11-24-14

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::handshake::

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The Gold Sheet

Key Release

***NEW ORLEANS 34 - Baltimore 20—Sean Payton’s former magic at
home has waned a bit, as New Orleans has now lost two straight in the
Superdome. And the Ravens have fond, fond memories of that venue after
beating the 49ers 34-31 there for the 2013 NFL championship. But wasn’t it just
a few weeks ago when Baltimore gave up six TD passes to Ben Roethlisberger
and then cut two of its CBs the next day? Drew Brees must avoid Mr. Dumvervil
& Mr Suggs. But the Saints’ past performances in prime-time home games
indicate Brees will out-duel the hard-throwing Flacco.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEN BURNS

MAIN EVENT - saints

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Fat Jack

New Orleans under 50

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Sports Insights

Saints -3 (-115)

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Mark Lawrence

Late Telephone Selections:

Lean to the Saints

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NHL

Hot teams
-- Boston won three of its last four games.
-- Islanders won eight of their last nine games.
-- Minnesota won four of its last five games.
-- Red Wings won five of their last seven home games.

Cold teams
-- Penguins lost last two games, allowing nine goals.
-- Flyers lost four of last five games with the Islanders.
-- Panthers lost six of their last nine games.
-- Senators lost five of their last seven games.

Series records
-- Bruins won six of last seven games with Pittsburgh.
-- Islanders lost five of last six games with Philly.
-- Panthers lost three of last four games with Minnesota.
-- Red Wings won six of last nine games with Ottawa.

Totals
-- Five of last six Penguin games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Islander games went over total.
-- Over is 4-1-2 in last seven Florida games.
-- Over is 4-0-2 in last six Detroit games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NHL | PHILADELPHIA at NY ISLANDERS
Play On - Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (NY ISLANDERS) off a win against a division rival, tired team - playing their 4th game in 7 days
133-62 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.2% | 56.4 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.7 units )

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NBA

Hot Teams
-- Orlando covered its last six games (7-1 AU).
-- Portland won last seven games, covered last five (1-1 AF).
-- Clippers are 4-0 SU in game following a win (3-1 AF).
-- Toronto won nine of last ten games, covered last four (7-2 HF). Suns won last four games (3-0-1 vs spread, 0-1 AU).
-- Rockets won nine of their first twelve games (2-3 HF).
-- Dallas won/covered six of its last seven games (5-2 HF). Indiana covered all five of its road games (4-2 SU last six).

Cold Teams
-- Cavaliers lost last four games, scoring 89.5 ppg (2-4 HF).
-- 76ers lost their first thirteen games (3-3 HU).
-- Hornets lost their last five games (0-3-2 vs spread, 0-1 HU).
-- Knicks lost nine of their last eleven games (2-3-1 AU).
-- Bulls/Jazz both lost three of their last four games.

Series Records
-- Cavaliers won their last seven games with Orlando.
-- Portland won four of last six games with the 76ers.
-- Clippers won six of their last seven games with Charlotte.
-- Suns won eight of their last eleven games with Toronto.
-- Knicks lost their last nine games with Houston.
-- Dallas is 7-4 in last 11 games with Pacers, 4-2 in last six at Indiana.
-- Bulls won six of their last seven games with Utah.

Totals
-- Seven of last ten Orlando games went over total.
-- Last six Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Clipper games.
-- Last three Phoenix games stayed under total.
-- 11 of 13 Houston games stayed under the total. Over is 7-2-1 in last ten New York games.
-- Five of last six Indiana games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Chicago games stayed under total.

Back-to-Backs
-- Portland is 2-0 when it played the night before.
-- Clippers are 3-0 SU (1-2 F) if they played night before.

