3-28-15

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::clap::

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Steven Gallagher wepicksports

College Basketball
Arizona -1 (-115) 8* 6:05 EST {Diamond Selection}

Notre Dame +11.5 5* 8:50 EST

NBA
Milwaukee +5 6* 8:35 EST

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PUCKING HOCKEY

LA Kings vs Minnesota Wild

Getting Red-Hot At The Right Time, Again

The Kings just being the Kings winning 3 straight on the road and staying alive in the playoff race. Either the Kings get lucky at the right time every season, or head coach Darryl Sutter is the ultimate hockey genius.

I have been watching hockey for 20 years and I always credited Mike Babcock as the best coach I have ever seen in my life time. But Sutter has pushed him down the rankings. And for a guy who can barely speak, it amazes me how he can lead a hockey team to the Stanley Cup Finals, 2 out of 3 seasons.

According to the players, Sutter mumbles under his breath about players when they make mistakes, and the players make sure they correct those mistakes. I’ve always believed in never yelling at the players, when I coach I always keep a positive attitude and don’t use negativity. Clearly Sutter thinks the same way, and it works.

LA Kings Injuries

Tanner Pearson F Out Indefinitely (leg)
Jarret Stoll F Day-to-Day (upper body)
Slava Voynov D OUT FOR BEING A SCUMBAG!

LA Kings Trends and Stats

Los Angeles has the best shots against in the league allowing 27.1 per game
Kings vs Wild Free NHL Hockey Pick and Prediction
Kings vs Wild Free NHL Hockey Pick and Prediction

Back To Back Situation, At Home

The Wild took care of the Flames Friday night with a demanding 4-2 victory. I was hoping for this kind of blowout win from the Wild, especially where they fired over 35 shots on the Flames.

The Wild have lost 3 of 7 at home before Friday’s game and now they have to play host to the LA Kings, tonight. Will Dubnyk be back in net? I am 99.9% sure he will play in the back to back situation, especially since he only faced 23 shots Friday night. Which is about average.

Minnesota Wild Injuries

Keith Ballard D Out Indefinitely (upper body)
Kyle Brodziak F Day-to-Day (upper body)
Ryan Carter F Out Indefinitely (shoulder)
Matt Cooke F Out Indefinitely (lower body)
Nate Prosser D Out Indefinitely (lower body)
Jason Zucker F Out Indefinitely (clavicle)

Minnesota Wild Trends and Stats

NHL Starting Goalies

LA Kings – Jonathan Quick
Minnesota Wild – Devan Dubnyk

For Minnesota’s sake, they better get ready for a hard hitting game tonight. They only delivered 11 hits last night, and the Flames only delivered 7 hits. The Wild had it easy as the game was a pretty fast paced game.

That won’t happen tonight.

The Wild blew their load Friday night blowing out the Flames. They completely dominated the Flames and controlled the puck for most of the game, firing over 35 shots on net. I can’t see them pulling that style of game off again. The Flames are OK but they are no LA Kings, so the Wild had it pretty easy on Friday.

The Kings are heating up and will go into Minnesota tonight, play a hard-hitting playoff style game, both teams will rely on a tight fore-checking style, but LA will come out with the victory. Minnesota will eventually wear themselves out due to the back to back situation, and lose this game.

This game should go one of two ways. Either the Kings get up on Minnesota early, forcing them to rely on their d-men to join the rush (which will lead to odd man rushes for the Kings) OR it’s a tight game down to the third period where the Kings will eventually be victorious.

Besides all that being said. LA has the much more potent offense, defense and goaltending. I wish I didn’t already release a top pick of the month for March, because this would be one…….(do as you please)

LA Kings +105 (risking $1,000 to profit $1,050) “TOP PICK OF THE DAY”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Nashville won last three games, allowing four goals. Washington won four of its last five.
-- Anaheim won five of its last seven games.
-- Arizona won last two games in OT, after losing previous eight games.
-- Rangers won seven of their last nine games.
-- Lightning won four of their last five games.
-- Florida won three of its last four games.
-- Ottawa won seven of its last eight games.
-- Blue Jackets won eight of their last nine games.
-- Los Angeles won its last three games, allowing five goals. Minnesota won six of its last seven.
-- Dallas Stars won nine of their last twelve games. Canucks won five of their last seven.


