4-24-15

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::clap::

[golden contender]

Huge Friday card has 1st Round NBA Total Of the year with a 100% System, and a Triple system Double Perfect NBA Playoff side in the late game. There is also a Historical NHL playoff system and a Perfect MLB League Wide Dominator system. NBA Top plays on a 20-8 run. Free NBA Play below.


The free NBA Game 4 Historical super system side is on Toronto. Game 741 at 7:05 eastern. The Raptors laid an egg at home and need to save a little face here. On Tuesday we told you that teams who win game 1 on the road like Washington were just 4-23 in game 2 of round 1. Well. Washington became team number 5 to win both games on the road. So one begs the question. What happens to these home teams in game 3? Well, your answer is below. They fall flat on their face and go 0-4. The sample is small. But the feeling is Toronto will give their best game here, as they know if they get down 3-0, the can start making their vacation plans. The Wizards are a dismal 1-8 ats at home off a dog win and have failed to cover 5 of 6 at home off a 10+ road spread win. Last year Washington took the first 2 in round 1 in Chicago then lost straight up as a 3 point favorite at home in game three. This starting to make a little sense here?. Look for Toronto to at the very least get the cover. On Friday the 1st Round 100% NBA Total of the Year headlines the card along with a Triple system Double perfect side in the late NBA Game. In Bases we have a Never lost Dominator system and an NHL Historical power system. Start the weekend big. Jump on and cash out with the most innovative Data in the Industry. For the free play. Take Toronto. See the historical data below, included for your viewing pleasure. GC





HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-nil @ VV:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 2-games-nil with site order VV (Washington) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games records
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 104-24 (.813)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 22-10 (.688)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 18-3 (.857)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 3-1 (.750)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 71-57 (.555)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 11-21 (.344)
Game 3 record, NBA only, all rounds: 12-9 (.571)
Game 3 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 0-4 (.000) Washington

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Top Notch Sports Pics

Dodgers Money line*

Other plays...
Spurs -4
Mavericks -1

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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | HOUSTON at DALLAS
Play Over - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season, in April games
49-20 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.0% | 27.0 units )
13-7 this year. ( 65.0% | 5.3 units )

NBA | HOUSTON at DALLAS
Play Against - Home teams vs. the money line (DALLAS) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival
76-38 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.7% | 35.5 units )
8-5 this year. ( 61.5% | 0.2 units )

NBA | HOUSTON at DALLAS
Play Over - All teams where the first half total is greater than 105 after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, on Friday nights
121-66 since 1997. ( 64.7% | 48.4 units )
7-3 this year. ( 70.0% | 3.7 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | BOSTON at BALTIMORE
Play On - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL
33-13 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.7% | 21.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | MINNESOTA at SEATTLE
MINNESOTA is 55-39 (+31.1 Units) against the money line after batting .240 or worse over a 15 game span over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: MINNESOTA (4.5) , OPPONENT (4.2)

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Goodfella

3.5*
(biggest baseball play of the season so far)
is on the Yankees.

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Hondo

Hondo wins again!

Hondo, who snapped a five-game losing streak Wednesday night with the Reds, won his second straight Thursday when Sure-Bet Locke and the Pirates came through to reduce the accounts payable to 190 rolfes.

Friday night: Mr. Aitch will go with the favored Yankees to quell some of the Metamucil hysteria — 10 units on Pineda.

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Spartan

3* Washington -3.5

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Hall of Fame Picks

907 St. Louis Cardinals C Martinez(-129)

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For today on April 24 we have the following bet(s) under my original MLB betting system:


San Francisco Giants {A} bet - Official bet!


Chicago White Sox {B} bet - Unofficial bet (does not pass RPI filter)


Cleveland Indians {A} bet - Unofficial bet (does not pass RPI filter)


Remember to bet on the +1.5 run line if it is offered, or the money line if it is not offered.


Make sure to observe the following Exterminator system guideline:


In the month of April: Bet aggressively on all the qualifying bets under the original MLB system by risking an additional 5% on every wager you make. Risk a flat percentage of your bankroll for all your wagers under the Exterminator system.


Also, please keep in mind the following filters of the system:


- Do not bet on a team whose road record winning percentage is in the bottom 10% in the league if they are playing on the road


- Play is only official if the RPI value of our team is no more than .015 lower than opponent's.


- Play is only official if our team is not playing against a top 2 highest ranked RPI team


Note that the system plays are official only when they pass all the filters above. If they fail to pass any filter, then the play is considered unofficial.


