6-22-15

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::handshake::

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the White Sox on Sunday and likes the Dodgers on Monday.

The deficit is 140 sirignanos.

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | CHI WHITE SOX at MINNESOTA
Play On - Any team (CHI WHITE SOX) terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 3 starts
236-175 over the last 5 seasons. ( 57.4% | 75.9 units )
25-36 this year. ( 41.0% | -11.9 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | CHI WHITE SOX at MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 19-10 (+13.2 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was: MINNESOTA (4.7) , OPPONENT (3.1)

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Hondo

Hondo looking for long shots

Charlie “Two-Thirds” Morton failed to achieve against the Nationals on Sunday, getting obliterated in the first inning and causing Hondo’s deficit to grow to 1,490 luzinskis.

Monday night: Mr. Aitch will swing for the fences with the Phillies and Cubs — 10 units apiece on Correia and Wada.

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Totals 4 You MLB Selections for Monday, June 22nd

June's American League TV Total of the Month!!!!!
Chicago/Minnesota under 8 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Tuesday's Report Free of Charge!!!

MLB Best Bets
Detroit/Cleveland over 8
Houston/Los Angeles under 8
Kansas City/Seattle under 6 1/2
Philadelphia/New York over 7 1/2

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EZWINNERS

4* Blue Jays -106

3* Dodgers -173

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Baseball Crusher

Play of the Day
Philadelphia Phillies + New York Yankees OVER 7.5

Rest of the Plays
Chicago White Sox + Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5
Detroit Tigers + Cleveland Indians OVER 8
Houston Astros +112 over LA Angels

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Soccer Crusher

America + Criciuma UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil

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Monday’s MLB Tip Sheet
by Matt Zylbert

Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs | 8:05 p.m. ET

Coming off a start in which he uncharacteristically allowed a season-high four runs at home, you can bet Clayton Kershaw (5-4, 3.29 ERA) has been itching all week for his next assignment, which is slated for game one of this four-game series at Wrigley Field between two legitimate contenders in the National League. It’s been a bit of a frustrating year for the reigning NL MVP and Cy Young award-winner, even though most pitchers would love to have his current overall numbers, but up to this point, Kershaw has already surrendered 34 earned runs — which is just five less than the 39 he gave up all of last season in 198.1 innings pitched — and he’s already matched last year’s total of home runs allowed with nine. At the same time, he still often flashes the incredible dominance that we’ve grown accustomed to, as evident in his 122/23 K/BB ratio thus far in his 93 innings of work. He’s actually one strikeout behind Max Scherzer for the MLB-lead, and that would indicate that Kershaw is still the same remarkably dependable ace that he’s been over the past handful of seasons. Of note, he’ll be taking on the offense that leads the NL in K’s.

Opposing the Dodger left-hander is a fellow southpaw who has impressed since being called up to the big leagues, Tsuyoshi Wada (1-1, 3.68 ERA), making his seventh start of the season. Wada looked good last year as a rookie — a 33-year-old rookie, that is, after his lengthy stint pitching in Japan and for their national team — when he finished 4-4 with a 3.25 ERA, and has picked up where he left off after replacing Travis Wood in the rotation. He’s coming off his best performance of the season, when he fired seven shutout innings and struck out six in Cleveland, and now draws an assignment against a lineup that ranks 23rd in OPS (.680) opposing left-handed pitching. Those infamous strong Wrigley winds will be blowing out, however, which could affect each pitcher. The linesmakers haven’t released the over/under line just yet, while Kershaw is a -170 road favorite.

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees | 7:05 p.m. ET

When you do this for so many years on a daily basis, it feels good being able to talk about a veteran journeyman pitcher that everyone thought was done and had faded into obscurity. Kevin Correia (0-1, 1.69 ERA) fits that bill, who is making just his third start of the year after finishing 7-17 with a 5.44 ERA and 1.50 WHIP across two different teams in 2014. With the Phillies sporting a nightmarish rotation, which is now significantly worse with ace Cole Hamels injured, Correia has been shot into duty, and he actually hasn’t been bad in his first couple of starts. However, as someone who pitches to contact and records a low number of strikeouts, he might be in for a long day at the office against the hard-hitting Yankees in the Bronx, which could yield a lot of home runs. Correia has given up two so far.

