PDA

View Full Version : 12-26-14



Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:38 AM
::clap::

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:38 AM
VSI Soccer
4* Everton -125

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:38 AM
BURNS FOOTBALL

FEAST - illinois
FALSE FAVORITE - nc st

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:39 AM
Sheep

Heart Of Dallas Bowl

($900) Illinois / La Tech Under 59

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:39 AM
Dr Bob
Fri Dec-26-2014 at 10:00 AM Pacific Rotation: 221 Over/Under 60.5


Louisiana Tech’s games averaged 62.2 total points per game in regulation and Illinois’ games averaged 60.5 total points per game, which are both higher than the national average of 55 points per game. However, there is good value towards the Under in this game for a few different reasons, from Louisiana Tech’s variance in red zone scoring average to the significantly slower pace that Illinois is running their offense in the second half of the season with a run-oriented offensive approach replacing the pass-heavy attack of the first 6 games of the season. It all adds up to solid value on the Under.


The Illinois offense will be run by senior Reilly O’Toole, who was a backup for 3 ½ years before getting his chance to start when Wes Lunt went down with an injury in the middle of the season. Lunt is a better passer but he wasn’t nearly as effective when he came back from a month long absence in week 12 against Iowa and it was O’Toole that led the Illini to wins the following two weeks to secure a bowl bid and secure his spot as the starter for this game. O’Toole’s compensated passing numbers (5.3 yards per pass play against teams that would allow 5.5 yppp to an average QB) aren’t that much worse than Lunt’s compensated numbers (Lunt faced worst pass defenses) but O’Toole isn’t as careful with the football and has thrown 7 interceptions in just 167 pass attempts (4.2% compared to Lunt’s 3 interceptions on 233 passes, 1.3%). O’Toole has thrown 16 interceptions on 337 career pass attempts (4.7%), so his higher than normal interception rate this season (2.9% in the national average) is most likely not the result of variance and he’s certainly in danger of throwing multiple picks against a ball-hawking Louisiana Tech secondary that leads the nation in interceptions. O’Toole does add a running element to the position, as he ran for 355 yards on 62 runs this season (not including sacks, which I count as passing plays), including 147 yards on 21 runs in the win over Northwestern that earned the Illini a spot in a bowl game. O’Toole’s running should improve the overall rushing numbers despite injuries to two starting offensive linemen. The other affect of having O’Toole at quarterback is more runs and fewer passes, which has led to more average time of possession and fewer plays per minute for the Illini since week 7 due to the clock stopping less often. Illinois averaged 2.7 plays per minute of possession the first 6 games of the season when they were averaging 23.3 rushing plays and 44.0 passing plays per game and their games averaged a total of 148.6 plays from scrimmage (not including kneel downs and spikes). In 6 games from week 7 on, with mostly O’Toole at quarterback, the Illini averaged 2.4 plays per minute of possession while averaging 34.2 runs and 31.7 pass plays and those games totaled just 137.6 plays from scrimmage. The fewer number of plays expected in this game with O’Toole at quarterback is not factored into the total on this game, which is part of the reason we have line value on the Under. For the season the Illinois attack averaged 5.4 yards per play against teams that would allow 5.4 yppl to an average team and they rate the same with O’Toole at quarterback but with more projected turnovers.


The Louisiana Tech defense was consistently good this season, allowing 5.0 yards per play to a schedule of opposing offensive units that would combine to average 5.7 yppl against an average defensive team. The Bulldogs were particularly good defending the run (4.3 yards per rushing play allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.2 yprp), which matches up well with an Illinois attack that runs it more often than they throw it with O’Toole behind center. Louisiana Tech will be without suspended starters DL Aaron Brown, LB Terrell Pinson, and LB Tony Johnson but those 3 also missed the Bulldogs’ game against an explosive Marshall attack and the defense played their best game of the season (relative to the strength of the opposing offense) in holding the Thundering Herd to just 5.4 yards per play and 26 points. I didn’t think Brown or Johnson would be missed since neither registered very many impact plays but I thought Pinson’s absence would hurt the pass defense since he’s proven to be very good in coverage (3 interceptions and 11 total passes defended). However, the coaching staff started a 5th defensive back against Marshall and the pass defense was even better and the Bulldogs gave up just 4.3 yards per rushing play to one of the best running teams in the nation. So, I certainly have no reason to think the absence of the 3 suspended defenders will hurt the defense given how well that unit performed in the CUSA Championship game and there is actually reason to think it might make the Bulldogs’ stop unit even better – although I made no adjustment either way. Louisiana Tech’s defense has a 0.7 yards per play advantage over the Illinois offense and the math projects the Illini to gain just 337 yards at 4.9 yppl in this game with O’Toole projected to throw 1.45 interceptions against a Bulldogs’ defense that leads the nation with 25 interceptions in 13 games.


