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Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:10 PM
::clap::

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:10 PM
Maddux Sports

Pittsburgh +3.5 10*
6pt teaser on K.City +7.5/49ers -1.5 10*

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:13 PM
Trev Rogers

Browns +4
Redskins +2.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:14 PM
Doc Sports
New England -3 6*

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:14 PM
Doc Sports



TOP NFL Game of the Week

5 Unit Play. #171 Take Kansas City Chiefs +1 over Arizona Cardinals (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS)

The Cardinals are in complete freefall at the moment with no landing spot in sight. QB Drew Stanton has played terrible the last two weeks, and now they are in jeopardy of even winning the NFC West. Kansas City is coming off back to back losses against AFC West teams (Denver & Oakland) and now faces a must-win game against Arizona. Kansas City has covered 11 of their last 14 regular-season road games, and I feel that they win this game convincingly. Arizona keeps losing players to injury, and that has taken its toll on this team. Alex Smith has a 7-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio in 2014 road games. Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record.


4 Unit Play. #153 Take Pittsburgh Steelers +3 over Cincinnati Bengals (Sunday 1 pm CBS)

Both of these teams have had up-and-down points in the season, and thus we expect the Steelers to bounce back well in what is a must-win game for them. The Steelers have won 11 of their last 14 games in Cincinnati, and they are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games when they are coming off a loss. QB Andy Dalton has been poor playing at Paul Brown Stadium this season with a 73.2 passer rating. IN the NFL when good teams meet, generally the team that needs it more gets the game, and Pittsburgh certainly needs this one. Pittsburgh is 19-7 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 28 games after allowing 30 or more points in their previous game. Cincinnati is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games played during Week 14.


4 Unit Play. #156 Take Cleveland Browns +3.5 over Indianapolis Colts (Sunday 1 pm FOX)

The Browns had a lot of questions entering this game, but they made the right choice keeping Brian Hoyer as the starting quarterback. This team is still 7-5 on the season, and this is a must-win game in order to keep their playoff hopes alive. Cleveland is 4-0 straight up and ATS off of losses this year, and they are coming off a loss to Buffalo last Sunday. Indianapolis plays in a weak division; thus this game is just not as important to them. Take the points with the team at home today. Cleveland is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games against teams with a winning road record.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:14 PM
Robert Ferringo
NFL
4* Denver -9
2* Indy -3
2* KC +1
2* New England -3
1* Miami -2
1* Carolina +10
1* San Fran -8
Totals
3* TB-Det Over 41
2* SF-Oak Over 41
1* Hou-Jack Over 42
1* Balt-MiamI Under 45
1* NYG-Tenn Under 45
1* KC-Ariz Over 40- $

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:15 PM
Mike Davis

6* Patriots

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:15 PM
Greg Shaker | NFL Total
Sun, 12/07/14 - 8:30 PM


triple-dime bet
NEP / SDC Over 50.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:15 PM
Spartan

Triple-Dime Tampa Bay +10

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:16 PM
JR ODonnell

NFL Power Play Game of the Year

Seattle Seahawks +1.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:16 PM
Norm Hitzges
NFL


DOUBLE PLAYS:

Houston -6 Jacksonville
New Orleans -10 Carolina


SINGLE PLAYS:

Seattle +1 Philly
Pitt +3 Cincinnati
Indy -3 1/2 Cleveland
Minnesota -6 NY Jets
St. Louis -3 Washington
Denver -13 Buffalo
San Francisco -8 Oakland
San Fran--Oakland UNDER 41

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:17 PM
KB Hoops

10* Cleveland Browns +3.5
9* San Diego Chargers +3.5
9* Seattle Seahawks +1
9* Oakland Raiders +8
8* Miami Dolphins -2.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:17 PM
SleepyJ

Analysis: This one jumped right off the page at me. When that happens we generally do pretty damn good. Let's get into why this game goes OVER. Let's start with the Chargers. After the bye week they have seemed to find themselves some rythym and have actually won 3 in a row. This team is looking a the playoffs but they need to win to do so. Here is a great test in the Patriots. If we go back to last week and weeks prior the issue for SD is the running game. They have all but forgotten the run and have been a strickly passing team. Last week Rivers threw the ball for 376 yards 3 TD's. The chargers played Baltimore who can give any offense issues. They had 31 first downs and a whopping 9-11 on 3rd down!. The Chargers on defense haven't looked all that great in the last 3 games. Now they get a pissed off New England team coming off a loss on national tv. Tom Brady had a bad game for his standards. He was missing throws high and low. The receivers dropped a few big passes and the kicking game didn't help the Pats either. It was a tough game for the Pats and it was just a tough place to play going into Green Bay. I think thye will like this weather and venue and team much better. The Patriots need to win to kee p pace in the AFC if they want a bye. San Diego needs to win to throw them intot he mix here as well. This will be a shootout. Im not going to bore you guys with all kinds of QB & WR stats. Pick Made: Dec 2 2014 12:33PM PST


3*) NE/SD Ov 50.5 BetOnline (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fpartners.commission.bz%2Fpr ocessing%2Fclickthrgh.asp%3Fbtag%3Da_36640b_127)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:17 PM
Perfect Game Picks

Miami Dolphins ML (-140)




The other game we love is Miami at home against the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens received some bad news this week that their star defensive linemen Haloti Ngata has been suspended 4 games due to taking a banned substance. This really hurts their defensive unit, one that has not been very good in 2014. Baltimore allows 360 yards per game, including a brutal 274 through the air. The Ravens are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 versus the AFC and just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games in December.




The Dolphins are one team no one wants to face in the playoffs. They possess an outstanding defense that allows just 317 yards and loves to sack opposing QB’s. They should be able to have a field day against one of the worst passing defenses in the league. Look for Tannehill to find youngster Jarvis Landry all day as #2 WR’s have feasted on the Ravens. Miami have won 5 straight games played on grass and are 5-1 in their last 6 versus the AFC.




New York Giants ML (-115)




The Titans have lost their last two games by a combined score of 88-45. They also have lost WR’s Justin Hunter and Kendall Wright to injuries this week. Their QB (Zach Mettenberger suffered a sprained shoulder last week but is expected to give it a go against the Giants. They have a long slew of other injuries on both sides of the ball and have just one win in their last 11 games (came over Jacksonville).




The Giants lost to Jacksonville last week after being up 21-0. They however possess the better QB, WR, offensive line, and defense. We expect Eli Manning/Odell Beckham Jr to put up huge numbers against a terrible Tennessee defense that was torched by Ryan Fitzpatrick and Company for 358 yards and 6 TD’s.




This is a bad football game that only deserves being watched because we are going to win this play and Odell Beckham Jr. is amazing.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:18 PM
BEN BURNS FOOTBALL

BREAKFAST CLUB - tbay/det under

DIV GOY - jacksonville

PERSONAL FAVORITE - phil

BEST BET - chargers

MAIN EVENT - pats/sd under

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:18 PM
Compufun Game of the Month
Pittsburgh +3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:19 PM
INDIAN COWBOY - NFL


4-Unit Play #163 Take Tampa Bay +10over Detroit (Sunday @ 1pm est)
This is a lotof points for a Tampa Bay team that has of late been playing very good Footballand staying in most of these contests each week. Note that the Bucs have lostby 1 point to Cincinnati falling within the 6 point spread against the Bengals,losing by 8 points to the Bears as a 4 point underdog, beating WashingtonOutright by 20 points as a near touchdown underdog, losing to Atlanta by 10points, losing to the Browns by 5 points, losing to Minnesota by 6 points inextra time and losing to New Orleans by 6 points in extra time as well. So theBucs have consistently been in most of these ballgames and they continue towork hard and not quit on the season as they are looking to build for biggerand better things next season. You have to give Lovie Smith credit in that hisguys indeed have not quit on them this season. Combine all of that with theLions comingo ff such a big win on Thanksgiving Day and it’s a classic let downspot for them here. A decent public fade here, with a strong defense and a gamethat is possibly expected to be low scoring, note the Bucs are 4-1 ATS in theirlast 5 road games and the Lions are 0-5-1 ATS coming off a straight up win ofmore than 14 points. Classic let down spot here for the Lions.
7-Unit Play #152 Take Miami -2.5 overBaltimore (Sunday @ 1pm est)
Note thatMiami is expected to do well in this game which is why they are indeed favored.The Dolphins are a 7-5 team and continue to get better and it’s obvious thatthis team is getting significantly better since the start of the year. In fact,though this team is 7-5 this team is a possession or two away from being 8-3after the Packers and Lions games. This team also gave Denver their biggestscare on the road by nearly beating the Broncos Outright before the wheelscoming off the wagon late in that contest. Note, that Miami lost to this teamby a field goal last year and has revenge against them this year and they havegotten significantly better. After all, this Dolphins team has did not playwell against the Jets only beating them 16-13 (note we were on the Jets as ourcomp selection on the daily video) and now they will look to bounce-back ATS againsta quality team here. The Dolphins have done well against quality teams such aslosing to Denver by just 3 points as a 6.5 point underdog, beating Buffalo 22-9as a small favorite, beating San Diego 37-0 as a field goal favorite, beatingJacksonville by 14 points as a 7 point favorite and beating Oakland 38-14 as a4 point favorite. With the Dolphins consistently doing well as small favorites,look for the Dolphins to once again do well here. The Ravens have alsostruggled of late against AFC teams as they are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11games against the AFC and though the Ravens are coming off a loss, note thatthe Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when they face a team with awinning road record and are 4-1 ATS coming off an ATS loss as well. Look forthe Dolphins to surprise a lot of people here and pick up a key win for theirplayoff hopes.
4-Unit Play #154 Take Under 49 Seattlevs Philadelphia (Sunday @ 4:25pm est)
We love the Underhere for a couple of reasons. For starters, these two coaches are well aware ofeach other. They know their tendencies back from the college days of USC andOregon and have been crossing paths for some time now. Keep in mind thatSeattle is always up to the challenge defensively and they are more thanexcited to face a high octane offense such as Philadelphia as they will takethat as a challenge and that in and of itself is going to get this team firedup to face this offense. Combine that with Sanchez has a tendency to struggleagainst strong defensive lines and strong defensive backs for that matter, lookfor Seattle to be giving Sanchez plenty of trouble and different looks. Combinethat with Wilson facing a much underrated Eagle defense and Seattle being aball control team by nature and you will find a likely under here which is whythe total is relatively low for an Eagle game. It’s a decent public fade here,the Under is 9-3 for the Seahawks when they face a team with a winning recordmeaning more quality teams and the Eagles have a tendency for a classic letdown spot here as they are 33-16 in their last 49 games after scoring 30 ormore points in their previous game

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:19 PM
VR/NFAC:

nfl browns

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:19 PM
Scott Spreitzer


Triple-Dime - Eagles -1
Double-Dime - Steelers +3
Double-Dime - Browns +3.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:20 PM
SB PROFESSOR

Pittsburgh Steelers +3*
Kansas City Chiefs -1*

Rest of Games
New York Giants -1

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:41 PM
SIXTH SENSE

Cleveland +3.5 -120

Tampa Bay +10

New England/San Diego – Over 51

Miami -2.5 -120

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:42 PM
PHILLYGODFATHER

Browns +4

Redskins +3

Chiefs +1.5

Seahawks +1

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:46 PM
NORTHCOAST SPORTS

NFL Totals POW — Lions / Bucs – Under 41.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-06-2014, 10:48 PM
StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

NFL | PITTSBURGH at CINCINNATI
Play Under – Road teams against the total after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, versus division opponents
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )

NFL | SEATTLE at PHILADELPHIA
Play Against – Road teams vs. the money line (SEATTLE) outrushing their opponents by 1.5 or more yards/carry on the season, after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
40-25 since 1997. ( 61.5% | 0.0 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )

NFL | ST LOUIS at WASHINGTON
Play Against – Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (ST LOUIS) after allowing 14 points or less last game against opponent after allowing 40 points or more last game
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

golden contender
12-07-2014, 01:16 AM
Sunday NFL Triple Perfect Conference Play of the Year on Sunday night + Early 12-0 6* and 2 big Double system 5* Sides. In Hoops its A 5* 100% Blowout, an Undefeated Road warrior and a 18-1 NCAAB Power Angle. There is also a big teaser. Football ranks #1 and The 7* NCAAF Goy cashes with Ohio.St. Free NFL Play below.


