10-29--14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::handshake::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher
Tampa Bay Lightning -155 over Arizona Coyotes - pending
Washington Capitals + Detroit Red Wings OVER 5
(System Record: 8-1, lost last game)
Overall Record: 8-9

Rest of the Plays
Detroit Red Wings +114 over Washington Caps
Nashville Predators 113 over Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton Oilers + Nashville Preds UNDER 5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Basketball Crusher
Minnesota Timberwolves +8.5 over Memphis Grizzlies
(System Record: 0-0)
Overall Record: 0-0

Rest of the Plays
Chicago Bulls -4 over NY Knicks
Utah Jazz +3 over Houston Rockets
Washington Wizards +4 over Miami Heat

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Crusher
Luverdense + Avai UNDER 2.5 - Brazil pending
Cruzeiro + Santos UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 652-22, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 652-543-101

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA 2014-15 Props Outlook

By Tony Mejia

With the NBA regular season set to tip, time to get your futures in is running out. Publicist Jimmy Shapiro has dropped all of Bovada.lv's many available options this week, so I'll strap on my Halloween costume early -- there's a Santa cap involved -- and supply a bunch of treats into your goodie bags. You didn't even have to dress up and ring my doorbell.

2014-15 Rookie of the Year

Favorites: Jabari Parker (MIL) 5/2, Andrew Wiggins (MIN) 15/4, Nerlens Noel (PHI) 11/2, Julius Randle (LAL) 7/1, Doug McDermott (CHI) 9/1

Solid options: Marcus Smart (BOS) 12/1, Elfrid Payton (ORL) 15/1

Top longshots: Shabazz Napier (MIA) 30/1, Cleanthony Early (NYK) 30/1, Kostas Papanikolaou (HOU) 50/1, Adreian Payne (ATL) 55/1, K.J. McDaniels (PHI) 65/1, Mitch McGary (OKC) 65/1

Bank on: Parker is the choice here. He'll get the most opportunities to be the primary catalyst, which helped last year's winner, Michael Carter-Williams, run away from the rest of a fairly weak crop. Philadelphia's Noel would be my second choice, but he'll have ups and downs with foul trouble that could derail him. Boston's Smart and Orlando's Payton could pay huge dividends since both should get long leashes and will defend from Day 1.

2014-15 Coach of the Year

Favorites: Gregg Popovich (SA) 3/1, David Blatt (CLE) 9/2, Tom Thibodeau (CHI) 7/1, Doc Rivers (LAC) 10/1, Steve Kerr (GSW) 10/1

Solid options: Jeff Hornacek (PHX) 12/1, Rick Carlisle (DAL) 15/1, Dwane Casey (TOR) 15/1, Steve Clifford (CHA) 20/1, Terry Stotts (POR) 20/1

Top longshots: Erik Spoelstra (MIA) 35/1, Monty Williams (NO) 35/1, Lionel Hollins (BKN) 35/1, Randy Wittman (WAS) 45/1, David Joerger (MEM) 100/1

Bank on: I'd definitely fade Pop and Blatt since expectations are so high. Thibodeau and Rivers coach the teams I'm projecting to finish with the top records in their respective conferences, so your choice should be one of those two. I don't believe the Heat will fall flat, so backing Spo to rally the troops at a handsome rate wouldn't be a bad investment. Wittman can also win that Southeast Division if injury-prone key pieces Nene and Bradley Beal can hang around. To his credit, he's improved as a strategist over the past two seasons.

2014-15 Points per game leader

Favorites: Kevin Durant (OKC) 3/2, Carmelo Anthony (NY) 2/1, LeBron James (CLE) 11/4, James Harden (HOU) 13/2, Russell Westbrook (OAK) 12/1

Solid options: Kobe Bryant (LAL) 25/1, Blake Griffin (LAC) 25/1

Top longshots: Derrick Rose (CHI) 40/1, LaMarcus Aldridge (POR) 40/1, Anthony Davis (NOP) 40/1, DeMarcus Cousins (SAC) 60/1, Jabari Parker (MIL) 250/1

Bank on: Melo. He'll only double your money, but with Durant likely requiring an adjustment period upon his return from foot surgery and Westbrook sure to see a dip when that occurs, Anthony is a heavy favorite. James is going to share the rock in an attempt to make the game easier for his new teammates, while Harden will have to feed Dwight Howard to keep him happy. Every name listed in the other column above has a great shot at a top-three spot, but I don't see anybody getting to 30 per game. Bryant is most likely to make a determined run at it, because of course he is. The rookie at 250-to-1? Fun. It's highly unlikely, but he can put the ball in the basket.

2014-15 Rebounds per game leader

Favorites: Andre Drummond (DET) 9/5, DeAndre Jordan (LAC) 2/1, Dwight Howard (HOU) 4/1, Kevin Love (CLE) 5/1, DeMarcus Cousins (SAC) 14/1

Solid options: Nikola Vucevic (ORL) 16/1, Joakim Noah (CHI) 20/1

Top longshots: Omer Asik (NOP) 30/1, LaMarcus Aldridge (POR) 30/1, Anthony Davis (NOP) 30/1, Al Jefferson (CHA) 35/1, Blake Griffin (LAC) 50/1

Bank on: Drummond and Howard may be two of the NBA's worst free-throw shooters, but they're beasts on the boards, physically imposing their will on a nightly basis. Howard looks 100 percent and stronger than ever, so since he has less glass-eating competition than Drummond on his own team, we'll ride with him. Vucevic replaced him in Orlando, just got extended and really likes to get after it, so he'd be a strong play if you want to take a shot. Elite rebounders Asik and Davis will affect one another's production in New Orleans, which is why the odds on them appear so attractive.

2014-15 Assists per game leader

Favorites: Chris Paul (LAC) 2/3, Rajon Rondo (BOS) 2/1, John Wall (WAS) 8/1

Solid options: Ricky Rubio (MIN) 14/1, Ty Lawson (DEN) 16/1

Top longshots: Kyle Lowry (TOR) 40/1, Deron Williams (BKN) 40/1, Jrue Holiday (NOP) 40/1, Derrick Rose (CHI) 40/1, Michael Carter-Williams (PHI) 50/1

Bank on: Paul is the favorite for a reason. He'll take the assists title if he stays healthy, but we'll give you a couple of guys with more favorable odds to get behind. Lawson won his battle with Brian Shaw to play at an increased tempo last year and should do his best to keep teammates happy by pushing the pace and distributing. Lowry is another point guard coming into his own that could challenge if he continues improving and becoming more efficient.

Props to Bet

Will Kobe score 50 points in any single regular-season game? Yes +1000 (10/1), No -2000 (1/20)

Bank on: Sure, take a shot. It's probably on his mental to-do list. Wishful thinking? Not necessarily. I've heard he's done it before.