Cold teams
-- Sharks lost four of their last six games. Philly lost four of its last five.
-- Islanders lost six of their last seven games.
-- Penguins lost six of their last seven games.
-- Boston lost last six games, with three of last five in OT/SO.
-- Detroit lost eight of its last eleven games.
-- Canadiens lost last two games, allowing eight goals.
-- Carolina lost seven of last nine games. Devils lost last three games, outscored 9-3.
-- Toronto lost its last seven games, outscored 29-11.
-- Blues lost three of their last four games.
-- Sabres lost four in row, 11 of last 12 games. Colorado lost last three games, all by one goal.


Series records
-- Predators lost their last four visits to Washington.
-- Flyers lost nine of last ten games with San Jose.
-- Islanders lost three of last four games with Anaheim.
-- Penguins won four of last six games with Arizona.
-- Rangers lost five of their last six games with Boston.
-- Red Wings lost seven of last eight games with Tampa Bay.
-- Panthers lost four of last five games with Montreal.
-- Devils won five of last six games with Carolina.
-- Senators won three of last four games with Toronto.
-- Blues won five of last seven games with Columbus.
-- Road team won four of last five LA-Minnesota games.
-- Sabres lost their last eight games with Colorado.
--


Totals
-- Under is 5-1-3 in last nine Nashville games.
-- Five of last seven San Jose road games went over total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Anaheim road games.
-- Four of last five Pittsburgh home games went over.
-- Last five Ranger road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-1 in Lightning's last four visits to Detroit.
-- Seven of last eight Florida road games stayed under.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven New Jersey road games.
-- Nine of last eleven Ottawa road games stayed under.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Columbus road games.
-- Under is 5-0-2 in last seven LA-Minnesota games.
-- Four of last five Colorado home games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Vancouver home games stayed under.

Back-to-back
-- Columbus is 4-8 on road if it played night before.
-- Minnesota is 4-5 if it played the night before.
-- Dallas Stars are 3-7 id they played night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Hawks won six of last seven at home; they clinched home field thru the Eastern Conference playoffs last night (3-5 last eight AF).
-- Bulls won four of their last five games (4-1 last five HF).
-- Golden State won its last seven games (6-1 vs spread).
-- Thunder won four of its last five games (6-3 last nine AF).
-- Portland won last two games, allowing 89-81 points, after losing five in row before that (5-2 last seven HF).

Cold Teams
-- Charlotte is 2-8 in last ten games, losing in double OT last night (4-2 last six HU).
-- Knicks lost their last six games (1-5 vs spread).
-- Milwaukee lost six of last seven games (1-3 last four HU).
-- Utah lost five of its last six games (4-1 last five HU).
-- Nuggets lost four of their last six games (6-3 last nine AU).

Series Records
-- Hawks won eight of last ten games with Charlotte.
-- Knicks lost eight of last ten games with Chicago.
-- Warriors won their last three games with Milwaukee.
-- Thunder won seven of last nine games with Utah.
-- Nuggets lost their last seven games with Portland.

Totals
-- Six of last seven Charlotte home games went over.
-- Six of last eight New York road games stayed under.
-- Under is 9-4 in Golden State's last 13 road games.
-- Last nine Oklahoma City road games went over.
-- Five of last six Portland home games went over.

