7-1-15

[Can'tPickAWinner]

::handshake::

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty had no play on Tuesday and likes the Orioles on Wednesday.

The surplus is 20 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jo jo tennis (-2.80)

atp – wimbledon @ london, great britain (07/01/2015)
j millman +260 m baghdatis (tbd)

wta – wimbledon @ london, great britain (07/01/2015)
ka pliskova -220 c vandeweghe (tbd)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Brewers @ Phillies
Lohse is 1-5, 7.34 in his last seven starts; five of the seven went over.

Harang is 0-7, 6.48 in his last seven starts; four of his last five went over.

Milwaukee lost four of last six games with the Phillies; road team won eight of last nine in series. Over is 7-2-1 in last ten series games. Brewers won six of last eight games overall- over is 6-1-1 in those eight. Phillies lost five of last six games; over is 9-1-1 in their last eleven.

Giants @ Marlins
Heston is 3-1, 2.70 in his last four starts; eight of his last ten went over.

Haren is 0-3, 4.42 in his last three starts; his last four stayed under.

Giants are 5-4 in last nine games with Miami; they've won four of last six games overall, with last five going over. Marlins lost seven of their last nine games (under 5-3-1).

Nationals @ Braves
Fister is 1-2, 6.43 in his last four starts; six of his last eight went over.

Wisler is 1-1, 5.25 in his first two MLB starts (under 2-0).

Washington won its last nine games with Atlanta; three of last four stayed under the total. Nationals won nine of last ten games (under 6-4). Braves lost six of their last seven games; six of their last eight stayed under.

Cubs @ Mets
Lester is 0-4, 4.54 in his last six starts, five of which stayed under.

Colon is 1-3, 5.79 in his last four starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Cubs won their last seven games with the Mets (under 5-1-1). Chicago lost five of last six games overall, scoring seven runs; under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games. NY won fourof last five, allowing five runs; nine of its last eleven games stayed under.

Dodgers @ Diamondbacks
Anderson is 2-0, 1.71 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over.

Ray is 1-3, 3.20 in his last four starts; four of his last six stayed under.

Dodgers won eight of last nine games with Arizona (over 6-2-1). LA won four of last six games; five of their last eight stayed under. D'backs lost four of last five games; seven of their last nine games went over.

American League
Red Sox @ Blue Jays
Porcello is 0-6, 7.07 in his last seven starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Buehrle is 2-0, 2.00 in his last five starts; three of his last four stayed under.

Boston lost five of last eight games with Toronto but won last two; Red Sox are 8-4 in last 12 games overall- four of their last five stayed under. Blue Jays lost three of last four games (under 5-1 in last six).

Rangers @ Orioles
Martinez is 0-2, 7.11 in his last three starts; three of his last four went under.

Chen is 2-0, 2.13 in his last four starts; his last eight all stayed under.

Texas lost nine of last 12 games with Baltimore; over is 6-2-1 in last nine games in series. Rangers lost seven of last ten games; over is 4-2-2 in their last eight games. Orioles won seven of last ten games; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven.

Indians @ Rays
Carrasco is 2-1, 3.54 in his last three starts; five of his last seven went over.

Colome is 0-1, 3.76 in his last five starts; Tampa Bay scored total of 13 runs in his last six outings.

Cleveland is 6-3 in last nine games with Tampa Bay; five of last eight series games stayed under total. Indians lost seven of last 11 games; six of their last eight went over the total. Tampa Bay lost seven of last nine games; under is 6-4-1 in their last 11.

Royals @ Astros
Volquez is 4-0, 2.96 in his last four starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six.

Velasquez is 0-0, 3.72 in his four starts (over 2-2).

Royals lost last five games with Houston; road team won six of last eight in series. KC lost last two games, scoring one run. Astros won last three games, allowing two runs; six of their last seven stayed under the total.

Bronx @ Angels
Eovaldi is 2-0, 3.00 in his last two starts; seven of his last eight went over.

Shoemaker is 0-2, 6.32 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over.

