11-30-14

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::clap::

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Mike missanelli
Texans
Saints
Bills

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SB PROFESSOR
NFL
4:30 PM
471. New England Patriots +3*

8:30 PM
473. Denver Broncos -1*

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Doc Sports



Top NFL Play of the Week

5 Unit Play. #472/#450 Take Green Bay Packers -3 over New England Patriots (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS)

Many believe that this will be a Super Bowl preview as the Patriots and Packers are playing outstanding football of late. That being said, we will side with the Packers as the Patriots are in a prime spot for a letdown. New England dominated a suspect Detroit team last week at home. The Lions were not able to move the football much on offense, but Green Bay is a much more explosive team on offense than is Detroit. New England has not faced a team like this since Denver as Green Bay has the ability to beat you through the air or on the ground with Eddie Lacy. The Packers defense is getting better, especially since they moved Clay Mathews to inside linebacker, and they will be able to get pressure on Tom Brady. New England is just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games. Green Bay is 5-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 home games. Lay the small change with Green Bay in this one.



4 Unit Play. #452/#436 Take Indianapolis Colts -9.5 over Washington Redskins (Sunday 1 pm FOX)

Just think if the Colts had taken RG3 instead of Andrew Luck? The Redskins are in complete freefall at the moment since RG3 returned to the lineup (QB Colt McCoy Will start this game) and have lost three straight games, with two of them against terrible teams (Minnesota and Tampa Bay). This is the second straight road game for Washington coming back from San Francisco last week in a heartbreaking loss. Unlike San Francisco, the Colts have an aerial attack that is one of the best in the league, and they should be able to pick apart this Washington secondary. Indianapolis dominates against bad teams, going 5-0 ATS against teams with a losing record. Washington is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS victory in their previous game. Indianapolis is 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games.



4 Unit Play. #466/#442 Take Pittsburgh Steelers -4 over New Orleans Saints (Sunday 1 pm FOX)

This is a battle of teams from opposite divisions. The AFC North is one of the best divisions in the NFL and the NFC South is terrible. New Orleans has lost three straight games (all of them at home) and as we know this is a completely different team on the road. New Orleans is incredible weak on both the offensive and defensive lines and Big Ben should be able to pick apart this team. New Orleans is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games. Pittsburgh is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. Pittsburgh is coming off a bye and will pull away in this game to win by double digits.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges



Indianapolis -9.5
Houston -6.5
Baltimore -5.5
NY Giants -2.5
Cincinnati -4
New England +3
New England / Green Bay OVER 58.5

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Sports Lab

NFL:
Tampa Bay +4 *10 units
Jacksonville +3 *10 units

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Indian Cowboy

6* Buffalo Bills -2.5

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Trev Rogers

Jags +3
Redskins +10
Carolina +3

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StatFox Super Situations

NFL | TENNESSEE at HOUSTON
Play Over - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points a poor offensive team (14 to 18 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG) after 8+ games, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

NFL | CAROLINA at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Home teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (MINNESOTA) after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, in November games
23-7 over the last 10 seasons. ( 76.7% | 0.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

NFL | ARIZONA at ATLANTA
Play On - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (ATLANTA) good passing team (6.7-7.3 PYA) against a poor passing defense (6.7-7.3 PYA) after 8+ games
109-58 since 1997. ( 65.3% | 45.2 units )
4-1 this year. ( 80.0% | 2.9 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo full of gratitude

Hondo would like to open the proceedings by wishing everyone an early happy Black Thursday, which at one time was known as Thanksgiving! With bargain-hunting retail excursions ruling the day, it may be passé to offer gratitude for one’s blessings, but Mr. Aitch would be remiss if he didn’t offer heartfelt thanks to the Bengwads, Patriots, Colts and Seahawks— the four teams that collectively prevented him from going 0-15 in Week 12.

And now, with the perfunctory plaudits out of the way, Hondo is ready to serve up a heaping helping of 16 tasty entrées that are sure to feed the HondoNation hungry.

Lions over Bears: All kidding aside, it’s a shame the increased focus on shopping is detracting from the true meaning of Thanksgiving — watching NFL football for 12 hours.

Cowboys over Eagles: It’s the two-year anniversary of Mark Sanchez’s butt-fumble, and emauler Ed Buckmir says the Sanchise has an encore in store for Thursday’s game. Buckmir predicts Sanchez will run straight into the crotch of an offensive lineman and fall down, thereby supplanting the butt-fumble with a nut-tumble.

49ers over Seahawks: What better way to top off a long day’s feast than by becoming one with the couch and, between various orificial bursts, rooting for the Niners to shut Richard Sherman’s pumpkin-pie hole?

Jaguars over Giants: Defensive coordinator Perry Fewell takes over for offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo in this week’s episode of “Pass the Giant Buck.” Eventually, the fingers should be pointed at the two-year struggles of Eli Manning, the self-proclaimed elite quarterback who followed his five-pick disaster against the Niners with a devastating interception that enabled the Cowboy comeback.

Colts over Redskins: Obama said this week he doesn’t intend to campaign for any Democratic presidential contender in 2016 because voters will want a “new car smell” when it comes to a successor. That could bode ill for Hill, because chances are if they want a “new car smell,” they won’t want any part of an “old double-wide Pantsuit smell.”

Titans over Texans: Then again, there won’t be many hopefuls like Hillary, who, like a great baseball player possessing all the important skills, is a five-tool politician: She can spend, pander, lie, lie with conviction, and run like the wind while dodging sniper fire on a tarmac in Bosnia. What more could you possibly want from a president?

Browns over Bills: The last time the Bills faced a real football team, their pedestrian offense failed to walk the walk in Miami. For the sake of your financial well-being, Hondo advises that you don’t put your chips on Buffalo.

Ravens over Chargers: Props to Obama for making it onto GQ’s annual “Least Influential” list — quite an honor for the Leader of the Free World. And that came before Monday night, when, as he was calling for calm in Ferguson, rioters were burning down the city.

Bengals over Buccaneeers: “Today” hosts Willie Geist and Carson Daly had on-air testicular exams recently, with plenty of accompanying ball and nut jokes. And rightfully so, because what could be funnier than possible testicular cancer? The tests come a year after Matt Lauer and Al “The Pantload” Roker underwent prostate exams. No surprise Roker wasn’t invited back — when the doctors were done with him they had to be hosed down and a hazmat crew was needed to clean the room.

Raiders over Rams: Hondo hates to be the bearer of bad news, but Chris Christie has lost so much weight he has been replaced by the Pillsbury Doughboy at Thursday’s Thanksgiving Day Parade.

Steelers over Saints: From BarkingMut of SoBe: The last honeymooners before Charles Manson and his soon-to-be-bride who spent their time together in a grim, minimally furnished one-room living accommodation were Ralph and Alice Kramden.

Vikings over Panthers: From BarkingMut of SoBe II: If NASA wanted to land a space vehicle on a large, round heavenly body as they did most recently on an asteroid, they could have saved a fortune and instead used Kim Kardashian’s rear end.

Cardinals over Falcons: It’s definitely time for Atlanta to drop the ax on Mike Smith. Word is his awful clock management is so bad it’s causing Falcons’ fans to seek anger management.

Packers over Patriots: The new Grand Theft Auto game reportedly features simulated sex with a prostitute, which should make it a wonderful stocking-stuffer for the kiddies. While it’s out in plenty of time for Christmas, sources say they’re going fast, so don’t forget to cut that holiday meal short and head for the mall.

Chiefs over Broncos: Buckingham Palace has told U.S. journalists to dress properly when covering Prince William and Kate Middleton’s upcoming visit to the U.S. The journos should counter with a request that Kate, the Duchess of Cambridge who’s also the Queen of the Wardrobe Malfunction, refrain from going commando so Americans won’t be exposed to her junk whenever the wind blows. … Also, if Prince Harry comes along, ask that he refrain from frolicking naked as he did in Vegas in 2012 — unless, of course, he is invited to go skinny-dipping with Joe “CannonBalls” Biden.

Dolphins over Jets: Ah, the Jets game — must be quitting time.

Best bets: Ravens, Vikings, Cardinals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SleepyJ Denver Broncos

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Randall The Handle
Bengals (7-3-1) at Buccaneers (2-9)

