11-2-14

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::clap::

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Teddy Covers

2* - 49ers

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Maddux

20 Denver -3
10 Ravens
10 Jets +9
10 Philly/Houston over 48.5
10 Baltimore/Pitt over 47

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Trev Rogers

Texans +2

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Sixth Sense

Jacksonville +10.5

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SPORTS INSIGHTS
NFL Best Bets 23-16 +5.19 units


Game Time (ET)

Play

Best Line

11/02 1:00 PM 460 Play on HOU 2.5-105
11/02 1:00 PM 460 Play on HOU Under 49-110
11/02 1:00 PM 461 Play on NYJ 10-115

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Jason Sample:

Texans +2 (2u)
Texans ML +107
Texans TT O23.5
Fins/Niners MLs (+107)
Vikings PK
Vikings +7 / Pats +10 / Giants +10 (+142)

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Mike O Connor

Jacksonville
NY Jets
Cleveland
New England
Oakland

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Steve Fezzik

3*- Jacksonville +11
2* - Denver/Patriots Under 53.5
1* - Patriots +3

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Indian Cowboy



7-Unit Play #471 Take Baltimore-1 over Pittsburgh (Sunday @ 8:30pm est)

Thereare certain coaches who we have rated very high in our power ranking system aswe not only rate the teams, their offensive efficiency, their defensiveefficiency but also coaches who do well and in particular on bounce-backs. JonHarbaugh is one of those coaches that scales extremely high for us on ourmodels. For starters we have Baltimore as a top 10 power ranking team as theyhave been for many years counting due to the consistency they have kept pertheir lines up front, their strong defense and their ability to get theoffensive production in key positions. Of course, now with Smith Sr they canexpand the field vertically even more which opens up their tight ends and theirrunning game which is underrated. Notice that each time Baltimore loses, theircoaching staff gets their players focused on winning again. That's the winningculture in Baltimore and that's what makes them awesome. People talk about howwell the Packers have done which is true but don't forget the winning culturein Baltimore is alive and well and they stack up very nicely in recent years inwinning and production versus the Packers to put some perspective into bothteams. Baltimore lost to Cincinnati earlier this year by a score of 16-23 andthen bounced back in a big way beating Pittsburgh 26-6 at home after the RayRice incident coming together as a team. They lost to the Colts on the road13-20 and then bounced back quickly as huge public favorites over the Bucswinning 48-17 in a game that was expected to be much closer with the Bucs asjust 3.5 point dogs. And now, this team comes off losing to Cincinnati again24-27 in a game they had revenge but note that the Bengals were quite angryfrom being shutout in their previous game so they showed a lot of heart andbounced-back. So what you have here is a team in the Steelers who seek revengeagainst Baltimore but the Ravens are one of the best bounce-back teams in theleague. It is a small public fade on Sunday Night and we love the fact that theSteelers come off a big win against the Colts scoring 50+ points as it sets upfor a let down here. The Ravens love playing potent offenses and keeping themtame such as their success to holding the Colts to 20 points on the road. Lookfor the Steelers to try to get some revenge, just like the Ravnes did last weekto the Bengals but similar to that situation, both teams were coming off toughlosses and it negates the revenge. We like the better coaching staff, the teamthat is on the bounce-back, let down for the Steelers (who is our 8* future onthe Over 8.5 wins this year, but it won't be this game likely) and the Ravensbeing 4-1 ATS coming off a straight up loss and 19-7-2 ATS when facing winning



3-Unit Play #452 Take Miami -2.5over San Diego Chargers (Sunday @ 1pm)


Miamiis a very underrated team and they are likely to surprise a lot of peopleincluding the public when they beat the Chargers at home by about 6 pointswhich is where we have this contest. his is a fantastic public fade as thepublic is on the underdog taking the points but note that Miami has quietly won3 of 4 games and frankly, it should be 4 in a row as they gave up the game tothe Packers earlier in the year. Even the oddsmakers had faith in them which iswhy they placed them as such a small underdog to Rodgers and the Packers andthey showed up in a big way giving up a game in which they should have wonOutright. So what you see here is a Miami team that just beat Jacksonville 27-13as a touchdown favorite on the road, winning as a public favorite, beatingOakland across the pond by 24 points and beating Chicago on the road as anOutright Underdog. Denver is likely still hung over from the difficult loss tothe Broncos on the road and this is the time of year that San Diego starts tostruggle. Note that San Diego losing to Kansas City is a benchmark for thisgame as Miami is a very similar team in makeup. San Diego struggles againststrong defensive lines as they continue to not have Matthews for this game andlikely will find it troublesome running the ball. Look for Rivers to be forcedto pass teh ball against a very competent Miami secondary and the Dolphins topull this contest by about 6 points this afternoon.

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Doc Sports



5 Unit Play. #466/#426 Take San Francisco 49ers -10 over St. Louis Rams (Sunday 4:05 pm FOX)

TOP NFL Play of the Weekend

The Rams are hanging by a thread at the moment, and their injuries are starting to catch up to them. These two teams met on 10/13, and the Rams jumped out to a 14-point lead, and they still lost by 14 points. The 49ers have won three straight games against the Rams in the Bay Area (3-0 ATS as well). The 49ers are starting to get healthy on defense, and this is a game they must win in order to make the playoffs this year in a tough division. The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. The 49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a losing record.



4 Unit Play. #463/#415 Take Arizona Cardinals over Dallas Cowboys (Sunday 1 pm FOX)

Note: There is no line on this game because of the status of QB Tony Romo. We will post a line once it becomes consensus. Whatever line we get we will play the Cardinals.

The Red Birds are coming off a big victory over the Eagles in dramatic fashion, and they now head to Dallas to face a team coming off an embarrassing loss to Washington on Monday Night Football. Dallas is just 2-7 ATS in their next game off of Monday Night Football. Most of the Cowboys success has come against weak offensive teams, but that will not be the case today with Arizona. The Cardinals have won 13 of their last 16 games. With QB Tony Romo banged up, expect the Cowboys to rely on DeMarco Murray, but the Arizona defense will be ready for him. I expect this game to go down to the wire and be decided by three points or less, giving us the victory with whoever comes out on top. Arizona is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Dallas is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Week 9 games.

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Strike Points

4* Philly -2

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Allen Eastman

3* cleve -6.5
3* az +4
4* kc -9.5
4* houston +2
5* denver -3
8* indy-3

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VSI

NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS
6* Unit Play. #472 Pittsburgh +1 over Baltimore (8:25p.m., Sunday, Nov 3 NBC)


4* Unit Play. #473 Indianapolis -3 over NY Giants (8:30p.m., Monday, Nov 3 ESPN)

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GOLD MEDAL CLUB
NFL Selections
452 Miami -2
456 Cleveland -6,5
457 Washington pk
467 Denver -3

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Norm Hitzges

DOUBLE PLAY: Seattle -15 Oakland

SINGLE PLAYS
Baltimore -1 1/2
San Francisco -10
Sam Diego +2 1/2

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Wunderdog Sports

Complimentary NFL Pick for November 2nd, 2014

Game: Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Time: Sunday 11/02 8:30 PM Eastern
Pick: Baltimore -1 (-110) at Bovada

Last week the Pittsburgh Steelers offense threw a perfect game at Indianapolis. Big Ben was in the zone and his offensive line graded out higher in protection than any team in the NFL has so far this year. Big Ben was not sacked as clearly Pittsburgh figured out something against that Indy defense. The bad news for Pittsburgh is that despite throwing for over 500 yards and six TDs, this was a one-possession game in the fourth quarter, and therein lies the problem. When you score 55 points in a game, the second team should be on the field for most of the second half, not the first team fighting to hold an 8-point lead. Big Ben's historic day masked the Steelers' defensive issues, and Baltimore will be ready to take advantage of that this week. Baltimore has held Pittsburgh to an average of 15.9 points per game in the last 12 regular season meetings so don't expect a repeat performance from Roethlisberger in this one. The Ravens have committed just three turnovers in the meetings to Pittsburgh's' 19, and Pittsburgh has thrown for over 300 yards just once. A bigger problem is the fact that Pittsburgh's' last three opponents have thrown for 9.35 yards per attempt, which is Hall of Fame material. Cortez Allen has been targeted 60 times this season (third highest in the NFL) and Joe Flacco will be looking that way as he has been brutal. Baltimore's offensive line is vastly improved this season, and that is why Joe Flacco and the Baltimore offense is thriving. Flacco was sacked 48 times last season, but just nine this year. The Ravens are quietly playing some of the best football in the NFL, outscoring opponents 27-16 on average. Meanwhile, Pitt is giving up nearly 30 points per game over their last three games. Under Jon Harbaugh, the Ravens are 58-14 straight-up as a favorite and 11-2 coming off an upset loss. Meanwhile under Mike Tomlin, the Steelers are 9-19 ATS after a big 14+ point win. Sell high on Pittsburgh and take the Ravens in this one.

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Football Jesus Podcast : Patriots

[golden contender]

Sunday card has the AFC Total of the year with 6 Neve lost systems and angles, 2 early 5* plays and a Triple perfect 27-0 Sunday night system. NFL is at or near the top of several leader boards. NBA also up Free System Club Play below.


On Sunday the free NFL System Club Play is on the over in Arizona at Dallas Game. Rotation numbers 163/164 at 1:00 eastern. Dallas will look to rebound here off the Monday night loss. Romo looks to be a go in this one and teams at home off a Monday night favored home loss are cashing over 85% to the over vs an opponent that was also at home. Arizona can score and has big play capability. Dallas can run or throw and should be more efficient here against an Arizona team that has lost 14 of the last 15 here in Dallas. The Cowboys have played over 10 straight times off a Monday night Loss. Look for this one to play over the total today. On Sunday we have a huge card led by the AFC Total of the Year with 6 Never lost systems and angles. Their are a pair on undefeated early 5* System winners and a Sunday night Triple perfect 27-0 winner. A 10 point teaser and NBA. NFL Continues to be at or near the top of several leader boards. Message to Jump on and end the week big with the most powerful data and material in the industry. For the free play take Arizona and Dallas to play over the total. GC

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Burns
10* NYJ +10

10* SD u45

10* Tampa Bay +7

10* Seattle -15

10* New England +3'

10* Pittsburgh +1

9* NYJ u42

9* St Louis +11

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Win or Lose Sports Betting

451 SD +3 Buy the half
453 JAX +10.5

459 PHIL -1.5
462 KC -9

466 SF -9

467 DEN -3

471 BALT -1

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The GAR slamin picks

Miami
Oak
Dallas

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Game of the Day: Broncos at Patriots

Denver Broncos at New England Patriots (+3, 54)

Tom Brady and Peyton Manning will inevitably end up in the NFL Hall of Fame together and have been compared to each other since the former burst onto the scene in 2001. The two star quarterbacks continue their rivalry when the New England Patriots host the Denver Broncos on Sunday. As usual, Brady and Manning have their respective teams near the top of the AFC and Sunday’s meeting could have implications on postseason seeding down the line.

Brady’s teams have defeated Manning’s 10 out of the 15 meetings, but the Broncos got the big win when it counted in the AFC Championship game last season. “Peyton has been a phenomenal player – so consistent and durable for a long period,” Brady told reporters. “We've had a great rivalry. ... He’s always been someone I've really looked up to and admired.” Denver owns the best record in the AFC and joins New England in entering the weekend on a four-game winning streak.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE HISTORY: Vegas books opened the Broncos as 3-point road faves and that hasn't moved. The total opened 55 and is down to 54.

INJURY REPORT: Broncos - RB Montee Ball (Questionable, groin), CB Omar Bolden (Questionable, concussion), LB Steven Johnson (Questionable, ankle). Patiots - DB Nate Ebner (Questionable, finger), OL Cameron Fleming (Questionble finger).

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid-30s with a 31 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow toward the SE endzone at 13 mph.

POWER RANKINGS: Broncos (-8.75) + Patriots (-3.75) + home field (-3.0) = Broncos -2.0

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Denver has won and covered four straight and heads to New England for just its third road game. 9-20 ATS in the last 29 road games versus a team with a winning home record. New England on a four-game winning streak after 2-2 start and plays Denver in its third-straight home game. 3-9 ATS in the last 12 games after scoring more than 30 points." Matt Fargo.

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We opened the Broncos -3.5 (+100) / Pats +3.5 (-120) and we saw mostly Broncos money at that price. We went to -3.5 -105 and eventually -3.5 flat on the game and that’s when we took a decent size bet from one of sharper players. We went back to Broncos -3.5 and that same sharp bettor took the Pat’s again at that new price, that forced us to get down to 3-flat on this game, which is our current number. Since going to 3-flat though we’ve seen a huge rise in Broncos support and I wouldn’t be surprised if we eventually get back to 3.5 on this game. Obviously we hate moving off and on this very key number of 3, so we’ll get to -3 (-120) before going back to 3, but currently we’ve moved it from 3 flat to Broncos -3 (-115) for now." Michael Stewart.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS, 5-2 O/U): Denver received a few extra days to prepare after playing the Thursday night game on Oct. 23 and has looked even better than the team that went to the Super Bowl last season. Defensive end Von Miller, who sat out the win over the Patriots in the AFC Championship game, was named the NFL’s Defensive Player of the Month for October with seven sacks and cornerback Aqib Talib, who made the Pro Bowl as a member of New England in 2013, is now on the Broncos’ side. “I think they’re forming their identity,” Manning told reporters of the defense. “There is no question they’re playing with confidence, and that’s what you want.”

