4-21-16

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::handshake::

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mlbtotal
USA: MLB
Cleveland Indians - Seattle Mariners
Total: Under 9
Odd: 1,99

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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | GOLDEN STATE at HOUSTON
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread against opponent after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread
89-46 since 1997. ( 65.9% | 38.4 units )
11-5 this year. ( 68.8% | 5.5 units )

NBA | GOLDEN STATE at HOUSTON
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, playing with 2 days rest
34-19 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.2% | 24.7 units )
6-5 this year. ( 54.5% | 2.8 units )

NBA | OKLAHOMA CITY at DALLAS
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season, in April games
348-221 since 1997. ( 61.2% | 104.9 units )
4-5 this year. ( 44.4% | -1.5 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | PITTSBURGH at SAN DIEGO
Play Against - Road teams (PITTSBURGH) with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL) against opponent starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest
51-22 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.9% | 27.2 units )
3-4 this year. ( 42.9% | -4.0 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | HOUSTON at TEXAS
TEXAS is 70-52 (+33.0 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: TEXAS (4.9) , OPPONENT (4.6)

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty was waiting on the Hornets (+4 1/2) on Wednesday and likes the Thunder on Thursday.

The surplus is 199 sirignanos.

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Hondo

Hondo needs big Max

Formerly sizzling Hondo gave some back Wednesday night when Salazar and the Indians failed their assignment against the Mariners to lower the earnings to a still beefy 499 gullicksons.

Thursday: Mr. Aitch will back Scherzer and the Nats to flush Kohler and the Marlins, who look like they are facing a year of binge stinking. Twenty units.

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Feartheweb

MLB

2* Oakland Athletics +133


2* Cincinnati Reds +186


2* Under 6.5 -105 Los Angeles Dodgers/Atlanta Braves


1* Over 9 -120 Los Angeles Angels/Chicago White Sox

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Bookiemonsters

Pod Arizona +1.5

Freebie Tampa Bay +1.5

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Guaranteed picks. Today
PLAYOFFS

7:05pm Thunder vs. Mavericks (2000 Stars) Okc-8.5

7:35pm Raptors vs. Pacers (3000 Stars) Indiana+

10:35pm Warriors vs. Rockets Over/Under (800 Stars) Houston over 215

BASEBALL

1:35pm Rays vs. Red Sox (700 Stars) Boston-179

3:45pm Diamondbacks vs. Giants (400 Stars) Arizona+150

9:10pm Pirates vs. Padres (1000 Stars) Pitt

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ASI

Nba
patrick (75-71 -4.30) toronto -1 indiana (730pm)
david (74-72 -7.80) houston +5 golden st (930pm)

Mlb
patrick (8-12 -5.06) arizona/san fran under 7 -115 (345pm)
david (12-13 -4.04) cleveland +100 seattle (1210pm)
jeff (12-13 -.65) minnesota/milwaukee under 8.5 -110 (140pm)


Nhl
jeff (63-44 +14.40) nashville/anaheim over 5 -103 (8pm)

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National sports

4* Seattle Over 8.5
3* pacers +1.5
3* warriors -5

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PAUL LEINER

100* Over 7 – Marlins / Nationals

100* Yankees -125

100* White Sox -110

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Here are the upcoming system bet(s):


Cincinnati {A} bet - This is an unofficial bet because it is against one of the top 2 ranked RPI teams.


Remember to bet on the +1.5 run line if it is offered, or the money line if it is not offered.


Make sure to observe the following Exterminator system guideline:


In the month of April: Bet aggressively on all the qualifying bets under the original MLB system by risking an additional 5% on every wager you make. Risk a flat percentage of your bankroll for all your wagers under the Exterminator system.


Also, please keep in mind the following filters of the system:

- Do not bet on a team whose road record winning percentage is in the bottom 10% in the league if they are playing on the road


- Play is only official if the RPI value of our team is no more than .015 lower than opponent's.


- Play is only official if our team is not playing against a top 2 highest ranked RPI team


Note that the system plays are official only when they pass all the filters above. If they fail to pass any filter, then the play is considered unofficial.



Good luck,

The "Champ" Team

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Marco D'Angelo

4% White Sox

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Brandon Lang
My 20 Dime selection is on Golden State over Houston.
The current line on this game is -5 in Vegas and Offshore. Be sure to shop around for the best line available

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Sports Insurance Adjusters

Free Play: Houston +5

NBA Service Plays:

Dallas +8.5

MLB Service Plays:

5*****Boston RL -1.5 +140

Chicago NL RL -1.5 -125

Houston RL -1.5 Even

NHL Service Plays:

Chicago vs St Louis Over 5 -105

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Master Sports

3* San Diego +125 Shields

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Burns Main Event 10*

I'm playing on INDIANA. I respect both these teams. I won with the Pacers in Game 1 and came back with the Raptors in Game 2. The Raptors were great on the road (24-17) this season. However, they still weren't as good as the Pacers (26-15) were at home. The Raptors outscore teams by 2.5 points per game on the road but the Pacers outscore them by four here at Indiana. While the Raptors are 36-45 ATS off a double-digit win the past couple of seasons, the Pacers are 11-3 ATS their last 14, when playing with two day's rest in between games. While it may not be "easy," I expect homecourt to ultimately prove the difference tonight.