Regards,
Tony Chau, author of the best-selling Exterminator Betting System

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Cleveland Insider

NBA
Mavericks pk

MLB
Marlins+1.5
Brewers +1.5
Indians +1.5
Rays -1.5
Twins +1.5

NHL
Senators +1.5
Wild +1.5

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Ben Burns

MLB 10* Personal Favorite!
Detroit Tigers

10* NHL BLUE CHIP Super Total! — Under 5 – Minnesota vs St Louis

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EZWINNERS

MLB

2* (909) Giants -$101
2* (917) Indians RL+1.5 (-$165)
2* (922) White Sox -$101

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PAUL LEINER

100* NBA – Over 203.5 – Spurs/Clippers

100* MLB – Royals -115

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GamePlan

10* Orioles
5* Rays
3* Yankees
3* Rockies
3* Phillies

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R&R Totals

Nationals/Marlins UNDER 7.5

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Worlds Worst Picker MLB

Reds
Boston
Toronto
LA Dodgers

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POWER PLAY WINS

Power Play Of The Day

MLB: New York Yankees -135 (w/Pineda)

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BEN BURNS

10* NBA MAIN EVENT! — Dallas Mavericks -1

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Steve budin

new york crew – 50 dime – washington wizzards

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World's Worst Picker


Wasington Wizards


Houston Rockets


San Antonio Spurs

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STRIKE POINT SPORTS

7-Unit Play. Take #742 Washington (-4.5) over Toronto (8:00 p.m., Friday, April 24)
The Wizards have been the better bad team through two games. They made plays when needed in both games in Canada and have a comanding 2-0 lead in the series as they head home. Washington has the advantage at seemingly every position and with John Wall and Brad Beal both breaking out in game 2 the chances the Raptors come back are looking slim. Neither team has played its best in the first two ugly affairs but Washingto looks like the more focused squad. The Raptors are beat up and could be on the verge of being broken. Kyle Lowry looks like a shell of his early season MVP caliber self and their frontcourt is having their fair share of trouble with the Wiz big men. Toronto is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 quarterfinal games, 0-5 in their last 5 games overall against the spread, and 1-8-2 in their last 11 friday tilts. Look for the Wizards to step on their throats tonight to go to 3-0. Washington 101-88.

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Jack Jones

20* Houston / Dallas Under 214.5

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Jeff barone
(nba playoffs) sa -4 la clippers (935pm)
(mlb) miami +103 washington (7pm)
goodfellas
(mlb) toronto/tampa bay under 7.5 -125 (7pm)
(mlb) minnesota/kansas city under 6.5 -110 (10pm)
sydney st george
(mlb) baltimore -106 boston (7pm)
(mlb) ny mets/ny yankees under 7 -115 (7pm)
(mlb) san francisco -105 colorado (84

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Friday Brandon Lang

50 Dimes - Houston Rockets +1 visiting the Dallas Mavericks, 7:00 PM EST

Free play - New York Mets +121 visiting the New York Yankees

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Scott Spreitzer:

Triple dime: LAC+4

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SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS

Free Play: Dallas -1 vs Houston

MLB Service Plays

Baltimore -105 vs Boston

Detroit RL -1.5 +165 vs Cleveland

Seattle RL -1.5 +110 vs Minnesota

NBA Service Plays

San Antonio -4.5 vs LA Clippers

NHL Service Plays

Pittsburgh vs NY Rangers Over 5 +110

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Pickem Sports
(3-2 yesterday) 4-7 overall

4/24 picks

Cardinals 6*
Mavericks pk 6*
wizards -4 6*

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SB Professor Original MLB Picks

Follow:
Milwaukee +125

Fade:
St Louis -135

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VegasButcher (NBA)