Louisiana Tech’s offense is led by QB Cody Sokol, who transferred from Iowa and had a solid season throwing the football. Sokol averaged 7.1 yards per pass play while facing teams that would combine to allow 6.9 yppp to an average quarterback. The rushing attack features Kenneth Dixon, who ran for 1236 yards at 5.2 ypr, but overall the Bulldogs were well below average running the ball this season, as they averaged only 4.8 yards per rushing play as a team despite facing opponents that would combine to allow 5.3 yprp to an average offensive team. Overall, Louisiana Tech’s 37.5 points per game is very misleading given that the offense averaged their 6.0 yards per play against teams that would combine to allow 6.0 yppl to an average FBS attack. The Bulldogs also inflated their scoring average with 76 points in one game against Rice and they had a red zone efficiency that is too high to maintain. The Bulldogs averaged 5.5 points per red zone opportunity, which is far outside the normal range. The best teams in the nation are usually around 5.2 points per RZ and the national average is about 4.8 points per RZ opportunity. Louisiana Tech projects to be at 4.9 points per RZ based on their overall offensive stats and the difference works out to 2.4 points per game of red zone variance. The Bulldogs also had 4 defensive touchdowns, which is more than average also, so their 37.5 points per game was randomly high, which is another reason we have some line value on the under. Louisiana Tech may not have been affected by the academic suspensions on their defense but the offense really struggled against Marshall (just 268 yards at 4.1 yards per play) without two suspended starting offensive linemen, Tre Carter and Mitchell Bell. Carter and Bell are two of the most experienced starters on the line (combined for 41 career starts) and Bell was named first team All-CUSA. An offensive line that had given up just 5 sacks on 282 pass plays (1.8%) in the final 8 regular season games allowed 2 sacks on just 22 pass plays (9.1%) in their CUSA Championship game against Marshall. The Herd also had 7 quarterback hurries in that game and Sokol was a horrible 7 for 20 passing for just 72 yards (59 yards with sacks included) while under constant duress. That’s 9 sacks and hurries in just 22 pass plays (41%) compared to 43 sacks and hurries in 431 pass plays (10%) in the other 12 games with Carter and Bell. The patchwork offensive line should be better than they were against Marshall with a few weeks to prepare for this game but I think it’s reasonable to assume that the offensive line will not be as good without their 1st team All-Conference tackle and their best guard.


The Illini don’t look too good defensively, as they allowed 33.9 points per game and 6.1 yards per play to a schedule of opponents that would combine to average 30.5 points and 5.8 yppl against an average defensive team. Illinois was actually pretty solid defensive early in the season and they were decent late in the season but they gave up an average of 8.4 yards per play in week 6 and 7 before playing better down the stretch. At 0.3 yppl worse than average the Illini defense matches up pretty evenly with a Louisiana Tech offense that is just average from a yards per play perspective this season and is likely to be a bit worse than average without their two best offensive linemen. The math model projects 379 yards at 5.7 yards per play for the Bulldogs, which is just barely better than the national average for yards per play and less than the national average of 396 total yards per game. It’s unlikely that Louisiana Tech will top 30 points even if they continue to average 5.5 yards per red zone possession.


Overall the math favors Louisiana Tech by 5 points, which is where this line opened, but the Illini apply to a very good 73-15-1 ATS bowl game situation that is more significant than a 50-23-2 ATS statistical match up indicator that applies to Louisiana Tech. I’ll lean with Illinois at +5 or more


The projected statistics in this game project just 49 total points but there should be a few more points than that given that Louisiana Tech is still likely to have a better red zone scoring efficiency than my model would project – although not as high of an average as they’ve had this season. The combination of 5 fewer projected plays than the season numbers would project and Louisiana Tech’s positive variance in points scored has supplied us with enough line value on the under to make a play. I should make this Under a 2-Star Best Bet but I’ve had bad luck with totals this season so I’ll play it conservatively and just make this a 1-Star play. I’ll go UNDER 59 points or higher in a 1-Star Best Bet (2-Stars at 61 or higher) and I’d consider the Under a Strong Opinion down to 58 points (and a lean under at less than that number).

