12-28-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::clap::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NORTHCOAST SPORTS

Early Bird Pro Play —- Green Bay Packers -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SIXTH SENSE (NFL)

1* 302 Green Bay -7.5

1* 315 Carolina +3.5

1* 324 Washington +5.5 , This may go back to 6 so wait if you’d like not much difference from 5 to 5.5

1* 330 San Francisco -6.5 -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFLBetting Picks / Kevin

Kevin’s Pick(s):

2 UNIT = Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans – OVER 46.5 POINTS (-105)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle’s Pick(s)

4 UNIT = Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers – PACKERS -7 (-114)
(Note: I’m risking 4.00 units to win 3.51 units)

A frustrating series of events for me last week. As a 1-2 week could have easily went 3-0. In the Lions/Bears game there was not a single moment in the game to blame, but one after the other rather. All the Lions had to do was hold on to the ball and not turn it over one of those two trips in the red zone and a field goal would have gave us a cover. Or, Jeremy Ross botching a punt return with seconds left in the 1st half hurt as well. Punches to the gut are part of this business, though, just have to accept it an move on to the next game. This week I am heading right back to a Lions game. Week 17 is particularly tricky. I wanted to have one or two more plays, but many of the games this week are essentially pointless for many teams. Some teams already have solidified a spot in the playoffs and others are looking forward to vacation. So I took a game with major implications on the line. The winner here secures the NFC North, with the Lions having a chance at a first-round bye and home playoff game if they can pull the win off. I don’t see them doing so this week. the Lions haven’t won in Green Bay since 1992. For a team that visits Lambeau every year that is pretty bad. After Aaron Rodgers threw up a dud against the Lions in their first meeting this season I had this one circled on the calendar. The Lions won that one 19-7 in week 3 and it was the worst performance of the year for Rodgers. It was after that game when Rogers went on that torrid tear. The Packers are quite phenomenal at home this season, they are 7-0, including a 26-21 victory over the Patriots. 26 points is actually the lowest total they were held to all year. In Green Bay the Packers have averaged 41.1 points per game. The Pack got over 30 points in every game except that Patriots game. Heck, even in the pre-season they went over 30 points in both games. The Lions have a beast of a defensive line and allow nothing on the ground, but I don’t see the Packers fooling around with the ground game. I look for Rodgers to air it out frequently throughout this game, taking advantage of what I think, has been an over achieving Detroit secondary. After the game he had last time against the Lions, Rodgers should be hungry to bounce back. The Lions offense on the other hand have been under achievers. On the road they’ve looked horrible, averaging only 15 points per game. I can see the Packers hitting the mid 30’s. The Lions will be without center, Dominic Raiola, this week after stomping on the ankle of a Bear last week. That forces the team to go with a rookie at center, a rather important position that is often overlooked. Certainly not good for a team that hasn’t won in a place since 1992, going up against a team that hasn’t lost in that same place all season long. The Lions are happy with their already clinched playoff spot. I am a Lions fan, but I don’t like them in this spot. Only one play for me this week, but I’ll be playing it for 4 units on the Packers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INSIDE THE PRESSBOX / PHIL STEELE

BEST BETS
Green Bay Packers
Seattle Seahawks
Top Opninion – Pittsburgh Steelers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence Pref Picks:

10* NFL GOY


Green Bay Packers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Crusher

Aston Villa + Sunderland UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in England

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Basketball Crusher

Play of the Day
Long Beach State +11 over Syracuse

Rest of the Plays
Harvard +3 over Arizona State
UNC Greensboro +9 over East Carolina
Bowling Green +1 over South Florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher

Play of the Day
Florida Panthers -105 over Toronto Maple Leafs

Rest of the Plays
Florida Panthers + Toronto Maple Leafs OVER 5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Crusher

Play of the Day
Buffalo Bills +5 over New England Patriots

Rest of the Plays
Washington Redskins +3.5 over Dallas Cowboys
Oakland Raiders +14 over Denver Broncos
Detroit Lions +7.5 over Green Bay Packers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB PROFESSOR
NFL
1 PM
323. Dallas Cowboys -4*

4:25 PM
315. Carolina Panthers +3*

Rest of Games
313. New York Jets +6
325. New Orleans Saints -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne ROOT

Kansas City Chiefs

Cincinnati Bengals

Detroit Lions

[Can'tPickAWinner]

mti teasers 6pt
4.5 green bay-cinci
4,green bay-indy
3,cinci-indy

10pts
4.5 san diego-seattle-minny
4 san diego-seattle-jets
4 san diego-minny-jets
4 seattle-minny-jets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Runner
$ 500 Washington +6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux Sports

Chiefs -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep
$ 800 packers -7-120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Week 17 Added Best Bets - By Mike O'Connor




I'm adding 2-stars on the 49ers -6.5 and 2-stars on the Redskins +5.5 to go along with the play that I sent on Wednesday on the Chiefs (see below). That's it for this week unless there is a line move or I uncover some other significant information. I'll send a final update early on Sunday AM.

Good luck.
NFL Analysis by Mike O'Connor
***KANSAS CITY (-2.5 -120) 29 San Diego 17

Sun Dec-28-2014 at 10:00 AM Pacific Rotation: 320 Over/Under 42.5

The Chargers were lucky to win last week against a 49ers team that played inspired football early in building a 28-7 second quarter lead but then let the Chargers back in the game late in an eventual 38-35 overtime win for the Chargers. Although turnovers were even, the 49ers were -3 in fumbles (three fumbles with all three lost for the 49ers with San Diego fumbling once and recovering it themselves), indicating a bit of luck on the Chargers part. In fact, on the season overall San Diego has only fumbled 14 times (tied for third best) and lost 4 while their opponents have fumbled 21 times and lost 11. From a match-up perspective, the Chiefs good rushing attack (averaging 120 yards at 4.7 ypr against teams that allow 106 yards at 4.2 ypr) face a San Diego rush defense that has allowed 126 yards at 4.7 ypr to teams that gain 112 yards at 4.4 ypr and just allowed the 49ers to rush for 355 yards at 8.9 ypr last week. They won’t be able to stop the Chiefs running game in this one while they likely won’t have a ground game to speak of themselves (averaging 83 yards at 3.5 ypr to teams that allow 104 yards at 4.1 ypr). If an immobile Rivers is put in predicable passing situations he’ll be faced with a strong Chiefs pass rush (tied for 8th in sacks ) and a strong pass defense that is allowing just 200 passing yards at 5.5 ypr against teams that gain 235 yards at 6.3 ypr. Adding the fact that Rivers has been banged up and will be playing with an offensive line that may be on their fifth center and just lost starting right guard Johnnie Troutman has me leaning with the Chiefs. When considering the fact that Kansas City also qualifies in a good 154-96-9 situation that plays on certain teams with worse records late in the season and benefit from a negative 114-199-8 statistical match-up indicator that plays against the Chargers, I can’t pass up Kansas City in this spot. We know that San Diego is in the playoffs with a win but the Chiefs still have a shot (need a win and some help) and will no doubt be playing this game all out. I’ll take Kansas City -2.5 -120 for 3-stars up to -3 -110 and for 2-stars at up to -3 -120.

12/26 UPDATE: With the surprisingly unfortunate news that Alex Smith is now out of this game with a lacerated spleen, I’m estimating an adjustment of 3.5 points. That being said, I don’t recommend the Chiefs at anything less than a PK for 2-stars for those that have not played this game already at the Wednesday release of -2.5 (-120). For those of you that have played already, I recommend staying with our position and I'll be graded at that number. The backup is Chase Daniel and while he hasn’t had a lot of experience in his six seasons, he played well last season in his start in Week 17 against the Chargers (21-30 for 200 yards with 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions) in a 24-27 overtime loss. Kansas City has confidence in him and I expect that the rest of the team will rally for the Chiefs win.
**WASHINGTON (+5.5) 28 Dallas 25

Sun Dec-28-2014 at 10:00 AM Pacific Rotation: 324 Over/Under 49.5

The Cowboys have won the NFC East but still have a shot at a first round bye although it’s extremely unlikely while the Redskins are trying to end the season on a winning note. The Redskins beat the Eagles 27-24 last week and would love nothing more than to end their season with consecutive divisional victories. They should have a good chance at doing just that as Dallas could be a bit flat after their 42-7 home win last week against the Colts and their 38-27 win at Philadelphia the week prior. Not to mention the likelihood of having a playoff game next week. Washington actually matches up fairly well with the Cowboys with an offense that rates as just above average facing a Dallas defense that is below average overall and can be exploited, particularly in the passing game (allowing 6.9 yps against teams that gain 6.4 yps). Robert Griffin connected with DeSean Jackson on a couple of deep balls last week (4 for 126 yards) and I suspect we’ll see more of that in this game. In addition, the Redskins have been effective in limiting opponents ground games (allowing 104 yards at 4.0 ypr to teams that gain 114 yards at 4.3 ypr) and could slow down the Cowboys good rush offense. This is too many points to give a divisional rival on the road in what is likely a meaningless game for the favorite and my model only favors the Cowboys by 2.2 points. I’ll take the Redskins +5.5 for 2-stars down to +4.
**SAN FRANCISCO (-6.5) 27 Arizona 13