Back-to-Backs
-- Hawks are 2-4-1 vs spread on road if they were at home night before. Charlotte is 3-5 at home if they played night before.
-- Knicks are 5-9-1 on road if they played night before.
-- Golden State is 7-5 on road if it played night before.
-- Jazz is 3-2 vs spread at home if they played night before.
-- Denver is 1-5 vs spread if it won night before; Portland is 8-7 when it had played the night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | NEW YORK at CHICAGO
Play Against - Favorites of 10 or more points (CHICAGO) a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor offensive team (88-92 PPG), after a win by 10 points or more
54-23 since 1997. ( 70.1% | 28.7 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 3.0 units )

NBA | GOLDEN STATE at MILWAUKEE
Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) after playing a road game, playing with 3 or more days rest
86-28 since 1997. ( 75.4% | 41.2 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.2 units )

NBA | ATLANTA at CHARLOTTE
Play On - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (ATLANTA) good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (<=33%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's)
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )
7-3 this year. ( 70.0% | 3.7 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

CBB | ARIZONA at WISCONSIN
Play On - Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (ARIZONA) after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers against opponent after a game committing 8 or less turnovers
115-62 since 1997. ( 65.0% | 46.8 units )
16-8 this year. ( 66.7% | 7.2 units )

CBB | NOTRE DAME at KENTUCKY
Play Against - Neutral court teams (KENTUCKY) a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games
29-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.7% | 24.8 units )
3-7 this year. ( 30.0% | -2.6 units )

CBB | ARIZONA at WISCONSIN
Play Under - Neutral court teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 in a game involving 2 slow-down teams (<=55 shots/game) after 15+ games
218-132 since 1997. ( 62.3% | 72.8 units )
26-12 this year. ( 68.4% | 12.8 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with N.C. State (+3) on Friday and likes Kentucky on Saturday.

The deficit is 585 sirignanos.

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Hondo

NCAAB

Kentucky, Arizona, Michigan State, Gonzaga

Champion: Arizona over Gonzaga

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EZWINNERS

NCAAB

4* (514) Wisconsin Badgers +1.5

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Wizard's Dubai World Cup Selection


Race 9 Wagering strategy


trifecta 5-9 with 5-9 with all = $21 for a $1.50 wager
trifecta 5-9 with all with 5-9 = $14 for a $1 wager
dime superfecta 5-9 over 1-5-6-9 over 1-2-5-6-9 over all $10.80 for a 10 cent wager

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Sports Insights Plays 59 Play on NYR -107 51 Play on NAS +110 65 Play on NJD +119

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Sports Insights Plays
59 Play on NYR -107
51 Play on NAS +110
65 Play on NJD +119

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PAUL LEINER
100* NBA – Hawks -2.5
100* CBB – Arizona -1
50* CBB – New Jersey Tech -2.5

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Harry Bondi
5 Arizona
3 Kentucky

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ATSWins LOCKCLUB

CBB
4* Notre Dame +11.5
4* OKC/Under 195

NHL
4* Buff/Under 5.5

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Dave Aquino

Bulls - 16 1/2
Ottawa - 1.5
Canisius + 2 1/2

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Fat Jack

#504 Chicago over 189
#506 Mil under 200.5
#512 Kentucky under 136.5
#514 WisKy +1.5

[golden contender]

Big Saturday: 100% NBA Total of the Year undefeated system dates to 1995. Elite 8 Round 6* 100% Total and 5* early side + Florida and LA. Derby analysis. Friday top play cashes with Gonzaga. Free College play below.



On Saturday the Free Play is on NJ.IT. also know as New Jersey Tech. Game 516 at 7:30 eastern. They are laying just a few points here at home and have some clear cut advantages over Canisius. Tech has won 13 of 15 at home and has covered all 4 lined game vs winning teams. They are 5-0 this year vs teams who allow 64 or less points per game. Canisius is under .500 vs winning teams and are 0-3 when the total is 140 to 145. Looking at the RPI Scale NJ Tech has won 4 of the last 5 vs teams ranked 150 to 200 while Canisius has lost 5 of 8 vs teams ranked 150 to 200. Take NJIT. On Saturday the NBA Total of the year from an Undefeated Totals system that dates to 1995 and beats the average line by over 20 points. In NCAAB Tournament action the lead play is a 100% 6* Totals release and a powerful 5* side. Friday NCAAB top plays now 8-2 after cashing on Gonzaga. Both Derby preps the Florida and LA. Derby analysis is included. Jump on now and out the most powerful data in the industry on your side tonight. For the free play take New Jersey Institute of Technology. GC