LINE: CINCINNATI by 3½
The Buccaneers should have covered for us last week in this slot but failed. That’s not why we’re hopping right back on them. It’s more because they are in a favourable scheduling position and we’ve also seen a notable improvement on defence. Cincinnati will play its third consecutive road game after winning previous two. However, the Bengals were underdogs in both of those games and are now being asked to spot better than a field goal under these adverse conditions. Cincy could get caught napping here as they have a challenging December ahead that begins with a home game with the Steelers, one of four teams in a near dead heat in the AFC North. Following that one, the Bengals are at Cleveland, home to Denver and then finishing in Pittsburgh. In addition, starting right tackle Andre Smith was put on IR this week and the Bengals are in a bit of a scramble to replace him on the offensive line. That is sure to have effect on both pass protection and the running game. The Bucs aren’t winning but they play hard and this is their only home game in a month.
TAKING: BUCCANEERS +3½
Panthers (3-7-1) at Vikings (4-7)
LINE: MINNESOTA by 3
Each time it appears that the door is about to slam shut on the Panthers’ season, it suddenly swings open again. As despicable as it may sound, a win here could put Carolina in sole possession of first place in the NFC Gone South division. With the Saints traveling to Pittsburgh and Arizona visiting the woeful Falcons, it very well could happen. The Panthers have had an extra week to heal some of their wounded and while they had been struggling defensively, they encountered some stiff competition prior to the break having faced Cincinnati, Green Bay, Seattle and Philadelphia. These Vikings are more their speed. Minnesota can play some defence but its offence is one of the least potent in the league, ranking slightly above the lacklustre offences of Jacksonville and Oakland. Rebuilding teams such as the Vikes are much better to get behind when receiving points. Spotting points is foreign to them. Getting wins is challenging enough, let alone by a margin. Minny has been favoured twice this season but only by one point each time, losing by 14 and winning by three.
TAKING: PANTHERS +3
Dolphins (6-5) at Jets(2-9)
LINE: MIAMI by 7
Are the Jets a crummy team? Answer: Yes. Are the Dolphins better than their 6-5 record would indicate? Answer: Yes. Are we willing to give away a converted touchdown to support those affirmations? Answer: Not on your life. This is a prime-time game that the Jets hardly deserve, but one they’ll be hosting for all the land to see. We saw Gang Green deliver a stellar performance on a Thursday night in New England, coming up just short in a 27-25 battle. The Jets were a 9½-point dog in that one and while things have not gone well for Rex Ryan’s club, should Miami really be a seven-point choice on a cool night up in New Jersey? The Fish have had trouble stopping the run recently and that happens to be New York’s bread and butter (perhaps not by choice) ranking fifth in the NFL. Geno Smith returns to pivot the Jets and, after learning from the bench for a few weeks, New York is hopeful he can execute at his position. Even if he’s mediocre, we’ve got plenty of room for a cover here.
TAKING: JETS +7
Redskins (3-8) at Colts(7-4)
LINE: INDIANAPOLIS by 9½
Robert Griffin III is benched and now Colt McCoy will face the Colts. While this may seem like a lot of points, the current mental makeup of Washington has to be considered and that shies us away from the visitor. Washington’s quarterback carousel now has its third-stringer starting in the back end of consecutive road games after a tasking affair in San Francisco last week. While Americans will be feasting on Turkey this holiday weekend, the Colts feast on these type of opponents regularly. In their five games against losing teams, Indy has outscored its opposition by 181-89. Indianapolis’ top-ranked passing game should have little trouble disposing of its gloomy guests.
TAKING: COLTS -9½
Titans (2-9) at Texans (5-6)
LINE: HOUSTON BY 7
When these two met one month ago, it was Tennessee rookie quarterback Zack Mettenberger’s first career start. The Texans won that game with Ryan Fitzpatrick at the helm for Houston but he was benched shortly thereafter in favour of Ryan Mallett, the latter gone for the season now. So Fitz is back and that’s a good thing, if you’re backing the Titans of course. The win against Tennessee was Fitzpatrick’s only victory in his past five games as starter. It was also the only time in seven starts that the turnover prone QB didn’t give the ball away. The law of averages is heavily on our side here, both statistically and just from having observed the lame Houston quarterback.
TAKING: TITANS +7
Browns (7-4) at Bills (6-5)
LINE: BUFFALO by 2½
Cleveland’s record is better than they are and that has discounted this pointspread to a level that warrants our attention. The Browns have played only one winning team in the past six weeks. That was that Thursday night game when they clobbered a Cincinnati team that forgot to show up. While Buffalo may not be elite, they are certainly more formidable that the Raiders, Jaguars, Bucs, Texans and Falcons. The Bills have struggled offensively, but they put it all together on Monday night when they hammered the Jets. They now return to home where they are best and their strong defence should have no trouble keeping this ragged Cleveland offence in check.
TAKING: BILLS -2½
Chargers (7-4) at Ravens (7-4)
LINE: BALTIMORE by 6
San Diego has not covered in six straight, but these are the most points being offered this season other than a trip to Denver. With some of its offensive players back in the lineup, the Chargers managed 27 points last week against a stingy Rams defence after the Bolts suffered a power outage during several weeks prior. Having RB Ryan Mathews back on the field and being productive, QB Philip Rivers is at his best. The Ravens are on a short week after winning in New Orleans and while they looked rather sharp in that win, they have been terribly inconsistent over this campaign. Prefer the generous points.
TAKING: CHARGERS +6
Giants (3-8) at Jaguars (1-10)
LINE: NY GIANTS by 2½
We catch the Giants in a vulnerable spot here after failing in an exciting one against hated Cowboys on Sunday night. The G-men are being asked to rebound in this lost season while having to give away road points at the same time. This New York squad has managed just five covers in past 17 road contests and have just one cover in past six games overall. Granted, they’ve faced much stiffer competition but the fear here remains to be a letdown, despite a 3-8 record. Jacksonville’s defence has seen improvements and they get one of their pass rushers back as Andre Branch returns after missing four games.
TAKING: JAGUARS +2½
Raiders (1-10) at Rams (4-7)
LINE: ST. LOUIS by 7
Have you looked at St. Louis’ schedule during the past couple of months? We’ll save you the trouble. In order since Sept. 21: Dallas, at Philly, San Fran, Seattle, at Kansas City, at San Francisco, at Arizona, Denver and San Diego. How did New England and Green Bay not get in there? While the Rams lost the majority of those games, they still managed wins against the Broncos, 49ers and Seahawks and almost defeated San Diego last week. While some teams don’t get up for the meagre Raiders, St. Louis will welcome an opportunity to strut its stuff against a weak visitor. Raiders finally won a game, but don’t expect lightning to strike twice.
TAKING: RAMS -7
Saints (4-7) at Steelers (7-4)
LINE: PITTSBURGH by 4½
The Saints arrive here demoralized after dropping an unheard of three straight in the Superdome. Meanwhile, the Steelers had quietly won four of five before having last week off. Now they are the beneficiary of the late bye week and New Orleans could feel the wrath of that. The Saints can’t stop the pass as they are down a couple of key secondary guys and Ben Roethlisberger is more than capable of taking advantage with his speedy and shifty offensive playmakers. Pittsburgh’s defence gets a boost as some of its wounded return, namely LB Ryan Shazier and CB Ike Taylor. New Orleans’ only road win this season was in Carolina. Doubtful they can pull this one off.
TAKING: STEELERS -4½
Cardinals (9-2) at Falcons (4-7)
LINE: ARIZONA by 2½
While some question how good the Cardinals really are, they certainly lay over this blundering opponent. The Falcons have not won a game outside of their division, a current 0-7 run. Much can be attributed to a gruesome offensive line that should have Arizona frothing at the mouth with their talented array of pass rushers. Atlanta won’t be able to run either as no team can run against the Cards and the Falcons couldn’t even run on the 29th-ranked Cleveland run stoppers last week. As for coaching, we get Bruce Arians — who is a strong candidate for coach of the year — against Mike Smith, coach most likely fired on Dec. 29.
TAKING: CARDINALS -2½
Patriots (1-10) at Packers (8-3)
LINE: GREEN BAY by 3
Doesn’t get much better than this as both are the current favourites to take their respective conference, perhaps making this a Super Bowl preview. Both Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers have been on fire lately and picking between them is a futile exercise. Both are great and the game will be won on which defence can make a stop or two on the opposing team’s offence. While fading New England as an underdog has proven to be an unprofitable undertaking, the Packers have been so dominant at home this season that we are giving them the nod here. Green Bay is 5-0 at Lambeau, outscoring its visitors by an astonishing 219-85 in the process. Expect lots of points in what sets up as the game of the year.
TAKING: PACKERS -3
Broncos (8-3) at Chiefs (7-4)
LINE: DENVER by 2
With Kansas City’s last game being a loss to the then 0-10 Raiders and now facing the mighty Broncos, the ‘sheeple’ will be all over Denver at this cheap price. That could prove costly. Firstly, the line is telling you something. Denver was a 13-point favourite when these two first met in early September. Granted, K.C. had lost its opener to Tennessee and that was just their second game, but here we are some nine weeks later and Denver is just a two-point favourite? It just doesn’t pass the smell test. Secondly, let’s not forget the Broncos had dropped two of three before squeaking by the Dolphins at Mile High last week. This one has warning signs all over it and we’re taking notice.
TAKING: CHIEFS +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

football jesus free pick : Packers

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bookiemonsters

POD OAK +7

MGs

BUF -3
PIT -4
PIT over 54

PODS 91-49 run

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Spartans NFL GOY.
KANSAS CITY +2

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BEN BURNS FOOTBALL

3 GAME
saints
chargers
caro/minn under(BREAKFAST CLUB)

BEST BET - falcons

PERSONAL FAVORITE - packers

MAIN EVENT - den/kc under

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Sixth Sense
NFL
Kansas City +1.5
Baltimore -6
New Orleans/Pittsburgh Over 54

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Behind The Bets Picks

NFL:
Raiders +7,
Redskins +10,
Bills -3,
and Vikings -2.5 (4U each)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Razr ray

arizona-2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

The Chargers travel across country to take on the Ravens. A trip to Baltimore may have appeared to be one of the more winnable games left for San Diego, but the Ravens have won four straight at home while limiting opponents to 7.5 points and 270.0 yards per game of total offense.That's not good for a San Diego offense that's struggled on the road. The Chargers are 2-3 on the road and have been held to averages of 18.2 points and 306.0 yards. Both of these teams are in must win situations as they battle for a playoff spot. With QB Rivers struggling, the 5th ranked rush defense of the Ravens will looks to stop the run and force Rivers to throw it to beat them. The re-energized ground game of the Ravens with Justin Forsett has taken pressure of Flacco and he has played well, QB rating of 92.6 which is significant because the Ravens are 43-7 when he has a rating of 90 or more. We like the home team in this situation. The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - BALTIMORE RAVENS (-6.5)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MADDUX SPORTS (NFL)

Jacksonville +3 (10*)

Tampa Bay +3.5 (10*)

Carolina +3 (10*)

NO Saints + 5 (10*)

Saints/Pittsburgh – Over 54 (10*)

Carolina/Minnesota – Under 42.5 (10* )

Atlanta Falcons+1.5 (10* )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PITTVIPER (NFL )

• ROT# 454 – 1:00pm – Houston Texans -7 (-110)
• ROT# 468 – 1:00pm – Minnesota Vikings ML (-140)
• 10.5 point teaser = ties reduced = Minnesota +7.5/Houston +2.5/Indianapolis -0.5 (-135)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NORTHCOAST SPORTS

NFL Totals POW – Titans vs Texans – Under 43

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

CFL | HAMILTON at CALGARY
Play Against – Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CALGARY) off a home win over a division rival, with a winning record on the season
36-9 since 1997. ( 80.0% | 26.1 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

CFL | HAMILTON at CALGARY
Play Against – Any team vs the money line (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season
36-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.9% | 0.0 units )
6-4 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.0 units )

CFL | HAMILTON at CALGARY
Play Against – Any team vs the the 1rst half line (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season
39-13 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.0% | 24.7 units )
7-3 this year. ( 70.0% | 3.7 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Merril

Home Team TKO - Tampa Bay

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SB PROFESSOR
NFL
4:30 PM
471. New England Patriots +3*

8:30 PM
473. Denver Broncos -1*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER (NFL)

6 Unit Play. #466 Pittsburgh -4 over New Orleans (1:00p.m., Sunday, November 30 FOX)
(Non-Conference Game of the Month) Even if the Saints had won on Monday Night against Baltimore I would still fade the Saints in this spot. New Orleans didn’t win that game at home (dropping 3-straight home games) and this team is struggling badly. The Saints defense couldn’t stop the run at home Monday night and I see Pittsburgh running wild at home against New Orleans. Not only will the Steelers have great success on offense this Sunday but also the Steelers defense is getting back Ike Taylor and Troy Polamalu. The Saints are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games and 0-5 ATS in the month of November. Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS following a bye week and the Steelers are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STRIKE POINT SPORTS (NFL)

5-Unit Play. Take #452 Indianapolis (-9.5) over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)
I don’t care how high this line is, Indy at home is a great play, and Washington anywhere, isn’t. The Colts are in the midst of a playoff push and working hard to iron out some kinks to prepare themselves for the second season, while the Redskins are in complete disarray. The Colts are a bettors dream, and playing against Washington makes it even better. Check out these trends, Indy is:
17-4 ATS in their last 21 versus a team with a losing record
7-2 ATS in their last nine overall
19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games
Now look at the flip side of this coin, and check out these Washington trends:
2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall
2-9 ATS in their last 11 following an ATS win
1-5 ATS in their last six games following a S.U. loss
To put this plainly, lay the big number on the Colts, because this game is going to get out of hand early.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ALLEN EASTMAN (NFL)

(W) 5-Unit Play. Take #449 Seattle (+1.5) over San Francisco (8 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 27)

3-Unit Play. Take #468 Minnesota (-2.5) over Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)

I will go with the Vikings here. Mike Zimmer has this team playing hard. They are a young team and they almost knocked off Green Bay last week and the Bears the week before that. They are coming close but haven’t been able to seal the deal. Their last three losses came down to the final possession. But they should take care of Carolina this week. The Panthers have won just three of their 11 games this year. They have just one win since Sept. 15 and this team has been a major disappointment. They lost too many good players from last year’s team and several key players are banged up. This team from North Carolina isn’t going to like playing in the cold up in Minnesota and that is a big advantage to the home team. Carolina is 0-5 ATS in its last five games after a bye week and Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games. Minnesota has the better record coming into this game and they have earned it against a much tougher schedule and in a much tougher division. But the books are still not giving them respect because they are not even a 3-point home favorite. The Panthers are just 2-6 ATS on the road. The Vikings are 9-2 ATS after a loss and they are 7-2 ATS at home. Minnesota is the play here.

4-Unit Play. Take #461 Cincinnati (-3.5) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)

This play is from my NFL 411 System. The Bengals are getting healthy and they are starting to improve. A.J. Green was out for a few games and it really impacted this team. They were also without several linebackers and guys on defense. But guys are coming back and that is really strengthening this team. Tampa Bay is 0-5 at home this year and they are just 15-35 ATS at home. The Bengals just went on the road and beat down a pretty good Houston team. They will go on the road this week and beat down a bad Tampa Bay team. Go with Cincinnati.

4-Unit Play. Take #469 Arizona (-2.5) over Atlanta (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)

The Falcons are just 4-7 but they are in first place in the NFC South! It doesn’t matter that they are a ?first place team?. They are a bad team. They blew another game last week and the fans are calling for Mike Smith’s head. That will impact the team. Especially if they start slow in this game they might get booed. Arizona is one of the best teams in football. Their only losses this year are at Denver and at Seattle. Those are two of the best teams in the NFL and two of the toughest places to win. Atlanta is not in that class. This game kicks off at 4 p.m. and that is a big advantage for the Cardinals since they don’t have to worry about the early start. Matt Ryan has only beaten Arizona two of the five times they played and the favorite is 4-2 ATS in this series. Arizona is too much for Atlanta and the Falcons could lose again but stay in first place!