Will Rajon Rondo get traded during the 2014-2015 season? Yes -175 (7/4), No +125 (5/4)

Bank on: He'll be a free agent at season's end and is rushing back to try and make Boston's opener. Odds are he'll be wearing multiple uniforms since a suitor will likely pounce with an offer Danny Ainge signs off on well before the trade deadline.

Will Josh Smith get traded during the 2014-2015 season? Yes EVEN (1/1), No -140 (5/7)

Bank on: He's due $14 million annually through 2017. Unless Stan Van Gundy is willing to take on someone else's problem, odds are he'll try and rein in J-Smoove's shot selection and live with a headache capable of defending at a high level. He stays.

How many Cavaliers will be starters in the 2015 All Star Game? Over 2.5 -250 (2/5), Under 2.5 +175 (7/4)

Bank on: LeBron and Love are locks, sure to team with Carmelo Anthony in the East frontcourt. The backcourt is where this will be decided. I'd take a shot that fans vote for Rose, Wade and Wall enough to make Kyrie Irving sweat this out. Irving finished behind Wade last year with over 860,000 votes, more than double the output of Wall. Rose should be the leading vote-getter at guard if he stays healthy.

Who will start more games? Anderson Varejao (CLE) -160 (5/8), Tristan Thompson (CLE) +120 (6/5)

Bank on: Varejao played in 65 games last season, but participated in just 81 of 246 possible games from 2010-13. He'll start Game 1, but my money is on Thompson making more starts when all is said and done.

Will any Spurs player average 30 regular-season minutes per game or more? Yes -200 (1/2), No +150 (3/2)

Bank on: Keep in mind that nobody did it last season, since Tony Parker, Tim Duncan and Kawhi Leonard were all over 29, but under 29.5. Still, the likelihood is that the 22-year-old Leonard emerges as an even larger piece, topping the 30-minute mark. Parker might even get back over the hurdle, since last year marked his lowest mpg clip since his rookie season. Duncan has only topped 30 once in the last four years.

Which splash brother will have the highest regular-season 3-PT shooting pct. during the 2014-2015 Regular Season? Stephen Curry -130 (10/13), Klay Thompson EVEN (1/1)

Bank on: Wouldn't touch this one. Curry has been tops between the duo three years running, but last season, the gap narrowed to .424-.417. With Kerr on board, this looks like a coin flip worth avoiding.

Will the Brooklyn Nets be sold during the 2014-2015 Regular Season? Yes +400 (4/1) No -600 (1/6)

Bank on: The Nets bled money last season, losing $131 million more than any other team according to Grantland, but Mikhail Prokhorov knows he's in an amazing market at a time where NBA franchises have never been more valuable. It will truly take an offer he can't refuse for him to sell. Ride no.

Will Kevin Garnett play in NBA game in the 2015-2016 Season? Yes +125 (5/4), No -175 (4/7)

Bank on: This is it for the future Hall of Famer we used to call "the Kid." Now 38 years old and in his 20th year of service, he's playing out the final year of a contract paying $12 million and is too proud to return for a fraction of that even if he did have another season in him. No is the rightful favorite, well worth the juice.

Will Andrew Wiggins participate in the 2015 Slam Dunk contest? Yes +200 (2/1), No -300 (1/3)

Bank on: The hope is that he will, but even at 2-to-1, there are too many moving parts to like this at all.

Will Wiggins win the 2015 Slam Dunk Contest? Yes +600 (6/1), No -1000 (1/6)

Bank on: The Magic 8 ball says, "better not tell you now." Piece of junk.

How many regular season games will Derrick Rose play? Over/Under: 68.5

Bank on: He's already playing back-to-backs, so I don't see him taking too many nights off. The Bulls have 19 sets of games on consecutive days, so even if he misses half of those, he'd still top this number. Add in a game or two for an ankle sprain, consider the fact his head coach is Tom Thibodeau and I like him getting in at least 70. Wouldn't touch this, but the optimistic over is my hopeful call here.

How many regular season games will Dwyane Wade play? Over/Under: 70.5

Bank on: Miami has the fewest back-to-backs, playing just 16, and while we will probably some Wade "maintenance" this season, he's a proud guy looking for a special bounce-back season for obvious reasons. While few who have watched him closely the past few years would be comfortable going over, I'll leave this one alone by saying I wouldn't feel confident going under either.

How many regular season games will Andrew Bogut play? Over/Under: 70.5

Bank on: He's looked spry in the preseason, but he's 7-feet tall and never shies away from contact. He started 67 times in 2013-14, but hasn't played more than 70 regular-season games since 2007-08. Considering he's only done it twice in nine seasons and turns 30 years old on Nov. 28, the under is a lock.

Will Minnesota rookie Zach LaVine participate in the 2015 Slam Dunk contest? Yes -140 (5/7), No EVEN (1/1)

Bank on: The young UCLA product will have a better shot if Wiggins passes, but I'm with the 8 ball here. "Cannot predict now." Seriously? "Ask again later."

Which young Sacramento wing will have the higher regular-season scoring average? Ben McLemore EVEN (1/1), Nik Stauskas -140 (5/7)

Bank on: McLemore averaged just 8.8 points as a rookie, but scored in double-figures in his final five games, dropping a career-high 31 points on the Suns in the regular-season finale. He and Stauskas may end up splitting minutes, but I think he'll nip the Canadian rookie long-range threat to help cash a neat prop.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA Futures - Best Bets
By ASA

NBA Finals "Longshot" - Los Angeles Clippers

According to oddsmakers , the Clippers have the fifth-best odds to win the 2014 NBA Championship behind the Cavs, Spurs, Bulls, and Thunder.

There are plenty of concerns among the four teams ahead of the Clippers and questions that need to be answered. How will the Cavs mesh in the first year with three superstars?

Will Derrick Rose be the player he was three years ago?

How will the Thunder respond without Durant in the lineup for an extended period?

Will the Spurs finally start to slow down with an aging roster?

While those answers aren’t clear at this time, it’s fair to say that Los Angeles is the only squad without major questions surrounding the team heading into the season.

They ended 2013 as the third best team in the West last year, finishing five games behind San Antonio and two games behind OKC.

The Clippers were one of the favorites to compete for the 2013 NBA Finals once the playoffs began and they were headed in the right direction, up 2-1 against the Warriors in the 1st Round, when the Donald Sterling controversy came to light. The media storm surrounding Sterling was inescapable for the team, the league, and its fans. The emotional fallout forced the LAC-GS series to go longer than necessary and took its toll on the team.

