11-26-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::handshake::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher

Play of the Day
Tampa Bay Lightning -144 over NY Rangers

Rest of the Plays
Chicago Blackhawks -155 over Colorado Avs
Winnipeg Jets -145 over Buffalo Sabres
Detroit Red Wings -155 over Philadelphia Flyers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Basketball Crusher

Play of the Day
Utah Jazz +4 over Oklahoma City Thunder

Rest of the Plays
Toronto Raptors -3 over Atlanta Hawks
Memphis Grizzlies -6.5 over LA Lakers
Washington Wizards +6.5 over Cleveland Cavs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Crusher

Rosario Central + Huracan UNDER 2
This match is happening in Argentina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Sports Informer
Wednesday 11/26: 3* Play Take Arsenal 'Pk -140' over Borussia Dortmund (2:45p.m., Wednesday, November 26)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Islanders won eight of their last nine games. Caps won three of last four on road.
-- Sabres won last three games, allowing four goals.
-- Red Wings won three of their last four games.
-- Penguins won 11 of their last 14 games.
-- Rangers won last two games, allowing no goals; they've lost four of last five on road.
-- Minnesota won five of its last six games.
-- Blackhawks won five of their last seven games. Colorado won four of its last five.
-- Flames won eight of last twelve games.

Cold teams
-- Winnipeg lost five of its last seven games.
-- Flyers lost five of their last six games.
-- Toronto lost three of last four road games.
-- Lightning lost four of their last six games.
-- Kings lost eight of nine road games (four losses in OT/SO).
-- Hurricanes lost five of their last six games. Florida lost seven of last ten.
-- San Jose lost six of its last eight games.

Series records
-- Islanders lost four of last five games with Washington.
-- Jets won seven of last eight games with Buffalo.
-- Flyers won four of last five games with Detroit.
-- Penguins won six of last seven games with Toronto.
-- Hurricanes won five of last six games with Florida.
-- Rangers lost three of last four games with Tampa Bay.
-- Kings lost four of last five visits to Minnesota.
-- Avalanche won four of last five games with Chicago.
-- Sharks are 10-5 in their last fifteen games with Calgary.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Islander games went over. Last five Washington games stayed under.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Buffalo games.
-- Over is 5-2-2 in last nine Detroit games.
-- Six of last seven Penguin games stayed under. Seven of last nine Toronto games went over.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Carolina's last six road games.
-- Over is 11-2-1 in last fourteen Tampa Bay games.
-- Over is 5-1-2 in last eight Los Angeles games. Under is 7-2-2 in last eleven Wild games.
-- Seven of last nine Colorado games went over.
-- 10 of last 12 Calgary games went over total.

Back-to-back
-- Winnipeg is 1-2 if it played night before.
-- Kings are 1-2 if they played night before.
-- Colorado is 0-2 if it played the night before.
-- Flames are 2-0 if they played the night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NHL | WASHINGTON at NY ISLANDERS
Play On - Any team against the money line (NY ISLANDERS) off a home win where they shut out their opponent, with a winning record in the first half of the season
87-27 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.3% | 52.7 units )
12-4 this year. ( 75.0% | 7.4 units )

NHL | CAROLINA at FLORIDA
Play Against - A favorite against the money line (FLORIDA) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, a bad team (30% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (<=30%) in the first half of the season
68-47 since 1997. ( 59.1% | 44.6 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | 1.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Wizards won nine of last 12 games (0-2AU).
-- Warriors won last six games, covering four of last five.
-- Portland won its last eight games (6-2 vs spread).
-- Clippers won three of last four games (3-1AF).
-- Toronto won five in row, 10 of last 11 games (2-0AF). Hawks won six of their last eight games (5-1SUH, 0-0HU).
-- Bucks won six of their last nine games (5-3A).
-- Rockets won five of last seven games (2-3HF). Sacramento won four of last five games, covered nine of last 12.
-- Spurs won/covered six of their last seven games. Indiana won five of its last seven games (6-0A).
-- Nuggets won their last five games (4-0-1 vs spread). Phoenix won four of last five games (2-2HF).
-- Memphis won 12 of its first 14 games (2-2AF).

Cold Teams
-- 76ers are 0-14 this season (4-3HU). Nets lost six of their last seven games (2-5SUA, 0-0AF).
-- Cleveland lost four of its last five games (3-4HF).
-- Orlando lost three of its last four games (1-4HU).
-- Hornets lost their last six games (0-4-2 vs spread).
-- Pistons lost their last five games (0-5-1H).
-- Mavericks lost last two games by 3-11 points (4-1 last five HF).
-- Knicks lost eight of last ten games (3-3-1AU).
-- Minnesota lost seven of last eight games (2-3SUH).
-- Thunder lost their last six games (2-3-1 vs spread). Utah lost four of its last five games (4-4AU).
-- Lakers lost seven of last nine games (3-4HU).