The free NFC Power system play is on the Washington Redskins +3. Game 166 at 1:00 eastern. Washington has covered 7 straight off a Non conference game and 10 of 11 if the have the Giants up next and have revenge. The Rams are off a big 52-0 home win but have covered just once in the last 8 vs NFC East teams and are 1-12 ats as a road favorite vs a team with revenge. Home dogs of less than 5 off a road dog loss that allowed 35 or more have covered 17 of 23 vs an opponent off a home favored win. Look for a big game from Washington here today as the Skins are one of the better teams from the line of scrimmage but it has not translated to the win column. We will take them today plus the points. Football remains with a #1 ranking. Saturday 7* GOY Cashes Easily with Ohio.St. Tonight its the Triple Perfect Conference Play of the year. Early 12-0 6* and Double system 5*. Their is also a triple Perfect Late afternoon 5* and 3 big Hoops plays. In the NBA its a 5* Blowout and big 100% Road warrior. In NCAAB its 18-1 Power angle play. Jump on and put the most powerful data in the Industry on your side. For the season its now 51 Games over. 500 in football. For the free play take Washington +3. GC

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 07:53 AM
WAYNE ROOT

MILLIONAIRES----PHILADELPHIA
NO LIMIT CLUB---WASHINGTON
____________________________
PERFECT PLAY---TENNESSEE
New York has to be upset with both teams and will entertain fans with "media" drama for the remainder of the year. The Giants came into this season with realistic hopes of making the playoffs, but things have not gone according to plan. Standout WR Victor Cruz suffered a knee injury in a week 6 loss at Philadelphia and New York has proceeded to lose seven games in a row.
In the Titans’ last 11 games, their only win was a narrow 16-14 home victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Tennessee will play in winnable games the next three weeks, home against the Giants and Jets then on the road at Jacksonville. These two teams have both struggled mightily to reach the win column over the last two months of the season. Home field for the Titans as the Giants have quit and resigned itself to continue to make mistakes, commit turnovers and play with little interest. TAKE TENNESSEE
______________________________________________
INNER CIRCLE---SAN DIEGO......NFL UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH
While the Patriots are clearly not invincible, they're still the best team in the AFC. But this is a situational play. A play that fall into place just right. A week after losing on the road at Green Bay, they now find themselvestraveling 3500 miles and starting a game at 8:30 pm est. And laying 3.5 points to boot. This looks like a *trap* game as the public is convinced that the Pats will not lose in back to back games. They might not. They may win the game 24-21 and allow the Chargers tickets to cash big! If the Patriots have a weakness this year, it's clearly on the ground. No Pats running back has eclipsed the 400 yard marker and only Jonas Grey has more than two touchdowns. The Chargers return home after a great come from behind road win to cover this pointspread behind Philip Rivers in a game he wants to win so bad against Tom Brady!!
TAKE SAN DIEGO
_____________________________________
Pinnacle (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fcappersmall2.com%2Flines.ph p)---CLEVELAND...AFC UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR
What's up with Cleveland? Don't they know that they are in the middle of a playoff run? Finally the Browns return to the Cleveland sports city and franchise we all love to hate. Only the Browns would start a QB controversy in a late season playoff run. But according to my sources, the QB benching and bringing in Johnny Football was the right thing to do. Now Bryan Hoyer is back to starting, re-focused and had another week of practice trying to get his timing with Josh Gordon. Besides, the Browns win at home with great defensive play; not by scoring 35 points. On the other hand, if Andrew Luck doesn't throw for 4 to 5 TD's, it will be an easy win and cover for the hometeam dog! TAKE CLEVELAND

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 07:53 AM
Mike Missanelli
Steelers
Broncos
Texans

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 07:54 AM
Sky Blue
NFL - December 7)
1:00pm ET - Cleveland Browns +3.5
1:00pm ET - Washington Redskins +3
1:00pm ET - Detroit Lions -10

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 07:54 AM
Joe Gavazzi


STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK

Houston Texans (-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00 PM EST

Each week I isolate an NFL team whom I believe will dominate their opponent at the point of attack. Outrushing your NFL opponent by 30+ yards provides a team with a 74% chance to beat the spread. If a team runs 30 times a game, while their opponent does not, they have an 83% chance to cover the point spread. Finally, if an opponent runs 22 or less times in a game, while our team runs more than 22 times, we have an 86% chance to cover the point spread. Last week, our Steamroller of the Week was these Houston Texans, who rolled to a 45-21 victory against outmanned Tennessee. This week, we are back for more with the same Houston team against the Jaguars team with the second worst offense in the league.

The Jags got just their second win of the season last week when they won 25-24 against the New York Giants. Don’t think it was an offensive explosion. The Jags trailed 21-0 last week, but rallied for a 25-24 victory courtesy of two fumbles returned for touchdowns. But Jacksonville does not respond well to victory, as they are just 2-10 ATS following a win. This team continues to have a pathetic offense, averaging just 16 PPG on 300 YPG. They get outrushed 30/129/4.3 to 23/98/4.3.

That is grist for the running mill that has become the Houston Texans, whose average numbers for the season are 33/134/4.1. At 6-6 SU, following last week’s victory, the Texans are still alive in the playoff hunt. That means there will be full focus today. In last week’s romp over Tennessee, Houston had a 457-320 yard edge. Following a 2-14 SU season of last, Texans are highly motivated to get back to the winning side of the ledger. They are 4-1 SU ATS this season vs sub-.500 teams.

The combination of the Houston incentive, the momentum of last week’s victory, the strong fundamental edge at the point of attack, and Jacksonville’s poor history following a victory will all lead to a comfortable victory by the Texans today.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 07:55 AM
VEGAS SHARP

3 Units
Kansas City Chiefs +1
Seattle Seahawks +1.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 07:57 AM
Sports Lab

NFL:
Cleveland Browns +4 *10 units
Jacksonville Jaguars +5 *10 units

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 07:57 AM
INT Picks
NFL
Houston
Cleveland
NY Giants
Arizona
NE/SD over 52
Pittsburgh


Cbb
Georgia
Iona
Kentucky
UCLA


NBA
Atlanta
Dallas/Milwaukee over 206.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 07:59 AM
Maddux Sports

Added

Jets +6 (10*)
Cleveland +3.5 (10*)
Carolina +10 (20*)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 07:59 AM
Jason Sample:

2U:

Texans TT O23.5
GBP 1H TT O17.5

1U:

Skins +10 / Seahawks +7 / Chiefs +7 (+142) - 7TW
Jets +11 / Bucs +17.5 (+100) = 6TR
Dolphins/Packers MLs (-118)
Bills/Broncos UNDER 47.5
Texans/Colts/Packers MLs (+159)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 08:00 AM
BetArtist
Lock of the day:
Pittsburgh +3.0 (buy the hook for 3.5)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 08:29 AM
NHL

Hot teams
-- Ducks won six of their last eight games. Winnipeg won four of last five.
-- Red Wings won eight of their last ten games.
-- Vancouver won five of its last seven games.
-- Sharks won their last four games, scoring 18 goals.

Cold teams
-- Carolina lost eight of its last eleven games.
-- Senators lost last five games, scoring eight goals.
-- Edmonton lost its last eleven games, scoring 10 goals in last seven games.

Series records
-- Ducks won five of last seven games with Winnipeg.
-- Red Wings won three of last four games with Carolina.
-- Canucks won six of last seven games with Ottawa.
-- Sharks won six of last seven games with Edmonton.

Totals
-- Three of last four Winnipeg games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Detroit games went over total.
-- Last five Ottawa games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five San Jose road games.

Back-to-back
-- Detroit is 1-1 if it played the night before.
-- Ottawa is 1-3 if it played night before; Canucks are 1-4.
-- Sharks are 2-2 if they played the night before.


Grey Cup game, @ Vancouver
Hamilton vs Calgary
This year's Grey Cup features losers of last two Grey Cups; Calgary won its last title in Montreal six years ago; Hamilton's last title was 15 years ago, when they beat Stampeders here in Vancouver. Calgary won last six meetings and 10 of last 11, winning 10-7 (-9) in Week 4, then 30-20 (-3) in Week 8, at which point TiCats were 1-6 and looking dead. Both those games stayed under total. Calgary has been best team in league all season, winning 11 of last 13 games- they won only appearance on this field three weeks ago. Stampeders are 5-1-1 vs spread in last seven games. Hamilton lost 36-29 here back in Week 7, but TiCats won eight of last ten games, covering last three tries when a dog.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 08:30 AM
StatFox Super Situations

NHL | DETROIT at CAROLINA
Play On - Road teams against the money line (DETROIT) after 6 or more consecutive overs, quick starting team-outscoring opp by 0.2+ goals/game in first period
48-15 since 1997. ( 76.2% | 36.3 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.1 units )

NHL | DETROIT at CAROLINA
Play On - Road teams against the money line (DETROIT) after 6 or more consecutive overs, good team - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game
54-22 since 1997. ( 71.1% | 32.8 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.1 units )

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 08:30 AM
NBA

Hot Teams
-- Washington won last four games, covered last three. Boston won last two games, covered last three (0-4 HU).
-- Hawks won last five games, covering four (3-1 last four HF).
-- Thunder won three of last four games (1-3 F).
-- Dallas won five of last six games (0-3 last three HF).
-- Portland won 12 of last 13 games (1-3-1 AF).

Cold Teams
-- Denver lost three of last five games, is 3-7 vs spread on road.
-- Pistons lost last 10 games, losing last two in OT (0-5 vs spread in last five games).
-- Memphis lost last two games, but won eight of nine at home (4-5 HF). Miami lost four of last five games (2-4 AU).
-- Bucks lost three of last four but covered six of last seven (7-3 AU).
-- Knicks lost last seven games, last three by total of 9 points (1-4 HU)
-- Pelicans lost five of last six games (1-1 AF). Lakers lost six of their last eight games (5-4 HU).

Series Records
-- Celtics lost three of last four games with Washington.
-- Denver won six of last eight with the Hawks, but lost last two visits to Atlanta, by 4-5 points.
-- Thunder had won 10 in row vs Detroit before losing to Pistons at home in OT Nov 14.
-- Heat lost last three visits to Memphis by 2-18-5 points.
-- Mavericks won last four games with Milwaukee, by 7-8-13-2.
-- Knicks lost eight of last eleven games with Portland.
-- Lakers lost three of last four games with New Orleans.

Totals
-- Last six Wizard-Celtic games went over the total.
-- Last four Denver games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last ten Thunder games stayed under. Five of last seven Piston games went over.
-- Three of last four Memphis games went over.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee games went over.
-- Seven of last ten Portland games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Pelican games stayed under total.

Back-to-Backs
-- Detroit is 2-3 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- New Orleans is 4-0 vs spread if it played night before.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 08:30 AM
StatFox Super Situations

NBA | MILWAUKEE at DALLAS
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (>=82 shots/game), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making >=50% of their shots
66-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.0% | 31.9 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )

NBA | MILWAUKEE at DALLAS
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (DALLAS) off a home loss, on Sunday games
92-52 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.9% | 39.9 units )
5-5 this year. ( 50.0% | 1.5 units )

NBA | WASHINGTON at BOSTON
Play On - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line (WASHINGTON) after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%)
39-14 since 1997. ( 73.6% | 23.6 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 08:31 AM
StatFox Super Situations

CBB | FAIRFIELD at QUINNIPIAC
Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (FAIRFIELD) off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

CBB | IONA at MONMOUTH
Play On - A home team vs. the money line (MONMOUTH) after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 165 points or more 2 straight games
102-41 since 1997. ( 71.3% | 60.0 units )

CBB | MISSOURI ST at ORAL ROBERTS
Play Against - Home teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (ORAL ROBERTS) off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, playing with 5 or 6 days rest
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 08:41 AM
EZWINNERS

EZ's Plays For Sunday

A profitable day on Saturday. Just 1-1 in college basketball, but cashed in a big 4 STAR winner on Florida State over Georgia Tech in college football. A much larger NFL card for Sunday than normal. I really like the lineup today. Sorry still under the weather and couldn't get any write ups done. Best of luck. Best of luck!

-EZ


3* (151) Baltimore Ravens +3

3* (153) Pittsburgh Steelers +3

3* (156) Cleveland Browns +3

3* (158) Jacksonville Jaguars +6

3* (166) Washington Redskins +3

3* (171) Kansas City Chiefs -1

3* (175) Seattle Seahawks +1

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 08:41 AM
Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play Sun Arizona -1

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 08:54 AM
Randall the Handle

LINE: ST. LOUIS by 3

The Rams deserved a pushover opponent after an extremely difficult October and November and boy did they get one as St. Louis clobbered the Raiders last week by 52-0. That has the public understandably enamoured with the Rams, especially when facing another weakling in these troubled Redskins. However, that is when we prefer to step in as value is commonly found on the less popular side. St. Louis has spotted points just twice this year. Once was last week and they obviously covered easily. The other occasion was in the season opener here when they were a 3-point choice over the Vikings before getting crushed 34-6. Now the Rams are being asked to give road points for the first time since the 2010 season. That doesn’t jive. Washington’s struggles and quarterback issues are well documented but they have skilled players throughout their roster and current QB Colt McCoy gives them their best chance at a win, something that could very well happen here.