Bronx won seven of last ten games with the Angels; four of last six series games went over. Bronx is 3-7 in its last ten games overall; ten of their last 13 went under the total. Angels won seven of last nine home games; eight of their last ten overall stayed under the total.

Interleague
Twins @ Reds
May is 0-3, 5.71 in his last four starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Cueto is 0-1, 4.42 in his last three starts; under is 2-1-1 in his last four home starts.

Minnesota won six of last eight games with Cincinnati; eight of last twelve series games stayed under. Twins lost six of their last ten games. Reds lost four of last five games; six of their last eight games went over.

Pirates @ Tigers
Burnett is 0-2, 2.20 in his last four starts, three of which stayed under. Pirates scored total of six runs in the four games.

Simon is 0-1, 12.00 in his last two starts; his last four all went over.

Pirates lost four of last six games with Detroit; they won three of last four games overall; six of their last eight went over. Tigers won five of last eight games- their last 11 games all went over.

White Sox @ Cardinals
Quintana is 0-1, 3.79 in his last three starts; five of his last six went under.

Lackey is 2-0, 2.05 in his last three starts; seven of his last ten stayed under.

White Sox won five of last seven against St Louis, last five of which stayed under total. Chicago lost three of last five games overall, with three of last four going over total. Cardinals won six of last seven, allowing eleven runs; four of their last five games stayed under.

Rockies @ A's
Bettis is 2-0, 2.92 in his last two starts; six of his last nine went over.

Hahn is 3-1, 3.48 in his last five starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six.

Colorado lost four of last five games with Oakland; visiting team won eight of last nine games in series. Rockies are 6-4 in last ten games; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine. A's lost four of last five games;under is 4-0-3 in their last seven home games.

Mariners @ Padres
Walker is 4-0, 2.05 in his last four starts; four of his last six stayed under.

Shields is 0-2, 6.85 in his last four starts; six of his last eight went over.

Seattle lost three of last five games with San Diego; under is 7-2-1 in last ten series games. Mariners lost five of last eight games; under is 5-1-1 in their last seven. Padres are 5-9 since changing managers; over is 3-2 in their last five.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Mil-Phil-- Lohse 6-10; Harang 5-11
SF-Mia-- Heston 10-5; Haren 8-7
Wsh-Atl-- Fister 4-5; Wisler 1-1
Chi-NY-- Lester 8-7; Colon 9-6
LA-Ariz-- Anderson 8-7; Ray 2-4

Bos-Tor-- Porcello 7-8; Buehrle 9-6
Tex-Balt-- Martinez 9-6; Chen 9-5
Clev-TB-- Carrasco 9-6; Colome 3-9
KC-Hst-- Volquez 11-4; Velasquez 2-2
NY-LA-- Eovaldi 9-6; Shoemaker 7-7

Pitt-Det-- Burnett 8-7; Simon 8-6
Min-Cin-- May 6-8; Cueto 8-6
Chi-StL-- Quintana 6-9; Lackey 9-6
Colo-A's-- Bettis 7-2; Hahn 6-9
Sea-SD-- Walker 7-8; Shields 9-7

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Mil-Phil-- Lohse 7-16; Harang 5-16
SF-Mia-- Heston 1-15; Haren 1-15
Wsh-Atl-- Fister 3-9; Wisler 1-2
Chi-NY-- Lester 6-15; Colon 4-15
LA-Ariz-- Anderson 4-15; Ray 1-6

Bos-Tor-- Porcello 2-15; Buehrle 9-15
Tex-Balt-- Martinez 3-15; Chen 3-14
Clev-TB-- Carrasco 7-15; Colome 2-12
KC-Hst-- Volquez 4-15; Velasquez 1-4
NY-LA-- Eovaldi 6-15; Shoemaker 4-14

Pitt-Det-- Burnett 4-15; Simon 3-14
Min-Cin-- May 5-14; Cueto 5-14
Chi-StL-- Quintana 7-15; Lackey 3-15
Colo-A's-- Bettis 2-9; Hahn 4-15
Sea-SD-- Walker 4-15; Shields 4-16

Umpires
Mil-Phil-- Last four Hamari games stayed under.
SF-Mia-- Home side won nine of last 12 Hernandez games.
Wsh-Atl-- Five of last six Bucknor games stayed under.
Chi-NY-- Three of last four Fagan games went over.
LA-Ariz-- Five of last seven Muchlinski games stayed under.