Even then, the Clippers survived the Warriors in seven games and were right there with OKC in the 2nd Round. LAC won Game 1 and with the series tied at 2-2, OKC squeaked out a home win, 105-104, shifting the series momentum in the Thunder's favor.

They entered the offseason not knowing who their owner would be or what kind of drastic measures it might take to get away from Sterling. Ultimately the Clippers truly grew closer over the course of last season and the offseason and chemistry wise, the Clippers have never been better.

There weren't a ton of improvements to be made on last year's roster, but the Clips did a nice job of upgrading their bench. They brought in Jordan Farmar to replace Darren Collison as the backup point guard. Farmar is an underrated shooter and can run the offense off the bench. He's a great fit with this roster and is an upgrade over what Collison brought to the table in 2013.

LAC also brought back Glen Davis and acquired Spencer Hawes to solidify the frontcourt depth. Hawes can function as a rebounder and can spread the floor as a stretch 4/5, and will be a nice change of pace from DeAndre Jordan.

LAC, in the second year under proven head coach Doc Rivers, will be better than last year's version and are a great under-the-radar bet to win the 2014 NBA Finals.

OVER 32.5 Wins - Indiana Pacers

The Pacers have the biggest change in win totals from last season, when they were slated to win 54.5 games, to this season, where they are slated to win just 32.5 and finish nine games below .500. The 22-game difference can be attributed to the fact that Indiana lost its two best offensive players in the offseason when Lance Stephenson left in free agency and when Paul George suffered a broken leg while participating on Team USA in the FIBA World Cup.

The offense will struggle without Stephenson or George in the lineup, but the defense will allow them to compete. Frank Vogel's squad has had one of the top defensive systems in the NBA over the last few seasons, a system will be even more defense-oriented in 2014.

The Pacers of 2014 will resemble that of the Chicago Bulls sans Derrick Rose in the lineup. The Rose-less Bulls of 2012 & 2013 were slow (4th slowest pace in '12, 2nd slowest in '13), bad offensively (last in PPG in '12 & '13), and great defensively (3rd in PPG allowed in '12, 1st in PPG allowed in '13).

Chicago finished with 48 wins in 2013 and 45 in 2012. Expect that Indiana will use a similar formula in 2014 that will allow them to compete for a playoff spot in a subpar Eastern Conference.

Don't expect the Pacers to fall too far and take Indiana to win OVER 32.5 games.

UNDER 48.5 Wins - Portland Trailblazers

Last season the young Blazers rode a red hot 22-4 start to the season to a playoff berth and an overall record of 54-28 in the regular season. It was a remarkable turnaround for the Blazers who had won just 61 total games in the previous season.

In fact, the 21 more wins they had last season compared to the previous season was the biggest turnaround in the NBA last season. A big reason for Portland's success last season was the fact they had the second fewest lost minutes (injuries) by starters for the year.

The Blazers won't be sneaking up on anyone this season and of course they play in the much tougher Western Conference. Interestingly enough, of the Blazers 54 regular season wins last season, 23 came by 7-points or less so obviously when a few of those games don't go their way this season they won't threaten their win total of 48.5 games.

Don't get me wrong we love the young Blazers roster with LaMarcus Aldridge, Nicolas Batum, Damian Lillard, Wesley Mathews and Robin Lopez but we don't expect a team that was 19th in defensive efficiency allowing 1.043 points per possession last season to finish with 50+ wins.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Bulls at Knicks

Chicago Bulls at New York Knicks (+4, 187.5)

The Chicago Bulls are the popular preseason pick to challenge LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers in the Eastern Conference – as long as Derrick Rose manages to stay healthy and productive. The New York Knicks, who host the Bulls in the season opener for both teams on Wednesday, are also hoping to join the race at the top of the conference after a disappointing 2013-14 campaign. Rose made it through the summer healthy and will start at the point against the Knicks.

Phil Jackson is an 11-time champion as a head coach but is getting his first shot at roster building with New York and scored his first big win over the summer when Carmelo Anthony chose to spurn the Bulls, amongst other suitors, and remain with the Knicks on a max contract. “I am focused on building this thing in New York,” Anthony told reporters. “I can’t be worried about them and saying this is what could have been (if I had chosen Chicago).” Chicago quickly reversed course in free agency and picked up Pau Gasol to beef up the already-stout frontcourt.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN, CSN Chicago, MSG (New York)

LINE HISTORY: The line opened with the Knicks +4 and a total of 187.5.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "It's been pretty easy to hate on the Knicks in recent years and with few offseason improvements (on the court at least) there's little reason to expect them to take a step forward this year. An opening night date with the Bulls is far from ideal. Chicago has reloaded and might just be the most complete team in the East (sorry Cavs). With that being said, I'm not interested in laying road chalk at MSG at this early stage of the campaign." - Sean Murphy

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "What an incredible old-school matchup to start the season. If Jimmy Butler isn't able to play that limits the Bulls somewhat on the defensive end. On the other side, we should expect a learning curve with the new coaching regime in New York. I think the spread is about right but the total might be too high." - John Lester

ABOUT THE BULLS (2013-14: 48-34): Rose has played just 10 games in the last two seasons and missed the playoffs in each of those campaigns, leaving Chicago defense-first and a little short on the offensive end. The 2010-11 MVP showed off his old explosiveness over the summer and continued to impress during the preseason as the Bulls worked Gasol and rookie Doug McDermott into the offense. “I feel like I’m in a good place,” Rose told reporters. “Just missing two years, coming back, being able to play again against all these great players and really go against them.”

ABOUT THE KNICKS (2013-14: 37-45): Jackson’s second-biggest move was hiring a new head coach, and the decision maker went with a familiar face in Derek Fisher, who ran Jackson’s triangle offense with the Los Angeles Lakers. “We want to be consistent in who we are, so when we get rebounds and stops we can get out into the open floor and attack before the defense is set up,” Fisher told reporters of the new New York offense. “That’s not the triangle offense, that’s transition offense.” Pushing the pace will be a pair of new point guards in veteran Jose Calderon and Shane Larkin, who saw limited time as a rookie in Dallas last season.

TRENDS:

*Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
*Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
*Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York.

CONSENSUS: 62.6 percent are backing the Bulls -4 with 56 percent on the over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot Teams
Not much to go on right now; after a few days, we'll have lot more information for you in this space.

Cold Teams

Series Records
-- Hornets won last five games with Milwaukee (4-1 vs spread).
-- Pacers are 7-3 in last ten games with 76ers, winning all three LY by 8-7-9 points; dogs covered last six series games.
-- Nets won six of their last eight games with Boston.
-- Wizards lost last four visits to Miami, all by 9+ points.
-- Raptors lost six of last seven in Atlanta, losing by 21-10 there LY.
-- Grizzlies won 13 of last 15 games with Minnesota.
-- Bulls won nine of last 12 against the Knicks, but lost last two in NY.
-- Nuggets won seven of last eight games with Detroit.
-- Rockets won five of last six games against Utah.
-- Lakers lost four of their last five games with Phoenix.
-- Warriors were 4-0 vs Sacramento LY, winning by 11-2-9-33 points.
-- Thunder won nine of its last eleven games with Portland.