Series Records
-- 76ers lost six of last eight games with Brooklyn.
-- Wizards won three of last four games with Cleveland.
-- Warriors lost eight of last eleven games with Orlando.
-- Hornets lost nine of last eleven games with Portland.
-- Detroit lost eight of last nine games with the Clippers.
-- Raptors won three of last four games with Atlanta.
-- Knicks lost eight of last twelve games with Dallas.
-- Bucks lost their last four games with Minnesota.
-- Rockets won 11 of last 15 games with Sacramento.
-- Thunder won 10 of last 14 games against the Jazz.
-- Pacers lost 10 of last 11 games with San Antonio.
-- Suns won their last four games with Denver.
-- Lakers lost four of last five games with Memphis.

Totals
-- Four of last five Brooklyn games stayed under.
-- Last five Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Five of seven Golden State road games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Charlotte games stayed under.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Clipper games.
-- Four of last five Atlanta games went over total.
-- Three of last four Dallas games went over total.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee games went over.
-- Under is 12-2 in Houston games this season.
-- Under is 11-3-1 in Thunder games this season.
-- Five of last seven Indiana games stayed under total.
-- Last four Phoenix games stayed under the total. Three of last four Denver games went over.
-- Last five Memphis road games stayed under total.

Back-to-Backs
-- Warriors are 2-1 if they played night before.
-- Detroit is 1-2 if they played night before.
-- Hawks are 0-1-1 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Milwaukee is 2-3 if it played night before.
-- Kings are 1-0 if they played the night before.
-- Denver is 1-0 if they played the night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | PORTLAND at CHARLOTTE
Play Under - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points after 3 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins
73-35 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.6% | 34.5 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )

NBA | WASHINGTON at CLEVELAND
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) playing with 3 or more days rest, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team
148-59 since 1997. ( 71.5% | 57.2 units )

NBA | GOLDEN STATE at ORLANDO
Play Against - Road favorites of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (GOLDEN STATE) with a winning record on the season, first half of the season
49-20 since 1997. ( 71.0% | 27.0 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CBB | CLEVELAND ST at LOUISVILLE
Play On - A home team (LOUISVILLE) team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference, off a home win scoring 85 or more points
259-159 since 1997. ( 62.0% | 84.1 units )
12-3 this year. ( 80.0% | 8.7 units )

CBB | CANISIUS at CORNELL
Play Against - Home underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (CORNELL) poor offensive team - scoring <=64 points/game on the season, after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game
280-74 since 1997. ( 79.1% | 110.2 units )

CBB | GONZAGA at GEORGIA
Play On - A favorite vs. the 1rst half line (GONZAGA) good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (<=32%), after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better
124-68 since 1997. ( 64.6% | 49.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns' NHL Personal Favorite *Special*
Ben Burns is laying some extra wood on Wednesday, as this favorite is destined to destroy its outclassed opponent. Great situation. Take advantage.

San Jose Sharks -185

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

NCAAB

3* (754) Oklahoma -$170

1* (801) Morehead St -1.5

1* (740) UC Davis +2

NCAAB YTD: 22-11 +$1435

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sample:

Each 1U:

Northeastern +4.5
Northeastern +9/UCLA +8.5 (+101)


2U:

Kansas St. / Arizona MLs (+121)

1U:

Hawaii +3
Cal Poly +14
So. Utah +9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RAS



1.5 Units Marshall +1.5
1 Unit Portland St +7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Delaney

Tuesday Winner

My 100 Dime Winner for tonight is on the GEORGETOWN HOYAS in their non-conference showdown against the Florida Gators, in the Bahamas. And as I release this game at 9 a.m. eastern, I see the line is Georgetown pk or -1.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

20 Dimes - UCLA Bruins +3.5 (buy the half point if its +3) at home over the Oklahoma Sooners in NCAA Basketball, 2:30 PM EST

Free play - San Diego State + 4 1/2 over Arizona in college hoops

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JAMES JONES

NCAAB-Oklahoma University(-2.5)-110…(2*)

NCAAB-Duke University(-40)-112…(1*)

NCAAB-Minnesota University(+1)-122…(1*)

NBA-Sacramento Kings(+5)-105…(1*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Bob:

I have released 3 Best Bets far. I have no Best Bet releases for Wednesday. The next release will be on Friday morning if I add any Saturday games (there are a few I still need to look into further). I will send out a Friday Strong Opinion or two later today.