Bos-Tor-- Last five Cuzzi games stayed under total.
Tex-Balt-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Tumpane games.
Clev-TB-- Favorites won eight of last nine Johnson games.
KC-Hst-- Six of last eight Emmel games went over total.
NY-LA-- Five of last six Culbreth games stayed under.

Min-Cin-- Five of last seven Wendelstedt games stayed under.
Colo-A's-- Last six Hallion games went over the total.
Sea-SD-- Underdogs won eight of last ten Everitt games.
Pitt-Det-- Six of last seven Hudson games stayed under.
Chi-StL-- Home side won six of nine Wolcott games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | SEATTLE at SAN DIEGO
Play On - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against an average NL starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20), cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games
63-33 since 1997. ( 65.6% | 31.5 units )
4-3 this year. ( 57.1% | 0.9 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | CHI WHITE SOX at ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS is 44-18 (+22.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.
The average score was: ST LOUIS (4.4) , OPPONENT (2.8)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

MLB

3* (906) Braves +1.5 (-$145)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steves golf picks


2*-keegan bradley 20-1 he gave out 32-1
2*-webb simpson 15-1 he gave out 25-1
...1*-chris sroud 60-1 he gave out 75-1..
1*-pat perez 30-1 he gave out 75-1
.no h2h this week

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sleepyj

GOY: Washington /ML

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Diamond Dog Sports

#921/922: Twins/Reds: Under 7.0 (-105) (2*)
May/Cueto

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RIVER CITY SHARPS – MLB

Seattle Mariners (+100)

Brewers/Phillies – Over 8 (-105)

Detroit Tigers (-118)

Chicago Cubs (-122)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Simon soccer (-1.30)

club friendlies – (over 3 +120) – fc midtjylland @ sk strum graz (12pm)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GEOFF WEIGEL

Wednesday Member Picks
Risk 3.00 to win 3.33 [913] New York Yankees +111 vs Los Angeles Angels
Risk 2.00 to win 3.42 [915] Texas Rangers +171 vs Baltimore Orioles
Risk 3.00 to win 3.12 [927] Pittsburgh Pirates +104 vs Detroit Tigers
Risk 3.00 to win 2.75 Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8 -109 vs Philadelphia Phillies
Risk 4.00 to win 3.15 [905] Washington Nationals -127 vs Atlanta Braves

[golden contender]

Hump day MLB Power system card led by the 100% Total of the Week and a big 5* 100% Blowout system with 5 Power angles. MLB on a solid Run. Free MLB matinee Power Angle play below.


The Free MLB Power Angle play is on the Oakland A/S/ Game 924 at 3:35 eastern. Oakland fits a solid last game of a series system here that pertains to Inter league Games. Colorado has lost 35 of the last 47 vs American League teams and 7 straight heading into last nights game with Oakland. They are scoring under 3 runs and hitting .219 on the season in these games. They have Betts Making the start and he has a pedestrian like 4.50 Road era. he will oppose Oakland righty J. Hahn who has a 3.25 home era and a 2.21 era in his last 3 starts. Oakland is averaging over 5 runs per game the past week and 8 runs per game vs National League team. Oakland has won 36 of 51 vs N.L. Teams. Look for them to take the finale here today. On Hump day the lead play is the 100% MLB Power system Total of the week. along with a 5* Never Lost Blowout system, bit data to 200. MLB has been piping hit this week. Jump on now and put this powerful card on your side as we start the month of July off big. For the free play. Take Oakland. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gabriel Dupont