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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | INDIANA at DALLAS
Play On - Favorites of 10 or more points (DALLAS) after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games
34-11 since 1997. ( 75.6% | 21.9 units )

NBA | PHOENIX at TORONTO
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (PHOENIX) off 3 or more consecutive road wins, tired team - playing their 4th road game in 7 days
29-16 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.4% | 23.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )

NBA | PORTLAND at PHILADELPHIA
Play Against - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (PORTLAND) after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season
105-56 since 1997. ( 65.2% | 43.4 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

CBB | BROWN at ILLINOIS
Play On - Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (ILLINOIS) team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference, off a home win scoring 85 or more points
157-90 since 1997. ( 63.6% | 58.0 units )
7-1 this year. ( 87.5% | 5.9 units )

CBB | OKLAHOMA ST at OREGON ST
Play Against - Any team (OKLAHOMA ST) an explosive offensive team (>=78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games
191-246 over the last 5 seasons. ( 43.7% | 38.8 units )

CBB | ALABAMA at IOWA ST
Play Against - Neutral Court teams vs. the 1rst half line (ALABAMA) off 3 or more consecutive home wins, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

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Football Crusher
Baltimore Ravens +3 over New Orleans Saints
(System Record: 33-5, lost last game)
Overall Record: 33-33-2

Rest of the Plays
New York Jets +2.5 over Buffalo Bills
Baltimore Ravens + New Orleans UNDER 50.5

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Hockey Crusher
New York Islanders -145 over Philadelphia Flyers
(System Record: 25-1, lost last game)
Overall Record: 25-17-1

Rest of the Plays
Boston Bruins +109 over Pittsburgh Penguins
Detroit Red Wings -155 over Ottawa Sens
Florida Panthers +118 over Minnesota Wild

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Basketball Crusher
Oregon +5.5 over Michigan
(System Record: 14-0, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 14-12

Rest of the Plays
Murray State +10 over Xavier
Charlotte Hornets +4.5 over LA Clippers
Portland Trail Blazers + Philadelphia 76ers OVER 204

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Soccer Crusher
Newells Old Boys + Arsenal de Sarandi UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 665-23, lost last game)
Overall Record: 665-554-102

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MNF REPORT
MONDAY NOVEMBER, 24th 2014

***** National Football League Information - Week #12 *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every week during the 2014-15 National Football League season we will analyze all of your daily football action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
__________________________________________________ ____________

Monday's Week #12 Matchups
Systems Analyst Todd Smith

#277 BALTIMORE @ #278 NEW ORLEANS
TV: 8:30 PM EST, ESPN
Line: Saint -3, Total: 50

The New Orleans Saints aren't kidding themselves about their current situation. Sure, they're right at the top of the NFC South and involved in a jumbled race for what almost assuredly will be the division's lone playoff berth. But that 4-6 record? That's a different story. "We can't escape the reality of where we are right now," quarterback Drew Brees said. "You are what your record says you are. We're a 4-6 team right now. None of us feel that because we're still in contention that that's good enough. We still have a lot of work to do." New Orleans hasn't lost three straight home games since a six-game slide in 2005, but that would change if they can't bounce back against the Baltimore Ravens on Monday night.

The Ravens are involved in a tight division race of their own, as each team in the NFC North has at least six victories. They ended a two-game skid with a 21-7 win over Tennessee on November 9th and have gotten a nice late-season rest due to last week's bye. "Players took some time off and kind of emotionally and physically recharged a little bit," coach John Harbaugh said. "You don't realize how exhausted you are until you get a chance to take a deep breath and relax." Harbaugh emphasized, though, that Baltimore has to quickly get back into game mode to be prepared for a hungry New Orleans team. "We're going to have a tough environment," Harbaugh said. "They're coming off two losses, they're a very proud team, very well coached, very talented. Great quarterback, aggressive defense.

•ABOUT THE RAVENS (6-4 SU, 6-4-0 ATS): After a blazing start Joe Flacco has struggled recently, throwing five touchdown passes and five interceptions over the past four games. Running back Justin Forsett continues to have a breakout season with 721 yards rushing, and had another solid effort against the Titans, rushing for 112 yards and two touchdowns on 20 carries. He's averaging 5.4 yards per rush, tops among all running backs. Forsett could be in for another big day against the Saints, who are allowing 4.8 per carry and 146.3 rushing yards per game over the last three weeks. Teams from the AFC North are 8-1-1 against their counterparts from the NFC South this season.

