CINCINNATI - The way these teams have been playing the last couple weeks you might forget that it is Baltimore who really needs this game having already lost to Cincinnati this season. The Bengals defense just isn't there right now and without a healthy AJ Green they just don't matchup up well in any aspect of the game.
Look for the Baltimore to rely heavily on the ground game here. Cincinnati is giving up 4.83 yards per carry this season, ranking 29th in the league. The Ravens are 10-0-1 ATS (13.4 ppg) since September 25, 2011 when facing a team that has allowed more than 4.5 yards per carry season-to-date (team=Ravens and 4.5=20110925).
Baltimore has been picking up plenty of yards with a steady run game as is. Just 52.5% of their first downs come through the air, second fewest in the league. The Bengals are 0-14 ATS (-9.5 ppg) since Dec 26, 2004 at home if not a double digit dog, when facing a team that gets less than 54.5% of their first downs via the pass (team=Bengals and H and line>-10 and Sum(o:first downs*0.545@ o:team and o:season)>Sum(o:passing first downs@ o:team and o:season) and date>=20041226).
Against Atlanta last week they ran for 123 yards with Justin Forsett leading the way with 95 yards. The Ravens are 7-0 ATS (13.6 ppg) since January 6, 2013 after a game where they had a rusher pick up more than 75 yards (team=Ravens and 75=20130106).
Cincinnati meanwhile lost to Indianapolis last week, 27-0. They were three point underdogs in that game. The Bengals are 0-9 ATS (-7.7 ppg) since Nov 22, 1998 as a favorite when they suffered a 10+ point ATS loss last week after a non-divisional opponent (team=Bengals and F and p:ats margin<=-10 and p:NDIV and date>=19981122).
While their defense has been bad for three straight weeks, their offense did a complete 180 last week. The game before they put up 37 points in a tie against Cincinnati. Teams that scored no more than seven points last game after scoring more than 35 points two games ago are 24-37-1 ATS (p:points<=7 and pp:points>35).
When these teams met in week one, things looked far different as when Cincinnati beat Baltimore, 23-16. Cincinnati has not been particularly good against divisional foes in general and really struggle when going for a season sweep. The Bengals are 0-6 ATS (-11.08 ppg) since Dec 31, 2006 if not 3+ point dogs when facing a team they beat in their first match-up (team=Bengals and line<3 and P:W and P:season=season and date>=20061231).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Baltimore by 11






Member Plays



Matchup: Detroit at Atlanta
Time: 9:30 AM EDT (Sun)
Play: Over (46.5 -110)
Line Source: 5Dimes
Posted on: October 24, 2014 @ 10:42:29 PM EDT

4-STAR Atlanta and Detroit Over - This 9:30 a.m EST start is new among NFL games and with players playing a bit sluggishly, we expect unusual things to happen - and happen in the way of points. With Detroit featuring such a great run defense, we suspect the Falcons will abandon the run early and try to keep up as their shoddy defense keeps allowing points.
Atlanta's offense laid a dude in a 29-7 loss to the Ravens. The Falcons are 13-0 OU (12.8 ppg) since November 11, 1990 as a dog with a total of at least 35 after scoring fewer than 10 points on the road (team=Falcons and D and total>=35 and p:points<10 and p:A and date>=19901111).
They also had to give up on the run quickly in that game. They had just 16 carries with Stephen Jackson as their top ball carrier with just eight. Since 2007, teams that did not have a ball carrier with double digit carries last game are 182-140-1 OU (max:p:rushes<10 and season>=2007).
That loss was the fourth straight double digit loss the Falcons have suffered. The Lions are 6-0 OU (17.92 ppg) since Sep 22, 1991 as a road favorite when their opponent is off two 7+ losses (team=Lions and AF and op:margin<=-7 and opp:margin<=-7 and opp:week + 2==week and date>=19910922).
Detroit meanwhile has won four of their last five games, including their past two away from home. The Lions are 10-0 OU (8.10 ppg) since Nov 21, 1993 on the road when they won their last two road games (team=Lions and A and Sum(W@team and season and site=away,N=2)=2 and date>=19931121).
One issue their offense has faced is protecting Matthew Stafford. Against a Falcons pass rush that is almost non-existent, that shouldn't be a major issue. The Lions are 9-0 OU (9.44 ppg) since Oct 28, 2001 as a favorite when they suffered at least three sacks in each of the last two weeks (team=Lions and F and 3<=po:sacks and 3<=ppo:sacks and date>=20011028).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: 55 points






Matchup: Philadelphia at Arizona
Time: 4:05 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Philadelphia (+2.5 -110)
Line Source: Stations
Posted on: October 24, 2014 @ 10:42:29 PM EDT