Sun Dec-28-2014 at 01:25 PM Pacific Rotation: 330 Over/Under 36.5

The Cardinals are reeling with the loss of their top two quarterbacks and are now faced with the prospect of playing Ryan Lindley in this game and potentially through the playoffs. Lindley has not been good as since entering the league in 2012 he has 225 pass attempts without scoring a touchdown and has thrown nine interceptions. Last week against the Seahawks he was terrible, passing for 187 yards at 3.8 yps with one interception and taking four sacks. Part of the problem in this game for the Cardinals is that they don’t have much of a run game to lean on (averaging 85 yards at 3.5 ypr against teams that allow 105 yards at 4.2 ypr) while the 49ers are tough defending the run (allowing 4.2 ypr to teams that gain 4.4 ypr on average). While the San Francisco defense isn’t at the same level as the Seahawks, it’s still very good in allowing 317 total yards at 5.2 yppl to teams that average 353 yards at 5.6 yppl and is tied for second in the league with 20 interceptions. I expect that a motivated 49ers team, playing in their final game at home with Jim Harbaugh as coach will play well and will be very difficult to beat. Offensively, Frank Gore and a good 49ers running game that averages 132 yards at 4.7 ypr against teams that allow 109 yards at 4.3 ypr should be able to run the ball on a Cardinals rush defense that has played well at times but overall are just better than average (allowing 4.3 ypr to teams that gain 4.4 ypr). The 49ers get a fumble luck adjustment in this game as they have had poor fortune in regards to fumbles while the Cardinals have been lucky (have only lost 5 of their 16 offensive fumbles while opponents have lost 7 of their 13). The 49ers qualify in good 681-503-40 and 32-5 situations and my model, adjusted for Lindley, favors San Francisco by 9.5 points. I like the spot for the 49ers as they try to send Harbaugh out with a win and with both good situations and line value I’ll take the 49ers -6.5 for 2-stars up to -7.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PhillyGodFather

Steelers-3
Packers -7
Tampa Bay +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Norm Hitzges NFL

DOUBLE PLAYS: Green Bay -7 1/2 Detroit
Seattle -12 1/2 St. Louis

SINGLE PLAYS:

NY Giants -3 Philly
Baltimore -10 Cleveland
Jacksonville +9 1/2 Houston
Indianapolis -7 Tennessee
Carolina +4 Atlanta
Minnesota -6 1/2 Chicago
Denver -14 Oakland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NFL Picks
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh

The Bengals (10-4-1 SU) head to Pittsburgh on Sunday night to face a Steelers team that is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games against a team with a winning SU record. Pittsburgh is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Steelers favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3 1/2). Here are all of this week's NFL picks.

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 28
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (12/24)

Game 301-302: Detroit at Green Bay (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 132.879; Green Bay 143.196
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 10 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 7 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-7 1/2); Under

Game 303-304: Jacksonville at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 125.369; Houston 132.756
Dunkel Line: Houston by 7 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Houston by 10 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+10 1/2); Over

Game 305-306: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 134.320; Pittsburgh 140.294
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 6; 51
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3 1/2); Over

Game 307-308: Indianapolis at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 130.666; Tennessee 125.039
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 5 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 7 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+7 1/2); Under

Game 309-310: Cleveland at Baltimore (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 127.532; Baltimore 134.116
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 6 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 10; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+10); Over

Game 311-312: Buffalo at New England (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 135.211; New England 146.708
Dunkel Line: New England by 11 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: New England by 5; 44
Dunkel Pick: New England (-5); Under

Game 313-314: NY Jets at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 132.340; Miami 134.627
Dunkel Line: Miami by 2 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Miami by 6; 42
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+6); Over

Game 315-316: Carolina at Atlanta (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 127.447; Atlanta 136.034
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 8 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 4; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4); Under

Game 317-318: Chicago at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 121.846; Minnesota 132.623
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 11; 41
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 6 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-6 1/2); Under

Game 319-320: San Diego at Kansas City (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 133.997; Kansas City 132.960
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 3; 42
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+3); Over

Game 321-322: Philadelphia at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 131.032; NY Giants 132.498
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3; 52
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+3); Over

Game 323-324: Dallas at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 140.021; Washington 126.173
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 14; 45
Vegas Line: Dallas by 6; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-6); Under

Game 325-326: New Orleans at Tampa Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 134.743; Tampa Bay 128.389
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 6; 52
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3 1/2); Over

Game 327-328: St. Louis at Seattle (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 133.176; Seattle 142.991
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 10; 35
Vegas Line: Seattle by 13; 41
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+13); Under

Game 329-330: Arizona at San Francisco (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 130.972; San Francisco 130.742
Dunkel Line: Even; 40
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 7; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+7); Over

Game 331-332: Oakland at Denver (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 125.535; Denver 143.159
Dunkel Line: Denver by 17 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Denver by 14; 48
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-14); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports

3 Unit Play. #315 Take Carolina Panthers +3.5 over Atlanta Falcons (Sunday 12/28 4:25 pm FOX) This looks like a field goal game either way and it would not surprise me to see the Panthers win this game straight up and host a playoff game next week. These games have either been very close lately or Carolina blowouts in recent meetings. In fact, the Panthers have covered four out of the last five meetings. The key number of three is so important in NFL betting, and I think that that number will play a crucial role here and this one has all the makings of a hard-fought, close game on both sides with one team kicking a field goal at the end of the game and claiming the division. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and that is the way to play this game on Sunday as well.

3 Unit Play. #319 Take San Diego +3 over Kansas City (Sunday 12/28 1 pm CBS) The Chiefs sunk their season with last week's loss in Pittsburgh. Although they are not mathematically eliminated, they still need some huge upsets to happen and need to win this game to claim the last wild card spot in the AFC. It aint gonna happen, and all the players know this. This game is not really as important for both teams as the media would have you believe. It is important for the Chargers, however, as if they win they are in. They got in last season in Week 17 as well with a big home win over Kansas City, and we see the same think here on the road. The Chiefs are playing their worst football of the season down the stretch just like last year and they have to be seriously deflated after blowing what looked like a sure playoff spot just a few weeks ago.

5 Unit Play. #322 Take New York Giants -3 over Philadelphia Eagles (Sunday 12/28 1 pm FOX) I think that the New York Giants have all the motivation here. The players seem to love Tom Coughlin, and they may be fighting for his job here. We think they go all out to win this one and win it big against a team that has been overhyped all season and is playing some of its worst football here down the stretch. The Giants have won three straight and covered in all those games. The Eagles have lost their last three without a single cover. With the extra motivation for playing for their coach and the absolute lack of motivation we have seen from the Eagles here down the stretch we think this line should be over the key NFL number of three and that the Giants are the clear play here.

4 Unit Play. #325 Take New Orleans Saints/Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 46.5 (Sunday 12/28 1 pm FOX) Both of these teams are eliminated from playoff contention and neither cares much about this game. I expect both teams to go through the motions here and for this one to be real low scoring. The Saints have put up a total of 24 points in their last two divisional games, and this team has had such a disappointing season that we expect them to put up a stinker here. This just looks like a team that is ready for a vacation. Tampa Bay has one of the worst offenses in the league and has gone under in 8 of their last 9 games. We don't see them doing anything exceptional here, and this team probably has even less motivation to play well than the Saints since they have a high draft pick coming and want to get the best position.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alan Eastman

ATL 1st half -3…………..$2000.00 -110
DET +8…………………….$500.00 -105
SD +3……………………….$600.00+103
Mia -5.5……………………..$600.00-108
NYG -3………………………$600.00 -105
PIT -3.5………………………$2000.00 -105 411 play
Ind -7………………………….$600.00 -105
Dal -5.5………………………$600.00 -107
NE -4.5………………………..$400.00 -108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegasButcher (NFL 60-53 Overall)

Miami Dolphins -6

This is most likely the LAST game of the Rex Ryan era in New York, and though many might expect a strong effort from the Jets, I believe they are due for a big let-down. There has been 3 very strong efforts from the Jets this year, against top-level teams: week 7 @ NE, week 10 vs PIT, and week 16 vs NE. After almost winning @ Foxboro in the first meeting, NY proceeded to get destroyed the Bills 43-23 the following week. Then after defeating the Steelers at home, NY once again got outplayed by Buffalo in their next game, losing 38-3. Now they’re coming off an absolutely huge effort against the Pats, as Ryan was coaching against Belichick for the last (most likely) time as a HC of the Jets. The Jets D never allowed a gain longer than 17 yards in that game, they held Brady to 5.2 PY/A average, and NE averaged 3.7 YPP for the game. Heck, the 231 net yards that the Patriots gained was their lowest output of the season, and this is the offense that ranks 3rd in the league. Let’s not kid ourselves, it’s not like this 21st ranked defense all of a sudden figured out how to shut-down elite offensive opponents. Ryan is excellent at game-planning, and it’s not a secret that he most covets beating his nemesis, Bill Belichick. His players played extremely hard for him last week, but I don’t think that kind of effort will be sustainable…especially on the road. While Jets are overall 21st defensively this year, they actually rank 11th at home with a DVOA of -7.9%, compared to their 30th rank on the road with a DVOA of +15.5%. That’s an absolutely huge variance in levels of performance. NYJ have allowed 23.1 PPG this year at home and 27.4 on the road.