(313) **LSU (-2.5 at -115) 2-Stars at -3 or less and for 1-Star up to -4.
(320) ***Western Michigan (-7) 3-Stars at -7 or less, 2-Stars up to -9.5, 1-Star at -10
(324) ***Marshall (-21) 3-Stars at -23 ½ or less, 2-Stars at -24
College Football Analysis by Dr. Bob



Note: The lines quoted are the consensus line at the time each game was released to my subscribers on my Best Bets release page. The lines have moved so make sure to pay attention to the line constraints at the end of each analysis for the current rating of each game.


**Louisiana State (-2 ½ at -115) 30 TEXAS A&M 20

Thu Nov-27-2014 at 04:30 PM Pacific Rotation: 313 Over/Under 49.5

In a game with two mediocre quarterbacks I’m siding with the team that is likely to run the ball better and has a much better defense. LSU has lost consecutive games to Alabama (13-20 in OT) and Arkansas (0-17) and the Tigers have averaged only 8 points in their last 3 games (they beat Ole’ Miss 10-7) against 3 teams that defend the run very well (all 3 rank in my top 11 in compensated run defense). LSU also struggled in a 7-41 loss at Auburn, who ranks 19 in run defense. LSU can’t sustain drives if they can’t run the ball because quarterback Anthony Jennings has completed only 48% of his passes this season. When the Tigers can’t run they rely solely on the occasional big pass play (Jennings averages 14.7 yards per completion, which is very high) and good defensive teams have not allowed those big plays. Running the ball should not be a problem for LSU today, as Texas A&M ranks 100th in my compensated run defense ratings, having allowed 5.8 yards per rushing play this season to teams that would combine to average 5.2 yprp against an average defense. The run defense has been even worse since the Aggies were given the task of defending SEC rushing attacks, as they have allowed an average of 291 rushing yards at 6.4 yprp to the 6 SEC teams they’ve faced since late September. LSU’s rushing attack is better than average but not as dominating as some of the teams that the Aggies have faced, but the Tigers will still have good success on the ground and that makes it easier to hit on big pass plays using play action. LSU has only faced 3 worse than average run defenses all season (excluding FCS team Sam Houston State) and the Tigers averaged 309 ground yards at 6.2 yprp in those games against UL Monroe, New Mexico State, and Kentucky, whose combined run defense rating is only 0.1 yprp worse than A&M’s run defense rating. Texas A&M’s defense is very similar statistically to the Kentucky defense that the Tigers averaged 6.6 yards per play and scored 41 points against and while it’s not likely that they’ll reach those big numbers the Tigers should score plenty of points in this game.

Texas A&M’s coaching staff has decided to stick with freshman Kyle Allen, who became the starter when Kenny Hill was suspended for a couple of games. Allen had a great game against Auburn a few weeks ago but he’s still only averaged 6.1 yards on 138 pass plays against teams that would allow 5.7 yppp to an average quarterback (weighted by how many pass plays he had against each opponent, of course). Allen is a significant downgrade from Hill and the A&M offense that was 1.4 yards per play better than average in Hill’s 6 starts against FBS opponents (6.6 yppl against teams that would allow 5.2 yppl to an average team) has been just 0.5 yppl better than average in Allen’s 3 starts (5.4 yppl against teams that would allow 4.9 yppl). That level of offense is not going to work against an LSU defense that has been 1.2 yppl better than average for the season (4.9 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 6.1 yppl against an average defense) and has held their last 4 opponents to just 10 points per game (in regulation) and only 4.1 yppl. Those opponents were Arkansas, Alabama, Ole’ Miss and Kentucky, who collectively would average 6.2 yppl against an average defensive team, so the Tigers have taken their defense to another level recently and I don’t see Allen having any success against a dominating Tigers’ pass defense. LSU’s run defense had some issues earlier this season but the last 4 opponents have averaged only 3.6 yards per rushing play and the Tigers should slow down A&M’s rushing attack, which hasn’t been as good since Allen took over at quarterback (since teams don’t fear the pass as much and concentrate more on stopping the run). Texas A&M is not good enough with Allen at quarterback to consistently move the ball against a Tigers’ defense that is playing at a dominating level. However, using LSU’s defensive numbers for the entire season would project A&M to get to 20 points in this game.


LSU is much more likely to move the ball because they’ll be able to run with great success and the Tigers apply to an 89-33-4 ATS statistical match up indicator that plays on run-heavy offensive teams that are a small favorite or dog to a team that is worse than average defending the run. I’ll take LSU in a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less and for 1-Star up to -4.