His counterpart this evening, Michael Pineda (8-3, 3.54 ERA), is certainly someone that doesn’t pitch to contact. Hence why he owns 87 strikeouts in 81.1 innings of work, compared to just 11 walks on the year for one of the best K/BB ratios in all of baseball. He’s coming off a nine-strikeout gem in six-plus frames, holding the Marlins to one run on only one hit in the process, so if he’s in his rhythm, Philadelphia may have no shot. They did pull off the huge upset yesterday against Michael Wacha as +175 home ‘dogs, but can they do it in back-to-back days? Not to mention with soft-throwing Correia on the mound going up against a stud the caliber of Pineda. As a result, the Yankees are whopping -285 favorites. The over/under line, meanwhile, is curiously low at 7.5.

Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners | 10:10 p.m. ET

It’s always a notable event when “The King” himself, Felix Hernandez (10-3, 3.08 ERA), takes center stage at Safeco Field before his unique and adoring “King’s Court” in attendance. What certainly was a notable event was ten days ago, when Hernandez suffered the worst start of his career, getting absolutely pounded in Houston as he was only able to record one out, while giving up eight runs. Fortunately for the former AL Cy Young winner, Hernandez bounced back his last time out with eight shutout innings against the Giants at home, and appears to be back on track. If that’s the case, you can anticipate his usual greatness, as Hernandez has given up two runs or less in 10 of his 14 starts. He’s a -160 favorite, and Seattle is 11-3 in games he’s started.

It won’t be that easy, though, as King Felix is tasked with facing the team that leads baseball in team batting average (.274). Plus, they’ll have a serviceable veteran on the hill, Joe Blanton (1-0, 1.80 ERA), who could keep them in the ballgame, if his first start was any indication. After a stint as the club’s long reliever, Blanton made his first start as a member of the Royals, amassing five shutout innings against the Brewers last Wednesday, striking out four and walking none. In any case, the over/under is currently set at 6.5, mostly because of King Felix’s amazing numbers at home over the years.

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins | 8:10 p.m. ET (ESPN2)

Guess who the worst team in baseball is against left-handed pitching… the Chicago White Sox. And it’s really not even close, as the Pale Hose are last in team batting average (.207), on-base percentage (.252), and slugging percentage (.285) opposing southpaws, adding up to a putrid .536 OPS, which is nearly a full 100 points behind the team in second-to-last (Braves, .619). With one of my top sleepers entering the 2015 campaign, left-hander Tommy Milone (3-1, 3.67 ERA), set to toe the rubber for the Twins, you have to like his outlook tonight, as he’s made three starts since being recalled from the minors, and has given up two runs or less in all of them, while producing a 13/2 K/BB ratio in his 19 innings of work. He’s a -140 home favorite as a result at Target Field.

Facing him is a bit of a similar lefty, John Danks (3-7, 5.16 ERA), but one who is largely inconsistent. Some days, Danks will have his stuff working, which was certainly the case when he surprisingly spun a complete game shutout on the Astros at the very end of May. Or, he’ll get roughed up, like in the two ensuing starts after that one when he yielded ten runs combined. It makes him a tough pitcher to handicap, as you don’t really know what you’re going to get. He’s somehow been a consistent friend for under bettors, though, posting a 8-3-2 record towards ‘under’ bets this season despite his paltry numbers. The line for this one has opened up at 8.5.

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Hall of Fame Picks

Seattle Mariners(-160)

[golden contender]

Big MLB Monday card has the Highest Rated A.L. Central Play of the Year with 3 Perfect Systems and Angles taking center stage with a Perfect totals system. Both MLB Top plays cashed again on Sunday. Free MLB System Play below.