Totals
-- Four of last five Charlotte-Milwaukee games stayed under.
-- Over is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Philly-Indiana games.
-- Under is 6-2 in Nets' last eight visits to Brooklyn.
-- Wizards' last five visits to Miami stayed under total.
-- Six of last nine Atlanta-Toronto games went over.
-- Five of last six Minnesota-Memphis games stayed under.
-- Eight of last eleven Chicago-New York games went over.
-- Nine of last ten Denver-Detroit games went over total.
-- 10 of last 14 Houston-Utah games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Laker-Phoenix games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Golden St-Sacramento games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Thunder-Blazer games stayed under.

Back-to-Backs

East vs West
SU: West 1-0......... ATS: West 1-0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Oilers won last four games, allowing seven goals. Nashville won four of its six home games.

Cold teams
-- Detroit lost last two road games, scoring three goals. Washington is 2-2 at home, with three of four games going to shootouts.

Series records
-- Red Wings lost four of last five games with Washington.
-- Oilers won four of last five games with Nashville.

Totals
-- Last five Washington-Detroit games went over total.
-- Seven of eight Nashville games stayed under total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | OKLAHOMA CITY at PORTLAND
Play Over - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, vs. division opponents
33-11 since 1997. ( 75.0% | 20.9 units )

NBA | MILWAUKEE at CHARLOTTE
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (CHARLOTTE) first 6 games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost 4 or more of their last 5 games against opponent first 6 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 8+ losses in last 10 games
41-16 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 23.4 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play WED Wash Wizards + 4 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Wed NBA
Bulls -4


Wed MLB
Giants +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Xander Locke

San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals

WORLD SERIES GAME 7 WINNER BIG $ HIGH% XL PLATINUM PICK

Kansas City Royals

Kansas City is on fire right now. They're playing at home. The momentum and the crowd will be on their side. Guthrie looked impressive in his last outing. Hudson on the other hand has looked shaky. Remember the last road team to win a game 7 was the Pirates in 1979. Also the last team to lose game 6 and win game 7 was the Pirates in 1960. The odds are also in favor of the Royals.

KC WINS THE WORLD SERIES!!!!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Plays Wednesday

Nashville -120

Knicks +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Mavericks (+4 1/2) and on Tuesday and likes the Royals (series play) on Wednesday.

The deficit is 803 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo ready for Game 7

Hondo, who had been laboring mightily, snapped his skid Tuesday night, rolling with the Royals to reduce the negative number to 1,290 quisenberrys.

Wednesday night: Mr. Aitch will stick with Kansas City — 10 units on Guthrie & Co. to get in the flow against Hudson.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

6* San Francisco +1.5 -190

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

20* Chicago -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's MLB Picks San Francisco at Kansas City The Giants look to bounce back from last night's 10-0 loss and come into tonight's contest with a 5-1 record in their last 6 games following a defeat. San Francisco is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+115). Here are all of today's MLB picks.


WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 29
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 913-914: San Francisco at Kansas City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Hudson) 13.112; Kansas City (Guthrie) 12.225
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+115); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks Detroit at Washington The Red Wings head to Washington tonight where they are 0-4 in their last 4 games versus the Capitals. Washington is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Capitals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-125). Here are all of today's NHL picks.


WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 29
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 51-52: Detroit at Washington (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 111.194; Washington 112.775
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-125); Under


Game 53-54: Nashville at Edmonton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 12.276; Edmonton 10.750
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-120); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks Washington at Miami The Wizards open up their season in Miami tonight and come into the contest with a 27-10 ATS record in their last 37 road games. Washington is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.


WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 29
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST


Game 701-702: Milwaukee at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 109.454; Charlotte 120.866
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 11 1/2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 9; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-9); Under


Game 703-704: Philadelphia at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 112.335; Indiana 122.451
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 10; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-6 1/2); Over


Game 705-706: Brooklyn at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 120.903; Boston 114.472
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 6 1/2;
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 3 1/2; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-3 1/2); Under


Game 707-708: Atlanta at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 119.507; Toronto 120.962
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 4 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+4 1/2); Over


Game 709-710: Washington at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 121.669; Miami 122.654
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+4 1/2); Under


Game 711-712: Chicago at New York (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 123.958; New York 117.296
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 6 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-4); Over


Game 713-714: Minnesota at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 113.040; Memphis 123.407
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 10 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 8; 196
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-8); Over


Game 715-716: Detroit at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 115.656; Denver 120.116
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 4 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 7; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+7); Under


Game 717-718: Houston at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 118.066; Utah 119.225
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 1; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 3; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+3); Under


Game 719-720: LA Lakers at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 113.836; Phoenix 121.497
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7 1/2; 213
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 10 1/2; 208
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+10 1/2); Over


Game 721-722: Golden State at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 125.295; Sacramento 118.152
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 7; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 4 1/2; 205
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-4 1/2); Over


Game 723-724: Oklahoma City at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 115.753; Portland 125.995
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 10; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 8; 201
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-8); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Real Swoop
NBA
Trail Blazers -8 (2*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Winning Crew

MLB 50 Dime Play: Kansas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner:

