1-1-15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::dance::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr Bob
Auburn (-6 ½) 33 Wisconsin 26


Thu Jan-01-2015 at 09:00 AM Pacific Rotation: 256 Over/Under 63.5


Another head coach has left Wisconsin and once again it is athletic director and former head coach Barry Alvarez that will lead the team through the bowl season. Alvarez did the same thing at the end of the 2012 season after Bret Bielema left for Arkansas and the Badgers played reasonably well in a 14-20 loss as a 5 ½ point dog to Stanford in the Rose Bowl. But, how do the Badgers rebound from the 0-59 beating they were giving by Ohio State, especially when they lost their head coach shortly afterwards? Mediocre teams can often bounce back from a bad beating at the end of the regular season but better teams have struggled with a loss of swagger after a resounding beat down. In fact, bowl teams with 4 or fewer losses on the season are just 19-40-2 ATS if lost their previous game by 24 points or more, including 13-37-2 ATS they lost to a conference opponent (0-9-1 ATS getting less than 10 points in their bowl after losing by 24 or more in their conference championship game). I do have a 7-30 ATS situation that applies to Auburn, so both teams are in bad situations. With that being the case let’s take a look at the numbers.


Auburn’s offense was once again among the best in the nation, averaging 6.8 yards per play against a schedule that would allow 5.0 yppl to an average team, although that unit would be worse if star WR D’Haquille Williams does not play. Williams is listed as questionable with an undisclosed illness and his 10.7 yards per pass thrown to him would be tough to replace. In fact, Williams missed 3 games late in the season (weeks 11 through 13) and the Auburn pass attack averaged a modest 6.4 yards per pass play, which is well below the 8.3 yppp that they averaged for the season. It wasn’t the competition that contributed to the drop, as the teams they faced in those 3 weeks were a bit worse than the average pass defenses that the Tigers faced over the course of the season. Williams isn’t accountable for a 1.9 yppp drop but replacing his numbers with the numbers from the rest of the receivers would results in an expected decrease of 0.7 yppp, which is worth 1.8 points in the case of Auburn. For now I’ll assume that Williams is out and the math projects the Tigers with 422 yards at 6.4 yppl against a normally very good Wisconsin defense that was 0.8 yppl better than average for the season despite the 10.0 yards per play they allowed to Ohio State.


Wisconsin’s offense is all about RB Melvin Gordon, who has run for 2336 yards at 7.6 ypr and 26 touchdowns. Williams also had a bad game against Ohio State and perhaps the absence of their starting center had something to do with that. However, one offensive lineman is not responsible for a team that averages 7.4 yards per rushing play to suddenly average only 3.0 yprp, as the Badgers did against the Buckeyes, and I’ll chalk it up to a bad day. Wisconsin C Dan Voltz is questionable for this game but reports are that he’ll probably play. The Badgers are 1.4 yards per play better than average offensively and are projected to gain 407 yards at 6.2 yppl against an Auburn defense that is 0.5 yppl better than average (and 0.6 yards per rushing play better than average).


The projected yards are pretty close but Auburn has an advantage in projected turnovers that is worth about 1.8 points and the Tigers are significantly better in special teams. Overall the math favors Auburn by 6.5 points (with a total of 58.9 points) if Williams doesn’t play and by 8.3 points (and 60.5 total points) if Williams is 100%. I’ll call for a 7 point win and I have no opinion on the side and I’ll lean Under 63 points or higher.
*UNDER (71 ½) - Michigan State (+2 ½) 33 Baylor 30


Thu Jan-01-2015 at 09:30 AM Pacific Rotation: 257 Over/Under 72.0


Baylor was campaigning hard to get a spot in the playoffs and even hired a PR firm to make their case. However, Ohio State’s romp over Wisconsin trumped Baylor’s solid win over Kansas State and the Bears are left with disappointment and potentially may not have been fully motivated while preparing for this game. Michigan State, meanwhile, is excited about playing a highly ranked Baylor team and the Spartans match up pretty well given their good defense and a quarterback that can exploit Baylor’s weakness in the secondary.


Michigan State is known as being a good defensive team but the Spartans are very good offensively this season, averaging 6.8 yards per play when starting quarterback Connor Cook is in the game (against teams that would allow 5.5 yppl to an average team). The Spartans run the ball very well (242 yards at 5.6 yards per rushing play) and Cook has one of the highest compensated pass efficiency ratings in the nation with 8.6 yards per pass play against teams that would combine to allow just 5.7 yppp to an average quarterback. Baylor should defend the run pretty well (the Bears are 1.0 yprp better than average against the run) but Baylor’s starting defense has allowed an average of 6.9 yards per pass play in their last 10 games (I excluded their first two games against an impotent SMU offense and against FCS teams Northwestern State) to quarterbacks that would combine to average 6.9 yppp against an average defensive team. Baylor dominated weaker passing teams Iowa State and Texas and they had the fortune of playing Oklahoma with big play WR Shepard out. However, the Bears mostly had problems with good quarterbacks and allowed 7.7 yards per pass play or more in 5 of their last 6 games and allowed 9.0 yppp or more in each of their final 3 games. My math model projects Cook to average 8.9 yppp in this game and the fact that the rushing attack isn’t likely to be as successful as usual (4.5 yprp predicted) should mean a few more pass plays than normal from Cook, which is a positive. That likelihood is built into the model, which projects 470 yards at 6.5 yppl for Michigan State in this game.


While I fully expect Michigan State to move the ball well through the air the matchup between a good Baylor pass attack and a good Michigan State pass defense is less predictable. Bryce Petty struggled in the opener against SMU but I tossed that game out (just as I tossed out the Bears’ defensive effort in that game) and Petty’s numbers from week 3 on were stellar, as he threw for 8.1 yards per pass play against teams that would allow 5.7 yppp to an average quarterback. Petty will be up against a Michigan State pass defense that is the second best that they’ve seen this season (MSU allowed 4.9 yppp to quarterbacks that would combine to average 6.1 yppp against an average defense). The best pass defense that Baylor faced was Texas and Petty completed only 7 of 22 passes and averaged just 3.7 yppp in that game. The next best pass defense that Petty faced was West Virginia and he also struggled in that game (16 of 36 for 4.8 yppp). Petty did play well in some games against good pass defenses but not against the best two that he faced and overall there was a strong tendency to play relatively worse against better defensive teams and relatively better against bad defensive teams (like the 12.2 yppp he averaged against Buffalo). The linear equation to predict Petty’s compensated yppp as a function of the opposing pass defense has a slope of 1.93, which means he was 1.93 yppp better/worse for every yard worse/better than average in pass defense his opponent was. A quarterback that plays at the same relative level regardless of opposition would have a slope of 1 and most quarterbacks are near that slope, so there is strong evidence that Petty’s tendency to play relatively worse against better defensive teams is more than just variance. Inserting Michigan State’s defensive pass rating into that equation would predict Petty to average 6.64 yppp in this game, which is 0.50 yppp worse than the math projects. However, Michigan State’s defense has the same issue that Petty has, as the Spartans were relatively worse against better passing teams, as they allowed 9.7 yppp to Oregon and Ohio State. The Spartans also had some good games against good quarterbacks but the linear equation projecting their pass defense as a function of the opposing quarterback projects the Spartans to allow 7.62 yppp to a quarterback with Petty’s overall rating, which is 0.48 yppp higher than the math model prediction. So, Petty could be predicted to be anywhere from 6.6 yppp to 7.6 yppp in this game and ultimately I’ll stick with the math model prediction of 7.1 yppp – although there is obviously a lot of variance in that prediction. Overall Baylor is projected to gain 440 yards at 5.9 yppl against Michigan State’s defense.