4-STAR Philadelphia over ARIZONA - Philadelphia and Arizona are at the top of the NFC along with Dallas record wise, but the Cardinals haven't been tested for the past two weeks after their big loss at Denver, picking up close wins against bad teams. When Carson Palmer needs to win a game with his arm, as will be the case here, we're not sure he's up for the task. On the other side, you are getting maybe the best strategist in football with an extra week to prepare. Coming off of their bye last season, they beat the Cardinals and we see that occurring two years in a row.
Philadelphia went into the bye with a ton of momentum after playing one of the best games of any team all season. They defeated the rival Giants, 27-0, on Sunday night football. Teams coming off a primetime win of at least 22 points are 101-77-3 ATS ((p:snf=1 or p:day!=Sunday) and p:margin>=22).
New York was expected to score 23.75 points in that game yet the Eagles defense held them scoreless. Teams that allowed at least 18.75 points less than expected last game are 68-46-3 ATS (p:dpa<=-18.75).
Arizona comes into this game after a pair of wins and covers over Washington and Oakland. The Cardinals are 0-10 ATS (-6.85 ppg) since Oct 04, 1998 as a favorite when they won and covered their last two games (team=Cardinals and F and streak>=2 and ats streak>=2 and date>=19981004).
In both games, Carson Palmer was able to get away with playing conservatively. Against Oakland, he was particularly effective in that capacity, going 22-of-31 for 253 yards. With Drew Stanton at QB, their passing attack had not been nearly as high percentage. The Cardinals are 0-8-1 ATS (-7.7 ppg) since Oct 04, 1998 as a home favorite after a win in which their completion percentage was at least ten points higher than their season-to-date average (team=Cardinals and HF and p:W and Average((100.*p:completions)@team and season and p:season=season) / Average(p:passes@team and season and p:season=season) + 10<=100. * p:completions / p:passes and date>=19981004).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Philadelphia by 4






Guaranteed Plays



Matchup: Green Bay at New Orleans
Time: 8:30 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: New Orleans (-1 -110)
Line Source: Sportsbook.ag
Posted on: October 24, 2014 @ 10:42:29 PM EDT

4.5-STAR NEW ORLEANS over Green Bay - At 2-4, people are writing off the Saints. But just last week, they dominated one of the best teams in the NFC on the road for 57 minutes. A team that the Packers couldn't compete with just a few weeks back. They have a huge advantage in primetime home games in the dome and we think they get this must win game.
While New Orleans always has a home field advantage among the best in football, in primetime the advantage is even bigger. The Saints are 10-0-1 ATS (15.8 ppg) since January 2010 at home in Sunday night or non-Sunday games (team=Saints and (snf=1 or day!=Sunday) and H and date>=20100101).
Even at 2-4 this season the Saints are 2-0 at home. The Saints are 12-0-1 ATS (14.54 ppg) since Oct 23, 2011 as a home favorite when they won their last two home games (team=Saints and HF and Sum(0=20111023).
Last week they outplayed Detroit yet came up short down the stretch in a 24-23 loss. The Saints are 13-0 ATS (14.3 ppg) as a favorite after a loss as a dog (team=Saints and p:LD and F and date>=20071101). Also, the Saints are 7-0-1 ATS (9.38 ppg) since Dec 28, 2003 when they lost 1-3 points last week after a non-divisional opponent (team=Saints and -3<=p:margin<0 and NDIV and date>=20031228).
Even in the loss they outgained the Lions by 64 yards. The Saints are 11-0 ATS (19.2 ppg) since Sep 28, 2008 as a favorite when they are not winless on the year, after a loss in which they outgained their opponent (team=Saints and F and p:L and p:TY>po:TY and wins>0 and date>=20080928)
That was the case despite fewer than 28 minutes of possession in the game. The Saints are 13-0 ATS (13.9 ppg) since November 2004 the week after a loss on the road in which they had at least two fewer minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average (team=Saints and p:AL and p:TOP - tA(p:TOP) <= -120 and n:week-1=week and date>=20041101).
Green Bay meanwhile won 38-17 over Carolina last game. They were up 21-0 after one quarter of the blowout win. Teams that were up at least 20 points after one quarter last game are 17-34-1 ATS (p:M1>=20).
At halftime, it was 28-3 Packers. The Packers are 0-12-1 ATS when the line is within 3 of pick when they were up at the half and won by more than a TD last week (team=Packers and -3<=line<=3 and p:margin>7 and p:M2>0 and NB and season>=2006).
However they are going inside on the turf here, where they tend not to play quite as strong. The Packers are 0-6 ATS (-8.83 ppg) since Sep 24, 2012 within 3 of pick on artificial turf (team=Packers and (-3<=t:line<=3) and surface=artificial and date>=20120924).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: NEW ORLEANS 34, Green Bay 24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner:

2000* NFL Over 55 Saints/Packers

500* NFL Jets -3

100* NFL Dolphins -6

100* MLB Over 6.5 Giants/Royals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al DeMarco

15 Dimes Jets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gabriel DuPont

100 Dimes Browns -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle Baseball

SUNDAY

Play Kansas City +150 over San Francisco (Top Play)
8:00 PM EST

James Shields has won 16 of the last 20 games when playing on a Sunday and he has won 33 of the last 47 games when the total posted is 7 runs or less. James Shields has won 21 of the last 32 games when pitching as an underdog of +150 or higher and he has won 39 of the last 54 road games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle

SUNDAY

NBA BASKETBALL

NBA PLAYS RESUME TUESDAY FOR REGULAR SEASON



================================================== =====


NHL HOCKEY

Play Colorado +100 over Winnipeg (NHL TOP PLAY)
Play Washington +130 over Vancouver (NHL TOP PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle Football



SUNDAY

Play Miami -6 over Jacksonville (NFL)
1:00 PM EST

Jacksonville has lost 15 of the last 20 games against the spread when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and they have lost 13 of the last 17 home games against the spread. Jacksonville has lost 12 of the last 15 games against the spread when playing in the 1st half of the season and they are allowing an average of 27 points a game on defense this season.


Play Indianapolis -3 over Pittsburgh (NFL)
4:30 PM EST

Indianapolis has covered the spread in 15 of the last 20 games when playing as a favorite and they have covered the spread in 6 consecutive games vs. AFC Conference Opponents. Indianapolis has covered the spread in 14 of the last 19 games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game and they are averaging 33 points on offense in road games this season.



Play Philadelphia +2.5 over Arizona (NFL)
Play Green Bay +1.5 over New Orleans (NFL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant

2 Units Jets -150

2 Units Seahawks -5

2 Units Ravens -127

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
Well that wasn't a good time for the Royals bullpen to fall apart last night. Vargas couldn't pitch deep enough to get to their top relief pitchers and the Giants went off.
READ THIS FIRST: Kyle has a 5 unit play going on the Giants. The pick below is for record keeping for my system picks. I would be going with Kyle's 5 UNIT play tonight, as the systems picks are just 1-3 in the World Series.
2 UNIT = Kansas City Royals @ San Francisco Giants - ROYALS TO WIN (+147)
Listed Pitchers: Shields vs Bumgarner
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.94 units)
Kyle's Pick(s)
5 UNIT = Kansas City Royals @ San Francisco Giants - GIANTS TO WIN (-152)
Listed Pitchers: Shields vs. Bumgarner
(Note: I'm risking 5.00 units to win 3.29 units)
If the Giants win this series, we're going to look back at the previous game and see it as a turning point. The Royals had a chance to put the Giants in a big hole and go up 3-1 in this series. Instead, they blew a 4-1 lead and now San Fran has all the momentum. Momentum is on the Giants side, and a pitcher named Madison Bumgarner is in their corner as well. Although the series is tied, that was a game KC had to win. It certainly is very possible that they lose this one against Bumgarner, and then they'll need to win 2 straight. Getting to Bumgarner isn't going to be easy, it seems like nothing is going to get to him at this point. He has been locked in throughout the postseason. Note his 1.40 ERA and 0.72 WHIP to go along with a 4-1 record. Batters are hitting only .162 against him as well. 6 is the most hits he's given up in a game in the playoffs. James Shields has been wilting under the pressure, though. He carries a 8.05 ERA this postseason into tonight. Additionally, Shields has a WHIP of 2.00. He said he tweaked his pitching mechanics and feels confident about game 5. A pitcher addressing mechanics days before game 5 of the World Series does not instill any confidence in me. The Royals and their chance yesterday to take firm control of this series, they blew it. Now they're going to have their hands full against Bumgarner. I'll be on the Giants for 5 UNITS.
Cheers,
Kevin

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones
15* Sea, Oak
20*Wash
25* No

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Treys Picks

NFL 2 Team Teaser
Kansas City Pick & Cleveland Pick




2 Team Teaser
Kansas City Pick & Minnesota +9.5
New Orleans ML -130
Indy/Pittsburgh OVER 48
New York Jets ML -145
NHL Vancouver -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
Kyle's picks added below (his write ups will be sent out by tomorrow)
4 UNIT = Green Bay Packers @ New Orleans Saints - SAINTS -1 (-115)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.48 units)
4 UNIT = Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers - OVER 49 POINTS (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.64 units)
2 UNIT = 2-Team 6-Point Teaser - VIKINGS +8.5 and EAGLES +8.5 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
2 UNIT = Oakland Raiders @ Cleveland Browns - BROWNS -7 (+106)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.12 units)
2 UNIT = Detroit Lions @ Atlanta Falcons - OVER 46.5 (-108) *9:30 AM EST START SUNDAY
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.85 units)
Kyle's Pick(s)
4 UNIT = St. Louis Rams @ Kansas City Chiefs- CHIEFS -7 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.64 units)
2 UNIT = Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans - UNDER 42 (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
2 UNIT = Green Bay Packers @ New Orleans Saints - SAINTS -2 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

SUNDAY FOOTBALL

5000* Play Houston -2.5 over Tennessee (TOP NFL PLAY)

Tennessee has lost 12 of the last 16 games against the spread coming off an UNDER the total in their last game and they have lost 10 of the last 12 games against the spread vs. division opponents. Tennessee has lost 16 of the last 22 games against the spread when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points and they are allowing an average of 24 points a game on defense this season.