1500* MLB Royals -130
100* NBA Over 190.5 Heat/Wizards
50* NBA Pacers -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones
15* Toronto Raptors -4.5 +100
15*Miami Heat -4 -104
15* Detroit Pistons +7 -108
20* Chicago Bulls -4 -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Ryan SportsGame: San Francisco Giants at Kansas City Royals Oct 29 2014 8:00PM
Prediction: Kansas City Royals
Reason: I would like to take a moment and thank all of you for your support during an incredibly successful MLB season. With that said, NBA starts tonight and has been a perennial strong money maker over the course fo a season. You already know how well football action has been led by a a pair of 50* Games of the Year. 50* graded play on the Kansas City Royals as the host the San Francisco Giants in Game 7 of the 2014 World Series. So make the easy transition from MLB to all other sports I provide and you will certainly be maximizing your profits over the long-term. This has been just one awesome series with so many great interesting and intriguing storylines. I strongly believe as I have this entire playoffs, that KC would be the winner of the World Series and they are certainly in a great position to accomplish that goal tonight. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 121-62 mark for 67% winners and has made 53 units/unit wagered since 2008. Play against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) revenging a road blowout loss to current opponent of 6 runs or more and with a winning percentage of between 45 and 55% on the season. Here is a second system that has gone 256-154 for 63% winners making 69 units/unit wagered since 2008. Play on all teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (KANSAS CITY) that is a low power team averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, after scoring 8 runs or more. Always note that the supporting cast of systems and other technicals serve only to reinforce and bring greater reasoning and clarity the play being offered. If, for example, the line moves to -160 it does not disqualify the play, it only disqualifies the system presented based on their specific criteria. Here are a few more supporting game situations. SF is 3-17 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in road games when facing an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or lower over the last two seasons; Starting pitcher Guthrie is a solid 13-3 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games facing poor base running teams averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last three seasons. (Team's Record); KC is a perfect 10-0 (+11.3 Units) against the money line after scoring 9 runs or more this season. I like how Guthrie is throwing and the three-headed monster of relievers are fully rested and prepared to close the deal tonight. Guthrie has been great in the second half of the season. He has posted a 1.59 ERA with a 0.824 WHIP over his last three starts spanning 17 innings of work. His goal is to complete 6 innings - even 5 innings - and turn the ball over the unhittable bullpen. Take Kansas City.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
We capped off Week 8 with a solid Monday Night WINNER with the Redskins who won outright as 10 point dogs. Great week overall as I went 6-1 and 3-0 with my 4 unit picks, and Kyle added a 2-1 week hitting his 4 unit play. I'm adding two plays below which involve the Thursday Night'er this week.
2 UNIT = 2-Team 6-Point Teaser - PANTHERS +9 and CHARGERS +8 (-120)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.67 units)
*This teaser was bet at BetCris/Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu) and is available at a number of sportsbooks. If you can't get this teaser then I would recommend a 2 unit bet on the Panthers and Chargers against the spread.
4 UNIT = New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers - OVER 48 POINTS (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.81 units)
Sent earlier:
4 UNIT = 2-Team 6-Point Teaser - JETS +17 and RAVENS +7.5 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.64 units)
*This teaser was bet at 5Dimes.eu (http://clicks.aweber.com/y/ct/?l=Fen0A&m=3aKY2krjXPJyXka&b=TYZzXeZSRFtdKRnHg7eSmQ) (open to most countries) and was listed under "6 point ties reduce teaser". Because of the way they have the Jets line shaded we are able to get them +17 in a teaser, which is a key number in this case. If you can't get this teaser bet in I would wait until closer to Sunday and I would make the Jets and Ravens both 2 unit plays against the spread -- but again wait and see if you can get this teaser. I highly recommend getting an account at 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/) as well. Any questions let me know.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle Baseball

WEDNESDAY

Play Kansas City -130 over San Francisco (Top Play)
8:00 PM EST

Jeremy Guthrie has won 32 of the last 52 games when pitching in the 2nd half of the season and he has won 42 of the last 67 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.Jeremy Guthrie has won 25 of the last 33 games when the line posted is between -100 to -150 and he has won 30 of the last 49 home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle

WEDNESDAY

NBA BASKETBALL

Play Memphis -8.5 over Minnesota (NBA TOP PLAY)

Memphis has won 51 of the last 69 games when playing as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points and they have won 30 of the last 48 games vs. Northwest Division Opponents. Memphis has won 65 of the last 92 home games and they have won 42 of the last 67 games when the total posted is between 190 and 199.5 points.


Play Phoenix -10 over Los Angeles Lakers (NBA BONUS PLAY)
Play Portland -8 over Oklahoma City (NBA BONUS PLAY)



================================================== =====


NHL HOCKEY

Play Detroit +130 over Washington (NHL TOP PLAY)
Play Edmonton +110 over Nashville (NHL TOP PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

WEDNESDAY BASEBALL




Play Kansas City -130 over San Francisco---Top Play (Risk 10% of your Bankroll)

8:00 PM EST

Kansas City has won 48 of the last 78 games when playing on a Wednesday and they have won 73 of the last 126 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers. Kansas City has won 58 of the last 100 games coming off a win in their last game and they have won 58 of the last 68 games when the line posted is between -100 to -150.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

WEDNESDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Kansas City -130 over San Francisco (MLB TOP PLAY)



Kansas City is 10-0 after scoring 9 runs or more in their last game
Kansas City is 58-42 coming off a win in their last game

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime


MLB Baseball

1000* Play Kansas City -130 over San Francisco (TOP MLB PLAY)

Jeremy Guthrie has won 5 consecutive games when pitching in the month of October and he has won 4 consecutive games when pitching on a Wednesday. Jeremy Guthrie has won 11 of the last 14 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he is 2-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 1.59.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Sports Informer
Soccer
3*-dallas-105 mls

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc mlb 10/29
7* under-7 Giants/Royals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GilzTips
World Series: 6-1 +9.03u
Playoffs: 16-5 +19.32u
2014 MLB: 505-403 +120.11u

((World Series GM7)) • [914] KC/SF U7 (+105) = [2U]

***FYI: Jeff Nelson is the Ump. 11 overs - 18 unders, 62.1%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Xander Locke

Royals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Play Wins

PPOD

NBA: Toronto Raptors -4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NY Sports Genius

5 units
(Italy Soccer) AC Milan/Cagliari over 2.5 goals (-130)
(Belgium Soccer) Anderlecht/Kortrijk over 2.5 goals (-122)
(NHL) Capitals/Redwings over 5 goals (-120)

4 units
(NBA) Pistons/Nuggets over 208.5 (-110)
(NHL) Nashvile Predators moneyline (-120)

3 units
(NBA) Philadelphia 76ers +7 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al DeMarco

10 Dimes
NBA
Portland -8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gabriel DuPont

200 MLB Winner #4 of 5

2014 World Series Game of the Year

Kansas City -130

[golden contender]

Wednesday night World Series Double Perfect 6* System Side. MLB on a 14-5 run. NBA Starts off big with frst winnler last night. Tonight its another Powerful opening night system winner as we go for another Bases and Buckets sweep. Free NBA System play below.