Michigan State has the overall edge from a yards per play perspective, which isn’t surprising given that they’re offense rates slightly higher than Baylor’s offense (+1.3 yppl to +1.2 yppl) and the Spartans have a much better defense, and the math favors Michigan State by 3 ½ points (with a total of 62 ½ points). There is a lot of variance in that prediction, however, given how inconsistent these teams have been against better competition and my alternate model favors Baylor by 1 ½ points, which represents the biggest difference in the prediction of the two models of any bowl game this season. Even the model that favors Baylor still favors Michigan State to cover, however, and Baylor’s level of enthusiasm for this game is certainly in question. I like Michigan State here but if the line is less than +3 points then the money line would be a better option, especially given the higher than normal variance associated with these two teams (the higher the variance the more likely an upset will occur, or a blowout). I’ll consider Michigan State a Strong Opinion at either +3 or more or on the money line if the line you’re getting is less than +3.


The Under appears to be the better play here, as my model predicts far fewer plays than other models might. Most models would probably look at Michigan State’s total plays per game (134.7) and Baylor’s total plays per game (160.2 in the 10 games I’m using) and add those and subtract the league average of 140.2 total plays in regulation. That would give you 154.7 total points. However, Baylor faced a lot of other up-tempo teams that combine to average 6.5 more total plays from scrimmage than average (and Michigan State’s opponents combine to average 1.1 fewer total plays from scrimmage). A simple compensation based on those numbers would get the predicted plays down to 149.3 plays (154.7 – 6.5 + 1.1). My model predicts just 146.8 total plays, as my model takes into account Michigan State’s average of 35.24 minutes of time of possession. Baylor averages 29.64 minutes of TOP per game and they run their offense at a fast pace when they have the ball. However, the Bears are projected to have the ball just 24.36 minutes in this game while the clock eating slow paced Spartans have it for 35.64 minutes. Baylor is expected to have the ball for 5.28 fewer minutes than their average and the difference between their average plays per minute and Michigan State’s average plays per minute in those 5.28 minutes is pretty significant and is why my model projects fewer plays than most other models probably do. I am concerned about the high variance in the predicted passing numbers for each quarterback, which could lead to higher scoring, but if I assume Petty will average at the high end of the spectrum and that Baylor’s defense will continue to struggle against good quarterbacks as they did for the second half of the season (which would project Cook at 10.2 yppp in this game) I still only get 68 total points if each team plays at their normal pace on offense and Michigan State possesses the ball for around 35 minutes as they normally do. So, even in an extreme case where both quarterbacks play better than expected and the teams combine for 6.6 yards per play I still have the total going under 70 points.


The other reason the total is high is because a points based model would predict a game over 70 points but both of these teams had combined red zone efficiencies that were really high and contributed to each team’s higher than expected total points averages. Baylor’s offensive points per red zone opportunity was 5.2 points per RZ, which is what a team with their overall offensive rating should average. However, Baylor’s defense allows 5.2 points per RZ, which is 0.6 points higher than projected based on their overall defensive stats. Michigan State, meanwhile, is also projected to be at 5.2 points per RZ on offense but the Spartans are at 5.4 points per RZ and their defense, which is really good overall, has allowed teams to average 5.4 points per RZ opportunity, which is extremely high for a defense that is as good as their defense is overall (they should allow 4.4 points per RZ). The red zone variance of these two teams accounts for a total of 5.0 points per game, which has also created some value on the under. I also get a total of 71 ½ points if the teams combine for 154 plays and continue to have extremely high red zone scoring averages but I don’t see that many plays being run and the red zone scoring averages should regress towards what is expected. I can still envision both quarterbacks having more success than my model predicts, so I won’t make this as big a play as the math would suggest. I’ll go UNDER 69 points or higher in a 1-Star Best Bet.
Missouri (-5) 24 Minnesota 20


Thu Jan-01-2015 at 10:00 AM Pacific Rotation: 259 Over/Under 47.5


There isn’t much exciting or interesting to say about this game so I’ll keep it short. Missouri somehow got to the SEC Championship game for a 2nd straight year with a mediocre offense that averaged only 5.4 yards per play. That attack struggled in the middle of the season when injuries hit their very thin corps of wide receivers. And, when I say thin I really mean thin. Missouri has 3 wide receivers that see the field, as Sasser, Hunt, and White combined for 229 targets while the rest of the wide receivers combined for just 35 passes thrown to them all season, and most of those were when either Hunt or White were out with injury. Hunt and White both missed the week 5 South Carolina game and quarterback Maty Mauk averaged only 2.9 yards per pass play in that game against a weak South Carolina pass defense. White missed the next game against Georgia in which Mauk averaged only 3.0 yppp and he missed week 10 against Kentucky (4.2 yppp for Mauk). Normally, having one receiver out wouldn’t matter much, especially given that White averaged a mediocre 8.0 yards per target, but the backups combine to average a pathetic 3.1 yards per target. The Missouri game, in which Hunt was also out was predictably bad for Mauk, as Hunt leads the team at 10.4 yards per target and those ill-equipped backups were filling the void of two starters. The other receivers don’t play unless one of the top 3 are out, and Mauk’s yards per pass play rating would go up 0.3 yppp if Hunt and White played every game. Even with that adjustment Missouri’s mediocre attack is still projected to gain just 357 yards at 5.5 yppl in this game against a solid Minnesota defense that has allowed 5.4 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.7 yppl against an average team.