•ABOUT THE SAINTS (4-6 SU, 4-6-0 ATS): The Saints lost 27-24 in overtime to San Francisco on November 9th before last week’s 27-10 defeat to Cincinnati, a contest during which they appeared "flat," according to coach Sean Payton. New Orleans has lost by three points or fewer four times but certainly doesn't care about moral victories. Each team in the division is below .500, with Atlanta owning an identical 4-6 record but having won the teams' first meeting. If they can turn around their season, the Saints could wind up with a home playoff game despite the current struggles. "There have been a number of tough losses, close losses, and what that means is at this point in the season, that margin for error becomes that much more slight," Payton said.

•PREGAME NOTES: Baltimore has won four of five all-time meetings, most recently overcoming three touchdown passes from Brees in a 30-24 victory in 2010.... Rookie receiver Brandin Cooks (53, receptions, 530 yards) was lost for the season after undergoing thumb surgery during the week. The sure-handed Cooks' loss will be felt by Brees, who leads the league completing 69.55 percent of his passes.... Baltimore is 20th in passing defense while New Orleans ranks 22nd.... LB Elvis Dumervil has 10.5 sacks and is on pace to break the Ravens' season record of 15.... Saints S Rafael Bush is out with a broken leg.

•KEY STATS
--BALTIMORE is 11-2 UNDER (+8.8 Units) after a cover as a double digit favorite since 1992.
The average score was BALTIMORE 19.0, OPPONENT 13.4.

--BALTIMORE is 10-2 UNDER (+7.8 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 19.3, OPPONENT 14.9.

--BALTIMORE is 9-0 against the 1rst half line (+9.0 Units) versus poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing >= 24 yards per return in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 11.4, OPPONENT 6.4.

--BALTIMORE is 11-1 against the 1rst half line (+9.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 17.4, OPPONENT 6.7.

--BALTIMORE is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 6.0, OPPONENT 7.1.

--BALTIMORE is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 7.3, OPPONENT 5.6.

--NEW ORLEANS is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 17.2, OPPONENT 26.2.

--NEW ORLEANS is 19-7 UNDER (+11.3 Units) in home games after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 22.7, OPPONENT 19.0.

--NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus good passing teams with a completion percentage of 61% or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 18.1, OPPONENT 13.9.

•COACHING TRENDS
--JOHN HARBAUGH is 12-3 OVER (+8.7 Units) versus dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game as the coach of BALTIMORE.
The average score was BALTIMORE 21.1, OPPONENT 24.1.

--JOHN HARBAUGH is 21-7 against the 1rst half line (+13.3 Units) in non-conference games as the coach of BALTIMORE.
The average score was BALTIMORE 13.7, OPPONENT 8.3.

--JOHN HARBAUGH is 14-2 against the 1rst half line (+11.7 Units) versus bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game in the second half of the season as the coach of BALTIMORE.
The average score was BALTIMORE 12.9, OPPONENT 6.7.

--SEAN PAYTON is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) after allowing 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 24.6, OPPONENT 24.4.

--SEAN PAYTON is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 32.0, OPPONENT 23.6.

--SEAN PAYTON is 10-23 against the 1rst half line (-15.3 Units) after allowing 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 11.2, OPPONENT 13.3.

--SEAN PAYTON is 1-9 against the 1rst half line (-8.9 Units) versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=3.5 rushing yards/carry as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 9.9, OPPONENT 15.3.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--BALTIMORE is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS since 1992.
--BALTIMORE is 4-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS since 1992.
--3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--BALTIMORE is 4-1 versus the first half line when playing against NEW ORLEANS since 1992.
--3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.

--Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
--Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--BAL is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
--BAL is 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games in November.
--Under is 5-2 in BAL last 7 Monday games.

--NO is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday games.
--NO is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in Week #12.
--Over is 5-2 in NO last 7 games overall.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:

--In past games, the favorite covered the spread 33 times, while the underdog covered the spread 31 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 47 times, while the underdog won straight up 22 times. 20 games went under the total, while 13 games went over the total. *No EDGE.