6-Unit Play. Take #471 New England (+3.5) over Green Bay (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)

This play is my Game of the Month and it is from my NFL 411 System. I know better than to bet against the Patriots when they are an underdog. I took a bath when they beat down Indianapolis. But I told myself never again! And if you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em. This is a matchup of two of the best teams in football. They are both equal teams. The Packers have the home field advantage but the Patriots are always great on the road. New England has gone 4-0 ATS in their last four games and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after a team with a winning record. They play their best against the best and have been a great underdog. This is not a role they are in often. But Tom Brady is 33-15 ATS in his career as an underdog and most of those are outright wins. The Packers are just 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games against an AFC team and I think that the Patriots are going to extend their winning streak. Take Brady and the points.

[golden contender]

Highest Rated Sunday NFL Play this season with 6 Big systems leads big card that has 3 more 5* in NFL + Highest rated teaser. an NBA Undefeated Blowout system and an NCAAB Road warrior side. NFL Is ranked #1 on several leader boards an NCAAB has started fast. Free NFL System Play below.



On Sunday the free NFL System Club Play is on the Carolina Panthers +3. Game 467 at 1:00 eastern. The Panthers are still alive in the inept NFC South and have rest for this one as they catch Minnesota off a tough 3 point home loss here last week to Green Bay. Road teams that lost by less than 7 with rest are 25-7 ats if the total is less than 44. Carolina won 35-10 here last season and are a solid 6-0 ats as a dog vs an opponent that is .333 or less. The Panthers have covered 7 straight vs non division teams on turf. The Vikings are a lousy 0-6 ats as a favorite off a 1-3 point loss. Road teams from +3 to -3 in the 2nd half that are off a dog loss and spread win have covered 40 of 50 times the last 32 seasons. On Sunday a Tremendous NFL Card is up with the Highest rated Sunday night NFL Play of the Season with 6 Big systems, 3 Perfect system 5* plays the highest rated Teaser, an NBA Blowout system that dates to 1995 and an NCAAB Road warrior winner. Football is ranked #1 on Several leader boards. Jump on now and the week and Month big With the most powerful data in the industry. For the free play Look for Carolina to get the cash on Sunday. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WAYNE ROOT

MILLIONAIRES---KANSAS CITY
NO LIMIT CLUB---JACKSONVILLE
________________________________
PERFECT PLAY---TAMPA BAY
There's always some team that appears out of nowhere towards the end of the season and wrecks havoc on all the other teams. This years version may just be the Bucs. Look at the line. Even with Cincinnati beating Houston and New Orleans, they are only a 4 point favorite. The Vegas sportsbooks do not hand out free money. The Wayne Root philosophy on betting the NFL over the 29 years is very "contrarian" in the approach. People that quote stats and name every player on the roster will go broke betting the NFL. It's about the Oddsmakers and following the money. It's about decades of gut raw instincts. Don't be surprised with an outright win!!TAKE TAMPA BAY
__________________________________________________ ______
INNER CIRCLE---GREEN BAY.....NFL FAVORITE OF THE MONTH
WOW!! The top 2 teams square off in as the NFL gives us more and more great games. These are the games that Wayne Root has made fortunes. The big game spotlight!! Green Bay relies entirely upon Aaron Rodgers to create scoring opportunities. With Rodgers behind center there is more room for Eddie Lacy to run and a bigger window for his wide outs to stretch the field. On the defensive side of the ball expect Clay Matthews and Julius Peppers to try and disrupt the Patriot passing game as often as possible. The Patriots are just on one of those rolls and like any streak, even the best come crashing down to earth. You cannot sustain that level of play for 2 months in the NFL. Rodgers has more than enough to win this game. Green Bat is an ATS covering machine at home.
________________________________________

Pinnacle (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fcappersmall2.com%2Flines.ph p)---ATLANTA......NFL UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR
The Arizona Cardinals will try to avoid a second straight loss when they travel to the Georgia Dome to take on the Atlanta Falcons. But winning in Atlanta is no sure bet. The Atlanta Falcons are currently 4-7 on the season and somehow tied for first place in the awful NFC West Division. Last weekend, the Falcons lost 26-24 at home against the Cleveland Browns on a Billy Cundiff 37-yard field goal as time expired. This will be a tough spot for Arizona. They will be on the road for a second straight week against a team that is desperate for a win. Falcons QB Matt Ryan has always been good at home and he should lead his team to victory here. This looks like one of the biggest "trap" game in recent weeks as the world loves the Cardinals. TAKE ATLANTA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi


Houston Texans -7

Steamroller Game of the Week


At the beginning of the week, this was billed as a match-up of losing teams who were each featuring the face of their future in rookie QB Mettenberger (Tennessee) and 1st year starter QB Mallett (Houston). But an injury to Mallett thrusts QB Fitzpatrick into the starting role of signal caller. Regardless of who is at the controls for either team, the result of this contest will be proof positive that controlling the football overland is of utmost importance when considering pointspread success in the NFL. Remember that teams who outrushed their opponent by 30 or more yards are a long term 75% ATS winner in the NFL. Teams who rush the ball for 30 or more times in an NFL game while their opponent does not are an over 80% winner. Correspondingly, teams who run the ball 22 or fewer times a game if their opponent does not are an over 80% Play Against. Now consider the following facts: for the season, the Titans rush the ball an average of only 22 times/game for 89/4.1. They allow opponents to run the ball 33 times/game on average for 145/4.4. That 56 yard negative differential in the run game is the largest negative difference of any team in the league (here’s a clue, Oakland is 2nd worst at 54 YPG). Thus, the Titans record of 2-9 SU, 3-8 ATS should hardly come as a surprise. And the fact that QB Mettenberger has over 608 passing yards and 4 TDs in starts against Pittsburgh and Philly the last 2 weeks means little when you consider the Titans defense gave up 70 points in those 2 games, were outrushed 164-52 last week by Philly and 206-49 two weeks ago by the Steelers. With Houston running the ball an average of 32 times/game for 137/4.3 (3rd most yards in the league), it will be no surprise if, regardless who plays QB for Houston, that they steamroll the Titans at the point of attack, extend their series dominance to 7-1 ATS and repeat the 30-16 victory of October 26th at Tennessee.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Computer group (billy walters)
1 unit over Cleveland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hank Best
11.5 unit blitz
Houston 1st half

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pointwise Phones

4* N.Y. Giants
4* Arizona
3* Baltimore
3* Pittsburgh
2* Over in Pitt/New Orleans

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott " bulldog " rickenback

10* top total play

tampa bay over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SleepyJ

AFC "Game Of The Year" !!

Denver Broncos

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play SUN NE Pats +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NHL | VANCOUVER at DETROIT
Play On - Road teams against the money line (VANCOUVER) after 2 straight wins by 2 goals or more against opponent after scoring 5 goals or more in 2 straight games
27-13 since 1997. ( 67.5% | 24.4 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.3 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | CHICAGO at BROOKLYN
Play On - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CHICAGO) tired team - playing their 4th road game in 7 days, in November games
57-25 since 1997. ( 69.5% | 29.5 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

NBA | TORONTO at LA LAKERS
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (LA LAKERS) poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games
404-207 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.1% | 117.0 units )
19-5 this year. ( 79.2% | 13.4 units )

NBA | MEMPHIS at SACRAMENTO
Play Against - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (MEMPHIS) off 2 or more consecutive road wins, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's CFL Picks Hamilton vs. Calgary The Tiger-Cats head to the 102nd Grey Cup in Vancouver to face a Calgary team that is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 playoff games. Hamilton is the pick (+9) according to Dunkel, which has the Tiger-Cats favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+9). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.


SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 30
Time Posted: 1:00 p.m. EST (11/29)


Game 491-492: Hamilton vs. Calgary (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 120.278; Calgary 118.550
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 1 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Calgary by 9; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+9); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Just Cover Baby

Always buy the hook to 3

5 Indianapolis -9
4 Atlanta +1½
4 Kansas City +1
3 Baltimore -6
3 Cincinnati -3
2 Tennessee +7
2 Pittsburgh -4
2 Green Bay -3
1 Cleveland +3½
1 NY Giants -3
1 Oakland +6
1 Carolina +3
1 Cleveland/Buffalo Under 42
1 San Diego/Baltimore Under 45½
1 New England/Green Bay Over 57½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CBB | MONMOUTH at SMU
Play On - Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (MONMOUTH) poor team from last season - outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )

CBB | SOUTHERN UTAH at TX-SAN ANTONIO
Play On - Any team (TX-SAN ANTONIO) team from a mid-major division 1-A conference against a team from a weak conference, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 4 or more straight losses
28-12 since 1997. ( 70.0% | 21.4 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 1.0 units )

CBB | SOUTHERN UTAH at TX-SAN ANTONIO
Play On - A favorite vs. the 1rst half line (TX-SAN ANTONIO) off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points, team that had a losing record last season
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hsw early 5*pitt

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi | NFL Side
triple-dime bet
Analysis: Steamroller Game of the Week Texans (-7)
At the beginning of the week, this was billed as a matchup of losing teams who were each featuring the face of their future in rookie QB Mettenberger (Tennessee) and 1st year starter QB Mallett (Houston). But an injury to Mallett thrusts QB Fitzpatrick into the starting role of signal caller. Regardless of who is at the controls for either team, the result of this contest will be proof positive that controlling the football overland is of utmost importance when considering point spread success in the NFL. Remember that teams who outrushed their opponent by 30 or more yards are a long term 75% ATS winner in the NFL. Teams who rush the ball for 30 or more times in an NFL game while their opponent does not are an over 80% winner. Correspondingly, teams who run the ball 22 or fewer times a game if their opponent does not are an over 80% Play Against. Now consider the following facts: for the season, the Titans rush the ball an average of only 22 times/game for 89/4.1. They allow opponents to run the ball 33 times/game on average for 145/4.4. That 56 yard negative differential in the run game is the largest negative difference of any team in the league (here’s a clue, Oakland is 2nd worst at 54 YPG). Thus, the Titans record of 2-9 SU, 3-8 ATS should hardly come as a surprise. And the fact that QB Mettenberger has over 608 passing yards and 4 TDs in starts against Pittsburgh and Philly the last 2 weeks means little when you consider the Titans defense gave up 70 points in those 2 games, were outrushed 164-52 last week by Philly and 206-49 two weeks ago by the Steelers. With Houston running the ball an average of 32 times/game for 137/4.3 (3rd most yards in the league), it will be no surprise if, regardless who plays QB for Houston, that they steamroll the Titans at the point of attack, extend their series dominance to 7-1 ATS and repeat the 30-16 victory of October 26th at Tennessee.
Pick Made: Nov 29 2014 1:20PM PST

NFL Side
triple-dime bet
Analysis: Perception/Reality Game Saints (+4.5)
Every week in the NFL Point spread Prognosis Newsletter, I isolate one game in which the public and line maker strongly prefer a given side, while their opponent has clearly fallen out of favor. Last week, the selection was on the Minnesota Vikings who cruised in under the number vs. Green Bay for yet another contrary winner in this category. This week’s selection is an easy choice for the public sees only one side to bet in this game.
A quick look at the NFL Divisional Standings sees that each of these teams is vying for Divisional supremacy. Yet there are not two more dichotomous Divisions in the League than the NFC South, where New Orleans resides, and the AFC North, home of the Pittsburgh Steelers. New Orleans enters the week tied for the Division lead with Atlanta at 4-7. Every team in the league is a loser with a combined record of 13-30-1 SU. Pittsburgh is ½ game behind Cincinnati for the Division lead. The four teams in this Division are a combined 28-15-1 SU. It is an easy leap for the public to play this short home favorite from a far stronger Division. But in the ebb and flow of the NFL, that would be a costly mistake for you to make.
Compounding the New Orleans record to date is their shocking current form. Three weeks ago, they entered a home game with San Francisco on a run of 20-0 SU, 18-2-1 ATS under their current HC Payton on their home field. But in the last three weeks, New Orleans went 0-3 SU, ATS on their home field. That is clearly not a team that lends itself to a lot of support. The nadir of their discontent came on MNF when they lost 34-27 to Baltimore. It was a game in which Baltimore rushed 32 times for 215 yards while New Orleans rushed just 21 times for 126 yards. Long term readers know that the 34-27 Baltimore victory was virtually inevitable. Now New Orleans must travel north on a short week knowing they are 2-9 SU, ATS away including just 1-4 SU away this year (victory over lowly Oakland). What chance would they have with a defense that allows 26 PPG and 6.3 DEF YPPL, the 2nd worst in the league?
Pittsburgh counters with an extra week of rest following their 27-24 MNF victory at Tennessee in which they completely dominated the Titans overland. The Steelers ran 36 times for 206 yards while the Titans ran just 15 times for 49 yards. Again, long term readers are not surprised by the SU result. The extra week off has also allowed time for an injured defense to return to health specifically Polamalu, Taylor and Shazier are all expected to return to action this week. That is a big boost against the passing game of QB Brees. The Steeler offense has exploded this season because of a now healthy offensive line. That has best played out in a most recent 3 game home stand, ending November 2nd, in which they totaled 124 points against Houston, Indianapolis and Baltimore. Scoring should be plentiful against the New Orleans stop unit.
Long time NFL followers realize, however, that “when it looks this easy, you must look the other way” considering the facts supporting our contrary New Orleans side. New Orleans has won and covered their last five games following an appearance on MNF. As well, NFL home teams who take to the road following three consecutive home defeats are a long term 62% play. For the Steelers, they bring a record of 5-13 ATS as non-division favorite into this contest. That fits well with the fact Pittsburgh is just 1-14 ATS as favorite in a game preceding a battle with their arch rival the Cincinnati Bengals. No surprise to this bureau if New Orleans wins this one outright.
Pick Made: Nov 29 2014 1:34PM PST