On Wednesday the Free NBA Opening night Power system play is on the Phoenix Suns. Game 920 at 10:05 eastern. The Lakers fit one of our Opening week systems here that plays against teams that are playing in game 2 with no rest vs an opponent playing in their season opener like the Lakers. LA played at home vs Houston last night and were blown out and now go into Phoenix to take on a Suns team with a revamped back court that will put up points. The Lakers could struggle in 2nd of back to backs this season as Kobe ,may not get full minutes in these games and they now lack the low post presence of Pau Gasol. Phoenix is 6-0 and 5-1 ats at home of late vs the Lakers. Look for the Suns to get the win and cover. Jump on as we Bang your book good tonight on Hump day. A Rare 6* in bases as we have the Double Perfect Game 7 World Series winner and another big NBA System winner. Tuesday sweeps in Bases and Buckets. More damage tonight. Jump on and Cash out. For the free play take Phoenix. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports

Complimentary NBA Pick for October 29th, 2014

Game: Golden State Warriors @ Sacramento Kings
Time: Wednesday 10/29 10:05 PM Eastern
Pick: Sacramento +5 (-107) at 5Dimes

The Sacramento Kings have not put a competitive team on the floor for quite some time. They have been a pretty decent team on their home floor as they try to rebuild, but the road has been a nightmare. The last two seasons have seen the Kings go 19-63 on the road, and a much more respectable 37-45 at home. When you give them 4 points or less, they are actually a greater than .500 team at home. Golden State is just 46-46 on the road over the same period, so we have an obvious advantage with the Kings getting points. The public sees the short number and has gone all in at 75% on Golden State, but the line has failed to react. The Kings should be inspired with a new season, wiping away the poor slate from a season ago, and should be competitive here. Make the play on Sacramento.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports Investment - 10/29



---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Doc Sports System A:



Current Doc Sports Investment Level: Level 2



Play information: #703 Take Philadelphia/Indiana UNDER 189 (NBA Total Points Scored Bet)

(NBA Basketball) - Game Starts at 7:05 PM EST



---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Doc Sports System B:
Current Doc Sports Investment Level: Level 2

Play information:

#717 Take Houston/Utah OVER 200.5 (NBA Total Points Scored Bet)

(NBA Basketball) - Game Starts at 9:05 PM EST


---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Doc Sports System C:

Current Doc Sports Investment Level: Level 1

Play information:
#718 Take Utah +3.5 over Houston (NBA Pointspread Bet)

(NBA Basketball) - Game Starts at 9:05 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr Bob
Best Bets released so far
(328) ****Miami-Florida (-14) 4-Stars at -14 or less, 3-Stars up to -17, 2-Stars up to -20
(352) ***Louisiana Tech (-5 ½) 3-Stars at -6 ½ or less, 2-Stars at -7
(357) **Tennessee (+8) 2-Stars at +7 or more, 1-Star down to +6 (386) **UCLA (-5) 2-Stars at -7 or less
****MIAMI-FLORIDA (-14) 49 North Carolina 22
Sat Nov-01-2014 at 09:30 AM Pacific Rotation: 328 Over/Under 0.0
North Carolina’s 28-27 win at Virginia last week gave the Tarheels back-to-back wins and 3 straight spread wins, which served to keep the opening line on this game down. The line opened at 12 points and went to 14 before I could release it but there is still a lot of value on Miami even with the line now higher. The Hurricanes have won for me twice in a row and are improving as freshman quarterback Brad Kaaya gets more seasoning. Kaaya has actually posted really good numbers (8.0 yards per pass play against a schedule of teams that would allow 6.0 yppp to an average quarterback) and his efficiency has improved since the coaching staff opened up the playbook after the first two weeks. Miami obviously has a great rushing attack, as a lot of you may have witnessed watching Duke Johnson run all over Virginia Tech last Thursday night. Not only does Johnson average 7.5 yards per rushing but his two backups combine to average 6.7 ypr and that group will have no trouble running all over a North Carolina defense that is a bit worse than average defending the run and allowed an average of 371 rushing yards at 8.0 yards per rushing play to the two good running teams that they’ve faced (362 yards at 8.2 yprp to ECU and 380 yards at 7.8 yprp to Georgia Tech). UNC’s worst defensive trait is their pass defense, which has allowed 7.8 yards per pass play to quarterbacks that would combine to average 6.8 yppp to an average team, so Kaaya should have good success throwing when he needs to throw. Miami should tally around 600 total yards and 50 points in this game against a Tarheels’ defense that’s allowed an average of 53 points in 4 games against good offensive teams East Carolina, Clemson (they were good with QB Watson), Notre Dame, and Georgia Tech.


North Carolina does have a good offense that is surely capable of scoring a good number of points, but overall the Tarheels have been just 0.4 yards per play better than average offensively this season (5.8 yppl against teams that would allow 5.4 yppl to an average team) and that unit is 0.5 yppl better than average with quarterback Marquise Williams in the game (he’s no longer sharing time with Mitch Trubisky). Miami’s defense, however, is better than people think, as the Hurricanes have yielded just 4.9 yppl in 7 games against FBS teams that would combine to average 6.0 yppl against an average defensive team. Miami has given up 24 points per game but that average is misleading given that they allowed 3 fumble return touchdowns and a kickoff return for a TD. The defense has only allowed 20 points in 7 FBS games against a schedule of opposing offenses that collectively rates the just 0.1 yppl worse than North Carolina’s offensive rating. North Carolina is projected to gain 403 yards because the Tarheels tend to run a lot of plays but they are expected to average only 4.9 yppl and score just 23 points.


The math model projects more than a 200 yard advantage for Miami from the line of scrimmage and the math model gives the Hurricanes a 61% chance of covering based solely on the math. In addition to that there are multiple significant situations that favor Miami, as North Carolina’s recent surge sets up the Tarheels in a very negative 2-40 ATS subset of a 37-104-3 ATS road dog letdown situation. Miami, meanwhile, applies to a 74-18-2 ATS home favorite momentum situation. This game is not only a high level math play but also gets my highest technical analysis rating. Since I started using my math model in 2004 the games in which my highest technical analysis rating was also a math play have been 69% winners. If this game is a 69% play at -14 then it is still a 53.9% play at -21, so there is still value even after the line move. I’ll take Miami-Florida in a 4-Star Best Bet at -14 or less, for 3-Stars at -17 or less, for 2-Stars up to -20 and for 1-Star up to -21 points.

***LOUISIANA TECH (-5 ½) 43 Western Kentucky 29
Sat Nov-01-2014 at 12:00 PM Pacific Rotation: 352 Over/Under 0.0
Western Kentucky is a good offensive team that is averaging 45.6 points and 557 yards per game at 6.9 yards per play (against teams that would combine to allow 37.1 points and 6.0 yppl to an average team), but he Hilltoppers are extremely challenged defensively. Western Kentucky’s defense has allowed an average of 41.1 points and 548 yards per game at 6.9 yppl to teams that would combine to average 28.0 points and 5.5 yppl against an average defensive team. Overall, the Hilltoppers are 4.6 points and 0.5 yards per play worse than an average FBS team, which is not likely going to be good enough to beat a better than average Louisiana Tech team that is at home and in a very good situation. The Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS this season with just one inexplicable performance (a 27-30 loss as a 23 point home favorite to FCS teams Northwestern State) and they’ve been better than average overall even with that one dismal performance included.