The matchup with the Dolphins will not be easy. Miami ranks 5th offensively at home and 7th defensively. They have the 10th best passD and the Jets will be a bit more limited there as they’ll be without Harvin for the game. In addition, they will be without Mangold who has a high ankle sprain. This is a very significant loss, as Mangold grades out as PFF”s #1 overall center this year. He is also NY’s BEST offensive player, while Harvin graded out as their 2nd best. These are pretty significant losses, especially given the fact that Miami has the 3rd best pass-rush in the league. I expect a lot of pressure on Geno Smith in this one. In addition, I don’t think NY will have as much success running the ball on Miami as they did in the first meeting. In that game, the Jets ran the ball 49 times for 277 yards, enabling them to keep the game close. Well, Mangold is NY’s best run-blocking O-lineman so his absence will be felt there as well. In addition, Miami’s run-D has been improving, as they’ve held NE and MIN to 227 combined rushing yards on 57 carries, or 3.9 RY/A. Expect the Dolphins to make the necessary adjustments, sell out to stop the run, and force one of the very worst QB’s in the league beat them….on the road.

I expect Dolphins to play loose here. They have nothing to play for but they found out this past week that Philbin is returning for another season, so the players know to expect stability going forward. And after playing a brutal schedule (4th toughest), they get to finish up against one of the worst teams in the league. Unlike Miami, the Jets know that Rex Ryan is out of the door after this season. His players gave him a great send-off last week by almost beating the Pats at home, but I believe we’ll see a major let-down out of them here. Heck, Geno Smith is already telling the media that a HC change could be a good thing for all parties involved. Miami was listed as a -6.5 road favorite against the Jets less than a month ago. Now they’re at home, yet the spread is even lower? Value on the Dolphins here and a great situational spot to back them

Baltimore Ravens -9

A Ravens win and a San Diego loss, and Baltimore is in the playoffs. I’ll get to the Chargers game in a bit here, but my point is that the Ravens have plenty to play for in this one. They played a horrendous game last week, the worst game of their season actually. The defense continued to be stout, holding Houston to 3.9 YPP and only 1 TD, as the Texans kept kicking FG after FG after every one of Flacco’s INT’s. Baltimore’s offense was putrid, averaging 3.1 YPP with Flacco recording a QBR of 3.2 for the game. Baltimore ranks 11th offensively on the season, and averaged+16% offensive DVOA (top-8) in the 6 games prior to last week. Their -70% offensive DVOA @ Houston was clearly an anomaly. And I like them to bounce back this week. In the last 3 weeks, here are the number of plays ran by CLE vs their opponent:

IND 76 vs CLE 63

CIN 71 vs CLE 38

CAR 77 vs CLE 46

In the last 3 weeks, Cleveland offense ran 147 plays while their opponents ran 224. That’s a 60% advantage. In the last 2 weeks alone, Cleveland’s opponents ran 64% of all the plays, and the average in the last 3 weeks has been 75 offensive plays by their opponent. To put that in perspective, the league leader this year for # of plays run per game is Philly, and they’re at 70.6. The NFL average is about 63/64. You can see how many more plays per game Cleveland’s opponents have been running compared to league average, and I am betting that this Browns D is absolutely gassed by now. Baltimore bouncing back from their atrocious showing offensively last week isn’t just probable; I believe it’s a near-certainty.

Biggest reason for such a “plays per game” discrepancy is because Cleveland has been absolutely horrible on the offensive end lately. In the last 5 weeks, they are averaging a -43% DVOA on offense, regardless if it’s Hoyer or Manziel behind center. To put that in perspective, the worst offensive DVOA this year belongs to Tampa, and they’re at -30%. Of course this week neither Manziel nor Hoyer will be available. It’s Connor Shaw time, an undrafted rookie out of South Carolina. I didn’t really bother to look up Shaw’s scouting numbers and college football numbers. It’s irrelevant. If he went undrafted, then I trust the talent evaluators in the league with their assessment of the guy (they miss on ‘undrafted’ players sometimes but it’s very rare). Besides, I expect a run-heavy game plan by the Browns, even though Baltimore’s struggles defensively are in their secondary. The problem of course is that Cleveland ranks 28th running the ball, while Baltimore is 4th in run-defense. Even without Ngata the last few weeks, this runD has been stout. In addition, you have the Ravens’ 7th ranked pass-rush to deal with, so even when Shaw drops back to pass, he needs to get the ball out quickly. And getting the ‘ball out quickly’ is not something that is easy for young players to learn – just ask Peyton Manning how long it took him to master it. Baltimore gives up 24.1 PPG on the road, but they are the BEST scoring defense at home, allowing 14.1 PPG. I’d be very surprised if this horrible Cleveland offense can exceed that number. Offensively, I already mentioned that I expect Baltimore to bounce back from their poor performance last week. They’ll be facing Cleveland’s 32nd ranked runD and 30th ranked D-Line against the run. Forsett should be able to gash this front-7, which will only open up the passing game for Flacco and Co. This is for all the marbles, and Baltimore MUST win this game to have a shot at the post-season. They are 4-1 ATS against teams with ‘losing records’ this year and 4-1 ATS when bouncing back off losses this season. I like their chances for a comfortable DD-win here.

Kansas City Chiefs -3

How many ridiculous ‘comebacks’ can Rivers and the Chargers muster up in a season? Besides an early-season comeback against the Raiders, they now have recorded two more in the last 4 weeks. But look at this team’s performance since their BYE-week: won by 7 against OAK at home, won by 3 against STL at home, needed a huge comeback @ BAL to win by 1, lost vs NE, lost vs DEN, needed another huge comeback @ SF to win in OT. Defensively, this team has really struggled on the road, allowing 28.0 PPG on the season and 35.0 PPG in the last 3. While they give up only 16.6 PPG at home and rank 9th with a home defensive DVOA of -9.9%, they rank 32nd in the league on the road with a defensive DVOA of +22%. For perspective, Atlanta’s +14.1% defensive DVOA is the league-worst mark fur the full season. San Diego has performed much worse on the road defensively than even ATL’s D this year. KC has struggled a bit offensively lately but I think they will have a strong showing in this matchup. Last time they faced the Chargers, KC accumulated 365 yards of offense (+114 over San Diego that game) and controlled the ball for 39 minutes. Charles and the run-game weren’t featured much last week, so I would expect the Chiefs to recommit to it against the Chargers. At the same time, I expect a strong game from KC defense. Philip Rivers is banged up, but more importantly he will once again be without Allen and Mathews, two of his most important offensive weapons. Playing behind a makeshift O-line, Rivers could have a tough game in this one. KC ranks 6th in ASR% (adjusted sack rate) and this D only allows 17.0 PPG at home, the 6th lowest mark in the league. In addition, the Chiefs should have a large advantage on Special Teams. Chiefs have some of the best return units (punt and kick-off) in the league while that’s an area San Diego tends to struggle. I know that KC has very slim hopes of making the playoffs (both CLE and JAX need to post upsets) and San Diego is in with a win, but I still expect a strong effort from the Chiefs. They are 5-2 SU/ATS at home and the crowd will be hyped up once again for a divisional game. I know the Chiefs are 1-4 in the last 5 but 3 of those losses came @ ARZ, @ PIT, and vs DEN. Chargers aren’t the same quality of a team and I like KC to end their season with a “W”.

Carolina Panthers +4

One of the most meaningful games of the weekend here as the winner will secure the division and consequently a “winnable” home playoff game -- they’ll most likely host Arizona in the Wild Card round. And in a divisional game, with so much on the line, every single point matters. But backing Panthers with such a ‘strong’ number (over a FG) isn’t as simple as that, though it could be. I think Panthers have a strong shot to win this game.

The first important factor is the health of Cam Newton. Remember, he was dealing with some injuries earlier this year and missed week-15 after being involved in a car accident. Well, last week he rushed 12 times for 63 yards and a TD, and indication to me that he is fully healthy.

The second key factor is the emergence of Jonathan Stewart. Always high on ‘talent’ but low on ‘staying healthy,’ Stewart has put together a very impressive stretch. In his last 4 games, he’s rushed 78 times for 437 yards, or 5.6 RY/A, and has looked pretty explosive doing so. Controlling the game via the run could be Carolina’s strategy here, and they’ll be going up against 28th ranked ATL runD. Stewart only received 7 carries in the first meeting with ATL and I expect him to be fully unleashed in the rematch.

The third key factor is the current play of both defenses. Atlanta is the 32nd ranked defense in the league, and they’ve been even worse in the first 6 games following their week-9 BYE. The 7th game of course was last week’s domination of the Saints, where they’ve held NO to only 14 points and 328 yards of offense, averaging 4.7 YPP. Falcons forced 2 fumbles and registered 2 INT’s of Brees, and it was clearly their best defensive effort of the season. Keep in mind this was Atlanta’s only 2nd ‘negative’ DVOA effort of the season. Usually when a horrid D has a big game one week, you can typically count on them to revert back to their ‘usual’ selves the following. I doubt we’ll see such a strong effort against the Panthers. On the other side, the Panthers’ D is also coming off a strong effort. But I think their effort is much more sustainable. This Panthers’ D had a horrible start to the year, averaging a defensive DVOA of +15% in the first 7 games of the season, which is on par with Atlanta’s +14% season long mark. Since then, Panthers’ D averaged an impressive -13% DVOA, and had a defensive DVOA of -14% of better in 7 of those 8 games. The -13% DVOA would rank 5th in the league if we compared to season-long marks, behind only DET, BUF, DEN, and SEA. Remember, Carolina ranked 3rd defensively last season with a DVOA of -16%, so this mid-season turnaround isn’t really that surprising. The D has adjusted to playing without Hardy and now ranks 13th against the pass, 12th in pressuring the QB, and 10th in ALY (Adjusted Line Yards) allowed by their DLine. These are impressive rankings compared to where the Panthers started out the year (bottom-5 D). Even if Panthers’ offense falters, this Carolina D should be able to keep them in this game.