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS, 6-2 O/U): New England’s rise over the last few weeks can be directly linked to the return to health of tight end Rob Gronkowski, who was limited the first month while recovering from a knee injury that knocked him out of the 2013 campaign. The player that delivered the hit that tore up Gronkowski’s knee, safety T.J. Ward, is now with the Broncos, and the Patriots’ star has been avoiding making any statements directly about Ward. Gronkowski’s statements on the field have been loud, and he is coming off a three-TD performance in last week's 51-23 victory over the Chicago Bears.

TRENDS:

* Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings in New England.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.

CONSENSUS: 53 percent of wagers are backing the visiting Broncos.

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StatFox Super Situations

NFL | BALTIMORE at PITTSBURGH
Play Over - Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points excellent offensive team - scoring 27 or more points/game
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
6-4 this year. ( 60.0% | 1.6 units )

NFL | ARIZONA at DALLAS
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) in conference games, off a close loss by 7 points or less to a division rival
53-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 77.9% | 0.0 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

NFL | BALTIMORE at PITTSBURGH
Play Under - Any team where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 versus division opponents, off a upset win as an underdog
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
6-3 this year. ( 66.7% | 2.7 units )

NFL | DENVER at NEW ENGLAND
Play On - Any team vs the money line (NEW ENGLAND) mistake-free team (<=1.25 TO/game committed) against a team with <=1.25 TO/game forced, after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers
64-25 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.9% | 0.0 units )
9-6 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.0 units )

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Randall the Handle's Week 9 NFL selections
BEST BETS
Buccaneers 1-6 at Browns 4-3
LINE: CLEVELAND BY 6 1/2
When you think of a Florida-based team that is dead last in both offence and defence in addition to being 31st in point differential, Jacksonville likely comes to mind. However, you'd be insulting the Jaguars because it is this Tampa Bay squad that owns such dubious distinctions. Only the Raiders and Bucs average less than 300 yards on offence per game while the Falcons and Bucs are the only pair that give up more than 400 yards per contest. It's not easy to get behind a team that is so poor on both sides of the ball. QB Mike Glennon was relegated to back up at the start of the year, but Josh McCown's ineptitude has thrust him back into action. Tampa's passing game is so weak, you have to go all the way to 52nd before finding a Tampa receiver on the yardage list. Vincent Jackson sits there, averaging a paltry 51 yards per game. Of course, there is risk in spotting too many points with the Browns but they are 3-1 at home, Brian Hoyer has thrown just two interceptions in 218 pass attempts and Tampa has no pass rush to harass the Brownies.
TAKING: BROWNS -6 1/2
Eagles 5-2 at Texans 4-4
LINE: PHILADELPHIA by 2
Rock breaks scissors, scissors cuts paper, defence trumps offence. Those being the rules, having a stronger defensive team taking points to this haphazard Eagles team, we intend to play by those rules. While the raw numbers may not illustrate a superior defence here, Houston clearly has the better stop unit and with Jadeveon Clowney back for the second week after recovering from a knee injury, J.J. Watt and Clowney figure to be too much for Philadelphia's suspect offensive line to deal with. It won't help that QB Nick Foles has been erratic with an unimpressive 59% completion rate and his team ranks dead last in red zone touchdowns. The scheduling of this one also does Philly no favours. The Eagles just lost a tough game in Arizona and they'll travel on consecutive weeks. They'll look forward to returning home for the first time in a month next week as they host the Panthers in the Monday nighter, only to be followed by a trip to Lambeau. Conversely, the Texans are home after splitting two away games (a loss at Pittsburgh despite outplaying the Steelers) and their only defeat here was at the hands of the Colts.
TAKING: TEXANS +2
Ravens 5-3 at Steelers 5-3
LINE: BALTIMORE by 1
Sometimes, the point spread tells you which team to take. This is one of those occasions. Folks are high on the Steelers after witnessing Ben Roethlisberger throw for insane numbers (40 of 49 for 522 yards and six TDs) against the Colts last week while the Ravens were losing to a Bengals team that had been in a funk. Yet, Baltimore is actually favoured in this game at Pittsburgh? Isn't it always three points for the home team in this heated rivalry? Perhaps the oddsmakers remember the 26-6 thrashing that the Ravens laid on these Steelers in Week 2. Or could it be Pittsburgh's home loss to the one-win Buccaneers? If any team knows how to slow down Big Ben's offence, it's this Baltimore club. In their past 12 meetings, Pittsburgh has averaged just over 15 points per game. The Steelers didn't even make it to the end zone in that earlier tussle. Masked in Pittsburgh's offensive barrage last week was their inability to play defence, namely at the cornerback position where coach Mike Tomlin continues to jockey players around in an attempt to correct that inefficiency. Baltimore figures to take full advantage as will we.
TAKING: RAVENS -1
THE REST
Chargers 5-3 at Dolphins 4-3
LINE: MIAMI by 1 1/2
There's no shame losing to the Chiefs and Broncos recently as the Chargers have done their past two games, but that doesn't mean there aren't concerns. San Diego is hurting -- down to rookie running back Branden Oliver, who may be talented, but is still cutting his teeth. DB Brandon Flowers makes a huge difference and he's on the shelf along with other significant defensive players. Even though QB Philip Rivers is having an outstanding campaign, his offensive line has not been good and they figure to have their hands full with Miami's talented and aggressive pass rush. The Dolphins' defence is an unheralded group but is strong in all facets. That should be the difference in this one.
TAKING: DOLPHINS -1 1/2
Jaguars 1-7 at Bengals 4-2-1
LINE: CINCINNATI by 11
Human nature applies to athletes and, say what you will, but it is difficult to get up emotionally when playing these Jaguars. We've seen superior teams have brain cramps against them and this one sets up really well for the Bengals to fall victim to. A slumping Cincinnati team earned a monstrous win over division- leading Ravens last week. After this one, they are on a short week before hosting divisional contending Browns. Not only will the Bengals still be without top receiver A.J. Green, they've now lost defensive leader Vontaze Burfict for a few games. Yes, the Jags have won just five of their past 19 games but their defence has been noticeably better, holding three of their past four foes to fewer than 18 points.
TAKING: JAGUARS +11
Redskins 3-5 at Vikings 3-5
LINE: Even
Robert Griffin III returns to the field and while it makes for good headlines, we're not so sure it helps the Redskins in the short term. Let's not forget that RG3 has just one win in his past seven starts and that was this year's opener versus Jacksonville. It's also not an ideal scheduling situation for the Redskins, having to travel on a short week, following an emotional road win in Dallas on Monday. The Vikings return home after two away and while they retool their offence, the defence has seen significant improvement under defensive-minded Mike Zimmer. These two have faced off each of the past four years with the Vikings taking three of the four. No reason they can't do the same here and a win earns us a cover.
TAKING: VIKINGS Even
Jets 1-7 at Chiefs 4-3
LINE: KANSAS CITY by 9 1/2
Spotting prohibitive points with the Chiefs might be considered risky, but it sure beats jumping on this Jets train wreck. Kansas City has been playing very well, winning five of six after an 0-2 start. But this isn't about them as much as it is a fade of Rex Ryan's team. The Jets keep turning the ball over and while that can be random among teams, New York's personnel is more prone to it than others. QB Geno Smith was the ringleader but replacing him with 34-year old Michael Vick hardly figures to correct things. The Jets are vulnerable on defence as well, allowing at least 24 points to seven of eight opponents and 30+ four more times. Jets have just one interception on the year!
TAKING: CHIEFS -9 1/2
Rams 2-5 at 49ers 4-3
LINE: SAN FRANCISCO by 10
Many are pointing at St. Louis' sudden rash of injuries but as valid as that might be, the Niners' infirmary is just as busy. In what looks to be a battle of attrition, prefer to accept the double-digits being offered especially with the familiarity factor here. These two hooked up just three weeks ago and the Rams had San Fran on the ropes before self-destructing on a bunch of blunders that led to a 34-17 win, the Niners with a late pick six for the cover. The 49ers have been favoured in six of seven games played so far, but they've spotted more than 4 1/2 only once, resulting in a 28-20 straight-up loss to the Bears as a seven-point choice.
TAKING: RAMS +10
Broncos 6-1 at Patriots 6-2
LINE: DENVER by 3
Let's see. There are three late afternoon games. Do we watch Rams at Niners, Raiders at Seahawks or this one? While history will support the Patriots taking home points, the Broncos are clearly the best team in the NFL right now and giving away just a field goal no matter who the opponent might be seems like the prudent play. At full strength, New England would still be up against it here. But with some key pieces like LB Jerod Mayo and RB Steven Ridley sidelined, it will be that much tougher. Denver has been crushing teams. It has improved on defence and the offence is loaded with weapons. History may point to Tom Brady but current form points to the visitor.
TAKING: BRONCOS -3
Raiders 0-7 at Seahawks 4-3
LINE: SEATTLE by 15
A rookie quarterback on a winless team heading into CenturyLink? It's a tough sell, we know. But spotting huge points like this in the NFL is hazardous. Besides, it's not like the Seahawks are rocking and rolling like they were a year ago. They had lost consecutive games before squeaking by the defenceless Panthers last week. Seattle brass has tried to gloss over their departures and injured players but it doesn't wash. The Seahawks defence that led the league a year ago with 39 takeaways is currently tied for 28th with just seven turnovers through seven games. Seattle's passing game has taken a hit as well with both Golden Tate and Percy Harvin playing elsewhere.
TAKING: RAIDERS +15
Colts 5-3 at Giants 3-4
LINE: INDIANAPOLIS by 3
It's feast or famine with the Giants as they either win or get crushed. All four of the G-Men's defeats have been by 10 or more and now they get an angry Colts squad that was embarrassed in Pittsburgh last week. Prefer to hitch our wagon to Andrew Luck and his mates than this erratic New York bunch as Indy had won five straight before getting trounced last Sunday. Indianapolis has shown a penchant for bouncing back as it has won 13 of 14 after a loss. The Giants return from a bye but they are still minus some key players and they had dropped a pair by a combined 58-21 prior to their week off. The Colts should get back in win column here.
TAKING: COLTS -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

NFL

Chargers +2

Broncos -3

Steelers +2

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Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play SUN Browns - 6 1/2

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Gamblers Data

Free Plays Sunday

Ducks -130

Knicks -3

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INTER-CONFERENCE OVERS ( 17-17 ) :

Tampa Bay/Cleveland OVER
Philadelphia/Houston OVER
Seattle/Oakland OVER

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Power Sweep

4H Forecast San Fran by 18

3H Forecast Cleveland by 13
2H Arizona +
3H SD/MIA........Over

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Gold Sheet Extra
Denver/New England...OverNot much arm-twisting required for us to buy the “over” argument whenDenver and New England square off on Sunday at Gillette Stadium. Both
have been among the premier “over” teams in the NFL for the past several
years. The Patriots’ long-established “over” trend has resurfaced with
“overs” in five straight, pushing the regular-season “over” mark to an eye-
opening 50-21 since the start of the 2010 campaign! Meanwhile, the Broncos
are trending “over” again (four straight) after a brief “under” interlude, and
now 49-26-1 “over” in regular-season play since late in 2009. These two are
also “over” in their three regular-season games since 2011.

Indy/NYG.....Over
Another “over” trendsetter lately has been Indianapolis, which invadesthe Meadowlands on Monday for a clash at MetLife Stadium vs. the NY
Giants. After easily blowing “over” last week vs. the Steelers, Indy is “over”
5-2-1 this season and “over” 7-2-1 its last ten since late in the 2013 campaign.
The Colts are also “over” 8-1-1 their last ten away form Lucas Oil Stadium

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Vegas Winning Crew

50 Dime Plays: Arizona, 7 points teaser San Francisco /Seattle, Philadelphia.

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Spartan

triple-dime bet: New England +3

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Scott Spreitzer

3* NFL WK-9 SUNDAY SMACKDOWN: Baltimore

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Craig Davis

Sunday's Action...


100 Dime Winner for Sunday is the New England Patriots plus the points at home against the Denver Broncos. At 7:00 am eastern time, the Pats are +3 point underdogs both in Vegas and offshore. If your line is +3 or dips to +2 1/2 I want you to buy the half point up on the Patriots.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams

Sunday Selection ...

For Sunday, Raise the Bar 1500♦ is the Philadelphia Eagles as the road favorite over the Houston Texans. At 10:05 pm eastern on Saturday night, the Eagles are the -1 1/2 point favorites in Vegas and offshore.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dan the Man

Sunday's Play

Sunday winner is a 75 Dime play on the Denver Broncos as the road favorite against the New England Patriots. At 7:05 pm Vegas time on Saturday night, the Broncos are -3 in Vegas and offshore. I want you to buy the half point down if your line is -3 or -3 1/2. Make sure to shop around and get the best line possible.

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Brad Wilton

Your Sunday Winner...

Sunday winner is a 50 Dime release on the Arizona Cardinals as the road dog at the Dallas Cowboys. At 7:05 pm Vegas time Saturday night, the Cardinals are the +3 point underdogs. If your line happens to be anywhere from +2' to +4, go ahead and buy the half-point up on 'Zona

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Jeff Benton

Sunday's Action

50 Dime winner going out for this Sunday is the Broncos and Patriots to hold Under the total. At 10:05 pm eastern time, the total for this game is 54 points both in Vegas and offshore.