Minnesota’s offense is 0.1 yppl better than average with starting quarterback Mitch Leidner in the game (he missed week 4 against San Jose State), averaging 5.5 yppl against teams that would allow 5.4 yppl to an average team. That attack isn’t good enough to do much damage against a very good Missouri defense that has allowed just 4.8 yppl this season despite facing teams that would average 6.1 yppl against an average defensive team. The Gophers are expected to gain just 304 yards at 4.6 yppl and their great special teams doesn’t give them the big advantage that is does against most teams, as Missouri also has very good special teams (although Minnesota is better in that regard). Overall the math favors Missouri by just 4 points with a total of 43 points and I’ll lean Under 47 points and I have no opinion on the side

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

25* Florida St. (1/1/15)

20* Auburn (1/1/15)

15* Alabama (1/1/15)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartan

Triple Dime Bowl Game of Year

Missouri Tigers -5.5

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Indian Cowboy


7* Wisconsin / Auburn Over 62

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Mike Davis

8* Auburn -5
6* Alabama -9

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Vegas Sports Informer

6* Baylor -2.5
4* Florida St. +9
3* Ohio St +9
2* Wisconsin / Auburn Over 62
2* Minnesota -5

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Strike Point Sports

6* Flor. St. +9

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Dave Cokin


255 Wisconsin +6.5
257 Michigan State +3

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Maddux Sports


10* - Michigan St +3

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Doc Sports


5 Unit Play. #258 Take Baylor Bears -2.5 over Michigan State Spartans (Cotton Bowl, Thursday, 1/1 12:30 pm ESPN)

Do have to be fearful that Baylor is disappointed to be in this game and might fail to show up but I do not see that happening. Baylor did not perform well last year in the Fiesta Bowl and I expect them to come out in make a statement in this game against an overrated Michigan State team. The Spartans had two tough games this season against Oregon and Ohio State and they fell apart in the second half in both of those games. Their dominating defense of last year in a thing in the past this season. The Big 10 was not any good and beating the Indiana's of the world just does not impress me. Bryce Petty is on the same level as Marcus Mariota and JT Barrett and I am expecting him to put up monster numbers in this game. Baylor is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record.


5 Unit Play. #261 Take Florida State Seminoles +9 over Oregon Ducks

(Rose Bowl, Thursday 1/1 5 pm ESPN)

The odds makers have had a good read on Florida State all season long posting them as slight favorites in most of their games. Those games generally would go down to the wire and Florida State would come out on top. That will not be need in this game as they are a sizeable underdog against Oregon. The Ducks can put up a ton of points and do have the Heisman winner this season but I am just not sold on their coach in big games. Mark Helfrich is only in his second year and if Florida State can keep this game close into the second half they advantage greatly shifts to their side of the field. Oregon will be without IfoEkpre-Olomu for this game and that should allow Jameis Winston to be able to move the football through the air. Florida State also has a major edge in the kicking game with Roberto Aguayo and I believe he will play a major role in this game. Of course I will take FSU because I suck dicks and support a school that lets a monkey run wild off the field. Florida State is 8-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 bowl games. The public almost always bets the favorite yet even they know this line is way off the mark.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ivey Walters - 3* Sportsbook Consensus Play - - 3% Ohio State +9

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Freddy Wills
Fl State +8. 5.5*

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ATS Lock Club

4* Baylor -2.5
4* FSU +8.5

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marc lawrence late phone plays

MICH ST

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WAYNE ROOT

MILLIONAIRES---ALABAMA
NO LIMIT---MINNESOTA
PERFECT PLAY---MICHIGAN ST
_____________________________
INNER CIRCLE---OREGON...NEW YEARS DAY FAVORITE OF THE YEAR
Oregon is 12-1 on the year with their only loss coming from inner division play. The Seminoles are coming off of a 37-35 gasper of a win over Georgia Tech and they'll look to make things easier for themselves this Thursday night. Oregon will come out playing with fire and confidence thanks to their strong offense. QB Jameis Winston may be a headache off of the field but on the field he has been producing like a champion. Winston has 3,559 yards passing to go along with 24 touchdowns. His favorite target, and biggest playmaker, has been Rashad Greene split out wide. Greene has 93 catches for 1,300 yards and 7 scores. The Oregon Ducks will be led by the play of Heisman Winner Marcus Mariota. Mariota has been the focal point of one of the top offenses in the FBS. The Ducks average 46 points per game thanks to Mariota's incredible accuracy and willingness to go deep. Mariota has 38 passing touchdowns on the year. Close wins has been thenorm for FSU this year as their competition has allowed for 2nd half rally's. With Oregon, not a chance. They may score in the 2nd half but unlike the other teams that FSU has played, Oregon will match them point for point. The other teams just laid down and tried to protect the lead. PAC 12 Champs shows the world how strong they are vs ACC. TAKE OREGON
____________________________________________
Pinnacle (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Fcappersmall2.com%2Flines.ph p)---WISCONSIN.....NEW YEARS DAY BOWL OF THE YEAR
Auburn will have to overcome so pretty bad problems in order to take out the #18 ranked Wisconsin Badgers in the Outback Bowl. The Badgers are coming into play sporting a 10-3 record with a 7-1 inter division number next to their name. The Badgers have been playing solid football all season long and it looks like it should continue. Despite not having a super stud on offense the Auburn Tigers still managed to average the 24th best scoring total in the league. The running game has been what Auburn relies on when things get tough. Cameron Artis-Payne has 1500 rushing yards and 11 scores. The Wisconsin Badgers are 4th in the league in rushing yards per game while also holding opponents to the 14th least amount of points. It is obvious that the Badgers like to control the clock in order to slow the game down. They'll likely pound the ball in order to keep Auburn off of the field in this one. The points are too much and along with their last embarrassing loss to Ohio St, look for this to be the perfect match-up to cover this pointspread. TAKE WISCONSIN

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard


Auburn

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Norm Hitzges


DOUBLE PLAY: Michigan State +2 1/2 Baylor


SINGLE PLAYS:
Oregon--Florida State OVER 71 1/2
Alabama -9 Ohio State

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EZWINNERS

5* Florida St +8
3* Florida St +255

4* Ohio St +8.5
2* Ohio St +272

3* Michigan St +2.5
2* Michigan St +125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG AL's

DOUBLE 100% PERFECT 5* NCAA FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR


Florida St

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Stu Feiner

Michigan State

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

CFB | MICHIGAN ST at BAYLOR
Play On – All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MICHIGAN ST) after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points against opponent after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games
47-23 since 1997. ( 67.1% | 0.0 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.0 units )

CFB | OHIO ST at ALABAMA
Play Against – Any team (ALABAMA) excellent offensive team (>=440 YPG) against a good defense (280 to 330 YPG) after 7+ games, after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games
32-10 over the last 10 seasons. ( 76.2% | 21.0 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

5 STAR SELECTION – (261) Florida State Seminoles +8

(Risking $550 to win $500)
3 STAR SELECTION – (261) Florida State Seminoles +255

(Risking $300 to win $765)
I think this line is a joke. What has Oregon done to warrant such a spread? Maybe its more what FSU has not done that makes everyone think the Ducks will roll in this game. The Noles have been a huge disappointment to the backer this season as they have a terrible record against the spread. But, the vast majority of those games are games as an over inflated favorite due to their title as the reigning National Champions. One thing FSU has done is win. The Noles have not lost a game in two years and I will gladly take the generous points in this match up. Oregon has always had trouble when stepping up against a more physical opponent and that will be the case once again in this match up. Ducks quarterback Marcus Mariota can put a lot of points on the board with his high powered offense, but I don’t believe the Oregon defense will be able to get enough stops against last years Heisman trophy winner Jameis Winston and the powerful FSU offense to cover this spread or even win this game straight up. I’m taking the points and playing the moneyline.