Louisiana Tech’s offense is a bit below average (5.8 yards per play against teams that would allow 6.0 yppl to an average team), but the Bulldogs have averaged 43.3 points and 7.2 yppl in 3 games against really bad defensive teams (UL Lafayette, NW State, and UTEP) and they’re projected to score 43 points on 7.2 yppl in this game against a Western Kentucky defense that is actually 0.2 yppl worse than the composite ranking of those 3 bad defensive teams. Western Kentucky has allowed 41 points per game against teams that would rate a bit worse offensively than Louisiana Tech’s offensive rating adjusted for this game being at home for the Bulldogs. With all of that being the case, projecting more than 40 points for Louisiana Tech is certainly reasonable.


The strength of Louisiana Tech is a defense that has yielded just 5.0 yards per play and 25.9 points per game to a schedule of teams that would combine to average 5.4 and 28.0 points against an average defensive team. The Bulldogs allowed 48 points at Oklahoma and 45 points at Auburn but they only allowed a combined 6.4 yards per play in those games, which is much better than the 7.2 yppl that those teams would average at home against an average defensive team. Western Kentucky’s compensated offensive numbers also aren’t nearly as good as Oklahoma and Auburn and this is the first time all season that the Hilltoppers will face an average or better defense. Western Kentucky’s offense is better than Louisiana Tech’s defense but the 433 yards at 5.8 yppl that is projected for the Hilltoppers won’t likely be enough to keep this game within a touchdown. My math model gives Louisiana Tech a 55.6% chance of covering based solely on the line value and that percentage is enhanced by a 19-61-2 ATS road dog situation that applies to Western Kentucky that is based on their bad defense. Louisiana Tech, meanwhile, applies to an 85-43-1 ATS home momentum situation that is a combination of their win streak and facing a road team that allows 35 points or more per game. This game is a good combination of significant line value and a good situation and such games have been very profitable over the years and I’ll take Louisiana Tech in a 3-Star Best Bet at -6 ½ points or less and for 2-Stars at -7.

**Tennessee (+8) 29 SOUTH CAROLINA 28
Sat Nov-01-2014 at 04:30 PM Pacific Rotation: 357 Over/Under 0.0
South Carolina gave it everything they had at Auburn last week and I just don’t see the disappointed Gamecocks (now 4-4 on the season) giving that sort of effort again this week. Even if they did I still think they’ll have a tough time beating a defensively stout Tennessee team that may get an offensive boost in the form of sophomore Joshua Dobbs, who came off the bench last week and sparked the offense against Alabama. It’s uncertain if Dobbs or starter Justin Worley will get the start, and both may play, but I like Tennessee in this game regardless – although I’d prefer Dobbs to start. Dobbs played in the final 4 games for the Volunteers last season, starting the last 4, and was seen as a disappointment. However, he also had the misfortune of facing a slate of very good opposing pass defenses. Dobbs only averaged 4.9 yards per pass play but he faced teams that would combine to allow just 5.5 yppp to an average quarterback, and Dobbs rates at just 0.3 yppp worse than average for his career when you include his 183 yards on 33 pass plays (5.5 yppp) last week against Alabama’s very good defense (the Tide would allow 4.9 yppp on the road to an average QB). Worley has been 0.4 yppp worse than average this season, which is a bit worse, and Dobbs adds a running element to the position, as he has tallied 343 yards on 49 runs, including 84 last week against the Tide. Regardless of the quarterback, Tennessee’s offense will be a bit better than their season rating of 0.4 yards per play worse than average, which includes the horrible stats of backup quarterback Nathan Peterman, who started last week and now has produced a total of 27 yards on 21 pass plays this season. Tennessee has faced the toughest slate of opposing defenses in the nation and the Vols are actually only 0.2 yppl worse than average offensively when you exclude Peterman’s atrocious numbers. That attack will finally face a bad defensive team and the math model projects 429 yards at 5.9 yppl for Tennessee against a South Carolina defense that continues to struggle. The Gamecocks are now 0.6 yards per play worse than average for the season (6.8 yppl allowed to FBS teams that would average 6.2 yppl against an average defense) and have allowed 6.8 yppl or more in all but one of their seven FBS games this season. That projection for Tennessee’s offense would go up a bit if Dobbs is named the starter, as it does not include his running contribution.


South Carolina’s offense continues to valiantly try to make up for their bad defense and the Gamecocks’ attack is 0.9 yards per play better than average (6.1 yppl against teams that would allow 5.2 yppl to an average team) after a very good effort last week (6.3 yppl against a previously very good Auburn defense). As good as South Carolina’s offense has been, the Tennessee defense is actually better. The Vols have yielded just 22.9 points and 346 yards per game at 5.0 yards per play despite facing a schedule of teams that would combine to average 6.1 yppl against an average stop unit. That defense allowed 34 points (3 times) or 35 points in all 4 games against good offensive teams they’ve faced (Oklahoma, Georgia, Ole’ Miss, and Alabama) but those 4 teams combine to rate at 0.2 yppl better than South Carolina’s offensive raging (adjusted for this game being at home), so it’s unlikely that the Gamecocks will score 34 points or more and my math model projects a modest 399 yards at 5.6 yppl and 28 points for South Carolina in this game.


Overall I rate Tennessee as a better team and I’m happy to take the points against a what I think will be a deflated South Carolina team that gave it their all last week in their heartbreaking 35-42 loss to Auburn. In fact, teams that lost by a possession or less (i.e. 8 points or fewer) as a double-digit dog are just 98-151-4 ATS as a conference favorite the next week, which is the letdown scenario that the Gamecocks find themselves in today. I’ll take Tennessee in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more and for 1-Star down to +6 points.

**UCLA (-5) 42 Arizona 28
Sat Nov-01-2014 at 07:30 PM Pacific Rotation: 386 Over/Under 0.0
UCLA has certainly under-performed so far this season (1-7 ATS) but while the Bruins may not be as good this season as they were expected to be they are still better than an overrated Arizona team that played well last week but is still just 0.4 yards per play and 7.4 points better than average overall this season from the line of scrimmage. The best thing about Arizona is an offense that has averaged 6.3 yards per play while facing teams that would allow 5.7 yppl to an average attack, and that unit does have a 0.2 yppl advantage over a UCLA defense that’s only 0.4 yppl better than average (allowed 5.5 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.9 yppl) but UCLA’s offensive advantage is much more significant. The Bruins have averaged 6.4 yards per play against teams that would allow just 5.3 yppl to an average attack and I still rate that unit at 0.9 yppl better than average even when using a median rating, which I did in this case to dampen that affect of the 10.6 yards per play they averaged against Arizona State. That offense should thrive in this game against a mediocre Arizona defense that’s surrendered 5.9 yards per play to teams that would combine to average 5.8 yppl against an average defensive team.