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Bryan Rosica

First Ever 85 Dime

NFL Bankroll Builder

Arizona

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Chase Diamond

San Diego Chargers vs. Miami Dolphins (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -115 Miami Dolphins Play Title: Chase's 15* NFL VEGAS INSIDER
At Sportsbook.com

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Scott Delaney

Sunday Winner

My 200 Dime Winner for tonight is on the CLEVELAND BROWNS in their home clash with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. And as I release this game at 7:30 a.m. eastern, I see the line on this game is -7. I want you to be sure you're buying the half point down on this one, down to -6.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Play Wins

PPOD

NFL: San Francisco 49ers -10

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Greg shaker

3* Denver / new England under 55.5

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Stephen nover

2* Bal/pitt over 47.5

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Today's NFL Picks Denver at New England The Patriots host the Broncos this afternoon and come into the contest with an 8-1 ATS record in their last 9 home games when the total listed is greater than 49 1/2 points. New England is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Patriots favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: New England (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's NFL picks.


SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 2
Time Posted: 7:00 p.m. EST (10/29)


Game 451-452: San Diego at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 134.534; Miami 137.978
Dunkel Line: Miami by 3 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Miami by 1; 45
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-1); Under


Game 453-454: Jacksonville at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 125.104; Cincinnati 133.700
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 8 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 11 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+11 1/2); Under


Game 455-456: Tampa Bay at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 122.456; Cleveland 131.497
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 9; 47
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 6 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-6 1/2); Over


Game 457-458: Washington at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 125.958; Minnesota 130.481
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-1 1/2); Under


Game 459-460: Philadelphia at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 132.073; Houston 133.242
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 53
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+2 1/2); Over


Game 461-462: NY Jets at Kansas City (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 122.816; Kansas City 143.891
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 21; 45
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 9 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-9 1/2); Over


Game 463-464: Arizona at Dallas (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 134.908; Dallas 135.812
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 1; 44
Vegas Line: Dallas by 4; 48
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+4); Under


Game 465-466: St. Louis at San Francisco (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 125.897; San Francisco 138.657
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 13; 48
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 10; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-10); Over


Game 467-468: Denver at New England (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 142.499; New England 143.484
Dunkel Line: New England by 1; 52
Vegas Line: Denver by 3 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: New England (+3 1/2); Under


Game 469-470: Oakland at Seattle (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 122.664; Seattle 135.186
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 12 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Seattle by 15; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+15); Under


Game 471-472: Baltimore at Pittsburgh (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 134.551; Pittsburgh 137.412
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 3; 52
Vegas Line: Pick; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh; Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's CFL Picks Toronto at Montreal The Argonauts head to Montreal this afternoon where they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 contests versus the Alouettes. Toronto is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Argonauts favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+2 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 2
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (10/30)


Game 497-498: Toronto at Montreal (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 117.697; Montreal 116.580
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Montreal by 2 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+2 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks Golden State at Portland The Warriors head to Portland tonight following a 127-104 win over the Lakers last night and come into the contest with a 4-10-1 ATS record in their last 15 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Portland is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blazers favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Portland (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.


SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 2
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST


Game 701-702: Sacramento at LA Clippers (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 116.762; LA Clippers 124.799
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8; 201
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+10); Under


Game 703-704: Toronto at Miami (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 119.895; Miami 127.669
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 8; 205
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 705-706: Charlotte at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 111.406; New York 111.098
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 193
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 4; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+4); Over


Game 707-708: Golden State at Portland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 122.749; Portland 128.568
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 6; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 3 1/2; 207
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-3 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks Nashville at Vancouver The Predators head to Vancouver tonight to face a Canucks team that is coming off a 3-2 win at Edmonton last night and is 1-9 in its last 10 games when playing with 0 days rest. Nashville is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Predators favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-110). Here are all of today's NHL picks.


SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 2
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 51-52: Detroit at Buffalo (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.120; Buffalo 9.675
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-245); 5
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-245); Over


Game 53-54: Los Angeles at Carolina (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 10.383; Carolina 11.481
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-185); 5
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+165); Under


Game 55-56: Arizona at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 9.120; Washington 10.970
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-175); Over


Game 57-58: Calgary at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.348; Montreal 11.333
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-185); 5
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+165); Under


Game 59-60: Anaheim at Colorado (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.426; Colorado 12.639
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+115); Under


Game 61-62: Winnipeg at Chicago (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 9.877; Chicago 12.707
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-260); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-260); Under


Game 63-64: Nashville at Vancouver (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 12.544; Vancouver 11.110
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-110); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-110); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Anthony

BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR SF 49ers

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Anthony Redd

Sunday's Play

80 Dime selection on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers against the Cleveland Browns. As I release this play at 5:10am Pacific here in Vegas, the line on Tampa Bay +7 in Vegas and offshore. In this situation I recommend you buy the 1/2 point insurance and move the line to + 7 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gabriel DuPont

Football winner...

My 50 Dime Winner is the OVER in the Cleveland-Tampa Bay clash at FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland. And as I release this game at 5 a.m. pacific, I see the line is 43 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

Sunday Selection ...

My 100 dime selection is on Arizona over Dallas. The current line on this game ranges from Arizona +2 to a pickem to Arizona -1 1/2. Definitely shop around for the best line available.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

25* TOTAL OF THE YEAR: Steelers/Ravens UNDER 48
15* AFC GOW: Jets +10
15* NON-CONFERENCE KNOCKOUT: Raiders +14.5
20* NBA GOW: Kings +10

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Jimmy Boyd:

5* GAME OF YEAR: Jets +10
4* TOTAL OF THE MONTH: Steelers/Ravens UNDER 48
3* WEEK 9 TOTAL DOMINATOR: Bucs/Browns UNDER 43.5

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Wayne root

top play Miami dolphins

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King Creole | NFL Total
San Diego Chargers @ Miami Dolphins Double-Dime Bet
2** Play On: Under The Total
*Optimum Ou Line: 45 Or More Points
Washington Redskins @ Minnesota Vikings Double-Dime Bet
2** Play On: Under The Total
*Optimum Ou Line: 43.5 Or More Points
Philadelphia Eagles @ Houston Texans Double-Dime Bet
2** Play On: Over The Total
*Optimum Ou Line: 48.5 Or Less Points

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rooster
Arizona ml

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Tiger
Dolphins -118
Teaser - cardinals +9.5/49ers-2.5

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Vince Akins's Pick Pack
NFL Sunday Picks



Premium Plays


Matchup: Arizona at Dallas
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Under (45.5 -110)
Line Source: CG Technology
Posted on: October 31, 2014 @ 9:09:30 PM EDT

4.5-STAR Arizona and Dallas Under - No matter who is taking the snaps for Dallas in this game, look for the game plan to be conservative. If its Tony Romo, they are going to absolutely need to avoid him getting hit, eliminating any threat of a deep passing game. If its Brandon Weeden, look for an even heavier dose of running that normal from the Cowboys. With Arizona being able to even keep the Eagles offense in check, do not look for this to be a high scoring game.
Last week, Dallas lost to Washington in overtime, 20-17. The Cowboys are 0-6-1 OU (-5.21 ppg) since Dec 17, 2011 when they lost 1-3 points last week (team=Cowboys and -3<=p:margin<0 and date>=20111217).
That game with a total of 49.5 went under by 12.5 points. Teams that when under last game by more than 12 points when the total was at least 49 are 43-66-1 OU (p:total>=49 and p:ou margin<-12).
Washington moved the ball consistently all game, picking up 409 yards of total offense. The Cardinals are 0-7-1 OU (-7.31 ppg) since Jan 10, 2009 as a dog when facing a team that allowed 400-plus yards of offense in their last game (team=Cardinals and D and 400<=opo:TY and date>=20090110).
Arizona is the underdog here after being a small favorite in a last minute win over Philadelphia. The Cardinals are 0-7 OU (-8.93 ppg) since Nov 13, 2011 as a dog after playing as a favorite (team=Cardinals and D and p:F and date>=20111113).
Philly had led almost the entire way, and the Cardinals did not lead after any of the first three quarters. The Cardinals are 0-8 OU (-8.31 ppg) since Sep 18, 2011 the week after a win in which they did not have the lead after any of the first three quarters (team=Cardinals and p:W and p:M1<=0 and p:M2<=0 and p:M3<=0 and date>=20110918).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: 36 points






Matchup: N.Y. Jets at Kansas City
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: N.Y. Jets (+10 -115)
Line Source: Sportsbook.ag (http://www.sportsbook.ag/)
Posted on: October 31, 2014 @ 9:09:30 PM EDT

4-STAR Ny Jets over KANSAS CITY - The public perception on the Jets has gone done the drain, but what they really are just an inconsistent team. Just two weeks ago they had a chance to win on the final play at New England and the week prior to that had chances to tie the game late in the fourth quarter against Denver. The Jets are built to run and kill clock and the Chiefs are 24th in the league in run defense. Look for them to shorten this game and have a real chance to win.
Kansas City is just 4-3 on the season, making them a risky play as this big of favorites. Teams that are more than TD-favorites that have not won at least 62.5% of their games on the year are 236-334-11 ATS (line<-7 and WP<62.5).
However after lowering expectations with their week one loss, they've covered in each o the last six games. Teams that have covered in at least six straight games are 37-48-2 ATS (ats streak>=6).
Kansas City is home for the second straight week after winning as a home favorite last week over St. Louis. The Chiefs are 0-9 ATS (-10.67 ppg) since Nov 11, 2007 at home after playing as a home favorite (team=Chiefs and H and p:HF and date>=20071111).
They won that game handily, 34-7. The Chiefs are 0-7 ATS as a favorite after scoring 34+ points at home (team=Chiefs and F and p:points>=34 and p:H and date>=20031116).
Alex Smith was extremely efficient throwing the ball in that game, going 25-of-29 to pick apart the Rams. The Chiefs are 0-7 ATS (-13.14 ppg) since Dec 20, 2003 as a favorite the week after a win in which their completion percentage was at least ten points higher than their season-to-date average (team=Chiefs and F and p:W and Average((100.*tp:completions)@team and season and tp:season=season) / Average(tp:passes@team and season and tp:season=season) + 10<=100. * p:completions / p:passes and date>=20031220).
New York meanwhile lost big to division rival Buffalo last week, 43-23. They are good at rebounding from those games. The Jets are 11-0 ATS after a loss at home against the Bills (team=Jets and p:HL and po:team=Bills).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: KANSAS CITY 20, Ny Jets 17






Matchup: Arizona at Dallas
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Arizona (+4 -110)
Line Source: Stations
Posted on: October 31, 2014 @ 9:09:30 PM EDT

4-STAR Arizona over DALLAS - We would like Arizona on this line if Tony Romo was 100% healthy but his struggles only further muddy the equation on the Dallas side. Grab this very fair line while you can as any further Tony Romo news is going to cause this to swing.
Dallas is still the favorite here after losing outright as a huge 10-point favorite to Washington last week. The Cowboys are 0-7 ATS (-9.64 ppg) since Nov 22, 2009 as a home favorite after a loss as a favorite (team=Cowboys and HF and p:FL and date>=20091122).
That loss came in over, 20-17. The Cowboys are 0-6 ATS (-8.67 ppg) since Nov 11, 2001 the week after playing an overtime loss (team=Cowboys and p:overtime=1 and p:L and date>=20011111).
They had covered in the previous two games to that by 15.5 and four points. The Cowboys are 0-7 ATS (-7.43 ppg) since Nov 22, 2009 as a favorite when their ats margin decreased over each of their past two games (team=Cowboys and F and p:ats margin=20091122).
Arizona is coming off a 24-20 last second win over Philadelphia as a small favorite. The Cardinals are 8-0 ATS (8.94 ppg) since Nov 17, 2013 after a win as a favorite (team=Cardinals and p:FW and date>=20131117).
Arizona did most of their work through the air in that game including the 75-yard game winner. The Cardinals are 8-0 ATS (10.12 ppg) since Dec 02, 2012 the week after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards (team=Cardinals and 3 * p:rushing yards=20121202).
Larry Fitzgerald had a huge game in the win with seven catches for 160 yards. The Cardinals are 7-0 ATS (11.7 ppg) since October 6, 2013 after a win in which Larry Fitzgerald had more than 5 receptions (5<=Cardinals:Larry Fitzgerald:p:receptions and p:W and date>=20131006).
They gave up an even bigger day to Philly receiver Jeremy Maclin, with 12 catches for 187 yards. Teams that allowed a receive to have 12+ catches last game are 72-59-2 ATS (max:po:receptions>=12).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Arizona by 4






Matchup: Oakland at Seattle
Time: 4:25 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Over (42.5 -110)
Line Source: The Greek
Posted on: October 31, 2014 @ 9:09:30 PM EDT

4-STAR Oakland and Seattle Over - Oakland has not been putting up enough points to win games and certainly aren't expected to win this one. As monster underdogs, look for them to take a few more chances, going both ways, that leads to a few more points for the visitors.
Oakland is the only winless team left in the league, having lost their first seven games. The Seahawks are 9-0 OU (10.22 ppg) since Nov 14, 2010 when their opponent is on a 3+ game losing streak (team=Seahawks and o:streak<=-3 and date>=20101114).
They were on the road last week as well, losing to Cleveland 23-13. The Raiders are 8-0 OU (17.31 ppg) since Oct 24, 2010 on the road the week after an away game (team=Raiders and A and p:A and NB and date>=20101024).
Oakland threw for 316 yards in that loss but ran for just 71. Teams that are more than 10-point dogs after a game where they had more than three times as many passing yards as rushing yards last game are 98-58-4 ATS (line>10 and 3 * p:rushing yards=20111204).
They've fallen behind early in most game and have been forced to give up the run. They've ran a league low 19 times per game this year. The Seahawks are 6-0 OU (12.83 ppg) since Nov 27, 2011 as a home favorite when their opponent's season-to-date average rushing attempts per game is fewer than 25 (team=Seahawks and HF and Average(o:rushes@o:team and season)<25 and date>=20111127).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: SEATTLE 31, Oakland 24