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Greg Shaker

3* ND/KY Over 136

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SLEEPY J

3* – Arizona

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Las Vegas Pipeline

CBB
15* Arizona Wildcats

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Strike Point Sports
6* Wisconsin

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VSI CBB
3 Unit Play. Take #513 Over 133 Arizona at Wisconsin (6:09p.m., Saturday March 28 TBS)

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Allen Eastman
6* Arizona -1

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Docs
8* Arizona

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Ben Burns NHL

10* Detroit ml

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Machine

Blazers
Arizona

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Don Anthony GOM Total

Arizona/Wisconsin U133.5

*Line is at 131.5 now with most sportsbooks*

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Shieldbet

Soccer:
1 Unit - Earthquake +0.5
1 Unit - NYC to win
1 Unit - Timbers +0.5

Hockey
1 Unit - Ducks to Win
1 Unit - Senators to Win in Regulation

Basketball
1 Unit - Warriors -5

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Brandon Lang


75 DIME ROUND OF 8 TOURNAMENT GAME OF THE YEAR



Notre Dame +11

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Allen Eastman NBA

7* Charlotte

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Doc NBA

4*- Knicks
3* Knicks UNDER
4* Mil
4*- OKC
3* Den

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Big AL
3* Arizona -1.5 ELITE 8 TOURNEY $$$-MAKER!
Opinion Kentucky -11 82% ATS NCAA TOURNEY ELITE 8 HIGH ROLLER!

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Pointwise
Kentucky 1*
Ariz 5*

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King Creole

3* Thunder / Jazz Under 197

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DHAYES2 (MLBx)

1* White Sox -120

1* Angels -127

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WAYNE ROOT

PERFECT PLAY – Notre Dame

INNER CIRCLE – Arizona

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PNW Picks

Warriors/Bucks over 201.5
Hawks -2.5
Thunder/Jazz under 197
Warriors -4.5
ND/UK over 136.5
Arizona -115
Canadiens ml
Penguins -1.5

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Bill Hilton- Gameday

2- Wisc
1- ND

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VSI
3* Unit Play. Take #505 Golden St -5 over Milwaukee (8:35 p.m., Saturday, March 28)