***WESTERN MICHIGAN (-7) 37 Northern Illinois 21

Fri Nov-28-2014 at 08:00 AM Pacific Rotation: 320 Over/Under 58.0

Western Michigan failed to cover the spread in their opener by 2 points but the Broncos have gone a perfect 10-0 ATS since then and they’re still underrated. Actually, this game is a combination of Western Michigan still being underrated and Northern Illinois being overrated. Northern Illinois has averaged 425 yards at 5.9 yards per play and they’ve allowed 419 yards at 5.7 yppl, which are actually bad numbers when you take into account that the Huskies have faced teams that would combine to average only 5.1 yppl on offense while allowing 6.0 yppl against an average FBS opponent. So, Northern Illinois is 0.1 yppl worse than average offensively and 0.8 yppl worse than average defensively. Overall, the Huskies line of scrimmage rating, which is a combination of total yards and yards per play adjusted for schedule strength, is 8.2 points worse than an average FBS team. NIU has faced an FBS schedule that is 9.0 points easier than average and they’ve only outscored those 10 opponents by an average of 1.5 points per game, which is 7.5 points worse than average on a compensated points scale. Either way you look at it the Huskies are a well below average team.

Western Michigan, meanwhile, is a bit better than average on a national scale. The Broncos have averaged 7.1 yards per play and allowed 5.4 yppl to a schedule of teams that would average 5.1 yppl and allow 6.2 yppl to an average FBS team. So, Western Michigan is 0.9 yppl better than average offensively and just 0.3 yppl worse than average defensively. From a points perspective the Broncos have outscored their opponents by an average of 12.6 points while facing a schedule that is 11.5 points easier than average, so they’ve been 1.1 points better than average in compensated points while rating at 1.4 points better than average from the line of scrimmage.

It’s clear that Western Michigan is a much better team from the line of scrimmage and the Broncos’ offense should surpass their average of 35.8 points per game given that they’re at home and facing a defense that is a bit worse than the average defense they’ve faced this season. Northern Illinois isn’t likely to keep up with an offense that has averaged a modest 28 points per game against teams that are a bit worse defensively that Western Michigan. My math model projects 492 yards at 7.3 yards per play for the Broncos while the Huskies are projected to gain a modest 384 yards at 5.7 yppl. NIU does have a slight advantage in projected turnovers (0.3 points worth) but Western Michigan has a 1.0 point edge in special teams and the Broncos should be favored by more than 10 points in this game. In addition to the line value Western Michigan also applies to a number of good situations, including an 85-29-1 ATS late season home momentum situation, while Northern Illinois applies to a 39-105-1 ATS road underdog situation. I’ll take Western Michigan in a 3-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less and for 2-Stars up to -9 ½ points (1-Star at -10).


***MARSHALL (-21) 54 Western Kentucky 23

Fri Nov-28-2014 at 09:00 AM Pacific Rotation: 324 Over/Under 74.0

Marshall’s habit of covering big numbers was temporarily interrupted last week in a deceiving 23-18 win as an 18 point favorite at UAB, but the Thundering Herd should return to business as usual at home against a defensively inept Western Kentucky team whose high flying offense hasn’t proven that it can move the ball against a good defensive team. Last week’s narrow 5 point win over UAB looks a lot closer on the scoreboard than it actually was, as Marshall outgained the Blazers 518 yards at 7.0 yards per play to 346 yards at 4.2 yppl and their overall line of scrimmage rating in that game was actually a bit higher than their season average. In other words, there is nothing wrong with the Marshall machine that is a perfect 11-0 straight up this season and is 12-3-1 ATS the last two seasons as a favorite of 14 points or more (8-1-1 ATS at home).

The part of this game that is pretty easy to handicap is how Marshall’s well-balanced and potent attack will score on nearly every possession against a Western Kentucky defense that ranks 120th in my compensated defensive ratings. The Hilltoppers have allowed an average of 36.8 points on 486 yards per game at 6.4 yards per play despite facing a schedule of worse than average offensive teams that would combine to average only 25.7 points and 5.2 yppl against an average defensive team. Western Kentucky hasn’t faced a team nearly as good as Marshall’s offense but the Hilltoppers have faced 5 mediocre or better than average offensive teams and they gave up 50 points or more to 3 of them (Middle Tennessee, Old Dominion, and Louisiana Tech) and 42 points to Illinois. Three of those teams fall into the mediocre offensive category (and Old Dominion is better than average offensively) and today they face an elite offensive team that has averaged 45 points and 548 yards per game at 7.8 yards per play (against teams that would allow 6.1 yppl to an average attack). Western Kentucky’s defense is 0.7 yppl worse than the average defensive rating of the teams that Marshall has averaged those 45 points against and my math model is projecting 657 total yards and 54 points for the Thundering Herd in this game. That may sound unrealistic but Marshall’s top 5 offensive games have averaged 642 total yards and they’ve topped 700 total yards twice – and it wouldn’t surprise me at all if they did it again today.