Playoffs - 4 – 5 @ 0% for -1.5 Units

Future: Dallas Mavericks +1.5 games for the Series

Friday Night

Dallas Mavericks PK

The Mavs are 0-2 but they’re at home for this one and I believe this is a great spot for them to grab a win in this series. This team had an average margin of -8 in game 1 but in game two that average margin was only -3.7 as the game was much closer. Houston went on a huge 19-4 run in the 4th quarter to seal the game away as Dallas ran out of steam, but the Mavs showed that they CAN compete with the Rockets. Remember, Houston needed a career game out of Josh Smith and an unusual FT-shooting day from Dwight Howard just to win this game. In addition, Dirk Nowitzki was very inefficient going 3 for 14 from the field, many of them missed open looks. I think these things should even themselves out, especially once the series shifts to Dallas. The biggest factor in Mavs’ favor of course is the fact that “Cancer” Rondo won’t be available for the rest of the playoffs. After Rondo tried to “sabotage” game 2 (I have no other ways of describing it really), he finally got the boot and will miss the rest of the post-season with a “back issue”. He will not be allowed near the team. Basically Rondo is suspended with pay. Good thing for the Mavs is that Devin Harris is playing tonight. I thought he’d suit up for game 2 but I guess he needed a little more time. Him and Barea should be able to dominate the matchup against Terry/Prigioni. Expect the Mavs to shoot better than 37% in this one. Defensively, Mavs need to clean things up. Chandler needs to step up a bit even though he’s often the only ‘plus’ defender for the Mavs on the floor. Aminu could also provide another spark with his D and hustle like he did in game 2. Overall, Mavs can tighten things up a bit on that side of the court. Regardless, I think Dallas still has some life left in them and it starts with today’s game.

Los Angeles Clippers +4.5

Zigging and Zagging all the way to game 3 now in this series. People often quote ‘zig zag’ in their NBA playoff handicapping, but it usually works best when you have two fairly even teams. That’s the case in this series. Clippers and Spurs are the 2nd and 3rd best ranked teams in the NBA this season. So after losing game 2 in OT, Clippers head out to San Antonio. I think they have an advantage in this game. First, Tony Parker’s injury has to be discussed. You have to remember that he flat out left the floor in game 2 of a tightly contested game to never even attempt to return. That automatically tells me that his issue is a little more serious than everyone is trying to let on. And even if he’s good enough to suit up today, his effectiveness will be minimized. Remember, as efficient as the Spurs are offensively, they still need a player who can facilitate the offense. Those two players are Parker and Ginobili. One is injured and the other one is old, turnover-prone a bit, and just can’t play major minutes at this point of his career. This should be an issue for the Spurs tonight. Another factor in LA’s favor is that Tim Duncan is coming off a 44-minute game, which is a ton for him. He carried the Spurs in game 2 jacking up 23 shots and grabbing 11 boards. But all this usage definitely had an effect on him. By the end of the game and in OT Duncan looked really fatigued. He was catching entry passes very close to the 3PT line, clearly unable to fight physically to get better positioning closer to the basket. Don’t get me wrong he still made a huge basket in OT, the off-balanced running shot across the lane as he was falling down, but that was pure luck it went in. In any case, my point is that I doubt that Duncan will carry the Spurs offense tonight. Someone else will have to step up but who? Leonard is the obvious choice but he’s already doing a ton, and on both sides of the court to boot. Splitter seems hurt, Diaw is ‘off’ right now (missed a couple of easy bunnies last game and is way too slow footed on D), Mills is an excellent spark-plug but he can’t run the offense consistently, Belinelli is too big of a liability on the defensive end and I doubt that shooting fall-away jumpers over athletic 7-footers like he did in game 2 is his game. Danny Green and Tony Parker have the ability to contribute of course but Parker is hurt and Green can’t create on his own. I guess the only person left is Ginobili. He’s going to have to play a great game tonight in order for the Spurs to win, but I’m not sure he has a ‘great’ performance in him. Here’s how he fared in his last few games from the field: 3-7, 1-3, 1-7, 3-10, 2-6. He’s 10 for 33 (30%) in his last 5 games including 5 for 16 in the two game against the Spurs. He’s also committing TO’s at an increased rate, 13.7% of the possessions, his highest mark since his rookie year. Unless Parker rediscovers his form (doubtful – he was 0-6 for 1 point in game 2 after all, prior to leaving) the responsibility to create offensively will fall on Ginobili. And it’ll be interesting to see how he responds. After the way the Spurs persevered in game 2, I think this one is going to be a major ‘let down’ game for this team.

As far as Clippers are concerned, they really don’t need to make too many adjustments. Sure DeAndre Jordan could improve his FT-shooting, but even though he went 6-17 on those, remember all those extra possessions Clippers gained via offensive rebounding? I don’t think I’ve ever seen a team gain more offensive boards off missed FT’s than the Clips in game 2. Jordan’s shot is perfect for those as he zips his FT-attempts which carom off the rim very hard. LA has a lot more athleticism than the Spurs and thus they’re able to come up with a good number of those. But overall, improved FT-shooting wouldn’t hurt. Blake of course needs to be less careless with the ball (5 TO’s in game 2) especially in crunch time. Barnes could make more than 10% of his shots. But most importantly I think Chris Paul needs to just take the game over more. I know Spurs put Green and Leonard on Paul late, but for the first 3 quarters San Antonio used Parker on him, and mostly changed things up when Parker left the game. I think Paul needs to take this game over right away, instead of waiting to do it in the 4th quarter. If he does, this one could be out of reach by then. Regardless, I think there’s way too many points being given to LA in this one. I think they’re a ‘better’ team tonight (Parker – injured, Duncan – fatigued) and I think they’re a ‘better’ team even when all players are fully healthy. This is my favorite play of the post-season so far.