Matchup: Denver at New England
Time: 4:25 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: New England (+3.5 -120)
Line Source: Sportsbook.ag (http://www.sportsbook.ag/)
Posted on: October 31, 2014 @ 9:09:30 PM EDT

4.5-STAR NEW ENGLAND over Denver - Games where the Patriots are home underdogs are few and far between. They've won both games as a home underdog outright the last two years, and haven't been one prior to that since 2005. Going back to 2001, the Pats are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games as home dogs. We know these teams can play very similarly, but Denver's recent margins are driving this line too high.
New England is already 4-0 this season and has won 13 straight home games. The Patriots are 6-0 ATS (6.08 ppg) since Dec 24, 1989 as a home dog when they won their last two home games (team=Patriots and HD and Sum(0=19891224).
Denver meanwhile is on a feverish run their last four games, winning by margins of 21, 14, 25 and 14 the past four games. Teams that have won by double digits in each of their last four games are 39-54-4 ATS (p:margin>=10 and pp:margin>=10 and ppp:margin>=10 and pppp:margin>=10).
New England hasn't had any issues stopping opponents winning streaks at home. The Patriots are 6-0 ATS (15.83 ppg) since Nov 18, 2012 at home when their opponent is on a 3+ game winning streak (team=Patriots and H and o:streak>=3 and date>=20121118).
Denver's last two games were both primetime tills against San Francisco and San Diego, both coming at home. The Broncos are 0-8 ATS (-16.56 ppg) since Sep 30, 2007 on the road on artificial turf after playing at home in each of the previous two weeks (team=Broncos and A and surface=artificial and p:H and pp:H and date>=20070930).
Last week they were able to score 35 against San Diego in the win. Teams that road favorite of more than a point after a game last week where they scored at least 30 points and did not win by more than 27 last game (A and line<-1 and p:points>=30 and NB and p:margin<=27).
New England scored even more last game, thrashing Chicago 51-23 at home. Tom Brady threw for 354 yards and five touchdowns. Teams that threw for at least four touchdowns last game are 156-121-7 ATS (p:PTD>=4).
Despite that huge passing performance, Julian Edelman was a non-factor. He had just one catch for 14 yards. The Patriots are 9-0 ATS (12.00 ppg) since Sep 22, 2013 at home after a game in which Julian Edelman didn't have a a 20+ yard reception (H and Patriots:Julian Edelman:p:longest reception<20 and date>=20130922).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: NEW ENGLAND 31, Denver 27






Matchup: Baltimore at Pittsburgh
Time: 8:30 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Pittsburgh (+2 -105)
Line Source: bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/)
Posted on: October 31, 2014 @ 9:09:30 PM EDT

4-STAR PITTSBURGH over Baltimore - The Steelers are a team notorious for rising to the team, and the occasion, especially at home. They don't look great overall when losing to Tampa Bay at home and struggling against the Browns. But then they will dominate the Colts and put an amazing stretch of football against Houston. Having already lost to the Ravens this is a huge game for them and we expect their hot play to continue.
Pittsburgh was a four-point dog against Indianapolis last week, covering by 21 pionts in a 17-point win. The Steelers are 6-0 ATS (7.67 ppg) since Nov 04, 2012 within 3 of pick when they covered by 10+ points last game (team=Steelers and -3<=line<=3 and 10<=p:ats margin and date>=20121104).
The final score was 51-34, going over the total by 36 points in that win. Teams coming off a game that went over the total by at least 29.5 points last game are 176-134-7 ATS (p:ou margin>=29.5).
Most of that was the Steelers who scored 28.5 points more than expected. Teams that scored at least 23.5 points more than expected last game are 75-55-4 ATS (p:dps>=23.5).
Pittsburgh put a whopping 639 yards of total offense in the win. The Steelers are 10-0 ATS (9.8 ppg) since October 29, 1995 at home the week after a game at home in which they had at least 100 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average (team=Steelers and H and p:H and tA(p:TY)+100<=p:TY and date>=19951029).
Ben Roethlisberger put up 522 of those=yards and six touchdowns. Teams that threw for at least four touchdowns last game are 156-121-7 ATS (p:PTD>=4).
It was another big game for Antonio Brown with 10 catches for 133 yards. The Steelers are 11-0 ATS (7.3 ppg) after a game that was not the season opener where Antonio Brown had more than 90 and less than 150 receiving yards (150>AntonioBrown:p:receiving yards>90 and game number>2).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: PITTSBURGH 27, Baltimore 20






Member Plays


Matchup: San Diego at Miami
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: San Diego (+2.5 -110)
Line Source: William Hill
Posted on: October 31, 2014 @ 9:09:30 PM EDT

4-STAR San Diego over MIAMI - We heard the narrative of San Diego struggling going to the East early this year and the Chargers came out and thrashed Buffalo, a place where these same Dolphins were dominated. We also heard it last season where they pulled off a big playoff upset in Cincinnati. This tired narrative is keeping the line down as they travel to Miami, where the home field advantage is quite small.
Against non-AFC West foes, San Diego has thrived for the better part of a season. The Chargers are 7-0 ATS (14.50 ppg) since Dec 08, 2013 vs a non-divisional opponent (team=Chargers and NDIV and date>=20131208).
This is their second straight game as a road dog after heading to Denver last Thursday night as a heavy road dog. The Chargers are 6-0-1 ATS (8.29 ppg) since Jan 01, 2012 as a road dog after playing as a dog (team=Chargers and AD and p:D and date>=20120101).
Teams playing on the road for the second straight week carry an advantage. Teams on the road for the second straight games are 474-360-20 ATS since 2003 (A and p:A and season>=2003).
Miami meanwhile is playing a lone home game, having won in comfortably in Jacksonville last week and traveling to Detroit next week. The Dolphins are 0-15 ATS (-13.3 ppg) since Oct 19, 2003 as a home favorite between away games, if they did not win by less than a TD (team=Dolphins and HF and p:A and n:A and date>=20031019 and (p:margin>=7 or p:margin<0)).
San Diego lost in Denver last week, 35-21. They stuck with the running game as long as they could, but it was unsuccessful. They ultimately threw for 245 yards while running for just 61. The Chargers are 10-0-1 ATS (8.86 ppg) since Dec 17, 1989 as a road dog the week after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards on the road (team=Chargers and AD and 3 * p:rushing yards=19891217).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: San Diego by7






Matchup: Tampa Bay at Cleveland
Time: 1:00 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: Over (43 -110)
Line Source: 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)
Posted on: October 31, 2014 @ 9:09:30 PM EDT

4-STAR Tampa Bay and Cleveland Over - These teams are not highly thought of offenses, keeping this total quite modest. However, the Browns have scored 23.3 points per game, reaching at least 20 in all but one game this year. Meanwhile, the Bucs defense is a train wreck, despite decent play last week, allowing 31.9 ppg. There will be enough big play opportunities for these teams to send this over.
Tampa Bay has lost and failed to cover in two straight games and will need to turn to their offense to try to pick things up. The Buccaneers are 7-0 OU (10.21 ppg) since Oct 13, 2013 when they lost and failed to cover their last two games (team=Buccaneers and streak<=-2 and ats streak<=-2 and date>=20131013).
They need to shoot for big plays as they've not been able to steadily move the chains, picking up just 32.9% of third downs. The Browns are 7-0 OU (13.36 ppg) since Dec 16, 2012 when facing a team that has an average third down conversion rate of less than 35% (team=Browns and Sum(o:third downs made@ o:team and o:season) / Sum(o:third downs attempted@ o:team and o:season)<.35 and date>=20121216).
Meanwhile, their defense is second worst in the league on third downs, part of an overall troubling picture where they a league worst 410 yards per game. The Browns are 6-0 OU (14.67 ppg) since Dec 16, 2012 at home when facing a team that has allowed an average of at least 375 yards of offense per game season-to-date (team=Browns and H and oA(o:TY)>=375 and date>=20121216).
Cleveland is coming off a 23-13 win against Oakland last week. They again did not commit any turnovers in that game, something that has not given the opponent easy scoring chances, but also something that's hard to sustain. The Browns are 8-0 OU (12.4 ppg) since Dec 16, 2012 after a game in which they committed no turnovers (team=Browns and p:turnovers=0 and date>=20121216).
Neither team ran the ball well last week. Cleveland had just 39 yards on the ground while Tampa Bay was not much better with just 66 in an overtime loss to Minnesota. Teams that rushed for less than 50 yards last game and are playing a team that ran for less than 75 yards last game are 72-31-1 OU (p:RY<50 and op:RY<75 and season>=2002).
A Cleveland team that has had such success running the ball did not have a carry of more than seven yards against the Raiders. Teams that did not have a carry of longer than seven yards last game are 83-60-2 OU (max:p:longest rush<=7).
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: 51 points






Guaranteed Plays


Matchup: St. Louis at San Francisco
Time: 4:05 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: St. Louis (+10 -110)
Line Source: Stations
Posted on: October 31, 2014 @ 9:09:30 PM EDT

4.5-STAR St Louis over SAN FRANCISCO - Last week was a natural letdown game for a young team in the Rams after their thrilling win over Seattle the game prior. However that was their first big loss since week one, as even their first matchup against San Francisco was much closer than the final score would indicate. The 49ers have not shown anything this season to suggest they should be this big of favorites here.
St Louis is on the road for the second straight game here after losing big in Kansas City last game. Teams on the road for the second straight games are 474-360-20 ATS since 2003 (A and p:A and season>=2003).
St. Louis was competitive even last week, leading 7-0 after one quarter in the 34-7 loss. Teams that led by at least a TD after one quarter and allowed at least 33 points last game are 126-74-2 ATS (33<=po:points and 7<=p:M1).
Even at half they were down just 10-7 before falling apart in the second half. Teams that were outscored by at least 24 points in the second half last game are 64-51-3 ATS (p:M2-p:margin>=24).
They were seven point underdogs in that game and are even bigger dogs here. Teams that are at least 6.5 point underdogs after being at least TD dogs last game as well are 132-95-4 ATS since 2006 (line>=6.5 and p:line>= 7 and season>=2006).
San Francisco was on bye last week but the game prior they were throughly destroyed by the Broncos, 42-17. Teams that are favored after a game where they scored no more than 19 points and allowed at least 37 are 61-90-3 ATS (po:points>=37 and F and p:points<=19).
These teams met just three weeks ago with San Francisco winning 31-17 even though the Rams led at halftime. Teams that are more than eight point dogs after a double digit loss at home their first matchup against this team this season are 58-41-1 ATS (P:season=season and P:H and P:margin<-10 and line>8).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

2* Dolphins -2

2* Broncos -3

2* Ravens -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor Original NFL Picks

Cleveland -7

Version 3 (11/2)

CLE -7 (B)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks.
SUNDAY
TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS
Play San Francisco -9.5 over St. Louis----RISK 15% OF YOUR BANKROLL
4:00 PM EST
San Francisco has won 20 of the last 26 games when playing after the 1st month of the season and they have won 28 of the last 36 games when playing as a favorite. San Francisco has won 15 of the last 19 home games and they have won 14 of the last 18 games after having won two of the last three games.


Play Seattle -15.5 over Oakland----RISK 15% OF YOUR BANKROLL
4:30 PM EST
Oakland has lost 28 of the last 33 games when playing as an underdog and they have lost 17 of the last 19 road games. Oakland has lost 8 of the last 9 games when playing in the month of November and they are only averaging 12 points on offense in road games this season.


==================================================
BONUS NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS
Play Cincinnati -11 over Jacksonville----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Kansas City -9.5 over New York Jets----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Baltimore -1.5 over Pittsburgh----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
BeatYourBookie.


SUNDAY


10* Play Miami -1 over San Diego (Top NFL Play)


San Diego is 2-5 ATS when playing in the month of November
San Diego is 5-12 ATS coming off an OVER the total in their last game




10* Play New England +3 over Denver (Top NFL Play)


New England is 51-30 ATS after having won four of the last five games
New England is 22-8 ATS when playing as a home underdog




10* Play Baltimore +1 over Pittsburgh (Top NFL Play)


Baltimore is 7-2 SU when playing in the month of November
Baltimore is 15-5 SU coming off a road game
Winning Angle


SUNDAY


NBA BASKETBALL


Play Los Angeles Clippers -10 over Sacramento (NBA TOP PLAY)


Sacramento has lost 27 of the last 28 games when playing as an underdog of ten points or more and they have lost 63 of the last 82 road games. Sacramento has lost 19 of the last 28 games when playing on a Sunday and they have lost 20 of the last 27 games when playing in the month of November.




Play New York -3 over Charlotte (NBA BONUS PLAY)
Play Portland -3 over Golden State (NBA BONUS PLAY)






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NHL HOCKEY


Play Washington -170 over Arizona (NHL TOP PLAY)
Play Montreal -180 over Calgary (NHL TOP PLAY)
Winning Angle Football






SUNDAY


Play Miami -1 over San Diego (NFL)
1:00 PM EST


San Diego has lost 5 of the last 7 games against the spread when playing in the month of November and they have lost 12 of the last 17 games against the spread coming off an OVER the total in their last game. San Diego has lost 9 of the last 13 games against the spread coming off a division game and they are allowing an average of 28 points on defense in their last three games.




