1-10-15

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::clap::

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SATURDAY NFL DIVISIONAL PLAYOFF (3*)
GoodFella | NFL Side Saturday, 1/10/2015 4:35 PM
111 BAL7.0 (-110) vs 112 NEP
Analysis:
3* on BALTIMORE RAVENS +7

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Freddy wills

ravens +7.5 5.5*

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Today's NFL Picks
Carolina at Seattle

The Panthers head to Seattle on Saturday to face the Seahawks (7-1 SU at home) and come into the contest with a 1-4 ATS record in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. Seattle is the pick (-10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Seahawks favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-10 1/2). Here are all of this week's NFL picks.

SATURDAY, JANUARY 10
Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST (1/6)

Game 111-112: Baltimore at New England (4:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 138.491; New England 141.995
Dunkel Line: New England by 3 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: New England by 7; 47
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+7); Under

Game 113-114: Carolina at Seattle (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 132.420; Seattle 146.661
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 14; 44
Vegas Line: Seattle by 10 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-10 1/2); Over

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BIG AL NFL CONF TOTAL/YR

balt/new eng over

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Doc Sports



8 Unit Play. #114 Take Under 40 in Carolina Panthers @ Seattle Seahawks (Saturday 8:15 pmNBC)

NFL Playoff Game of the Year

This is the fourth meeting in the last three years, and Seattle has won all 4 of those games but only by a combined 13 points. For Carolina to have a chance they will have to shorten the game like they did in their regular-season meeting with Seattle this season, losing by a score of 13-9. That is how I expect this game to go this weekend as well as Seattle is still a run-first team with an outstanding defense. These teams have combined for just 69 points in their last three meetings, and thus we will side with the under. Seattle has played under the posted total in 9 of their last 13 home games. Carolina has played under the posted total in 14 of their last 20 games against NFC teams.



4 Unit Play. #112 Take New England Patriots -7 over Baltimore Ravens (Saturday 4:35 pm NBC)

Many people are drinking the Ravens cool-aid at the moment and feel they can go into Foxboro and beat the Patriots for the third time in their last four playoff attempts. I am not one of those people, as the Ravens are just not the same team on defense. Ray Lewis and Ed Reed are no longer playing, the secondary is very weak and QB Tom Brady and company will be able to pick them apart. New England asserted themselves as the best team in the AFC over the last 14 weeks, and many including me feel they are the best team in the NFL. For the first time since their glory days, the Patriots actually have a strong defense to complement their dynamic offense. New England is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 home games against teams with a winning road record.



3 Unit Play. #113 Take Carolina Panthers +11 over Seattle Seahawks (Saturday 8:15 pmNBC)

When taking the under in the game it is always a good quinella to play the big underdog as well. I like our chances to cover the spread if the game stays under the posted total. Carolina always plays the Seahawks tough including this season and Cam Newton is seems to have more scrambling ability than he had for most of this season.

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marc lawrence phone plays

new eng

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Dave Essler | NFL SideSat, 01/10/15 - 4:35 PM ª¤
triple-dime bet
111 BAL 7.5 (-110) 5dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229) vs 112 NEP

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Allen Eastman


2* Seattle under 20 1st half

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Mike Davis
6* Seattle -10.5

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Robert Ferringo
1* Over 47.5 Baltimore / New England
1* Under 40 Carolina / Seattle
1* Seattle -10.5
5* New England -7

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Jack Jones

25*panthers
15*ravens

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Indian Cowboy


7 unit play #114 Take Seattle -11 over Carolina (Saturday @8:15pm)



2 unit play #112. Take New England -7 over Baltimore (Saturday @4:35pm)

The Hoodie knowswell who has had success against him in the past and who has not. The Ravensare a team that play extremely well in January and consistently have beaten topnotch teams both at home and on the road as they are one of the most wellprepared and succcessful teams in modern NFL history. This is the same teamthat took it to New England in an embarassing loss on the road in recentplayoff history and there is a lot of revenge on the minds of New England. Notethat New England did get revenge in their last game by beating Baltimore 41-7but that's irrelevant at this point as these two have not met since December22nd of 2013. Baltimore has consistently struggled against the Pass this yearand look for New England who took a beating in the last few years' playoffs runto finally step up here and do well. The Ravens are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10games following an ATS win and the Patriots to their credit are 8-0 ATS intheir last 8 home games when facing a team with a winning road record and the Patriotsare 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

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Alan Eastman

INV 24-22 +$2456.00
Action 36-30+$4811.00
Total 60-52+7267.00
Just to let you know what I’m doing in CBB and NBA
CBB 50-41-1. +1122.00. NBA 69-61 +$891.00 base on $100 a unit
I do $200 a unit.
Winner of the NFC Dal $100.00 to win $605.00
Dal +6………………………..$2000.00-105
Ind +7…………………………$800.00 -110
Sea under 20 1st half…….$800.00 -110

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Colin Cowherd
Blazin five

Baltimore +7
Carolina +11

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SB Professor Original NFL Picks

System Play:
New England -7

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BIG AL's 5*

At 4:35 PM, on Saturday, our AFC Conference Game of the Year is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Baltimore. We played against New England in its last game, and got the $$$, as the Patriots were upset at home by the Bills. But we LOVE playing on the Patriots off a loss, as they're now 12-0 ATS their last 12 when not laying 8+ points off a loss (and 28-3 ATS their last 31)! We did have our Best Bet last week on Baltimore, and were rewarded with an upset win over Pittsburgh. Unfortunately for the Ravens, road teams with a win percentage less than .666, off an upset win, are an awful 13-37 ATS in the Playoffs since 1980 vs. .666 (or better) opponents not off an upset win (including an awful 1-18 ATS when priced from +3.5 to +7.5 points! Finally, New England falls into 32-3, 85-36 and 75-35 ATS systems of mine, provided it's not laying more than 9 points. Take the Patriots.