4 STAR SELECTION – (263) Ohio State Buckeyes +8.5

(Risking $330 to win $300)

2 STAR SELECTION – (263) Ohio State Buckeyes +$272

(Risking $200 to win $544)
Its a wonder that Ohio State is in this game considering the fact that they have lost their top two quarterbacks this season. The Buckeyes are a very resilient team and the Ohio State defense is legit. Ohio State did a number on a very good Wisconsin team to the tune of 59-0 to get here. I don’t expect Alabama to be able to move the ball consistently against the Buckeyes. In their game against Wisconsin, Ohio State’s defense held Badgers running back Melvin Gordon to just 76 yards on 2.9 yards per carry which pretty much killed his Heisman chances. I expect this defense to also be able to do a good job against Alabama’s Yeldon and Henry as well. The Buckeye’s third string quarterback Cardale Jones might actually be the best quarterback that Ohio State has on its roster to beat the Tide. Jones is not much of a runner like Braxton Miller and J.T. Barrett as Jones is a 6-foot-5, 250 pound, strong armed quarterback who excels at throwing the ball deep. The Alabama defense is once again one of the best in college football, but this season the Tide is just 58th in the nation against the pass which is a huge drop from their defenses of the past few years. I love OSU head coach Urban Myer getting this many points against a team that has Lane Kiffin running it’s offense. Lets not also forget Alabama’s kicking woes that always tend to show up in a big game. Take the points.

3 STAR SELECTION – (257) Michigan State Spartans +2.5

(Risking $330 to win $300)

2 STAR SELECTION – (257) Michigan State Spartans +$125

(Risking $200 to win $250)
Granted, this will be almost like a home game for Baylor playing in the Cotton Bowl in the state of Texas, but how much can the Bears really care about this game? Baylor was one of the two Big XII teams (along with TCU) left on the outside looking in at the playoffs for the National Championship and I question their motivation for this match up with Michigan State. The Baylor offense is the top scoring offense in the nation, but the Spartans defense is one of the best in the nation allowing just under twenty points per game. The best defense that Baylor has faced away from home this year was the Longhorns as Texas managed to hold Baylor to just 28 points. The problem with Texas was that they had no offense and couldn’t keep their defense off of the field. Michigan State should not have that problem. This Spartans defense will be the best defense that the Bears have faced all season and MSU should have no problem moving the ball up and down the field. The Spartans have a balanced attack that is 24th in the nation in rushing and 39th in the nation in passing. Baylor has one of the worst defensive secondarys in the nation and if they struggle at all to stop the run will get burned all day long by the play action pass. I’ll take the points with the better defense team.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INSIDE THE PRESSBOX / PHIL STEELE (Bowl Games)

BEST BET
Florida St.

Opinions
Wisconsin
Michigan St.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PREDICTION MACHINE

Side – 261 OREGON vs FLA ST. -9 14.8 ♦ 57.6%

Side – 257 MSU vs BAYLOR 3 1.7 ♦ 55.8%

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness' 10* 'signature' LEGEND Play (9-4 L6-plus bowl seasons)

My 10* LEGEND Play is on Florida St at 5:00 ET.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | SACRAMENTO at MINNESOTA
Play On - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SACRAMENTO) after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
32-10 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.2% | 21.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

NBA | DENVER at CHICAGO
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CHICAGO) after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games
86-61 since 1997. ( 58.5% | 42.6 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

NBA | SACRAMENTO at MINNESOTA
Play Against - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (MINNESOTA) revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog
66-31 since 1997. ( 68.0% | 31.9 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CBB | TENNESSEE TECH at E ILLINOIS
Play On - Road teams as an underdog or pick (TENNESSEE TECH) average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a horrible offensive team (<=63 PPG), after scoring 85 points or more
62-30 since 1997. ( 67.4% | 29.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

CBB | N DAKOTA at MONTANA ST
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (N DAKOTA) poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=45% on the season, in January games
224-347 over the last 5 seasons. ( 39.2% | 31.7 units )

CBB | BYU at SANTA CLARA
Play Against - Home underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the first half line (SANTA CLARA) average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%)
95-49 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.0% | 41.1 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence late phone plays

FLA st.
OHIO st.
MICH st.

[golden contender]

New Years day starts with a bang with the 100% Bowl total of the year, the 18-0 Cotton Bowl, 96% Outback Bowl, and Triple Perfect Sugar Bowl. In The NBA its an 18-1 Power system with a 13-0 Subset. Football ranked #1 for 8th straight week. Free Citrus Bowl below.



The Free Citrus Bowl Play is on Missouri. Game 260 at 1:00 eastern on ABC TV. Missouri has been a true road warrior and has cashed big for us the past 2 seasons, particularly on the road where they have cashed 10 of 11. They have a better offense than a Minnesota team that has one of the worst pass offenses of any bowl team. New Years day favorites have done well through the years, especially against teams that allow more than 21 points per game. The Tigers will look to atone for the SEC Championship loss to Alabama. The Gophers have lost 6 straight Bowl games and are just 2-4 vs fellow bowl teams. Missouri has won 7 of 9 vs bowl teams and are 6-1 ats off a loss. The Tigers have won and covered 5 of 6 with rest and 5 of 7 vs winning teams. Look for them to improved to 12-2 vs Non conference teams. Make it Missouri. On New Years day a Tremendous Card takes center stage with the Bowl Total Of the Year, 96% Outback Bowl system, 18-0 Cotton Bowl, and Triple Perfect Sugar Bowl. In NBA is a Tremendous 18-1 League Wide system. Football continues to rank #1 overall on the most prolific leader board. Jump on now and put the Power of the Most Comprehensive data in the Industry on your side. For the free play take Missouri. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rainman

10 stars Auburn
5 stars FSU

Regular
Mich St.
Missouri
Ohio St.