--In past games, the favorite covered first half line 71 times, while the underdog covered first half line 66 times. *No EDGE. 29 games went under first half total, while 13 games went over first half total. *EDGE against first half total =UNDER.
__________________________________________________ ________

#281 NY JETS vs. #282 BUFFALO
TV: 7:00 PM EST, CBS Sports
Line: Bills -2, Total: 41.5

With historic levels of snow blanketing Western New York, the Buffalo Bills were forced to switch the date and venue for Sunday's scheduled home game against the New York Jets. The National Football League announced Thursday morning that the matchup between the AFC East rivals will be moved to Detroit on Monday night after nearly six feet of snow pounded Buffalo - with another two-plus feet expected before the weekend. It will be the second trip to Detroit this season for the Bills, who beat the Lions 17-14 on October 5th.

The Jets are searching for their first road victory and went into the bye week with some positive momentum after snapping an eight-game skid with a win over the Pittsburgh Steelers on November 9th. Both Buffalo and New York have made quarterback changes this season, and Michael Vick’s turnover-free performance against the Steelers gave the Jets something around which to build. “I don't want to let my teammates down, I don't want to let myself down,” Vick told ESPN New York of the opportunity to start again. “I set high expectations for myself and I'm just trying to fulfill that and have fun doing it as the same time."

•ABOUT THE JETS (2-8 SU, 2-7-1 ATS): Vick got a chance in relief against Buffalo on October 26th and went 18-for-36 with an interception and a pair of lost fumbles in a 43-23 setback. The former No. 1 overall pick was better in a loss to the Kansas City Chiefs the following week before breaking out with a pair of touchdown passes as New York ended its eight-game slide against Pittsburgh. “Everything that goes along with this position is difficult and I think I just like the challenge,” Vick said. “I look forward to each and every day I get up, and one thing I'll never do is never take it for granted again."

•ABOUT THE BILLS (5-5 SU, 4-6-0 ATS): Buffalo had to estimate its injury report on Wednesday due to practice being canceled, and quarterback Kyle Orton was estimated to be a limited participant with a toe injury. The rest of the Bills were busy taking to social media with their snow experiences, hoping to ease the sting of back-to-back losses in which the team managed a total of 22 points. Orton, who is not expected to miss the game, is completing under 60 percent of his passes in the last two games and has just one scoring pass in that span after tossing four touchdowns in the win over the Jets on October 26th.

•PREGAME NOTES: Detroit's Ford Field was also used as an emergency venue in 2010 when the roof of the Metrodome in Minneapolis collapsed due to snow, forcing the Vikings-Giants game to be moved there.... Jets CB Jaiquawn Jarrett (calf), who grabbed two INTs and recorded a sack against Pittsburgh, was a limited participant at practice.... Buffalo RB Fred Jackson (groin) has missed two of the last three games but is expected to play against New York.... Buffalo has won three of the past four meetings with New York, and Orton tossed four touchdowns - including a 61-yarder to Sammy Watkins in its Week #8 road victory.

•KEY STATS
--NY JETS are 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games versus excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was NY JETS 20.9, OPPONENT 20.4.

--NY JETS are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 35 or more points since 1992.
The average score was NY JETS 21.3, OPPONENT 21.0.

--NY JETS are 16-4 OVER (+11.6 Units) the 1rst half total in road games revenging an upset loss against opponent as a favorite since 1992.
The average score was NY JETS 11.5, OPPONENT 13.0.

--NY JETS are 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY JETS 12.1, OPPONENT 17.4.

--BUFFALO is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) off a road loss over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BUFFALO 25.6, OPPONENT 19.1.

--BUFFALO is 9-1 against the 1rst half line (+7.9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BUFFALO 14.3, OPPONENT 9.7.

•COACHING TRENDS
--REX RYAN is 17-3 OVER (+13.7 Units) versus excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return as the coach of NY JETS.
The average score was NY JETS 22.3, OPPONENT 27.4.

--REX RYAN is 28-13 OVER (+13.7 Units) versus poor passing defenses - allowing a completion percentage of 61% or worse as the coach of NY JETS.
The average score was NY JETS 21.7, OPPONENT 22.9.

--REX RYAN is 4-14 against the 1rst half line (-11.4 Units) after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game as the coach of NY JETS.
The average score was NY JETS 8.7, OPPONENT 10.9.