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Frank Patron

20,000 Unit Elite 8 Move


Kentucky Wildcats -11 over Notre Dame

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Rainman

HAMMER
Blazers -8

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Cajun Sports

GAME: Notre Dame Irish vs. Kentucky Wildcats 8:45 PM EST

RATING: 5* (#511) Notre Dame Irish +11

The question was can the Wildcats handle the type and style of play the Mountaineers would attempt to force upon the Cats in their Sweet 16 matchup. As we expected no one associated with our bureau had any doubt Kentucky would defeat the West Virginia Mountaineers but like many others we didnae t expect a thirty-nine point blowout. One of the most incredible facts from that game is Kentucky didnae t need to score a single point in the second half to get the victory as West Virginia scored a total of 39 points for the game while Kentucky scored 44 in the first half. The upset talk has subsided to some degree doubting Notre Dame will be able to pull off what would be a major upset but we do not go by what others say and think. The Irish had a rather slow start to the Big Dance failing to cover against their first two opponents as chalk but dominating their Sweet 16 foe Wichita State as two-point underdogs winning 81 to 70. The Irish used the hot hands of guards Demetrius Jackson and Pat Connaughton how combined to shoot fourteen of twenty-two for thirty-six points in the win. Notre Dame as a team shot fifty-five percent from the floor in their win over the Shockers and they will need a similar performance tonight to advance to the Final Four. On the technical side we find the Irish with solid support across the board. Notre Dame coming off three straight victories are 56-35 ats overall. If the Irish won against the spread in their last game and the total went Over now playing on the road they are 9-2 against the number in this situation. Kentucky has struggled against the spread when coming off an ats win as a favorite and installed as a favorite in the current contest, their record is 40-62-1 ats. If the Cats won su and ats while going Under the posted total and now installed as the favorite they are just 8-20-1 ats. We want to Play AGAINST CBB postseason teams in this price range coming off back-to-back games that went Under the posted total because these teams are 9-20 ats their next time out. We want to Play ON CBB postseason underdogs coming off a su win and going Over as an underdog in their last game because they are 51-32-3 ats. If our underdog is playing away from home during the postseason under the same parameters they are 48-30-3 ats. The net results of the technical elements point to an Irish ats victory on Saturday night. The BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 3.62 points. Our BBMM projects a point differential of 8.08 points with a line range of +10.5 to +13. For those of you that do not follow Cajun Sports on a regular basis the BBMM is projecting a line differential of only 2.92 which means Kentucky is a -2.92 favorite based on the current line of -11 minus the BBMM average of 8.08 points which gives us Kentucky -2.92. Our BSIM Matrix has the Fighting Irish with a 73.81 percent advantage against the spread in tonights contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has an offensive-defensive differential of 6.49 with a transitional average of 42.05 and a conversion rate range of 47.68 to 49.03 percent in tonights contest. With solid support from the situational elements as well as the technical side we will take the double-digits with the Irish on Saturday night. Notre Dame

GAME: Arizona Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers 6:05 PM EST

RATING: 5* (#513) Arizona Wildcats -1

The Badgers and Wildcats are set for the rematch of their Elite 8 affair a year ago with Wisconsin holding on in overtime to win by a single point 64 to 63. The Wildcats had last summer to get over that loss and the Basketball Gods have given them a chance for a little redemption. The Wildcats are 11-3 ats in the postseason coming off a su win in their last game. The Cats are 7-1 ats on the postseason road coming off a su win their last time out. We want to Play AGAINST NCAAB postseason underdogs who are coming off a su win and going Over in their last game, 42-69-3 ats. If those underdogs are in the current price range from pickem to -3.5 they are 7-17-3 ats. We want to Play ON road favorites in the postseason coming off three consecutive games where they were installed as the favorite, 67-43-2 ats. Our BTPR Index projects a point advantage of 7.33 points. The BBMM projects a point differential of 6.95 points with a line range of -1 to -3. The BSIM Matrix has the Arizona Wildcats with a 73.52 percent advantage against the spread in tonights contest. The Pace-Tempo Matrix has an offensive-defensive differential of 5.18 with a transitional average of 40.3 and a conversion rate range of 47.84 to 49.91 percent in tonights contest. We know that small chalk (pk to -3.5) playing away from home with a BTPR average of 6.75 or better and a BSIM average of 72.85 percent or higher have been money posting a record of 47-17-2 ats winning the last seven of these by double-digits. The Wildcats also qualify in our Reverse Momentum Index as they are trending solidly in positive territory while the Badgers have been dropping since the last week of the regular season. The Badgers trend line in the Index has them in the red with no indication of that changing tonight. With solid support across the board for the Cats we will back them here as they get a little revenge for that Elite 8 loss last season. Arizona


NCAA Basketball TOTAL Selection(s):

5* UNDER 137 (projected 132.5) #511 Notre Dame vs. Kentucky 8:45PMEST

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VSI
7 Unit boxing
Gary Russell Jr -180

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James Jones

NCAAB-Notre Dame University(+11)-108...(3*)
NBA-Oklahoma City Thunder(-6)-104...(2*)

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Worlds Worst Picker

Ncaa

Arizona
Njit

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winyourwagers

Kentucky/N.D under 137

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Executive

300 un ND

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Marc lawrence 5* play of the year ARIZONA

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JASON SHARPE

4 Unit Play Take #514 Wisconsin +1 over Arizona (6:09pm est):

3 Unit Play Take #511 Notre Dame +11 over Kentucky (8:45pm est):

3 Unit Play Take #515 Canisius +2.5 over NJIT (7:30pm est):

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MIKE DAVIS

4-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 132.5 – Arizona vs Wisconsin (Saturday, March 28th at 6:05 p.m.) My spreadsheet has Arizona winning this game by a final score of 71-70.