5000* Play Green Bay +1.5 over New Orleans (TOP NFL PLAY)

Green Bay has won and covered the spread in 3 consecutive games vs. NFC South Division Opponents and they have won 10 of the last 11 games when playing in the month of October. Green Bay has won and covered the spread in 4 consecutive overall games and they are averaging 28 points a game on offense this season.

================================================


50* Play Miami -6 over Jacksonville (TOP NFL PLAY)
50* Play Indianapolis -3 over Pittsburgh (TOP NFL PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

SUNDAY

10* Play Miami -5.5 over Jacksonville (Top NFL Play)

Jacksonville is 5-15 ATS when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Jacksonville is 4-13 ATS in home games the last three seasons


10* Play Houston -1 over Tennessee (Top NFL Play)

Tennessee is 4-12 ATS coming off an UNDER the total in their last game
Tennessee is 2-10 ATS vs. division opponents the last three seasons


10* Play Indianapolis -3 over Pittsburgh (Top NFL Play)

Indianapolis is 15-5 ATS when playing as a favorite
Indianapolis is 6-0 ATS vs. AFC Conference Opponents


10* Play Green Bay +1.5 over New Orleans (Top NFL Play)

Green Bay is 4-0 SU & ATS in their last four games
Green Bay is 10-1 SU when playing in the month of October

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

SUNDAY

TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS



Play Philadelphia +2 over Arizona----RISK 15% OF YOUR BANKROLL

4:00 PM EST

Arizona has lost 7 of the last 11 games against the spread when playing in the month of October and they have lost 12 of the last 19 games against the spread coming off an UNDER the total in their last game. Arizona has lost 3 of the last 4 games against the spread when playing as a home favorite of three points or less and they are allowing an average of 24 points on defense in their last three games.




Play Indianapolis -3 over Pittsburgh----RISK 15% OF YOUR BANKROLL

4:30 PM EST

Indianapolis has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 games and they have covered the spread in 24 of the last 34 games when playing as a road favorite of three points or less. Indianapolis has covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games when playing in the month of October and they have covered the spread in 20 of the last 27 games when playing after the 1st month of the season.

==================================================

BONUS NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS



Play Miami -6 over Jacksonville----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Green Bay +2.5 over New Orleans----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wolkosky Milan


20* Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2
20* New England Patriots -5½
20* Seahawks / Panthers Under 45
20* Packers / Saints Under 56

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SportsLab


NFL:
10 units on Buffalo +3
7 units on Washington +10 (BUY .5 IF NEEDED)
5 units on Pittsburgh +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NY Sports Genius
5 units
(NFL) Jets -3 (-105)
(NFL) Texans/Titans over 42 points (-110)


4 units
(NFL) Bears +6 (-110)
(NFL) Packers/Saints over 55.5 points (-110)


3 units
(England Soccer) Chelsea moneyline (+152)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Locksmith

NFL:
Atlanta +3.5 -110 3* (9:30 Eastern London)
Baltimore -2 -110 1* (1:00 Eastern)
Tennessee +3.5 -110 2* (1:00 Eastern)
Arizona -1.5 -110 3* (4:05 Eastern)
Chairman's Plays:
Pittsburgh +3.5 -110 5* (4:25 Eastern)
New Orleans -2.5 -110 5* (8:30 Eastern)

NHL:
Winnipeg +100 2*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tiger:


* NFL (255) CHI BEARS +6-105


* NFL (262) NY JETS -3+102


* NFL TEASER 6 PTS: (263) MIA DOLPHINS PK / (269) PHI EAGLES +8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U

2014 National Football Conference Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Seattle/Carolina over 44 1/2

Early NFL Best Bets
Minnesota/Tampa Bay over 43
St Louis/Kansas City under 44
Buffalo/New York over 40 1/2
Houston/Tennessee over 42

2014 NFC Sunday Night Football Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Green Bay/New Orleans under 55 1/2

Late NFL Best Bets
Philadelphia/Arizona under 48
Indianapolis/Pittsburgh under 49
Oakland/Cleveland under 43 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

3 Units KC Chiefs -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Rivers

Fourth Ever Blank Check
Waive The Rating
Pro Football Game of my Career

Houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Craig Davis

1st Ever 150 DIME
NFL Play of My Career

Saints

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Godfather Locks

Cardinals
Bears
Saints

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Topshelfpicks

Raiderman - Royals

Last night, the Giants bounced back and tied the series with an 11-4 win over the Royals. The most impressive part of this win was the way the Giants came back from a 4-1 deficit to get it done. Today, Madison Bumgarner goes for the Giants and he has easily been the most dominant pitcher this post season. The Royals counter with their ace, James Shields, who has been anything but "Big Game James" this post season. With momentum having swung to SF, and with a pitching mismatch, this is an easy call to make on San Francisco...