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Dave Cokin -Friday 4/24 Wise Guy Report

Several games drawing sharp action. I capitalized the three with most defined splits.

Giants

Red Sox

INDIANS

White Sox

ASTROS

YANKEES

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Dave Essler's plays 4/24

Mia (+100) 3***
KAN / 922 CWS Over 8 1*
NYY (-135) 1*
PIT / 912 ARI Over 8 1*
CWS (-115) 1*

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Justin Michael Sports

Rough day yesterday MLB going 0-2, but still up +7 units YTD

Friday, April 24th 2015 at 6:05pm CST – New York Mets (Degrom) vs New York Yankees (Pineda)

2 UNITS ON NEW YORK METS FIRST 5 INNINGS +120

Friday, April 24th 2015 at 7:10pm CST – St Louis (Martinez) vs Milwaukee (Garza)

2 UNITS ON ST LOUIS -133

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Bryan Rosica 100 dime
clippers

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Indian Cowboy NBA
5* Dallas Mavericks OVER 214

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VSI MLS
7* Seattle Sounders

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ultra sports mlb

kansas city
kansas city over

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JR ODonnell | NHL Money Line - Dime Play St Louis Blues

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Spartan

MLB Dime Play - Detroit Tigers

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Nsa

FRIDAY PICKS(NSA "THE LEGEND")
25* MLB Giants +105
20* NBA Mavericks pk
20* MLB Yankees -135
10* NBA Raptors +5
10* MLB Orioles -105
5* MLB Nationals -115

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James Jones

3* NBA-Toronto Raptors(+5)-112
2* NBA-Los Angeles Clippers(+5)-110

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----

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Top Notch Sports Pics

Adding

Detroit Tigers ML

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Greg Shaker

2* Colorado Over 10

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Sports insights

ariz
clev
sf
bos

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ROBERT FERRINGO (NBA PLAYOFFS)

3-Unit Play. Take #739 Houston (+1) at Dallas (7:00 p.m., Friday, April 24)

2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 215.5 Houston at Dallas (7:00 p.m., Friday, April 24)

Houston has done a nice job of getting everybody involved offensively and used a rejuvenated Dwight Howard to spark a second half surge and a 2-0 series lead. They head into Dallas tonight with thoughts of a sweep and the status of the Mavs locker room is in series doubt. Dallas acquired Rondo at the trade deadline with hopes of getting to another conference or even NBA finals. There has been little to write home about since they got him due to a lack of cohesion with him and egomaniac coach Rick Carlisle. Carlisle has gone as far as saying that he doesn’t think Rondo will ever put the Mavs uniform on again answering with a hard ?NO!? when asked that exact question. No Rondo, No Chandler Parsons, an aging Dirk and Tyson Chandler, and overall disarray will lead to the Mavericks exit. The Rockets are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings,5-1 ATS in their last 6 overall, 6-0 ATS in the last 6 quarterfinal games, and the under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Rockets go to 3-0 and mover towards what ultimately Carlisle and the Dallas brass may want which is a fresh start in 15-16. Houston 110-90

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DOC SPORTS (NBA PLAYOFFS)

4-Unit Play #739 Take Houston +1 over Dallas (7 p.m. EST, Friday) Can’t believe we are getting this line with the Rockets tonight as we had them handicapped as 6-point favorites after the way the Mavericks played such a stinker in their last game. Nowitzki looks old and does not seem to have any fire this postseason. The loss of Parsons hurts the Mavs big time. The Rondo situation is bizarre and a huge distraction. All the while the Rockets are just getting it done with ruthless efficiency and Dwight Howard seems to be back in game shape and has been a beast on the inside in this series. There are a lot of mismatches in these first-round series this year and we thought if the Mavs were to play a solid game it would come in Game 2, but that was anything but solid and the Rockets come into this Game 3 with all the confidence and momentum.