Play New England +3 over Denver (NFL)
4:30 PM EST


New England has covered the spread in 51 of the last 81 games after having won four of the last five games and they have covered the spread in 22 of the last 30 games when playing as a home underdog. New England has covered the spread in 8 of the last 9 home games when the total posted is greater than 49.5 points and they are averaging 34 points on offense in home games this season.




Play Philadelphia -2 over Houston (NFL)
Play Baltimore +1 over Pittsburgh (NFL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
Tough one Thursday as turnovers in the first half cost us a chance at the OVER. I've added five plays below for Sunday and Kyle has a couple as well.

4 UNIT = St Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers - RAMS +10 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.64 units)

2 UNIT = 2-Team 6-Point Teaser - JAGUARS +17.5 and RAIDERS +22 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
*This teaser was bet at 5Dimes.eu under "6 point ties reduce" teasers. You can find this at other sportsbooks as well, but it's important you get +17.5 or better for the Jags and +21.5 or better for the Raiders. If you can't bet this teaser I would make it a 2 unit play on each of these two teams against the spread.

2 UNIT = San Diego Chargers @ Miami Dolphins - CHARGERS +1.5 (+100)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)

2 UNIT = Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cleveland Browns - BUCCANEERS +7 (-115)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)

2 UNIT = Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys - OVER 44.5 POINTS (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
Sent earlier:

4 UNIT = 2-Team 6-Point Teaser - JETS +17 and RAVENS +7.5 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.64 units)
** This was sent earlier in the week and Jets +17 won't be available anymore if you didn't get the bet in because of line movement. If you didn't get this bet in I would add a 2 unit play on Ravens +1.5.

Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = N.Y. Jets @ K.C. Chiefs - CHIEFS -8.5 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
Before I go any further I have to mention one thing about this game and other peoples perceptions. I am reading and hearing from multiple people that the Jets defense is going to keep them in this game to give them a cover. Maybe the Jets' defense puts on one hell of a defensive effort on Sunday, but these claims are being made with little justification. This is NOT the same Jets team that had Revis in his prime. This is NOT the same Jets' defense that made Mark Sanchez look like an adequate quarterback and beat the Patriots in the playoffs a few years back. All of the focus is on how bad their offense is, and while it is not great, the defense hasn't been shouldering their share of the load either. The last four weeks the Jets have allowed 43, 27, 31, and 31 points. That 43 points was against the horrible Buffalo Bills' offense. Those four games equated to an average of 33 points allowed. Prior to those games they didn't fair that much better either. On the season the Jets are surrendering 29 points per game. They're holding teams back yardage wise for the most part, but what good is it if they are giving up almost 30 points a game, including 43 to the lowly Bills. This is one of those games where it is hard to see the Chiefs scoring less than 27 points. I foresee 30 points for the Chiefs. KC is averaging 25 points per game, so 30 looks like a reasonable prediction. Note that the Chiefs are 1st in the NFL against the pass. They'll be defending against Michael Vick and a Jets attack that is 28th in the NFL in total offense and dead last passing the football, 32nd. There aren't any weapons in the Jets' offense for the quarterback to work with. I don't find Geno Smith to be good, and Vick is just about running on empty, but no one else in the offense does anything either. There is a reason that the Jets are 1-6-1 ATS this season. I originally liked the OVER 42, but I find it hard to believe the Jets find points. The Chiefs cover here.

2 UNIT = Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers - OVER 47.5 (+102)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.04 units)
If I told you the Steelers were 3rd offensively in the NFL you'd probably tell me I was crazy. However, it is in fact true that Pittsburgh is 3rd in the league in total offense. Even more, the Steelers are 4th in passing. Ben Roethlisberger is among one of the most underrated quarterbacks out there and this year no different. Have you heard much talk regarding Roethlisberger this season? No, can't say that I have. Although, I think after last weeks performance, it is about time he gets some recognition. Roethlisberger passed for 522 yards with 6 touchdowns on 40-49 passing which made for one of the most impressive passing feats of all time against the Colts. Big Ben has been playing well all season long, he has thrown only 3 interceptions, and had a 10:3 touchdown to interception ratio even before that torrid outing. At home this season it is 12:1. The previous week he was also quite solid, passing on the Texans for 265 yards and 2 touchdowns. Roethlisberger is on pace to have the highest quarterback rating of his career if he can continue to play well. The offense passes for almost 300 yards per game at 291. They are averaging 418 yards as a team in total. The defense has taken a back seat to the Steelers' offense, where they are allowing 25 points per game, and are 16th in the NFL in yards allowed. Most people see this rivalry as lots of defense and pounding the ball on the ground. However, in 2014 both offenses are in the top 10 of the NFL. The Ravens have been scoring consistently as well, scoring 27 points per game and 375.5 yards a game. The Steelers come in with the 3rd best offense and the Ravens a solid 9th. The OVER is 4-0 last four Steelers home games. The OVER is on a 10-4-1 run in Pittsburgh when the Ravens and Steelers meet at Heinz Field. Several years ago I don't think anyone would think we'd see a total this high in a Ravens/Steelers game, and today I am feeling confident about it going OVER the total at 47.5.
**May have an additional play coming.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Insider Sports Report

4* Seattle -14 over Oakland (NFL)
Range: -12 to -16


3* Houston +1.5 over Philadelphia (NFL)
Range: +3 to -1


3* New England +3 over Denver (NFL)
Range: +4.5 to +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

National Sports Service

4* San Francisco -9.5 over St. Louis (NFL)

3* Arizona +3 over Dallas (NFL)

3* Pittsburgh +2 over Baltimore (NFL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Elite Sports Picks

San Diego +2.5 over Miami (NFL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FSOTB - Fat Side Of The Bacon

HIT THE PROS HARD.....JUST A FEW HIGH QUALITY PLAYS
JOE DIMAGGIO 5 PLAYS....THE JOEY D
MIAMI DOLPHINS MONEY LINE...... NEG BODY CLOCK
ARIZONA CARDINALS PLUS 4 1/2......... MY BACK HURTS
OAKLAND RAIDERS PLUS 15 1/2.......... FOR BIG BUBBA
BALTIMORE RAVENS MONEY LINE..........RAY LEWIS REINCARNATED
NEW YORK FOOTBALL GIANTS PLUS 3 1/2.........ELI BYE WEEK WORKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NY Sports Genius

5 units

(NFL) Chargers +2.5 (-110)

4 units

(England Soccer) Manchester City/Manchester United over 3 goals (-102)
(NFL) Redskins moneyline (-110)
(NFL) Steelers +2 (-110)

3 units

(NFL) Seahawks -14 (-110)
(NBA) Knicks -4 (-110)
© 2014 Microsoft Terms Privacy & cookies Developers English (United States)

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Hall of Fame Sports/Holloway

San Francisco 49ers -9.5 -120

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Erin Rynning

Nfc goy minnesota

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Bob Balfe

Sunday NFL Comp Pick

Broncos -3 over Patriots

The hype this year just is not the same as it has been when Manning and Brady get together, but both guys are amazing to watch. Remember a month ago when people were writing off this Pats team? Brady responded with 4 big wins, but a lot of that is because of weak teams he has played. There is no doubt that the best team in the NFL is the Broncos and it is not even close. This is a team that has few flaws on either side of the ball where New England has a lot of defensive injuries and still does not have a solid offensive line to protect Brady. I am glad the Patriots won their last 4 games because we have a low spread in this game. I have to go with the much better football team. Take the Broncos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wolkosky Milan


50* Chargers / Dolphins Under 45
20* Miami Dolphins -2
20* Jacksonville Jaguars +11
20* Buccaneers / Browns Under 44
20* Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7
20* Philadelphia Eagles -2
20* Dallas Cowboys PK

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pointwise Phones

4* San Diego
3* Washington
3* Pittsburgh
3* Over Denve/NE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

2000* NFL Over 45 Dolphins/Chargers
100* NBA Over 187.5 Hornets/Knicks
100* NFL Redskins Pk
50* NFL 49ers -9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike O' Connor

Sent: Fri, Oct 31, 2014 4:27 pm
Subject: NFL
(301) New Orleans -3 (-120) for 3-stars (Thursday night game)
(453) Jacksonville +10.5 -115 for 2-stars
(456) Cleveland -6.5 (-115) for 2-stars
(461) NY Jets +9 for 2-stars
(467) Denver -3 for 3-stars
(469) Oakland +14.5 (-115) for 2-stars

Good luck.
NFL Analysis by Mike O'Connor
***New Orleans (-3 -120) 32 CAROLINA 19

Thu Oct-30-2014 at 05:25 PM Pacific Rotation: 301 Over/Under 49.0

New Orleans comes off of their most impressive victory of the season in their 44-23 home win last Sunday night against the Packers in a game where they generated 495 yards of offense at 7.6 yppl. They’ll travel to Carolina to face a Panthers team that came up just short last week in their 9-13 home loss to the Seahawks and will face the Saints this week in a battle for first place in the NFC South. The Panthers will need to produce some offense in this game if they expect to win but it will be a tall task against a Saints team that has some very good matchups working in their favor. On the ground New Orleans has a huge advantage as they have rushed for 133 yards at 5.2 ypr against teams that allow 121 yards at 4.4 ypr and will face a Panthers rush defense that is allowing 136 yards at 5.4 ypr to teams that gain 111 yards at 4.4 ypr on average. If the Saints can rush the ball well, their offense will be difficult to stop as quarterback Drew Brees is having another very good season.

With a really banged up offensive line that will be missing both starting guards as well as their left tackle, both running the ball and protecting Cam Newton will be an issue against a Saints pass rush that found their groove last week, sacking the Packers quarterbacks four times. So far this season Carolina has had no real ground game to speak of, averaging 93 yards at 3.6 ypr against teams that allow 111 yards at 4.2 ypr and will have a hard time getting any push with several new players along the offensive line. While traveling on a short week is not ideal, the Saints are the more talented team and shouldn’t be flat as this game is for the division lead and is in primetime. I have situations that go both ways in this game but my model is strong on the Saints (-7.1). Although the Panthers are +4 in turnover differential while the Saints are -6, New Orleans has suffered from negative fumble luck (losing 6 of their 7 fumbles on offense while their opponents have only lost 2 of their 6). I like the matchup for the Saints as they can win on the ground or in the air while the Panthers will be hard pressed to keep up behind a decimated offensive line. I’ll take the Saints -3 -120 for 3-stars up to -3 -125 and for 2-stars at up to -3 -135.
***Denver (-3) 32 NEW ENGLAND 20

Sun Nov-02-2014 at 01:25 PM Pacific Rotation: 467 Over/Under 54.5

Amazingly, Sunday will be the 23rd time, as either a head coach or defensive coordinator, Belichick has faced Manning. Belichick is 12-10 SU in those contests and with Brady at the helm the Patriots are 10-5 versus Manning. This is a different Broncos team, however, than those that Belichick has faced in the past. This Denver team not only has the best offense in the league, but also the best defense. Peyton Manning has been his usual off the charts self, but to me the real story of this season is that Denver now has a defense that can shut down the run (allowing just 69 yards at 3.3 ypr against teams the gain 120 yards at 4.3 ypr), can shut down the pass (allowing 5.4 yps to teams that average 6.4 yps) and can generate turnovers (+4 turnover differential). They match up well with a Patriots team that has struggled running the ball (averaging 107 yards at 4.0 ypr against teams that gain 112 yards at 4.2 ypr) and is below average in defending both the run and the pass. New England has had some injuries and inconsistent play along their offensive line and in their front seven defensively and as a result I expect the Broncos to control this game in the trenches. Denver averages 3.3 sacks against teams that allow 2.3 and should be able to generate pressure on Brady, especially if the Patriots have trouble running the ball, which I expect they will.

The Patriots lead the league with a +11 turnover differential but have been the beneficiary of some good fortune as they have lost only 3 of their 9 offensive fumbles while their opponents have lost 8 of their 11. New England is tough to beat at home but there are some very good matchups in this game that the Broncos should be able to exploit. Last season the Broncos led 24-0 before letting up a bit as the Patriots came back for a 34-31 win in Foxboro in a game where New England essentially conceded the run, allowing 280 rushing yards while Manning only passed for 132 yards at 3.5 yps. Then in the AFC Championship Game, Manning passed for 400 yards at 9.3 yps as the Patriots slowed down the run game (107 rushing yards at 3.8 ypr) in the Broncos 26-16 win in Denver. The point is that it is a pick your poison proposition as the Broncos will beat New England on the ground or in the air, as the Patriots won’t be able to stop both. Meanwhile, I don’t think that the New England offense will be able to keep up against a strong Denver defense. There are situations going both ways but my model is strong on Denver, favoring them by almost 11.5 points. I’ll take the Broncos -3 for 3-stars up to -3 -120 and for 2-stars at up to -130.
**Jacksonville (+10.5 -115) 18 CINCINNATI 21

Sun Nov-02-2014 at 10:00 AM Pacific Rotation: 453 Over/Under 43.5

The Jaguars have played better recently, beating Cleveland 24-6 two weeks ago and then last week outgaining Miami 377 yards at 5.5 yppl to 327 yards at 5.9 yppl but turnovers from the quarterback position have been their downfall. Last week Blake Bortles threw 2 interceptions that were returned for touchdowns and that increased his total to four pick-sixes this year to go along with his 12 overall interceptions. He has to improve and the Jaguars offensive focus is on eliminating mistakes and turnovers this week against the Bengals. Otherwise, the Jaguars have gone under the radar in gradually improving the past four weeks and if not for the turnovers, they could be 3-1 their past 4 games. They have made some changes recently that have paid dividends, including getting Denard Robinson more involved in the offense. In their first six games, the Jaguars averaged 69.5 yards per game rushing. In the past two, they've averaged 180.5, including last week’s 176 yards at 5.9 ypr against a good Miami rush defense. Most of that has come from Robinson, who has run for 235 yards at 5.9 ypr in the past two games. They get a pretty good match-up here against a Bengals rush defense that has been disappointing so far this season in allowing 141 yards at 4.9 ypr against teams that gain 109 yards at 4.2 ypr. In addition, LB’s Rey Maualuga and Vontaze Burfict look like they’ll miss this game, leaving the Bengals run defense very vulnerable.