TAKING: REDSKINS +3


Chiefs (7-5) at Cardinals (9-3)
LINE: ARIZONA by 1

Is this some sort of pre-Christmas sale? The Cardinals lose a couple of games on the road, then return home where they are 6-0 this season (5-1 vs. spread) and we only have to win the game to cash this ticket? We’ll stand in line for that. It’s not like a heavyweight is coming for a visit. It’s the pedestrian Chiefs, a team that has also lost consecutive games with one being to the dreadful Raiders, Oakland’s only win of the year. Kansas City employs the most pedestrian of offences with its dinky passes and continual ground game. Trouble is, Arizona excels at stopping the run and if you force the Chiefs to go aerial, they become completely discombobulated. Let’s not forget that the Cards are tied with the best record in football. They employ dangerous pass receivers (Larry Fitzgerald is expected back) and KC’s best pass defender is out. This one comes gift wrapped.

TAKING: CARDINALS -1


Giants (3-9) at Titans (2-10)
LINE: Even

As ugly as the Giants’ season has been, they look like runway models compared to this abysmal Titans squad. The G-Men find innovative ways to lose. Tennessee just gets hammered every week. So while this game won’t set any viewing records, it doesn’t mean that an opportunity is not presented. The Titans own the 27th ranked offence compared to New York’s 15th ranked unit. Tennessee is 29th in scoring and 27th in rushing. Defensively, Tennessee is dead last in both rush defence and points allowed. The Titans made Houston QB Ryan Fitzpatrick look like Dan Marino, allowing six touchdown passes last week. The Giants have plenty of issues of their own but they have the experience of Eli Manning and exciting playmaking ability of rookie Odell Beckham Jr. Tennessee has few bright spots. Its only win in past 11 games was a close 16-14 home victory over the Jaguars and Titans have covered just once in their last 11 games.

TAKING: GIANTS Even


THE REST

Ravens (7-5) at Dolphins (7-5)
LINE: MIAMI by 3

Prefer taking whatever points are offered here as Baltimore has been a bit inconsistent lately but seems to play its best ball against winning teams. Ravens have scored an impressive 67 points in past two games and much can be attributed to the improved running game bolstered by Justin Forsett. While Miami is well balanced, they have had trouble stopping the run as we saw first-hand on Monday night against a Jets team that had no interest in passing the ball but were still able to grind out 277 rushing yards. Combined with a capable passing game, Baltimore gets the nod.

TAKING: RAVENS +3


Steelers (7-5) at Bengals (8-3-1)
LINE: CINCINNATI by 3

Every do or die cliché belongs to the Steelers in this one as there are six 7-5 teams in the AFC and it appears only one of them will qualify for the playoffs. While the Steelers have been inconsistent lately we’d rather hitch our wagon to a team that has provided some explosive games rather than a Cincinnati team that seems to be missing that extra gear. While the Bengals have just one loss on their own field this season, Pittsburgh has had great success visiting their division rivals by winning 11 of the past 12 games on this turf. Steelers on current 4-0 run vs. spread in road games against winning teams.

TAKING: STEELERS +3


Colts (8-4) at Browns (7-5)
LINE: INDIANAPOLIS by 3½

Browns sticking with Brian Hoyer over Johnny Manziel at quarterback, a logical choice considering that Cleveland remains in the playoff race and a switch to a rookie can be hazardous. This might be a good matchup for Hoyer as Indianapolis’ secondary is riddled with injuries and it lost top defender Vontae Davis last week, leaving a huge hole that cannot be easily filled. Browns pass defence continues to play at a high level and are more than capable of slowing down Andrew Luck’s air attack. Indy hits the road for first time in a month and could get caught off guard against a desperate host that has played well here.

TAKING: BROWNS +3½


Texans (6-6) at Jaguars (2-10)
LINE: HOUSTON by 6

Expecting Ryan Fitzpatrick to have another six touchdown passing day is like hitting the Lotto on consecutive weeks. It’s not going to happen. Prior to his return to face Tennessee last week, after being benched in favour of injured Ryan Mallett, Fitzpatrick needed five games to throw six touchdowns. He had tossed just eight touchdowns to match his eight interceptions in previous eight starts. Is this really the guy you wanted to be giving away points with on the road, in the division? Of course, it goes deeper than quarterback where Houston does have talent but Jacksonville’s defence good enough to compete here.

TAKING: JAGUARS +6


Panthers (3-8) at Saints (5-7)
LINE: NEW ORLEANS by 10½

Who would ever think that the Saints dread returning home? They had dropped three straight here before a surprising win in Pittsburgh last week and now we’re not sure which team shows up today. Even though the Panthers are a rather despicable bunch, we can’t trust this host spotting double-digits until they earn back our trust. Also not anxious to be giving away substantial points with the 31st ranked defensive team as Saints giving up an incredulous 390 yards per game. Saints won earlier meeting in Charlotte by 28-10 count. Twice in one season to win by a margin, in division, with a losing team? No thanks.

TAKING: PANTHERS +10½


Buccaneers (2-10) at Lions (8-4)
LINE: DETROIT by 10

Some of this is timing and catching the Lions in a perfect position to dismantle the Bears last week has many riding a rested Detroit team for this one. That could be a mistake. Mathew Stafford and Co. were able to take advantage of Chicago’s porous secondary in that easy win but lest we forget that the Leos had scored just 15 points in its two prior games to that one which included zero touchdowns. This Tampa defence is an improving unit, having allowed just 42 points in its past three games. Bucs also much better on the road where they have covered four of five. Lots of room for a cover here.

TAKING: BUCCANEERS +10


Jets (2-10) at Vikings (5-7)
LINE: MINNESOTA by 6

Only a few more bumps remain in the potholed road known as the Jets’ 2014 season. Changes are coming. We all know that. In the meantime, can this team compete? The Jets are off a short week after suffering another humiliating loss. However, we’re not going to bail on them quite yet. After all, they are playing a Minnesota team that might have less offensive power than they do. Vikes needed two blocked punts for touchdowns to win last week. So when we’re offered a near touchdown with neophyte Teddy Bridgewater as our obstacle, we are content allowing the defences to fight this one out in a conservative affair.

TAKING: JETS +6


Bills (7-5) at Broncos (9-3)
LINE: DENVER by 10

It’s not really fair to penalize Buffalo’s strong defensive stats because of the teams and quarterbacks they’ve faced this season. However, if our objective is to pick the winning side, we have no choice but to do so. Bills have squared off against a group that includes the Jets twice, Miami twice, Houston, Cleveland, Detroit and Minnesota. Not exactly high octane teams. When facing Tom Brady, they gave up 346 yards passing. Even Jay Cutler torched the Bills for 341 yards. Denver has not lost at home in six tries, averaging more than 35 points per game at Mile High. Buffalo unlikely to trade punches in that range.

TAKING: BRONCOS -10


49ers (7-5) at Raiders (1-11)
LINE: SAN FRANCISCO by 8

You just need watch the Niners to see the lack of confidence displayed by its offence. This appears to be more of a chronic thing than a temporary ache. Colin Kaepernick seems lost but the team is strangely asking him to throw more passes than he ever has before? San Francisco has scored 17 or fewer points in five of its past six games. Granted, the Raiders are a doormat but there is some Bay Area bragging rights at stake here and teams coming off embarrassing losses (Oakland lost 52-0 last week) have a prideful way of rebounding from such disgrace. Just too many to give with 49ers in current form.

TAKING: RAIDERS +8


Seahawks (8-4) at Eagles (9-3)
LINE: PHILADELPHIA by 1

This is simply a bad line. Seattle held struggling Arizona offence and then punchless 49ers to three points each and suddenly its feared defence of a year ago is back? Not so fast. While we respect the Seahawks’ stop unit, we’ve seen it struggle against some formidable offences this season and Philadelphia’s is a dangerous group that can throw all sorts of schemes at you. Chip Kelly has had 10 days to prepare for this one and while his guys may not rack up their usual abundance of points, Seattle’s offence is a stagnant group that may not be able to answer. Seahawks 2-10 both straight up and against the spread in week after facing the 49ers.

TAKING: EAGLES -1


Patriots (9-3) at Chargers (8-4)
LINE: NEW ENGLAND by 3½

Uh oh, Patriots off a loss. History will support a big bounce back (covered 9 of past 12 after a defeat) but this could actually be a flat spot for the Patriots fresh off a high profile game at Lambeau Field. New England now traveling for second week in a row and will face an 8-4 San Diego squad that many had lost faith in not so long ago but the Bolts have inconspicuously won three straight. While Tom Brady is as elite as they come, the Chargers’ Philip Rivers is no slouch sporting 69.1% completion percentage, tops in the AFC. Good Sunday nighter and tough one to call but taking better than a field goal is the way we’ll lean.

TAKING: CHARGERS +3½


Falcons (5-7) at Packers (9-3)
LINE: GREEN BAY by 13

Green Bay appears unstoppable right now, especially on this field. To find flaws in their game would just sound foolish. We won’t even try. Thing is this, we don’t have to win the game to get the checkmark. We just need the Falcons to stay within two touchdowns. Easier said than done of course but with Atlanta fighting to remain at par with the Saints, they must leave everything on the field right now. The Falcs have quietly won three of past four and the near two touchdown spot leaves us plenty of backdoor space. Packers could also have slight letdown after win over mighty Patriots last week.

TAKING: FALCONS +13

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 08:56 AM
Ivey Walters

2% New England Patriots -3.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 08:57 AM
VSI

7 Unit Play. #155 Indianapolis -3 ½ over Cleveland (1:00p.m., Sunday, December 7 CBS)
(AFC Game of the Year) I was hoping and wishful thinking that the Cleveland bosses would start Brian Hoyer over Johnny Football and Wednesday early afternoon we got our wish. Hoyer hasn't thrown a touchdown in forever and he is throwing dead ducks game after game in his past couple of starts. Yes I know the Browns are 7-5 but they are 7-5 because of their defense not their offense. The Colts come to Cleveland on a 2-game winning streak and they needed these two easy cupcake wins after their bad home loss to New England 3-weeks ago. If the Browns defense can't get Andrew Luck off the field this could be a long day for the Browns and if the Browns can't rush the ball then they will be in trouble at home. If the Colts can get another quality game from RB Dan Herron that will only help Andrew Luck throughout the whole game. I see a tough hard fought game in the first half but I see Andrew Luck taking control after halftime and I see the Colts stealing this road game. The road team in this series is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the Browns are 1-7 ATS in the month of December. The Indianapolis Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 8-2 ATS following a SU win of 14 points or more. The Colts are also 16-5 ATS against AFC teams and with a hot Andrew Luck this trend will go up Sunday afternoon.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 08:59 AM
NCAA Basketball Picks Eastern Kentucky at Kentucky The Colonels head to Kentucky today and come into the contest with a 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 road games. Eastern Kentucky is the pick (+27) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by only 23. Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (+27). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 7
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST


Game 817-818: Colorado at Georgia (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 60.545; Georgia 67.416
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 7
Vegas Line: Georgia by 4
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-4)


Game 819-820: Richmond at James Madison (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 59.017; James Madison 50.529
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Richmond by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (-6 1/2)


Game 821-822: WI-Milwaukee at DePaul (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 52.748; DePaul 61.539
Dunkel Line: DePaul by 9
Vegas Line: DePaul by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (-6 1/2)


Game 823-824: Charlotte at George Washington (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 57.319; George Washington 62.863
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: George Washington by 8
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+8)


Game 825-826: Hofstra at Appalachian State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 56.606; Appalachian State 46.747
Dunkel Line: Hofstra by 10
Vegas Line: Hofstra by 6
Dunkel Pick: Hosfstra (-6)


Game 827-828: East Carolina at North Carolina (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 48.886; North Carolina 75.589
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 26 1/2
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 22 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-22 1/2)


Game 829-830: Tulsa at AR-Little Rock (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 60.659; AR-Little Rock 58.644
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 2
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (+5 1/2)


Game 831-832: Arkansas at Clemson (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 66.011; Clemson 60.644
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 4
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-4)


Game 833-834: Mississippi at Oregon (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 62.796; Oregon 66.935
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 4
Vegas Line: Oregon by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (+7 1/2)


Game 835-836: California at Nevada (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 64.683; Nevada 55.862
Dunkel Line: California by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: California by 5
Dunkel Pick: California (-5)