60 Dime Run Line Rout of the Year

Athletics

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Scott Spreitzer | MLB Money Line Wed, 07/01/15 – 8:15 PM

dime bet – 930 STL (-143) 929 CWS
Analysis: I’m backing the St. Louis Cardinals on Wednesday. The Redbirds suffered a rare home loss last night, a 2-1 defeat in extra-innings. White Sox ace Chris Sale slammed the door and St. Louis saw their run at home “fall” to 44-11. The fact is, the Cards rarely lose at home and the White Sox have rarely won on the road this season. We have a fairly even starting pitching matchup with John Lackey tossing three straight strong outings. And as we have said before, when we get St. Louis at home and with at least an even starting pitching matchup, we’re normally going to jump on board. The Cards are 29-8 at home this season and have not dropped two straight at Busch since back-to-back losses to Detroit in mid-May. The Cardinals own the advantages at the plate and in the pen and they’re 13-1 with Lackey installed as home chalk. I’m backing the Cardinals, my Hammer release on Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

MLB Game: Cleveland Indians (917) @ Tampa Bay Rays (918)
Time: Wednesday 07/01 7:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Tampa Bay +125 (moneyline)

The Cleveland Indians have pounced on the Tampa Bay Rays in this series, taking the first two games to push the Rays’ losing streak to three games – something they have avoided since late May. The Rays have the pitching to avoid the long losing streaks, and I look for them to bounce back today at home behind Alex Colome. Colome’s last start vs. the Tribe resulted in one hit through seven innings with no runs allowed. He has now worked 13.1 innings against them without yielding a single run, and has held the Tribe’s lineup to a .116 average against him. Carlos Carrasco has been durable, but owns a 1-3 record vs. Tampa Bay in five career appearances against them, and Cleveland is just 1-9 in their last 10 following a win, and 5-13 behind Carrasco if he is off a quality start in his previous game. The Rays have taken it to road teams that have a winning road record at 9-3 in their last 12 against them. Take Tampa Bay.

[Rambo]

Does anyone have ATS Lock Club Baseball?
They're hitting 85% the last two weeks and swept the board last night.
If not, I'll buy it and post the picks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WILD BILL



MLB GOY: Phils +105 (15 units)

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ULTRA SPORTS MLB

3 units Seattle Mariners -105

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Goodfella
3* seattle +100

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J.R. STEVENS/SMOOTH44

MLB – Braves +120 (Listed Pitchers)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

bookiemonsters


POD CLE -130


MGs
HOU -120
SFG -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Play Wins

St Louis Cardinals -140 (Lackey)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rockdeman Sports

Blue Jays
Mariners
Orioles (RL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegasButcher

Pittsburgh Pirates -101

The Tigers are now 2-7 in the last 9 games against a right-handed starter in interleague play. Can they make it 2-8 after tonight? I hope so. There hasn’t been a better pitcher against ‘righties’ this season than Burnett, whose 1.8 FIP against right-handers leads the league. Both teams had to use all of their key relievers yesterday as the game went into extra innings but once again tonight the Pirates should have a huge advantage with their BP in the final third of this game. I like their chances here.

New York Yankees -105

The key factor for me here is that the Yankees will have a huge advantage with their BP in the final 3-4 innings. LA’s two key relievers Smith and Street have pitched in four consecutive games and I don’t think I’ve ever seen a reliever go 5 straight. Shoemaker gives up a lot of HR’s (1.7 HR/9 rate) and he is really bad against lefties (5.1 FIP, ranked 140th out of 165 starters). Yankees will be a bad matchup for him as they’ll feature a ton of left-handed hitters, and their offense ranks 4th overall in ISO (measure of power). I doubt Shoemaker goes more than 6 innings tonight. On the other side we have Eovaldi whose 3.3 FIP against right-handers ranks 58th in the league. Angels are a righty-heavy lineup so I think Eovaldi should have success here. Furthermore, after getting rocked in Miami a few starts ago, he has allowed 8 hits and 4 runs in his last 12 innings of work while registering 10 K’s. Those two starts came against DET and HOU, both top-5 lineups. Angels rank 15th. I expect New York to have an overall pitching advantage in tonight’s matchup and I like their chances in this one.