--REX RYAN is 30-14 OVER (+14.6 Units) the 1rst half total after playing a game at home as the coach of NY JETS.
The average score was NY JETS 9.3, OPPONENT 13.2.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--NY JETS is 25-20 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1992.
--NY JETS is 23-22 straight up against BUFFALO since 1992.
--26 of 45 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--BUFFALO is 23-22 versus the first half line when playing against NY JETS since 1992.
--24 of 44 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.

--Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
--Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
--Underdog is 19-9 ATS in their last 28 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--NYJ are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 versus the AFC.
--NYJ are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
--Under is 13-4 in NYJ last 17 games in Week #12.

--BUF is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week #12.
--BUF is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
--Under is 6-1 in BUF last 7 games in November.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:

--In past games, the favorite covered the spread 41 times, while the underdog covered the spread 38 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 55 times, while the underdog won straight up 27 times. 84 games went under the total, while 45 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.

--In past games, the favorite covered first half line 70 times, while the underdog covered first half line 70 times. *No EDGE. 117 games went under first half total, while 83 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.

•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Over - Any team where the first half total is between 18 and 21 (NY JETS) - a poor offensive team (14 to 18 PPG) against an average offensive team (18 to 23 PPG), after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 9 points or less last game.
(88-47 since 1983.) (65.2%, +36.3 units. Rating = 2*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 19.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.8, Opponent 11.4 (Total first half points scored = 22.2)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (18-7).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo makes a toast

Jets over Bills: Because this wretched affair has been moved, it won’t be affected by the so-called “lake effect” snow in Buffalo. Nevertheless, the Jets and Bills will continue to be affected by the “lack effect” — both have offenses that lack effectiveness.

Hondo hears Rex Ryan is bitterly disappointed about the change in venue. Told earlier in the week there was up to 8 feet awaiting Gang Green in Buffalo, a revved up Rex responded: “Let’s go now!”

Saints over Ravens: The naked subway guy has been ID’d as Ed Haines (who apparently never wears them). Many Democrats were relieved to learn that it wasn’t the old skinny-dipper himself, Joe “CannonBalls” Biden.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Randall The Handle

BEST BET

Ravens (6-4) at Saints (4-6)
LINE: NEW ORLEANS by 3

We’re not ready to write off the Saints just yet. Yes, New Orleans has lost consecutive home games, but that doesn’t wipe out their 18-3-1 mark against the spread in its past 22 here played with coach Sean Payton and QB Drew Brees teaming up. That duo has demonstrated the fortitude to overcome a loss as they have posted a 21-6 ATS mark after a defeat, including a 16-3 ATS record on this field. The Saints have been their own worst enemies and Brees has made uncharacteristic boo boos that have cost his side. However, Brees and his troops can move the ball. They lead the league in first downs and have punted the fewest times. The Ravens are not built to stop this type of team. The loss of DB Jimmy Smith cannot be overstated as Smith was by their top guy in the secondary and his absence has players being shifted into unfamiliar positions. Baltimore is ranked 21st in pass defence while New Orleans’ passing offence is ranked third-best. The Ravens won’t be facing a rookie QB at home like they did against the Titans in Baltimore’s last game.

TAKING: SAINTS -3


THE REST

LINE: BUFFALO by 4

After a 5-3 record quickly became 5-5, Buffalo’s season is slipping away quicker than a toboggan on an icy hill. The defence has held up its end of the bargain, but the same can’t be said for an anemic offence that has surpassed 17 points only twice in its past eight games. However, the Jets are unreliable and have not won a road game this season. Buffalo was aided by a bunch of Geno Smith gaffes in the first meeting, paving the way for a 43-23 Bills win. While Michael Vick is an improvement, he’s still Michael Vick. Buffalo’s pass rush and strong “D” should fluster the aging QB. This game has been moved out of Buffalo because of the massive snowfall that has beset the city.