Game 837-838: Utah State at USC (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 57.389; USC 58.859
Dunkel Line: USC by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: USC by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+4 1/2)


Game 839-840: San Diego at UCLA (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 59.844; UCLA 65.017
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 5
Vegas Line: UCLA by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+9 1/2)


Game 841-842: Towson at Georgetown (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 51.293; Georgetown 69.660
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-16 1/2)


Game 843-844: Creighton at Nebraska (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 62.428; Nebraska 72.391
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 10
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 7
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-7)


Game 845-846: Illinois State at UAB (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 61.424; UAB 56.935
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (-2 1/2)


Game 847-848: San Diego State at Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 67.973; Washington 68.846
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2)


Game 849-850: Fairfield at Quinnipiac (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 49.845; Quinnipiac 55.524
Dunkel Line: Quinnipiac by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Quinnipiac by 8
Dunkel Pick: Fairfield (+8)


Game 851-852: Western Illinois at Cleveland State (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 42.315; Cleveland State 59.478
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 17
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-14 1/2)


Game 853-854: Marist at Manhattan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 46.045; Manhattan 62.736
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 14
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-14)


Game 855-856: Northern Colorado at Colorado State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 48.940; Colorado State 65.354
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 14
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (-14)


Game 857-858: Missouri State at Oral Roberts (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 53.139; Oral Roberts 53.214
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Oral Roberts by 2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (+2)


Game 859-860: Eastern Kentucky at Kentucky (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 57.587; Kentucky 80.337
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 23
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 27
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (+27)


Game 861-862: Iona at Monmouth (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 61.270; Monmouth 55.178
Dunkel Line: Iona by 6
Vegas Line: Iona by 4
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-4)


Game 863-864: Siena at Rider (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 55.976; Rider 54.795
Dunkel Line: Siena by 1
Vegas Line: Siena by 3
Dunkel Pick: Rider (+3)


Game 865-866: North Dakota State at Montana (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 56.102; Montana 54.069
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 2
Vegas Line: Montana by 5
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (+5)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 09:02 AM
Jeff Hochman

10* GOM - Washington Redskins +3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 09:02 AM
Jeff Ma- the Asian MIT analytics handicapper
Seahawks
Bills
Steelers

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 09:03 AM
VSI

7 Unit Play. #155 Indianapolis -3 ½ over Cleveland (1:00p.m., Sunday, December 7 CBS)
(AFC Game of the Year) I was hoping and wishful thinking that the Cleveland bosses would start Brian Hoyer over Johnny Football and Wednesday early afternoon we got our wish. Hoyer hasn't thrown a touchdown in forever and he is throwing dead ducks game after game in his past couple of starts. Yes I know the Browns are 7-5 but they are 7-5 because of their defense not their offense. The Colts come to Cleveland on a 2-game winning streak and they needed these two easy cupcake wins after their bad home loss to New England 3-weeks ago. If the Browns defense can't get Andrew Luck off the field this could be a long day for the Browns and if the Browns can't rush the ball then they will be in trouble at home. If the Colts can get another quality game from RB Dan Herron that will only help Andrew Luck throughout the whole game. I see a tough hard fought game in the first half but I see Andrew Luck taking control after halftime and I see the Colts stealing this road game. The road team in this series is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the Browns are 1-7 ATS in the month of December. The Indianapolis Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 8-2 ATS following a SU win of 14 points or more. The Colts are also 16-5 ATS against AFC teams and with a hot Andrew Luck this trend will go up Sunday afternoon.

3-Unit Play. Take Denver Broncos -9

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 09:04 AM
STRIKE POINT SPORTS (NFL)

(L) = 2-Unit Play. Take #102 Chicago (+4) over Dallas (8:30 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 4)

6-Unit Play. Take #170 Denver (-10) over Buffalo (4:00 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)

Buffalo is a tough team, but they just haven’t played that well versus good teams. Since their win in Detroit, back in October, Buffalo lost to New England and Miami by double-figures and lost to Kansas City in Buffalo. Yes, the Bills front is very good, but Peyton Manning has earned a living beating up on good defenses. Denver lost at New England, at Seattle, and to the Rams when the Broncos entire team was hurt. On the flip side, they beat Arizona, San Francisco, New York Jets, San Diego, Oakland, and Kansas City, all by double-figures. The fact that this line is as big as it is, versus a good defensive team in Buffalo, makes me like Denver even more. The Buffalo Bills, even though they seem like a great team to bet on as they play people tough, haven’t had much success in this spot. Buffalo is 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS win, 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after giving up less than 15 points their previous game, and 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record. This is also the time of year that the Broncos tend to turn it on at the window. Lay the points with the Broncos in this one as they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games in December.

3-Unit Play. Take #176 Philadelphia (-1) over Seattle (4:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)

Don’t look now, but even with Mark Sanchez at QB, I think the Eagles are the second best team in the NFC, yes, better than the Seahawks. The stadium that this game is played in makes all the difference in the world. If this game was in Seattle the Seahawks would be favored by nearly a touchdown, and yet they are dogs on the road…Yup, that is how much I/Vegas don’t trust Seattle on the road. Outside of their destruction of San Francisco (someone they tend to beat up on) the Seahawks haven’t gotten the job done away from home. Seattle, on the road, lost to San Diego, St. Louis, and Kansas City, and they struggled to beat Washington and Carolina. Philly, in my opinion is better than all of those teams, again, even with Sanchez. Philly is 4-0 ATS in their last four home games. The favorite is the play in this matchup as they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. Lay the small number with the Eagles in this one.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 09:04 AM
ALLEN EASTMAN (NFL)

(W) = 5-Unit Play. Take #101 Dallas (-4) over Chicago (8 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 4)
This play is from my NFL 411 System.

7-Unit Play. Take #153 Pittsburgh (+3) over Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)

This play is from my NFL 411 System. This is a big rivalry game. And this is a big game for the AFC North title. Cincinnati was lucky to escape Florida with a win over Tampa Bay last week. The Steelers weren’t so lucky and lost 35-32 to the Saints. I think the Steelers will bounce back quickly. They have not lost back-to-back games all year. The Steelers have gone 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings with the Bengals and they have owned this series. They have beaten them six times since 2010. The Bengals still have some injury issues that they are dealing with. And they are just 1-3 ATS in their last four home games. The public likes the Bengals. But the Steelers have won three of their last four games in Cincinnati. I will call for the upset in this one too and I like the Steelers to come away with a win.

4-Unit Play. Take #155 Indianapolis (-3.5) over Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)

This play is from my NFL 411 System. The Colts are a much better team than the Browns. The Browns are struggling to pick a quarterback and a lot of people are calling for Johnny Manziel. The Browns have lost two of their last three games and they are just 3-4 ATS in their last seven games. This team has struggled against teams that are above .500 right now. Most of their wins this year have come against bottom teams. The Colts are trying to get into the discussion for home field advantage in the AFC. They know how important it is not to have to go to New England or Denver. They don’t want to give away any games. The Colts are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games and they have been one of the best bets in football the last two years. They are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games and the Colts are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 conference games. The Browns are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight in December. Lay the points.

4-Unit Play. Take #159 New York Giants (Pk) over Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)

The Giants were another hard luck loser last week. They really controlled the game against Jacksonville but let it get away. They were up 21-0 in that game. I don’t see them blowing their lead in this game. Tennessee is just 1-10 SU in its last 11 games and they look like a team that has quit on the season. The Giants are better offensively and defensively and they should move the ball against the worst scoring defense in the league. The Titans have issues at quarterback and at wide receiver and their defense is terrible. Things have not gone well under their first year coach. The Giants will not quit on Tom Coughlin. They will play hard in this game and they will win this game because they are a much better team than the weak Titans.

4-Unit Play. Take #168 Minnesota (-6) over New York Jets (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)

The Jets are going to have a major letdown. They lost another game on Monday Night Football against the rival Dolphins. That was one of their few chances to play a role in the postseason this year. The Jets know that there is going to be a coaching change after the year. But they do not know who their quarterback is. They only passed the ball 13 times on Monday because they do not trust Geno Smith. That will not work against a very good Vikings defense. Mike Zimmer has his team playing hard. The Jets are quitting. The Vikings jumped all over Carolina last week in a very similar situation. I think they will do it again here. The Vikings are 8-2 ATS at home and the Jets are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 overall. This one will be all Vikings.

4-Unit Play. Take #177 New England (-3.5) over San Diego (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 7)

This play is from my NFL 411 System. I am going to keep going with the Patriots. I do not think this team is going to lose two regular games in a row. They haven’t lost two games in a row since Weeks 2 and 3 in the 2012 season. And since 2003 the Patriots have only lost two regular season games in a row four times. They are 35-15 ATS after a loss and they are 4-1 ATS the last five games after they failed to cover the spread. The Patriots had a lot of chances against the Packers on the road last week. They should have covered and they would have won if they had not missed some field goals that they don’t normally miss. San Diego does not have the same home field advantage. The Chargers are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games and they are coming off a lucky last-second win at Baltimore. I like the Chargers to let down and the Patriots to bounce back.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 09:06 AM
JASON SHARPE (NFL)
3-Unit Play. Take Tennessee+1
3-Unit Play. Take Washington+3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 09:19 AM
BIG AL MCMORDIE
NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH (12-5 NFL RUN)!
Raiders/49ers – OVER

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 09:20 AM
SB Professor Version 3.0 NFL Picks

DET -10
DEN -10

Rest of games…

PIT +3
NYG -1
HOU -6
KC -1

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 09:21 AM
MARC LAWRENCE (NFL)

4* Pittsburgh Steelers
3* Cleveland Browns
3* Arizona Cardinals

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 09:24 AM
Pointwise Phones

3* Houston
3* Pittsburgh
3* Washington
3* Seattle
2* New York Giants

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 09:27 AM
Today's NBA Picks Miami at Memphis The Heat head to Memphis tonight to face the Grizzlies and come into the contest with a 3-11 ATS record in their last 14 games against Western Conference opponents. Memphis is the pick (-8) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by 17. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-8). Here are all of today's NBA picks.


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 7
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST


Game 801-802: Washington at Boston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 122.716; Boston 120.305
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4; 206
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+4); Over


Game 803-804: Denver at Atlanta (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 118.720; Atlanta 122.433
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 212
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+6); Under


Game 805-806: Oklahoma City at Detroit (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 1123.333; Detroit 112.514
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 11; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-9); Under


Game 807-808: Miami at Memphis (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 111.090; Memphis 128.100
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 17; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 8; 192
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-8); Over


Game 809-810: Milwaukee at Dallas (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 119.017; Dallas 123.797
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 5; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 9; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+9); Over


Game 811-812: Portland at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 120.745; New York 115.897
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 5; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 7; 195
Dunkel Pick: New York (+7); Under


Game 813-814: New Orleans at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 114.550; LA Lakers 116.739
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 2; 216
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 210
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+2 1/2); Over

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 09:54 AM
Wolkosky Milan


20* Steelers / Bengals Under 48
20* Carolina Panthers +10
20* Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10
20* Rams / Redskins Under 44½
20* Arizona Cardinals +2½
20* Chiefs / Cardinals Under 40
20* Seahawks / Eagles Under 48
20* San Diego Chargers +3½
20* Patriots / Chargers Under 52½

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:01 AM
Football Crusher

Play of the Day
Buffalo Bills +10 over Denver Broncos

Rest of the Plays
Tennessee Titans +1.5 over New York Giants
San Diego Chargers +4 over New England Patriots
Cleveland Browns +3 over Indianapolis Colts

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:01 AM
Hockey Crusher

Play of the Day
Detroit Red Wings -134 over Carolina Hurricanes

Rest of the Plays
San Jose Sharks -150 over Edmonton Oilers
Vancouver Canucks + Ottawa Senators UNDER 5.5
Detroit Red Wings + Carolina Hurricanes OVER 5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:01 AM
Basketball Crusher

Play of the Day
Washington +1 over San Diego State

Rest of the Plays
Arkansas-Little Rock +5.5 over Tulsa
Colorado +4 over Georgia
Wisconsin Milwaukee +7 over DePaul

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:01 AM
Soccer Crusher

Newells Old Boys + Lanus UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:05 AM
ATS LOCK CLUB

6* New England-3.5
5* Over 47.5 - Pittsburgh/Cincinnati
5* Indianapolis-3
4* Under 40 - New York Jets/Minnesota

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:05 AM
Teddy Covers

20* Eagles

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:06 AM
Scott Delaney

50 Dimes Over 50 Saints

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:06 AM
Craig Davis

100 Dime Teaser
Denver -3 / Arizona +8

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:07 AM
Vegas Hotsheet

#171 Kansas City Chiefs (pk)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:07 AM
BETTING FIRST LOOK with Marco D’Angelo

NY Jets+pts

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:10 AM
Brandon Lang

150 Dimes - Arizona Cardinals +1 at home over the Kansas City Chiefs, 4:05 PM EST

Free plays - 2 team 7 point teaser on the San Diego Chargers and the St. Louis Rams and the Philadelphia Eagles -1 at home over the Seattle Seahawks

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:10 AM
Josh Daniels

3* Pitt +3.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:10 AM
Today's NFL Picks New England at San Diego The Patriots head to San Diego tonight to face a Chargers team that is coming off a 34-33 win at Baltimore last week and is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in the previous game. New England is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Patriots favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: New England (-3). Here are all of this week's NFL picks.