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VSI

SATURDAY ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE SOCCER

2 Unit Play. Take UNDER 2 ½ -120 Tottenham at Crystal Palace (12:30p.m., Saturday, January 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time, 3-Way bet so if end in a draw we lose)

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Norm Hitzges

NFL

DOUBLE PLAYS:
Seattle -11 Carolina
Seattle--Carolina UNDER 39 1/2

SINGLE PLAYS:

Baltimore +7 New England

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Fezzik

3* New England Patriots -7

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Greg Shaker
3 * BAL/NEP UNDER 48

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Wayne Root



Patriots (Top Play)

Seattle (Opinion)

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bookieshunter


3* - Ravens +7
2* - Seahawks -10.5

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Scott Kellen sixth sense

denver -7

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WAYNE ROOT

SATURDAY

MILLIONAIRES---SEATTLE

Many handicappers along with others felt the below .500 Carolina team didn’t “deserve” to be in the playoffs. Worse, some felt the NFC South Champs shouldn’t have home field advantage in a playoff game. Well, after last week’s 27-16 win over the 11-5 Cardinals that talk has subsided and the Seahawks will not take this team lightly. Carolina, at 7-8-1 visits the Super Bowl champion Seahawks on Saturday who have posted a 12-4 mark on the year. The Panthers will have their work cut out for them against a Seattle team who ranks first in rushing, averaging over 172 yards per game. Between a stout running game and a tough defense, the Seahawks may be ready to make a run at the title again. The fact that this is the first game on their title defense has me excited. The 12th man along with a superiorly more talented team will be more than enough to win by a huge number. TAKE SEATTLE

____________________________________

NO LIMIT---NEW ENGLAND


The road to the AFC Championship game goes through Foxboro and Tom Brady is focused on the past few meetings these two teams have played under the same circumstances. Everyone is going to be talking about Brady and Gronk on Saturday, but one lesser-known player can make a lot of difference: Jamie Collins. Collins leads the Pats in both tackles and interceptions, making him a dangerous player to match up against the free-throwing Joe Flacco. Collins is sure to get the tough duty against Steve Smith and it's a good bet he comes out on top. As for Gronk, the Ravens like rest of league have no answer for Gronk so it really comes down to the fact if Brady can have time to get him the ball. Brady's offensive line will need a concentrated effort to hold off Elvis Dumerville,17 sacks and 28 tackles). Baltimore beat a banged up aging Pittsburgh team, don't read into it too much. Patriots at home are rested and that spells big problems for the struggling secondary for Ravens. Baltimore won't be able to get consistent pressure on Brady and that allows New England to score way too many for Ravens to win or keep it close. TAKE NEW ENGLAND

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Gold Medal Club

NFL Selections

112 New England -7

118 Green Bay -5.5

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NHL information
Hot teams
-- Boston won last two games, 3-2ot/3-0. Flyers also won last two, after losing previous five.
-- Nashville won four of last five games; four of their last six went OT/SO.
-- Colorado won four of its last five games.
-- Red Wings won five of their last seven games. Washington won three of last four.
-- Arizona won five of its last seven games.
-- Islanders won eight of last twelve games.
-- Canadiens won six of their last seven games.
-- Carolina won three of its last four games.
-- Rangers won four in row, 12 of last 13 games.

Cold teams
-- Minnesota lost nine of its last eleven games.
-- Dallas Stars lost last three games, allowing 12 goals.
-- Senators lost last three games, scoring five goals.
-- Columbus is 4-5 in its last nine games.
-- Penguins lost six of their last eight games.
-- Kings, Jets both lost four of their last five games.
-- Sharks lost five of their last eight games.
-- Canucks are 5-8 in their last thirteen games. Calgary lost last three games, all by one goal.

Series records
-- Flyers lost their last four games with Boston.
-- Minnesota is 5-3 in its last eight games with Nashville.
-- Avalanche won four of last five games with Dallas.
-- Washington won four of last six games with Detroit.
-- Senators are 5-3 in last eight games with Arizona.
-- Islanders lost three of last four games with Columbus.
-- Penguins are 5-3 in last eight games with Montreal.
-- Carolina is 5-3 in its last eight games with St Louis.
-- Kings won their last three games with Winnipeg.
-- Rangers are 4-3 in last seven games with San Jose.
-- Canucks won their last nine games with Calgary.

Totals
-- Five of last six Philly home games stayed under.
-- Last six Nashville home games went over total.
-- Four of last five Colorado home games went over.
-- Five of last seven Detroit road games stayed under; last six Detroit-Washington games went over.
-- Four of last five Ottawa road games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Columbus home games went over.
-- Four of last five Penguin road games went over; four of last five Montreal home tilts stayed under.
-- Last six Carolina road games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Los Angeles home games went over.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Ranger games.
-- Last four Vancouver home games stayed under total.

Back-to-back
-- Islanders are 4-2 if they played night before; Columbus is 2-6.
-- Calgary is 3-2 if it played the night before.