4-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 136.5 – Notre Dame vs Kentucky (Saturday, March 28th at 8:45 p.m.) My spreadsheet has Kentucky winning this game by a final score of 81-70.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner:


2000* CBB Over 136 Notre Dame/Kentucky


500* NBA Over 199.5 Warriors/Bucks


100* NBA Hawks -2.5


100* CBB Arizona -1


50* CBB NJ Tech -2.5

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charlie sports

500
irish over 136
wildcats-11
golden state under 202

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PREDICTION MACHINE

AGAINST THE SPREAD PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times)

Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick% $ Calc

514 6:09 PM WISCONSIN “UPSET WATCH” vs ARIZONA 1.5 1.2 55.6% $34

511 8:49 PM NOTRE DAME vs KENTUCKY 11 -8.9 52.7% $3



STRAIGHT-UP PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times)

Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win%

512 8:49 PM Kentucky Notre Dame 75.5 66.7 82.3%

514 6:09 PM Wisconsin “UPSET WATCH” Arizona 69.2 68.0 55.2%



OVER/UNDER PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times)

Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% $

512 8:49 PM NOTRE DAME vs KENTUCKY 137 142.2 Over 56.1% $39

514 6:09 PM ARIZONA vs WISCONSIN 133.5 137.2 Over 54.6% $23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nover
NBA Premium Picks
Top Pick
League Date Time (ET) Matchup Pick
NBA Mar 28 ,2015 10:05p [509] Denver Nuggets
[510] Portland Trail Blazers Denver Nuggets +9-105
at 5dimes (http://www.cappersmall.com/forums/redirect-to/?redirect=http%3A%2F%2Faffiliates.5dimes.com%2Ftra cking%2FAffiliate.asp%3FAffID%3DAF000189%26mediaTy peID%3D220%26AffUrlID%3D229)
The Nuggets are a much improved team since Melvin Hunt replaced clueless Brian Shaw. Denver is 8-6 under Hunt and can prove dangerous in the right spot.
This is a good spot for the Nuggets.
Both Denver and Portland are off excellent victories last night. But the Trail Blazers carry a much higher fatigue rating. This marks their fourth game in five days and first home game following consecutive road wins against the Jazz and Suns.
Portland has a weak bench - made weaker by the absence of Wesley Matthews - and plays again on Monday at home against Phoenix while the Nuggets won't play again until Wednesday. That should ensure an all-out effort by the Nuggets.
Yes, motivation can be a factor for non-playoff teams such as Denver, but the Nuggets have triple revenge incentive. They are a much different team now than the previous three times the Trail Blazers playe d and defeated them.
Ty Lawson must play well for the Nuggets to be competitive. There are strong indications that is going to happen. Lawson has been performing well putting up 18 points and nine assists in an easy victory against the Jazz Friday night. This is what Hunt said about Lawson following that win, "The kid is playing some of the best basketball I've seen him play. That speed is special. It's a special weapon."
Lawson may be the quickest point guard in the NBA. He's caused Portland problems in the past averaging 24.7 points and nine assists in the first three meetings. Portland has an excellent point guard, too, in Damian Lillard. But Lillard has logged major minutes this season and the four games in five days factor could affect him a great deal against Lawson.
Under Hunt, the Nuggets have gone 7-1 ATS the past eight times following a straight-up victory. They also have covered in five of their last seven road matchups.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ATS
4* Arizona -1.5
4* Note Dame Under 136