Cincinnati is the better team but it’s a terrible spot for Cincinnati as they come off of a much needed divisional win last week against the Ravens and will play host to division rival Cleveland on Thursday night. The Bengals expended a lot of emotional energy last week in the win against the Ravens and know that they have a short week upcoming. Facing a team that has played better than their record indicates recently, I expect the Bengals to be flat and the underachieving Jaguars to surprise them. This is too many points for a team in this spot to give up, so I’ll take the Jaguars +10.5 for 2-Stars down to +10.
**CLEVELAND (-6.5 -115) 26 Tampa Bay 12

Sun Nov-02-2014 at 10:00 AM Pacific Rotation: 456 Over/Under 43.5

Tampa Bay was disappointing last week in a favorable spot at home coming off their bye and a blowout and facing a subpar Vikings team. They played uninspired football and lost 19-13 in overtime to the Vikings after giving up a late three point lead and now have to travel to Cleveland where the game-time temperature is forecasted to be in the upper 30’s. The Bucs have not been good in any respect this season with a bad offense that is only generating 295 yards at 5.1 yppl against teams that allow 368 yards at 5.9 yppl and a defense that is allowing 414 yards at 6.1 yppl to teams that average 370 yards at 5.8 yppl. They’ll face a Browns team that took care of business last week in a 23-13 home win against the Raiders after getting upset by the Jaguars the week prior. Having lost that game to the Jaguars, I expect the Browns to be prepared to play well as they’ll be on high alert for a letdown similar to the one against Jacksonville.

Cleveland is in the thick of the race in the AFC North and know that they can’t letup in this game. It appears that they’re also getting a bit healthier on a defensive line that had been decimated by injuries the past few weeks and that should help to shut down a Bucs run game that has only been able to generate 86 yards per game and could be without their top RB Doug Martin. The past two weeks teams have brought eight men in the box to shut down the Browns running game but they have a better matchup this week against the Cover 2 of the Bucs and their numbers should improve. Cleveland is the better team and my model favors them by about 14 points. I don’t have any situations but based on the model and what should be a good spot I’ll take Cleveland -6.5 -115 for 2-stars up to -7.
**NY Jets (+9) 19 KANSAS CITY 20

Sun Nov-02-2014 at 10:00 AM Pacific Rotation: 461 Over/Under 42.0

The Jets were abysmal last week against the Bills, turning the ball over 6 times in their 23-43 loss. Geno Smith set the early tone with interceptions on three consecutive drives which helped the Bills open up a 24-7 lead before Michael Vick contributed three turnovers of his own. Meanwhile, Kansas City was busy putting a beat-down on the Rams at home in their convincing 34-7 win. Those dichotomous results actually set the Jets up in a favorable play on spot this week as New York qualifies in one of my favorite situations that is 161-90-10 (3-0 so far this season).

Interestingly, the Jets match-up fairly well with the Chiefs in this game. The Chiefs don’t throw downfield much and instead prefer to run the ball and emphasize a short passing approach that plays into what the Jets strengths are. New York defends the run well (allowing 87 yards at 3.6 ypr) but have been susceptible to downfield passing attacks. The Jets also rush the passer well and generate 3.0 sacks against teams that allow 2.13 per game. In addition, Kansas City doesn’t defend the run particularly well, allowing 111 yards at 4.8 ypr to teams that gain 108 yards at 4.2 ypr. Also, there is a lot of familiarity between these two teams as Jets offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg was Andy Reid’s OC in Philadelphia while Bob Sutton was a defensive coach with the Jets from 2000-2012. On top of that, Michael Vick played for Reid in Philadelphia from 2009-2012.

The Jets should get a boost from Vick this week as they had lost confidence in Geno Smith and I expect a better overall performance from New York after playing flat in the loss to the Bills. Kansas City has had unbelievable success on third down with #3 rankings on both offense and defense while the Jets rank #18 and #23. There is a lot of variance in that statistic and those rates likely won’t continue as some regression to the mean may be expected. In addition, the Jets have the worst turnover differential in the league by far at -15 and although Vick has been turnover prone as well, with Smith out and Vick getting reps with the first team, that number should improve. The Jets should keep this one close and based on the situation and match-ups, I’ll take the Jets +9 for 2-stars down to +8.5.
**Oakland (+14.5 -115) 18 SEATTLE: 25

Sun Nov-02-2014 at 01:25 PM Pacific Rotation: 469 Over/Under 43.0

The Raiders are now 0-7 after their 13-23 loss last week in Cleveland and have the daunting task of travelling to Seattle to take on the Seahawks. The do have some technical support on their side, however, as they qualify in 496-405-14, 50-20 and 49-23-2 situations along with a 21-2 subset that plays on winless teams in the mid to late part of the season. Oakland has a good chance to keep this one close as outside of their season opening 36-16 win against the Packers, Seattle has played all six other games to a final score within ten points. Meanwhile, since their bye week and a change to interim head coach Tony Sparano, the Raiders have played three winning teams in the Chargers, Cardinals and Browns and have not lost by more than 11 points. The Seahawks are dealing with some injuries along their offensive line and in their front seven and while it’s difficult to make a case statistically for the Raiders, I like the situations and as a result I’ll take the Raiders +14.5 -115 for 2-stars down to +14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne root

Pinnacle. Miami
Inner circle. Houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RAINMAN

5 San Fran
5 Arizona
3 Pitt
1 Philly
1 Cinncy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

James jones

3 Units: (470) Seattle Seahawks -13.5 4:25 PM ET
2 Units: (461) New York Jets +9 1:00 PM ET
1 Unit: (471) Baltimore Ravens -1.5 8:30 PM ET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Major1Sports

5* Arizona
5* San Diego
3* Denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Clement

NFL 10 Unit Play of the Week!
Philadelphia Eagles -1.0/-110

AFC 10 Unit Play San Diego Chargers 2.0/-105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

This week marks the return of Robert Griffin III for the Washington Redskins, who are fresh off a MNF upset win over the Dallas Cowboys. Today, they travel to Minneapolis to take on Teddy Bridgewater and the Minnesota Vikings. This number opened up at a PK and has pretty much stayed right there, which is interesting seeing as we have a Redskins team on a high off their big win. There are a couple of angles we like here that back the home team. First, we are getting the Redskins on a short week and the second game of a back-to-back road swing. Second, Vikings HC Mike Zimmer and Skins HC Jay Gruden were on the same staff last season in Cincinnati, so there is a real familiarity with each of these systems. Even though RGIII appears to be an upgrade for the Skins over Colt McCoy, we did think that McCoy was pretty effective last week in the Cowboys win we believe you will see a lot of rust with RGIII in his return. The Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games vs. teams with a losing record and The Skins are a dismal 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win. The NFL is all about the situation and this really looks like a tough spot today for the Redskins and we think the value here lies with Bridgewater and the Vikings. The Sharps say…

3 UNITS – MINNESOTA VIKINGS (PK)

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Gordon24

$400 Vikings

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lt locks
Ravens
Dolphins
Texans

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members Area
PSYCHIC
(1-5)

4 unit Tampa +7 (MAJOR)
4 unit New England +3 (MAJOR)
5 unit San Diego +2 (WISEGUY)
5 unit Pittsburgh +2 (WISEGUY)

WIZARD
(1-10)

7 unit Cincinnati -10
8 unit Washington Pk
9 unit Philadelphia -1.5 (Interconference GOY)
9 unit NY Jets +9 (Underdog GOY)

JT WALKER
(all units same one unit)

Toronto Raptors +

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond

20* NFL SUNDAY NIGHT MONEY IN THE BANK
Baltimore Ravens -1.0/-115

15* NFL SHOCKER
Arizona Cardinals 3.0/-120

15* NHL TOP DOG
Colorado Avalanche Money Line: 115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fantasy Sports Game time

SUNDAY FOOTBALL

5000* Play Philadelphia -2 over Houston (TOP NFL PLAY)

Houston has lost three of the last four games and they have lost 16 of the last 17 games when playing as an underdog. Houston has lost 8 of the last 11 games vs. NFC Conference Opponents and they have lost 19 of the last 28 games when playing after the 1st month of the season.


5000* Play New England +3 over Denver (TOP NFL PLAY)

New England has won 20 of the last 23 home games and they have won 13 of the last 14 games when the total posted is greater than 49.5 points. New England has won 16 consecutive games coming off five or more OVER the totals and they have won 22 of the last 28 games when playing after the 1st month of the season.


5000* Play Baltimore -1 over Pittsburgh (TOP NFL PLAY)

Baltimore has won 7 of the last 9 games when playing in the month of November and they have won 15 of the last 20 games coming off a road game. Baltimore has won 22 of the last 36 games when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points and they have won 11 of the last 15 games after covering the spread in two of the last three games.

================================================


50* Play Miami -2 over San Diego (TOP NFL PLAY)
50* Play San Francisco -9.5 over St. Louis (TOP NFL PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday

4* Best Bet = INDIANAPOLIS(Monday Night)
3* = CLEVELAND
3* = ARIZONA
2* = Minnesota
2* = San Francisco

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

4 Unit Diamond NFL Play Philadelphia Eagles -1.5/-105

3 Unit Cleveland Browns -7.0/-105

3 Unit Arizona Cardinals 3.0/-120

3 Unit Minnesota Vikings 0.0/-110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella


2* Portland over (up to 208) NBa
2* Dolphins money line
AFC Total of the Month"
3* on BRONCOS/PATRIOTS UNDE®R 54.5 (51 play up till)
2* NFL 7 pt Teaser of Week


SF 49ers -2.5 to ARIZONA CARDI®NALS +8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris James

NFL
Wash pick
Ny Jets +10
Miami -1
S.F -9.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS Line Readers

Baltimore Ravens -1
Bobcats/Knicks Under 187

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAY AFTER YOU WIN SUBSCRIPTIONS:


Joe Wiz- 460 Houston
Jim Hurley - 455 Tampa Under
Black Card Club - passing early
Dom Dominator - 461 Jets Over
Mike Warren - 455 Tampa Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant
2* Dallas
2* San Fran -9.5
3* Baltimore -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Hochman

4* New York Jets 10.0/-115
4* Jacksonville Jaguars 10.5/-110
5* New England Patriots 3.5/-115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Magic Mike's Picks


5* Over 44 Cowboys/ Cards
4* Vikings SU
3* Dolphins SU
3* Texans SU
2* Jets +10

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Treys picks

NFL New England +3.5
NFL 2 team teaser: San Diego +9.5 & Cleveland Pick
NFL 2 team teaser: San Diego +9.5 & Pittsburgh +9.
NFL Minnesota Pick
NFL Seattle -14
NHL Washington -165

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Northcoast



NFL LATE PHONES:
Sunday Plays
3*Washington +1 Minnesota 1 pm
3*UNDER 41 KC/NY Jets 1 pm
3*San Francisco -9.5/-10 St Louis 4 pm
Top Opinions:
Cleveland -7 Tampa Bay - NC Sports Comp Pro Play
UNDER 47.5 Pittsburgh/Baltimore - NBC Marquee
OVER 45 Miami/SD - Totals Play (Not a Marquee)
Reg Opinions:
Houston +1.5 Philadelphia - Dog
NFL MONDAY - TOP WEEKLY NFL PLAY:
3.5*Indianapolis -3 NY Giants 8:30

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lenny stevens

20 pitt
20 tb

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Chris Jacobson

Houston Texans 2.5/-110
San Francisco 49ers -9.5/-110
Pittsburgh Steelers 2.0/-110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

kelso
50 seattle
15 ravens
10 houston

100 sd

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Rockdeman Sports (NBA 7-2)

Knicks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetime Insiders

NFL

3* Bengals, Chiefs, Over Browns/Bucs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Firefox Sun Nov 2nd, 2014 5:05pm EST

5 Unit Total Play · Under [53] Los Angeles Kings vs. [54] Carolina Hurricanes

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Nevada Sports Experts

NFL:
5 UNIT NFL Game of the Month!
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -13.5
TV: CBS, DTV: 714

NHL:
4 Unit Best Bet Vancouver Canucks -120
TV: FS-Tennessee, DTV: 646

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Godfather locks

Texans
ravens
seahawks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Derek Hayes