NFL Side
triple-dime bet
Analysis: UNDERDOG Game of the Week Patriots (+3)
Each week in this missive, I isolate a premiere Underdog Play of the Week in the NFL. The reasons may be based in statistical advantages, it may be a strong situational play, and often it is backed up by meaningful technical data. In any case, the combination of those 3 basic reasons for favoring a Pro Football side give the bettor an outstanding opportunity to cash his underdog ticket. Today’s action takes us to the top of the NFL standings in a marquee matchup featuring two of the best signal callers, coaches and teams in the NFL. A quick review of the analysis below will allow the reader the confidence to pull the trigger on this Underdog selection.
Green Bay enters this match up at 8-3 SU leading Detroit by a single game in the loss column for Divisional superiority in the NFC North. Green Bay has won all 5 home games this season by margins of 7, 32, 21, 41 and 33 points. In so doing, they have averaged 44 PPG on this field. They are led by the strong passing game that is authored by QB Rodgers. Green Bay completes 69% of their passes for 8.1 PYPA and 262 PYPG. Their 32 PPG offense averages 6.3 OFF YPPL, tied for the best in Football. Green Bay enters the contest today on a 3 game winning streak beating Chicago by 41, Philadelphia by 33 before squeezing by Minnesota 24-21.
New England is even hotter than Green Bay. At 9-2 SU, New England is tied with Arizona for the best record in the NFL. As such, they hold the largest point differential of any team in the league at +130 points. New England has been super-hot of late in winning their previous 7 games. Yet this is a team who may still be peaking. New England’s previous 3 victories have all come against quality teams Denver, Indianapolis and Detroit. These teams are a combined 23-11 SU. Yet in those games, New England has won by a combined score of 119-50. In so doing, they have complimented the passing of Brady with a ground game that has averaged 153 YPG in those victories.
It is that ground game which provides us with our fundamental edge in this contest. For if there is a weak link in the Green Bay defense, it is a front seven that allows opponents to run the ball 31 times a game for 137/4.5. That is 3rd worst in the league. Adding technical support to this underdog selection is the strong record of the HC Belichick/ QB Brady duo when taking points. Note the long term record is 34-15 ATS as underdog including 17-4 ATS recently as well as 3-0 SU, ATS this year in the role of pick or underdog. From the fundamental and technical analysis above, it is clear that New England is your Top Dog of the Week.
Pick Made: Nov 29 2014 1:39PM PST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL scores are dropping: Where to find best Under value
By JOE FORTENBAUGH

At first glance, Week 11 in the NFL schedule appeared to be an anomaly in this day and age of pass-first, up-tempo offenses.

With record-setting quarterbacks in Peyton Manning, Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers under center, as well as a more-than-capable Mark Sanchez running Chip Kelly’s system and Tom Brady setting the league on fire with each passing week, one would assume NFL scoreboards were being lit up like the Las Vegas Strip on the Fourth of July.

Yet, when the dust had settled on Week 11, the 14 contests played in this era of offensive firepower combined to average a grand total of just 37.57 points per game, with five of those matchups checking in at a total of 30 or fewer points

Unders went 10-4 - much to the delight of Vegas bookmakers - raising the question of whether or not this defensive resurgence would be a continuing trend through the remainder of the regular season.

Perhaps bookmakers who were shading totals towards the Over in order to counteract the public’s thirst for capitalizing on scoring would present and opportunity for Under bettors to seize.

Week 12 again saw Unders emerge victorious, with the Sunday afternoon games going 4-7 Over/Under. Week 12 finished with a razor-thin 7-8 O/U lean that put Unders at a very profitable 17-10 over the last two weeks, lending a bit more credence to the fact that perhaps the league’s defenses were beginning to hit their collective stride.

Is some combination of the cold weather and mounting injuries triggering a decrease in scoring?

First, let’s take a look at the month-by-month team scoring averages for the 2014 season:

September: 23.09 points per game
October: 23.48 points per game
November: 21.98 points per game

As you can no doubt see, scoring is down for the month of November. But have the bookmakers kept pace? Here’s a look at the average NFL total by month for the 2014 campaign:

September: 45.71 points per game
October: 46.31 points per game
November: 46.37 points per game

Not only has scoring dropped off by approximately 1.5 points per team per game from October to November, but the average NFL total has increased by more than half a point from September to November.

This data appears to explain the recent success of Unders, but like all things in the modern sports betting era, windows of opportunity don’t stay open for that long. If recent history is any indicator, the window may be already shut tight.

NFL scoring has decreased from the month of November to the month of December in four of the past five seasons. And of those four seasons in which scoring dropped, the bookmakers followed suit by decreasing their totals for the month of December in three instances, once again affirming the harsh reality that it’s tough to get anything past these guys.

However, that doesn’t mean there’s no possible way to tip the scales back in our favor. Through 12 weeks, Overs have gone 89-86 (.508). While that appears to be a virtual perfect balance, take a look at the following breakdown of 2014 totals:

Thursday night games: 8-4 (.666) O/U
Sunday night games: 11-1 (.916) O/U
Monday night games: 10-4 (.714) O/U

The moral of the story: While Overs have gone 89-86 on the season, they are a staggering 29-9 (.763) during primetime games. That means that Unders have gone 77-66 (.566) on Sunday afternoons.

Happy hunting.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gridiron Angles - Week 13
By Vince Akins

NFL USER TREND:

-- Underdogs coming off an away loss as at least a TD favorite are 16-1 ATS in database history. Active on Kansas City.

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

-- The Patriots are 16-0 ATS (9.8 ppg) since 1993 during the regular season after week 12 when they are off a game in which they committed fewer than two turnovers and held their opponent to more than ten points fewer than expected.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

-- The Titans are 0-11-1 ATS (-8.6 ppg) since December 6, 2009 on the road after a game in which a receiver had more than 100 receiving yards.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

-- The Patriots are 11-0 OU (11.0 ppg) since October 7, 2012 with less than 14 days rest after a win in which Rob Gronkowski had at least 5 receptions.

NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Buccaneers are 0-10 ATS as a home dog when their opponent’s season-to-date average rushing attempts per game is greater than 30.

NFL SUPER SYSTEM:

-- Teams coming off four straight double-digit wins are 39-55-4 ATS. Active against New England.

NFL O/U TREND:

-- The Browns are 0-11 OU (-13.0 ppg) since November 25, 2007 after a win versus any team with fewer wins.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Moves - Week 13
By Mike Rose

We're getting ready to head into another weekend of NFL betting action, and as always, there are a bunch of plays that are a lot sharper than others. Check out some of the best and brightest plays that are on the board in Week 13!

(Rotation #457) San Diego +5.5 – You just get the feeling that the Chargers are going to win this game just to spite square bettors. The Bolts have a history of playing well on the East Coast, and they are going to be up against it here in Baltimore against the Ravens, who are coming off of the biggest win of the season in New Orleans on Monday Night Football. QB Philip Rivers hasn't played well, and about the only thing that is keeping this team going is its running game and its defense. That defense came up with the play of the season last week when it managed to get an interception on the goal line to preserve a win against the St. Louis Rams. This could be another close one, and sharp bettors know it.

Opening Line: San Diego +5.5
Current Line: San Diego +5.5
Public Betting Percentage: 64% on Baltimore

(Rotation #462) Tampa Bay +3.5 – It feels like teams like the Bucs are sharp every week, especially when they are at home and are getting just a few points against playoff teams. This week, matters are made worse for Tampa Bay because it is in the NFC South playing against an AFC North team. The NFC South is just 1-10-1 this year in these intra-conference games, but the good news is that Tampa Bay has the one win, and the Bengals are responsible for the one tie. The Bengals could get caught looking ahead in this game; they have a ton of big games in the last month of the season, and this is supposed to be the de facto "bye week" of the bunch.

Opening Line: Tampa Bay +4
Current Line: Tampa Bay +3.5
Public Betting Percentage: 78% on Cincinnati

(Rotation #476) New York +6 – The Jets are playing at home on Monday Night Football this week, and they get a Miami team which is coming off of a heartbreaking loss on the road to the Denver Broncos. The question in our mind is whether the Fins are going to get off of the mat and get up for the Jets, who probably have the worst team in the NFL. We know that quarterback play isn't going to help out New York all that much; the team is switching back to QB Geno Smith in favor of QB Michael Vick, and Smith has already proven to us that he isn't a starting quarterback. That said, for the most part, if the Jets don't get their doors blown off in the first half, they tend to stick around in games. This could be another one of those outings against a Miami team which just isn't built to blow people away.

Opening Line: New York +6
Current Line: New York +6
Public Betting Percentage: 72% on Miami

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Patriots at Packers

New England Patriots at Green Bay Packers (-3, 58)

Aaron Rodgers typically provides the Green Bay Packers with a decided edge at quarterback, but that won't be the case when Tom Brady and the surging New England Patriots invade Lambeau Field on Sunday in a marquee matchup between the NFL's two highest-scoring teams. Rodgers has put up video game-type numbers in guiding the Packers to seven wins in eight games and into first place in the NFC North. Brady, meanwhile, has led New England to seven consecutive victories and the best overall record in the AFC.

Green Bay has been a juggernaut at home, winning all five matchups while averaging an eye-popping 43.8 points, including back-to-back 50-point outbursts in its last two at Lambeau. "We're playing Green Bay in Green Bay," Patriots coach Bill Belichick said. "That's where they've been very dominant, really, in terms of getting ahead and playing from ahead, first quarter. The numbers are staggering." New England has been just as explosive, averaging 39.6 points during its current winning streak and capturing five of those games by at least 22 points.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE HISTORY: Since opening, the spread has not shifted from Green Bay -3. The total, which opened at 58, jumped to 59 quickly after opening before dropping down to 57.5. The line has rested at the original 58.

INJURY REPORT: Patriots - CB Kyle Arrington (Ques-Neck), DT Dominique Easley (Ques-Knee), OL Cameron Fleming (Ques-Ankle) Packers - WR Davante Adams (Prob-Heel), LB Nick Perry (Ques-Shoulder), CB Jarrett Bush)

WEATHER FORECAST: A cold and windy affair is expected at Lambeau. Temperatures during game time will hover just below freezing with winds blowing northwest at 11 mph.