NOT SO FAST MY FRIEND! (As Lee Corso likes to say)

Let's look a little deeper here. Yes, Bumgarner has had a very good season (18-10, 2.98 ERA) and if the Giants win the Series, he is easily the MVP (he might still be the MVP even if the Giants lose). He has been dominating this post season. But I like look at the home/road split here. Bumgarner at home this season was 7-6 with a 4.03 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Overall, average at best at home. During the post season, he is 0-1, with a 3.00 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP. Tonight he goes against James Shields who was lit up in Game 1. Do I think Shields bounces back? Yes, I do. By his standards, Game 1 was a complete embarrassment and I do expect a bounce back. The last two times that Shields gave up 5 runs or more in a start (which goes back to the first part of July), he bounced back to pitch a combined 14 innings, surrendering just 8 hits and 1 run in those 14 innings. His home road split this season is very favorable for tonight - he is 10-2 on the road this season with a 2.97 ERA and 1.15 WHIP.

I do expect a low scoring game and so do the sportsbooks. The total is at 6. I do think that 3 runs will win this game, but I will pass on this total. I see KC returning to form tonight, getting a solid 6 innings (at least) from Shields, then letting the bullpen take over. KC scratches out a tough win tonight, then goes back to KC to finish out this series.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FERRINGO

SUNDAY NFL SELECTIONS

2-Unit Play. Take #251 Detroit (-3.5) over Atlanta (9:30 a.m., Sunday, Oct. 26)
I feel like I am just hammering the dead horse here but Atlanta is not an NFL team. They have two really good players - Matt Ryan and Julio Jones (who is hurt) - and the rest of the roster is half-full of guys that probably shouldn't be on an NFL roster. Just look at their offensive line and linebackers. Honestly, those are practice squad guys. But its not like those two positions groups matter or anything. The Lions are banged up as well. But their defensive line should be able to tear through Atlanta's offensive line and really control this game. Also, Detroit's offensive coordinator used to be in New Orleans so he is used to scheming against this Atlanta defense. The Lions head to London with a lot of momentum. The Falcons come over here after four straight blowout losses. They're just going in different directions.

2-Unit Play. Take #260 Carolina (+5.5) over Seattle (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 26)
I think that this is a great situation for the Panthers. Seattle is a train wreck right now. They have all kinds of issues and the fact of the matter is that they shouldn't be laying this kind of wood against anyone on the road right now. Hell, they couldn't beat St. Louis as this big of a favorite last week and the Rams were coming off a MNF loss. The Panthers have revenge for tough losses in each of the past two years. They took the Seahawks to the limit here last season and I see this game decided by a field goal either way. On top of everything else Seattle has to travel across the country for the dreaded 10 a.m. PST start. The Panthers are 10-4 ATS in conference games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. They are 11-5 ATS after failing to cover a spread and I think the Panthers hang around in this one.

3-Unit Play. Take #262 N.Y. Jets (-3) over Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 26)
There are a lot of signs pointing toward the Jets this week. The first of which is the fact that a 1-6 team is favored over a 4-3 team. But it doesn't take much to see that these teams' records don't reflect the talent distribution. The Bills shouldn't have beaten the Lions and Vikings, two wins they scored in the final seconds. They should be 2-5. At best. The Jets really should've beaten the Patriots last Thursday and have had other opportunities (the Bears and Packers come to mind) for victories. So throw out the records. The Jets have a little juice after the Percy Harvin deal. And while I don't think he'll have a shred of impact on this game I think that the trade at least stoked a little flame in the locker room that this organization hasn't completely rolled over. The Jets have dominated this series, winning 7 of 10, and they have played one of the toughest schedules in football. They are due to break out on someone and I think it will be the fraud Bills.

2-Unit Play. Take #267 Baltimore (Pk) over Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 26)
This is not the same Bengals team that won the division last year. Their offense is a mess. They are down three of their top four receivers from last year, including All-Pro A.J. Green. That changes the whole tenor of the offense. The defense isn't in much better shape. All three starting linebackers, Leon Hall, and a key defensive tackle are out. Michael Johnson's gone. Both offensive and defensive coordinator are gone. This just isn't the same team. And they are in a bit of a free fall right now. The Bengals are No. 31 in total defense and they got lit up each of the past two weeks. The Ravens are on the other side. They have been lighting people up, including coming through for a 7-Unit winner in a blowout win over Atlanta last week. They really played a B-game in that one and still won going away against a terrible, beat-up Falcons club. Cincinnati isn't terrible. But they are beat up. And the Ravens have revenge for a Week 1 home loss. I think Baltimore wins a close one here and keeps rolling.

2-Unit Play. Take #269 Philadelphia (+2.5) over Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 26)
I love everything that the Cardinals are doing. But I just feel like Philadelphia is going to be fresh and fast coming out of their bye week. They beat the Cardinals at home last year and I think they'll get them again here. Philly's lone loss this year came at San Francisco. And even in that game the Eagles played poorly but had a chance to win on their last drive. Arizona is off a relatively easy win over Oakland last week and they have a marquee trip to Dallas next week. I don't think they are going to be looking past the Eagles. But let's just say that Philadelphia may be more focused on this game than the Cardinals are. The fact that the Cardinals aren't even installed as a token three-point home favorite tells me who the books think is the stronger team.