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R.A.W. FOOTBALL - NEW YEAR'S DAY BOWLING

4* Best Bet = WISCONSIN
3* = MICHIGAN STATE
3* = MINNESOTA
2* = "over" on Alabama/Ohio State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Billy Hill of Banker Sports

13.5* Baylor/MSU Under 70

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

3* CFB BOWL MAIN EVENT DOG OF THE YEAR

FLA ST. +9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GoodFella

triple dime GOM

Oregon -7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

stephen nover

3* thursday bowl total of year

OSU/ALA OVER 58.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker

Triple-dime FLA ST./ORE UNDER 71.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole

5* BEST BET OVER THE TOTAL GOY

Ohio St. /Alabama OVER 58.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pointwise Phones

4* Florida State
3* Ohio State
2* Michigan State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Just Cover Baby

4* Auburn -7
4* Michigan St. +3 (if +2½ buy the hook to +3)
3* Alabama -8½
2* Minnesota +4½
2* Oregon -8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux Sports

added

10* Florida State+8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo – Bowl Game of the Month (5 p.m.)

6* Play Florida St. +9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Football Game Picks Ohio State vs. Alabama The Buckeyes head into today's playoff game against an Alabama team that is coming off a 42-13 win over Missouri and is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games after scoring more than 40 points in the previous game. Alabama is the pick (-9) according to Dunkel, which has the Crimson Tide favored by 18. Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-9). Here are all of this week's NCAA Football picks.


THURSDAY, JANUARY 1
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (12/28)


Game 255-256: Auburn vs. Wisconsin (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 102.788; Wisconsin 93.377
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 9 1/2; 67
Vegas Line: Auburn by 6; 63
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-6); Over


Game 257-258: Michigan State vs. Baylor (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 104.007; Baylor 110.573
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 6 1/2; 74
Vegas Line: Baylor by 2 1/2; 70
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-2 1/2); Over


Game 259-260: Missouri vs. Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 101.404; Minnesota 100.791
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 1; 44
Vegas Line: Missouri by 5 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+5 1/2); Under


Game 261-262: Florida State vs. Oregon (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 104.461; Oregon 119.817
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 15 1/2; 67
Vegas Line: Oregon by 8; 71 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-8); Under


Game 263-264: Ohio State vs. Alabama (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 99.515; Alabama 117.418
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 18; 62
Vegas Line: Alabama by 9; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-9); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks Northern Iowa at Evansville The Panthers head to Evansville tonight where they are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus the Purple Aces. Evansville is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Panthers favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Evansville (+3 1/2).. Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.


THURSDAY, JANUARY 1
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST


Game 505-506: Pacific at Loyola Marymount (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 50.609; Loyola Marymount 49.487
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 1
Vegas Line: Loyola Marymount by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (+3 1/2)


Game 507-508: Northern Iowa at Evansville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 62.436; Evansville 61.320
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 1
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (+3 1/2)


Game 509-510: St. Mary's (CA) at Pepperdine (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's (CA) 61.456; Pepperdine 54.523
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 7
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 3
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (CA) (-3)


Game 511-512: BYU at Santa Clara (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 66.002; Santa Clara 56.338
Dunkel Line: BYU by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: BYU by 6
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-6)


Game 513-514: San Diego at San Francisco (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 60.621; San Francisco 59.066
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+2 1/2)


Game 515-516: SE Missouri State at Belmont (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri 48.047; Belmont 55.986
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 8
Vegas Line: Belmont by 10
Dunkel Pick: SE Missouri State (+10)


Game 517-518: Jacksonville State at SIU-Edwardsville (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 41.965; SIU-Edwardsville 49.651
Dunkel Line: SIU-Edwardsville by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: SIU-Edwardsville by 4
Dunkel Pick: SIU-Edwardsville (-4)


Game 519-520: North Dakota at Montana State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 41.334; Montana State 47.783
Dunkel Line: Montana State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Montana State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (-2 1/2)


Game 521-522: Tennessee Tech at Eastern Illinois (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 52.191; Eastern Illinois 52.288
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Eastern Illinois by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+2 1/2)


Game 523-524: Weber State at Eastern Washington (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 50.634; Eastern Washington 58.156
Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 10
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (+10)


Game 529-530: Northern Arizona at Sacramento State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 47.878; Sacramento State 50.228
Dunkel Line: Sacramento State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Sacramento State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+4 1/2)


Game 531-532: Idaho State at Idaho (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 46.032; Idaho 49.834
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 4
Vegas Line: Idaho by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+6 1/2)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks Denver at Chicago The Nuggets head to Chicago tonight and come into the contest with a 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 Thursday games. Denver is the pick (+11 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulls favored by only 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Denver (+11 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.


THURSDAY, JANUARY 1
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST


Game 501-502: Denver at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 113.221; Chicago 120.725
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 7 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 11 1/2; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+11 1/2); Under


Game 503-504: Sacramento at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 110.487; Minnesota 113.133
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 4; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+4); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks Chicago at Washington The Blackhawks head to Washington for today's Winter Classic and come into the contest with a 7-2 record in their last 9 road games. Chicago is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Blackhawks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-125). Here are all of today's NHL picks.


THURSDAY, JANUARY 1
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST


Game 1-2: Chicago at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.450; Washington 11.013
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-125); Over


Game 3-4: Los Angeles at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 10.309; Vancouver 11.775
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-125); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
— Chicago won five of its last seven games. Washington is 8-4 in its last twelve games.
— Canucks won three of their last four games.

Cold teams
— Los Angeles lost eight of its last twelve games.

Series records
— Blackhawks lost five of last seven games with Washington.
— Kings won five of their last six games with Vancouver.

Totals
— Under is 7-1-2 in last ten Chicago road games.
— Four of last five Vancouver games stayed under.

Back-to-back
— Keep in mind the Chicago-Washington game is outdoors at Nationals’ Park.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot Teams
— Bulls won seven of their last eight games (6-8 HF).

Cold Teams
— Kings lost nine of last eleven games, are 0-10 vs spread in last 10 (0-1 AF). Minnesota lost its last nine games, covered last three (3-7 HU).
— Denver lost four of last five games, are 1-9 vs spread in last ten.

Series Records
— Nuggets won six of last seven games with Chicago.
— Kings won four of last six games with Minnesota.

Totals
— Six of last seven Denver road games stayed under total.
— Last five Minnesota home games stayed under the total; four of Kings’ last five games went over.

