10-15-15

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::clap::

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NHL

Hot teams
-- Predators won first three games, allowing two goals.
-- Senators won two of first three games.
-- Chicago won two of its last three games.
-- Montreal started season with 4-0 road trip, allowing six goals. Rangers won three of their first four games.
-- Lightning won three of first four games; Dallas Stars won two of their first three.
-- Florida won two of its first three games.
-- St Louis won two of its first three games.
-- Coyotes won first three games, outscoring opponents 10-2. SMinnesota won its first two games, 3-2/5-4.

Cold teams
-- Islanders lost two of first three games.
-- Pittsburgh lost first three games, outscored 8-3.
-- Washington split its first two games, both at home.
-- Buffalo lost two of its first three games.
-- Edmonton lost first three games (all on road), outscored 9-3.

Series records
-- Islanders won their last three games with Nashville.
-- Penguns are 5-3 in last eight games with Ottawa; four of last five went OT/SO.
-- Blackhawks lost last three games with Washington.
-- Rangers-Montreal split last ten games (home side 6-4).
-- Lightning won five of last six games with Dallas.
-- Panthers won seven of last eight games with Buffalo.
-- Blues won their last seven games with Edmonton.
-- Wild won seven of last eight games with Arizona.

Totals
-- Nashville's first three games all stayed under the total.
-- Ottawa's last three visits to Pittsburgh stayed under.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in Chicago games this season.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Ranger-Montreal games.
-- Over is 7-1 in last eight Dallas-Tampa Bay games.
-- Under is 5-3-1 in last nine Buffalo-Florida games.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven St Louis-Edmonton games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Minnesota-Arizona games.

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | NY METS at LA DODGERS
Play On - Any team (NY METS) after 3 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts
67-37 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.4% | 30.5 units )
10-11 this year. ( 47.6% | -2.1 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | NY METS at LA DODGERS
NY METS are 73-52 (+36.0 Units) against the money line in Road games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: NY METS (4.8) , OPPONENT (3.9)

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Blue Jays on Wednesday and likes the Mets on Thursday.

The deficit is 888 sirignanos.

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Hondo

Hondo’s no Saint backer

The Astros, unable to shake off one of the worst losses in baseball history, were obliterated by the Royals Wednesday night, which caused Hondo’s deficit to grow to 1,472 van brocklins.

Thursday: Mr. Aitch will take flight with the Dirty Birds at the Superdome — 20 units on the Saints to go marching on to another loss.

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Ezwinners

2* (109) ucla +7

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Brian Leonard

Bryan Leonard's ESPN SEC Showdown

106 Auburn at KentuckyIn our memory we can’t come up with a team that has had as much of a collapse as these Tigers. Thought by many to be a major contender for the national title along with one of the strongest coaching staffs in recent memory. This is a team that has yet to cover a number having lost to the spread by a combined 70 points in five games. The Tigers have been out gained in all but one contest, including last time out against San Jose State. If Auburn didn’t have a +4 turnover edge in that game the Tigers would have lost to a Mountain West Conference team at home. A major reason for the struggles has been the inability to move the ball down the field on a consistent basis. Despite being favored in all but one FBS game this team has allowed 7 more explosive plays than they earned. On the season in FBS games Auburn has yet to have a drive of 80 or more yards. This offense can’t be trusted in the road favorite role.
Kentucky had a major scare before the break needing overtime to beat Eastern Kentucky. While it was an obvious look ahead spot with a bye on deck we will stack up the Wildcats work against the Tigers any day. Keep in mind this team lost the turnover battle to Florida and still only lost by 5, being out gained by just 4 yards. The Wildcats also won on the road at South Carolina and beat Missouri. Kentucky is the better team right now as the stats obviously prove. Don’t let the names on the uniforms cost you a money making play on Thursday.
PLAY KENTUCKY