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 7
Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST (12/3)


Game 151-152: Baltimore at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 134.973; Miami 135.833
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 41
Vegas Line: Miami by 3; 45
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+3); Under


Game 153-154: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 134.446; Cincinnati 135.468
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 44
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3 1/2); Under


Game 155-156: Indianapolis at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 138.050; Cleveland 129.568
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 8 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-3 1/2); Over


Game 157-158: Houston at Jacksonville (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 133.817; Jacksonville 125.117
Dunkel Line: Houston by 8 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Houston by 5; 42
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-5); Under


Game 159-160: NY Giants at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 124.662; Tennessee 121.922
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 2 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Pick; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants; Over


Game 161-162: Carolina at New Orleans (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 121.628; New Orleans 134.076
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 12 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 9 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-9 1/2); Over


Game 163-164: Tampa Bay at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 125.726; Detroit 132.723
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 7; 38
Vegas Line: Detroit by 10; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+10); Under


Game 165-166: St. Louis at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 134.277; Washington 125.411
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 10; 49
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-2 1/2); Over


Game 167-168: NY Jets at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 127.269; Minnesota 125.363
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 2; 36
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 6; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+6); Under


Game 169-170: Buffalo at Denver (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 127.676; Denver 140.821
Dunkel Line: Denver by 13; 52
Vegas Line: Denver by 10; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-10); Over


Game 171-172: Kansas City at Arizona (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 136.040; Arizona 134.651
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Arizona by 1; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+1); Under


Game 173-174: San Francisco at Oakland (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 130.567; Oakland 126.095
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 4 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 9; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+9); Under


Game 175-176: Seattle at Philadelphia (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 139.074; Philadelphia 142.688
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 1; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-1); Over


Game 177-178: New England at San Diego (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 145.740; San Diego 135.527
Dunkel Line: New England by 10; 54
Vegas Line: New England by 3; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-3); Over

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:13 AM
Today's NHL Picks Detroit at Carolina The Red Wings head to Carolina tonight where they are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings versus the Hurricanes. Detroit is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wings favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-135). Here are all of today's NHL picks.


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 7
Time Posted: 9:30 a.m. EST


Game 1-2: Anaheim at Winnipeg (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.150; Winnipeg 12.000
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A


Game 3-4: Detroit at Carolina (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.967; Carolina 10.413
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-135); Under


Game 5-6: Vancouver at Ottawa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.421; Ottawa 10.850
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-135); Over


Game 7-8: San Jose at Edmonton (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 10.305; Edmonton 11.465
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+135); Under

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:31 AM
LINEMAKERS PLAYS
BALT & UNDER- CINN
INDY- SEA & UNDER
JETS- TB & UNDER
CAROLINA- TENN OVER
HOU- ARI & UNDER
DEN &UND- SF UNDER
SD- ATL & UNDER

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:37 AM
Kevin's Pick(s):
Nothing has changed. Just wanted to make sure everyone received this week's picks. Enjoy your Sunday!
4 UNIT = Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints - PANTHERS +10 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.64 units)
2 UNIT = New York Jets @ Minnesota Vikings - JETS +6 (-115)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)
2 UNIT = Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars - JAGUARS +6 (-104)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.92 units)
2 UNIT = St Louis Rams @ Washington Redskins - REDSKINS +3 (-101)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.98 units)
2 UNIT = Kansas City Chiefs @ Arizona Cardinals - CHIEFS -1 (-108)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.85 units)
2 UNIT = SaN Francisco 49ers @ Oakland Raiders - 49ERS -8 (-104)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.92 units)
2 UNIT = Seattle Seahawks @ Philadelphia Eagles - EAGLES -1 (-108)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.85 units)


Kyle's Pick(s)
4 UNIT = New England Patriots @ San Diego Chargers - PATRIOTS -3.5 (-107)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.74 units)
Despite losing last week to the Packers, that was a win for the Patriots' defense. You figure how easily the Packers have been rolling over teams at home, and the Pats made Aaron Rodgers and the offense look good, not great. Take away that gaffe at the end of the 1st half and the Packers scored 19 points. And take away that one play, and Revis completely shut Jordy Nelson down. The wide receiver position is not a strong suit of the San Diego Chargers and I think that is where we will make our money. Revis will be paired up with Keenan Allen. Allen is a receiver that has played above expectations with the Chargers this season, but other than Allen, there aren't other options for this offense. So, if Allen isn't going to shake Revis in this game, then I have a hard time believing they are going to be able to keep up with the Pats here. I see the Pats getting their points in this game, so the Chargers may have to score more points than the Packers did a week ago to win. The Patriots' offense didn't look too great last week, but after a down week I expect Tom Brady and company to look much sharper. Since 2007 the Patriots are 1st in the NFL in bouncing back after a loss with a 75.7% win percentage. After hard losses, there is no better in the business than Bill Belichick at rallying the troops to come back the next week more focused. The Chargers have the Broncos on deck and could be looking ahead. Also, the Patriots decided to head over to California for the week after departing from Green Bay. I will be on the Patriots on Sunday night to cover for 4 units.
2 UNIT = Carolina Panthers @ New Orleans Saints - OVER 49.5 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
For people that haven't been paying attention, the New Orleans Saints are a playoff football team. After losing to the Baltimore Ravens two weeks ago on primetime, and having a 5-7 record, that seems like a ridiculous statement. Given how terrible their division is, yes, it is looking like they are going to make the playoffs. It will come down to the Falcons and Saints, but I am going to give the edge to the Saints as will many others. The offense looked quite nice last week and I think it carries over to New Orleans this week. Believe it or not, the Saints are 2nd in the NFL in total yards per game with 430 a game and scoring 27 points. So the offense isn't as terrible as they've been made out to be this season. Consistency has been their problem, but I have a feeling they turn it on for the remainder of the season. Don't be fooled, this isn't the same Panthers' defense from last season. Losing Greg Hardy hurt them greatly. They're allowing 28 points per game which is about 10 points more than a year ago. I like the Saints to eclipse 30 points in this game against their defense. While the Saints' offense is still present, their defense has regressed after a big 2013. They are 31st in the NFL, ahead of only the Falcons, allowing 390 yards per game. The Saints are also giving up an average of only 27 points a game. I can't lay the 10 with this defense, but I do like the total going OVER at 49.5. As I see it, the Saints should be good for around 35 points and the Panthers should hit 20. Thus, sign me up for the OVER 49.5.
Cheers,
Kevin

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:47 AM
Richard Witt

5* Broncos -10

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:48 AM
Mike Rose

Patriots / Chargers Over 51.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:49 AM
Fat jack


Miami over. 45
Kc -1
Seattle+1
San Diego under 51

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:49 AM
Paul Leiner

100* Texans -5.5

100* Redskins/Rams Over 44

100* Nevada/Cal Over 125

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:58 AM
We have 2 system bets coming up! Both are confirmed official bets! Here are today's system bet(s):


December 7: Denver {B} bet - This is a confirmed official bet under the Exterminator system


December 7: Miami {A} bet - This is a confirmed official bet under the original NBA system








Note that all bets labeled with {A} are bets under the original NBA system, and are not Exterminator system plays. Only bet on these game if you are able to buy 3 points at -170 odds!


All bets labeled with either {B} or {C} are Exterminator system plays. Bet a flat percentage of your bankroll as instructed in the system manual.



Since you're a member of my Exterminator system, make sure to follow the guidelines below:
- All {A} bets are not part of the Exterminator system. Unless, however, if you have the ability to buy 3 points at -170 odds, then it is strongly advisable to place a small wager on all the {A} bets with buying 3 points, up to 5% of your bankroll. This is an optional betting strategy, which has proven to be a profitable one based on my research. Buying 3 points on {A} bets has won over 65% of the time over the years, so you should bet on {A} bets if you can buy 3 points at -170 odds.
-All {B} and {C} bets are qualified under both the original NBA system as well as the Exterminator system. For the Exterminator system, bet a flat percentage of your bankroll on both {B} and {C} bets. You do not need to buy any points on these bets under the Exterminator system.
- Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)
- If your team is a favorite, bet on the money line. If the team is a big favorite resulting in odds that are too unfavorable for you to be comfortable with, then you can either optionally skip the series, or bet on the point spread plus 3 points as normal (only applicable under the original NBA system), but do not continue betting on the series if your team wins the game but the bet does not cover.
Always consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters. Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out. I will always make my best effort to notify you of game-changing injuries whenever I am aware of them to ensure that you don't make wagers on team that don't pass the injury filter. However, I cannot make guarantees that I will always be able to be on top of every single injury, every game, every day, at all times. Some teams may hold off on releasing relevant injury information until much later in the day. A bet will be unofficial if it does not pass the filters of the system. Ultimately as a bettor, I always strongly encourage that if there's any uncertainty about the status of your team's best player for a game that you always check on final injury updates.
Good luck,
Tony Chau, author of the best-selling Exterminator Betting System

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:59 AM
Lt locks
Dolphins
Cardinals
Chargers

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 10:59 AM
Harry Bondi

10 New England Game of the year
3 Miami
3 Minn

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:00 AM
pshltd

NFL

Balt over Mia +3.0 -1.10
Cinci over Pitts -3.0 Ev
Ariz over Kc +1.31

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:02 AM
BeatYourBookie
NCAA BASKETBALL




50* Play San Diego State -1 over Washington (PLAY OF THE DAY)


San Diego State is 14-1 SU when playing in the month of December
San Diego State is 32-6 SU in non-conference games




10* Play San Diego +9 over UCLA (TOP NCAA PLAY)
10* Play Mississippi +6.5 over Oregon (TOP NCAA PLAY)


--------------------------------------------------------------------


NBA BASKETBALL




10* Play Dallas -9 over Milwaukee (TOP NBA PLAY)
10* Play Portland -7 over New York (TOP NBA PLAY)


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NHL HOCKEY




10* Play Edmonton +130 over San Jose (TOP NHL PLAY)
10* Play Ottawa +110 over Vancouver (TOP NHL PLAY)
SUNDAY


100* Play Miami -2.5 over Baltimore (Top NFL Play)


Miami is 3-1 SU & ATS when playing as a home favorite of 3 points or less
Miami is 4-1 SU & ATS vs. AFC north Division Opponents




100* Play Indianapolis -3.5 over Cleveland (Top NFL Play)


Indianapolis is 18-7 ATS when playing as a favorite
Indianapolis is 23-12 ATS vs. AFC Conference Opponents




100* Play Philadelphia -1 over Seattle (Top NFL Play)


Philadelphia is 6-0 SU in home games this season
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS when the line posted is between +3 to -3




100* Play San Diego +3.5 over New England (Top NFL Play)


San Diego is 8-2 ATS when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
San Diego is 10-3 ATS in home games when the total posted is greater than 49.5 points


Winning Angle


SUNDAY


NBA BASKETBALL


Play Portland -7 over New York (NBA TOP PLAY)


New York has lost 36 of the last 60 games against the spread when playing as an underdog and they have lost 33 of the last 52 home games against the spread.New York has lost 34 of the last 51 games against the spread when playing in the 1st half of the season and they are only averaging 87 points in their last five games.




Play Memphis -8 over Miami (NBA BONUS PLAY)
Play Dallas -9 over Milwaukee (NBA BONUS PLAY)






================================================== =====


NCAA BASKETBALL


Play San Diego State -1 over Washington (NCAA TOP PLAY)


San Diego State has won 14 of the last 15 games when playing in the month of December and they have won 32 of the last 38 non-conference games.San Diego State has won 47 of the last 53 games when playing as a favorite and they are only allowing 55 points a game this season.