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StatFox Super Situations

NFL | BALTIMORE at NEW ENGLAND
Play On - Home teams (NEW ENGLAND) after scoring 9 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game
52-22 over the last 10 seasons. ( 70.3% | 27.8 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )

NFL | CAROLINA at SEATTLE
Play On - Any team vs the money line (SEATTLE) a very good team (>=+7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game
57-14 since 1997. ( 80.3% | 0.0 units )

NFL | BALTIMORE at NEW ENGLAND
Play Against - Road underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (BALTIMORE) off a upset win as an underdog
325-205 since 1997. ( 61.3% | 99.5 units )
6-5 this year. ( 54.5% | 0.5 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

CBB | OHIO U at BOWLING GREEN
Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OHIO U) off a loss to a conference rival as a favorite of 6 points or more against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

CBB | COLORADO ST at AIR FORCE
Play Against - A favorite vs. the money line (COLORADO ST) off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season
59-77 over the last 5 seasons. ( 43.4% | 49.8 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.5 units )

CBB | LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT at BYU
Play On - Favorites of 11 or more points vs. the first half line (BYU) after 3 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers
78-38 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 36.2 units )
7-6 this year. ( 53.8% | 0.4 units )

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PhillyGodFather

U 20.5 1H carolina/seattle

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EZWINNERS

NFL

4* 6 Point Teaser
(112) Patriots -1 (114) Seahawks -5.5

NCAAB

2* (520) UCONN -4.5
2* (536) Duquense +8

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Quinnipiac (+2) on Friday and likes the Patriots on Saturday.

The surplus is 90 sirignanos.

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Hsw ep 9* pgoy sea
L&M Group pgoy 7* sea

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TheRealWiseOne:
INDIANA +2 $5,000


ML will be played in a.m. when available
Every 1/2pt line change I will be playing $5k each 1/2 pt change

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Brandon Lang
100 DIME
NFL WINNER #11 OF 15


Ravens

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sports lab

1 unit Carolina +10.5

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Rainman
All Regular plays
Baltimore +7
Seattle-11
Car/Seattle under 39

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Insider Sports Report


5* Baltimore/New England UNDER 47.5 (NFL)
Range: 49.5 to 45.5


3* Detroit -4.5 over Brooklyn (NBA)
Range: -3 to -7


3* Carolina/Seattle UNDER 39.5 (NFL)
Range: 41.5 to 37.5

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National Sports Service


4* Carolina/Seattle UNDER 39.5 (NFL)


3* Charlotte/N.Y.Knicks OVER 187 (NBA)


3* Baltimore +7 over New England (NFL)

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Elite Sports Picks


Utah/Houston OVER 195 (NBA)

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ATS LOCKCLUB

FOOTBALL
7* Seattle -11

HOCKEY
4* Dal/ovr 5.5

B-Ball
7* Notre Dame +1.5
7* Rhode Island -8
7* Colo St -5.5
7* Hofstra -4

1* Round Robin Parlay

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TheRealWiseOne:


Oklahoma St -3 $3,000
Oklahoma St ML $3,000

BIGGEST PLAY OF HOOP YEAR


Indiana +2 $5,000 (last nite)
Indiana + 1 1/2 $5,000
Indiana ML $5,000

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Jack jones

Nba
15* bulls under

Cbb
20* notre dame
20* south Carolina
15* Washington st.
15* DePaul
15* Portland

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Vincent Rizzo Sports (CBB)

Georgia State -16.5 (1U)

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Maddux
10*Creighton Pk
10*Wash St +11
10*Santa Clara +25
10*San Fran +6
10*Kansas St +14.5
10*St Louis +13.5
10*Middle Tenn St -14.5
10*Dallas Mavericks +3

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Today's NHL Picks

Winnipeg at Los Angeles

The Jets head to Los Angeles tonight to face a Kings team that is 2-6 in its last 8 games versus Central Division opponents. Winnipeg is the pick (+145) according to Dunkel, which has the Jets favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+145). Here are all of today's NHL picks.


SATURDAY, JANUARY 10
Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST


Game 51-52: Boston at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.332; Philadelphia 11.673
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-105); Over


Game 53-54: Nashville at Minnesota (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 12.621; Minnesota 11.139
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-105); Over


Game 55-56: Dallas at Colorado (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 12.404; Colorado 10.982
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+100); Under


Game 57-58: Detroit at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.245; Washington 11.338
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+115); Under


Game 59-60: Ottawa at Arizona (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.221; Arizona 10.774
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Arizona (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-105); Under


Game 61-62: NY Islanders at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.400; Columbus 12.331
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+100)'; Under


Game 63-64: Pittsburgh at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.662; Montreal 11.133
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-105); Over


Game 65-66: Carolina at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 12.210; St. Louis 11.348
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-240); 5
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+200; Over


Game 67-68: Winnipeg at Los Angeles (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 11.553; Los Angeles 10.457
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-165); 5
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+145); Under


Game 69-70: NY Rangers at San Jose (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 12.875; San Jose 11.442
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+100); Under


Game 71-72: Calgary at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.775; Vancouver 12.334
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-185); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-185); Over

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MTI Sports

4.5* Over Seattle 40
4* Seattle -10.5
3* Over New England 48

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XpertPicks


SATURDAY

TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS

Play Baltimore +7 over New England----RISK 35% OF YOUR BANKROL
4:30 PM EST

Baltimore has covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games coming off a game vs. a division opponent and they have covered the spread in 4 consecutive games when playing in the month of January. Baltimore has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games after failing to cover the spread in four or five of the last six games and they are averaging 25 points a game on offense this season.


Play Carolina +11.5 over Seattle----RISK 35% OF YOUR BANKROLL
8:15 PM EST

Carolina has covered the spread in 5 consecutive games after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games and they have covered the spread in 16 of the last 22 games coming off two wins by ten points or more.