While it’s pretty obvious to expect Marshall to score a lot of points, the real question is how many points Western Kentucky’s good offense can score – and more specifically if they can score enough to stay within 3 or 4 touchdowns. The Hilltoppers do have an excellent offense that has averaged 41.9 points on 508 yards at 6.8 yards per play while facing teams that would combine to allow 34.5 points and 6.1 yppl to an average offensive team. Marshall’s defense, however, is just as good as the Herd have yielded only 4.4 yppl to a schedule of FBS opponents that would average 5.1 yppl against an average defensive team. What I like about Marshall’s defense is that they played their best against the best offensive team that they’ve faced so far – holding Old Dominion’s better than average attack to just 14 points on 239 yards and 3.6 yppl. Western Kentucky, meanwhile, has faced only one good defensive team all season (Louisiana Tech) and the Hilltoppers were held to 10 points on 297 yards at 4.1 yppl in that game by the Bulldogs (a 59-10 Best Bet win). That’s just one game but it’s certainly an indication that Western Kentucky’s offense may be relatively worse against a good defensive team while Marshall’s defense has been relatively better against the better offensive teams that they’ve faced (perhaps because they play with more focus when challenged). The math model projects 405 yards at 5.3 yppl for Western Kentucky, which equates to 23 points.

The projected stats would predict a 31 point win for Marshall and another method I use that predicts what the true line should be (it’s a combination of the box score projected margin and the actual line and is based on the historical performance of my model) comes up with a true line of 26 points. There is certainly line value favoring Marshall and the Thundering Herd will play with plenty of focus and emotion at home as they attempt to close out a perfect regular season. Marshall applies to a 122-60-3 ATS late season angle that plays on home favorites with 1 or fewer losses and unbeaten (7-0 or better) conference home favorites of 21 points or more are 51-23-1 ATS. Western Kentucky, meanwhile, applies to a 22-58 ATS last game double-digit underdog angle. The combination of line value and supporting situations make this game a really good play and I’ll take Marshall in a 3-Star Best Bet at -23 ½ points or less and for 2-Stars at -24 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER (CBB)

3* Evansville -2

3* St. Johns +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Philly Godfather


North Dakota ML (CBB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness
Daytime Dominator UMass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cleveland Insider


CBB
Butler/UNC UNDER 139

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INDIAN COWBOY (CBB)

3* 758 Georgetown -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert ferringo (cbb)

728: 2*
745: 1*
748: 2*
731: 1*
754: 2*
758: 2*
766: 2*
775: 1*
***** 781: 7**
783: 2*
778: 1*
770: 2*
800: 1*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks Toronto at Atlanta The Raptors head to Atlanta tonight to face the Hawks (5-1 SU at home) and come into the contest with a 15-7 ATS record in their last 22 road games against a team with a winning home record. Toronto is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Raptors favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-3). Here are all of today's NBA picks.


WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 26
Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST


Game 701-702: Brooklyn at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 115.280; Philadelphia 109.165
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 6; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 8 1/2; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+8 1/2); Under


Game 703-704: Washington at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 117.087; Cleveland 125.616
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 8 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 6 1/2; 199
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-6 1/2); Under


Game 705-706: Golden State at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 124.692; Orlando 118.226
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 6 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 9; 203
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+9); Over


Game 707-708: Portland at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 124.261; Charlotte 115.853
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 8 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 6; 195
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-6); Over


Game 709-710: LA Clippers at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 121.058; Detroit 117.018
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 4; 192
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+8); Under


Game 711-712: Toronto at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 126.295; Atlanta 120.471
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 6; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 3; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-3); Under


Game 713-714: New York at Dallas (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 118.312; Dallas 128.886
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 10 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 12 1/2; 199
Dunkel Pick: New York (+10 1/2); Over


Game 715-716: Milwaukee at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 116.266; Minnesota 113.019
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 3; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 1; 203
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-1); Over


Game 717-718: Sacramento at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 120.599; Houston 126.690
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 6; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 4 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-4 1/2); Under


Game 719-720: Utah at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 114.417; Oklahoma City 115.249
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1; 176
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4 1/2; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+4 1/2); Under


Game 721-722: Indiana at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 117.387; San Antonio 131.530
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 14; 220
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 723-724: Denver at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 118.528; Phoenix 128.018
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 9 1/2; 218
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 6 1/2; 215 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-6 1/2); Over


Game 725-726: Memphis at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 125.701; LA Lakers 117.240
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 8 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 6 1/2; 202
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-6 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks Washington at NY Islanders The Capitals head to New York tonight where they are 9-2 in their last 11 contests versus the Islanders. Washington is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Capitals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+130). Here are all of today's NHL picks.


WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 26
Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST


Game 51-52: Washington at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.641; NY Islander 11.583
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+130); Over


Game 53-54: Winnipeg at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 8.799; Buffalo 10.213
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-155); 5
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+135); Over


Game 55-56: Philadelphia at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.994; Detroit 12.541
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-175); Under


Game 57-58: Toronto at Pittsburgh (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 13.449; Pittsburgh 12.515
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-205); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+175); Under


Game 59-60: Carolina at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 9.537; Florida 10.896
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-130); Over


Game 61-62: NY Rangers at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 13.647; Tampa Bay 12.776
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+130); Over


Game 63-64: Los Angeles at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.778; Minnesota 12.767
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-140); Over


Game 65-66: Chicago at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.100; Colorado 9.161
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-160); Over


Game 67-68: Calgary at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 8.792; San Jose 12.161
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 3 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-185); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-185); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MIKE DAVIS (CBB)

7-Unit play. Take Gonzaga -14.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

2000* unc -10

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Chris Torissi
5* Georgia +12.5 (CBB)
4* San Diego State +5 (CBB)
4* Phoenix Suns -8 (NBA)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

The Sharps are going to be at the Yum tonight as the Cards host the Cleveland State Vikings. These Cards are playing at a really high level right now and all you need to know is the fact that Louisville just beat Savannah St. by 51 points, featuring a halftime score of 41-7! That same Savannah St. team beat this Cleveland St. team 87-83. That's good enough for us! The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - LOUISVILLE (-23) OVER CLEVELAND ST

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Charliessports


Philadelphia over 198 points

Atlanta under 205 points

UAB over 130 points.

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DOC SPORTS (CBB)

4* Louisville -22.5

4* Arizona -4.5

4* Duke -40

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John Fisher

Georgia

[golden contender]

Thanks Giving eve Power card has the first 6* NBA play this season From a Rare undefeated Blowout system that dates to 1995. Their is a Secondary NBA Revenge system play and the 28-1 NCAAB Game of the Month and a 29-2 Late night Power Angle play. NCAAB Has been rolling. Free NBA System Play below.


The Free NBA Power system play is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Game 704 at 7:05 eastern. The Cavaliers have revenge for a loss a few days ago in Washington and should serve it up here tonight as they get an unrested Wizards team that is of an upset loss at home last night to Atlanta. The system in this game is to play on home favorites with 1 day of rest that won and covered as a home favorite of 5 or more, scored 90 or more and allowed 80 or less and covered the spread vs an opponent off a home favored loss and scored 90 or more. These teams covered 80% long term. The Winning team has covered 17 of 18 in the series and the Cava are 7-1 ats at home off a win. On Hump day we bring the bang with the first 6* of the NBA Season from a rare Blowout system that has not lost in the history of the database spanning 19 years. Their is also a Powerful revenge system on the NBA Card. In College Hoops the NCAAB 28-1 Game of the Month takes center stage. In late night action we have a 29-2 Power Angle play in NCAAB Action. College Hoops has been rolling this year. Jump on now and out the Power of these Dandys from the database on your side. For the free play. Take the Cleveland Cavaliers. GC

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Sheep (CBB) Purdue +2

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BehindTheBets (BTB) CBB:
Denver +7.5
UCLA +2.5

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Chase Diamond

Chase's 20* NBA INNER CIRCLE


Utah Jazz vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA) - 8:05 PM EST
Premium Play


Pick: Point Spread: -4.0/-110 Oklahoma City Thunder






This game has the 5-10 Utah and the 3-12 Thunder. Thunder have lost 6 straight games and will be desperate at home tonight. Thunder are excited that they should get Westbrook back Friday which is a big deal to this team. Kevin Durant isn't far from coming back either so this team will be motivated. Jazz have lost 3 straight Utah is just 2-6 on the Road and Thunder have revenge in mind also as they were killed 98-81 at Utah. Take the Thunder minus the points here for a big 20* easy winner.

