4-13-15

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::handshake::

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Bucks (+1) on Sunday and likes the Mets on Monday.

The deficit is 748 sirignanos.

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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | PORTLAND at OKLAHOMA CITY
Play Against - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record
34-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.6% | 21.9 units )
4-5 this year. ( 44.4% | -1.5 units )

NBA | NEW ORLEANS at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Home teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) cold team - having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days
134-55 since 1997. ( 70.9% | 52.7 units )
3-6 this year. ( 33.3% | -8.0 units )

NBA | MILWAUKEE at PHILADELPHIA
Play Against - Home teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (PHILADELPHIA) cold team - having lost 15 or more of their last 20 games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
101-53 since 1997. ( 65.6% | 42.7 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | OAKLAND at HOUSTON
Play On - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (OAKLAND) good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing
117-75 over the last 5 seasons. ( 60.9% | 46.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | NY YANKEES at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 16-5 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (5.4) , OPPONENT (2.9)

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Hondo

Hondo’s in the money

Hondo clawed his way back into the black Sunday when the Padres showed the Giants who their daddies were, which enabled him to load up his account with 15 pinsons.

Monday: Mr. Aitch will go with Leake, the Cincinnati whiz kid, to throw a wet blanket on Jonny Lager’s second start at Wrigley Field — 10 units.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

EZ's Plays For Monday

One strike away from a 3-0 sweep on Sunday, but LaTroy Hawkins struck again for the Rockies to blow the save and the game. Still a profitable day on the diamond. Two plays on my card for Monday. Best of luck!

-EZ


MLB

3* (957) Miami Marlins -$110

1* (954) St. Louis Cardinals -$170

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DAVE SCANDALIATO

3* BROOKLYN NETS +2 at home versus the chicago bulls.

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Paul Leiner

100* Royals -135
50* Tigers -115

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SOCCER BETTING MASTERS

England » Premier League » Liverpool – Newcastle Utd

Opinion:Liverpool, -1(Asian handicap)

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SPORTS LOCKSMITH

MLB
Detroit -107 2* (1:35 Eastern)
Miami +103 2* (7:10 Eastern)
Cincinnati +122 1* (8:05 Eastern)

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SIMON CERBONE (Soccer)

SWEEDEN ALLSVENSKAN (UNDER 2.5 +102) BK HACKEN @ GIF SUNDSVALL (1PM)

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Justin Michael Sports

2 Units - Yankees (Pineda) +105

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James Jones

2* MLB-Washington Nationals ML+120
1* MLB-Minnesota Twins ML+117

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Rockdeman Sports

MLB System Play - Orioles

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Mid American Sports (MLB)

New York Mets -1.5 +125
St Louis -1.5 +120 (almost went 2 units on this play)
San Diego -1.5 +140
Kansas City -1.5 +115
Arizona/San Diego Over 6.5
Milwaukee/St Louis Over 7.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Rockets won four of their last six games, covered four of their last five.
-- Bucks won four of last six games, clinched playoff spot Sunday.
-- Hawks won four of their last five games (4-0-1 vs spread).
-- Nets won six of their last seven home games.
-- New Orleans won six of its last nine games.
-- Dallas won last three games, scoring 123.7 ppg. Jazz won six of its last eight games.
-- Warriors won 14 of last 16 games (1-3 vs spread in last four). Memphis won four of its last six games.
-- Clippers won last five games but are 1-4 vs spread in last five games at Staples.

Cold Teams
-- Hornets lost last four games, covered one of last six.
-- 76ers lost their last eight games (3-5 vs spread).
-- Detroit lost four of last six games, but covered four of last five. Cavaliers lost last two games, scoring 84 ppg.
-- Knicks lost eight of last ten games (4-1-1 vs spread in last six).
-- Orlando lost last two games by total of three points. Miami lost six of its last seven games.
-- Bulls lost three of their last four road games.
-- Minnesota lost its last ten games (2-6 vs spread last eight).
-- Thunder lost five of last six games, may be without Westbrook (suspension) tonight. Portland lost three of last four games.
-- Lakers lost six of last seven games (2-5 vs spread). Sacramento lost eight of its last nine.
-- Nuggets lost five of their last seven games.