Play Creighton +6.5 over Nebraska (NCAA BONUS PLAY)
Play Utah State +4.5 over USC (NCAA BONUS PLAY)


============================================




NHL HOCKEY


Play Carolina +120 over Detroit (NHL TOP PLAY)
Play Ottawa +110 over Vancouver (NHL TOP PLAY)
SUNDAY


Play Miami -3 over Baltimore (NFL)
1:00 PM EST


Miami has won and covered the spread in three of the last four games when playing as a home favorite of three points or less and they have won and covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games vs. AFC North Division Opponents.Miami has won 7 of the last 8 games coming off a road win in their last game and they are averaging 26 points on offense in home games this season.




Play Indianapolis -3.5 over Cleveland (NFL)
1:00 PM EST


Indianapolis has covered the spread in 18 of the last 25 games when playing as a favorite and they have covered the spread in 23 of the last 35 games vs. AFC Conference Opponents.Indianapolis has covered the spread in 23 of the last 32 games when playing after the 1st month of the season and they are averaging 35 points on offense in road games this season.


=========================================


BONUS NFL PLAYS FOR TODAY


Play Philadelphia -1 over Seattle (NFL)
Play Buffalo +9.5 over Denver (NFL)
Play San Diego +3.5 over New England (NFL)


FantasySportsGametime


SUNDAY FOOTBALL


5000* Play Indianapolis -3.5 over Cleveland (TOP NFL PLAY)


Cleveland has lost 21 of the last 30 games when playing as an underdog and they have lost 8 of the last 10 games when playing in the month of December.Cleveland has lost 10 of the last 13 games coming off a loss by ten points or more and they are only averaging 14 points on offense in their last three games.




5000* Play San Francisco -8 over Oakland (TOP NFL PLAY)


Oakland has lost 32 of the last 38 games when playing as an underdog and they have lost 8 of the last 9 games when playing in the month of December.Oakland has lost 16 of the last 17 games after allowing 30 points or more in their last game and they are allowing an average of 29 points on defense in home games this season.


================================================




50* Play Philadelphia -1 over Seattle (TOP NFL PLAY)
50* Play Miami -3 over Baltimore (TOP NFL PLAY)
50* Play San Diego +3.5 over New England (TOP NFL PLAY)


XpertPicks


SUNDAY


TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS


Play Kansas City -1 over Arizona----RISK 25% OF YOUR BANKROLL
4:00 PM EST


Kansas City has covered the spread in 7 consecutive games coming off an UNDER the total in their last game and they have won and covered the spread in 5 of the last 7 games when playing as a road favorite. Kansas City has covered the spread in 20 of the last 27 games vs. NFC West Division Opponents and they are only allowing an average of 18 points a game on defense this season.




Play Philadelphia -1 over Seattle----RISK 25% OF YOUR BANKROLL
4:30 PM EST


Philadelphia has won 6 consecutive home games and they have covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games when the line posted is between +3 to -3. Philadelphia has won and covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 overall games and they are averaging 36 points on offense in home games this season.




Play San Diego +3.5 over New England----RISK 25% OF YOUR BANKROLL
8:30 PM EST


San Diego has covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and they have covered the spread in 10 of the last 13 home games when the total posted is greater than 49.5 points. San Diego has won and covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games coming off two wins by three points or less and they are only allowing an average of 14 points on defense in home games this season.


==================================================


BONUS NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS


Play Miami -3 over Baltimore----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Indianapolis -3.5 over Cleveland----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:05 AM
LineCatchers

2* Washington Redskins + 3

The St Louis Rams are laying points on the road for the first time since 2010. I'm not sold that the Rams should be laying the points today, especially when you consider the fact that the Rams have covered just once in the last 8 vs NFC East teams. Offensively, the Redskins have moved the ball well and Colt McCoy appears to be an upgrade at QB and they have skilled players throughout their roster. With the Rams coming off a beat-down of the lowly Raiders, I really like this spot for the Redskins to come out and win this game outright.

2* Pittsburgh Steelers + 3

While the Steelers have been inconsistent lately, I really do believe they overlooked the Saints last week which saw them get blown out on both sides of the football. The Bengals have lost just once on their own field this season but Pittsburgh has had great success visiting their division rivals by winning 11 of the past 12 games on this turf. Pitt are on a current 4-0 run ATS in road games against winning teams, I like that to continue today as the Steelers bounce-back from last weeks poor performance with a huge win on the road today.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:13 AM
Steve Fezzik Early CBB Play

Dime 818 Georgia / 817 Colorado Under 134.0 5dimes (http://www.5dimes.com/)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:14 AM
Topshelfpicks (NFL) - Carson K

2* Browns
1* Redskins
1* Ravens

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:25 AM
NORTH COAST LATE PHONES
3.5* New England -3.5 San Diego 8:30 pm
3* Houston -5.5/6 Jacksonville 1 pm
3* UNDER 42 Tampa Bay/Detroit 1 pm

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:26 AM
Budin

50 Dime Colts -3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:26 AM
mti 6pt teaser
seattle-baltimore


mti 10 pt teasers
nyg-den-no
nyg-den-hou
nyg-no-hou
den-no-hou

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:28 AM
LEE STERLING / Paramount Sports

GOY – 40 unit – Pittsburgh Steelers

20 unit – Tampa Bay

30 unit – NE Patriots

25 unit – Teaser – SF/SD OVER

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:32 AM
Tiger:


* NFL TEASER 7 PTS: (175) SEA SEAHAWKS +8 / (153) PIT STEELERS +10.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:34 AM
BIGFELLA
Spittin-Winners

NFL 1:00
STACK PAPER
[166] WASHINGTON REDSKINS +3 -110

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:34 AM
bookiemonsters

POD STL -3

MGS
HOU-5
NYG PK
KAN-1

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:35 AM
BOB BALFE

Arizona Cardinals +2.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:37 AM
Prediction Machine

Only one that qualifies is the "lock" on Seatttle The rest are all under the 57% mark


LOCK
175
4:25 PM
SEA
@ PHI
1.5
2.5
58.5

167
1:00 PM
NYJ
@ MIN
6
-3.6
56.7

171
4:05 PM
KC
@ ARI
1
2.6
56

169
4:05 PM
BUF
@ DEN
10
-8.1
55.6

161
1:00 PM
CAR
@ NO
10
-8.1
55.2

156
1:00 PM
@CLE
IND
4
-1.9
55.1

157
1:00 PM
HOU
@ JAC
-5
6.8
54.8

159
1:00 PM
NYG
@ TEN
0
2
54.5


162
1:00 PM
CAR @ NO
49.5
54.2
Over
56.6

170
4:05 PM
BUF @ DEN
48.5
44.4
Under
56.3

158
1:00 PM
HOU @ JAC
42
45
Over
55.2

152
1:00 PM
BAL @ MIA
45
48.2
Over
54.9

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:37 AM
Charliessports

NFL. 1:00 PM EST. Jacksonville+5'. (500*)



NFL. 1:00 PM EST. Jets @ Minnesota over 39' points. (500*).


NFL. 4:05 PM EST. Buffalo @ Denver under 48 points. (500*)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:48 AM
Dave Cokin


3* NFL December Game of Month: (166) Browns +3.5
2* (165) Rams -3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:49 AM
10 Top Total Play · Under [151] Baltimore Ravens vs. [152] Miami Dolphins
Garry Costley's Coaching Trends Sun Dec 7th, 2014 1:00pm EST

10 Top Side Play · [157] Houston Texans
The Human Factor Sun Dec 7th, 2014 1:00pm EST

10 Top Side Play · [177] New England Patriots
Garry Costley's Coaching Trends Sun Dec 7th, 2014 8:30pm EST

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:50 AM
ASA

7* New England

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:53 AM
Doc Sports
CBB
8* Cal -5.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:57 AM
the swami group

The Trophy Club===7= on the Cleveland Browns

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 11:59 AM
KB Hoops NHL

8* Redwings/Hurricanes Over 5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:01 PM
Money Maverick
NFL:

Colts -3 (10 units)
Texans -5.5 (10 units)
Bengals -3 (10 units)
Bucs +10.5 (10 units)
Eagles PK (10 units)


NBA:


Thunder -9 (10 units

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:01 PM
Brad Diamond

10* NFL LINE VALUE KEY PLAY - Pittsburgh Steelers +3


5* Seattle +1 over Philadelphia

3* NFL APPRECIATION PLAY - Kansas City Chiefs -1

4* NFC TOTAL OF THE DAY - Seattle Seahawks vs Philadelphia Eagles Take: Total 48½ un-108

5* NFL AFC 'TOTAL' OF THE WEEK - Seattle Seahawks vs Philadelphia Eagles Take: Seattle Seahawks +1-102

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:04 PM
Stephen Nover

SF -8
NYG PK
TBAY +10

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:14 PM
Robert Ferringo
CBB
1* Colorado +4.5
2* G-town -16.5
1* Fairfield +8.5


the rest
1* Richmond -5
1* Charlotte +9
1* Hofstra -6.5
2* Ark -3.5
3* Cal -5
2* Nebraska -6.5
1* Ill St -3.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:16 PM
Gordon24

NFL $400 Rams -3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:20 PM
Billy Sharp - Michigan Godfather
5 units
(NFL) #164 Detroit Lions -11.5 (-110)
(NFL) # 173 San Fran 49ers +8.5 (-110)
4 units
(NFL) #151 Baltimore Ravens +3 (-110)
2 units
(NFL) #177 New England Patriots -3.5 (-110)
(NFL) #179 Atlanta Falcons +13.5 (-110)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:20 PM
Derek Hayes

Dolphins

6.5 Teaser Bills/Texans

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:23 PM
Vegas Winning Crew

50 Dime Play Indianapolis Colts -3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:24 PM
NonStopSportsPicks - (22-7 run this week)

NFL

2* Arizona Cardinals +3, -115

1.5* Dolphins/Ravens OVER 44.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:25 PM
SB PROFESSOR
NBA
Neither of the 2 early games fit.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:26 PM
Rockdeman Sports

CBB Oral Roberts

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:26 PM
Ace / Line Beaters


NFL RAVENS +3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:27 PM
SportsLocksmith

NCAAB:
821 Wisconsin Milwaukee +7 -110 2* (2:00 Eastern)
862 Monmouth +4 -110 1* (7:00 Eastern)


NBA:
802 Boston +4 -110 3* (1:05 Eastern)

NFL:
161 Carolina Panthers +10 -110 2* (1:00 Eastern)

167 New York Jets +5 -110 2* (1:00 Eastern)
156 Cleveland +3.5 -110 3* (1:00 Eastern)

169 Buffalo +10 -110 2* (4:05 Eastern)
176 Philadelphia -1 -110 2* (4:25 Eastern)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:27 PM
James Jones
NFL-Cleveland Browns(+3.5)-137...(3*)
NFL-Arizona Cardinals(+2.5)+106...(2*)
NFL-San Diego Chargers(+3.5)-113...(1*)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:28 PM
Brady Kannon | NFL Side

dime bet – 166 WAS 3.0 (-120) vs 165 STL
Analysis: Very interesting match up here as you have one team that is probably a little overrated versus a team that most people probably figure is worse than their numbers truly project. Yes, The Washington Redskins are not THAT bad of a team and The Rams are decent – but still well below average. Just last week tends to skew the truth. In Indianapolis, The Skins actually possessed the ball for far more time than did The Colts. Colt McCoy threw for nearly 400-yards, 3-TD’s and no interceptions. The Rams meanwhile, were the very fortunate benefactor of 5-Raider turnovers and actually only gained 348-yards in the game.

A look into the numbers let’s us know that prior to The Raiders game, St. Louis had been outyarded in 7-straight games – while Washington has been outgaining opponents all year long by nearly 30-yards per game and ranks as the 8th best team in football in yardage differential. St. Louis has been getting outgained, on average, by 41-yards per game this season. The Redskins rank higher than The Rams in total offense and total defense. And how about this. it is only the 3rd time since 2007 that The Rams have been a road favorite. Do they deserve it here today? In fact, in the look ahead line that comes out a week prior at The Westgate (Hilton) here in Las Vegas, this game came out as Pick ‘em.. so why all of a sudden is St. Louis laying a field goal? Let’s also not forget that we are in December, and as we have eluded to here before, dome teams going to a cold weather, outdoor, grass surface, this time of year, are not profitable.

Finally, The Rams are just 1-and-7 ATS in their last 8-bouts with The NFC East.. and just 1-and-12 ATS as road favorites facing an opponent seeking revenge.