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:39 AM
DAVID GLISAN SPORTS

CFB:
(222) Louisiana Tech -6 over Illinois
(221/222) Louisiana Tech/Illinois UN

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:40 AM
MARC LAWRENCE (phone plays)

South Carolina
NC State

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:40 AM
Norm Hitzges
Dec. 26: N. C. State +2 1/2 Central Florida---------St. Petersburg Bowl

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:41 AM
Topshelfpicks (CFB) - Carson K - 2* Rutgers, UCF, 1* Illinois & Under

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:41 AM
Louisiana Tech

[DL] 12/07/2014 - Aaron Brown expected to miss Friday vs. Illinois ( Suspension )

[OL] 12/07/2014 - Mitchell Bell expected to miss Friday vs. Illinois ( Suspension )

[LB] 12/07/2014 - Terrell Pinson expected to miss Friday vs. Illinois ( Suspension )

[RB] 12/07/2014 - Tevin King expected to miss Friday vs. Illinois ( Suspension )

[LB] 12/07/2014 - Tony Johnson expected to miss Friday vs. Illinois ( Suspension )

[OL] 12/07/2014 - Tre Carter expected to miss Friday vs. Illinois ( Suspension )

[DL] 09/16/2014 - Malcolm Pichon out indefinitely ( Suspension )

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:41 AM
MADDUX SPORTS (Bowl Game)

10* Under 49 – NC St. vs Central Florida

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:41 AM
INSIDE THE PRESSBOX / PHIL STEELE

NCAAF Opinions
ILLINOIS
UCF

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 08:44 AM
Billy Hill of Banker Sports
12.5* LTECH First half cfb

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 08:54 AM
StatFox Super Situations

NBA | PHOENIX at SACRAMENTO
Play Against - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

NBA | INDIANA at DETROIT
Play On - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (INDIANA) an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after a win by 10 points or more
28-9 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.7% | 19.5 units )

NBA | INDIANA at DETROIT
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points poor team - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game, on Friday nights
82-41 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.7% | 36.9 units )
5-3 this year. ( 62.5% | 1.7 units )

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 08:58 AM
StatFox Super Situations

CFB | NC STATE at UCF
Play On - Any team (UCF) poor rushing team (100-140 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G) after 7+ games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

CFB | NC STATE at UCF
Play On - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NC STATE) off an upset win by 14 points or more as a road underdog, with a winning record on the season
39-17 since 1997. ( 69.6% | 0.0 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

CFB | NOTRE DAME at LSU
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 25 to 28 after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game
29-8 over the last 10 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -2.2 units )

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 09:01 AM
Mighty Quinn

Mighty had no play on Thursday and likes North Carolina on Friday.

The deficit is 1333 sirignanos.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 09:39 AM
ATS LOCK CLUB

4* North Carolina -3 over Rutgers

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 09:40 AM
Gabriel Dupont

100 Dimes louisiana tech - 6.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 09:40 AM
INTPICKS

CFB
Illinois vs LA - Under 58 (3*)
Rutgers +3.5
UCF -2.5

NBA
Indiana -2.5
Sacramento +1.5
Milwaukee vs Atlanta - Over 206

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 09:41 AM
Pointwise Phones

4* Louisiana Tech

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 09:41 AM
PAUL LEINER

100* NBA - Over 199 - Sixers/Blazers
100* CFB - Over 57 - Illinois/La Tech

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 09:44 AM
NCAA Football Game Picks NC State vs. Central Florida The Knights play the Wolfpack tonight in the Bitcoin St. Petersburg Bowl and come into the contest with an 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 non-conference games. Central Florida is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Knights favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-2).. Here are all of this week's NCAA Football picks.


FRIDAY, DECEMBER 26
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (12/22)


Game 221-222: Illinois vs. Louisiana Tech (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 78.305; Louisiana Tech 92.314
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 14; 62
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 6; 58
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-6); Over


Game 223-224: Rutgers vs. North Carolina (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 85.508; North Carolina 82.929
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 2 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 3 1/2; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+3 1/2); Under


Game 225-226: NC State vs. Central Florida (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 91.130; Central Florida 95.591
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 4 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-2); Over

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 10:33 AM
Brandon Lang

Friday Selection ...