Finally, I just want to point out that this is a ‘revenge’ game for the Panthers after losing to Atlanta by 2 earlier this year. Divisional rivals tend to adjust for ‘rematches’ and as often is the case, they end up splitting season-series with one another. Carolina is 2-0 ATS this year in such scenarios, and 9-2 ATS over the last few seasons. In addition, Mike Smith is one of the worst head-coaches in the league, as he often mismanages time late, is very timid, and overall coaches more “NOT to lose” than to actually win the game. Ron Rivera, on the other hand, has a “Riverboat Ron” moniker for a reason. He is more decisive and aggressive, and that’s the approach you need to win games in the NFL. We have a ‘revenge’ angle on our side, a better coach, and a defense that seems to be playing at an ‘elite’ level right now. But more importantly, we have over a FG on our side as well. In what will be a ‘playoff’ game pretty much, this many points could very well be the difference in this one. I think Panthers have just as good of a shot as Atlanta to win this game, and getting this many points is a nice bonus to have if this one is close late. Panthers might be my favorite play of the last month or so, and I hope they get the job done.

[golden contender]

Sunday NFC South Play of the Year + Triple Perfect NFL Afternoon Totals And Sunday Night Football up Along with a Perfect NBA System and a NCAAB RPI Super Side. NFL Ranked #1 7 straight weeks and NCAAB Sweeps. Free NFL System play below.



On Sunday the free NFL System Club Play is on Denver. Game 332 at 4:25 eastern. The Broncos will look to get back on track after the Monday night football loss at Cincinnati. They have Oakland coming in and the Raiders are 0-12 ats as a dog off a spread win of 7 or more in their last game and 0-7 as after scoring 25 or more. The Broncos are 14-4 ats vs losing teams and have covered 4 of 5 in division play while averaging 33 points per game at home. The Raiders were blown out at home by Denver and this one wont be any easier. Teams like Denver who lost the Super Bowl that are playing in their last game of the season have covered 8 of 11 times off a loss. Look for Denver to coast in this one to an easy win and cover. On Sunday their are 4 Bog NFL Plays up Including the NFC South Game Of the Year a Triple Perfect Afternoon Totals system, the Sunday Night Football play, an Undefeated NBA Super system and an NCAAB RPI Power angle play. NFL Ranked #1 for a 7th straight week on several leader boards. NCAAB Sweeps and Bowls go 3-1. Jump on now and End the week big with the Most Powerful data in the Industry. For the free play take. Denver. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WAYNE ROOT

Millionaires---Denver
No Limit---Atlanta
-------------------
Perfect Play---Detroit

Just about everyone expected the Packers to win the NFC North this season, and while it's still possible, the Lions might be the team to get a bye while the Packers have to slog through a first-round playoff game. No matter who wins on Sunday when the Lions travel to Lambeau, the division is theirs.
Aaron Rodgers might win the MVP this year, and it might come down to his performance on Sunday. Rodgers might win it or lose it when he faces the Lions, but he's still put in the second-best season of his young career. If you had told a Lions fan they'd lose Calvin Johnson for half the season, they'd likely have responded that the team had no hopes of the playoffs. It turns out, however, that Golden Tate might be just as good as the receiver considered the best in the game. Tate has 1286 receiving yards with 4 touchdowns on the year and has been a pivotal component of the Lions' success. The Lions learned how to maintain with offense and win with defense. Speaking of defense, the same game plan Buffalo implemented two weeks ago with their pressure put on Rodgers will be enough to cover the spread. TAKE DETROIT


------------------------------
Inner Circle---Cincinnati

In week 17 NFL action, the Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh Steelers will meet at Heinz Field to determine the AFC North Division winner. Both teams have already qualified for the AFC Playoffs. The winner will get the division title and the #3 seed, while the loser will get the wildcard and the #5 seed. The Bengals come into this contest winners of five of their last six and seven of their last nine games overall. Last week, Cincinnati shook their primetime demons in an impressive 37-28 home victory over Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos. The Bengals’ defense forced four turnovers in the rain soaked game, including two interceptions in the closing minutes. Through 15 games, Cincinnati ranks 22nd in passing offense, 5th in rushing offense, and 15th in scoring offense at 23.2 points per game. Cincinnati and Pittsburgh feature statistically similar defenses that have been playing better as of late. The Bengals rank 22nd in total defense and allow an average of 19.3 points per contest. The Steelers rank 20th in total defense and allow an average of 23.4 points per contest. The "swag" is back with the Bengals after last weeks win. Winning is about emotions and momentum. Dalton comes up big in a big game. TAKE CINCINNATI


-------------------------
Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com)---Kansas City

As Arizona can attest, losing your starting QB can put a damper on an Arrowhead crowd. But for the visiting team, this is a difficult venue to win. "In and you're in" is one of the great truisms that's part of the magic of the last week of NFL regular season football. It's not always exactly the case, since some teams need help from other franchises, but it makes for excitement and sometimes a regular-season playoff game. We'll see such a game as the San Diego Chargers travel to Kansas City, with whichever team winning having the chance to make the playoffs. Here's how we spell win: Jamaal Charles. Losing Alex Smith is a "deal" but not a big deal. Keep in mind that a Chiefs wide receiver has not caught a touchdown pass this entire season. Defense, rushing and the 12th man are Sunday's formula as the Pinnacle (http://www.pinnaclesports.com) plays stay hot. TAKE KANSAS CITY.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Banker Sports
6 Units Saints

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pointwise Phones

3* Giants
3* Packers
3* Seahawks
3* Colts
2* 49ers
2* Panthers
2* Under in Texans/Jaguars

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens (-9?) 1:00 PM EST
Each week, I isolate an NFL team who will dominate their opposition at the point of attack. We know from statistical research that any team who outrushes their foe by 30 or more yards in a game has an over 70% chance to beat the pointspread. In a similar way, we know that any team who runs the ball 30 times in a game while their opponent does not has an over 80% chance to cover the pointspread. Finally, if one team runs the ball 22 or less times in a game while the other does not, they are an over 80% ATS play against. When the dust clears this afternoon in Baltimore, expect the Ravens to have recorded this double digit victory on the basis of their strong numbers at the point of attack.

It was just four short weeks ago that these two teams were tied in the division in what was then a four team race. But their lack of experience, poor rush defense, and deplorable signal caller play have negatively separated the Browns from the division pack. Baltimore clings to slim hopes of making the playoffs, as they need a victory today combined with a San Diego loss at Kansas City. It sure looks like the Browns have tossed the towel. In losing four straight games, Cleveland has managed only 47 points. With QB Manziel as the starter the last two weeks, the Browns have been outgained 751-335. In last week’s loss at Carolina, Cleveland was outrushed 209-84 and outgained 404-228. QB Manziel injured his hamstring in that contest, allowing former starter QB Hoyer to again take controls. It may not matter who plays QB today, as the Cleveland rush defense is now allowing 141 RYPG.

As stated above, Baltimore playoff hopes rest on this victory with a San Diego loss in the same time frame at Kansas City. Baltimore is in this predicament because of their shocking 25-13 loss last week at Houston, when they were outrushed 123-33. A trio of Baltimore INTs greased the slide for that loss. That performance was uncharacteristic of Baltimore, who entered that game averaging 132/4.6 overland. But the Ravens have played far better on their home field, where their five home wins have come by 20, 28, 22, 14, and 8 points. In addition, Baltimore is 6-0 SU ATS at home following a defeat. With those victories coming by an average of 13 PPG, Baltimore will not take Cleveland lightly. Remember they needed last play magic to win 23-21 at Cleveland earlier in the season

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux

Indy -5.5 1st half (20*)
49ers -6.5 (10*)
6pt teaser G.Bay/Washington (10*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks UCLA at Alabama The Bruins head to Tuscaloosa tonight to face an Alabama team that is coming off a 60-59 win over Appalachian State and is 3-13-2 ATS in its last 18 games following a SU victory. UCLA is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Crimson Tide favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 28
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST


Game 813-814: Tulane vs. St. John's (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 53.738; St. John's 68.254
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: St. John's by 12
Dunkel Pick: St John's (-12)


Game 815-816: Harvard at Arizona State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 61.661; Arizona State 62.835
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 1
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Harvard (+3)


Game 817-818: Buffalo at Wisconsin (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 57.922; Wisconsin 82.505
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 24 1/2
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 22
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-22)


Game 819-820: Long Beach State at Syracuse (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 57.535; Syracuse 71.962
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-11 1/2)


Game 821-822: Bowling Green at South Florida (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 56.349; South Florida 54.669
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: South Florida by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+1 1/2)


Game 823-824: Wake Forest at Richmond (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 52.746; Richmond 61.257
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Richmond by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (-6 1/2)


Game 825-826: Illinois-Chicago at Bradley (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 46.723; Bradley 52.868
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 6
Vegas Line: Bradley by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+8 1/2)


Game 827-828: UC-Davis at Washington State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 53.062; Washington State 58.648
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-3)


Game 829-830: UCLA at Alabama (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 63.769; Alabama 65.187
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+4 1/2)


Game 831-832: Iona at Drexel (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 60.645; Drexel 52.461
Dunkel Line: Iona by 8
Vegas Line: Iona by 5
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-5)


Game 833-834: Marist at Elon (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 41.877; Elon 55.510
Dunkel Line: Elon by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Elon by 11
Dunkel Pick: Elon (-11)


Game 835-836: NC-Greensboro at East Carolina (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 42.735; East Carolina 54.232
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 9
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-9)