Jeff Fisher is the best in the biz as an underdog – but I don’t see how you can make his squad a favorite on the road. This is telling me that St. Louis is 6-points better than Washington on a neutral field? No thanks. I’m gonna pig out on the points and bet that the hogs take care of business today in DC.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:29 PM
kelso

100 stl
50 minn under

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:32 PM
NorthCoast

3 1/2 * NE pats
3* Houston, Under Tampa Bay

Marquee Under 52 Chargers/Pats

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:33 PM
Arthur Ralph

Super Pick Pitt + 3
Gold Keys Pats -3, Seattle + 1 1/2, Vi8kings -5 1/2, Ravens + 3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:34 PM
Insider Sports Report


4* Arizona +1 over Kansas City (NFL)
Range: +2.5 to -2


3* Cincinnati -3 over Pittsburgh (NFL)
Range: -1.5 to -5


3* New England -3.5 over San Diego (NFL)
Range: -2 to -6

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:34 PM
VegasButcher (NFL)

#1: NY Jets +4

This one opened at -6 and is now down to -3.5. A lot of value has been lost, but is this line still playable? Clearly the sharps favor NY in this matchup. I do to. Harvin is making his return to Minnesota, so you know he’ll be involved in the gameplan. More importantly, we can expect a similar gameplan as the Jets featured last week. They are going to run the ball in this one. NY comes in ranked 6th in runO while the Vikings are 27th in defending the run. That’s a big mismatch, especially since Minnesota’s 9th overall pick Anthony Barr will miss this game. Similar to the Jets, Vikings also are very efficient at running the ball, ranking 5th on the season. But unlike Minnesota’s runD, Jets rank 9th in stopping in the run. In addition, MIN will be without McKinnon (out for the year), and will rely on Asiata as their primary ball carrier. McKinnon has averaged 4.8 RY/A with 4 20+ yard runs, while Asiata is averaging a pathetic 3.3 RY/A (Trent Richardson numbers!) with 0 big runs. Based on ‘efficiency’ metrics, McKinnon was the 5th most efficient runner in the league this year compared to 26th rank for Asiata. Big difference between the two. Neither passing O is any good but the Jets clearly will have an advantage in the run game.

#2: Miami Dolphins -3

Two 7-5 teams here, both fighting for that Wild Card spot in the playoffs. Clearly, this is pretty much a ‘playoff’ game for both. So who do you trust? A team that has won a Championship recently, and is led by Harbaugh and Flacco, HC and QB who took them there, OR a younger team that hasn’t been to the post-season in 5 years? The Bookmaker (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookmaker.eu%2F%3Fcmpid %3D4437)s are NOT making it easy on us, as the spread of -2.5 is very sharp, indicating that you must choose a winner here instead of backing let’s say the Ravens blindly had the number been set at -3. So who has an advantage? The Ravens continue to be torched through the air, allowing 376 passing yards and 8.5 PY/A to SD last week and 399 passing yards and 9.3 PY/A to NO the week before. They are hoping to get Asa Jackson back this week as he began practicing, but of course the loss of Jimmy Smith 5 games ago is the real reason this passD has been horrible since. Smith was a shut-down corner, capable of taking the whole side of the field away and without him, this Ravens passD has produced an average DVOA of +26% in the last 4 weeks of the season, which would rank as the 2nd worst in the league for a full year, just behind Washington’s +27.8% mark. Miami’s 7th ranked offense should be able to exploit that. To make matters even tougher for the Ravens, their stout 7th ranked runD will be without a key player as Haloti Ngata is suspended for 4 games starting with this one. Unlike Ravens’ passD, their runD has been exceptional the last 4 weeks since Jimmy Smith went down with an injury, as their average DVOA mark of -35% in that time, would rank #1 in the NFL, just ahead of Detroit’s -34% season-long number. Ngata is a true difference-maker for the Ravens in the run-game and one of the best run-stopping DT’s in the game. This is a huge loss. Miami has now registered positive DVOA marks in the run game in 3 straight games – +17% vs BUF (#4 runD), +54% vs DEN (#1 runD), +33% vs NYJ (#9 runD) – all against top-10 run defenses. Don’t forget, they’re doing it without Branden Albert, their best offensive tackle, who was lost to the season early in November. Miami’s #2 most efficient runO should have an easier matchup against the Ravens without Ngata in there. Of course while the Dolphins should have success attacking Baltimore offensively, the Ravens could as well. Miami has allowed 277 rushing yards on 5.7 RY/A to the Jets on Monday and 201 rushing yards on 5.7 RY/A to the Broncos two weeks ago. The Ravens do have Justin Forsett, NFL leader in average at 5.6 RY/A. They also have a much more competent passing game than what the Jets featured on Monday Night. Keep in mind that Miami ranks 14th in runD, and though they’ve been torched the last two weeks, they aren’t that bad in that area. So when we put all this together what do we have? After losing to BUF and KC, two very good teams, Miami has gone 6-3 with their losses coming to Green Bay in the final seconds, @ DET in the final seconds, and @ DEN in the final minutes. They lost by a total of 10 points to these three opponents who have a 72% win-rate combined. By comparison, the Ravens have dominated mediocre opponents (CAR, ATL, TB, TEN, and NO) but have struggled against Cincy (twice), Pittsburgh, Colts, and the Chargers. These teams are good but only the Colts are on the level of the Lions, and none of these teams are on the level of DEN or GB. The Dolphins have played a much tougher schedule than the Ravens, yet they have the same record as them. I think Miami is a ‘better’ team right now, especially when you consider that Ngata is out and this Ravens passD is just helpless out there. Throw in the fact that Miami ranks 2nd defensively at home and only allow 4.5 YPP on their home turf, and I believe Ravens could really struggle in this one.

#3: Indianapolis Colts -3

The Colts have been listed as a road-favorite 4 times this year, going 3-1 ATS in the process. Their 4 losses this year came to DEN, PHI, PIT, and NE, teams that rank 2nd, 15th , 4th and 3rd offensively. Philly hasn’t been as ‘efficient’ this year but they are still regarded as one of the best offensive teams in the league. Cleveland ranks 19th on offense, 12th passing and 27th rushing. Of course it’s important to note that this team started out the year very efficiently, ranking in the top-10, but have really struggled once their stud center Alex Mack went down in week 6. Since then, their offensive DVOA has been -22%, which would rank as 4th worst for the full season, only better than OAK, TB, and JAX. Heck even the Jets’ -15% offensive DVOA has been better. Even with Josh Gordon returning to the lineup, their DVOA the last two games is at -19%. Big issue is Hoyer who is abysmal. He ranks 20th in QB-Efficiency, 32nd in QBR, and has a terrible 57% completion rate. Since Mack’s injury he’s completed only 54% of his passes with 5 TD’s and 9 INT’s. I know Hoyer is claiming that he should be the starter because he has a winning record with the Browns this year, but it’s hard not to when you are facing teams like JAX, OAK, TB, HOU, and ATL. Now he’ll go up against a real team in Indy (a top-10 team in the league) and will be opposed by an elite QB in Luck. The Browns do have the 6th ranked passD, but maybe this is a game where Trent Richardson actually tries to run hard. Remember, he was traded by CLE last year and still feels disrespected for that decision. Maybe, just maybe, we’ll see a better effort out of him, though I doubt it will amount to anything as he’s just not a talented back. One key factor in Cleveland’s favor is the absence of Vontae Davis from this game. He’s Indy’s best CB and Josh Gordon should he much more effective in this game due to Davis’ absence. Still, even if this one is a shoot-out, that will greatly favor the Colts. They have an elite QB and elite weapons around him (plus Allen is due back), and of course Colts are just overall a better team.

#4: St Louis Rams -2.5

Who would have ever thought that the Rams would be a road favorite this year? Well, that’s what happens when you beat SF, SEA, and DEN, while obliterating an inferior team like Oakland last week. Well, the Redskins are just as bad as the Raiders. In the last 5 weeks of the year, this Rams D has an average DVOA of -22%, which would rank as the #1 D over the course of a full season (DET is at -19% for the full year). Over the same time-span, Washington’s offense has a -19% DVOA mark, which would be the 4th worst offense over a course of a full season. Their defensive DVOA of +15%, would be tied for the WORST in the league with ATL. One team is trending up while the other one is nose-diving. Colt McCoy will start for Washington, and it has to be a concern for them that he had 4 fumbles against the Colts last week. He only lost 1 of course, but against a lot of pressure from the Rams’ D today, fumbling the ball could be disastrous. In addition, he’ll be without his vertical threat as Desean Jackson is out. Without anyone stretching the field vertically, expect the Rams to converge on the intermediate routes, move safeties in, and unleash their devastating pass-rushers. In the last 5 games, St Louis has registered 22 sacks – McCoy got sacked 6 times last week. I think it’s going to be a long day for McCoy and this Washington team.

#5: Pittsburgh Steelers +3

A crucial game between two divisional rivals here. Cincy is on a 3-game win streak but they beat a 5-7 NO team, a 6-6 Houston team, and a 2-10 Tampa squad…barely. They are 2-3 ATS against teams with a winning record, with both wins coming against the Ravens. I know Pittsburgh looked a bit flat last week coming off a BYE, but I would expect a bounce back in week 14. This is a ‘make it or break it’ game for them, while Cincy has a little more of a cushion. They are expected to get both Shazier and Jarvis Jones, who will shore up their LB’s. That’s important because Cincy has struggled running the ball efficiently in the last 4 games or so (4 or less RY/A in 3 of the last 4 games). Steelers rank 14th against the run and with both of their young LB’s back, expect them to be even better in this one. If Pittsburgh can take away the run game, inefficient Dalton will be relied upon to win the game. Dalton ranks 27th in QB-Eff and 24th in QBR. Pittsburgh is very vulnerable versus the pass (29th PassD) but it’s not like Cincy has an efficient passing offense. I think the biggest mismatch in this game is between Pittsburgh’s 10th most efficient runO and Cincy’s 32nd ranked runD. Cincy faced Doug Martin and Alfred Blue in the last few weeks, so of course their runD will look ‘good’ against those two mediocre players, but against Le’Veon Bell, I believe they’ll struggle. The DLine ranks 30th in the league in ALY (Adjusted Line Yards) while Pittsburgh’s O-line is 5th in that metric. I expect a run heavy game plan from the Steelers, as they’ll look to control the game in this one. Bottom line is that we have two divisional opponents that know each other very well. Bengals are in control of the division right now and coming off 3 straight road wins, while the Steelers are off a home loss in this one. The underdog has value in this one from my standpoint.

#6: NY Giants -2.5

Oh the Giants, what the hell are you guys doing? I’m sure Coughlin is asking the same question. Seemingly in total control last week against the Jaguars, Eli Manning has one of his typically boneheaded fumbles, which Jags recover for a TD, and then a few possessions later, NY’s TE does the same thing, which the Jags scored on again. A 21-0 Giants lead turned into a 25-24 defeat. It’s one thing to lose to PHI, DAL, IND, SEA, SF, and then DAL again…all teams competing for the playoffs. It’s another to give a game away to the hapless Jaguars. How will this team react? Of course it’s important to note that they’ve lost Geoff Schwartz for the season, who is probably their best O-lineman. They also lost Kiwanuka and Ayers, who were some of their better defenders left. They will get Pugh back which will help the D line and looks like Jennings will play as well. The Titans will be without Hunter and Wright, as Zach Metternberger’s offensive options are greatly reduced. He’s also dealing with a shoulder injury though he’ll play. Titans could be without Wimbley, one of their better defensive players, and without their LT Lewan who has a high ankle sprain. Titans are already without Roos and Schwenke, two starters, so their O-line is pretty much in shambles at this point. If your best remaining O-lineman is Michael Oher, of the “Blind Side” fame, then you are in real trouble. The good thing for the Giants is that their D limited Bortles to 5.5 PY/A average last week and held the Jags to 4.0 YPP and only 10 points. They’re taking on another rookie QB this week who is leading one of the worst offenses in the league. The Titans have allowed 43 and 45 points in two consecutive weeks, and as long as Manning doesn’t turn the ball over, NY has a chance to score some points here. Even though most people probably won’t even touch this game, I believe there’s value in the Giants at a short number.

#7: Kansas City Chiefs -2.5

This one was ARZ -1 / -1.5 earlier this week, but has now moved a full 3+ points. Big news is of course that Ellington is out. He is Arizona’s most dangerous weapon and without him, this offense could really struggle. In Stanton’s last 3 starts, this offense has a -15% DVOA, which would rank as the 4th worst in the league over the full season. He was especially awful in his last start, throwing 2 INT’s but it could have been even more as Atlanta’s secondary dropped at least 2 other ones. One supposed advantage for Arizona is their 5th ranked D in this game. Well, Arizona’s D relies on pressure with lots of blitzing. KC though has a pretty conservative offense, relying on their run-game and for Alex Smith to be a game manager. I doubt Arizona’s blitz-oriented D will be as effective in this particular matchup. Expect the Chiefs to play conservatively, rely on their run-game and their short-passing attack, while enabling their D to tee off on Stanton. A conservative approach will be the right gameplan in this matchup, and I would expect the better team to come out on top.