POWER RANKINGS: Patriots (-8.25) + Packers (-4.5) + home field (-3.0) = Patriots -0.75

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The two Super Bowl favorites face off on Sunday afternoon in basically a national TV matchup as 90%+ of the nation will see this game. This is currently the most likely Super Bowl XLIX matchup according to sportsbook odds (+650). The Over/Under line is high for this game, but for good reason as these are two explosive offenses. Green Bay is averaging 32.2 points per game this season, while New England is averaging 32.5 ppg. However, both offenses have been even stronger during the past two months with the Packers averaging 37.4 points and the Patriots averaging 39.6 during their past seven games in October and November." -Steve Merril

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "A bit surprising that we’ve had almost three quarters of our action on the Patriots. Most of the bets are from the public and the few sharps that are playing this one are split pretty evenly. I don’t foresee much movement in the spread between now and kickoff. The total hasn't jumped drastically because we’ve got some serious smart money on the under." - John Lester

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS, 8-3 O/U): New England is playing its fourth straight division leader, having dispatched Denver, Indianapolis and Detroit by a combined 119-50 score to become the sixth team in league history to post 14 consecutive winning seasons. Although Brady has been picked off four times in the last three games, he has 26 scoring passes versus six interceptions and has the luxury of throwing to the league's toughest matchup in tight end Rob Gronkowski, who has 45 receptions and six of his nine touchdown catches during the seven-game run. The Patriots also have leaned on Jonas Gray and newly signed LeGarrette Blount over the past two games to provide a bruising running game, while the tandem of cornerbacks Darrelle Revis and Brandon Browner will be a key matchup against Green Bay's superb wideouts.

ABOUT THE PACKERS (8-3 SU, 6-4-1 ATS, 9-2 O/U): Rodgers has thrown 30 touchdowns and been intercepted only three times, and his numbers at home - 29 scoring passes with zero picks - have helped Green Bay overtake Detroit for the division lead. Jordy Nelson has been Rodgers' favorite target with 68 catches for 1,066 yards and nine touchdowns, while fellow wide receiver Randall Cobb has 10 scores among his 58 receptions. The Packers have their own battering ram at running back in Eddie Lacy, who rushed for a season-high 125 yards in last week's 24-21 victory at Minnesota and has multiple TDs in each of his last two games. The Packers can be exploited by the run, ranking 30th in the league by allowing an average of 136.7 yards, but fast starts by Rodgers and Co. usually force opponents to the air to play catch-up.

TRENDS:

*Patriots are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
*Packers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
*Over is 8-2 in Patriots last 10 games in November.
*Over is 7-1 in Packers last 8 games overall.

CONSENSUS: 52.29 percent are backing the Patriots +3 with 59.9 percent on the over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gabriel DuPont
100 Dimes
Ravens -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Delaney
30 Dimes
New England +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Hochman

4* TN
4* JAX
4* Oakl

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks Iona at Arkansas The Gaels head to Arkansas today following a 126-76 win over Delaware State on Wednesday and come into the contest with a 3-11 ATS record in their last 14 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Arkansas is the pick (-12 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Razorbacks favored by 14 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-12 1/2). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.


SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 30
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 817-818: Texas at Connecticut (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 72.731; Connecticut 71.313
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+1 1/2)


Game 819-820: Air Force at Texas Tech (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 53.173; Texas Tech 60.053
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 7
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+9 1/2)


Game 821-822: Providence at Kentucky (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 63.427; Kentucky 85.657
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 22
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 20
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-20)


Game 823-824: Stanford at DePaul (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 68.458; DePaul 55.355
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 13
Vegas Line: Stanford by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-8 1/2)


Game 825-826: Bowling Green at Detroit (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 53.527; Detroit 59.754
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 6
Vegas Line: Detroit by 4
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-4)


Game 827-828: Richmond at Northern Iowa (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 58.209; Northern Iowa 67.597
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-7 1/2)


Game 829-830: USC at New Mexico (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 55.286; New Mexico 61.519
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 9
Dunkel Pick: USC (+9)


Game 831-832: Delaware at Villanova (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 46.237; Villanova 73.944
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 26 1/2
Vegas Line: Villanova by 28
Dunkel Pick: Delaware (+28)


Game 833-834: Southern Mississippi at Drexel (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 53.876; Drexel 57.304
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Drexel by 2
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (-2)


Game 835-836: California at Fresno State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 67.738; Fresno State 53.595
Dunkel Line: California by 14
Vegas Line: California by 7
Dunkel Pick: California (-7)


Game 837-838: Elon at Miami (OH) (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 49.189; Miami (OH) 51.462
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 5
Dunkel Pick: Elon (+5)


Game 839-840: Santa Clara vs. Rider (10:30 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 50.736; Rider 51.159
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 2
Dunkel Pick: Rider (+2)


Game 841-842: Michigan State vs. Kansas (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 70.744; Kansas 71.910
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 1
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+1)


Game 843-844: Tennessee vs. Marquette (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 61.484; Marquette 59.863
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3
Dunkel Pick: Marquette (+3)


Game 845-846: Georgia Tech vs. Rhode Island (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 60.684; Rhode Island 64.960
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Rhode Island by 2
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (-2)


Game 851-852: Western Michigan vs. San Diego (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 56.000; San Diego 56.089
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: San Diego by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+1 1/2)


Game 853-854: Long Beach State vs. Xavier (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 60.592; Xavier 64.929
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Xavier by 7
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (+7)


Game 855-856: Princeton vs. San Jose State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 47.494; San Jose State 43.106
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Princeton by 6
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+6)


Game 857-858: Washington vs. UTEP (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 63.793; UTEP 61.245
Dunkel Line: Washington by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: UTEP by 2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+2)


Game 859-860: Southern Utah at TX-San Antonio (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 37.877; TX-San Antonio 44.573
Dunkel Line: TX-San Antonio by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: TX-San Antonio by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (+8 1/2)


Game 861-862: Tennessee Tech at Tulane (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 43.492; Tulane 55.316
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 11
Vegas Line: Tulane by 7
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (-7)


Game 863-864: Iona at Arkansas (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 58.629; Arkansas 73.046
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-12 1/2)


Game 865-866:VMI at Maryland (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VMI 46.322; Maryland 67.098
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 21
Vegas Line: Maryland by 23 1/2
Dunkel Pick: VMI (+23 1/2)


Game 867-868: Montana at San Francisco (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 49.030; San Francisco 56.015
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana (+9 1/2)


Game 869-870: Monmouth at SMU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Monmouth 50.689; SMU 68.098
Dunkel Line: SMU by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: SMU by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-15 1/2)


Game 871-872: North Dakota State at Montana State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 57.784; Montana State 47.365
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-3 1/2)


Game 873-874: Portland State at Oregon (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 51.819; Oregon 71.281
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon by 15
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-15)


Game 891-892: Army at Duke (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Army 51.748; Duke 80.129
Dunkel Line: Duke by 28 1/2
Vegas Line: Duke by 26
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-26)


Game 893-894: Lipscomb at Colorado (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Lipscomb 45.693; Colorado 63.966
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado by 15
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-15)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday

4* Best Bet = CLEVELAND
3* = NEW ORLEANS
3* = N.Y. GIANTS
2* = Houston
2* = San Diego

[Can'tPickAWinner]

David Banks

Chiefs +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS SHARP

6 Units

CBB Game of the Week

817 Texas +1 over Uconn


3 Units

842 Kansas +1 over Michigan St,

4 Units

471 New England Patriots +3 over Green Bay Packers


4 Units

473 Denver Broncos -1.5 over Kansas City Chiefs


3 Units

457 San Diego Chargers +6 over Baltimore Ravens

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MIKE DAVIS (NFL)

7* NY Giants

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JASON SHARPE (NFL)

3* Pittsburgh Steelers
3* Washington Redskins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROBERT FERRINGO (NFL)

2* Pittsburgh Steelers
2* NE Pats vs GB Packers – Under
2* NO Saints vs Pittsburgh – Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

Today's Winner:

My 500♦ Winner is the UNDER in the Interconference showdown between the Indianapolis Colts and Washington Redskins.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sample:
Each 1U:

Vikings -2.5 (-115)
Bills/Browns U42.5
Falcons +8 / Colts -2.5 / NO +10.5 (+150)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole:

5* PITT 'OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NFL Picks Denver at Kansas City The Broncos (8-3) head to Kansas City tonight to face a Chiefs team that is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Kansas City is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+2 1/2). Here are all of this week's NFL picks.


SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 30
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST (11/27)


Game 451-452: Washington at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 126.318; Indianapolis 133.877
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 7 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 10; 51
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+10); Over


Game 453-454: Tennessee at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 121.198; Houston 134.540
Dunkel Line: Houston by 13 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Houston by 6; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6); Under


Game 455-456: Cleveland at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 133.174; Buffalo 133.238
Dunkel Line: Even; 37
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3; 41
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+3); Under


Game 457-458: San Diego at Baltimore (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 132.563; Baltimore 135.937
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 3 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 6 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+6 1/2); Over


Game 459-460: NY Giants at Jacksonville (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 126.080; Jacksonville 121.699
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 4 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 2 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-2 1/2); Over


Game 461-462: Cincinnati at Tampa Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 131.276; Tampa Bay 129.426
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 47
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 4; 44
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+4); Over


Game 463-464: Oakland at St. Louis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 125.428; St. 133.944
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 8 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 6 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-6 1/2); Over


Game 465-466: New Orleans at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 128.495; Pittsburgh 135.027
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 6 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 4; 53
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-4); Under


Game 467-468: Carolina at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 125.098; Minnesota 125.275
Dunkel Line: Even; 46
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 3; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+3); Over


Game 469-470: Arizona at Atlanta (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 131.067; Atlanta 132.698
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3); Under


Game 471-472: New England at Green Bay (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 140.802; Green Bay 147.025
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 6; 62
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 58
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-3); Over


Game 473-474: Denver at Kansas City (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 137.722; Kansas City 137.957
Dunkel Line: Even; 53
Vegas Line: Denver by 2 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+2 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris jordan

500♦ NFL Winner #4 of 6

Interconference Total of the Year

Washington at Indianapolis Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al DeMarco

15 Dime Play Steelers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sample CBB:
2U:

Texas Tech / Xavier / Arkansas / San Fran (+105)

1U:

So Miss +7 / Ga. Tech +6.5 (+103) 4.5TR
No. Dakota St. -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NY Sports Genius

5 units

(NFL) Bengals/Bucaneers over 44 (-120)
(NFL) Browns +3.5 (-120)
(NFL) Saints/Steelers over 55 (-110)


4 units

(England soccer) Manchester City/Southampton over 2.5 (-119)
(Spain soccer) Barcelona -1 goal spread (-114)
(NFL) Texans -7 (-110)