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King Creole

NFL Thursday Night 3*** 'Big Easy' TOTALS PLAY Winner from King Creole

Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints 8:25pm ET /#104

3*** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL

*Optimum OU Line: 51 or more points

This NFC South Division series has skewed toward LOW-SCORING results as off late, with FOUR of the last five meetings going UNDER the Total. Average OU line when the Saints play the Falcons has been 53.5. Average combined points per game: 44.2. That means the average game has gone UNDER by more than a full touchdown (-9.3 ppg). It also helps our case when we see that the SAINTS have gone 0-3 O/U in their last three THURSDAY games with an average of only 34.7 points per game. And ATLANTA has gone 0-3 O/U in their THURSDAY road games, with an average of only 36.7 points per game. Numerous other team trends also point to a low-scoring outcome:
NEW ORLEANS has gone 2-10 O/U when playing off a SU loss of more than (>) 10 points… 2-11 O/U when playing with division revenge (lost to Atlanta 30-14 late last season), including 1-6 O/U at home… 1-5 O/U after allowing 250 > passing yards in their last game… and 0-4 O/U at home versus opponents with a winning road record.
ATLANTA has gone 0-4 O/U in their last four DIVISION games… 0-3 O/U as road favorites of 5 < points… 2-6 O/U away off back-to-back home games… 1-6 O/U in the month of October… 1-6 O/U in their last seven games versus LOSING teams (< .500)… and 2-6 O/U off an ATS loss.
The road team is favored in this NFC South Divisional battle…
1-8 O/U last three years: All NFC SOUTH DIVISION games in which the road team is favored… and the OU line is more than (>) 40 points (Falcons @ Saints).
This is currently tied for the HIGHEST Over / Under line of the season for THURSDAY games (NEng vs Pit in Week One was also 51 points and went UNDER). In division battles with a high OU Line, we always want to ‘Go Low’…
NFL DIVISION games played on a THURSDAY (Falcons @ Saints) have gone UNDER the Total 90% of the time (1-9 O/U) when the OU line is 49 or more points. Average combined points in these games has been 42.9.
The Saints just allowed 39 points in their Sunday road loss to the Philadelphia Eagles…
0-8 O/U last 12 months: All NFL home underdogs of > 1 point (Saints) after allowing 38 > points in their last ROAD game.
For Atlanta, they’re off a home win (but an ATS loss) against the Redskins, in a game that also went Under the Total…
5-17-1 O/U since 2000: All DIVISION teams… off a SU win BUT an ATS loss as a favorite of -7 > pts (Falcons) that also sent Under the Total. These games have gone 1-10 O/U for favorites of > 2 pts (like Atlanta).
The Falcons are one of only SIX unbeaten teams left in the league. I wrote about the OU tendencies for these unbeaten teams in this week’s Playbook Totals Tipsheet newsletter…
1-7 O/U since 1997: All GAME SIX undefeated teams (Atlanta) versus a division opponent (New Orleans) when the OU line is 57 < points. These game have gone a PERFECT 0-5 O/U if that undefeated team is a favorite (like the Falcons).

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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's NHL 3-Team Powerhouse Pounder - Thursday!

10/15 7:05 PM NHL (1) NASHVILLE PREDATORS VS (2) NEW YORK ISLANDERS

Take: (2) NEW YORK ISLANDERS

Reason: Nashville is cooking at 3-0, but hold on now...the Predators are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. They head to New York to take on a talented Islanders squad. John Tavares had a power-play goal and added two assists and the Islanders beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-2 on Monday afternoon to earn their first victory in Brooklyn. Thomas Greiss made 22 saves and the Islanders. The Home team is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings and the Predators are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in New York. Play New York!


10/15 9:05 PM NHL (13) ST. LOUIS BLUES VS (14) EDMONTON OILERS

Take: (13) ST. LOUIS BLUES

Reason: Edmonton got the top pick in the draft but they still can't stop anyone, off a 4-2 loss at Dallas. The offense hasn't got going, either, ranked 27th in goals scored. The Oilers are on an 18-52 run, including 11-24 in their last 35 home games. St. Louis is in town with a strong team, Top 12 in goals scored and allowed. Blues rookie defenseman Colton Parayko scored his first two NHL goals -- including the winner -- to lead St. Louis to a 4-3 victory over the Calgary Flames. Calgary was held to 10 shots through 40 minutes. The Blues are 54-17 in their last 71 vs. a team with a losing record. Play St. Louis!


10/15 7:35 PM NHL (9) DALLAS STARS VS (10) TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING

Take: 10-Star Total Dominator: Dallas/Tampa Bay Over the total.

A pair of young, fast skating uptempo offensive teams clash. Dallas is on a 7-3 run over the total, including 4-1 over on the road. Tampa Bay is 47-20-1 over the total in the Lightning's last 68 vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. And when these teams meet the over is 4-0, as well as 4-0 over at this arena. Play Dallas/Tampa Bay over the total.