3-Unit Play #742 Take Washington -4.5 over Toronto (8 p.m. EST, Friday) This is another series we see ending early. The Wizards were inconsistent all season but this team is built for the playoffs and they have been as impressive as any team thus far. They have the size, the strong defense and the star player in John Wall. We actually thought that this line would be about a point higher and we would still back the Wizards at that number. Did not like the body language of this Raptors team in the second half of Game 2 and we just think the Wizards take care of business here and score another comfortable win in this series to put the Raptors on the brink of elimination.

4-Unit Play #743 Take LA Clippers +4.5 over San Antonio (9:30 p.m. EST, Friday) We have been behind the Clippers in both games thus far and won’t stop backing them here despite their Game 2 collapse in overtime. We just think that these teams are more even than the oddsmakers think. We think the series line here was out of whack and that the game lines, including this Game 3 number, are shaded towards the Spurs who are a lot more popular than the Clippers. But we see these teams as vary even and still think the Clippers have a great chance to win this series. We think both of these games in San Antonio will be close and we expect LA to steal one on the road so taking the points is the only way to go here for Game 3.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

INDIAN COWBOY (NBA PLAYOFFS)

5-Unit Play. #739. Take Over 214 Houston vs. Dallas (Friday @ 7:05pm est) With no Rondo look for Dallas to have a strong effort today. Look for Dallas to have a much better effort across the board today on the offensive end as this team will likely gel together and come together as a squad without him and consequently this game has a great tendency to go over this evening. Note that without Rondo Dallas has actually played better offensively, are likely to be a good underdog here and this game consequently has the chance to likely go over the posted total. No Rondo means increased pace, a team that comes together that is glad to see him go, more players getting involved with the offense, this team looking to avoid getting into a big hole and all that plays this team playing to the Over this evening.

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OC Dooley

2 Units Blue Jays / Rays Over 7.5

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Diamond Dog Sports

#903/904: Nationals/Marlins: Over 7.5 (+110) (2*)
Zimmermann/Latos

#907/908: Cardinals/Brewers: Over 7.5 (-110) (0.5*)
Martinez/Garza

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Dom The Dominator

NBA Rockets PK over Mavs

NBA Raptors+4 1/2 over Wizards

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Larry Ness' 10* Run-Line Game of the Month-AL

My 10* Run-Line Game of the Month (AL) is on the Sea Mariners at 10:10 ET.
Phil Hughes was a HUGE disappointment with the Yankees (56-50, 4.47 ERA in seven seasons) but shocked almost all by going 16-10 (3.52) in his first season with the Twins in 2014, as Minnesota went 20-12 in his starts, giving him MLB’s 4th-best moneyline mark (plus-$1,201). However, Hughes has opened 0-3 in 2015, allowing 24 hits in 18.2 innings for a 5.30 ERA and WHIP 1.39 WHIP (helped by allowing just TWO walks), while opponents are batting .308 against him (OBA was .268 in 2014). Slow starts are nothing new for the 28-year-old, as April is far and away his worst career month with a 6-15 record and 6.05 ERA in 31 starts. The Twins have opened 6-9 but 2-7 on the road, getting outscored on average, 5,1-to-2.44 RPG.
Minnesota opens a three-game weekend series in Seattle and while the Mariners are also just 6-9 (including 4-5 at home) PLUS own a 4.83 team ERA (ranking 28th out of 30 teams), the Twins will have to face “King Felix” in this one. Hernandez (2-0, 2.37 ERA) has made two home starts in 2015, sandwiching one in Oakland. He has allowed two runs and four hits in 14 innings at home. Dating to his last 2014 start at Safeco, he's 3-0 with a 0.93 ERA and .082 opponent batting average while striking out 29 in 19.1 innings. The right-hander is 10-2 in his last 15 home starts dating to May 23 and among pitchers with at least 10 home starts in that time, he leads the majors with a 1.56 ERA and 0.77 WHIP.
Hernandez is a modest 7-5 in 16 career appearances against Minnesota (Mariners are only 9-7) but that 2.08 ERA is nothing to sneeze at. “King Felix” has DOMINATED Minnesota recently, going 3-0 with an 0.79 ERA and 0.65 WHIP in four starts over the previous three seasons. The Twins haven't won a road series since taking two of three in Houston from August 11-13 of last season, going 0-7-1 in eight series, since (8-18 in games). Getting a series win here in Seattle will almost assuredly mean winning Saturday and Sunday, as Seattle wins tonight, “with room to spare!”