Dolphins
Ravens

[Can'tPickAWinner]

king Creoles 4* best bet? 4**** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL (53.5 points)
For the second week in a row, we’ll be ‘All OVER’ (pun intended) another New England Patriots game. We realize this call on OVER the Total is as ‘square’ as it gets. But at least we have the OU ammo from our database to back it up. And it doesn’t hurt us that this New England / Denver SERIES has gone a PERFECT 3-0 O/U in the last three meetings, with an average of 60.3 points per game. So ‘Weather be damned’. We’ll stick to our guns regardless of any rains or winds.
With a big Thursday win in their rearview mirror, the BRONCOS qualify in the same HIGH-scoring situation that New England was in last week. That worked out well for us, so we’ll ride it again:
19-0 O/U s’2008: ALL teams off a THURSDAY home win that went ‘Over the Total’ (DEN).
This week starts a stretch of 3 straight road games in a row for the Broncos.
8-0 O/U s’2007: All teams in the first of 3 STRAIGHT road games (DEN) when the gameline is < 8 pts and the OU line is 45 > points.
The mighty Denver offense has scored 41, 31, 42, and 35 points in their last four games.
21-5 O/U s’97: All non-division teams who scored 31 > pts in EACH of their last 4 games (DEN). These teams have gone 9-1 O/U in the last 4 years.
On the flip side, New England is in a complete opposite scheduling situation. This will be their 3rd straight ‘homie’ in a row.
11-0 O/U last 2 years: All teams in their 3rd STRAIGHT home game (PATS) vs any non-div opponent (BRONCOS).
The Patriots were favs of -5.5 pts vs the Bears last Sunday, and won by 28 points.
16-2 O/U last 2 years / 4-0 O/U THIS season: All teams off a SU home win of 28 > pts in which they were favored by > 3 pts (PATS).
With a Bye Week upcoming, the Patriots should have the pedal to the medal.
18-4-2 (http://www.therxforum.com/x-apple-data-detectors://7) O/U s’07: All non-division home DOGS (PATS) before their Bye Week (Dogs of > 3 have gone 7-0-1 O/U).
The Pats are in the AFC East while the Broncos are in the AFC West.
18-5 O/U S’94: All AFC EAST home DOGS (PATS) vs a AFC WEST opponent (BRONCOS).
At last look, the OU line in this one was on the VERY high side (55-56 pts). A high line like that is USUALLY justified:
17-2 O/U last 2 years: ALL non-div NFL games w/ an OU line of 52 > pts (Den @ NENG).
We locked in our play at the opening line of 53.5 points. Get YOURS in ASAP. Last team with the ball wins? Final score: 35 to 31….

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Topshelfpicks

Carson K

2* Vikings, 1* Dolphins, Jaguars, Texans

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Vegas Lock Club

50* NFL Monster Move Denver Broncos -3.0/-104

50* NFL Monster Move Baltimore Ravens -1.0/-115

10*Free Play San Francisco 49ers -9.5/-110

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Stephen Nover

Steelers & Over

Arizona

Philly

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Prophet Plays

10* NFL Solid Gold Play Jacksonville Jaguars 11.0/-110

10* NFL Solid Gold Play New York Jets 10.0/-115

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Carolina sports:

4- clev, wash, jets, ok under,
3- den, sd under, balt under

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Lenny stevens:

20- pitt, tb,
10- jax, sf

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Pick city:

4- cinn,
3- ne,
2- sd, sea, sf

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World Wide Sports

Arizona Cardinals 2.5/100

Cincinnati Bengals -10.0/-110

San Diego Chargers 2.0/-105

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7.0/-110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pure lock:

Mia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

5* Cowboys
4* Redskins
4* Chargers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker

2* NY Jets +9

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Tony Stoffo

5 Units Tampa Bay Buccaneers/Cleveland Browns
Total: 43.5/-110 Under

5 Units Arizona Cardinals 3.0/-105

5 Units Denver Broncos/New England Patriots
Total: 54.0/-110 Under

5 Units Baltimore Ravens -1.0/-115

Free Play
3 Units Miami Dolphins -1.0/-110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Root W/writeups

Perfect Play---Dallas

Who made this statement two months ago(other than WAR)? The Arizona Cardinals and Dallas Cowboys are two of the best teams in the National Football League.
Dallas has been winning games by reducing their turnovers and running the ball. Star running back DeMarco Murray is currently on pace to set the single season record for carries in a season. This may raise red flags with the Cowboys coaching staff but Dallas has been so good on the offensive line that he may be able to continue putting up numbers at this pace. With Romo suffering, what a better way to win a game than by having to run the ball with Murray? Running the ball is how Dallas wins. With Dallas off a loss, expect to see a major win this week while the Dallas pieces are still playing and not injured. TAKE DALLAS

___________________________________________
Inner Circle---Houston.....NFL Upset of the Month
This is a bad spot for the Eagles to be a road favorite. The Texans have the defense to shut things down. There's always pressure to win on the road and even more pressure when you're coming off a road loss as Philadelphia is after last week at Arizona.
The Eagles are still 5-2 on the season and sitting in second in the NFC East. But it is hard in Philly to see the positives after that loss on Sunday.
Houston is 4-4 on the year after last week’s victory over the Titans in Tennessee, and are second in the AFC South. The Texans have a stout running game led by Arian Foster. Houston is fifth in the league in rushing. Can there be a better 1-2 punch than a good rushing attack and a great defense? We think not!! TAKE HOUSTON
__________________________________________
Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php)---Miami.....NFL Favorite of November
What a mess the Chargers have made since their bye week. They can't seem to get things going.
San Diego will be looking to regroup after losing two straight games to Kansas City and Denver. They lack the offensive balance needed to stay at the top.
The Chargers offense ranks 8th in passing, 30th in rushing, and 10th in scoring at 25.6 points per game.
The Miami Dolphins come into this contest needing to secure a home victory to stay in the AFC Playoff hunt. Miami has won two consecutive road contests against Chicago and Jacksonville and are hoping to keep that momentum going at home where they play extremely hard.
Miami ranks 8th in total defense and 11th in scoring defense at 21.6 points per game.
Additionally, west coast teams that come east usually have difficulty with the early start time. Great spot for Miami to continue their momentum. TAKE MIAMI

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports

#455: Buccaneers: +7.0 (-110) (0.5*)

#455/456: Buccaneers/Browns: Under 43.0 (-105) (1.5*)

#465/466: Rams/49ers: Under 44.0 (-110) (0.5*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SportsLocksmith


NFL:
St.Louis -110 -10 2*
New England +3 -110 2*
Baltimore -1 -110 2*
Chairman's Plays:
Miami Dolphins -2.5 -110 5*
Houston +2 -110 5*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA

7* San Francisco
3* San Diego
3* Tampa Bay
3* Dallas
3* New England

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TJ Pemberton

Jacksonville Jaguars 11.0/-110
Philadelphia Eagles -1.5/-110
Pittsburgh Steelers 2.0/-110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Donnie Banks

5000 Dime Houston Texans 2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frankie diamonds

Texans +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEAT Vegas

Denver -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHARLES DIAMOND

100 Dime Minnesota Vikings 0.0/-108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

OC Dooley:
“2 UNIT” EARLY NFL PERCENTAGE TOTAL (Jaguars at Bengals OVER 43’ in a 1:00 eastern kickoff): Regular clients are aware that exactly one week ago I personally unloaded on Jacksonville OVER the spot in what was their initial appearance since the season-ending injury to star linebacker Paul Posluszny who was the “captain” of the defense along with leader in tackles. In a 27-13 home defeat the Jaguars barely held below the spot as continued troubles with offensive production now has seen the team go 4-0 “under” in the past four outings and in turn has helped keep today’s over/under number very low. While rookie Blake Bortles continues with growing pains as a professional there was good news last week as he accounted for one touchdown and 269 yards from scrimmage. Cincinnati continues to be unbeatable in front of the HOME fans going 12-0-1 long term and their offensive production in “the jungle” this campaign (27, 37, 33 and 24 points respectively) have seen them light up the scoreboard each time. Getting back to the Jaguars even though they are averaging an NFL low in average point production they are 3-1 OVER/ROAD so far

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Sunday 8* (Regular Play) on San Diego at Miami @ 1:00 p.m. ET
The Miami Dolphins host the San Diego Chargers Sunday. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on San Diego with his Three-Factor Analysis: 1. The Chargers cross the country for this early kickoff on the heels of back-to-back losses. However, while many see this as a tough spot for the Bolts, San Diego is motivated to snap this mini skid and go into a much-needed bye week on a positive. 2. San Diego returns RB Donald Brown in Week 9, which isn’t making much of a blip on the radar. But this is a huge plus for the Chargers, who have been operating with a makeshift rushing game the past few weeks. Having Brown back takes some of the pressure off QB Philip Rivers, who has been an early MVP candidate. The defense won’t be able to drop back in coverage with the threat of the run back in the Bolts game plan. 3. Miami is bound for a letdown after two wins over struggling offenses. The Dolphins took road wins from Jacksonville and Chicago, giving up a total of just 27 points in those two games. San Diego, which ranks 10th in scoring (25.6 ppg) and boasts the eighth-best pass game (267.5 ypg) is a major step up in competition for Miami. The Dolphins have allowed an average of 30 points in their three losses this season.
Play on San Diego as an 8* Regular Selection Sunday.
Good luck, Scott.
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NFL Nov 02 '14
2:00p Philadelphia Eagles vs Houston Texans
Take: Philadelphia Eagles 0-120 in 1h

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Sunday 8* (Regular Play) on Philadelphia at Houston @ 1:00 p.m. ET
The Houston Texans host the Philadelphia Eagles Sunday. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on Philadelphia with his Three-Factor Analysis: 1. Houston may be able to pull off a couple of impressive defensive touchdowns here and there, but this team doesn’t have the firepower to hang with Philadelphia. If the Eagles get ahead, the gap will be too larger for Houston to overcome with Ryan Fitzpatrick at QB and the offense being forced to abandon the run. 2. Philadelphia’s defense has shown up in recent weeks, especially against the run. The Eagles struggled to contain opposing rushers to start the year but have given up an average of just 94 yards on the ground in their last three, including putting the breaks on Arizona’s ground game last week. Philadelphia’s speed on defense will be able to quickly close up any gaps, and limit the amount of daylight Arian Foster sees. 3. Houston has been terrible against the pass this season and run into a budding passing combo in Eagles QB Nick Foles and WR Jeremy Maclin. Maclin reeled in 12 balls for 187 yards receiving and two touchdowns against Arizona last week and has found the end zone six times this season.
Play on Philadelphia as an 8* Regular Selection Sunday.
Good luck, Scott.
-= TOP PLAY =-
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NFL Nov 02 '14
5:25p Oakland Raiders vs Seattle Seahawks
Take: Total 43 ov-110 in 5h

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Sunday 10* (Top Play) on OVER in Seattle vs. Oakland @ 4:25 p.m. ET
The Seattle Seahawks host the Oakland Raiders Sunday. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on OVER in Seattle with his Three-Factor Analysis: 1. The Seahawks haven’t been the same over the past three games, losing twice and barely scratching out a win at Carolina last week. Seattle returns home looking to right the ship, and will want to put on a good show for the 12th Man at CenturyLink Field. 2. The Seahawks offense has sputtered during that three-game span, especially the rushing attack. Seattle managed 119 yards versus Carolina last week – well below its season average of 148.4. The Raiders won’t put up much of a fight, allowing 130.1 yards rushing an outing. 3. Oakland may seem completely outgunned in this matchup, but Seattle’s stop unit is not the same on that rolled to a Super Bowl victory last season. The Seahawks defense is allowing 350.3 yards per game and goes up against an Oakland team that has had success passing the ball behind rookie QB Derek Carr, who has five touchdowns and only one interception in his last three games. Carr has gone up against some of the top corners in the game and hasn’t backed down. Over bettors will only need a couple scores from Oakland to blow this total out of the water.
Play on OVER in Seattle as a 10* Top Selection Sunday.
Good luck, Scott.
-= TOP PLAY =-
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NFL Nov 02 '14
9:30p Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Take: Pittsburgh Steelers +2-110 in 9h

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Sunday 10* (Top Play) on Pittsburgh vs. Baltimore @ 8:30 p.m. ET
The Pittsburgh Steelers host the Baltimore Ravens Sunday. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on Pittsburgh with his Three-Factor Analysis: 1. The Steelers come into this Sunday Night Football rivalry matchup fueled by revenge. Pittsburgh took one of the chin from Baltimore in Week 2, losing 26-6. The Black and Yellow look to return the favor in Week 9. 2. Pittsburgh is playing some of the best football in the league right now. The Steelers handled the Texans on Monday Night Football two weeks ago and erupted for 55 points in a blowout win against the Colts last Sunday. Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU and ATS in its last six games but is still not getting the respect it deserves from the oddsmakers and presents great value inside Heinz Field Sunday night. 3. Baltimore’s secondary is without corner Jimmy Smith Sunday night and goes up against Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger, who has thrown for 787 yards and eight touchdowns the last two games. Antonio Brown will command the attention of Lardarius Webb, which leaves some mismatches in the passing game. Pittsburgh will spread the ball around, hitting up RB Le'Veon Bell and TE Heath Miller for key gains, and will keep the Ravens defense guessing.
Play on Pittsburgh as a 10* Top Selection Sunday.
Good luck, Scott.
-= TOP PLAY =-
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NFL Nov 03 '14
9:30p Indianapolis Colts vs NY Giants
Take: Total 51 un-105 in 1d

