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View Full Version : UFC Fight Night 75: Nelson vs. Barnett September 26th 2015



Luke
08-19-2015, 10:43 PM
https://www.bestfightodds.com/events/1003.png


Mousasi is fighting Uriah Hall now not Roan

Ludo
08-20-2015, 01:16 AM
I'd be careful betting Mousasi. This is exactly the kind of fight he's been known to not give a fuck about, and show up un-motivated.

SPX
08-20-2015, 01:18 AM
How the fuck are they going to give Hall someone like Mousasi. Hall has struggled with even mid-tier guys and they're going to give him fucking Mousasi?

Luke
08-21-2015, 01:44 AM
Mousasi opened at -350 over Hall

poopoo333
08-21-2015, 07:01 AM
Nelson beats Barnett IMO.

Best play?

Not Barnett via (T)KO. It's -190 but whatever

Mr. IWS
08-21-2015, 08:33 AM
I like Barnett.

SPX
08-21-2015, 12:54 PM
Mousasi opened at -350 over Hall

I like those odds. Can any of us imagine Hall beating him?

Luke
08-21-2015, 01:13 PM
I like those odds. Can any of us imagine Hall beating him?

Actually yes. Both guys like to stand and do nothing in fights. Can see Hall winning a very boring 3 rd fight...think Bader-Davis

edman5555
08-21-2015, 01:15 PM
Nelson beats Barnett IMO.

Best play?

Not Barnett via (T)KO. It's -190 but whatever


I assume you mean Nelson outstrikes or TKO's him. Barnett is the much larger and much more skilled grappler. I could definitely see him taking Roy down. Frank Mir was able to get him down. Plus, cardio is in his favor.

Ludo
08-21-2015, 01:54 PM
I like those odds. Can any of us imagine Hall beating him?

I can imagine Mousasi showing up lackluster like he did against Machida and Jacare, and pretty much giving the fight away.

SPX
08-21-2015, 03:54 PM
I can imagine Mousasi showing up lackluster like he did against Machida and Jacare, and pretty much giving the fight away.

"There weren't nobody, I just made them look like nobody."

I think we have to keep in mind that Mousasi was in fact fighting Machida and Jacare in those fights. Don't get me wrong, I like Hall, but he's not on that level. The guy who lost to John Howard will not be beating Mousasi. I just can't believe it.

zY|
08-21-2015, 04:56 PM
"There weren't nobody, I just made them look like nobody."

I think we have to keep in mind that Mousasi was in fact fighting Machida and Jacare in those fights. Don't get me wrong, I like Hall, but he's not on that level. The guy who lost to John Howard will not be beating Mousasi. I just can't believe it.

Agree here. Mousasi didn't give away those fights. He just got beat. I thought he looked ok against Machida, but Jacare smoked him. I think Mousasi will take Hall down and beat him there.

Luke
08-26-2015, 04:56 PM
Full Card:

MAIN CARD (FOX Sports 1, 10 p.m. ET)



Roy Nelson vs. Josh Barnett
Uriah Hall vs. Gegard Mousasi
Chico Camus (http://mmajunkie.com/tag/chico-camus) vs. Kyoji Horiguchi (http://mmajunkie.com/tag/kyoji-horiguchi)
Takeya Mizugaki (http://mmajunkie.com/tag/takeya-mizugaki) vs. George Roop (http://mmajunkie.com/tag/george-roop)
Li Jingliang (http://mmajunkie.com/tag/li-jingliang) vs. Kiichi Kunimoto (http://mmajunkie.com/tag/kiichi-kunimoto)
Matt Hobar (http://mmajunkie.com/tag/matt-hobar) vs. Norifumi Yamamoto (http://mmajunkie.com/tag/norifumi-yamamoto)

PRELIMINARY CARD (FOX Sports 2, 8 p.m. ET)


Diego Brandao vs. Katsunori Kikuno
TBA vs. TBA – “Road to UFC: Japan” tournament final
Nick Hein (http://mmajunkie.com/tag/nick-hein) vs. Yusuke Kasuya (http://mmajunkie.com/tag/yusuke-kasuya)
Kajan Johnson (http://mmajunkie.com/tag/kajan-johnson) vs. Naoyuki Kotani (http://mmajunkie.com/tag/naoyuki-kotani)

PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Pass, 7:30 p.m. ET)


Shinsho Anzai (http://mmajunkie.com/tag/shinsho-anzai) vs. Roger Zapata (http://mmajunkie.com/tag/roger-zapata)

edman5555
08-29-2015, 08:19 AM
How much does yamamoto have left?

Luke
08-29-2015, 01:14 PM
How much does yamamoto have left?

Can't be much. He's won 1 fight in the last 8 years.

SPX
08-29-2015, 06:36 PM
I don't think Yamamoto is allowed to win anymore.

CriticalHit
08-29-2015, 09:29 PM
I don't remember much before the NC against Salazar but I think I remember Kid being up in that fight or at least looking better than he has in quite some time. I hope he can go out with a win at home.

poopoo333
09-13-2015, 02:46 PM
Why I will not bet on Josh Barnett:

He is old and looks like he has aged a lot.

He has not fought since UFC 168. Anderson Silva's leg fell off that night and he has already had a fight since then.

Drug testing. Have you guys seen recent pic of Barnett? He looks like he lost a lot of size.

He is also going to retire soon IMO. He seems preoccupied with pro wrestling and coaching.

I am going to bet Nelson as a fade to Barnett.

However, this worries me:

Mir was able to out wrestle and out cardio Roy Nelson. LOL

Luke
09-13-2015, 05:18 PM
Why I will not bet on Josh Barnett:

He is old and looks like he has aged a lot.