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SHEEP (CBB)
Purdue +2
Chicago State +9
Cornell +2

NFAC $400 (CBB) Purdue +2
NFAC $400 (CBB) Tulsa +4
NFAC $400 (CBB) Alabama State +1.5

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Allen Eastman

NBA

7-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 204.5 Toronto at Atlanta

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Sports Locksmith
NCAAB:
747 San Francisco +1 -110 3* (6:00 Eastern)


NBA:

708 Charlotte +6 -110 3* (7:05 Eastern)

713 New York +13 3* (7:35 Eastern)

Chairman's Play:

716 Minnesota +1 -110 4* (8:05 Eastern)

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SPORTS BETTING PROF
NBA
721. Indiana Pacers +13*

Rest of Games:
704. Cleveland Cavaliers -7
715. Milwaukee Bucks -1

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Worlds Worst Picker

Ucla
Butler
St johns

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INDIAN COWBOY (NBA)

3-Unit play. Take Cleveland -7 over Washington (Wednesday @ 7:05pm est)

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CHASE DIAMOND (CBB)

Free Pick:
10* St Johns Pk

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Chase Diamond


Chase's 15* CBB HIDDEN GEM







Alabama State vs. North Dakota (NCAAB) - 11:30 PM EST



Pick: Point Spread: 0.0/-101 North Dakota






15* WRITE UP PENDING

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Chase Diamond

Chase's 15* NBA OFFSHORE INSIDER

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Los Angeles Lakers (NBA) - 10:35 PM EST



Pick: Point Spread: 7.0/-110 Los Angeles Lakers






15* WRITE UP PENDING

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Scott Spreitzer

Gonzaga -14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rockdeman Sports

CBB Pacific

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Spartan

Washington +7

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Shaved Ice NHL

NY Islanders ML -150 3*
Toronto ML +170 2*
Detroit ML -170 2*
Colorado ML +165 2*
Minnesota ML -150 2*

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Blueline Wed Nov 26th, 2014 8:05pm EST

7 Unit Side Play · [64] Minnesota Wild

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SaberHockeyCA

Red Wings ML
Lightning ML
Wild ML
Sharks ML

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SB Professor Original NBA Picks

System Play:
Indiana +13

Additional plays:
Cleveland -7
Milwaukee -1

(All plays tracked at released points, assuming -110 line)

3-Game Chase System Follow: 13-1-1, +4.74 units (next play: A, risk 1.1 to win 1 units)
All-Out Chase (Bankroll Buster) Follow: 13-8-1, +13 units (next play: risk 1.1 to win 1 units)
Simple Follow: 13-8-1, +4.2 units (always risk 1.1 to win 1 unit)

3-Game Chase System Fade: 8-3-1, -17.44 units (next play: A, risk 1.1 to win 1 units)
All-Out Chase (Bankroll Buster) Fade: 8-13-1, -0.26 units (next play: risk 10.19 to win 9.26 units)
Simple Fade: 8-13-1, -6.3 units (always risk 1.1 to win 1 unit)

Additional Plays Overall Record: 9-8, +0.2 units
Streaks: L1, won 4 of last 7, won 7 of last 12

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Philly Rooster CBB

Duke -41
Evansville PK
Georgia State -8
St John's +1.5 (4%)
Gonzaga -12
North Dakota ML (-125)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep CBB Adds

Southern Utah +8.5
Arizona -4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond


Chase's 15* CBB HIDDEN GEM







Alabama State vs. North Dakota (NCAAB) - 11:30 PM EST



Pick: Point Spread: 0.0/-101 North Dakota






15* WRITE UP PENDING

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NorthCoast Thanksgiving

3* SF & Under TCU top opinion

Marq plays are LSU DET Under DET & TEXAS Reg Opinion Dallas & under Sea

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**JASON SHARPE (NBA)

6-Unit play. Take Atlanta Hawks+3.5

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**ROBERT FERRINGO (NBA)

3-Unit Play. Take #725 Memphis (-6.5) at L.A. Lakers (10:30 p.m., Wednesday, Nov.26)
Memphis comes into tonight with the best record in the NBA at 12-2. They have won 6 of 7 with the only loss coming in Toronto. Marc Gasol looks like the MVP of the league so far and pairing him with ZBo tonight should be a task for the depleted Lakers frontcourt. The Grizz have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 and have tomorrow off before they have a tough test with The Blazers on Friday. Memphis is one of the few teams in this league that does not take nights off from playing hard and Coach Jeorger will have them ready to play tonight. The Lakers won two in a row and the LA faithful was happy for a few days. Things are back to normal for them as they have dropped 2 straight and with possibly no Boozer or Ed Davis the Bob Sacre paint should be a playground for the Memphis offense. Look for the Lakers to play hard for the first half but they will not have enough to hold off the West’s best. Grizz should have no trouble covering the 6.5.