Game 837-838: Rutgers at Monmouth (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 50.628; Monmouth 55.262
Dunkel Line: Monmouth by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Monmouth by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Monmouth (-2 1/2)


Game 839-840: South Dakota State at Northern Iowa (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 52.516; Northern Iowa 68.871
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-13 1/2)


Game 841-842: WI-Milwaukee at South Dakota (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 47.368; South Dakota 53.387
Dunkel Line: South Dakota by 6
Vegas Line: South Dakota by 4
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota (-4)


Game 843-844: St. Peter's at Cornell (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 53.121; Cornell 52.049
Dunkel Line: St. Peter's by 1
Vegas Line: Cornell by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+1 1/2)


Game 845-846: Belmont at Butler (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 55.953; Butler 71.232
Dunkel Line: Butler by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 11
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-11)


Game 851-852: Morgan State at Marquette (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morgan State 45.204; Marquette 60,044
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 15
Vegas Line: Marquette by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Morgan State (+17 1/2)


Game 853-854: Northwestern State at Arkansas (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern State 47.497; Arkansas 71.881
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 24 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 22
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-22)


Game 855-856: Florida Gulf Coast at Xavier (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Gulf Coast 53.566; Xavier 70.105
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Xavier by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-13 1/2)


Game 857-858: Stony Brook at Washington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stony Brook 54.951; Washington 65.916
Dunkel Line: Washington by 11
Vegas Line: Washington by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stony Brook (+13 1/2)


Game 859-860: CS-Bakersfield at California (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Bakersfield 48.727; California 67.958
Dunkel Line: California by 19
Vegas Line: California by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (-15 1/2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CBB | UCLA at ALABAMA
Play Against - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ALABAMA) after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half
44-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.1% | 25.3 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

CBB | TULANE at ST JOHNS
Play Against - Any team (TULANE) after 2 straight games making 37% of their shots or worse against opponent after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse
183-116 since 1997. ( 61.2% | 53.8 units )
3-8 this year. ( 27.3% | -9.0 units )

CBB | IL-CHICAGO at BRADLEY
Play On - Any team (IL-CHICAGO) poor three point shooting team (<=32%) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%), after a game where a team made 28% of their shots or worse
146-83 since 1997. ( 63.8% | 54.7 units )
4-4 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.4 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | PHOENIX at LA LAKERS
Play Against - Any team (LA LAKERS) revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off a road win against a division rival
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )

NBA | TORONTO at DENVER
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days
60-49 over the last 5 seasons. ( 55.0% | 38.3 units )
2-3 this year. ( 40.0% | 0.1 units )

NBA | NEW YORK at PORTLAND
Play Under - Any team vs. the 1rst half line playing with 2 days rest, on Sunday games
276-171 since 1997. ( 61.7% | 87.9 units )
1-3 this year. ( 25.0% | -2.3 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NFL | ST LOUIS at SEATTLE
Play Against - Favorites of 10.5 or more points (SEATTLE) after 3 or more consecutive wins, in the second half of the season
41-15 over the last 10 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

NFL | JACKSONVILLE at HOUSTON
Play On - Any team vs the money line (HOUSTON) average passing team (185-230 PY/G) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 4.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game
37-19 over the last 10 seasons. ( 66.1% | 0.0 units )
5-3 this year. ( 62.5% | 0.0 units )

NFL | SAN DIEGO at KANSAS CITY
Play On - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (KANSAS CITY) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in December games
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )

NFL | DETROIT at GREEN BAY
Play On - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (GREEN BAY) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, in December games 46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Arizona State (-7 1/2) on Saturday and likes the Panthers (NFL) on Sunday.

The deficit is 1443 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo serves a holiday picks buffet

By now, the Yule Log embers are cooling and the reindeer droppings have been rinsed from the roof, which means it’s time for Hondo, who surged above .500 with a 10-6 record in Week 16, to unveil his final regular-season selections.

As the 2014 curtain falls, Mr. Aitch confidently begins the end with:

Jets over Dolphins: A fond farewell to Rex Ryan. He will be missed, because, after all, what are the chances Gang Green’s next leader will be a fun-loving, finger-flipping, F-bomb dropping, foot-fetishing, trash-talking, no-Belichick-ring-kissing, Super Bowl-guaranteeing, phenomenal mad scientist of a defensive coach who provided as much entertainment as any New York sports figure the last six years? The answers: none; Rex guarantees it.

From BarkingMut of SoBe, the HondoNation Southern Bureau Chief: Soon-to-be-canned Rex Ryan, who promised fans at his opening presser he and the Jets would be visiting The White House before he is through, now will have to jump the fence to get in, like everyone else.

Giants over Eagles: Coughlin and Co. have done their best work since being eliminated from contention. Hondo probably isn’t venturing too far out on a limb by predicting a monster day for OBJ against the Eagles’ slow-footed, big-play giving secondary.

Packers over Lions: Copious props and pounds are due Ms. Charleen, who kept her run of Bettor’s Guide Women’s Division titles alive. When the conversation turns to the all-time legendary streaks — DiMaggio’s “56,” Rice’s “274” and Ripken’s “2,632” — the “25” straight WD crowns won by the Native Canadian and ex-Post Sports Dept. secretary formerly known as Typing Bear has to be included.

Texans over Jaguars: Robert Kennedy Jr. has been invited to be a contestant on “Dancing With The Stars.” Rumor has it his wife, Cheryl Hines, isn’t crazy about the idea because she’s concerned week-long bumping and grinding sessions with some smokin’ dance instructor could activate his semi-dormant lust demons.

Titans over Colts: Legendary DJ Casey Kasem, who died June 15, finally was buried last week at the Vestre Gravlund in Norway. Counting down the world’s top 40 graveyards, VG, as the Nords call it, is No. 24 on the list with 243 peaceful acres that make it the country’s largest boneyard and a most comfortable eternal resting place.

Ravens over Browns: A panel of experts working with the Secret Service to help keep fence jumpers off the White House grounds and out of the President’s home has advised the agency to “raise the fence.” Thank God there are brilliant minds capable of figuring out how to stay one step ahead of the intruders. Hondo’s no expert, but here’s another suggestion that could help: Lock the doors!

Bills over Patriots: The American Kennel Club seems to be going to great lengths to knock off the invincible terrier, having approved four new breeds that will be able to compete in the dog shows. If that doesn’t work, then the terrierists have won.

Panthers over Falcons: Cop-ripping, protester-backing Mayor de Blasio de blasted the media this week for dividing the city. It not only angers him but also makes him jealous because he knows mayors in other cities such as Moscow and Havana don’t have to deal with that kind of media issue.

Vikings over Bears: George Clooney tried to play the tough-guy role after Sony caved to threats and canceled the release of “The Interview.” Apparently, he was trying to show his range as an actor after nailing the complete wimp role in an email in which he whined to a Sony exec about needing “protection” from the bad reviews for “The Monuments Men.”

It’s a tossup as to who has thinner skin, George Clooney or Phil Jackson.

Chargers over Chiefs: Obama second-guessed Sony for canceling its release of “The Interview,” saying: “We cannot have a society in which some dictator someplace can start imposing censorship here in the United States.” He’s so right. U.S. censorship should be the exclusive domain of King Barack I, who tried to censor the “offensive video” he erroneously blamed for the Benghazi attack.

Redskins over Cowboys: According to another hacked email, Sony co-Chairman Amy Pascal called Adam Sandler an “a–hole” because of his money demands. Having already pleaded for forgiveness from Al Sharpton for sending some racially charged emails, Pascal now is rumored to be seeking absolution from Alec Baldwin for sending rectally charged emails.

Saints over Buccaneers: Hate to back the league’s most underachieving team, but the Bucs have too much to lose by winning.

Rams over Seahawks: Why the Rams? Hondo will borrow from the words of Marshawn Lynch, who when repeatedly asked after his incredible Sunday night TD jaunt replied repeatedly: “Thanks for asking. ’Preciate it.”

Cardinals over 49ers: Jim Harbaugh on whether he will be going to Michigan: “What will happen, will happen. What won’t, won’t.” That keen sense of what the future holds explains why Harbaugh is so much in demand for next season.

Broncos over Raiders: Cuban spy Gerardo Hernandez, who was released as part of Obama’s normalization of relations with the Castro brothers, artificially inseminated his wife while in a US prison, according to reports. That may have been a violation of the embargo, which means someone in the Obama Administration has spermatozoa on his hands. … Hondo’s first heir guesses if the embargo violator is to be prosecuted he will have to be caught white-handed.

Bengals over Steelers: Let’s hope the ending to the NFL regular season will be better than the “Homeland” finale. Having the head of the CIA walk in a tray of lasagna to a grieving agent’s house didn’t exactly leave the viewer hungering for more. Maybe the break will be good, because it will give the CIA chief time to make some quilts for his favorite agents.

Best bets: Packers, Texans, Chargers.

Happy New Year, HondoNation.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

The dreadful NFL South will have the most compelling game of the day Sunday afternoon when the 6-8-1 Carolina Panthers travel to the Georgia Dome to take on the 6-9 Atlanta Falcons in a winner take all game for the division title. The Falcons expect to be pretty one-dimensional again on Sunday as Steven Jackson is expected to miss this game and the Falcons will rely on QB Matt Ryan to pass their way to the playoffs. The Panthers were basically left for dead, but they have strung together three straight wins headed into this big game with the Falcons. The Panthers do it with a dominant defense, allowing just 275 yards per game during their current winning run. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in these teams last five meetings and the Panthers are 4-1 against the number in their last five games. We don't LOVE either of these teams moving forward, but believe there is good value here with the road dog and we're going to back Cam Newton and the Panthers. The Sharps say...