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ROBERT FERRINGO
2* LA Dodgers RL-1.5
1* Boston Redsox
1* NY Yankees
1* OVER – ny yankees
1* UNDER – pittsburgh

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INDIAN COWBOY
4-Unit Play. #911. Take Seattle -110
over Cleveland
(Thursday @ 12:10pm est)

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SBB from KillerSports

4-STAR TEXAS over Houston While Dallas Keuchel is a very strong pitcher, pricing him like this at home does not make a ton of sense. Since the start of 2015, Houston is 18-2 when he starts at home, allowing just 1.6 runs per game. On the road however, a mere 9-9 with 4.1 runs per game allowed. Facing a good Texas team on the road tonight, a huge line just does not make sense.
Texas is the home dog here after defeating Houston at home last night, 2-1. The Rangers are 10-2 since May 30, 2015 as a home dog coming off a home win.

After being a comfortable favorite last night they have swung to heavy dogs here and thats generally a profitable move. Teams playing as a dog of at least +132 after winning as a favorite of more than -110 last game are +6.5% playing on.

In that game last night, Houston only allowed six hits but they were enough for Texas. The Astros are 1-8 since Sep 10, 2004 as a road 140+ favorite after they allowed 6 or fewer hits.

Thats because both of their runs came on a two-run homer from Rougned Odor. The Rangers are 13-1 since Aug 04, 2015 in not the first game of a series at home after they hit at least one home run.

Houston lone run also came via the lone ball. The Astros are 2-20 since May 10, 2015 on the road off a game as a dog in which they hit at least one home run.

Texas counters Keuchel with AJ Griffin tonight. His last start in Seattle went just five innings but it was control problems and not his stuff that did him in. He struck out five batters in the effort. Starters who went between 3.67 and 5.67 innings last game and struck out 1-2 batters per inning are +3.2% playing on.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: TEXAS 4, Houston 2

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Indian Cowboy

8-Unit Play. #533. Take Oklahoma City -8.5 over Dallas (Thursday @ 7:05pm est)

We roll with Oklahoma City here as they hook up against Dallas in Game 3 of this series and the first on in Dallas. Oklahoma City could not have played worse in their last game with Durant shooting one of the worst field goal percentages of his life and the history of the league frankly. It was a horrible effort and it was a slap in the face in the end as they end up losing at the buzzer. Then, they have to face the trolling of Javale McGee on top of that, the antics of Charlie Villanueva as well and Mark Cuban running around the Thunder's Home Court. Very angry squad here that will step up as the Thunder do not just want to win this game but they want to win this game running away. Note, that OKC is one of the best teams coming off a home loss and that combined with this being a public fade as well is something that we favor. The Thunder have a solid tendency to step up against winning teams on the road as they are 7-2 ATS versus winning teams on the road, 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a straight up winning record and 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 meetings in Dallas. You have a team that from the metrics point of view could not have performed worse, you have a team that was hurt both personally and professionally with the heat they took when they lost the game, a team that is angered by the antics of the opponent and from start to finish look for this team to lay the law down in Dallas. We like the Thunder by more than 15 this evening.

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Dave Aquino

Apr21 - MLB: mariners/indians over 8.5, rays/red sox over 8.5 Milwaukee (ml-110)(Clev, Red Sox, and Milw. already started...Dave has no set post time on site)

Apr21 - NBA: thunder/mavericks under 196.5, raptors/pacers over 193, warriors/rockets over 214.5

Apr21 - NHL: penguins/rangers under 5.5, red wings/lightning under 5.5, ducks/predators under 5.5, hawks/blues under 5.5

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Root Trust Basketball Service

Thursday, April 21, 2016
Millionaires
Pacers (+1½) over Raptors
7:30 PM (EDT) -- Bankers Life Fieldhouse
Game time conditions: | Temp: ° | Wind from the at mph | Cloud cover:

No Limit
Rockets (+5½) over Warriors
8:30 PM (EDT) -- Toyota Center
No Limit--Houston + Heading back to Houston for Game 3, it is safe to assume that the Rockets’ role players will fare better in front of their home crowd. The series moves to Houston with the Rockets desperately trying to avoid the 0-3 hole that no team has ever successfully overcome. Hardin can score enough but it''s Dwight Howard that has taken most of the criticism. He should have read enough newspapers since their last loss and come to play. Michael Beasley, Clint Capela and Jason Terry are all capable of turning in a double-figure scoring night off the bench and look to make their impact. The players need to do it for their fans and the entire City of Houston to take their minds off the destruction done the past few days. Assume that Harden will get enough help from his supporting cast to help his team pull off a win they need to stay alive in the series. Curry is limited by his sprained ankle and might not even play. There''s no pressing need. Finally, there''s one thing we learned about this Rockets team from last season, it’s that they won’t quit. Slow allay Thompson down and the Rockets win game 3. Do I hear money line? (25% of your bet).