Series Records
-- Rockets won their last eight games with Charlotte.
-- 76ers lost their last five games with Milwaukee.
-- Cavaliers won five of last six games with Detroit.
-- Hawks won four of last five games with New York.
-- Heat won eight of last ten with Orlando, but lost last two.
-- Bulls won five of last seven games with Brooklyn.
-- Pelicans won their last four games with Minnesota.
-- Portland won five of last seven games with the Thunder.
-- Mavericks won their last eight games with Utah.
-- Lakers won six of last eight games with Sacramento.
-- Warriors won three of last four games with Memphis.
-- Clippers won three of last four games with Denver.

Totals
-- Last five Houston-Charlotte games stayed under.
-- Five of last six 76er games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Detroit-Cleveland games stayed under.
-- Three of last four NY-Atlanta games went over.
-- Five of last six Orlando games stayed under total.
-- Last six Chicago-Brooklyn games stayed under.
-- Over is 7-3 in last ten New Orleans-Minnesota games.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Portland-Okla City games.
-- Last four Utah games went over the total.
-- Last three Laker games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Memphis-Warrior games stayed under.
-- Seven of last nine Denver-Clipper games.

Back-to-Backs
-- Rockets are 7-4 vs spread on road if they played night before. Charlotte is 4-7 at home if they were on road night before.
-- Bucks are 6-4 on road if they played night before.
-- Pistons are 1-7 on road if they played at home night before.
-- Hawks are 2-2-1 at home if they played night before.
-- Nets are 1-3 at home if they played on road night before.
-- Pelicans are 13-6 if they played night before.
-- Thunder is 11-5-1 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Dallas is 5-8 on road if it played night before.
-- Lakers are 8-6 on road if they played night before. Kings are 1-3 at home if they played night before.
-- Denver is 5-6 on road if it played night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Junkie

04/13/15: MLB Detroit vs Pirates (1:35 pm est.)

$500 MLB Play: Pirates ML -116 (bovada (http://www.bovada.lv/)) <------ (PENDING)

Key TRENDS for this game:
Tigers are 6-13 in their last 19 games as a road underdog.
Tigers are 4-9 in their last 13 interleague road games.
Tigers are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
Tigers are 3-8 in their last 11 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Tigers are 7-20 in their last 27 interleague games as a favorite of +110 to +150.
Tigers are 2-5 in Sanchezs last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Pirates are 8-2 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.
Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Pirates are 22-6 in their last 28 interleague games as a favorite.
Pirates are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Pirates are 22-8 in their last 30 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Pirates are 8-3 in their last 11 interleague games.
Pirates are 21-8 in their last 29 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Pirates are 13-5 in their last 18 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. American League Central.
Pirates are 17-7 in their last 24 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Pirates are 42-18 in their last 60 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Pirates are 37-16 in their last 53 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Pirates are 37-16 in their last 53 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Pirates are 36-16 in their last 52 games as a home favorite.
Pirates are 38-17 in their last 55 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Pirates are 15-7 in their last 22 games following a win.
Pirates are 36-17 in their last 53 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Pirates are 35-17 in their last 52 interleague home games.
Pirates are 39-19 in their last 58 home games.
Pirates are 5-0 in Coles last 5 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Pirates are 5-0 in Coles last 5 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Pirates are 4-0 in Coles last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Pirates are 4-0 in Coles last 4 interleague starts.
Pirates are 7-1 in Coles last 8 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Pirates are 6-1 in Coles last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
Pirates are 5-1 in Coles last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Pirates are 13-3 in Coles last 16 starts as a home favorite.
Pirates are 13-3 in Coles last 16 home starts.
Pirates are 17-6 in Coles last 23 starts as a favorite.
Pirates are 11-4 in Coles last 15 starts.
Pirates are 11-4 in Coles last 15 starts on grass.
Pirates are 19-7 in Coles last 26 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Pirates are 10-4 in Coles last 14 starts during game 1 of a series.
Tigers are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.
Tigers are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Pittsburgh.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

MLB

10* Orioles
8* Padres

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Steel City Cappers

1* Pirates-130

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Andre Ramirez

20 Dime Blue Jays -136

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5 Unit Side Play · [953] Milwaukee Brewers
Louisville Slugger Mon Apr 13th, 2015 4:15pm EDT

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Diamond Dog Sports

#952: Mets: -1.5 (+130) (.5*)
Harang/DeGrom

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POWER PLAY WINS

POD- NBA Sacramento Kings -4

[golden contender]

Monday card has the NBA Last home Game play of the Year From a 97% Last home Game system. In MLB Action its the 29-1 N.L. Game of the Month, a5* Road warrior blowout system wining by an average 5 runs per game and a Perfect Double system afternoon dog. Free MLB Totals play below.