TAKING: BILLS -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Hochman

4* New York Jets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

root millionaire SAINTS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

NFL
3* (281) Jets +2.5
2* (277) Ravens +3

NCAAB
2* (742) Kansas St +2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ALLEN EASTMAN (NFL)

4-Unit Play. Take First Half - #278 New Orleans (-2.5) over Baltimore (8 p.m., Monday, No. 24)
The Saints need to win this game. They have fallen behind Atlanta for first place in the bad NFC South. If Atlanta wins on Sunday the Saints need to keep pace on Monday. If the Falcons lose on Sunday then the Saints will be playing to get back into first place. The Saints are one of the best home teams in the NFL. They are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games in the Superdome and this crowd on Monday Night Football will be intense. The Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last six MNF games and I see them coming out to a fast start. It might take the Ravens a half to get things going and I see the Saints being up at least a touchdown at the break. I won’t worry about New Orleans’ defense hodling up all game. They have blown leads in other games this year. But New Orleans should own the first half in this game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROBERT FERRINGO (NFL)

1-Unit Play. Take #263 N.Y. Jets (+) over Buffalo (Sometime, Somewhere)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Hotsheet

#277 Baltimore Ravens +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEN BURNS

10* NBA BEST BET! --- Phoenix Suns+5

[golden contender]

Monday Night Triple Perfect NFL Power system Side takes center stage along with a Pair of NCAAB Power plays and an NBA Total. NFL Cashes big on Sunday with Top play winner on Seattle. NBA Stays hot and Football combined continues to rank # 1 on several leader boards. Free NBA Power Angle Play below.


On Monday the free NBA Dominator play is on the Portland Trailblazers. Game 703 at 7:05 eastern. The Blazers are rolling and have won 6 straight. They are 8-2 ats this month and 5-0 ats vs an opponent who allows 99 or more points per game. The Sixers have dropped 40 of 65 to the spread when the total is 200 to 205 and have dropped 5 of 7 to the spread vs winning teams. Last season the Blazers were 34 point winners here. The winning team in this series has covered 29 of 20 times. Look for a solid Blazer team to lay it on the Sixers here tonight. On Monday there are 4 Powerful plays up. The Triple Perfect Monday night football side. An NBA Total and 2 Big Power play in College Hoops. Football is ranked #1 on several high end leader boards and hoops is hot. Jump on now and put the Most Powerful data in the industry on your side. For the free play. Take Portland. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks Pittsburgh at Boston The Penguins travel to Boston tonight and come into the contest with a 6-0 record in their last 6 Monday games. Pittsburgh is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-125). Here are all of today's NHL picks.


MONDAY, NOVEMBER 24
Time Posted: 11:30 a.m. EST


Game 51-52: Pittsburgh at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.395; Boston 10.610
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-125); Under


Game 53-54: Philadelphia at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.219; NY Islanders 10.376
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-160); 6
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+140) Under


Game 55-56: Minnesota at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.149; Florida 11.623
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+115); Over


Game 57-58: Ottawa at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.041; Detroit 11.140
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+130); Over

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Today's NBA Picks Phoenix at Toronto The Suns head to Toronto tonight to face a Raptors team that is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games versus Western Conference opponents. Toronto is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Raptors favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-5). Here are all of today's NBA picks.


MONDAY, NOVEMBER 24
Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST


Game 701-702: Orlando at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 113.726; Cleveland 120.603
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 7; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 9; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+9); Over


Game 703-704: Portland at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 125.398; Philadelphia 108.028
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 17 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 12 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-12 1/2); Over


Game 705-706: LA Clippers at Charlotte (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 125.029; Charlotte 123.312
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 1 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5 1/2; 197
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+5 1/2); Under


Game 707-708: Phoenix at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 121.963; Toronto 130.339
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 8 1/2; 213
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 5; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-5); Over


Game 709-710: New York at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 112.224; Houston 124.019
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 12; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 8 1/2; 193
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-8 1/2); Over


Game 711-712: Indiana at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 115.269; Dallas 125.976
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 10 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 12 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+12 1/2); Over


Game 713-714: Chicago at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 120.872; Utah 117.164
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-1 1/2); Under

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Northcoast

2* New Orleans -3 Baltimore 8:30 pm Espn
Top Opinions:
OVER 51 New Orleans/ Baltimore - Monday Night Marquee
UNDER 42 NY Jets/ Buffalo** - 7 pm - Is a top opinion but NOT a marquee