Washington Nationals -127

In Wisler’s first career start he went 8 innings and gave up 1 run to the Mets. New York Mets rank 28th out of 30 teams against the ‘fastball’ and 30th out of 30 teams against the ‘slider’. In Wisler’s second career start he went 4 innings and gave up 6 runs on 9 hits (1 HR). Washington Nationals rank 4th out of 30 teams against the ‘fastball’ and 6th out of 30 teams against the ‘slider’. With Wisler being a fastball/slider pitcher, the matchup is pretty important for him as he doesn’t feature any other developed pitch in his repertoire. Facing the Nationals team for the 2nd time (by the way Harper didn’t even play in the first game) in a week doesn’t bode well for him. Fister isn’t anything special but at least he’s fairly fresh (came off DL a few starts ago) and he’s facing a terrible Atlanta lineup that is still without Freeman. I like Washington’s chances here.

San Francisco Giants -111

Miami has never seen Heston before and their 29th ranked offense against right-handers could have a really tough time here. Remember, this Miami offense ranks 29th against righties with Stanton in the lineup for most of the year, and they’re even worse without him present. By comparison, San Fran ranks 2nd offensively against righties on the season. That’s a very big discrepancy between these two offenses in tonight’s matchup, in addition to San Fran having a better starter on the mound (#27 pitcher vs #106 for Haren).

Cleveland Indians -133

Carrasco is my #11 ranked starter in the league, even though his 4.2 ERA ranks 95th on the year. His inflated 0.336 BABIP has a lot to do with that and I expect that to regress as the season goes on. He’ll be facing a Rays team that just isn’t hitting right now, ranking 28th offensively over the last week. I expect him to do well. The play though is more of a ‘fade’ of Colome. I know he had a stellar outing against the Indians on 06/21, holding them to 1 hit over 7 shut-out innings. But I’m wondering if that’s a fluke. Colome is a guy that is strictly a fastball/slider pitcher. Cleveland ranks #1 offensively against the ‘slider’. Both his fastball and slider were very effective against the Indians in that first start, but can that continue, especially since Cleveland hitters will see him again only 10 days later? In addition, Colome has been atrocious at home sporting a 1.8 HR/9 rate, 5.8 FIP, and a 6.1 ERA. He’s been a pretty poor pitcher against lefties in his career (4.7 xFIP) and you know Indians will feature plenty of lefties tonight. I expect Colome to perform much worse than he did in his first start against the Indians, and therefore think Cleveland has a strong shot to win this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

Brewers -110 over Phillies
Royals -105 over Astros

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE VEGAS NIGHTMARE

CHICAGO CUBS

OVER – philadelphia

PITTSBURGH PIRATES

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HEAT MAPS

OVERS – Baltimore, Oakland, Atlanta

UNDERS – Chicago Whitesox

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Brandon Lang

30 Dime - KC Royals +110

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Chris Jordan


300* Phillies/Brewers Over

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SB Professor Original MLB

Follow:
Atlanta +122

Fade:
Washington -132

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wepicksports

MLB

Baltimore (-175) 3* 7:05

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Vegaslinereader

yankees / angels under the posted total

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PICK EMPIRE SPORTS

POD: 8:15 pm ET St Louis cardinals ML (-144/1.69) – 10 units

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DHAYES2

1* Cubs -122

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James Jones

3* Cleveland Indians ML-144
2* Milwaukee Brewers ML-114

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Allen Eastman

7-Unit Play. Take New York Mets (+115) over Chicago Cubs

4-Unit Play. Take San Francisco (-125) over Miami

[Can'tPickAWinner]

My 10* LEGEND Play is on the KC Royals at 8:10 ET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GP From Vegas

Royals/Astros F5 Over 4 -115
Cubs -117
White Sox/Cardinals F5 Over 3 -125
Diamondbacks F5 +.5 -120
Brewers/Phillies Under 8 -125
Yankees/Angels F5 Over 4 -125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GOODFELLA

(2*) on SF GIANTS

Listed Pitchers

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BETTING AS A BUSINESS

MLB

CWS (Quintana) +145 / St. Louis (Lackey) 8:15 ET 1.00 Unit
(Play ON Chicago WS)