3 UNITS - CAROLINA PANTHERS +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks Vancouver at Anaheim The Canucks head to Anaheim tonight and come into the contest with a 10-3 record in their last 13 games versus Pacific Division opponents. Vancouver is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Canucks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+120). Here are all of today's NHL picks.


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 28
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 1-2: Toronto at Florida (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 10.404; Florida 11.879
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-115); Under


Game 3-4: Vancouver at Anaheim (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.853; Anaheim 10.940
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+120); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

100 Dimes - New York Giants - 2 1/2 at home over the Philadelphia Eagles, 1:00 PM EST

Free play - Minnesota Vikings -6 1/2 over the Chicago Bears

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

25* Giants
20* Redskins
20* Steelers
15* Bills
15* Rams

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPARTAN

Triple-dime bet – New England Patriots

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gabriel DuPont

100 Dime Winner #8 in a Row

NFL DOG SHOCKER OF THE YEAR

Arizona + 6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor Original NFL Picks

System Plays:
Dallas -4
Carolina +3


Additional Plays:
NY Jets +6
New Orleans -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANDRE RAMIREZ

30* Detroit vs Green Bay – Under 47½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JEFF CLEMENT

8* Miami Dolphins -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFLBetting Picks / Kevin

2 UNIT = Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots – BILLS +5 (+100)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)

2 UNIT = Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans – OVER 46.5 POINTS (-105)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)

2 UNIT = Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings – OVER 44 POINTS (-108)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.85 units)

2 UNIT = Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens – BROWNS +13.5 (-110)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)

2 UNIT = Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Giants – EAGLES TO WIN (+120)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 2.40 units)

2 UNIT = Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins – OVER 49 POINTS (-105)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)

2 UNIT = Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers – CARDINALS +6.5 (-103)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.94 units)

2 UNIT = St Louis Rams @ Seattle Seahawks – RAMS +13 (-115)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)

2 UNIT = Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos – OVER 47.5 POINTS (-105)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)

2 UNIT = Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers – OVER 47 POINTS (-101)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.98 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler
NFL 3* Triple Dime G.O.Y.
Tampa Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ALLEN EASTMAN (NFL)
7-Unit Play. Take #306 Pittsburgh (-3) over Cincinnati (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 28)
This play is from my NFL 411 System. I have been red hot with the red hot Steelers! I have won a 7-Unit Play and an 8-Unit Play on Pittsburgh the last two weeks. They are still undervalued and I plan on hitting big with them again. The Steelers have dominated this series. They are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 meetings with the Bengals and most of those games have been blowouts. That includes a 21-point win for the Steelers on Dec. 7 in the first meeting. Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU and ATS in the last nine meetings since 2010. The Bengals are off a tough Monday night win over Denver. That game got them into the playoffs. They won’t have the same level of urgency in this game. Pittsburgh is at home and they want to earn a home playoff game. I think they are going to do just that. Take the Steelers again!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STRIKE POINT SPORTS (NFL)

5-Unit Play. Take #315 Carolina (+4) over Atlanta (4:30 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 28)

This game has a field goal winner written all over it. Both teams are fighting for their playoff lives, but I think that Carolina is a better team top to bottom. I love the points here, and I actually think that Carolina wins this game as a road dog. The Falcons just aren’t as good at home as they have been in the past and I see the Panthers crushing the Falcons playoff dreams. Carolina comes in to this game on a nice three-game winning streak and they have all the mojo. The Falcons are in a bit of a letdown spot as they beat New Orleans last weekend, but lets face it, the Saints stink. Atlanta has already lost home games to Pittsburgh, Cleveland, Detroit, and Chicago this season. It just shows that they aren’t as dominant in the Georgia Dome as they have been. Take the points in this one as the Panthers a live as a road dog. Carolina is 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games versus teams with a losing record, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 versus the NFC South, and 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings with Atlanta. Take the points here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOC SPORTS (NFL)

3 Unit Play. #315 Take Carolina Panthers +3.5 over Atlanta Falcons (Sunday 12/28 4:25 pm FOX) This looks like a field goal game either way and it would not surprise me to see the Panthers win this game straight up and host a playoff game next week. These games have either been very close lately or Carolina blowouts in recent meetings. In fact, the Panthers have covered four out of the last five meetings. The key number of three is so important in NFL betting, and I think that that number will play a crucial role here and this one has all the makings of a hard-fought, close game on both sides with one team kicking a field goal at the end of the game and claiming the division. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and that is the way to play this game on Sunday as well.

3 Unit Play. #319 Take San Diego +3 over Kansas City (Sunday 12/28 1 pm CBS) The Chiefs sunk their season with last week’s loss in Pittsburgh. Although they are not mathematically eliminated, they still need some huge upsets to happen and need to win this game to claim the last wild card spot in the AFC. It aint gonna happen, and all the players know this. This game is not really as important for both teams as the media would have you believe. It is important for the Chargers, however, as if they win they are in. They got in last season in Week 17 as well with a big home win over Kansas City, and we see the same think here on the road. The Chiefs are playing their worst football of the season down the stretch just like last year and they have to be seriously deflated after blowing what looked like a sure playoff spot just a few weeks ago.

5 Unit Play. #322 Take New York Giants -3 over Philadelphia Eagles (Sunday 12/28 1 pm FOX) I think that the New York Giants have all the motivation here. The players seem to love Tom Coughlin, and they may be fighting for his job here. We think they go all out to win this one and win it big against a team that has been overhyped all season and is playing some of its worst football here down the stretch. The Giants have won three straight and covered in all those games. The Eagles have lost their last three without a single cover. With the extra motivation for playing for their coach and the absolute lack of motivation we have seen from the Eagles here down the stretch we think this line should be over the key NFL number of three and that the Giants are the clear play here.

4 Unit Play. #325 Take New Orleans Saints/Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 46.5 (Sunday 12/28 1 pm FOX) Both of these teams are eliminated from playoff contention and neither cares much about this game. I expect both teams to go through the motions here and for this one to be real low scoring. The Saints have put up a total of 24 points in their last two divisional games, and this team has had such a disappointing season that we expect them to put up a stinker here. This just looks like a team that is ready for a vacation. Tampa Bay has one of the worst offenses in the league and has gone under in 8 of their last 9 games. We don’t see them doing anything exceptional here, and this team probably has even less motivation to play well than the Saints since they have a high draft pick coming and want to get the best position.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ATS LOCK CLUB

6* Pittsburgh -3.5
6* Detroit +7.5
5* Under 39 - Cleveland vs Baltimore
5* Arizona +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wolkosky Milan


20* Tennessee Titans +7
20* Cleveland Browns +14
20* Bills / Patriots Over 43
20* New York Jets +7 (buy ½)
20* San Francisco 49ers -6½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover
TRIPLE STAR NFC GAME OF YEAR
Carolina +4 -115 over ATL
Triple Dime

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BONES BEST BET (NFL)

STEELERS -3 -130 *6* BEST BET

Sunday Night Football in Steeltown tonight and it’s going to be a good one! Both teams already locked up a playoff spot but this one tonight is for the division which results in a first round home game rather than having to go on the road. The Steelers beat the Bengals already this year in Cincinnati by a final score of 42-21 in a game where Bell (185 yards, 2 TDs) and Big Ben (350 yards, 3 TDs) could not be stopped. The Steelers average a massive 32.9 points per game at home while the Bengals just 19.3 on the road. Buy the half a point and bet this game with confidence tonight! We know we are.

BENGALS @ STEELERS OVER 48 -105 *3*

PACKERS 1H -4 -115 *5*

Packers at home in the first half this season have been unstoppable. They are averaging an unbelievable 28.3 points in the first half this year at Lambeau – an absurd number to be honest. Now with the Lions are averaging just 7.6 points in the first half when playing on the road results in another very big play for us here today.

PANTHERS @ FALCONS UNDER 48 -105 *3*

TEASER – 4 GAMES – 9 POINTS – TIES REDUCE
PACKERS PK / SEAHAWKS -4 / CHARGERS +10 / TEXANS -0.5 +140 *4*

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Billy Sharp - Michigan Godfather
3 units
(NFL) #311 - 312 Buffalo New England Over 43 (-106) 12:00 pm PDT
(NFL) #327 - 328 Seattle/Rams Under 41.5 (-108) 3:25 pm PDT
2 units
(NFL) #332 Denver -14 (-102) 3:25 pm PDT
(NFL) #319 San Diego +1 (-104) 12:00 pm PDT

[Can'tPickAWinner]

We have another bet falling under the system today. Let's go pick up another win!




Washington {A} bet







Note that all bets labeled with {A} are bets under the original NBA system, and are not Exterminator system plays. Only bet on these game if you are able to buy 3 points at -170 odds!


All bets labeled with either {B} or {C} are Exterminator system plays. Bet a flat percentage of your bankroll as instructed in the system manual.