My 20 Dime selection is the Rutgers and North Carolina Over the total. The current line on this game is 68 in Vegas and offshore. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 10:35 AM
MY SYSTEM PICKS

NC St +2.5 (3u)
LaTech -6.5 (2u)
UNC/Rut Over 68 (2u)

T-Wolves +11 (2u)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 10:36 AM
PREDICTION MACHINE

226 NCSU vs. UCF 50 43.7 Under 59.6%

221 ILL vs LATECH 6 -0.4 58.1%

226 UCF vs NCSU -2 6.2 56.7%

224 UNC vs RUT -3.5 7.5 55.2%

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:10 PM
Diamond Dog Sports


1* Illinois / La Tech Over 57


1* NC State +3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:10 PM
James Manos

Central Florida -2

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:11 PM
Arthur Ralph
Super Pk NBA Cleve. Cav's -5
Blue Ribbons CFB Rutgers +3 1/2, NC State + 2 1/2 buy to 3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:11 PM
Paul Leiner

1500* La Tech

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:12 PM
Dave Cokin:

NC St +2.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:15 PM
SB PROFESSOR
NBA
We're not going to have any action on the early game today.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:16 PM
Sports bank
400% strong
rutgers over

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:16 PM
Millionaires club
large
rutgers

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:16 PM
WAYNE ROOT

Millionaires----Illinois

No Limit Club---NC State

Central Florida opened the year with two losses and then the Knights only lost one more game and ended the year with a 9-3 record. After losing quarterback Blake Bortles to the Jacksonville Jaguars in the NFL draft, the Knights turned up the defense this year, giving up just 17.9 points per game. The North Carolina State Wolfpack became bowl eligible by winning their last two games of the year defeating Wake Forest and North Carolina. NC State is 7-5, and led by junior quarterback Jacoby Brissett who has passed for 2,344 yards while scoring 22 touchdowns via the air. This is a minor step up in class for the Knights and comes with a small price. The Oddsmakers have the wrong team favored. TAKE NC STATE

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:36 PM
Vegas Sports Informer
3* Lou Tech -6
2* North Carolina -3
4* Central Florida -2

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:38 PM
Jason Sharpe
4* NC State +2

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:38 PM
RIVER CITY SHARPS

This is another interesting match up tonight in the St. Petersburg Bowl as NC State (7-5) out of the ACC takes on UCF (9-3) out of the AAC. The Knights have a way of making teams very one dimensional as they have the fifth best rushing defense in the country and they rank third in the nation in total defense. They will certainly have to account for Wolfpack QB Jacoby Brissett, who is comfortable both throwing and running for NC State. UCF is a team that struggles to score at times, but their defense has been so good that it keeps them in most games. We believe this will be a low scoring game that will be decided on turnovers and we just think the UCF defense is going to be too difficult for the young Wolfpack to figure out. Knights HC George O’Leary always seems to get his teams up for “Big 5″ conference games, evidenced by their 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 games vs. non-conference opponents. The Knights end up winning this game in the 24-17 range. The Sharps say…

3 UNITS – CENTRAL FLORIDA (-2.5)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:39 PM
HARRY BONDI

College Football Free Play
St Petersburg Bowl

NC STATE (+2.5) over Central Florida
8 p.m. ET
In a battle of very evenly matched teams, let’s go for our SIXTH straight free winner with the Wolfpack of NC State who have played a tougher schedule, are playing better than Central Florida heading into this game and are an underdog! NC State ended the regular season by pounding both rival North Carolina 35-7 on the road and Wake Forest at home 42-13. The Wolfpack offense has improved steadily over the course of the year and explode over the last few games when they averaged over 350 yards rushing and over 200 yards in the air per game! Central Florida was the beneficiary of several turnovers in winning the ACC Championship game 32-30 over East Carolina the last time they played and the Knights have had another great year under George O’Leary but NC state is simply the better team right now.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:39 PM
Vegaslinereader
2 Big Plays
Louisiana Tech -7 buy 1/2 point down to -6.5
Rutgers +3.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:42 PM
7 Unit Total Play · Under [819] Philadelphia 76ers vs. [820] Portland Trail Blazers
Pay Day Sports Fri Dec 26th, 2014 10:05pm EST

golden contender
12-26-2014, 12:42 PM
T.G.I.F and 3 Big College Bowl plays take Center Stage all from big Winning Systems. Bows swept on Wednesday. In the NBA a Big 100% Blowout system and 94% Totals system that beats the posted total line by nearly 20 points are up. Free NBA play below.