3 units

(NFL) Giants -3 (+105)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin's Pick(s):
4 UNIT = Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans - TITANS +7.5 (-123)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.25 units)
*This is also a play at +7 -110 or better.
2 UNIT = Washington Redskins @ Indianapolis Colts - REDSKINS +10 (-113)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.77 units)
2 UNIT = Cincinnati Bengals @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers - OVER 44.5 POINTS (+100)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)
2 UNIT = Cleveland Browns @ Buffalo Bills - OVER 42 POINTS (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
2 UNIT = San Diego Chargers @ Baltimore Ravens - OVER 45 POINTS (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
2 UNIT = Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs - OVER 49 POINTS (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = New Orleans Saints @ Pittsburgh Steelers - STEELERS -5 (+100)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)
The Saints really have to be chewing a hole in some peoples bankrolls. I think there is the perception that this is going to be the week that they turn thing around. They had a great chance to do that last week against the Ravens at home on MNF, which didn't happen. Simply put, the Saints aren't a good team at the moment. Jimmy Graham doesn't seem to be giving all he has, Brees looks frustrated, and the defense has regressed after making huge strides last season. They've also suffered injuries at the running back position and has left depth at the position bare. Another think that has happened which is getting overlooked is the loss of Darren Sproles. There were many times in the Saints' offense last year when the play broke down, Brees just flipped the ball off to his safety valve, Sproles, and he would scurry for a first down. That element of the offense is gone, and it has shown on the field. Dynamic rookie receiver Brandin Cooks is also gone for the year on the IR. They are 2nd in total offense yardage wise per game, but aren't finishing drives, averaging 26.2 points per game, same as the Steelers. On the road they've been atrocious yet again this season. They are coming in with a 1-4 record. Their only win came against the Panthers who have had problems of their own. I find it difficult to back the Saints on grass this week, playing in a chilly environment on the east coast against the Steelers who are 4-1 at home. In their last three games at home, the Steelers have averaged 41.3 points. It wasn't against horrible teams either, beating the Texans, Colts, and Ravens. I don't trust the Saints playing in this setting at all Sunday. This is a big game for the Steelers, win and they're at 8-4, lose and they drop to 7-5. I look for Roethlisberger to have a big game. Everyone forgot about the amazing things he's being doing after they lost that trap game to the Jets. He has 24 touchdowns on the season to only 6 interceptions while averaging around 300 yards a game. I will be on the Steelers for 2 units. This game should make people remember how good Big Ben really has been in 2014.
2 UNIT = New England Patriots @ Green Bay Packers - OVER 58 (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
So, who is going to stop Rob Gronkowski? I asked the same question in a previous write-up. No one on the Colts did stop him in that particular game, and I wonder who will be able to do it for the Packers. The Packers are going to have other issues on their hands as well, most notably the running game. The Pack haven't been able to stop any ground game in 2014, evident in the 137 yards they allow per game, 29th in the NFL. The Patriots' offense line are the unsung heroes of their team this season. The line is getting huge pushes up front, making it easy for really any running back to put up monster stats, Jonas Gray anyone? Gray was benched last week for being late to practice during the week, but plug in LaGarratte Blount and the offense scored 34 on a good Detroit defense. The offense has been ploughing over everything in its path after that Bengals game. Since that game, the Pats are averaging 40 points per game over seven games. They started the season off on a rough note, but Tom Brady has this unit zinging. Overall they are 1st in the NFL in points scored per game at 32.5. They've been doing it with a perfect blend of through the air and ground. The Packer offense hit a road early in the season well, putting up only 7 points on the Lions in a game where Aaron Rodgers arguably played the worst game of his career that week. Since then the Packers have averaged 37.5 points a game over eight games. They are just behind the Patriots, scoring 32.2 points a game. At home the Packers are scoring 44 points a game, which is jaw dropping in its own right. So, we have the 1st and 2nd best NFL offenses at work in this game. This game should be up and down the field throughout. A 34-30 final for either team seems plausible. This is a high total, but I think it gets OVER 58.
Cheers,
Kevin

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks Vancouver at Detroit The Canucks head to Detroit this afternoon following a 5-0 win at Columbus and come into today's contest with a 1-6 record in their last 7 games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Detroit is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wings favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-125).. Here are all of today's NHL picks.


SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 30
Time Posted: 9:30 a.m. EST


Game 51-52: Vancouver at Detroit (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 10.822; Detroit 12.431
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-125); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ATS LOCK CLUB

10 Cincinnati -3.5
5 Pittsburgh -4
5 New England +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Budin
50 DIME
FOOTBALL WINNER # 15 OF 16


Home Mismatch of the Year
Pittsburgh

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wolkosky Milan



20* Redskins / Colts Over 50
20* Browns / Bills Under 42
20* Bengals / Buccaneers Under 45
20* Raiders / Rams Under 42½
20* Carolina Panthers +3
20* Atlanta Falcons +1½
20* Patriots / Packers Under 58

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

NFL

5000* Play Houston -7 over Tennessee (TOP NFL PLAY)

Tennessee has lost 24 of the last 31 games when playing as an underdog and they have lost 15 of the last 23 road games.Tennessee has lost 8 of the last 10 games when playing in weeks ten through thirteen and they have lost 21 of the last 30 games when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points.


5000* Play Indianapolis -9.5 over Washington (TOP NFL PLAY)

Washington has lost 22 of the last 30 games when playing as an underdog and they have lost 7 of the last 10 games when playing in the month of November.Washington has lost 7 consecutive games coming off a loss by six points or less and they are allowing an average of 24 points a game on defense this season.

================================================

50* Play New England +3 over Green Bay (TOP NFL PLAY)
50* Play Kansas City +1 over Denver (TOP NFL PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS

Play Jacksonville +3 over New York Giants----RISK 15% OF YOUR BANKROLL
1:00 PM EST

New York has lost 8 of the last 10 non-conference games against the spread and they have lost 58 of the last 89 games against the spread when playing in the month of November. New York has lost 9 of the last 10 games against the spread after allowing 30 points or more in their last game and they are allowing an average of 29 points on defense in road games this season.


Play Pittsburgh -5 over New Orleans----RISK 15% OF YOUR BANKROLL
1:00 PM EST

New Orleans has lost 19 of the last 25 games against the spread vs. AFC North Division Opponents and they have lost three consecutive games against the spread when playing as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points. New Orleans has lost 10 of the last 13 games against the spread after allowing an average of 6.5 or more yards a play in their last game and they are allowing an average of 26 points on defense in road games this season.

==================================================

BONUS NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS

Play Oakland +6.5 over St. Louis----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Carolina +3 over Minnesota----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Kansas City +1 over Denver----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

NBA

10* Play Toronto -6.5 over Los Angeles Lakers (TOP NBA PLAY)
10* Play San Antonio -7 over Boston (TOP NBA PLAY)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NCAA BASKETBALL

10* Play New Mexico -9 over USC (TOP NCAA PLAY)
10* Play Texas +1 over Connecticut (TOP NCAA PLAY)
10* Play Air Force +9 over Texas Tech (TOP NCAA PLAY)
10* Play Kentucky -19 over Providence (TOP NCAA PLAY)

---------------------------------------------------------------------

NHL

10* Play Vancouver +135 over Detroit (TOP NHL PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

NFL

10* Play Houston -7 over Tennessee (Top NFL Play)

Tennessee is 2-11 ATS vs. division opponents
Tennessee is 7-19 ATS when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points


10* Play Indianapolis -8.5 over Washington (Top NFL Play)

Indianapolis is 17-7 ATS when playing as a favorite
Indianapolis is 17-6 ATS in home games


10* Play New England +3 over Green Bay (Top NFL Play)

New England is 15-1 SU when the total posted is greater than 49.5 points
New England is 8-1 SU when playing in the month of November


10* Play Kansas City +1 over Denver (Top NFL Play)

Kansas City is 6-1 ATS when playing as an underdog this season
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in home games this season

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle Football

SUNDAY CANADIAN FOOTBALL---GREY CUP

Play Calgary -8.5 over Hamilton (TOP CFL PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle

SUNDAY

NBA BASKETBALL

Play Phoenix -10.5 over Orlando (NBA TOP PLAY)

Phoenix has covered the spread in 12 of the last 14 games when playing on a Sunday and they have covered the spread in 25 of the last 37 non-conference games.Phoenix has covered the spread in 31 of the last 45 games when playing in the 1st half of the season and they have covered the spread in 29 of the last 46 games coming off an OVER the total in their last game.


Play Portland -14 over Minnesota (NBA BONUS PLAY)
Play Brooklyn +2.5 over Chicago (NBA BONUS PLAY)



================================================== =====

NCAA BASKETBALL

Play New Mexico -9 over USC (NCAA TOP PLAY)

USC has lost 9 of the last 10 games after allowing 60 points or less in their last game and they have lost 19 of the last 24 road games.USC has lost 25 of the last 36 games when playing their 2nd game in a week and they are only averaging 59 points in road games this season.


Play Army +25.5 over Duke (NCAA BONUS PLAY)
Play Texas +1 over Connecticut (NCAA BONUS PLAY)
Play Iona +12.5 over Arkansas (NCAA BONUS PLAY)
Play Air Force +9 over Texas Tech (NCAA BONUS PLAY)

============================================


NHL HOCKEY

Play Vancouver +135 over Detroit (NHL TOP PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Delpopolo

Tulane -7
Arkansas -12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

100 Dimes - New England Patriots (buy half a point to +3 or +3 1/2) visiting the Green Bay Packers, 4:25 PM EST

Free pick - Arizona Cardinals -1 1/2 visiting the Atlanta Braves

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ez winners

3* Baltimore
3* Atlanta
3* Denver

cbb
1* rhode Island

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Josh Daniels

3* Cleveland +3 +110
3* Kansas City +2
1* Atlanta +2.5
1* St Louis -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LineCatchers

NFL

3* Road Warrior Play - Arizona Cardinals - 2

We cashed our 3* NFL GOM last week with the Seahawks against this Arizona team and I like the Cardinals to bounce back this week in a big way on Sunday when they travel to Atlanta to face the Falcons.

At 9-2, Arizona remains on top of the NFC West and owns the NFC's best overall record. Atlanta, despite a 4-7 mark is tied for the NFC South lead. Drew Stanton got off track last week as I predicted as he came up against the very talented Seattle defense. The Cardinals QB should have more success in facing an Atlanta defense that ranks 32nd in the NFL giving up 284 yards through the air per game as well as 32nd in the NFL having given up just under 410 total yards per game through 12 weeks.

The Cardinals own the second ranked defense in the League, allowing just 17.7 points per contest. I fully expect this Cards front seven to get pressure on the Falcons’ inconsistent offensive line and put Matt Ryan under pressure which will and create turnovers.

The Falcons are unbeaten in NFC South play at 4-0, but dropped to 0-7 outside of the division following a last-second loss to the Browns, 26-24 as three-point favourites. The Cardinals are 16-5 ATS their L21 games played against teams with a losing record. And I like the road team in this match up to come away with the victory.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ivey Walters

CBB Double Dime 2% Stanford -8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pat Hawkins

Chiefs +105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sixth Sense

added

NFL

Washington +8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

Tampa Bay Bucs +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot Teams
– Spurs won their last six games, covering four (2-2 AF).
– Golden State won last eight games, covering five of last seven.
– Grizzlies won eight of last nine games (2-3 AF). Sacramento won four of last five home games, covered six of last eight games overall.
– Suns won five of last seven games (3-2 HF).
– Portland won nine of last ten games (5-2 last seven HF).
– Toronto won six of last seven games (3-0 AF), but DeRozan is out for while now with torn leg muscle.

Cold Teams
– Celtics lost six of last seven games (1-4 HU).
– Chicago is 2-7 vs spread in game following a win (3-3 AF). Nets lost six of their last eight games (3-3 SU H).
– Pistons lost their last seven games (1-4-1 vs spread last six).
– Knicks lost 12 of last 14 games (0-3 HU). Miami lost five of its last eight games (2-0 AF).
– Magic lost last four games (0-4 vs spread, 7-3 AU).
– Minnesota lost eight of last ten games (1-3 last four AU).
– Lakers lost their last four games (1-3 last four HU).

Series Records
– Spurs won last five games with Boston, last four by 11+.
– Bulls won three of last four games with Brooklyn.
– Warriors won their last six games with Detroit.
– Grizzlies won their last eight games with Sacramento.
– Knicks lost last three games with Miami by 15-26-11 points.
– Suns swept Orlando LY by 8-16 points, after losing five in row before that to the Magic.
– Trailblazers won eight of last nine games with Minnesota.
– Lakers won six of last eight games with Toronto.

Totals
– Six of last eight San Antonio games stayed under. Nine of last eleven Boston games went over.
– Five of last six Brooklyn games stayed under.
– Last three Detroit games went over the total.
– Six of last seven Memphis road games stayed under.
– Three of last four Miami games went over total.
– Five of last six Phoenix games stayed under total.
– Seven of last eight Minnesota games went over.
– Three of last four Toronto games stayed under total.

Back-to-Backs
– None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks Toronto at LA Lakers The Raptors head to Los Angeles tonight where they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus the Lakers. Toronto is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Raptors favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-6). Here are all of today's NBA picks.


SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 30
Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST


Game 801-802: San Antonio at Boston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 127.827; Boston 113.724
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 14; 210
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-7 1/2); Over


Game 803-804: Chicago at Brooklyn (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 117.300; Brooklyn 119.069
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+3 1/2); Over


Game 805-806: Golden State at Detroit (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 125.710; Detroit 114.255
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 11 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 8 1/2; 200
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-8 1/2); Under


Game 807-808: Memphis at Sacramento (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 124.883; Sacramento 124.445
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 2 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+2 1/2); Under


Game 809-810: Miami at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 114.809; New York 114.977
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 3; 191
Dunkel Pick: New York (+3); Under


Game 811-812: Orlando at Phoenix (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 110.433; Phoenix 123.312
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 13; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 10; 206
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-10); Under


Game 813-814: Minnesota at Portland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 113.156; Portland 124.245
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 11; 218
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 13; 213
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+13); Over


Game 815-816: Toronto at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 125.204; LA Lakers 116.644
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 8 1/2; 217
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 6; 212
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-6); Over

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Sheep
Washington +10 Open Order

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NFAC
Washington +10 500.00
Under 42.5 Carolina / Minnesota 400.00

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Tiger
Washington +10

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Northcoast with opinions

Sunday, November 30th
NFL SUNDAY:
3.5* Baltimore -6.5 San Diego 1 pm
3* Carolina +2.5 Minnesota 1 pm
3* UNDER 45 Arizona/Atlanta 4:05 pm
Top Opinions:
New England +3 Green Bay - NC Sports Comp Pro Play
OVER 49 - Denver/KC NBC Marquee
Indianapolis -8 Washington
Cleveland +3 Buffalo - Dog
Reg Opinions:
Pittsburgh -3.5 New Orleans - Chalk

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Anthony Redd

75 Dime
Football Winner # 10 of 16

Packers

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marc lawrence

top late phone play is Tampa

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Rainman

10 Ravens
5 Colts
3 Arizona
3 Pitt
1 Cinncy

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Diamond Dog Sports

#453: Titans: +7.0 (-110) (1.5*)


#455/456: Over Bills: 42.0 (-105) (2.5*)


#467/468: Over Vikings: 42.5 (-105) (0.5*)

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PAUL LEINER

100* Kentucky vs Providence – Over 133

100* Vikings -2.5

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GOODFELLA

Sunday NFL 1st Half Total

PITTSBURGH STEELERS/NEW ORLEANS SAINTS – OVER 27 POINTS (-105 @BOL)

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DHAYES2

1* Bills -3

1* Saints +3.5

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THE REAL ANIMAL SPORTS

Free plays 9-1 tear w/ Wiscy ‘OVER’ on Saturday. Sunday free pick is

2* Raiders/Rams ‘UNDER’ 42 1/2:
How do Oakland and St. Louis get to 43? Two weeks ago the Raiders spotted the Chargers seven points in the first minute in San Diego. They allowed six points the rest of the game. The Raiders have scored 17 points or less in four of their last six. St. Louis held Denver to seven points in their last home game. The Rams have scored 17 or less in four of their last seven. The ‘UNDER’ is 4-1 the past five meetings in this series. Oakland is averaging 13.3 points per game on the road this year. The Raiders won’t quit. They have covered three of their last four and coming off their first win they should give a spirited effort defensively. Plus it’s not like the Rams customarily blow many teams out. This should be a struggle to reach the end zone for both teams. Go ‘UNDER’.

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Brady Kannon | NFL Side

dime bet – 471 NEP 3.0 (+105) vs 472 GBP

Analysis: Very few +3.5′s available out there currently but I think you can find one if you are patient and keep your eyes on it.

As the way the NFL season sits today, you would have to say that this is The SuperBowl. After both teams stumbled a bit out of the gate, they have both been on extremely impressive runs, often times blowing out the opposition with high powered offenses.. but what has gone a bit unnoticed is that fact that The Packers rush defense ranks near dead last in the league while New England has allowed just over 150-yards on the ground in its last 3-games, and that’s against The Lions, Colts, and Broncos.. all likely playoff teams. Along these lines, let’s also look at who The Packers have been getting healthy against.. The Vikings twice, The Bears twice, The Panthers.. they lost to The Saints and barely beat The Dolphins. New England, ever since getting hammered by The Chiefs, has beaten up on Cincinnati, The Bills, The Broncos, Colts, and Lions.

I do rate these teams as equal but I will give the defensive edge to The Patriots as evidenced by the fact that The Packers have given up more yardage this season, then they have gained..and also the resume nod goes to New England as they have been ascending to the top spot in the league against much stiffer competition.

In terms of one another facing each other’s division.. The Patriots are 9-and-2 ATS against The NFC North, including 6-and-0 ATS on the road. Green Bay, meanwhile is 6-and-14 ATS when hosting teams from The AFC East. New England is also a perfect 4-and-0 SUATS as underdogs this season.

.. and finally, The Brady & Belichick rules. Tom Terrific is 33-15-and-1 ATS as an underdog in his career and a perfect 4-and-0 SUATS when The Patriots record is .800 or better.

I am looking forward to a great watch but I can’t do anything but take the points here in what I see in both my numbers and the situation as a game that New England should win outright.

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Bob Balfe

Jaguars +3

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Joe D:

25* GREEN BAY
20* Houston
20* Tenn
20* Denver
15* Washington
15* Oakland

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Triple Threat Sports

2* Cleveland Browns +3

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Gordon24

NFL $500 Vikings -2.5

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Paul Leiner:

2000* NFL Cardinals -2

1000* NFL Bengals -4

500* CBB Texas +1

100* CBB Over 133 Kentucky/Providence

100* NFL Vikings -2.5

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CHICAGO SPORTS GROUP

FORTUNE 500: 20* NFL Patriots +2½
FORTUNE 500: 20* NFL Bengals under 44½
FORTUNE 500: 20* NFL Bills -3
EXECUTIVE: 10* NFL Colts -8
EXECUTIVE: 10* NFL Steelers -3½
DIRECTORS: 10* NFL Cardinals over 45

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Topshelfpicks

Carson K

NFL Saints

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HIGH ROLLERS CLUB

20* NFL Panthers +2½ and 10* NFL OVER 42
20* NFL Patriots +2½ and 10* NFL UNDER 57
20* NFL Bills -3 and 10* NFL UNDER 42
20* NFL Broncos +1 and 10* NFL OVER 49
20* NFL Bengals -4 and 10* NFL OVER 44½

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FRED CALLAHAN
20* NFL Broncos +1
20* NFL Cardinals -1½
20* NFL Raiders under 42
15* NFL Colts -8
15* NFL Titans +7
10* NFL Steelers under 55

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TONY CAMPONE
20* NFL Panthers +2½
CADILLAC: 20* NFL Bills -3
CADILLAC: 20* NFL Patriots +2½
WISEGUY ACTION: 10* NFL Broncos over 49
WISEGUY ACTION: 10* NFL Colts -8
SHARP EDGE: 10* NFL Jaguars under 44½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frankie Diamonds
Chiefs +1 vs5

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Scott " bulldog " rickenback



NFL Nov 30 '14
1:00p Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Take: Total 44 ov-110 in 1h

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Sunday 10* (Top Play) on OVER in Tampa Bay vs. Cincinnati @ 1:00 p.m. ET
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Cincinnati Bengals Sunday. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on OVER in Tampa Bay with his Three-Factor Analysis: 1. Tampa Bay has given its opponents great starting field position this season, rankings among the bottom of the NFL in punting stats. The Bengals have a dangerous return team that should have Cincinnati in striking distance on most drives. 2. Tampa Bay’s defense has beat up on some offensively-challenged teams recently, slowing down Washington and Chicago. The Bengals are getting their legs back under them after having key weapons in and out all season. Receiver AJ Green is back to full strength and dynamic RB Giovanni Bernard will have another game under his belt since return from injury. The Cincinnati offense – which has erupted for big games – should be firing on all cylinders in Week 13. 3. The Bucs are seeing some explosiveness of their own with the football. Rookie WR Mike Evans has been dominating opposing secondaries in recent weeks, totaling 505 yards and six touchdowns in the past four games. With his deep-ball threat drawing attention, it also opens up the offense for easier passes underneath and draw plays. Play on OVER in Tampa Bay as a 10* Top Selection Sunday.
Good luck, Scott.

Pick released on Nov 29 at 05:16 pm
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NFL Nov 30 '14
1:00p New Orleans Saints vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Take: New Orleans Saints +5-110 in 1h

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Sunday 8* (Regular Play) on New Orleans at Pittsburgh @ 1:00 p.m. ET
The Pittsburgh Steelers host the New Orleans Saints Sunday. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on New Orleans with his Three-Factor Analysis: 1. The Saints are being undervalued in this matchup, with oddsmakers looking to their past struggles away from home when setting this line. New Orleans has been a bad pay on the road but has already shown it can win away from the Big Easy with a huge divisional victory in Carolina. 2. New Orleans isn’t relying solely on the passing game against the Steelers. The Saints have an impressive balance on offense, and are able to pound the football with RBs Mark Ingram and Pierre Thomas. New Orleans has the ninth-best rushing attack in the NFL, averaging 124.8 yards on the ground per game. They are among the top teams in time of possession - 30:46 – and can take the air out of the Steelers offense. 3. Saints TE Jimmy Graham is a handful for any defense, but Pittsburgh has been bullied by big TEs this season. Eight of the 19 receiving touchdowns Pittsburgh has allowed have been caught by tight ends. Graham had two TD catches in last week’s loss to Baltimore.
Play on New Orleans as an 8* Regular Selection Sunday.
Good luck, Scott.

Pick released on Nov 29 at 05:17 pm
-= TOP PLAY =-
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NFL Nov 30 '14
4:25p New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers
Take: New England Patriots +3+103 in 4h

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Sunday 10* (Top Play) on New England at Green Bay @ 4:25 p.m. ET
The Green Bay Packers host the New England Patriots Sunday. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on New England with his Three-Factor Analysis: 1. The Patriots have faced and conquered some of the elite passers in the NFL this season. New England has wins over Peyton Manning, Andrew Luck, and Matthew Stafford the last three games, so facing a red-hot Aaron Rodgers is nothing new to this secondary. 2. The Patriots offense isn’t getting the respect it deserves in this matchup. New England is putting the ball in the end zone any which way it can. One week, Tom Brady is hitting his WRs for huge strikes. The next TE Rob Gronkowski is plowing through the secondary. And the week after that, New England is rushing the ball down its opponent’s throat. The Pats have far too many ways to find paydirt. 3. Green Bay’s defense has depended on turnovers to make up for its sub-par stats. However, don’t expect New England to just hand the ball over. The Patriots have just nine turnovers on the year with all nine coming via Tom Brady, either by interception of fumble. New England just isn’t going to give Green Bay any extra chances with the football.
Play on New England as a 10* Top Selection Sunday.
Good luck, Scott.

Pick released on Nov 29 at 05:16 pm
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NFL Nov 30 '14
8:30p Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs
Take: Denver Broncos -1-102 in 8h

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Sunday 8* (Regular Play) on Denver at Kansas City @ 8:30 p.m. ET
The Kansas City Chiefs host the Denver Broncos Sunday. “The Bulldog” breaks down his selection on Denver with his Three-Factor Analysis: 1. Denver hasn’t played its best football the last two weeks, losing to St. Louis and narrowly avoiding another upset against Miami. The Broncos know that level of football won’t cut it in Arrowhead Stadium. Expect Denver to pick it up against this divisional foe, covering the spread in eight of their last 12 games versus AFC West rivals. 2. The Broncos aren’t just leaning on their passing game to get the job done and can keep the Chiefs defense on their toes with the emergence of their rushing attack. Denver rumbled for 205 yards in the win over Miami and had 118 yards against Oakland three weeks ago. A potent running game will limit the amount of pressure Kansas City can bring at Peyton Manning, opening up the passing attack. 3. The Chiefs have weapons but aren’t the most explosive offense, picking up only 5.3 yards per play – 21st in the NFL. If Denver gets up big – and it will – Kansas City can’t shift into that next gear. We saw this in the first meeting between these teams, when the Broncos jumped out early and Kansas City couldn’t come back, despite keeping Denver out of the end zone in second half.
Play on Denver as an 8* Regular Selection Sunday.
Good luck, Scott.

Pick released on Nov 29 at 05:17 pm

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Here are today's system bet(s):




Toronto {A} bet - This is a confirmed official bet under the original NBA Betting System




San Antonio {A} bet - This is a confirmed official bet under the original NBA Betting System






Note that all bets labeled with {A} are bets under the original NBA system, and are not Exterminator system plays. Only bet on these game if you are able to buy 3 points at -170 odds!




All bets labeled with either {B} or {C} are Exterminator system plays. Bet a flat percentage of your bankroll as instructed in the system manual.