2-Unit Play. Take #271 Indianapolis (-3) over Pittsburgh (4:20 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 26)
The Colts have just been absolutely wrecking people over the last month. They have won five straight and are outgaining opponents by over 200 yards per game. They smashed some decent teams like Cincinnati, Baltimore and Houston (that final wasn't indicative of the blowout that game was). And right now the Colts look like the second-best team in the AFC behind Denver. Also, this spread is right in Indy's wheelhouse. They are 12-4 ATS under Andrew Luck when the spread is betwene +2.5 and -3.0. So they are fantastic in that small dog/small favorite role. The Steelers did not impress me on Monday night. Were it not for one crucial play - a bumbled kickoff return by the Texans, which put that whole scoring explosion in motion - then the Steelers were going to get run at home last week. Antonio Brown and Leveon Bell are the truth. But beyond that there just isn't much on the Steelers that impresses me at all. The Colts will find a wya to get this win. It's just what they do.

2-Unit Play. Take #276 New Orleans (-1) over Green Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 26)

1-Unit Play. Take #274 Cleveland (-7) over Oakland (4:20 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 26)


This Week's Totals
Note: I generally don't do writeups on totals because these are based on proprietary systems.

5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 40.5 Buffalo at N.Y. Jets (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 26)
I generally don't do writeups for my totals plays because they are based on proprietary systems. But the fact of the matter is that this play is very counterintuitive and I think that's what makes it strong. The Bills have gone 1-6 against the total this year and they are due for a high scoring output on one side of the ball or the other. Both teams have excessively high offensive yards per point and both offenses are capable of much more. Both teams have their defensive strength in the front seven and I think that will open things up down the field for some big plays. Also, history is on our side here. The 'over' is 4-1 over in the last five meetings and 6-2 in the last eight. Last year the two games had 47 points (27-20) and 51 points (37-14) against two very similar totals. The Bills offense isn't going to be the same on the road and the Jets offense has been slightly better at home. This game and the Miami-Jacksonville game are the only two NFL games this week where the public has staked a position on the 'under'. I see both games sailing 'over' and after an overall low-scoring week across the league last week I think we are going to see some bounce back scoring. That includes this game.

4-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 50.0 Chicago at New England (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 26)

3-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 42.5 Miami at Jacksonville (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 26)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 43.5 St. Louis at Kansas City (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 26)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 43.5 Oakland at Cleveland (4:20 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 26)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 46.0 Baltimore at Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 26)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 42.0 Minnesota at Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 26)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 41.5 Houston at Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 26)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 56.0 Green Bay at New Orleans (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 26)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

kelso
baltimore
houston
zona
gb no over

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Northcoast

4.5* OVER 45 Seattle/Carolina 1 pm
3.5* NY Jets -3 Buffalo 1 pm
3* Baltimore -2 Cincinnati 1 pm
3* OVER 51 Chicago/New England 1 pm
Top Opinions:
Cleveland -6.5 Oakland - NC Sports Comp Pro Play
Indianapolis -3.5 Pittsburgh 1pm
New Orleans -2 Green Bay - NBC Marquee
Philadelphia +2 Arizona 4:05 - 4 o’clock Pro Play of Day
Reg Opinions:
New England -5.5 Chicago 1pm Chalk of Day
St Louis +7 Kansas City 1pm Dog of Day

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Kelso 100 houston 50 ne 20 gb gb over 10 parlay gb gb over

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Rockdeman Sports

Jets
Colts
Ravens

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Pick Addict
4:25 PM EST NFL
OAKLAND RAIDERS VS. CLEVELAND BROWNS
PICK: CLEVELAND BROWNS -6.5 (-115)
RISK: 5 UNITS

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PhillyGodFather
bears +6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andy Iskoe

Chiefs -7

Dolphins / Jaguars Under 42.5

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Money Maverick
NFL:

Bengals +.5 1H (10 units)
Bengals +3 (10 units)
Seattle -3 1H (10 units)
Seattle -5.5 (10 units)
Kansas City -4 1H (10 units)
Kansas City -7 (10 units)
Dolphins -3 1H (-125) (10 units)
Dolphins -6 (-125) (10 units)

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Chase Diamond

15* Chicago Bears +7

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VegasNFLPicks

CLEVELAND BROWNS -6.5 -110 (Pinnacle (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fcappersmall2.com%2Flines.ph p))
CLEVELAND BROWNS -4 1st half +102 (Pinnacle (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fcappersmall2.com%2Flines.ph p))
CLEVELAND BROWNS -8 +138 (5dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229))

The Oakland Raiders will stay winless,and we dont know how there is anybody even think about that this could change today,this will be a SUPER BLOW OUT by 3 or more touchdowns,we have seen a lot of them already this season,this will be another one, no big write up today ,just trust us guys with this one, our last two Sunday blow outs Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys were easy winner this will be the 3rd consecutive, dont want to sound cocky - but hey we talk Raiders here