On Friday the free NBA Revenge play is on the Spurs. Game 811 at 8:05 eastern. The Spurs lost at home to New Orleans in the only meeting between the clubs this season. Now the Spus will look to avenge that loss after falling at home to OKC on Xmas Day. Certain home teams like Nw Orleans are winless straight up and to the spread since 1995 off a road favored loss where they scored 90 or less and the opponent failed to cover at home. The Pelicans are 1-4 ats with 2 days rest. The Spurs have won 5 of the last 6 here and are a solid 5-1 ats on the road after failing to cover at home in their last game. Look for The Spurs to serve up revenge on a cold platter here tonight. On Friday there are 3 Big Bowl games up all from huge long term systems dating to 1980 along with Several Perfect Indicators and angles. Football ranked #1 overall for a 7th straight week. In The NBA its a 5* Perfect system Blowout play and a 94% Totals system that beating the average posted total By nearly 20 points. Recoup some of that Holiday spending as 2 of these Bowl games are afternoon starts. Message to Jump on now as we start the weekend big. For the free Play take the San Antonio Spurs. GC

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 12:43 PM
Philly Ross

CFB

Illinois +7

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 01:18 PM
National Sports Service


4* Rutgers/N. Carolina OVER 67.5 (NCAAF)


3* C. Florida -2.5 over N. Carolina St. (NCAAF)


3* Phoenix +1 over Sacramento (NBA)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 01:18 PM
Insider Sports Report
4* Illinois +6 over Louisiana Tech (NCAAF)
Range: +8 to +4


3* N. Carolina -3 over Rutgers (NCAAF)
Range: -1.5 to -5


3* Milwaukee/Atlanta OVER 206 (NBA)
Range: 204.5 to 208.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 01:19 PM
Elite Sports Picks

Phoenix/Sacramento OVER 214 (NBA)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 01:19 PM
POWER PLAY WINS

Power Play Of The Day

NCAAF: North Carolina -3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 01:20 PM
R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Friday Bowling

3* = RUTGERS

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 01:31 PM
Kelso

50 illinois

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 03:13 PM
sheep

1226 nc state under 24.5
226 under 48 nc state
225 Ucf -2.5

all 800

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 03:13 PM
Spartan

Indiana -2.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 03:14 PM
Steven Nover

Milwaukee +9

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 03:14 PM
Tony George

UCF -2

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 03:15 PM
Kelso

Friday, December 26, 2014

10 Units
Rutgers (+3.0) over North Carolina
4:30 PM --
Quick Lane bowl 10 Units Rutgers (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS) +3 over North Carolina (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS) Prediction: Rutgers by 3-4 Played at Ford Field in Detroit, MI Starting Time: 4:35 EST TV: ESPN
Game is being played inside a dome. (Detroit, MI)

50 Units
Illinois (+6.0) over Louisiana Tech
1:00 PM --
Heart Of Dallas Bowl 50 Units Illinois (6-6 SU, 5-7 ATS) +6 over Louisiana Tech (8-5 SU, 10-3 AS) Prediction: Illinois by 6-7 Played at Cotton Bowl in Dallas, TX Starting Time: 1:05 EST TV: ESPN
Cloudy. Winds southeast at 10-15 m.p.h (Dallas, TX) Game-time temperature: Around 60.

10 Units
Bucks (+8½) over Hawks
7:30 PM -- Philips Arena
Milwaukee Bucks (14-15 SU, 20-9 ATS) +8.5 over ATLANTA HAWKS (21-7 SU, 18-10 ATS) Prediction: Hawks by 3-4 Home/Road Record: Hawks 13-2 at home, Bucks 7-10 on road. Last 10/Streak: Hawks 9-1, Won 5; Bucks 4-6, Lost 2. Starting Time: 7:35 EST TV: Fox Sports Wisconsin, SportSouth Atlanta Home Team in CAPS

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 03:15 PM
Port Port Sports

NCAA FB)

*2 UNITS* NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS (-3.5)

*2 UNITS* OVER 68 RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS @ NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS

*2 UNITS* 1ST HALF: OVER 33.5 RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS @ NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS

*2 UNITS* ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI (+6.5)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 03:15 PM
VegasButcher (NBA 81 – 60 @ 0% for +15.0 Units)

Charlotte Hornets +6.5

With Stephenson on the shelf, Hornets have now won 4 in a row, dominating opponents in the process. Of course they’ll step up in class tonight, as they take on OKC Thunder on the road. Stephenson, just like Kobe Bryant and Josh Smith, is a very inefficient player, who often makes his teammates worse around him. Without him in the lineup, this Hornets team is playing well, hustling on defense, sharing the ball on offense (23 assists per game in the last 4), and competing on the glass. Today, they’ll take on a Thunder team that is coming off a big road win last night. OKC is on a b2b, 3in4 spot, and playing their 6th game in the last 9 days. By comparison, Charlotte had 2-days off and is fully rested for this one. Hornets rank 1st in TO-rate offensively, compared to 21st for OKC. In a tough physical spot for the Thunder, turnover-margin could be an even bigger disparity tonight. In addition, Charlotte ranks #1 in defensive rebounding rate and #4 in FT-rate allowed defensively, which should reduce OKC’s chances for easy points in this one. Their offense could be pretty stagnant with Westbrook dominating possessions and Durant out for another game. I believe we’ll see a close game here and I’ll grab the points with the Hornets in this one.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 04:02 PM
SPORTS LOCKSMITH

NCAAF
North Carolina State +2.5 -110 3* (8:00 Eastern)

Chairman’s Play:
University of North Carolina -3 -120 4* (4:30 Eastern)

NBA
Milwaukee +8.5 -110 3* (7:00 Eastern)
Los Angeles +12.5 -110 3* (8:35 Eastern)
Philadelphia +14 -110 1* (10:00 Eastern)

Chairman’s Play:
Orlando Magic +3.5 -110 6* (7:00 Eastern) (Game of the Month)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 04:03 PM
Dave Essler - Dime Play

223 Rutgers3.5 (-110) 5dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229) vs 224 North Carolina

Analysis: The bottom line to Bowls is generally motivation, and clearly at one point NC figured to be in a better Bowl, whereas Rutgers did not. The Tar Heels are likely glad to be here, needing to win late to get to the neccesary win total. The other bottom line for me is that "when in doubt" take the team with the better defense, and that's clearly the Scarlet Knights. Rutgers played a tougher schedule and beat both Maryland and Indiana, two teams that resemble the up-tempo offense that the Tar Heels bring, and they don't REALLY have a bad loss. They've got some games they were blown out in, but by teams that should blow them out. NC gave up a ton of points, and some of those points were to teams with little or no offense (Notre Dame, Virginia, V-Tech). Nova threw almost half his picks in one game way back when against Penn State (5) and they (Rutgers) still only lost 13-10. He feasted on Maryland in the season finale, and he should do the same here.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 04:03 PM
Greg Shaker



triple-dime bet
PHO / SAC Over 213.0

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 04:03 PM
Derek Hayes

1* North Carolina

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 04:04 PM
JAMES JONES

NBA – Orlando Magic(+4)-122…(3*)

NBA – Houston Rockets(+2)-110…(2*)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 04:04 PM
ATS LOCK CLUB

(NBA)

Memphis Grizzlies -2
Sacramento Kings +2

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 04:04 PM
SPORTS UNLIMITED/Marco D'Angelo

4 rutgers

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 04:05 PM
Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

NBA Game: Milwaukee Bucks @ Atlanta Hawks
Time: Friday 12/26 7:35 PM Eastern
Pick: Milwaukee +9 (-113)

The Atlanta Hawks are surprisingly off to a 21-7 start and have lost just two games at home on the season. They are playing as well as any team right now at 14-1 in their last 15 games, but there is a price to pay for that as they have now become an over-valued team. Milwaukee is a vastly improved team from a year ago at 14-15 as they did not win their 14th game until March 27 last season, and they are getting some disrespect in the line here. The Bucks have fared well when facing a team that is not off a good defensive effort as they weigh in at 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs. an opponent that allowed 100+ in their previous game. Milwaukee has also bounced back nicely off a loss where they are 12-3 ATS on the season. The Hawks have lost momentum on a pair of days rest where they are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53. Make the play on Milwaukee.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 04:06 PM
STRIKE POINT SPORTS (NBA)