Since you're a member of my Exterminator system, make sure to follow the guidelines below:
- All {A} bets are not part of the Exterminator system. Unless, however, if you have the ability to buy 3 points at -170 odds, then it is strongly advisable to place a small wager on all the {A} bets with buying 3 points, up to 5% of your bankroll. This is an optional betting strategy, which has proven to be a profitable one based on my research. Buying 3 points on {A} bets has won over 65% of the time over the years, so you should bet on {A} bets if you can buy 3 points at -170 odds.
-All {B} and {C} bets are qualified under both the original NBA system as well as the Exterminator system. For the Exterminator system, bet a flat percentage of your bankroll on both {B} and {C} bets. You do not need to buy any points on these bets under the Exterminator system.
- Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)
- If your team is a favorite, bet on the money line. If the team is a big favorite resulting in odds that are too unfavorable for you to be comfortable with, then you can either optionally skip the series, or bet on the point spread plus 3 points as normal (only applicable under the original NBA system), but do not continue betting on the series if your team wins the game but the bet does not cover.
Always consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters. Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out. I will always make my best effort to notify you of game-changing injuries whenever I am aware of them to ensure that you don't make wagers on team that don't pass the injury filter. However, I cannot make guarantees that I will always be able to be on top of every single injury, every game, every day, at all times. Some teams may hold off on releasing relevant injury information until much later in the day. A bet will be unofficial if it does not pass the filters of the system. Ultimately as a bettor, I always strongly encourage that if there's any uncertainty about the status of your team's best player for a game that you always check on final injury updates.
Good luck,
Tony Chau, author of the best-selling Exterminator Betting System

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Locksmith

NCAAB:
Tennessee Tech +7 -110 2* (2:00 Eastern)
Lipscomb +15 -110 3* (2:00 Eastern)
Fresno State +6.5 -110 2* (6:00 Eastern)

NBA:
Chairman's Play:
Sacramento +3 -110 4*(6:00 Eastern)

NFL:
Tampa Bay +5.5 -110 2* (1:00 Eastern)
Washington +8.5 -110 2* (1:00 Eastern)
Chairman's Play:
Kansas City -1 -110 4* (8:30 Eastern)

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DIAMOND DOG SPORTS

NBA

#803/804: Bulls/Nets: Over 195.5 (-110) (2.5*)
Rating: 2.5 Units

NCAAB

#892: Duke: -26.0 (-110) (0.5*)
Rating: 0.5 Unit
(Starts at 9:00am PST/12:00pm EST)

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Lt locks
Falcons
Packers
Chiefs

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BETTING AS A BUSINESS

NFL 4:05 et:

Atlanta +2 / Arizona 4:05 ET 1.00 Unit
(Play ON ATLANTA)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Guaranteed
Green Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JAMES JONES

NFL-Green Bay Packers(-3)-114...(3*)

NFL-Oakland Raiders(+6.5)-120...(2*)

NFL-Denver Broncos(+1)+100...(1*)

NFL-New Orleans Saints(+4)-123...(1*)

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DOC SPORTS (CBB)

4* UCONN -1
4* Texas Tech -10
4* California -6
4* Detroit -2.5
4* Washington +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SHAKER'S SHORTS (CBB)

821 Providence/Kentucky - OVER 132.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BB Documented Plays Sun Nov 30th, 2014 1:00pm EST

5 Unit Side Play · [455] Cleveland Browns

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

50 chiefs

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ROBERT FERRINGO (CBB)
817: 2* +2
892: 1* -26
842: 2* -1
858: 2* -3.5
873: 2* +15
847: 1* +2
868: 1* -9
828: 1* -7

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Lenny Stevens
19 wins 5 lost on 20* in NFL

20 Balt
20 Buff

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Kelso

50 chiefs


100 cincy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin O'Neill

Bucs
Chiefs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB PROFESSOR
NBA
There are 3 early games but none of them fit.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sixth Sense (complete card)

Kansas City +1.5
Baltimore -6
New Orleans/Pittsburgh Over 54
Washington +8
Green Bay -2.5
Atlanta +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Erin Rynning

20 NFC TOY MINN-UNDER

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Kyle Hunter

3* Arizona -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Charlie sports
Tb
Jacksonville
Minn over

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IntPicks
2 Balt
2 Houston
2 bills
2 Atlanta
1 kc over
free packers

hoops
2 n Iowa
1 Stanford Monmouth bulls under lakers over

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Jack Jones

GOY Oakland Raiders

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EXECUTIVE FOOTBALL

450% carolina
450% gbay
150% houston
100% saints
100% chargers

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Rooster
Texas Tech -10
Detroit -2.5
Cal -6
UTEP -4
Jacksonville Under 44

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Money Maverick
NFL:

Packers -2.5 (10 units)
Jaguars +3 (10 units)
Broncos +1 (10 units)
Chargers +7 (-120) (10 units)
Rams -5.5 (10 units)

NBA:

Bulls -3 (10 units)

NCAAB:

Southern Miss +3.5 (10 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bankerz Bets


Game of the Year 6* Buffalo Bills -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Craig Davis
2nd Ever
150 DIME
NFL Play of My Career


Sunday Night Bailout of the Year


Kansas City

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Arthur Ralph
SuPick Ravens -6
Blue Ribbons KC +2, Giants -3, Colts -9, Arizona - 1 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA

5* Falcons/Cardinals Over
4* Broncos/Chiefs Under
3* Ravens
3* Chiefs

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Jack Jones

NFL

25* Oakland Raiders +7
20* Washington Redskins +10
20* San Diego Chargers +6.5
15* New Orleans Saints +5
15* Buffalo Bills -3

NBA

15* Memphis Grizzlies/Sacramento Kings - Under 195.5

NCAA-B

15* Northern Iowa -7.5

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W/ Write up
sleepyj | NFL SideSun, 11/30/14 - 8:30 PM
triple-dime bet473 DEN 0.0 (-118) BetOnline vs 474 KAN
Analysis: First things first here...Don't listen to all the damn chatter surrounding KC. Sure they have revenge and are coming off a loss and also have plenty of time to prep and they are at home..Wow that's a bunch of good things for KC. Well to be honest i really don't care about that. Here is why Denver will roll KC...Let's get into the game. Denver on offense really got the ball moving last week Vs. Miami. A Miami defense i have rated much higher than KC. Sure Denver lost to St. Louis, but they had 3 road games in a row and they were banged up..It was so obvious they would have a bad game..They were due for a bad game all around..Now they got the offense rolling and this is the third week they have a running game to show for it. They got Sanders & both Thomas' will play..Throw in Wes Welker and now even jacob Tamme who has gotten reps...Denver's offense will be operating on all cylanders...KC won't be able to contain them..But Sleepy KC has the leagues #1 pass defense...No They Don't!!....They played the last 6 games Vs. Teams that can't throw and backup QB's...Let's name who they faced...Rivers in a offense that was lost 6 weeks ago...Austin Davis, Geno Smith, Kyle Orton...Throw Seattle right in the mix..They are the leagues 31st passing offense..and last week Oakland..Besides SD....I'll even say Oakland has the better passing offense out of all the teams i just named..Look up the stats...That's why KC lost!...They might have the # in pass defense but they havent played anyone in weeks who can pass..That type of layoff without seeing a powerful pass offense like Denver is going to hurt them here. Everyone jumped ship on Denver because they lost 1 game and looked subpar in another..Guys it's Denver relax..It's Primetime w. Manning. Denver wins this game they gain control of this division. A loss ties them with KC at 8-4...That's not going to happen. Let's take a look at the KC offense. They have the leagues worst passing offense and the leagues 5th rushing offense...What does Denver do well?...Stop the run plain and simple..Miami tried to run and they got 97 yards on the ground..Denver is not going to let Jamaal Charles kill them. They will force Alex Smith to beat them and if you take notice of who KC has to throw the ball too, they are very limited. You can't just turn a running team into a passing team over night. Denver will get a good lead here and this game will rely on Alex Smith to move the ball through the air. Now Denver gave up 36 to Miami. Yes and Denver could have covered the game if the RB didn't fall down. Not that that matter's but the fact that Denver gave up 36 points is a concern. Do you really think Denver's defense will come to play a Primetime game and give up that amount of points again to a strictly run based team..Not going to happen...Alex Smith has throw a toal of 5 TD passes in 6 weeks. Manning throws 5TD's in one game..How can you take Alex Smith to outscore Manning..Because this is really what it all comes down to is Alex Smith Vs. Peyton Manning...One thing about Denver here that i like is KC can be ran on..The issue with the RB situation for Denver has been ironed right out. Manning isn't the type of guy to take weeks to regroup..he does it quick and it's effective..Denver ran the ball Vs. Miami for 200+ yards...Miami can stop the run 10x better than KC...Sure the situation her favors KC..The stats tell a much different story.though. Denver beat these guys already and giving Manning a second look at your defense is a bad thing. Denver giving up a bunch of points to Miami is another bad thing here..No way does that defense let that happen again. I'm su*re everything you hear will be KC and every "Sharp" will have KC...Well we will grab this at a pickem..we lay nothing..and you heard it here first..Denver is going to lay a beatin on KC...KC hasn't seen a passing team in a long time..They will wish they did because Manning is coming to lay a beat down..Denver rolls 38-23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris James Sports

55-40 YTD NFL

Over Saints 54.5
Ravens -6.5
Panthers +2.5
Falcons +2.5
Chiefs +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

red supersuit

indy/skins over 48-

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
3* Kentucky -20.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HSW 4 Balt 1 NYG
GD West & NY 2 Cinn

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ecks and Bacon

Ben lee did the splits on Saturday in College Football.

Losing his straight wager on North Carolina -6/N.C. State.

But winning his Three Team Ten Point Teaser.


(1) Boston College -1/Syracuse (W)

(2) San Diego State -2/San Jose State (W)

(3) Alabama +1/Auburn (W)

For Sunday in the NFL E&B are going with a "FIVE TEAM PARLAY" for Twenty Five Dollars.

(1)Panthers +3/Vikings

(2)Buccaneers +3.5/Bengals

(3) Falcons +2/Cardinals

(4)Packers -3/Patriots

(5)Chiefs +2/Broncos


For Sunday across the pond Ben lee likes Southampton +$220/Manchester City for $25 and a $25 play on the draw +$240.

For Sunday in College Basketball Ben lee likes Portland State +16/Oregon.

Ben lee is 1-4 -$170 for week Fifty Seven 261-296-5 -$3867.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Underdog
ne

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports unlimited
turkey goy
carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Graccai

NFL:
Washington +9
Cleveland +3 & ML
Oak/t. Louis Under 43
Balt. -7

NCAAB:
Depaul +8
Bowling Green +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports unlimited
5 kc
5 green bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fat jack


San Diego
Carolina
Atlanta
New England
Denver
Denver over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pick Addict
1:00 PM EST NFL
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS VS. PITTSBURGH STEELERS
PICK: PITTSBURGH STEELERS -3.5 (-110)
RISK: 2.7 UNITS
==========================================
1:00 PM EST NFL
NEW YORK GIANTS VS. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
PICK: NEW YORK GIANTS -3 (+100)
RISK: 1.6 UNITS
==========================================
4:05 PM EST NFL
ARIZONA CARDINALS VS. ATLANTA FALCONS
PICK: ARIZONA CARDINALS -1.5 (-115)
RISK: 1.2 UNITS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HSW
1 Atlanta 1 over
3 NE 1 under
2 KC 1 over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andrew Relish
Orlando Magic +10

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Dr Bob
opinion kentucky
4* golden st
3* toronto

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MIKE DAVIS (CBB)

4*) Arkansas -13

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ALLEN EASTMAN (NBA)

4-Unit Play. Take # Toronto (-6.5) over L.A. Lakers (9:30 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)

AND

4-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 212.0 Toronto at L.A. Lakers (9:30 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)

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EZWINNERS

Added

NFL

2* (472) Green Bay Packers -2.5

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Pete Kidd (NBA 52-45 NBA Overall)

Nets/Bulls Under 96 First Half
Detroit/Golden State Over 103 First Half
Kings/Grizzlies Under 92.5 First Half
Lakers/Raptors Over 211 Total

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STRIKE POINT SPORTS (CBB)
8-Unit Play- Take UTEP (-4) over Washington

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BETTING AS A BUSINESS

NBA

Orlando +9.5 / Phoenix 8:05 ET 1.25 Units
(Play ON Orlando)