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Spartan

2* Rabid Dog Indiana

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SleepyJ
Pirates

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SB Professor Original MLB

Cincinnati +175
San Diego +140

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Dave Essler

Toronto Bluejays -115 (single)
Cubs/Reds OVER 7 (single)

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10 Top Side Play · [26] Tampa Bay Lightning
The Professional Thu Apr 21st, 2016 7:05pm EDT

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ATS Lock Club

Yankees
Royals
Orioles
Tigers over

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MVP Lock Club

Lock Of The Day

NBA: Houston Rockets +5.5

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power play wins

POWER PLAY OF THE DAY FOR THURSDAY 4/21/16

NBA: TORONTO RAPTORS -1

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Wise Guy Insider

POD:

NBA: Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5

[golden contender]

Thursday card has a trio of Top plays led by the 5* NBA Historical system side, the N.L. Total of the month in MLB Action and a Game 4 NHL Sequence scenario system. NHL Comp play below.

The NHL Comp play for Thursday is to play the over five goals in the Pittsburgh at New York Rangers game at 7:05 eastern. In the series this year at least 5 goals were scored in 5 of the 6 games. These two played a low scoring game in game 3 and the scoring should pick up here tonight as the Penguins have played over in 6 of 7 when leading in a series and 5 of their last 7 overall. The Rangers have gone over in 4 of the last 5 12 of 17 off a loss by 2 or more goals. The Rangers have also played over in 10 of 13 with home loss revenge. Both teams played well on defense ion game 4 but we look for more scoring here tonight. Play the one over the total. On Thursday there are 3 top plays up in the NBA,MLB, and NHL. Jump on now as we continue the hot streak. For the free NHL Pick. play the Penguins and Rangers over the total tonight. GC

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SAM CASEY'S 702 INSIDER CLUB PLAYS 4/21/16

"INSIDER CLUB" - PRIVATE PLAYS
10 UNIT NBA Indiana +1.5 and NBA Golden St -5(PARLAY)
10 UNIT MLB KC -145
10 UNIT MLB Pittsburgh -150
5 UNIT MLB Yankees -125
5 UNIT MLB Cubs -

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10* Ben Burns

I'm playing on OKC and Dallas to finish OVER the total. Both games at OKC were low-scoring. That didn't really surprise me though. Here's an excerpt from my Game 1 "Blue Chip" selection on the "under" .... "Its playoff time and that means its time for the Thunder to elevate their defensive intensity; I expect the Mavs to have some trouble scoring tonight. While this series has been high-scoring when the games are at Dallas, five of the last seven meetings here at OKC have stayed below the total ... " That game stayed well below the total and Game 2 was even lower-scoring. Those results have worked in our favor this evening though as we're getting a much lower O/U line to work with than we were for the games at OKC. Yet, if you refer to my Game 1 excerpt, you'll notice that I mention "... this series has been high-scoring when the games are at Dallas ... " In fact, the OVER is 5-0 the last five series meetings here and 7-0-1 the last eight, all of those eight games producing 200 or more. The last seven meetings here had scores of 219, 225, 234, 219, 247, 208 and 231. The Thunder can (will) score anywhere while the Mavs score a lot more at home. Look for a faster tempo to lead to a higher-scoring contest than we saw at OKC.

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Steve Budin - CEO

Thursday's Play

The Cali-Cartel has a 100 Dime Play on Toronto at Indiana.

The Raptors are -1 as I put my site live at 12:45 PM Eastern.

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Anthony Redd

50 Rapters/Pacers Over 193

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Chris James Sports

17-6-1 NBA Run

Over pacers 194.5

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Nover

NBA

Toronto ML triple dime


NHL

CHI / STL under 5 double dime

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Dave Cokin

MLB

Baltimore

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bookieshunter MLB
Blue Jays @ Orioles (Blue Jays 2*) "MLB Blowout Crusher"

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Steve Merril
3% Astros
3% Raptors

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ROBERT FERRINGO
7-Unit play. Take ‘Over’ 196.5
Oklahoma City at Dallas
(7 p.m., Thursday, April 21)
5-Unit Play. Take #533 Oklahoma City (-8.5)
over Dallas
(7 p.m., Thursday, April 21)

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We Pick Sports - (-18* Wed. and -31.5* Tues/Wed.

MLB: (Season -9.15*)

Houston (-160) 8* 8:05 ET {Diamond Selection}



NBA: (Season -11.8*)


Houston +5.5 (-110) 20* 9:30 ET {Diamond Selection: Game of The Year}

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Johnny Goodtimes - (+0.9* Wed.)


Double: (NBA Season +8.4*)


Indiana Pacers +1 2 Unit



Triple:(NHL Season -13.05*, 3-7 last 10)


Chicago Blackhawks {+110} 3 Units



Home Run:(MLB Season -9.83*)


Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres Over 7 4 Units

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JR Tips
Houston
Okl City
Okl City over

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Trace Adams

BIGGEST NBA RELEASE THIS YEAR

2000♦
Double-Your-Wager
Winner # 30 of 42
- # 14 of last 19 -

Opening Round Game of the Year

Golden St.