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Matt Fargo

Fargo's 10* NFL THURSDAY NIGHT ENFORCER (INSANE 12-1 PRIMETIME YTD)

10* (104) New Orleans Saints

The Falcons remained undefeated with an overtime win over Washington last Sunday and now they hit the road on short rest over their biggest rival that is in desperate need of a victory. Atlanta failed to cover for the first time this season last week and they are a road favorite here for the first time since 2012 and are a road favorite anywhere for the first time since last season. The Saints picked up their first win of the season two weeks ago in overtime against Dallas which snapped a six-game home losing streak but gave it back last week against the Eagles who were in a similar spot as they were in desperate need of a win, Predicting turnovers is next to impossible but the law of averages tend to even things out as the season progresses or in better terms, cuts down the true extrapolation. Basically, teams that are +5 in turnover margin are not likely going to finish +15 and teams -5 are not likely going to finish -15. That being said, these teams are on opposite ends of turnover margin as the Falcons are +5 and the Saints are -5 and the records are reflective of this. And because of those records, lines are affected and we are seeing that here. This also works on a game-by-game basis as the Saints have a favorable situation on their side as we play against favorites after a game where they committed three or more turnovers going up against an opponent after a game where they committed four or more turnovers. This situation is 35-11 ATS (76.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. Additionally, the Falcons are 6-23 ATS in their last 29 games after gaining 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games and while the Saints have struggled at home against poor teams, going back, they are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 home games against teams with a winning road record.

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Bookieshunter

BOOKIESHUNTER'S NFL THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL GAME OF THE MONTH (78% RUN IN TOP PLAYS - 7-1 LAST WEEK IN NFL)

3*Atlanta Falcons -3

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From Platinum Plays.
500K Pac12 Lock/Month

the Stanford Cardinal -6½ over
the UCLA Bruins
Best Bets
the New Orleans Saints +3½ over
the Atlanta Falcons
the Kentucky Wildcats +2½ over
the Auburn Tigers
the Western Kentucky/North Texas Game OVER
the Total Of 70 Points
the LA Dodgers w/Greinke -150 over
the NY Mets

PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK

the Auburn/Kentucky Game OVER
the Total Of 52 Points

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Totals 4 You "Total Domination" for Thursday, October 15th

2015 NFC South Division TV Total of the Year!!!!!
Atlanta/New Orleans under 51 1/2


NCAA Best Bets
Auburn/Kentucky over 52
Western Kentucky/North Texas under 70
UCLA/Stanford under 54

2015 MLB Divisional Series Total of the Year!!!!!
New York/Los Angeles under 6
Best of Luck and Thank You!!!!!

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Football Crusher
Western Kentucky + North Texas OVER 70
(System Record: 13-1, lost last game)
Overall Record: 13-15-1

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Baseball Crusher
Los Angeles Dodgers + New York Mets OVER 6
(System Record: 92-4, lost last game)
Overall Record: 92-86-3

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Hockey Crusher
Buffalo Sabres + Florida Panthers UNDER 5.5
(System Record: 3-0, lost last 3 games and a push)
Overall Record: 3-4-1

Rest of the Plays
Nashville Predators + New York Islanders UNDER 5.5
Dallas Stars + Tampa Bay Lightning OVER 5.5
St. Louis Blues + Edmonton Oilers UNDER 5.5

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Soccer Crusher
HIFK + Lahti OVER 2
This match is happening in Finland
(System Record: 832-26, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 832-673-131

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Brad Wilton

50 DIME
NFC South Total of the Year
Falcons-Saints Under

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XpertPicks


Thursday Baseball




Play New York Mets +150 over Los Angeles Dodgers---Top Play

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Wiseguy Insider

WISEGUY: NFL Atlanta Falcons -3.5
WISEGUY: NCAAF Kentucky +2

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SMART SPORTS INVESTMENTS

Risked 3 units to win 2.94 Kentucky +2.5 -102 vs Auburn
Risked 3 units to win 2.94 UNDER 54 -102 vs Stanford

Risked 3 units to win 3 Atlanta Falcons -3.5 +100 vs New Orleans Saints

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PAUL LEINER

100* Over 54.5 – UCLA / Stanford

100* Kentucky +2.5

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GORDONS

$500 OVER W KENTUCKY 70.5

[golden contender]