The free MLB Power system Play is on the Tampa Bay Rays. Game 956 at 7:10 eastern. Tampa has had the Jays number winning 6 of the 7 in the series this year and all 3 at home holding the Jays to 2 runs per game on .173 hitting. Tampa has won 14 of 20 this month and are a solid 17-8 vs winning teams. To ties in a powerful league wide system from the database, we not that home teams off a road dog loss like Tampa that scored 2 or less runs and are now taking on a team like Toronto that lost by 2 or more runs as a home favorite, have won 80% of the time since 2004. The Jays have Hutchison going but he has a dreadful 9.47 road era. He will oppose Andriese for Tampa has who has won 3 of 4 with a 3.26 era. Look for the Rays to take down the Jays tonight. On Monday you can take down your book with a the Highest Rated A.L. Central Play of the Year with a huge MLB System and 3 Perfect Angles. There is also an Undefeated totals system with solid statistical indicators on the card. On Sunday we cashed both Big Top plays in MLB. Get the week started right. Jump on and get both big winners. For the free MLB Play tonight. Take Tampa Bay. GC

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Paul Leiner

100* Twins -145

100* Phillies / Yankees Over 8

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HOME RUN BASEBALL PICKS

Tampa Bay Rays +114 ($100)

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Sports Lab

1 Unit White Sox +1.5

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Frank Patron


10,000 Unit MLB Lock




Cleveland Indians -140 over Detroit


Listed Pitchers

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Here is the MLB system bet for today:


Toronto {A} bet - This is a confirmed official bet


Remember to bet on the +1.5 run line if it is offered, or the money line if it is not offered.


Make sure to observe the following Exterminator system guideline:


In the month of June: Bet normally on all the qualifying bets under the original MLB system. That means risking a flat 5% (conservative), 10% (average), or 15% (aggressive) of your bankroll depending on your risk level on every qualifying {A}, {B}, and {C} bet in the original MLB system. Again, you want to bet that same percentage amount for all the {A}, {B}, and {C} bets that qualified under the original system.


In June, pass on any series where the first game of a rematch series between the 2 teams happens more than 60 days after their most recent game (after the last game of the original 3-game series or the second game of an intermediate confirmatory 2-game series).


Also, please keep in mind the following filters of the system:


- Do not bet on a team whose road record winning percentage is in the bottom 10% in the league if they are playing on the road


- Play is only official if the RPI value of our team is no more than .015 lower than opponent's.


- Play is only official if our team is not playing against a top 2 highest ranked RPI team


Note that the system plays are official only when they pass all the filters above. If they fail to pass any filter, then the play is considered unofficial.


Regards,
Tony Chau, author of the best-selling Exterminator Betting System

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Dave Cokin

2* Rays -108 (Hutchison/Andriese) (okay to -120)
Drew Hutchison has been a horror show on the road for Toronto. The Jays bullpen logged a load on innings and pitches this weekend, so superior Rays relievers should own a big edge, especially with McGee and Boxberger being fresh. Matt Andriese figures to only go five or so tops, but he's been very good recently. Blue Jays clearly have the better attack, but they're also not a great road team and at least they've been contained to some extent by righties away, which is what they figure to see for most if not all of this game. Not a bad spot for the Rays.

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SHARP MOVES

Steam Rot#: 959 Team: Houston/LA Angels – UNDER 8

Steam Rot#: 957 Team: Chicago White Sox/Minnesota – OVER 8½

Steam Rot#: 955 Team: Toronto/Tampa Bay – UNDER 8

Steam Rot#: 955 Team: Toronto -113

Steam Rot#: 953 Team: Detroit/Cleveland – OVER 8

Steam Rot#: 963 Team: Philadelphia/NY Yankees – OVER 7½

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RIVER CITY SHARPS – MLB

Detroit Tigers (+130)

LA Angels (-125)