Back-to-Backs
— Kings are 2-4 vs spread if they played night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GOLD MEDAL CLUB
CFB Selections

255 Wisconsin +7
259 Minnesota +4.5
263 Ohio State +9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INTPICKS

CFB
2x Wisconsin +7
1x Missouri -4.5
3x Florida State +9
3x Ohio St vs Alabama – Over 58

CBB
1x BYU -6
1x Evansville +4

NBA
1x Denver @ Chicago – Under 207

Free Pick
1x Michigan State +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK CLAYTON (Bowl Games)

5* Florida St.

4* Ohio St. vs Alabama – Under

3* Baylor

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

Michigan State vs Baylor
Baylor -2.5, 69
1/01/2015 12:30 PM
SELECTION: BAYLOR/MICHIGAN STATE – OVER 69

Minnesota vs Missouri
Missouri -4.5, 47
1/01/2015 1:00 PM
SELECTION: MINNESOTA +4.5

Florida State vs Oregon
Oregon -7.5, 71.5
1/01/2015 5:00 PM
SELECTION: FLORIDA STATE +7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Crusher
Ohio State +9 over Alabama
(System Record: 49-5, won last game)
Overall Record: 49-44-3

Rest of the Plays
Florida State +8 over Oregon
Wisconsin +7 over Auburn
Missouri + Minnesota U OVER 47.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hockey Crusher
Chicago Blackhawks -125 over Washington Caps
(System Record: 44-2, won last game)
Overall Record: 44-32-1

Rest of the Plays
Los Angeles Kings +113 over Vancouver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Basketball Crusher
Pepperdine +3 over Saint Marys California
(System Record: 28-0, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 28-31-1

Rest of the Plays
Santa Clara +6 over BYU
Northern Arizona +4.5 over Sacramento State
Pacific +3.5 over Loyola Marymount

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Crusher
Southampton + Arsenal UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in England
(System Record: 682-24, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 682-570-105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Acosta

Sacramento -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You Late Bowls/NBA Selections for Late Thursday, Janaury 1st
2015 College Football Playoffs 2-Teamer Parlay of the Year!!!!!
Florida State/Oregon under 71 1/2
Ohio State/Alabama over 58 1/2

NBA Best Bets
Denver/Chicago under 206 1/2
Sacramento/Minnesota over 211 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals 4 You NCAA Bowls Selections for Early Thursday, January 1st
2015 New Year's Day College Bowls 3-Teamer of the Year!!!!!
Wisconsin/Auburn under 63 1/2
Michigan State/Baylor under 69 1/2
Minnesota/Missouri over 47 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

10 fla st
5 ohio st
4 mich st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KEVIN PLAYS

Three plays for New Years Day below, which includes a pick in one of the two semi-finals for the National Championship. It should be a great day of football!

2 UNIT = Michigan State @ Baylor - MICHIGAN STATE +2.5 (+100)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)
2 UNIT = Minnesota @ Missouri - MINNESOTA +4.5 (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
2 UNIT = Ohio State @ Alabama - ALABAMA -8.5 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
Cheers,
Kevin

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Thursday


Play Hull City +.5 over Everton (EPL)


Play West Bromwich Albion +1 over West Ham United (EPL)


Play Tottenham Hotspur +1 over Chelsea (EPL)


Play Crystal Palace +.5 over Aston Villa (EPL)






HAPPY NEW YEAR---HAVE A GREAT DAY


Kirk
WinningAngle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FantasySportsGametime

THURSDAY FOOTBALL

5000* Play Wisconsin +7 over Auburn (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Auburn has lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread and they have lost 24 of the last 41 games against the spread after having lost two of the last three games. Auburn has lost 4 of the last 5 games against the spread after gaining 375 or more passing yards in their last game and they are allowing an average of 34 points on defense in road games this season.


5000* Play Ohio State +8.5 over Alabama (TOP NCAA PLAY)

Ohio State has covered the spread in 10 of the last 13 games when the total posted is between 56.5 and 63 points and they have covered the spread in 9 of the last 13 games coming off two or more OVER the totals. Ohio State has covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in their last game and they are averaging 47 points on offense in their last three games.

============================================

50* Play Michigan State +3 over Baylor (BONUS NCAA PLAY)
50* Play Minnesota +4.5 over Missouri (BONUS NCAA PLAY)
50* Play Florida State +8 over Oregon (BONUS NCAA PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie

THURSDAY

NCAA BASKETBALL


50* Play Belmont -10 over SE Missouri State (PLAY OF THE DAY)

SE Missouri State is 2-14 ATS when playing in the month of January
SE Missouri State is 1-7 ATS in all games this season


10* Play San Diego +2.5 over San Francisco (TOP NCAA PLAY)
10* Play Idaho -6 over Idaho State (TOP NCAA PLAY)

--------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA BASKETBALL


10* Play Chicago -11.5 over Denver (TOP NBA PLAY)
10* Play Sacramento -4 over Minnesota (TOP NBA PLAY)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NHL HOCKEY


10* Play Chicago -120 over Washington (TOP NHL PLAY)
10* Play Vancouver -130 over Los Angeles (TOP NHL PLAY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BeatYourBookie


THURSDAY

100* Play Wisconsin +7 over Auburn (Top NCAA Play)

Wisconsin is 29-15 ATS when playing with two weeks or more of rest
Wisconsin is 20-7 ATS after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in their last game



100* Play Michigan State +3 over Baylor (Top NCAA Play)

Michigan State is 42-16 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games
Michigan State is 8-2 ATS after having won four or five of the last six games



100* Play Minnesota +4.5 over Missouri (Top NCAA Play)

Minnesota is 5-1 ATS when playing as an underdog
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points



100* Play Florida State +8 over Oregon (Top NCAA Play)

Florida State is 7-0 SU when the total posted is greater than 63 points
Florida State is 20-1 SU coming off an OVER the total in their last game



100* Play Ohio State +8.5 over Alabama (Top NCAA Play)

Ohio State is 17-7 ATS when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
Ohio State is 16-6 ATS when the total posted is between 56.5 and 63 points

[Can'tPickAWinner]

XpertPicks

THURSDAY

TOP FOOTBALL PLAY

Play Michigan State +3 over Baylor----RISK 50% OF YOUR BANKROLL
12:30 PM EST

Michigan State has won three consecutive games when playing on a neutral field and they have won 9 consecutive games after having won four of the last five games. Michigan State has won 7 of the last 8 games after allowing 275 or less total yards in three straight games and they are only allowing an average of 9 points on defense in their last three games.

==================================================

BONUS FOOTBALL PLAYS

Play Wisconsin +7 over Auburn----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Minnesota +4.5 over Missouri---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Florida State +8 over Oregon---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Ohio State +8.5 over Alabama---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle

THURSDAY

NCAA BASKETBALL

Play Pacific +3.5 over Loyola-Marymount (NCAA TOP PLAY)

Loyola-Marymount has lost 13 of the last 16 games against the spread when playing in the month of January and they have lost 10 of the last 13 games against the spread after having lost four of the last five games. Loyola-Marymount has lost 19 of the last 26 games against the spread coming off a home game and they are only averaging 56 points in their last five games.