================================================== ==


BONUS NCAA PLAY


Play Illinois State +6.5 over North Dakota State---RISK 20% OF YOUR BANKROLL

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Power Play Wins

POD

NFL: Baltimore Ravens +7

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TheRealWiseOne:


Baltimore Ravens +7 $5,000

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Diamond Dog Sports

NBA
#511: Bucks: +7.5 (-110) (1.5*)

NCAAB
#553: Evansville: -2.0 (-110) (0.5*)

#560: Kansas: -15.0 (-110) (1*)

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Wolkosky Milan


20* Ravens / Patriots Under 48
20* Baltimore Ravens +7
20* Panthers / Seahawks Over 39


20* Hornets / Knicks Over 188
20* Celtics / Raptors Under 209
20* Bucks / Bulls Under 195½


20* Geo Washington / La Salle Over 129
20* Louisville / North Carolina Over 137
20* Troy +18
20* Baylor / TCU Over 121
20* DePaul / Villanova Over 145
20* Ball State +5
20* Boise St / Wyoming Over 117
20* Kansas St +14½
20* Mississippi St / Florida Over 115½
20* Georgia / LSU Under 138
20* Long Beach St -1

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sharksofvegas

Hitman
bucks/bulls under 195


Machine
providence -2

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Kelso

Seattle
Under Seattle


Baskets:
Providence
Oregon
Notre Dame

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Ben Burns

NHL

10* Sharks
8* Kings

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Today's NBA Picks Brooklyn at Detroit The Nets head to Detroit tonight to face a Pistons team that is coming off a 106-103 loss to Atlanta last night and is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. Detroit is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Pistons favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-5). Here are all of today's NBA picks.


SATURDAY, JANUARY 10
Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST


Game 501-502: Charlotte at New York (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 118.169; New York 105.618
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 12 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 7; 189
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-7); Over


Game 503-504: Dallas at LA Clippers (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 123.359; LA Clippers 128.827
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5 1/2; 218
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3; 213 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-3); Over


Game 505-506: Indiana at Philadelphia (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 116.622; Philadelphia 113.770
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 3; 179
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 188
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+6 1/2); Under


Game 507-508: Boston at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 114.872; Toronto 121.309
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 6 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 11 1/2; 208
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+11 1/2); Under


Game 509-510: Brooklyn at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 112.665; Detroit 128.346
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 15 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 5; 196
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-5); Under


Game 511-512: Milwaukee at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 114.011; Chicago 123.165
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 7 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7 1/2); Under


Game 513-514: Utah at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 119.864; Houston 125.973
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 6; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 12; 196
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+12); Over


Game 515-516: San Antonio at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 120.588; Minnesota 113.332
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 7; 207
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 10; 201
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+10); Over


Game 517-518: Orlando at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 110.470; Portland 127.655
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 17; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 12 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-12 1/2); Under

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Jason Sample:

2U:
UConn PK / W. Ky +6 (+101)

1U:
Portland -2 / Ga. Tech +7 (+103)

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R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Saturday NFL

3* = NEW ENGLAND

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Sheep

New England -6.5 $500 move

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Bill Hilton- Gameday

3- Seattle

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Locksmith..

NCAAB:
George Washington -2.5 -110 4* (12:30 Eastern)
Chairman's Play:
Temple -4.5 -110 5* (3:00 Eastern)

NBA:
Chairman's Play:
Los Angeles Clippers -3 -110 5* (3:30 Eastern)

NFL:
Chairman's Plays:
New England -7 -110 5* (4:35 Eastern)
Carolina +11.5 -110 5* (8:15 Eastern)

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Bondi 7* NFL Lock...is New England

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Corey Halves Bookiemurder

hornets/knicks – Under 95 1st half

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PhillyGodFather

Loyola Mary +21
Air Force +5.5
Knicks O 188

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Kelso
100 UNIT LOCK Seattle
25 BALT

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NBA knowledge

Hot Teams
— Charlotte won last three games, covered last four (1-1 AF).
— Dallas won six of last seven games (4-3 AU). Clippers won three of last four games (3-1 last four HF).
— Pistons had 7-game win streak snapped last night (1-7 HF).
— 76ers won two of last three games (5-2 last seven HU). Indiana is 7-4 in last 11 games, 10-3-1 vs spread in last 14 (4-4-1 HF).
— Bucks won five of last seven games (12-4 AU).
— Utah is 7-1 vs spread in game following last eight losses (13-7 AU). Rockets won three of last four games (6-3 last nine HF).
— Spurs won three of last four games (3-6-1 last ten HF).
— Portland won six of its last seven games (11-7 HF).

Cold Teams
— Knicks lost 14 in row, 24 of last 25 games (0-6 last six HU).
— Nets lost last four games (0-4 vs spread, 4-1 last five AU).
— Celtics lost eight of last ten games (3-0 last three AU). Toronto lost its last four games (2-6 last eight HF).
— Chicago lost last two games, covered one of last eight (1-5 last six HF).
— Minnesota lost its last 14 games (5-8 HU).
— Orlando lost its last five games (14-6 AU).

Series Records
— Knicks are 8-4 in last twelve games with Charlotte.
— Clippers won six of last eight games with Dallas.
— Nets won last three games with Detroit, by 12-12-5 points.
— 76ers lost their last four games with Indiana, by 8-7-9-12 points.
— Raptors won five of their last six games with Boston.
— Bulls won last four games with Milwaukee, by 1-9-12-9 points.
— Rockets won six of last seven games with Utah.
— Spurs are 2-0 vs Minnesota this year, winning by 29-22 points.
— Magic won four of last five visits to Portland, losing last two by 6-16.

Totals
— Five of last seven New York home games stayed under; over is 8-0 in last eight Hornet-Knick games.
— Seven of last eight Clipper home games stayed under.
— Last five Detroit home games went over the total.
— Six of last nine Indiana games went over the total.
— Five of last seven Boston road games stayed under.
— Five of last six Milwaukee road games stayed under.
— 14 of 18 Houston home games stayed under the total.
— Last five San Antonio road games stayed under total.
— 10 of last 13 Orlando road games stayed under total.

Back-to-Backs
— Detroit is 5-3 vs spread if it played night before, 2-0 at home.
— Indiana is 6-1 vs spread on road if it played night before. 76ers are 4-3 if they played night before.
— Celtics are 4-1 vs spread if they played night before.
— Bucks are 4-1 vs spread on road if they played night before. Chicago is 4-4 if it played night before, 0-1 at home.
— Jazz is 3-5 vs spread if it played night before.