#8: Seattle Seahawks -1

In ButtFumble Sanchez’ 5 starts with the Eagles, he’s faced the following opponents and their pass and run D ratings:



HOU: 17 vs the pass / 18th vs the run

CAR: 20 and 22

GB:14 and 23

TEN: 25 and 30

DAL: 22 and 24



Only Green Bay is even an ‘average’ passD out of those opponents, and none of them are any good at stopping the run. Well, now he’ll take on Seattle’s 6th ranked D, which is playing even better than that over the last few weeks. Seattle is also 5th in stopping the run, which could be a major problem for Sanchez and the rest of this offense. I think this is a really bad matchup for Philly’s offense and I expect another dominant game from Seattle here. They had 10-days to prepare, and though they are playing on the East Coast, this is a 4:25 start instead of 1:00, which should be easier on a West Coast team like the Seahawks.


#9: New England Patriots -3.5

One thing I’ve learned is never to fade NE off a loss. More often than not, the Pats bounce back in a big way. San Diego is on a 3-game winning streak but all 3 have been very tough wins – 7 point win against OAK, 3 point win against STL, and a huge comeback and a 1 point win @ BAL last week. Rivers got hurried a ton in that game and took a lot of hits but San Diego was able to pull it out late. I wonder if we’ll see a bit of a letdown tonight. The Pats won’t be stopped in this game as San Diego is terrible defensively, but I trust that Belichik will do enough to make a few key stops against Rivers and the Chargers’ O.

#10: San Francisco 49ers -8

Coming off a loss to SEA, where they got absolutely dominated in every aspect of the game, I’d expect a bounce back from the Niners today. They have the #1 ranked passD and Aldon Smith is providing an actual pass-rush for the team now. Derek Carr has been horrible lately, averaging below 6 PY/A in 5 straight games! He has 1 TD and 2 INT’s over the last 3 games and his QBR rating has been below 30 in 4 of the last 5. Facing this San Fran D on a bounce-back isn’t an ideal spot. San Fran has ranked as the 8th best offense on the road this year, which is a big difference from their overall 18th mark. With 10-days to prepare, I’d expect a better effort and a better game plan out of them. San Fran should roll here.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:35 PM
Elite Sports Picks


St. Louis -3 over Washington (NFL)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:36 PM
Diamond Dog Sports
#160: Titans: +1.5 (-105) (3*)


#161: Panthers: +10.0 (-115) (0.5*)


#174: Raiders: +8.5 (-105) (1.5*)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:37 PM
EXECUTIVE FOOTBALL

650% GOY cincinatti
300% miami
150% minnesota
100% cleveland
100% st louis

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:37 PM
LENNY STEVENS
20
PITT
MIAMI
10
philly, colts

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:38 PM
Paul Leiner:
2000* NFL Seahawks +1
100* CBB Over 125 Cal/Nevada
100* NFL Over 44 Rams/Redskins
100* NFL Texans -5.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:39 PM
Touchdown club
lock (1-9 ats)
giants

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:39 PM
Sports authority
lock
cincinnati

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:39 PM
Millionaires club
strong
cleveland
san diego

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:42 PM
POWER PLAY WINS

Power Play Of The Day

NFL: Kansas City Chiefs -1

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:42 PM
RAS

James Madison + 6.5

Montana -4.5

Washington +2

Arkansas / Clemson Under 143

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:48 PM
Rooster:


154 Pittsburgh over 47.
854 Manhattan-14.5.
855 n. Colorado+13.5.
835 California-6.5 (4%).
831 Arkansas-3.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:48 PM
Chris James

Browns
Buccaneers
Saints
49ers
Patriots

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:50 PM
Vegas Line Reader

8-1 last 9 picks

12/7 steelers/bengals over 47.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:51 PM
Sport Mountain Picks

Pitts +3
Wash +3
Jets +5.5
KC pick

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:53 PM
BIG MONEY (Top) NO

CAROLINA SPORTS (5,4,3) 4- PITT, KC, 3- INDY, S LOUIS, JETS

DOC'S ENTERPRISES (5,4,3) 5- KC, 4- PITT, CLEV

DR. BOB (4,3,2,1) 3- JETS, 2- PITT, CLEV

GAMEDAY (5,4,3,2) 2- PITT, AARIZ, PHILLY

HARRY BONDI (5,4,3) 10GOY NE, 3- MIA, MINN

INSIDE INFO (3,2) 3- SEA, 2- JAX

JACK JONES (25,20,15) 25- PITT UNDER, 20- WASH, 15- TB, JETS, SEA

JOE D (25,20,15) 20- TN, JETS, 15- CINCY, DET, SEA

LENNY STEVENS (20,10) 20- PITT, MIA, 10- PHILLY, INDY

NERI (5,4,3) 3- HOU, DEN, NE

NORTHCOAST (5,4,3) 3 1/2 NE, 3- HOU, TB UNDER

PICK CITY (5,4,3,2) 4- sea, 3- ne, hou, den

POINTWISE (4,3,2) 3- HOU, PITT, WASH, SEA, 2- GIANTS

PREFERRED PICKS (5,4,3) 4- PITT, 3- CLEV, ARIZ

PURE LOCK (Top) PITT

TEXAS SPORTSWIRE (5,4,3) 3- BALT

UNDERDOG (Top) ARIZ

WILDCAT (10,7,5) 10- NO, 7- CINCY, SD

ASA 7- NE, 4- INDY, 3- PITT, WASH

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:54 PM
PHILLYGODFATHER

Browns +4

Redskins +3

Chiefs +1.5

Seahawks +1

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:55 PM
red suit
Saints over 50

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:56 PM
Sebastian : 200* philly pitt washington 300*baltimore indy arizona 300*3team 10 point tease san fran houston jets

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 12:57 PM
Sports unlimited
7 miami
4 New England over

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 02:32 PM
Indian Cowboy - NBA
3-Unit Play. #803. Take Over 212 Denver vs. Atlanta (Sunday @ 3:35pm est)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 02:32 PM
Diamond Dog
NBA


#809/810: Bucks/Mavericks: Under 207.0 (-105) (1*)


NCAA B


#854: Manhattan: -14.0 (-110) (0.5*)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 02:33 PM
DOC SPORTS (CBB)

4*: #830 Take Arkansas Little Rock +5.5 over Tulsa (3 pm)

4*: #831 Take Arkansas -3.5 over Clemson (5 pm ESPN U)

8*: #835 Take California -5.5 over Nevada (4 pm CBSSN)

4*: #842 Take Georgetown -16.5 over Towson (7 pm FS1)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 05:02 PM
HSW second set:

All 1's
Denver and under
KC and over
SF and under
Philadelphia and under
NE and over

GD West 1 KC
GDNY 3 KC, 1 KC over and 1 Philadelphia under

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 05:27 PM
Andre Gomes | NBA Sides Sun, 12/07/14 - 6:05 PM
dime bet 805 OKL -10.0 (-105) Bookmaker.com vs 806 DET

Analysis:
NBA Pick #1: 805 Oklahoma City Thunder @ 806 Detroit Pistons
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder (-10) (Play up to -11)
Odds: -105 / 1.95 on Pinnacle Sports OR -105 / 1.95 on Bookmaker

Detroit is a complete mess right now. They even got humiliated at home against Philadelphia on a back to back spot last night. Even when the Pistons' frontcourt has a clear edge in a match up, they ju«st can't be efficient. Detroit will now face Oklahoma City, who will have Durant playing his third game of the season. The Thunder had already some time to adjust to having both Durant and Westbrook back, therefore I expect them to play at a good level today, on a revenge game for them, as they lost at home against the Pistons a few weeks ago.

I actually took the Pistons on their game at Oklahoma City, who was still without Durant and Westbrook at the time. I said that the Pistons had a clear size edge in that match up and the Pistons grabbed 56% of the rebounds in that game, while outscoring the Thunder 44-40 at the paint. The difference is that Oklahoma City with Durant and Westbrook back will absolutely destroy the Pistons' poor defense in here. Jennings also played his best game of the season at Oklahoma City, but he's on a huge slump right now. I believe this is going to be a clear blowout win for Oklahoma City and so, I'll be taking them in here.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 05:28 PM
CHUCK LUCK

Seatlle Seahawks

NE Patriots

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 05:51 PM
Andre Gomes

dime bet 807 MIA / 808 MEM OVER 191.0 Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437).com
Analysis:
NBA Pick #2: 807 Miami Heat @ 808 Memphis Grizzlies
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Over 191 (Play up to 192)
Odds: -107 / 1.93 on Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php) Sports OR -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437)
Detailed Write Up:

I believe this game will be a high scoring contest, given that both teams will have some interesting edges on offense today. Memphis's frontcourt should be able to pound Miami down low time and time again on this matchup. They¦ have a clear size edge, which will give them a good rebounding edge and a great ability to score near the basket today.

On the other hand, Miami's backcourt has been shooting rather well from the perimeter, something that should also allow the Heat to score a decent amount of points in here. Besides that, given Memphis's clear size edge, Miami won't want to play this game at a slow pace and so, I expect them to push up the pace in here and turn this game into an offense-oriented match up, with both teams playing at a reasonable fast pace, while exploring their edges on offense. Therefore, given the current totals line, I'll be taking the Over in here.

Andre Gomes | NBA Total Sun, 12/07/14 - 9:35 PM
dime bet 813 NOP / 814 LAL UNDER 208.5 Bookmaker (http://www.bookmaker.eu/?cmpid=4437).com
Analysis:

NBA Pick #3: 813 New Orleans Pelicans @ 814 Los Angeles Lakers
Rating: 3 units - Single Dime Play
Pick: Under 208.5 (Play up to 207)
Odds: -111 / 1.90 on Pinnacle (http://cappersmall2.com/lines.php) Sports OR -110 / 1.91 on Bookmaker
Detailed Write Up:

I believe this game will be a relatively low scoring game, as the Lakers will be very focused in improving defensively today. In fact, there will be two changes in the Lakers' lineup today, in order to improve the team's defense, with Boozer and Lin being replaced by Davis and Price.

“Both of those guys play extremely hard” LA Lakers' coach Byron Scott said of Price and Davis. “Both of those guys have more of a defensive mentality. It’s probably a better match with the starters that we have.”

“The biggest thing I need from them is defense” Byron Scott said about Lin and Boozer. “For Jeremy, it’s understanding what a point guard is. He still has to learn that. But again I’m not looking at this as a situation where it’s a demotion. We have to do something. The starting team hasn’t played really well at this particular point.”

The Lakers will now face the Pelicans, who will be playing their third game in four nights, having played against the Clippers last night. New Orleans' offense hasn't been brilliant, if we exclude Davis of course, and this defensively improved lineup of the Lakers should be able to limit the damage of the Pelicans' offense, with Ed Davis guarding Anthony Davis. New Orleans' perimeter shooting has been poor, if we exclude Anderson's treys as well, so on this poor spot for them, I believe the Pelicans' offense won't be brilliant.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 07:33 PM
Las Vegas Pipeline

15* NE/SD - Over

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 07:34 PM
Robert Ferringo

NBA

4-Unit Play. Take #811 Portland (-6.5) at New York (7:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 6)

Portland is starting a 5 game road trip tonight in MSG and are looking to win 13 out of 14. They have been very good away from the Moda Center winning their last 5. Rip City has also owned the Knicks winning 4 in row. Damian Lillard had a scare with his hand getting dinged up Thursday but x-rays were negative and he is all set to run circles around the below average three headed monster of Calderon, Prigioni, and Larkin. Look for the frontcourt of Robin Lopez and All-Star LaMarcus Aldridge to dominate the Knicks inside. It's also worth mentioning that the Blazers lead the NBA in rebounding and the knickerbockers are 27th. That should be a big part of the outcome. New York has been playing well enough to win in 6 of the last 7 but they haven't won dropping all 7. Melo has been doing a ton of the heavy lifting and with a bad back that is not a great idea. The knicks have been awful ATS at home going 2-9 in their last 11 and Portland has won 4 in a row ATS against New York. It really comes down to two teams trending in the opposite directions. Portland is 15-4, winners of 13 of 14, and trying to compete in the West for a title. New York, disturbingly, is 4-17 and losers of 7 in a row. Lay the 7 and take Terry Stots with you to the bank. Blazers 110-90.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-07-2014, 07:37 PM
VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER (NBA)
3* LA Lakers +2.5