Overall UCLA is 1.0 yppl better but Arizona is expected to run more plays, as is usually the case when the Wildcats. Even with that being the case UCLA is projected to have a 564 yards to 461 yards advantage in this game and the Bruins have a 1.5 points edge in special teams. Turnovers are expected to be even, as neither quarterback is turnover prone (each has thrown just 4 interceptions) while both defenses are below average in interception rate. Overall, the math clearly favors the Bruins to cover the number and I’ll take UCLA in a 2-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

1* Hawks +166

1* Wizards +160

1* Knicks +160

1* Jazz +140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Balfe

Giants +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee had a lean on the Royals -$130/Giants and was correct on Tuesday.

For Wednesday in MLB World Series Game Seven "Mr Chalk" likes the Royals -$125/Giants.

Ben lee is 0-1 -$55 for week Fifty Three 248-277-5 -$3374

"Mr Chalk" is 94-66 -$338 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

10* Chicago -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

Nashville

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

4% Chicago Under 185

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Michaels

WEDNESDAY

50 Dime play on Phoenix at home against the Lakers. The Suns are -12 as of 6:40 A.M. my time here in Vegas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo NBA 10/29



7-Unit Play. Take #710 Miami (-3.5) over Washington

1-Unit Play. Take #723 Oklahoma City (+9) over Portland

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 201.5 Houston at Utah

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Johnny Wynn

Knicks +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Insider Sports Report


4* Minnesota/Memphis UNDER 195.5 (NBA)
Range: 197.5 to 193


3* Toronto -5 over Atlanta (NBA)
Range: -3.5 to -7.5


3* Chicago -3.5 over New York (NBA)
Range: -2 to -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Picks Weekly

SF Giants +132
SF Giants/KC Royals +7
Warriors -4.5 (Buy the -0.5 hook, -4)
OKC +9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

William Kidd
QUADRUPLE DIME NBA LATE STEAM WINNER
720 Phoenix -12 10:05 EST

The Experts
NBA BIG TICKET TERMINATOR
724 Portland -8.5 10:35 EST

Kevin Francis
SPECIAL EDITION K-BOMB NBA WINNER
720 Phoenix -12 10:05 EST

Insiders Sports Network
INSIDERS NBA INVESTMENT PLAY WINNER
714 Memphis -7.5 8:05 EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeffrey James
#51 Detroit Red Wings moneyline +110 (7:30 edt) NBC Sports Network

Have to love the Wings here at an underdog price since they are off of a tough loss where they badly outplayed Philly but lost and they have had good success against Washington beating them 18 of the last 27 games. Washington is playing at home off of a west coast road trip and that is always a tough game to adjust to. Take the Wings here at this dog price as the play of the day.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Anthony Michael
#711 Chicago Bulls -4 (8:00 edt) ESPN
Have to like the Bulls here laying a very reasonable number. Look for Rose to be very ready to get back to work and look for the Bulls to be very motivated to open the season with a win in MSG against the Knicks. New York is not all that good and this is a tough matchup for them to open up since the Bulls have covered 6 of the last 9 against the Knicks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Moore
#723 4* Oklahoma City +8 (10:35 edt) ESPNThis line just seems way too high. I know Portland is strong at home but Ok City will be fired up to get started after the way they lost last season in the playoffs so look for a spirited effort from them here even without Durant. The Thunder will want to show they can do well without their star which will provide even more motivation. Take the generous points here, thank you and good luck.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Money Maverick
NBA:

Nuggets -6.5 (10 units)
76ers +7 (10 units)
Raptors -4 (10 units)

MLB:

Royals ML (10 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bio Sports Picks

2u Giants +130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trev Rogers

San Fran

SF/KC UNDER 7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rooster:

722 Sacramento under 206

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS BETTING PROF
7 PM
704. Indiana Pacers -7*

10 PM
719. Los Angeles Lakers +12*

Rest of games:

711. Chicago Bulls -4
714. Memphis Grizzlies -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Magic Mike

1* Wizards SU
2* Raptors -4
2* Red Wings
3* Giants

Ratings 1*-10*.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nfac
o197.5 Memphis
U206 Sacramento
u7 MLB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PhillyGodFather
Under 7 SF / KC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Treys Picks

MLB Kansas City -120

NBA Utah +3.5
NBA Minnesota/Memphis OVER 195

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Skybluepicks

Memphis -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
NBA
7* Portland -8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Sports Informer
NBA
3* Miami -4

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VegasButcher

MLB Under 7 Royals/Giants

We could spend all day analyzing starters in today’s game but I don’t think it’s really worth it. I just don’t see neither Hudson nor Guthrie being the ‘difference maker’ today, as both will be on a very short leash and I doubt either goes past the 4th inning. Guthrie’s best pitch is his changeup, a pitch that Giants rank 25th offensively against. Hudson’s best two pitches were his slider and splitter, with Royals ranking 17th and 25th against respectively. Just like in game 3, these two starters were able to keep the hitters off-balance even after combining for only 2 K’s in 10.2 combined innings. Bottom line is that this game will come down to the bullpens. With yesterday’s blowout, both teams were able to rest their key guys for 2 straight days so expect all relievers to be fresh tonight. The Royals will rely on Herrera, Davis, and Holland, who can be expected to pitch 2 innings each if need be. San Fran will utilize Lopez, Romo, Affeldt, and Casilla to take care of 4-5 innings. In addition, San Fran will have Bumgarner available and eh should be expected to pitch 1-2 innings as well. Fresh bullpen, starters that won’t last long thus reducing their chances of getting ‘blown up’, and of course a cool upper 40’s temperature without much wind tonight. I believe this has the makings of a very low scoring game 7. May the best team win tonight, but may that team not exceed 3 runs ;)

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Goodfella

Wednesday Free NBA Team Total

UTAH JAZZ OVER 99.5 points

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Topshelfpicks

Carson K - MLB Royals

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Diamond Dog Sports


718: jazz +3. (.5)

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Michael Trapp Wed Oct 29th, 2014 10:05pm EDT

7 Unit Side Play · [719] Los Angeles Lakers

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Andre Gomes

Minny Over
Houston Over
Detroit
Golden State
Brooklyn
Atlanta
Miami

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Behind The Bets

atlanta
washington
Grizzlies
warriors -4.5 and TT O 105
thunder +9

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Sports Locksmith
MLB:


Kansas City/San Francisco Under 7 -110 1*


Kansas City -138 1*


NBA:
Atlanta Hawks +4 -110 3*


Chairman's Plays:
New York Knicks +4.5 -110 4*
Utah Jazz +3 -110 4*

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Incredible Stat of the Day

The Memphis Grizzlies are 1-17 SU in season openers the last eighteen years, including 0-13 the last thirteen.