— Minnesota is 2-4 vs spread if it played night before. Spurs are 2-4 vs spread on road if they played night before.
— Orlando is 5-1 vs spread on road if it played night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Falcon Sports

2 units Nashville Predators -105

2 units Milwaukee Bucks +7-

NFL Opinions Only:
Baltimore +7
Seattle -11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

sebastians early plays

500 gtech
400 indiana st
300 clemson
300 buffalo
300 maryland
300 temple
300 baylor

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Prediction Machine-play analyzer
Update Balt+8 is a 59.6% play now

Play Analyzer Results
Rot Date Time (ET) Pick Matchup Line H/O Odds A/U Odds Pick% Play
Value Calc
111 1/10 4:35 PM BAL BAL @ NE 8Expand -110 -110 59.6Trending In Favor of Pick $76
113 1/10 8:15 PM CAR CAR @ SEA 11.5Expand -110 -110 54.7Trending In Favor of Pick $24
120 1/11 4:40 PM DEN IND @ DEN -7Expand -110 -110 53.4 $11
114 1/10 8:15 PM Under CAR @ SEA 39.5Expand -110 -110 53.2Trending Against Pick $9
117 1/11 1:05 PM Over DAL @ GB 52.5Expand -110 -110 53.1Trending In Favor of Pick $8
120 1/11 4:40 PM Under IND @ DEN 54Expand -110 -110 53.1 $8
278 1/12 8:30 PM OhioSt Oregon vs OhioSt 5.5Expand -110 -110 52.8Trending Against Pick $4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler

2* Kentucky -13.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker

2* Alabama Under 123.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Davis
8* Virginia/Notre Dame Over 128

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TIGER:

Indiana +2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr Bob
Georgia Tech
Northeastern
Central Michigan
UNC Greensboro


North Carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe
CBB
4* Fresno St. +2
3* Ariz. St. +5
3* UCSB -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports
CBB
3* Evansville -2
3* DePaul +21
3* Santa Clara +25
3* Iowa St. +4
3* East. Wash. -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NSA

25* NFL New England -7
20* NFL Seattle UNDER 40
20* NFL New England OVER 47½
10* CBB Providence -2½
10* CBB Virginia -2
5* CBB Baylor -1½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GERRY ANDINO
25* NFL Seattle -11½
20* NFL Seattle UNDER 40
20* NFL New England -7
10* NBA Boston +11½
10* CBB Kansas -15½
5* CBB Texas +2½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LOU PANELLI
25* NFL New England -7
20* NFL Seattle -11½
20* NFL Seattle UNDER 40
10* CBB Colorado St -5½
10* CBB Virginia UNDER 128
5* CBB Vanderbilt +9½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STEVE KENDALL
25* NFL Seattle -11½
20* NFL New England -7
20* NFL New England OVER 47½
10* CBB Ohio St -2
10* CBB VCU -16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WILLIAM STOCKTON
25* NFL New England -7 and New England OVER 47½(PARLAY)
20* NFL Seattle -11½
20* NFL Seattle UNDER 40
10* CBB Kentucky -13½
10* CBB Seton Hall +2
5* CBB Iowa St +4½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Harry Bondi
7 New Eng
3 Seattle

Hoops
5 Louisville
3 Maryland
3 Indiana

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STEVE CORSI

50* NFL New England OVER 47½
50* NFL Seattle -11½
40* CBB George Washington -2½
40* CBB Baylor pk
40* NBA Boston +11½

[golden contender]

Huge Double 6* Saturday has Both NFL Games from Never Lost systems dating to 1980 the AFC 6* And the NFC Total. In NBA We have a 5* Blowout and a 100% Totals system,. NCAAB Card has huge Triple perfect 6* on ESPN U and the BIG 12 26-0 Game of the Month on ESPN and a 96% system in the Virginia/N.Dame game on ESPN 2. Football remains ranked #1. Free MAC Play below.



On Saturday the free NCAAB Play in MAC Conference action is on Kent St. Game 645 at 8:00 eastern. Kent has won 12 of the last 14 in the Series with Northern Illinois. They have a better RPI Scale ranking and are 9-0 this year vs teams ranked 100 or worse in the RPI Scale. They play solid defense and are ranked 33rd in the nation in road defense. Northern Illinois has lost 6 of 7 here to Kent and has lost both games vs teams ranked 100 to 200 in the RPI Scale. They have lost 20 of 24 on Saturday 3 of 4 as a home dog of 3 or less and 4 of 5 to the spread vs winning teams. Look for Kent to continue their dominance in the series. On Saturday we have 2 Big TOP 6* Plays Both NFL Games from Never Lost systems dating to 1980 the AFC 6* And the NFC 100% Total. In NBA its a 5* Blowout system and a 100% Totals system both have several big angles,. NCAAB Card has huge Triple perfect 6* on ESPN U and the BIG 12 26-0 Game of the Month on ESPN between Baylor and Tcu there is also a 96% system in the Virginia/N.Dame game on ESPN 2. Football remains ranked #1 for a 9th straight week. Jump on now and put the most Powerful data in the industry on your side. For the free play Take Kent St. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike O'Connor

Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RAS


661 Long Beach State -1
Rating: 1.00

663 UC Santa Barbara -2
Rating: 1.00

613 Fresno State +3.5
Rating: 1.00

[Can'tPickAWinner]