Game 5 National League Divisional series Mets at Dodgers at 8:05 eastern

Pitching Matchup: LA Dodgers have Z. Greinke vs NY.Mets J. DeGrom. In this series deciding game, the Dodgers have a slight edge as Greinke has solid numbers. He is 14-4 and has won 10 straight in home team starts, and has a 1.52 home Era. In his 3 starts this year vs the Mets he has allowed 4 runs in 21 innings with LA winning 2 of the 3 games, the lone loss to DeGrom in NY. Greinke has won 6 straight October Home starts. DeGrom has not allowed a run in 2 starts vs LA this season going nearly 15 inning with 21 strikeouts, including a game 1 win here 5 days ago. DeGrom is 6-0 vs N.L. West teams this year and the Mets have won 9 of his last 10 road Starts as the Humble badass has a 0.53 Era in his last 3 starts. As for Batter vs pitcher only 2 guys in the LA Lineup have hurt Degrom. Adrian Gonzalez is hitting .375 and Andre Ethier hits .300. Utely also hits .300 but may not be in the lineup. As for the Mets the sample sizes are small but D. Wright hits .333, Murphy .308, W.Flores .308 and Travis Darnaud hits .333 of Greinke. The Mets have the better overall bullpen with more depth and better numbers and would have an advantage if the game went long.


Intangibles: The Dodgers have poise as they have been in these type of games before having made the playoffs the last few seasons only to fall short. Some suggest this could be there year, as they take on a Mets team making their first trip to the playoffs in 9 years. The Mets overall have the better roster but due to a late season swoon in the last week they were passed by the Dodgers and relinquished home field advantage. The good news is that home field advantage has not meant that much in this round.



Trends are your friends: In Divisional series play the home teams advantage has been neutralized as these teams are just 10-10. While the Dodgers have home field advantage the Mets have some interesting factors in their favor here tonight. Teams in this round who win game 1 have won the series 75% of the time and road teams are on a 6-0 run in that scenario heading into the day. The Dodgers are a dismal 0-12 in any series where they lose game 1. The Mets in all games are on a 4-0 run on the road off a home loss.



Prognosis: In conclusion the recommendation is on the NY. Mets. The Mets should be able to stay in this game and do enough offensively to at least match what LA can do against Degrom. If this game is a 1 run game in the later innings the Mets have the better overall depth and will likely follow Degrom with Syndergaard and Familia. The Dodgers could turn to Kershaw for an inning or two the most and their closer, But after that their is a bit of a drop off in pitching depth. The Mets have shown they can win here taking 3 of the 5 games this year and in a series that has been a zig zag thus far. We look for the Mets to beat the Dodgers and advance to the N.LC.S against the Chicago Cubs. GC

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WAYNE ROOT


Perfect Play---New Orleans


The Falcons are doing it with mirrors and magic potions. They surely can't keep up with this 5-0 facade and remain undefeated as they travel to play New Orleans. Atlanta is the first team in NFL history to start 5-0 despite trailing in the fourth quarter in four of those contests. Playing a divisional game on the road on in front of a Thursday night national TV audience will be their undoing. Part of their success is that Atlanta is tied for fifth in the league with a plus-5 turnover ratio. This is a double revenge game for the Saints as the Falcons took both contest last year. Julio Jones played a major role in those two wins and while a hamstring issue won't keep Jones from playing, center Mike Person will sit with a sprained ankle. Drew Brees should be good for 400 plus yards as first-year receiver Willie Snead remains a dangerous option after recording six catches for 141 yards against the Eagles. Sneed leads the team with 381 yards. Drew Brees is 7-2 against the Falcons at New Orleans and looks for that continued success. The magic flies out of the Falcons tonight and the dirty birds nosedive to their first loss. The Voodoo of New Orleans is just the recipe needed for the Saints to get back on track at least within their own division. TAKE NEW ORLEANS

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SPORTS REPORTER (phone)
2*
kentucky

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SB Professor Original NCAAF

System play

Stanford -6.5

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NORTHCOAST LATE PHONES

Top Opinions:

Thursday College Marquee: Stanford (-6.5) over UCLA 10:30 pm ESPN Thursday NFL

Marquee: Atlanta (-3.5) over New Orleans 8:25 pm CBS/NFL Network

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Al Demarco 20 dime NFL play


ATLANTA FALCONS -3.5 He has instructed to buy the hook for insurance.

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Scott Delaney
50 Dime
Pac-12 Total of the Year
UCLA - Stanford Over 51.5

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Leiner:
2000* NFL Over 51 Saints/Falcons
100* MLB Dodgers -150
100* CFB Kentucky +2.5
100* CFB Over 54.5 UCLA/Stanford

[ci6627642]

Anyone seen eastman?