Since you're a member of my Exterminator system, make sure to follow the guidelines below:
- All {A} bets are not part of the Exterminator system. Unless, however, if you have the ability to buy 3 points at -170 odds, then it is strongly advisable to place a small wager on all the {A} bets with buying 3 points, up to 5% of your bankroll. This is an optional betting strategy, which has proven to be a profitable one based on my research. Buying 3 points on {A} bets has won over 65% of the time over the years, so you should bet on {A} bets if you can buy 3 points at -170 odds.
-All {B} and {C} bets are qualified under both the original NBA system as well as the Exterminator system. For the Exterminator system, bet a flat percentage of your bankroll on both {B} and {C} bets. You do not need to buy any points on these bets under the Exterminator system.
- Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)
- If your team is a favorite, bet on the money line. If the team is a big favorite resulting in odds that are too unfavorable for you to be comfortable with, then you can either optionally skip the series, or bet on the point spread plus 3 points as normal (only applicable under the original NBA system), but do not continue betting on the series if your team wins the game but the bet does not cover.
Always consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters. Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out. I will always make my best effort to notify you of game-changing injuries whenever I am aware of them to ensure that you don't make wagers on team that don't pass the injury filter. However, I cannot make guarantees that I will always be able to be on top of every single injury, every game, every day, at all times. Some teams may hold off on releasing relevant injury information until much later in the day. A bet will be unofficial if it does not pass the filters of the system. Ultimately as a bettor, I always strongly encourage that if there's any uncertainty about the status of your team's best player for a game that you always check on final injury updates.
Good luck,
Tony Chau, author of the best-selling Exterminator Betting System

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

20* Carolina Panthers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INT Picks
NFL
2* Indianapolis -6.5
1* Philly +3
1* NO -3.5
2* GB -7
2* Carolina +3.5
1* Cinn/Pitts over 47.5
1* SD +1.5


CBB
1* UCLA +4
2* Washington -13.5
1* Buffalo +22


NBA
1* Toronto -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

New Orleans Saints VS Tampa Bay Bucs
New Orleans Saints -3.5, 46.5
12/28/2014 1:00 PM
SELECTION:
TAMPA BAY BUCS/NEW ORLEANS SAINTS – OVER 46.5

The Bucs are injured on defense as the defensive line is banged up and they will be without a few key players in the secondary and more importantly their middle linebacker today. New Orleans had a down year, but Drew Brees is still a professional and you can bet they are coming to play today. The Saints on defense have been awful this year and it all starts up front. When you run a 3-4 defense and your nose tackle is rookie Lawrence Virgil then you know you are in trouble. Tampa has good running backs that can burn this defense and Brees is always a top notch player. Both teams will play loose today in perfect weather. Look for a lot of offense. Take the Over.

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins -6, 41.5
12/28/2014 1:00 PM
SELECTION:
MIAMI DOLPHINS -6

We all saw in the MNF Game a few weeks back how the Jets stayed in the football game by running the football and not allowing Geno Smith to give the game away. The Dolphins know the game plan and at home have the edge. This is Rex Ryan’s last game as a coach in New York. Most people have mixed feelings about him and I am sure if this team was any good they would love to send him off with a win, but there is nothing but a dark cloud of defeat and surrender in that locker room. There are a lot of key injuries on this Jets Defense and I expect the Dolphins to run their offense with no problems at all. Tannehill had his best game of the year last week and this team is looking to finish with a winning record. Last year this team faded at the end of the year and missed the playoffs so this final game they will want to finish strong to build character for 2015. Take the Dolphins.

Oakland Raiders vs Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos -14, 48
12/28/2014 4:25 PM
SELECTION:
DENVER BRONCOS -14
DENVER BRONCOS/OAKLAND RAIDERS – OVER 48

The scenario is simple for the Broncos. Win and you get a first round bye. This team needs the rest right now for sure. Peyton Manning has been catching a lot of heat about his arm the last few weeks, but I still think he is one of the best in the game and simply the Raiders have no healthy cornerbacks to cover all the weapons for the Broncos. This is a statement game for Denver. Not only do you win this game, but you do it in convincing fashion before you sit all your players in the 4th quarter. Oakland has offensive talent that should bloom next season. There is no doubt they have found their QB for the future. This Raiders team got an impressive win last week against Buffalo and you can bet they are coming in here to try to win today. I think Denver is good for 40 today. Take the Broncos and the Over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters

POD STL +12.5

MGs
BAL -13.5
BUF +6
JAX +8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker
triple-dime bet NYJ/MIA UNDER 42

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux
CBB
10* washington st -4
10* stony brook +14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MONEY MAVERICK
NFL:

Texans -7 (-120) (10 units)
Bengals +3.5 (10 units)
Vikings -6.5 (10 units)
Packers -7 (10 units)

NBA:

Suns -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fat jack

Green Bay under 48
Pitt under 44
New England under 44
Jets +5.5
Carolina +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LINE DRIVE SPORTS

5* Green Bay
4* NY Giants
3'* Pittsburg
3* Carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Anthony Redd

100 DIME
NFL Winner # 4 in a Row

2014 Bounceback Lock of the Year

Bills

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Craig Davis

100 DIME Patriots

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Harry Bondi

5 Green Bay
3 Carolina
3 Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant
2* Jax-Hou Under 40.5
2* KC pk
2* GB -7.5
3* Carolina +3
2* STL-SEA Und 41

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NORTHCOAST SPORTS LATE PHONES
3* New Orleans -4 / -4.5 Tampa Bay 1 pm
3* UNDER 41.5 Seattle/ St Louis 4:25 pm
2* NY Jets +6.5 Miami 1 pm
2* Jacksonville +7.5/+8** Houston 1 pm

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TheRealWiseOne:
Saints -4 $3,000
Indy -6 1/2 $3,000 (buy 1/2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports
NBA


Passing


NCAAB


#814: St. Johns: -12.0 (-110) (0.5*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sunday NFL

3* = GREEN BAY
3* = INDIANAPOLIS
3* = MINNESOTA
2* = Arizona
2* = Pittsburgh

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

2000* Chargers +2.5
1500* Over 125 St johns /Tulane
Monmouth -2.5
Panthers +3
50* Dolphins -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

KC Chiefs -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SPORTS LOCKSMITH

NCAAB:
Tulane +11.5 -110 2* (12:00 Eastern)
Chairman's Play:
Harvard +2.5 -110 5* (2:00 Eastern)

NBA:
Chairman's Play:
Oklahoma City +3 -110 5* (7:35 Eastern)

NFL:
New York Giants -2 -110 3* (1:00 Eastern)
Washington +4.5 -110 3* (1:00 Eastern)
Carolina +3 -110 4* (4:25 Eastern)
Chairman's Plays:
Cincinnati +3.5 -110 6* (8:30 Eastern) (NFL Game of The Year)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tiger


st Louis +13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Lab

5 units on Tampa Bay +4
5 units on Tennessee +7.5
5 units on Jacksonville +10
5 units on Washington +6
1 unit on Philadelphia +3
1 unit on Detroit +7.5
Friday bowl: Illinois +7 (buy 1 pt) one unit

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RC Picks

St. Jonh -12 (3 units)
Minnesota -6 (3 units)
Wisconsin -22 (1 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TheRealWiseOne:


Carolina +3 $3,000


2 team 7 pt teaser = $3,000
Indy -1
GB -1


Car +10
S.D. +8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond Free Pick

10* Redskins +5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Triple Threat Sports

2* Broncos

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookieshunter NFL 28December2014

#317/318 Bears +7 @ Vikings (3*)
#311/312 Bills +5.5 @ Patriots (2*)
#323/324 Redskins +4.5 @ Cowboys (2*)
#315/316 Panthers +3 @ Falcons (3*)
#329/330 Cardinals +7 @ 49ers (2*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOC SPORTS (CBB)

4* Richmond -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ats lock club b-ball

3* Bowling Green +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Magliosa
Dallas Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Expert
Washington

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Guaranteed
NE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Purelock
Indy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sky Blue
Carolina +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VIP Lock Club
500 Wash
250 Denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Underdog Sportsline
Washington

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Inside Steam
Colts
Packers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TheRealWiseOne: College Hoops


Drexel + 5 1/2 $2,000
Monmouth -2 1/2 $2,000
Cornell -1 $2,000
Cornell ML $2,000
UCLA +4 $5,000

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso no ratings posted

Ravens
Falcons
Bengals
Redskins

CBB
Alabama

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports
NFL


#305/306:Bengals/Steelers: Under 48.0 (-105) (3*)


#313: Jets: +7.0 (-120) (1.5*)


#327/328: Rams/Seahawks: Under 41.5 (-105) (0.5*)


#329: Cardinals: +7.0 (-115) (1.5*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PhillyGodFather
Tulane +12
Under46.5/Jax+14.5 tease
steelers-3
tb+4
giants-2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Runner
titans +7.5
kc-2.5
carolina +3.5
tb+4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Formula Capper

NFL

1 unit #307 Colts -7 point spread +100
1 unit #325 Saints -4 point spread -110
1 unit #317 Bears/Vikings over 44.5 points -110
1 unit #316 Falcons -3 point spread -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

6 Unit Side Play · [306] Pittsburgh Steelers
The Stat Report Sun Dec 28th, 2014 8:30pm EST
Expert Preview: Sunday Night
Expert Analysis: Steelers haver covered 7 of their past 9 divisional games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Elite Sports Picks
Carolina/Atlanta OVER 47.5 (NFL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

National Sports Service

4* New Orleans -3.5 over Tampa Bay (NFL)


3* Pittsburgh -3.5 over Cincinnati (NFL)


3* Oakland +14 over Denver (NFL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Insider Sports Report

4* San Diego +1 over Kansas City (NFL)
Range: +2.5 to -2.5


3* Green Bay -7 over Detroit (NFL)
Range: -5 to -9


3* Carolina +3 over Atlanta (NFL)
Range: +5 to +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JAMES JONES

NFL - Denver Broncos(-14)-104...(3*)

NFL - Cincinnati Bengals(+3.5)-115...(2*)

NFL - Kansas City Chiefs(-1.5)-140...(1*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack jones

15* south Dakota st.
15* mavericks under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rainman

3* Seattle
3* Carolina

Regular
GB
Cincy

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Authority
Carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

Sunday, December 28, 2014

15 Units
Alabama (-4.0) over U-C-L-A
6:30 PM -- Coleman Coliseum
ALABAMA (8-3 SU, 4-5 ATS) -4 over UCLA (8-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) Prediction: Alabama by 8-9 Home/Road Records: Alabama 7-0 at home, UCLA 1st true road game, 1-3 on neutral floors. Starting Time: 6:35 EST TV: ESPNU Home Team In Caps

10 Units
Lions (+7½) over Packers
4:25 PM -- Lambeau Field
Detroit Lions (11-4 SU, 7-8 ATS) +7.5 over GREEN BAY PACKERS (11-4 SU 8-6-1 ATS)Prediction: Packers by 2-3 Starting Time: 4:25 ESTTV: FOXHome Team In Caps
Partly cloudy. Winds northwest at 1-5 m.p.h Game-time temperature: Around 25.