The Free MLB Totals play is on the over in the Tampa Bay at Toronto game. Rotation numbers 965/966 at 7:05 eastern. Both teams have been tearing the cover off the ball in the early stages of the season. This game has a solid totals system that is cashing 76% long term and pertains to both teams in the first game of a series with the home team, scoring 10 or more on the road and the opponent also putting up at least 5 runs on the road. Tampa has Odorizzi on the mound and he has pitched over in 32 of 3 starts vas Toronto and is not nearly as effective on the road as he is at home. Toronto counter with Knuckle baller R.A. Dickey and he has gone over in 4 of his 5 home start vs The Rays. Look for this one to post over the the total tonight. On Monday 4 powerful games led by the Last home Game Play of the Year from a 97% Power system. In MLB action 3 bigs are up and one is the 29-1 National League Game of the Month, the others a 5* Blowout with a Diamond Cutter system thats winning by an average 7-2 score, finally an afternoon Perfect system dog. Jump on now and start the week big with the most innovative data in the industry. For the free play take Tamps and Toronto to play over the total tonight. GC

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SPORTS HANDICAPPER KING

Ross Raposo:

Cincinnati mlb (8:05 edt)

freeloader back Tuesday

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Brandon Lang

20 Dime selection is Nets over the Bulls.

The current line on this game is +1 in Vegas and offshore.

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James Manos

Marlins

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ATSwins Lockclub

4 Bulls -1.5

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ultra sports

kansas city
dodgers
baltimore

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Handicapper Zone

2* Red Sox Over 8.5

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Hall of Fame Picks

958 Atlanta Braves S Miller(-115)

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SB Professor Original

MLB Picks 4/13- EARLY GAMES

No early plays

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Frank Patron

20,000 Unit NBA Move


Chicago Bulls -1 over Brooklyn

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GP From Vegas

MLB:
Royals-125
Yankees+105
Giants-132
Blue Jays/Rays Over 8.5

NBA:
Rockets/Hornets Over 199.5

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Sports Insights

4:10 ET MLB Minn +125

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J.R STEVENS SMOOTH44

MLB: Washington +125

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Nover 2* jazz -11

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SB Professor Original

MLB Picks - LATE GAMES

Follow:
Texas +126

Fade:
LA Angels -137

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WAYNE ROOT

MILLIONAIRE – Brooklyn Nets

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SB Professor Original

NBA Picks

System Play:
Charlotte +12

Addtl Play:
Miami -7

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INDIAN COWBOY (MLB)

7-Unit Play. #955. Take Over 7.5 Runs Colorado vs. San Francisco (Monday @ 4:35pm est) We roll with an early over this afternoon between these two teams in what should be a relatively high scoring game. Both these pitchers have not faced the other team which typically does not bode well for offense, but that is likely not the case here. Note that Colorado has scored at least 5 runs in each of its first 6 games of the season coming off back to back losses. They start Eddie Butler, who won 5-4 against the Brewers in his last start but was a bit fortunate considering he gave up 4 walks in that start. He faces a Giants team that comes off losing 3 straight to San Diego on the road and who is itching to get back on track offensively and what better way to do it against Butler who comes off a win but is in for a perfect let down spot. The Giants offense desperately wants and needs ot get jump started and that likely happens here as this team begins their season opener this afternoon. Combine that with the Giants sending Heston to the mound who helped his team 5-2 in his first contest being called up from Triple A which was a success, look for him to have a let down here as well against a Rockies team that comes off back to back losses themselves. You have two pitchers both in for let downs, two offenses that are likely to do well here as once comes off back to back losses and the other returns home after getting swept on the road in San Diego. The Over is 6-1-1 for the Rockies as an Underdog and 12-3-1 when they face a right hander as well and note that the Over is 10-4 for the Giants as a home favorite of -110 to -150 as well.