He has not fought since UFC 168. Anderson Silva's leg fell off that night and he has already had a fight since then.

Drug testing. Have you guys seen recent pic of Barnett? He looks like he lost a lot of size.

He is also going to retire soon IMO. He seems preoccupied with pro wrestling and coaching.

I am going to bet Nelson as a fade to Barnett.

However, this worries me:

Mir was able to out wrestle and out cardio Roy Nelson. LOL


Yeah, he looks like he has AIDS. He's really off the juice.

Mr. IWS
09-14-2015, 09:21 AM
Holy shit at that pic of him!

Luke
09-14-2015, 05:37 PM
Holy shit at that pic of him!

I know. He looks horrible

SPX
09-15-2015, 03:33 PM
Yeah, he looks like he has AIDS. He's really off the juice.

What the fuck?

Luke
09-15-2015, 05:19 PM
What the fuck?

You don't think he looks bad compared to what he use to?

Luke
09-15-2015, 05:21 PM
Fight Pass Prelims start at 7:30pm eastern, FS2 prelims at 8pm, and main card on FS1 at 10pm eastern

SPX
09-15-2015, 05:24 PM
You don't think he looks bad compared to what he use to?

No, I do. That's why I was saying what the fuck.

Luke
09-15-2015, 05:52 PM
No, I do. That's why I was saying what the fuck.

Oh. Understand. I thought maybe you didnt think he looked much different. Disreguard

Luke
09-15-2015, 05:56 PM
Fight Pass Prelims start at 7:30pm eastern, FS2 prelims at 8pm, and main card on FS1 at 10pm eastern

This is next week, not this week. Disregard....until next week

poopoo333
09-22-2015, 12:52 PM
I would like to make $500 on this card.

Start discussing the fights you homos

edman5555
09-24-2015, 10:31 PM
He looks pretty bad in that. His last competition of any kind was dean lister about a year ago, correct?

Svino
09-27-2015, 12:42 PM
Damn, Mousasi really ducked into that kick. I still think he'd beat Hall 3 times out of 4.

BetMMA
09-27-2015, 02:00 PM
Probably even more than that. There were too many x factors about that fight for me to bet it though personally.

poopoo333
09-28-2015, 12:27 AM
I think Nelson will out cardio Barnett

The Bard
09-28-2015, 02:06 PM
Well, I liked Hall and Roy. Hit on Hall but not on Roy, obviously. Also had a two-way parlay for pretty cheap that paid back $250 had Roy won. I liked it; would bet it again. I think Roy can win that fight. He clearly lost, but two judges had it 48-47 and the early stand-ups and clinch breaks didn't help.

If Roy went into all fights with that gameplan and used his offensive wrestling, well, I think there are a few W's he missed out on in recent years that he could have had. Outwrestling Barnett is no small task.

poopoo333
09-28-2015, 02:27 PM
I ended up taking a small loss on this card....like $60 or so.

Luckily I hit Hall.

I lost on a parlay of Brandao in R1 and Mizugaki -3.5 which would have been nice. But some how ALL 3 judges gave 1 round to Roop.

I bet on Nelson in the prop: "if it goes the distance, no action" as I felt the most likely outcomes were Nelson ITD or Barnett decision. This was +233. Push

Also lost on Nelson KO +412.

ON TO THE NEXT ONE...

Where I will be fading another aging fighter coming off a 2 year lay off: RASHARD

Luke
09-28-2015, 05:59 PM
I like Barnett and Hall

BetMMA
09-28-2015, 07:09 PM
This event was a 100%er for me (one bet was lucky).

Lucky one was Zapata fight under 2.5 at +120 or something like that, which was just a guess based on other people's opinions of the fighters - I knew nothing about them.

Then my proper bets.

Kajan
Brandao
Brandao fight under 2.5
Barnett
Horiguchi
Over 1.5 Kajan fight
Over 1.5 Barnett fight

Some of those parlayed together.

I handicapped 3 of those as free tips. I have a few more fights I like coming up that I'll be handicapping on my profile soon.


There's not really a non-obnoxious way to say it but I am the world's number #1 documented MMA handicapper now. I mean, unit wise, I have been out performing everyone since I started but I've been consistent enough for long enough now to feel it's justified to claim I'm probably the best at this.

And as much as I'd like to say this image is accurate...

1014

... I'm very much under the radar at the moment and there's no point in that... Hence bigging myself up. So I would like more followers and more action on the site. Please sign up and follow me and the other guys who are performing well too :)

My MMA Handicapper Profile (http://www.betmma.tips/mma_handicapper.php?ID=155).

BetMMA
09-28-2015, 07:23 PM
Just worked it out and I'm 22-0 in terms of picking winners as a handicapper now, in terms of direct straight fight picks and picking winners in parlays. I know it says 10-1 on my profile but read the writeup of that pick and you'll see I thought Taleb would win a decision but picking Clements was effectively a hedge. Knowing how much that 1 would annoy me now, months on, I would have just taken the worse odds on the prop of "not inside the distance" for Taleb :)

I have a very different style to most of the handicappers. If I pick something, it's something I'm very confident in. I don't throw out loads of bets to get followers and attention, then gloss over the losses... I try not to make any losses in the first place.

Anyway, that's enough of my hijacking for my own benefit... I'm just a little bit fed up of being so under the radar and you guys have been good enough to let me talk about my site on here before so yeah... cheers! :)

poopoo333
09-29-2015, 04:09 PM
Are you better than Luca Fury?

BetMMA
09-29-2015, 08:50 PM
It's close ;)

poopoo333
09-30-2015, 02:03 PM
It's close ;)

Luca Fury fucking sucks.

Mr. IWS
09-30-2015, 02:22 PM
Luca Fury fucking sucks.

Its not his fault though.