15 Units
Falcons (-3.0) over Panthers
4:25 PM -- Georgia Dome
ATLANTA FALCONS (6-9 SU, 7-8 ATS) -3 over Carolina Panthers (6-8-1 SU, 7-8 ATS) Prediction: Falcons by 9-10 Starting Time: 4:25 EST TV: CBS Home Team In Caps
Game is being played inside a dome.

10 Units
Redskins (+3½) over Cowboys
1:00 PM -- FedEx Field
WASHINGTON REDSKINS (4-11 SU, 5-10 ATS) +3.5 over Dallas Cowboys (11-4 SU, 9-6 ATS) Prediction: Redskins by 4-6 Starting Time: 1:05 EST TV: FOX Home Team In Caps

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Sports Guru
40 Tampa Bay
30 Rams

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Bailey Bailout..

50 Packers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tommy Thunder
10 Pitt Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Windy City Sports
10 Bears
7 Browns

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bankers Sportswire
500 Packers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph
Super Pk Packers -7
Gold Keys Colts -7, Carolina + 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

executive

450 panthers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas linereader

12/28 BUFFALO BILLS +6

DENVER BRONCOS -14 BUY 1/2 PT -13.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris James Sports

Colts -7 (buy hook)
Panthers +3
Chargers +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trev Rogers

Vikings -6.5
Lions +9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lenny stevens:

20- s diego, carolina,
10- g bay, ne

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
3* Jets +6
7* San Francisco -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preferred picks:

10- goy: G bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

OC Dooley:



“2 UNIT” NFL ‘EARLY’ CARD INTANGIBLE SIDE (Dolphins -6’ at home versus Jets in a 1:00 eastern kickoff): Despite another disappointing campaign without a playoff visit Miami has decided to retain their head coach Joe Philbin for another season. However many of his assistant coaches have their jobs on the line which will mean increased intensity for the home side in this week’s regular season finale. It may seem like an eternity but the 2014 campaign began with the Dolphins in front of their HOME fans pulling off an outright upset of New England which makes this a “bookend” pick so to speak. While the Jets starting quarterback has the NFL’s third-worst passer rating the Dolphins signal-caller has shown vast improvement in 2014. Going into this afternoon Ryan Tannehill sits near the top of the league in completion percentage (67) along with a Top-15 mark in passing yards per contest (252), touchdowns (26) and passer rating (93.2). Regular clients are aware that I scored with the underdog Jets last week as they battled the mighty Patriots right down to the wire but that was arguably the “home” finale for Rex Ryan as New York’s head coach. It was exactly a year ago in the regular season finale that Ryan told his players that upper management was about to fire him which brought an “inspired” performance but that is NOT the case this time around

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Asa:

7- carolina,
4- indy,
3- minn, pitt under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pick city:

5- g bay, pitt,
3- s diego, indy, no,
2- sea under, s fran under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Unlimited/Marco D'Angelo

7 Carolina
3 KC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks Houston at San Antonio The Rockets head to San Antonio tonight and come into the contest with a 7-21 ATS record in their last 28 Sunday games. San Antonio is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-1). Here are all of today's NBA picks.


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 28
Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST


Game 801-802: Detroit at Cleveland (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 111.894; Cleveland 124.306
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 12 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 9; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-9); Over


Game 803-804: Houston at San Antonio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.114; San Antonio 124.298
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 191;
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 196
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-1); Under


Game 805-806: Oklahoma City at Dallas (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 120.025; Dallas 127.950
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 8; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 3 1/2; 209
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3 1/2); Under


Game 807-808: Toronto at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 122.161; Denver 121.237
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 215;
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 2 1/2; 210
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+2 1/2); Over


Game 809-810: New York at Portland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 113.880; Portland 122.815
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 9; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 12; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+12); Under


Game 811-812: Phoenix at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 122.857; LA Lakers 115.911
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 5; 216
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-5); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Millionaire
lock colts

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports bank
lock pittsburgh cincy under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Picks Buffet

Ultimate Bet
Panthers - 27 handicappers out of 32 picked the Panthers

Best Bets
Colts
Ravens
Giants
Redskins
Broncos

Recommended Bets
Packers
Jaguars
Patriots
Cardinals
Steelers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rooster

#841 wisc-milw +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor Original NBA Picks

System Play:
New York +12

Additional Plays:
San Antonio -1
Dallas -4

(All plays tracked at released points, assuming -110 line)

3-Game Chase System Follow: 29-3-1, +4.22 units (next play: A, risk 1.1 to win 1 units)
All-Out Chase (Bankroll Buster) Follow: 29-17-1, +29 units (next play: risk 1.1 to win 1 units)
Simple Follow: 29-17-1, +10.3 units (always risk 1.1 to win 1 unit)

3-Game Chase System Fade: 17-6-1, -34.32 units (next play: B, risk 2.31 to win 2.1 units)
All-Out Chase (Bankroll Buster) Fade: 17-29-1, +15.9 units (next play: risk 2.31 to win 2.1 units)
Simple Fade: 17-29-1, -14.9 units (always risk 1.1 to win 1 unit)

Additional Plays Overall Record: 18-17, -0.7 units
Streaks: W3, lost 8 of last 11, lost 9 of last 16, won 13 of last 25

A bets: 23W-10L-1T, Win%: 69.7%
B bets: 5W-4L, Win%: 55.6%
C bets: 1W-3L, Win%: 25.0%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso

50* Bengals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Acosta

Phoenix Suns vs. Los Angeles Lakers (NBA)
9:35 PM EST Phoenix Suns Premium Pick BetOnline
Play Title: 500* The Return Home Ain't Always Sweet
Play Selected: Point Spread: -4.5/-110
Click to View Analysis
Analysis: It appears Kobe Bryant could return Sunday night. Oddly enough, that might make the Phoenix Suns happier than it does Bryant's teammates. The last time they played at home, the Los Angeles Lakers beat the NBA's top team even with Bryant sidelined. Now he may be back on the Staples Center floor - with a potentially reduced role - looking to beat the Suns for the first time in nearly two years and end their hot streak. The Suns have won six of the past seven matchups, including all three which Bryant has played. He hasn't been part of a Lakers victory in the series since Feb. 12, 2013. Balanced scoring has led to Phoenix winning a season-high five straight. Six Suns have scored in double figures in four of those games, including Friday's 115-106 win in Sacramento.expect this trend to continue tonight. Take Phoenix -4.5 for a 500* Play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Acosta

Sunday, December 28, 2014
New York Knicks vs. Portland Trail Blazers (NBA)
9:05 PM EST New York Knicks Premium Pick Pinnacle
Play Title: 300* NBA West Coast Invasion
Play Selected: Point Spread: 13.0/-107
Click to View Analysis
Analysis: The Blazers have won five straight meetings with Knicks, including when they hit 10 of 28 from 3-point range in a 103-99 win Dec. 7 at Madison Square Garden. Aldridge had 24 points and 11 rebounds and Lillard scored 20 to help overcome 23 and 10 rebounds from Anthony. But Aldridge is doubtful for Sunday night's matchup. Expect Portland to win easily, but expect Knicks to stay within this generous number. Take Anthony and the Knicks +13 for a 300* Play
Sunday, December 28, 2014
New York Knicks vs. Portland Trail Blazers (NBA)
9:05 PM EST New York Knicks Premium Pick Pinnacle
Play Title: 300* NBA West Coast Invasion
Play Selected: Point Spread: 13.0/-107
Click to View Analysis
Analysis: The Blazers have won five straight meetings with Knicks, including when they hit 10 of 28 from 3-point range in a 103-99 win Dec. 7 at Madison Square Garden. Aldridge had 24 points and 11 rebounds and Lillard scored 20 to help overcome 23 and 10 rebounds from Anthony. But Aldridge is doubtful for Sunday night's matchup. Expect Portland to win easily, but expect Knicks to stay within this generous number. Take Anthony and the Knicks +13 for a 300* Play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SEAN MICHAELS

100 DIME SUNDAY NIGHT WINNER
# 2 IN A ROW

Pittsburgh Steelers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

World Wide Sports


Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (NFL)
8:30 PM EST Under Premium Pick Pinnacle
Play Title:
Play Selected: Total: 48.0/-108
Click to View Analysis

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (NFL)
8:30 PM EST Cincinnati Bengals Premium Pick SIA
Play Title:
Play Selected: Money Line: 160
Click to View Analysis