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Doc Nba

5*- Dal/Uth Under 189
3*- Clippers -16
3*- Clippers Over 216

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Billy Sharp - Michigan Godfather

5 Units - Angels Moneyline

3 Units- Marlins Moneyline

3 Units- Dodgers Moneyline

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We Pick Sports

NBA:
Brooklyn +2.5 10* 7:30 ET {Diamond Selection: Game of The Week}

MLB
Arizona (+140) 8* 10:10 ET {Diamond Selection: Under Dog of The Week}

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VegasButcher - MLB 9 – 4 for +5.00 Units

New York Yankees +103

Pineda was sharp in his first outing of the season (6 inn, 6 K and 1 BB, with 2 ER’s allowed), but what impressed me the most was his ‘changeup’, a pitch that at times looked downright filthy. Pineda has always been known as a fastball/slider guy, but it’s pretty clear that he’s developing his ‘changeup’ to be an excellent pitch as well. Orioles will probably feature 4/5 lefties against him tonight, and if Pineda continues to throw his changeup effectively, I believe he should be able to neutralize this Orioles lineup. Wei-Yin Chen has a 5.0 ERA in his career against the Yankees and he allowed 15 hits and 2 BB’s in his 11 innings against them last year. He had control issues in his first start of the season and will take on a veteran Yankees lineup that ranks 5th so far in BB% on the year. I like NY’s chances in this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegasButcher - NBA 207 – 177 @ 55% for +12.3 Units

Cleveland Cavaliers -6.5
Milwaukee Bucks -2
Chicago Bulls -2.5
Portland Trail Blazers +8.5

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Port Port Sports

NBA - MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES (+14)

MLB
NEW YORK YANKEES (+105)

1ST 5 INNINGS: TAMPA BAY RAYS (+120)

ATLANTA BRAVES (-105)

OVER 7 MIAMI MARLINS @ ATLANTA BRAVES (-115)

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BASEBALL TED (MLB)

Miami Marlins +100

New York Yankees +103

Cincinnati Reds +122

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STEVE RANDALL (NBA)

Milwaukee -3

Chicago-2

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PNW Picks

Padres
Astros
Angels
Cubs
Mets
Braves

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Larry Ness' 10* Division G.O.M. (new week / new start!)-MLB

My 10* Division Dominator (AL West) is on the Oak A's at 8:10 ET.
The Oakland Athletics went 3-4 at home to open the 2015 season and take to the road for the first time this season when they begin a 10-game trek with a three-game series against the Houston Astros on Monday. Oakland had won THREE of its first five games in the homestand but wasted a four-run, ninth-inning rally when Tyler Clippard served up a solo HR to Nelson Cruz in the 10th, handing the Athletics their second straight extra-inning loss (lost 5-4 in 11 innings on Saturday). Houston returns home after taking two of three at Texas over the weekend. The Astros needed extra frames to capture the rubber game Sunday, as pinch hitter Hank Conger belted a two-run shot off Logan Verrett in the top of the 14th before Samuel Deduno escaped a bases-loaded jam in the bottom half to help the Astros even their record at 3-3.
A pair of veterans are set to face off in the series opener when Oakland southpaw Scott Kazmir will counter Houston righty Scott Feldman. It will mark the first of 19 meetings between the two division foes in a series that has been controlled by the A's since the Astros made the move to the American League West before the 2013 season, as Oakland is 26-12 against Houston these last two seasons. No one could have predicted Scott Kazmir’s performance in 2014. He set a career-best win total with a 15-9 record while the All-Star's 3.55 ERA was his best since 2008. From April through July, he was 12-3 with a 2.37 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and .215 opponent batting average. However, in August and September, he was 3-6 with a 6.05 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and .285 OBA, though he ended the season with a win in Texas, allowing two runs -- one earned -- in seven innings on Sept 26. All in all, the A’s were 21-11 in his 32 starts, which is his most games started since 2007 with Tampa Bay.
The left-hander took the mound Wednesday night against the Texas Rangers looking prove a two-month letdown at the end of last season wasn't indicative of a regression to the kind of pitching that had him out of the major leagues two years prior. After a 2-0 spring with a 1.00 ERA in four starts, he was plenty confident and so was his manager. "I don't know how you get much better than that," Bob Melvin told MLB's official website. "When you look up there and see his ball-strike ratio is like 23-to-5 in his first 28 pitches, you know he's on it." Kazmir was superb in his season debut, limiting the Rangers to one hit and two walks while striking out 10 over seven scoreless innings of a 10-0 win.
Scott Feldman also pitched well in his first outing of 2015, allowing just one run and five hits over 6.2 innings against Cleveland, but was saddled with the loss due to a lack of offensive support. Since recording a career-high 17 victories with Texas in 2009, the 32-year-old has hit double digits in losses in FOUR of the last five seasons, including back-to-back 12-loss campaigns in 2013 and 2014. Feldman owns a 5-8 record and 5.55 ERA in 26 career games vs Oakland, including 17 starts (teams are 5-12 and his ERA in those starts is 5.97).
The 31-year-old Kazmir is looking to prove his first campaign with Oakland was no fluke and his first start got him heading in the right direction. The lefty is 2-1 in seven career starts vs the Rangers (teams are 5-2), posting a 3.32 ERA while holding Houston to a .233 average. It also bodes well here (for us Oakland bettors) that Houston was just 21-26 vs lefties last season and in 32 night games vs lefties, averaged just 3.6 RPG. Oakland’s recent domination of the Astros (see above) continues tonight with the A’s grabbing a comfortable win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baseball Prophet