James Jones
NBA-Brooklyn Nets(+5.5)-112...(3*)
NCAAB-Creighton University(-2)-115...(2*)
NFL-Over 39.5 Seattle Seahawks/Carolina Panthers -110...(1*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VINCENT PIOLI
HIGH ROLLER: 20* NFL Patriots -7
HIGH ROLLER: 20* NFL Seahawks -11½
HIGH ROLLER: 20* NFL Patriots over 47½
VEGAS WISEGUY: 10* NFL Seahawks under 39½
VEGAS WISEGUY: 10* NBA Nets +5
LINE VALUE: 5* NBA Timberwolves over 202

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TheRealWiseOne:
Some other games:
Creighton ML $3,000
N. Car ML $5,000 max
LaSalle +3 $3,000
Duquesne +8 $3,000

[Can'tPickAWinner]

FRED CALLAHAN
20* NFL Patriots -7
20* NFL Seahawks -11½
15* NFL Seahawks under 39½
10* NFL Patriots over 47½
-----------------------------
20* NBA Pacers -6
15* NBA Pistons -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al DeMarco

15 Dime College Hoops
Road Rout Romp
Kentucky

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nelly

Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NORTHCOAST LATE PHONES



Reg Opinion: Saturday - Carolina +11.5 Seattle
8:15 pm FOX Saturday - Marquee DOUBLE - UNDER 39.5 Carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HIGH ROLLERS CLUB
20* NFL Seahawks -11½ and 10* NFL UNDER 39½
20* NFL Patriots -7 and 10* NFL OVER 47½
20* NBA Trailblazers -13 and 10* NBA UNDER 194½
20* NBA Celtics +11½ and 10* NBA OVER 208
20* NBA Bucks +7½ and 10* NBA UNDER 195

[Can'tPickAWinner]

8 Unit Side Play · [54] Minnesota Wild
Chase Diamond Sat Jan 10th, 2015 2:05pm EST
Expert Preview: Chase`s 8* NHL SURE SHOT. Chase Diamond has one sure winner on the Ice today Don`t miss this early winner.
Expert Analysis: 8* PLAY ON WILD

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executives baskets

600% - san diego univ

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MARCO 3*

texas st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

4* Alab/Tenn. over 123

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ESSLER 3* Baltimore

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Neri

4* New England

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VEGAS SHARP

5 Units
522 Indiana U. +1.5 over Ohio St.

4 Units
558 Purdue -1 over Maryland
I fully expect people to pound Maryland like last game. I'll wait until game time to get +1 or better.
4 Units
620 Notre Dame +2 over Virginia

3 Units
542 Creighton PK over Seton Hall

3 Units
596 Oklahoma St. -2.5 over Texas
Might go down in morning.

2 Units
661 Long Beach St. -1 over UC Davis

4 Units
119 Indianapolis Colts +7 over Denver Broncos

1 Unit
119 Indianapolis Colts ML +260

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr Bob

3* Georgia Tech
3* Northeastern
3* Central Michigan
3* UNC Greensboro
2* North Carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ocal Sports

Rider -3
Vanderbilt +9
Troy +19
St. Joes +16

NFL
(3) Ravens +7
(5) Car @ Sea Under 38.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cajun Sports

5* New England
4* Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RIVER CITY SHARPS

CBB GOLDEN ANGLE

Always take an unranked home favorite over a ranked road dog when the line is between PK and -3. Interestingly enough, there are currently four plays falling into this angle. You would be playing:

Creighton

Purdue

TCU

Oklahoma State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EXEC

NFL:
300% New England

College Hoops:
600% San Diego
300% Tennesee
300% Texas State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

sleepyj | NFL Side Sat, 01/10/15 - 8:15 PM †Í
triple-dime bet 114 SEA -10.5 (-110) (http://www.pregameaction.com/?page_id=7?AflId=37021)BetOnline (http://www.betonline.ag/) vs 113 CAR Analysis: The Seattle Seahawks are playing championship caliber football right now. Playing in Seattle will pose a great challenge for Carolina. Let's face it Carolina is not a "GOOD" team. They come from a bad division and beat a even worse team in the playoffs. Cam Newton is clearly banged up and i guarantee he will feel the after effects from the AZ game in this one. He will be hit left and right and i can see SuperCam folding up under pressure. We will see him in pain in this one and i would not be shocked if Seattle took him out of this game and we see Derek Anderson...Yards for Carolina will be very hard to come by with a limited offense. Carolina managed a nice 386 yards Vs. AZ. Arizona also turned the ball over and they had a horrible 3rd down conversion rate. 3-12. Carolina controlled that for 37 minuÙtes. The AZ defense not only was banged up but on the field with no help from the offense. Seattle is coming off a full weeks rest and a big win at home Vs. St. Louis...I was much against this Seattle team for weeks and weeks. I had to come to the realization that this is the super bowl champs here. They finally got the offense rolling now and that's just scary. The defense is playing like the defense we all remember. Seattle has givin up a total of 37 points in 6 games...Let's repeat that..SEATTLE has given up 37 points in 6 games!!...That a avg of 6.1ppg...That's almost unheard of. They did it against teams just like Carolina on offense..SF, StL, AZ,..they did give up 14 to Philly..I'm not saying Carolina will only score 6 points in this game but i have a gut feeling it will be pretty damn close. Carolina WR Benjamin will be taken out of this game and so will the weak running attack of Carolina...WHo is going to score for this team against this defense?...Right, maybe the kicker for Carolina Graham Gano. The scoring for Carolina facing the #1 defense in football will be very little. So we need points from Seattle. Well with 2 weeks to prepare and a grinding run game i fully expect Seattle to put points on the board. Let's face it here this is a dress rehersal for Seattle. They need to get the offense rolling in this game to face Dallas who they lost to this season, or Green bay who can score with the best QB and WR core in the league. Seattle will not just score enough and lay down. They need to work on getting the ball to WR Baldwin, Richardson & Lynch out of the backfield...I fully expect Russell Wilson to have a good game passing and running the ball...guys Seattle is a championship team..Carolina is lucky they even got here and faced a bad AZ team. This is a blowout plain and simple. The only thing we have to worry about in this game is the backdoor cover. The way Pete Carroll coaches this team i doubt that happens. One thing about Carroll he loves to win and to win big at times. This is one of those times in a tune up game...I would not touch Carolina with a substantial amount of points here. I would honestly need 3 touchdowns to consider backing this team in this spot on this turf Vs. this team..No way am i touching Carolina..They will get bombed in this game....Seatlle 34-13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN

300 ♦AFC Playoff
Total of the Year

UNDER – Ravens-Patriots

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ARLON SPORTS

(CBB)

Creighton pk
Duquesne +8
Maryland +1.5
N Texas +2.5
S Alabama +4
Fresno St +3.5
Virginia -2
Long Beach -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports
NHL
7* Penguins

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFLBetting Picks / Kevin

2 UNIT = Carolina Panthers @ Seattle Seahawks – PANTHERS +10.5 (-108)
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 1.85 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

godfatherlocks

Carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fat jack

Balt +7
Over Seattle 39

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Higgs

4* Patriots
4* Panthers


4* Penguins
4* Sharks


4* Evansville
4* North Carolina
4* Portland State
4* NC Wilmington
4* Oral Roberts
4* Cleveland State
4* Sacramento State
4* UCSB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MILLIONAIRES CLUB
small
carolina under 39.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports bank
strong 400*
baltimore over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Just Cover Baby

Saturday, Jan. 10

4* Baltimore +6½
3* Seattle -13


Sunday, Jan. 11

5* Indy/Denver Over 53½
4* Indianapolis +7
3* Green Bay -5½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux
10* nba detroit -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Mac

Open ended Order – Seattle Seahawks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

OC Dooley

2 Units Wyoming -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SB Professor Original NFL Picks 1/11

System Play:
Denver -7

Version 3 (1/10)


NE -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rooster
618 College of Charleston -5.5
709 Montana -3
712 N Colorado -3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sheep
Over 208 Boston
Loyola Marymount +20
Over 188 Charlotte / NYK

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nfac:
Added tulsa +5 $400

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goldrush capping


gold play of the century : Seattle


silver : Over pats/baltimore

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RAS Totals
DePaul/Nova under 146.5


Long Beach State / UC Davis over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Lab

10 units: Texas A&M +14
10 units: Arizona State +5.5
5 units: SE Missouri State +4
1 unit: Drexel +6.5
1 unit: Iowa State +4
1 unit: Austin Peay +5.5
1 unit: Louisiana Monroe +6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Analysis by Mike O'Connor




NEW ENGLAND (-7) 28 Baltimore 20




Sat Jan-10-2015 at 01:35 PM Pacific Rotation: 112 Over/Under 47.5




There has been a lot of discussion this week about how familiar these teams are with one another and how the Ravens seemingly have the Patriots number, having won two of the past three post-season meetings. While it makes for a great story, it doesn’t tell us a lot about what is going to happen in this game. These are different teams with different strengths and weaknesses and three games is not quite a large enough sample size to be significant. To me, this game essentially boils down to a Patriots team that is far more balanced on defense than they have been in recent years facing a Ravens team that has some strengths that could really pose problems for New England.


As we know by now, New England is a sneaky good team that outperforms their stats by doing a lot of little things well. While their offensive efficiency numbers don’t jump off the page they are good enough to be in the top ten driven by their very good passing offense (averaging 368 total yards at 5.6 yppl against teams that allow 336 yards at 5.4 yppl). They can run the ball when the match-ups dictate that they do so, but that won’t be the case in this game. Baltimore has an impressive rush defense that allows just 86 yards at 3.7 ypr to teams that gain 110 yards at 4.2 ypr on average. As a result, New England will attack primarily through the air against a Ravens pass defense that is their weakest link.


The Ravens defensive strengths are their rush defense and their pass rush. Baltimore has a formidable group along the defensive line that can both stop the run and rush the passer and linebackers in Terrell Suggs and Elvis Dumervil that have contributed 29 sacks this season. The pass rush has been on fire recently with the Ravens averaging 4.1 sacks in their past 12 games and what they accomplish in terms of pressure in this game will go a long way in determining the outcome. While a lot has been made of the Ravens pass defense, my metrics say that they haven’t been that bad from an efficiency standpoint overall in allowing 6.1 yps to teams that gain 6.6 on average, partly as a result of their sack numbers but also because of better play in the secondary from Lardarius Webb in the second half of the season and good overall play from safety Will Hill after being inserted into the lineup in Week 7. While the Patriots offense is difficult to defend, the Ravens match up fairly well.


Baltimore has been able to count on superior performances from Joe Flacco in the playoffs with a well-documented run to the Super Bowl in 2012 and now five straight postseason games with a passer rating over 100. The Ravens have won five consecutive playoff games, including three straight on the road and Flacco’s seven career road playoff wins are the most by any quarterback in league history. His season long stats this year are fairly impressive (239 passing yards at 6.8 yps against teams that allow 241 yards at 6.5 yps) and he has been fortunate enough to have a very good ground game to lean on driven by Justin Forsett (1,266 rushing yards at 5.4 ypr). Facing a New England defense that has been about average overall from an adjusted yppl perspective the Ravens will have to grind out yards, not make big mistakes and convert yards into touchdowns. That’s easier said than done against a Patriot defense that has been opportunistic in pulling down 16 interceptions and have played well defending the red zone (ranked #8 with a 47.8% opponent touchdown rate).