2-Unit Play. Take #724 Phoenix (-7) over Denver (9:00 p.m., Wednesday, Nov.26)

The Suns were riding a 4 game winning streak going into Mondays test in Toronto and they fell short after a spirited comeback 104-100. In their defense Phoenix was at the end of a 6 game road swing when they faced the Raps so it was as close to a good loss as there is. They managed to go 4-2 in their travels the past couple weeks and are returning home tonight to a hungry fan base eager to get after it for them. The Suns are solid across the board but lean heavily on their guard play. Dragic and Bledsoe make up one of the more entertaining backcourts in the league and Isiah Thomas would be a starter for most teams in this league. They are 9-6 so far and appear to be overachieving just as they did last year. Denver has won 5 in a row but this is their 3rd game in 4 days. They went to OT on Sunday in LA and won against a physical Bulls team last night in an up tempo 114-109 barn burner. Randy Foye is out for about a month so that leaves a just off injury Nate Robinson and inconsistent Aaron Aflalo to pick up heavy minutes. Look for the Suns to pull away in the second half so giving the 7 points should be no problem. Phoenix by double figures.

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Joe D

Lehigh +9
Utah St. +2.5
Morehead State +2.5

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Vernon Croy

Massachusetts -200
St. Johns -118
Canisius -155
Florida +1

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Johnny Wynn NCAAB

San Francisco +2
Green Bay -2.5
Arizona -4.5
Purdue +2
Florida +1
Georgia State -7

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Kyle Hunter

Georgetown -1

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Worlds Worst Picker NBA

Portland
Toronto
Memphis

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EZWINNERS

Added

NCAAB

1* (770) Arizona -$215
(9pm Central Time)

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STRIKE POINT SPORTS (CBB)

7-Unit Play. #784 Take St. John’s (-1) over Minnesota (7 p.m., Wednesday, November 26)
Maybe this really is the year the Johnnies can make their mark in the Big East. If the entire squad can finally stay on the floor together, the potential is there. Minnesota has Andre Hollins as their lead man, but I think the Gophers lack the necessary supplemental help unlike what St. John’s has behind their star D’Angelo Harrison. A prime example of that is sophomore point guard Rysheed Jordan, who is ready for a huge year after a lot of distractions in his first college season. Talented JUCO transfer Keith Thomas and Chris Obekpa also form an intriguing frontcourt to balance the team’s previously mentioned talented backcourt. I geninuely think Steve Lavin has a Top 25 team in the making if they can continue develop over the course of the season. This one is part of the Preseason NIT, however being played in their backyard this game is practically a home game for the Red Storm. The Big East team continues their winning ways in November with a fourth straight win to begin the season.

3-Unit Play. #762 Take Coastal Carolina (-2.5) over Louisiana Monroe (2:30 p.m., Wednesday, November 26)
I see Coastal Carolina being good for a win two or three times the number they are laying. They are superior to ULM and I think we’re getting this one at a modest number to be honest. Small play definitely suits this match-up on the favorite.

3-Unit Play. #748 Take Evansville (-2.5) over San Francisco (6 p.m., Wednesday, November 26)
I like this Purple Aces team. They lost last night but we still won on Evansville with the points, and here I think they are good for a second straight winning bet. The Dons lost last night as well but their result was far less impressive, getting routed by a Florida Gulf Coast team that isn’t as talented as this MVC team. Go with Evansville here to be the group that bounces back.

3-Unit Play. #801 Take Morehead State (-1.5) over Marshall (8 p.m., Wednesday, November 26)
Morehead State has already logged three road games against the likes of UNLV, Cincinnati and Louisiana Tech (5 of their 6 games so far have been away from home). And while all three of those true road games were losses, this result will prove more favorable. Morehead State has a ton of experience in which they can count on. Angelo Warner is an OVC stud and is one of four returning starters on a proven team that won 20 games a season ago. The team also has two transfers from LSU as well as newcomers from IUPUI and Liberty. The overall skill and talent is there, they just came up short a few times previously (1-point loss at UNLV, single-digit losses to Cincy and LT) And even in spite of these early setbacks, Morehead State is favored because they should be. They have the skill to dictate this game against a Thundering Herd team that went 11-22 in 2013 and graduated its best player off that team. Morehead State will also be the hungrier team tonight having opened the schedule 2-4. This is the perfect opportunity to really turn in their best outing of the season and log a road victory prior to going back home to continue their schedule in December.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Delaney

100 DIME
Non-Conference College Basketball
Game of the Year

Georgetown-1, at Bahamas

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DIAMOND DOG SPORTS

NBA

#702: 76ers: +8.0 (-105) (3*)

NCAAB

#742: Cal: -14 (-110) (1*)

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Trev Rogers

Chicago Bears +7

NCAAF
Texas Longhorns +7

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Andre Gomes

Sixers
Cavs

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Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

Over 206.5 – Milwaukee vs Minnesota

**211pts or more.

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Gabriel DuPont

20 Dimes
Portland Trailblazers -6

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DR BOB-NBA

MILWAUKEE

g.s.
portland