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Scorpionpick – Robert Trotto

blue jays vs rays – Over 7.5

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MIKE DAVIS – MLB

3-Unit Play. Take Minnesota RL-1.5 (+150) over Chicago White Sox

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Brandon Lang

20 Dime - Tampa Bay Rays +115

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SB Professor Original MLB

None

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Vegas Nightmare

Astros Over
Cubs +1.5 Runs
Detroit Tigers

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Bob Balfe ‏ Free Pick

Angels -125

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James Jones

2* MLB-Tampa Bay Rays ML-118

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POWER PLAY WINS

Opinion – Minnesota Twins -140 (Milone)

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GOODFELLA'S (not from pre-game)

(MLB) HOUSTON +110 LA ANGELS (10PM)
Lets back the Astros with + money tonight. Brett Oberholtzer (2-1, 2.73 ERA), who looks to win a career-best third consecutive start. He held Seattle to three hits over eight innings in a 10-0 home win June 12 before limiting Colorado to three runs over 6 1/3 in Wednesday's 8-4 road victory. LAA starter Santiago has struggled this month. He has a 5.74 ERA in three starts during that stretch. He's 0-2 with a 5.30 ERA in four career outings against the Astros.

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SYDNEY
(MLB) TAMPA BAY +103 TORONTO (7PM)
The Rays, who rank towards the top of baseball with a 3.28 ERA, have allowed only six runs over their last five games while holding opponents to a .192 average. Ray starter Matt Andriese (2-1, 3.26), has been very good, in out of the bullpen. In first two series against the BlueJays, Tampa Bay posted a 1.83 ERA with 47 strikeouts in 54 innings while allowing more than six hits only once.

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JEFF BARONE
(MLB) DETROIT/CLEVELAND UNDER 8 -102 (7PM)
Indians starter Bauer (6-3, 3.22 ERA), who went 2-0 with a 4.34 ERA in five starts against Detroit in 2014 takes on the Tigers. Kyle Ryan will make his fourth career start and third of the year. Bauer has been very good this year and Ryan has improved. Eight is high, lets go under.

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Ultra Sports MLB

3* KC/Seattle Over 6 1/2

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Jeff Benton

100 DIME A.L. East Game of the Year

toronto blue jays

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American Sports Guru

MLB Plays:

1 unit Tigers ML +130

1 unit Angels ML -123

1 unit Twins -1.5 RL +145

1 unit Yankees -1.5 RL -130

1 unit Rays/Blue Jays over 7.5 runs -105

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J.R STEVENS/SMOOTH44

(MLB) HoustonAstros +115 (Listed Pitchers)

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WePickSports

Minnesota Twins (-160) 3* 8:10

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7 Unit Total Play · Under [957] Chicago White Sox vs. [958] Minnesotta Twins
Donn Wagner's Grand Slam Club (Baseball Only) Mon Jun 22nd, 2015 8:10pm EDT

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SHARP MOVES

Added

Steam Rot#: 957 Team: Chicago White Sox+150

Steam Rot#: 951 Team: LA Dodgers/Chicago Cubs – UNDER 9½

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XpertPicks

Baseball

Play New York Yankees -260 over Philadelphia—Top Play

Kevin Correia has lost 26 of the last 34 night games and he has lost 34 of the last 51 games when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher. Kevin Correia has lost 31 of the last 45 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has lost 17 of the last 25 games coming off a team win.

Play Seattle -150 over Kansas City—Top Play

Joe Blanton has lost 9 of the last 11 games coming off a team loss and he has lost 13 of the last 17 games when pitching in the 1st half of the season. Joe Blanton has lost 6 of the last 7 games when the total posted is seven runs or less and he has lost 8 of the last 10 road games.

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BONUS MLB BASEBALL PLAYS

Play LA Dodgers -170 over Chicago Cubs (MLB Bonus Play)

Play Minnesota -145 over Chicago White Sox (MLB Bonus Play)

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OC Dooley

2 Units Angels -125

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Diamond Dog Sports

#953: Tigers: +130 (1.5*)
Ryan/Bauer