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JIMMY BOYD

4* Elite 8 ATS Massacre — ARIZONA -1.5

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Gordon24

$400 BUCKS +4.5

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VegasButcher

Denver Nuggets +9

Triple-revenge is at stake here as the Nuggets try to avoid getting swept on the season. Denver is coming into this game playing their 3rd one in 4 nights. The last two games have been blowouts though and I think fatigue won’t be as big of an issue here. Besides, the Nuggets have better depth than Portland, who have lost a lot of it when Matthews went down. Just like Denver, Portland is also in a ‘fatigue spot’. They’re actually playing their 4th game in 5 nights with all 3 previous games being fairly close (even the loss to GSW was close until the late 2nd half). Portland’s starters had to exert a lot more energy than Denver’s players last night, and I think fatigue will be a bigger concern for the home team here. Denver is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 and 5-2 ATS in the last 7 on the road. I think we’ll see a close game tonight and I’ll grab the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegasButcher

Arizona Wildcats -1

There's a reason a #2 seed is favorite over a #1 seed in this game - Arizona is a better team. While both teams are top-10 offensively (#1 WIS and #7 ARZ), the real difference is on the defensive end. Arizona has the 3rd ranked defensive in all of college basketball. By comparison, Wisconsin is only 50th. They rank in the bottom-50 in defensive TO-rate and in 3PT% allowed, two key metrics in college basketball. Without any ability to force turnovers and by allowing opponents to shoot over 37% from the 3PT line, it's hard to compete against the 'best' teams in this tourney on a consistent basis. UNC was 8 for 13 from the 3PT line and only had 4 TO's in the game against the Badgers, a game that UNC could have easily won. At times they looked like the 'better' team in that one and if not for the Meeks injury (he only played 14 minutes), UNC could have easily pulled off an upset. I think we'll see Wisconsin fall to the Wildcats tonight. Arizona is coming off a great game themselves where they played a physical, tough Xavier squad, and I expect them to be ready to exact some revenge on the Badgers for ending Arizona's season last year. Two great offenses in this one but only one team has an elite D. I'll back that team tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph

Trophy Play - Wisconsin

Trophy Play - Notre Dame / Kentucky Under

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Ness

Arizona
NJIT
Thunder

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Chris Jordan

1000* Arizona

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Worlds Worst Picker

NBA

Knicks
Hawks

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Jeff Alexander

5* Notre Dame +11

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OC Dooley

2 Units Hornets

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MIKE DAVIS (NBA)
4-Unit Play. Take #501 Atlanta -2.5 over Charlotte (Saturday, March 28th at 7:05 p.m.)
My spreadsheet has Atlanta winning this game by a final score of 102-95. The key components in this matchup are: recent form, depth & overall talent.
Atlanta is one of the top teams in the league while Charlotte is struggling to make the playoffs in the “mighty” eastern conference. Both teams are a little banged up as Teague is expected to miss tonight’s game for Atlanta and Kidd-Gilchrist could miss for Charlotte. Atlanta is deep at every position and when one person has a bad game the others pick it up. Charlotte doesn’t have that luxury. The Hornets have lost eight of ten including a hard fought overtime loss last night at Washington. Charlotte would have to play one of their best games of the year to win tonight and I just don’t see that happening. I like Atlanta’s depth on the road vs a struggling Charlotte team.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ALLEN EASTMAN (NBA)

7-Unit Play. Take #855 Charlotte (+2.5) over Atlanta (7 p.m., Saturday, March 28)
I love the Bobcats today. This line says it all. Charlotte is not a playoff team and the Hawks are one of the best teams in the NBA at 54-17. Charlotte should be a much bigger underdog here. Charlotte pulled the upset in the first meeting this year, winning in overtime at home. The Bobcats are 2-1 in their last three meetings against the hawks. Atlanta will probably be resting some players in this game too and that gives another edge to the home team. Atlanta is just 1-3 ATS in their last four games and they did not look good in a win at Orlando this week. They were lucky to cover that spread and I don’t think they will be as lucky here. This is the second game in two nights for the Hawks and their third game in three different cities since Wednesday. They will not be motivated for this one. Charlotte is going to pull the upset in this one and I will collect bit in the process.