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The Shadow Sports Syndicate Early Games

NY Jets -2 1/2
Houston -3

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DAVE AQUINO

PROBABLES: (12-10)


Today's probables - NFL: St. Louis +7, Minnesota +2.5, Oakland +7, NHL: {parlay - Chicago (ML) and Anaheim (ML) (+152)}, MLB: San Francisco (ML-15


POD: (5-3) +2.51 units

Today's POD - Minnesota +2.5

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Pick city:

3- ariz,
2- kc, 2- no

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Preferred picks:

3- no, pitt

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Inside info:

3- minn,
2- sea

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Guaranteed
Cleveland

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Magliosa
Jets
NO

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inside steam
Detroit
Chicago

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PhillyGodFather
bears +6
NFL u43 Miami vs Jacksonville:
Football - 261 Buffalo Bills/New York Jets under 41 -105 for Game

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the system
NO

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Gordon24

$500 Ravens -2.5

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underdog sportsline
Philly

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VIP Lock Club
Balt

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Wunderdog
Bills

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RTG Sports

2* Baltimore Ravens -3

2* Eagles @ Cardinals Over 48.5

1* Miami Dolphins -6

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INTER-CONFERENCE OVERS ( 16-16 ) :

Chicago/New England OVER
St Louis/Kansas City OVER

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James Jones
NFL-Pittsburgh Steelers(+4)-105...(3*)
NFL-New Orleans Saints(-2.5)-108...(2*)
NFL-Chicago Bears(+6)-115...(1*)

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Carolina sports:

4- det, hou under, indy,
3- chi, tn, ariz, gb

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Big money:

Kc

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Asa 7 star over 40 jets/bills

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Asa

7 star over 40 jets/bills

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Real Swoop
Early picks
Vikings +2.5 (2*)
Bears +6 (2*)
Chiefs -7 (2*)
Jets -3 (3*)
Texans -3 (2*)

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Vegas Runner/NFAC
#260) CAROLINA +6 (nfac $300)
#261) BUFFALO +3 (nfac $300)
#261) UNDER 41 BUF/NYJ (nfac $300)
#264) UNDER 42.5 MIA/JAX (nfac $300)
#268) CINCINNATI +3 (nfac $300)
#276) NEW ORLEANS ML (-130) (nfac $500)

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Sheep's Moves


276 Under 55 1/2 Gb-No $1000 -->
268 Under 45 Bal/Cin $1000 -->
261 Buffalo +3 $1000 Open Order*
255 Chicago +6 $1000
253 Over 42 Min/Tb $1000 -->
253 Minnesota +3 (-120) $1000 -->
263 Under 43 Mia-Jax $1000

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BIG AL's NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH 7-1 THIS YEAR
GB NO under

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Marc Lyle Sports
5-0 Yesterday
14-1 NHL Run

Baltimore ML

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EXECUTIVE

500 tampa bay
300 cincy
300 oakland
150 saints
100 chicago
100 indianapolis

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silver star sports
10 Bears Under
7 Jets

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Gridiron Sports Advantage Sun Oct 26th, 2014 4:05pm EDT

7 Unit Side Play · [270] Arizona Cardinals

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Sports Guru
40 Cincy
30 Pitts Over

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ness
over seattle/carolina

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Bankers Sportswire
500 Tampa Bay

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Diamond Dog Sports
#261: Bills: +3.0 (-115) (0.5*)


#268: Bengals: +2.0 (-105) (2.5*)


#275: Packers: +2.5 (-105) - Buy Half Point to +3.0 (-115)

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Garden State Sports
5 Colts

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Purelock
Tampa Bay

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Wunderdog Sports

Complimentary NHL Pick for October 26th, 2014

Game: Colorado Avalanche @ Winnipeg Jets
Time: Sunday 10/26 3:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Winnipeg +105 (moneyline) at SportsBetting

Winnipeg has been playing better since that awful start, 1-1 the last two games, beating Carolina and a 4-2 loss to Tampa Bay. Their defense is good, 16th in goals allowed and fourth in killing penalties. Bryan Little and Blake Wheeler scored versus the Lightning, and both have fared well against the Avalanche. The former has recorded five goals and seven assists in his last 10 meetings, while the latter scored the overtime goals to lift Winnipeg to a 2-1 triumph on Dec. 29th and a 5-4 win on March 19. The Jets are 4-1 against a team with a winning percentage below .400, and into town comes a struggling Colorado team, 1-3-1 away from home. Colorado is on a 2-8 run overall, 1-9 on the road. The offense is bad (22nd in goals) and the defense has been worse (23rd in goals allowed). Play Winnipeg!