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Monday 10* (Top Play) on UNDER at NY Giants vs. Indianapolis @ 8:30 p.m. ET
The New York Giants host the Indianapolis Colts on Monday. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on Under in NY Giants with his Three-Factor Analysis: 1. The Giants’ best plan of attack is to slow down the Colts high-scoring attack by keeping Andrew Luck and his talented group of receivers off the field. New York has the offense to do it, and will go with a run-heavy attack and the short, quick-hit passes on their new West Coast offense. That will eat up the clock and limit the amount of damage Indianapolis can do. 2. The Colts were embarrassed on defense by the Steelers last week, giving up 55 points on 639 total yards. Indianapolis is tightening the bolts on this stop unit and has focused on improving the stop unit this week. Expect a stout effort from the Colts defenders Monday night. 3. The Giants are back home for the first time in four weeks, playing back-to-back road games before enjoying a bye in Week 8. New York’s defense has played well inside MetLife Stadium, allowing just 17 and 20 points in its last two home stands – wins over Houston and Atlanta respectively. The G-Men welcome another indoor team to East Rutherford, where the temperatures will dip into the 40s. The Colts haven’t had the best success in outdoor venues, putting up only 24 points in Denver, and managing 34 points – 14 of those in garbage time – at Pittsburgh last week.
Play on UNDER at NY Giants as a 10* Top Selection Monday.
Good luck, Scott.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EXECUTIVE

600 mlami
550 houston
150 minnesota
100 new england
100 baltimore

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7.0/-110
Arizona Cardinals Money Line: 120
Houston Texans2.5/-110
San Francisco 49ers -9.5/-110
Denver Broncos-3.0/-113
Seattle Seahawks -15.0/-105
Baltimore Ravens Money Line: -120
Portland Trail Blazers -3.5/-110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Neri
3* Chargers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Corleone

Arizona Cardinals 3.0/-120

San Diego Chargers 2.0/-105

Denver Broncos -3.0/-104

Pittsburgh Steelers 2.0/-110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph
Super pk Balt Ravens -3 Blue Ribbons Chargers + 2 1/2, Pats +3, Eagles-1 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Karpinski

10* NFL Game of the Week Miami Dolphins -1.0/-110

4* Arizona Cardinals 3.0/-120

4* New York Jets 10.0/-115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep

U51 Denver
U44 Vikings
Washington +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Jay Dotson

1000* NFL Home Cooking
Houston Texans 2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFAC:
471 Balt Pk ($500)
461 Ny Jets +8.5 ($300)
465 St Louis +11 ($300)
468 NE +3.5 (-120) ($400)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fat Jack
THERE ARE 3 SELECTIONS ON SUNDAY
#451 SAN DIEGO +2 (SENT TUESDAY)
#468 new england UNDER 55 (SENT TUESDAY)
#471 BALTIMORE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Higgs

10* Money-Bomb San Francisco 49ers -10.0/100

10* Money-Bomb Denver Broncos -3.0/-110

8* Sure-Shot New York Jets 10.0/-115

5* Best Bet Dallas Cowboys -3.0/100

4* Money-Maker Baltimore Ravens -1.0/-115

4* Money-Maker Miami Dolphins Money Line: -110

4* Money-Maker Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7.0/-115

4* Money-Maker Houston Texans 2.5/-110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Red Suit

Skins/Vikes over 44

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Shively

Jacksonville Jaguars 10.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U
2014 National Football League NFC vs AFC Total of the Year!!!!!
Philadelphia/Houston over 48 1/2
Early NFL Best Bets
San Diego/Miami under 45
Jacksonville/Cincinnati over 43 1/2
Tampa Bay/Cleveland under 43
Arizona/Dallas over 44 1/2

2014 AFC North Division Watch & Win Total of the Year!!!!!
Baltimore/Pittsburgh under 47 1/2

Late NFL Best Bets
St Louis/San Francisco over 43 1/2
Denver/New England over 54
Oakland/Seattle under 43

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Thomas

9*NFL HIDDEN GEM TOTAL*
Cardinals/Cowboys 44.5/-110 Over

8*SUNDAY NFL LOCK*
Philadelphia Eagles Money Line: -118

8*AFC HOME FIELD PLAYOFF PICTURE*
Broncos/Patriots 54.0/-110 Over

8* NBA FULL COURT PRESS* Sacramento Kings 10.0/-110

8* NHL PUCK LINE*
Anaheim Ducks/Colorado Avalanche
5.5/-115 Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

sports unlimited/Marco D'Angelo

7 Balt
5 Miami
4 Houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gregg Allan

5 Unit Dallas Cowboys -3.0/-115
5 Unit New England Patriots 3.5/-115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lou Lacerda

3 UNITS San Diego Chargers 1.5/-105

3 UNITS Minnesota Vikings 0.0/-109

4 UNITS Denver Broncos -3.0/-115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG MONEY (Top) BALT

CAROLINA SPORTS (5,4,3) 4- CLEV, WASH, JETS, OK UNDER, 3- DEN, SD UNDER, BALT UNDER

DOC'S ENTERPRISES (5,4,3) 5- SF, 4- ZONA

DR. BOB (4,3,2,1) 3- DEN, 2- JAX, CLEV, JETS, OAK

GAMEDAY (5,4,3,2) 3- SF, 2- PITT

HARRY BONDI (5,4,3) 5- BALT, 3- MINN, HOU

INSIDE INFO (3,2) 3- JSX, 2- SEA

JACK JONES (25,20,15) 25- TOTALS GOY: BALT UNDER, 15- JETS, OAK

JOE D (25,20,15) 25- TB, 20- NE, 15- MIA, KC

LENNY STEVENS (20,10) 20- PITT, TB, 10- JAX, SF

NERI (5,4,3) 3- SD, CLEV

NORTHCOAST (5,4,3) 3- WASH, KC UNDER, SF

PICK CITY (5,4,3,2) 4- CINN, 3- NE, 2- SD, SEA, SF

POINTWISE (4,3,2) 4- SD, 3- WASH. PITT, DEN OVER

PREFERRED PICKS (5,4,3) 4- NE, 3- JAX

PURE LOCK (Top) MIA

TEXAS SPORTSWIRE (5,4,3) 3- DALL

UNDERDOG (Top) NE

WILDCAT (10,7,5) 10- NE, 7- SD, 5- KC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AC Dinero

Baltimore Ravens -1.0/-110

Kansas City Chiefs -9.0/-110

Miami Dolphins -1.0/-120

Cleveland Browns -6.5/-113

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michael Alexander

San Diego Chargers vs. Miami Dolphins (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: 1.5/-103 San Diego Chargers Play Title: NFL Game of the Week

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Cleveland Browns (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: -7.0/106 Cleveland Browns Play Title: Play on Cleveland

Arizona Cardinals vs. Dallas Cowboys (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: 3.0/-120 Arizona Cardinals Play Title: Play on Arizona

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cincinnati Bengals (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: -10.0/-105 Cincinnati Bengals Play Title: Play on Cincinnati

Denver Broncos vs. New England Patriots (NFL) - 4:25 PM EST Premium Play
Play: Point Spread: 3.0/-105 New England Patriots Play Title: Play on New England

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bondi

5 Baltimore
3 Houston and minny

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ross King

10* New York Jets 10.0/-115
4* Houston Texans Money Line: 115
3* Cleveland Browns Money Line: -280

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Jordan

NFL Game of the Month Denver Broncos -3.0/-106

First place Battle Arizona Cardinals 2.5/100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Youngstown Connection

$25.00 NFL Play #1

#451 San Diego +115 1PM Eastern

Line from CRIS

Line as of 340AM Eastern 11/2/14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports bank
500*
houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports authority
dallas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Millionaires club
lock
miami

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne root
no limit
baltimore

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WAYNE ROOT
MILLIONAIRE
denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik | NFL Side - Sunday, Nov 2 2014 1:00PM
457 WAS 1.0(-110) 5Dimes vs 458 MIN 2* Play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegasButcher (Full NFL Card)

Jacksonville Jaguars +10.5

This Jags game is sandwiched between two divisional games for the Bengals (BAL and CLE next Thursday) so could be a let-down spot. Bengals will be without Burfict and Maualuga, which could open up lanes for Jacksonville’s running game. It’s important for them to have success on the ground, as rookie QB Bortles has been way too turnover prone lately. Jags lost to Miami last week by 14, but Bortles threw two pick-6’s in the game. Jacksonvill’es 5.5 YPP wasn’t far off from Miami’s 5.8 YPP average, so clearly the difference in the game were the TO’s. Minimizing mistakes will be key, and that starts with the run game. Plus it won’t hurt that Cincy’s runD ranks dead last in the league. Many people might not be aware of this, but Jacksonville’s D ranks 11th in the league. And though AJ Green is back, Cincy will be without Bernard with rookie Hill getting a start. I think Jacksonville has enough factors in their favor to keep this game close and I like the situational spot for them as well.

Tampa Bay Bucks +7 (-120)

The one factor that could come into play here is Tampa’s 11th ranked rushD. This is the ‘strength’ of this team as they pretty much suck at everything else. And since Cleveland’s stud center Alex Mack went down with a year-ending injury, Cleveland has really struggled running the ball against JAX and OAK in two consecutive games. By comparison, Cleveland’s runD ranks 30th in the league and that’s another factor in Tampa’s favor. Hugely disappointing second year back Doug Martin is out, and in comes in a talent player in Rainey and a rookie Chris Sims, who is making his debut. NFL is all about ‘competition’ and ‘opportunity’ and both of these runners will get theirs tonight (though Rainey already had a chance earlier against ATL but he was terrible in that one with 2 critical fumbles). I think the Browns will need a big game from Hoyer to cover this number, and he’ll be without Cameron his top TE. Prior to the season, Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437)s listed Cleveland as -2.5 home favorite in this game. Clearly I think this number is just a tad inflated today.

New York Jets +8

Michael Vick is a starter in this one and this is a big factor. He had a full week to work with the 1st stringers and I’d expect a much more confident Jets offensive squad here. The Chiefs are 5-2 ATS on the season and coming off a blowout win at home. Jets are 1-6 ATS on the year and are coming off an embarrassing blowout loss at home. Clearly, KC is the play today right? Wrong. This is the NFL and teams make adjustments, in particular after blowout losses. Jets are going with Vick and let’s not forget that it’ll be Harvin’s 2nd week with the offense as well. Besides, last time the Jets got embarrassed with a loss (31-0 to SD), they came back with a strong effort against Denver (should have covered if not for a pick-6 thrown by Geno in the final seconds) and @ New England (got their game-winning FG attempt blocked). This team also had a chance to win @ Green Bay (lost by 7), against Chicago at home (lost by 8 but I felt they were the better team), and lost by 7 to DET. I think we are getting too many points here.

Arizona Cardinals +1.5

One important factor to consider here: Arizona ranks 6th in runD, 5th in Adjusted Line Yards allowed, and 1st in Open Field rank. They do not give up a lot of rushing yards, especially big running plays that the Cowboys have had such success with this year. Now with Romo out and Weeden in, expect the Cardinals to focus on shutting down the run game and letting Dallas’ QB beat them. Both Jefferson (safety) and Peterson (CB) are active for Arizona. While Romo’s absence is big, it’s important to note that Dallas lost their every-down linebacker in Justin Durant. Maybe today is finally the week when this defense finally shows its ‘true colors’. In any case, Arizona is 6-1 on the year with their only loss @ Denver this season. This is a very good team overall. With Dallas starting Weeden, I think there’s only one way to lean in this one.

St Louis Rams +10.5

Last year San Fran beat the Rams 35-11 on the road as a -3 point road favorite early in the season. They then struggled to put that team away in the rematch, winning 23-13 as a -7.5 home favorite. This season, San Fran was a -3 ponit road favorite and blew away the Rams 31-17. In the rematch today, they are listed as a -11 home favorite, a full 8 points higher (standard adjustment is about 6-6.5). Let’s not forget that the Rams regrouped after that blowout win to the 49ers and beat Seattle at home the following week. Now they are once again coming off a blowout loss, and will be expected to bounce-back against a divisional opponent. I think there’s definitely pure line-value on them.

New England Patriots +3

Last year when I was at the Bears @ Patriots game at Foxborough, someone mentioned a stat where the Pats are 33-0 at home against an AFC opponent, Tom Brady is on a 41-0 home run against the AFC (remember he missed most of 2008 season with an injury), and Pats now have won 12 straight at home dating back to last year. Honestly, that’s all I need here as well as the fact that my model seems New England as a -1 point home favorite in this one. I’ll grab a FG with confidence.

Baltimore Ravens PK

Ignoring what happened last week, here are Pittsburgh’s performances this season

09/07: barely beat CLE at home

09/11: got dominated by the Ravens

09/21: blew away a bad Carolina team

09/28: lost to Tampa at home

10/05: barely beat JAX, needing a pick-6 to secure an 8-point win

10/12: got destroyed by CLE on the road

10/20: got outplayed by HOU (allowed 6.2 YPP while only had 5.3 YPP themselves) and were lucky that the Texans self-destructed with terrible TO’s in the end of the 2nd half.

I know Roethlisberger went for 522 yards and 6 TD’s yesterday, but part of that was because Colts lost a number of key defenders in the game. Even so, it was an 8-point game at the end of the 3rd quarter and if not for Andrew Luck’s slip-up and a safety due to it, who knows what the outcome could have been. Roethlisberger could have had such a huge game, and the Steelers could have actually lost that one as was definitely a possibility late. That shows you how horrific this Steelers defense is. Baltimore is a better team, they have the superior defense, and they’re coming off a bad loss @ Cincinnati. I like their chances of getting it done tonight, as I don’t see Roethlisberger having such a huge game two weeks in a row.

Note

Unreal

Redskins RB Silas Redd is inactive for Sunday's Week 9 game at Minnesota after injuring his back in the morning bus crash.

The Redskins buses crashed into each other on the way to the stadium Sunday morning. Redd is the only one who suffered any injuries, and his appears minor.