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Rockdeman Sports

(CBB)

San Diego State -3.5

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PAUL LEINER

100* NFL – Bills -2.5
100*NBA – Over 208 – Suns/Raptors
100* CBB – Purdue -2
50* CBB – Evansville -7

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INDIAN COWBOY (CBB)

3* Tulsa -4



VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER (CBB)

3* LSU-1

3* BYU+4



DOC SPORTS (CBB)

4* Michigan St -15
4* Seton Hall -3
4* Arizona -14

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Jason Sample:
Couple early ones:

2U: Kansas St. +3
1U: LSU -1

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Johnny Wynn

VCU/Villanova UNDER 152
Oakland -6
San Francisco -6.5

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WAYNE ROOT FOOTBALL
Millionaires---New Orleans
Baltimore enters their matchup on “Monday Night Football” just a half-game out of first place in the AFC North. The Ravens have stayed competitive in the NFL’s toughest division by taking advantage of the easiest part of their schedule, going 2-4 against teams with a winning record, but winning all four contests with opponents that are under .500.‎ Even tho the Saints are sub. 500, they don't figure to lose their 3rd game in a row.

Especially at home! Last week, the Saints allowed Andy Dalton to complete 16 of 22 passes for three scores and no interceptions in their second straight loss.‎ The Saints’ pass defense is particularly banged up so Brees and Coach Peyton will have to air it out. That is what the Saints like to do anyway.

New Orleans has the No.8 rushing offense in the NFL, but that part of the Saints’ game could struggle against Baltimore’s No.5 run defense. The Saints may use the rush sparingly to keep the Ravens honest but the truth is the Saints want to throw the ball. The enormous home-field advantage that the combination of Brees and Sean Payton gives the Saints has history on its side. Before the Saints' loss to the 49ers in Week 10, the quarterback and head coach hadn’t been beaten at home since the 2010 season. TAKE NEW ORLEANS

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The rest of fsotb - fat side of the bacon

> ONE UNIT PLAY

> SAINTS MONEY LINE MINUS 2 1/2

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ROBERT FERRINGO (CBB)

726: 1* (loss)
731: 3*
720: 2*
736: 1*
739: 2*
744: 1*
747: 2*
756: 2*
758: 2*
769: 1*
773: 1*
780: 3*
781: 1*

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JAMES JONES

NCAAB-Fresno State University(+7)-127…(1*)

NCAAB-Georgia State University(-17.5)-122…(2*)

NCAAB-Missouri University(+15)-117…(1*)

NFL-New Orleans Saints(-3)-110…(1*)

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INDIAN COWBOY (NBA)

3-Unit play. Take Dallas -13 over Indiana (Monday @ 8:35pm est)

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Brandon Lang

25 Dimes - New Orleans Saints/Baltimore Ravens OVER 50 1/2 points

Free play - Buffalo Bills -2 1/2 over the New York Jets

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EXECUTIVE FOOTBALL

200% baltimore

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Scott Delaney

100 Dimes Under 42 Bills / Jets

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Gabriel DuPont

50 Dimes Villanova +1.5

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Strike Point Sports
8-Unit Play. Take #278 New Orleans (-3.5) over Baltimore (8:30 p.m., Monday, Nov. 24)

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Indian Cowboy

7* NHL Selection Today! - Philadelphia vs. NY Islanders Over 6

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Michael Black

Ravens vs Saints – Over 50.5

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ATS LOCK CLUB

3* OVER - Baltimore vs New Orleans

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HARRY BONDI

NFL Free Pick

NY JETS (+3) over Buffalo
at Detroit
7 p.m. ET
This game opened last week with the Bills as a 3-point home favorite and since then it has been moved to a neutral site and the line still hasn’t budged. So, we’ll gladly take the gift points here against a Buffalo team that has been snowed in for the last week while the revenge-minded Jets come in off a bye week following their best performance of the season when they upset the Steelers. Buffalo won the first meeting 43-23, but that was a misleading final score. The Jets actually outgained the Bills in the game, limiting Buffalo to 67 rushing yards on 32 attempts, but turned the ball over six times. Since that game, Michael Vick has replaced Geno Smith as the Jets QB and while he is far from the Michael Vick of old, he takes much better care of the ball and benefited from last week’s bye to get more comfortable with the offense. Take the points.