Royals

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Chris James Sports

Reds

Yankees

Royals

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Dom The Dominator

Dom's pick for 4/13/2015

NBA Rockets-11 1/2 over Hornets 6pm

NBA Magic+7 over Heat 6:35pm

NBA Nuggets+16 over Clippers 9:35pm

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OC Dooley

2 Units Cubs -135

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MLBPredictions / Brent

Athletics @ Astros Pick for April 13th, 2015
The first week of baseball is officially in the rear view as it was great to see the boys of summer back which signals nice weather and lots of baseball ahead. We already have had a near no-hitter (Sonny Gray, Trevor Bauer and relievers), a three-homer game by Adrian Gonzalez against the Padres, two 6-0 teams in the AL Central, and the first serious blow of the Red Sox-Yankees rivalry as Clay Bucholz was pummeled for 7 runs in the first inning of their Sunday Night game in the Bronx. Monday’s games brings us some afternoon action as well as some days off, but we do have a handful of night games on the schedule so let’s take a look at an AL West matchup to open up the second week of the Major League Baseball season.

Oakland Athletics @ Houston Astros

My Pick – UNDER 8.5 (-110)

The Oakland Athletics will travel to Houston tonight to open up a ten-game road trip by taking on a divisonal rival in the form of the Houston Astros. It will be a battle of the veterans this evening as Scott Kazmir looks to build on a stellar first start of the year opposite Scott Feldman for the Astros who also pitched very well to open his season but took a tough luck loss in the process. Kazmir struck out ten over seven innings while allowing just an infield single and two walks in his season debut in Texas last Wednesday. Kazmir has always pitched well against Houston as the lefty is 2-0 over five starts with a 1.83 ERA and 36 strikeouts over 34.1 innings against the Astros. For his part, Feldman gave up only one run on five hits over 6.2 innings against the Cleveland Indians last week but ended up in the loss column despite the strong effort. What is even more impressive and likely unknown about Feldman is that he has tossed eight straight quality starts dating way back to August 20th of last season, and his owns a 1.87 ERA over that stretch. Run support has been the demise of Feldman over his last several starts. In his last five starts, he owns a 1.84 ERA. He also owns an 0-3 record while receiving just five runs of support over those five starts. Houston just doesn’t seem to hit the ball for Feldman and it seems they are struggling to do that for any of their pitchers to start this season. As a team they are hitting only .195 on the season while players that were relied upon to provide the bulk of the offense like Evan Gattis (0 for 20, 12 strikeouts), last year’s AL Batting Champion Jose Altuve (5 for 26) and George Springer (4 for 23, 10 strikeouts) have not found their grooves to this point. The Oakland bats were among the worst on the road in the AL last year as their .234 batting average away from O.Co Coliseum was the fourth-worst mark in the junior circuit. Take the UNDER 8.5 tonight in a matchup of crafty veterans at Minute Maid Park in Houston.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BETTING AS A BUSINESS

NBA

Philadelphia +2 / Milwaukee 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
(Play ON Philadelphia)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STEEL CITY CAPPERS

1* Baltimore -105

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Rocky's Lock Club

10* LA Angels/ Texas OVER 9

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Sports Insights

PHI 3.5-110
ORL 6.5-110
NO -13-110
TB +125
TEX +130

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
NBA
7* Clippers

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Top Notch Sports Pics
9-0 last 9

Dodgers ML