================================================== ==========

NBA BASKETBALL

Play Chicago -11.5 over Denver (NBA TOP PLAY)

Chicago has covered the spread in 34 of the last 55 games when revenging a loss vs. an opponent and they have covered the spread in 26 of the last 39 games coming off a home loss in their last game. Chicago has covered the spread in 22 of the last 36 games coming off three games as a favorite.

============================================


NHL HOCKEY

Play Chicago -120 over Washington (NHL TOP PLAY)
Play Vancouver -130 over Los Angeles

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play Thurs Baylor -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

(CFB) Wisconsin +7
(CFB) Michigan St +2.5
(CFB) Oregon -7.5
(CFB) Alabama -8.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Angle Football

THURSDAY

Play Wisconsin +7 over Auburn (NCAA)
12:00 PM EST

Wisconsin has covered the spread in 29 of the last 44 games when playing with two weeks or more of rest and they have covered the spread in 20 of the last 27 games after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in their last game. Wisconsin has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games when the total posted is between 63.5 and 70 points and they are averaging 34 points a game on offense this season.


Play Michigan State +3 over Baylor (NCAA)
12:30 PM EST

Michigan State has covered the spread in 42 of the last 58 games after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games and they have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games after having won four or five of the last six games. Michigan State has covered the spread in 10 of the last 12 games when playing on artificial turf and they are averaging 43 points a game on offense this season.


Play Minnesota +4.5 over Missouri (NCAA)
1:00 PM EST

Minnesota has covered the spread in 7 of the last 9 games and they have covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games when playing as an underdog. Minnesota has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points and they have covered the spread in 9 of the last 14 non-conference games.


Play Florida State +8 over Oregon (NCAA)
5:00 PM EST

Florida State has won 7 consecutive games when the total posted is greater than 63 points and they have won 13 of the last 14 non-conference games. Florida State has won 20 of the last 21 games coming off an OVER the total in their last game and they are averaging 35 points a game on offense this season.


Play Ohio State +8.5 over Alabama (NCAA)
8:00 PM EST

Ohio State has covered the spread in 17 of the last 24 games when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points and they have covered the spread in 16 of the last 22 games when the total posted is between 56.5 and 63 points. Ohio State has covered the spread in 9 of the last 11 games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards in their last game and they are averaging 45

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lang

75 Dimes - Florida State Seminoles +7 1/2 against the Oregon Ducks in the Rose Bowl, 5:00 PM EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SportsBook Breakers
4*Baylor
4*Ohio St.

Trend Plays
Wisco
Missouri
Florida St
Under Auburn/Wisco

[DaKid]

Everybody on Florida st......look out

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Play

CFB Game: Michigan State Spartans vs. Baylor Bears
Time: Thursday 01/01 12:30 PM Eastern
Pick: Michigan State +3 (+100)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns NHL

8* Chicago Under 5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegaslineReader

michigan st/baylor - Over 70.5
Florida St. +8
ohio st/alabama - Under 59

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trev Rogers

Auburn
Minnesota
Michigan St

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

500* Florida State +7.5
100* Auburn -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cajun Sports

6* Florida St +8.5
5* Mich St +2.5

5* Over Bama/OSU 58.5
4* Under Baylor/MSU 70

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TRACE ADAMS

Raise the Bar
1500♦
Winner # 2 in a Row

Minnesota

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GABRIEL DUPONT

60 DIME
Winner # 3 of 4

Bowl Total of the Year
UNDER – Wisconsin/Auburn

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph'sThank you all for your support on a Fabulous Football year,
Bowls stand @ 12-4, May 2015 be the BEST Year of your life !
Super Pick Early Game Auburn -6
Monster Play Missouri -4 1/2
Trophy plays Alabama - 8 1/2, Oregon -8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Hilton- Gameday

5- Alabama
2- Baylor

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SportsLocksmith

Happy New Year! Let the Bowl Mania Continue! I will be at the Sugar Bowl!


NCAAB:

Santa Clara +7 -110 1* (5:00 Eastern)

NCAAF:

Wisconsin + 7 -110 1* (12:00 Eastern)

Baylor -2.5 2* -110 3* (12:30 Eastern)

Minnesota +4.5 -110 2* (1:00 Eastern)

Chairman Plays:

Oregon -7 -130 4* (Buying from 7.5 to 7) (5:00 Eastern)

Ohio State +8.5 -110 4* (8:30 Eastern)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Dog Sports

MSU +3 -110 (2.5*)
FSU +7.5 -105 (1*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ken Thomson

Florida State +7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

KELSO

OHIO ST.
Baylor
oregon
OVER - Auburn / Wisky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson

Baylor -2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso
Bowl Game Of Year
200 Units
Ohio State +9

There is a rule of thumb in college football that says, if you can make a strong case that either team can win a game, then the underdog is the automatic play. The choice to go with Ohio State was not quite that simple but almost. This is a game that matches schools with great football traditions, great coaches and teams that have nothing but blue-chip players through the 4th position on their depth charts. It is going to be a real battle between two evenly matched teams and I am looking for the outright upset.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Harry Bondi

7* Missouri (Bowl Game of Year)
4* Florida State
3* Michigan State
3* Ohio State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

North Coast

Totals double marquee UNDER Minnesota, Under Oregon
Single marquee Under Auburn, Under Baylor

[Can'tPickAWinner]

James Jones
NCAAF-Florida State University(+8)-120...(3*)
NCAAF-Minnesota University(+5)-134...(2*)
NCAAF-Alabama University(-8)+100...(2*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TheRealWiseOne: Bowls


Wisky +7 (buy 1) $5,000 & $1,000 ML
MSU +3 $5,000 & $1,000 ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

6 Unit Side Play · [261] Florida State Seminoles
Alleghenies Analysis Thu Jan 1st, 2015 5:00pm EST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE REAL ANIMAL SPORTS

Free plays 10-5 last 15. Free play today is Auburn 'OVER' 64 1/2:

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Rivers

Third Ever
Blank Check
Waive The Rating
Bowl Game of my Career

Florida State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Delaney

2nd Ever
200 DIME
College Football Play in 11 years
--- 200 Dime Winner #7 of 9 Overall

Wisconsin

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Budin

CALI-CARTEL


26-12-1 Start in Football


50 DIME

FOOTBALL WINNER # 20 OF 26

- and No. 10 of 13 in College -


Alabama

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TheRealWiseOne:


Minny +4 $5,000 & ML $1,000
Oregon -7 $5,000 (buy 1/2 if u have to)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFAC :
#266) FLORIDA ST +8 (nfac $500)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PhillyGodFather
1h mizz under u24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PhillyGodFather
1h mizz under u24

[Can'tPickAWinner]

sky blue

has OSU and MSU

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG MONEY (Top) FL ST

CAROLINA SPORTS (5,4,3) 5- MICH ST, 4- AUB, ORE, MICH ST UNDER, 3- MINN, BAMA UNDER

DR. BOB (4,3,2,1) 1- MICH ST UNDER

GAMEDAY (5,4,3,2) 5-B-GOY: BAMA, 2- BAYLOR

HARRY BONDI (5,4,3) 7-BGOY: MIZZ, 4- FL ST, 3- MICH ST, OH ST

INSIDE INFO (3,2) 3- WISC OVER

JACK JONES (25,20,15) 25- BGOY: FL ST, 20- AUB, 15- BAMA

JOE D (25,20,15) 20- AUB, MINN, 15- MICH ST UNDER, BAMA, FL ST

LENNY STEVENS (20,10) 20- FL ST, MIZZ, 10- MICH ST, WISC, OH ST

NERI (5,4,3) 4- FL ST, OH ST & OVER

NORTHCOAST (5,4,3) 5BGOY: FL ST, 3- MICH ST

PICK CITY (5,4,3,2) 7-BGOY: BAMA, FL ST, 2- AUB

POINTWISE (4,3,2) 4- FL ST, 3- OH ST, 2- MICH ST

PREFERRED PICKS (5,4,3) 10-BGOY: FL ST, 5- OH ST, 4- MICH ST, 3- WISC

PURE LOCK (Top) PASS

TEXAS SPORTSWIRE (5,4,3) 5- FL ST, 3- AUB, BAY

UNDERDOG (Top) FL ST

WILDCAT (10,7,5) 5- WISC

ASA 4- FL ST, 3- MICH ST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Billy Sharp - michigan godfather
1 unit
(England Premier )
#25001 -Manchester United / Stoke City Over 2.5 goals (-110)
#25017 - Manchester City / Sunderland Under 3 goals (-105)
1 unit
(NCAAF) #255 Wisconsin +7 (-105)
(NCAAF) #258 Baylor -2.5 (-105)
(NCAAF) #262 Oregan -7.5 (-105)

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Sheep :
CBB


BYU -7 $500

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Craig Davis
50 DIME
Winner # 3 in a Row


Rose Bowl Lock


Florida State

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Brad Wilton
75 DIME
Winner # 7 of 11


Bowl Total of the Year


Ohio State-Alabama Under

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Al DeMarco
15 Dime Bowl Side


Florida State

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Jeff Benton
75 DIME
Winner # 28 of 44


Rose Bowl Lock


Florida State

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TheRealWiseOne: Hoops
N Iowa -3 1/2 $5,000
N Iowa ML $5,000

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SPORTS UNLIMITED/Marco D'Angelo

10* MICHIGAN STATE
5 alabama

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Millionaires club
bowl game of year
alabama

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Northcoast

Happy New Year!!!!!

5* Bowl GOY Florida St +7.5/ +8 Oregon 5 pm Espn (Rose)
3* Michigan St +2.5/ +3 Baylor 12:30 Espn (Cotton)
Friday Gm: 4* Washington -6/-6.5 Oklahoma St 10:15 Espn (Cactus)
Bowl Top Opinion:
Minnesota +4.5 Missouri - 1 pm ABC (Citrus)
Reg Opinion:
Auburn -6.5 Wisconsin - Noon Espn2 (Outback)
Marquee DOUBLE - UNDER 47.5 Citrus Bowl (Minnesota/Missouri) 1 pm
Marquee DOUBLE - UNDER 71 Rose Bowl (Florida St/Oregon) 5 pm
Ohio St +8/ +8.5 Alabama - 8:30 pm Espn (Sugar)
Had to Pick em:
Marquee SINGLE - UNDER 65/65.5 Outback Bowl (Wisconsin/Auburn) Noon
Marquee SINGLE - UNDER 69.5 Cotton Bowl (Michigan St/Baylor) 12:30 pm
Marquee SINGLE - OVER 59 Sugar Bowl (Ohio St/Alabama) 8:30 pm

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Anthony Redd
75 DIME
Winner # 3 of 4


Alabama

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Brad Wilton

75 DIME Winner # 7 of 11

Bowl Total of the Year


Ohio State-Alabama Under

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Power Play Wins
POD


Florida State +8

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ALLEN EASTMAN (Bowl Game)

5-Unit Play. Take Ohio State +9.5

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Fat Jack

Wisky
Baylor under
Mizzu over
Oregon over
Ohio state

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NFAC Moves


#259) MINNESOTA +4 (-120) (nfac $400)
#261) FLORIDA ST +8 (nfac $500)
#263) OHIO ST +8 (nfac $400)

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RAS
Loyola Marymount -3'

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THE SPORTS BOSS

Alabama -8

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Dave Essler | CBB Sides

dime bet – 520 Montana St. -2.0 (-110) vs 519 N. Dakota
Analysis: Small conference, small bet. Montana State has played a much tougher schedule and this IS a conference game. North Dakota has fallen off a lot this season, and Montana State typically plays them tough anyways, and is pretty solid at home. They make 77% of their FT’s and get their a ton. That is the huge difference make for me. North Dakota played Marquette tough, but Marquette sucks IMO amd really didn’t take North Dakota seriously with their Conference opener against DePaul on the horizon. North Dakota shoots 61% from the line and is near the bottom of the nation in MANY caegories, including getting shots blocked. The only reason this line is where it is is history, and with them spending New Years’ Eve in Montana, they aren’t prepared here. The more I type the more I want to go bigger, actually.

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TROPHY CLUB'S
"THE PLAY" 30-STAR
Ohio State

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Chuck Luck
8 Unit Wiscy and Bama
6 Mich St and FSU

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John Ryan 50*Semi-final BGOY - Fla St

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Rockdeman Sports

CFB 7 Point Teaser Ohio State & Over

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Joe Gaffney

PowerBall ONE SHOT ONE KILL BLOWOUT!

OREGON DUCKS by 33

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Ben Burns

CBB Play Eastern Washington 9*

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SB Professor Original NBA Picks

System Play:
Sacramento -4

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TonyK 3G-Sports

10* College Bowl BURIAL - Oregon by double digits!

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Sebastian

500* FSU
300* Ohio State
200* Ohio State/Bama over

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Bob Harvey Sports

Oregon/Florida State OVER 74