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Tony Chau - Champ's Pick

[NFL] 1* Star Pick: Atlanta Falcons

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Frank Patron

20,000 UCLA +7

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ATS LOCK CLUB

3* Kentucky +1.5

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JIMMY BOYD

4* Auburn/Kentucky SEC Vegas Insider

Kentucky

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Shinoba Sports Consulting


Atlanta Falcons -3.5

NY Mets +140

UCLA/Stanford over 54.5

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Larry "football"
ncaaf- ucla +7 stanford (10pm)

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David mires system
nfl- atlanta -200 new orleans (830pm)
ncaaf- w kentucky/ north texas under 71.5 (730pm)

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PATRICK DAME- "The Numbers Guru"
NHL- ST LOUIS/EDMONTON UNDER 5.5 -150 (9PM)

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Jeff barone sports
ncaaf- auburn -125 kentucky (730pm)
nhl- dallas/tampa under 5.5 +105 (730pm)
mlb- ny mets +140 la dodgers (8pm)

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BEN BURNS:

10 star/Main event - Saints

10 star/Main event - Auburn

9 star/Pac 12 gow - UCLA

10 star/Thursdays Game Of The Year- North Texas

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Shaker 3* Kentucky

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POWER PLAY WINS
Atlanta -3.5 as my Power Play Of The Day

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5 Unit Side Play · [103] Atlanta Falcons
Total Sports Solutions Thu Oct 15th, 2015 8:25pm EDT

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Fat Jack

Kentucky

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Kelso


Over W Kentucky
Stanford

Atlanta Falcons

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Harry Bondi:

3* UCLA

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LT Locks


Stanford

W Kentucky

New Orleans / Atlanta Under

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Seabass

400 UCLA
200 Auburn
100 W Kentucky

200 New Orleans

200 Under NY Islanders-Nashville

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maddux


10* new orleans +3.5

10* ucla +7

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Amazing Wager Picks


Atlanta -3.5

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ROB VINCILETTI

TRIPLE PERFECT PAC 12 GAME OF THE MONTH



The PAC 12 Play on ESPN is on the UCLA Bruins.

Game 109 at 10:30 eastern. UCLA fits 2 Powerful system here tonight. Conference road dogs of 19 or less off a -7 or higher home favored loss from game 4 out are 25-3 ats if it is there first loss. Second Game 6 teams that are 1 game over .500 and off 1 loss that are a dog of 9.5 or less or favored have covered 33 of 44 times. UCLA HAs major home loss revenge and check in at 6-0 straight up and ats with rest, 8-1 on the road vs a team off a win, 6-0 ats after allowing 35+ points vs team off a win and cover and 6-1 ats on week days. Stanford is 2-11 ats as a favorite of less than 21 with rest and 0-6 ats vs .550 or better teams that are off a straight up and favored loss. With 2 Monster systems and 3 Perfect angles we will back the Bruins

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Vegas Sports Informer


3 Unit Play. Take #110 Stanford -6.5 over UCLA (10:30p.m., Thursday October 15 ESPN)


UCLA is losing defensive players left and right and I see Stanford taking advantage of their losses early and often. Both teams are coming off bye weeks but again Stanford gets this game at home. Since Stanford lost to Northwestern in their first game they have played outstanding football winning 4-Straight and all 4 wins were by double-digits. If UCLA can't slow down the Stanford run game early this game will get out of hand and I see Stanford winning their 5th straight game by double-digits.

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BIG AL's

NFC SOUTH GAME OF THE MONTH

4* Saints +3.5

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SPORTS BANK
small
kentucky

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Millionaires club
strong
new orleans

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Sports Locksmith


NCAAF:

2* Western Kentucky/North Texas Over 70 (-110)
2* Stanford -7 (-110)



NFL:
1* New Orleans +3 (-110)

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BETTING AS A BUSINESSS


1 Unit - Mets (deGrom) +138

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We Pick Sports


MLB
4* New York (+140)


NCAAF
5* Western Kentucky -34 (-110)


NFL
6* New Orleans +3 (-110)

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Sports Unlimited

3* UCLA

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Philly Seal: On a 4-5 games losing streak

NFL [1104] TOTAL u27-115 (1H ATL FALCONS vrs 1H NO SAINTS) $200