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Lenny stevens:

20- kc, pitt,
10- oak, jville

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psychic - (2-0 yesterday +9 units) 4* major Tampa 5* wiseguy Philly

wizard (2-1 yesterday+9 units) 8* Ravens 10* GOY Saints

JT -(0-1 yesterday) SF Giants, Dolphins

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Underdog:

Philly

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Rooster


255 Bears+6
257 rams over 44
259 Seattle-6

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Wildcat:

10- kc,
7- gb,
5- ariz

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Mike Anthony
UNDERDOG LOCK on Tenn

Also loves ARZ, TB and PITT

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Texas sportswire:

4- no,
3- pitt

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Diamond Star Sports
GEM KC OVer

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Winners Path
Colts
Detroit
Carolina
Philly

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Harry bondi :

5- no,
3- jets, ariz

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tommy Thunder
10 Tampa Bay
7 Colts

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The Coach
Triple
Oakland Under

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Gameday:

2- chicago, carolina, philly

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Tony Corleone

Houston

Miami

Cincinnati

Oakland

New Orleans

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Sportsboss


sea
chi
nyj
hou
tb
cin
jac

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red suit
tampa -1
seahawks/panthers under 45
Red Supersuit is pitt/indy over 48

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Chris James Sports

26-12 NFL Run

Jets -3
Texans -3
Eagles +1.5
Saints -1

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Big money kc

carolina sports 4- det, hou under, indy, 3- chi, tn, ariz, gb

doc's enterprises 5- no, 4- carolina

dr. Bob 2- jets, tb, kc

gameday 2- chicago, carolina, philly

harry bondi 5- no, 3- jets, ariz

inside info 3- minn, 2- sea

jack jones 25- goy: No, 15 sea, okland

joe d 25- tn, 20- kc, philly, 15- clev, no

lenny stevens 20- kc, pitt, 10- oak, jville

neri 3- jets, balt, indy

northcoast 4 1/2- sea over, 3 1/2- jets, 3- balt, ne over

pick city 3- ariz, 2- kc, 2- no

pointwise 3- indy, sea, jets, no, philly

preferred picks 3- no, pitt

pure lock tb

texas sportswire 4- no, 3- pitt

underdog 3 philly

wildcat 10- kc, 7- gb, 5- ariz

maddux 20- chicago, 10- kc, no, cinn under, pitt over

asa 7- jets over

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Sports Unlimited/Marco D'Angelo

7 New Orleans
5 Tampa Bay

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Youngstown Connection

Play #1 Baltimore -1 1PM Eastern Line from 5 Dimes (http://affiliates.5dimes.com/tracking/Affiliate.asp?AffID=AF000189&mediaTypeID=220&AffUrlID=229) released 120AM Eastern 10/26/14

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Sports bank
500 lock
jets

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Millionaires club
lock tampa bay

strong cincinnati

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World Wide Sports


NFL

Seattle

Oakland



MLB

SanFran -1.5



NHL

San Jose +1.5

Vancouver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Higgs

Kansas City

N. Y Jets

Chicago

Cincinnati

Oakland

Indianapolis

San Francisco

New Orleans

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Erin Rynning GOM


Pitt over

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Ben Burns

NHL

10* Canucks ML

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Shaved Ice
WPG ML +105 2*
CLB/LA U5 -110 2*
SJ/ANA O5.5 +105 5*
SJ/ANA O1.5 1ST PD -110 1*
ANA -0.5 60MIN +100 3*
VAN ML -140 5*
WSH/VAN U5.5 -115 2*

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strike point sports

NHL

4-unit Anaheim -160

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Joe Gavazzi (Winning Sports Advice)

Indianapolis Colts (-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers 4:25 ET
Before you get enthralled with an MNF buy sign from the Pittsburgh Steelers’ 24 point outburst in the closing minutes of the 1st half that resulted in a hang-on-for your life (30-23) win against Houston, note that the Steelers were outrushed in that contest 132-76. It was also the first time the Texans had defeated any of their 1st seven opponents in the stats column. At 4-3 SU, this is hardly vintage Pittsburgh with a defense that allows 23 PPG, 4.4 YPR and 345 YPG. The fact they have alternated wins and losses the entire season speaks loudly against them in this game. Certainly no surprise that it is easy to love the Indy Colts! Last week, as my Top LTS play, the Colts ruled the Bengals (27-0), outrushing then 34/171 to 12/32 for an overall yardage edge of 506-135. Now, the Colts average 31 PPG on 451 YPG, best in the league, while averaging 32 carries per game for 122 YPG, while allowing an average of just 21 carries per game for 97 RYPG and a total of only 311 YPG, again best in the league. That has translated to a recent 5-0 SU ATS run for the Ponies, following opening game losses to Denver and Philly. In those 5 contests, they have outscored the opposition 165-75 and covered by 67 points. Lest you think they are only a dome team, note their recent outdoor record of 9-3 ATS. Must side with the best offense and best defense in the league on a big momentum run against the inconsistent Steelers, who have little to recommend!

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skybluepicks

4:25pm ET - Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5
8:30pm ET - New Orleans Saints -2

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Money Maverick
Giants ML (10 units)