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Bookieshunter

MNF – 278 NO Saints -2 (2*)

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Charliessports

NFL. 7:00 PM EST. Jets+3. (500*)

NFL. 8:30 PM EST. Baltimore @ New Orleans under 51 points. (500*).

NBA. 7:30 PM EST. Phoenix @ Toronto under 208'points. (500*)

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Teddy covers

10* Chicago -1.5

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Scott Spreitzer

Arizona -13.5

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Greg Shaker

2* Maryland Over 123

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BEN BURNS

10* NFL Divisional Super Play! NY Jets

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MADDUX SPORTS (NFL)

10* NFL – Baltimore vs New Orleans – Over 50

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Dives Handicapping

Pittsburgh Penguins

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DAVID GLISAN SPORTS:

NFL:

(282) Buffalo -2' over NY Jets

NHL:

(51) Pittsburgh -120 over Boston
(53/54) Philadelphia/NY Islanders OV 6 -110
(56) Florida +115 over Minnesota

NBA:

(701/702) Orlando/Cleveland UN 201
(704) Philadelphia +13 over Portland

CBB:

(717) Florida International +5' over Florida International

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TRACE ADAMS

1500♦ Baltimore Ravens and the New Orleans Saints OVER the total. At 7:30 am eastern time, the total for this game is 50 1/2 points in Vegas and offshore.

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GOODFELLA

3* GOM - Over 50.5 – Baltimore vs New Orleans

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GOODFELLA

Monday NBA Player Prop

NIKOLA VUCEVIC OVER 18 POINTS (Orlando)

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River city sharps (cbb)

3 units – kansas (-17.5) over rider

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spartan | NBA Sides

dime bet – 706 CHL 5.0 (-110) vs 705 LAC

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INTPICKS

NFL

2* Take Baltimore +3

1* NY Jets @ Buffalo – Play Under 42.5

NBA

2* Take Dallas -13.5

1* Take Phoenix +5

NCAA

2* Take Georgia Southern -5

1* Take Iowa State -6

VCU @ Villanova – Play UNDER 152

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HSW

4* NO 1 Jets
GD West 1 Jets over 1 Balt over
GD NY 1 Balt over

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Dives Handicapping (CBB)

Murray St.+11

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Papa Bear

CBB

Maryland -4.5 *Chris PALMA*

NBA

Suns/Raptors – UNDER 209.5
Bulls -3

NHL

Panthers/Wild – UNDER 5

NFL

NO Saints -2.5

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DIAMOND DOG SPORTS

NBA

#704: 76ers: +12.0 (-105) (0.5*)

NCAAB

#779: Rider: +17.5 (-110) (0.5*)

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VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER (NBA)

3* Over 192.5 – Bulls vs Jazz

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Blue Ribbon Sports Mon Nov 24th, 2014 7:05pm EST

7 Unit Side Play · [704] Philadelphia 76ers

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Lt lock

Ny. Jets

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VegasButcher (NBA 46-25 +18.5 Units)

Los Angeles Clippers -4.5

Both teams are on a b2b here but while Clippers were getting blown out @ Memphis, Hornets were involved in a very close game. It was actually their 3rd straight close game as they lost by 2 @ IND, by 5 to ORL, and by 1 @ MIA yesterday. If the Hornets are struggling against these types of squads, what is going to happen against a Clippers team coming off a loss? LA has not had more than 1 loss in a row this year, as they are 4-0 following a loss on the season. Matt Barnes is out but he’s a mediocre player this year and his loss is insignificant. Clippers have much better depth than Charlotte, and that should be a factor in today’s game. I expect a better team to win this one and with a short spread, I don’t see that being a factor in tonight’s game.

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Millionaires club
strong
buffalo

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Sports bank
400* strong
new orleans

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Sports authority
baltimore over

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Andrew Relish (NBA)

Knicks +6.5
Mavs -13

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PAUL LEINER

1000♦ NFL – Over 51 – Saints/Ravens