3* Houston Rockets +2.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 04:06 PM
INDIAN COWBOY (Bowl Game)

5* Over 68 – Rutgers vs North Carolina

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 04:07 PM
Bookieshunter (NCAA Football)

#221 Ilinois +6.5 vs #222 La Tech 3*)

#222 Rutgers/UNC – UN 68.5 (2*)

#225 NC St./Cent Fla in 49.5 (2*)

#227 Virginia Tech +3 vs #228 (2*)

#230 Arizona -7 vs Duke (3*)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 04:08 PM
STEPHEN NOVER

GOW – Milwaukee Bucks+9



Tony George

UCF -2



ASA

4* North Carolina



Mike Neri

NC State

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 04:26 PM
Billy Sharp - Michigan Godfather

1 unit
(NCAAF) #223 - 224 Rutgers / Carolina Under 71 (-105)=
(NCAAF) #226 Central Florida -2.5 (-105)
2 units
(NBA) #812 Pelicans -3.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 05:59 PM
SB Professor Original NBA Picks – LATE GAMES

System Play:
Philadelphia +13

Additional Plays:
LA Lakers +12
Oklahoma City -7

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 05:59 PM
Lt lock

Nc st.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 05:59 PM
VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER (NBA)

3* Cleveland Cavaliers-3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 06:10 PM
Andre Gomes

phoenix

ok c over

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 06:11 PM
BETTING AS A BUSINESS

NBA: 7:35 et

Detroit +3 / Indiana 7:35 ET 1.25 Unit
(Play ON Detroit)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 06:12 PM
INDIAN COWBOY (NBA)

(3*) Over 201 – SA Spurs vs NO Pelicans

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 06:33 PM
JEFF BENTON

200 Dime winner going out for this Friday is the Central Florida Knights as the favorite over the NC State Wolfpack. At 7:30 am eastern time, the Knights are the -2 1/2 point favorites both in Vegas and offshore. Special note, if your price on UCF is anywhere from -3 to -4 1/2 points, I advise you to buy the half-point down on the Knights.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 06:33 PM
Skyblue

nc st. +3

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 06:34 PM
DR. BOB

(NBA)

Charlotte Hornets

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 07:21 PM
Larry Ness' 10* PERFECT STORM (3-1 with 10* bowls TY)-Friday

My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Central Florida at 8:00 ET.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 07:22 PM
Bankerz Bets
C Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic - OVER 196
B Houston Rockets +2
A Detroit Pistons +3
A Charlotte Hornets +6.5
A Minnesota Timberwolves +10.5
A Philadelphia 76ers +14

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 07:23 PM
Diamond Dog Sports
12/26

NBA

#817: Timberwolves: +11.0 (-110) (0.5*)

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 07:23 PM
Maddux Sports NBA

10* Detroit +3
10* Charlotte & Oklahoma City Over 196.5
10* San Antonio +3.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 07:24 PM
OC Dooley

2 Units NC State / C Florida – Over 48.5

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 07:25 PM
Billy Hill
12.5* Hawks 1st half

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 07:26 PM
Stallions Plays

NC St. +3

NBA
Indiana Pacers -2.5
Sacramento Kings +2

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 07:27 PM
Allen Eastman

3-Unit Play. Take #804 Orlando (+5) over Cleveland (7 p.m., Friday, Dec. 26)
This is a big letdown spot for the Cavaliers. They looked ugly in a loss at Miami on Christmas. Now they have to play their third game in four nights. I don't think they are going to be sharp at all. I don't think they care about this game at all. The Cavs beat the Magic by over 30 points when these two played on Nov. 24. Orlando will want revenge and I think that they will surprise the Cavs. Take he points and stay on the sharp side.
4-Unit Play. Take #805 Indiana (-2.5) over Detroit (7:30 p.m., Friday, Dec. 26)
These are two weak teams. But Indiana is favored for a reason. Detroit is one of the teams that is tanking on the season. They have lost four straight and just released their best player Josh Smith. He Pacers have won two straight and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games. They are a respectable team. Indiana has dominated this series. They are 8-1 SU in the last nine meetings. They will go into Detroi and get a win over this middling team.

Can'tPickAWinner
12-26-2014, 07:28 PM
ROCKETMAN
1* CFB C FL