Some of the Patriots success this season has been determined by luck as they have fumbled 13 times and only lost 4 while their opponents have fumbled 20 times and lost 9 for a +5 net. On the other side, the Ravens have had slightly positive fumble luck overall. New England has the AFC’s best overall turnover differential at +12 while the Ravens are +2. Also, an interesting coaching match-up is former Patriots defensive coordinator Dean Pees, who is now defensive coordinator for the Ravens, matching wits with Tom Brady and the Patriots offensive coaches. Brady is one of the best at identifying the defense pre-snap and getting the Patriots into the right play so the chess match should be interesting.


The Ravens appear to match up pretty well with the Patriots with a strong pass rush on defense and the ability to control the ball on offense. My model only predicts a 4.5 point New England victory but the Patriots qualify in several good playoff match-up situations that are 68-31-2 and 61-22-1 as well as a 110-60-4 statistical match-up situation that is 14-9-1 in the playoffs. I like the situations for the Patriots but I don’t like the match-ups. I’m going to pass but offer a weak lean to New England minus the points.




***SEATTLE (-11) 30 Carolina 9




Sat Jan-10-2015 at 05:15 PM Pacific Rotation: 114 Over/Under 39.5




Carolina is on a roll having now won five straight games after last week’s 27-16 thumping of the Cardinals at home. The Panthers were impressive in that game with a suffocating defense that allowed just 97 yards at 2.2 yppl (adjusted yardage total), registering four sacks and generating three turnovers. However when I looked a little further at their five game win streak and just used those games in running my numbers, it became apparent that the Panthers are still not a good team and have compiled some impressive non-adjusted stats against bad competition. The adjusted stats tell a little bit of a different story, however. Just using those last five games (against teams with a combined record of 33-47 – with Arizona being the only winning team (0-3 with Lindley) their rush defense wasn’t quite as impressive as it appears. In those five games they allowed 80 yards rushing per game at 4.3 ypr to teams that average 95 yards at 3.9 ypr for a -.4 dypr so they were nearly a half yard worse than their opponents average in stopping the run. Using season long stats they are also below average in allowing 4.6 ypr against teams that gain 4.3 ypr on average for a similar -.3 dypr. Not having one of their best run defenders this week in Star Lotulelei (out with a broken foot) certainly won’t help as they face the best rushing team in the league in the Seahawks who average 174 yards at 5.5 ypr against teams that allow 112 yards at 4.4 ypr.


Offensively, the Panthers are a bad passing team any way you slice it. Using season long numbers the Panthers are -.6 in yps. Using just those last five wins, the numbers are similar as well (averaging 200 passing yards at 6.4 yps against teams that allow 255 yards at 6.9 yps). Cam Newton was way off last week against the Cardinals, missing multiple open receivers and not seeing others. My projections show this match-up to be a major advantage for the Seahawks as their pass defense allows a league best 185 yards at 5.4 yps against teams that gain 248 yards at 6.6 yps. What makes matters worse for the Panthers is that their speed wide receiver, Philly Brown, left last week’s game with a shoulder injury and if he plays will likely be compromised in this game. Without a legitimate downfield threat to stretch the field, the underneath stuff will get all clogged up and Newton will make some mistakes with the ball. Playing this game on the road with the noise that their offense will be facing (and with several rookies along their offensive line making their first road playoff start), the Panthers pass offense is going to struggle. While the Panthers have played valiantly in losing their last three to the Seahawks (all in Carolina), Newton has not played well. In those three games he has engineered only one touchdown drive in 28 possessions with a Total Quarterback Rating of 28.7. He has averaged 145.6 yards passing and 34.6 yards rushing per game. Again, all of those games were in Carolina. It’s going to be much more difficult for their offense in Seattle. Their best and really only chance at offensive success lies with their rushing offense where they have been very good recently. The problem is that they are facing one of the best rush defenses in the league in Seattle that allows 82 yards at 3.6 ypr to teams that gain 110 yards at 4.2 ypr. The Seahawks will clearly be focused on shutting down the run and will likely be successful. If the Panthers have trouble rushing the ball as I expect they will, it’s going to be a long day for their offense.


On the other side, the Seattle offense will get a boost this week with the return of center Max Unger, who is their best offensive lineman and excels in the run game. With his return coupled with the Panthers loss of defensive tackle Lotulelei, the Seahawks will have a strong ground advantage offensively. If the Seahawks can get their run game going as I suspect they will, the pass game will open up. Seattle has an underrated pass attack that averages 6.6 yps against teams that allow 6.4 yps and will be facing a Carolina pass defense that has been good since making changes in their secondary. However, Carolina is still young and inexperienced on the back end and will be starting three rookies in their defensive backfield. In addition, the Panthers have had trouble with Russell Wilson as he has completed 71.1% of his passes for an average of 247 yards per game and a 91.8 QB rating in their three meetings.


The Panthers were in a good spot to play well last week against a hapless Cardinals offense but they are in a terrible spot in this game. The Seahawks qualify in a number of good playoff match-up situations that are 68-31-2 and 61-22-1 and benefit from a negative 28-49-1 situation that plays against the Panthers. In addition, Seattle qualifies in another 110-60-1 situation that is 14-9-1 in the playoffs. Teams that have won a playoff game after a .500 or worse regular season (Carolina) have not been good in their next game, going 0-5 ATS and losing by an average score of 18-38 as an underdog of nine points on average. Seattle is 24-2 SU at home in the Russell Wilson era and playoff teams that win the game with a line between -8 and -14 are 49-19-2 ATS. In addition, the Seahawks are 9-2 all-time in home playoff games and have won 7 in a row. Carolina also qualifies in a negative 20-56-3 playoff situation with 8-33-2 and 3-18-1 subsets (the 3-18-1 subset is on dogs of 10 or more) that play against them. I don’t see Carolina winning this one and my model supports that notion with a predicted 15.3 point edge pointing Seattle’s way. I don’t typically play on a lot of large favorites but this one is too good to pass up. Play on Seattle -11 for 3-stars and for 2-stars at up to -13.